Mortality of South Asian patients with insulin-treated diabetes mellitus in the United Kingdom: a cohort study

AIMS

To investigate mortality in South Asian patients with insulin-treated diabetes and compare it with mortality in non South Asian patients and in the general population.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted of 828 South Asian and 27 962 non South Asian patients in the UK with insulin-treated diabetes diagnosed at ages under 50 years. The patients were followed for up to 28 years. Ethnicity was determined by analysis of names. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated, comparing mortality in the cohort with expectations from the mortality experience of the general population.

RESULTS

SMRs were significantly raised in both groups of patients, particularly the South Asians, and especially in women and subjects with diabetes onset at a young age. The SMRs for South Asian patients diagnosed under age 30 years were 3.9 (95% CI 2.0-6.9) in men and 10.1 (5.6-16.6) in women, and in the corresponding non South Asians were 2.7 (2.6-2.9) and 4.0 (3.6-4.3), respectively. The SMR in women was highly significantly greater in South Asians than non South Asians. The mortality in the young-onset patients was due to several causes, while that in the patients diagnosed at ages 30-49 was largely due to cardiovascular disease, which accounted for 70% of deaths in South Asian males and 73% in females.

CONCLUSIONS

South Asian patients with insulin-treated diabetes suffer an exceptionally high mortality. Clarification of the full reasons for this mortality are needed, as are measures to reduce levels of known cardiovascular disease risk factors in these patients.

The incidence of visual impairment and its determinants in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Incidence of severe visual impairment and the ultimate prevalence of all grades of impairment were estimated in the 10 centres of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD) participating in the follow-up.

METHODS

Visual function was ascertained at follow-up in 2994 (77.9 %) of the 3845 eligible participating survivors of the 4709 originally recruited for the WHO MSVDD using the same baseline enquiry method. The associations between incident severe visual impairment, follow-up prevalence of all grades of impairment and baseline risk factors were examined by univariate and stepwise multiple logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, 8.4 year incidence of severe visual impairment was 1.94 % and showed statistically significant univariate correlations with age at diagnosis, diabetes duration, systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose and cholesterol, insulin treatment and strongly with baseline retinopathy. Baseline retinopathy, systolic pressure and cholesterol were statistically significant in multivariable analysis. Differences between centres (0.3% to 3.45%) were not significant. Ultimate prevalence of all grades of impairment differed between centres and within almost all of them was correlated in multivariable analysis with baseline retinopathy and proteinuria.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

Comparisons of incident severe visual impairment between centres are restricted by selective mortality, low incidence rates and relatively small numbers in each centre but before retinopathy, baseline systolic pressure and cholesterol predicted severe visual impairment. Follow-up prevalence of all degrees of impairment varied among centres and were associated with prior retinopathy and renal disease at baseline.

Vascular disease in younger-onset diabetes: comparison of European, Asian and American Indian cohorts of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

This study compared the incidence of vascular disease in subjects with younger-onset diabetes from different ethnic groups.

METHODS

The incidence of vascular disease endpoints has been studied in a sub-group (n = 994) of participants of the World Health Organization Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD) who had younger-onset diabetes (diagnosed before the age of 30 years). The study participants have been divided into European (n = 631), Asian (n = 84) and American Indian (n = 91) cohorts.

RESULTS

For Type I (insulin-dependent) and Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus, American Indian men had a higher incidence of lower-extremity amputation and renal failure than the other cohorts, whereas European women had a higher incidence of angina than other cohorts. American Indians also had a higher incidence of any retinopathy, clinical proteinuria and albuminuria than the European and Asian cohorts.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

This study confirms the high burden of large and small-vessel disease complications manifest in American Indian people with younger-onset diabetes.

The appearance of retinopathy and progression to proliferative retinopathy: the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We aimed to estimate incidences of any retinopathy and proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) by direct ophthalmoscopy and relate them to baseline risk factors in re-examined diabetic survivors from 10 centres of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes.

METHODS

After a mean follow-up of 8.4years (11.7 years in Oklahoma), 2877 (71.6%) survivors were resubmitted to standardised direct ophthalmoscopy as at baseline. The presence of any retinopathy and PDR were recorded at each centre and their incidence estimated in those without retinopathy and PDR at baseline. The independent associations of these incidences with baseline risk factors are expressed as odds ratios derived from multiple logistic regression analyses, within individual centres (which included fasting plasma glucose in 8 and triglyceride in 5) and in pooled data.

