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Cocco P, Figgs L, Dosemeci M, Hayes R, Linet MS, Hsing AW. Case-control study of occupational exposures and male breast cancer. Occup Environ Med 1998; 55:599-604. [PMID: 9861181 PMCID: PMC1757632 DOI: 10.1136/oem.55.9.599] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/03/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate whether risk of male breast cancer is associated with workplace exposures. METHODS A case-control study of 178 cases of male breast cancer and 1041 controls was carried out with data from the United States national mortality follow-back survey, which collected questionnaire information from proxy respondents of a 1% sample of all 1986 United States deaths among subjects aged 25-74 years. Occupational exposure to electromagnetic fields, high temperatures, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), herbicides, other pesticides, and organic solvents was assessed by applying job-exposure matrices, based on the 1980 United States census occupation and industry codes, to the longest job held by study subjects as reported by the informants. A socioeconomic status index was created by combining information on annual family income, education, assets, and occupation to assess the association of socioeconomic status with male breast cancer. Relative risks were derived from logistic regression modelling, which included age, socioeconomic status, marital status, and body mass index, as well as occupational exposures. RESULTS Risk for male breast cancer increased significantly with increasing socioeconomic status index (test for trend: p < 0.01), but the risks associated with individual socioeconomic status variables were smaller and the trends were not significant. A significant increase in risk of male breast cancer was associated with employment in blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills (odds ratio (OR) 3.4; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.1 to 10.1, based on six cases), and motor vehicle manufacturing (OR 3.1; 95% CI 1.2 to 8.2, based on seven cases). However, exposures to electromagnetic fields, high temperature, PAHs, herbicides, other pesticides, and organic solvents were not associated with risk of male breast cancer. CONCLUSIONS The role of workplace exposures in increasing risk of breast cancer among men employed in motor vehicle manufacturing and in blast furnaces, steel works, and rolling mills deserves further investigation. The finding on socioeconomic status suggests that, as well as reproductive factors, other lifestyle factors such as diet that may be related to high socioeconomic status in men should be investigated further.
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Avery L, Borsey DQ, Greene SA, Gummerson I, Hayes R, Kerr D, Lean ME, Marshall SM, McInnes A, Pierce M, Roland J, Sinclair AJ, Tadman J, Walton A, Wiles P. British Diabetic Association guidelines on genetic and immune screening for type 1 diabetes mellitus. Diabet Med 1998; 15:643. [PMID: 9702465 DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1096-9136(199808)15:8<643::aid-dia647>3.0.co;2-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
The following article is a report from the Chairman of the Professional Advisory Committee of the British Diabetic Association. The committee, with the help of a number of experts currently working in the field, produced a set of guidelines intended for use by health care professionals on the issues around genetic screening for Type 1 diabetes mellitus. The guidelines were approved by the Board of Management of the British Diabetic Association and we publish them here.
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Mayaud P, ka-Gina G, Cornelissen J, Todd J, Kaatano G, West B, Uledi E, Rwakatare M, Kopwe L, Manoko D, Laga M, Grosskurth H, Hayes R, Mabey D. Validation of a WHO algorithm with risk assessment for the clinical management of vaginal discharge in Mwanza, Tanzania. Sex Transm Infect 1998; 74 Suppl 1:S77-84. [PMID: 10023356] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/10/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES (i) To determine the microbial aetiologies of vaginal discharge in STD clinic and antenatal clinic (ANC) attenders; (ii) to evaluate the performance and costs of a new WHO algorithm for the detection of gonococcal and chlamydial infections in women complaining of vaginal discharge and/or genital itching, using a risk assessment. METHODS Two groups were enrolled: (i) 395 consecutive female patients attending a hospital outpatient clinic complaining of genital discharge or itching; and (ii) 628 consecutive pregnant women reporting at an urban ANC these symptoms. Patients were interviewed by a nurse, who applied the WHO risk score. They were then referred to the study room for interview concerning the same and other risk factors, examined, and sampled for Neisseria gonorrhoeae (NG), Chlamydia trachomatis (CT), Trichomonas vaginalis (TV), and Candida albicans (CA). Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, overtreatment and correct treatment rates, and cost of drugs per true case treated were estimated. RESULTS The prevalence of NG and/or CT infections was 11.4% and 8% at the STD clinic and the ANC respectively. The most prevalent pathogens were CA (38% at both clinics) and TV (25% at the STD clinic and 34% at the ANC). The sensitivity of the WHO algorithm for NG and/or CT was 62% at the STD clinic and 46% at the ANC, and the specificities were 64% and 84% respectively. The operational feasibility of the method was good. The cost of drugs per true case treated in applying the risk assessment approach was $3.5 among nonpregnant women and $5.0 among pregnant women. This compared favourably with respective costs of $8.8 and $25.0 in applying the syndromic management alone. CONCLUSIONS The WHO risk assessment algorithm for the diagnosis of NG and/or CT infections among women complaining of genital discharge can considerably reduce overtreatment of NG and/or CT in both pregnant and non-pregnant women, but in this study it failed to identify 38% of non-pregnant and 54% of pregnant women with these infections. The elements of the risk score may need adjustment in different settings.
