Association of Autoimmune Vasculitis and Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Population-Based Case-Control Study

Background

Recent investigations suggest that inflammation and autoimmunity might have a role in the pathophysiology of atrial fibrillation (AF). Given that abnormal ventriculovascular coupling often coexists with AF, we hypothesize that autoimmune vasculitis plays a significant role in the pathogenetic mechanism of AF.

Methods and Results

A standardized retrospective population‐based case–control study was conducted to evaluate the association between autoimmune vasculitis and AF, and all‐cause mortality. The study included 8459 patients with a new diagnosis of AF and 8459 age‐, sex‐, and registration calendar year–matched controls in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between January 1, 1980 and December 31, 2010. The association of each clinical characteristic, diagnosis, and treatment was assessed using conditional logistic regression to account for the matched case–control study design. Cox proportional hazards regression models and Kaplan‐Meier curves were used to detect independent predictors of mortality and examine cumulative survival. Of a total of 16 918 patients (mean age 72.3+14.4 years; 48.7% women), 320 (1.9%) were diagnosed with autoimmune vasculitis before the index date during the 30‐year period. Among the cases, the prevalence of any autoimmune vasculitis was 2.3%, whereas the frequency of autoimmune vasculitis in controls was 1.5% (P<0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, the odds of autoimmune vasculitis in AF cases was 1.5 times higher than in controls (odds ratio, 1.47; 95% CI, 1.04–2.01; P=0.03). Patients with AF and autoimmune vasculitis had worse 5‐year survival than those without autoimmune vasculitis or AF (44.7% versus 77.2%; log‐rank P<0.001).

Conclusions

Autoimmune vasculitis is significantly associated with AF and independently confers worse survival. These observations may represent one mechanism linking autoimmunity and inflammation to the pathogenesis and prognosis of AF.

Aortic Hemodynamics and Cognitive Performance in Postmenopausal Women: Impact of Pregnancy History

BACKGROUND

Studies demonstrate an association between aortic hemodynamics and cognitive function. The impact of pregnancy history on this association is unknown.

METHODS

Postmenopausal women (age 59 ± 5 years; years since last pregnancy 35 ± 3) with either a history of preeclampsia (PE; n = 34) or a history of a normotensive pregnancy (NP; n = 30) underwent cognitive testing: Letter-Number Sequencing, Digit Span, Trail Making Test, and letter and category fluency. Applanation tonometry was used to derive aortic systolic and diastolic blood pressure and augmentation index.

RESULTS

Distribution of cognitive scores and aortic hemodynamic measures was similar between the PE and NP groups. Principal component (PC) analysis was used to reduce the 3 aortic hemodynamic measures and the 5 cognitive variables to single summary indices, each representing a weighted average of their respective constituent variables. Using a multivariable linear model based on these PCs that adjusted for pregnancy history and body mass index, the composite index of aortic hemodynamics was associated with the summary cognitive index, whether taking into account a potential interaction with pregnancy history (P = 0.035) or not (P = 0.026) (interaction P = 0.178). Multivariable modeling of individual cognitive tests revealed a differential association for letter fluency by pregnancy history (test for interaction P = 0.023); this score correlated with the aortic hemodynamic index in the PE (partial R² = 0.20), but not the NP (partial R² = 0.00) group.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated aortic hemodynamics may negatively impact cognitive function in postmenopausal women with specific executive functions, such as letter fluency, being impacted more by a pregnancy history of PE.

An internally validated diagnostic tool for acute invasive fungal sinusitis

BACKGROUND

Acute invasive fungal sinusitis (AIFS) is a potentially life-threatening diagnosis in immunocompromised patients. Identifying patients who could benefit from evaluation and intervention can be challenging for referring providers and otolaryngologists alike. We aimed to develop and validate an accessible diagnostic tool to estimate the probability of AIFS.

METHODS

Retrospective chart review from 1999 to 2017 identified all patients evaluated for possible AIFS at a tertiary care center. AIFS was diagnosed by pathologic confirmation of fungal tissue angioinvasion. Stepwise selection and univariate logistic regression were used to screen risk factors for a multivariable predictive model. Model performance was assessed using Tukey's goodness-of-fit test and the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC). Model coefficients were internally validated using bootstrapping with 1000 iterations.

