Clinical prediction rule for SARS-CoV-2 infection from 116 U.S. emergency departments 2-22-2021

Objectives

Accurate and reliable criteria to rapidly estimate the probability of infection with the novel coronavirus-2 that causes the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS-CoV-2) and associated disease (COVID-19) remain an urgent unmet need, especially in emergency care. The objective was to derive and validate a clinical prediction score for SARS-CoV-2 infection that uses simple criteria widely available at the point of care.

Methods

Data came from the registry data from the national REgistry of suspected COVID-19 in EmeRgency care (RECOVER network) comprising 116 hospitals from 25 states in the US. Clinical variables and 30-day outcomes were abstracted from medical records of 19,850 emergency department (ED) patients tested for SARS-CoV-2. The criterion standard for diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 required a positive molecular test from a swabbed sample or positive antibody testing within 30 days. The prediction score was derived from a 50% random sample (n = 9,925) using unadjusted analysis of 107 candidate variables as a screening step, followed by stepwise forward logistic regression on 72 variables.

Results

Multivariable regression yielded a 13-variable score, which was simplified to a 13-point score: +1 point each for age>50 years, measured temperature>37.5°C, oxygen saturation<95%, Black race, Hispanic or Latino ethnicity, household contact with known or suspected COVID-19, patient reported history of dry cough, anosmia/dysgeusia, myalgias or fever; and -1 point each for White race, no direct contact with infected person, or smoking. In the validation sample (n = 9,975), the probability from logistic regression score produced an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.80 (95% CI: 0.79–0.81), and this level of accuracy was retained across patients enrolled from the early spring to summer of 2020. In the simplified score, a score of zero produced a sensitivity of 95.6% (94.8–96.3%), specificity of 20.0% (19.0–21.0%), negative likelihood ratio of 0.22 (0.19–0.26). Increasing points on the simplified score predicted higher probability of infection (e.g., >75% probability with +5 or more points).

Conclusion

Criteria that are available at the point of care can accurately predict the probability of SARS-CoV-2 infection. These criteria could assist with decisions about isolation and testing at high throughput checkpoints.

[Clinical effects of autologous platelet rich plasma gel combined with vacuum sealing drainage techno-logy in repairing refractory wounds]

Objective: To investigate the clinical effects of autologous platelet rich plasma (PRP) gel in combination with vacuum sealing drainage (VSD) technology in repairing refractory wounds. Methods: From March 2011 to January 2015, 44 patients with refractory wounds meeting the inclusion criteria were recruited into VSD alone group, who were admitted to the Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery of the Yidu Central Hospital of Weifang and received intermittent VSD treatment. From February 2015 to September 2019, 43 patients with refractory wounds meeting the inclusion criteria were recruited into PRP+ VSD group, who were admitted to the same unit as above-mentioned and received PRP combined with intermittent VSD treatment. The retrospective cohort study was conducted. There were 24 males and 20 females with age of (37.5±2.2) years in VSD alone group, and there were 25 males and 18 females with age of (37.0±2.5) years in PRP+ VSD group. The wound exudate of patients in the two groups before and 7 and 14 d after the first treatment were collected for bacterial culture, and the positive rate of bacterial culture was calculated. The wound healing of patients in the two groups was observed on 7, 14, and 21 d after the first treatment, and the wound healing rate was calculated. The complete wound healing time of patients in the two groups was recorded. The degree of wound pain of patients in the two groups was evaluated by the Visual Analog Scale (VAS) before and 14 d after the first treatment. The scar hyperplasia of patients in the two groups was evaluated by the Vancouver Scar Scale (VSS) in 1 and 2 months after the wound healed completely. The occurrence of adverse reactions of patients in the two groups during the whole period of treatment was observed and the incidence of adverse reactions was calculated. Data were statistically analyzed with analysis of variance for repeated measurement, chi-square test, paired t test, and Bonferroni correction. Results: The positive rates of bacterial culture in wound exudate of patients in PRP+ VSD on 7 and 14 d after the first treatment were 37.2% (16/43) and 11.6% (5/43), which were significantly lower than 56.8% (25/44) and 29.5% (13/44) in VSD alone group, χ(2)=4.212, 4.255, P<0.05. The wound healing rates of patients in PRP+ VSD group on 7 and 14, and 21 d after the first treatment were respectively (58±14)%, (70±13)%, (89±12)%, which were significantly higher than (41±11)%, (60±11)%, (74±12)% in VSD alone group, t=6.323, 3.820, 5.751, P<0.01. The complete wound healing time of patients in PRP+ VSD group was (30±6) d, which was significantly shorter than (61±8) d in VSD alone group, t=20.890, P<0.05. The VAS score of patients in PRP+ VSD group was significantly lower than that in VSD alone group on 14 d after the first treatment (t=13.904, P<0.01). The VSS score of patients in PRP+ VSD group was significantly lower than that in VSD alone group in 1 and 2 months after the wound healed completely (t=3.307, 3.637, P<0.01). The incidence of adverse reactions of patients in PRP+ VSD group during the whole period of treatment was 7.0% (3/43), which was significantly lower than 22.7% (10/44) in VSD alone group, χ(2)=4.245, P<0.05. Conclusions: Autologous PRP gel combined with VSD technology in repairing refractory wounds not only has good bacteriostatic effect, but also can increase wound healing rate, shorten wound healing time, alleviate wound pain, reduce scar hyperplasia, with less adverse reaction, which is worthy of promotion.