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Mayaud P, Uledi E, Cornelissen J, ka-Gina G, Todd J, Rwakatare M, West B, Kopwe L, Manoko D, Grosskurth H, Hayes R, Mabey D. Risk scores to detect cervical infections in urban antenatal clinic attenders in Mwanza, Tanzania. Sex Transm Infect 1998; 74 Suppl 1:S139-46. [PMID: 10023365] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/10/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Detection and management of gonococcal and/or chlamydial infections in women is a challenge, particularly in developing countries where laboratory tests are not always available. The World Health Organisation (WHO) has developed a risk assessment approach to identify cervical infections among women complaining of vaginal discharge. We have evaluated this approach as a screening strategy among women attending an urban antenatal clinic (ANC) in Tanzania. OBJECTIVES (i) To measure the prevalence of pathogens associated with sexually transmitted diseases (STD) and reproductive tract infections (RTI) in an urban population of ANC attenders in Tanzania; (ii) to examine characteristics of pregnant women associated with cervical infections; and (iii) to evaluate the performance of a WHO risk assessment algorithm and alternative risk scores for the detection of cervical infections in pregnant women. METHODS A systematic sample of 660 pregnant women reporting for routine antenatal care at an urban clinic was enrolled. Women were interviewed by a nurse, who applied the WHO risk score. They were referred to a study room for interview about sociodemographic and behavioural factors, examination, and sampling for Neisseria gonorrhoeae, Chlamydia trachomatis, Trichomonas vaginalis, Candida albicans, and bacterial vaginosis. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and theoretical cost per true case treated were estimated for the diagnosis of cervical infection with N gonorrhoeae and/or C trachomatis for the WHO and other risk scores. RESULTS The prevalence of any vaginal or cervical infection was 68%. Prevalence rates of various pathogens were: C albicans 39%, T vaginalis 16%, bacterial vaginosis 24%, N gonorrhoeae 2.3%, C trachomatis 5.9%, any cervical infection (N gonorrhoeae and/or C trachomatis) 7.4%. The WHO score identified only five of 49 women with N gonorrhoeae and/or C trachomatis (sensitivity 10.2%). The specificity and the PPV were 92% and 9.8% respectively. The theoretical cost per true case treated on the basis of the WHO score was over $18. Several risk factors were associated with cervical infection on univariate analysis, but only six remained significant at the 10% level after multivariate analysis. These were: never use of contraceptives (OR 3.09), more than one partner in the past 3 months (OR 3.32), partner with symptoms of genital discharge syndrome (GDS) (OR 7.55), frothy vaginal discharge (OR 1.88), 5-19 polymorphonucleocytes per high power field on cervical smear (OR 3.28), or more than 20 polymorphonucleocytes per high power field (OR 16.08), and wet preparation showing evidence of T vaginalis infection (OR 1.96). Scores based on these variables failed to attain high sensitivities or PPVs (all below 40%) although the costs per true case treated were cheaper than for the WHO score. CONCLUSION Risk assessment for the screening and management of N gonorrhoeae and/or C trachomatis among women presenting at routine antenatal services appears feasible and acceptable, but of limited value in this population because of its low sensitivity. The optimal risk score may vary considerably from one place to another. The quest for simple, cheap, and reliable tests to diagnose N gonorrhoeae and C trachomatis infections still remains a high priority on the international STD technology research agenda.
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Weinberger J, Azhar S, Danisi F, Hayes R, Goldman M. A new noninvasive technique for imaging atherosclerotic plaque in the aortic arch of stroke patients by transcutaneous real-time B-mode ultrasonography: an initial report. Stroke 1998; 29:673-6. [PMID: 9506611 DOI: 10.1161/01.str.29.3.673] [Citation(s) in RCA: 48] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Aortic arch atherosclerotic plaque is a probable source of atheroembolic stroke. Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) has been used to image the aorta of patients with stroke to identify atherosclerotic plaque. TEE is moderately invasive and does not always visualize plaques present in the distal ascending aorta and proximal aortic arch. METHODS In the current study, transcutaneous B-mode ultrasonography was performed to image the aortic arch through a lateral supraclavicular window, and the results were compared with those of TEE in 20 patients. The aorta was subdivided into the proximal ascending (PAsc), distal ascending (DAsc), proximal aortic arch (PAA), and distal aortic arch (DAA) to be certain the plaques identified by each technique were the same. Plaques were characterized as simple (<4 mm thick) or complex (>4 mm thick). RESULTS In the PAsc, 8 simple plaques were identified with TEE but not with B-mode. In the DAsc, 1 complex plaque was identified with both techniques, and B-mode identified 1 additional complex and 1 simple plaque. In the PAA, 6 simple and 5 complex plaques were identified by both techniques, and TEE identified 1 additional complex plaque. In the DAA, TEE identified 2 simple and 2 complex plaques; B-mode identified 3 complex plaques. CONCLUSIONS B-mode imaging compared favorably with TEE in identification of plaques in the aortic arch and distal ascending aorta, although it could not identify simple plaques in the proximal ascending. B-mode could visualize plaques not seen by TEE in the distal ascending aorta. B-mode ultrasonography is complementary to TEE in performance of a comprehensive assessment of plaque in the aortic arch and provides a noninvasive method for sequential studies of plaques that can be visualized.
