Sarcopenic Obesity Promotes Recurrence in Patients Undergoing Resection for Colorectal Liver Metastases (CRLM)

BACKGROUND/AIM

Sarcopenia, is predictive of a worse outcome after resection for colorectal liver metastases (CRLM). Obesity leads to a metabolic double burden if sarcopenia is as present, prompting malignancy progression, known as sarcopenic obesity (SO). This study aimed to compare sarcopenia and SO in patients undergoing CRLM resection, to prognostic parameters.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The skeletal muscle index (SMI) defined sarcopenia using sex specific cut off values (48.4 cm2/m2 for females and 59.1 cm2/m2 for males) by calculating the preoperative muscle mass at the vertebral height L3 using OSIRIX DICOM viewer. SO was determined as sarcopenia in patients showing obesity, as shown via fat percentage measurements on the preoperative CT scan. Established prognostic parameters (KRAS status, TNM classification, inflammatory response) were evaluated against SMI and SO to assess their predictability for postoperative outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 251 patients (62% female, median age 68 years) were included. Sarcopenic patients showed a threefold higher risk for postoperative death as compared to non-sarcopenic patients (p=0.04). Prevalent SO increased this risk to fivefold (p=0.01) compared to non-sarcopenic patients. COX regression analysis revealed SO and KRAS positivity as independent prognostic factors for disease-free survival (SO: p=0.038; KRAS: p=0.041; TNM, tumor size, Charlson Comorbidity Index, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio all not significant). Patients risk of death in case of KRAS positivity and SO was seven times higher (p=0.03).

CONCLUSION

There seems to be a benefit in merging data on mutational status and muscle wasting in patients with CRLM to facilitate an individual, patient-tailored approach.

A novel nomogram for prediction of intrahepatic recurrence-free survival in patients with HCC followed by radiofrequency ablation

OBJECTIVE

Although radiofrequency ablation (RFA) has been considered as the favourable treatment option for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), there still exist some challenges for new recurrence after RFA. The present study aims to determine the factors affecting recurrence and develop an effective model to predict intrahepatic recurrence-free survival (RFS).

METHODS

Patients with HCC followed by RFA between 2000 and 2021 were included in this study. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to determine the independent prognostic factors and establish the nomogram predicting intrahepatic RFS after RFA. The predictive performance of the nomogram was assessed according to the C-index, calibration plots, and Kaplan-Meier curves stratified by the tertiles.

RESULTS

A total of 801 sessions in 660 patients (including 1155 lesions) were enrolled into this study. Intrahepatic new recurrence was observed in all patients during the follow-up, and the mean intrahepatic RFS was 21.9 months in the present cohort. According to multivariate COX regression analysis, five independent prognostic factors affecting intrahepatic RFS were determined, including age, Child-Pugh class, tumour distribution, number of tumours, and a-fetoprotein (AFP). Based on all independent prognostic factors, the nomogram model was developed and evaluated, which achieved favourable discrimination and calibration.

CONCLUSION

This study established five independent prognostic factors and constructed a nomogram model to predict intrahepatic RFS for HCC patients followed by RFA. It could better help clinicians select RFA candidates, as well as offering the important information about whether patients need receive comprehensive treatment to prevent new recurrence after RFA.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

(1) In this study, 5 preoperative clinic-pathological variables were determined as the independent prognostic factors affecting RFS after RFA in the current largest sample size. (2) Based on these independent prognostic factors, a prognostic nomogram predicting RFS after RFA was established, which may be used to select patients who benefit from RFA and could help both surgeons and patients provide useful information for choosing the personalized treatment.

Prognostic significance of pyroptosis-associated molecules in endometrial cancer: a comprehensive immunohistochemical analysis

Introduction

Endometrial cancer, the most prevalent malignancy of the female genital tract, has a concerningly poor prognosis when diagnosed in advanced stages, with limited targeted therapy options available for advanced or recurrent cases. Pyroptosis, a type of nonapoptotic cell death mediated by caspase-1, has shown potential antitumor effects in various tumors. NLRP3, a cytosolic sensor, initiates the canonical pyroptotic pathway, leading to caspase-1 activation, subsequent gasdermin D cleavage, and plasma membrane pore formation. The ESCRT-III machinery, particularly CHMP4B, acts as a key inhibitor of pyroptosis by repairing gasdermin D-induced membrane damage. The current study aimed to evaluate the clinicopathologic relevance of key pyroptosis-associated molecules in endometrial cancer.

Methods

Immunohistochemistry was used to assess the expression of four pyroptosis-associated molecules (NLRP3, cleaved caspase-1 p20, cleaved gasdermin D, and CHMP4B) in 351 patients with endometrial cancer, and their associations with clinical, pathological, and survival outcomes were analyzed.

Results

High NLRP3 expression was significantly associated with age ≤ 50 years and premenopause. Increased cleaved caspase-1 p20 expression was associated with nonendometrioid carcinoma, Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) grade 3, and the p53 mutant pattern and was independently associated with poor recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival. Increased cleaved gasdermin D expression was associated with a body mass index of >25 kg/m², FIGO grades 1-2, early FIGO stage (I-II), and absence of lymph node metastasis. High CHMP4B expression was associated with nonendometrioid carcinoma and poor RFS. Cleaved gasdermin D-high/CHMP4B-low endometrial cancer was associated with endometrioid carcinoma, FIGO grades 1-2 and favorable RFS.

Discussion

Our study identified cleaved caspase-1 p20 as an independent predictor of adverse outcomes in endometrial cancer. CHMP4B, an inhibitor of pyroptosis, was associated with an unfavorable RFS, whereas high cleaved gasdermin D/low CHMP4B expression was associated with a favorable RFS. These findings underscore the prognostic significance of pyroptosis and the potential interaction between cleaved gasdermin D and CHMP4B in endometrial cancer.

Associations between R.E.N.A.L. nephrometry score and survival outcomes in renal tumours

OBJECTIVE

The radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry score could be used to predict surgical outcomes and renal tumour aggressiveness. We aimed to analyse its associations with survival outcomes.

METHODS

We included 1368 patients with sporadic, unilateral and non-metastatic renal tumours who received curative nephrectomy in Zhongshan Hospital from January 2009 to September 2019. Radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry scores were assigned by three urologists based on preoperative CT/MRI scans. Correlations between parameters or sum of radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry scores, overall survival and recurrence-free survival were analysed by Kaplan-Meier analyses and the multivariate Cox regression model. We further compared survival outcomes between patients who received partial nephrectomy and patients who received radical nephrectomy.

