Derivation and validation of a novel 3-hour pathway for the observe-zone of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm

Background

The latest non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) guidelines from the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) recommend a 3h cardiac troponin determination in patients triaged to the observe-zone of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm; however, no specific cut-off for further triage is endorsed.

Purpose

To derive and internally, as well as externally, validate a novel 3-hour pathway for the observe-zone of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm.

Methods

In an ongoing multicentre international diagnostic study, we prospectively enrolled unselected patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of myocardial infarction (MI). Final diagnoses were centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists applying the 4th universal definition of MI, based on complete cardiac work-up including cardiac imaging, serial high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) sampling and 90-day follow-up information. High sensitivity-cTnT concentrations were measured at presentation and after 1 and 3 hours. The primary outcome was safety, quantified by the sensitivity and NPV for early rule out of NSTEMI. External validation was performed in an independent multicentre international study.

Results

Among 2076 eligible patients, application of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm triaged 1512 patients (72.8%) to either rule-out or rule-in of NSTEMI, remaining 564 patients (27.2%) in the observe-zone (adjudicated NSTEMI prevalence 120/564 patients, 21.3%). The novel derived 3h-pathway for the observe-zone patients ruled-out NSTEMI with a 3h hs-cTnT concentration <15 ng/L and a 0/3h-hs-cTnT absolute change <4 ng/L, triaging 138 patients (25%) towards rule-out, resulting in a sensitivity of 99.2% (95% CI 96.0–99.9) and a NPV of 99.3% (95% CI 95.4–99.9). A 0/3h-hs-cTnT absolute change ≥6 ng/L ruled-in 63 patients (11.2%), resulting in a specificity of 98% (95% CI 96.2–98.9) and a PPV of 85.7% (95% CI75.0–92.3). The novel 3h-pathway reduced the number of patients in the observe zone by 36%, and the number of T1MI by 50% (Figure 1). Findings were confirmed in both internal and external validation.

Conclusions

A novel derived pathway combining a 3h hs-cTnT concentration <15 ng/L and a 0/3h absolute change <4 ng/L allowed to very safely rule-out NSTEMI in patients remaining in the observe-zone of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The Swiss Heart FoundationThe Swiss National Science Foundation Figure 1

Discordance in prognostic ability between physician assessed NYHA classification and self-reported health status in patients with acute heart failure

Background

Especially in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) the NYHA classification remains of uncertain representation of patients' actual health state. Alternatively, patient's subjective well-being, in terms of health-related quality of life (HRQL), showed to have an excellent prognostic ability in out clinic patients with chronic heart failure.

Objectives

It is unknown whether HRQL instruments can assess a more reliable prognostication in patients hospitalized due to AHF than the NYHA classification.

Methods

Goal Directed Afterload Reduction in Acute Congestive Cardiac Decompensation Study (GALACTIC) was a multicenter, randomized, open-label blinded-end-point trial that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation in adult patients hospitalized due to AHF with NYHA functional class III/IV, however provided neutral findings. HRQL was assessed by the generic EQ-5D-3L which is a 3-leveled 5-item instrument and the disease-specific Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ). Unadjusted and adjusted Cox regression models were performed after patients were grouped into low (EQ-5D −0.074<0.25; KCCQ 0<25), moderately low (0.25<0.5; 25<50), moderately high (0.5<0.75; 50<75) and high HRQL (0.75–1.0; 75–100).

Results

781 patients were enrolled in 10 centres in 5 countries over 2 continents among which 536 (69%) patientshad completed theEQ-5D and 419 (54%) the KCCQ shortly after admission. Within 180 days of follow-up69 (13%) and 54 (13%) patients died and 151 (28%) and 122 (29%) died or were rehospitalized due to AHF, respectively. Cumulative incidence as well as HRs in patients grouped according to NYHA (n=536) indicated a comparable or significantly lower risk in patients with NYHA IV: e.g. for the combined outcome HR 1.07 (95% CI 0.777–1.473) and aHR 0.463 (95% CI 0.245–0.875). Whereas HRs in patients grouped according to both, EQ-5D (n=536) and KCCQ (n=419), increased from the group with highest to the group with the lowest HRQL: e.g. aHR for moderately high 1.11 (95% CI 0.718–1.715), for moderately low 1.721 (95% CI 1.102–2.688) and for low EQ-5D index 1.891 (95% CI 1.136–3.149) referenced to high HRQL (EQ-5D index 0.75–1.0).

Conclusions

These findings corroborate and extend previous work suggesting that NYHA classification poorly discriminates AHF patients' prognosis and challenge its' extensive application. HRQL might be a possible alternative to easily assess these patients' heath state.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation A. 180-day mortality; B. composite outcome

Early standardized clinical judgement for syncope diagnosis in the emergency department

BACKGROUND

The diagnosis of cardiac syncope remains a challenge in the emergency department (ED).