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Alonso PL, Lopez MC, Bordmann G, Smith TA, Aponte JJ, Weiss NA, Urassa H, Armstrong-Schellenberg JR, Kitua AY, Masanja H, Thomas MC, Oettli A, Hurt N, Hayes R, Kilama WL, Tanner M. Immune responses to Plasmodium falciparum antigens during a malaria vaccine trial in Tanzanian children. Parasite Immunol 1998; 20:63-71. [PMID: 9572049 DOI: 10.1046/j.1365-3024.1998.00125.x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
Among Tanzanian children living in an area of intense and perennial malaria transmission, prevalence of naturally acquired IgG antibodies that recognize SPf66, NANP, p190 and a 19 kDa fragment of the merozoite surface protein-1 (MSP-1) is high and increases with age. This possibly reflects the high level of natural exposure of the children to P. falciparum. The prevalences of IgG antibodies that recognize the three putative merozoite derived sequences contained in the malaria vaccine SPf66 (83.1, 55.1 and 35.1) is low but also show some age dependence. Three doses of the SPf66 vaccine induce a strong IgG antibody response against both the SPf66 construct, NANP and the three individual peptides. Vaccination with SPf66 did not result in an increase of anti19 kDa fragment antibodies. This reflects the specificity of the humoral immune response induced by the SPf66 construct. Among vaccinated children, antibody titres against SPf66 decreased over time following the third dose. However, 18 months after the third dose, SPf66 recipients still had significantly higher IgG titres and stimulation indices of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) than placebo recipients. Within the vaccine group, there is a trend for increasing anti-SPf66 IgG titre to be associated with decreasing risk of clinical malaria but this was not statistically significant. Results also show the difficulties of establishing whether antibody responses are related to protection in field trials in endemic areas.
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Gilson L, Mkanje R, Grosskurth H, Mosha F, Picard J, Gavyole A, Todd J, Mayaud P, Swai R, Fransen L, Mabey D, Mills A, Hayes R. Cost-effectiveness of improved treatment services for sexually transmitted diseases in preventing HIV-1 infection in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. Lancet 1997; 350:1805-9. [PMID: 9428251 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(97)08222-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 115] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND A community-randomised trial was undertaken to assess the impact, cost, and cost-effectiveness of averting HIV-1 infection through improved management of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) by primary-health-care workers in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. METHODS The impact of improved treatment services for STDs on HIV-1 incidence was assessed by comparison of six intervention communities with six matched communities. We followed up a random cohort of 12,537 adults aged 15-54 years for 2 years to record incidence of HIV-1 infection. The total and incremental costs of the intervention were estimated (ingredients approach) and used to calculate the total cost per case treated, the incremental cost per HIV-1 infection averted, and the incremental cost per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) saved. FINDINGS During 2 years of follow-up, 11,632 cases of STDs were treated in the intervention health units. The baseline prevalence of HIV-1 infection was 4%. The incidence of HIV-1 infection during the 2 years was 1.16% in the intervention communities and 1.86% in the comparison communities. An estimated 252 HIV-1 infections were averted each year. The total annual cost of the intervention was US$59,060 (1993 prices), equivalent to $0.39 per head of population served. The cost for STD case treated was $10.15, of which the drug cost was $2.11. The incremental annual cost of the intervention was $54,839, equivalent to $217.62 per HIV-1 infection averted and $10.33 per DALY saved (based on Tanzanian life expectancy) or $9.45 per DALY saved (based on the assumptions of the World Development Report). In a sensitivity analysis of factors influencing cost-effectiveness, cost per DALY saved ranged from $2.51 to $47.86. INTERPRETATION Improved management of STDs in rural health units reduced the incidence of HIV-1 infection in the general population by about 40%. The estimated cost-effectiveness of this intervention ($10 per DALY) compares favourably with that of, for example, childhood immunisation programmes ($12-17 per DALY). Cost-effectiveness should be further improved when the intervention is applied on a larger scale. Resources should be made available for this highly cost-effective HIV control strategy.
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Hayes R, Wawer M, Gray R, Whitworth J, Grosskurth H, Mabey D. Randomised trials of STD treatment for HIV prevention: report of an international workshop. HIV/STD Trials Workshop Group. Genitourin Med 1997; 73:432-43. [PMID: 9582456 PMCID: PMC1195920 DOI: 10.1136/sti.73.6.432] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
Three community trials of the impact of STD treatment interventions on HIV incidence in rural populations have been completed or are in progress in Uganda and Tanzania. Investigators from these trials met for a joint technical workshop in Baltimore in May 1996. This report summarises the consensus of the workshop, with the aim of providing useful input to research on HIV intervention strategies. Issues discussed include: (i) the role of community randomised trials; (ii) strategies for STD management; (iii) epidemiological and statistical issues in the design and analysis of community randomised trials; (iv) diagnostic methods for STDs in population surveys; (v) treatment regimens for STDs in rural Africa; and (vi) ethical issues in community trials.
