Development of a New Recurrence-Free Survival Prediction Nomogram for Patients with Primary Non-Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Based on Preoperative Controlling Nutritional Status Score

Background

Bladder cancer is the second most prevalent neoplasm in the urogenital system in terms of morbidity and mortality, and there is an urgent need for a more accurate assessment of individual prognosis in patients with primary non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score is an emerging biomarker score which has been confirmed to have prognostic value in various malignant tumors. The study attempted to systematically identify the prognostic role of preoperative CONUT score on posttreatment recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with NMIBC, and determine the predictive value and feasibility of the new prognostic prediction model.

Methods

A total of 94 patients with NMIBC were analyzed retrospectively between January 2011 and December 2015. Statistical analysis was conducted using the nonparametric method. The Kaplan-–Meier method was used to assess recurrence-free survival (RFS), and Log rank tests was used to analyze the equivalences of survival curves. We used univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model to identify important predictors of RFS. Discrimination of nomogram was measured by the concordance index. Predictive accuracy of the model was evaluated using the internal validation.

Results

In univariate analysis, age, history of smoking, pathological T stage, tumor grade, tumor size, and CONUT score were significantly correlated with RFS. Multivariate analysis indicated that CONUT score (HR =3.855, 95% CI 1.242–11.970, p=0.020) was an independent predictor of RFS in patients with NMIBC. Based on significant parameters in multivariate analysis and reliable recurrence predictors determined in predictive models and relevant guidelines, a new age-, history of smoking-, pathologic factors- and the CONUT score-based scoring model was developed to predict recurrence of NMBIC. In addition, we internally validated the nomogram using the consistency index and calibration plots, which demonstrated that the model has high prediction accuracy (c-index= 0.851).

Conclusion

The development of a new nomogram based on CONUT score could increase the accuracy of recurrence prediction and improve individualized treatment plans for patients with NMIBC.

Impact of stratified resection margin classification on local tumor control and survival in patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Guidelines recommended for resection of oral cancer define a free margin of ≥5 mm as clear and safe (R0). This statement was questioned recently based on the assumption that different surgical margins may hold different risk categories. The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of stratification of the surgical margins on the survival outcome of patients with oral cancer.

METHODS

In a cohort of 753 patients, the hazard ratio for local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), overall survival (OS), and oral cancer-specific survival (OCSS) were estimated for R0 resection, the close margin of 1-4 mm, involved resection borders but with free frozen sections. Competing risk factors were considered in the statistical regression model.

RESULTS

One hundred seventy-three (23%) patients developed local recurrence and 316 (42%) died in the 5 follow-up years. There was a gradual improvement in the LRFS, OCSS, OS with the increase of clear margin. OS showed a similar tendency.

CONCLUSION

Not all patients with an R0cm status carry the same risk for impaired LRFS, OCSS, and OS. Their risk to develop recurrence is higher than those patients with R0 ≥5 mm but stratified risk management can be recommended according to the presented results.

Recurrence-Free Survival Analysis in Locally Advanced Pheochromocytoma: First Appraisal

CONTEXT

The behavior of locally advanced pheochromocytoma (LAP) remains unknown.

OBJECTIVE

We characterized the population with LAP and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

METHODS

This retrospective multicentric study was run within the ENDOCAN-COMETE network and French Group of Endocrine Tumors (GTE) from 2003 to 2018, including patients from 11 French referral centers with LAP as defined by capsular invasion, vascular invasion, adipose tissue invasion, and/or positive locoregional lymph nodes at diagnosis without evidence of distant metastasis. The main outcome measure was recurrence, defined as tumor reappearance, including local site and/or distant metastasis. The primary endpoint was RFS analysis; secondary endpoints were characterization, overall survival (OS), and prognostic factors of recurrence.

RESULTS

Among 950 patients, 90 (9%) exhibited LAP criteria and 55 met inclusion criteria (median age, 53 years; 61% males; 14% with germline mutation; 84% with catecholamine excess). LAP was defined by 31 (56%) capsular invasions, 27 (49%) fat invasions, 6 (11%) positive lymph nodes, and 22 (40%) vascular invasions. After median follow-up of 54 months (range, 6-180), 12 patients (22%) had recurrences and 3 (5%) died of metastatic disease. Median RFS was 115 months (range, 6-168). Recurrences were local in 2 patients, distant in 2, and both local and distant in 8 patients. Median OS of patients was not reached. Size above 6.5 cm (P = 0.019) and Ki-67 > 2% (P = 0.028) were identified as independent significant prognostic factors in multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

LAP represents 9% of pheochromocytoma's population and has a metastatic behavior. This study paves the way for future pathological TNM classification.

