Obesity and mortality after locoregional breast cancer diagnosis

PURPOSE

Higher mortality after a breast cancer diagnosis has been observed among women who are obese. We investigated the relationships between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause or breast cancer-specific mortality after a diagnosis of locoregional breast cancer.

METHODS

Women diagnosed in 2004 with AJCC Stage I, II, or III breast cancer (n = 5394) were identified from a population-based National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR) patterns of care study (POC-BP) drawing from registries in seven U.S. states. Differences in overall and breast cancer-specific mortality were investigated using Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusting for demographic and clinical covariates, including age- and stage-based subgroup analyses.

RESULTS

In women 70 or older, higher BMI was associated with lower overall mortality (HR for a 5 kg/m² difference in BMI = 0.85, 95% CI 0.75-0.95). There was no significant association between BMI and overall mortality for women under 70. BMI was not associated with breast cancer death in the full sample, but among women with Stage I disease; those in the highest BMI category had significantly higher breast cancer mortality (HR for BMI ≥ 35 kg/m² vs. 18.5-24.9 kg/m² = 4.74, 95% CI 1.78-12.59).

CONCLUSIONS

Contrary to our hypothesis, greater BMI was not associated with higher overall mortality. Among older women, BMI was inversely related to overall mortality, with a null association among younger women. Higher BMI was associated with breast cancer mortality among women with Stage I disease, but not among women with more advanced disease.

Risk of cancer death by comorbidity severity and use of adjuvant chemotherapy among women with locoregional breast cancer

OBJECTIVES

To examine the associations of comorbidity and chemotherapy with breast cancer- and non-breast cancer-related death.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Included were women with invasive locoregional breast cancer diagnosed in 2004 from seven population-based cancer registries. Data were abstracted from medical records and verified with treating physicians when there were inconsistencies and missing information on cancer treatment. Comorbidity severity was quantified using the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation 27. Treatment guideline concordance was determined by comparing treatment received with the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines. Kaplan-Meier method and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regressions were employed for statistical analyses.

RESULTS

Of 5852 patients, 76% were under 70years old and 69% received guideline concordant adjuvant chemotherapy. Comorbidity was more prevalent in women age 70 and older (79% vs. 51%; p<0.001). After adjusting for tumor characteristics and treatment, severe comorbidity burden was associated with significantly higher cancer-related mortality in older patients (Hazard Ratio [HR]=2.38, 95% CI 1.08-5.24), but not in younger patients (HR=1.78, 95% CI 0.87-3.64). Among patients receiving guideline adjuvant chemotherapy, cancer-related mortality was significantly higher in older patients (HR=2.35, 95% CI 1.52-3.62), and those with severe comorbidity (HR=3.79, 95% CI 1.72-8.33).

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest that, compared to women with no comorbidity, patients with breast cancer age 70 and older with severe comorbidity are at increased risk of dying from breast cancer, even after adjustment for adjuvant chemotherapy and other tumor and treatment differences. This information adds to risk-benefit discussions and emphasizes the need for further study of the role for adjuvant chemotherapy in these patient groups.

Association Between Online Information-Seeking and Adherence to Guidelines for Breast and Prostate Cancer Screening

Introduction

From 2012 through 2014, the US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommended biennial mammography for women aged 50 to 75 and recommended against the prostate specific antigen (PSA) test for men of any age, emphasizing informed decision making for patients. Because of time constraints and other patient health priorities, health care providers often do not discuss benefits and risks associated with cancer screening. We analyzed the association between seeking information online about breast and prostate cancer and undergoing mammography and PSA screening.

Methods

We assessed guideline concordance in mammogram and PSA screening, according to USPSTF guidelines for those at average risk for disease. We used data on 4,537 survey respondents from the National Cancer Institute’s Health Information National Trends Survey (HINTS) for 2012 through 2014 to assess online information-seeking, defined as whether people searched for cancer-related information online in the past 12 months. We used HINTS data to construct multivariable logistic regression models to isolate the effect of exposure to online information on the incidence of cancer screening.

