HOSPITAL CHARACTERISTICS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH CLINICAL OUTCOMES IN PATIENTS WITH CARDIOGENIC SHOCK

ABSTRACT

Background: Regionalized systems of care for the management of cardiogenic shock (CS) are increasingly being utilized. This study aims to assess whether receiving hospital characteristics such as the availability of 24-hour coronary angiography, on-site cardiac surgery, and annual treated CS volume influence outcomes in patients transferred by emergency medical services (EMS) to hospital with CS. Methods: This population-based cohort study included consecutive adult patients with CS who were transferred to hospital by EMS between January 1, 2015 and June 30, 2019 in Victoria, Australia. Data were obtained from individually linked ambulance, hospital, and state death index data sets. The primary outcome assessed was 30-day mortality stratified by the availability of 24-hour coronary angiography (cardiac center) at the receiving hospital. Results: A total of 3,217 patients were transferred to hospital with CS. The population had an average age of 67.9 +/- 16.1 years, and 1,289 (40.1%) were female. EMS transfer to a cardiac center was associated with significantly reduced rates of 30-day mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.95), compared with noncardiac centers. Compared with the lowest annual CS volume quartile (<18 cases per year), hospitals in the highest volume quartile (>55 cases per year) had reduced risk of 30-day mortality (aOR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.56-0.91). A stepwise reduction in the adjusted probability of 30-day mortality was observed in patients transferred by EMS to trauma level 1 centers (34.6%), compared with cardiothoracic surgical centers (39.0%), noncardiac surgical metropolitan (44.9%), and rural (51.3%) cardiac centers, all P < 0.05. Conclusion: Receiving hospital characteristics are associated with survival outcomes in patients with CS. These finding have important implications for establishing regionalized systems of care for patients with CS who are transferred to hospital by EMS.

Gender Disparities in Cardiogenic Shock Treatment and Outcomes

Cardiogenic shock is associated with a high risk for morbidity and mortality. The impact of gender on treatment and outcomes is poorly defined. This study aimed to evaluate whether gender influences the clinical management and outcomes of patients with prehospital cardiogenic shock. Consecutive adult patients with cardiogenic shock who were transferred to hospital by emergency medical services (EMS) between January 1, 2015 and June 30, 2019 in Victoria, Australia were included. Data were obtained from individually linked ambulance, hospital, and state death index datasets. The primary outcome assessed was 30-day mortality, stratified by patient gender. Propensity score matching was performed for risk adjustment. Over the study period a total of 3,465 patients were identified and 1,389 patients (40.1%) were women. Propensity score matching yielded 1,330 matched pairs with no differences observed in baseline characteristics, including age, initial vital signs, pre-existing co-morbidities, etiology of shock, and prehospital interventions. In the matched cohort, women had higher rates of 30-day mortality (44.7% vs 39.2%, p = 0.009), underwent less coronary angiography (18.3% vs 27.2%, p <0.001), and revascularization with percutaneous coronary intervention (8.9% vs 14.2%, p <0.001), compared with men. In conclusion, in this large population-based study, women with cardiogenic shock who were transferred by EMS to hospital had significantly worse survival outcomes and reduced rates of invasive cardiac interventions compared to men. These data underscore the urgent need for targeted public health measures to redress gender differences in outcomes and variation with clinical care for patients with cardiogenic shock.

Determining the sensitivity of emergency dispatcher and paramedic diagnosis of stroke: statewide registry linkage study

Introduction

Correctly identifying people with suspected stroke is essential for ensuring rapid treatment. Our aims were to determine the sensitivity of emergency dispatcher and paramedic identification of patients with stroke, the factors associated with correct identification, and whether there were any implications for hospital arrival times.

Methods

Observational study using patient‐level data from the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (2015–2017) linked with ambulance and emergency department records for the state of Victoria. The registry diagnosis was the reference standard to compare with the provisional diagnoses made by emergency services personnel classified as “suspected” and “not suspected” stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA). Multivariable logistic and quintile regressions were used to determine factors associated with correct identification and timely arrival to hospital.

