Performance of FRAX in Men With Prostate Cancer: A Registry-Based Cohort Study

The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX®) was created to predict major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) and hip fractures in the general population. Whether FRAX accurately predicts fractures in men with prostate cancer is unknown. Our objective was to assess the performance of FRAX for predicting incident fractures in men with prostate cancer. Men from the Manitoba Bone Mineral Density (BMD) Registry (1996-2018) with prostate cancer diagnoses in the 3 years prior to dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) were identified. FRAX scores with and without BMD were calculated. From population-based healthcare data we identified incident MOF, hip fracture, any osteoporotic fracture and death from the date of BMD testing to March 31, 2018. Cox regression was performed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) per standard deviation increase in FRAX score. Observed 10-year probability (estimated with competing risk of mortality) was compared with 10-year FRAX-predicted fracture probability to assess calibration. The study population included 684 men with prostate cancer (mean age 74.6 years) and 8608 men without prostate cancer (mean age 65.5 years). FRAX stratified risk for MOF (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.48-2.45 with BMD; HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.43-2.69 without BMD) and hip fracture (HR 3.37, 95% CI 1.90-6.01 with BMD; HR 4.58, 95% CI 2.17-9.67 without BMD) in men with prostate cancer. There was no effect modification observed with prostate cancer status or current androgen deprivation therapy. Observed 10-year fracture probability in men with prostate cancer showed good agreement with FRAX with and without BMD included in the calculation (observed/predicted calibration ratios MOF 0.97, hip 1.00 with BMD; MOF 0.92, hip 0.93 with BMD). In conclusion, FRAX reliably predicts incident fractures in men with prostate cancer. © 2023 The Authors. Journal of Bone and Mineral Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

International consensus on the non-pharmacological and non-surgical management of osteoporotic vertebral fractures

We identified a knowledge gap in the non-pharmacological and non-surgical management of osteoporotic vertebral fractures.

MAIN RESULTS

This international consensus process established multidisciplinary biopsychosocial recommendations on pain, nutrition, safe movement, and exercise for individuals with acute and chronic vertebral fractures.

SIGNIFICANCE

These recommendations will guide clinical practice and inform interventions for future research.

PURPOSE

To establish international consensus on recommendations for the non-pharmacological and non-surgical management of osteoporotic vertebral fractures.

METHODS

We adopted a five-step modified Delphi consensus process: (1) literature search and content analysis, (2) creation of the survey, (3) selection of the expert panel, (4) first round of the rating process, and (5) second round of the rating process. The first round included 49 statements and eight open-ended questions; the second round included 30 statements. Panelists were asked to rate their agreement with each of the statements using a 9-point scale, with the option to provide further comments. Consensus for each statement was determined by counting the number of panelists whose rating was outside the 3-point region containing the median.

RESULTS

We invited 76 people with degree in medicine, physiotherapy, kinesiology, and experience in the management of osteoporotic vertebral; 31 (41%) and 27 (36%) experts agreed to participate to the first and the second round, respectively. The mean percentage agreement after the first and second rounds was 76.6% ± 16.0% and 90.7% ± 6.5%, respectively. We established consensus on recommendations on pain, early satiety, weight loss, bracing, safe movement, and exercise for individuals with acute and chronic vertebral fractures.

CONCLUSION

Our international consensus provides multidisciplinary biopsychosocial recommendations to guide the management of osteoporotic vertebral fractures and inform interventions for future research.

General Comorbidity Indicators Contribute to Fracture Risk Independent of FRAX: Registry-Based Cohort Study

CONTEXT

FRAX® estimates 10-year fracture probability from osteoporosis-specific risk factors. Medical comorbidity indicators are associated with fracture risk but whether these are independent from those in FRAX is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized Johns Hopkins Aggregated Diagnosis Groups (ADG®) score or recent hospitalization number may be independently associated with increased risk for fractures.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included women and men age ≥ 40 in the Manitoba BMD Registry (1996-2016) with at least 3 years prior health care data and used linked administrative databases to construct ADG scores along with number of hospitalizations for each individual. Incident Major Osteoporotic Fracture and Hip Fracture was ascertained during average follow-up of 9 years; Cox regression analysis determined the association between increasing ADG score or number of hospitalizations and fractures.

RESULTS

Separately, hospitalizations and ADG score independently increased the hazard ratio for fracture at all levels of comorbidity (hazard range 1.2-1.8, all P < 0.05), irrespective of adjustment for FRAX, BMD, and competing mortality. Taken together, there was still a higher than predicted rate of fracture at all levels of increased comorbidity, independent of FRAX and BMD but attenuated by competing mortality. Using an intervention threshold of major fracture risk >20%, application of the comorbidity hazard ratio multiplier to the patient population FRAX scores would increase the number of treatment candidates from 8.6% to 14.4%.

CONCLUSION

Both complex and simple measures of medical comorbidity may be used to modify FRAX-based risk estimates to capture the increased fracture risk associated with multiple comorbid conditions in older patients.