RESULTS

We observed statistically significant associations between all components of radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry scores and oncologic outcomes, including R (radius) (overall survival, P < 0.001; recurrence-free survival , P < 0.001), E (exophytic/endophytic) (overall survival, P = 0.003; recurrence-free survival, P < 0.001), N (nearness) (overall survival, P = 0.063; recurrence-free survival, P < 0.001), A (anterior/posterior) (overall survival, P < 0.001; recurrence-free survival, P = 0.005), L (location) (overall survival, P = 0.008; recurrence-free survival, P < 0.001) and suffix 'h' (overall survival, P = 0.237; recurrence-free survival, P = 0.034). Kaplan-Meier curves of overall survival and recurrence-free survival rates were significantly different when stratified by radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry score complexity group (overall survival, P < 0.001; recurrence-free survival, P < 0.001). After adjusting for tumour stage and grade, radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry score as continuous variables was an adverse independent risk factor for survival outcomes [P = 0.027, hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) = 1.151 (1.016-1.303)] and recurrence-free survival [P < 0.001, hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) = 1.299 (1.125-1.501)]. For tumours with radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry scores of 4 and 5, partial nephrectomy showed a survival benefit than radical nephrectomy.

CONCLUSION

Both components and complexity groups of the radius-exophytic/endophytic-nearness-anterior/posterior-location nephrometry score are associated with survival outcomes in renal tumour patients.

Construction and Validation of a Novel Nomogram Predicting Recurrence in Alpha-Fetoprotein-Negative Hepatocellular Carcinoma Post-Surgery Using an Innovative Liver Function-Nutrition-Inflammation-Immune (LFNII) Score: A Bicentric Investigation

Purpose

We developed a nomogram based on the liver function, nutrition, inflammation, and immunity (LFNII) score to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) post-resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) exhibiting alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) negativity (AFP ≤20 ng/mL).

Patients and Methods

Clinical data of 661 patients diagnosed with alpha-fetoprotein-negative hepatocellular carcinoma (AFP-NHCC) who underwent surgical resection at two medical centers between 2012 and 2021 were collected. A total of 462 and 199 patients served as the training and validation sets, respectively. Pre-operative blood markers were collected and analyzed for LFNII. The LFNII score was formulated using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression model. A nomogram model was developed using the training set to incorporate other relevant clinicopathological indicators and predict postoperative recurrence. Model discrimination was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration was evaluated using a calibration curve, and clinical applicability was assessed using clinical decision curve analysis. A comparison with liver cancer staging was performed using the nomogram model. Finally, a cohort study was conducted to validate our findings.

Results

We derived the LFNII scores from nine indicators. Elevated LFNII scores correlated with unfavorable clinicopathological features. The LFNII score area under the curve revealed superior predictive efficacy at 1-, 2-, and 5-year RFS intervals, with values of 0.675, 0.658, and 0.633, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed that a high LFNII score independently increased RFS risk in patients with AFP-NHCC. The C-index of the LFNII-nomogram model was 0.686 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.651-0.721). The nomogram model's clinical application value surpassed that of standard HCC staging systems.

Conclusion

The LFNII score-derived nomogram effectively predicted the RFS of patients with AFP-NHCC after curative resection.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein response as a preoperative prognostic indicator in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma with salvage hepatectomy following conversion therapy: a multicenter retrospective study

Background

This study evaluates the efficacy of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) response as a surrogate marker for determining recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) who undergo salvage hepatectomy following conversion therapy with tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) and anti-PD-1 antibody-based regimen.

Methods

This multicenter retrospective study included 74 patients with uHCC and positive AFP (>20 ng/mL) at diagnosis, who underwent salvage hepatectomy after treatment with TKIs and anti-PD-1 antibody-based regimens. The association between AFP response-defined as a ≥ 80% decrease in final AFP levels before salvage hepatectomy from diagnosis-and RFS post-hepatectomy was investigated.

Results

AFP responders demonstrated significantly better postoperative RFS compared to non-responders (P<0.001). The median RFS was not reached for AFP responders, with 1-year and 2-year RFS rates of 81.3% and 70.8%, respectively. In contrast, AFP non-responders had a median RFS of 7.43 months, with 1-year and 2-year RFS rates at 37.1% and 37.1%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified AFP response as an independent predictor of RFS. Integrating AFP response with radiologic tumor response facilitated further stratification of patients into distinct risk categories: those with radiologic remission experienced the most favorable RFS, followed by patients with partial response/stable disease and AFP response, and the least favorable RFS among patients with partial response/stable disease but without AFP response. Sensitivity analyses further confirmed the association between AFP response and improved RFS across various cutoff values and in patients with AFP ≥ 200 ng/mL at diagnosis (all P<0.05).

Conclusion

The "20-80" rule based on AFP response could be helpful for clinicians to preoperatively stratify the risk of patients undergoing salvage hepatectomy, enabling identification and management of those unlikely to benefit from this procedure.

Reevaluating Axillary Lymph Node Dissection in Total Mastectomy for Low Axillary Burden Breast Cancer: Insights from a Meta-Analysis including the SINODAR-ONE Trial

Complete axillary lymph node dissection (cALND) was previously the standard of care for breast cancer (BC) patients with axillary node disease or macro-metastases found via sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). However, due to significant morbidity, contemporary management now considers a more selective approach, influenced by studies like ACOSOG Z0011. This trial showed that cALND could be omitted without compromising local control or survival in patients with low axillary nodal disease burden undergoing breast-conserving therapy, radiotherapy, and systemic therapy. The relevance of this approach for women with low axillary nodal burden undergoing total mastectomy (TM) remained unclear. A PubMed search up to September 2023 identified 147 relevant studies, with 6 meeting the inclusion criteria, involving 4184 patients with BC and low-volume axillary disease (1-3 positive lymph nodes) undergoing TM. Postmastectomy radiotherapy receipt was similar in both groups. After a mean 7.2-year follow-up, both the pooled results and the meta-analysis revealed no significant differences in overall survival. The combined analysis of the published studies, including the subgroup analysis of the SINODAR-One trial, indicates no survival advantage for cALND over SLNB in T1-T2 breast cancer patients with 1-3 positive sentinel lymph nodes (pN1) undergoing mastectomy. This suggests that, following a multidisciplinary evaluation, cALND can be safely omitted. However, the impact of other patient, tumor, and treatment factors on survival requires consideration and therefore further prospective trials are needed for conclusive validation.