OBJECTIVE

Assessing the diagnostic accuracy of the early standardized clinical judgement (ESCJ) including a standardized syncope-specific case report form (CRF) in comparison with a recommended multivariable diagnostic score.

METHODS

In a prospective international observational multicentre study, diagnostic accuracy for cardiac syncope of ESCJ by the ED physician amongst patients ≥ 40 years presenting with syncope to the ED was directly compared with that of the Evaluation of Guidelines in Syncope Study (EGSYS) diagnostic score. Cardiac syncope was centrally adjudicated independently of the ESCJ or conducted workup by two ED specialists based on all information available up to 1-year follow-up. Secondary aims included direct comparison with high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) concentrations and a Lasso regression to identify variables contributing most to ESCJ.

RESULTS

Cardiac syncope was adjudicated in 252/1494 patients (15.2%). The diagnostic accuracy of ESCJ for cardiac syncope as quantified by the area under the curve (AUC) was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.84-0.89), and higher compared with the EGSYS diagnostic score (0.73 (95% CI: 0.70-0.76)), hs-cTnI (0.77 (95% CI: 0.73-0.80)) and BNP (0.77 (95% CI: 0.74-0.80)), all P < 0.001. Both biomarkers (alone or in combination) on top of the ESCJ significantly improved diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSION

ESCJ including a standardized syncope-specific CRF has very high diagnostic accuracy and outperforms the EGSYS score, hs-cTnI and BNP.

Abstract 2635: Contemporary clinical practice guidelines for the management of glioblastoma: an international survey

Introduction: Clinical practice guidelines are systematically developed statements to assist clinician and patient decisions about appropriate healthcare for specific clinical circumstances. In some cases, guidelines are utilized by health policymakers and insurers in determining coverage and reimbursement policies. Little is known about the global status of guideline development and implementation for the management of glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) or about the incorporation of novel therapies such as tumor treating fields (TTFields) into these guidelines.

Methods: A comprehensive systematic review of published guidelines and consensus statements from national and international bodies such as health ministries and specialty societies, covering North, Central and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and the Asia-Pacific region was performed. In addition, key stakeholders were surveyed to identify country-specific guidance and practice patterns, with a specific focus on guideline contemporariness and reference to TTFields.

Results: The vast majority of countries worldwide do not have national guidelines for GBM management. Three multinational guidelines were identified, from SNO/EANO, ESMO and Germany-Austria-Switzerland. In addition, 18 national guidelines from 16 countries were identified, with some countries having multiple national guidelines in place (USA, Germany, Brazil). In over half of cases, the national guidelines had not been updated within the past three years. 10/18 national guidelines and 2/3 multinational guidelines mentioned TTFields. A minority of guidelines had an explicit expiry or revision date.

Conclusions: An array of consensus guidelines and recommendations have been published to facilitate clinical decision-making in GBM. However, substantive differences exist between these guidelines regarding their contemporariness and revision process. Three years after the publication of a seminal randomized controlled trial (Stupp et al., 2017) attesting to the efficacy of TTFields in newly diagnosed GBM, little over half of published national guidelines mention the therapy, let alone recommend it. While guidelines naturally reflect local clinical, administrative and health-economic concerns, unwarranted variation in the production, quality, content and implementation of guidelines has potential implications for the quality of care. Ideally, guidelines should be updated dynamically when new evidence indicates a need for a substantive change in the guideline based on a priori criteria. An ongoing revision process for guidelines, perhaps with shorter validity periods or a more flexible approach, may facilitate more expedient adoption of novel therapies in clinical practice guidelines and in practice.

Citation Format: Aaron Lawson McLean, Jan Walter. Contemporary clinical practice guidelines for the management of glioblastoma: an international survey [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2021; 2021 Apr 10-15 and May 17-21. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2021;81(13_Suppl):Abstract nr 2635.

Bugs That Can Resist Antibiotics but Not Men: Gender-Specific Differences in Notified Infections and Colonisations in Germany, 2010-2019

Data from surveillance networks show that men have a higher incidence rate of infections with anti-microbial-resistant (AMR) pathogens than women. We systematically analysed data of infections and colonisations with AMR pathogens under mandatory surveillance in Germany to quantify gender-specific differences. We calculated incidence-rates (IR) per 100,000 person-years for invasive infections with Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), and for infections or colonisations with carbapenem-non-susceptible Acinetobacter spp. (CRA), and Enterobacterales (CRE), using the entire German population as a denominator. We limited the study periods to years with complete notification data (MRSA: 2010-2019, CRA/CRE: 2017-2019). We used Poisson regression to adjust for gender, age group, federal state, and year of notification. In the study periods, IR for all notifications were 4.2 for MRSA, 0.90 for CRA, and 4.8 for CRE per 100,000 person--years. The adjusted IR ratio for infections of men compared to women was 2.3 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.2-2.3) for MRSA, 2.2 (95%CI: 1.9-2.7) for CRA, and 1.7 (95%CI: 1.6-1.8) for CRE. Men in Germany show about double the risk for infection with AMR pathogens than women. This was also true for colonisations, where data were available. Screening procedures and associated hygiene measures may profit from a gender-stratified approach.

