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Usui T, Nagata M, Hata J, Mukai N, Hirakawa Y, Yoshida D, Kishimoto H, Kitazono T, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. Serum Non-High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in Community Dwellers with Chronic Kidney Disease: the Hisayama Study. J Atheroscler Thromb 2017; 24:706-715. [PMID: 27840387 PMCID: PMC5517544 DOI: 10.5551/jat.37044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2016] [Accepted: 09/26/2016] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
AIM It is not clear whether elevated serum non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) levels are a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in subjects with chronic kidney disease (CKD) in the general population. METHODS A total of 2,630 community-dwelling Japanese subjects (1,107 men and 1,523 women) without history of CVD and aged ≥40 years were prospectively followed up for an average of 19 years, and the association between serum non-HDL-C levels and the incidence of type-specific CVD was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. CKD was defined as estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or proteinuria (≥1+ on dipstick). RESULTS At baseline, 357 subjects had CKD. During the follow up, 186 coronary heart disease (CHD) and 277 stroke events occurred. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of CHD was significantly higher in subjects with higher non-HDL-C levels, both in those with and without CKD. In the CKD group, the risk of CHD was significantly higher in those with non-HDL-C levels of 150- 189 mg/dL [adjusted hazard ratio (HR), 2.23; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-4.77] and those with levels ≥190 mg/dL (adjusted HR, 3.20; 95% CI, 1.46-7.03) than in those with levels <150 mg/dL. In the non-CKD group, the risk of CHD was significantly higher only in those with nonHDL-C levels ≥190 mg/dL (adjusted HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.33-3.38). However, no such association was observed for the risk of stroke. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that higher serum non-HDL-C levels are associated with greater risk of CHD in subjects with and without CKD and that this association is greater in subjects with CKD than in those without CKD.
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Nagata M, Hata J, Hirakawa Y, Mukai N, Yoshida D, Ohara T, Kishimoto H, Kawano H, Kitazono T, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. The ratio of serum eicosapentaenoic acid to arachidonic acid and risk of cancer death in a Japanese community: The Hisayama Study. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:578-583. [PMID: 28669629 PMCID: PMC5623032 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2017.01.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/02/2016] [Accepted: 01/04/2017] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Whether the intake of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) or arachidonic acid (AA) affects the risk of cancer remains unclear, and the association between the serum EPA:AA ratio and cancer risk has not been fully evaluated in general populations. Methods A total of 3098 community-dwelling subjects aged ≥40 years were followed up for 9.6 years (2002–2012). The levels of the serum EPA:AA ratio were categorized into quartiles (<0.29, 0.29–0.41, 0.42–0.60, and >0.60). The risk estimates were computed using a Cox proportional hazards model. The same analyses were conducted for the serum docosahexaenoic acid to arachidonic acid (DHA:AA) ratio and individual fatty acid concentrations. Results During the follow-up period, 121 subjects died of cancer. Age- and sex-adjusted cancer mortality increased with lower serum EPA:AA ratio levels (P trend<0.05). In the multivariable-adjusted analysis, the subjects in the first quartile of the serum EPA:AA ratio had a 1.93-fold (95% confidence interval, 1.15–3.22) greater risk of cancer death than those in the fourth quartile. Lower serum EPA concentrations were marginally associated with higher cancer mortality (P trend<0.11), but the serum DHA or AA concentrations and the serum DHA:AA ratio were not (all P trend>0.37). With regard to site-specific cancers, lower serum EPA:AA ratio was associated with a higher risk of death from liver cancer. However, no such associations were detected for deaths from other cancers. Conclusions These findings suggest that decreased level of the serum EPA:AA ratio is a significant risk factor for cancer death in the general Japanese population. Lower serum EPA:AA ratio was significantly associated with higher cancer mortality. The risk of death from liver cancer increased with lower serum EPA:AA ratio. No significant association was found between serum DHA:AA ratio and cancer death.
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Sakata S, Hata J, Fukuhara M, Yonemoto K, Mukai N, Yoshida D, Kishimoto H, Ohtsubo T, Kitazono T, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. Morning and Evening Blood Pressures Are Associated With Intima-Media Thickness in a General Population - The Hisayama Study. Circ J 2017. [PMID: 28626161 DOI: 10.1253/circj.cj-16-1306] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The association of morning and evening home blood pressures (HBPs) with carotid atherosclerosis has been uncertain in general populations, so we aimed to investigate it in a general Japanese population.Methods and Results:We performed a cross-sectional survey of 2,856 community-dwelling individuals aged ≥40 years to examine the association of morning and evening HBPs with carotid mean intima-media thickness (IMT). The age- and sex-adjusted geometric averages of carotid mean IMT increased significantly with increasing morning HBP (optimal: 0.67 mm; normal: 0.69 mm; high normal: 0.72 mm; grade 1 hypertension: 0.74 mm; and grade 2+3 hypertension: 0.76 mm) and with increasing evening HBP (0.68 mm, 0.71 mm, 0.73 mm, 0.76 mm, and 0.78 mm, respectively) (both P for trend <0.001). These associations remained significant even after adjusting for potential confounding factors. Likewise, both isolated morning hypertension (morning HBP ≥135/85 mmHg and evening HBP <135/85 mmHg) and isolated evening hypertension (evening HBP ≥135/85 mmHg and morning HBP <135/85 mmHg) as well as sustained hypertension (both morning and evening HBP ≥135/85 mmHg) were significantly associated with thicker mean IMT. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggested that both morning and evening HBPs were significantly associated with carotid atherosclerosis in this general Japanese population.