RESULTS

A total of 283 patients (244 negative controls, 39 with AIFS) were included. Risk factors in our final diagnostic model included: fever ≥38°C (log-odds ratio [LOR] 1.72; 95% CI, 0.53 to 2.90), unilateral facial swelling, pain, or erythema (LOR 2.84; 95% CI, 1.46 to 4.23), involvement of the orbit or pterygopalatine fossa on imaging (LOR 3.02; 95% CI, 1.78 to 4.26), and mucosal necrosis seen on endoscopy (LOR 5.52; 95% CI, 3.81 to 7.24), with p < 0.01 for all factors. The model had adequate goodness of fit (p > 0.05) and discrimination (AUC = 0.96).

CONCLUSION

We present an internally validated diagnostic tool to stratify the risk for AIFS. The estimated risk may help determine which patients can be observed with serial nasal endoscopy, which ones could be biopsied, and which ones would benefit from immediate surgical intervention.

Cardiovascular Health and Outcomes in Cancer Patients Receiving Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors

Whether cardiovascular (CV) disease is associated with clinical outcomes in cancer patients receiving immunotherapy is unknown. We reviewed the Mayo Clinic database for all cancer patients who received an immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI). Multivariate logistic regression analysis, survival analyses, and Cox proportional-hazards models were formulated. Between March, 2010 and July, 2019, 3,326 patients received ICI. Mean patient age was 63.5 years (range: 16 to 96 years). In a Cox proportional-hazards model, obesity (hazard ratio [HR] 0.65, 95% confidence level [CI] 0.55 to 0.77, p < 0.001) and hypercholesterolemia (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.89, p < 0.001) were associated with lower all-cause mortality while hypertension (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.17 to 1.49, p < 0.001) and smoking (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.29, p = 0.002) were associated with higher overall mortality. Among patients with lung cancer, multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for death from any cause for beta blocker users, as compared with patients who had never used a beta blocker, were 1.39 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.76, p = 0.006). A total of 80 patients (2.4%) experienced CV immune-related adverse events. Event-related morality for ICI-induced myocarditis was 41.7% (5/12). Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for ICI-induced myocarditis were 5.2 (95% CI 1.4 to 18.7, p = 0.01) for history of heart failure, 4.06 (95% CI 1.15 to 14.3, p = 0.03) for history of acute coronary syndrome, and 1.07 (per each 1-year increase, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.14, p = 0.02) for age. In conclusion, our study shows that CV factors are associated with clinical outcomes in cancer patients receiving ICI and could be used to predict mortality. In patients with lung cancer, pretreatment beta blocker use is associated with higher all-cause mortality. Three clinical factors-history of heart failure, history of acute coronary syndrome, and age greater than 80 years-help identify patients at higher risk of ICI-induced myocarditis who might benefit from more intensive cardiac surveillance.

Fasting glucagon concentrations are associated with longitudinal decline of β-cell function in non-diabetic humans

PURPOSE

Abnormal glucagon concentrations are a feature of prediabetes but it is uncertain if α-cell dysfunction contributes to a longitudinal decline in β-cell function. We therefore sought to determine if a decline in β-cell function is associated with a higher nadir glucagon in the postprandial period or with higher fasting glucagon.

METHODS

This was a longitudinal study in which 73 non-diabetic subjects were studied on 2 occasions 6.6 ± 0.3 years apart using a 2-hour, 7-sample oral glucose tolerance test. Disposition Index (DI) was calculated using the oral minimal model applied to the measurements of glucose, insulin, C-peptide concentrations during the studies. We subsequently examined the relationship of glucagon concentrations at baseline with change in DI (used as a measure of β-cell function) after adjusting for changes in weight and the baseline value of DI.

RESULTS

After adjusting for covariates, nadir postprandial glucagon concentrations were not associated with changes in β-cell function as quantified by DI. On the other hand, fasting glucagon concentrations during the baseline study were inversely correlated with longitudinal changes in DI.

CONCLUSIONS

Defects in α-cell function, manifest as elevated fasting glucagon, are associated with a subsequent decline in β-cell function. It remains to be ascertained if abnormal α-cell function contributes directly to loss of β-cell secretory capacity in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes.

Association of Bilateral Salpingo-Oophorectomy Before Menopause Onset With Medial Temporal Lobe Neurodegeneration

Question

Do women who underwent bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy before menopause show greater medial temporal lobe structural changes, β-amyloid accumulation, and white matter lesion load on neuroimaging later in life compared with a control group?

Findings

In this case-control study, women with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy before menopause had smaller amygdala volumes, thinner parahippocampal-entorhinal cortices, and lower entorhinal white matter fractional anisotropy values compared with control participants.