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Golconda MS, Whiting JF, Smith R, Hayes R, Alexander JW, First MR. Long-term outcome of kidney transplantation from expanded criteria donors: a single center experience. Transplant Proc 1997; 29:3379-81. [PMID: 9414756 DOI: 10.1016/s0041-1345(97)00948-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
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Mayaud P, Mosha F, Todd J, Balira R, Mgara J, West B, Rusizoka M, Mwijarubi E, Gabone R, Gavyole A, Grosskurth H, Hayes R, Mabey D. Improved treatment services significantly reduce the prevalence of sexually transmitted diseases in rural Tanzania: results of a randomized controlled trial. AIDS 1997; 11:1873-80. [PMID: 9412707 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-199715000-00013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 81] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the impact of improved case management for sexually transmitted diseases (STD) at the primary health care level on the incidence and prevalence of STD. DESIGN Community-randomized controlled trial. SETTING Mwanza region, Tanzania. SUBJECTS A random cohort of about 1000 adults aged 15-54 years from each of 12 communities, in six matched pairs. One member of each pair was assigned at random to receive the intervention, and the others served as a comparison community. This cohort was surveyed at baseline and at follow-up 2 years later. About 100 antenatal clinic attenders were also studied in each community on two occasions: the first shortly after the implementation of the intervention, and the second approximately 1 year later. INTERVENTION Improved services were established for the management of STD, using the syndromic approach, in rural health units. RESULTS A total of 12,534 individuals were enrolled in the cohort study, of whom 8844 (71%) were seen again 2 years later. The prevalence of serological syphilis (rapid plasma reagin titre > or = 1:8, Treponema pallidum haemagglutinin assay positive) was 6.2% in both intervention and comparison communities at baseline. At follow-up it was 5.0% in the intervention community and 7.0% in the comparison community [adjusted relative risk (RR), 0.71; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.54-0.93; P < 0.02]. The prevalence of urethritis in males did not differ significantly between intervention and comparison groups at follow-up, but the prevalence of symptomatic urethritis was reduced by about 50% (adjusted RR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.24-1.10; P = 0.08). There was no significant difference between the groups in the incidence of self-reported STD symptoms over the last year of the follow-up period, or in the prevalence of any STD in antenatal clinic attenders. CONCLUSION The reduction in HIV incidence previously reported in this intervention study can be attributed to a reduction in the duration, and hence the prevalence of symptomatic STD.
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Hayes R, Goodman A, Wilt S. Developing injury prevention capacity in New York City: the role of a local health department in fostering collaborations. JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH MANAGEMENT AND PRACTICE 1997; 3:25-9. [PMID: 10183180 DOI: 10.1097/00124784-199711000-00008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
Injuries have long been a leading cause of mortality in urban areas such as New York City. While efforts to address injuries were undertaken by the New York City Department of Health (NYCDOH) starting in the 1940s, it was not until the department received a Capacity Building Grant from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in 1989 that a more comprehensive program could be developed. The NYCDOH launched several collaborative projects with a variety of organizations and institutions. These efforts indicate that through collaborations, local health departments can increase their effectiveness and better promote their approach to injury prevention.
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Figueroa JP, Ward E, Morris J, Brathwaite AR, Peruga A, Blattner W, Vermund SH, Hayes R. Incidence of HIV and HTLV-1 infection among sexually transmitted disease clinic attenders in Jamaica. JOURNAL OF ACQUIRED IMMUNE DEFICIENCY SYNDROMES AND HUMAN RETROVIROLOGY : OFFICIAL PUBLICATION OF THE INTERNATIONAL RETROVIROLOGY ASSOCIATION 1997; 15:232-7. [PMID: 9257658 DOI: 10.1097/00042560-199707010-00007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
Of 970 sexually transmitted disease (STD) patients enrolled at the Comprehensive Health Centre, Kingston, Jamaica, between November 1990 and January 1991, 710 (73%, 333 men and 377 women) were reexamined between January 1992 and July 1993 to estimate the incidence of HIV and HTLV-I infection and to identify risk factors for infection. Of those reexamined, 20% were recruited passively when they returned to the clinic of their own accord, and 80% were recruited actively through field visits to their homes. Passively recruited persons were significantly more likely than active recruits to have had a sexually transmitted disease since enrollment or at their follow-up visit. Seven men and one woman became HIV positive during the period of follow-up. The overall HIV incidence rate was 0.7 per 100 person years (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.3 to 1.4), 1.4 (CI = 0.6 to 2.8) for men and 0.2 (CI = 0.004 to 0.9) for women. Four of 270 men and 4 of 318 women were HTLV-I positive, an overall incidence of 0.9 per 100 person years (CI = 0.4 to 1.7), 1.0 for men and 0.8 for women. HTLV-I infection was associated with an age of 30 years or older (p < 0.01). The presumed lower transmission probability for HTLV-I may combine with a higher prevalence of HTLV-I in sexual partners to produce similar overall incidence rates for the two infections. The HIV and HTLV-I incidence rates may have been underestimated, because the study subjects who did not return to the clinic may have had a somewhat higher risk. On univariate analysis, there were significant associations between HIV infection in men and drinking alcohol before sex, cocaine use, total number of sex partners, sex with a prostitute since enrollment, ever accepting money for sex, the average number of sex partners per month, bruising during sex, and genital ulcers found on follow-up examination. This analysis needs to be interpreted with caution in view of the small number of seroconverters, which did not allow testing for independent effects in a logistic regression model.
