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Bray I, Kenny G, Pontin D, Williams R, Albarran J. Family presence during resuscitation: Validation of the risk–benefit and self-confidence scales for student nurses. J Res Nurs 2016. [DOI: 10.1177/1744987116645838] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background. There is increasing debate about the advantages and disadvantages of family-witnessed resuscitation. Research about the views of healthcare providers depends upon reliable tools to measure their perceptions. Two tools have been developed for use with nurses (26-item cost-benefit tool, 17-item self-confidence tool). Objectives. Firstly, to validate these tools for use with student nurses in the UK. Secondly, to report on the perceived risks and benefits reported by student nurses, and their self-confidence in dealing with this situation. Methods. A sample of 79 student nurses were invited to complete the tools. Item-total correlations and Cronbach’s α were used to determine internal consistency. Factor analysis was computed to assess construct validity. The correlation between the two scales was explored. Results. 69 students completed a questionnaire. Very few had experience of family-witnessed resuscitation. Mean total scores were 3.16 (standard deviation 0.37; range 2.04–4.12) on the risk-benefit scale and 3.14 (standard deviation 0.66; range 1.94–4.82) on the self-confidence scale. Four of the original items were removed from the risk-benefit scale (Cronbach's α 0.86; 95% confidence interval ≥0.82). None were removed from the self-confidence scale (Cronbach's α 0.93; 95% confidence interval ≥0.91). There was a significant correlation between the two scales ( r = 0.37, p = 0.002). Conclusions. There is growing evidence that these tools are valid and reliable for measuring student nurses’ perceptions about family-witnessed resuscitation.
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Zammit MC, Fursa DV, Bray I. Convergent calculations of positron scattering from molecular hydrogen. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2015. [DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/635/1/012009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
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Bray I, Noble S, Boyd A, Brown L, Hayes P, Malcolm J, Robinson R, Williams R, Burston K, Macleod J, Molloy L, Tilling K. A randomised controlled trial comparing opt-in and opt-out home visits for tracing lost participants in a prospective birth cohort study. BMC Med Res Methodol 2015. [PMID: 26202794 PMCID: PMC4512038 DOI: 10.1186/s12874-015-0041-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Attrition is an important problem in cohort studies. Tracing cohort members who have moved or otherwise lost contact with the study is vital. There is some debate about the acceptability and relative effectiveness of opt-in versus opt-out methods of contacting cohort members to re-engage them in this context. We conducted a randomised controlled trial to compare the two approaches in terms of effectiveness (tracing to confirm address and consenting to continue in the study), cost-effectiveness and acceptability. METHODS Participants in this trial were individuals (young people and mothers) recruited to the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), who had not engaged with the study in the previous 5 years and for whom mail had been returned from their last known address. The sampling frame was restricted to those for whom database searching led to a potential new address being found in the Bristol area. 300 participants were randomly selected and assigned using stratified randomisation to the opt-in or opt-out arm. A tailored letter was sent to the potential new address, either asking participants to opt in to a home visit, or giving them the option to opt out of a home visit. Fieldworkers from Ipsos MORI conducted home visits to confirm address details. RESULTS The proportion who were traced was higher in the opt-out arm (77/150 = 51 %) than the opt-in arm (6/150 = 4 %), as was the proportion who consented to continue in ALSPAC (46/150 = 31 % v 4/150 = 3 %). The mean cost per participant was £8.14 in the opt-in arm and £71.93 in the opt-out arm. There was no evidence of a difference in acceptability between the opt-in and opt-out approaches. CONCLUSION Since the opt-in approach yielded very low response rates, and there were no differences in terms of acceptability, we conclude that the opt-out approach is the most effective method of tracing disengaged study members. The gains made in contacting participants must be weighed against the increase in cost using this methodology.
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Kadyrov AS, Rawlins CM, Stelbovics AT, Bray I, Charlton M. Antihydrogen Formation via Antiproton Scattering with Excited Positronium. PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 2015; 114:183201. [PMID: 26000999 DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.114.183201] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2014] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
Utilizing the two-center convergent close-coupling method, we find a several order of magnitude enhancement in the formation of antihydrogen via antiproton scattering with positronium in an excited state over the ground state. The effect is greatest at the lowest energies considered, which encompass those achievable in experiment. This suggests a practical approach to creating neutral antimatter for testing its interaction with gravity and for spectroscopic measurements.