Meaning

Abrupt hormonal changes associated with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy in premenopausal women may lead to medial temporal lobe structural abnormalities later in life; because alterations in structural imaging biomarkers of the medial temporal lobe neurodegeneration may precede clinical symptoms of dementia, longitudinal follow-up of this cohort with cognitive testing is necessary.

Importance

There is an increased risk of cognitive impairment or dementia in women who undergo bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy (BSO) before menopause. However, data are lacking on the association of BSO before menopause with imaging biomarkers that indicate medial temporal lobe neurodegeneration and Alzheimer disease pathophysiology.

Objective

To investigate medial temporal lobe structure, white matter lesion load, and β-amyloid deposition in women who underwent BSO before age 50 years and before reaching natural menopause.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This nested case-control study of women in the population-based Mayo Clinic Cohort Study of Oophorectomy and Aging-2 (MOA-2) and in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA) in Olmsted County, Minnesota, included women who underwent BSO from 1988 through 2007 and a control group from the intersection of the 2 cohorts. Women who underwent BSO and control participants who underwent a neuropsychological evaluation, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and Pittsburgh compound B positron emission tomography (PiB-PET) were included in the analysis. Data analysis was performed from November 2017 to August 2018.

Exposure

Bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy in premenopausal women who were younger than 50 years.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Cortical β-amyloid deposition on PiB-PET scan was calculated using the standard uptake value ratio. White matter hyperintensity volume and biomarkers for medial temporal lobe neurodegeneration (eg, amygdala volume, hippocampal volume, and parahippocampal-entorhinal cortical thickness) on structural MRI and entorhinal white matter fractional anisotropy on diffusion tensor MRI were also measured.

Results

Forty-one women who underwent BSO and 49 control participants were recruited. One woman was excluded from the BSO group after diagnosis of an ovarian malignant condition, and 6 women were excluded from the control group after undergoing BSO after enrollment. Twenty control participants and 23 women who had undergone BSO completed all examinations. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) age at imaging was 65 (62-68) years in the BSO group and 63 (60-66) years in the control group. Amygdala volume was smaller in the BSO group (median [IQR], 1.74 [1.59-1.91] cm³) than the control group (2.15 [2.05-2.37] cm³; P < .001). The parahippocampal-entorhinal cortex was thinner in the BSO group (median [IQR], 3.91 [3.64-4.00] mm) than the control group (3.97 [3.89-4.28] mm; P = .046). Entorhinal white matter fractional anisotropy was lower in the BSO group (median [IQR], 0.19 [0.18-0.22]) than the control group (0.22 [0.20-0.23]; P = .03). Women were treated with estrogen in both groups (BSO, n = 22 of 23 [96%]; control, n = 10 of 19 [53%]). Global cognitive status test results did not differ between the groups.

Conclusions and Relevance

Abrupt hormonal changes associated with BSO in premenopausal women may lead to medial temporal lobe structural abnormalities later in life. Longitudinal evaluation is needed to determine whether cognitive decline follows.

Effects of psychosensory stimulation on anal pressures: Effects of alfuzosin

BACKGROUND

Our aim is to explain the lack of clarity in the ways in which anxiety and depression, which are common in defecatory disorders (DD), may contribute to the disorder. In this study, we evaluate the effects of mental stress and relaxation on anal pressures and the mechanisms thereof.

METHODS

In 38 healthy women and 36 DD patients, rectoanal pressures were assessed at rest and during mental stressors (ie, word-color conflict [Stroop] and mental arithmetic tests) and mental relaxation, before and after randomization to placebo or the adrenergic α1 -antagonist alfuzosin.

KEY RESULTS

During the baseline Stroop test, the anal pressure increased by 6 ± 13 mm Hg (mean ± SD, P = 0.004) in healthy women and 9 ± 10 mm Hg (P = 0.0001) in constipated women. During mental arithmetic, the anal pressure increased in healthy (4 ± 8 mm Hg, P = 0.002) and constipated women (5 ± 9 mm Hg, P = 0.004). After relaxation, anal pressure declined (P = 0.0004) by 3 ± 4 mm Hg in DD patients but not in controls. Alfuzosin reduced (P = 0.0001) anal resting pressure (by 31 ± 19 mm Hg) vs placebo (16 ± 18 mm Hg). However, during the postdrug Stroop test, anal pressure increased (P = 0.0001) in participants who received alfuzosin but not placebo.

CONCLUSIONS & INFERENCES

In healthy controls and DD patients, mental stressors likely increased anal pressure by contracting the internal anal sphincter; relaxation reduced anal pressure in DD patients. Alfuzosin reduced anal resting pressure but did not block the Stroop-mediated contractile response, which suggests that this response is not entirely mediated by adrenergic α1 receptors.

