A genome-wide association study identifies single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with time-to-metastasis in colorectal cancer

Background

Differentiating between cancer patients who will experience metastasis within a short time and who will be long-term survivors without metastasis is a critical aim in healthcare. The microsatellite instability (MSI)-high tumor phenotype is such a differentiator in colorectal cancer, as patients with these tumors are unlikely to experience metastasis. Our aim in this study was to determine if germline genetic variations could further differentiate colorectal cancer patients based on the long-term risk and timing of metastasis.

Methods

The patient cohort consisted of 379 stage I-III Caucasian colorectal cancer patients with microsatellite stable or MSI-low tumors. We performed univariable analysis on 810,622 common single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) under different genetic models. Depending on the long-term metastasis-free survival probability estimates, we applied a mixture cure model, Cox proportional hazards regression model, or log-rank test. For SNPs reaching Bonferroni-corrected significance (p < 6.2 × 10^− 8) having valid genetic models, multivariable analysis adjusting for significant baseline characteristics was conducted.

Results

After adjusting for significant baseline characteristics, specific genotypes of ten polymorphisms were significantly associated with time-to-metastasis. These polymorphisms are three intergenic SNPs, rs5749032 (p = 1.28 × 10^− 10), rs2327990 (p = 9.59 × 10^− 10), rs1145724 (p = 3 × 10^− 8), and seven SNPs within the non-coding sequences of three genes: FHIT (p = 2.59 × 10^− 9), EPHB1 (p = 8.23 × 10^− 9), and MIR7515 (p = 4.87 × 10^− 8).

Conclusions

Our results suggest novel associations of specific genotypes of SNPs with early metastasis in Caucasian colorectal cancer patients. These associations, once replicated in other patient cohorts, could assist in the development of personalized treatment strategies for colorectal cancer patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-5346-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Discovery of common and rare genetic risk variants for colorectal cancer

To further dissect the genetic architecture of colorectal cancer (CRC), we performed whole-genome sequencing of 1,439 cases and 720 controls, imputed discovered sequence variants and Haplotype Reference Consortium panel variants into genome-wide association study data, and tested for association in 34,869 cases and 29,051 controls. Findings were followed up in an additional 23,262 cases and 38,296 controls. We discovered a strongly protective 0.3% frequency variant signal at CHD1. In a combined meta-analysis of 125,478 individuals, we identified 40 new independent signals at P < 5 × 10-8, bringing the number of known independent signals for CRC to ~100. New signals implicate lower-frequency variants, Krüppel-like factors, Hedgehog signaling, Hippo-YAP signaling, long noncoding RNAs and somatic drivers, and support a role for immune function. Heritability analyses suggest that CRC risk is highly polygenic, and larger, more comprehensive studies enabling rare variant analysis will improve understanding of biology underlying this risk and influence personalized screening strategies and drug development.

Impact of colonoscopic screening in Familial Colorectal Cancer Type X

Background

Hereditary Non‐Polyposis Colorectal cancer is caused by Lynch Syndrome (LS; an autosomal dominant condition) or by Familial Colorectal Cancer Type‐X (FCCTX; a condition of high family risk that fulfills Amsterdam criteria). The lifetime risk of developing colorectal cancer (CRC) in FCCTX family members is high and CRC occurs later than in LS.

Methods

To determine the impact of primary prevention colonoscopic screening in asymptomatic first‐degree relatives of incident CRC cases in 20 families with FCCTX, we compared cancer incidence and survival in 79 males and 83 females, assumed to be at 50% risk of inheriting a genetic CRC susceptibility factor, who entered screening to an unscreened control group from the families, matched for age at entry into screening and for sex.

Results

In males, median age at entry into screening was 44.8 years, median follow‐up 12.4 years, 12% developed CRC, and 46% died after 30 years of follow‐up. Compared to the unscreened group, relative risk of CRC was 0.27 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.10–0.71). In screened females, comparable results were 44.5 years at entry, 11.2 years of follow‐up, 7.1% developed CRC, and 7.2% died after 30 years of follow‐up. The relative risk of CRC compared to the unscreened group was 0.19 (95% CI 0.07–0.48).

Conclusion

Primary prevention screening colonoscopy in asymptomatic family members significantly decreased the risk of CRC in FCCTX.