Peritumoral Fat Content Identified Using Iterative Decomposition of Water and Fat with Echo Asymmetry and Least-squares Estimation (IDEAL) Correlates with Breast Cancer Prognosis

PURPOSE

Adipocytes around aggressive breast cancer (BC) are less lipid different from naive adipocytes (cancer-associated adipocytes, CAAs), and peritumoral edema caused by the release of cytokines from CAAs can conduce to decrease the peritumoral fat proportion. The purpose of this study was to correlate peritumoral fat content identified by using iterative decomposition of water and fat with echo asymmetry and least-squares estimation (IDEAL) with lymph node metastasis (LNM) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in BC patients and to compare with T2-weighted (T2WI) and diffusion-weighted images (DWI) analyses.

METHODS

This retrospective study consisted of 85 patients who were diagnosed with invasive carcinoma of breast and underwent breast MRI, including IDEAL before surgery. The scan time of fat fraction (FF) map imaging using IDEAL was 33s. Four regions of interest (ROIs), which are 5 mm from the tumor edge, and one ROI in the mammary fat of the healthy side were set on the FF map. Then average peritumoral FF values (TFF), average FF values on the healthy side (HFF), and peritumoral fat ratio (PTFR, which is defined as TFF/HFF) were calculated. Tumor apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values were measured on ADC map obtained by DWI. Peritumoral edema was classified into three grades based on the degree of signal intensity around the tumor on T2WI (T2 edema).

RESULTS

The results of stepwise logistic regression analysis for four variables (TFF, PTFR, T2 edema, and ADC value) indicated that TFF and T2 edema were significant factors of LNM (p < 0.01). RFS was significantly associated with TFF (p = 0.016), and 47 of 49 (95.9%) patients with TFF more than 85.5% were alive without recurrence.

CONCLUSION

Peritumoral fat content identified by using IDEAL is associated with LNM and RFS and may therefore be a useful prognostic biomarker for BC.

Predictive factors and oncological outcomes of pathological T3a upstaging in patients with clinical T1 renal cell carcinoma undergoing partial nephrectomy

OBJECTIVES

To investigate predictive factors and oncological outcomes of pathological T3a upstaging in renal cell carcinoma patients who were initially diagnosed as clinical T1 and treated with partial nephrectomy.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

The clinical records and survival data of 1617 patients, who had undergone partial nephrectomy for clinical T1 renal cell carcinoma at Tokyo Women's Medical University, Tokyo, Japan between January 2011 and December 2020, were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

Of 1617 clinical T1 renal cell carcinoma patients who underwent partial nephrectomy, 28 (1.73%) had pathological T3a upstaging. In the multivariable analysis for pathological T3a upstaging using logistic regression models, male sex and clinical T1b were significant factors associated with pathological T3a upstaging (male sex: odds ratio = 5.07, 95% confidence interval: 1.18-21.8, clinical T1b: odds ratio = 8.36, 95% confidence interval: 3.56-19.6). The Kaplan-Meier method of the recurrence-free survival showed shorter recurrence-free survival in patients with pathological T3a upstaging than in those with pathological T1 (P < 0.0001). In the multivariable analysis using Cox proportional hazards regression models, pathological T3a upstaging was no longer significantly associated with recurrence-free survival after adjustment for other pathological factors (hazard ratio = 1.59, 95% confidence interval: 0.58-4.36). In a sensitivity analysis that analyzed its components individually instead of whole pathological T3a, neither perinephric fat invasion, sinus fat invasion, nor renal vein invasion was associated with recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Male sex and clinical T1b were significant predictors for pathological T3a upstaging after partial nephrectomy in clinical T1 renal cell carcinoma patients. Although patients with pathological T3a upstaging had worse recurrence-free survival compared with those without upstaging, multivariable analyses revealed that pathological T3a upstaging was not an independent predictor for poor recurrence-free survival.

Adjuvant therapy provides no additional recurrence-free benefit for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients after neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy and surgery: a multi-center propensity score match study

Purpose

The need for adjuvant therapy (AT) following neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy (nICT) and surgery in esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) remains uncertain. This study aims to investigate whether AT offers additional benefits in terms of recurrence-free survival (RFS) for ESCC patients after nICT and surgery.

Methods

Retrospective analysis was conducted between January 2019 and December 2022 from three centers. Eligible patients were divided into two groups: the AT group and the non-AT group. Survival analyses comparing different modalities of AT (including adjuvant chemotherapy and adjuvant chemoimmunotherapy) with non-AT were performed. The primary endpoint was RFS. Propensity score matching(PSM) was used to mitigate inter-group patient heterogeneity. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analysis were employed for recurrence-free survival analysis.

Results

A total of 155 nICT patients were included, with 26 patients experiencing recurrence. According to Cox analysis, receipt of adjuvant therapy emerged as an independent risk factor(HR:2.621, 95%CI:[1.089,6.310], P=0.032), and there was statistically significant difference in the Kaplan-Meier survival curves between non-AT and receipt of AT in matched pairs (p=0.026). Stratified analysis revealed AT bring no survival benefit to patients with pathological complete response(p= 0.149) and residual tumor cell(p=0.062). Subgroup analysis showed no significant difference in recurrence-free survival between non-AT and adjuvant chemoimmunotherapy patients(P=0.108). However, patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy exhibited poorer recurrence survival compared to non-AT patients (p= 0.016).

Conclusion

In terms of recurrence-free survival for ESCC patients after nICT and surgery, the necessity of adjuvant therapy especially the adjuvant chemotherapy, can be mitigated.

Intrauterine manipulator during hysterectomy for endometrial cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of oncologic outcomes

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the effects on oncologic outcomes of intrauterine manipulator use during laparoscopic hysterectomy for endometrial cancer.

DATA SOURCES

A systematic literature search was performed by an expert librarian in multiple electronic databases from inception to January 31, 2023.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

We included all studies in the English language that compared oncologic outcomes (recurrence-free, cause-specific, or overall survival) between endometrial cancer patients who underwent total laparoscopic or robotic hysterectomy for endometrial cancer with vs without the use of an intrauterine manipulator. Studies comparing only peritoneal cytology status or lymphovascular space invasion were summarized for completeness. No selection criteria were applied to the study design.

METHODS

Four reviewers independently reviewed studies for inclusion, assessed their risk of bias, and extracted data. Pooled hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals were estimated for oncologic outcomes using the random effect model. Heterogeneity was quantified using the I2 tests. Publication bias was assessed by funnel plot and Egger test.