Incidence and associated predictors of adverse pregnancy outcomes of maternal syphilis in China, 2016-19: a Cox regression analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the incidence and associated predictors of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) among pregnant women infected with syphilis.

DESIGN

Cox regression analysis.

SETTING

China.

POPULATION OR SAMPLE

Pregnant women who were tested for and diagnosed with syphilis during the index pregnancy and delivered at a gestational age ≥28 weeks between 2016 and 2019.

METHODS

Data were extracted from China's Information System of Prevention of Mother-to-Child Transmission of Syphilis Management. Descriptive analysis provided profiles and pregnancy outcomes of maternal syphilis, as well as the incidence of APOs. Log-rank tests and Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate factors influencing APOs in infected mothers with singleton births.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The incidence of APOs and the hazard ratios of associated predictors using Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

Syphilis treatment data were available from 83.86% of diagnosed women. Including deliveries from the total study population, 13.33% experienced APOs. Cox regression indicated that APOs were more likely in women tested and diagnosed in the late trimester, at delivery or postpartum. Women who accepted non-standardised treatment and who received standardised treatment had less risk of APOs.

CONCLUSIONS

China has made huge progress over the last decades in the prevention of mother-to-child transmission of syphilis, but the incidence of APOs among pregnant women infected with syphilis remains high. It is essential to further strengthen access to early detection and standardised treatment of infected women to reduce the risk of APOs.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Access to early detection and standardised treatment reduces the risk of APOs due to maternal syphilis.

RETRACTED: ORIENT-3: A randomized, open-label, phase III study of sintilimab versus docetaxel in previously treated advanced/metastatic squamous non-small cell lung cancer (sqNSCLC)

This article has been retracted: please see Elsevier Policy on Article Withdrawal (https://www.elsevier.com/about/our-business/policies/article-withdrawal). This article was retracted at the request of the authors. The authors of this abstract have advised that full agreement between authors and sponsors on publication of the abstract has not been reached and they are therefore unable to publish this data at present.

First-time Diabetic Ketoacidosis in Type 2 Diabetics With Covid-19 Infection: A Novel Case Series

BACKGROUND

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 is a novel coronavirus first diagnosed in U.S. hospitals in January 2020. Typical presenting symptoms include fever, dry cough, dyspnea, and hypoxia. However, several other symptoms have been reported, including fatigue, weakness, diarrhea, and abdominal pain. We have identified a series of patients with diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) likely precipitated by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19).

CASE SERIES

We describe 5 patients with previously known type 2 diabetes and no history of DKA, who presented to the emergency department with new-onset DKA and COVID-19. WHY SHOULD AN EMERGENCY PHYSICIAN BE AWARE OF THIS?: Diabetes mellitus is a known risk factor for poor outcomes in viral respiratory illnesses, including COVID-19. Infection may precipitate DKA in patients with type 2 diabetes. Aggressive management of these patients is recommended; however, management guidelines have not yet been put forth for this unique subset of patients.