Associations of single nucleotide polymorphisms with mucinous colorectal cancer: genome-wide common variant and gene-based rare variant analyses

Background

Colorectal cancer has significant impact on individuals and healthcare systems. Many genes have been identified to influence its pathogenesis. However, the genetic basis of mucinous tumor histology, an aggressive subtype of colorectal cancer, is currently not well-known. This study aimed to identify common and rare genetic variations that are associated with the mucinous tumor phenotype.

Methods

Genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data was investigated in a colorectal cancer patient cohort (n = 505). Association analyses were performed for 729,373 common SNPs and 275,645 rare SNPs. Common SNP association analysis was performed using univariable and multivariable logistic regression under different genetic models. Rare-variant association analysis was performed using a multi-marker test.

Results

No associations reached the traditional genome-wide significance. However, promising genetic associations were identified. The identified common SNPs significantly improved the discriminatory accuracy of the model for mucinous tumor phenotype. Specifically, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased from 0.703 (95% CI: 0.634–0.773) to 0.916 (95% CI: 0.873–0.960) when considering the most significant SNPs. Additionally, the rare variant analysis identified a number of genetic regions that potentially contain causal rare variants associated with the mucinous tumor phenotype.

Conclusions

This is the first study applying both common and rare variant analyses to identify genetic associations with mucinous tumor phenotype using a genome-wide genotype data. Our results suggested novel associations with mucinous tumors. Once confirmed, these results will not only help us understand the biological basis of mucinous histology, but may also help develop targeted treatment options for mucinous tumors.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s40364-018-0133-z) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Hypothesis and data-driven dietary patterns and colorectal Cancer survival: findings from Newfoundland and Labrador colorectal Cancer cohort

Background

Dietary patterns are commonly used in epidemiological research, yet there have been few studies assessing if and how research results may vary across dietary patterns. This study aimed to estimate the risk of mortality/recurrence/metastasis using different dietary patterns and comparison amongst the patterns.

Methods

Dietary patterns were identified by Cluster Analysis (CA), Principal Component Analysis (PCA), Alternate Mediterranean Diet score (altMED), Recommended Food Score (RFS) and Dietary Inflammatory Index (DII) scores using a 169-item food frequency questionnaire.

Five hundred thirty-two colorectal cancer patients diagnosed between 1999 and 2003 in Newfoundland were followed-up until 2010. Overall Mortality (OM) and combined Mortality, Recurrence or Metastasis (cMRM) were identified. Comparisons were made with adjusted Cox proportional Hazards Ratios (HRs), correlation coefficients and the distributions of individuals in defined clusters by quartiles of factor and index scores.

Results

One hundred and seventy cases died from all causes and 29 had a cancer recurrence/metastasis during follow-up. Processed meats as classified by PCA (HR 1.82; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07–3.09), clusters characterized by meat and dairy products (HR 2.19; 95% CI 1.03–4.67) and total grains, sugar, soft drinks (HR 1.95; 95% CI 1.13–3.37) were associated with a higher risk of cMRM. Poor adherence to AltMED increased the risk of all-cause OM (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.04–2.56). Prudent vegetable, high sugar pattern, RFS and DII had no significant association with both OM and cMRM.

Conclusion

Estimation of OM and cMRM varied across dietary patterns which is attributed to the differences in the foundation of each pattern.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12937-018-0362-x) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Association of rs2282679 A>C polymorphism in vitamin D binding protein gene with colorectal cancer risk and survival: effect modification by dietary vitamin D intake

Background

The rs2282679 A>C polymorphism in the vitamin D binding protein gene is associated with lower circulating levels of vitamin D. We investigated associations of this SNP with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk and survival and whether the associations vary by dietary vitamin D intake and tumor molecular phenotype.

Methods

A population-based case-control study identified 637 incident CRC cases (including 489 participants with follow-up data on mortality end-points) and 489 matched controls. Germline DNA samples were genotyped with the Illumina Omni-Quad 1 Million chip in cases and the Affymetrix Axiom® myDesign™ Array in controls. Logistic regression examined the association between the rs2282679 polymorphism and CRC risk with inclusion of potential confounders. Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox models assessed the polymorphism relative to overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS).

