Evaluation of Charlson's comorbidity index in elderly living in nursing homes

The object of this article was to validate the predictive value of Charlson's comorbidity index for the prediction of short-term mortality or morbidity in elderly people. The design was a cohort study comparing survival and hospitalization in institutionalized elderly people with different levels of comorbidity at baseline. The setting was 16 Flemish nursing homes for the elderly. The subjects were 2,727 inhabitants of which full data were available for 2,624. The outcome measures were hazard ratios resulting from Cox regression analysis, comparing 6 months survival in patients with moderate and a high level to low level of comorbidity. Odds ratios resulting from multiple logistic regression analysis comparing the occurrence of at least one hospitalization during the follow-up period in surviving patients of the same groups. Mortality adjusted for age group was significantly increased in patients with a moderate (HR = 2.00) and even more in those with a high level (HR = 3.62) of comorbidity. Hospitalization was more frequent in both groups (OR = 1.54 and 2.19, respectively), with statistical significance only being reached for the highest group. Adjustment for age, gender, mobility status, and disorientation did not change the general picture. Charlson's comorbidity index is a predictor of short-term mortality in institutionalized elderly patients and, to a lesser extend, also of hospitalization. These results support its use as a measure for introducing comorbidity as a covariable in longitudinal studies with a geriatric population.

Questionnaires are better than laboratory tests to screen for current alcohol abuse or dependence in a male inpatient population

OBJECTIVE

To assess the diagnostic performance of the CAGE and AUDIT (Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test) and its derivatives, and laboratory tests for screening alcohol abuse or dependence in a male medical hospital population.

DESIGN

A diagnostic cross-sectional prevalence study.

SETTING

Three general hospitals and one university hospital.

PATIENTS

All male patients older than 18 years admitted to the hospitals, during a period of 6 weeks, were consecutively included in the study (N = 233).

MEASUREMENTS

Calculation of diagnostic measurements with 95% CI and ROC curves for different scores of CAGE, AUDIT and derivatives, laboratory tests and % Carbohydrate Deficient Transferrin (CDT), using DSM-III-R as the reference standard, derived from the CIDI.

RESULTS

A current diagnosis of alcohol abuse or dependence was found in 29 medical male inpatients, representing 12.4% (95% CI: 8.6-17.5). Ten of these (4.2%) fulfilled criteria of alcohol abuse and 19 (8.2%) the criteria of alcohol dependence. Laboratory tests are useless as screening tools with sensitivities between 10% (%CDT) and 52% (GammaGT). Only the Fiveshot questionnaire seems to yield reasonable diagnostic parameters at the recommended cutpoint of > or = 2.5 with a sensitivity of 79.3% and a specificity of 87.7%.

CONCLUSIONS

With a prevalence of 12.4%, our results are similar with other published studies for alcohol abuse and dependence according DSM criteria. The AUDIT as well as the Fiveshot seems to have the best diagnostic properties in this male medical inpatient population, and regarding to brief interventions, these questionnaires can be used as screening instruments as well as opportunities to talk about alcohol problems with admitted patients.

Increased risk of Parkinson's disease after depression: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Depression has been linked to the occurrence of a number of somatic diseases. There are no data for PD.

OBJECTIVE

To determine if depression is associated with a subsequent risk for PD.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study design based in general practice was applied. All subjects diagnosed with depression between 1975 and 1990 were included and matched with subjects with the same birth year who were never diagnosed with depression. Follow-up ended at April 30, 2000. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% CI were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for age, sex, and socioeconomic status. Subgroups based on sex and age at diagnosis of depression were evaluated separately.

RESULTS

Among the 1,358 depressed subjects, 19 developed PD, and among the 67,570 nondepressed subjects, 259 developed PD. The HR (95% CI) for depressed vs nondepressed subjects was 3.13 (1.95 to 5.01) in multivariable analysis. Associations in subgroups were comparable with the overall association.

CONCLUSION

A strong positive association was found between depression and subsequent incidence of D.