RESULTS

Out of 350 identified references, we included 2 randomized controlled trials and 12 observational studies for a total of 14 studies and 5,019 patients. The use of an intrauterine manipulator during hysterectomy for endometrial cancer was associated with a pooled hazard ratio for recurrence of 1.52 (95% confidence interval, 0.99-2.33; P=.05; I2=31%; chi square P value=.22). Pooled hazard ratio for recurrence was 1.48 (95% confidence interval, 0.25-8.76; P=.62; I2=67%; chi square P value=.08) when only randomized controlled trials were considered. Pooled hazard ratio for overall survival was 1.07 (95% confidence interval, 0.65-1.76; P=0.79; I2=44%; chi square P value=.17). The rate of positive peritoneal cytology or lymphovascular space invasion did not differ using an intrauterine manipulator.

CONCLUSION

Intrauterine manipulator use during hysterectomy for endometrial cancer was neither significantly associated with recurrence-free and overall survival nor with positive peritoneal cytology or lymphovascular space invasion, but further prospective studies are needed.

Low nuclear expression of HIF-hydroxylases PHD2/EGLN1 and PHD3/EGLN3 are associated with poor recurrence-free survival in clear cell renal cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hypoxia inducible factors, HIF-1α and HIF-2α, and their main regulators, the prolyl hydroxylase domain proteins (PHDs), mediate cellular response to hypoxia and contribute to tumor progression in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). These biomarkers may improve the value of traditional histopathological features in predicting disease progression after nephrectomy for localized ccRCC and guide patient selection for adjuvant treatments.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this study, we analyzed the associations of PHD2 and PHD3 with histopathological tumor features and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in a retrospective cohort of 173 patients who had undergone surgery for localized ccRCC at Helsinki University Hospital (HUH), Finland. An external validation cohort of 191 patients was obtained from Turku University Hospital (TUH), Finland. Tissue-microarrays (TMA) were constructed using the primary tumor samples. Clinical parameters and follow-up information from 2006 to 2019 were obtained from electronic medical records. The cytoplasmic and nuclear expression of PHD2, and PHD3 were scored based on immunohistochemical staining and their associations with histopathological features and RFS were evaluated.

RESULTS

Nuclear PHD2 and PHD3 expression in cancer cells were associated with lower pT-stage and Fuhrman grade compared with negative nuclei. Patients with positive nuclear expression of PHD2 and PHD3 in cancer cells had favorable RFS compared with patients having negative tumors. The nuclear expression of PHD2 was independently associated with a decreased risk of disease recurrence or death from RCC in multivariable analysis. These results were observed in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

The absence of nuclear PHD2 and PHD3 expression in ccRCC was associated with poor RFS and the nuclear expression of PHD2 predicted RFS regardless of other known histopathological prognostic factors. Nuclear PHD2 and PHD3 are potential prognostic biomarkers in patients with localized ccRCC and should be further investigated and validated in prospective studies.

Recurrence following Resection of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: A Systematic Review to Guide Surveillance

Patients who undergo resection for non-invasive IPMN are at risk for long-term recurrence. Further evidence is needed to identify evidence-based surveillance strategies based on the risk of recurrence. We performed a systematic review of the current literature regarding recurrence patterns following resection of non-invasive IPMN to summarize evidence-based recommendations for surveillance. Among the 61 studies reviewed, a total of 8779 patients underwent resection for non-invasive IPMN. The pooled overall median follow-up time was 49.5 months (IQR: 38.5-57.7) and ranged between 14.1 months and 114 months. The overall median recurrence rate for patients with resected non-invasive IPMN was 8.8% (IQR: 5.0, 15.6) and ranged from 0% to 27.6%. Among the 33 studies reporting the time to recurrence, the overall median time to recurrence was 24 months (IQR: 17, 46). Existing literature on recurrence rates and post-resection surveillance strategies for patients with resected non-invasive IPMN varies greatly. Patients with resected non-invasive IPMN appear to be at risk for long-term recurrence and should undergo routine surveillance.

Identification of a basement membrane gene signature for predicting prognosis and estimating the tumor immune microenvironment in prostate cancer

Basement membrane plays an important role in tumor invasion and metastasis, which is closely related to prognosis. However, the prognostic value and biology of basement membrane genes (BMGs) in prostate cancer (PCa) remain unknown. In the TCGA training set, we used differentially expressed gene analysis, protein-protein interaction networks, univariate and multivariate Cox regression, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression to construct a basement membrane-related risk model (BMRM) and validated its effectiveness in the MSKCC validation set. Furthermore, the accurate nomogram was constructed to improve clinical applicability. Patients with PCa were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups according to the optimal cut-off value of the basement membrane-related risk score (BMRS). It was found that BMRS was significantly associated with RFS, T-stage, Gleason score, and tumor microenvironmental characteristics in PCa patients. Further analysis showed that the model grouping was closely related to tumor immune microenvironment characteristics, immune checkpoint inhibitors, and chemotherapeutic drug sensitivity. In this study, we developed a new BMGs-based prognostic model to determine the prognostic value of BMGs in PCa. Finally, we confirmed that THBS2, a key gene in BMRM, may be an important link in the occurrence and progression of PCa. This study provides a novel perspective to assess the prognosis of PCa patients and provides clues for the selection of future personalized treatment regimens.

Development and Validation of a Nomogram to Predict the Recurrence of HCC Patients Undergoing CECT After Ablation

Purpose

We first aimed to compare the prognostic difference between the application of Contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) and Non-enhanced computed tomography (NECT) in hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC) patients with early-stage immediately after ablation. We secondly propose to explore the risk factors for recurrence in patients undergoing CECT, and then develop a nomogram.

Patients and Methods

Clinical data were collected from 711 patients who received TACE combined with ablation from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2022, at Beijing Youan Hospital. According to the imaging methods applied after ablation, patients were categorized into the CECT group and the NECT group and then were compared by Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves. Lasso regression is used to screen risk factors for recurrence and the nomogram was plotted. Finally, discrimination, calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to measure the performance of the nomogram.

Results

The KM curve indicates that recurrence-free survival (RFS) was longer in the CECT group than in the NECT group (HR =0.759, 95% CI 0.606-0.951, P=0.016). Six variables were selected to construct the nomogram. 1-, 3-, and 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) (0.867, 0.731, 0.773 and 0.896, 0.784, 0.773) of the training and validation cohorts proved the good predictive performance of the nomogram. Calibration curves and DCA curves suggested accuracy and net clinical benefit rates. The nomogram enabled to classify of patients into three groups according to the risk of recurrence: low risk, intermediate risk, and high risk. There was a statistically significant difference in RFS between the two groups in the training and validation cohorts (P<0.001).

Conclusion

We demonstrated that HCC patients who underwent CECT evaluation after ablation had a better prognosis, making this evaluation method highly recommended for guiding clinical management.

A Retrospective Study on Predicting Recurrence of Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Radical Therapy

Purpose

This study aimed to investigate the potential benefits of radical therapy in patients with stage B disease.