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Tamakoshi A, Nakamura K, Ukawa S, Okada E, Hirata M, Nagai A, Matsuda K, Kamatani Y, Muto K, Kiyohara Y, Yamagata Z, Ninomiya T, Kubo M, Nakamura Y. Erratum to "Characteristics and prognosis of Japanese colorectal cancer patients: The BioBank Japan Project" [J Epidemiol 27(3S) (2017) S36-S42]. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:398-399. [PMID: 28592364 PMCID: PMC5549245 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2017.04.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2017] [Accepted: 04/13/2017] [Indexed: 11/28/2022] Open
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Kudo K, Hata J, Matsumoto K, Shundo Y, Fukuyama S, Inoue H, Kitazono T, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T, Nakanishi Y. Association of Airflow Limitation With Carotid Atherosclerosis in a Japanese Community - The Hisayama Study. Circ J 2017; 81:1846-1853. [PMID: 28592724 DOI: 10.1253/circj.cj-16-1305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There has been no large-scale observational study examining the association between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or airflow limitation and carotid atherosclerosis in the general population across a wide range of generations in Asia. In the present study we assessed the association between airflow limitation and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) in a general Japanese population, with consideration of a comprehensive array of cardiovascular risk factors.Methods and Results:In all, 2,099 community-dwelling Japanese subjects were included in the study. Airflow limitation was defined by spirometry. Maximum and mean IMT values were measured using carotid ultrasonography. Among the subjects, 352 (16.8%) had airflow limitation. The geometric mean values of maximum IMT and mean IMT were significantly higher in subjects with than without airflow limitation (1.27 vs. 1.18 mm, respectively, for maximum IMT; 0.73 mm vs. 0.72 mm, respectively, for mean IMT) and increased with the severity of airflow limitation after adjustment for conventional risk factors, including smoking habits and serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. It should be noted that the magnitude of these associations was greater in the middle-aged (40-64 years) than elderly (≥65 years) subgroup. CONCLUSIONS The findings of the present study suggest that airflow limitation is a significant risk factor for carotid atherosclerosis, especially in midlife, in the general Japanese population.
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Samukawa T, Matsumoto K, Tsukuya G, Koriyama C, Fukuyama S, Uchida A, Mizuno K, Miyahara H, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T, Inoue H. Development of a self-scored persistent airflow obstruction screening questionnaire in a general Japanese population: the Hisayama study. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2017; 12:1469-1481. [PMID: 28553099 PMCID: PMC5439935 DOI: 10.2147/copd.s130453] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The use of a simple screening questionnaire to detect persistent airflow obstruction (AO) in COPD may facilitate the early, accurate diagnosis of COPD in general practice settings. OBJECTIVE This study developed an original persistent AO questionnaire for screening individuals with COPD in a general Japanese population. METHODS A working group was established to generate initial draft questionnaire items about COPD. Eligible subjects aged 40 and older living in Japan were solicited to participate in a health checkup from 2014 to 2015. In study I, 2,338 subjects who fully completed the initial draft questionnaire and who had valid spirometry measurements were statistically analyzed to determine the final questionnaire items as a COPD screening questionnaire (COPD-Q). Persistent AO was defined as a post-bronchodilator FEV1/FVC <0.70. In study II, the working group analyzed the weighted scores for individual items and established a cutoff point for the COPD-Q based on the data of 2,066 subjects in the Hisayama study. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to examine the ability of the COPD-Q to discriminate between subjects with and without AO. RESULTS The five-item COPD-Q was established based on 19 initial draft items in study I and the weighted scores of individual items. The overall area under the ROC curve for the COPD-Q was 0.796 (95% confidence interval, 0.707-0.788). A cutoff of 4 points resulted in a sensitivity of 71.0% and a specificity of 70.1%. The positive predictive value was 10.8%, and the negative predictive value was 97.9%. The crude odds ratio of the COPD-Q for AO was 5.8. CONCLUSION The five-item COPD-Q is a useful questionnaire for diagnosing persistent AO in a general Japanese population and is expected to be an effective first-stage screening tool for detecting COPD.
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Ozawa M, Yoshida D, Hata J, Ohara T, Mukai N, Shibata M, Uchida K, Nagata M, Kitazono T, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. Dietary Protein Intake and Stroke Risk in a General Japanese Population: The Hisayama Study. Stroke 2017; 48:1478-1486. [PMID: 28487340 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.116.016059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2016] [Revised: 03/18/2017] [Accepted: 03/23/2017] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE The influence of dietary protein intake on stroke risk is an area of interest. We investigated the association between dietary protein intake and stroke risk in Japanese, considering sources of protein. METHODS A total of 2400 subjects aged 40 to 79 years were followed up for 19 years. Dietary protein intake was estimated using a 70-item semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. The risk estimates for incident stroke and its subtypes were calculated using a Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS During the follow-up, 254 participants experienced stroke events; of these, 172 had ischemic stroke, and 58 had intracerebral hemorrhage. Higher total protein intake was significantly associated with lower risks of stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage (both P for trend <0.05). With regard to sources of protein, the risks of total stroke and ischemic stroke significantly decreased by 40% (95% confidence interval, 12%-59%) and 40% (5%-62%), respectively, in subjects with the highest quartile of vegetable protein intake compared with those with the lowest one. In contrast, subjects with the highest quartile of animal protein intake had a 53% (4%-77%) lower risk of intracerebral hemorrhage. Vegetable protein intake was positively correlated with intakes of soybean products, vegetable, and algae, whereas animal protein intake was positively correlated with intakes of fish, meat, eggs, and milk/dairy products. Both types of protein intakes were negatively correlated with intakes of rice and alcohol. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that higher dietary protein intake is associated with a reduced risk of stroke in the general Japanese population.