Clinicopathological Features and Survival Outcomes of Primary Pulmonary Invasive Mucinous Adenocarcinoma

Simple Summary

Pulmonary invasive mucinous adenocarcinoma (IMA) is a recognized variant of lung adenocarcinoma (ADC) that has unique histological patterns. Comprehensively clinical studies and pathological analyses on IMAs have been limited because IMA is rarely diagnosed compared with other subtypes. We compared the clinical characteristics, pathological features, and survival outcomes of 77 IMA patients with 520 non-IMA-type ADC patients. Currently, IMAs lack a simple pathological prognostic grading system to predict survival. We therefore proposed a simple two-tier grading system, which was modified from the low- and high-grade PanIN grading system, to evaluate its prognostic value. We found that IMAs have more distinct clinicopathological characteristics compared to non-IMA-type ADCs. For patients with stage I–IIIA IMA, a new two-tier grading system might be useful in predicting recurrence-free survival. We demonstrated that stage I and II IMAs have better overall survival compared with non-IMA-type ADCs.

Abstract

Pulmonary invasive mucinous adenocarcinoma (IMA) has unique histological patterns. This study aimed to comprehensively evaluate the clinicopathological features, prognosis, and survival outcomes of IMAs. We retrospectively identified 77 patients with pulmonary IMA and reviewed their clinical and pathological features. Another 520 patients with non-IMA-type ADC were retrieved for comparison with patients with IMA. A new two-tier grading system (high-grade and low-grade IMAs) modified from the pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia classification system was used for survival analyses. Compared to patients with non-IMA-type ADC, patients with IMA tended to have never smoked (p = 0.01) and had early-stage IMA at initial diagnosis (p < 0.001). For stage I–II diseases, the five-year overall survival (OS) rates were 76% in IMAs and 50% in non-IMA-type ADCs, and a longer OS was observed in patients with IMA (p = 0.002). KRAS mutations were the most commonly detected driver mutations, which occurred in 12 of the 28 (43%) patients. High-grade IMAs were associated with a shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS) for stage I–IIIA diseases (p = 0.010) than low-grade IMAs but not for OS. In conclusion, patients with stage I and II IMA had better OS than those with non-IMA-type ADC. A new two-tier grading system might be useful for predicting RFS in stage I–IIIA IMAs.

H3K27me3 loss indicates an increased risk of recurrence in the Tübingen meningioma cohort

Background

A loss of the trimethylation of lysine 27 of histone H3 (H3K27me3) in meningioma has been recently suggested as an adjunct to identify subsets of higher risk of recurrence. The aim of the present study was to assess the prognostic value of H3K27 histone trimethylation and its potential clinical utility in the “Tübingen meningioma cohort.”

Methods

Patients who underwent meningioma resection between October 2003 and December 2015 at the University Hospital Tübingen were included. Immunohistochemical stainings for H3K27me3 and the proliferation marker MIB1 were assessed and correlated with clinical parameters using univariate and multivariate Cox regressions as well as Pearson's chi-squared and log-rank test.

Results

Overall, 1268 meningiomas were analyzed with a female to male ratio of 2.6 and a mean age of 58.7 years (range 8.3–91.0). With 163 cases lost to follow up, 1103 cases were available for further analysis with a mean follow-up of 40.3 months (range 1.1–186.3). Male gender, younger age, intracranial tumor localization, progressive tumor, subtotal resection, higher WHO grade, increased MIB1 rate, and loss of H3K27me3 were significant negative prognostic factors in the univariate analysis. H3K27me3 status and all other prognostic factors, except age and tumor location, remained significant in the multivariate model. Furthermore, adjuvant radiotherapy was an independent positive prognostic factor.

Conclusions

Loss of H3K27me3 combined with MIB1 labeling index are independent prognostic factors in meningioma. These data from the Tübingen meningioma cohort support the clinical utility of H3K27me3 immunohistochemical staining in meningioma and its integration into the routine histopathological workup.

Is cystectomy an option as conservative surgery for young patients with borderline ovarian tumor? A multi-institutional retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the impact of cystectomy for borderline ovarian tumor (BOT) on tumor recurrence compared with salpingo-oophorectomy using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW).