Plasma Renin Activity Is a Predictive Biomarker of Blood Pressure Response in European but not in African Americans With Uncomplicated Hypertension

BACKGROUND

Interindividual variability in blood pressure (BP) response to antihypertensives has been reported. Although plasma renin activity (PRA) is a potential biomarker for personalizing antihypertensive therapy in European American (EA) and African American (AA) hypertensives, clinical utility of PRA-guided prescribing is incompletely understood.

METHODS

Using systematic-phased approach, PRA's clinical utility was assessed. After categorizing by baseline PRA, clinic systolic BP (SBP) responses to metoprolol and chlorthalidone were compared in 134 EAs and 102 AAs enrolled in the Pharmacogenomics Evaluation of Antihypertensive Responses-2 (PEAR-2) trial. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted in EAs. Data from PEAR-2 AAs were used to estimate an optimal PRA cut point using multivariable linear regression models. The derived cut point in AAs was tested in a meta-analysis of 2 independent AA cohorts, and its sensitivity and specificity were assessed.

RESULTS

EAs with PRA < 0.65 ng/ml/hour had a greater decrease in SBP to chlorthalidone than metoprolol (by -15.9 mm Hg, adjusted P < 0.0001), whereas those with PRA ≥ 0.65 ng/ml/hour had a greater decrease in SBP to metoprolol than chlorthalidone (by 3.3 mm Hg, adjusted P = 0.04). Area under ROC curve (0.69, P = 0.0001) showed that PRA can predict SBP response among EAs. However, we observed no association between PRA and SBP response in PEAR-2 AAs. Among independent AA cohorts, those with PRA ≥ 1.3 ng/ml/hour (PEAR-2-derived cut point) responded better to atenolol/candesartan than hydrochlorothiazide (meta-analysis P = 0.01). However, sensitivity of the derived cut point was 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

PRA at the previously established 0.60-0.65 ng/ml/hour cut point is an effective predictive biomarker of BP response in EAs. However, we were unable to identify PRA cut point that could be used to guide antihypertensive selection in AAs.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01203852, NCT00246519, NCT00005520.

Genetic Variants Influencing Plasma Renin Activity in Hypertensive Patients From the PEAR Study (Pharmacogenomic Evaluation of Antihypertensive Responses)

BACKGROUND

Plasma renin is an important regulator of blood pressure (BP). Plasma renin activity (PRA) has been shown to correlate with variability in BP response to antihypertensive agents. We conducted a genome-wide association study to identify single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with baseline PRA using data from the PEAR study (Pharmacogenomic Evaluation of Antihypertensive Responses).

METHODS

Multiple linear regression analysis was performed in 461 whites and 297 blacks using an additive model, adjusting for age, sex, and ancestry-specific principal components. Top SNPs were prioritized by testing the expected direction of association for BP response to atenolol and hydrochlorothiazide. Top regions from the BP response prioritization were tested for functional evidence through differences in gene expression by genotype using RNA sequencing data. Regions with functional evidence were assessed for replication with baseline PRA in an independent study (PEAR-2).

RESULTS

Our top SNP rs3784921 was in the SNN-TXNDC11 gene region. The G allele of rs3784921 was associated with higher baseline PRA (β=0.47; P=2.09×10^-6) and smaller systolic BP reduction in response to hydrochlorothiazide (β=2.97; 1-sided P=0.006). In addition, TXNDC11 expression differed by rs3784921 genotype (P=0.007), and rs1802409, a proxy SNP for rs3784921 (r²=0.98-1.00), replicated in PEAR-2 (β=0.15; 1-sided P=0.038). Additional SNPs associated with baseline PRA that passed BP response prioritization were in/near the genes CHD9, XIRP2, and GHR. CONCLUSIONS: We identified multiple regions associated with baseline PRA that were prioritized through BP response signals to 2 mechanistically different antihypertensive drugs.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00246519.

