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Etzioni R, Ramsey SD, Berry K, Brown M. The impact of including future medical care costs when estimating the costs attributable to a disease: a colorectal cancer case study. HEALTH ECONOMICS 2001; 10:245-256. [PMID: 11288190 DOI: 10.1002/hec.580] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
A source of controversy in the economic literature concerns whether to include or exclude future medical care costs when computing attributable costs for lifesaving interventions. Although it is hypothesized that including future medical care costs will offset the cost savings achieved through prevention, the magnitude of the effect is not known. The objectives of the present study are to develop a methodology for estimating the excess costs of care among colorectal cancer patients, including and excluding future costs of care, and comparing these results with previous studies that do not include costs in added years of life. Subjects in the study included those identified with colorectal cancer drawn from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database and an age- and gender-matched control group drawn from the general Medicare population. Using the Kaplan-Meier Sample Average estimator, we directly estimate expected 11-year costs, and then, with the addition of some simple extrapolating assumptions, determine expected 25-year costs. The latter time horizon captures lifetime costs for over 90% of the cohort. Males results for discounted, stage-specific 11- versus 25-year excess costs: in situ, 22411 dollars versus 23494 dollars; Stage 1, 29365 dollars versus 32510 dollars; Stage 2, 28114 dollars versus 25263 dollars; Stage 3, 27397 dollars versus 19647 dollars; Stage 4, 3006 dollars versus 7837 dollars. Trends were similar for females. It can be concluded that adding costs of care in future years for those whose colorectal cancer is prevented owing to screening greatly alters the estimate of lifetime excess costs for colorectal cancer patients, and can produce negative results for advanced stage disease. The results emphasize the need to adopt a standard approach for dealing with future costs when evaluating lifesaving interventions for cost-effectiveness analyses.
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Ramsey SD, Sullivan SD, Kaplan RM, Wood DE, Chiang YP, Wagner JL. Economic analysis of lung volume reduction surgery as part of the National Emphysema Treatment Trial. NETT Research Group. Ann Thorac Surg 2001; 71:995-1002. [PMID: 11269488 DOI: 10.1016/s0003-4975(00)02283-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 23] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/18/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In today's cost-conscious health care environment, obtaining timely and accurate economic information regarding new medical technologies has become extremely important. The National Emphysema Treatment Trial, a multicenter, randomized controlled trial of lung volume reduction surgery (LVRS) plus medical therapy, versus medical therapy for patients with severe emphysema, includes a parallel cost-effectiveness analysis. METHODS The analysis is designed to determine the cost-effectiveness of LVRS versus medical therapy for those who are eligible for the procedure. After describing theoretical foundations of cost-effectiveness analysis as they apply to this study, we describe the economic and quality of life data that are being collected alongside the clinical trial, methods of analysis, and approach to presenting the results. RESULTS The cost-effectiveness of LVRS relative to medical therapy will be presented as costs per quality-adjusted life years gained. CONCLUSIONS This analysis will provide timely economic data that can be considered alongside the clinical results of the National Emphysema Treatment Trial. As one of the largest clinical trials to include a parallel, prospective cost-effectiveness analyses, this study will also provide valuable practical information about conducting an economic analysis alongside a multicenter clinical trial.