METHODS

A central pathologic review and a search of the medical records from 14 collaborating institutions from 1986 to 2017 identified 4708 women with a malignant ovarian neoplasm. Data for young women with Stage I BOT were extracted. To compare recurrence-free survival between the surgery groups, Cox regression analyses and the IPTW-adjusted Kaplan-Meier method were employed.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 62.0 (1.2-270.4) months, 10 of the 285 patients identified (3.5%) developed recurrence. In multivariate analysis, the practice of cystectomy was not a significant prognostic indicator of recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] 1.276 [0.150-10.864]; P = 0.823). In the IPTW-adjusted cohort, the 5-year recurrence-free survival rates were 95.8% and 96.0% in patients receiving cystectomy and salpingo-oophorectomy, respectively (P = 0.378).

CONCLUSION

If patients are selected appropriately, cystectomy in itself may not increase tumor recurrence in young women with early-stage BOT. A large-scale prospective clinical study is necessary to validate this finding.

Long-Term Surgical Outcomes of Liver Resection for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With HBV and HCV Co-Infection: A Multicenter Observational Study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most serious consequences of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study sought to investigate long-term outcomes after liver resection for HCC among patients with HBV/HCV co-infection (HBV/HCV-HCC) compared with patients with HBV infection (HBV-HCC).

METHODS

Patients who underwent curative-intent liver resection for HCC were identified from a multicenter Chinese database. Using propensity score matching (PSM), patients with HBV/HCV-HCC were matched one-to-one to patients with HBV-HCC. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were compared between the two groups before and after PSM.

RESULTS

Among 2,467 patients identified, 93 (3.8%) and 2,374 (96.2%) patients had HBV/HCV-HCC and HBV-HCC, respectively. Compared with patients with HBV-HCC, patients with HBV/HCV-HCC were older, have poorer liver-related characteristics but better tumor-related characteristics. PSM created 88 pairs of patients with comparable liver- and tumor-related characteristics (all P > 0.2). In the PSM cohort, the 3- and 5-year RFS rates in patients with HBV/HCV-HCC were 48.3% and 38.9%, which were significantly poorer than patients with HBV-HCC (61.8% and 49.2%, P = 0.037). Meanwhile, the 3- and 5-year OS rates in patients with HBV/HCV-HCC were also poorer than patients with HBV-HCC (65.4% and 51.1% vs. 73.7% and 63.0%), with a difference close to be significant between them (P = 0.081).

CONCLUSION

Comparing to patients with HBV-HCC, liver resection resulted in relatively poorer long-term surgical outcomes in patients with HBV/HCV-HCC.

Using the aMAP Risk Score to Predict Late Recurrence Following Radiofrequency Ablation for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chinese Population: A Multicenter Study

Objective

This study was conducted to explore the application of age-male-ALBI-platelets (aMAP) score for predicting late recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and develop an aMAP score based-nomogram to predict prognosis in Chinese population.

Materials and Methods

HCC patients who developed late recurrence following RFA at National Cancer Center (NCC) of China, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University and Beijing Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2011 to December 2016 were included as a training cohort, and patients who were treated at Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University between January 2012 and December 2016 were included as an external validation cohort. The optimal cut-off value for aMAP score was determined using X-tile software to discriminate the performance of recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

A total of 339 eligible patients were included in this study. Patients were grouped into low-risk (aMAP score ≤64.2), medium-risk (64.3 ≤aMAP score ≤68.6) and high-risk (aMAP score ≥68.7) groups by X-tile plots. The prognostic factors that affected RFS were the number of lesions and aMAP score. A nomogram was constructed to predict the RFS with a C-index of 0.793 (95% CI: 0.744-0.842). The time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (t-AUCs) of the nomogram to predict 3, 4 and 5-year RFS were 0.808, 0.820 and 0.764, respectively. The model was then tested with data from an external validation cohort. The calibration curve confirmed the optimal agreement between the predicted and observed values.

Conclusion

The aMAP score provided a well-discriminated risk stratification and is an independent prognostic factor for the late recurrence of HCC following RFA. The aMAP score-based nomogram could help to strengthen prognosis-based decision making and formulate adjuvant therapeutic and preventive strategies.

Assessment of Systemic Inflammation and Nutritional Indicators in Predicting Recurrence-Free Survival After Surgical Resection of Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors

Background

Recent studies have shown that the systemic inflammation and nutritional indicators are prognostic for a variety of malignancies. However, only limited data have so far demonstrated their usefulness in gastrointestinal mesenchymal tumors (GIST).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed the data of GIST patients who underwent radical surgery in Beijing hospital from October 2004 to July 2018. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to compare several commonly used inflammatory and nutritional indicators. The indicators with largest AUC were further analysis. Optimal cut-off values of those indicators in predicting recurrence-free survival (RFS) were determined. Kaplan-Meier curve and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to assess the prognostic values. We then used univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to identify prognostic factors that were associated with RFS.

