Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and incident atrial fibrillation - a systematic review and meta-analysis

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): This project was supported by the MRes programme in the Institute of Life Course and Medical Sciences at The University of Liverpool.

Thyroid hormones can act directly and indirectly on the cardiovascular system and studies have demonstrated associations between overt and subclinical thyroid dysfunction and adverse cardiovascular outcomes including heart failure, myocardial infarction, and coronary heart disease. The aim of this study was to assess the association between subclinical thyroid dysfunction and atrial fibrillation (AF). 

The protocol was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42020221565). MEDLINE and Scopus were searched from inception to 13th November 2020 for studies investigating subclinical thyroid dysfunction and incident AF. Risk of bias was assessed using the Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (RoBANS). The quality of evidence was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) tool. Subgroup analysis was performed for post-operative and non-post-operative AF.

5413 records were identified. Nine cohort studies were suitable for inclusion in the systematic review, of which seven studies were included in the meta-analysis. The meta-analysis comprised 595,058 patients. Subclinical hyperthyroidism was associated with a 99% increase in the risk of incident AF (Risk ratio (RR): 1.99; 95% confidence intervals (CI); 1.43 to 2.77; p < 0.0001; I² = 67%). Subclinical hypothyroidism was also associated with a greater risk of AF (RR: 1.24; 95% CI; 1.05 to 1.47; p = 0.01; I² = 65%). Subgroup analysis demonstrated a 76% increase in the risk of post-operative AF in patients with subclinical hypothyroidism compared to euthyroid post-operative patients (RR: 1.76; 95% CI; 1.36 to 2.28; p < 0.0001; I² = 0%). Six studies were rated as low risk of bias and three as medium risk of bias according to the RoBANS tool. The quality of evidence for AF in subclinical hyper- and hypothyroid patients was low.

Subclinical hyperthyroidism and subclinical hypothyroidism were associated with a higher risk of incident AF and post-operative AF, respectively. The quality of the current evidence is low and ideally a randomised controlled trial should be conducted to confirm these associations and assess impacts of treatments. Abstract Figure.

Hypertension burden and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population-based study

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

The association between the cumulative hypertension burden and the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the relationship between hypertension burden and the development of incident AF.

Methods and Results: Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we identified 3,726,172 subjects who underwent four consecutive annual health checkups between 2009 and 2013, with no history of AF. During the median follow-up of 5.2 years, AF was newly diagnosed in 22,012 patients (0.59% of the total study population, 1.168 per 1,000 person-years). Using the BP values at each health checkup, we determined the burden of hypertension (systolic blood pressure [SBP] ≥130 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure [DBP] ≥80 mmHg), stratified as 0 to 4 per the hypertension criteria. The subjects were grouped according to hypertension burden scale 1 to 4: 20% (n = 742,806), 19% (n = 704,623), 19% (n = 713,258), 21% (n = 766,204), and 21% (n = 799,281). Compared to normal people, subjects with hypertension burdens of 1, 2, 3, and 4 were associated with an 8%, 18%, 26%, and 27% increased risk of incident AF, respectively. On semi-quantitative analyses with further stratification of stage 1 (SBP 130-139 mmHg or DBP 80-89 mmHg) and stage 2 (SBP ≥140 mmHg or DBP ≥90 mmHg) hypertension, the risk of AF increased with the hypertension burden by up to 71%.

Conclusions

Both a sustained exposure and the degree of increased blood pressure were associated with an increased risk of incident AF. Tailored blood pressure management should be emphasized to reduce the risk of AF. Abstract Figure.

Pregnancy-related complications and incidence of atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Pregnancy-related complications have been previously associated with incident cardiovascular disease. However, data are scarce on the association between pregnancy-related complications and incident atrial fibrillation (AF). This systematic review examines associations between pregnancy-related complications and incident AF.

Methods

A systematic search of the literature utilising MEDLINE and EMBASE (Ovid) was conducted from 1990 to 6 April 2020. Observational studies examining the association between pregnancy-related complications including hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), gestational diabetes, placental abruption, preterm birth, low birth weight, small-for-gestational-age and stillbirth, and incidence of AF were included. Screening and data extraction were conducted independently by two reviewers. Inverse-variance random-effects models were used to pool hazard ratios.

Results: Six observational studies met the inclusion criteria

one case-control study and five retrospective cohort studies, with four studies eligible for meta-analysis.  Sample sizes ranged from 1,839-1,303,365. Mean/median follow-up for the cohort studies ranged from 7-36 years. Most studies reported an increased risk of incident AF associated with pregnancy-related complications. The pooled summary statistic from four studies reflected a greater risk of incident AF for HDP (hazard ratio (HR) 1.47, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.18-1.84; I2 = 84%) and from three studies for pre-eclampsia (HR 1.71, 95% CI 1.41-2.06; I2 = 64%; Figure).

Conclusions

The results of this review suggest that pregnancy-related complications particularly pre-eclampsia appear to be associated with higher risk of incident AF. The small number of included studies and the significant heterogeneity in the pooled results suggest further large-scale prospective studies are required to confirm the association between pregnancy-related complications and AF. Abstract Figure.

Incidence of atrial fibrillation in patients with diabetes mellitus: effect of sex, age and type of diabetes in a nationwide analysis

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background. There remain uncertainties regarding diabetes mellitus and the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), in relation to type of diabetes, and the interactions with sex and age. We investigated whether diabetes confers higher relative rates of AF in women compared to men, and whether these sex-differences depend on type of diabetes and age.

Methods. All patients aged > =18 seen in French hospitals in 2013 with at least 5 years of follow-up without a history of AF were identified and categorized by their diabetes status. We calculated overall and age-dependent incidence rates, hazard ratios, and women-to-men ratios for incidence of AF in patients with type 1 and type 2 diabetes (compared to no diabetes).

Results. In 2,921,407 patients with no history of AF (55% women), 45,389 had prevalent type 1 diabetes and 345,499 had prevalent type 2 diabetes. During 13.5 million person-years of follow-up, 327,012 patients with new-onset AF were identified. The incidence rates (IRs) of AF were higher in type 1 or type 2 diabetic patients than in non-diabetics, and increased with advancing age. Among individuals with diabetes, the absolute rate of AF was higher in men than in women. When comparing individuals with and without diabetes, women had a higher adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of AF than men: adjusted HR 1.32 (95% confidence interval 1.27-1.37) in women vs. 1.12(1.08-1.16) in men for type 1 diabetes, adjusted HR 1.17(1.16-1.19) in women vs. 1.10(1.09-1.12) in men for type 2 diabetes.  The adjusted HRs for women were significantly higher than the adjusted HRs for men as shown with the adjusted women-to-men ratios (adjusted WMR = adjusted HR women compared to adjusted HR men) = 1.18 (95%CI 1.12-1.24) for type 1 diabetes and 1.10 (95%CI 1.08-1.12) for type 2 diabetes. This phenomenon was seen across all ages in men and women with type 1 diabetes and progressively decreased with advancing age.  In type 2 diabetes, this phenomenon was seen after 50 years, increased until 60-65 years and then progressively decreased with advancing age.

