Comparative safety and tolerability of clopidogrel and aspirin: results from CAPRIE. CAPRIE Steering Committee and Investigators. Clopidogrel versus aspirin in patients at risk of ischaemic events

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to provide a comprehensive comparison of the long term safety and tolerability of clopidogrel, a new adenosine diphosphate (ADP) receptor antagonist that inhibits platelet activation induced by ADP, and aspirin (acetylsalicylic acid).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The study population comprised 19,185 patients with symptomatic atherosclerosis manifested as recent ischaemic stroke, recent myocardial infarction or symptomatic peripheral arterial disease. Patients were randomised to receive clopidogrel 75 mg/day or aspirin 325 mg/day for a minimum of 1 year and a maximum of 3 years.

RESULTS

Compared with aspirin, clopidogrel reduced the combined risk of ischaemic stroke, myocardial infarction or vascular death by 8.7% (p = 0.043). The incidence of early permanent discontinuations of the study drug due to adverse events was almost identical in both treatment groups (11.94% for clopidogrel vs 11.92% for aspirin). Reported neutropenia was similar in the clopidogrel and aspirin groups (0.10 vs 0.17%, respectively) with corresponding rates (0.05 vs 0.04%, respectively) for severe neutropenia. Thrombocytopenia was identical in the clopidogrel and aspirin groups (0.26%), with the rates of severe thrombocytopenia being 0.19 vs 0.10%, respectively. None of these observed differences was statistically significant. The overall incidence of haemorrhagic events did not differ statistically significantly between treatment groups (9.27% for clopidogrel vs 9.28% for aspirin; p = 0.98). There was a trend towards a lower incidence of intracranial haemorrhage in the clopidogrel group (0.31%) compared with the aspirin group (0.42%). Any reported gastrointestinal haemorrhage was significantly less frequent with clopidogrel (1.99%) than with aspirin (2.66%) [p < 0.002]. The corresponding data for severe gastrointestinal bleeding were 0.49 vs 0.71%; p < 0.05. Overall, there were significantly fewer gastrointestinal adverse events with clopidogrel than with aspirin (27.1 vs 29.8%; p < 0.001), with less abdominal pain, dyspepsia, constipation, or peptic, gastric, or duodenal ulceration with clopidogrel. Diarrhoea was significantly more common in the clopidogrel group (4.46 vs 3.36%; p < 0.001), although the incidence of severe diarrhoea (0.23 vs 0.11%) was low and was not significantly different between groups. There were significantly more patients with rash in the clopidogrel group (6.0%) compared with the aspirin group (4.6%) [p < 0.001]. However, these events were generally mild and transient in nature.

CONCLUSION

Given the favourable benefit/risk ratio, clopidogrel represents a clinically important advance in the treatment of patients with manifest atherosclerotic disease.

[Outline of the problem of indices of therapeutic efficacy. 4. Expression of efficacy when the underlying illness is incurable. Study Group for the Indices of Efficacy]

In chronic illness, when death or a non-fatal event can occur at any time, the current efficacy indices are no longer appropriate to express the effect of the treatment on the potential therapeutic objectives. The inappropriateness is not dependent on the effect model. Clues for solutions are proposed.

Highly efficient liposome-mediated gene transfer of inducible nitric oxide synthase in vivo and in vitro in vascular smooth muscle cells

OBJECTIVE

The efficient introduction of regulatory genes into vascular smooth muscle cells (SMCs) is one of the most promising options for gene therapy of cardiovascular diseases. Cationic liposome-mediated gene transfer may become a favorable transfection technique with regard to patient's safety for in vivo administration. However, this method until now has its limitation in a low transfection efficiency. Therefore, the present study was designed to improve cationic liposome-mediated transfection of rabbit vascular SMCs in vitro and in vivo, in order to enhance transfection efficiency and present an optimized system which may offer a potential therapeutic benefit for in vivo application.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Optimized lipofection of rabbit SMCs with the mammalian expression vector pE-N1 and the reporter gene green fluorescent protein resulted in a mean transfection efficiency of about 50%. The unique transfection of rabbit SMCs in vitro and in vivo with the inducible isoform of human nitric oxide synthase (NOSII), using the same vector, resulted in a successful transient transcription and translation of a functionally active human NOSII in rabbit SMC, persisting 5-6 days. We could further demonstrate that the transfection procedure and the transgene product did neither induce necrosis nor apoptosis under the conditions chosen and did not result in the induction of endogenous NOSII of transfected SMCs.