Relationships Between Obesity and Incidence of Fractures in a Middle‐Aged Population: A Study from the CARTaGENE Cohort

The association between obesity and fracture risk is complex and may vary by definition of obesity, skeletal site, and sex. We aimed to evaluate the relationships between obesity, defined using body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference (WC), and fracture incidence at any site and by skeletal site (i.e., major osteoporotic fractures [MOFs], distal lower limb fractures [tibia, ankle, feet], and distal upper limb fractures [forearm/elbow, wrist]). The secondary aim was to assess the aforementioned relationships by sex. We used CARTaGENE, a large population-based cohort of individuals aged 40-70 years from Quebec, Canada, who were assessed in 2009-2010. Incident fractures were identified via linkage with healthcare administrative databases over a 7-year period. Cox proportional hazard models adjusted for several potential confounders were used to estimate the relationships, with exposures treated as continuous variables. Results are reported as adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals. We identified 19 357 individuals (mean ± standard deviation: age 54 ± 8 years, BMI 27 ± 5 kg/m², WC 94 ± 14 cm; 51.6% women). During follow-up, 497 women and 323 men sustained a fracture. There was a linear relationship between fracture incidence and WC, while cubic splines best fitted the relationship for BMI. Greater WC was associated with an increased risk of fracture at the distal lower limbs in the whole cohort and in the subgroup of women: aHR for each 10 cm increased in WC of 1.12 (1.03, 1.21) and 1.12 (1.01, 1.24), respectively. In men, WC was not significantly associated with any fracture outcome. Higher BMI was also significantly associated with distal lower limb fracture risk in the whole cohort (p = 0.018). No significant relationships were found between either WC or BMI and the risk of any fracture, MOFs, and distal upper limb fractures. In middle-aged individuals, obesity, and mainly abdominal obesity, was associated with distal lower limb fracture risk. © 2023 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Variation in bone mineral density and fractures over 20 years among Canadians: a comparison of the Canadian Multicenter Osteoporosis Study and the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging

International variations in osteoporosis and fracture rates have been reported, with temporal trends differing between populations. We observed higher BMD and lower fracture prevalence in a recently recruited cohort compared to that of a cohort recruited 20 years ago, even after adjusting for multiple covariates.

PURPOSE

We explored sex-specific differences in femoral neck bone mineral density (FN-BMD) and in prevalent major osteoporotic fractures (MOF) using two Canadian cohorts recruited 20 years apart.

METHODS

We included men and women aged 50-85 years from the Canadian Multicentre Osteoporosis Study (CaMos, N = 6,479; 1995-1997) and the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA, N = 19,534; 2012-2015). We created regression models to compare FN-BMD and fracture risk between cohorts, adjusting for important covariates. Among participants with prevalent MOF, we compared anti-osteoporosis medication use.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) age in CaMos (65.4 years [8.6]) was higher than in CLSA (63.8 years [9.1]). CaMos participants had lower mean body mass index and higher prevalence of smoking (p < 0.001). Adjusted linear regression models (estimates [95%CI]) demonstrated lower FN-BMD in CaMos women (- 0.017 g/cm² [- 0.021; - 0.014]) and men (- 0.006 g/cm² [- 0.011; 0.000]), while adjusted odds ratios (95%CI) for prevalent MOF were higher in CaMos women (1.99 [1.71; 2.30]) and men (2.33 [1.82; 3.00]) compared to CLSA. In women with prevalent MOF, menopausal hormone therapy use was similar in both cohorts (43.3% vs 37.9%, p = 0.076), but supplements (32.0% vs 48.3%, p < 0.001) and bisphosphonate use (5.8% vs 17.3%, p < 0.001) were lower in CaMos. The proportion of men with MOF who received bisphosphonates was below 10% in both cohorts.

CONCLUSION

Higher BMD and lower fracture prevalence were noted in the more recently recruited CLSA cohort compared to CaMos, even after adjusting for multiple covariates. We noted an increase in bisphosphonate use in the recent cohort, but it remained very low in men.

Should vertebral fracture assessment be performed in Fracture Liaison Service patients with non-vertebral fracture?

Prior non-vertebral fractures, except of the ankle, are associated with increased likelihood of vertebral fracture. As knowledge of vertebral fracture presence may alter care, vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) is indicated in patients with prior fracture.

INTRODUCTION

Vertebral fractures are often unappreciated. It was recently advocated that all Fracture Liaison Service (FLS) patients have densitometric VFA performed. We evaluated the likelihood of vertebral fracture identification with VFA in patients with prior fracture using the Manitoba Bone Density database. METHODS : VFA was performed in patients with T-scores below - 1.5 and age 70 + (or younger with height loss or glucocorticoid use) obtaining bone densitometry in Manitoba from 2010 to 2018. Those with prior clinical vertebral fracture, pathologic fracture, or uninterpretable VFA were excluded. Vertebral fractures were identified using the modified ABQ method. Health records were assessed for non-vertebral fracture (excluding head, neck, hand, foot) diagnosis codes unassociated with trauma prior to DXA. Multivariable odds ratios (ORs) for vertebral fracture were estimated without and with adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, ethnicity, area of residence, income level, comorbidity score, diabetes mellitus, falls in the last year, glucocorticoid use, and lowest BMD T-score.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 12,756 patients (94.4% women) with mean (SD) age 75.9 (6.8) years. Vertebral fractures were identified in 1925 (15.1%) overall. Vertebral fractures were significantly more likely (descending order) in those with prior pelvis, hip, humerus, other sites, and forearm, but not ankle fracture. There was modest attenuation with covariate adjustment but statistical significance was maintained.

CONCLUSIONS

Prior hip, humerus, pelvis, forearm, and other fractures are associated with an increased likelihood of previously undiagnosed vertebral fracture, information useful for risk stratification and monitoring. These data support recommending VFA in FLS patients who are age 70 + with low BMD.