Conclusion. Although men have higher absolute rates for incidence of AF, the relative rates of incident AF associated with diabetes are higher in women than in men for both type 1 and type 2 diabetes.

Performance of the C2HEST score to predict sustained atrial high-rate episodes in patients implanted with cardiac implantable electronic device

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Sustained atrial high-rate episodes (SAHRE), which are considered ‘subclinical atrial fibrillation’ (AF), increase the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with a cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED). Risk stratification for the development of SAHREs has never been investigated.

Purpose

To assess test the performance of the C2HEST score (coronary artery disease or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease [1 point each]; hypertension [1 point]; elderly [age ≥75 years, 2 points]; systolic heart failure [2 points]; thyroid disease [1 point]) in predicting SAHRE in patients implanted with CIED without AF.

Methods

Retrospective study including 500 consecutive patients implanted with CIEDs in the West Birmingham in the UK. Patients were followed after implantation to record the development of SAHRE lasting >24h. Risk factors and incidence of SAHRE were analyzed. The predictive value of the C2HEST score for SAHRE prediction was evaluated.

Results

During 53.1 months of follow-up, 44 (8.8%) patients developed SAHRE. SAHRE was associated with higher all-cause mortality (P < 0.001) and ischemic stroke (P = 0.001). Age and heart failure were associated with SAHRE occurrence. The incidence of SAHRE increased by the C2HEST score (39% higher risk per point increase)(table). Among those with C2HEST score ≥4, the incidence of SAHRE was 3.62%/year (95%CI 2.14-5.16). The C2HEST score had a moderate predictive capability (area under the curve 0.73 [95%CI 0.64-0.81]) and discriminative ability (log-rank P = 0.003), which was better than other clinical scores (CHA2DS2-VASc, CHADS2, HATCH).

Conclusions

The C2HEST score predicted SAHRE incidence in non-AF subjects with CIED, with the highest risk seen in patients with C2HEST score ≥4 The benefit of using the C2HEST score in clinical practice in this patient population needs further investigation. C2HEST score Subjects n (%) SAHRE (n) Incident rate (95%CI) Hazard Ratio (95% CI) P 0-1 144 (28.5%) 5 0.85 (0.27-1.94) Reference Reference 2-3 211 (42.2%) 17 1.87 (1.06-2.91) 2.06 (0.76-5.59) 0.159 ≥4 145 (29.0%) 22 3.62 (2.14-5.16) 4.25 (1.61-11.22) 0.004

The Atrial Fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 285,000 patients

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

The ‘Atrial Fibrillation Better Care’ (ABC) pathway has been recently proposed as a holistic approach for the comprehensive management of patients with Atrial Fibrillation (AF), standing on three main pillars: ‘A’ Avoid stroke (with Anticoagulants); ‘B’ Better symptom management; ‘C’ Cardiovascular and Comorbidity management. The ABC pathway is now recommended in several clinical guidelines, including the recent European Society of Cardiology (ESC) AF management guidelines. We performed a systematic review of the current evidence for use of the ABC pathway on clinical outcomes.

Methods

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis according to PRISMA Guidelines. Pubmed and EMBASE were searched for studies reporting the prevalence of ABC pathway adherent management in AF patients, and its impact on clinical outcomes (all-cause death, cardiovascular death, stroke, and major bleeding). Metanalysis of odds ratio (OR) was performed with random-effect models; subgroup analysis and meta-regression were performed to account for heterogeneity; a CHA2DS2-VASc-stratified sensitivity analysis was also performed.

Results

Among 2862 records retrieved from the literature search, 8 studies were included. The pooled prevalence of ABC adherent management was 21% (95% confidence intervals (CI), 13-34%), with a high grade of heterogeneity; in a multivariable meta-regression model, adherence to each criteria of the ABC pathway explained most part of the heterogeneity (R2 = 98.9%). Patients treated according to the ABC pathway showed a lower risk of all-cause death (OR:0.42, 95%CI 0.31-0.56), cardiovascular death (OR:0.37, 95%CI 0.23-0.58), stroke (OR:0.55, 95%CI 0.37-0.82) and major bleeding (OR:0.69, 95%CI 0.51-0.94), with moderate heterogeneity. Meta-regressions showed that the increasing prevalence of diabetes mellitus, coronary artery disease, chronic heart failure and history of stroke were associated with a reduced effectiveness of the ABC pathway for all-cause and cardiovascular death; each comorbidity was able to explain a significant proportion of heterogeneity at univariate meta-regression. Conversely, longer follow-up time was associated with more effectiveness of the ABC pathway for all outcomes. Adherence to ABC pathway was associated with a progressively greater reduction of the all-cause death risk amongst patients with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores; no difference in ABC pathway effectiveness was found across CHA2DS2-VASc strata for CV death and stroke occurrence.

Conclusions

Adherence to the ABC pathway was suboptimal, being adopted in 1 in every 5 patients. Adherence to the ABC pathway was associated with a reduction in the risk of major adverse outcomes. Our data supports extensive application of the ABC pathway for the management of AF. Abstract Figure.

Association between thromboembolic and bleeding risk with adverse outcomes in contemporary European atrial fibrillation patients: final analysis from the ESC-EHRA EORP AF general long-term registry

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Introduction

The ESC-EHRA EORP AF General Long-Term Registry provides a contemporary snapshot of European atrial fibrillation (AF) patients’ characteristics and management. Aims: We present data about the final 2-years follow-up observation of AF patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP AF General Long-Term Registry.

Methods

A contemporary evaluation of residual risk of adverse outcomes in a cohort of largely anticoagulated AF patients according to the baseline thromboembolic and bleeding risk, defined according to CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores. We determined cardiovascular (CV) events, CV death and all-cause death as outcomes.

Results

Among the original 11069 patients enrolled, 8409 (76.0%) patients had available follow-up status at the end of the 2-years follow-up. Patients age, female sex and most comorbidities were progressively more prevalent across the spectrum of thromboembolic and bleeding risk. Data on adverse outcomes were available for 10087 (91.1%), over the 2-year observation period. Outcome rates were progressively higher across CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores (all p < 0.0001). A fully adjusted Cox multivariable regression analysis, adjusted for clinical covariates selected by a univariate procedure and not included in the scores, showed that increasing baseline CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with an higher risk for CV events (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.25, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.21-1.30), CV death (HR: 1.31, 95%CI: 1.25-1.38) and all-cause death (HR: 1.30, 95%CI: 1.25-1.36). Similarly, increasing baseline HAS-BLED score was associated with an increased risk for all 3 outcomes (HR: 1.21, 95%CI: 1.13-1.28; HR: 1.24, 95%CI: 1.14-1.34; HR: 1.22, 95%CI: 1.14-1.31, respectively). An association with a progressively higher risk was found for all outcomes across the spectrum of thromboembolic and bleeding risk [Figure]. Both CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores showed a modest to good predictive ability for cardiovascular (CV) events, CV death and all-cause death, in terms of c-index and 95% CI[0.66 (0.64-0.68) and 0.62 (0.61-0.64), 0.70 (0.68-0.72) and 0.65 (0.63-0.67), 0.69 (0.68-0.71) and 0.64 (0.63-0.66) for CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED for each outcome respectively.