Results

Overall, 4717 (64%) were matched to ambulance transport records (median age: 73 years, 43% female). Stroke/TIA was suspected in 56% of registrants by call‐takers and 69% by paramedics. Older patients (75+ years) (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 0.61; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.49–0.75), females (aOR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.75–0.99), those with severe stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage were less often suspected as stroke. Cases identified as stroke had a shorter arrival time to hospital (unadjusted median minutes: stroke, 54 [43, 72] vs not stroke, 66 [51, 89]).

Conclusions

Emergency dispatchers and paramedics identified over half of patients with stroke in the prehospital setting. Important patient characteristics, such as being female and those having a severe stroke, were found that may enable refinement of prehospital ambulance protocols and dispatcher/paramedic education. Those correctly identified as stroke, arrived earlier to hospital optimizing their chances of receiving time‐critical treatments.

Development and validation of a comprehensive early risk prediction model for patients with undifferentiated acute chest pain

Aims

Existing risk scores for undifferentiated chest pain focus on excluding coronary events and do not represent a comprehensive risk assessment if an alternate serious diagnosis is present. This study aimed to develop and validate an all-inclusive risk prediction model among patients with undifferentiated chest pain.

Methods

We developed and validated a multivariable logistic regression model for a composite measure of early all-inclusive risk (defined as hospital admission excluding a discharge diagnosis of non-specific pain, 30-day all-cause mortality, or 30-day myocardial infarction [MI]) among adults assessed by emergency medical services (EMS) for non-traumatic chest pain using a large population-based cohort (January 2015 to June 2019). The cohort was randomly divided into development (146,507 patients [70%]) and validation (62,788 patients [30%]) cohorts.

Results

The composite outcome occurred in 28.4%, comprising hospital admission in 27.7%, mortality within 30-days in 1.8%, and MI within 30-days in 0.4%. The Early Chest pain Admission, MI, and Mortality (ECAMM) risk model was developed, demonstrating good discrimination in the development (C-statistic 0.775, 95% CI 0.772-0.777) and validation cohorts (C-statistic 0.765, 95% CI 0.761-0.769) with excellent calibration. Discriminatory performance for the composite outcome and individual components was higher than existing scores commonly used in undifferentiated chest pain risk stratification.

Conclusions

The ECAMM risk score model can be used as an all-inclusive risk stratification assessment of patients with non-traumatic chest pain without the limitation of a single diagnostic outcome. This model could be clinically useful to help guide decisions surrounding the need for non-coronary investigations and safety of early discharge.

Incidence, diagnoses and outcomes of ambulance attendances for chest pain: A population-based cohort study

AIMS

Non-traumatic chest pain is one of the most common reasons for calls for emergency assistance and places a significant burden on health services. This study aimed to determine age- and sex-specific incidences, diagnoses, and outcomes of patients with chest pain attended by paramedics using a large population-based sample.

METHODS

Consecutive emergency medical services (EMS) attendances for non-traumatic chest pain in Victoria, Australia from January 2015 to June 2019 were included. Data were individually linked to emergency, hospital admission and mortality records.

RESULTS

During the study period (representing 22,186,930 person-years), chest pain was the reason for contacting EMS in 257,017 of 2,736,570 attendances (9.4%). Overall incidence of chest pain attendances was 1,158 (per 100,000 person-years) with a higher incidence observed with increasing age, among females, among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders, in regional settings, and in socially disadvantaged areas. The most common diagnoses were non-specific pain (46%; 30-day mortality 0.5%), non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (5.3%; mortality 1.3%), pneumonia (3.8%; mortality 3.9%), stable coronary syndromes (3.5%; mortality 0.8%), unstable angina (3.3%; mortality 1.3%), and ST-elevation myocardial infarction (2.8%; mortality 7.0%), while pulmonary embolism (0.7%; mortality 3.2%) and aortic pathologies (0.2%; mortality 22.2%) were rare.

CONCLUSIONS

Chest pain accounts for one in ten ambulance calls, and underlying causes are diverse, with substantial differences according to age and sex. Almost half of patients are discharged from hospital with a diagnosis of non-specific pain and low rates of mortality.