Patients and Methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on a cohort of 437 patients diagnosed with stage B hepatocellular carcinoma, who underwent either hepatic resection (HR) or radiofrequency ablation (RFA) at the Cancer Institute and Hospital of Tianjin Medical University from May 2011 to May 2022. Multivariate COX regression analysis was performed to identify the independent prognostic factors related to recurrence-free survival (RFS). The performance of the developed nomogram was evaluated using various statistical measures, including the concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor diameter, number of tumors, number of involved liver segments, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), and systemic immune inflammation index (SII) were independent prognostic factors influencing patients' RFS, and these factors were incorporated into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram in the training cohort was 0.721, and the AUC at 2 and 3 years was 0.772 and 0.790, respectively. These values were appreciably higher than commonly used clinic staging systems and other predictive models. The calibration curve and DCA demonstrated good calibration and net benefit. Survival analysis comparing stage B patients who received radical treatment with stage A patients with multiple lesions did not reveal a significant difference in Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P=0.91).

Conclusion

The nomogram provided a precise prediction of the recurrence for stage B hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing radical treatment. Furthermore, certain stage B patients may benefit from radical treatment.

Erdafitinib in BCG-treated high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

BACKGROUND

Treatment options are limited for patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) with disease recurrence after bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) treatment and who are ineligible for/refuse radical cystectomy. FGFR alterations are commonly detected in NMIBC. We evaluated the activity of oral erdafitinib, a selective pan-fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitor, versus intravesical chemotherapy in patients with high-risk NMIBC and select FGFR3/2 alterations following recurrence after BCG treatment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients aged ≥18 years with recurrent, BCG-treated, papillary-only high-risk NMIBC (high-grade Ta/T1) and select FGFR alterations refusing or ineligible for radical cystectomy were randomized to 6 mg daily oral erdafitinib or investigator's choice of intravesical chemotherapy (mitomycin C or gemcitabine). The primary endpoint was recurrence-free survival (RFS). The key secondary endpoint was safety.

RESULTS

Study enrollment was discontinued due to slow accrual. Seventy-three patients were randomized 2 : 1 to erdafitinib (n = 49) and chemotherapy (n = 24). Median follow-up for RFS was 13.4 months for both groups. Median RFS was not reached for erdafitinib [95% confidence interval (CI) 16.9 months-not estimable] and was 11.6 months (95% CI 6.4-20.1 months) for chemotherapy, with an estimated hazard ratio of 0.28 (95% CI 0.1-0.6; nominal P value = 0.0008). In this population, safety results were generally consistent with known profiles for erdafitinib and chemotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Erdafitinib prolonged RFS compared with intravesical chemotherapy in patients with papillary-only, high-risk NMIBC harboring FGFR alterations who had disease recurrence after BCG therapy and refused or were ineligible for radical cystectomy.

A recurrence-predictive model based on eight genes and tumor mutational burden/microsatellite instability status in Stage II/III colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Although adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) is widely used to treat patients with Stage II/III colorectal cancer (CRC), administering ACT to specific patients remains a challenge. The decision to ACT requires an accurate assessment of recurrence risk and absolute treatment benefit. However, the traditional TNM staging system does not accurately assess a patient's individual risk of recurrence.

METHODS

To identify recurrence risk-related genetic factors for Stage II/III CRC patients after radical surgery, we conducted an analysis of whole-exome sequencing of 47 patients with Stage II/III CRC who underwent radical surgery at five institutions. Patients were grouped into non-recurrence group (NR, n = 24, recurrence-free survival [RFS] > 5 years) and recurrence group (R, n = 23, RFS <2 years). The TCGA-COAD/READ cohort was employed as the validation dataset.

RESULTS

A recurrence-predictive model (G8plus score) based on eight gene (CUL9, PCDHA12, HECTD3, DCX, SMARCA2, FAM193A, AATK, and SORCS2) mutations and tumor mutation burden/microsatellite instability (TMB/MSI) status was constructed, with 97.87% accuracy in our data and 100% negative predictive value in the TCGA-COAD/READ cohort. For the TCGA-COAD/READ cohort, the G8plus-high group had better RFS (HR = 0.22, p = 0.024); the G8plus-high tumors had significantly more infiltrated immune cell types, higher tertiary lymphoid structure signature scores, and higher immunological signature scores. The G8plus score was also a predict biomarker for immunotherapeutic in advanced CRC in the PUCH cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, the G8plus score is a powerful biomarker for predicting the risk of recurrence in patients with stage II/III CRC. It can be used to stratify patients who benefit from ACT and immunotherapy.

Gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors: therapeutic strategies and long-term prognosis

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to evaluate the clinical and prognostic characteristics of primary gastric gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GIST).

METHODS

Patients who underwent resection for primary gastric GIST between January 2002 and December 2017 were included. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was calculated by Kaplan-Meier analysis, and Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

Altogether, 653 patients were enrolled. The median patient age was 59 years (range 15-86 years). Open, laparoscopic, and endoscopic resections were performed in 394 (60.3%), 105 (16.1%), and 154 (23.6%) patients, respectively. According to the modified NIH consensus classification, 132 (20.2%), 245 (37.5%), 166 (25.4%), and 88 (13.5%) patients were categorized into very low-, low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. A total of 136 (20.8%) patients received adjuvant imatinib treatment. The median follow-up time was 78 months (range 4-219 months), and the estimated 5-year RFS rate was 93.0%. In all patients, tumor size and rupture, mitotic counts, and adjuvant imatinib treatment were independent prognostic factors. The prognosis of gastric GIST treated with endoscopic resection was not significantly different from that of laparoscopic or open resection after adjusting for covariates using propensity score matching (log-rank p = .558). Adjuvant imatinib treatment (HR = 0.151, 95%CI 0.055-0.417, p < .001) was a favorable prognostic factor for high-risk patients, but was not associated with prognosis in intermediate-risk patients.

CONCLUSION

Patients with small gastric GISTs who successfully underwent endoscopic resection may have a favorable prognosis. Adjuvant imatinib treatment improve the prognosis of high-risk gastric GISTs, however, its use in intermediate-risk patients remains controversial.

Optimal range of lymph node dissection in patients with unilateral papillary thyroid carcinoma with lateral cervical lymph node metastasis

Background

Whether patients with unilateral papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) with lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (LLNM) require prophylactic central regional lymph node dissection (CLND) remains unclear. Herein, we investigated the independent risk factors associated with contralateral central lymph node metastasis (cCLNM) in unilateral PTC with LLNM and analyzed the optimal extent of lymph node dissection by comparing the 5-year recurrence-free survival rates.