CONCLUSION(S)

These findings indicate potential therapeutic relevance for this nonviral gene transfer system for in vivo gene therapy for cardiovascular diseases.

[Prognostic importance of ambulatory arterial pressure monitoring in France. Initial results of the OCTAVE II study. OCTAVE II Research Group]

RATIONALE

Ambulatory blood pressure measurement (ABPM) is commonly used in clinical practice, whereas its added value to the management of hypertension is not definitely documented.

OBJECTIVE

The OCTAVE II study was launched in 1991 to explore the prognostic value of ABPM, compared to that of the gold standard, the clinical blood pressure measurement.

METHODS

Two hundred and six French cardiologists recruited 3569 participants over 18 years of age, provided they deemed ABPM was useful (mean age of 56 years, 52% of men, 65% already treated by antihypertensive drugs). The prognostic value of various blood pressure measurements, systolic or diastolic, clinical or ambulatory (diurnal, nocturnal or during 24 hours), has been assessed in multivariate models adjusted on the baseline characteristics associated with risk. The outcome was the occurrence of a major cardiovascular event, including stroke, myocardial infarction and cardiovascular death.

RESULTS

After an average follow-up of five years, cardiovascular morbidity was known for 85% of the participants, and their vital status for 91%. On the whole population, the best prognostic indicators were systolic blood pressure compared with diastolic, ABPM compared with clinical blood pressure measurements, and nocturnal ABPM compared with diurnal ABPM. In the untreated participants at baseline, cardiovascular risk regularly increased among the four groups: normotensives, white-coat hypertensives, dippers, non-dippers. Between the extreme categories, the cardiovascular event rate was multiplied by 6.5.

CONCLUSION

In this French population, ABPM and most of all its nocturnal component, was better correlated with cardiovascular prognosis. It remains to assess: 1) the general value of our findings, 2) the respective values of self blood pressure measurement versus ABPM, and 3) whether ABPM allows a better risk prevention.

Implication of evidence-based medicine in prescription guidelines taught to French medical students: current status in the cardiovascular field

OBJECTIVES

To study how satisfactory the contents of introductory courses in cardiovascular therapeutics, given to medical students in France, are with respect to the concepts of evidence-based medicine.

METHODS

Medical school lecturers were asked to provide written course material used as part of medical school courses. Best-available evidence was classified as existent (including two therapeutic subclasses: indicated and contraindicated), and nonexistent. Four scores (from 0 to 10) were given, according to conformity with best-available evidence, and citation of randomized clinical trials (RCT), meta-analyses and therapeutic objectives.

RESULTS

Thirty-four written documents were obtained from 43 faculties. Although the score (mean +/- SEM) of conformity with best-available evidence was 5.43 +/- 0.28 for the existent best-available evidence class, the corresponding scores for the citation of RCT, meta-analyses, and therapeutic objectives were, respectively, 1 +/- 0.2, 0.16 +/- 0.07, and 2.7 +/- 0.3. The four scores were highest when the best-available evidence belonged to the indicated class, intermediate when best-available evidence was nonexistent, and lowest for the contraindicated class (P < .05). These scores were significantly higher when the printed material was intended for specialists.

CONCLUSION

Despite some limitations, the extent of agreement with the best-available evidence is only moderate. Pathophysiologic reasoning is largely preferred to justify the choice of therapeutics recommended to medical students.