RESULTS

Of the 4662 original patients, 465 (10.4%) of those without and 77 (43.0%) of those with baseline PDR had died (p < 0.001). Any retinopathy was newly reported at follow-up in 47.7 % and PDR in 9.7 % of those free of them at baseline, with reported incidences varying substantially among centres. Incident retinopathy appeared earlier in the known course of diabetes but incidence rates rose more slowly with duration in patients with Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus than in those with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. In pooled data and in some individual centres, any retinopathy incidence gave significantly positive odds ratios with age, diabetes duration, systolic pressure, plasma cholesterol, BMI, insulin treatment and proteinuria, and with fasting plasma glucose in the centres where it was measured. Positive odds ratios for PDR were similarly obtained for age, duration, insulin treatment, cholesterol, proteinuria and fasting glycaemia. Smoking status odds ratios were negative for both outcomes.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

Incidence of ophthalmoscopically ascertained any retinopathy varied about twofold and of PDR about threefold among centres. Although, in part attributable to differences between observers, variation in incidence in all centres and in some cases within centres was associated with a number of baseline risk factors. Such associations are not likely due to observer variation or selection biases and emerged despite the imprecision of clinical ophthalmoscopy. Improved detection and control of these risk factors should reduce the impact of diabetic retinopathy and its consequences.

Increased urinary albumin excretion and its associations in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIM/HYPOTHESIS

We aimed to determine variations in the prevalence of increased urinary albumin excretion, associated risk factors and complications in patients with diabetes participating in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes follow-up.

METHODS

Urinary albumin to urinary creatinine ratios were measured centrally in 2,033 of the 2,550 (79.7%) re-examined patients from eight centres in seven countries and the frequency of microalbuminuria and macroalbuminuria and their associations with risk factors and complications were examined.

RESULTS

Macroalbuminuria prevalence (overall 15.6%) varied tenfold (3-37%) among centres, was higher in American Indian and Asian centres and not clearly related to type of diabetes. Microalbuminuria (overall 19.7 %) varied less (12-31%). Increased albumin excretion was related overall to baseline fasting plasma glucose in the pooled group in whom it was measured and to increased arterial pressure, insulin use, coronary heart disease, lower extremity amputation, retinopathy and stroke in most centres.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

Centres varied widely in the prevalence of increased albumin excretion but associations with risk factors and vascular complications were generally similar in most centres and in both major types of diabetes with ethnic and genetic differences probably contributing.

Vascular disease prevalence in diabetic patients in China: standardised comparison with the 14 centres in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Rates of vascular complications of diabetes in a cohort of mainland Chinese patients with diabetes, ascertained and examined by similar methodology, are compared with those of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD).

METHODS

The standardised procedures carried out in the WHO MSVDD were followed in assembling and examining a Chinese cohort of 447 diabetic patients recruited in Beijing and Tianjin [2].

RESULTS

Compared with the WHO MSVDD centres, the Chinese cohort was slightly older, had a shorter duration of known diabetes and had fewer insulin-treated patients. Arterial pressure, total blood cholesterol and body mass index were substantially lower. Large vessel disease rate for age, sex and duration adjusted data (17.9 % ) was about half that of the combined WHO MSVDD centres (33.5 % p < 0.001). However, retinopathy (47.4% vs 35.8% p < 0.001) and proteinuria (57.1 vs 24.9 % p < 0.001) rates were significantly higher.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

Relatively low arterial pressures and blood cholesterol are likely contributors to the notably low arterial disease rates in this Chinese diabetic cohort; they reflect low rates in the Chinese mainland general population and resemble the Tokyo and Hong Kong centres of the WHO MSVDD. The high rates of retinopathy and proteinuria could relate to later diagnosis, degree of hyperglycaemia and/or increased susceptibiltiy to microangiopathy.

Mortality and causes of death in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We aimed to examine the mortality rates, excess mortality and causes of death in diabetic patients from ten centres throughout the world.

METHODS

A mortality follow-up of 4713 WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD) participants from ten centres was carried out, causes of death were ascertained and age-adjusted mortality rates were calculated by centre, sex and type of diabetes. Excess mortality, compared with the background population, was assessed in terms of standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) for each of the 10 cohorts.