Conclusions

In this large contemporary European-wide cohort of AF patients, both baseline thromboembolic and bleeding risks were associated to an increased risk of major clinical outcomes. Both scores are reflective of high risk clinical states, and are predictive of major adverse outcomes even in a large cohort of largely anticoagulated patients with a lower residual risk of adverse outcomes. Abstract Figure.

Novel tool for predicting residual stroke risk in atrial fibrillation: mCARS

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background

Recently, CARS was proposed to predict 1-year absolute stroke risk in non-anticoagulated patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to determine whether a modified CARS (mCARS) may be used to assess the residual stroke risk in anticoagulated AF patients.

Methods

We studied patient-level data of anticoagulated AF patients from the real-world Murcia AF Project and AMADEUS clinical trial. Individual mCARS was estimated for each patient using an estimated 64% risk reduction with anticoagulation.

Results

3,503 patients were included (2,205 [62.9%] clinical trial and 1,298 [37.1%] real-world). In the clinical trial cohort, the median age was 71 (IQR 65-77) and CHA2DS2-VASc score 3 (IQR 2-4). In the real-world cohort, the median age was 76 (IQR 70-81) and CHA2DS2-VASc score 4 (IQR 3-5).

At 1-year, there were 40 and 31 stroke events in the clinical trial and real-world cohorts, respectively. Average predicted residual stroke risk by mCARS was identical to actual stroke risk (1.8 [±1.8%] vs. 1.8% [95% CI, 1.3-2.4]) in the clinical trial, and broadly similar in the real-world (2.1 [±1.9%] vs. 2.4% [95% CI, 1.6-3.4]). Additionally, these values were comparable across the subgroups stratified by CHA2DS2-VASc score in both cohorts.

AUCs of mCARS for prediction of stroke events in the clinical trial and real-world were 0.678 (95% CI, 0.598-0.758) and 0.712 (95% CI, 0.618-0.805), respectively. In an exploratory analysis, we found that mCARS was able to refine stroke risk estimation for each point of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in both cohorts.

Conclusion

Personalised residual 1-year absolute stroke risk in anticoagulated AF patients may be estimated using mCARS. Such patients with high residual stroke risk may benefit from more aggressive interventions and follow-up. Absolute 1-year stroke risk Clinical Trial Real-World Median (IQR) Range Median (IQR) Range CHA2DS2-VASc score 0 NA 0.9 (0.6 - 1.3) 0.2 - 1.4 CHA2DS2-VASc score 1 1.1 (0.7 - 1.4) 0.2 - 2.0 1.4 (0.9 - 1.7) 0.2 - 13.0 CHA2DS2-VASc score 2 2.0 (1.5 - 2.4) 0.3 - 10.8 2.1 (1.5 - 2.6) 0.3 - 10.8 CHA2DS2-VASc score 3 2.6 (2.1 - 3.4) 0.4 - 13.3 2.8 (2.5 - 3.4) 0.9 - 13.3 CHA2DS2-VASc score 4 3.6 (2.8 - 5.6) 0.3 - 18.1 3.9 (3.3 - 5.0) 1.1 - 21.0 CHA2DS2-VASc score 5 6.7 (3.6 - 14.0) 1.9 - 20.9 4.8 (3.9 - 12.2) 1.2 - 21.0 CHA2DS2-VASc score 6 13.6 (5.5 - 15.8) 2.4 - 21.8 12.8 (4.8 - 16.7) 2.2 - 21.8 CHA2DS2-VASc score 7 15.7 (14.5 - 17.4) 4.5 - 21.9 15.6 (5.9 - 17.5) 4.1 - 23.5 CHA2DS2-VASc score 8 16.5 (14.0 - 18.5) 13.1 - 20.3 16.9 (15.7 - 19.5) 13.6 - 21.0 IQR, interquartile range; NA, not applicable.

Prevalence, management and impact of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 4,200,000 patients

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

OnBehalf

AF-COMET Collaborative Group

Background

Multimorbidity is a major concern in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Among other diseases, the prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in these patients is unclear, and its association with adverse outcomes is often overlooked. Moreover, uncertainties on the treatment of patients with both AF and COPD still exist, and may lead to undertreatment.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to estimate the prevalence of COPD, and its impact on management and outcomes in patients with AF.

Methods

A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines. All studies reporting the prevalence of COPD in AF patients were included and pooled. Data on comorbidities, beta-blockers (BBs) and oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription, and outcomes (all-cause death, cardiovascular death, ischemic stroke, major bleeding) were pooled and compared according to COPD status; the impact of BBs on outcomes in patients with COPD was also investigated. All analyses were performed using random-effect models; subgroup analysis and meta-regressions were also performed to account for heterogeneity.

Results

Among 46 studies, the pooled prevalence of COPD was 13% (95% Confidence Intervals (CI): 10-16%), with high heterogeneity between studies; significant differences were found according to geographical locations and definition of COPD. A multivariable meta-regression model which included age, female sex, history of hypertension, diabetes and chronic heart failure (CHF) was able to explain a significant proportion of the heterogeneity (R2 = 69.8%). COPD was associated with a higher prevalence of diabetes, coronary artery disease, CHF and stroke (Fig. 1, panel A), as well as higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores and age (Fig. 1, panel B), and lower probability of BB prescription (Odds Ratio (OR): 0.77, 95%CI: 0.61-0.98). Patients with COPD showed higher risk of all-cause death (OR: 2.22, 95%CI: 1.93-2.55), cardiovascular death (OR: 1.84, 95%CI: 1.39-2.43) and major bleeding (OR: 1.45, 95%CI: 1.17-1.80) (Fig.1, Panel C); no significant differences in outcomes were observed according to BBs use in AF patients with COPD (Fig. 1, panel D).

Conclusion

COPD is common in AF, being found in 1 every 8 patients, and is associated with an increased burden of comorbidities, differential management and worse outcomes, with more than two-fold higher risk of all-cause death and increased risk of CV death and major bleeding. Therapy with BBs does not increase the risk of adverse outcomes in these patients. Abstract Figure.

Risks of thromboembolism, mortality and bleeding in 2,435,541 atrial fibrillation patients with and without cancer: a nationwide cohort study

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background. Atrial fibrillation (AF) and cancer are frequently coexisting in clinical practice. The impact of cancer on outcomes in AF patients is unclear as well as the performance of HAS-BLED and CHA2DS2-VASc scores.

Purpose. To investigate the incidence rate (IR) of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, ischemic stroke (IS), major bleeding and intracranial haemorrhage (ICH) according to the presence of cancer and cancer types.

Methods

Observational retrospective cohort study including 2,435,541 AF patients.

Results. Overall, 399,344 (16.4%) had cancer, the most common being metastatic, prostatic, colorectal, lung, breast, and bladder (figure). The table shows the IR of bleeding and ischemic outcomes according to the cancer type. During 2 years follow-up, the IS was higher with pancreas, uterine and breast cancers.

Cancer increased major bleeding (HR 1.27, 95%CI 1.26-1.28) and ICH (HR 1.07, 95%1.05-1.10), which progressively increased by HAS-BLED score, which showed generally good predictivity (c indexes >0.70). The CHA2DS2-VASc score showed slightly lower predictivity in AF cancer patients.