The TRIXS end-station for femtosecond time-resolved resonant inelastic x-ray scattering experiments at the soft x-ray free-electron laser FLASH

We present the experimental end-station TRIXS dedicated to time-resolved soft x-ray resonant inelastic x-ray scattering (RIXS) experiments on solid samples at the free-electron laser FLASH. Using monochromatized ultrashort femtosecond XUV/soft x-ray photon pulses in combination with a synchronized optical laser in a pump-probe scheme, the TRIXS setup allows measuring sub-picosecond time-resolved high-resolution RIXS spectra in the energy range from 35 eV to 210 eV, thus spanning the M-edge (M₁ and M_2,3) absorption resonances of 3d transition metals and N_4,5-edges of rare earth elements. A Kirkpatrick-Baez refocusing mirror system at the first branch of the plane grating monochromator beamline (PG1) provides a focus of (6 × 6) μm² (FWHM) at the sample. The RIXS spectrometer reaches an energy resolution of 35-160 meV over the entire spectral range. The optical laser system based on a chirped pulse optical parametric amplifier provides approximately 100 fs (FWHM) long photon pulses at the fundamental wavelength of 800 nm and a fluence of 120 mJ/cm² at a sample for optical pump-XUV probe measurements. Furthermore, optical frequency conversion enables experiments at 400 nm or 267 nm with a fluence of 80 and 30 mJ/cm², respectively. Some of the first (pump-probe) RIXS spectra measured with this setup are shown. The measured time resolution for time-resolved RIXS measurements has been characterized as 287 fs (FWHM) for the used energy resolution.

Reproductive history and osteoarthritis in the Women's Health Initiative

Objective: To investigate the relationship between self-reported osteoarthritis (OA) and reproductive factors in the Women's Health Initiative (WHI). Method: We used multivariable logistic regression to study the association of self-reported OA and reproductive factors in the WHI Observational Study and Clinical Trial cohorts of 145 965 postmenopausal women, in a retrospective cross-sectional format. Results: In our cohort, we observed no clinically significant associations between reproductive factors and OA given small effect sizes. The following factors were associated with statistically significant increased likelihood of developing OA: younger age at menarche (p < 0.001), history of hysterectomy [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.013, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.004-1.022, p = 0.04 vs no hysterectomy], history of unilateral oophorectomy (aOR 1.015, 95% CI 1.004-1.026, p < 0.01 vs no oophorectomy), parity (aOR 1.017, 95% CI 1.009-1.026, p < 0.001), ever use of oral contraceptives (aOR 1.008, 95% CI 1.001-1.016, p < 0.01 vs never use), and current use of hormonal therapy (reference current users, aOR 0.951, 95% CI 0.943-0.959 for never users; aOR 0.981, 95% CI 0.972-0.989 for past users; global p < 0.001). Age at menopause, first birth, and pregnancy were not associated with OA. Among parous women, no clear pattern was observed with number of pregnancies, births, or duration of breastfeeding in relation to OA. Conclusion: Our study showed that reproductive factors did not have significant clinical associations with OA after controlling for confounders. This may be due to complex hormonal effects. Additional investigation is warranted in prospective cohort studies. The Women's Health Initiative is registered under ClinicalTrials.gov. Trial registration ID: NCT00000611.

Establishing a Low-Resource Simulation Emergency Medicine Curriculum in Nepal

INTRODUCTION

High-fidelity medical simulation is widely used in emergency medicine training because it mirrors the fast-paced environment of the emergency department (ED). However, simulation is not common in emergency medicine training programs in lower-resourced countries as cost, availability of resources, and faculty experience are potential limitations. We initiated a simulation curriculum in a low-resource environment.

METHODS

We created a simulation lab for medical officers and students on their emergency medicine rotation at a teaching hospital in Patan, Nepal, with 48,000 ED patient visits per year. We set up a simulation lab consisting of a room with one manikin, an intubation trainer, and a projector displaying a simulation cardiac monitor. In this environment, we ran a total of eight cases over 4 simulation days. Debriefing was done at the end of each case. At the end of the curriculum, an electronic survey was delivered to the medical officers to seek improvement for future cases.

RESULTS

All eight cases were well received, and learners appreciated the safe learning space and teamwork. Of note, the first simulation case that was run (the airway lab) was more difficult for learners due to lack of experience. Survey feedback included improving the debriefing content and adding further procedural skills training.

