Home telemonitoring or structured telephone support programmes after recent discharge in patients with heart failure: systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Remote monitoring (RM) strategies have the potential to deliver specialised care and management to patients with heart failure (HF).

OBJECTIVE

To determine the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of home telemonitoring (TM) or structured telephone support (STS) strategies compared with usual care for adult patients who have been recently discharged (within 28 days) from acute care after a recent exacerbation of HF.

DATA SOURCES

Fourteen electronic databases (including MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO and The Cochrane Library) and research registers were searched to January 2012, supplemented by hand-searching relevant articles and contact with experts. The review included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) or observational cohort studies with a contemporaneous control group that included the following RM interventions: (1) TM (including cardiovascular implanted monitoring devices) with medical support provided during office hours or 24/7; (2) STS programmes delivered by human-to-human contact (HH) or human-to-machine interface (HM).

REVIEW METHODS

A systematic review and network meta-analysis (where appropriate) of the clinical evidence was carried out using standard methods. A Markov model was developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different RM packages compared with usual care for recently discharged HF patients. TM 24/7 or using cardiovascular monitoring devices was not considered in the economic model because of the lack of data and/or unsuitability for the UK setting. Given the heterogeneity in the components of usual care and RM interventions, the cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using a set of costing scenarios designed to reflect the different configurations of usual care and RM in the UK.

RESULTS

The literature searches identified 3060 citations. Six RCTs met the inclusion criteria and were added to the 15 trials identified from the previous systematic reviews giving a total of 21 RCTs included in the systematic review. No trials of cardiovascular implanted monitoring devices or observational studies met the inclusion criteria. The methodological quality of the studies varied widely and reporting was generally poor. Compared with usual care, RM was beneficial in reducing all-cause mortality for STS HH [hazard ratio (HR) 0.77, 95% credible interval (CrI) 0.55 to 1.08], TM during office hours (HR 0.76, 95% CrI 0.49 to 1.18) and TM 24/7 (HR 0.49, 95% CrI 0.20 to 1.18); however, these results were statistically inconclusive. The results for TM 24/7 should be treated with caution because of the poor methodological quality of the only included study in this network. No favourable effect on mortality was observed with STS HM. Similar reductions were observed in all-cause hospitalisations for TM interventions, whereas STS interventions had no major effect. A sensitivity analysis, in which a study was excluded because it provided better-than-usual support to the control group, showed larger beneficial effects for most outcomes, particularly for TM during office hours. In the cost-effectiveness analyses, TM during office hours was the most cost-effective strategy with an estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £11,873 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) compared with usual care, whereas STS HH had an ICER of £228,035 per QALY compared with TM during office hours. STS HM was dominated by usual care. Similar results were observed in scenario analyses performed using higher costs of usual care, higher costs of STS HH and lower costs of TM during office hours.

LIMITATIONS

The RM interventions included in the review were heterogeneous in terms of monitored parameters and HF selection criteria and lacked detail in the components of the RM care packages and usual care (e.g. communication protocols, routine staff visits and resources used). As a result, the economic model developed scenarios for different RM classifications and their costs were estimated using bottom-up costing methods. Although the users can decide which of these scenarios is most representative of their setting, uncertainties still remain about the assumptions made in the estimation of these costs. In addition, the model assumed that the effectiveness of the interventions was constant over time, irrespective of the duration of deployment, and that the intervention was equally effective in different age/severity groups.

CONCLUSION

Despite wide variation in usual care and RM strategies, cost-effectiveness analyses suggest that TM during office hours was an optimal strategy (in most costing scenarios). However, clarity was lacking among descriptions of the components of RM packages and usual care and there was a lack of robust estimation of costs. Further research is needed in these areas.

STUDY REGISTRATION

PROSPERO registration no. CRD42011001368.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Advanced wound care therapies for nonhealing diabetic, venous, and arterial ulcers: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Nonhealing ulcers affect patient quality of life and impose a substantial financial burden on the health care system.

PURPOSE

To systematically evaluate benefits and harms of advanced wound care therapies for nonhealing diabetic, venous, and arterial ulcers.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE (1995 to June 2013), the Cochrane Library, and reference lists.

STUDY SELECTION

English-language randomized trials reporting ulcer healing or time to complete healing in adults with nonhealing ulcers treated with advanced therapies.

DATA EXTRACTION

Study characteristics, outcomes, adverse events, study quality, and strength of evidence were extracted by trained researchers and confirmed by the principal investigator.