Systematic reviews of diagnostic research. Considerations about assessment and incorporation of methodological quality

The aim of this paper is to provide a theoretical background for performing and reading systematic reviews of diagnostic studies. We first discuss items for assessment of methodological quality in diagnostic studies and then present methods on how to incorporate these quality measures in systematic reviews. The items of internal validity determine whether the presented results of the individual studies are unbiased and can be trusted. Items of external validity determine to what extent the results are applicable outside the population in which the study was performed. The issues concern the adequacy of the study population, the performance and interpretation of the diagnostic tests and the presentation of the results. Several methods exist for incorporation of issues of methodological quality into systematic reviews, such as subgroup analyses, meta-regression analysis, and methodological scores. Publications of diagnostic studies should provide sufficient information to enable assessment of the methodological quality. Furthermore, publication of results of subgroup analyses should be promoted. Methodological criteria lists might help to improve the quality of systematic reviews of diagnostic research. With the items of methodological quality in mind the general practitioner might be better equipped to critically read and interpret diagnostic reviews.

Seroprevalence of hepatitis C markers among intravenous drug users in western European countries: a systematic review

Currently, the most important risk factor for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Europe is intravenous drug use. To establish a better insight into the epidemiology of hepatitis C among intravenous drug users (IVDUs) in western European countries a systematic review on the prevalence of hepatitis C markers and their determinants was performed. Reports were identified by searches on Medline and on the internet and by screening reference lists of selected papers. The prevalence rates of anti-HCV in western European IVDUs reported in the 66 studies selected for analysis, ranged between 37 and 98%. No relation was found between prevalence rates and mean age, mean duration of intravenous drug use, geographical area, setting of the study, method of recruitment or the year(s) of collection of samples. Eleven studies concerning the prevalence of HCV-RNA in hepatitis C-infected IVDUs were selected for analysis. Prevalence rates ranged from 26 to 86%. Based on five studies, a statistically significant positive linear relation was found between the mean age of study population and the prevalence of HCV-RNA. Our analysis revealed considerable variation in prevalence rates of hepatitis C markers among IVDUs in western Europe. We found no conclusive explanation for this variability. Further research investigating the dynamics of the hepatitis C epidemic in IVDUs is necessary.

Management of hepatitis C virus infections in intravenous drug users

Intravenous drug use is a major route of hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission. In Belgium, more than 70% of the intravenous drug users (IVDUs) are HCV seropositive. In the past, medical treatment of HCV-positive IVDUs has been controversial. However, current studies support that the anti-HCV therapy of IVDUs should be the same as in other HCV-infected patients. In prison populations, HCV screening and therapy has to be performed. Patients should be counseled about the benefits of alcohol abstinence, should be educated about safer injection techniques to avoid reinfection, and should be vaccinated to avoid hepatitis A or B co-infections. Treatment of HCV infections should not be withheld from patient populations with complicated social problems. Physicians should rather develop individual treatment and follow-up plans in order to optimize compliance in IVDUs.

Predictors of attrition in a longitudinal cognitive aging study: the Maastricht Aging Study (MAAS)

A large sample of older participants of the Maastricht Aging Study (MAAS) were compared to drop-outs at the 3-year follow-up with respect to socio-demographic, health, and cognitive characteristics. In addition, the impact of selective drop-out on measures of cognitive change was examined. To this end, hypothetical scores were estimated for drop-outs by using single and multiple imputation methods. Of the initial sample of 539 subjects, aged 49 years and older at baseline, 116 (22 %) did not return for the follow-up (n = 32 had died, n = 84 refused participation). Drop-outs who refused to participate in the follow-up were more often women, had lower educational levels, and had lower baseline scores on neurocognitive tests. Follow-up drop-outs who had died were more often men, older, and had a poorer performance on cognitive tests than the follow-up participants. Although follow-up participants and drop-outs differed in terms of socio-demographic and cognitive characteristics, attrition appeared to have little effect on the estimates of cognitive change.