Results

The rs2282679 polymorphism was not associated with overall CRC risk; there was evidence, however, of effect modification by total vitamin D intake (P_interaction = 0.019). Survival analyses showed that the C allele was correlated with poor DFS (per-allele HR, 1.36; 95%CI, 1.05–1.77). The association of rs2282679 on DFS was limited to BRAF wild-type tumors (HR, 1.58; 95%CI, 1.12–2.23). For OS, the C allele was associated with higher all-cause mortality among patients with higher levels of dietary vitamin D (HR, 2.11; 95%CI, 1.29–3.74), calcium (HR, 1.93; 95%CI, 1.08–3.46), milk (HR, 2.36; 95%CI, 1.26–4.44), and total dairy product intakes (HR, 2.03; 95%CI, 1.11–3.72).

Conclusion

The rs2282679 SNP was not associated with overall CRC risk, but may be associated with survival after cancer diagnosis. The association of this SNP on survival among CRC patients may differ according to dietary vitamin D and calcium intakes and according to tumor BRAF mutation status.

XRCC3 Thr241Met and TYMS variable number tandem repeat polymorphisms are associated with time-to-metastasis in colorectal cancer

Background

Metastasis is a major cause of mortality in cancer. Identifying prognostic factors that distinguish patients who will experience metastasis in the short-term and those that will be free of metastasis in the long-term is of particular interest in current medical research. The objective of this study was to examine if select genetic polymorphisms can differentiate colorectal cancer patients based on timing and long-term risk of metastasis.

Methods

The patient cohort consisted of 402 stage I-III colorectal cancer patients with microsatellite instability (MSI)-low (MSI-L) or microsatellite stable (MSS) tumors. We applied multivariable mixture cure model, which is the proper model when there is a substantial group of patients who remain free of metastasis in the long-term, to 26 polymorphisms. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the change in discriminatory accuracy of the models when the significant SNPs were included.

Results

After adjusting for significant baseline characteristics, two polymorphisms were significantly associated with time-to-metastasis: TT and TC genotypes of the XRCC3 Thr241Met (p = 0.042) and the 3R/3R genotype of TYMS 5’-UTR variable number tandem repeat (VNTR) (p = 0.009) were associated with decreased time-to-metastasis. ROC curves showed that the discriminatory accuracy of the model is increased slightly when these polymorphisms were added to the significant baseline characteristics.

Conclusions

Our results indicate XRCC3 Thr241Met and TYMS 5’-UTR VNTR polymorphisms are associated with time-to-metastasis, and may have potential biological roles in expediting the metastatic process. Once replicated, these associations could contribute to the development of precision medicine for colorectal cancer patients.

Inflammatory diet and risk for colorectal cancer: A population-based case-control study in Newfoundland, Canada

OBJECTIVE

Chronic inflammation is implicated in causing cancer. Diet plays an important role in regulating chronic inflammation by altering circulating levels of inflammatory biomarkers. Effect of single food or nutrient on cancer often is inconclusive; perhaps due to dietary interactions and multicolinearity. The aim of this study was to determine prediagnostic inflammatory potential of overall diet in relation to risk for colorectal cancer (CRC).

METHODS

In all, 547 patients with CRC from Newfoundland Familial Colorectal Cancer Registry and 685 controls from the general population were identified. Data on sociodemographic, medical history, lifestyle, and a 169-item food frequency questionnaire were collected retrospectively from both groups. Energy-adjusted Dietary Inflammatory Index (DII) score was calculated and used as both categorical and continuous variables for analysis. Odds ratio was estimated using multivariable logistic regression after adjusting potential confounders. A linear test for trend was performed using the median value in each quartile.

RESULTS

Overall energy-adjusted mean DII score was -0.81 (range -5.19 to 6.93). Cases (-0.73 ± 1.5) had slightly higher DII scores than controls (-0.89 ± 1.6; P = 0.04). After adjusting the potential confounders, a statistically significant association was found between DII score and CRC risk. Using DII as a continuous variable (odds ratio [OR]_continuous 1.10, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.20) and categorical variable (OR_{quartile 1 versus 4} 1.65, 95% CI 1.13-2.42; P_trend = 0.02).

CONCLUSION

Our findings indicate that proinflammatory diets are associated with an increased risk for CRC in the Newfoundland population.

