Qualitative and quantitative chest CT parameters as predictors of specific mortality in COVID-19 patients

PURPOSE

To test the association between death and both qualitative and quantitative CT parameters obtained visually and by software in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) early outbreak.

METHODS

The study analyzed retrospectively patients underwent chest CT at hospital admission for COVID-19 pneumonia suspicion, between February 21 and March 6, 2020. CT was performed in case of hypoxemia or moderate-to-severe dyspnea. CT scans were analyzed for quantitative and qualitative features obtained visually and by software. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis examined the association between variables and overall survival (OS). Three models were built for stratification of mortality risk: clinical, clinical/visual CT evaluation, and clinical/software-based CT assessment. AUC for each model was used to assess performance in predicting death.

RESULTS

The study included 248 patients (70% males, median age 68 years). Death occurred in 78/248 (32%) patients. Visual pneumonia extent > 40% (HR 2.15, 95% CI 1.2-3.85, P = 0.01), %high attenuation area - 700 HU > 35% (HR 2.17, 95% CI 1.2-3.94, P = 0.01), exudative consolidations (HR 2.85-2.93, 95% CI 1.61-5.05/1.66-5.16, P < 0.001), visual CAC score > 1 (HR 2.76-3.32, 95% CI 1.4-5.45/1.71-6.46, P < 0.01/P < 0.001), and CT classified as COVID-19 and other disease (HR 1.92-2.03, 95% CI 1.01-3.67/1.06-3.9, P = 0.04/P = 0.03) were significantly associated with shorter OS. Models including CT parameters (AUC 0.911-0.913, 95% CI 0.873-0.95/0.875-0.952) were better predictors of death as compared to clinical model (AUC 0.869, 95% CI 0.816-0.922; P = 0.04 for both models).

CONCLUSIONS

In COVID-19 patients, qualitative and quantitative chest CT parameters obtained visually or by software are predictors of mortality. Predictive models including CT metrics were better predictors of death in comparison to clinical model.

Comparison of admission chest computed tomography and lung ultrasound performance for diagnosis of COVID-19 pneumonia in populations with different disease prevalence

PURPOSE

Chest computed tomography (CT) is considered a reliable imaging tool for COVID-19 pneumonia diagnosis, while lung ultrasound (LUS) has emerged as a potential alternative to characterize lung involvement. The aim of the study was to compare diagnostic performance of admission chest CT and LUS for the diagnosis of COVID-19.

METHODS

We included patients admitted to emergency department between February 21-March 6, 2020 (high prevalence group, HP) and between March 30-April 13, 2020 (moderate prevalence group, MP) undergoing LUS and chest CT within 12 h. Chest CT was considered positive in case of "indeterminate"/"typical" pattern for COVID-19 by RSNA classification system. At LUS, thickened pleural line with ≥ three B-lines at least in one zone of the 12 explored was considered positive. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and AUC were calculated for CT and LUS against real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and serology as reference standard.

RESULTS

The study included 486 patients (males 61 %; median age, 70 years): 247 patients in HP (COVID-19 prevalence 94 %) and 239 patients in MP (COVID-19 prevalence 45 %). In HP and MP respectively, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 90-95 %, 43-69 %, 96-72 %, 20-95 % for CT and 94-93 %, 7-31 %, 94-52 %, 7-83 % for LUS. CT demonstrated better performance than LUS in diagnosis of COVID-19, both in HP (AUC 0.75 vs 0.51; P < 0.001) and MP (AUC 0.85 vs 0.62; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Admission chest CT shows better performance than LUS for COVID-19 diagnosis, at varying disease prevalence. LUS is highly sensitive, but not specific for COVID-19.