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Todd J, Balira R, Grosskurth H, Mayaud P, Mosha F, ka-Gina G, Klokke A, Gabone R, Gavyole A, Mabey D, Hayes R. HIV-associated adult mortality in a rural Tanzanian population. AIDS 1997; 11:801-7. [PMID: 9143613 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-199706000-00013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 50] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To measure HIV-associated adult mortality in a rural population in Tanzania. To record the signs and symptoms associated with deaths of HIV-positive adults. DESIGN Prospective cohort study conducted in the context of a randomized controlled trial to evaluate the impact of a sexually transmitted disease treatment programme. METHODS A cohort consisting of a random sample of 12501 adults aged 15-54 years was recruited from 12 rural communities in Mwanza region, Tanzania in 1991/1992. Baseline HIV prevalence was 4.0%. The cohort was followed up after 2 years to record mortality according to baseline HIV status. A verbal autopsy questionnaire was administered for each of the deaths reported. RESULTS A total of 196 deaths were recorded, of which 73 (37%) occurred in HIV-positive individuals. Mortality rates per 1000 person-years were 6.0 in HIV-negatives and 93.5 in HIV-positives. The age-adjusted mortality rate ratio was 15.68 (95% confidence interval, 11.18-21.03). The proportion of adult deaths attributed to HIV infection was 35% overall and 53% in those aged 20-29 years. Verbal autopsies showed that HIV-positive deaths were significantly associated with fever, rash, weight loss, anaemia, cough, chest pain, abdominal pain and headache, but the specificity of individual symptoms was low. The World Health Organization clinical case definition of AIDS was satisfied for only 13 deaths, of which seven were HIV-positive at baseline. Only seven respondents reported that the death was associated with HIV or AIDS. CONCLUSIONS This study confirms the strong association of HIV infection and mortality in rural Africa, with an annual death rate in adult seropositives of over 9%. In this rural population with a relatively low HIV prevalence of 4%, HIV has increased overall adult mortality by more than 50%. Signs and symptoms associated with HIV deaths were non-specific, and the population seemed largely unaware of the contribution of HIV to mortality, an important obstacle to prevention efforts.
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Munguti K, Grosskurth H, Newell J, Senkoro K, Mosha F, Todd J, Mayaud P, Gavyole A, Quigley M, Hayes R. Patterns of sexual behaviour in a rural population in north-western Tanzania. Soc Sci Med 1997; 44:1553-61. [PMID: 9160444 DOI: 10.1016/s0277-9536(97)00014-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
The HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa has been characterised by the predominance of heterosexual transmission. Patterns of sexual behaviour have been implicated in the spread of the epidemic, but few quantitative data are available on sexual behaviour in rural populations in Africa. This paper reports data from a survey of 1117 adults aged 15-54 years selected randomly from twelve rural communities in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. Sexual debut occurred early, 50% of women and 46% of men reporting first sex before age 16. On average, women married 1.8 years and men 6.1 years after their sexual debut. In women, age at sexual debut appears to have increased over time, in parallel with an increase in age at first marriage. Men were generally married later, to women around five to ten years younger than themselves. Marital dissolution and remarriage were common in both sexes. Reported numbers of sexual partners were compared with those recorded in a population survey in Britain. More men reported 10 or more lifetime partners, or three or more partners in the past year, in rural Mwanza (48% and 29%) than in Britain (24% and 6%). Women reported fewer partners, and results were broadly similar to British data. Casual sex during the past year was reported by 53% of the men and 15% of the women, but only 2% of men reported sexual contact with bar girls or commercial sex workers. Only 20% of men and 3% of women had ever used a condom. Interventions are needed to reduce the high levels of sexual partner change and casual sex, and low levels of condom use, recorded in this rural population. Targeting of interventions to traditional "core groups" may be of limited value in rural areas, and additional strategies are needed, focusing particularly on teenagers who are at high risk of HIV and other sexually transmitted diseases.
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Hennig A, Evans JR, Pradhan D, Johnson GJ, Pokhrel RP, Gregson RM, Hayes R, Wormald RP, Foster A. Randomised controlled trial of anterior-chamber intraocular lenses. Lancet 1997; 349:1129-33. [PMID: 9113011 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(96)11043-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 46] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There are an estimated 16 million people blind in both eyes with cataracts. Most live in rural areas of developing countries where surgical resources are scarce. There is no consensus on the most appropriate type of intraocular lens in situations where high-volume low-cost surgery is required. This study was undertaken to evaluate the safety of multiflex open-loop anterior-chamber lenses (ACIOLs). METHODS 2000 people attending Lahan Eye Hospital, southern Nepal, with bilateral cataracts reducing vision to 6/36 or less were randomly allocated to receive standard surgery--intracapsular extraction (ICCE) with aphakic correction--or ICCE with an ACIOL in their first operated eye. The primary outcome was a visual acuity of less than 6/60 in the operated eye at 1 year follow-up. Visual acuity was measured for 91% of the cohort at 1 year. The sample size was estimated to detect a doubling in poor visual outcome from an estimated rate of 4% in the standard surgery (control) group. FINDINGS The median (range) time taken to do the surgery was 6.0 (3.0-17.2) min for the ACIOL group and 4.1 (2.4-10.3) min for the control group. 1 year after surgery, 5.0% of the ACIOL group and 5.4% of controls had functional vision less than 6/60 (OR 0.93 [0.60-1.43], p = 0.71). The causes of poor vision in the ACIOL and control groups were: correctable refractive error (22 and 29), uveitis/secondary glaucoma (13 and two), endophthalmitis (four and seven), pre-existing eye disease (four and five), retinal detachment (none and four), cystoid macular oedema (two and none), corneal ulcer (one and one), and corneal decompensation (none and one). INTERPRETATION This study provides evidence that, in rural areas of developing countries, multiflex open-loop ACIOLs can be implanted safely by experienced ophthalmologists after routine ICCE, avoiding the disadvantages of aphakic spectacle correction. Further follow-up is planned.