Identification of responders to a therapy: an example of validation of a predictive model

The general objective of randomized clinical trials is to assess if the treatment effect on a given population is clinically meaningful. In this way, one obtains an average estimate of the treatment effect over the trial population. However, a growing need for medical practitioners is to be able to predict with sufficient precision the efficiency of a given treatment for a given patient. There is little information in the literature about this issue. We have previously proposed a treatment-startified Cox model including interaction between treatment and patient's covariates, to identify and predict the responders to a therapy. In this paper, we focus on the assessment of the predictive power of the model. The performance of the predictive model for a population and for an individual was statistically validated internally and externally from several aspects. The prediction correlates well with the observation. Thus, we suggest that this approach would be useful in identifying and predicting the responders to a therapy, subject to an appropriate and more extensive validation process in real setting.

Amiodarone interaction with beta-blockers: analysis of the merged EMIAT (European Myocardial Infarct Amiodarone Trial) and CAMIAT (Canadian Amiodarone Myocardial Infarction Trial) databases. The EMIAT and CAMIAT Investigators

BACKGROUND

Investigations with in vitro and animal models suggest an interaction between amiodarone and beta-blockers. The objective of this work was to explore if an interaction with beta-blocker treatment plays a role in the decrease of cardiac arrhythmic deaths with amiodarone in patients recovered from an acute myocardial infarction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A pooled database from 2 similar randomized clinical trials, the European Amiodarone Myocardial Infarction Trial (EMIAT) and the Canadian Amiodarone Myocardial Infarction Trial (CAMIAT), was used. Four groups of post-myocardial infarction patients were defined: beta-blockers and amiodarone used, beta-blockers used alone, amiodarone used alone, and neither used. All analyses were done on an intention-to-treat basis. Unadjusted and adjusted relative risks for all-cause mortality, cardiac death, arrhythmic cardiac death, nonarrhythmic cardiac death, arrhythmic death, or resuscitated cardiac arrest were lower for patients receiving beta-blockers and amiodarone than for those without beta-blockers, with or without amiodarone. The interaction was statistically significant for cardiac death and arrhythmic death or resuscitated cardiac arrest (P=0.05 and 0.03, respectively). Findings were consistent across subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings are based on a post hoc analysis. However, they confirm prior results from in vitro and animal experiments suggesting an interaction between beta-blockers and amiodarone. In practice, not only is the adjunct of amiodarone to beta-blockers not hazardous, but beta-blocker therapy should be continued if possible in patients in whom amiodarone is indicated.

[The problem of therapeutic efficacy indices. 2. Description of the indices]

The four indices for a binary outcome or therapeutic objective are: the odds ratio, the relative risk, the absolute benefit and the number of patients to treat. For a continuous outcome, the effect size is the best choice. The odds ratio approximates the relative risk. The difference may be large in some instances. The number of patients to treat is the reciprocal of the absolute benefit. Although they are built on the same two quantities, they are not interchangeable and should not be considered in the same way. Moreover, their meaning is not straightforward and they can be misused.

[Pharmacology of estrogens and progestogens and cardiovascular risk]

The rationale for oestrogen replacement therapy relies mainly on two types of evidence, both of which are flawed: (1) the relative protection of women in premenopausal status against cardiovascular diseases and the increase of risk following menopause; (2) data from observational studies that showed a lower prevalence of cardiovascular events in women taking hormone replacement therapy (HRT) compared with those not taking such treatment (OR = 0.65; 95 per cent CI: 0.59-0.71). Behind the former evidence there is the assumption that the difference in risk before and after menopause is mostly due to the lack of ovarian oestrogens in post-menopausal women. This is indeed a strong assumption since there are many other changes during and after menopause. The second type of evidence assumes that the ORs given by the observational studies are unbiased. In fact, there are reliable data suggesting that women taking and not taking HRT are different in many respects, especially in their concerns for their health. This dimension has been proposed as an explanation for the correlation between compliance with placebo and survival. The only reliable approach is to perform adequately sized and long-term follow-up randomized trials. Although they should not be viewed as conclusive, the results of the first completed trial do not support the hypothesis that HRT is beneficial in women with a history of coronary disease.