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Wagner EH, Sandhu N, Newton KM, McCulloch DK, Ramsey SD, Grothaus LC. Effect of improved glycemic control on health care costs and utilization. JAMA 2001; 285:182-9. [PMID: 11176811 DOI: 10.1001/jama.285.2.182] [Citation(s) in RCA: 328] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022]
Abstract
CONTEXT Because of the additional costs associated with improving diabetes management, there is interest in whether improved glycemic control leads to reductions in health care costs, and, if so, when such cost savings occur. OBJECTIVE To determine whether sustained improvements in hemoglobin A(1c) (HbA(1c)) levels among diabetic patients are followed by reductions in health care utilization and costs. DESIGN AND SETTING Historical cohort study conducted in 1992-1997 in a staff-model health maintenance organization (HMO) in western Washington State. PARTICIPANTS All diabetic patients aged 18 years or older who were continuously enrolled between January 1992 and March 1996 and had HbA(1c) measured at least once per year in 1992-1994 (n = 4744). Patients whose HbA(1c) decreased 1% or more between 1992 and 1993 and sustained the decline through 1994 were considered to be improved (n = 732). All others were classified as unimproved (n = 4012). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Total health care costs, percentage hospitalized, and number of primary care and specialty visits among the improved vs unimproved cohorts in 1992-1997. RESULTS Diabetic patients whose HbA(1c) measurements improved were similar demographically to those whose levels did not improve but had higher baseline HbA(1c) measurements (10.0% vs 7.7%; P<.001). Mean total health care costs were $685 to $950 less each year in the improved cohort for 1994 (P =.09), 1995 (P =.003), 1996 (P =.002), and 1997 (P =.01). Cost savings in the improved cohort were statistically significant only among those with the highest baseline HbA(1c) levels (>/=10%) for these years but appeared to be unaffected by presence of complications at baseline. Beginning in the year following improvement (1994), utilization was consistently lower in the improved cohort, reaching statistical significance for primary care visits in 1994 (P =.001), 1995 (P<.001), 1996 (P =.005), and 1997 (P =.004) and for specialty visits in 1997 (P =.02). Differences in hospitalization rates were not statistically significant in any year. CONCLUSION Our data suggest that a sustained reduction in HbA(1c) level among adult diabetic patients is associated with significant cost savings within 1 to 2 years of improvement.
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Lee TA, Sullivan SD, Veenstra DL, Ramsey SD, Steger PJ, Malinverni R, Pleil AM, Williamson T. Economic evaluation of systemic treatments for cytomegalovirus retinitis in patients with AIDS. PHARMACOECONOMICS 2001; 19:535-550. [PMID: 11465299 DOI: 10.2165/00019053-200119050-00008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine the cost of using systemic therapy to treat newly diagnosed cytomegalovirus (CMV) retinitis in persons with AIDS. DESIGN Incidence-based simulation model of CMV treatment from a government payer perspective. SETTING Swiss healthcare system. PATIENTS AND PARTICIPANTS Patients with AIDS and newly diagnosed CMV retinitis. INTERVENTIONS Patients were assigned to 1 of 4 treatment regimens for induction and maintenance therapy: (i) intravenous (IV) cidofovir induction and maintenance (cidofovir IV/IV); (ii) IV foscarnet induction and maintenance (foscarnet IV/IV); (iii) IV ganciclovir induction and maintenance (ganciclovir IV/IV); and (iv) IV ganciclovir induction and oral (PO) ganciclovir maintenance (ganciclovir IV/PO). Following a second relapse, patients were assigned to one of the other regimens. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Time to first and subsequent progression, duration of maintenance treatment and direct medical expenditures [1998 Swiss francs (SwF)] . RESULTS The median time to first progression was longest for cidofovir IV/IV, followed by foscarnet IV/IV, ganciclovir IV/IV and ganciclovir IV/PO. Mean survival was 13 months and mean costs for this period in the base case were lowest in those initially treated with cidofovir (SwF146,742), followed by initial treatment with foscarnet IV/IV (SwF194,809), ganciclovir IV/PO (SwF195,190) and ganciclovir IV/IV (SwF243,964). Costs were most sensitive to changes in efficacy estimates. CONCLUSIONS Of the regimens studied, initiation of treatment with systemic cidofovir appears least costly over a 13-month period.