Conclusions. Cancer increased all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, major bleeding and ICH risk in AF patients. The association between cancer and IS differed among cancer types. All-cause deathCardiovascular deathISMajor bleedingICHNo Cancer10.8 (10.8-10.8)3.8 (3.8-3.8)2.4 (2.3-2.4)5.0 (5.0-5.1)1.2 (1.1-1.2)Cancer27.0 (26.8-27.1)4.4 (4.4-4.5)2.3 (2.2-2.3)8.4 (8.3-8.5)1.3 (1.3-1.4)Breast20.4 (20.1-20.8)4.2 (4.1-4.4)2.6 (2.5-2.8)5.5 (5.3-5.7)1.3 (1.2-1.4)Ovarian40.4 (38.7-42.2)3.8 (3.3-4.4)2.2 (1.8-2.6)8.6 (7.8-9.5)0.9 (0.7-1.2)Uterine27.0 (26.0-28.1)4.2 (3.8-4.7)2.6 (2.3-2.9)9.0 (8.4-9.6)1.1 (0.9-1.3)Prostatic20.4 (20.1-20.7)4.2 (4.1-4.3)2.2 (2.1-2.3)9.1 (8.9-9.3)1.4 (1.3-1.5)Renal24.2 (23.5-24.9)4.1 (3.8-4.4)2.1 (1.9-2.3)9.6 (9.1-10.1)1.5 (1.3-1.7)Bladder23.7 (23.3-24.1)3.9 (3.7-4.1)2.2 (2.1-2.4)11.7 (11.4-12.0)1.2 (1.1-1.3)Gastric41.2 (40.0-42.5)3.6 (3.3-4.0)2.2 (1.9-2.5)11.0 (10.3-11.7)0.9 (0.7-1.1)Colorectal22.5 (22.2-22.8)3.2 (3.1-3.4)2.1 (2.0-2.2)8.4 (8.2-8.6)1.1 (1.0-1.2)Liver59.8 (58.2-61.4)5.9 (5.4-6.5)1.9 (1.7-2.3)12.7 (11.9-13.5)1.5 (1.2-1.7)Pancreas72.4 (70.4-74.5)5.7 (5.2-6.3)2.8 (2.4-3.3)11.7 (10.9-12.6)1.4 (1.2-1.7)Lung60.7 (60.0-61.4)5.6 (5.4-5.9)1.9 (1.8-2.0)8.2 (7.9-8.5)1.0 (0.9-1.1)Leukaemia38.1 (37.3-38.9)6.1 (5.8-6.4)2.0 (1.8-2.2)12.4 (11.9-12.9)1.9 (1.7-2.1)Myeloma33.3 (32.4-34.1)5.1 (4.8-5.5)2.0 (1.8-2.2)11.6 (11.1-12.2)1.5 (1.4-1.7)Metastatic66.9 (66.3-67.4)6.0 (5.8-6.2)2.2 (2.1-2.3)10.4 (10.2-10.6)1.3 (1.2-1.4)Abstract Figure 1

Cardiac rehabilitation is associated with lower 1-year all-cause mortality in primary pulmonary hypertension

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: None.

Background. Despite introduction of pharmacological therapies to improve outcomes of pulmonary hypertension (PH), poor long-term survival remains present. Cardiac rehabilitation may be an alternative strategy to improve survival. However, no study directly linked CR to mortality in PH patients. Therefore, adopting a retrospective observational study using a large electronic medical record (EMR) database, the objective of this study was to compare mortality between patients with primary PH with CR versus a propensity-matched control group of PH without CR.

Methods. The retrospective analysis was conducted on December 14, 2020 using anonymized data within TriNetX, a global federated health research network with access to EMRs from participating academic medical centres, specialty physician practices, and community hospitals, predominantly in the United States. All patients were aged ≥18 years with primary PH recorded in EMRs at least 18-months before the search date to allow for 1-year follow-up from CR. Using logistic regression, patients with PH with an EMR of CR were 1:1 propensity score-matched with PH patients without CR for age, sex, race, diseases of the respiratory system, disease of the circulatory system, hypertensive disease, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, cerebrovascular disease, cardiovascular procedures and cardiovascular medications.

Results. In total, 70,875 patients with primary PH met the inclusion criteria for the control group and 637 patients with primary PH met the inclusion criteria for the CR and exercise cohort (Table 1). Using the propensity score-matched cohort, and excluding patients with outcomes outside the measurement window, mortality at 1-year from CR was proportionally lower with mortality of 13.9% (n = 87 of 628 patients) in the CR and exercise cohort compared to 21.0% (n = 133 of 632 patients) in the controls (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.45-0.81).

Conclusion. In conclusion, the present study of 1,264 patients with primary PH suggests that CR is associated with 40% lower odds of 1-year mortality, when compared to propensity score-matched patients without CR or exercise programmes.

Abstract Figure.

Oral anticoagulants for nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in frail elderly patients: insights from the ARISTOPHANES study

BACKGROUND

Patient frailty amongst patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is associated with adverse health outcomes and increased risk of mortality. Additional evidence is needed to evaluate effective and safe NVAF treatment in this patient population.

OBJECTIVES

This subgroup analysis of the ARISTOPHANES study compared the risk of stroke/systemic embolism (S/SE) and major bleeding (MB) amongst frail NVAF patients prescribed nonvitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) or warfarin.

METHODS

This comparative retrospective observational study of frail, older NVAF patients who initiated apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban or warfarin from 01JAN2013-30SEP2015 was conducted using Medicare and 3 US commercial claims databases. To compare each drug, 6 propensity score-matched (PSM) cohorts were created. Patient cohorts were pooled from 4 databases after PSM. Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of S/SE and MB.

RESULTS

Amongst NVAF patients, 34% (N = 150 487) met frailty criteria. Apixaban and rivaroxaban were associated with a lower risk of S/SE vs warfarin (apixaban: HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.55-0.69; rivaroxaban: HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.72-0.87). For MB, apixaban (HR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.57-0.66) and dabigatran (HR: 0.79, 95% CI: 0.70-0.89) were associated with a lower risk and rivaroxaban (HR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.08-1.21) was associated with a higher risk vs warfarin.

CONCLUSION

Amongst this cohort of frail NVAF patients, NOACs were associated with varying rates of stroke/SE and MB compared with warfarin. Due to the lack of real-world data regarding OAC treatment in frail patients, these results may inform clinical practice in the treatment of this patient population.

Baseline factors associated with early and late death in intracerebral haemorrhage survivors

Background and purpose

The aim of this study was to determine whether early and late death are associated with different baseline factors in intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) survivors.

Methods

This was a secondary analysis of the multicentre prospective observational CROMIS‐2 ICH study. Death was defined as ‘early’ if occurring within 6 months of study entry and ‘late’ if occurring after this time point.