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Segel LD, Follette DM, Castellanos LM, Hayes R, Baker JM, Smolens IV. Steroid pretreatment improves graft recovery in a sheep orthotopic heart transplantation model. J Heart Lung Transplant 1997; 16:371-80. [PMID: 9154945] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Previous reports provide conflicting evidence concerning effects of steroids on recovery of cardiac function during procedures involving cardiopulmonary bypass. This study was designed to test the hypothesis that pretreatment of animals with steroids before heart transplantation improves graft hemodynamic function. METHODS Four groups of sheep were studied: CON, nonsteroid-treated nontransplanted controls (n = 8); CON-S, steroid-treated nontransplanted controls (n = 5); TX, nonsteroid-treated transplanted animals (n = 5); and TX-S, steroid-treated transplanted animals (n = 5). Steroid-treated animals were given methylprednisolone 30 mg/kg immediately before surgery. Procedures for harvest and orthotopic transplantation were similar to those used clinically. Contractile function, left ventricular diameter, and cardiac output of control and transplanted hearts were measured for 6 hours. A 2 x 2 factorial repeated measures analysis of variance was used to determine statistical significance (p < 0.05). RESULTS Steroid pretreatment produced significantly higher function in controls and transplanted animals compared with nonsteroid-treated animals. On average over 6 hours, significant steroid effects were observed for left ventricular peak systolic pressure, mm Hg (CON, 85 +/- 2; CON-S, 98 +/- 3; TX, 74 +/- 3; TX-S, 91 +/- 2); global stroke work, mJoule x cm(-2) (CON, 4.69 +/- 0.21; CON-S, 5.88 +/- 0.32; TX, 2.27 +/- 0.17; TX-S, 4.23 +/- 0.16); and peak rate of pressure relaxation (-dP/dt(max)), mm Hg/msec (CON, 1.23 +/- 0.05; CON-S, 1.44 +/- 0.08; TX, 0.60 +/- 0.03; TX-S, 2.04 +/- 0.13). Steroid pretreatment produced more stable recovery for transplanted animals. All five TX-S animals could be removed from inotropic support and had stable function for 6 hours. In contrast, 1 of 5 TX animals could not be removed from inotropic support, and 1 of 5 TX hearts failed 3 hours after transplant. Arterial blood PO2 values were significantly higher in steroid-treated animals than in nonsteroid treated animals. Blood systemic lactate, which was elevated after transplantation, returned to control level by 6 hours in the steroid-treated group but not in the nonsteroid-treated group. CONCLUSION Steroid pretreatment of heart donors and recipients improved systolic and diastolic function and hemodynamic stability after transplantation. In addition, steroid pretreatment improved pulmonary gas exchange of control and transplanted animals.
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Urassa M, Todd J, Boerma JT, Hayes R, Isingo R. Male circumcision and susceptibility to HIV infection among men in Tanzania. AIDS 1997; 11:73-80. [PMID: 9147445 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-199703110-00002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidence from ecological studies and from studies of and sexually transmitted disease (STD) patients in sub-Saharan Africa suggests that there is a protective effect of male circumcision against HIV infection. There are, however, few population-based studies that have controlled adequately for potential confounding factors. METHODS Data from the five population-based studies in north-western Tanzania were used to investigate the association between male circumcision and the risk of HIV infection and STD. The effects of circumcision on HIV prevalence, syphilis (positive Treponema pallidum haemagglutination; TPHA) and self-reported STD were analysed, controlling for a range of demographic and sociocultural variables, and indicators of sexual behaviour. RESULTS In north-western Tanzania, circumcision was previously restricted to Muslims and specific ethnic groups, but is now more widespread, particularly in urban ares and among more educated men. Assessment of the reliability and validity of self-reported circumcision status showed that these data could be considered fairly accurate, although there was some tendency for circumcision to be over-reported. On univariate analysis, circumcision status was unrelated to HIV prevalence in most studies. After controlling for confounding variables, however, there was a modest but significant reduction of the HIV prevalence among circumcised men [odds ratio (OR), 0.62; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.48-.81]. This effect appeared stronger in urban areas (OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.32-0.68) and roadside villages (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.42-1.01) than in rural areas and islands (OR, 1.00 and 1.01 respectively). There was no association between circumcision status and syphilis serology (TPHA), but there was a positive association between circumcision and self-reported STD, although this was not significant after adjustment for confounding variables. CONCLUSION Male circumcision has a protective effect against HIV infection in this population, which may be stronger in urban areas and roadside settlements than in the rural areas. Ethnic group and religious denomination are no longer the sole determinants of male circumcision.