RESULTS

Cardiovascular disease was the most common underlying cause of death, accounting for 44 % of deaths in Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 52 % of deaths in Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus. Renal disease accounted for 21% of deaths in Type I diabetes and 11% in Type II diabetes. For Type I diabetes, all-cause mortality rates were highest in Berlin men and Warsaw women, and lowest in London men and Zagreb women. For Type II diabetes, rates were highest in Warsaw men and Oklahoma women and lowest in Tokyo men and women. Age adjusted mortality rates and SMRs were generally higher in patients with Type I diabetes compared with those with Type II diabetes. Men and women in the Tokyo cohort had a very low excess mortality when compared with the background population.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

This study confirms the importance of cardiovascular disease as the major cause of death in people with both types of diabetes. The low excess mortality in the Japanese cohort could have implications for the possible reduction of the burden of mortality associated with diabetes in other parts of the world.

An analysis of serial Minnesota ECG code changes in the London cohort of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Deterioration and improvement in the electrocardiogram are important outcomes in cardiovascular disease progression assessment. We used a sample of serial records from the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD) to assess Minnesota coding variability.

METHODS

A constructed subsample of 118 of the 352 paired (baseline and follow-up) and previously Minnesota-coded ECG records from the London cohort was randomised and re-read independently of the first code (respectively 11 and 0.5 years later) by the same two coders. Detailed Minnesota codes were summary coded into groups 1 (CHD unlikely), 2 and 3 (CHD possible and probable, respectively).

RESULTS

Re-reading of the constructed sample for the baseline records (11 years later) generated 21 Summary code reassignments (2 unlikely to possible or probable; 19 possible or probable to unlikely); re-reading for the follow-up records (0.5 years later) generated only 8 summary code reassignments (21 vs 8p < 0.001) (3 unlikely to possible or probable; 4 possible or probable to unlikely; 1 probable to possible). Re-reading increased the estimated net ECG deterioration in the constructed sample from 11.8 % to 25.4%. Consistency analysis showed most variability in marginal baseline abnormalities.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

Coding variability is now small though re-reading suggests some time-dependent coding drift. Relative over-reading at baseline suggests that the change reported in the complete WHO MSVDD cohort at follow-up was underestimated and that almost all of the reported ECG deterioration and about half of the reported ECG 'improvement' was real.

Risk factors for renal failure: the WHO Mulinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

We aimed to examine risk factors for, and differences in, renal failure in diabetic patients from 10 centres.

METHODS

Risk factors for renal failure were examined in 3,558 diabetic patients who did not have renal disease at baseline in the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD).

RESULTS

In 959 subjects with Type I (insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 2,559 with Type II (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus, the average follow-up was 8.4 years (+/- 2.7). By the end of the follow-up period 53 patients in the Type I diabetic group and 134 patients in the Type II diabetic group had developed renal failure (incidence rate 6.3:1,000 person years). Increasing age and duration of diabetes were associated with renal failure in Type II and Type I diabetes. In Type II diabetes duration of diabetes was a more important risk factor than age. In both Type I and Type II diabetic retinopathy and proteinuria were strongly associated with renal failure. Systolic blood pressure was associated with renal failure in Type I but not in Type II diabetic patients. ECG abnormalities at baseline, self-reported smoking and cholesterol were not associated with renal failure. Triglycerides were measured in a subset of centres. Among those with Type II, but not Type I diabetes, triglycerides were associated with renal failure independently of systolic blood pressure, proteinuria or retinopathy. In Type II diabetes fasting plasma glucose was associated with renal failure independently of other risk factors.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

We have confirmed the role of proteinuria and retinopathy as markers of renal failure and the importance of hyperglycaemia in renal failure in Type I and Type II diabetes. Plasma triglycerides seem to be an important predictor of renal failure in Type II diabetes. In Type I diabetes systolic blood pressure is an important predictor of renal failure.

Follow-up of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes: general description and morbidity

AIMS

The incidence of retinal, renal and cardiovascular complications and their relation to baseline risk factors was documented in this follow-up study of 10 of the 14 original centres of the WHO Multinational Study of Vascular Disease in Diabetes (WHO MSVDD).