Race/ethnic differences in the prevalence of osteoporosis, falls and fractures: a cross-sectional analysis of the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging

Most of the published epidemiology on osteoporosis is derived from White populations; still many countries have increasing ethno-culturally diverse populations, leading to gaps in the development of population-specific effective fracture prevention strategies. We describe differences in prevalent fracture and bone mineral density patterns in Canadians of different racial/ethnic backgrounds.

INTRODUCTION

We described prevalent fracture and bone mineral density (BMD) patterns in Canadians by their racial/ethnic backgrounds.

METHODS

For this cross-sectional analysis, we used the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging baseline data (2011-2015) of 22,091 randomly selected participants of Black, East Asian, South or Southeast Asian (SSEA) and White race/ethnic backgrounds, aged 45-85 years with available information on the presence or absence of self-reported prevalent low trauma fractures and femoral neck BMD (FNBMD) measurement. Logistic and linear regression models examined associations of race/ethnic background with fracture and FNBMD, respectively. Covariates included sex, age, height, body mass index (BMI), grip strength and physical performance score.

RESULTS

We identified 11,166 women and 10,925 men. Self-reported race/ethnic backgrounds were: 139 Black, 205 East Asian, 269 SSEA and 21,478 White. White participants were older (mean 62.5 years) than the other groups (60.5 years) and had a higher BMI (28.0 kg/m²) than both Asian groups, but lower than the Black group. The population-weighted prevalence of falls was 10.0%, and that of low trauma fracture was 12.0% ranging from 3.3% (Black) to 12.3% (White), with Black and SSEA Canadians having lower adjusted odds ratios (aOR) of low trauma fractures than White Canadians (Black, aOR = 0.3 [95% confidence interval: 0.1-0.7]; SSEA, aOR = 0.5 [0.3-0.8]). The mean (SD) FNBMD varied between groups: Black, 0.907 g/cm² (0.154); East Asian, 0.748 g/cm² (0.119); SSEA, 0.769 g/cm² (0.134); and White, 0.773 g/cm² (0.128). Adjusted linear regressions suggested that Black and both Asian groups had higher FNBMD compared to White.

CONCLUSION

Our results support the importance of characterizing bone health predictors in Canadians of different race/ethnic backgrounds to tailor the development of population-specific fracture prevention strategies.

Perceptions of fracture and fall risk and of the benefits and barriers to exercise in adults with diabetes

The increased risk of fractures and falls is under-appreciated by adults living with diabetes and by their healthcare providers. Strategies to overcome perceived exercise barriers and exercise programs optimized for bone health should be implemented.

PURPOSE

The purpose of the study was to assess the perceptions of fracture and fall risk, and the perceived benefits of and barriers to exercise in adults ≥ 50 years old living with type 1 (T1D) and type 2 diabetes (T2D).

METHODS

Participants were recruited through social media and from medical clinics and invited to complete a self-administered online survey, comprising 38 close-ended questions and 4 open-ended questions.

RESULTS

A total of 446 participants completed the survey: 38% T1D, 59% T2D, and 3% with unreported diabetes type. Most participants did not believe that having diabetes increased their risk of fractures (81%) nor falls (68%), and more than 90% reported having not been informed about diabetes-related fracture risk by their physicians. Among exercise types, participation in moderate aerobic exercise was most common (54%), while only 31%, 32%, and 37% of participants engaged in strenuous aerobic, resistance, and balance/flexibility exercise, respectively. The most prevalent barrier to exercise for both T1D and T2D was a lack of motivation, reported by 54% of participants. Lack of time and fear of hypoglycemia were common exercise barriers reported by participants with T1D. Most participants owned a smart phone (69%), tablet (60%), or computer (56%), and 46% expressed an interest in partaking in virtually delivered exercise programs.

CONCLUSIONS

Adults living with diabetes have limited awareness of increased fall and fracture risk. These risks are insufficiently highlighted by health care providers; strategies to overcome perceived exercise barriers and exercise programs optimized for bone health should be implemented.

ODP127 Trabecular Bone Score and Advanced Glycation End Products In Adults with Type 1 Diabetes

Background

Individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) have a two- to threefold increase in fracture risk at any site, and up to a sevenfold increase in hip fracture risk compared to those without diabetes. Reduced bone quality appears to contribute to the increased fracture risk observed in this population. Advanced glycation end products (AGEs) tissue accumulation, which reflects long-term glycemic control, may influence bone quality in T1D.

Objective

We aimed to determine if skin AGEs, as a surrogate marker for bone AGEs, are associated with vertebral trabecular bone score (TBS),anindex of bone microarchitecture derived from lumbar spine dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) images and evaluating bone quality.

Methods

We present preliminary data from subjects with T1D who participated in a cross-sectional study aiming at comparing the prevalence of vertebral fractures between adult subjects with T1D from two tertiary care centers and age-, sex- and BMI-matched controls without diabetes. TBS and bone mineral density (BMD) were assessed using DXA. Skin AGEs were measured by skin autofluorescence. Simple and multiple linear regression analyses were used to explore the factors associated with TBS.

Results

One hundred and six subjects with T1D (52.8% women; mean age 42.7±14.7 years; mean BMI 26.9±5.6 kg/m 2; mean diabetes duration 27.6±12.3 years; 48.1% with a microvascular complication; mean HbA 1C in the preceding 3 years 7.5±0.9%; mean skin AGEs 2.15±0.54 units; mean TBS 1.428±0.113) were included. Higher skin AGEs were associated with a lower TBS in simple regression analysis (p=0. 012). In multiple linear regression, older age, male sex, higher BMI, current smoking, higher serum calcium, lower lumbar spine and femoral neck BMD, but not skin AGEs, were significantly associated with a lower TBS (model adjusted R 2 =0.65).