Results

After controlling for available covariates, we found no significant association between online information-seeking and guideline-concordant screening for breast or prostate cancer. Significant covariate values suggest that factors related to access to care were significantly associated with conformance to mammography guidelines for women recommended for screening and that physician discussion was significantly associated with nonconformance to guidelines for prostate-specific antigen screening (ie, having a PSA test in spite of the recommendation not to have it). Decomposition of differences between those who sought online information and those who did not indicated that uncontrolled confounders probably had little effect on findings.

Conclusion

We found little evidence that online information-seeking significantly affected screening for breast or prostate cancer in accordance with USPSTF guidelines among people at average risk.

Androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) and cardiovascular mortality (CVD) in men with early-stage prostate cancer (PC) receiving curative radiation therapy (RT)

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Background: Combined with RT, ADT is a highly effective and utilized treatment for men with localized PC, but some studies suggest that use of ADT leads to increased CVD. We explored the association between ADT and CVD in men receiving RT for localized PC in the National Program for Cancer Registry’s (NPCR) Breast and Prostate Cancer Patterns of Care (POC) study. Methods: From 7 population-based cancer registries, we constructed a sample of men with localized PC treated with definitive RT, stratified by race/ethnicity. Cases diagnosed in 2004 were followed through 2009. Comorbidity, at or before diagnosis, was quantified using the Adult Comorbidity Evaluation 27; subcategories were combined into CV disease (CVD = myocardial infarction, coronary artery disease, congestive heart failure, arrhythmia), CVD-equivalents (CVE = peripheral artery disease and stroke) and CV-risk factors (CVRF = hypertension, diabetes, obesity). Cause of death was determined from the National Death Index data and linkage with vital statistics data. Rates of CV death, in those receiving RT alone versus RT+ADT, were compared in univariate and multivariable analyses. Results: The sample included 2,413 men with mean age 67.7 years (range 39-94), 54.5% white non-Hispanic, 997 received RT alone and 1,416 received RT+ADT. Five-year CVD was 2.3% with RT alone and 3.4% with RT+ADT. In univariate analysis, the following predicted higher CVD with ADT: age < 60 (OR 1.42, p = 0.04), white (OR 2.06, p = 0.001), divorced/separated/widowed (OR 1.29, p = 0.02), insured by Medicare (OR 1.64, p = 0.04), living in mixed urban-rural area (OR 1.87, p = 0.03), higher education level (OR 1.56, p = 0.05), high socioeconomic status (OR 1.70, p = 0.03), no or mild comorbidity level (OR 2.14, p = 0.05 and OR 1.66, p = 0.02, respectively), low PSA (OR 5.44, p = 0,02), and Gleason score 3 (OR 2.12, p = 0.02). In multivariate analysis, use of ADT did not significantly predict hazard of death from heart disease (HR 1.21, p = 0.28) or PC (HR 0.76, p = 0.34). Conclusions: After controlling for confounding variables, use of ADT was not associated with increased risk of CVD in men receiving radiation as definitive therapy for localized PC.

Clinical risks and healthcare utilization of hematopoietic cell transplantation for sickle cell disease in the USA using merged databases

Advances in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation for sickle cell disease have improved outcomes, but there is limited analysis of healthcare utilization in this setting. We hypothesized that, compared to late transplantation, early transplantation (at age <10 years) improves outcomes and decreases healthcare utilization. We performed a retrospective study of children transplanted for sickle cell disease in the USA during 2000-2013 using two large databases. Univariate and Cox models were used to estimate associations of demographics, sickle cell disease severity, and transplant-related variables with mortality and chronic graft-versus-host disease, while Wilcoxon, Kruskal-Wallis, or linear trend tests were applied for the estimates of healthcare utilization. Among 161 patients with a 2-year overall survival rate of 90% (95% confidence interval [CI] 85-95%) mortality was significantly higher in those who underwent late transplantation versus early (hazard ratio (HR) 21, 95% CI 2.8-160.8, P=0.003) and unrelated compared to matched sibling donor transplantation (HR 5.9, 95% CI 1.7-20.2, P=0.005). Chronic graftversus host disease was significantly more frequent among those translanted late (HR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.5, P=0.034) and those who received an unrelated graft (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.2-5.4; P=0.017). Merged data for 176 patients showed that the median total adjusted transplant cost per patient was $467,747 (range: $344,029-$799,219). Healthcare utilization was lower among recipients of matched sibling donor grafts and those with low severity disease compared to those with other types of donor and disease severity types (P<0.001 and P=0.022, respectively); no association was demonstrated with late transplantation (P=0.775). Among patients with 2-year pre- and post-transplant data (n=41), early transplantation was associated with significant reductions in admissions (P<0.001), length of stay (P<0.001), and cost (P=0.008). Early transplant outcomes need to be studied prospectively in young children without severe disease and an available matched sibling to provide conclusive evidence for the superiority of this approach. Reduced post-transplant healthcare utilization inpatient care indicates that transplantation may provide a sustained decrease in healthcare costs over time.