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McIntosh M, Ramsey S, Berry K, Urban N. Parameter solicitation for planning cost effectiveness studies with dichotomous outcomes. HEALTH ECONOMICS 2001; 10:53-66. [PMID: 11180569 DOI: 10.1002/1099-1050(200101)10:1<53::aid-hec575>3.0.co;2-n] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
When economic endpoints are included alongside clinical effectiveness measures in randomized clinical trials (RCT), they are summarized together by the incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER). Adding economic endpoints to an RCT complicates the planning of experiments because investigators must now solicit their beliefs about costs, but even more challenging, they must also specify their association with effectiveness. Solicitation of correlations between costs and effects can be unintuitive, and so potentially highly inaccurate. This is unfortunate because power is highly sensitive to the association between costs and effects. Mis-specification in this association may lead to substantially underpowered or overpowered studies. We show that when clinical effectiveness measures are dichotomous, specification of the correlation between costs and effects can be avoided by instead describing their association with a mixture model. This representation leads to simple and highly intuitive parameter specifications. It may also be used to generate realistic raw data that can be used to evaluate experiment power with simulation. We give particular attention to evaluating and interpreting power when Fieller's theorem method (FTM) is used to calculate confidence for, and test hypotheses about, the ICER. Data from a previously published clinical trial are used to demonstrate the use of this new method to calculate sample size for a cost effectiveness study.
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Ramsey SD, McIntosh M, Etzioni R, Urban N. Simulation modeling of outcomes and cost effectiveness. Hematol Oncol Clin North Am 2000; 14:925-38. [PMID: 10949781 DOI: 10.1016/s0889-8588(05)70319-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Modeling will continue to be used to address important issues in clinical practice and health policy issues that have not been adequately studied with high-quality clinical trials. The apparent ad hoc nature of models belies the methodologic rigor that is applied to create the best models in cancer prevention and care. Models have progressed from simple decision trees to extremely complex microsimulation analyses, yet all are built using a logical process based on objective evaluation of the path between intervention and outcome. The best modelers take great care to justify both the structure and content of the model and then test their assumptions using a comprehensive process of sensitivity analysis and model validation. Like clinical trials, models sometimes produce results that are later found to be invalid as other data become available. When weighing the value of models in health care decision making, it is reasonable to consider the alternatives. In the absence of data, clinical policy decisions are often based on the recommendations of expert opinion panels or on poorly defined notions of the standard of care or medical necessity. Because such decision making rarely entails the rigorous process of data collection, synthesis, and testing that is the core of well-conducted modeling, it is usually not possible for external audiences to examine the assumptions and data that were used to derive the decisions. One of the modeler's most challenging tasks is to make the structure and content of the model transparent to the intended audience. The purpose of this article is to clarify the process of modeling, so that readers of models are more knowledgeable about their uses, strengths, and limitations.
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Ramsey SD, Andersen MR, Etzioni R, Moinpour C, Peacock S, Potosky A, Urban N. Quality of life in survivors of colorectal carcinoma. Cancer 2000. [PMID: 10717609 DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0142(20000315)88:6<1294::aid-cncr4>3.0.co;2-m] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Colon carcinoma is a common malignancy that accounts for a substantial share of all cancer-related morbidity and mortality. However, little is known with regard to general and disease specific quality of life in survivors of colorectal carcinoma, particularly from community-based samples of cases across stage and survival times from diagnosis. METHODS Subjects with colorectal carcinoma were recruited from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registry. Subjects completed two self-administered surveys: the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy Scales for Colorectal Cancer (FACT-C) and the Health Utilities Index (HUI) Mark III. RESULTS One hundred seventy-three respondents (average age: 70.4 years, 71.4% female) completed the survey. In the first 3 years after diagnosis, quality of life was lower and varied substantially among respondents. After 3 years, respondents in all TNM stages of disease except Stage IV reported a relatively uniform and high quality of life. Pain, functional well-being, and social well-being were affected most substantially across all stages and times from diagnosis. Low income status was associated with worse outcomes for pain, ambulation, and social and emotional well-being. Only emotional well-being scores improved significantly over time in both surveys. CONCLUSIONS Those individuals who achieve a long term remission from colorectal carcinoma may experience a relatively high quality of life, although deficits remain for several areas, particularly in those of low socioeconomic status. Sampling design may have excluded the most severely ill patients.