DATA SYNTHESIS

For diabetic ulcers, 35 trials (9 therapies) met eligibility criteria. There was moderate-strength evidence for improved healing with a biological skin equivalent (relative risk [RR], 1.58 [95% CI, 1.20 to 2.08]) and negative pressure wound therapy (RR, 1.49 [CI, 1.11 to 2.01]) compared with standard care and low-strength evidence for platelet-derived growth factors and silver cream compared with standard care. For venous ulcers, 20 trials (9 therapies) met eligibility criteria. There was moderate-strength evidence for improved healing with keratinocyte therapy (RR, 1.57 [CI, 1.16 to 2.11]) compared with standard care and low-strength evidence for biological dressing and a biological skin equivalent compared with standard care. One small trial of arterial ulcers reported improved healing with a biological skin equivalent compared with standard care. Overall, strength of evidence was low for ulcer healing and low or insufficient for time to complete healing.

LIMITATIONS

Only studies of products approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration were reviewed. Studies were predominantly of fair or poor quality. Few trials compared 2 advanced therapies.

CONCLUSION

Compared with standard care, some advanced wound care therapies may improve the proportion of ulcers healed and reduce time to healing, although evidence is limited.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Department of Veterans Affairs, Veterans Health Administration, Office of Research and Development, Quality Enhancement Research Initiative.

Virtual airway simulation to improve dexterity among novices performing fibreoptic intubation

We developed a virtual reality software application (iLarynx) using built-in accelerometer properties of the iPhone(®) or iPad(®) (Apple Inc., Cupertino, CA, USA) that mimics hand movements for the performance of fibreoptic skills. Twenty novice medical students were randomly assigned to virtual airway training with the iLarynx software or no additional training. Eight out of the 10 subjects in the standard training group had at least one failed (> 120 s) attempt compared with two out of the 10 participants in the iLarynx group (p = 0.01). There were a total of 24 failed attempts in the standard training group and four in the iLarynx group (p < 0.005). Cusum analysis demonstrated continued group improvement in the iLarynx, but not in the standard training group. Virtual airway simulation using freely available software on a smartphone/tablet device improves dexterity among novices performing upper airway endoscopy.

Hospital admissions in children with down syndrome: experience of a population-based cohort followed from birth

Objective

Children with Down syndrome, the most common genetic cause of intellectual disability, are prone to multiple and varied health-related problems. This study describes patterns of hospitalisations for children and young people with Down syndrome in Western Australia.

Methods

Birth records were linked to the Western Australian population-based Intellectual Disability database to identify all children born with Down syndrome in Western Australia between 1 January, 1983 and 31 December, 1999. These records were linked to the Hospital Morbidity Data System to provide information on all hospitalisations up to 31 December, 2004. Hospitalisation data, coded using ICD-9CM or ICD-10 (v0.5) were grouped into clinically relevant categories using the primary diagnosis. Rates of hospital admission for all and specific diagnoses were expressed in 1000-person-years at-risk and median age at first admission and length of stay were calculated.

Results

Of the 405 children, 395 had one or more hospital admissions, totalling 3786 admissions for all children and an estimated 39.5 person-years in hospital. On average, children were admitted 9.7 times, with an estimated rate of 757.2 admissions per 1000pyr (95% CI: 680, 843). A quarter of all admissions occurred in the first year of life. The average hospital length of stay was 3.8 days (95% CI: 3.7, 4.1). Upper respiratory tract conditions affected the most children (58.5%) and accounted for 12.1% of all admissions. Other disorders which affected a high percentage of children were ear/hearing conditions (50.6%), disorders of the oral cavity (38.0%) and lower respiratory tract conditions (37.5%). Overall, children with Down syndrome were hospitalised at a rate five times (95% CI = 4.3–6.2) that of the general population.

Conclusion

Children with Down syndrome are at increased risk of morbidity for varied causes underlining the importance of comprehensive and targeted primary care for this group.

The microbiome-gut-brain axis during early life regulates the hippocampal serotonergic system in a sex-dependent manner

Bacterial colonisation of the intestine has a major role in the post-natal development and maturation of the immune and endocrine systems. These processes are key factors underpinning central nervous system (CNS) signalling. Regulation of the microbiome-gut-brain axis is essential for maintaining homeostasis, including that of the CNS. However, there is a paucity of data pertaining to the influence of microbiome on the serotonergic system. Germ-free (GF) animals represent an effective preclinical tool to investigate such phenomena. Here we show that male GF animals have a significant elevation in the hippocampal concentration of 5-hydroxytryptamine and 5-hydroxyindoleacetic acid, its main metabolite, compared with conventionally colonised control animals. Moreover, this alteration is sex specific in contrast with the immunological and neuroendocrine effects which are evident in both sexes. Concentrations of tryptophan, the precursor of serotonin, are increased in the plasma of male GF animals, suggesting a humoral route through which the microbiota can influence CNS serotonergic neurotransmission. Interestingly, colonisation of the GF animals post weaning is insufficient to reverse the CNS neurochemical consequences in adulthood of an absent microbiota in early life despite the peripheral availability of tryptophan being restored to baseline values. In addition, reduced anxiety in GF animals is also normalised following restoration of the intestinal microbiota. These results demonstrate that CNS neurotransmission can be profoundly disturbed by the absence of a normal gut microbiota and that this aberrant neurochemical, but not behavioural, profile is resistant to restoration of a normal gut flora in later life.