Patterns of use and survival outcomes of positron emission tomography for initial staging in elderly follicular lymphoma patients

The role of positron emission tomography (PET) in the initial assessment of follicular lymphoma (FL) has been a topic of debate. We examined the patterns of utilization of PET staging in FL and assessed the association of PET with survival. Using the SEER-Medicare database, we identified 5712 patients diagnosed with first primary FL between 2000 and 2009. Older age, African-American race, poor performance status, B-symptoms and history of anemia were negatively associated with PET staging. Receipt of PET staging was positively associated with treatment at institutions affiliated with research networks and with residence in areas with higher concentrations of nuclear medicine specialists. PET was associated with improved lymphoma-related (HR 0.69, 95% CI: 0.58-0.82) and overall (HR 0.75, 95% CI: 0.68-0.83) survival. Our findings substantiate the use of PET as the standard of care for imaging in FL patients. Further investigation is warranted to identify mechanisms underlying the apparent survival advantage associated with PET staging in FL.

Shared decision-making in ovarian cancer

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Background: The value of shared decision-making in ovarian cancer is relatively unexplored. The goal of this study was to test a new decision aid, Patient Centered Outcome Aid (PCOA), that facilitates shared decision-making and helps ovarian cancer patients assimilate information and identify quality of life (QOL), toxicity and survival trade-offs between IP/IV therapy and IV therapy alone, based on their preferences and personal clinical characteristics. Methods: Participants were randomized to either PCOA (N=64) or usual care (N=59). Patient characteristics, QOL and shared decision-making data were collected at baseline and treatment initiation. Primary outcomes included satisfaction with treatment decision and decisional regret. Comparisons were made using t-tests and multivariate methods, adjusting for patient covariates. Multivariate linear models were used to investigate predictors of the primary outcomes. Results: Although satisfaction and decisional regret did not differ significantly by arm at any time point, the majority of PCOA patients indicated that the aid helped them understand treatment options and side effects. Notably, low shared decision-making and low QOL, were significant predictors of low satisfaction at treatment initiation (multiple r=0.76), six months (multiple r=0.48) and nine months (r=0.58). They were also significant predictors of decisional regret (multiple r=0.48 and 0.36 at 6 and 9 months). Patient covariates including age, stage, treatment and neoadjuvant status were not associated with differences in satisfaction or decisional regret. Conclusions: There were no clinically meaningful differences in satisfaction with the treatment decision, or decisional regret between the study arms. The absence of a difference may reflect the high degree of shared decision-making in both arms and greater disease severity in PCOA patients, who were more likely to report low baseline QOL and declining QOL over time. Both shared decision-making and quality of life were robust, independent predictors of satisfaction with the treatment decision over time. This implies that women who perceive themselves as less engaged in the decision process, and report poor QOL may benefit from a decision aid, in addition to physician counseling. Clinical trial information: NCT02259699.

Glucose challenge test screening for prediabetes and early diabetes

AIMS

To test the hypothesis that a 50-g oral glucose challenge test with 1-h glucose measurement would have superior performance compared with other opportunistic screening methods.

METHODS

In this prospective study in a Veterans Health Administration primary care clinic, the following test performances, measured by area under receiver-operating characteristic curves, were compared: 50-g oral glucose challenge test; random glucose; and HbA1c level, using a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test as the 'gold standard'.