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Ramsey SD, Saint S, Sullivan SD, Dey L, Kelley K, Bowdle A. Clinical and economic effects of pulmonary artery catheterization in nonemergent coronary artery bypass graft surgery. J Cardiothorac Vasc Anesth 2000; 14:113-8. [PMID: 10794325 DOI: 10.1016/s1053-0770(00)90001-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 62] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/20/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the association between use of pulmonary artery catheterization with hospital outcomes and costs in nonemergent coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery. DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. SETTING Fifty-six community-based hospitals in 26 states. PARTICIPANTS A total of 13,907 patients undergoing nonemergent CABG surgery between January 1, 1997, and December 31, 1997. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS Discharge abstracts for each patient were examined. Stratified and multivariate analyses were used to assess the impact of pulmonary artery catheters (PACs) on in-hospital mortality, length of stay in the intensive care unit, total length of stay, and hospital costs. Outcomes were adjusted for patient demographic factors, hospital characteristics, and hospital volume of PAC use in the year of analysis. Fifty-eight percent of the patients received a PAC. After adjustment, the relative risk of in-hospital mortality was 2.10 for the PAC group compared with the patients who did not receive a PAC (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.40 to 3.14; p < 0.001). The mortality risk was significantly higher in hospitals with the lowest third of PAC use (odds ratio, 3.35; 95% CI, 1.74 to 6.47; p < 0.001) and not significantly increased in the highest two thirds of users (odds ratio, 1.62; 95% CI, 0.99 to 2.66; p = 0.09). Days spent in critical care were similar; however, total length of hospital stay was 0.26 days longer in the PAC group (p < 0.001). Hospital costs were $1,402 higher in the PAC group. CONCLUSION In the setting of nonemergent CABG surgery, pulmonary artery catheterization was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality, greater length of stay, and higher total costs, particularly in hospitals with low volume of PAC use.
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Maynard C, Ramsey S, Wickizer T, Conrad DA. Healthcare charges and use in commercially insured children enrolled in managed care health plans in Washington State. Matern Child Health J 2000; 4:29-38. [PMID: 10941758 DOI: 10.1023/a:1009578818359] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine the relative importance of enrollee, physician, medical group, and healthcare plan characteristics as determinants of healthcare use and expenditures in commercially insured children < 18 years of age enrolled in managed care health plans. We focused on the effects of age and benefit level, the two most important predictors of cost and utilization in our study of adults. METHODS This study included 67,432 commercially insured children who were between 1 and 18 years of age, and were cared for by 790 primary care physicians, who practiced in 60 medical care groups in Washington State. Plan enrollment and utilization data for 1994 were linked to a survey of medical care groups contracting with three managed care health plans. Benefit level for each enrollee was defined as low, medium, or high and was based on cost sharing by the health plan for hospitalization, outpatient care, and emergency department services. The three outcome measures included estimated total per member per year charges, number of ambulatory visits, and hospital days. RESULTS In multivariate analysis, enrollee age was the most important determinant of total charges, with younger children incurring higher charges and utilization. For children 5 years and younger, mean total per member per year charges were $617 in the low-benefit category and $878 in the high category (p < .0001). These differences were less apparent for children 6-12 years ($355 versus $420, p = .012), and were not statistically significant for children 13 years and older ($503 versus $552, p = .14). The annual number of visits increased with benefit level for children of all ages. CONCLUSIONS Enrollee age and benefit level were the most important determinants of healthcare use and expenditures in children enrolled in managed care health plans.