Chest pain in the emergency department: the broad spectrum of causes

We performed a prospective study to describe the broad spectrum of causes of chest pain in patients presenting to the emergency department and to compare the diagnoses in referred patients, self-referred patients and patients rushed in by ambulance. The final diagnosis in a consecutive case series of 578 chest pain patients was established after discharge from the hospital. The underlying disorders were grouped into cardiac, respiratory, gastro-oesophageal disorders, musculoskeletal pathology, somatization disorders, other diseases and unknown. For comparison of the frequencies of the disease categories the Chi-squared test was used. Out of 578 patients, 161 (27.9%) were self-referred, 369 (63.8%) were referred by the general practitioner and 48 (8.3%) were rushed in by ambulance. Cardiac diseases represented 51.7% of the cases, myocardial infarction and unstable angina 19% and 12.8% respectively Cardiac diseases were statistically significantly less common in self-referred patients (p<0.0005). Pulmonary diseases encompassed 14.2% of the population, followed by somatization disorders (9.2%), musculoskeletal pathology (7.1%) and other causes (4.3%). In 11.1% of the cases no definite final diagnosis could be established. Somatization disorders were significantly more frequent in self-referred and ambulance patients. Cardiac and pulmonary problems are the most frequent underlying disorders in acute chest pain patients in the emergency department. Somatization disorders and musculoskeletal pathology represented respectively 19.1% and 14.8% of the non-cardiac causes. The referral pattern influenced significantly the distribution of the disease categories with more cardiac and less psychiatric disorders in referred patients.

Chest pain in general practice or in the hospital emergency department: is it the same?

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to provide a description of the impact of setting on the diagnostic case mix that is identified in consecutive patients presenting with chest pain.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was carried out of patients presenting with chest pain according to setting: general practice, self-referred, referred or arriving by ambulance at the hospital emergency department (ED). GPs from 25 general practices situated in the Flemish part of Belgium were recruited, and the hospital involved was a major teaching hospital in the same area. A total of 320 patients in general practice and 580 patients in the hospital ED were studied. The difference in prevalence rates for the major diagnostic categories was the main outcome measure.

RESULTS

Gastrointestinal disorders, musculoskeletal problems and psychopathology are identified more frequently in general practice; and serious lung diseases and cardiovascular diseases in the hospital ED. Within the hospital, there is a strong trend towards increasing frequency of serious cardiovascular diseases including unstable angina (P = 0.01) from self-referred to referred patients and those rushed in by ambulance. The opposite trend was identified for respiratory (P = 0.02) and musculoskeletal (P = 0.07) diseases. The diagnostic case mix in self-referred patients tends to be more similar to the other groups of hospital patients than to patients in general practice.

CONCLUSIONS

There is a large difference between the diagnostic case mix presented in general practice compared with the ED and among referral-related subgroups within the hospital emergency department.

Dietary habit profile in European communities with different risk of myocardial infarction: the impact of migration as a model of gene-environment interaction. The IMMIDIET Study

The risk of myocardial infarction (MI) is lower in southern than in northern European countries. The lower rate of MI in the Mediterranean regions of Europe suggested a potential role of the traditional Mediterranean diet in the prevention of MI. Unfortunately, in the last 20 years, a tendency to adopt Westernised food habits even in southern regions of Europe is reflected by an increase in the prevalence of obesity. Therefore the impact of diet on MI risk profile among European populations needs to be reconsidered. Genetic risk factors have also been implicated in the development of MI. Genes, indeed, continuously interact with environmental factors in determining the pathogenesis of MI. The aims of the IMMIDIET study are to evaluate: 1. The present dietary habits and the risk profile of three European communities at different risk of MI; 2. The impact of migration on risk factors for MI. Dietary habits and genetic polymorphisms will be evaluated in an Italian, Belgian and British population sample. The historical Italian migration to Belgium and the integration through mixed marriage will be considered as a model of gene-environment interaction. As an index of MI risk profile, factors that are most likely under the combined influence of both dietary and genetic determinants will be investigated.