RESULTS

The study population was comprised of 1535 people (mean age 56 years, BMI 30.3 kg/m2 , 94% men, 74% black). By oral glucose tolerance test criteria, diabetes was present in 10% and high-risk prediabetes was present in 22% of participants. The plasma glucose challenge test provided area under receiver-operating characteristic curves of 0.85 (95% CI 0.78-0.91) to detect diabetes and 0.76 (95% CI 0.72-0.80) to detect high-risk dysglycaemia (diabetes or high-risk prediabetes), while area under receiver-operating characteristic curves for the capillary glucose challenge test were 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.89) and 0.73 (95% CI 0.69-0.77) for diabetes and high-risk dysglycaemia, respectively. Random glucose performed less well [plasma: 0.76 (95% CI 0.69-0.82) and 0.66 (95% CI 0.62-0.71), respectively; capillary: 0.72 (95% CI 0.65-0.80) and 0.64 (95% CI 0.59-0.68), respectively], and HbA1c performed even less well [0.67 (95% CI 0.57-0.76) and 0.63 (95% CI 0.58-0.68), respectively]. The cost of identifying one case of high-risk dysglycaemia with a plasma glucose challenge test would be $42 from a Veterans Health Administration perspective, and $55 from a US Medicare perspective.

CONCLUSIONS

Glucose challenge test screening, followed, if abnormal, by an oral glucose tolerance test, would be convenient and more accurate than other opportunistic tests. Use of glucose challenge test screening could improve management by permitting earlier therapy.

Time trade-offs in advanced ovarian cancer

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Background: Most women with advanced ovarian cancer develop recurrence and die within five years of diagnosis. This creates a clinical imperative to discuss tradeoffs between the risks and benefits of treatment options. The purpose of this study is to examine the experience of ovarian cancer patients presented with a decision aid leading them through a time-tradeoff (TTO) exercise to guide choice of therapy. Methods: Newly diagnosed advanced ovarian cancer patients (N = 64) participated in a study evaluating the effectiveness and usefulness of a Patient-Centered Outcome Aid (PCOA). This i-Pad based interactive aid included an exercise during which patients evaluated personal tradeoffs between longer survival and adverse events associated with chemotherapy, in consultation with providers. Patients were educated about potential side effects, asked to rank their concerns about each side effect, and then asked: “Now that you have thought about and ranked the side effects, we ask you to think about the worst side effect for you as it relates to survival in good health. Would you be willing to go through 6 months of your worst side effect, if it gave you 5 years of good health?” There was a forced choice (Yes vs. No); then the tradeoff question was repeated with decreasing survival times: i.e. 3 years, 1 year, and 9, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, and 1 months. Results: Of the 61 patients who responded to the TTO question, 52% required 1 or more years of good health to endure 6 months of their worst side effect. Among the non-neoadjuvant patients (N = 50), 18% indicated they would trade 6 months of the worst side effect for 1-2 months of additional life in good health, however 56% would require 9 months or more. While 95% of patients found it easy to rank order concerns about side effects, 75% considered the TTO question difficult to answer. Conclusions: Decisions aids which incorporate tradeoffs must be designed with sensitivity to differential health literacy levels, and the extremely personal nature of this decision.

Assessing Colorectal Cancer Screening Adherence of Medicare Fee-for-Service Beneficiaries Age 76 to 95 Years

INTRODUCTION

There are concerns about potential overuse of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening services among average-risk individuals older than age 75 years.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using a 5% random noncancer sample of Medicare beneficiaries who resided in the SEER areas, we examined rates of CRC screening adherence, defined by the Medicare coverage policy, among average-risk fee-for-service beneficiaries age 76 to 95 years from 2002 to 2010. The two outcomes are the status of overall CRC screening adherence, and the status of adherence to colonoscopy (v other modalities) conditional on patient adherence.

RESULTS

Overall CRC screening adherence rates of Medicare beneficiaries age 76 to 95 years increased from 13.0% to 21.4% from 2002 to 2010. In 2002, 2.2% of beneficiaries were adherent to colonoscopy, and 10.7%, by other modalities; the corresponding rates were 19.5% and 1.9%, respectively, in 2010. Specifically, rates of adherence to colonoscopy were 1.1% for those age 86 to 90 years and almost nil for those age 91 to 95 years in 2002, but the rates became 13.5% and 8.2%, respectively, in 2010. Compared with white beneficiaries, black beneficiaries age 76 to 95 years had a 7-percentage-point lower adherence rate. However, overall adherence rates among blacks increased by 168.6% from 2002 to 2010, whereas rates among whites increased by 63.0%. Logistic regressions showed that blacks age 86 to 95 years were less likely than whites to be adherent (odds ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.47 to 0.59) but were more likely to be adherent to colonoscopy (odds ratio, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.47 to 3.91).