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Pearce M, Webb-Phillips S, Bray I. Changes in objectively measured BMI in children aged 4-11 years: data from the National Child Measurement Programme. J Public Health (Oxf) 2015; 38:459-466. [PMID: 25948603 DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdv058] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study looked at the degree of weight gain between the first (Reception) and last year (Year 6) of primary school and how weight status in Reception predicts becoming overweight/obese by Year 6. METHODS A longitudinal sample of 1863 children was created using two time points (2006/7, 2012/13) from the National Child Measurement Programme (NCMP) in South Gloucestershire. T-test and logistic regression were used to test the difference between the BMI z-scores and BMI percentiles, and predict the probability of being overweight (BMI ≥ 85th) or obese (≥95th) at Year 6 based on BMI percentile in Reception. RESULTS Of those children who were obese at Reception age, 68% were obese at Year 6. Compared with children with a BMI in the 2nd to 49th percentile range, children between the 75th and 84th percentiles of BMI at Reception age were 10 times more likely (odds ratio (OR) = 10.18, P < 0.01), and those with a BMI between the 85th and 94th percentiles were 13 times more likely (OR = 13.38, P < 0.01), to become obese by Year 6. Boys were more likely than girls to revert to a healthy weight. CONCLUSIONS This is the first study to link data from the NCMP. It provides estimates of prevalence and offers new evidence on obesity emergence and gender differences.
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Bray I. Lecture Notes: Epidemiology, Evidence-Based Medicine and Public Health, Lecture Notes, 6th Edition. J Public Health (Oxf) 2013. [DOI: 10.1093/pubmed/fdt114] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
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Abdurakhmanov IB, Kadyrov AS, Fursa DV, Bray I. Target structure-induced suppression of the ionization cross section for low-energy antiproton-molecular hydrogen collisions: theoretical confirmation. PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 2013; 111:173201. [PMID: 24206488 DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.111.173201] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/27/2013] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
Theoretical confirmation of the experimentally observed phenomenon [Knudsen et al., Phys. Rev. Lett. 105, 213201 (2010)] of target structure-induced suppression of the ionization cross section for low-energy antiproton-molecular hydrogen collisions is given. To this end a novel time-dependent convergent close-coupling approach to the scattering problem that accounts for all possible orientations of the molecular target, has been developed. The approach is applied to study single ionization of molecular hydrogen on the wide energy range from 1 keV to 2 MeV with a particular emphasis on low energies. Results for the orientation-averaged total single ionization cross section are compared with available experimental data and good agreement is found at low (<20 keV) and high (>90 keV) energies. A minor discrepancy is found within a small energy gap near the maximum of the cross section.
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Schöffler MS, Stuck C, Waitz M, Trinter F, Jahnke T, Lenz U, Jones M, Belkacem A, Landers AL, Pindzola MS, Cocke CL, Colgan J, Kheifets A, Bray I, Schmidt-Böcking H, Dörner R, Weber T. Ejection of quasi-free-electron pairs from the helium-atom ground state by single-photon absorption. PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 2013; 111:013003. [PMID: 23862999 DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.111.013003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/27/2012] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
We investigate the single-photon double ionization of helium at photon energies of 440 and 800 eV. We observe doubly charged ions with close to zero momentum corresponding to electrons emitted back to back with equal energy. These slow ions are the unique fingerprint of an elusive quasifree photon double ionization mechanism predicted by Amusia et al. nearly four decades ago [J. Phys. B 8, 1248 (1975)]. It results from the nondipole part of the electromagnetic interaction. Our experimental data are supported by calculations performed using the convergent close-coupling and time-dependent close-coupling methods.