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Goldberg HI, Neighbor WE, Cheadle AD, Ramsey SD, Diehr P, Gore E. A controlled time-series trial of clinical reminders: using computerized firm systems to make quality improvement research a routine part of mainstream practice. Health Serv Res 2000; 34:1519-34. [PMID: 10737451 PMCID: PMC1975658] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/16/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To explore the feasibility of conducting unobtrusive interventional research in community practice settings by integrating firm-system techniques with time-series analysis of relational-repository data. STUDY SETTING A satellite teaching clinic divided into two similar, but geographically separated, primary care group practices called firms. One firm was selected by chance to receive the study intervention. Forty-two providers and 2,655 patients participated. STUDY DESIGN A nonrandomized controlled trial of computer-generated preventive reminders. Net effects were determined by quantitatively combining population-level data from parallel experimental and control interrupted time series extending over two-month baseline and intervention periods. DATA COLLECTION Mean rates at which mammography, colorectal cancer screening, and cholesterol testing were performed on patients due to receive each maneuver at clinic visits were the trial's outcome measures. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS Mammography performance increased on the experimental firm by 154 percent (0.24 versus 0.61, p = .03). No effect on fecal occult blood testing was observed. Cholesterol ordering decreased on both the experimental (0.18 versus 0.1 1, p = .02) and control firms (0.13 versus 0.07, p = .03) coincident with national guidelines retreating from recommending screening for young adults. A traditional uncontrolled interrupted time-series design would have incorrectly attributed the experimental-firm decrease to the introduction of reminders. The combined analysis properly indicated that no net prompting effect had occurred, as the difference between firms in cholesterol testing remained stochastically stable over time (0.05 versus 0.04, p = .75). A logistic-regression analysis applied to individual-level data produced equivalent findings. The trial incurred no supplementary data collection costs. CONCLUSIONS The apparent validity and practicability of our reminder implementation study should encourage others to develop computerized firm systems capable of conducting controlled time-series trials.
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Jarvik JG, Ramsey S. Radiographic screening for orbital foreign bodies prior to MR imaging: is it worth it? AJNR Am J Neuroradiol 2000; 21:245-7. [PMID: 10696003 PMCID: PMC7975355] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/15/2023]
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Abstract
Effective outpatient management of COPD requires prescription of and adherence to appropriate therapies. Although practice guidelines for outpatient management of COPD are widely available, evidence suggests that these guidelines are not being implemented widely in clinical practice. Furthermore, several studies have shown that patient compliance with recommended therapy is poor. This paper discusses several reasons why implementation of practice guidelines and adherence with prescribed therapies may be poor. Potential clinical and economic consequences of suboptimal management are reviewed. Although the evidence suggests that improved compliance with guideline-recommended practice will improve symptoms and disease-specific quality of life, further work needs to be done to establish the cost-effectiveness of chronic therapies for COPD relative to other chronic conditions. Without such data, managed care organizations will be reluctant to allocate scarce resources toward expensive guideline implementation programs for individuals with this condition.
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Abstract
COPD is one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality worldwide and imparts a substantial economic burden on individuals and society. Despite the intense interest in COPD among clinicians and researchers, there is a paucity of data on health-care utilization, costs, and social burden in this population. The total economic costs of COPD morbidity and mortality in the United States were estimated at $23.9 billion in 1993. Direct treatments for COPD-related illness accounted for $14.7 billion, and the remaining $9.2 billion were indirect morbidity and premature mortality estimated as lost future earnings. Similar data from another US study suggest that 10% of persons with COPD account for > 70% of all medical care costs. International studies of trends in COPD-related hospitalization indicate that although the average length of stay has decreased since 1972, admissions per 1,000 persons per year for COPD have increased in all age groups > 45 years of age. These trends reflect population aging, smoking patterns, institutional factors, and treatment practices.