Results

In total, 160 patients who underwent surgery for GIST were included in the study. The median survival time was 34.5 months, with 1-, 3-, and 5-year RFS rates of 96.1%, 84.7%, and 80.8%, respectively. The inflammatory and nutritional indicators with largest AUC were Systemic immunoinflammatory Index (SII) and Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index (GNRI), reached 0.650 and 0.713, respectively. The optimal cutoff of GNRI and SII were 98.3, and 820.0, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that GNRI, SII, KI67, surgery method, tumor location, tumor size, and mitotic index were all significant prognostic indicators of RFS. After multivariate Cox analysis, independent prognostic factors for RFS in GIST included tumor location, mitotic index, tumor size, and GNRI (HR=2.802,95% CI: 1.045 to 7.515, p = 0.041). Besides, SII also tended to be associated with RFS (HR = 2.970, 95% CI: 0.946 to 9.326, p = 0.062).

Conclusions

High GNRI is an independent prognostic factor for RFS in GIST, while SII can be considered as a prognostic factor. GNRI and SII can be used as tools to evaluate the prognosis of patients before surgery, helping doctors to better treat high-risk patients.

Targeted Next-Generation Sequencing Analysis Predicts the Recurrence in Resected Lung Adenocarcinoma Harboring EGFR Mutations

Targeted NGS, widely applied to identify driver oncogenes in advanced lung adenocarcinoma, may also be applied to resected early stage cancers. We investigated resected EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma mutation profiles to evaluate prognostic impacts. Tissues from 131 patients who had complete resection of stage I-IIIA EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma were analyzed by targeted NGS for 207 cancer-related genes. Recurrence free survival (RFS) was estimated according to genetic alterations using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional regression analysis. The relapse rate was 25.2% (33/131). Five-year RFS of stages IA, IB, II, and IIIA were 82%, 75%, 35%, and 0%, respectively (p < 0.001). RFS decreased with the number of co-mutations (p = 0.025). Among co-mutations, the CTNNB1 mutation was associated with short RFS in a multivariate analysis (hazard ratio: 5.4, 95% confidence interval: 2.1-14.4; p = 0.001). TP53 mutations were associated with short RFS in stage IB-IIIA (p = 0.01). RFS was shorter with EGFR exon 19 deletion (19-del) than with mutation 21-L858R in stage IB-IIIA tumors (p = 0.008). Among 19-del subtypes, pL747_P753delinS (6/56, 8.9%) had shorter RFS than pE746_A750del (39/56, 69.6%), the most frequent subtype (p = 0.004).

MALT1 positively correlates with Th1 cells, Th17 cells, and their secreted cytokines and also relates to disease risk, severity, and prognosis of acute ischemic stroke

Background

This study aimed to explore the association of mucosa‐associated lymphoid tissue lymphoma translocation protein 1 (MALT1) with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) risk and also to explore its association with T helper type 1 (Th1) cells, Th17 cells, disease severity, and prognosis in AIS patients.

Methods

One hundred twenty first‐episode AIS patients and 120 non‐AIS patients with high‐stroke‐risk factors (as controls) were recruited. Besides, in the cluster of differentiation 4‐positive (CD4⁺) T cells, the MALT1 gene expression was detected by reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction; meanwhile, Th1 and Th17 were detected by flow cytometry. Moreover, serum interferon (IFN)‐γ and interleukin (IL)‐17 were determined by enzyme‐linked immunosorbent assay.

Results

MALT1 expression was increased in AIS patients compared with controls and also it could differentiate AIS patients from controls, with an area under curve of 0.905 (95% confidence interval: 0.869–0.941). In AIS patients, MALT1 positively correlated with Th1 cells, Th17 cells, IFN‐γ, and IL‐17. Besides, MALT1 positively correlated with the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score. Furthermore, the Kaplan‐Meier curve and univariate Cox's regression analyses showed no correlation of MALT1 high expression with recurrence‐free survival (RFS) in AIS patients, although after adjustment using multivariant Cox's regression, high MALT1 expression independently correlated with worse RFS in AIS patients.

Conclusion

MALT1 expression is increased and positively correlates with disease severity, Th1 cells, and Th17 cells, whose high expression severs as an independent risk factor for worse RFS in AIS patients.