Results

In our cohort (n = 1094), there were 306 deaths (per 100 patient‐years: absolute event rate, 11.7; 95% confidence intervals, 10.5–13.1); 156 were ‘early’ and 150 ‘late’. In multivariable analyses, early death was independently associated with age [per year increase; hazard ratio (HR), 1.05, P = 0.003], history of hypertension (HR, 1.89, P = 0.038), pre‐event modified Rankin scale score (per point increase; HR, 1.41, P < 0.0001), admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score (per point increase; HR, 1.11, P < 0.0001) and haemorrhage volume >60 mL (HR, 4.08, P < 0.0001). Late death showed independent associations with age (per year increase; HR, 1.04, P = 0.003), pre‐event modified Rankin scale score (per point increase; HR, 1.42, P = 0.001), prior anticoagulant use (HR, 2.13, P = 0.028) and the presence of intraventricular extension (HR, 1.73, P = 0.033) in multivariable analyses. In further analyses where time was treated as continuous (rather than dichotomized), the HR of previous cerebral ischaemic events increased with time, whereas HRs for Glasgow Coma Scale score, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score and ICH volume decreased over time.

Conclusions

We provide new evidence that not all baseline factors associated with early mortality after ICH are associated with mortality after 6 months and that the effects of baseline variables change over time. Our findings could help design better prognostic scores for later death after ICH.

P34 The effect of sex on the efficacy and safety of dabigatran dual therapy in atrial fibrillation after PCI: a subgroup analysis from the RE-DUAL PCI trial

Funding Acknowledgements

Boehringer Ingelheim International GmbH

On Behalf

The Re-DUAL PCI Investigators

Background

The RE-DUAL PCI study (NCT02164864) compared dabigatran dual antithrombotic therapy (D-DAT) with warfarin triple antithrombotic therapy (W-TAT) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). As previously reported D-DAT reduced bleeding compared with W-TAT and was non-inferior with regard to thromboembolic events. 

Aim 

The aim of this subgroup analysis of RE-DUAL was to assess the relationship between sex and treatment effects of D-DAT and W-TAT on bleeding and thromboembolic outcomes.

Methods

Patients were randomized to receive W-TAT (warfarin, clopidogrel or ticagrelor, and aspirin) or D-DAT (dabigatran 110 or 150 mg twice daily with clopidogrel or ticagrelor; D110- or D150-DAT). Younger patients (aged &lt; 80 yrs. [&lt; 70 yrs. in Japan]) and US patients irrespective of age received D110-DAT, D150-DAT or W-TAT; older patients (aged ≥ 80 yrs. in non-US countries [≥ 70 yrs. in Japan]) received only D110-DAT or W-TAT. Bleeding and thromboembolic outcomes were assessed according to treatment group and by sex (female vs. male).

Results

A total of 2725 patients were randomized; 2070 patients were male (76.0%) and 655 (24.0%) were female. Overall females were older at time of PCI than males (73.2 ± 7.9 vs. 70.0 ± 8.8 years). The mean CHA2DS2-VASc and modified HAS-BLED scores were higher in women at 4.5 and 2.8, respectively, than in men at 3.3 and 2.7, respectively. 

For the primary endpoint of major bleeding events or clinically relevant non-major bleeding events, treatment effects of D110-DAT vs. W-TAT were consistent for female and male patients (females: HR 0.69, 95% CI 0.47-1.01, males HR 0.46, 95%CI 0.37-0.59, interaction p-value 0.084). Similarly, consistent treatment effects were seen for the primary endpoint with D150-DAT vs W-TAT in female and male patients (females HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.48-1.16, males HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.56-0.90, interaction p value 0.83). 

No interaction between sex and treatment was observed for D110- or D150-DAT vs W-TAT with regard to the composite efficacy endpoint of death, thromboembolic events or unplanned revascularization (interaction p values 0.73 and 0.72, respectively) (figure).

Conclusion

The treatment effect of dabigatran 110 mg and 150 mg dual therapy vs warfarin triple therapy was consistent across sex groups. This suggests that female and male patients with AF undergoing PCI should be treated equally in terms of the dosage of dabigatran selected for dual therapy strategies.

Abstract P34 Figure. Re-DUAL sex subgroup analysis

P4794Comparative effectiveness and safety of non-VKA oral anticoagulants versus warfarin in non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients with differential treatment duration: an ARISTOPHANES study analysis

Background

The ARISTOPHANES (Anticoagulants for Reduction In STroke: Observational Pooled analysis on Health outcomes ANd Experience of patientS) study showed that non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) were associated with lower risks of stroke/systemic embolism (S/SE) and variable comparative risks of major bleeding (MB) versus warfarin.

Purpose

To assess long-term use of non-VKA oral anticoagulants (NOACs) vs. warfarin in

ARISTOPHANES by evaluating the risk of S/SE and MB among non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients by duration of treatment (<1 and ≥1 year).

Methods

In the ARISTOPHANES study, NVAF patients initiating apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin from 01/01/2013–09/30/2015 were identified from the CMS Medicare data and four US commercial claims databases, covering >180 million beneficiaries annually (∼56% of US population). After 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) in each database between NOACs and warfarin (apixaban-warfarin, dabigatran-warfarin, and rivaroxaban-warfarin), the resulting patient records were pooled. Treatment duration was defined as time between the day after the treatment index date and discontinuation (30 days after a 30-day gap in the prescription), treatment switch, death, end of study period, or end of continuous medical and pharmacy enrollment, whichever occurred first. Matched patients with observed treatment duration <1 or ≥1 year were separately examined. Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios of S/SE and MB (identified by inpatient claims) during observed treatment duration.

Results

The mean treatment duration for patients with shorter (<1 year) vs longer (≥1 year) duration was 4–5 months vs 18–21 months across the three matched cohorts. All the matched baseline variables remained balanced. The incidence rates of S/SE and MB and the proportion of patients with treatment discontinuation were higher in patients with shorter treatment duration. Regardless of treatment duration, apixaban patients had a lower risk of S/SE and MB versus warfarin; dabigatran patients had a lower risk of MB versus warfarin; and rivaroxaban patients had a lower risk of S/SE versus warfarin. Compared to warfarin patients, dabigatran patients with treatment duration <1 year had a similar risk of S/SE, while those with treatment duration ≥1 year had lower S/SE risk; rivaroxaban patients with treatment duration <1 year had a higher risk of MB, while those with treatment duration ≥1 year had similar MB risk.

Conclusions

Among NVAF patients with duration of treatment <1 and ≥1 year in the ARISTOPHANES study, apixaban and rivaroxaban were associated with lower risk of S/SE, while apixaban and dabigatran were associated with lower risk of MB, compared to warfarin. These findings indicate varying long-term effectiveness and safety outcomes between NOACs and warfarin.

Acknowledgement/Funding

This study was funded by Bristol-Myers Squibb and Pfizer Inc.

P5656Heart failure clinical phenotypes and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: an analysis from the eurobservational research programme in atrial fibrillation long-term general registry

Introduction

Heart failure (HF) is a well-known risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). Moreover, HF is associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with known AF. Recently, phenotypes of HF have been redefined according to the level of ejection fraction (EF). New data are needed to understand if a differential risk for outcomes exists according to the new phenotypes' definitions.

Purpose

To evaluate the risk of major adverse outcomes in patients with AF and HF according to HF clinical phenotypes.