COVID-19 outbreak in Italy: Clinical-radiological presentation and outcome in three oncologic patients

We present three patients affected by pulmonary squamous cell carcinoma, metastatic esophageal cancer and advanced non-Hodgkin lymphoma, who incurred in coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) infection during the early phase of epidemic wave in Italy. All patients presented with fever. Social contact with subject positive for COVID-19 was declared in only one of the three cases. In all cases, laboratory findings showed lymphopenia and elevated C-reactive protein (CRP). Chest x-ray and computed tomography showed bilateral ground-glass opacities, shadowing, interstitial abnormalities, and “crazy paving” pattern which evolved with superimposition of consolidations in one patient. All patients received antiviral therapy based on ritonavir and lopinavir, associated with hydroxychloroquine. Despite treatment, two patients with advanced cancers died after 39 and 17 days of hospitalization, while the patient with lung cancer was dismissed at home, in good conditions.

SosCaregivers: piloting of a psycho-social service for family caregiver in a hard-to-reach setting

Background

”Ageing-in-place” may improve elderly citizens' quality of life and the sustainability of welfare systems. In this process engaging family caregivers is crucial.

Methods

A community-based participatory research in the remote area of Vallecamonica was enacted. First, we surveyed unmet needs of family caregivers. Then, a scoping literature review on existing interventions for engaging family caregivers was performed. Third, 4 co-design workshops were conducted to co-generate a new service. Finally, the service was piloted for a period of 6 months and evaluated.

Results

51 caregivers participated in the survey: they were mainly females, mean 60 y.o and with medium-low level of education. The scoping review resulted in only 14 interventions targeted to elderly's caregivers in remote areas. The workshops involved 27 caregivers and co-designed a new psycho-social service (SOSCargivers) articulated into: 1) a structured informative platform to facilitate health literacy and information seeking; 2) a tailored educational program focused on medical and practical aspects related to elderly care; 3) a set of peer-to-peer meetings for experience sharing and mutual support; 4) a “caregivers board” was created to lead the service. In the piloting 5 training sessions, 5 peer-to-peer meetings, 3 meeting with the “citizens board” were enabled.

Conclusions

The service was positively received by caregivers, although participation wasn't high. Co-designing the service with its expected users facilitates the depth understanding of local people's needs and expectations. SOSCaregivers may support family caregivers of elderly citizens in hard to reach areas by both delivering more value and giving them an active role in the social-care network.

Key messages

Family caregivers’ engagement is crucial for integrated and sustainable services in hard to reach communities. Co-designing the service with its expected users facilitates the Department understanding of local people’s needs and expectations.

Well-aerated Lung on Admitting Chest CT to Predict Adverse Outcome in COVID-19 Pneumonia

Background CT of patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 disease depicts the extent of lung involvement in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pneumonia. Purpose To determine the value of quantification of the well-aerated lung (WAL) obtained at admission chest CT to determine prognosis in patients with COVID-19 pneumonia. Materials and Methods Imaging of patients admitted at the emergency department between February 17 and March 10, 2020 who underwent chest CT were retrospectively analyzed. Patients with negative results of reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 at nasal-pharyngeal swabbing, negative chest CT findings, and incomplete clinical data were excluded. CT images were analyzed for quantification of WAL visually (%V-WAL), with open-source software (%S-WAL), and with absolute volume (VOL-WAL). Clinical parameters included patient characteristics, comorbidities, symptom type and duration, oxygen saturation, and laboratory values. Logistic regression was used to evaluate the relationship between clinical parameters and CT metrics versus patient outcome (intensive care unit [ICU] admission or death vs no ICU admission or death). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to determine model performance. Results The study included 236 patients (59 of 123 [25%] were female; median age, 68 years). A %V-WAL less than 73% (odds ratio [OR], 5.4; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.7, 10.8; P < .001), %S-WAL less than 71% (OR, 3.8; 95% CI: 1.9, 7.5; P < .001), and VOL-WAL less than 2.9 L (OR, 2.6; 95% CI: 1.2, 5.8; P < .01) were predictors of ICU admission or death. In comparison with clinical models containing only clinical parameters (AUC = 0.83), all three quantitative models showed better diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.86 for all models). The models containing %V-WAL less than 73% and VOL-WAL less than 2.9 L were superior in terms of performance as compared with the models containing only clinical parameters (P = .04 for both models). Conclusion In patients with confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 pneumonia, visual or software quantification of the extent of CT lung abnormality were predictors of intensive care unit admission or death. ©  RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

A-25 The Effect of Cognitive Dual-Tasks on Dynamic Postural Sway During Sub-Maximal Gait on a Treadmill

Objective

To investigate the effect of a cognitive task on postural control during treadmill walking. We hypothesized that postural sway acceleration would decrease during dual-task compared to single-task gait.