Evaluation of a population-based approach to familial colorectal cancer

As Newfoundland has the highest rate of familial colorectal cancer (CRC) in the world, we started a population‐based clinic to provide colonoscopic and Lynch syndrome (LS) screening recommendations to families of CRC patients based on family risk. Of 1091 incident patients 51% provided a family history. Seventy‐two percent of families were at low or intermediate–low risk of CRC and colonoscopic screening recommendations were provided by letter. Twenty‐eight percent were at high and intermediate–high risk and were referred to the genetic counsellor, but only 30% (N = 48) were interviewed by study end. Colonoscopy was recommended more frequently than every 5 years in 35% of families. Lower family risk was associated with older age of proband but the frequency of screening colonoscopy recommendations varied across all age groups, driven by variability in family history. Twenty‐four percent had a high MMR predict score for a Lynch syndrome mutation, and 23% fulfilled the Provincial Program criteria for LS screening. A population‐based approach in the provision of colonoscopic screening recommendations to families at risk of CRC was limited by the relatively low response rate. A family history first approach to the identification of LS families was inefficient.

Analyzing Health-Related Quality of Life in the EVOLVE Trial: The Joint Impact of Treatment and Clinical Events

BACKGROUND

The Evaluation of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events (EVOLVE) clinical trial evaluated the effects of cinacalcet on clinical events in patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism (sHPT) who were on hemodialysis. Health-related quality of life (HRQoL) was assessed by a generic, preference-based health outcome measure (EQ-5D) at scheduled visits and after a study event. Here, we report the HRQoL analysis from EVOLVE.

METHODS

We assessed changes in HRQoL from baseline to scheduled visits, and estimated the acute (3 mo) and chronic (beyond 3 mo) effects of sHPT-related events on HRQoL using generalized estimating equation analysis controlling for baseline HRQoL and randomized assignment.

RESULTS

Data on HRQoL were available for 3547 of 3883 subjects, with 1650 events in the placebo and 1502 in the cinacalcet arm. At the study end, no difference in change from baseline HRQoL was observed in the direct comparison of EQ-5D by treatment arms. The regression analysis showed significant effects of events on HRQoL and a modest positive effect of cinacalcet. Estimated quality-adjusted life-year gains were of similar magnitude based on the observed data or the predictions from the model, with only a small gain in precision from the predicted analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

By contrast with a conventional comparison, a regression analysis demonstrated large decrements in HRQoL after events and a modest improvement in HRQoL with cinacalcet. As randomized controlled trials are rarely powered to detect differences in HRQoL, a prespecified regression analysis may be acceptable to improve precision of the effects and understand their origin.

Long-Term Clinical Outcome of Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy in Individuals With a p.S358L Mutation in TMEM43 Following Implantable Cardioverter Defibrillator Therapy

Background—

We previously showed a survival benefit of the implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) in males with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy caused by a p.S358L mutation in TMEM43 . We present long-term data (median follow-up 8.5years) after ICD for primary (PP) and secondary prophylaxis in males and females, determine whether ICD discharges for ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation were equivalent to an aborted death, and assess relevant clinical predictors.

Methods and Results—

We studied 24 multiplex families segregating an autosomal dominant p.S358L mutation in TMEM43 . We compared survival in 148 mutation carriers with an ICD to 148 controls matched for age, sex, disease status, and family. Of 80 male mutation carriers with ICDs (median age at implantation 31 years), 61 (76%) were for PP; of 68 females (median age at implantation 43 years), 66 (97%) were for PP. In males, irrespective of indication, survival was better in the ICD groups compared with control groups (relative risk 9.3 [95% confidence interval 3.3–26] for PP and 9.7 [95% confidence interval 3.2–29.6] for secondary prophylaxis). For PP females, the relative risk was 3.6 (95% confidence interval 1.3–9.5). ICD discharge-free survival for ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation ≥240 beats per minute was equivalent to the control survival rate. Ectopy (≥1000 premature ventricular complexes/24 hours) was the only independent clinical predictor of ICD discharge in males, and no predictor was identified in females.

Conclusions—

ICD therapy is indicated for PP in postpubertal males and in females ≥30 years with the p.S358L TMEM43 mutation. ICD termination of rapid ventricular tachycardia/ventricular fibrillation can reasonably be considered an aborted death.