Methods

We performed a subgroup analysis of AF patients enrolled in the EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry with a history of HF at baseline, available EF and follow-up data. Patients were categorized as follows: i) EF<40%, i.e. HF reduced EF [HFrEF]; ii) EF 40–49%, i.e. HF mid-range EF [HFmrEF]; iii) EF ≥50%, i.e. HF preserved EF [HFpEF]. Any thromboembolic event (TE)/acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, CV death and all-cause death were recorded.

Results

A total of 3409 patients were included in this analysis: of these, 907 (26.6%) had HFrEF, 779 (22.9%) had HFmrEF and 1723 (50.5%) had HFpEF. An increasing proportion with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥2 was found across the three groups: 90.4% in HFrEF, 94.6% in HFmrEF and 97.3% in HFpEF (p<0.001), while lower proportions of HAS-BLED ≥3 were seen (28.0% in HFrEF, 26.3% in HFmrEF and 23.6% in HFpEF, p=0.035). At discharge patients with HFpEF were less likely treated with antiplatelet drugs (22.0%) compared to other classes and were less prescribed with vitamin K antagonists (VKA) (57.0%) and with any oral anticoagulant (OAC) (85.7%). No differences were found in terms of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant use. At 1-year follow-up, a progressively lower rate for all study outcomes (all p<0.001), with an increasing cumulative survival, was found across the three groups, with patients with HFpEF having better survival (all p<0.0001 for Kaplan-Meier curves). After full adjustment, Cox regression analysis showed that compared to HFrEF, HFmrEF and HFpEF were associated with risk of all study outcomes (Table).

Cox Regression Analysis HR (95% CI) Any TE/ACS/CV Death CV Death All-Cause Death HFmrEF 0.65 (0.49–0.86) 0.53 (0.38–0.74) 0.55 (0.41–0.74) HFpEF 0.50 (0.39–0.64) 0.42 (0.31–0.56) 0.45 (0.35–0.59) ACS = Acute Coronary Syndrome; CI = Confidence Interval; CV = Cardiovascular; EF = Ejection Fraction; HF = Heart Failure; HR = Hazard Ratio.

Conclusions

In this cohort of AF patients with HF, HFpEF was the most common phenotype, being associated with a profile related to an increased thromboembolic risk. Compared to HFrEF, both HFmrEF and HFpEF were associated with a lower risk of all major adverse outcomes in AF patients.

P4793Comparing the effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants and warfarin in the elderly Asian patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Stroke prevention in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) can be challenging. Comparisons of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and warfarin in the elderly, at different age strata (age 65–74, 75–89, ≥90) in the daily practice have not been well described, particularly in Asians. We aimed to assess the clinical outcomes of NOACs compared warfarin for stroke prevention in elderly patients with AF.

Methods

A total of 64,169 AF patients aged ≥65 years receiving NOACs or warfarin prescription were identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. The risks of adverse events were compared between NOACs and warfarin in all patients age ≥65 and specifically, with different age strata; that is 65–74 years, 75–89 years and >90 years.

Results

Overall NOACs were associated with a significantly lower risk of ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.869, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.812–0.931), ICH (aHR 0.524, 95% CI 0.456–0.601), major bleeding (aHR 0,824, 95% CI 0.776–0.875), mortality (aHR 0.511, 95% CI 0.491–0.532) and composite adverse events (aHR 0.646, 95% CI 0.625–0.667) compared to warfarin. There was heterogeneity in treatment effect for NOACs versus warfarin in different age strata, but the results still favored NOACs even among the very elderly (>90 years). The absolute risk difference and reductions in ICH and composite adverse events with NOAC use were even greater among the elderly compared to warfarin (Figure).

Conclusions

Compared to warfarin, NOACs were associated with a significantly lower risk of adverse events, with heterogeneity in treatment effects among different age strata. Overall, the clear safety signal in favor of NOACs over warfarin was evident irrespective of age strata, being most marked in the most elderly.

P4780Effectiveness and safety of non-vitamin k antagonist oral anticoagulants in patients with atrial fibrillation and valvular heart disease

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) often have concomitant valvular heart disease (VHD), especially in Asia. There are limited data on non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) impact on outcomes for stroke prevention and bleeding for these patients in real world clinical practice.

Purpose

To investigate the effectiveness and safety of NOACs compared with warfarin in patients with AF and associated Evaluated Heartvalves, Rheumatic or Artificial (EHRA) type 2 VHD.

Methods

We identified oral anticoagulants naive patients with AF and EHRA type 2 VHD from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database between 2014 and 2016 (n=2,671 taking warfarin; n=3,058 taking NOAC). Six clinical outcomes including ischemic stroke, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), gastrointestinal bleeding (GI), major bleeding, all-cause death, and their composite outcome and fatal clinical events (any events that led to death within 30-day of its occurrence) were evaluated. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used to balance covariates between the two groups.

Results

After weighted using 5% trimmed IPTW method (n=2371 taking warfarin; n=2792 taking NOAC), the mean age was 71.2 years, male was 57% and CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3.9. During a mean 1.4-year follow-up, weighted incidence rate of ischemic stroke, ICH, GI bleeding, and all-cause death were lower in the NOAC group than in the warfarin group. Compared to warfarin, NOACs were associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 0.71, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.53–0.96), GI bleeding (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.35–0.72) and major bleeding (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.45–0.80). Although NOAC and warfarin groups showed similar incidence rate of ICH, NOAC group was associated with a significantly lower risk of fatal ICH compared to warfarin group (HR 0.28, 95% CI 0.07–0.83). Overall, NOACs were associated with a lower risk of the composite outcome (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.58–0.80). For an exploratory analysis, patients with EHRA type 1 VHD (n=366 taking warfarin; n=345 taking NOAC) was evaluated. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, NOAC group showed a comparable risk of ischemic stroke, ICH, all-cause death and composite outcome.

Clinical outcome in AF patients with VHD

Conclusion

In this nationwide Asian AF population with EHRA type 2 VHD, NOAC use was associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke, major bleeding, all-cause death, and the composite outcome compared to warfarin.

P3789Circulating biomarkers of myocardial fibrosis and cellular apoptosis in patients with atrial fibrillation and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

Introduction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) commonly coexist. AF is associated with left atrial (LA) and ventricular (LV) myocardial fibrosis, contributing to diastolic dysfunction in HFpEF. Many profibrotic pathways have been studied in AF and HFpEF, but scarce data are available on the role of circulating microparticles (MPs).

Purpose

To evaluate association of circulating biomarkers of fibrosis and MPs subsets with Doppler-derived parameters of diastolic function in AF and HFpEF.