Neuronal-type NO synthase: transcript diversity and expressional regulation

Of the three established isoforms of NO synthase, the gene for the neuronal-type enzyme (NOS I) is by far the largest and most complicated one. The genomic locus of the human NOS I gene is located on chromosome 12 and distributed over a region greater than 200 kb. The nucleotide sequence corresponding to the major neuronal mRNA transcript is encoded by 29 exons. The full-length open reading frame codes for a protein of 1434 amino acids with a predicted molecular weight of 160.8 kDa. However, both in rodents and in humans, multiple, tissue-specific or developmentally regulated NOS I mRNA transcripts have been reported. They arise from the initiation by different transcriptional units containing alternative promoters (at least eight in the human gene), cassette exon deletions or insertions, and/or the usage of alternate polyadenylation signals. Depending on the insertions and deletions, translation results in functional or nonfunctional proteins. The use of alternative promoters can influence gene expression by various means. Indeed, NOS I is not a static, constitutively expressed enzyme, but subject to expressional regulation by various compounds and conditions. The molecular mechanisms underlying these regulations are currently being studied in several laboratories including our own.

Antihypertensive drugs in very old people: a subgroup meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. INDANA Group

BACKGROUND

Beneficial clinical effects of treatment with antihypertensive drugs have been shown in middle-aged patients and in those hypertensive patients over 60 years old, but whether treatment is beneficial in patients over 80 years old is not known.

METHODS

We collected data from all participants aged 80 years and over in randomised controlled trials of antihypertensive drugs through direct contact with study investigators. Our primary outcome was fatal and non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes were death from all causes, cardiovascular death, fatal and non-fatal major coronary and cardiovascular events, and heart failure.

FINDINGS

There were 57 strokes and 34 deaths among 874 actively treated patients, compared with 77 strokes and 28 stroke deaths among 796 controls, representing 1 non-fatal stroke prevented for about 100 patients treated each year. The meta-analysis of data from 1670 participants aged 80 years or older suggested that treatment prevented 34% (95% CI 8-52) of strokes. Rates of major cardiovascular events and heart failure were significantly decreased, by 22% and 39%, respectively. However, there was no treatment benefit for cardiovascular death, and a non-significant 6% (-5 to 18) relative excess of death from all causes.

INTERPRETATIONS

The inconclusive findings for mortality contrast with the benefit of treatment for non-fatal events. Results of a large-scale specific trial are needed for definite conclusion that antihypertensive treatment is beneficial in very elderly hypertensive patients. Meanwhile, an age threshold beyond which hypertension should not be treated cannot be justified.

[The problem of therapeutic efficacy indices. 1. Elements of the problem]

Efficacy indices measure the efficacy of therapies. They derive, by definition, from two quantities, the basal or control risk of event, Rc, observed in the control group, and the on-treatment risk, Rt, observed in the treated group. In clinical trials and meta-analyses, each is an unbiased measure of efficacy. Although they are a combination of frequencies, these indices are used in clinical practice to predict the benefit in treated patients. Their relevance to express efficacy depends on the type of clinical condition, and is better for acute diseases than for chronic diseases. In order to be useful for prescribers, they should meet certain specifications. In addition, they should be considered in the more general framework of effect models.

[Note on the epistemology of clinical pharmacology: comparison with the approach of Karl Popper]

Is clinical pharmacology a science or only an application of science? Karl Popper suggested a method to identify science and to sort it out from other logical activities such as metaphysics, whereby the falsification criterion he proposed can apply to the theory in such a way that the theory could be refuted. The clinical pharmacologist's approach requires the build-up of a therapeutic model on the basis of two other models: the physiopathologic and the pharmacological. The three-model construct is a theory. Is it scientific in the Popperian sense? From the therapeutic model, one can predict the efficacy of a drug, and the corresponding statement is tested by a clinical trial. Whatever the original statement, it is modified into a refutable one because of the use of the statistical approach in clinical trials. Furthermore, the predicate represents a hypothesis of the model validity, which will then be confronted with 'reality' through clinical experiment. As the therapeutic model is refutable, clinical pharmacology is a science in the Popperian sense.