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Umehara K, Mukai N, Hata J, Hirakawa Y, Ohara T, Yoshida D, Kishimoto H, Kitazono T, Hoka S, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. Association Between Serum Vitamin D and All-Cause and Cause-Specific Death in a General Japanese Population - The Hisayama Study. Circ J 2017; 81:1315-1321. [PMID: 28428487 DOI: 10.1253/circj.cj-16-0954] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Few studies have investigated the association between serum vitamin D levels and mortality in general Asian populations.Methods and Results:We examined the association of serum 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D (1,25(OH)2D) levels with the risk of all-cause and cause-specific death in an average 9.5-year follow-up study of 3,292 community-dwelling Japanese subjects aged ≥40 years (2002-2012). The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause death increased significantly with lower serum 1,25(OH)2D levels (HR 1.54 [95% confidence interval, 1.18-2.01] for the lowest quartile, 1.31 [0.99-1.73] for the 2nd quartile, 0.94 [0.70-1.25] for the 3rd quartile, 1.00 [Ref.] for highest quartile; P for trend <0.001). A similar association was observed for cardiovascular and respiratory infection death (both P for trend <0.01), but not for cancer death or death from other causes. In the stratified analysis, the association between lower serum 1,25(OH)2D levels and the risk of respiratory infection death was stronger in subjects with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) <60 mL/min/1.73 m2than in those with eGFR ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2; there was a significant heterogeneity in the association between eGFR levels (P for heterogeneity=0.04). CONCLUSIONS The findings suggested that a lower serum 1,25(OH)2D level is a potential risk factor for all-cause death, especially cardiovascular and respiratory infection death, in the general Japanese population, and that lower serum 1,25(OH)2D levels greatly increase the risk of respiratory infection death in subjects with kidney dysfunction.
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Ohara T, Hata J, Yoshida D, Mukai N, Nagata M, Iwaki T, Kitazono T, Kanba S, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. Trends in dementia prevalence, incidence, and survival rate in a Japanese community. Neurology 2017; 88:1925-1932. [PMID: 28424272 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000003932] [Citation(s) in RCA: 133] [Impact Index Per Article: 19.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/15/2016] [Accepted: 02/27/2017] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate secular trends in the prevalence, incidence, and survival rate of dementia in a Japanese elderly population in a comprehensive manner. METHODS Five cross-sectional surveys of dementia were conducted among residents of a Japanese community, aged ≥65 years, in 1985, 1992, 1998, 2005, and 2012. We also established 2 cohorts consisting of the residents of this age group without dementia in 1988 (n = 803) and 2002 (n = 1,231), and each was followed for 10 years. RESULTS The age-standardized prevalence of all-cause dementia and Alzheimer disease (AD) increased with time (for all-cause dementia: 6.8% in 1985, 4.6% in 1992, 5.3% in 1998, 8.4% in 2005, and 11.3% in 2012, p for trend <0.01; for AD: 1.5%, 1.4%, 2.4%, 3.9%, and 7.2%, respectively, p for trend <0.01), while no secular change was observed for vascular dementia (VaD) (2.4%, 1.6%, 1.5%, 2.4%, and 2.4%, respectively, p for trend = 0.59). The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of all-cause dementia and AD, but not VaD, increased from the 1988 cohort to the 2002 cohort (for all-cause dementia: adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.38-2.06; for AD: aHR 2.07, 95% CI 1.59-2.70; for VaD: aHR 1.18, 95% CI 0.83-1.69). The 5-year survival rate of all-cause dementia and AD improved from the 1988 cohort to the 2002 cohort (for all-cause dementia: 47.3% to 65.2%; for AD: 50.7% to 75.1%; all p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS The increased incidence and improved survival rate of AD could have resulted in the steep increase in AD prevalence in the Japanese elderly.
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Sakane N, Sato J, Tsushita K, Tsujii S, Kotani K, Tominaga M, Kawazu S, Sato Y, Usui T, Kamae I, Yoshida T, Kiyohara Y, Sato S, Tsuzaki K, Nirengi S, Takahashi K, Kuzuya H, Group JR. Determinants of Glycated Hemoglobin in Subjects With Impaired Glucose Tolerance: Subanalysis of the Japan Diabetes Prevention Program. J Clin Med Res 2017; 9:360-365. [PMID: 28270897 PMCID: PMC5330780 DOI: 10.14740/jocmr2928w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/26/2017] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Limited evidence is available about the relationship of lifestyle factors with glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance. The aim of study was to identify such determinant factors of HbA1c in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance. Methods This cross-sectional study included 121 men and 124 women with impaired glucose tolerance, who were diagnosed based on a 75-g oral glucose tolerance test. Demographic and biochemical parameters, including the body mass index (BMI), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h post-load glucose (2-h PG), and HbA1c, were measured. The pancreatic β-cell function and insulin resistance were assessed using homeostasis model assessment (HOMA-β). Dietary intake was assessed by a food frequency questionnaire. Results The levels of FPG, 2-h PG, and carbohydrate intake were correlated with the HbA1c level in men, while the FPG and 2-h PG levels were correlated with the HbA1c level in women. In multiple regression analyses, BMI, FPG, 2-h PG, and white rice intake were associated with HbA1c levels in men, while BMI, FPG, HOMA-β, and bread intake were associated with HbA1c levels in women. Conclusions The present findings suggest that a substantial portion of HbA1c may be composed of not only glycemic but also several lifestyle factors in men with impaired glucose tolerance. These factors can be taken into consideration as modifiable determinants in assessing the HbA1c level for the diagnosis and therapeutic monitoring of the disease course.