CONCLUSION

High proportions of average-risk Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries screened by colonoscopy may represent opportunities for improving appropriateness and allocative efficiency of CRC screening by Medicare.

Necitumumab in Metastatic Squamous Cell Lung Cancer: Establishing a Value-Based Cost

IMPORTANCE

The SQUIRE trial demonstrated that adding necitumumab to chemotherapy for patients with metastatic squamous cell lung cancer (mSqCLC) increased median overall survival by 1.6 months (hazard ratio, 0.84). However, the costs and value associated with this intervention remains unclear. Value-based pricing links the price of a drug to the benefit that it provides and is a novel method to establish prices for new treatments.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the range of drug costs for which adding necitumumab to chemotherapy could be considered cost-effective.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We developed a Markov model using data from multiple sources, including the SQUIRE trial, which compared standard chemotherapy with and without necitumumab as first-line treatment of mSqCLC, to evaluate the costs and patient life expectancies associated with each regimen. In the analysis, patients were modeled to receive gemcitabine and cisplatin for 6 cycles or gemcitabine, cisplatin, and necitumumab for 6 cycles followed by maintenance necitumumab. Our model's clinical inputs were the survival estimates and frequency of adverse events (AEs) described in the SQUIRE trial. Log-logistic models were fitted to the survival distributions in the SQUIRE trial. The cost inputs included drug costs, based on the Medicare average sale prices, and costs for drug administration and management of AEs, based on Medicare reimbursement rates (all in 2014 US dollars).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

We evaluated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for the use of necitumumab across a range of values for its cost. Model robustness was assessed by probabilistic sensitivity analyses, based on 10 000 Monte Carlo simulations, sampling values from the distributions of all model parameters.

RESULTS

In the base case analysis, the addition of necitumumab to the treatment regimen produced an incremental survival benefit of 0.15 life-years and 0.11 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). The probabilistic sensitivity analyses established that when necitumumab cost less than $563 and less than $1309 per cycle, there was 90% confidence that the ICER for adding necitumumab would be less than $100 000 per QALY and less than $200 000 per QALY, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings provide a value-based range for the cost of necitumumab from $563 to $1309 per cycle. This study provides a framework for establishing value-based pricing for new oncology drugs entering the US marketplace.

Evaluating Intensity-Modulated Radiation Therapy in Locally Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer: Results From the National Cancer Data Base

INTRODUCTION

Reports have suggested improvements in dosimetry, toxicity, and quality of life with intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) in locally advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The selection criteria for those patients who may benefit is unclear. This study sought to identify subgroups of patients who may derive survival benefit from intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) compared with 3D conformal radiation therapy (3DCRT).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The National Cancer Data Base was queried for stage III NSCLC treated with radiation and chemotherapy alone with curative intent. All received ≥ 58 Gy. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank test were performed to compare overall survival (OS) by treatment modality. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to assess association with OS. Propensity score matching was also implemented.

RESULTS

A total of 2543 patients treated between 2003 and 2006 were eligible; 422 (16.6%) received IMRT, 2121 (83.4%) received 3DCRT. In patients with T3 and T4 disease, IMRT was associated with an improvement in median OS and 5-year survival rate (17.2 vs. 14.6 months; 19.9% vs. 13.4%, P = .021.) In multivariable analysis, there was an interaction between treatment type and T stage that was found to be significant (P = .03). In the propensity matched cohort of T3 and T4 patients, the use of IMRT remained associated with improved OS (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.64-1.00; P = .048).

CONCLUSIONS

Use of IMRT in patients with T3 and T4 tumors was associated with improved overall survival in this large population-based analysis. This is a novel finding that is in concordance with the well-described dosimetric benefits of IMRT in NSCLC.