Assessing treatment-time interaction in clinical trials with time to event data: a meta-analysis of hypertension trials

Exploration of the variation of treatment effect over time in randomized clinical trials with low event rates is limited by lack of power. A meta-analysis on individual patient data from such trials can partly solve the problem, but brings other computational difficulties. Using an example in hypertension, we describe appropriate methods for graphical description and statistical modelling of treatment-time interactions in large data sets. Also, a method is developed for determining the total number of events required to detect treatment-period interactions of plausible magnitude. We conclude that trialists tend to overinterpret the observed data when looking for potential treatment-time interactions by visual comparisons of survival curves, failing to realize the substantial amounts of data that are needed for their detection and estimation.

The effect of recombinant factor VIIa (NovoSeven) in healthy volunteers receiving acenocoumarol to an International Normalized Ratio above 2.0

Vitamin K antagonists are most commonly used in long-term thrombosis prophylaxis and the use in patients with cardiovascular disease seems to be increasing. By interfering with the normal hemostatic mechanism, an increased risk of bleeding will arise and administration of human plasma or prothrombin complex concentrates may be necessary. It can be difficult to normalize hemostasis using plasma and prothrombin complex concentrates, because these may be associated with thromboembolic side-effects. The level of factor VII, one of the vitamin-K-dependent coagulation factors, decreases during oral anticoagulant therapy and the administration of recombinant factor VIIa normalizes the prolonged prothrombin time in warfarin-treated rats. After administration of acenocoumarol (International Normalized Ratio > 2), decreased levels of factor X and factor IX (19-46%), protein C (2-20%) and factor VII (4-17%) were found in 28 healthy volunteers. After one dose of recombinant factor VIIa (5, 10, 20, 40, 80, 120, 160, 240, or 320 microg/kg) the International Normalized Ratio and prothrombin time normalized, which may imply an effect on bleeding in individuals receiving oral anticoagulant therapy. The lowest dose (5 microg/kg) normalized the International Normalized Ratio for 12 h and doses > 120 microg/kg normalized it for 24 h. Fragment 1+2 stayed within its normal range in all dose groups, indicating that no systemic coagulation occurred.

Clinical effects of beta-adrenergic blockade in chronic heart failure: a meta-analysis of double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomized trials

BACKGROUND

beta-Blockers have improved symptoms and reduced the risk of cardiovascular events in studies of patients with heart failure, but it is unclear which end points are most sensitive to the therapeutic effects of these drugs.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We combined the results of all 18 published double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group trials of beta-blockers in heart failure. From this combined database of 3023 patients, we evaluated the strength of evidence supporting an effect of treatment on left ventricular ejection fraction, NYHA functional class, hospitalizations for heart failure, and death. beta-Blockers exerted their most persuasive effects on ejection fraction and on the combined risk of death and hospitalization for heart failure. beta-Blockade increased the ejection fraction by 29% (P<10(-9)) and reduced the combined risk of death or hospitalization for heart failure by 37% (P<0.001). Both effects remained significant even if >90% of the trials were eliminated from the analysis or if a large number of trials with a neutral result were added to the analysis. In contrast, the effect of beta-blockade on NYHA functional class was of borderline significance (P=0.04) and disappeared with the addition or removal of only 1 moderate-size study. Although beta -blockade reduced all-cause mortality by 32% (P=0.003), this effect was only moderately robust and varied according to the type of ss-blocker tested, ie, the reduction of mortality risk was greater for nonselective beta-blockers than for beta1-selective agents (49% versus 18%, P=0.049). However, selective and nonselective beta-blockers did not differ in their effects on other measures of clinical efficacy.

CONCLUSIONS

These analyses indicate that there is persuasive evidence supporting a favorable effect of beta-blockade on ejection fraction and the combined risk of death and hospitalization for heart failure. In contrast, the effect of these drugs on other end points requires additional study.