Method

Ten (5 females, 5 males) physically active, healthy young adults (Age: 22.50 ± 3.01) with no history of cognitive deficits or head injury were recruited from a University campus for this cross-sectional study. Participants reported to a biomechanics laboratory for a single testing session and completed two, 5-minute walking trials on a treadmill at 90% of maximal gait-speed under single and dual-task conditions while instrumented with a single inertial measurement unit (IMU) on the lower-back. During dual-task gait, participants concurrently performed a Stroop Test displayed on a mounted screen in front of the treadmill during the entire trial. Root mean square (RMS) of acceleration was analyzed in the medial-lateral, anterior-posterior, superior-inferior, and resultant planes during the dual-task trial. Paired t-tests and effect sizes (ES) were calculated for each sway plane between single and dual-tasks.

Results

No differences were identified between single and dual-task RMS acceleration in the medial-lateral (p = 0.98, ES = 0.01), anterior-posterior (p = 0.49, ES = 0.23) or superior-inferior (p = 0.98, ES = 0.01) planes. However, the RMS acceleration in the resultant plane was lower in the dual-task condition (Mean Difference: 0.031 ± 0.037; p = 0.02, ES = 0.85).

Conclusions

This novel dual-task gait paradigm utilized constant sub-maximal gait speed to investigate the influence of a sustained cognitive dual-task on postural sway using a single IMU. These preliminary results indicate that this dual-task gait paradigm may affect gross postural sway in healthy adults.

The Incremental Diagnostic Value of [18F]Florbetaben PET and the Pivotal Role of the Neuropsychological Assessment in Clinical Practice

BACKGROUND

Amyloid pathology is a key feature of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and can be assessed in vivo with amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) imaging.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to evaluate the incremental value of a PET scan with [18F]florbetaben, in terms of changes of diagnosis, diagnostic confidence, and treatment plan when added to a standardized diagnostic workup for cognitive disorders, with particular focus on the role of the neuropsychological assessment, including the Free and Cued Selective Reminding Test (FCSRT).

METHODS

A total of 104 patients (69 mild cognitive impairment, 35 dementia), with diagnostic uncertainty after diagnostic workup, were recruited from our memory clinic. [18F]florbetaben PET scans were interpreted as amyloid negative or positive on the basis of a semi-quantitative visual rating. Clinical diagnosis and diagnostic confidence for AD or non-AD dementia were rated before and after PET result disclosure, as was the impact of PET on the patient management plan.

RESULTS

There were 69/104 (66%) [18F]florbetaben positive scans, 51/62 (82%) patients were suspected as having AD before the PET scan and 18/42 (43%) were not. Overall, the data obtained at PET changed 18/104 diagnoses (17%) and increased diagnostic confidence from 69.1±8.1% to 83.5±9.1 (p < 0.001), with the greatest impact on diagnosis and confidence in PET negative patients with an initial diagnosis of AD (p < 0.01) and in early-onset patients (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Amyloid PET represents a source of added value in dementia diagnosis, with a significant effect on diagnosis and diagnostic confidence. However, the use of a complete neuropsychological assessment has an add-on value on limiting the amyloid PET influence on change of diagnosis, and the real impact of amyloid PET should always be weighed up together with an accurate standardized diagnostic workup.