Conclusion

In this population with relatively well-controlled T1D, skin AGEs were not independently associated with TBS.

Presentation: No date and time listed

Mobile App Prototype in Older Adults for Postfracture Acute Pain Management: User-Centered Design Approach

BACKGROUND

Postfracture acute pain is often inadequately managed in older adults. Mobile health (mHealth) technologies can offer opportunities for self-management of pain; however, insufficient apps exist for acute pain management after a fracture, and none are designed for an older adult population.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to design, develop, and evaluate an mHealth app prototype using a human-centered design approach to support older adults in the self-management of postfracture acute pain.

METHODS

This study used a multidisciplinary and user-centered design approach. Overall, 7 stakeholders (ie, 1 clinician-researcher specialized in internal medicine, 2 user experience designers, 1 computer science researcher, 1 clinical research assistant researcher, and 2 pharmacists) from the project team, together with 355 external stakeholders, were involved throughout our user-centered development process that included surveys, requirement elicitation, participatory design workshops, mobile app design and development, mobile app content development, and usability testing. We completed this study in 3 phases. We analyzed data from prior surveys administered to 305 members of the Canadian Osteoporosis Patient Network and 34 health care professionals to identify requirements for designing a low-fidelity prototype. Next, we facilitated 4 participatory design workshops with 6 participants for feedback on content, presentation, and interaction with our proposed low-fidelity prototype. After analyzing the collected data using thematic analysis, we designed a medium-fidelity prototype. Finally, to evaluate our medium-fidelity prototype, we conducted usability tests with 10 participants. The results informed the design of our high-fidelity prototype. Throughout all the phases of this development study, we incorporated inputs from health professionals to ensure the accuracy and validity of the medical content in our prototypes.

RESULTS

We identified 3 categories of functionalities necessary to include in the design of our initial low-fidelity prototype: the need for support resources, diary entries, and access to educational materials. We then conducted a thematic analysis of the data collected in the design workshops, which revealed 4 themes: feedback on the user interface design and usability, requests for additional functionalities, feedback on medical guides and educational materials, and suggestions for additional medical content. On the basis of these results, we designed a medium-fidelity prototype. All the participants in the usability evaluation tests found the medium-fidelity prototype useful and easy to use. On the basis of the feedback and difficulties experienced by participants, we adjusted our design in preparation for the high-fidelity prototype.

CONCLUSIONS

We designed, developed, and evaluated an mHealth app to support older adults in the self-management of pain after a fracture. The participants found our proposed prototype useful for managing acute pain and easy to interact with and navigate. Assessment of the clinical outcomes and long-term effects of our proposed mHealth app will be evaluated in the future.

Fracture risk in Asian-Canadian women is significantly over-estimated by the Canadian Association of Radiologists-Osteoporosis Canada risk prediction tool: retrospective cohort study

Fracture risk calculators may not be accurate for all ethnicity groups. The Manitoba bone density registry was used to test the Canadian CAROC tool for predicting fracture risk in Asian-Canadian women. The tool significantly over-estimated fracture risk, suggesting that it may not be ideal for Asian-Canadian patients.

PURPOSE

Health risk prediction tools based on largely White populations may lead to treatment inequity when applied to non-White populations where outcome rates differ. We examined the calibration of the Canadian Association of Radiologists-Osteoporosis Canada (CAROC) fracture risk prediction tool in self-identified Asian-Canadian women.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of women over age 50 using the Manitoba BMD Registry. At first BMD, the intake questionnaire collected self-identification of ethnicity and fracture risk factors. 10-year fracture risk was estimated using CAROC and categorized into low, medium, or high fracture risk. Linked administrative databases identified incident osteoporotic fractures. Observed fracture rates were compared between White and Asian-Canadians and compared to the original CAROC risk stratification.

RESULTS

There were 63,632 and 1703 women who self-identified as White-Canadian or Asian-Canadian, respectively, covering approximately 600,000 patient-years follow-up. There were 6588 incident fractures; a similar percentage of patients were assigned to each risk stratum at baseline by CAROC. A progressive rise in 10-year observed fracture rates occurred for each CAROC stratum in the White-Canadian population but much lower fracture rates than predicted in Asian-Canadian patients (p &lt; 0.001). Fracture incidence rate ratios were 1.9-2.6 fold higher in White- vs Asian-Canadian patients for all strata (p &lt; 0.001). In the CAROC moderate and high-risk categories, observed fracture rates in Asian-Canadian patients were typically lower than predicted, indicating poor model calibration.

CONCLUSION

In Asian-Canadian women, observed osteoporosis fracture rates are lower than predicted when using the CAROC tool. Over-estimation of fracture risk may influence shared decision-making discussions.