Materials and methods

We retrospectively analyzed 695 patients with unilateral papillary thyroid carcinoma and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis. Factors including sex, age, multifocal, location of primary tumor, tumor diameter, capsule invasion, thyroid nodular goiter, Hashimoto thyroiditis, ipsilateral central lymph node metastasis(iCLNM), and lateral cervical lymph node metastasis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to explore the independent risk factors of cCLNM. Propensity scores were matched to compare the 5-year recurrence-free survival rates in patients divided by different lymph node metastases and dissections.

Results

Of all patients who underwent bilateral (b)CLND, 52% (149/286) had cCLNM. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed on 286 patients who underwent bCLND, for which a tumor diameter of 20.5 mm and number of LLNM of 3.5 were used as the thresholds for predicting cCLNM. The 5-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) rates in the cCLN-negative and cCLN-positive groups were 98.6% and 91.2%, with statistically significant differences (P=0.034). The 5-year RFS rates showed no significant difference between the ipsilateral (i)CLND and bCLND groups (P=0.235). Multifactorial regression analysis showed that tumor diameter >2 cm, presence of iCLNM, and number of LLNM >3 were independent risk factors of cCLNM.But male sex, young age (<45 years), multifocality, location of primary tumor, capsule invasion, thyroid nodular goiter, and Hashimoto thyroiditis were not associated with cCLNM.

Conclusion

Not all unilateral PTC with LLNM require prophylactic cCLND; however, prophylactic cCLND is necessary in cases which display high-risk factors for cCLNM, including primary diameter >2 cm, iCLNM, and number of LLNM >3.

Recurrence-Free Survival in Patients With Surgically Resected Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Systematic Literature Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Standard treatment for early-stage or locoregionally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) includes surgical resection. Recurrence after surgery is commonly reported, but a summary estimate for postsurgical recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients with NSCLC is lacking.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What is the RFS after surgery in patients with stage I-III NSCLC at different time points, and what factors are associated with RFS?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

A systematic search was performed in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases between January 2011 and June 2021. The primary outcome was RFS at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years postresection. Single-arm, random-effects meta-analyses were done to calculate effect estimates and 95% CIs. Analyses were stratified by stage/substage as per the AJCC Cancer Staging Manual, and RFS was estimated (1) after pooling studies, using seventh or eighth edition staging criteria; and (2) among studies using only the eighth edition. Meta-regressions were performed to assess associations between RFS and patient demographic/clinical characteristics of interest.

RESULTS

Data from 471 studies comprising 1,060 surgical study arms were extracted. RFS estimates from 60,695 patients staged with the seventh or eighth edition were analyzed. RFS ranged from 96% at 1 year postresection to 82% at 5 years for stage I, and from 68% at 1 year to 34% at 5 years for stage III. Estimates for patients staged using only eighth edition criteria were slightly higher. Older age, higher percentage of male patients, advancing stage, larger tumor size, and geographic region (North America/Europe vs Asia) were significantly associated with worse RFS.

INTERPRETATION

This study presents a comprehensive assessment of reported RFS from published clinical literature, offering estimates at multiple postsurgical time points and by geographic region. Findings can inform treatment decisions, clinical trial design, and future research to improve outcomes among patients with NSCLC.

Surgical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma with extrahepatic bile duct tumor thrombus: a multicenter study

Background

The long-term prognosis after surgery of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and extrahepatic bile duct tumor thrombus (Ex-BDTT) remains unknown. We aimed to identify the surgical outcomes of patients with HCC and Ex-BDTT.

Methods

A total of 138 patients with Ex-BDTT who underwent hepatectomy with preservation of the extrahepatic bile duct from five large hospitals in China between January 2009 and December 2017 were included. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

With a median follow-up of 60 months (range, 1-127.8 months), the median OS and RFS of the patients were 28.6 and 8.9 months, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of HCC patients with Ex-BDTT were 71.7%, 41.2%, and 33.5%, respectively, and the corresponding RFS rates were 43.5%, 21.7%, and 20.0%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified that major hepatectomy, R0 resection, and major vascular invasion were independent prognostic factors for OS and RFS. In addition, preoperative serum total bilirubin ≥ 4.2 mg/dL was an independent prognostic factor for RFS.

Conclusion

Major hepatectomy with preservation of the extrahepatic bile duct can provide favorable long-term survival for HCC patients with Ex-BDTT.

Ultrasound Patterns of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Their Prognostic Impact: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death. Abdominal ultrasound (US) is by far the most widely used first-level exam for the diagnosis of HCC. We aimed to assess whether different ultrasound patterns were related to tumor prognosis.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all patients with a new diagnosis of HCC (single nodule) and undergoing radiofrequency thermal ablation (RFTA) at our clinic between January 2009 and December 2021. Patients were classified according to four HCC ultrasound patterns: 1A, single capsulated nodule; 1B, well capsulated intra-node nodule; 1C, cluster consisting of capsulated nodules; and 2, non-capsulated nodule.

RESULTS

149 patients were analysed; median follow-up time was 43 months. US patterns 1A (32.9%) and 1B (61.1%) were the most commonly seen. Median overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) from RFTA were 54 months (95% CI, 42-66) and 22 months (95% CI, 12-32), respectively. Pattern 1A showed the best OS. Compared to pattern 1A, 1B was independently associated with worse OS (51 months (95% CI, 34-68) vs. 46 months (95% CI, 18-62)) and RFS (34 months (95% CI, 27-41) vs. 18 months (95% CI, 12-24)). Patterns 1C and 2 were associated with worse RFS compared to 1A, while no difference was seen for OS. Among baseline clinical variables, pattern 1B exhibited higher histological grade (p = 0.048) and tumor dimension (p = 0.034) compared to pattern 1A.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings demonstrate that different US patterns correlate with different survival outcomes and tumor behavior in patients with HCC. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these results.