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Ramsey SD, Sullivan SD. Weighing the economic evidence: guidelines for critical assessment of cost-effectiveness analyses. THE JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN BOARD OF FAMILY PRACTICE 1999; 12:477-85. [PMID: 10612366 DOI: 10.3122/jabfm.12.6.477] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
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Ramsey SD, Newton K, Blough D, McCulloch DK, Sandhu N, Wagner EH. Patient-level estimates of the cost of complications in diabetes in a managed-care population. PHARMACOECONOMICS 1999; 16:285-295. [PMID: 10558040 DOI: 10.2165/00019053-199916030-00005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To develop incidence-based estimates of the cost of several diabetes-related complications. DESIGN AND SETTING This was a retrospective cohort study in a large health maintenance organisation. A total of 8905 patients with type 1 (insulin-dependent) and type 2 (non-insulin-dependent) diabetes mellitus and 36,520 age- and gender-matched controls without diabetes were observed from 1992 to 1995. Incidence rates of 6 major diabetes-related complications were computed for both populations. Annual health expenditures in the first and second year following diagnosis were computed for each complication. For comparison, annual costs were derived for individuals without diabetes or the complication of interest. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES AND RESULTS Over 3 years of observation, incidence rates for the groups with and without diabetes were as follows: myocardial infarction 9.0 versus 3.2%; stroke 8.7 versus 3.8%; hypertension 26.2 versus 16.9%; end-stage renal disease 5.9 versus 1.4%; foot ulcer 7.9 versus 1.1%; and eye disease 44.3 versus 2.8%. Expressed as a multiple of the average annual cost of care for those without diabetes [$US3400/year (1995 dollars) for those over 65 years of age] and the related complication of interest, excess expenditures for those with diabetes were as follows for the first year following diagnosis: no complications 1.59; myocardial infarction 4.1; stroke 3.5; hypertension 2.56; end-stage renal disease 4.32; foot ulcer 4.0; and eye disease 2.46. For younger cohorts (less prevalent in the sample), incremental costs for each complication were generally greater than in the older group. CONCLUSIONS The high incidences and costs may support the value of aggressive early intervention for patients with diabetes. These data will be useful for pharmacoeconomic modelling of the cost effectiveness of new and existing therapies for this condition.
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Ramsey SD. Evaluating evidence from a decision analysis. THE JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN BOARD OF FAMILY PRACTICE 1999; 12:395-402. [PMID: 10534089 DOI: 10.3122/jabfm.12.5.395] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
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Pauly MV, Ramsey SD. Would you like suspenders to go with that belt? An analysis of optimal combinations of cost sharing and managed care. JOURNAL OF HEALTH ECONOMICS 1999; 18:443-458. [PMID: 10539616 DOI: 10.1016/s0167-6296(98)00055-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
When and why would it be efficient for a managed care insurance plan using managerial limits to add patient cost sharing? This paper uses a diagrammatic model to indicate that the use of patient point-of-service cost sharing can cause the managerial limits or guidelines to be less restrictive in limiting high value care for cases of severe illness. The model shows that cost-sharing is more likely to improve efficiency the greater the variation in illness severity and the smaller the degree of moral hazard. The model is extended to the case in which provider cost sharing is also used.
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Abstract
Prostate cancer is a highly prevalent malignancy in older men. Because the disease and its treatments have the potential to cause substantial morbidity in affected individuals, prostate cancer has been the subject of great interest for quality-of-life (QOL) researchers. In this article, we review published QOL studies that have focused on individuals with prostate cancer. Generic survey instruments have generally been found to be insensitive to changes in health-related quality of life (HR-QOL) related to prostate cancer and its treatments. Domain-specific survey instruments (such as those focusing on sexual function) have been more sensitive, but fail to capture all relevant impacts. At least 9 disease-specific instruments have been developed to measure the HR-QOL impact of prostate cancer. These instruments generally focus on specific symptoms related to the disease and its treatment--urinary function, bowel function, sexual function, physical function, psychological function and pain--however, the domains covered are not consistent from instrument to instrument, and the domains of emphasis within each instrument are rarely the same. In addition, no single instrument has been applied to all major therapies for prostate cancer across men at different ages and stages of disease. Finally, HR-QOL evaluations in some patient groups, such as those with advanced disease, have received relatively little attention to date. As a result of the proliferation of prostate cancer-specific survey instruments and inconsistencies in their design and application, decision-makers face great difficulties evaluating HR-QOL across disease stages and comparing the HR-QOL impacts of alternative therapies, including conservative management ('watchful waiting'). In order for these tools to be useful for patient management and policy-making, coordination of instrument development efforts with the goal of consolidating the number of measures used is urgently needed.