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Bray I, Richardson P, Harrison K. Smoking prevalence amongst UK Armed Forces recruits: changes in behaviour after 3 years follow-up and factors affecting smoking behaviour. J ROY ARMY MED CORPS 2013; 159:44-50. [PMID: 23720560 DOI: 10.1136/jramc-2013-000009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to investigate smoking prevalence of Tri-Service recruits, and changes in smoking behaviour at 3-year follow-up, by trade group and gender. Associations with educational attainment and deprivation were also assessed. METHODS: Analysis of a survey into the health behaviours of 10 531 recruits in 1998/1999. A follow-up 3 years later measured changes in behaviour. Correlation and multiple regression was used to investigate the relationship between smoking prevalence in each trade group and both educational attainment and deprivation, using Index of Multiple Deprivation 2004 (IMD 2004) scores. RESULTS: Army recruits exhibited a significantly higher smoking prevalence (45%) than Royal Navy recruits (34%) and Royal Air Force (RAF) recruits (31%). There were marked differences between smoking levels amongst officer cadets (12%, 20% and 10% in the Navy, Army and RAF, respectively) and other rank trade groups (24-56%), with the exception of the Marines (13%). At follow up, smoking had generally increased, and in some parts of the infantry had risen to 66%. There was a clear correlation between smoking at enlistment and both educational attainment (correlation coefficient=0.7, p<0.005) and deprivation score (correlation coefficient=0.8, p<0.005). CONCLUSIONS: There were clear differences between Services, rank and trade groups in smoking prevalence at recruitment. Smoking levels increased in the 3 years after recruitment to the Armed Forces. Deprivation was more important than educational attainment in determining the smoking status of recruits.
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Sokell E, Bolognesi P, Kheifets A, Bray I, Safgren S, Avaldi L. Signature of two-electron interference in angular resolved double photoionization of Mg. PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 2013; 110:083001. [PMID: 23473139 DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.110.083001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2012] [Revised: 10/25/2012] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
The double photoionization of Mg has been studied experimentally and theoretically in a kinematic where the two photoelectrons equally share the excess energy. The observation of a symmetrized gerade amplitude, which strongly deviates from the Gaussian ansatz, is explained by a two-electron interference predicted theoretically, but never before observed experimentally. Similar to the Cooper minima in the single photoionization cross section, the effect finds its origin in the radial extent and oscillation of the target wave function.
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Foley NH, Bray I, Watters KM, Das S, Bryan K, Bernas T, Prehn JHM, Stallings RL. MicroRNAs 10a and 10b are potent inducers of neuroblastoma cell differentiation through targeting of nuclear receptor corepressor 2. Cell Death Differ 2011; 18:1089-98. [PMID: 21212796 DOI: 10.1038/cdd.2010.172] [Citation(s) in RCA: 110] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
MicroRNAs function as negative regulators of posttranscriptional gene expression, having major roles in cellular differentiation. Several neuroblastoma cell lines can be induced to undergo differentiation by all-trans-retinoic acid (ATRA) and are used for modeling signaling pathways involved in this process. To identify miRNAs contributing to differentiation, we profiled 364 loci following ATRA treatment of neuroblastoma cell lines and found miR-10a and miR-10b to be highly overexpressed in SK-N-BE, LAN5 and SHSY-5Y. Ectopic overexpression of these miRNAs led to a major reprogramming of the transcriptome and a differentiated phenotype that was similar to that induced by ATRA in each of these cell lines. One of the predicted downregulated miR-10a/b targets was nuclear receptor corepressor 2 (NCOR2), a corepressor of gene transcription, which is known to suppress neurite outgrowth. NCOR2 was experimentally validated as a direct target of miR-10a/b, and siRNA-mediated inhibition of this mRNA alone resulted in neural cell differentiation. Moreover, induction of differentiation could be blocked by ectopic upregulation of NCOR2 using an expression construct lacking the miR-10a/b 3' untranslated region target site. We conclude that miR-10a/b has major roles in the process of neural cell differentiation through direct targeting of NCOR2, which in turn induces a cascade of primary and secondary transcriptional alterations, including the downregulation of MYCN.