Genomic Association Analysis Reveals Variants Associated With Blood Pressure Response to Beta-Blockers in European Americans

European Americans (EA) have a better antihypertensive response to β‐blockers when compared with African Americans, albeit with some variability. We undertook a genomewide association study to elucidate the underlying genetic determinants in EA contributing to this variability in blood pressure (BP) response. A discovery genomewide association study of change in BP post–metoprolol treatment was performed in EA participants (n = 201) from the Pharmacogenomic Evaluation of Antihypertensive Responses‐2 (PEAR‐2) study and tested for replication in the atenolol‐treated EA from the PEAR study (n = 233). Rs294610 in the FGD5, which encodes for FYVE, RhoGEF and PH Domain Containing 5, (expression quantitative trait loci for FGD5 in the small intestine) was significantly associated with increased diastolic BP response to β‐blockers in the PEAR‐2 study (P = 3.41 × 10⁻⁶, β = −2.70) and replicated (P = 0.01, β = −1.17) in the PEAR study. Post–meta‐analysis of these studies, an additional single nucleotide polymorphism rs45545233 in the SLC4A1, encoding for Solute Carrier Family 4 Member 1, (expression quantitative trait loci for dual specificity phosphatase 3 in the artery tibial) was identified that was significantly associated with a poor response to β‐blockers (P = 3.43 × 10⁻⁶, β = 4.57) and was replicated in the atenolol add‐on cohort (P = 0.007, β = 4.97). We identified variants in FGD5 and SLC4A1, which have been previously cited as candidate genes for hypertension, to be associated with a β‐blocker BP response in EA. Further elucidation is warranted of the underlying mechanisms of these variants and genes by which they influence the BP response to β‐blockers.

Effects of Alfuzosin, an α1-Adrenergic Antagonist, on Anal Pressures and Bowel Habits in Women With and Without Defecatory Disorders

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Some patients with defecatory disorders (DD) have high anal pressures that may impede rectal evacuation. Alpha-1 adrenoreceptors mediate as much as 50% of anal resting pressure in humans. We performed a randomized, placebo-controlled study of the effects of alfuzosin, an alpha1-adrenergic receptor antagonist, on anal pressures alone in healthy women and also on bowel symptoms in women with DD.

METHODS

In a double-blind study performed from March 2013 through March 2017, anal pressures were evaluated before and after 36 women with DD (constipation for at least 1 year) and 36 healthy women (controls) were randomly assigned (1:1) to groups given oral alfuzosin (2.5 mg immediate release) or placebo. Thereafter, patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to groups given oral alfuzosin (10 mg extended release) or placebo each day for 2 weeks. Participants kept daily diaries of bowel symptoms for 2 weeks before (baseline) and during administration of the test articles (treatment). Weekly questionnaires recorded the overall severity of constipation symptoms, bloating, abdominal pain, nausea, and vomiting; overall satisfaction with treatment of constipation was evaluated at weeks 2 and 4. The primary endpoint was the change in the number of spontaneous (SBMs) and complete SBMs (CSBMs) between the treatment and baseline periods. We evaluated relationships between stool form, passage, and complete evacuation.

RESULTS

Alfuzosin reduced anal resting pressure by 32 ± 3 mm Hg versus 16 ± 3 mm Hg for placebo (P = .0001) and anal pressure during evacuation by 26 ± 3 mm Hg versus 16 ± 3 mm Hg for placebo, (P = .03). However, alfuzosin did not significantly increase the rectoanal gradient, SBMs or CSBMs compared with placebo. Both formulations of alfuzosin were well tolerated. Hard stools and the ease of passage during defecation accounted for 72% and 76% of the variance in the satisfaction after defecation, respectively, during baseline and treatment periods.

CONCLUSIONS

In a randomized trial, alfuzosin reduced anal pressure at rest and during simulated evacuation in healthy and constipated women, compared with placebo, but did not improve bowel symptoms in constipated women. This could be because the drug does not improve stool form or dyssynergia, which also contribute to DD. ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT 01834729.

Changes in carotid artery intima-media thickness 3 years after cessation of menopausal hormone therapy: follow-up from the Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study

OBJECTIVE

Little is known regarding the progression of preclinical atherosclerosis upon cessation of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT). This study evaluated changes in carotid artery intima-media thickness (CIMT) in a subgroup of participants during 4 years and 3 years after the Kronos Early Estrogen Prevention Study (KEEPS).

METHODS

Of the women enrolled in KEEPS at Mayo Clinic (n = 118), a subset (n = 76) agreed to participate in this follow-up study. KEEPS MHT assignments were placebo (PBO), n = 33; transdermal 17β-estradiol (tE2), n = 23; and oral conjugated equine estrogens group (oCEE), n = 20. CIMT was measured by B-mode ultrasonography. Longitudinal analysis of CIMT was performed using all available data from pre-, on-, and post-treatment periods.