BID-induced structural changes in BAK promote apoptosis

The BCL-2 family protein BAK is responsible for mitochondrial outer membrane permeabilization (MOMP), which leads to apoptosis. The BCL-2 homology (BH) 3-only protein BID activates BAK to perform this function. We report the NMR solution structure of the human BID BH3–BAK complex, which identified the activation site at the canonical BH3-binding groove of BAK. Mutating the BAK BH1 in the groove prevented activation and MOMP but not the binding of BID. BAK BH3 mutations allowed BID binding and activation but blunted function by blocking BAK oligomerization. BAK activation follows a “hit-and-run” mechanism whereby BID dissociates from the trigger site allowing BAK oligomerization at an overlapping interface. In contrast, the BH3-only proteins NOXA and BAD are predicted to clash with the trigger site, and are not activators of BAK. These findings provide insights into the early stages of BAK activation.

Bivalirudin for the treatment of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction: a NICE single technology appraisal

The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) invited the manufacturer (The Medicines Company) of bivalirudin to submit evidence for its clinical and cost effectiveness within its licensed indication for the treatment of adults with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) intended for primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI), as part of NICE's single technology appraisal (STA) process. The School of Health and Related Research (ScHARR) at the University of Sheffield was commissioned to act as the Evidence Review Group (ERG), which produced a review of the evidence within the manufacturer's submission to NICE. This article describes the manufacturer's submission, the ERG review and NICE's subsequent decisions. The main evidence was derived from one randomized controlled trial (RCT) of STEMI patients intended for PPCI, comparing bivalirudin with unfractionated heparin plus glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitors (GPIs). Bivalirudin was associated with a significant reduction in cardiac mortality at 30 days (p = 0.03) and at 1-year follow-up (p = 0.005), and a significant reduction in major bleeding at 30 days (p < 0.001) and 1 year (p < 0.0001), compared with heparin plus GPI. Stent thrombosis up to 24 hours following PPCI was significantly (p < 0.001) more common with bivalirudin. However, there was no significant treatment effect for stent thrombosis from 1 to 30 days (p = 0.28), or at 1-year follow-up (p = 0.53). There were no significant treatment group differences at 30 days and at 1 year in stroke (p = 0.68 and p = 0.99, respectively), in myocardial infarction [MI] (p = 0.90 and p = 0.22, respectively), or in the need for the revascularization of the target vessel for ischaemia (p = 0.18 and p = 0.12, respectively). There were two decision-analytic models: the base-case scenario used 1-year follow-up data from the RCT; and a sensitivity analysis used 3-year follow-up data. Resource use was primarily drawn from this RCT. Health-related quality-of-life (HR-QOL) estimates were drawn from a UK cohort study. Both models evaluated the incremental costs and outcomes of bivalirudin compared with heparin plus GPI for patients with STEMI intended for PPCI. The analysis adopted a UK NHS perspective over a lifetime horizon. Unit costs were based on year 2009-2010 prices. The model adopted a decision-tree structure to reflect initial events for the initial period (stroke, repeat MI, minor/major bleeding events, repeat revascularization and death) and a two-state Markov component to simulate longer-term survival. The economic analysis suggested that bivalirudin is expected to dominate the heparin plus GPI strategy. This finding was consistent across the probabilistic sensitivity analysis and the vast majority of deterministic sensitivity analyses undertaken. Three exceptions to this finding were observed for the following sensitivity analyses: (1) the exclusive use of eptifibatide as the GPI (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER] = £1,764); (2) the combination of 100 % eptifibatide use, 100 % radial arterial access and no differential length between strategies for initial hospital stay (ICER = £4,106); and (3) a longer length of ward stay (increase of 0.33 days) for the initial hospitalization (ICER = £415). The Appraisal Committee (AC) gave a positive recommendation for bivalirudin for the treatment of adults with STEMI undergoing PPCI.

Bifidobacterium breve with α-linolenic acid and linoleic acid alters fatty acid metabolism in the maternal separation model of irritable bowel syndrome