What Predicts an Advanced-Stage Diagnosis of Breast Cancer? Sorting Out the Influence of Method of Detection, Access to Care, and Biologic Factors

BACKGROUND

Multiple studies have yielded important findings regarding the determinants of an advanced-stage diagnosis of breast cancer. We seek to advance this line of inquiry through a broadened conceptual framework and accompanying statistical modeling strategy that recognize the dual importance of access-to-care and biologic factors on stage.

METHODS

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention-sponsored Breast and Prostate Cancer Data Quality and Patterns of Care Study yielded a seven-state, cancer registry-derived population-based sample of 9,142 women diagnosed with a first primary in situ or invasive breast cancer in 2004. The likelihood of advanced-stage cancer (American Joint Committee on Cancer IIIB, IIIC, or IV) was investigated through multivariable regression modeling, with base-case analyses using the method of instrumental variables (IV) to detect and correct for possible selection bias. The robustness of base-case findings was examined through extensive sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Advanced-stage disease was negatively associated with detection by mammography (P < 0.001) and with age < 50 (P < 0.001), and positively related to black race (P = 0.07), not being privately insured [Medicaid (P = 0.01), Medicare (P = 0.04), uninsured (P = 0.07)], being single (P = 0.06), body mass index > 40 (P = 0.001), a HER2 type tumor (P < 0.001), and tumor grade not well differentiated (P < 0.001). This IV model detected and adjusted for significant selection effects associated with method of detection (P = 0.02). Sensitivity analyses generally supported these base-case results.

CONCLUSIONS

Through our comprehensive modeling strategy and sensitivity analyses, we provide new estimates of the magnitude and robustness of the determinants of advanced-stage breast cancer.

IMPACT

Statistical approaches frequently used to address observational data biases in treatment-outcome studies can be applied similarly in analyses of the determinants of stage at diagnosis. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 25(4); 613-23. ©2016 AACR.

Nodal Upstaging Is More Common with Thoracotomy than with VATS During Lobectomy for Early-Stage Lung Cancer: An Analysis from the National Cancer Data Base

INTRODUCTION

Questions remain regarding differences in nodal evaluation and upstaging between thoracotomy (open) and video-assisted thoracic surgery (VATS) approaches to lobectomy for early-stage lung cancer. Potential differences in nodal staging based on operative approach remain the final significant barrier to widespread adoption of VATS lobectomy. The current study examines differences in nodal staging between open and VATS lobectomy.

METHODS

The National Cancer Data Base was queried for patients with clinical stage T2N0M0 or lower lung cancer who underwent lobectomy in 2010-2011. Propensity score matching was performed to compare the rate of nodal upstaging in VATS with that in open approaches. Additional subgroup analysis was performed to assess whether rates of upstaging differed by specific clinical setting.

RESULTS

A total of 16,983 lobectomies were analyzed; 4935 (29.1%) were performed using VATS. Nodal upstaging was more frequent in the open group (12.8% versus 10.3%; p < 0.001). In 4437 matched pairs, nodal upstaging remained more common for open approaches. For a subgroup of patients who had seven lymph or more nodes examined, propensity matching revealed that nodal upstaging remained more common after an open approach than after VATS (14.0% versus 12.1%; p = 0.03). For patients who were treated in an academic/research facility, however, the difference in nodal upstaging between an open and VATS approach was no longer significant (12.2% versus 10.5%, p = 0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

For early-stage lung cancer, nodal upstaging was observed more frequently with thoracotomy than with VATS. However, nodal upstaging appears to be affected by facility type, which may be a surrogate for expertise in minimally invasive surgical procedures.

Association between urologist characteristics and radiation oncologist consultation for patients with locoregional prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Physicians managing patients with prostate cancer play a critical role in subsequent specialist consultations and initial treatment choice, especially in cases for which no consensus exists regarding optimal treatment strategy. The NCCN Guidelines for Prostate Cancer recommend radiation as a therapy option for patients with locoregional prostate cancer.