RESULTS

At 7 years, median age of participants was 60.2 years; median time since menopause was 8.5 years. The mean difference in rates of increase was significantly greater over the post- than on-treatment period within the oCEE group (0.010 [0.002-0.017] mm/y), but not within the PBO (0.006 [-0.001 to 0.012] mm/y; P = 0.072) or tE2 (0.002 [-0.005 to 0.010] mm/y; P = 0.312) groups. There were, however, no significant treatment differences in the linear trends over those intervals (P = 0.524).

CONCLUSIONS

Cessation of MHT at the lower doses and formulations used in KEEPS did not appear to alter the trajectory of CIMT over a 3-year follow-up period. CIMT, however, increased in all groups over the entire 7-year timeframe as expected with age and timing of menopause possibly key contributors.

Leveraging the Electronic Health Record to Create an Automated Real-Time Prognostic Tool for Peripheral Arterial Disease

Background Automated individualized risk prediction tools linked to electronic health records ( EHR s) are not available for management of patients with peripheral arterial disease. The goal of this study was to create a prognostic tool for patients with peripheral arterial disease using data elements automatically extracted from an EHR to enable real-time and individualized risk prediction at the point of care. Methods and Results A previously validated phenotyping algorithm was deployed to an EHR linked to the Rochester Epidemiology Project to identify peripheral arterial disease cases from Olmsted County, MN, for the years 1998 to 2011. The study cohort was composed of 1676 patients: 593 patients died over 5-year follow-up. The c-statistic for survival in the overall data set was 0.76 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.74-0.78), and the c-statistic across 10 cross-validation data sets was 0.75 (95% CI, 0.73-0.77). Stratification of cases demonstrated increasing mortality risk by subgroup (low: hazard ratio, 0.35 [95% CI, 0.21-0.58]; intermediate-high: hazard ratio, 2.98 [95% CI, 2.37-3.74]; high: hazard ratio, 8.44 [95% CI, 6.66-10.70], all P<0.0001 versus the reference subgroup). An equation for risk calculation was derived from Cox model parameters and β estimates. Big data infrastructure enabled deployment of the real-time risk calculator to the point of care via the EHR . Conclusions This study demonstrates that electronic tools can be deployed to EHR s to create automated real-time risk calculators to predict survival of patients with peripheral arterial disease. Moreover, the prognostic model developed may be translated to patient care as an automated and individualized real-time risk calculator deployed at the point of care.

Systematic Review for the 2017 AHA/ACC/HRS Guideline for Management of Patients With Ventricular Arrhythmias and the Prevention of Sudden Cardiac Death: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Clinical Practice Guidelines and the Heart Rhythm Society

BACKGROUND

Although large randomized clinical trials have found that primary prevention use of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) improves survival in patients with cardiomyopathy and heart failure symptoms, patients who receive ICDs in practice are often older and have more comorbidities than patients who were enrolled in the clinical trials. In addition, there is a debate among clinicians on the usefulness of electrophysiological study for risk stratification of asymptomatic patients with Brugada syndrome.

AIM

Our analysis has 2 objectives. First, to evaluate whether ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) induced with programmed electrostimulation in asymptomatic patients with Brugada syndrome identify a higher risk group that may require additional testing or therapies. Second, to evaluate whether implantation of an ICD is associated with a clinical benefit in older patients and patients with comorbidities who would otherwise benefit on the basis of left ventricular ejection fraction and heart failure symptoms.

METHODS

Traditional statistical approaches were used to address 1) whether programmed ventricular stimulation identifies a higher-risk group in asymptomatic patients with Brugada syndrome and 2) whether ICD implantation for primary prevention is associated with improved outcomes in older patients (>75 years of age) and patients with significant comorbidities who would otherwise meet criteria for ICD implantation on the basis of symptoms or left ventricular function.

RESULTS

Evidence from 6 studies of 1138 asymptomatic patients were identified. Brugada syndrome with inducible VA on electrophysiological study was identified in 390 (34.3%) patients. To minimize patient overlap, the primary analysis used 5 of the 6 studies and found an odds ratio of 2.3 (95% CI: 0.63-8.66; P=0.2) for major arrhythmic events (sustained VAs, sudden cardiac death, or appropriate ICD therapy) in asymptomatic patients with Brugada syndrome and inducible VA on electrophysiological study versus those without inducible VA. Ten studies were reviewed that evaluated ICD use in older patients and 4 studies that evaluated unique patient populations were identified. In our analysis, ICD implantation was associated with improved survival (overall hazard ratio: 0.75; 95% confidence interval: 0.67-0.83; P<0.001). Ten studies were identified that evaluated ICD use in patients with various comorbidities including renal disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, atrial fibrillation, heart disease, and others. A random effects model demonstrated that ICD use was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (overall hazard ratio: 0.72; 95% confidence interval: 0.65-0.79; P<0.0001), and a second "minimal overlap" analysis also found that ICD use was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (overall hazard ratio: 0.71; 95% confidence interval: 0.61-0.82; P<0.0001). In 5 studies that included data on renal dysfunction, ICD implantation was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (overall hazard ratio: 0.71; 95% confidence interval: 0.60-0.85; P<0.001).