Problems in determining occurrence rates of multimorbidity

This article describes methodological decisions that have to be made when studying multiple pathology and presents appropriate analytical techniques. The main question of this article is: how can comorbidity and multimorbidity be operationalized with respect to the number and type of diseases studied, and which analytic approaches are available for the evaluation of multiple pathology? Choices regarding the number and type of diseases studied have great impact on the observed incidence and prevalence rates of comorbidity and multimorbidity. These rates are largely dependent on age, sex, and other determinants. In addition to crude descriptive measures, odds ratios and relative risks can be used to study comorbidity, whereas multimorbidity can be studied using observed/expected ratios. While basic analyses of comorbidity can be performed using standard statistical packages, two additional programs were developed for the analysis of the distribution of multimorbidity and statistically unexpected comorbidity, respectively. As some analyses are addressing multicomparisons, external validity testing is recommended.

Screening properties of questionnaires and laboratory tests for the detection of alcohol abuse or dependence in a general practice population

BACKGROUND

Early identification of alcohol abuse or dependence is important in general practice because many diseases are influenced by alcohol. General practitioners, however, fail to recognise most patients with alcohol problems.

AIM

To assess the diagnostic performance of the CAGE and AUDIT questionnaires, their derivatives, and laboratory tests in screening for alcohol abuse or dependence in a primary care population (male and female patients), attending their general practitioner (GP).

DESIGN OF STUDY

A diagnostic cross-sectional study.

SETTING

A random sample of patients who were over 18 years of age (n = 1992) attending 69 general practices situated in the same region in Belgium.

METHOD

Alcohol questionnaires (CIDI 1.1, section I, CAGE, AUDIT, AUDIT-C, Five-Shot, and AUDIT Piccinelli) were completed, demographic information was recorded, and patients underwent conventional blood tests, including mean corpuscular volume, liver function tests, the gamma-glutamyl transferase test, and carbohydrate-deficient transferrin (CDT, estimated using %CDT). Calculations of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, odds ratios with their 95% CIs, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for different scores of the questionnaires and laboratory tests, using DSM-III-R as the reference standard.

RESULTS

The past-year prevalence of alcohol abuse or dependence in this population was 8.9% (178/1992) of which there were 132 male and 45 female patients attending a general practice. The GPs identified 33.5% of patients with alcohol abuse or dependence. Among male patients, all questionnaires had reasonable sensitivities between 68% and 93% and hence at lower cut-points than recommended. Only the sensitivity of the CAGE, even at its lowest cut-point of > or = 1 was lower (62%). In female patients the sensitivities were lower; however, odds ratios were higher for different questionnaires. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves did not differ between the questionnaires. The laboratory tests had low diagnostic accuracy with areas under the ROC curves (AUCs) between 0.60 and 0.67 for female patients and 0.57 and 0.65 for male patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This is one of the largest known studies on alcohol abuse or dependence among family care practices. We confirm earlier results that the AUDIT questionnaire seems equally appropriate for males and females; however, screening properties among male patients are higher. Nevertheless, the Five-Shot questionnaire is shorter and easier to use in a general practice setting and has nearly the same diagnostic properties in male and female general practice patient populations. We confirm that conventional laboratory tests are of no use for detecting alcohol abuse or dependence in a primary care setting. Also, the %CDT cannot been used as a screening instrument in this general practice population.