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Ukawa S, Nakamura K, Okada E, Hirata M, Nagai A, Yamagata Z, Muto K, Matsuda K, Ninomiya T, Kiyohara Y, Kamatani Y, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Tamakoshi A. Clinical and histopathological characteristics of patients with prostate cancer in the BioBank Japan project. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S65-S70. [PMID: 28215481 PMCID: PMC5350593 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2016] [Revised: 12/09/2016] [Accepted: 12/11/2016] [Indexed: 11/03/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Prostate cancer is the sixth leading cause of cancer-related deaths in Japan. We aimed to elucidate the clinical and histopathological characteristics of patients with prostate cancer in the BioBank Japan (BBJ) project. Methods Four thousand, seven hundred and ninety-three patients diagnosed with prostate cancer in the BBJ project were included. Clinical and histopathological data, including causes of death, were analyzed. Relative survival (RS) rates of prostate cancer were calculated. Results Four thousand, one hundred and seventy-one prostate cancer patients with available histological data had adenocarcinoma. The mean age of the patients was 72.5 years. The proportion of patients who were non-smokers, non-drinkers, had a normal body mass index, did not exercise, had a normal prostate-specific antigen level, and had a family history of prostate cancer were 30.7%, 28.0%, 66.6%, 58.1%, 67.6%, and 6.5%, respectively. The proportion of patients with Stage II, III, and IV disease were 24.4%, 7.3%, and 4.4%, respectively. After limiting to patients with a time from the initial diagnosis of prostate cancer to entry into the study cohort of ≤90 days (n = 869), the 5- and 10-year RS rates were 96.3% and 100.5%, respectively, although we were unable to consider management strategies due to a plenty of data missing. Conclusions We provide an overview of patients with prostate cancer in the BBJ project. Our findings, coupled with those from various high throughput “omics” technologies, will contribute to the implementation of prevention interventions and medical management of prostate cancer patients. Prostate cancer represents the second leading cause of cancer incidence worldwide. We aimed to provide an overview of patients with prostate cancer. Based on prostate cancer histology, 99.3% had adenocarcinoma. The 5- and 10-year relative survival rates were 96.3% and 100.5%. Future studies will help develop preventive programs for prostate cancer.
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Ukawa S, Okada E, Nakamura K, Hirata M, Nagai A, Matsuda K, Yamagata Z, Kamatani Y, Ninomiya T, Kiyohara Y, Muto K, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Tamakoshi A. Characteristics of patients with liver cancer in the BioBank Japan project. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S43-S48. [PMID: 28214185 PMCID: PMC5350594 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2016] [Revised: 12/09/2016] [Accepted: 12/11/2016] [Indexed: 01/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Liver cancer is the fifth cause of cancer-related deaths in Japan. The BioBank Japan (BBJ) project included 200,000 patients with 47 diseases and samples; their clinical information can be used for further studies. Methods Patients diagnosed with liver cancer (n = 1733; 1316 men, 417 women) were included. Histology, patient characteristics, clinical characteristics, and causes of death were collected. Cumulative and relative survival rates for liver cancer were calculated. Results Of the 1354 patients with available liver cancer histology, 91.9% had hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Compared with the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, greater proportions of the male patients in this cohort were daily alcohol consumers (26%), and a greater proportion of the men was overweight/obesity (22%). Although Japan is the only Asian country with a predominance of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related HCC, the prevalence of HCV infection (44%) was lower than that in a previous study. The 3-, 5-, and 10-year cumulative survival rates were 57%, 47%, and 25% in men, respectively, and 49%, 41%, and 27% in women, respectively. Conclusions The present results provide an overview of the patients with liver cancer in the BBJ project. We are planning further analyses combined with various high-throughput ‘omics’ technologies. Liver cancer is the second leading cause of death worldwide. We aimed to provide an overview of patients with liver cancer. Based on liver cancer histology, 91.9% had hepatocellular carcinoma. The 10-year relative survival rates were 34% in men and 38% in women. Future studies will help develop preventive programs for liver cancer.
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Nakamura K, Ukawa S, Okada E, Hirata M, Nagai A, Yamagata Z, Ninomiya T, Muto K, Kiyohara Y, Matsuda K, Kamatani Y, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Tamakoshi A. Characteristics and prognosis of Japanese male and female lung cancer patients: The BioBank Japan Project. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S49-S57. [PMID: 28202209 PMCID: PMC5350589 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2016] [Revised: 12/09/2016] [Accepted: 12/11/2016] [Indexed: 12/19/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In Japanese males and females, lung cancer is currently the second and fourth most common type of cancer, and the first and second leading cause of cancer-related deaths, respectively. METHODS Of all Japanese male and female lung cancer patients aged ≥20 years whom the BioBank Japan Project originally enrolled between 2003 and 2008, 764 males and 415 females were registered within 90 days after their diagnosis. We described the lifestyle and clinical characteristics of these patients at study entry. Furthermore, we examined the effect of these characteristics on all-cause mortality. RESULTS In the lung cancer patients registered within 90 days, the frequencies of occult or stage 0, stage I, II, III and IV were 0.4%, 55.8%, 10.8%, 22.0% and 11.0% for males and 0.3%, 62.4%, 9.9%, 17.1% and 10.2% for females, respectively. The proportions of histological types in males and females were 56.3% and 82.4% for adenocarcinoma, 26.9% and 8.2% for squamous cell carcinoma, 4.5% and 1.5% for large cell carcinoma, 7.7% and 4.1% for small cell carcinoma and 4.6% and 3.8% for others, respectively. Among 1120 participants who registered within 90 days, 572 participants died during 5811 person-years of follow-up. Low body mass index, ever smoker, more advanced stage, squamous cell or small cell carcinoma and high serum carcinoembryonic antigen level at study entry were crudely associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality after adjustment for age. CONCLUSIONS This study showed the association of several lifestyle and clinical characteristics with all-cause mortality in lung cancer patients.