Association Among Cognition, Frailty, and Falls and Self-Reported Incident Fractures: Results From the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA)

Cognition, frailty, and falls have been examined independently as potential correlates of fracture risk, but not simultaneously. Our objective was to explore the association between cognition, frailty, and falls and self-reported incident fractures to determine if these factors show significant independent associations or interactions. We included participants who completed the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA) 2012-2015 baseline comprehensive assessment, did not experience any self-reported fractures in the year prior to cohort recruitment, and completed the follow-up questionnaire at year 3 (n = 26,982). We compared all baseline cognitive measures available in the CLSA, the Rockwood Frailty Index (FI), and presence of self-reported falls in the past 12 months in those with versus without self-reported incident fractures in year 3 of follow-up. We used multivariable logistic regression adjusted for covariates and examined two-way interactions between cognition, frailty, and prior falls. CLSA specified analytic weights were applied. The mean ± standard error (SE) age of participants was 59.5 ± 0.1 years and 52.2% were female. A total of 715 participants (2.7%) self-reported incident fractures at 3-year follow-up. Participants who experienced incident fractures had similar baseline cognition scores (mean ± SE; Rey Auditory Verbal Learning Test [RAVLT]: Immediate recall 6.1 ± 0.1 versus 5.9 ± 0.0; standardized difference [d] 0.124); higher FI scores (mean ± SE; FI 0.134 ± 0.005 versus 0.116 ± 0.001; d 0.193), and a greater percentage had fallen in the past 12 months (weighted n [%] 518 [7.2] versus 919 [3.5]; d 0.165). FI (each increment of 0.08) was associated with a significantly increased risk of self-reported incident fractures in participants of all ages and those aged 65 years or older (adjusted odd ratio [OR] 1.24, 95% confidence limit [CL] 1.10-1.40; adjusted OR 1.44, 95% CL 1.11-1.52, respectively). The adjusted odds for self-reported incident fractures in participants of all ages was also significantly associated with falls in the past 12 months prior to baseline (adjusted OR 1.83; 95% CL 1.13-2.97), but not in those aged 65 years or older. No interactions between cognition, frailty, and prior falls were found. However, considering the relatively young age of our cohort, it may be appropriate to make strong inferences in individuals older than 65 years of age. © 2022 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.

Effect of Discordant Hip Bone Density on Incident Fracture Risk: A Registry-Based Cohort Study

The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX®) combines clinical risk factors and optionally femoral neck bone density to estimate major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture probability. Hip dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) simultaneously measures the trochanter and total hip, but these regions are not considered by FRAX. Our aim was to determine whether discordance in trochanter and total hip bone density (defined as ≥1 T-score difference from the femoral neck) affects fracture risk adjusted for fracture probability. Using the Manitoba bone density registry, we identified 84,773 women and men age 40 years or older undergoing baseline hip DXA. The outcomes were incident MOF and hip fracture. Cox regression hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for baseline fracture probability were used to test the association between hip T-score discordance and incident fractures. Hip T-score discordance affected more than one in five subjects (trochanter lower in 3.9%, higher in 14.2%; total hip lower in 0.3%, higher in 14.9%). After mean 8.8 years there were 8444 incident MOF including 2664 hip fractures. Discordantly lower trochanter and lower total hip T-score (≥1 below femoral neck) was associated with increased risk for MOF (adjusted HRs 1.47 and 1.60) and hip fracture (HRs 1.85 and 2.12), while discordantly higher trochanter and total hip T-score (≥1 above femoral neck) was associated with lower risk for MOF (HRs 0.83 and 0.71) and hip fracture (HRs 0.79 and 0.68). In models that examined the trochanter and total hip simultaneously, discordantly lower trochanter T-score was associated with increased incident MOF and hip fracture risk (HRs 1.43 and 1.79) whereas discordantly higher total hip T-score was associated with lower risk (HRs 0.73 and 0.75). In conclusion, trochanter and total hip regions frequently show T-scores that are discordant with the femoral neck. This information strongly affects incident fracture risk independent of fracture probability scores computed with femoral neck bone density. © 2022 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Performance of the Garvan Fracture Risk Calculator in Individuals with Diabetes: A Registry-Based Cohort Study

Diabetes increases fracture and falls risks. We evaluated the performance of the Garvan fracture risk calculator (FRC) in individuals with versus without diabetes. Using the population-based Manitoba bone mineral density (BMD) registry, we identified individuals aged 50-95 years undergoing baseline BMD assessment from 1 September 2012, onwards with diabetes and self-reported falls in the prior 12 months. Five-year Garvan FRC predictions were generated from clinical risk factors, with and without femoral neck BMD. We identified non-traumatic osteoporotic fractures (OF) and hip fractures (HF) from population-based data to 31 March 2018. Fracture risk stratification was assessed from area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC). Cox regression analysis was performed to examine the effect of diabetes on fractures, adjusted for Garvan FRC predictions. The study population consisted of 2618 women with and 14,064 without diabetes, and 636 and 2201 men with and without the same, respectively. The Garvan FRC provided significant OF and HF risk stratification in women with diabetes, similar to those without diabetes. Analyses of OF in men were limited by smaller numbers; no significant difference was evident by diabetes status. Cox regression showed that OF risk was 23% greater in women with diabetes adjusted for Garvan FRC including BMD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.49), suggesting it slightly underestimated risk; a non-significant increase in diabetes-related HF risk was noted (HR 1.37, 95% CI 0.88-2.15). Garvan FRC shows similar fracture risk stratification in individuals with versus without diabetes, but may underestimate this risk.

Time since prior fracture affects mortality at the time of clinical assessment: a registry-based cohort study

Fractures are associated with increased long-term mortality in patients surviving to undergo baseline DXA. Notably, excess mortality risk does not decline with increasing time since prior hip or humerus fractures, even after accounting for comorbid medical conditions and other risk factors.

INTRODUCTION

Mortality risk increases following most types of fracture. In routine clinical practice, patients with prior fractures seen for dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry scan (DXA) are "survivors;" whether they remain at increased mortality risk is unknown. We tested the association between prior fracture and all-cause mortality, stratified by time since fracture, in patients undergoing baseline DXA.