Probing sedimentation non-ideality of particulate systems using analytical centrifugation

Analytical centrifugation is a versatile technique for the quantitative characterization of colloidal systems including colloidal stability. The recent developments in data acquisition and evaluation allow the accurate determination of particle size, shape anisotropy and particle density. High precision analytical centrifugation is in particular suited for the study of particle interactions and concentration-dependent sedimentation coefficients. We present a holistic approach for the quantitative determination of sedimentation non-ideality via analytical centrifugation for polydisperse, plain and amino-functionalized silica particles spanning over one order of magnitude in particle size between 100 nm and 1200 nm. These systems typically behave as neutral hard spheres as predicted by auxiliary lattice Boltzmann simulations. The extent of electrostatic interactions and their impact on sedimentation non-ideality can be quantified by the repulsion range, which is the ratio of the Debye length and the average interparticle distance. Experimental access to the repulsion range is provided through conductivity measurements. With the experimental repulsion range at hand, we estimate the effect of polydispersity on concentration-dependent sedimentation properties through a combination of lattice Boltzmann and Brownian dynamics simulations. Finally, we determine the concentration-dependent sedimentation properties of charge-stabilized, fluorescently-labeled silica particles with a nominal particle size of 30 nm and reduced interparticle distance, hence an elevated repulsion range. Overall, our results demonstrate how the influence of hard-sphere type and electrostatic interactions can be quantified when probing sedimentation non-ideality of particulate systems using analytical centrifugation even for systems exhibiting moderate sample heterogeneity and complex interactions.

A16 FIBER SUPPLEMENTATION DIFFERENTIALLY MODULATES RESPONSES TO FECAL MICROBIAL TRANSPLANTATION IN PATIENTS WITH METABOLIC SYNDROME AND SEVERE OBESITY: A RANDOMIZED, DOUBLE-BLIND, PLACEBO-CONTROLLED PILOT TRIAL

Background

Fecal microbial transplantation (FMT) from lean donors to obese patients with metabolic syndrome (MS) has been associated with promising yet short-term metabolic improvements. The concept of using dietary or fiber supplementation to enhance effects induced by FMT has been much discussed in the literature, but to date no human trials have examined this concept.

Aims

The aim of this study was to determine if fiber supplementation following FMT was able to enhance or sustain FMT-mediated metabolic benefits.

Methods

We performed a 12-wk double-blind randomized placebo-controlled trial in patients with severe obesity and MS recruited from Edmonton’s Bariatric Clinic from 2018 to 2019. Patients were stratified by sex and block randomized 1:1:1:1 amongst one of four groups: (1) Placebo FMT and a non-fermentable fiber (NF) (2) Placebo FMT and fermentable fiber (FF); (3) FMT and non-fermentable fiber (FMT-NF); and (4) FMT and fermentable fiber (FMT-FF). Patients received a single dose of FMT (50g donor stool) with 20 oral capsules followed by a 6-wk period of daily fiber. The primary outcome was evaluating mean differences (MD) in insulin sensitivity from baseline to 6-wks using the homeostatic model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA2-IR).

Results

Sixty-eight patients were randomized with 61 completing the primary outcome (NF = 17; FF = 15; FMT-NF = 14; FMT-FF = 15) and evaluated using a modified intent-to-treat analysis. Baseline characteristics were similar with a mean BMI 45 ± 7 kg/m2, a female predominance (83.6%), and a HOMA2-IR of 3.43 ± 2.2. There were no baseline differences in clinical characteristics, metabolic parameters, medications, or dietary intake. FMT-NF had improvements in HOMA2-IR (MD -24.0% ± 12.0%; p=0.02), insulin sensitivity (MD 27.6% ± 12.3%; p=0.02), and insulinemia (MD -25.4% ± 12.3%; p=0.02) from baseline to 6-wks (Figure 1). These benefits were associated with increased microbial richness and improvements in GLP-1 metabolism. Linear mixed model regression revealed that select bacterial taxa including Phascolarctobacterium, Ruminococcaeceae, and B. stercoris correlated with increased insulin sensitivity. Findings occurred in the absence of changes in anthropometric parameters, dietary intake, medication regimen and were not observed in groups receiving fermentable fiber or in any group following cessation of fiber.