The management of patients with acute ischemic stroke while on direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs): data from an Italian cohort and a proposed algorithm

Approximately 1-2% of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation have an acute ischemic stroke (AIS) while on direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) treatment every year. However, current evidence on stroke subtypes, pathophysiology and factors leading to the failure of DOAC preventive therapy in a "real world" setting is still scanty. This study aimed at investigating whether there is any relationship between DOAC plasma levels and the stroke occurrence, on the basis of the phenotypic classification and pathophysiology of the stroke, in a cohort of DOAC-treated patients admitted to our hospital for AIS over 1-year period. A total of 28 patients had DOAC plasma levels determined in emergency and were included in the study, nine patients receiving dabigatran, 11 rivaroxaban and 8 apixaban. The DOAC levels were low in 8/28 patients (28.6% of the sample), intermediate in 4 (14.3%) and high in 16 (57.1%). The most prevalent stroke subtype was the small vessel disease, according to the A-S-C-O phenotypic classification, in 53.6% of our sample. The most common clinical presentation was "minor stroke" in 71.4% of the cases. There was a significantly higher proportion of patients with high DOAC levels in the small vessel group, compared to the cardioembolic group without other phenotypes. The question arises as to the most suitable clinical management of AIS in these patients on DOACs. In the current absence of clear evidence, taking into account the DOAC levels (low/intermediate/high) and the underlying stroke pathophysiology, we present a flowchart of our proposed clinical management of ischemic stroke in patients while on DOAC.

CSF biomarkers and amyloid PET: concordance and diagnostic accuracy in a MCI cohort

Brain amyloid deposition is one of the main hallmarks of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and two approaches are available for assessing amyloid pathology in vivo: cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers levels and amyloid load visualized by amyloid beta positron emission tomography imaging (Amy-PET) probes. We aimed to investigate the concordance between CSF biomarkers and Amy-PET in a memory clinic cohort. Moreover, using a proper clinical follow-up, we wanted to assess the diagnostic accuracy of CSF and PET biomarkers in predicting the progression of patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to AD dementia. We included 31 MCI patients who underwent [18F]florbetaben PET and CSF sampling (Aβ1-42, t-Tau, p-Tau). A semiquantitative visual scan assessment was used to quantify amyloid deposition in 5 brain regions, rating from 1 (negative), to 2 and 3 (positive). CSF biomarkers were considered abnormal if: Aβ1-42 < 600 pg/ml, p-Tau/Aβ1-42 > 0.08 and t-Tau/Aβ1-42 > 0.52. We also applied less lenient cutoffs of 550 pg/ml and 450 pg/ml for Aβ1-42. The concordance rate was 77% between Amy-PET and CSF Aβ1-42 levels, and 89% between Amy-PET and p-Tau/Aβ1-42 and t-Tau/Aβ1-42. According to the clinical follow-up, Amy-PET (sensitivity [SE] 93.7%, specificity [SP] 80%) exhibited the best diagnostic accuracy in discriminating AD from non-AD, followed by p-Tau/Aβ1-42 ratio and t-Tau/Aβ1-42 ratio (SE 93.7%, SP 66.6%), and Aβ1-42 levels (SE 81%, SP 60%). The regional uptake of [18F]florbetaben PET in the precuneus and the striatum showed the best SP (86.6%). In discordant cases, the clinical diagnosis was most often in agreement with PET results. In general, concordance between CSF biomarkers and Amy-PET was good, especially when the ratios between CSF amyloid and Tau biomarkers were used. However, Amy-PET proved to be superior to CSF Aβ1-42 in terms of diagnostic accuracy for AD, with the possibility to further increase its specificity by focusing the analysis in specific areas such as the precuneus/posterior cingulate cortex and the striatum.

A Case of Recurrent Secondary Aortoenteric Fistula 4 Months after Surgery Treated by Endovascular Coiling of the Aortic Stump and Bilateral Chimney Stent Grafts to Renal Arteries

The treatment of recurrent aortoenteric fistula (AEF) previously repaired by surgery is challenging, with a high mortality rate. Open repair is often limited by "hostile abdomen," while endovascular treatment is difficult when the distance between the aortic stump and the origin of the renal arteries is short, with high risk of their occlusion. We describe a recurrent AEF repaired by surgery 4 months earlier, treated by endovascular coiling of the aortic stump after deployment of 2 renal artery stent grafts with the chimney technique.