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Yokomichi H, Nagai A, Hirata M, Tamakoshi A, Kiyohara Y, Kamatani Y, Muto K, Ninomiya T, Matsuda K, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Yamagata Z. Statin use and all-cause and cancer mortality: BioBank Japan cohort. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S84-S91. [PMID: 28196737 PMCID: PMC5350595 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2016] [Revised: 12/10/2016] [Accepted: 12/15/2016] [Indexed: 10/25/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Statins are the first-line agents used to treat patients with high serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels, thus reducing the risk of death from arterial sclerotic cardiovascular disease; however, little is known about the effects of non-statin pharmacological interventions on mortality as well as about the potential protective effects of statin use against cancer death. This work aimed to compare all-cause and cancer mortality among patients with hyperlipidaemia who did and did not receive statin treatment. METHODS Between 2003 and 2007 fiscal years, we recruited Japanese patients diagnosed with hyperlipidaemia from 66 hospitals. Patients in our cohort were followed up for a maximum of 12 years to observe the causes of death. Kaplan-Meier estimates from the baseline were used to compare the mortality of patients based on the administered medicine. All-cause mortality were compared among patients with/without administration of statins and other agents; any-organ and colorectal cancer mortality were compared between patients with/without administration of statins. RESULTS Our cohort included 41,930 patients with mean ages of 64-66 years and mean body mass indices of 24-25 kg/m2. Patients who received statin monotherapy and were treated with lifestyle modification exhibited nearly identical survival curves, whereas statin use represented a non-significant but potentially protective effect against colorectal cancer-related mortality. The lowest mortality in this cohort was associated with resin monotherapy. CONCLUSIONS Mortality rate has been similar for patients treated with statin monotherapy and lifestyle modification. Statin monotherapy could potentially reduce any-organ- and colorectal cancer-related mortality.
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Hirata M, Nagai A, Kamatani Y, Ninomiya T, Tamakoshi A, Yamagata Z, Kubo M, Muto K, Kiyohara Y, Mushiroda T, Murakami Y, Yuji K, Furukawa Y, Zembutsu H, Tanaka T, Ohnishi Y, Nakamura Y, Matsuda K. Overview of BioBank Japan follow-up data in 32 diseases. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S22-S28. [PMID: 28190660 PMCID: PMC5363789 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2016] [Accepted: 12/15/2016] [Indexed: 01/23/2023] Open
Abstract
Background We established a patient-oriented biobank, BioBank Japan, with information on approximately 200,000 patients, suffering from any of 47 common diseases. This follow-up survey focused on 32 diseases, potentially associated with poor vital prognosis, and collected patient survival information, including cause of death. We performed a survival analysis for all subjects to get an overview of BioBank Japan follow-up data. Methods A total of 141,612 participants were included. The survival data were last updated in 2014. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis was performed after categorizing subjects according to sex, age group, and disease status. Relative survival rates were estimated using a survival-rate table of the Japanese general population. Results Of 141,612 subjects (56.48% male) with 1,087,434 person-years and a 97.0% follow-up rate, 35,482 patients died during follow-up. Mean age at enrollment was 64.24 years for male subjects and 63.98 years for female subjects. The 5-year and 10-year relative survival rates for all subjects were 0.944 and 0.911, respectively, with a median follow-up duration of 8.40 years. Patients with pancreatic cancer had the least favorable prognosis (10-year relative survival: 0.184) and patients with dyslipidemia had the most favorable prognosis (1.013). The most common cause of death was malignant neoplasms. A number of subjects died from diseases other than their registered disease(s). Conclusions This is the first report to perform follow-up survival analysis across various common diseases. Further studies should use detailed clinical and genomic information to identify predictors of mortality in patients with common diseases, contributing to the implementation of personalized medicine. 141,612 participants with any of 32 diseases were included in the follow-up survey. Subject characteristics at enrollment for the follow-up survey were identified. The relative survival analysis showed the worst prognosis in pancreatic cancer. The most common cause of death in all subjects was malignant neoplasms.
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Yokomichi H, Nagai A, Hirata M, Kiyohara Y, Muto K, Ninomiya T, Matsuda K, Kamatani Y, Tamakoshi A, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Yamagata Z. Survival of macrovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic respiratory disease, cancer and smoking in patients with type 2 diabetes: BioBank Japan cohort. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S98-S106. [PMID: 28209242 PMCID: PMC5350597 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2016] [Revised: 12/12/2016] [Accepted: 12/15/2016] [Indexed: 01/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The number of patients with diabetes is increasing worldwide. Macrovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic respiratory disease, cancer and smoking frequently accompany type 2 diabetes. Few data are available related to mortality of Asians with diabetes associated with these serious comorbidities. The present study aimed to quantify the excess mortality risks of type 2 diabetic patients with comorbidities. Methods We analysed the available records of 30,834 Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes from the BioBank Japan Project between 2003 and 2007. Men and women were followed up for median 8.03 and 8.30 years, respectively. We applied Cox proportional hazard model and Kaplan–Meier estimates for survival curves to evaluate mortality in diabetic patients with or without macrovascular disease, chronic respiratory disease, chronic kidney disease, cancer and smoking. Results Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality were 1.39 (95% CI, 1.09–1.78) for male sex, 2.01 (95% CI, 1.78–2.26) per 10-year increment of age. Adjusted HRs of primary interest were 1.77 (95% CI, 1.42–2.22), macrovascular disease; 1.58 (95% CI, 1.08–2.31), chronic respiratory disease; 2.03 (95% CI, 1.67–2.47), chronic kidney disease; 1.16 (95% CI, 0.86–1.56), cancer; and 1.74 (95% CI, 1.30–2.31), current smoking. Conclusions Diabetic patients with a past or current history of chronic kidney, macrovascular or respiratory diseases or smoking habit have exhibited the highest risk of mortality. Data were limited to those of survivors of comorbidities but we propose the need to improve comorbidities and terminate cigarette smoking for better prognosis in patients with diabetes. Fatal diseases frequently accompany diabetes. Data for survival of Asian patients with diabetes with comorbidities are scarce. Comorbid chronic kidney disease was associated with the most fatalities. Current smoking was as fatal as 10 years of ageing in diabetic patients. Values of 1% HbA1c and 10 mmHg blood pressure confer 11% excess mortality risk.