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Ren X, Senftleben A, Pflüger T, Holzwarth M, Dorn A, Bartschat K, Bray I, Fursa DV, Colgan J, Pindzola MS, Al-Hagan O, Madison DH, Ullrich J. Three-dimensional cross sections for electron impact ionization of atoms and molecules. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2010. [DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/212/1/012003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
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Kadyrov A, Bray I, Mukhamedzhanov A, Stelbovics A. Surface-Integral Approach to the Coulomb Few-Body Scattering Problem. EPJ WEB OF CONFERENCES 2010. [DOI: 10.1051/epjconf/20100304014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
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Kapur N, While D, Blatchley N, Bray I, Harrison K. Suicide after leaving the UK armed forces--a cohort study. PLoS Med 2009; 6:e26. [PMID: 19260757 PMCID: PMC2650723 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1000026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 71] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/22/2008] [Accepted: 12/22/2008] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Few studies have examined suicide risk in individuals once they have left the military. We aimed to investigate the rate, timing, and risk factors for suicide in all those who had left the UK Armed Forces (1996-2005). METHODS AND FINDINGS We carried out a cohort study of ex-Armed Forces personnel by linking national databases of discharged personnel and suicide deaths (which included deaths receiving either a suicide or undetermined verdict). Comparisons were made with both general and serving populations. During the study period 233,803 individuals left the Armed Forces and 224 died by suicide. Although the overall rate of suicide was not greater than that in the general population, the risk of suicide in men aged 24 y and younger who had left the Armed Forces was approximately two to three times higher than the risk for the same age groups in the general and serving populations (age-specific rate ratios ranging from 170 to 290). The risk of suicide for men aged 30-49 y was lower than that in the general population. The risk was persistent but may have been at its highest in the first 2 y following discharge. The risk of suicide was greatest in males, those who had served in the Army, those with a short length of service, and those of lower rank. The rate of contact with specialist mental health was lowest in the age groups at greatest risk of suicide (14% for those aged under 20 y, 20% for those aged 20-24 y). CONCLUSIONS Young men who leave the UK Armed Forces were at increased risk of suicide. This may reflect preservice vulnerabilities rather than factors related to service experiences or discharge. Preventive strategies might include practical and psychological preparation for discharge and encouraging appropriate help-seeking behaviour once individuals have left the services.
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Hawton K, Harriss L, Casey D, Simkin S, Harrison K, Bray I, Blatchley N. Self-harm in UK armed forces personnel: descriptive and case-control study of general hospital presentations. Br J Psychiatry 2009; 194:266-72. [PMID: 19252158 DOI: 10.1192/bjp.bp.107.048595] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Little is known about self-harm in the armed forces. AIMS To investigate the characteristics of armed forces personnel presenting to a general hospital following self-harm and compare these with matched controls who had self-harmed. METHOD Investigation of armed forces personnel presenting to hospital between 1989 and 2003 following self-harm and case-control comparison with people in the general population who had self-harmed. RESULTS One hundred and sixty-six armed forces personnel presented with self-harm during the study period, of whom 72.3% (120) were male. Nearly two-thirds (62.7%) were aged under 25 years. Relationship problems (62.0%), employment problems (43.9%) and alcohol misuse (40.5%) were common. Fewer armed forces personnel than controls had evidence of current or past psychiatric disorders or treatment or a prior history of self-harm, and their suicidal intent was lower (males only). Of 64 people in the armed forces who presented during the first 9 years of the study period, 1 had died (from natural causes) by the end of 2000, compared with 9 (5.1%) of the controls, 6 by probable suicide. CONCLUSIONS Self-harm by armed forces personnel may often be a response to interpersonal and employment problems complicated by alcohol misuse, with relatively low suicide intent.
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Hoszowska J, Kheifets AK, Dousse JC, Berset M, Bray I, Cao W, Fennane K, Kayser Y, Kavcic M, Szlachetko J, Szlachetko M. Physical mechanisms and scaling laws of K-shell double photoionization. PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 2009; 102:073006. [PMID: 19257666 DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.102.073006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/16/2008] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
We report on the photon energy dependence of the K-shell double photoionization (DPI) of Mg, Al, and Si. The DPI cross sections were derived from high-resolution measurements of x-ray spectra following the radiative decay of the K-shell double vacancy states. Our data evince the relative importance of the final-state electron-electron interaction to the DPI. By comparing the double-to-single K-shell photoionization cross-section ratios for neutral atoms with convergent close-coupling calculations for He-like ions, the effect of outer shell electrons on the K-shell DPI process is assessed. Universal scaling of the DPI cross sections with the effective nuclear charge for neutral atoms is revealed.
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Kadyrov AS, Bray I, Mukhamedzhanov AM, Stelbovics AT. Coulomb breakup problem. PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 2008; 101:230405. [PMID: 19113531 DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.101.230405] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2008] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
We formulate scattering theory in the framework of a surface-integral approach utilizing analytically known asymptotic forms of the three-body wave functions. This formulation is valid for both short-range and Coulombic potentials. The post and prior forms of the breakup amplitude are derived without any reference to renormalization procedures.