Aging, Obesity, and the Incidence of Diverticulitis: A Population-Based Study

OBJECTIVE

To understand why the population-based incidence of diverticulitis has increased over time, we studied temporal changes in age, body mass index (BMI), and diverticulitis in Olmsted County, Minnesota.

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

We compared the BMIs of 2967 patients with diverticulitis and 9795 people without diverticulitis from January 1, 1980, through December 31, 2007. Because BMI is a surrogate for adipose tissue, computed tomographic estimations of abdominal fat content were compared between 381 diverticulitis cases and 381 age- and sex-matched controls.

RESULTS

Between 1980 and 2007, the prevalence of obesity increased from 12% to 49% in the population and from 19% to 40% in patients with diverticulitis (P<.001 for both). Temporal trends in age, BMI, and the increased incidence of diverticulitis in people with normal BMI accounted for 48%, 47%, and 20%, respectively, of corresponding trends in diverticulitis. The secular decline in the proportion of people with normal BMI was partly offset by an increased incidence of diverticulitis in such people. In the case-control study, BMI was greater in cases than in controls (P=.001). However, after incorporating abdominal visceral (odds ratio [OR], 2.4; 95% CI, 1.6-3.7) and subcutaneous (OR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.7-5.2) fat content (both associated with diverticulitis), BMI was associated with lower risk (OR, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.7-0.8) of diverticulitis.

CONCLUSION

Aging, increasing obesity, and the increased incidence of diverticulitis in people with normal BMI account for the temporal increase in diverticulitis. Rather than BMI per se, increased abdominal visceral and subcutaneous fat are independently associated with diverticulitis. The incidence of diverticulitis, which is among the most common gastrointestinal diagnoses in hospitalized patients, has increased markedly since 2000. This study suggests that aging, increasing obesity, and the increased incidence of diverticulitis in people with normal BMI account for the temporal increase in diverticulitis.

Design of a Controlled Trial of Cascade Screening for Hypercholesterolemia: The (CASH) Study

To inform guidelines for screening family members of patients with familial hypercholesterolemia (FH), we designed a clinical trial to compare the yield of cascade screening in FH patients with and without an identifiable pathogenic variant. Participants with hypercholesterolemia (Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) > 155 mg/dL) underwent sequencing of LDLR, APOB, and PCSK9 and genotyping of six single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with LDL-C followed by calculation of a polygenic score for LDL-C. We identified 24 patients with definite FH (pathogenic variant in one of the three FH genes), 76 patients with probable FH (Dutch lipid clinic network (DLCN) score ≥ 6, no pathogenic variant), and 262 patients with possible FH (DLCN score 3⁻5, no pathogenic variant). We will enroll 50 patients with definite FH by recruiting an additional 26 from the FH Clinic at Mayo and 50 patients each with probable and possible FH, matching on age and sex. Family members of patients with definite FH will undergo testing for the relevant pathogenic variant using saliva kits and family members of those with probable/possible FH will have a lipid profile checked. We will assess the number of new cases detected (defined as presence of a pathogenic variant in the family member of definite FH patient or LDL-C > 155 mg/dL (>130 mg/dL in children) in family members of probable/possible FH patients, and the cost of detecting a new case. The proposed clinical trial will compare the yield and cost of cascade screening for FH patients with/without an identifiable pathogenic variant, and thereby inform guidelines for cascade screening for FH.

Aldosterone, Hypertension, and Antihypertensive Therapy: Insights From a General Population

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationships among aldosterone level, use of antihypertensive (anti-HTN) medications, clinical profile, and atrial natriuretic peptide (ANP) level in individuals with HTN.

PARTICIPANTS AND METHODS

In a community-based cohort, we analyzed aldosterone plasma levels based on the presence (n=477) or absence (n=1073) of HTN. In individuals with HTN, we evaluated circulating aldosterone levels according to the number of anti-HTN drugs used, analyzed the associated clinical characteristics, and determined the relationship to the counterregulatory cardiac hormone ANP. Data were collected from August 25, 1997, through September 5, 2000.