Metabolism-related long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) as potential biomarkers for predicting risk of recurrence in breast cancer patients

Metabolism affects the development, progression, and prognosis of various cancers, including breast cancer (BC). Our aim was to develop a metabolism-related long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) signature to assess the prognosis of BC patients in order to optimize treatment. Metabolism-related genes between breast tumors and normal tissues were screened out, and Pearson correlation analysis was used to investigate metabolism-related lncRNAs. In total, five metabolism-related lncRNAs were enrolled to establish prognostic signatures. Kaplan-Meier plots and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves demonstrated good performance in both training and validation groups. Further analysis demonstrated that the signature was an independent prognostic factor for BC. A nomogram incorporating risk score and tumor stage was then constructed to evaluate the 3 - and 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with BC. In conclusion, this study identified a metabolism-related lncRNA signature that can predict RFS of BC patients and established a prognostic nomogram that helps guide the individualized treatment of patients at different risks.

Signature Panel of 11 Methylated mRNAs and 3 Methylated lncRNAs for Prediction of Recurrence-Free Survival in Prostate Cancer Patients

Background

Radical prostatectomy is the main treatment for prostate cancer (PCa), a common cancer type among men. Recurrence frequently occurs in a proportion of patients. Therefore, there is a great need to early screen those patients to specifically schedule adjuvant therapy to improve the recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate. This study aims to develop a biomarker to predict RFS for patients with PCa based on the data of methylation, an important heritable contributor to carcinogenesis.

Methods

Methylation expression data of PCa patients were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), Gene Expression Omnibus database (GSE26126), and the European Bioinformatics Institute (E-MTAB-6131). The stable co-methylation modules were identified by weighted gene co-expression network analysis. The genes in modules were overlapped with differentially methylated RNAs (DMRs) screened by MetaDE package in three datasets, which were used to screen the prognostic genes using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analyses. The prognostic performance of the prognostic signature was assessed by survival curve analysis.

Results

Five co-methylation modules were considered preserved in three datasets. A total of 192 genes in these 5 modules were overlapped with 985 DMRs, from which a signature panel of 11 methylated messenger RNAs and 3 methylated long non-coding RNAs was identified. This signature panel could independently predict the 5-year RFS of PCa patients, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.969 for the training TCGA dataset and 0.811 for the testing E-MTAB-6131 dataset, both of which were higher than the predictive accuracy of Gleason score (AUC = 0.689). Also, the patients with the same Gleason score (6–7 or 8–10) could be further divided into the high-risk group and the low-risk group.

Conclusion

These results suggest that our prognostic model may be a promising biomarker for clinical prediction of RFS in PCa patients.

Microvascular invasion may be the determining factor in selecting TACE as the initial treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

ABSTRACT

The aim of this study was to investigate factors affecting tumor necrosis with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE). Factors associated with early hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after curative hepatectomy were also evaluated.Data of 51 patients who underwent surgery after a single session of TACE at a single university hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Factors that might affect tumor necrosis were determined by evaluating the TACE approach and by analyzing computed tomography and TACE findings, pathologic reports, and laboratory findings.In univariate analysis, microvascular invasion (MVI), radiological capsule appearance on the computed tomography, chronic hepatitis B, diabetes mellitus and serum albumin, MVI were significantly associated with tumor necrosis by TACE (P < .02). In multivariate analysis, MVI was the only statistically significant factor in TACE-induced tumor necrosis (P = .001). In univariate and multivariate analysis, MVI was the strongest factor for recurrence-free survival rate within 2 years (P = .008, P = .002).MVI could be a crucial factor in determining TACE as an initial treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma. MVI is also a strong indicator of recurrence within 2 years after curative hepatic resection.

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio as a predictor of tumor recurrence and prognosis in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing radiofrequency ablation as initial therapy

OBJECTIVE

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR), a newly developed blood biomarker, has been reported to have prognostic value in several types of cancer. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of AAPR in patients with early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing radiofrequency ablation (RFA) as initial therapy.

METHODS

This retrospective study analyzed 445 patients with newly diagnosed HCC undergoing RFA as initial therapy. A series of survival analyses were performed to evaluate the prognostic value of AAPR. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors. An AAPR-based nomogram was constructed, and its predictive performance was validated.

RESULTS

Patients with a low AAPR had a significantly reduced recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) compared with those with a high AAPR. AAPR was found to be an independent prognostic indicator and showed superior discrimination efficacy than other liver function indices. The AAPR-based nomogram had a concordance index value of 0.72 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.65-0.79) in the training cohort and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.63-0.81) in the validation cohort, which significantly outperformed other existing staging systems.

CONCLUSIONS

AAPR serves as a promising indicator of prognosis in patients with early-stage HCC undergoing RFA. The AAPR-based nomogram might contribute to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision making.