Association of Socioeconomic Status With Outcomes and Care Quality in Patients Presenting With Undifferentiated Chest Pain in the Setting of Universal Health Care Coverage

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to assess whether there are disparities in incidence rates, care, and outcomes for patients with chest pain attended by emergency medical services according to socioeconomic status (SES) in a universal health coverage setting.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This was a population‐based cohort study of individually linked ambulance, emergency, hospital admission, and mortality data in the state of Victoria, Australia, from January 2015 to June 2019 that included 183 232 consecutive emergency medical services attendances for adults with nontraumatic chest pain (mean age 62 [SD 18] years; 51% women) and excluded out‐of‐hospital cardiac arrest and ST‐segment–elevation myocardial infarction. Age‐standardized incidence of chest pain was higher for patients residing in lower SES areas (lowest SES quintile 1595 versus highest SES quintile 760 per 100 000 person‐years; P<0.001). Patients of lower SES were less likely to attend metropolitan, private, or revascularization‐capable hospitals and had greater comorbidities. In multivariable models adjusted for clinical characteristics and final diagnosis, lower SES quintiles were associated with increased risks of 30‐day and long‐term mortality, readmission for chest pain and acute coronary syndrome, lower acuity emergency department triage categorization, emergency department length of stay >4 hours, and emergency department or emergency medical services discharge without hospital admission and were inversely associated with use of prehospital ECGs and transfer to a revascularization‐capable hospital for patients presenting to non‐percutaneous coronary intervention centers.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, lower SES was associated with a higher incidence of chest pain presentations to emergency medical services and differences in care and outcomes. These findings suggest that substantial disparities for socioeconomically disadvantaged chest pain cohorts exist, even in the setting of universal health care access.

Incidence and Outcomes of Nontraumatic Shock in Adults Using Emergency Medical Services in Victoria, Australia

IMPORTANCE

Nontraumatic shock is a challenging clinical condition, presenting urgent and unique demands in the prehospital setting. There is a paucity of data assessing its incidence, etiology, and clinical outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the incidence, etiology, and clinical outcomes of patients treated by emergency medical services (EMS) with nontraumatic shock using a large population-based sample.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study included consecutive adult patients with shock not related to trauma who received care by EMS between January 1, 2015, and June 30, 2019, in Victoria, Australia. Data were obtained from individually linked ambulance, hospital, and state death index data sets. During the study period there were 2 485 311 cases attended by EMS, of which 16 827 met the study's inclusion criteria for shock.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Secondary outcomes included length of hospital stay, emergency department discharge disposition, rates of coronary angiography and revascularization procedures, and the use of mechanical circulatory support.

RESULTS

A total of 12 695 patients were successfully linked, with a mean (SD) age of 65.7 (19.1) years; 6411 (50.5%) were men. The overall population-wide incidence of EMS-treated prehospital shock was 76 (95% CI, 75-77) per 100 000 person-years. An increased incidence was observed in men (79 [77-81] per 100 000 person-years), older patients (eg, aged 70-79 years: 177 [171-183] per 100 000 person-years), regional locations (outer regional or remote: 100 [94-107] per 100 000 person-years), and in areas with increased socioeconomic disadvantage (lowest socioeconomic status quintile: 92 [89-95] per 100 000 person-years). Patients with hospital outcome data were stratified into shock etiologies; 3615 (28.5%) had cardiogenic shock: 3998 (31.5%), septic shock; 1457 (11.5%), hypovolemic shock; and 3625 (28.6%), other causes of shock. Nearly one-third of patients (4158 [32.8%]) were deceased at 30 days. In multivariable analyses, increased age (all etiologies: hazard ratio [HR], 1.04; 95% CI, 1.03-1.04), female sex (cardiogenic shock: HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.12-1.42), increased initial heart rate (all etiologies: 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00-1.01), prehospital intubation (all etiologies: HR, 3.93; 95% CI, 3.48-4.44), and preexisting comorbidities (eg, chronic kidney disease, all etiologies: HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.10-1.42) were independently associated with 30-day mortality, while higher socioeconomic status (all etiologies: HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94-0.98) and increased initial systolic blood pressure (all etiologies: HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.99-0.99) were associated with lower risk.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This population-level cohort study found that EMS-treated nontraumatic shock was a common condition, with a high risk of morbidity and mortality regardless of etiology. It disproportionately affected men, older patients, patients in regional areas, and those with social disadvantage. Further studies are required to assess how current systems of care can be optimized to improve outcomes.