METHODS

We conducted a DXA registry-based cohort study and linked to population-based health services data for the Province of Manitoba, Canada. We identified women and men ≥ 40 years with minimum 10 years of prior healthcare coverage undergoing baseline DXA and ascertained prior fracture codes since 1984 and mortality to 2017. Time since prior fracture was calculated between the clinical encounter for the fracture and baseline DXA (index date). Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios for all-cause mortality in those with compared to those without prior fracture adjusted for (1) age and sex, and (2) age, sex, comorbidities, and other covariates.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 74,474 individuals (mean age 64.6 years, 89.7% female). During mean follow-up 9.2 years, we ascertained 14,923 (20.0%) deaths. Except for forearm fractures, all fracture sites were associated with increased mortality risk compared to those without prior fracture, even after multivariable adjustment. Excess mortality risk tended to decline slightly with time since fracture and was no longer significant > 10 years after vertebral fracture. However, excess mortality persisted > 10 years following hip or humerus fracture.

CONCLUSIONS

Prior fractures are associated with increased long-term mortality in patients surviving to undergo baseline DXA. Excess mortality risk does not decline with time since prior hip or humerus fractures, after accounting for potential confounders. Fracture prevention may have important long-term benefits preserving life expectancy.

Apparent "Rapid Loss" After Short-Interval Bone Density Testing in Menopausal Women Is Usually a Measurement Artifact

CONTEXT

Medication may be considered when bone mineral density (BMD) loss is reported as "excessive."

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that the rate of BMD change between 2 serial tests demonstrates higher random variability at shorter vs longer intervals, misclassifying some women as "rapid losers."

METHODS

This retrospective observational cohort study in Manitoba, Canada included women aged > 55 years without osteoporosis medications or glucocorticoids. Using paired baseline (1998-2016) and repeat (2001-2018) BMD measurements, we estimated the distribution of annualized change (first to second BMD) at spine, hip, and femoral neck stratified by testing interval (2-2.9, 3-3.9,...9-9.9, ≥ 10.0 years). "Rapid annual bone loss" was defined as exceeding the 95th percentile for decreases from all measurement pairs. Odds ratios (OR) for rapid loss were estimated using regression models adjusted for age and clinical covariates.

RESULTS

From 7126 paired BMD measurements, mean annualized change was constant yet standard deviations in BMD change were > 2-fold greater with intervals of 2 to 2.9 years vs ≥ 10 years(P < 0.001). "Rapid annual loss" was seen in ~10% of short-interval tests vs < 1% of long-interval tests. ORs for "rapid loss" progressively declined with increasing testing interval (spine 15.3 [4.8-48.9], total hip 9.3 [4.4-19.5], femoral neck 18.7 [6.8-51.3] for a 2- to 2.9-year testing interval; referent ≥ 10 years).

CONCLUSION

There is a wider apparent range in annualized BMD loss with short-interval testing which greatly attenuates over longer intervals. BMD reports of "rapid loss" across shorter testing intervals likely reflect an artifact of BMD measurement error and should not be used as an indication for antifracture medication initiation.

The Effect of Fracture Recency on Observed 10-Year Fracture Probability: A Registry-Based Cohort Study

FRAX estimates 10-year fracture major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) and hip fracture probability from multiple risk factors. FRAX does not consider prior fracture site or time since fracture. Fracture risk is greater in the initial 2-year post-fracture period (imminent risk), implying that FRAX may underestimate risk in this setting. We used the population-based Manitoba Bone Mineral Density (BMD) Program registry to examine the effect of fracture recency and site on incident fracture risk predictions using FRAX. We identified women aged 40 years or older with baseline BMD and FRAX scores. Observed fracture outcomes to 10 years were compared with predicted 10-year fracture probability stratified by prior fracture status: none, recent (<2 years [median 0.3 years]), and remote (≥2 years [median 10.6 years]). For women with recent fractures, we also examined proposed multipliers to adjust FRAX for the effect of fracture recency and site. The cohort comprised 33,465 women aged 40 to 64 years (1897 recent fracture, 2120 remote fracture) and 33,806 women aged ≥65 years (2365 fracture, 4135 remote fracture). Observed fracture probability was consistent with predicted probability in most analyses. In women aged 40 to 64 years, there was a significant effect of recent vertebral and humerus fracture on MOF (observed to predicted 1.61 and 1.48, respectively), but these effects were still lower than the proposed multipliers (2.32 and 1.67, respectively). No significant effect of fracture recency was found after hip or forearm fracture in either age group. Our findings contribute to accumulating evidence of the importance of recent fracture. The effect of fracture recency was not consistent across fracture sites and with a lower magnitude than previously reported. Further quantification of effect size and specificity in additional independent cohorts is warranted to validate and refine recent-fracture multipliers in fracture risk assessment. © 2022 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Prevalence of Vertebral Fractures in Adults With Type 1 Diabetes: DenSiFy Study (Diabetes Spine Fractures)

CONTEXT

Vertebral fracture (VF) prevalence up to 24% has been reported among young people with type 1 diabetes (T1D). If this high prevalence is confirmed, individuals with T1D could benefit from preventative VF screening.

OBJECTIVE

We compared the prevalence of VFs between adults with T1D and nondiabetic controls.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 127 adults with T1D, and 65 controls with a similar age, sex, and BMI distribution, from outpatient clinics of 2 tertiary care centers. Vertebral fracture assessment (VFA) by dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) was used for prevalent VFs. The modified algorithm-based qualitative (mABQ) method was applied. Bone mineral density (BMD) and trabecular bone score (TBS) were assessed by DXA. Serum bone turnover markers and sclerostin were measured in a subgroup of participants.