Long-term survival outcomes after primary transoral robotic surgery (TORS) with concurrent neck dissection for early-stage oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

In 2013, transoral robotic surgery (TORS) was implemented as a protocolled treatment alternative to the traditional radiotherapy (RT) in Denmark for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). In 2017, we published our first prospective feasibility study, showing that TORS with concurrent neck dissection successfully achieved negative margins in 29 out of 30 patients (97%) with early-stage OPSCC.

AIMS/OBJECTIVES

This follow-up study aims to evaluate the five-year overall survival (OS), disease-specific survival (DSS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

METHODS

Retrospective follow-up study including 30 patients treated with TORS for early-stage OPSCC (T1-T2, N0-N1, M0, UICC 7th edition) from September 2014 to January 2016 at a single head and neck cancer centre in Denmark. The five-year OS, DSS and RFS, including a detailed analysis of the recurrences, were addressed.

RESULTS

The five-year OS, DSS and RFS was 90%, 93% and 87%, respectively. Median follow-up was 54.5 months. Four patients developed a recurrence, with one regional, one distant metastatic (M) and two locoregional recurrences. The median time to recurrence was 24 months (range 3-42 months).

CONCLUSIONS AND SIGNIFICANCE

This follow-up study demonstrates good five-year OS, DSS and RFS in a prospective cohort of patients undergoing TORS and neck dissection for early-stage OPSCC.

Comprehensive Analysis and Identification of an Immune-Related Gene Signature with Prognostic Value for Prostate Cancer

Background

The tumor microenvironment (TME) has recently been proven to play a crucial role in the development and prognosis of tumors. However, the current knowledge on the potential of the TME in prostate cancer (PCa) remains scarce.

Purpose

This study aims to elucidate the value of TME-related genes for PCa prognosis by integrative bioinformatics analysis.

Materials and Methods

We downloaded the immune and stromal scores of PCa samples via the ESTIMATE and correlated these scores to clinicopathological characteristics and recurrence-free survival (RFS) of patients. Based on these scores, the TME-related differentially expressed genes were identified for functional enrichment analysis. Cox regression analyses were performed to identify prognostic genes and establish a predictive risk model. Moreover, gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) was performed to evaluate the relationship between risk score and immune pathway.

Results

The stromal and immune scores were associated with clinicopathological characteristics and RFS in PCa patients. In total, 238 intersecting differentially expressed genes were identified. Functional enrichment analysis further revealed that these genes dramatically participated in the immune-related pathways. The immune-related risk model was built with C-type lectin domain containing 7A (CLEC7A) and collagen type XI alpha 1 chain (COL11A1) using Cox regression analyses. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis showed that the expression levels of CLEC7A and COL11A1 were significantly associated with the RFS. Further, the RFS time in high-risk group was significantly shorter than that in low-risk group. The areas under the curve for the risk model in predicting 3- and 5-year RFS rates were 0.694 and 0.731, respectively. GSEA suggested that immunosuppression existed in high-risk PCa patients.

Conclusion

CLEC7A and COL11A1 were selected to build a predictive risk model, which may help clinicians to assess the prognosis of PCa patients and select appropriate targets for immunotherapy.

Prognostic Nomogram for Patients With Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma of Pancreatic Head After Pancreaticoduodenectomy

Background:

The prognosis of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) of pancreatic head remains poor, even after potentially curative R0 resection. The aim of this study was to develop an accurate model to predict patients’ prognosis for PDAC of pancreatic head following pancreaticoduodenectomy.

Methods:

We retrospectively reviewed 112 patients with PDAC of pancreatic head after pancreaticoduodenectomy in Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital between 2014 and 2018.

Results:

Five prognostic factors were identified using univariate Cox regression analysis, including age, histologic grade, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Stage 8th, total bilirubin (TBIL), CA19-9. Using all subset analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis, we developed a nomogram consisted of age, AJCC Stage 8th, perineural invasion, TBIL, and CA19-9, which had higher C-indexes for OS (0.73) and RFS (0.69) compared with AJCC Stage 8th alone (OS: 0.66; RFS: 0.67). The area under the curve (AUC) values of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the nomogram for OS and RFS were significantly higher than other single parameter, which are AJCC Stage 8th, age, perineural invasion, TBIL, and CA19-9. Importantly, our nomogram displayed higher C-index for OS than previous reported models, indicating a better predictive value of our model.

Conclusions:

A simple and practical nomogram for patient prognosis in PDAC of pancreatic head following pancreaticoduodenectomy was established, which shows satisfactory predictive efficacy and deserves further evaluation in the future.