Conclusions

This proof-of-concept trial provides evidence that a single FMT dose combined with daily non-fermentable fiber supplementation can successfully improve insulin resistance in patients with metabolic syndrome and severe obesity on optimized medical therapy.

Funding Agencies

W. Garfield Weston Foundation

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Outbreak Related to a Nightclub, Germany, 2020

We report an outbreak of coronavirus disease with 74 cases related to a nightclub in Germany in March 2020. Staff members were particularly affected (attack rate 56%) and likely caused sustained viral transmission after an event at the club. This outbreak illustrates the potential for superspreader events and corroborates current club closures.

Characterization of adherent primary cell lines from fresh human glioblastoma tissue, defining glial fibrillary acidic protein as a reliable marker in establishment of glioblastoma cell culture

BACKGROUND

Primary adherent glioblastoma cell lines are an important tool in investigating cellular and molecular tumor biology, as well as treatment options for patients.

AIM

The phenotypical and immunocytochemical characterization of primary cell lines from glioblastoma specimens during establishment is of great importance, in order to reliably identify these cell lines as primary glioblastoma cell lines.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Sixteen primary adherent cell lines out of 34 glioblastoma samples (47%) were established and further characterized. For phenotypical characterization, morphology and growth characteristics of the cells were classified. The cell lines had a high growth rate with a doubling time of 2 to 14 days. Morphologically, the cells displayed spindle-form or polygonal to amorphous shapes and grow as monolayer or in foci without evidence of contact inhibition. The cells were able to migrate and to form colonies. For further characterization, the protein expression of the astrocyte-specific protein glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), the glial marker S100B, the neuronal marker TUBB3, and malignancy marker VIM, as well as the progenitor markers NES and SOX2, the proliferation marker MKI67, and the fibroblast marker TE7 were determined. Based on the immunocytochemical validation criterion of a coexpression of GFAP and S100B, 15 out of these 16 cell lines (94%) were defined as primary glioblastoma cell lines (pGCL). All 15 pGCL expressed TUBB3 and VIM. NES and SOX2 were stained positively in 13/15 and 6/15 pGCL. MKI67 was expressed in 11/15 and TE7 in 2/15 pGCL.

CONCLUSION

These results point out that in self-established primary adherent glioblastoma cell lines, the expression of the specific astrocytic and glial markers GFAP and S100B and of the malignancy and progenitor markers VIM, NES, and SOX2 has to be validated. These data show that primary cell lines of glioblastoma origin with high malignant potential are reliably to establish using standardized validation criteria.

Validation of the Canadian syncope risk score in a large prospective international multicenter study

Background

Management and risk stratification of patients with syncope in the emergency department (ED) is often challenging. In an effort to support ED physicians in disposition decisions, the Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) was developed to predict 30-day serious outcomes.

Methods

The CSRS was developed in a Canadian multicenter study and contains nine predictors: predisposition to vasovagal syncope, heart disease, systolic pressure &lt;90 or &gt;180mmHg in the ED, troponin level &gt;99th percentile, abnormal QRS axis, QRS duration &gt;130ms, QTc interval &gt;480ms and an ED diagnosis of vasovagal or cardiac syncope. Patients can achieve a CSRS score between −3 and +11 points. We validated the CSRS in a large prospective international multicenter study recruiting patients 40 years or older presenting to the ED with a syncopal event within the last 12 hours. Recruitment centers contained smaller provincial hospitals, as well as big University Hospitals in eight countries on three continents. Primary outcome measure were 30-day serious arrhythmic and non-arrhythmic adverse events, as defined by the authors of the original score.

Results

1581 patients were eligible for this analysis. The population in this validation cohort was older (mean age 68 vs 54 years) and had a considerably higher rate of serious outcomes compared to the derivation cohort (n=186 (11.8%) vs n=147 (3.6%)). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the CSRS was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.86–0.91) and significantly higher compared to the validated OESIL score (AUC 0.75, 95% CI 0.71–0.78, p&lt;0.001). Calibration curve analysis showed an underestimation of risk in patients with a low CSRS and an overestimation in patients with a high CSRS. The rate of observed serious outcomes within 30d increased from 0.8% in the very low risk group (CSRS equal to or below −2) to 48% in the (very) high risk group (CSRS equal to or above 4, Hazard ratio 79.4, 95% CI 11.1–570.9). A Kaplan-Meier plot was used to visualize rates of serious outcomes in three different risk groups (Figure).