PURPOSE

The authors examined the association of urologist characteristics with the likelihood that patients would consult radiation oncologists.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of 39,934 patients aged 66 years or older who were diagnosed with locoregional prostate cancer between 2004 and 2007, and the 2405 urologists who performed the patient diagnostic biopsies were constructed using the SEER-Medicare linked database and the American Medical Association Physician Masterfile. Logistic multilevel regression analysis was used to evaluate the influence of urologists' characteristics on radiation oncologist consultation within 9 months of locoregional prostate cancer diagnosis.

RESULTS

Overall, 24,549 (61.5%) patients consulted a radiation oncologist. After adjusting for patient and urologist characteristics, patients diagnosed by urologists in noninstitutional settings (eg, physician office) were significantly more likely to consult a radiation oncologist (odds ratio [OR], 1.40; 95% CI, 1.17-1.67; P=.0002) compared with those diagnosed by urologists in institutional settings with a major medical school affiliation. In addition, patients diagnosed by urologists older than 57 years were significantly more likely to consult a radiation oncologist (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.07-1.38, P=.003).

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Regorafenib for Metastatic Colorectal Cancer

PURPOSE

Regorafenib is a standard-care option for treatment-refractory metastatic colorectal cancer that increases median overall survival by 6 weeks compared with placebo. Given this small incremental clinical benefit, we evaluated the cost-effectiveness of regorafenib in the third-line setting for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer from the US payer perspective.

METHODS

We developed a Markov model to compare the cost and effectiveness of regorafenib with those of placebo in the third-line treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer. Health outcomes were measured in life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Drug costs were based on Medicare reimbursement rates in 2014. Model robustness was addressed in univariable and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

Regorafenib provided an additional 0.04 QALYs (0.13 life-years) at a cost of $40,000, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $900,000 per QALY. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for regorafenib was > $550,000 per QALY in all of our univariable and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

Regorafenib provides minimal incremental benefit at high incremental cost per QALY in the third-line management of metastatic colorectal cancer. The cost-effectiveness of regorafenib could be improved by the use of value-based pricing.

Abstract 3727: Influence of patient, physician, and hospital characteristics on the receipt of guideline-concordant care for inflammatory breast cancer

Introduction: Inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is an aggressive and lethal form of locally advanced breast cancer that makes up 1-6% of all breast cancers and has a median overall survival of less than 4 years. Physically, IBC is characterized by erythema, edema, and fine dimpling, so treatment can be delayed due to misdiagnosis as mastitis or dermatitis. Therapy for IBC tends to vary since no treatments are highly effective. Because IBC is such a rare subtype, studies have been challenged to demonstrate patterns of IBC treatment and analyze factors affecting differences in treatment. In this study we examined factors affecting the receipt of guideline-concordant care and survival for IBC patients.

Methods: Patients diagnosed with non-metastatic IBC in 2004 were identified from the Breast and Prostate Cancer Data Quality and Patterns of Care Study, containing information from cancer registry reports in seven states supplemented through medical record re-abstraction and physician verification. Variation in guideline-concordant care for IBC, based on 2003 National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines, was assessed according to patient, physician, and hospital characteristics. Additionally, survival based on receipt of guideline-concordant care was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests.

Results: Of the 107 IBC patients in the study, only 25.8% of them received treatment that was fully concordant with guidelines. The majority of patients received guideline-concordant surgery (90.4%), with percentages lower for chemotherapy (51.9%), radiation (40.7%), and hormone therapy (78.0%). Guideline-concordant care was less common among patients with extreme categories of patient age (under 40 or over 80 years; P = 0.19), non-white race (P = 0.03), lower body mass index (BMI&lt;25 kg/m2, P = 0.003), a surgeon graduating from medical school more than 15 years prior (P = 0.02), and smaller hospital size (&lt;200 beds, P = 0.02).

Results suggested that IBC patients experienced longer breast cancer-specific survival if they received guideline-concordant treatment based on 2003 (P = 0.06) and 2013 (P = 0.06) NCCN guidelines.

Conclusion: Targeting factors associated with receipt of care that is not guideline-concordant may reduce survival disparities in IBC patients. Further research is needed to identify approaches to ensure that physicians are adhering to NCCN guidelines for IBC cases and to identify reasons for non-adherence to guidelines.