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Quigley M, Munguti K, Grosskurth H, Todd J, Mosha F, Senkoro K, Newell J, Mayaud P, ka-Gina G, Klokke A, Mabey D, Gavyole A, Hayes R. Sexual behaviour patterns and other risk factors for HIV infection in rural Tanzania: a case-control study. AIDS 1997; 11:237-48. [PMID: 9030372 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-199702000-00015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 110] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the association between HIV infection and patterns of sexual behaviour and other risk factors in a rural Tanzanian population in a case-control study, nested within a randomized trial of improved sexually transmitted disease treatment. METHODS All HIV-positive patients from the baseline survey of the randomized trial were eligible as cases. Cases (n = 338) and controls (a random sample of one in eight HIV-negative persons; n = 1078) were interviewed about risk factors for HIV infection using a structured questionnaire. RESULTS A significantly higher HIV prevalence was found among men and women not currently employed in farming [men: odds ratio (OR), 2.08; women: OR, 3.65], women who had travelled (OR, 3.27), educated women (OR, 4.51), and widowed/ divorced people compared with those currently married (men: OR, 3.10; women: OR, 3.54). Two spouse-related factors were significantly associated with HIV, even after adjustment for the sexual behaviour of the index case: HIV was more prevalent in men with younger spouses (P = 0.020 for trend) and in women married to men currently employed in manual work, office work or business (OR, 2.20). In women only, blood transfusions were associated with a higher HIV prevalence (OR, 2.40), but only a small population attributable fraction (4%). There was an increased HIV prevalence associated with increasing numbers of injections. Reported number of lifetime sexual partners was significantly associated with HIV infection (women: OR, 7.33 if > or = 10 lifetime partners compared with < or = 1; men: OR, 4.35 for > or = 50 compared with < or = 1). After adjustment for confounders, male circumcision was associated with a lower HIV prevalence (OR, 0.65; P = 0.11). CONCLUSIONS In these rural communities, many HIV infections occur through sexual transmission. Some people are at high risk of HIV infection through large numbers of sex partners, whereas some are at risk through their spouse or regular partner. The role of circumcision in HIV transmission is unclear. Commercial sex seems to play a negligible role in HIV transmission in these communities. Our results confirm marked heterogeneity in HIV risk, indicating the scope for risk reduction strategies.
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Karanjia PN, Nelson JJ, Lefkowitz DS, Dick AR, Toole JF, Chambless LE, Hayes R, Howard VJ. Validation of the ACAS TIA/stroke algorithm. Neurology 1997; 48:346-51. [PMID: 9040719 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.48.2.346] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE An easily administered questionnaire and algorithm classifying transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) or strokes, and also their distribution, could be invaluable for identifying endpoints in epidemiologic studies or clinical trials of prevention and therapy of cerebral ischemia. The Asymptomatic Carotid Atherosclerosis Study (ACAS) devised a symptom-based questionnaire and algorithm for detecting events in the trial. The purpose of this study was to determine sensitivity, specificity, and agreement rates of the questionnaire and algorithm against diagnoses of a panel of cerebrovascular disease authorities. METHODS Three hundred eighty-one men and women at eight medical centers reported symptoms of stroke, TIA, or other neurologic illness. The questionnaire was administered by trained interviewers and the responses were analyzed using the algorithm. A standardized neurologic examination was performed by a neurologist. Data were submitted to two or more external reviewers. Sensitivity, specificity, and the kappa statistic (kappa) were used to evaluate the relationship between the algorithm and the external reviewers' diagnosis. RESULTS Of the 381 reviews, 196 were diagnosed as TIA or stroke by the external panel. The algorithm's agreement with the diagnosis of TIA or stroke was 80.1%, and kappa was 0.60. Sensitivity was 87.8%, and specificity was 71.9%. CONCLUSION While statistical agreement rates depend on the method of sample selection, the algorithm has a high agreement with an external panel of experts and is a sensitive tool for event detection. The lower specificity indicates that careful neurologic evaluation may be required to confirm or refute events identified by the screening algorithm.
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Urassa M, Todd J, Boerma JT, Hayes R, Isingo R. Male circumcision and susceptibility to HIV infection among men in Tanzania. AIDS 1997; 11:73-9. [PMID: 9110078 DOI: 10.1097/00002030-199701000-00011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 56] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Evidence from ecological studies and from studies of and sexually transmitted disease (STD) patients in sub-Saharan Africa suggests that there is a protective effect of male circumcision against HIV infection. There are, however, few population-based studies that have controlled adequately for potential confounding factors. METHODS Data from five population-based studies in north-western Tanzania were used to investigate the association between male circumcision and the risk of HIV infection and STD. The effects of circumcision on HIV prevalence, syphilis (positive Treponema pallidum haemagglutination; TPHA) and self-reported STD were analysed, controlling for a range of demographic and sociocultural variables, and indicators of sexual behaviour. RESULTS In north-western Tanzania, circumcision was previously restricted to Muslims and specific ethnic groups, but is now more widespread, particularly in urban areas and among more educated men. Assessment of the reliability and validity of self-reported circumcision status showed that these data could be considered fairly accurate, although there was some tendency for circumcision to be over-reported. On univariate analysis, circumcision status was unrelated to HIV prevalence in most studies. After controlling for confounding variables, however, there was a modest but significant reduction of the HIV prevalence among circumcised men [odds ratio (OR), 0.62; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.48-0.81]. This effect appeared stronger in urban areas (OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.32-0.68) and roadside villages (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.42-1.01) than in rural areas and islands (OR, 1.00 and 1.01 respectively). There was no association between circumcision status and syphilis serology (TPHA), but there was a positive association between circumcision and self-reported STD, although this was not significant after adjustment for confounding variables. CONCLUSION Male circumcision has a protective effect against HIV infection in this population, which may be stronger in urban areas and roadside settlements than in the rural areas. Ethnic group and religious denomination are no longer the sole determinants of male circumcision.