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Blackmore CC, Ramsey SD, Mann FA, Deyo RA. Cervical spine screening with CT in trauma patients: a cost-effectiveness analysis. Radiology 1999; 212:117-25. [PMID: 10405730 DOI: 10.1148/radiology.212.1.r99jl08117] [Citation(s) in RCA: 221] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE To investigate the cost-effectiveness of computed tomography (CT) relative to radiography for cervical spine screening in trauma patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS A decision analysis model was constructed to compare the incremental cost-effectiveness of radiography and CT as primary cervical spine screening modalities in trauma patients. Analyses were performed from a societal perspective, and probability and cost estimates from the literature and institutional experience were used. In separate cost-effectiveness analyses, hypothetical cohorts of trauma patients from three defined clinical scenarios were considered: high, moderate, and low risk for cervical spine fracture. Outcome measures included cases of paralysis prevented, total cost of screening strategies, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. RESULTS In high-risk patients, screening with CT is a dominant strategy that prevents cases of paralysis and saves money for society. In moderate-risk patients, screening with CT is cost-effective with reference-case assumptions and within the range of most sensitivity analyses. In the low-risk group, CT screening helps prevent cases of paralysis, but the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio is high (> $80,000 per quality-adjusted life year). CONCLUSION CT is the preferred cervical spine screening modality in trauma patients at high and moderate risk for cervical spine fracture.
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Etzioni RD, Feuer EJ, Sullivan SD, Lin D, Hu C, Ramsey SD. On the use of survival analysis techniques to estimate medical care costs. JOURNAL OF HEALTH ECONOMICS 1999; 18:365-380. [PMID: 10537900 DOI: 10.1016/s0167-6296(98)00056-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/23/2023]
Abstract
Measurement of treatment costs is important in the evaluation of medical interventions. Accurate cost estimation is problematic, when cost records are incomplete. Methods from the survival analysis literature have been proposed for estimating costs using available data. In this article, we clarify assumptions necessary for validity of these techniques. We demonstrate how assumptions needed for valid survival analysis may be violated when these methods are applied to cost estimation. Our observations are confirmed through simulations and empirical data analysis. We conclude that survival analysis approaches are not generally appropriate for the analysis of medical costs and review several valid alternatives.
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Newton KM, Wagner EH, Ramsey SD, McCulloch D, Evans R, Sandhu N, Davis C. The use of automated data to identify complications and comorbidities of diabetes: a validation study. J Clin Epidemiol 1999; 52:199-207. [PMID: 10210237 DOI: 10.1016/s0895-4356(98)00161-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 109] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
We evaluated the accuracy of administrative data for identifying complications and comorbidities of diabetes using International Classification of Diseases, 9th edition, Clinical Modification and Current Procedural Terminology codes. The records of 471 randomly selected diabetic patients were reviewed for complications from January 1, 1993 to December 31, 1995; chart data served to validate automated data. The complications with the highest sensitivity determined by a diagnosis in the medical records identified within +/-60 days of the database date were myocardial infarction (95.2%); amputation (94.4%); ischemic heart disease (90.3%); stroke (91.2%); osteomyelitis (79.2%); and retinal detachment, vitreous hemorrhage, and vitrectomy (73.5%). With the exception of amputation (82.9%), positive predictive value was low when based on a diagnosis identified within +/-60 days of the database date but increased with relaxation of the time constraints to include confirmation of the condition at any time during 1993-1995: ulcers (88.5%); amputation (85.4%); and retinal detachment, vitreous hemorrhage and vitrectomy (79.8%). Automated data are useful for ascertaining potential cases of some diabetic complications but require confirmatory evidence when they are to be used for research purposes.