The Prognostic Role of Body Mass Index on Oncological Outcomes of Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma

(1) Objective: The aim of this study was to evaluate whether overweight and obese upper urinary tract carcinoma (UTUC) patients have better or worse survival outcomes. (2) Methods: The Clinical Research Office of the Endourology Society Urothelial Carcinomas of the Upper Tract (CROES-UTUC) Registry was used to extract the data of normal-weight or overweight/obese UTUC patients between 2014 and 2019. Patients with a BMI between 18.5 and 24.9 kg/m2 were defined as normal weight, while those with a BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2 were considered as overweight/obese group. We compared baseline characteristics among groups categorized by different BMIs. The Kaplan-Meier plots with the log-rank test were used to explore the overall survival (OS), cancer-specific survival (CSS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS). Propensity score matching was performed to eliminate the differences in clinicopathologic features. The Declaration of Helsinki was followed during this study. (3) Results: Of 1196 UTUC patients, 486 patients (40.6%) were normal weight, while 710 patients (59.4%) presented with a BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2. After propensity score matching, all baseline characteristics were balanced. For normal weight and overweight/obese patients, 2-year overall survival rates were 77.8% and 87.2%, 2-year cancer-specific survival rates were 85.2% and 92.7%, and 2-year recurrence rates were 50.6% and 73.0%, respectively. The overweight patients obtained a better RFS (p = 0.003, HR 0.548, 95% CI 0.368-0.916) while their OS (p = 0.373, HR 0.761, 95% CI 0.416-1.390) and CSS (p = 0.272, HR 0.640, 95% CI 0.287-1.427) were similar to normal weight patients. (4) Conclusions: Being overweight/obese (BMI ≥ 25.0 kg/m2) was associated with a decreased risk of recurrence in UTUC patients but not overall survival or cancer-specific survival.

Outcome Analysis of Treatment Modalities for Thoracic Sarcomas

BACKGROUND

Primary chest wall sarcomas are a rare and heterogeneous group of chest wall tumors that require multimodal oncologic and surgical therapy. The aim of this study was to review our experience regarding the surgical treatment of chest wall sarcomas, evaluating the short- and long-term results.

METHODS

In this retrospective single-center study, patients who underwent surgery for soft tissue and bone sarcoma of the chest wall between 1999 and 2018 were included. We analyzed the oncologic and surgical outcomes of chest wall resections and reconstructions, assessing overall and recurrence-free survival and the associated clinical factors.

RESULTS

In total, 44 patients underwent chest wall resection for primary chest wall sarcoma, of which 18 (41%) received surgery only, 10 (23%) received additional chemoradiotherapy, 7% (3) received surgery with chemotherapy, and 30% (13) received radiotherapy in addition to surgery. No perioperative mortality occurred. Five-year overall survival was 51.5% (CI 95%: 36.1-73.4%), and median overall survival was 1973 days (CI 95% 1461; -). As determined in the univariate analysis, the presence of metastasis upon admission and tumor grade were significantly associated with shorter survival (p = 0.037 and p < 0.01, respectively). Five-year recurrence-free survival was 71.5% (95% CI 57.6%; 88.7%). Tumor resection margins and metastatic disease upon diagnosis were significantly associated with recurrence-free survival (p < 0.01 and p < 0.01, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Surgical therapy is the cornerstone of the treatment of chest wall sarcomas and can be performed safely. Metastasis and high tumor grade have a negative influence on overall survival, while tumor margins and metastasis have a negative influence on local recurrence.

MRI-based radiomics approach for the prediction of recurrence-free survival in triple-negative breast cancer after breast-conserving surgery or mastectomy

To explore the value of a radiomics signature and develop a nomogram combined with a radiomics signature and clinical factors for predicting recurrence-free survival in triple-negative breast cancer patients. We enrolled 151 patients from the cancer imaging archive who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. They were assigned to training, validation and external validation cohorts. Image features with coefficients not equal to zero in the 10-fold cross-validation were selected to generate a radiomics signature. Based on the optimal cutoff value of the radiomics signature determined by maximally selected log-rank statistics, patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups in the training and validation cohorts. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed for both groups. Kaplan-Meier survival distributions in these groups were compared using log-rank tests. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to construct clinical and combined models. Concordance index was used to assess the predictive performance of the 3 models. Calibration of the combined model was assessed using calibration curves. Four image features were selected to generate the radiomics signature. The Kaplan-Meier survival distributions of patients in the 2 groups were significantly different in the training (P < .001) and validation cohorts (P = .001). The C-indices of the radiomics model, clinical model, and combined model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.772, 0.700, 0.878, and 0.744, 0.574, 0.777, respectively. The C-indices of the radiomics model, clinical model, and combined model in the external validation cohort were 0.778, 0.733, 0.822, respectively. The calibration curves of the combined model showed good calibration. The radiomics signature can predict recurrence-free survival of patients with triple-negative breast cancer and improve the predictive performance of the clinical model.

Comparison of adjuvant nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine, S-1 and gemcitabine chemotherapy for resectable pancreatic cancer: a real-world study

Background

A survival benefit has been seen for both adjuvant nab-paclitaxel plus gemcitabine (AG) and S-1 chemotherapy compared to gemcitabine (GEM) for resectable pancreatic cancer in the APACT (2019) and JASPAC01 trials (2016), respectively. However, supporting evidence regarding the effectiveness of AG or S-1 compared to gemcitabine in real-world clinical practice remains lacking.

Methods

Our study included all 246 pancreatic cancer patients who underwent surgical treatment and received postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy with AG, S-1, or GEM except for those meeting exclusion criteria (R2 resection, neoadjuvant therapy, or synchronous malignancy) at Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital from June 2015 to July 2021. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

In total, 246 patients were included, of whom 54(22%) received adjuvant AG, 103(41%) received adjuvant S-1, and 89(37%) received adjuvant GEM. Adjuvant S-1 was associated with a prolonged OS compared to GEM (median OS S-1 vs GEM: 27.0 vs 20.0 months; HR: 0.65, P = .016) and a significantly prolonged RFS compared to GEM (median RFS S-1 vs GEM: 20.0 vs 8.2 months; HR: 0.58, P = .002). After adjusting for known prognostic factors in multivariate Cox regression analysis, this survival benefit persists and is consistent in most subgroups in our subgroup analysis. However, no statistically significant differences in OS or RFS were seen between patients treated with AG and patients treated with GEM.

Conclusions

In this retrospective real-world study, adjuvant S-1 chemotherapy was associated with improved survival compared to GEM while no differences in OS or RFS were observed for AG compared to GEM.

Role of DNA methylation-based mitotic ageing indices in oral cancer development and recurrence

OBJECTIVE

DNA methylation data can be used to derive mitotic indices from complex tissues. Here, we assessed if the DNA methylation-derived mitotic ageing indices are associated with oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) development and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

METHODS

DNA methylation-based mitotic indices (MitoticAge, TNSC and hypoSC) were derived using algorithms "MitoticAge" and "epiTOC2" for the discovery [non-malignant (n = 22), premalignant (n = 22) and OSCC (n = 68) tissues] and validation datasets (GSE87053, GSE136704 and TCGA-HNSCC). Differences in mitotic indices between non-malignant, premalignant and OSCC tissues were assessed. Finally, the association between estimated mitotic indices and RFS was evaluated in OSCCs.