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Hirata M, Kamatani Y, Nagai A, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T, Tamakoshi A, Yamagata Z, Kubo M, Muto K, Mushiroda T, Murakami Y, Yuji K, Furukawa Y, Zembutsu H, Tanaka T, Ohnishi Y, Nakamura Y, Matsuda K. Cross-sectional analysis of BioBank Japan clinical data: A large cohort of 200,000 patients with 47 common diseases. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S9-S21. [PMID: 28190657 PMCID: PMC5363792 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 104] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2016] [Accepted: 12/15/2016] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To implement personalized medicine, we established a large-scale patient cohort, BioBank Japan, in 2003. BioBank Japan contains DNA, serum, and clinical information derived from approximately 200,000 patients with 47 diseases. Serum and clinical information were collected annually until 2012. METHODS We analyzed clinical information of participants at enrollment, including age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, and smoking and drinking status, across 47 diseases, and compared the results with the Japanese database on Patient Survey and National Health and Nutrition Survey. We conducted multivariate logistic regression analysis, adjusting for sex and age, to assess the association between family history and disease development. RESULTS Distribution of age at enrollment reflected the typical age of disease onset. Analysis of the clinical information revealed strong associations between smoking and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, drinking and esophageal cancer, high body mass index and metabolic disease, and hypertension and cardiovascular disease. Logistic regression analysis showed that individuals with a family history of keloid exhibited a higher odds ratio than those without a family history, highlighting the strong impact of host genetic factor(s) on disease onset. CONCLUSIONS Cross-sectional analysis of the clinical information of participants at enrollment revealed characteristics of the present cohort. Analysis of family history revealed the impact of host genetic factors on each disease. BioBank Japan, by publicly distributing DNA, serum, and clinical information, could be a fundamental infrastructure for the implementation of personalized medicine.
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Okada E, Ukawa S, Nakamura K, Hirata M, Nagai A, Matsuda K, Ninomiya T, Kiyohara Y, Muto K, Kamatani Y, Yamagata Z, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Tamakoshi A. Demographic and lifestyle factors and survival among patients with esophageal and gastric cancer: The Biobank Japan Project. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S29-S35. [PMID: 28190659 PMCID: PMC5350592 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2016] [Accepted: 12/15/2016] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Several studies have evaluated associations between the characteristics of patients with esophageal and gastric cancer and survival, but these associations remain unclear. We described the distribution of demographic and lifestyle factors among patients with esophageal and gastric cancer in Japan, and investigated their potential effects on survival. Methods Between 2003 and 2007, 24- to 95-year-old Japanese patients with esophageal and gastric cancer were enrolled in the BioBank Japan Project. The analysis included 365 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and 1574 patients with gastric cancer. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality were estimated using medical institution-stratified Cox proportional hazards models. Results During follow-up, 213 patients with ESCC (median follow-up, 4.4 years) and 603 patients with gastric cancer (median follow-up, 6.1 years) died. Among patients with ESCC, the mortality risk was higher in ever drinkers versus never drinkers (multivariable HR = 2.37, 95% CI: 1.24, 4.53). Among patients with gastric cancer, the mortality risk was higher in underweight patients versus patients of normal weight (multivariable HR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.34, 2.05). Compared to patients with gastric cancer with no physical exercise habit, those who exercised ≥3 times/week had a lower mortality risk (multivariate HR = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.61, 0.93). However, lack of stage in many cases was a limitation. Conclusions Among patients with ESCC, alcohol drinkers have a poor prognosis. Patients with gastric cancer who are underweight also have a poor prognosis, whereas patients with physical exercise habits have a good prognosis. Among ESCC patients, alcohol drinkers had a poor prognosis. Underweight gastric cancer patients had a poor prognosis. Gastric cancer patients who exercised had a good prognosis. No association between esophageal or gastric cancer and smoking was observed.