RESULTS

Participants with HTN had higher serum aldosterone levels than those without HTN (6.4 vs 4.1 ng/dL [to convert to pmol/L, multiply by 27.74]; P<.001). When individuals with HTN were stratified according to the number of anti-HTN medications used, the increase in number of medications (0, 1, 2, and ≥3) was associated with higher aldosterone levels (4.8, 6.4, 7.10, and 7.9 ng/dL, respectively; P=.002), worse metabolic profile, and higher prevalence of cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic disease. In participants with HTN, ANP plasma levels were inversely related to aldosterone levels when the latter was divided into tertiles.

CONCLUSION

In this randomly selected general population cohort, aldosterone levels were higher in individuals with HTN compared with normotensive participants. Aldosterone levels increased with anti-HTN medication use. These findings also suggest a relative ANP deficiency with increasing aldosterone levels and anti-HTN drug use. These studies have pathophysiologic and therapeutic implications for targeting aldosterone in the clinical treatment of HTN.

Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) Incidence and VTE-Associated Survival among Olmsted County Residents of Local Nursing Homes

Nursing home (NH) residency is an independent risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE), but the VTE burden within the NH population is uncertain. This study estimates VTE incidence and VTE-associated mortality among NH residents. We identified all NH residents in any NH in Olmsted County, Minnesota, United States, 1 October 1998 to 31 December 2005 and all first lifetime VTE among county residents to estimate VTE incidence while resident of local NHs (NHVTE), using Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Minimum Data Set and Rochester Epidemiology Project resources. We tested associations between NHVTE and age, sex and time since each NH admission using Poisson modelling. Additionally, we tested incident NHVTE as a potential predictor of survival using Cox proportional hazards, adjusting for age, sex and NH residency. Between 1 October 1998 and 31 December 2005, 3,465 Olmsted County residents with ≥1 admission to a local NH, contributed 4,762 NH stays. Of the 3,465 NH residents, 111 experienced incident NHVTE (2.3% of all eligible stays), for an overall rate of 3,653/100,000 NH person-years (NH-PY). VTE incidence was inversely associated with time since each NH admission, and was highest in the first 7 days after each NH admission (18,764/100,000 NH-PY). The adjusted hazard of death for incident NHVTE was 1.90 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.38-2.62). In conclusion, VTE incidence among NH residents was nearly 30-fold higher than published incidence rates for the general Olmsted County population. VTE incidence was highest within 7 days after NH admission, and NHVTE was associated with significantly reduced survival. These data can inform future research and construction of clinical trials regarding short-term prophylaxis.

Brain structure and cognition 3 years after the end of an early menopausal hormone therapy trial

OBJECTIVE

The effects of 2 frequently used formulations of menopausal hormone therapy (mHT) on brain structure and cognition were investigated 3 years after the end of a randomized, placebo-controlled trial in recently menopausal women with good cardiovascular health.

METHODS

Participants (aged 42-56 years; 5-36 months past menopause) were randomized to one of the following: 0.45 mg/d oral conjugated equine estrogen (oCEE); 50 μg/d transdermal 17β-estradiol (tE2); or placebo pills and patch for 4 years. Oral progesterone (200 mg/d) was given to mHT groups for 12 days each month. MRIs were performed at baseline, at the end of 4 years of mHT, and 3 years after the end of mHT (n = 75). A subset of participants also underwent Pittsburgh compound B-PET (n = 68).

RESULTS

Ventricular volumes increased more in the oCEE group compared to placebo during the 4 years of mHT, but the increase in ventricular volumes was not different from placebo 3 years after the discontinuation of mHT. Increase in white matter hyperintensity volume was similar in the oCEE and tE2 groups, but it was statistically significantly greater than placebo only in the oCEE group. The longitudinal decline in dorsolateral prefrontal cortex volumes was less in the tE2 group compared to placebo, which correlated with lower cortical Pittsburgh compound B uptake. Rates of global cognitive change in mHT groups were not different from placebo.

CONCLUSIONS

The effects of oCEE on global brain structure during mHT subside after oCEE discontinuation but white matter hyperintensities continue to increase. The relative preservation of dorsolateral prefrontal cortical volume in the tE2 group over 7 years indicates that mHT may have long-term effects on the brain.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class III evidence that the rates of change in global brain volumes and cognitive function in recently menopausal women receiving mHT (tE2 or oCEE) were not significantly different from women receiving placebo, as measured 3 years after exposure to mHT.