Conclusion

This is the first validation of the Canadian Syncope Risk Score in a large international syncope cohort. The prognostic discrimination of the CSRS for 30-day serious outcomes was very good in our validation cohort and comparable to that of the Canadian derivation study. Despite suboptimal calibration, prognostic analysis showed a high rate of serious outcomes in the CSRS (very) high risk group and a low rate of serious outcomes in the very low risk group. Allowing the clinical judgement of the ED physician in the form of suspected syncope etiology to be a part of the score seems to largely contribute to the high performance of the CSRS. Additional validation studies might be needed to further increase the accuracy of the CSRS in different patient populations with a different incidence of outcomes in settings outside of Canada.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation; Swiss Heart Foundation

Development and validation of an ECG-based cardiac syncope risk calculator

Background

The early diagnosis of cardiac syncope is often challenging. We therefore developed an ECG-based risk calculator as an aid for rapid rule-out or rule-in of cardiac syncope and aimed to validate this decision tool.

Methods

In a prospective diagnostic international multicenter study (derivation cohort), 2007 patients, 40 years or older, presenting with syncope to the emergency department were recruited. The primary diagnostic outcome, cardiac syncope, was centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using all clinical information obtained during syncope work-up including 12-month follow up. 12-lead ECG was recorded at presentation and read by residents blinded to clinical information. Significant ECG predictors of cardiac syncope were identified using penalized backward selection. Findings were validated in an independent US multicenter cohort with 2'269 syncope patients.

Results

In the derivation cohort (median age 71 years, 40% women), centrally adjudicated cardiac syncope was present in 267 patients (16%). Seven ECG criteria (rhythm, heart rate, corrected QT-interval, ST-segment depression, atrioventricular-block, bundle-branch-block and ventricular extrasystole/non-sustained ventricular tachycardia) were identified as significant predictors for cardiac syncope and combined into the bAseL Ecg Risk calculaTor for Cardiac Syncope (ALERT-CS). Diagnostic accuracy of ALERT-CS for cardiac syncope, as quantified by the area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC), was high (0.80, 95%-confidence interval (CI) 0.77–0.83) and significantly higher compared to the EGSYS score (0.73, 95% CI 0.70–0.76, p&lt;0.001). In combination, ALERT-CS significantly increased the AUC of BNP (0.82, 95% CI 0.79–0.85 vs 0.77, 95% CI 0.74–0.81, p=0.003), hs-cTnT (0.84, 95% CI 0.0.81–0.87 vs 0.77, 95% CI 0.74–0.80, p&lt;0.001) and integrated clinical judgment in the ED (0.90, 95% CI 0.89–0.92 vs 0.87, 95% CI 0.84–0.90, p&lt;0.001).

A predicted probability for cardiac syncope below 5.5% by ALERT-CS identified 138 patients (8%) eligible for triage towards rapid rule-out of cardiac syncope with a sensitivity of 99%. A predicted probability above 37.5% identified 181 patients (11%) eligible for triage towards rapid rule-in of cardiac syncope with a specificity of 95%. Prognostic verification for 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) showed a high rate of MACE in the rule-in group and a very low rate of MACE in the rule-out group (Figure).

External validation (median age 72 years, 48% women) showed similar diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.76, 95% CI 0.73–0.79) and prognostic results.

Conclusion

Combining seven ECG criteria within the simple ALERT-CS may aid ED physicians in the early rule-out or rule-in of cardiac syncope.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation

Early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction in patients with a history of percutaneous coronary intervention

Background

Recurrence of acute chest pain after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is common. The early detection of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) as a possible cause of acute chest pain can be challenging in patients with a history of PCI due to e.g. pre-existing electrocardiographic abnormalities. It is unknown, whether high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) concentrations and hs-cTnT-based rapid algorithms perform equally well in patients with a history of PCI.

Purpose

To investigate the impact of prior PCI on the diagnostic performance of hs-cTnT concentrations for early rule-out and rule-in of AMI.

Methods

In an ongoing multicentre international study, we prospectively enrolled unselected patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with symptoms suggestive of AMI. Final diagnoses were centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using all available medical records obtained during clinical care including 90 day follow-up information and cardiac imaging. High-sensitivity cTnT concentrations at presentation and after 1h were compared against the adjudicated final diagnosis. Patients were stratified according to the presence or absence of previous PCI.