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Ramsey SD, Neil N, Sullivan SD, Perfetto E. An economic evaluation of the JNC hypertension guidelines using data from a randomized controlled trial. Joint National Committee. THE JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN BOARD OF FAMILY PRACTICE 1999; 12:105-14. [PMID: 10220232 DOI: 10.3122/jabfm.12.2.105] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND We wanted to determine the clinical cost of managing hypertension when following the Joint National Committee on Hypertension (JNC) guidelines, including drug therapy, the cost of monitoring for and treating side effects, compliance, and the cost of switching after therapeutic failures. METHODS The base-case analysis considers antihypertensive agents from four therapeutic classes that were recently evaluated in a large randomized trial: enalapril, amlodipine, acebutolol, and chlorthalidone. Clinical evaluation, therapy, and monitoring for hypertension are modeled with an incidence-based Markov model. Clinical inputs include agent efficacy, side effects, and compliance with dosing schedules. JNC-recommended clinical and laboratory monitoring schedules are followed for each agent. Switches between classes occur for therapeutic failures. Drug and medical care costs are valued in 1995 US dollars. RESULTS Although patients whose hypertension was initially treated with amlodipine achieved control more readily than patients who were given the other agents, the initial costs to achieve and maintain hypertension control were lowest for chlorthalidone ($641), followed by acebutolol ($920), amlodipine ($946), and enalapril ($948). Maintenance costs were lowest for chlorthalidone. For all agents except chlorthalidone, drug costs were the largest component of overall costs, followed by the costs of office visits, laboratory monitoring, and switching between classes for therapeutic failures. CONCLUSIONS By following JNC guidelines, a slightly higher percentage of patients will achieve hypertension control with a newer class calcium channel blocker (amlodipine) but at a substantially higher cost than with a generic diuretic (chlorthalidone).
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Ramsey SD, Newton K, Blough D, McCulloch DK, Sandhu N, Reiber GE, Wagner EH. Incidence, outcomes, and cost of foot ulcers in patients with diabetes. Diabetes Care 1999; 22:382-7. [PMID: 10097914 DOI: 10.2337/diacare.22.3.382] [Citation(s) in RCA: 651] [Impact Index Per Article: 26.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine the incidence of foot ulcers in a large cohort of patients with diabetes, the risk of developing serious complications after diagnosis, and the attributable cost of care compared with that in patients without foot ulcers. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS Retrospective cohort study of patients with diabetes in a large staff-model health maintenance organization from 1993 to 1995. Patients with diabetes were identified by algorithm using administrative, laboratory, and pharmacy records. The data were used to calculate incidence of foot ulcers, risk of osteomyelitis, amputation, and death after diagnosis of foot ulcer, and attributable costs in foot ulcer patients compared with patients without foot ulcers. RESULTS Among 8,905 patients identified with type 1 or type 2 diabetes, 514 developed a foot ulcer over 3 years of observation (cumulative incidence 5.8%). On or after the time of diagnosis, 77 (15%) patients developed osteomyelitis and 80 (15.6%) required amputation. Survival at 3 years was 72% for the foot ulcer patients versus 87% for a group of age- and sex-matched diabetic patients without foot ulcers (P < 0.001). The attributable cost for a 40- to 65-year-old male with a new foot ulcer was $27,987 for the 2 years after diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS The incidence of foot ulcers in this cohort of patients with diabetes was nearly 2.0% per year. For those who developed ulcers, morbidity, mortality, and excess care costs were substantial compared with those for patients without foot ulcers. The results appear to support the value of foot-ulcer prevention programs for patients with diabetes.
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Spencer AC, Kinne S, Belza BL, Ramsey S, Patrick DL. Recruiting adults with osteoarthritis into an aquatic exercise class: strategies for a statewide intervention. ARTHRITIS CARE AND RESEARCH : THE OFFICIAL JOURNAL OF THE ARTHRITIS HEALTH PROFESSIONS ASSOCIATION 1998; 11:455-62. [PMID: 10030177 DOI: 10.1002/art.1790110605] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Although research suggests that regular exercise can be helpful in reducing the dysfunction and discomfort of osteoarthritis, promoting exercise among older adults within this population is neither straightforward nor easily accomplished. This article describes the various methods, and their relative success rates, that were employed to recruit older adults throughout the state of Washington into an aquatic exercise program. METHODS Strategies included a recruitment letter distributed to Arthritis Foundation (AF) members in Washington state, local media news coverage, physician referrals, and advertisements in local papers and newsletters. RESULTS The most successful methods for enrolling participants were through the AF recruitment letters and local television coverage. The AF recruitment letter was the most expensive method of generating responses, while the television coverage was the least expensive. CONCLUSIONS Collaborating with a well-reputed community-based organization and capitalizing on available publicity resources are important strategies researchers can use to gain access to a difficult and geographically dispersed population.
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