Promoter methylation of ITF2, but not APC, is associated with microsatellite instability in two populations of colorectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Aberrant Wnt signaling activation occurs commonly in colorectal carcinogenesis, leading to upregulation of many target genes. APC (adenomatous polyposis coli) is an important component of the β-catenin destruction complex, which regulates Wnt signaling, and is often mutated in colorectal cancer (CRC). In addition to mutational events, epigenetic changes arise frequently in CRC, specifically, promoter hypermethylation which silences tumor suppressor genes. APC and the Wnt signaling target gene ITF2 (immunoglobulin transcription factor 2) incur hypermethylation in various cancers, however, methylation-dependent regulation of these genes in CRC has not been studied in large, well-characterized patient cohorts. The microsatellite instability (MSI) subtype of CRC, featuring DNA mismatch repair deficiency and often promoter hypermethylation of MutL homolog 1 (MLH1), has a favorable outcome and is characterized by different chemotherapeutic responses than microsatellite stable (MSS) tumors. Other epigenetic events distinguishing these subtypes have not yet been fully elucidated.

METHODS

Here, we quantify promoter methylation of ITF2 and APC by MethyLight in two case-case studies nested in population-based CRC cohorts from the Ontario Familial Colorectal Cancer Registry (n = 330) and the Newfoundland Familial Colorectal Cancer Registry (n = 102) comparing MSI status groups.

RESULTS

ITF2 and APC methylation are significantly associated with tumor versus normal state (both P < 1.0 × 10(-6)). ITF2 is methylated in 45.8% of MSI cases and 26.9% of MSS cases and is significantly associated with MSI in Ontario (P = 0.002) and Newfoundland (P = 0.005) as well as the MSI-associated feature of MLH1 promoter hypermethylation (P = 6.72 × 10(-4)). APC methylation, although tumor-specific, does not show a significant association with tumor subtype, age, gender, or stage, indicating it is a general tumor-specific CRC biomarker.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates, for the first time, MSI-associated ITF2 methylation, and further reveals the subtype-specific epigenetic events modulating Wnt signaling in CRC.

Economic Evaluation of Cinacalcet in the United States: The EVOLVE Trial

BACKGROUND

Previous economic evaluations of cinacalcet in patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism (sHPT) relied on the combination of surrogate end points in clinical trials and epidemiologic studies.

OBJECTIVES

The objective was to conduct an economic evaluation of cinacalcet on the basis of the EValuation Of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower CardioVascular Events (EVOLVE) trial from a US payer perspective.

METHODS

We developed a semi-Markov model to assess the cost-effectiveness of cinacalcet in addition to conventional therapy, compared with conventional therapy alone, in patients with moderate-to-severe sHPT receiving hemodialysis. We used treatment effect estimates from the unadjusted intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis and prespecified covariate-adjusted ITT analysis as our main analyses. We assessed model sensitivity to variations in individual inputs and overall decision uncertainty through probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for cinacalcet was $61,705 per life-year and $79,562 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained using the covariate-adjusted ITT analysis. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested a 73.2% chance of the ICER being below a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000. Treatment effects from unadjusted ITT analysis yielded an ICER of $115,876 per QALY. The model was most sensitive to the treatment effect on mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In the unadjusted ITT analysis, cinacalcet does not represent a cost- effective use of health care resources when applying a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000 per QALY. When using the covariate-adjusted ITT treatment effect, which represents the least biased estimate, however, cinacalcet is a cost-effective therapy for patients with moderate-to-severe sHPT on hemodialysis.

Lessons Learned from EVOLVE for Planning of Future Randomized Trials in Patients on Dialysis

The effect of the calcimimetic cinacalcet on cardiovascular disease in patients undergoing hemodialysis with secondary hyperparathyroidism was assessed in the Evaluation of Cinacalcet Hydrochloride Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events trial. This was the largest (in size) and longest (in duration) randomized controlled clinical trial undertaken in this population. During planning, execution, analysis, and reporting of the trial, many lessons were learned, including those related to the use of a composite cardiovascular primary endpoint, definition of endpoints (particularly heart failure and severe unremitting hyperparathyroidism), importance of age for optimal stratification at randomization, use of unadjusted and adjusted intention-to-treat analysis for the primary outcome, how to respond to a lower-than-predicted event rate during the trial, development of a prespecified analytic plan that accounted for nonadherence and for cointerventions that diminished the power of the trial to observe a treatment effect, determination of the credibility of a subgroup effect, use of adverse effects database to investigate rare diseases, collection of blood for biomarker measurement not designated before trial initiation, and interpretation of the benefits-to-harms ratio for individual patients. It is likely that many of these issues will arise in the planning of future trials in CKD.