METHODS

The incidence of specified items of vascular disease and some associated risk factors was ascertained after 7 to 9 years (11-12 years in Oklahoma, USA) follow-up, re-using baseline examination methodology in 3165 patients (66.9 %) and, through secondary information in 717 (15.2%) of the 4729 original patients, of whom 540 (11.4%) had died and 307 (6.5 %) were untraceable.

RESULTS

During follow-up, approximately one third of the patients developed hypertension and one third started insulin. Coronary heart disease incidence varied 10 to 20-fold among centres as did limb amputation rates. Inter-centre differences in incident retinopathy and severe visual impairment were smaller but incident clinical proteinuria and renal failure varied markedly. Vascular disease incidence of all categories was high in Native Americans though coronary heart disease incidence was relatively low in Pima Indians and absolutely low in Hong Kong and Tokyo patients. Specific vascular events and their relation with baseline risk factors are analysed in accompanying papers, summarised in the Epilogue.

CONCLUSION/INTERPRETATION

These 10 centres reported very different incidence rates of vascular complications. Observer variation, selection biases and competing causes of mortality contributed to these differences but their validity is supported by the more objective outcome indicators. The following papers also suggest that baseline factors such as raised arterial pressure, cholesterol and fasting glucose (in the centres where it was measured) were important and potentially reversible predictors of risk.

Risk and prevention of type II diabetes: offspring's views

BACKGROUND

People with a parent with type II diabetes have an increased risk of the disease. There is increasing evidence for the possibility of prevention, particularly by attaining and maintaining normal weight and adequate levels of physical exercise. No prior studies have reported awareness of risk and prevention in this high-risk group.

AIM

To explore beliefs about personal risk of diabetes and prevention in people with a parent with type II diabetes.

DESIGN OF STUDY

A total of 254 adults with type II diabetes were identified from five randomly selected practices in south London. Self-report questionnaires were sent to 152 eligible offspring of these patients. A total of 105 of the offspring returned the self-report questionnaires and participated in the study.

SETTING

Five randomly selected practices in south London.

METHODS

Patients with type II diabetes in five randomly selected practices in south London were asked if we might contact their offspring. One randomly selected offspring (over 18 years of age) from each family completed a self-report questionnaire.

RESULTS

Of 254 adults with type II diabetes 152 had eligible offspring. A total of 105 (69%) of the offspring participated in the study. A total of 69 (66%) of these offspring believed their personal risk of developing diabetes was 'low'. At least 28 (28%) and maybe as many as 73 (70%) underestimated the risk of diabetes in offspring. Compared with the number thinking their current risk was low significantly more (95 versus 69) thought that their risk would be low if neither of their parents had diabetes. Fifty-seven (54%) thought prevention was possible. Sixteen thought taking more exercise was important for prevention and only seven thought that weight control was important. Many had good general knowledge about diabetes and its complications but awareness of the relationship between diabetes and cardiovascular disease was poor.

CONCLUSIONS

People with a parent with type II diabetes are usually aware that they have an increased risk of diabetes. However, they often underestimate that risk and know little about potentially useful preventive strategies. They need accurate information about these matters if they are to reduce their risk of diabetes and its complications.

More good than harm: a randomised controlled trial of the effect of education about familial risk of diabetes on psychological outcomes

BACKGROUND

Offspring of people with type 2 diabetes underestimate their risk of developing the disease and know little about primary prevention. However, education about risk might cause psychological harm.

AIM

To examine cognitive and psychological effects of education about personal risk.

METHOD

Patients with type 2 diabetes were recruited from randomly selected general practices. One of their adult offspring was randomly selected and randomly allocated into one of three groups: 1. Group 1: given an initial interview, education, and a final interview; 2. Group 2: given an initial and final interview; and 3. Group 3: given one interview only. Psychological outcomes were assessed using Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HAD) and Positive Well-Being Scale (PWB) scores.

RESULTS

Sixty-nine per cent (105/152) of eligible offspring participated. Ninety-one per cent (96/152) completed the study. Comparing first and final interviews, in Group 1, significantly fewer responders at final interview (after education) thought that their risk of developing diabetes was 'low' (65% versus 41%, P = 0.027), while in Group 2, there was no significant change in risk perception (P = 0.13). Significantly fewer people in the educated group (Group 1, final interview) than in the control group (Group 3) thought their risk of developing diabetes was 'low' (41% versus 77%, P = 0.002). Risk education did not affect total HAD scores or PWB scores significantly.