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Yokomichi H, Nagai A, Hirata M, Kiyohara Y, Muto K, Ninomiya T, Matsuda K, Kamatani Y, Tamakoshi A, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Yamagata Z. Serum glucose, cholesterol and blood pressure levels in Japanese type 1 and 2 diabetic patients: BioBank Japan. J Epidemiol 2017; 27:S92-S97. [PMID: 28162891 PMCID: PMC5350587 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.12.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2016] [Revised: 12/08/2016] [Accepted: 12/11/2016] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidence of characteristics of Japanese patients with diabetes from a large-scale population is necessary. Few studies have compared glycaemic controls, complications and comorbidities between type 1 and 2 diabetic patients. This paper focuses on illustrating a clinical picture of Japanese diabetic patients and comparing glycaemic control and prognoses between type 1 and 2 diabetes using multi-institutional data. METHODS The BioBank Japan Project enrolled adult type 1 and 2 diabetic patients between fiscal years 2003 and 2007. We have presented characteristics, controls of serum glucose, cholesterol and blood pressure, prevalence of complications and comorbidities and survival curves. We have also shown glycaemic controls according to various individual profiles of diabetic patients. RESULTS A total of 558 type 1 diabetic patients and 30,834 type 2 diabetic patients participated in this study. The mean glycated haemoglobin A1c was higher in type 1 diabetes than in type 2 diabetes. In the type 1 diabetic patients, the glycated haemoglobin A1c had no consistent trend according to age and body mass index. The Kaplan-Meier estimates represented a longer survival time from baseline with type 1 diabetes than with type 2 diabetes. Compared with type 1 diabetic patients, type 2 diabetic patients had double the prevalence of macrovascular complications. CONCLUSIONS This work has revealed detailed plasma glucose levels of type 1 and 2 diabetic patients according to age, body mass index, blood pressure, serum cholesterol levels and smoking and drinking habits. Our data have also shown that the prognosis is worse for type 2 diabetes than for type 1 diabetes in Japan.
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Hirakawa Y, Ninomiya T, Kiyohara Y, Murakami Y, Saitoh S, Nakagawa H, Okayama A, Tamakoshi A, Sakata K, Miura K, Ueshima H, Okamura T. Age-specific impact of diabetes mellitus on the risk of cardiovascular mortality: An overview from the evidence for Cardiovascular Prevention from Observational Cohorts in the Japan Research Group (EPOCH-JAPAN). J Epidemiol 2017; 27:123-129. [PMID: 28142033 PMCID: PMC5350618 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.04.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2015] [Accepted: 04/19/2016] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Diabetes mellitus is a strong risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, the age-specific association of diabetes with cardiovascular risk, especially in the elderly, remains unclear in non-Western populations. Methods A pooled analysis was conducted using 8 cohort studies (mean follow-up period, 10.3 years) in Japan, combining the data from 38,854 individual participants without history of cardiovascular disease. In all, 1867 of the participants had diabetes, defined based on the 1998 World Health Organization criteria. The association between diabetes and the risk of death from cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke was estimated using a stratified Cox model, accounting for variability of baseline hazard functions among cohorts. Results During the follow-up, 1376 subjects died of cardiovascular disease (including 268 of coronary heart disease and 621 of stroke). Diabetes was associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular death after multivariable adjustment (hazard ratio [HR] 1.62; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.35–1.94). Similarly, diabetes was a risk factor for CHD (HR 2.13; 95% CI, 1.47–3.09) and stroke (HR 1.40; 95% CI, 1.05–1.85). In the age-stratified analysis of the risk of cardiovascular death, the relative effects of diabetes were consistent across age groups (p for heterogeneity = 0.18), whereas the excess absolute risks of diabetes were greater in participants in their 70s and 80s than in younger subjects. Conclusions The management of diabetes is important to reduce the risk of death from cardiovascular disease, not only in midlife but also in late life, in the Japanese population. We conducted meta-analysis of individual data from 8 Japanese cohorts (n = 38,854). Diabetes raised cardiovascular mortality in Japan. Impact of diabetes on cardiovascular death was similar across 10-year age groups.
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Hachiya T, Kamatani Y, Takahashi A, Hata J, Furukawa R, Shiwa Y, Yamaji T, Hara M, Tanno K, Ohmomo H, Ono K, Takashima N, Matsuda K, Wakai K, Sawada N, Iwasaki M, Yamagishi K, Ago T, Ninomiya T, Fukushima A, Hozawa A, Minegishi N, Satoh M, Endo R, Sasaki M, Sakata K, Kobayashi S, Ogasawara K, Nakamura M, Hitomi J, Kita Y, Tanaka K, Iso H, Kitazono T, Kubo M, Tanaka H, Tsugane S, Kiyohara Y, Yamamoto M, Sobue K, Shimizu A. Genetic Predisposition to Ischemic Stroke: A Polygenic Risk Score. Stroke 2016; 48:253-258. [PMID: 28034966 PMCID: PMC5266416 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.116.014506] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2016] [Revised: 11/21/2016] [Accepted: 11/28/2016] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text. Background and Purpose— The prediction of genetic predispositions to ischemic stroke (IS) may allow the identification of individuals at elevated risk and thereby prevent IS in clinical practice. Previously developed weighted multilocus genetic risk scores showed limited predictive ability for IS. Here, we investigated the predictive ability of a newer method, polygenic risk score (polyGRS), based on the idea that a few strong signals, as well as several weaker signals, can be collectively informative to determine IS risk. Methods— We genotyped 13 214 Japanese individuals with IS and 26 470 controls (derivation samples) and generated both multilocus genetic risk scores and polyGRS, using the same derivation data set. The predictive abilities of each scoring system were then assessed using 2 independent sets of Japanese samples (KyushuU and JPJM data sets). Results— In both validation data sets, polyGRS was shown to be significantly associated with IS, but weighted multilocus genetic risk scores was not. Comparing the highest with the lowest polyGRS quintile, the odds ratios for IS were 1.75 (95% confidence interval, 1.33–2.31) and 1.99 (95% confidence interval, 1.19–3.33) in the KyushuU and JPJM samples, respectively. Using the KyushuU samples, the addition of polyGRS to a nongenetic risk model resulted in a significant improvement of the predictive ability (net reclassification improvement=0.151; P<0.001). Conclusions— The polyGRS was shown to be superior to weighted multilocus genetic risk scores as an IS prediction model. Thus, together with the nongenetic risk factors, polyGRS will provide valuable information for individual risk assessment and management of modifiable risk factors.