Cinacalcet, dialysate calcium concentration, and cardiovascular events in the EVOLVE trial

Among patients receiving hemodialysis, abnormalities in calcium regulation have been linked to an increased risk of cardiovascular events. Cinacalcet lowers serum calcium concentrations through its effect on parathyroid hormone secretion and has been hypothesized to reduce the risk of cardiovascular events. In observational cohort studies, prescriptions of low dialysate calcium concentration and larger observed serum-dialysate calcium gradients have been associated with higher risks of in-dialysis facility or peri-dialytic sudden cardiac arrest. We performed this study to examine the risks associated with dialysate calcium and serum-dialysate gradients among participants in the Evaluation of Cinacalcet Hydrochloride Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events (EVOLVE) trial. In EVOLVE, 3883 hemodialysis patients were randomized 1:1 to cinacalcet or placebo. Dialysate calcium was administered at the discretion of treating physicians. We examined whether baseline dialysate calcium concentration or the serum-dialysate calcium gradient modified the effect of cinacalcet on the following adjudicated endpoints: (1) primary composite endpoint (death or first non-fatal myocardial infarction, hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or peripheral vascular event); (2) cardiovascular death; and (3) sudden death. In EVOLVE, use of higher dialysate calcium concentrations was more prevalent in Europe and Latin America compared with North America. There was a significant fall in serum calcium concentration in the cinacalcet group; dialysate calcium concentrations were changed infrequently in both groups. There was no association between baseline dialysate calcium concentration or serum-dialysate calcium gradient and the endpoints examined. Neither the baseline dialysate calcium nor the serum-dialysate calcium gradient significantly modified the effects of cinacalcet on the outcomes examined. The effects of cinacalcet on cardiovascular death and major cardiovascular events are not altered by the dialysate calcium prescription and serum-dialysate calcium gradient.

Race and ethnicity influences on cardiovascular and renal events in patients with diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

The incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) has been consistently shown to be higher among blacks and Hispanics compared to whites with unmeasured risk factors and access to care as suggested explanations. In a high-risk cohort with frequent protocol-directed follow-up, we evaluated the influence of race on cardiovascular (CV) outcomes and incidence of ESRD.

METHODS

TREAT was a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study. This secondary analysis focused on role of race on outcomes. TREAT enrolled 4,038 patients with type 2 diabetes, chronic kidney disease (estimated glomerular filtration rate 20-60 mL/min per 1.73 m(2)), and anemia (hemoglobin level ≤11 g/dL) treated with either darbepoetin alfa or placebo. We compared self-described black and Hispanic patients to white patients with regard to baseline characteristics and outcomes, including mortality, CV outcomes (myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, resuscitated sudden death, and coronary revascularization), and incident ESRD. Multivariate adjusted Cox models were developed for these outcomes.

RESULTS

Black and Hispanic patients were younger, more likely women, had less prior CV disease, and higher blood pressure. During a mean follow-up of 2.4 years with comparable access to care, blacks and Hispanics had a greater risk of ESRD but a significant lower risk of myocardial infarction and coronary revascularization than whites. After adjusting for confounders, blacks remained at significantly greater risk of ESRD than whites (hazard ratio 1.53, 95% CI 1.26-1.85, P < .001), whereas this ESRD risk did not persist among Hispanics.

CONCLUSION

Despite similar access to care and lower CV event rates, the risk of ESRD was higher among blacks and Hispanics than whites. For blacks, but not Hispanics, this increase was independent of known attributable risk factors.

Cinacalcet, Fibroblast Growth Factor-23, and Cardiovascular Disease in Hemodialysis: The Evaluation of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events (EVOLVE) Trial