The aim of this study was to compare the impact of dietary supplementation with a Bifidobacterium breve strain together with linoleic acid & α-linolenic acid, for 7 weeks, on colonic sensitivity and fatty acid metabolism in rats. Maternally separated and non-maternally separated Sprague Dawley rats (n = 15) were orally gavaged with either B. breve DPC6330 (10(9) microorganisms/day) alone or in combination with 0.5% (w/w) linoleic acid & 0.5% (w/w) α-linolenic acid, daily for 7 weeks and compared with trehalose and bovine serum albumin. Tissue fatty acid composition was assessed by gas-liquid chromatography and visceral hypersensitivity was assessed by colorectal distension. Significant differences in the fatty acid profiles of the non-separated controls and maternally separated controls were observed for α-linolenic acid and arachidonic acid in the liver, oleic acid and eicosenoic acid (c11) in adipose tissue, and for palmitoleic acid and docosahexaenoic acid in serum (p<0.05). Administration of B. breve DPC6330 to MS rats significantly increased palmitoleic acid, arachidonic acid and docosahexaenoic acid in the liver, eicosenoic acid (c11) in adipose tissue and palmitoleic acid in the prefrontal cortex (p<0.05), whereas feeding B. breve DPC6330 to non separated rats significantly increased eicosapentaenoic acid and docosapentaenoic acid in serum (p<0.05) compared with the NS un-supplemented controls. Administration of B. breve DPC6330 in combination with linoleic acid and α-linolenic acid to maternally separated rats significantly increased docosapentaenoic acid in the serum (p<0.01) and α-linolenic acid in adipose tissue (p<0.001), whereas feeding B. breve DPC6330 with fatty acid supplementation to non-separated rats significantly increased liver and serum docosapentaenoic acid (p<0.05), and α-linolenic acid in adipose tissue (p<0.001). B. breve DPC6330 influenced host fatty acid metabolism. Administration of B. breve DPC6330 to maternally separated rats significantly modified the palmitoleic acid, arachidonic acid and docosahexaenoic acid contents in tissues. The effect was not observed in non-separated animals.

Inhibition of P-glycoprotein enhances transport of imipramine across the blood-brain barrier: microdialysis studies in conscious freely moving rats

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Recent studies indicate that efflux of antidepressants by the multidrug resistance transporter P-glycoprotein (P-gp) at the blood-brain barrier (BBB) may contribute to treatment-resistant depression (TRD) by limiting intracerebral antidepressant concentrations. In addition, clinical experience shows that adjunctive treatment with the P-gp inhibitor verapamil may improve the clinical outcome in TRD. Therefore, the present study aimed to investigate the effect of P-gp inhibition on the transport of the tricyclic antidepressant imipramine and its active metabolite desipramine across the BBB.

EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH

Intracerebral microdialysis in rats was used to monitor brain levels of imipramine and desipramine following i.v. imipramine administration, with or without pretreatment with one of the P-gp inhibitors verapamil or cyclosporin A (CsA). Plasma drug levels were also determined at regular intervals.

KEY RESULTS

Pretreatment with either verapamil or CsA resulted in significant increases in imipramine concentrations in the microdialysis samples, without altering imipramine plasma pharmacokinetics. Furthermore, pretreatment with verapamil, but not CsA, led to a significant elevation in plasma and brain levels of desipramine.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

The present study demonstrated that P-gp inhibition enhanced the intracerebral concentration of imipramine , thus supporting the hypothesis that P-gp activity restricts brain levels of certain antidepressants, including imipramine. These findings may help to explain reports of a beneficial response to adjunctive therapy with verapamil in TRD.

Management of hyperglycemia, dyslipidemia, and albuminuria in patients with diabetes and CKD: a systematic review for a KDOQI clinical practice guideline

BACKGROUND

In 2007, the National Kidney Foundation (NKF) published clinical practice guidelines and recommendations for treating patients with diabetes and kidney diseases. Given recent studies that may enhance our understanding of the benefits and harms of glycemic, lipid, and albuminuria management in patients with diabetes and chronic kidney disease (CKD), the NKF commissioned a systematic review to evaluate data on the management of these patients.

STUDY DESIGN

Systematic review and evidence synthesis.

SETTING & POPULATION

Patients with type 1 or 2 diabetes with or without CKD.

SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES

English-language publications indexed in the MEDLINE database from January 2003 to October 2010, as well as cited references in these publications and publications identified after consultation with the NKF Diabetes Work Group were screened. Randomized controlled trials providing evidence for the management of hyperglycemia, dyslipidemia, and albuminuria in individuals with diabetes were included.

INTERVENTIONS

(1) Intensive glycemic control; (2) lipid management; (3) interventions aimed at prevention of incident albuminuria and/or progression of albuminuria in normotensive patients.

OUTCOMES

For all interventions, all-cause mortality was the primary outcome and secondary clinical outcomes included death from cardiovascular causes, incident kidney failure, and nonfatal cardiovascular events. Intermediate outcomes included changes in albuminuria and measures of kidney function. For intensive glycemic control only, severe and mild hypoglycemia were secondary and intermediate outcomes, respectively.

RESULTS

5 studies (n=27,159) assessed the impact of intensive versus conventional glycemic control strategies on clinical outcomes in type 2 diabetes. Intensive glycemic control reduced the development of micro- and macroalbuminuria, but did not reduce the incidence of primary or secondary clinical outcomes and was associated with a 2.5-fold increase in severe hypoglycemia. 11 studies (n=7,539) assessed lipid management. Statins did not reduce all-cause mortality or stroke compared to placebo in adults with diabetes and CKD. Fenofibrate increased regression of microalbuminuria to normoalbuminuria compared to placebo. 3 studies reported inconsistent effects of different angiotensin II receptor blockers on the incidence of microalbuminuria, and one study reported that telmisartan reduced macroalbuminuria in normotensive participants. No study demonstrated a benefit on primary or secondary clinical outcomes.