RESULTS

Participants with T1D (70 women, 57 men) had a mean age of 42.8 ± 14.8 years, median diabetes duration of 25.8 (15.8-34.4) years, mean BMI of 26.6 ± 5.4 kg/m2 and mean HbA1c over the past 3 years of 7.5 ± 0.9%. Controls (35 women, 30 men) had mean age of 42.2 ± 15.9 years and mean BMI of 26.1 ± 5.1 kg/m2. VF prevalence was comparable between groups (2.4% vs 3.1%, P = 0.99). TBS, BMD at the total hip and femoral neck, and bone formation and resorption markers were lower while sclerostin levels were similar in participants with T1D vs controls.

CONCLUSION

Our VFA results using the mABQ method do not confirm increased prevalence of VFs in men and women with relatively well-controlled T1D.

Predictive performance of the Garvan Fracture Risk Calculator: a registry-based cohort study

The G arvan Fracture Risk Calculator predicts risk of osteoporotic fractures. We evaluated its predictive performance in 16,682 women and 2839 men from Manitoba, Canada, and found significant risk stratification, with a strong gradient across scores. The tool outperformed clinical risk factors and bone mineral density for fracture risk stratification.

INTRODUCTION

The optimal model for fracture risk estimation to guide treatment decision-making remains controversial. Our objective was to evaluate the predictive performance of the Garvan Fracture Risk Calculator (FRC) in a large clinical registry from Manitoba, Canada.

METHODS

Using the population-based Manitoba Bone Mineral Density (BMD) registry, we identified women and men aged 50-95 years undergoing baseline BMD assessment from September 1, 2012, onwards. Five-year Garvan FRC predictions were generated from clinical risk factors (CRFs) with and without femoral neck BMD. We identified incident non-traumatic osteoporotic fractures (OFs) and hip fractures (HFs) from population-based healthcare data sources to March 31, 2018. Fracture risk was assessed from area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Cox regression analysis and calibration ratios (5-year observed/predicted) were assessed for risk quintiles. All analyses were sex stratified.

RESULTS

We included 16,682 women (mean age 66.6 + / - SD 8.7 years) and 2839 men (mean age 68.7 + / - SD 10.2 years). During a mean observation time of 2.6 years, incident OFs were identified in 681 women and 140 men and HFs in 199 women and 22 men. AUROC showed significant fracture risk stratification with the Garvan FRC. Tool predictions without BMD were better than from age or decreasing weight, and the tool with BMD performed better than BMD alone. Garvan FRC with BMD performed better than without BMD, especially for HF prediction (AUROC 0.86 in women, 0.82 in men). There was a strong gradient of increasing risk across Garvan FRC quintiles (highest versus lowest, hazard ratios women 5.75 and men 3.43 for any OF; women 101.6 for HF). Calibration differences were noted, with both over- and underestimation in risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Garvan FRC outperformed CRFs and BMD alone for fracture risk stratification, particularly for HF, but may require recalibration for accurate predictions in this population.

Divergent Patterns of Antifracture Medication Use Following Fracture on Therapy: A Population-Based Cohort Study

CONTEXT

Fracture on therapy should motivate better antifracture medication adherence.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to describe osteoporosis medication adherence in women before and following a fracture.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort analysis of antifracture medication possession ratios (MPR) among women in the Manitoba BMD Registry (1996-2013) included menopausal women who started antifracture drug therapy after a dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA)-BMD assessment with follow-up for 5 years during which a nontraumatic fracture occurred at least 1 year after starting treatment. Linked prescription records determined medication adherence (estimated by MPR) in 1-year intervals. The variable of interest was MPR in the year before and after the year in which the fracture occurred, with subgroup analyses according to duration of treatment pre-fracture. We chose an MPR of ≥ 0.50 to indicate minimum adherence needed for drug efficacy.

RESULTS

There were 585 women with fracture on therapy, 193 (33%) had hip or vertebral fracture. Bisphosphonates accounted for 82.2% of therapies. Median MPR the year prior to fracture was 0.89 (IQR, 0.49-1.0) and 0.69 (IQR, 0.07-0.96) the year following the year of fracture (P < 0.0001). The percentage of women with MPR ≥ 0.5 pre-fracture was 73.8%, dropping to 57.3% post-fracture (P < 0.0001); when restricted to hip/vertebral fracture, results were similar (58.2% to 33.3%; P < 0.002). Among those with pre-fracture MPR < 0.5, only 21.7% achieved a post-fracture MPR ≥ 0.5.

CONCLUSIONS

Although fracture on therapy may motivate sustained/improved adherence, MPR remains low or even declines after fracture in many. This could reflect natural decline in MPR with time but is paradoxical to expectations. Fracture on therapy represents an important opportunity for clinicians to reemphasize treatment adherence.

Evaluation of Increasing Dairy Intake on Bone Density in Post-pubertal Youth: A Randomized Controlled Trial Using Motivational Interviewing

BACKGROUND

Adequate nutrition is important for bone health, especially for bone mineral accretion.

OBJECTIVE

The primary objective tested whether increasing dairy intake using the motivational interviewing technique (MInt) improves lumbar spine (LS) bone mineral density (BMD) after 2 years in post-pubertal adolescents with habitual dairy intake of < 2 dairy servings/day.