Results

Among 5536 patients (1313 with and 4223 without previous PCI), incidence of AMI was significantly higher in patients with previous PCI (26.3% versus 21.4%; p&lt;0.001). Patients with prior PCI and a final diagnoses other than AMI had significantly higher concentrations of hs-cTnT at presentation to the ED (median 9ng/l [IQR 6 to 15.8] vs 5.5ng/l [IQR 3 to 10]; p&lt;0.001). However, in patients with final adjudicated diagnosis of AMI, hs-TnT concentrations at presentation were lower in patients with previous PCI (median 46ng/l [IQR 23 to 94] vs 55ng/l [IQR 25 to 175]; p=0.003). The diagnostic accuracy of hs-cTnT was high in patients with history of PCI, but significantly lower compared to patients without PCI (AUC 0.91 [95% CI 0.89–0.92] versus AUC 0.94 [95% CI 0.94–0.95]; p&lt;0.001, respectively). When applying the ESC 0/1-algorithm among patients with previous history of PCI, the rule out pathway showed also very high safety in patients with a history of PCI (sensitivity 99.2 [95% CI 97.2–99.8] and negative predictive value 99.6 [95% CI 98.5–99.9]). However, the efficacy of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm for early rule out of NSTEMI was lower in the PCI group compared to no PCI (45.2% vs 65.1%; P&lt;0.001, respectively), triaging more patients to the observe zone (36.8% versus 18.8%; p&lt;0.001). Time to discharge from the ED was significantly longer in patients with prior PCI (334 min vs 290 min; p&lt;0.001). When stratified for index AMI, patients with history of PCI waited longer for a final diagnoses of AMI (285 vs 217 min; p&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

History of PCI impacts on the diagnostic performance of hs-cTnT. Although the ESC 0/1h-algorithm still performs very safe when applied to patients with a history of PCI, its efficacy is significantly reduced.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the KTI, the Stiftung für kardiovaskuläre Forschung Basel the University of Basel and the University Hospital Basel

Diagnostic reliability of the Berlin classification for complex MCA aneurysms-usability in a series of only giant aneurysms

Background and objective

The main challenge of bypass surgery of complex MCA aneurysms is not the selection of the bypass type but the initial decision-making of how to exclude the affected vessel segment from circulation. To this end, we have previously proposed a classification for complex MCA aneurysms based on the preoperative angiography. The current study aimed to validate this new classification and assess its diagnostic reliability using the giant aneurysm registry as an independent data set.

Methods

We reviewed the pretreatment neuroimaging of 51 patients with giant (> 2.5 cm) MCA aneurysms from 18 centers, prospectively entered into the international giant aneurysm registry. We classified the aneurysms according to our previously proposed Berlin classification for complex MCA aneurysms. To test for interrater diagnostic reliability, the data set was reviewed by four independent observers.

Results

We were able to classify all 51 aneurysms according to the Berlin classification for complex MCA aneurysms. Eight percent of the aneurysm were classified as type 1a, 14% as type 1b, 14% as type 2a, 24% as type 2b, 33% as type 2c, and 8% as type 3. The interrater reliability was moderate with Fleiss’s Kappa of 0.419.

Conclusion

The recently published Berlin classification for complex MCA aneurysms showed diagnostic reliability, independent of the observer when applied to the MCA aneurysms of the international giant aneurysm registry.

Prognostic value of health-related quality of life in patients with acute dyspnea

Background

Previous studies have shown the prognostic value of health-related quality of life (HRQL) in stable and ambulatory chronic heart failure patients. However, it is unknown whether HRQL can predict all-cause mortality in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) after acute onset of symptoms. In order to address this unmet need, the aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of HRQL in patients with acute dyspnea caused by acute heart failure (AHF) and other dyspnea aetiologies for 360-day mortality.

Purpose

To assess prognostic value of HRQL using the generic EQ-5D and visual analogue scale (EQ VAS) in patients with acute dyspnea.

Methods

Basics in Acute Shortness of Breath EvaLuation (BASEL V) is a prospective, multicenter, diagnostic study enrolling adult patients presenting with acute dyspnea to the ED. For this analysis, only patients with a complete set of variables necessary for calculation of EQ-5D (range 0–10; with higher score indicating worse HRQL) and EQ VAS (range 0–100; with 100 being the best imaginable health state) at baseline were included. The endpoint was the prognostic value of EQ-5D and EQ VAS at 360 days of follow-up regarding all-cause death. Prognostic accuracy was calculated using c-statistics. In a cox regression analysis EQ-5D was treated as both, a continuous and categorical variable. Adjustments were made for clinically relevant covariates (age, sex, orthopnoea, edema, level of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at presentation, history of coronary artery disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diuretics, β-blockers and ACE-inhibitors at discharge).