LIMITATIONS

Patients with CKD constituted a subgroup in most studies. Substantial heterogeneity with respect to population, interventions, outcome measures, and duration of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Intensive glycemic control and lipid interventions did not improve clinical outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes. Although interventions typically improved albuminuria, evidence was insufficient to determine whether treatment of albuminuria in normotensive patients provides beneficial effects on clinical outcomes. More intensive clinical management of patients with diabetes and CKD has inherent risks, including severe hypoglycemia, which should be considered when formulating treatment strategies.

Proteinuria in metastatic pheochromocytoma is associated with an increased risk of Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, spontaneously or after therapy with 131I-meta-iodobenzylguanidine (131I-MIBG)

Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS) has been reported rarely in pheochromocytoma, occurring spontaneously or after therapy with 131I-meta-iodobenzylguanidine (131I-MIBG). Our objective was to determine whether proteinuria is associated with an increased risk of ARDS. This was a retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study of 64 patients with metastatic pheochromocytoma or paraganglioma treated with 131I-MIBG on institutional protocols. Proteinuria was defined as at least one urinalysis positive for at least trace protein within 1 month prior to 131I-MIBG or within 1 month prior to spontaneous ARDS. Proportions were compared using Fisher's exact test. Urinalyses within the defined time period were available for 48 patients, 8 of whom had proteinuria. Of the 8 patients with proteinuria, 5 developed ARDS: 3 within 10 days following 131I-MIBG, two 6 months following 131I-MIBG. Both patients who developed ARDS 6 months after 131I-MIBG had proteinuria within 1 month before apparently spontaneous ARDS. None of the 40 patients whose urinalyses were all negative for protein developed ARDS. None of the 16 patients with missing urinalyses developed ARDS. Patients with antecedent proteinuria were more likely to develop ARDS than those without proteinuria (63% vs. 0%; p<0.0001). The following variables were not significantly associated with ARDS: 131I-MIBG activities administered, number of 131I-MIBG administrations, age, hypertension, or secretion of catecholamines or metanephrines. In patients with metastatic pheochromocytoma or paraganglioma, proteinuria is associated with ARDS and urine protein should be examined prior to administering 131I-MIBG.

Metastatic pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma: focus on therapeutics

Metastatic pheochromocytomas and paragangliomas are rare and challenging tumors. The tumor burden, combined with excessive catecholamine production, predispose to a broad spectrum of complications that range from spinal cord compression to any organ damage, all of which may lead to decreased quality of life and overall survival. Current therapies include surgery, systemic chemotherapy and radiopharmaceutical agents. Surgery is often a preferred therapy because it may cure or allow a long-term remission in patients with locoregional or isolated resectable distant metastases. Additionally, surgery can palliate symptoms related to tumor burden or catecholamine excess. However, in patients for whom surgery is not an option, systemic chemotherapy and radiopharmaceutical agents are preferred options. Systemic chemotherapy and radiopharmaceutical agents such as 131I-Metaiodobenzylguanidine (131I-MIBG) may cause partial responses or stabilization of disease with better blood pressure control and symptomatic and performance status improvement. However, as these therapies are only palliative, patients' quality of life and personal preferences should always be considered. The recognition of molecular pathways involved in the pheochromocytoma and paraganglioma tumorigenesis has driven the development of new therapeutic options. Agents such as tyrosine kinase, MAPK, PI3K, or hypoxia inducible factor inhibitors, alone or in combination, may represent novel therapeutic strategies that could be evaluated in prospective clinical trials. Transcriptional profiling and the development of personalized cancer medicine will help to pave the way for more specific therapeutic approaches and combinations.

A qualitative study of manufacturers' submissions to the UK NICE single technology appraisal process

OBJECTIVES

As part of the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) Single Technology Appraisal (STA) process, manufacturers present submissions outlining the clinical and cost-effectiveness of new technologies. These submissions are critically appraised by Evidence Review Groups (ERGs), who produce a report, which forms part of the evidence considered by the NICE Appraisal Committees. The purpose of this research was first to identify common issues and concerns identified by the ERGs in their analyses of manufacturers' submissions (MS). The aim was then to use these as a basis to develop feedback for manufacturers.

DESIGN

A qualitative study using a content analysis approach to examine two sources of evidence, the first 30 ERG reports and 21 clarification letters associated with these STAs.

SETTING

UK HTA programme.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Common issues and concerns in MS.