Prior Therapy With Pegylated-Interferon Alfa-2b Improves the Efficacy of Adjuvant Pembrolizumab in Resectable Advanced Melanoma

Combination immunotherapy can overcome the limited objective response rates of PD-1 blockade. Interferon alpha (IFN-α) has been proven to be effective in modulating immune responses and may enhance the clinical responses to PD-1 blockade. According to clinical practice guidelines, IFN-α was recommended as adjuvant therapy for stage IIB/C melanoma patients. However, the impact of prior IFN-α therapy on the efficacy of subsequent PD-1 blockade in melanoma has not been previously reported. Therefore, we performed a retrospective analysis for melanoma patients and addressed whether prior IFN-α therapy enhanced adjuvant pembrolizumab as later-line treatment. Fifty-six patients with resectable stage III/IV melanoma who received adjuvant therapy with pembrolizumab were retrospectively enrolled in this study. Notably, 25 patients received adjuvant pegylated IFN-α (PEG-IFN-α) in the prior line of treatment while 31 patients did not receive prior PEG-IFN-α therapy. Cox regression analysis showed that prior PEG-IFN-α therapy was associated with the efficacy of later-line adjuvant pembrolizumab (hazard ratio=0.37, 95% CI 0.16-0.89; P = 0.026). The recurrence rates after treatment with adjuvant pembrolizumab were significantly reduced in the prior PEG-IFN-α group (P < 0.001). The Kaplan-Meier analysis also showed that recurrence-free survival (RFS) after adjuvant pembrolizumab therapy was prolonged by prior PEG-IFN-α treatment (median RFS_Pem 8.5 months vs. 4.5 months; P = 0.0372). These findings indicated that prior PEG-IFN-α could enhance the efficacy of adjuvant pembrolizumab. The long-lasting effects of PEG-IFN-α provide a new rationale for designing combination or sequential immunotherapy.

Why do some patients with stage 1A and 1B endometrial endometrioid carcinoma experience recurrence? A retrospective study in search of prognostic factors

OBJECTIVES

Endometrial endometrioid carcinoma (EEC) is the most encountered subtype of endometrial cancer (EC). Our study aimed to investigate the factors affecting recurrence in patients with stage 1A and 1B EEC.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Our study included 284 patients diagnosed with the International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics stage 1A/1B EEC in our center from 2010 to 2018. The clinicopathological characteristics of the patients were obtained retrospectively from their electronic files.

RESULTS

The median age of the patients was 60 years (range 31-89). The median follow-up time of the patients was 63.6 months (range 3.3-185.6). Twenty-two (7.74%) patients relapsed during follow-up. Among the relapsed patients, 59.1% were at stage 1A ECC, and 40.9% were at stage 1B. In our study, the one-, three-, and five-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates were 98.9%, 95.4%, and 92.9%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, grade and tumor size were found to be independent parameters of RFS in all stage 1 EEC patients. Furthermore, the Ki-67 index was found to affect RFS in stage 1A EEC patients, and tumor grade affected RFS in stage 1B EEC patients. In the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the statistically significant cut-off values were determined for tumor size and Ki-67 index in stage 1 EEC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Stage 1-EEC patients in the higher risk group in terms of tumor size, Ki-67, and grade should be closely monitored for recurrence. Defining the prognostic factors for recurrence in stage 1 EEC patients may lead to changes in follow-up algorithms.

Prognostic importance of IDH mutations in chondrosarcoma: An individual patient data meta-analysis

Introduction

IDH1/2 mutations are prevalent in cartilaginous tumors including chondrosarcoma. This meta‐analysis using individual patient data (IPD) aimed to investigate the clinical and prognostic association of these mutations in chondrosarcoma patients.

Methods

Two electronic databases including PubMed and Web of Science were searched for relevant data. We included studies providing IPD of chondrosarcoma with available IDH1/2 mutational status for meta‐analysis. Chi‐square and t‐test were performed to compare the groups with and without IDH1/2 mutations. For survival analysis, log‐rank test, and Cox proportional hazards model were used to investigate the association of IDH mutations with patient outcomes.

Results

Fourteen studies with 488 patients were analyzed. IDH1 and IDH2 mutations were detected in 38.7% and 12.1% of cases, respectively. IDH1/2 mutations were significantly associated with an older age (p = 0.003), tumor origins (p < 0.001), tumor grades (p < 0.001), larger diameter (p = 0.003), relapse (p = 0.014), and patient mortality (p = 0.04). Multivariate Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, gender, tumor grade, and tumor sites confirmed the negative impact of IDH1/2 mutations on patient overall survival (HR = 1.90; 95% CI = 1.06–3.42; p = 0.03).