Methods

We studied 274 patients with non-valvular AF and HFpEF (median age 62 years, 37% females). Paroxysmal AF was diagnosed in 150 patients (55%) and non-paroxysmal AF (persistent or permanent) in 124 (45%). Median CHA2DS2-VASc score was 3 in males and 4 in females. Transthoracic echocardiography was performed to assess LV diastolic function, including early mitral inflow velocity (E), E/A velocities ratio (on sinus rhythm), early mitral annular diastolic velocity (E') for LV septal and lateral basal regions, E/E' ratio, LA maximum volume index (LAVi), E-wave velocity deceleration time (DT), flow propagation velocity (Vp). Average values from ten consecutive cardiac cycles were calculated. E/E' ratio was chosen as valid and reproducible index of diastolic function in AF patients for regression analysis. Blood levels of galectin 3, interleukin-1 receptor-like 1 (ST2), transforming growth factor beta 1 (TGF-β1), procollagen type III aminoterminal propeptide (PIIINP), matrix metalloproteinase 9 (MMP-9), tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase 1 (TIMP-1), angiotensin II and aldosterone level were assayed as surrogate biomarkers of myocardial fibrosis and profibrotic signaling. Using microflow cytometry, numbers of platelet-derived (CD42b+), monocyte-derived (CD14+), endothelial (CD144+), and apoptotic MPs (Annexin V+) were quantified in plasma samples. Linear regression was used to reveal parameters associated with diastolic function assessed as E/E' ratio. Data were normalized with Box-Cox transformation.

Results

Grade I diastolic dysfunction was found in 149 (54%); 94 (34%), and 31 (11%) patients had grade II and grade III diastolic dysfunction, respectively. On univariate analysis, age (β=0.23, p=0.0001); male gender (β=-0.19, p=0.02); history of hypertension (β=0.15, p=0.02); AF type, i.e. progression from paroxysmal to permanent (β=0.14, p=0.02); AnV+ MPs (β=0.19, p=0.01); angiotensin II (β=0.13, p=0.04); ST2 (β=0.1, p=0.04); and TIMP-1 (β=0.13, p=0.03) were associated with E/E' ratio. Using stepwise multivariate regression, AnV+ MPs (β=0.15, p=0.01) and TIMP-1 (β=0.3, p=0.04) remained significant predictors of E/E' ratio, adjusted for age, gender, hypertension and AF type.

Relation of E/E' to TIMP-1 and AnV+ MPs

Conclusion

Apoptotic (AnV+) MPs and TIMP-1 were independently associated with diastolic dysfunction in AF and HFpEF. These may contribute to the pathophysiology of AF and HFpEF, and complications related to the presence of both.

Acknowledgement/Funding

ESC Research Grant, EHRA Academic Research Fellowship Programme

408Albuminuria as a predictor of incident ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction in patients with type 2 diabetes but without cardiovascular disease: A Danish cohort study

Background

Risk stratification in patients with type 2 diabetes continues to be an important priority in the management of diabetes-related morbidity and mortality. International guidelines generally recognize patients with diabetes and cardiovascular disease as high-risk patients. Risk stratification is, however, more uncertain in diabetes patients without cardiovascular disease. Micro- and macroalbuminuria have previously been identified as predictors of cardiovascular events and mortality in general cohorts of diabetes patients. However, less is known about the predictive value of albuminuria in patients with diabetes but without established cardiovascular disease.

Purpose

We aimed to examine the association between albuminuria level and the risk of ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes and without a diagnosis of cardiovascular disease.

Methods

We linked Danish nationwide registries to identify patients with type 2 diabetes and without cardiovascular disease from May 2005 through June 2015. Based on two consecutive measurements of the urinary albumin excretion rate or albumin-to-creatinine ratio patients were stratified in categories of normoalbuminuria, microalbuminuria, and macroalbuminuria. Patients were followed for the outcomes ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality until December 31, 2015. Five-year risk of outcomes were presented as cumulative incidence functions (with death as a competing event). Associations between albuminuria level and incidence of ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality were evaluated with Cox proportional hazard regression adjusted for cardiovascular risk factors.

Results

The study population included 78,841 patients with type 2 diabetes (44.7% females, mean age 63.2). When comparing patients with microalbuminuria to patients with normoalbuminuria in an age- and sex-adjusted analysis, we found hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.45 (95% CI: 1.24–1.69), 1.45 (95% CI: 1.24–1.70), and 1.50 (95% CI: 1.39–1.61) for ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Furthermore, macroalbuminuria was associated with HRs of 2.05 (95% CI: 1.70–2.48), 2.25 (95% CI: 1.86–2.71), and 2.03 (95% CI: 1.85–2.23) for ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Similar results were found after adjusting for cardiovascular risk factors.

Conclusions

In this nationwide cohort study of patients with type 2 diabetes but without cardiovascular disease, patients with micro- and macroalbuminuria had a higher risk of incident ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality. This finding supports that patients with micro- or macroalbuminuria should be screened regularly and followed closely in clinical practice. Moreover, these findings suggest that patients with type 2 diabetes and micro- or macroalbuminuria may benefit from intensive vascular risk reduction.

P4758Label adherence of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants and clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: A nationwide study

Background

Dose adjustment of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) is indicated in some patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), based on selected patient factors or concomitant medications.

Purpose

We assessed the frequency of label adherence of NOAC dosing among AF patients and the associations between off-label NOAC dosing and clinical outcomes in real-world clinical practice.

Methods

We evaluated 53,649 AF patients treated with a NOAC using Korean National Health Insurance Service database during the period from January 2013 to December 2016. NOAC doses were classified as either underdosed or overdosed, consistent with U.S. Food and Drug Administration labeling. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to investigate the effectiveness and safety outcomes including stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality.

Results

Overall, 16,757 NOAC-treated patients (31.2%) were underdosed, 4,492 were overdosed (8.4%), and 32,400 (60.4%) were dosed appropriately according to drug labeling. Compared with patients with label adherence, those who were underdosed or overdosed were older (71±8 and 75±7 years of age vs. 70±9 years of age, respectively; p<0.001), more likely female (39% and 53% vs. 38%, respectively; p<0.001), and had higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores (4.6±1.7 and 5.3±1.7 vs. 4.5±1.8, respectively; p<0.001). NOAC overdosing was associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism (5.76 vs. 4.03 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), major bleeding (4.77 vs. 2.94 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001), and all-cause mortality (5.43 vs. 3.05 events/100 patient-years, p<0.001) compared with label-adherent use.

Figure 1

Conclusion

In routine clinical practice, a significant proportion (almost 2 in 5) of AF patients received NOAC doses inconsistent with drug labeling. NOAC overdosing is associated with increased risk for stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality in Asian patient with AF.

P2753Anticoagulation control and all-cause death in patients with operated valvular heart disease with and without atrial fibrillation receiving vitamin K antagonists

Introduction

Good quality of anticoagulation in patients with valvular heart disease (VHD) is needed to reduce ischaemic complications. There is limited evidence on factors affecting anticoagulation control in patients implanted with mechanical or tissue prosthetic valve(s).

Objective

To examine quality, factors affecting anticoagulation control and all-cause death in VHD patients with and without atrial fibrillation (AF) receiving a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) oral anticoagulant. The relationship between INR control with all-cause death and ≥1 adverse clinical events (ACE) [thromboembolism, bleeding, cardiovascular hospitalisation and all-cause death] were explored.

Methods

Anticoagulation control of 456 VHD patients [164 (36%) with AF and 290 (64%) without AF] referred to a hospital-based anticoagulation clinic were assessed retrospectively by time in therapeutic range (TTR) (Rosendaal) and percentage of INRs in range (PINRR) for a median of (IQR) 6.2 years (3.3–8.5). VHD was defined by the presence of mechanical or tissue prosthetic valve at either the mitral or aortic site or both.