RESULTS

There were positive comments regarding the quality of the MS, many of which were clearly written. The majority, however, were generally of poor quality and issues and concerns identified across the ERG reports and clarification letters included: criticisms related to the data being used especially data employed in the cost-effectiveness model, failure to perform a necessary analysis and poor reporting of processes used in the MS. Aspects of the decision problem were also often poorly or inadequately addressed by manufacturers. The majority of points raised for clarification related to the economic data analysis. Internal inconsistencies between the clinical and economic sections of the submission were frequently highlighted. These were used as the basis for the development of 12 suggestions for manufacturers.

CONCLUSIONS

Much can be done to improve the quality of MS in the NICE STA process. Suggestions include the need for clear and transparent reporting of methods and analyses.

Estimation of utilities in attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder for economic evaluations

BACKGROUND

Attempts to estimate the cost effectiveness of attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) treatments in the past have relied on classifying ADHD patients as responders or non-responders to treatment. Responder status has been associated with a small gain in health-related quality of life (HR-QOL) [or utility, as measured using the generic QOL measure EQ-5D] of 0.06 (on a scale from 0 being dead to 1.0 being full health).

OBJECTIVES

The goal of the present study was to develop and validate several ADHD-related health states, and to estimate utility values measured amongst the general public for those states and to re-estimate utility values associated with responder status.

METHODS

Detailed qualitative interview data were collected from 20 young ADHD patients to characterize their HR-QOL. In addition, item-by-item clinical and HR-QOL data from a clinical trial were used to define and describe four health states (normal; borderline to mildly ill; moderately to markedly ill; and severely ill). ADHD experts assessed the content validity of the descriptions. The states were rated by 100 members of the UK general public using the time trade-off (TTO) interview and visual analog scale. Statistical mapping was also undertaken to estimate Clinical Global Impression-Improvement (CGI-I) utilities (i.e. response status) from Clinical Global Impression-Severity (CGI-S) defined states. The mapping work estimated changes in utilities from study baseline to last visit for patients with a CGI-I score of ≤ 2 or ≤ 3.

RESULTS

The validity of the four health states developed in this study was supported by in-depth interviews with ADHD experts and patients, and clinical trial data. TTO-derived utilities for the four health states ranged from 0.839 (CGI-S state 'normal') to 0.444 (CGI-S state 'severely ill'). From the mapping work, the change in utility for treatment responders was 0.19 for patients with a CGI-I score of ≤ 2 and 0.15 for patients with a CGI-I score of ≤ 3.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study provides utilities for different severity levels of ADHD estimated in a TTO study. This approach provides a more granular assessment of the impact of ADHD on HR-QOL than binary approaches employed in previous economic analyses. Change in utility for responders and non-responders at different levels of CGI-I was estimated, and thus these utilities may be used to compare health gains of different ADHD interventions.

Diagnostic management strategies for adults and children with minor head injury: a systematic review and an economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Patients with minor head injury [Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score 13-15] have a small but important risk of intracranial injury (ICI) that requires early identification and neurosurgical treatment. Diagnostic assessment can use either a clinical decision rule or unstructured assessment of individual clinical features to identify those who are at risk of ICI and in need of computerised tomography (CT) scanning and/or hospital admission. Selective use of CT investigations helps minimise unnecessary radiation exposure and resource use, but can lead to missed opportunities to provide early treatment for ICI.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of decision rules, individual clinical characteristics, skull radiography and biomarkers, and the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of diagnostic management strategies for minor head injury (MHI).

DATA SOURCES

Several electronic databases [including MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), EMBASE and The Cochrane Library] were searched from inception to April 2009 (updated searches to March 2010 were conducted on the MEDLINE databases only). Searches were supplemented by hand-searching relevant articles (including citation searching) and contacting experts in the field. For each of the systematic reviews the following studies were included (1) cohort studies of patients with MHI in which a clinical decision rule or individual clinical characteristics (including biomarkers and skull radiography) were compared with a reference standard test for ICI or need for neurosurgical intervention and (2) controlled trials comparing alternative management strategies for MHI.

REVIEW METHODS

Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS) tool (for the assessment of diagnostic accuracy) or criteria recommended by the Effective Practice and Organisation of Care Review Group (for the assessment of management practices). Where sufficient data existed, a meta-analysis was undertaken to generate pooled estimates of diagnostic parameters. A decision-analysis model was developed using Simul8 2008 Professional software (Simul8 Corporation, Boston, MA, USA) to estimate the costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) accrued by management strategies for MHI. The model took a lifetime horizon and NHS perspective. Estimates of the benefits of early treatment, harm of radiation exposure and long-term costs were obtained through literature reviews. Initial analysis was deterministic, but probabilistic sensitivity analysis was also performed. Secondary analyses were undertaken to explore the trade-off between sensitivity and specificity in diagnostic strategies and to determine the cost-effectiveness of scenarios involving hospital admission.