Citation Format: Ryan A. Denu, John M. Hampton, Adam Currey, Roger T. Anderson, Rosemary D. Cress, Steven T. Fleming, Joseph Lipscomb, Susan A. Sabatino, Xiao-Cheng Wu, J F. Wilson, Amy Trentham-Dietz. Influence of patient, physician, and hospital characteristics on the receipt of guideline-concordant care for inflammatory breast cancer. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 106th Annual Meeting of the American Association for Cancer Research; 2015 Apr 18-22; Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2015;75(15 Suppl):Abstract nr 3727. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2015-3727

Consensus in controversy: The modified Delphi method applied to Gynecologic Oncology practice

OBJECTIVES

To determine the degree of consensus regarding the probabilities of outcomes associated with IP/IV and IV chemotherapy.

METHODS

A survey was administered to an expert panel using the Delphi method. Ten ovarian cancer experts were asked to estimate outcomes for patients receiving IP/IV or IV chemotherapy. The clinical estimates were: 1) probability of completing six cycles of chemotherapy, 2) probability of surviving five years, 3) median survival, and 4) probability of ER/hospital visits during treatment. Estimates for two patients, one with a low comorbidity index (patient 1) and the other with a moderate index (patient 2), were included. The survey was administered in three rounds, and panelists could revise their subsequent responses based on review of the anonymous opinions of their peers.

RESULTS

The ranges were smaller for IV compared with IP/IV therapy. Ranges decreased with each round. Consensus converged around outcomes related to IP/IV chemotherapy for: 1) completion of 6 cycles of therapy (type 1 patient, 62%, type 2 patient, 43%); 2) percentage of patients surviving 5 years (type 1 patient, 66%, type 2 patient, 47%); and 3) median survival (type 1 patient, 83 months, type 2 patient, 58 months). The group required three rounds to achieve consensus on the probabilities of ER/hospital visits (type 1 patient, 24%, type 2 patient, 35%).

CONCLUSIONS

Initial estimates of survival and adverse events associated with IP/IV chemotherapy differ among experts. The Delphi process works to build consensus and may be a pragmatic tool to inform patients of their expected outcomes.

Increased cardiovascular disease, resource use, and costs before the clinical diagnosis of diabetes in veterans in the southeastern U.S

IMPORTANCE

Screening for diabetes might be more widespread if adverse associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD), resource use, and costs were known to occur earlier than conventional clinical diagnosis.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine whether adverse effects associated with diabetes begin prior to clinical diagnosis.

DESIGN

Veterans with diabetes were matched 1:2 with controls by follow-up, age, race/ethnicity, gender, and VA facility. CVD was obtained from ICD-9 codes, and resource use and costs from VA datasets.

SETTING

VA facilities in SC, GA, and AL.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with and without diagnosed diabetes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Diagnosed CVD, resource use, and costs.

RESULTS

In this study, the 2,062 diabetic patients and 4,124 controls were 63 years old on average, 99 % male, and 29 % black; BMI was 30.8 in diabetic patients vs. 27.8 in controls (p<0.001). CVD prevalence was higher and there were more outpatient visits in Year -4 before diagnosis through Year +4 after diagnosis among diabetic vs. control patients (all p<0.01); in Year -2, CVD prevalence was 31 % vs. 24 %, and outpatient visits were 22 vs. 19 per year, respectively. Total VA costs/year/veteran were higher in diabetic than control patients from Year -4 ($4,083 vs. $2,754) through Year +5 ($8,347 vs. $5,700) (p<0.003) for each, reflecting underlying increases in outpatient, inpatient, and pharmacy costs (p<0.05 for each). Regression analysis showed that diabetes contributed an average of $1,748/year to costs, independent of CVD (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

VA costs per veteran are higher--over $1,000/year before and $2,000/year after diagnosis of diabetes--due to underlying increases in outpatient, inpatient, and pharmacy costs, greater number of outpatient visits, and increased CVD. Moreover, adverse associations with veterans' health and the VA healthcare system occur early in the natural history of the disease, several years before diabetes is diagnosed. Since adverse associations begin before diabetes is recognized, greater consideration should be given to systematic screening in order to permit earlier detection and initiation of preventive management. Keeping frequency of CVD and marginal costs in line with those of patients before diabetes is currently diagnosed has the potential to save up to $2 billion a year.