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Shimazaki Y, Fu B, Yonemoto K, Akifusa S, Shibata Y, Takeshita T, Ninomiya T, Kiyohara Y, Yamashita Y. Stimulated salivary flow rate and oral health status. J Oral Sci 2016; 59:55-62. [PMID: 28049967 DOI: 10.2334/josnusd.16-0372] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/01/2022]
Abstract
This study examined the relationship between stimulated salivary flow rate and oral health status in an adult population. Multinomial multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to examine the associations of salivary flow rate with dental caries status and periodontal status at the individual level among 2,110 Japanese adults with ≥10 teeth. Then, a spline model was used to examine the nonlinear relationship between salivary flow rate and teeth with dental caries or periodontal disease in multilevel analysis. Odds ratios were calculated for a 1.0-mL/min reduction in salivary flow rate at a point. After adjusting for confounding variables, participants with a flow rate ≤3.5 mL/min had significantly higher odds ratios for high caries status, and participants with a flow rate ≤1.4 mL/min had a higher odds ratio for broad periodontal disease, than did those with a flow rate >3.5 mL/min. In spline models, the odds ratio for teeth with dental caries or periodontal disease increased with reduced saliva secretion. The present findings suggest that decreased saliva secretion affects both dental caries and general periodontal health status.
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Hata J, Nagai A, Hirata M, Kamatani Y, Tamakoshi A, Yamagata Z, Muto K, Matsuda K, Kubo M, Nakamura Y, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. Risk prediction models for mortality in patients with cardiovascular disease: The BioBank Japan project. J Epidemiol 2016; 27:S71-S76. [PMID: 28142037 PMCID: PMC5350588 DOI: 10.1016/j.je.2016.10.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2016] [Accepted: 10/26/2016] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of death in Japan. The present study aimed to develop new risk prediction models for long-term risks of all-cause and cardiovascular death in patients with chronic phase CVD. Methods Among the subjects registered in the BioBank Japan database, 15,058 patients aged ≥40 years with chronic ischemic CVD (ischemic stroke or myocardial infarction) were divided randomly into a derivation cohort (n = 10,039) and validation cohort (n = 5019). These subjects were followed up for 8.55 years in median. Risk prediction models for all-cause and cardiovascular death were developed using the derivation cohort by Cox proportional hazards regression. Their prediction performances for 5-year risk of mortality were evaluated in the validation cohort. Results During the follow-up, all-cause and cardiovascular death events were observed in 2962 and 962 patients from the derivation cohort and 1536 and 481 from the validation cohort, respectively. Risk prediction models for all-cause and cardiovascular death were developed from the derivation cohort using ten traditional cardiovascular risk factors, namely, age, sex, CVD subtype, hypertension, diabetes, total cholesterol, body mass index, current smoking, current drinking, and physical activity. These models demonstrated modest discrimination (c-statistics, 0.703 for all-cause death; 0.685 for cardiovascular death) and good calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ2-test, P = 0.17 and 0.15, respectively) in the validation cohort. Conclusions We developed and validated risk prediction models of all-cause and cardiovascular death for patients with chronic ischemic CVD. These models would be useful for estimating the long-term risk of mortality in chronic phase CVD. We developed risk prediction models for death after cardiovascular disease (CVD). Performances of these models were validated in an independent cohort. Our models may be used to estimate mortality risk in chronic CVD patients.
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Ikeda F, Shikata K, Hata J, Fukuhara M, Hirakawa Y, Ohara T, Mukai N, Nagata M, Yoshida D, Yonemoto K, Esaki M, Kitazono T, Kiyohara Y, Ninomiya T. Combination of Helicobacter pylori Antibody and Serum Pepsinogen as a Good Predictive Tool of Gastric Cancer Incidence: 20-Year Prospective Data From the Hisayama Study. J Epidemiol 2016; 26:629-636. [PMID: 27265836 PMCID: PMC5121431 DOI: 10.2188/jea.je20150258] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2015] [Accepted: 01/13/2016] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND There is little information regarding whether the combination of Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) antibody and serum pepsinogen (sPG), which is a marker of the degree of atrophic gastritis, has a discriminatory ability for detecting incident gastric cancer. We examined this issue in a long-term prospective cohort study of a Japanese population. METHODS A total of 2446 Japanese community-dwelling individuals aged ≥40 years were stratified into four groups according to baseline H. pylori serological status and sPG: Group A (H. pylori[-], sPG[-]), Group B (H. pylori[+], sPG[-]), Group C (H. pylori[+], sPG[+]), and Group D (H. pylori[-], sPG[+]), and participants were followed up prospectively for 20 years. RESULTS During the follow-up, 123 subjects developed gastric cancer. Compared with that in Group A, the cumulative incidence of gastric cancer was significantly increased in Groups B, C, and D, whereas no significant difference was found between Groups C and D. The multivariable-adjusted risk of gastric cancer was significantly increased in Group B (hazard ratio [HR], 4.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.62-10.28) and in Groups C and D combined (HR 11.1; 95% CI, 4.45-27.46). When the multivariable model with H. pylori antibody was changed into that with the combination of H. pylori antibody and sPG, the C statistics for developing gastric cancer increased significantly (0.773 vs 0.732, P = 0.005), and the continuous net reclassification improvement value was 0.591 (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that the combination of H. pylori antibody and sPG is a useful tool for predicting the development of gastric cancer.
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Yamazaki N, Uhara H, Kiyohara Y. 406P Phase 2 study of nivolumab (NIVO) in Japanese patients with previously untreated advanced melanoma: long-term efficacy and safety. Ann Oncol 2016. [DOI: 10.1093/annonc/mdw589.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
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