Linking Ambulance Records with Hospital and Death Index Data to Evaluate Patient Outcomes

Objective

Linkage of electronic administrative datasets is becoming increasingly common, offering a powerful resource for research and analysis. However, routine linkage of prehospital data with emergency department (ED) presentation and hospital admission datasets is rare. We describe a methodology used to link ambulance data with hospital ED presentations, admissions, and death records, and examine potential biases between matched and unmatched patients.

Methods

Iterative deterministic linkage methodologies were employed to link clinical, operational, and secondary triage ambulance data to ED presentations, hospital admissions, and death records in Victoria, Australia. Descriptive analyses and standardised differences were used to examine potential biases between matched and unmatched patients.

Results

A total of 2,813,913 ambulance records were available for linkage. Of the patients that were transported to a public ED (n=1,753,268), 83.3% matched with an ED record. Only small differences were observed between matched and unmatched patients for sex, year, time of day and attending crew type. The data elements with the largest standardised differences were patient age (0.25) and paramedic diagnosis (0.25). Matched patients were older (mean ± standard deviation: 55.6±25.7 vs 49.0±26.0 years) and more likely to have a paramedic-suspected cardiac, respiratory, neurological, or gastrointestinal/genitourinary condition, suspected infection/sepsis, or pain.

Conclusion

This linked dataset will facilitate a large body of research into prehospital care and patient outcomes. Although future analysis of matched patients should acknowledge the linkage error rate, our findings suggest that results are likely to be generalisable to the broader ambulance population.

Linking Data From the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry With Ambulance and Emergency Administrative Data in Victoria

Objective: In Australia, approximately 3 in 4 people with acute stroke use an ambulance. Few examples of merging ambulance clinical records, hospital government data, and national registry data for stroke exist. We sought to understand the advantages of using linked datasets for describing the full clinical journey of people with stroke and the possibility of investigating their long-term outcomes based on pre-hospital management of stroke. Method: Patient-level data from the Australian Stroke Clinical Registry (AuSCR) (January 2013-October 2017) were linked with Ambulance Victoria (AV) records and Victorian Emergency Minimum Dataset (VEMD). Probabilistic iterative matching on personal identifiers were used and records merged with a project specific identification number. Results: Of the 7,373 episodes in the AuSCR and 6,001 in the AV dataset; 4,569 (62%) were matched. Unmatched records that were positive for “arrival by ambulance” in the AuSCR and VEMD (no corresponding record in AV) were submitted to AV. AV were able to identify 148/435 additional records related to these episodes. The final cohort included 4,717 records (median age: 73 years, female 42%, ischemic stroke 66%). Conclusion: The results of the data linkage provides greater confidence for use of these data for future research related to pre-hospital management of stroke.

Ambulance management of patients with penetrating truncal trauma and hypotension in Melbourne, Australia

OBJECTIVE

Penetrating truncal trauma with hypotension is uncommon in Australia. Current pre-hospital clinical practice guidelines based on overseas studies recommend expedited transport to definitive trauma care and that i.v. fluid should only be administered to maintain palpable blood pressure.

METHODS

A retrospective review included all adult patients with penetrating truncal trauma and hypotension (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg) attended by emergency medical services in Victoria between January 2006 and December 2018. Patient pre-hospital characteristics and hospital outcomes are described using descriptive statistics. Predictors of fluid resuscitation and mortality were examined using logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

Between 2006 and 2018 there were 101 hypotensive, penetrating truncal injury major trauma patients in Melbourne, Victoria transported by road ambulance to a major trauma service. The median age of these patients was 38 years (interquartile range [IQR] 27-50) and 85% were male. Median scene time was 16.6 min (IQR 12-26) and median pre-hospital time was 53.0 min (IQR 38-66). Intravenous fluid resuscitation was given in 54.5% of cases. The mechanism of injury was stabbing in 91.1% and gunshot wound in 8.9%. Urgent surgery was required in 72.3% of cases, 32.7% of patients were admitted to the intensive care unit and there were eight deaths (8.3%).

CONCLUSION

Penetrating truncal trauma with hypotension is rare in Melbourne, Australia with most patients having the injury caused by stabbing rather than shooting. Compared with outcomes reported in the USA and Europe, the mortality rate is low.