BACKGROUND

Patients with kidney disease have disordered bone and mineral metabolism, including elevated serum concentrations of fibroblast growth factor-23 (FGF23). These elevated concentrations are associated with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. The objective was to determine the effects of the calcimimetic cinacalcet (versus placebo) on reducing serum FGF23 and whether changes in FGF23 are associated with death and cardiovascular events.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This was a secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial comparing cinacalcet to placebo in addition to conventional therapy (phosphate binders/vitamin D) in patients receiving hemodialysis with secondary hyperparathyroidism (intact parathyroid hormone ≥300 pg/mL). The primary study end point was time to death or a first nonfatal cardiovascular event (myocardial infarction, hospitalization for angina, heart failure, or a peripheral vascular event). This analysis included 2985 patients (77% of randomized) with serum samples at baseline and 2602 patients (67%) with samples at both baseline and week 20. The results demonstrated that a significantly larger proportion of patients randomized to cinacalcet had ≥30% (68% versus 28%) reductions in FGF23. Among patients randomized to cinacalcet, a ≥30% reduction in FGF23 between baseline and week 20 was associated with a nominally significant reduction in the primary composite end point (relative hazard, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-0.98), cardiovascular mortality (relative hazard, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.50-0.87), sudden cardiac death (relative hazard, 0.57; 95% confidence interval, 0.37-0.86), and heart failure (relative hazard, 0.69; 95% confidence interval, 0.48-0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment with cinacalcet significantly lowers serum FGF23. Treatment-induced reductions in serum FGF23 are associated with lower rates of cardiovascular death and major cardiovascular events.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00345839.

Effects of Cinacalcet on Fracture Events in Patients Receiving Hemodialysis: The EVOLVE Trial

Fractures are frequent in patients receiving hemodialysis. We tested the hypothesis that cinacalcet would reduce the rate of clinical fractures in patients receiving hemodialysis using data from the Evaluation of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events trial, a placebo-controlled trial that randomized 3883 hemodialysis patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism to receive cinacalcet or placebo for ≤64 months. This study was a prespecified secondary analysis of the trial whose primary end point was all-cause mortality and non-fatal cardiovascular events, and one of the secondary end points was first clinical fracture event. Clinical fractures were observed in 255 of 1935 (13.2%) patients randomized to placebo and 238 of 1948 (12.2%) patients randomized to cinacalcet. In an unadjusted intention-to-treat analysis, the relative hazard for fracture (cinacalcet versus placebo) was 0.89 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.75 to 1.07). After adjustment for baseline characteristics and multiple fractures, the relative hazard was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.72 to 0.98). Using a prespecified lag-censoring analysis (a measure of actual drug exposure), the relative hazard for fracture was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.58 to 0.90). When participants were censored at the time of cointerventions (parathyroidectomy, transplant, or provision of commercial cinacalcet), the relative hazard was 0.71 (95% CI, 0.58 to 0.87). Fracture rates were higher in older compared with younger patients and the effect of cinacalcet appeared more pronounced in older patients. In conclusion, using an unadjusted intention-to-treat analysis, cinacalcet did not reduce the rate of clinical fracture. However, when accounting for differences in baseline characteristics, multiple fractures, and/or events prompting discontinuation of study drug, cinacalcet reduced the rate of clinical fracture by 16%-29%.

Psychometric properties of the Patient's Perception of Life on Hemodialysis Scale

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Hemodialysis (HD) is the main form of renal replacement therapy for many patients with end-stage renal disease. The purpose of this research is to assess reliability and validity of the Patient's Perception of Hemodialysis Scale.

METHODS

Using a cross-sectional design and a convenient sample (n = 236), psychometric properties of the PPHS were examined. Validity was assessed using factor analysis and Pearson's correlation. Reliability was determined using Cronbach's alpha and test-retest stability (n = 30).

RESULTS

Validity and reliability was supported.

CONCLUSION

Examination of the PPHS provides evidence that it is a valid and reliable instrument for measuring disease-specific concerns with the HD patients, assessing how people experience life, and identifying ways in which people interpret the meaning of their physical and psychosocial health and adaptation to life on HD.

The Effect of Cinacalcet on Calcific Uremic Arteriolopathy Events in Patients Receiving Hemodialysis: The EVOLVE Trial

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Uncontrolled secondary hyperparathyroidism (sHPT) in patients with ESRD is a risk factor for calcific uremic arteriolopathy (CUA; calciphylaxis).

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

Adverse event reports collected during the Evaluation of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events trial were used to determine the frequency of CUA in patients receiving hemodialysis who had moderate to severe sHPT, as well as the effects of cinacalcet versus placebo. CUA events were collected while patients were receiving the study drug.