DESIGN

Participants (14-18.9 y) were randomized to: Group 1 (control), group 2 (target of 3 dairy servings/d), or group 3 (target of ≥ 4 dairy servings/d) for 12 months with groups 2 and 3 using MInt, with an additional 12-month non-intervention follow-up. The primay outcome was LS BMD, and secondary outcomes: whole body (WB), total hip (TH), and 33% distal radius BMD using dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry, bone geometry using peripheral quantitative computed tomography, and bone biomarkers.

RESULTS

Ninety-four adolescents (16.6 ± 1.5 y) were recruited. Seventy-six (80.9%) completed the 12-month assessments. From baseline to 12 months, dairy intake in female groups 2 and 3 increased by 107% and 208%, respectively; and by 48% and 153% in males of group 2 and 3, respectively. In females, group 3 had greater increases in THBMD (4.3 to 7.5%) compared to control (3.7 to 4.9%, P = 0.04) and group 2 (0.0 to 1.7%, P = 0.04) at 12 and 24 months. No effects due to dairy intake were observed for DXA outcomes in males or radial and tibial volumetric BMD in both sexes. None of the bone biomarkers were different among the dairy groups in females or males.

CONCLUSION

MInt effectively increased dairy intake with benefits to bone health only in female adolescents with previously low calcium intake who consumed 4 dairy serving or more/day for 12 months. Larger studies are required to explain the lack of intervention effect in males.This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov as. NCT02236871.

Differential risk of fracture attributable to type 2 diabetes mellitus according to skeletal site

BACKGROUND

Impaired bone quality, especially related to accumulation of advanced glycation end-products (AGEs) and higher incidence of falls contribute substantially to a higher risk of fracture associated with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). These factors may predispose to fractures more at skeletal sites where impaired bone toughness and falls play a larger pathogenic role (such as hip fractures) compared to skeletal sites where they are less important (such as vertebral fractures).

OBJECTIVE

To determine if the associations of T2DM with prevalent and incident vertebral fractures are as strong as they are for hip and other non-vertebral fractures.

METHODS

Amongst 80,238 individuals in the Manitoba Bone Density Program database (mean [SD] age 64.4 [11.1] years, 89.8% female, 8676 with diagnosed T2DM) with a baseline BMD test (1996-2016), we estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for incident clinical fracture at different skeletal sites in those with compared to those without T2DM using Cox proportional hazards models over a mean (SD) 9.0 (5.0) year follow-up period. We also estimated odds ratios for prevalent vertebral fracture on VFA images amongst 9594 individuals (mean [SD] 76 [6.8] years, 1185 with T2DM diagnosis at time of DXA-VFA) and for prior clinical fractures at different skeletal sites using logistic regression models.

RESULTS

After multivariable adjustment, T2DM was associated with incident hip (HR 1.63, 95% CI 1.44 to 1.85) and proximal humerus fractures (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.83), but was not associated with incident forearm fracture (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.17) and only weakly with incident clinical vertebral fracture (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.33). Similarly, T2DM was associated with prior hip (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.21 to 2.61) and prior proximal humerus fracture (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.68) but not with prior forearm (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.74 to 1.06) or prevalent vertebral fracture on VFA images (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.08).

CONCLUSION

T2DM is a stronger risk factor for hip and proximal humerus fractures than for vertebral and wrist fractures. Further research is warranted to determine if the known differences in falls and/or bone quality between T2DM and age-related osteoporosis account for these differential associations.

Time dependency in early major osteoporotic and hip re-fractures in women and men aged 50 years and older: a population-based observational study

We analyzed patterns in recurrent major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) following a first major osteoporotic fracture in a large population-based cohort. Re-fracture risk remained elevated over 10 years, with only modest and inconsistent attenuation in risk over time.

INTRODUCTION

Recurrent fracture risk remains elevated for up to 25 years, and is reportedly highest in the initial 2 years (imminent risk). Our aim was to characterize early time dependency in re-fracture rates up to 10 years after a first fracture in a population-based cohort.

METHODS

Using Province of Manitoba (Canada) healthcare databases, we performed a matched cohort study in 22,105 women (mean age 74.1 ± 10.6 years) and 7589 men (mean age 71.8 ± 11.2 years) after a first MOF (age ≥ 50 years) during 1989-2006 and matched fracture-free controls (3 for each case). Incident fractures were ascertained over the next 10 years. Fracture rate ratios (RRs, cases versus controls) stratified by sex and age were computed, and tested for linear trend using linear regression. Joinpoint regression was performed to determine non-linear change in fracture rates over time, with particular attention to the first 2-year post-fracture.

RESULTS

RRs for incident MOF and hip fracture exceeded unity for the primary analyses in all subgroups and follow-up intervals. There was a tendency of RRs to decline over time, but this was inconsistent. Absolute rates per 100,000 person-years for fracture cases were consistently greater than for controls in all subgroups and observation times. Among fracture cases, there was a tendency for rates to decline gradually in all subgroups except younger women, but these temporal trends appeared monotonic without an inflection at 2 years. Joinpoint regression analyses did not detect an inflection in risk between the first 2 years and subsequent years. No significant time dependency was seen for incident hip fracture.

CONCLUSIONS

MOF and hip re-fracture risk was elevated in all age and sex subgroups over 10 years. There was inconsistent and only modest time dependency in early MOF risk, most evident in women after age 65 years. No strong transition in risk was seen between the first 2-year post-fracture and subsequent years.