CONCLUSION

Educating offspring of people with type 2 diabetes in this way about their risk of diabetes and possible preventive strategies increases their perception of personal risk but does not cause psychological harm.

Therapeutic objectives and their practical achievement in type 2 diabetes

This paper offers a broad but selective account of the context of type 2 diabetes at the start of the new millennium. It outlines the major long-term threats to health and life of people with type 2 diabetes and indicates that, while their relative impacts may differ, the burden of the specific "microvascular" and the atherosclerotic "macrovascular" complications of diabetes weigh as heavily on people with type 2 as on those with type 1 diabetes. Correction of hyperglycemia still has a leading role among therapeutic objectives in type 2 diabetes, but the concept of the "defence in depth" and the crucial importance of control of arterial pressure and correction of dyslipidemia - the "bad companions" in diabetes - is stressed. Other defences against tissue and organ failure in diabetes are described, highlighting the importance of regular, systematic screening for risk factors and early manifestations of tissue damage. Broader organizational, social and economic factors in diabetes care are touched upon and the need for strong alliances of all concerned parties - care providers, managers, health politicians, and above all informed and motivated people with diabetes themselves - is underlined with reference to the World Health Organization/International Diabetes Federation St. Vincent Declaration Initiative in Europe and its recent 10-year anniversary "Istanbul Commitment" to full implementation of the Declaration.

The British Diabetic Association Cohort Study, I: all-cause mortality in patients with insulin-treated diabetes mellitus

AIMS

To assess mortality in patients with diabetes incident under the age of 30 years.

METHODS

A cohort of 23 752 diabetic patients diagnosed under the age of 30 years from throughout the United Kingdom was identified during 1972-93 and followed up to February 1997. Following notification of deaths during this period, age- and sex-specific mortality rates, attributable risks and standardized mortality rates were calculated.

RESULTS

The 23 752 patients contributed a total of 317 522 person-years of follow-up, an average of 13.4 years per subject. During follow-up 949 deaths occurred in patients between the ages of 1 and 84 years, 566 in males and 383 in females. All-cause mortality rates in the patients with diabetes exceeded those in the general population at all ages and within the cohort were higher for males than females at all ages except between 5 and 15 years. The relative risk of death (standardized mortality ratio, SMR), was higher for females than males at all ages, being 4.0 (95% CI 3.6-4.4) for females and 2.7 (2.5-2.9) for males overall, but reaching a peak of 5.7 (4.7-7.0) in females aged 20-29, and of 4.0 (3.1-5.0) in males aged 40-49. Attributable risks, or the excess deaths in persons with diabetes compared with the general population, increased with age in both sexes.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study from the UK of young patients diagnosed with diabetes that is large enough to calculate detailed age-specific mortality rates. This study provides a baseline for further studies of mortality and change in mortality within the United Kingdom.

The British Diabetic Association Cohort Study, II: cause-specific mortality in patients with insulin-treated diabetes mellitus

AIMS

To measure cause-specific mortality, by age, in patients with insulin-treated diabetes incident at a young age.

METHODS

A cohort of 23 752 patients with insulin-treated diabetes diagnosed under the age of 30 years, from throughout the United Kingdom, was identified during 1972-93 and followed to February 1997. Death certificates have been obtained for deaths during the follow-up period and cause-specific mortality rates and standardized mortality ratios by age and sex are reported.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period 949 deaths occurred and at all ages mortality rates were considerably higher than in the general population. Acute metabolic complications of diabetes were the greatest single cause of excess death under the age of 30 years. Cardiovascular disease was responsible for the greatest proportion of the deaths from the age of 30 years onwards.

CONCLUSIONS

Deaths in patients with diabetes diagnosed under the age of 30 have been reported and comparisons drawn with mortality in the general population. To reduce these deaths attention must be paid both to the prevention of acute metabolic deaths and the early detection and treatment of cardiovascular disease and associated risk factors.