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Russell R, Hodgetts T, Ollerton J, Massetti P, Skeet J, Bray I, Harrison K. The operational emergency department attendance register (OPEDAR): a new epidemiological tool. J ROY ARMY MED CORPS 2008; 153:244-50. [PMID: 18619157 DOI: 10.1136/jramc-153-04-06] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
AIM To determine the number, status and nature of emergency department attendances to deployed field hospitals. POPULATION All attendances to the emergency department (ED) of deployed field hospitals in support of Operation TELIC (Iraq) from initial entry war fighting to enduring operations. METHODS Analysis of hand written and electronic registers ED attendance registers and validation with four other data sources. RESULTS Validation of data held on OpEDAR against 4 other data sources shows that OpEDAR is accurate, but that accuracy can be further improved. 26,746 ED attendances recorded on OP TELIC from 19 March 2003 to 11 November 2006. 21,112 (78.9%) were UK military. Overall, 43.5% were admitted from ED. Attendances peaked during TELIC phases 2 (422.9 per 1,000 troops deployed), but have settled to around 200 per 1,000 troops deployed in the more recent phases. Ophthalmology rates peaked in TELIC 2 to 20.72 per 1,000 and have since reduced to a consistent 10 to 15 per 1,000. This suggests that preventative measures introduced for eye injury are incompletely effective or incompletely utilised. CONCLUSIONS OpEDAR is a clinical tool to inform manning, equipment and training requirements for enduring and new operations, focused on the requirements of the emergency department. Multivariate quality control models applied in industry could be applied to OpEDAR to produce a dynamic epidemiological tool that identifies emerging case clusters and facilitates deployed commanders to take preventative action.
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Kadyrov AS, Bray I, Stelbovics AT. Near-threshold positron-impact ionization of atomic hydrogen. PHYSICAL REVIEW LETTERS 2007; 98:263202. [PMID: 17678088 DOI: 10.1103/physrevlett.98.263202] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2007] [Indexed: 05/16/2023]
Abstract
We consider the positron-impact ionization (breakup) of atomic hydrogen utilizing the full and S-wave model calculations, concentrating on the near-threshold energy region. Unlike the corresponding electron-impact case, the S-wave model does support the Wannier-like threshold law predicted by Ihra et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 78, 4027 (1997)10.1103/PhysRevLett.78.4027]. It is found that convergent S-wave model cross sections are obtained only if complete expansions are utilized on both the atomic and the positronium centers. Furthermore, we suggest that, in the model and full calculations, the separate contributions to the breakup cross section from both centers become equal at threshold.
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Abstract
Average paternal age in the UK is increasing. The public health implications of this trend have not been widely anticipated or debated. This commentary aims to contribute to such a debate. Accumulated chromosomal aberrations and mutations occurring during the maturation of male germ cells are thought to be responsible for the increased risk of certain conditions with older fathers. Growing evidence shows that the offspring of older fathers have reduced fertility and an increased risk of birth defects, some cancers, and schizophrenia. Adverse health outcomes should be weighed up against advantages for children born to older parents, mindful that these societal advantages are likely to change over time.
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Bray I, Waraich P, Jones W, Slater S, Goldner EM, Somers J. Increase in schizophrenia incidence rates: findings in a Canadian cohort born 1975-1985. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol 2006; 41:611-8. [PMID: 16752051 DOI: 10.1007/s00127-006-0073-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/10/2006] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Results from previous studies on the incidence rates for schizophrenia are inconsistent, with some showing a declining rate [e.g., Suvisaari et al. (1999) Arch Gen Psychiatry 56:733-740] and others showing an increasing rate [e.g., Boydell et al. (2003) Br J Psychiatry 182:45-49]. OBJECTIVE This study examines (1) whether incidence rates are changing, (2) relationships amongst changing incidence rates and age, period and cohort effects, and (3) the impact of rate changes on rate projections. DESIGN A care-based cohort study carried out in British Columbia, Canada, 1989-1998. Bayesian statistical analyses were used to estimate rates and describe secular effects. Classical tests of significance were used to assess the relative importance of age, period and cohort effects. RESULTS Between 1989 and 1998, median rates per 100,000 persons changed from 77.1 (90% credible interval (CI): 42.1-137.7) to 89.9 (90% CI: 80.1-100.1) in females, and from 66.6 (90% CI: 38.8-113.3) to 119.6 (90% CI: 107.4-132.4) in males. Age effects were active for both males and females. Period and cohort effects were stronger for males than females. CONCLUSIONS In contrast to most previous studies, we found an increasing incidence of schizophrenia. Precise projections of schizophrenia incidence beyond 5 years require large sample sizes over prolonged periods of follow-up.