Conclusion

Our meta‐analysis demonstrated the distinct characteristics of IDH1/2‐mutated chondrosarcomas in comparison to those without mutations. These mutations could serve as an independent prognostic biomarker to better prognosticate patient outcomes and design appropriate treatment plans.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram for Postoperative Recurrence-Free Survival of Ameloblastoma

Purpose

Ameloblastoma is a benign odontogenic neoplasm with a high local recurrence rate if the operation is not thorough. However, a useful clinical tool for the quantitative assessment of the prognosis and risk of postoperative recurrence of ameloblastoma has not yet been constructed. This study aims to develop a prognostic nomogram model for ameloblastoma of the jaw to assist surgeons in surgical decision-making.

Patients and Methods

Patients who underwent initial surgery for ameloblastoma in our department from October 2004 to March 2020 were enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation sets. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were performed to identify the independent prognostic factors, from which a nomogram for predicting 3-, 5- and 10-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) of ameloblastoma was constructed using the training set and internally validated using the validation set. The model performance was assessed by Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves.

Results

A total of 302 eligible patients with ameloblastoma were enrolled, 54 of whom were confirmed to relapse during the follow-up period of 6 to 191 months. Four independent predictors, including cortical bone perforation, root(s) resorption, WHO classification, and treatment pattern, were identified and included in the construction of a nomogram for recurrence-free survival (RFS), which showed promising calibration performance and discrimination in the training set (C-index 0.790, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.735–0.845) and the validation set (C-index 0.734, 95% CI 0.599–0.869).

Conclusion

A favorable nomogram was developed that accurately predicted the RFS of patients with ameloblastoma based on individual characteristics. Risk stratification using the nomogram could optimize tailored therapy and follow-up.

Expression and Clinical Significance of Microtubule-Actin Cross-Linking Factor 1 in Serous Ovarian Cancer

BACKGROUND

Ovarian Cancer (OC) remains the first leading cause of gynecologic malignancy. The survival rate from Serous Ovarian Cancer (SOC) is very low, and the present prognostic predictors of SOC are not very sensitive or specific.

OBJECTIVE

The present study aimed to investigate Microtubule-Actin Cross-Linking Factor 1 (MACF1) expression in SOC tissues (including paraffin-embedded and fresh tissues) and to assess its expression and significant value in patients with SOC.

METHODS

A total of 18 fresh SOC tissues and their paired paratumor tissues were performed with reverse-transcription quantitative PCR analysis to detect MACF1 mRNA expression. Moreover, 175 paraffin-embedded SOC tissues and 41 paratumor tissues were assessed for MACF1 expression using immunohistochemistry.

RESULTS

The mRNA and protein expression of MACF1, both were higher in cancer tissues than that in paratumor tissues, and the high expression of MACF1 was associated with shorter Recurrence Free Survival (RFS) and Overall Survival (OS) in patients with SOC. Furthermore, multivariate regression analysis showed that high MACF1 expression was an independent poor survival predictor of patients with SOC.

CONCLUSION

MACF1 is upregulated in SOC, and it may be used as a useful prognostic biomarker in SOC.

Inhibition of Antiestrogen-Promoted Pro-Survival Autophagy and Tamoxifen Resistance in Breast Cancer through Vitamin D Receptor

We determined how vitamin D receptor (VDR) is linked to disease outcome in estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer patients treated with tamoxifen (TAM). Breast cancer patients (n = 581) in four different datasets were divided into those expressing higher (above median) and lower levels of VDR in pretreatment ER+ tumors. Across all datasets, TAM-treated patients with higher pretreatment tumor VDR expression exhibited significantly longer recurrence-free survival. Ingenuity pathway analysis identified autophagy and unfolded protein response (UPR) as top differentially expressed pathways between high and low VDR-expressing ER+ cancers. Activation of VDR with vitamin D (VitD), either calcitriol or its synthetic analog EB1089, sensitized MCF-7-derived, antiestrogen-resistant LCC9 human breast cancer cells to TAM, and attenuated increased UPR and pro-survival autophagy. Silencing of VDR blocked these effects through the IRE1α-JNK pathway. Further, silencing of VDR impaired sensitivity to TAM in antiestrogen-responsive LCC1 cells, and prevented the effects of calcitriol and EB1089 on UPR and autophagy. In a preclinical mouse model, dietary VitD supplementation induced VDR activation and reduced carcinogen-induced ER+ mammary tumor incidence. In addition, IRE1α-JNK signaling was downregulated and survival autophagy was inhibited in mammary tumors of VitD-supplemented mice. Thus, activation of VDR is predictive of reduced risk of breast cancer recurrence in ER+ patients, possibly by inhibiting antiestrogen-promoted pro-survival autophagy.