Expressional down-regulation of neuronal-type nitric oxide synthase I by glucocorticoids in N1E-115 neuroblastoma cells

Neuronal-type nitric oxide synthase (NOS I) is involved in ischemia-induced brain damage, and glucocorticoids have been reported to protect from brain damage. This prompted us to investigate if the activity or expression of NOS I was influenced by glucocorticoids. We used the murine neuroblastoma cell line N1E-115 as our experimental model. Short-term incubation (30 min) of the N1E-115 cells with dexamethasone (10 nM to 1 microM) or hydrocortisone (100 nM to 10 microM) did not change the enzymatic activity of NOS I. However, the glucocorticoids inhibited NOS I mRNA expression in a concentration-dependent fashion (down to 53.3 +/- 2. 5% of control). In time-course experiments with 100 nM dexamethasone, maximum down-regulation of NOS I mRNA was seen after 24 hr (55.6 +/- 6.3% of control). Similar effects were seen with 10 microM hydrocortisone. The effect of 100 nM dexamethasone was completely reversed by 1 microM of the glucocorticoid receptor antagonist mifepristone. In experiments with actinomycin D (10 microg/ml), the half-life of the NOS I mRNA was determined to be approximately 12 hr and remained unchanged after glucocorticoid incubation. Nuclear run-on analyses indicated that the decrease in NOS I mRNA was the result of a glucocorticoid-induced inhibition of NOS I gene transcription. In Western blots, the 160-kDa NOS I protein band was down-regulated to 68.5 +/- 8.4% of control after an incubation of the N1E-115 cells with 100 nM dexamethasone for 26 hr. Similarly, NO production was down-regulated to 57.8 +/- 8.7% of control. These data demonstrate that glucocorticoids reduce the expression of NOS I without changing its activity.

[Identification and prediction of responders to a therapy. A model and its preliminary application to hypertension]

The effect of a given treatment for a given disease may be estimated from randomized controlled clinical trials, expressed as a single treatment effect averaged over the trial population. However, in recent years there has been an increasing willingness to individualize therapeutic decisions. The method we report here identifies responders by assessing the individual probability of an event, according to the treatment group. We used a treatment-stratified Cox regression model including interaction between treatment and patient's covariates, with common regression coefficients for treated and untreated, except for the special case of a prognostic variable which has an interaction with treatment. Further, we used a discriminate function based on the final model, representing the absolute individual therapeutic effect, to identify the patients to be treated according to a given threshold of clinical efficacy. The model was explored on the INDANA database (which pools individual patient data from clinical trials of anti-hypertensive drug intervention). Data on 36,444 patients, from five randomized controlled trials were included. The results show the relationship between the proportion of avoided events among the avoidable ones, and the proportion of patients treated who were responders, as a function of the threshold of absolute benefit defining responders. The confidence intervals of the absolute therapeutic benefit for each individual were calculated, by using the Monte Carlo simulation method. A comparison of the survival of treated and controlled individuals, in both subgroups of responders and non responders, illustrated the relevance of the model. We conclude that the tools for predicting individual therapeutic benefit do exist. It will be important to assess the reproducibility of these results in other models or in other populations before widespread application. It will be necessary to have a properly computerized environment and to train doctors to use these tools.

The calculation of a confidence interval on the absolute estimated benefit for an individual patient

Physicians need a method to predict the individualized absolute therapeutic benefit before deciding which therapy to prescribe to a given patient and the confidence intervals around this estimate. We have derived a method to predict the absolute individual therapeutic benefit in a previous work. In this paper, we present a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the bias of prediction for an individual with certain characteristics and use a bootstrap method to compute its confidence intervals. Because the bootstrap approach does not depend upon the parametric assumption for the distribution of the prediction, it can be applied to situations where the parametric distribution is unknown. Over 35,000 cases of subjects at risk of cardiovascular events were available for analysis. Our results show the 95% confidence intervals for each individual. In a clinical setting, the use of this approach makes it possible to predict the absolute therapeutic benefit for each patient (the quantity of individual benefit) with sufficient precision.