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Baker A, Bray I. THE AUTHORS REPLY. Am J Epidemiol 2006. [DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwj222] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
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Bray I, Gunnell D. Suicide rates, life satisfaction and happiness as markers for population mental health. Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol 2006; 41:333-7. [PMID: 16565916 DOI: 10.1007/s00127-006-0049-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 79] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/31/2006] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the association of variables from survey data on well-being with suicide rates and other markers of population mental health in Europe. DESIGN Ecological study correlating (Spearman's rank correlation) life satisfaction and happiness (European Values Survey 1999/2000) in 32 countries with suicide rates (WHO Mortality Database), rates of hospital discharge for mental and behavioural disorders and prevalence of mental disorders based on registered mental patients (WHO Regional Office for Europe) and Mental Health Index (MHI)-5 survey data (European Opinion Research Group). RESULTS An inverse association exists between suicide rates and life satisfaction (r=-0.44; 95% CI: -0.68, -0.11) and happiness (r=-0.42; 95% CI: -0.67, -0.08). Similar though weaker associations were seen with hospital discharge data and MHI-5 data but not with the prevalence of mental disorders. The association between suicide rates and life satisfaction was weaker amongst 15-44 year olds (r=-0.31; 95% CI: -0.59, 0.04) than amongst 45-64 year olds (r=-0.47; 95% CI: -0.70, -0.14). It was strongest in the 65+ age group (r=-0.54; 95% CI: -0.75, -0.23). A similar pattern was observed for the association with happiness. In a subgroup analysis, the association between suicide and life satisfaction in Eastern Europe was similar to that in the whole dataset (r=-0.35) but a positive association was seen in Western Europe (r=0.47). CONCLUSIONS Life satisfaction and happiness were modestly associated with other indicators of population mental health. Since all such markers have their limitations, surveys of well-being may be useful indicators of population mental health.
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Bray I, Gunnell D, Holly JMP, Middleton N, Davey Smith G, Martin RM. Associations of childhood and adulthood height and the components of height with insulin-like growth factor levels in adulthood: a 65-year follow-up of the Boyd Orr cohort. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 2006; 91:1382-9. [PMID: 16434460 DOI: 10.1210/jc.2005-1722] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/26/2023]
Abstract
CONTEXT Taller individuals with longer legs have a higher risk of cancer but a lower risk of coronary heart disease. OBJECTIVE We investigated whether childhood height and its components are associated with the IGF system in adulthood. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS We analyzed data from 429 participants of the Boyd Orr cohort, for whom height measured in childhood (mean age, 7.4 yr) in 1937-1939 could be related to levels of IGF-I, IGF-II, IGF binding protein (IGFBP)-2, and IGFBP-3 in adulthood (mean age, 71.1 yr). In 385 participants, measured height in adulthood could be related to IGF levels. RESULTS In fully adjusted models (controlling for age, sex, socioeconomic factors, lifestyle, and body mass index), childhood height and its components were not associated with adult circulating IGF-I, IGF-II, or IGFBP-2 levels. IGFBP-3 was 85.5 ng/ml higher (95% confidence interval, -11.6 to 182.5; P = 0.08) per sd increase in childhood trunk length and 83.6 ng/ml lower (95% confidence interval, -10.3 to 177.5; P = 0.08) per sd increase in childhood leg/trunk ratio. Height in adulthood was not associated with IGF-I, IGF-II, or IGFBP-3 and was inversely associated with IGFBP-2 (P = 0.05) after additionally controlling for childhood height. CONCLUSION There was no evidence that associations of childhood height with cancer and coronary heart disease risk are mediated by IGF-I in adulthood. The anthropometric associations with IGFBP-2 and IGFBP-3 could be chance findings but warrant additional investigation. IGF levels in childhood may be more important determinants of long-term disease risk than adult levels.
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