DISCUSSION

Simulation is a valuable experience for learners in any environment. Although resources may be limited abroad, a sustainable simulation lab can be constructed and potentially play a supportive role in developing an emergency medicine curriculum.

The Role of Support Groups in Adjusting to Visual Impairment in Old Age

This study of older visually impaired Nebraskans examined the effects of participation in peer support groups for visually impaired people and rehabilitation training. It found that those who participated in support groups and rehabilitation felt they were successful in coping with their visual loss, were satisfied with their level of activities, and generally had a positive outlook on life.

Simultaneous Nodal Superconductivity and Time-Reversal Symmetry Breaking in the Noncentrosymmetric Superconductor CaPtAs

By employing a series of experimental techniques, we provide clear evidence that CaPtAs represents a rare example of a noncentrosymmetric superconductor which simultaneously exhibits nodes in the superconducting gap and broken time-reversal symmetry (TRS) in its superconducting state (below T_{c}≈1.5  K). Unlike in fully gapped superconductors, the magnetic penetration depth λ(T) does not saturate at low temperatures, but instead it shows a T^{2} dependence, characteristic of gap nodes. Both the superfluid density and the electronic specific heat are best described by a two-gap model comprising of a nodeless gap and a gap with nodes, rather than by single-band models. At the same time, zero-field muon-spin relaxation spectra exhibit increased relaxation rates below the onset of superconductivity, implying that TRS is broken in the superconducting state of CaPtAs, hence indicating its unconventional nature. Our observations suggest CaPtAs to be a new remarkable material that links two apparently disparate classes, that of TRS-breaking correlated magnetic superconductors with nodal gaps and the weakly correlated noncentrosymmetric superconductors with broken TRS, normally exhibiting only a fully gapped behavior.

[Effect of free medial plantar perforator flap in repairing deep burn wound on palm with the assistance of three dimensional computed tomography angiography]

Objective: To explore the effect of free medial plantar perforator flap in repairing deep burn wound on palm with assistance of three dimensional computed tomography angiography (CTA). Methods: From March 2015 to January 2018, 11 patients with deep burn wounds of palm were admitted to the Department of Burns and Plastic Surgery of Yidu Central Hospital of Weifang City, including 6 males and 5 females, aged 19-53 years. The wound area after debridement was 3.0 cm×2.5 cm-8.0 cm×6.0 cm. Before the operation, CTA of the foot was performed, and the three dimensional digital model was reconstructed by computer software to observe the initial position, course, and distribution of the arteries and veins in the donor site. The medial plantar perforator flap was designed according to the area and shape of the wound, with area of 3.5 cm×3.0 cm-8.5 cm×6.5 cm. After the wound was covered by the flap, the perforating branch of the medial plantar artery was anastomosed end to end with the carpal epithelial branch of the ulnar artery, the accompanying vein or the branch of the great saphenous vein was anastomosed end to end with the accompanying vein of the carpal epithelial branch of the ulnar artery, and the terminal branch of the saphenous nerve or the medial dorsal cutaneous nerve was anastomosed end to end with the superficial palmar branch of the ulnar nerve. The wound of donor site was covered with full-thickness skin graft from the outer thigh of the same side. The perforators of the medial plantar artery observed during the operation were compared with the reconstructed three dimensional CTA images. The survival of flap was observed, and the appearance and function of the flap were followed up and evaluated with trial standard for the evaluation of the functions of the upper limbs of the Hand Surgery Society of the Chinese Medical Association. Results: The initial position, course, and distribution of the perforator of the medial plantar artery during the operation were basically the same as those of the reconstructed three dimensional CTA images before the operation. All the flaps of patients survived after the operation. During the 6 months to 1 year follow-up, the appearance of flap was good, with no obvious swelling or pigmentation, but with good elasticity. The discrimination distance between the two points was 5.0-8.0 mm, and the flaps were evaluated as excellent in 4 cases, good in 6 cases, and fair in 1 case. Conclusions: The free medial plantar perforator flap is an ideal choice for repair of the deep burn wound on palm. Three dimensional CTA before the operation can detect condition of vascular variation, with high accuracy of vascular anastomosis during operation.