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Bijur PE, Wilt S, Kurzon M, Hayes R, Goodman A. The epidemiology and causes of injuries resulting in hospitalization in New York City: 1990-1992. BULLETIN OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF MEDICINE 1997; 74:31-50. [PMID: 9211000 PMCID: PMC2359249] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
The purpose of this study is to present data on the distribution and etiology of nonfatal injuries resulting in hospital discharges in New York City (NYC). Records of all NYC residents discharged for injuries from acute stay hospitals 1990-1992 were tabulated. Injuries from surgical and medical procedures, adverse effects of drugs in therapeutic use, and late effects of injury were excluded. The results indicate that there was a marked geographic variation in rates: higher rates of assaults, self-inflicted injuries, burns, unintentional injuries from firearms, and injuries to bicyclists in disadvantaged neighborhoods. The data show that injuries in NYC have distinctive features that should form the basis for targeted prevention activities.
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ka-Gina G, Grosskurth H, Hayes R. Prevention of HIV spread in developing countries. Lancet 1996; 348:1742. [PMID: 8973464 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(05)65876-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
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Titenko-Holland N, Levine AJ, Smith MT, Quintana PJ, Boeniger M, Hayes R, Suruda A, Schulte P. Quantification of epithelial cell micronuclei by fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) in mortuary science students exposed to formaldehyde. Mutat Res 1996; 371:237-48. [PMID: 9008725 DOI: 10.1016/s0165-1218(96)90112-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Abstract
A micronucleus assay employing fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) with a centromeric probe was used on specimens of exfoliated buccal and nasal cells collected from mortuary science students exposed to embalming fluid containing formaldehyde. FISH labeling allowed micronuclei (MN) containing a whole chromosome (centromere-positive, MN+) to be differentiated from those containing only chromosomal fragments (centromere-negative, MN-). Each student was sampled before and after the 90 day embalming class. We determined if an increase in MN frequency could be attributed to formaldehyde exposure and was specific to either MN+ or MN-. In buccal cells, total MN frequency was significantly increased from 0.6/1000 to 2/1000 (p = 0.007) following the course, whereas in nasal cells it was not (2 and 2.5/1000, respectively, p = 0.2). Cells with multiple MN were present only in samples taken after exposure to embalming fluid. Although the baseline frequency was higher for MN+ in both buccal (0.4/1000 for MN+ and 0.1/1000 for MN-) and nasal cells (1.2/1000 for MN+ and 0.5/1000 for MN-), the increase in MN frequency was greater for MN-, (9-fold, p = 0.005 for buccal cells; 2-fold, p = 0.03 for nasal cells) than for MN+ (> 2-fold, p = 0.08 for buccal cells; no change, p = 0.31 for nasal cells) in both tissues. Thus, the primary mechanism of micronucleus formation appeared to be chromosome breakage. This finding is consistent with known clastogenic properties of formaldehyde, the component of embalming fluid most likely responsible for micronucleus induction.
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Kudla J, Hayes R, Gruissem W. Polyadenylation accelerates degradation of chloroplast mRNA. EMBO J 1996; 15:7137-46. [PMID: 9003789 PMCID: PMC452540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/03/2023] Open
Abstract
The expression of chloroplast genes is regulated by several mechanisms, one of which is the modulation of RNA stability. To understand how this regulatory step is controlled during chloroplast development, we have begun to define the mechanism of plastid mRNA degradation. We show here that the degradation petD mRNA involves endonucleolytic cleavage at specific sites upstream of the 3' stem-loop structure. The endonucleolytic petD cleavage products can be polyadenylated in vitro, and similar polyadenylated RNA products are detectable in vivo. PCR analysis of the psbA and psaA-psaB-rps14 operons revealed other polyadenylated endonucleolytic cleavage products, indicating that poly(A) addition appears to be an integral modification during chloroplast mRNA degradation. Polyadenylation promotes efficient degradation of the cleaved petD RNAs by a 3'-5' exoribonuclease. Furthermore, polyadenylation also plays an important role in the degradation of the petD mRNA 3' end. Although the 3' end stem-loop is usually resistant to nucleases, adenylation renders the secondary structure susceptible to the 3'-5' exoribonuclease. Analysis of 3' ends confirms that polyadenylation occurs in vivo, and reveals that the extent of adenylation increases during the degradation of plastid mRNA in the dark. Based on these results, we propose a novel mechanism for polyadenylation in the regulation of plastid mRNA degradation.
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