Risk factors for open-angle glaucoma: a case-control study

The objective of this study was to identify possible risk factors associated with open-angle glaucoma (OAG). A case-control study included patients seen at an ophthalmologic clinic. Cases were all consecutive new patients with either unilateral or bilateral OAG detected during the study period. Controls were a random sample of all other patients aged 30 or more, seen in the same department in the same period. Data on demographic, anthropometric and diet habits as well as medical characteristics were collected from 144 patients by medical examination and interview. The study took place at the University Department of Ophthalmology and general private practice of ophthalmology, both in the city of Kinshasa. Forty consecutive patients with OAG and 104 controls were chosen randomly between all consecutive non OAG patients. Odds ratio (OR) are presented for the relation between OAG and age, sex, ethnicity, family history of glaucoma, the length of stay in Kinshasa, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, cigarette smoking, alcohol, diet habits. Adjusted odds ratio resulting from stepwise logistic regression was employed. Results indicate: family history of glaucoma (OR, 18; 95% CI, 5.80-59.00; P < 0.001), age (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.01-1.09; P = 0.025), body mass index (OR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18; P = 0.05), hyperopia (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.05-7.08; P = 0.03), Mongo ethnic group (OR, 3.5; 95% CI, 1.11-12.20; P = 0.03) and consumption of rice (OR, 4.6; 95% CI, 1.65-12.20; P = 0.004) conferred a significantly greater risk of OAG. This study seems confirm that Mongo ethnic group is associated with an increased risk of OAG.

Psychosocial patient characteristics and GP-registered chronic morbidity: a prospective study

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to get a profile of patients who are vulnerable to get multiple chronic, recurrent or high-impact diseases in a limited time period. We studied the incidence rates of morbidity and multimorbidity, and the influence of psychosocial characteristics on their occurrences.

METHOD

Cohort study with 3551 subjects. Baseline measurement of psychosocial characteristics and a 2-year follow-up period for morbidity. The relations were evaluated using multiple logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

After adjustment for basic socio-demographic variables, a high internal locus of control belief was found to be protective [odds ratio (OR)=0.82] for the occurrence of morbidity, negative life events increased the risk (OR=1.22). Characteristics specifically protective for the occurrence of multimorbidity as compared to monomorbidity were: a high internal locus of control belief (OR=0.73), living as a couple or in a family as compared to living alone (OR=0.68) and a large social network (OR=0.41).

CONCLUSION

It appears that certain patient characteristics are specifically related to the occurrence of multimorbidity. This provides opportunities for the future development of preventive interventions.

Habitual caffeine consumption and its relation to memory, attention, planning capacity and psychomotor performance across multiple age groups

The present study evaluated the association between habitual caffeine intake via coffee and tea and cognitive performance. This was done as part of a larger research programme into the determinants of cognitive ageing (the Maastricht Aging Study: MAAS). Possible withdrawal effects that may have explained in part the positive association between performance and intake in an earlier study were controlled for. In addition, all cognitive tests in this study were administered under strict laboratory conditions. A group of 1875 healthy adults, stratified for age (range 24 - 81 years), sex, and general ability, were screened for habitual intake of coffee and tea and took part in extensive cognitive testing. Multiple regression analysis with control for age, sex, socio-demographic variables, and substance use showed that habitual caffeine consumption was significantly related to better long-term memory performance and faster locomotor speed. No relationships were found between habitual caffeine consumption and short-term memory, information processing, planning, and attention as measured with the Stroop Test. Moreover, no difference in sensitivity to caffeine intake between different age groups was found, suggesting that caffeine intake did not counteract age-related cognitive decline. Several recommendations are made to improve the design of future studies in this field. Copyright 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Meta-analysis of ROC curves

The authors present a method to combine several independent studies of the same (continuous or semiquantitative) diagnostic test, where each study reports a complete ROC curve; a plot of the true-positive rate or sensitivity against the false-positive rate or one minus the specificity. The result of the analysis is a pooled ROC curve, with a confidence band, as opposed to earlier proposals that result in a pooled area under the ROC curve. The analysis is based on a two-parameter model for the ROC curve that can be estimated for each individual curve. The parameters are then pooled with a bivariate random-effects meta-analytic method, and a curve can be drawn from the pooled parameters. The authors propose to use a model that specifies a linear relation between the logistic transformations of sensitivity and one minus specificity. Specifically, they define V = In(sensitivity/(1 - sensitivity)) and U = In((1 - specificity)/specificity), and then D = V - U, S = V + U. The model is defined as D = alpha + betaS. The parameters alpha and beta are estimated using weighted linear regression with bootstrapping to get the standard errors, or using maximum likelihood. The authors show how the procedure works with continuous test data and with categorical test data.