Results

Among 2605 patients enrolled, 1141 (43,8%) had a complete set of variables allowing the calculation of EQ-5D and EQ VAS. Of these patients 594 (52.1%) had an adjudicated final diagnosis of AHF. 211 (18.5%) patients died within 360 days of follow-up. Median EQ-5D was 3 (interquartile range (IQR) 1.5–5) and median EQ VAS was 50 (IQR 40–70). The prognostic accuracy for 360-day mortality was 0.65 (95% confidence interval ((CI) 0.61–0.69) and 0.58 (95% CI 0.54–0.62) for EQ-5D and EQ VAS, respectively (p=0.002). After combining EQ-5D and EQ VAS in a logistic regression model c-statistics regarding all-cause mortality within 360 days did not improve. The prognostic accuracy of EQ-5D was comparable to that of NT-proBNP (c-statistics 0.69, p=0.385). In an adjusted cox regression analysis the hazard ratio for patients with EQ-5D &gt;4 was 2.2 (95% CI 1.7–2.9; p&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

In patients presenting with acute dyspnea HRQL is a strong prognostic instrument. Independently of the aetiology of the dyspnea the prognostic value of the generic EQ-5D for 360-day mortality is comparable to NT-proBNP. Patients with an EQ-5D &gt;4 are at significantly higher risk for mortality within 360 days.

Figure 1. Prognostic value of HRQL

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation

Validation of the FAINT risk score in a large prospective international multicenter study

Background

Risk stratification of older patients presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) with syncope remains an unmet clinical need. The FAINT Score was derived in a large American cohort in an attempt to predict 30-day serious cardiac outcomes in patients &gt;60y.o. While a FAINT score of 0 showed high sensitivity to exclude death and serious outcomes at 30 days in the derivation cohort, it remains unvalidated.

Methods

We validated the FAINT score (History of heart failure, history of arrhythmia, initial ECG result abnormal, elevate NT-proBNP, elevated hs-troponin T) in a large prospective international multicenter study recruiting patients 40 years presenting to the ED with syncope within the last 12 hours in eight countries on three continents. Main outcome measure was 30-day serious cardiac events or mortality. We assessed the performance and calibration of the FAINT score for validation and compared it to the OESIL score (Age &gt;64y, cardiovascular disease history, syncope without prodromes, abnormal ECG).

Results

1885 patients were eligible for this validation analysis. 169 (8.9%) patients experienced 30-day serious adverse events.

A FAINT score of 0 was present for 378 patients (20% of the cohort) and allowed for a sensitivity of 0.97 to rule out adverse events and death at 30-days. A FAINT score of 0 or 1 was present for 626 patients (33% of the cohort) and allowed for a sensitivity of 0.92.

The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the FAINT score was 0.75 (95%, Confidence Interval (CI) 0.72–0.79), which was comparable to the performance of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) or high-sensitivity Troponin T (hs-cTnT) alone, which are two biomarkers used in the FAINT score. The score did not outperform the OESIL score.

A calibration curve showed that the score was extremely well calibrated for low-risk patients.

Conclusion

This is the first validation of the FAINT score in a large international syncope cohort. The safety of a FAINT score of 0 or 1 was good and comparable to the results obtained in the derivation cohort. While the score is suitable to highlight low-risk patients and calibrates well in an external cohort, its discrimination for higher risk patients is not better than biomarkers alone or an older, less complex risk score.

Figure 1. Area under the Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) for the FAINT score and for NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT as continuous markers as well as for the OESIL score. CI = Confidence Interval.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): University Hospital Basel, Switzerland

External validation of a suggested extension of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm for early rule out of myocardial infarction

Background

The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) high sensitivity cardiac troponin T 0/1h-algorithm has substantially improved the management of patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction (AMI) by triaging about 75% of patients to rapid rule-out and/or rapid rule-in. However, about 25% of patients remain in the “observe-zone”, and the optimal management of these patients is unknown. Recently, a pilot single center study with a low prevalence of AMI suggested that an absolute change of less than 7ng/L between the 0h and 3h hs-cTnT concentration would allow to help in the evaluation of patients in the observe-zone and allow triage towards rule-out with very high negative predictive value [NPV].

Purpose

To externally validate this suggested modification of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm for early rule out of AMI.

Methods

In an ongoing multicentre international study, we prospectively enrolled unselected patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of MI. Final diagnoses were centrally adjudicated by two independent cardiologists using all available medical records obtained during clinical care including 90 day follow-up information and cardiac imaging. High sensitivity-cTnT (Elecsys) concentrations were measured at presentation and after 1 and 3 hours. The primary outcome was safety, quantified by the sensitivity and NPV for early rule out of NSTEMI.

Results

Among 1633 enrolled patients with available 0, 1 and 3h hs-cTnT concentrations, NSTEMI was the adjudicated final diagnosis in 337 (20.6%) patients. The ESC 0/1h-algorithm ruled out 918 (56.2%) patients, with a sensitivity of 98.8% (95% confidence interval [CI], 97.0–99.5) and a NPV of 99.6% (95% CI, 98.9–99.8). A total of 428 patients (26.2%) remained in the observe zone. After applying the suggested 0–3 hour absolute change cut-off criteria of 7ng/L, 393 (92.0%) additional patients from the observe zone were triaged towards ruled out. However, the safety of this triage step was poor with 62 patients with NSTEMI missed, resulting in a sensitivity of 33.3% and a NPV of 84.2% for rule-out.