Results

Mean (SD) age 51 (14.7), 64.5% male, mean (SD) CHA2DS2-VASc score 2.0 (1.4), 96.1% mechanical prosthesis and 64% aortic valve replacement. VHD patients with AF had lower mean TTR and PINRR, lower proportion of optimal TTR (i.e.≥70%) despite similar number of INR tests compared to VHD patients without AF [Table 1]. Predictors of poor TTR on multivariate logistic regression analysis were female sex, AF and anaemia/bleeding history. Significantly higher proportions of VHD patients with AF died [Table 1]. More deaths (13.1% vs. 4.1%; p=0.011) and ≥1 ACE (42.7% vs. 27.6%; p=0.006) were seen in VHD patients with TTR <70% vs. TTR≥70%, respectively.

Table 1 N (%) Total (N=456) AF (N=164) No AF (N=290) p-value Mean (SD) TTR 58.5 (14.6) 55.7 (14.2) 60.1 (14.6) 0.002 TTR ≥70% 98 (21.5) 23 (14.0) 75 (25.7) 0.004 Mean (SD) PINRR 50.1 (13.8) 47.4 (13.5) 51.6 (13.7) 0.002 Mean (SD) INR tests 96.2 (55.3) 100.7 (58.8) 93.7 (53.1) 0.19 All-cause death 51 (11.2) 34 (20.7) 17 (5.8) <0.001 AF: Atrial fibrillation; IQR: interquartile range; PINRR: percentage of INRs in range; SD: standard deviation; TTR: Time in therapeutic range.

Conclusion

The quality of anticoagulation in VHD patients with AF was low. The presence of AF, anaemia/bleeding history and female sex independently predicted poor TTR. All-cause death was more common in VHD patients with AF and poor TTR. Closer INR monitoring is needed especially in VHD patients with AF to improve anticoagulation control and prevent adverse clinical outcomes.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Kementerian Pendidikan Malaysia and Universiti Teknologi MARA for PhD study but not directly for work under consideration

P3784Impact of progressively impaired renal function on major adverse outcomes in European patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the ESC EORP-AF long-term general registry

Background

Renal function is an important predictor of major adverse outcomes in the general population. In the setting of atrial fibrillation (AF), renal dysfunction may act both as a risk factor and a proxy of vascular risk factors and comorbidities.

Methods

We analyzed the association of renal function, as estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) using the CKD-EPI formula, with 1-year outcomes in a “real-world” cohort of European AF patients from the EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry.

Results

7725 were available for this analysis. Of these, 1294 (16.7%) had normal renal function (≥90 mL/min/1.73 m2), 3848 (49.8%) mildly reduced renal function (60–89 mL/min/1.73 m2), 2311 (29.9%) moderately reduced renal function (30–59 mL/min/1.73 m2) and 272 (3.5%) severely reduced renal function (<30 mL/min/1.73 m2). CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores values increased across eGFR strata (p<0.0001). Among patients qualifying for oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy, those with severely impaired renal function were less often prescribed with any OAC (79.8%, p<0.0001), more likely with vitamin K antagonist (62.9%) than non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (16.9%) (p<0.0001). At 1-year follow-up the rates of any thromboembolic event (TE)/acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death progressively increased with worsening renal function, up to 20.7% in patients with severe dysfunction (p<0.0001). Rates of CV death and all-cause death were higher in severe renal dysfunction (16.9% and 21.3%; p<0.0001). Cox regression analysis (adjusted for known predictors) showed that eGFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, compared to normal renal function was associated with an increased risk of all the adverse outcomes (Table). eGFR decrease by 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 was associated with increased risks (Table).

Any TE/ACS/CV Death CV Death All-Cause Death mL/min/1.73 m2 HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) HR (95% CI) eGFR ≥90 (ref.) – – – eGFR 60–89 0.99 (0.67–1.46) 0.81 (0.44–1.51) 0.74 (0.47–1.19) eGFR 30–50 1.12 (0.74–1.69) 1.00 (0.53–1.89) 0.95 (0.59–1.54) eGFR <30 2.47 (1.52–3.99) 2.73 (1.36–5.49) 2.16 (1.25–3.72) eGFR (by 10 mL/min/1.73 m2 decrease) 1.11 (1.05–1.17) 1.18 (1.10–1.27) 1.11 (1.03–1.18) ACS = Acute coronary syndrome; CI = Confidence interval; CV = Cardiovascular; eGFR = estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate; HR = Hazard ratio; TE = Thromboembolic event.

Conclusions

In AF patients, impaired renal function at baseline is associated with a progressive increase in the risk of major adverse outcomes during follow up. Severe renal dysfunction is an independent predictor of all the adverse outcomes.

P3472Modifications of renal function in atrial fibrillation patients treated with different oral anticoagulants: a multicentre cohort study

Background

A decline of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) has been described in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients on Vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). Few real-world data on the modifications of eGFR in AF patients treated with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) do exist.

Purpose

To evaluate changes of renal function in AF patients treated with VKAs or NOACs.

Methods

Multicentre prospective cohort study including 1,667 patients with non-valvular AF from 5 clinical centres of Internal Medicine and Cardiology in Italy.

Renal endpoints were: 1) median annual decline of eGFR; 2) transition to eGFR <50 ml/min/1.73 m2; 3) eGFR class worsening according to KDIGO 2012 classification. The eGFR was assessed by the CKD-EPI formula at baseline and during follow-up.

Results

Median age was 73.7±9.1 years and 43.3% were women. 743 patients were on VKAs and 924 on NOACs (Dabigatran, Rivaroxaban e Apixaban). Median annual eGFR decline was −2,11 (Interquartile Range [IQR] −5,68/−0,62] in patients on VKAs, −0,27 [IQR −9,00/4,54] with Dabigatran (p<0.001 vs. VKAs), −1,21 [IQR −9,98/4,02] with Rivaroxaban (p=0.004 vs. VKAs) and −1,32 [IQR −8,7/3,99] with Apixaban (p=0.003, vs. VKAs). Use of Dabigatran and Apixaban was associated to a lower transition to eGFR <50 mL/min/1.73 m2, compared to VKAs: adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) 0.492, 95% Confidence Interval (CI) 0.298–0.813, p=0.006 for Dabigatran; aOR 0.449, 95% CI 0.276–0.728, p=0.001 for Apixaban). Regarding the eGFR class worsening, Dabigatran (aOR 0.70, 95% CI 0.503–0.975, p=0.035), Rivaroxaban (aOR 0.591, 95% CI 0.423–0.825, p=0.002), and Apixaban (aOR 0.591, 95% CI 0.429–0.815, p=0.001) were all associated to a lower rate of eGFR class worsening compared to VKAs.

Forest plot

Conclusions

In this prospective multicentre cohort study, NOACs use was associated with a lower decline of renal function compared to VKAs. Patients on Dabigatran showed the lowest annual rate of eGFR decline and those on Apixaban and Rivaroxaban a lower eGFR class worsening.

Acknowledgement/Funding

None