RESULTS

The literature searches identified 8003 citations. Of these, 93 full-text papers were included for the assessment of diagnostic accuracy and one for the assessment of management practices. The quality of studies and reporting was generally poor. The Canadian CT Head Rule (CCHR) was the most widely validated adult rule, with sensitivity of 99-100% and 80-100% for neurosurgical and any ICI, respectively (high- or medium-risk criteria), and specificity of 39-51%. Rules for children had high sensitivity and acceptable specificity in derivation cohorts, but limited validation. Depressed, basal or radiological skull fracture and post-traumatic seizure (PTS) [positive likelihood ratio (PLR) > 10]; focal neurological deficit, persistent vomiting, decrease in GCS and previous neurosurgery (PLR 5-10); and fall from a height, coagulopathy, chronic alcohol use, age > 60 years, pedestrian motor vehicle accident (MVA), any seizure, undefined vomiting, amnesia, GCS < 14 and GCS < 15 (PLR 2-5) increased the likelihood of ICI in adults. Depressed or basal skull fracture and focal neurological deficit (PLR > 10), coagulopathy, PTS and previous neurosurgery (PLR 5-10), visual symptoms, bicycle and pedestrian MVA, any seizure, loss of consciousness, vomiting, severe or persistent headache, amnesia, GCS < 14, GCS < 15, intoxication and radiological skull fracture (PLR 2-5) increased the likelihood of ICI in children. S100 calcium-binding protein B had pooled sensitivity of 96.8% [95% highest-density region (HDR) 93.8% to 98.6%] and specificity of 42.5% (95% HDR 31.0% to 54.2%). The only controlled trial showed that early CT and discharge is cheaper and at least as effective as hospital admission. Economic analysis showed that selective CT use dominated 'CT all' and 'discharge all' strategies. The optimal strategies were the CCHR (adults) and the CHALICE (Children's Head injury Algorithm for the prediction of Important Clinical Events) or NEXUS II (National Emergency X-Radiography Utilization Study II) rule (children). The sensitivity and specificity of the CCHR (99% and 47%, respectively) represented an appropriate trade-off of these parameters. Hospital admission dominated discharge home for patients with non-neurosurgical injury, but cost £39 M per QALY for clinically normal patients with a normal CT.

CONCLUSIONS

The CCHR is widely validated and cost-effective for adults. Decision rules for children appear cost-effective, but need further validation. Hospital admission is cost-effective for patients with abnormal, but not normal, CT. The main research priorities are to (1) validate decision rules for children; (2) determine the prognosis and treatment benefit for non-neurosurgical injuries; (3) evaluate the use of S100B alongside a validated decision rule; (4) evaluate the diagnosis and outcomes of anticoagulated patients with MHI; and (5) evaluate the implementation of guidelines, clinical decision rules and diagnostic strategies. Formal expected value of sample information analysis would be recommended to appraise the cost-effectiveness of future studies.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Diagnostic accuracy of clinical characteristics for identifying CT abnormality after minor brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Clinical features can be used to identify which patients with minor brain injury need CT scanning. A systematic review and meta-analysis was undertaken to estimate the value of these characteristics for diagnosing intracranial injury (including the need for neurosurgery) in adults, children, and infants. Potentially relevant studies were identified through electronic searches of several key databases, including MEDLINE, from inception to March 2010. Cohort studies of patients with minor brain injury (Glasgow Coma Score [GCS], 13-15) were selected if they reported data on the diagnostic accuracy of individual clinical characteristics for intracranial or neurosurgical injury. Where applicable, meta-analysis was used to estimate pooled sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratios. Data were extracted from 71 studies (with cohort sizes ranging from 39 to 31,694 patients). Depressed or basal skull fracture were the most useful clinical characteristics for the prediction of intracranial injury in both adults and children (positive likelihood ratio [PLR], >10). Other useful characteristics included focal neurological deficit, post-traumatic seizure (PLR >5), persistent vomiting, and coagulopathy (PLR 2 to 5). Characteristics that had limited diagnostic value included loss of consciousness and headache in adults and scalp hematoma and scalp laceration in children. Limited studies were undertaken in children and only a few studies reported data for neurosurgical injuries. In conclusion, this review identifies clinical characteristics that indicate increased risk of intracranial injury and the need for CT scanning. Other characteristics, such as headache in adults and scalp laceration of hematoma in children, do not reliably indicate increased risk.

Evidence Review Group approaches to the critical appraisal of manufacturer submissions for the NICE STA process: a mapping study and thematic analysis

BACKGROUND

The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) single technology appraisal (STA) process was set up as a rapid way to appraise new technologies for use within the NHS in England and Wales and has been in place since 2005.

OBJECTIVES

This study had five primary objectives: (1) to provide a map of the STA process to date; (2) to identify current approaches to the critical appraisal of manufacturers' submissions (MSs) by Evidence Review Groups (ERGs); (3) to identify recurring themes in clarification letters sent to manufacturers; (4) to provide recommendations for possible alternative approaches to be used in the critical appraisal process; and (5) to revise the current ERG report template.