Marginal impact of psychosocial factors on multimorbidity: results of an explorative nested case-control study

This study examines differences between subjects with zero, one or two or more new diseases in a period of three years, with regard to demographic characteristics, socioeconomic status, life style, medical family history and current diseases in the family, psychological and sociological characteristics. This was studied using a primary care based nested case-control study. Data were available from 3745 cases and controls, all aged 20 years and older. All subjects were sampled from the Registration Network Family Practices, which is a computerised continuous primary care database. Cases were defined as subjects with new multimorbidity (two or more new diseases) registered in a period of three years and two groups of controls were operationalised as subjects with either one or no new diseases registered in the same period. Determinants were assessed by means of a postal questionnaire. Increasing age, higher number of previous diseases and low socioeconomic status were strongly associated with both morbidity and multimorbidity. After adjustment for these basic variables, the occurrence of multimorbidity was more frequent among subjects who did not report (volunteer) work or study, who had an active coping style, a high occupational class and an external locus of control. Profiles for subjects at risk for morbidity and multimorbidity seem to differ.

Is there a difference between CAGE interviews and written CAGE questionnaires?

BACKGROUND

The CAGE questionnaire is a frequently studied and used instrument for screening of alcohol problems. It was developed and tested as a written questionnaire, but, clinically, it is often used as an oral interview. No comparisons have been made between the results of a written and an oral CAGE. This study attempted to (1) compare the results of a written CAGE questionnaire and a CAGE interview, and (2) compare the efficiency of using a simple open-ended question about drinking habits before asking the CAGE and asking the CAGE without an introduction.

METHODS

All patients who attended a general internal medicine, cardiology, or hepatology clinic were classified according to the week of the consultation, as follows: group I (week 1), patients completed a written CAGE and were subsequently interviewed during a normal consultation by a physician, who also asked the CAGE questions; group II (week 2), a physician first interviewed the patients, including the CAGE, and subsequently patients completed a written CAGE; and group III (week 3), patients completed a CAGE interview after an open-ended introduction ("What do you drink during the day?"). Kappa values were used to compare the answers of the written and oral CAGE interviews (groups II and I). Nonparametric ANOVA was used to compare the results of group III and the oral interview of group II.

RESULTS

Mean age was comparable between the groups, gender ratio was comparable between groups I and III, but there were fewer males in group II. Comparison of all written CAGEs with the oral CAGEs in the same patients resulted in an accuracy of 0.91 and a kappa value of 0.75 (95% CI, 0.66-0.84). No significant difference could be found between the results of the oral CAGE with or without an open-ended introduction (p = 0.46).

CONCLUSIONS

We found no difference between the oral and the written versions of the CAGE. This is important because most research results originate from written questionnaires. Our results do not support the finding that a different approach to the CAGE questions results in an increasing number of patients in which alcohol problems were detected.

Quality of life and effectiveness of diabetes care in three different settings in Leuven

BACKGROUND

The new diabetes protocol, formulated in Belgium as a consensus between the National Institution of Health Insurance and diabetologists, implicitly assumes the care of type 1 diabetic patients to be more efficient at the specialist level (SP) in hospital, although GPs frequently are involved in diabetes care.

OBJECTIVES

A study was carried out in order to highlight differences in diabetes care between three different treatment settings (SP alone, combined SP-GP and GP alone)

METHODS

Out of a group of known diabetics, 325 patients were selected according to a stratified cluster sampling technique, in such a way that the three types of diabetes (formerly called type 1, type 2a and type 2b) occurred sufficiently in the three above-defined treatment settings. Outcome data on co-morbidity and diabetes health profile as well as output data on laboratory results were collected for each patient and compared between the different subgroups.

RESULTS

On the basis of a response rate of 47.9%, equally distributed over the different levels, we demonstrated that GPs and SPs score equally low on the different measures and that a better follow-up is indicated in all settings.

CONCLUSION

Diabetes care in Flanders can be upgraded significantly. There is no evidence that specialists are performing better. Therefore, one could argue for better follow-up of diabetes care in a primary health care setting.