RESULTS

Among the 3861 trial patients who received at least one dose of the study drug, 18 patients randomly assigned to placebo and six assigned to cinacalcet developed CUA (unadjusted relative hazard, 0.31; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.13 to 0.79; P=0.014). Corresponding cumulative event rates (95% CI) at year 4 were 0.011% (0.006% to 0.018%) and 0.005% (0.002% to 0.010%). By multivariable analysis, other factors associated with CUA included female sex, higher body mass index, higher diastolic BP, and history of dyslipidemia or parathyroidectomy. Median (10%, 90% percentile) plasma parathyroid hormone concentrations proximal to the report of CUA were 796 (225, 2093) pg/ml and 410 (71, 4957) pg/ml in patients randomly assigned to placebo and cinacalcet, respectively. Active use of vitamin K antagonists was recorded in 11 of 24 patients with CUA, nine randomly assigned to placebo, and two to cinacalcet, in contrast to 5%-7% at any one time point in patients in whom CUA was not reported.

CONCLUSION

Cinacalcet appeared to reduce the incidence of CUA in hemodialysis recipients who have moderate to severe sHPT.

Assessing the treatment effect in a randomized controlled trial with extensive non-adherence: the EVOLVE trial

Intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis is widely used to establish efficacy in randomized clinical trials. However, in a long-term outcomes study where non-adherence to study drug is substantial, the on-treatment effect of the study drug may be underestimated using the ITT analysis. The analyses presented herein are from the EVOLVE trial, a double-blind, placebo-controlled, event-driven cardiovascular outcomes study conducted to assess whether a treatment regimen including cinacalcet compared with placebo in addition to other conventional therapies reduces the risk of mortality and major cardiovascular events in patients receiving hemodialysis with secondary hyperparathyroidism. Pre-specified sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the impact of non-adherence on the estimated effect of cinacalcet. These analyses included lag-censoring, inverse probability of censoring weights (IPCW), rank preserving structural failure time model (RPSFTM) and iterative parameter estimation (IPE). The relative hazard (cinacalcet versus placebo) of mortality and major cardiovascular events was 0.93 (95% confidence interval 0.85, 1.02) using the ITT analysis; 0.85 (0.76, 0.95) using lag-censoring analysis; 0.81 (0.70, 0.92) using IPCW; 0.85 (0.66, 1.04) using RPSFTM and 0.85 (0.75, 0.96) using IPE. These analyses, while not providing definitive evidence, suggest that the intervention may have an effect while subjects are receiving treatment. The ITT method remains the established method to evaluate efficacy of a new treatment; however, additional analyses should be considered to assess the on-treatment effect when substantial non-adherence to study drug is expected or observed.

The Effects of Cinacalcet in Older and Younger Patients on Hemodialysis: The Evaluation of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events (EVOLVE) Trial

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The calcimimetic cinacalcet reduced the risk of death or cardiovascular (CV) events in older, but not younger, patients with moderate to severe secondary hyperparathyroidism (HPT) who were receiving hemodialysis. To determine whether the lower risk in younger patients might be due to lower baseline CV risk and more frequent use of cointerventions that reduce parathyroid hormone (kidney transplantation, parathyroidectomy, and commercial cinacalcet use), this study examined the effects of cinacalcet in older (≥65 years, n=1005) and younger (<65 years, n=2878) patients.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

Evaluation of Cinacalcet HCl Therapy to Lower Cardiovascular Events (EVOLVE) was a global, multicenter, randomized placebo-controlled trial in 3883 prevalent patients on hemodialysis, whose outcomes included death, major CV events, and development of severe unremitting HPT. The age subgroup analysis was prespecified.

RESULTS

Older patients had higher baseline prevalence of diabetes mellitus and CV comorbidity. Annualized rates of kidney transplantation and parathyroidectomy were >3-fold higher in younger relative to older patients and were more frequent in patients randomized to placebo. In older patients, the adjusted relative hazard (95% confidence interval) for the primary composite (CV) end point (cinacalcet versus placebo) was 0.70 (0.60 to 0.81); in younger patients, the relative hazard was 0.97 (0.86 to 1.09). Corresponding adjusted relative hazards for mortality were 0.68 (0.51 to 0.81) and 0.99 (0.86 to 1.13). Reduction in the risk of severe unremitting HPT was similar in both groups.

CONCLUSIONS

In the EVOLVE trial, cinacalcet decreased the risk of death and of major CV events in older, but not younger, patients with moderate to severe HPT who were receiving hemodialysis. Effect modification by age may be partly explained by differences in underlying CV risk and differential application of cointerventions that reduce parathyroid hormone.