Conclusions

The suggested 0/3h absolute change cut-off of 7ng/L for patients remaining in the observe zone of the ESC 0/1h-algorithm does NOT allow safe rule-out of AMI and should therefore NOT be implemented into routine clinical care.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, the Swiss Heart Foundation, the Stiftung für kardiovaskuläre Forschung Basel, the University of Basel and the University Hospital Basel

Effect of comprehensive vasodilation vs usual care on mortality and heart failure rehospitalization in women with acute heart failure

Background

Guidelines recommend evaluating the risk/benefit ratio of novel therapies individually in women and men, as the pathophysiology and the response to treatment may differ between women and men. Among patients with acute heart failure (AHF), a strategy of intensive vasodilation, compared with usual care, overall did provide comparable outcomes.

Purpose

To evaluate the effect of a strategy that emphasized early intensive and sustained vasodilation in women with AHF.

Methods

In a randomized, open-label blinded-end-point trial patients hospitalized for AHF were enrolled in 10 hospitals in Switzerland, Bulgaria, Germany, Brazil, and Spain. Inclusion criteria were AHF expressed by acute dyspnea and increased plasma concentrations of natriuretic peptides, systolic blood pressure ≥100mmHg, and a plan for treatment in a general ward. Patients were randomized 1:1 to a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation throughout the hospitalization or usual care. The primary end point was a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days.

Results

Among 788 patients randomized, 781 completed the trial and were eligible for the primary end point analysis. Of these 288 (36.9%) were women. The primary end point, a composite of all-cause mortality or rehospitalization for AHF at 180 days, occurred in 53 female patients (37.9%) in the intervention group (including 28 deaths [20.0%]) and in 34 female patients (23.0%) in the usual care group (including 22 deaths [14.9%]) (absolute difference for the primary end point, 14.9%; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.67 [95% CI: 1.08–2.59]; P=0.02). Clinically significant adverse events with early intensive and sustained vasodilation vs usual care included hypotension (8% vs 2%).

Conclusion

Among women with AHF, a strategy of early intensive and sustained vasodilation, compared with usual care, had a detrimental effect on a composite outcome of all-cause mortality and AHF rehospitalization at 180 days.

Cox Proportional Hazard Curve

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Incidence, characteristics, determinants and prognostic impact of recurrent syncope

Background

The incidence, characteristics, determinants, and prognostic impact of recurrent syncope are largely unknown, causing uncertainty for both patients and physicians.

Methods

We characterized recurrent syncope including sex-specific aspects and its impact on death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in a large prospective international multicenter study enrolling patients ≥40 years presenting with syncope to the emergency department (ED). Syncope etiology was centrally adjudicated by two independent and blinded cardiologists using all information becoming available during syncope work-up and 12-month follow-up. MACE were defined as a composite of all-cause death, acute myocardial infarction, surgical or percutaneous coronary intervention, life-threatening arrhythmia including cardiac arrest, pacemaker or implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation, valve intervention, heart-failure, gastrointestinal bleeding or other bleeding requiring transfusion, intracranial hemorrhage, ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, sepsis and pulmonary embolism.

Results

Incidence of recurrent syncope among 1790 patients was 20% (95%-confidence interval (CI) 18% to 22%) within 24 months. Patients with an adjudicated final diagnosis of cardiac syncope (hazard ratio (HR) 1.50, 95%-CI 1.11 to 2.01) or syncope of unknown etiology even after central adjudication (HR 2.11, 95%-CI 1.54 to 2.89) had an increased risk for syncope recurrence (Figure). LASSO regression fit on all patient information available early in the ED identified more than three previous episodes of syncope as the only independent predictor for recurrent syncope (HR 2.13, 95%-CI 1.64 to 2.75). Recurrent syncope within the first 12 months after the index event carried an increased risk for all-cause death (HR 1.59, 95%-CI 1.06 to 2.38) and MACE (HR 2.24, 95%-CI 1.67 to 3.01), whereas recurrences after 12 months did not have a significant impact on outcome measures.

Conclusion

Recurrence rates of syncope are substantial and vary depending on syncope etiology. There seem to be no reliable patient characteristics available early on the ED that allow for the prediction of recurrent syncope with only a history of more than three previous syncope being associated with a higher risk for future recurrences. Importantly, recurrent syncope within the first 12 months carries an increased risk for death and MACE.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Swiss National Science Foundation, Swiss Heart Foundation