Reducing the burden of diabetes: managing cardiovascular disease

Of the threats to health and life that beset the person with diabetes, cardiovascular disease (CVD), particularly coronary heart disease (CHD) but also cerebrovascular and peripheral vascular disease, represent the heaviest burden. The relative risk for CVD is very high for Type 1 diabetes, but the absolute risk, in terms of numbers, is much higher for Type 2. In all societies, diabetes increases cardiovascular risk twofold or more, compared with the local non-diabetic population. Some of the evidence for this diabetes-related increase in cardiovascular risk is reviewed and its relationship to recognised cardiovascular risk factors considered. The explanation of the enhanced susceptibility to atherosclerotic disease in diabetes remains a matter of contention. How much can be explained by greater prevalence in diabetes of such risk factors as hypertension and dyslipidaemia? To what extent is the impact of a given level of risk factor magnified by a co-existing diabetic state? Is the increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality secondary to risk factors specifically related to the diabetic state itself? Does the explanation lie in altered coagulability due to changes in platelet activation and aggregability, fibrinogen levels, Factor VII, von Willebrand factor or PAI-1, in the concentration or composition of plasma lipoproteins, in defective endothelial cell function or other metabolic abnormalities of the arterial wall? To what extent is cardiovascular risk related to the degree of hyperglycaemia, protein glycation, relative hyperinsulinaemia and insulin resistance? Data from recent epidemiological, intervention and laboratory investigations bearing on causation, management and prevention of CVD in diabetes are reviewed. Evidence for the impact of correction of glycaemia, dyslipidaemia and raised arterial pressure is considered and reasons are adduced for a broad and proactive therapeutic approach with early identification and vigorous correction of key risk factors.

Diabetes mellitus in the family: perceptions of offspring's risk

AIMS

The study aimed to explore the beliefs and concerns of people with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) about their children's risk of developing the disease and the possibilities for prevention.

METHODS

Questionnaires were posted to all patients with Type 2 DM in four randomly selected general practices in South London. Two hundred and thirteen (73%) responded. The main outcome measures were: estimated risk of Type 2 DM in their offspring; worry about diabetes in their offspring; knowledge about the possibilities for prevention of Type 2 DM and its complications.

RESULTS

Of the 159 respondents with children, at least 35% and perhaps as many as 64% underestimated the risk of their offspring developing Type 2 DM; 44% thought it possible to reduce the risk of Type 2 DM and its complications; 28% thought altering diet and 6% taking exercise might be useful preventive strategies; 49% worried about their children developing diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Although risk of Type 2 DM was underestimated for their children and little was known about prevention, about half of the respondents worried about their children developing diabetes. Education and counselling about risk and prevention are needed. This is important in view of growing interest in and opportunities for both the primary and secondary prevention of Type 2 DM.

Microalbuminuria and coronary heart disease in NIDDM: an incidence study

In most survival studies in NIDDM, microalbuminuria (urinary albumin excretion rate 20-200 microg/min) predicts early mortality; in cross-sectional studies, it is associated with coronary heart disease (CHD) morbidity. It is unclear, however, whether microalbuminuria is a risk factor for the development of CHD or the result of it, and little is known of the factors that predispose to the development of microalbuminuria in NIDDM. We examined these issues in a 7-year prospective study of a hospital-based cohort comprising 146 white NIDDM patients without clinical albuminuria. Microalbuminuria was a significant risk factor for both all-cause mortality (relative risk 3.94, 95% CI 2.04-7.62) and CHD mortality (relative risk 7.40, 95% CI 2.94-18.7) when adjusted for age only. Its independent predictive power did not persist, however, in age-adjusted multivariable survival analysis that allowed for the other significant risk factors: male sex, preexisting CHD, high levels of glycated hemoglobin, and high serum cholesterol. Among men free of CHD at baseline, the independent risk factors for CHD morbidity and mortality were microalbuminuria, current smoking, high diastolic blood pressure, and high serum cholesterol (all P < 0.05). For the 100 NIDDM patients with normoalbuminuria at baseline, the incidence of microalbuminuria was 29% over the 7-year period. In that group, fasting plasma glucose, current smoking, preexisting CHD, and high initial urinary albumin excretion rate were risk factors for the development of microalbuminuria (all P < 0.05). When men and women were analyzed separately, preexisting CHD was a significant risk factor in men only. These results demonstrate that microalbuminuria predicts incident clinical CHD in men with NIDDM. Preexisting CHD is also a risk factor for incident microalbuminuria in men, however, suggesting that microalbuminuria and CHD are not causally related but rather reflect common determinants.