DATA SOURCES

Data for the mapping of the STA process were obtained from the NICE website (www.nice.org.uk). Data for the analyses of the ERG reports and clarification letters were taken from the reports and letters themselves.

REVIEW METHODS

For the mapping, a spreadsheet was developed to collect data on 22 predefined variables related to timings and outcomes. Simple descriptive statistics were used to analyse the data. For the thematic analysis, a documentary analysis of 30 ERG reports was undertaken. Data on key elements of the MSs, the processes undertaken by ERGs and the strengths and weaknesses of MSs were extracted. A framework of a priori themes was developed. Data were extracted, coded and analysed according to a framework approach. Twenty-one clarification letters were examined and data were extracted using a set of codes to cover report quality, systematic review methods and clinical/economic issues. The current ERG report template was modified and sent to the current ERG teams for comment. All comments were considered and formed the basis for further revisions to the template.

RESULTS

Ninety-five STAs were included in the mapping exercise. Many STAs were subject to delay or cancellation for a variety of reasons. The ERG reports highlighted the strengths and weaknesses of MSs to the STA process. Thematic analysis of these data offered a means of clarifying and describing these aspects of the submissions. This analysis generated five themes: process, reporting, satisfaction of objectives, reliability and validity of findings, and content. Points from clarification letters were analysed and presented in four main categories: report quality, systematic review methods, clinical data analysis and economic data analysis.

LIMITATIONS

Nearly all data were obtained from the NICE website; therefore, any errors in the data on the website will be reflected in the mapping analysis presented in this report. Missing data for the mapping exercise limit the generalisability of the findings. Analyses were limited to what was reported in the ERG reports and the clarification letters.

CONCLUSIONS

Guidance suggested for manufacturers will help to ensure that more appropriate submissions are received in the future while recommendations provided for ERG teams will help to guide teams to ensure that reporting methods are transparent.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

BDNF expression in the hippocampus of maternally separated rats: does Bifidobacterium breve 6330 alter BDNF levels?

Brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) is of interest because of its putative role in stress and psychiatric disorders. Maternal separation is used as an animal model of early-life stress and of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). Animals exposed to the paradigm show altered gut function together with heightened levels of arousal and corticosterone. Some probiotic organisms have been shown to be of benefit in IBS and influence the brain-gut axis. Our objective was to investigate the effects of maternal separation on BDNF under basal conditions and in response to the probiotic Bifidobacterium breve 6330. The study implemented the maternal separation model which we have previously described. Polymerase chain reaction and in situ hybridisation were performed to measure the effect of maternal separation on both BDNF total variants and BDNF splice variant (exon) IV in the hippocampus. Maternally separated and non-separated rats were treated with B. breve 6330, to investigate the effect of this probiotic on BDNF total variant and BDNF exon IV expression. Maternal separation increased BDNF total variants (P<0.01), whilst having no effect on BDNF exon IV. B. breve 6330 increased BDNF total variants (P<0.01), and decreased BDNF splice variant IV, in non-separated rats (P<0.01). B. breve 6330 did not alter BDNF levels in the maternally separated rats. Maternal separation caused a marked increase in BDNF in the hippocampus. While B. breve 6330 influenced BDNF in normal animals, it had no significant effect on BDNF in those which were maternally separated. We have demonstrated that an orally administered probiotic can influence hippocampal BDNF.

The effects of gabapentin in two animal models of co-morbid anxiety and visceral hypersensitivity

Visceral hypersensitivity and an increased response to stress are two of the main symptoms of irritable bowel syndrome. Thus efforts to develop animal models of irritable bowel syndrome have centred on both of these parameters. The anticonvulsant gabapentin, which is widely used as an analgesic agent, also reduces anxiety. No data exists to our knowledge of the effects of gabapentin in animal models of co-morbid exaggerated stress response and visceral pain. Our aim was to assess the effect of gabapentin on stress and visceral hypersensitivity in two different animal models of irritable bowel syndrome. The animal models employed were the genetically susceptible Wistar Kyoto rat and the neonatally stressed maternal separation model. These animals were subjected to the open field paradigm to assess stress-induced defecation rates and colorectal distension to assess the level of visceral sensitivity. Gabapentin (30 mg/kg) prevented the stress-induced increase in faecal pellet output in the maternally separated rat, but not the Wistar Kyoto animals. On the other hand gabapentin (30 mg/kg) reduced the number of pain behaviours in response to colorectal distension in both models. These results show that whilst both models have similar responses to gabapentin in terms of visceral pain they differ in terms of their physiological response to stress. This indicates that the origin of anxiety and perhaps then visceral hypersensitivity differs in these models. Overall, these data suggest that gabapentin may be a useful treatment in disorders of co-morbid pain and an overactive stress system such as irritable bowel syndrome.