RESULTS

In the discovery and validation datasets, increased mitotic ageing was observed in OSCC compared to non-malignant and premalignant oral tissues. HPV-positive HNSCCs had higher mitotic index TNSC. Mitotic age index hypoSC was associated with RFS in OSCC (p = 0.011, HR 2.61, 95% CI 1.24-5.48).

CONCLUSIONS

DNA methylation-derived mitotic indices are associated with OSCC development and RFS. Thus, DNA methylation-derived mitotic indices may be a valuable research tool to reliably estimate the cumulative number of stem cell divisions in malignant and non-malignant oral tissues. Future research utilizing mitotic indices for predicting clinical outcomes in OSCC is warranted.

Clinical Significance of Fibrinogen and Platelet to Pre-Albumin Ratio in Predicting the Prognosis of Advanced Gastric Cancer

Objective

The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical significance of Fibrinogen and Platelet to Pre-albumin Ratio(FPAR) in predicting the prognosis of patients with advanced gastric cancer(AGC) and to construct a predictive model.

Methods

We collected clinical data from 489 postoperative patients with AGC. FPAR was divided into high and low groups according to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The value of FPAR in predicting the prognosis of progressive gastric cancer was analysed using univariate and multivariable Cox regression analysis and its relationship with clinicopathological features. Finally, the Overall Survival(OS) and recurrence-free survival(RFS) prediction models were constructed and validated using FPAR.

Results

Univariate and multifactorial cox regression analysis showed that grade (P<0.001), TNM-stage (P<0.001), chemotherapy (P<0.001), and FPAR (OR=3.054,95% CI:2.088-4.467, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for OS; grade (P=0.021), N-stage (P=0.024), TNM-stage (P=0.033), and FPAR (OR=2.215,95% CI:1.634-3.003, P<0.001) were independent risk factors for RFS. Subgroup analysis showed that the FPAR-low group had higher OS and RFS than the FPAR-high group, regardless of the patient's TNM stage (p<0.05). However, OS was instead higher in the the stage III-FPAR-low group than in the the stage II-FPAR-high group (p<0.05), while RFS was not significantly different. Predictive models incorporating FPAR had better predictive performance than those without FPAR, showing wide range of net benefit and AUC. After correction, the 2-year AUC, 3-year AUC and C-index of the OS model were 0.737, 0.756, and 0.746; the 2-year AUC, 3-year AUC, and C-index of the RFS model were 0.738, 0.758, and 0.711.

Conclusion

FPAR levels were associated with prognosis in patients with AGC and could independently predict RFS and OS.

Risk factors for difficult endoscopic hemostasis for colonic diverticular bleeding and efficacy and safety of transcatheter arterial embolization

This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for difficult endoscopic hemostasis in patients with colonic diverticular bleeding and to evaluate the efficacy and safety of transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) for colonic diverticular bleeding. This study included 208 patients with colorectal diverticular hemorrhage. The non-interventional radiotherapy group consisted of patients who underwent successful spontaneous hemostasis (n = 131) or endoscopic hemostasis (n = 56), whereas the interventional radiotherapy group consisted of patients who underwent TAE (n = 21). Patient clinical characteristics were compared to identify independent risk factors for the interventional radiotherapy group. Furthermore, the hemostasis success rate, rebleeding rate, complications, and recurrence-free survival were compared between patients who underwent endoscopic hemostasis and those who underwent TAE. Bleeding from the right colon (odds ratio [OR]: 7.86; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6-38.8; P = .0113) and systolic blood pressure <80 mm Hg (OR: 0.108; 95% CI: 0.0189-0.62; P = .0126) were identified as independent risk factors for the interventional radiology group. The hemostasis success rate (P = 1.00), early rebleeding rate (within 30 days) (P = .736), late rebleeding rate (P = 1.00), and recurrence-free survival rate (P = .717) were not significantly different between the patients who underwent TAE and those who underwent endoscopic hemostasis. Patients in the TAE group experienced more complications than those in the endoscopic hemostasis group (P < .001). Complications included mild intestinal ischemia (19.0%) and perforation requiring surgery (4.8%). Patients who required interventional radiotherapy were more likely to bleed from the right colon and presented with a systolic blood pressure of <80 mm Hg. TAE is an effective treatment for patients with colonic diverticular hemorrhage that is refractory to endoscopic hemostasis. However, complications must be monitored carefully.

Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score as a prognostic marker for gastrointestinal stromal tumours

BACKGROUND

The Controlling Nutritional Status (CONUT) score, regarded as the effective indicator of patient nutrition, has been demonstrated to be related to prognosis of numerous tumours. Nevertheless, the significance of CONUT for gastrointestinal stromal tumour (GIST) remains unclear. This study intended to clarify the association between CONUT and the prognosis of GISTs.

METHODS

Three hundred and fifty-five patients with GISTs undergoing surgical resection at our center were retrospectively assessed. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to help determine the cut-off value of CONUT score. Relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were assessed by Kaplan-Meier curve analysis. Prognostic factors for RFS and OS were examined by Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

A total of 355 patients were enrolled in this study. Areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.638 for CONUT score, and the cut-off value of CONUT was shown to be three. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that high CONUT score was linked to poorer RFS and OS. Univariate and multivariate analyses ultimately revealed that CONUT was a risk factor for RFS and OS, independent of demographics and clinicopathological tumour characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

CONUT score was an effective and novel predictor for prognosis of GIST patients treated with surgery, indicating its potential as a prognostic marker in the overall management.

The Prognostic Significance of Postoperative Adjuvant Chemotherapy in the Population Aged 75 Years and Older with Stage II-III Colorectal Cancer: A Retrospective Multi-Center Cohort Study

Background

It is common for elderly patients to be underrepresented in clinical trials for cancer, which can result in a lack of efficacy data and unclear criteria to guide treatment decisions for clinical doctors. Therefore, one of the common challenges in oncology treatment is determining the extent to which patients aged 75 and older have benefited from postoperative chemotherapy.

Purpose

The study aimed to explore the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) on 3-year recurrence-free survival (RFS) after curative resection in patients aged 75 years and older with stage II-III colorectal cancer (CRC).

Methods

The retrospective cohort analysis was performed on patients with stage II-III CRC who received curative resection at three cancer centers in China between 2008 and 2017. Kaplan-Meier curves and Multivariable Cox regression models were used to analyze the impact of AC on RFS in patients. Finally, propensity-score matching was used to reduce selection bias and confounding factors in patients aged 75 years and older with stage II-III CRC.

Results

A total of 2885 patients were included (1729 (59.9%) male; 1312 (61.5%) received AC). The pre-matching cohort was comprised of 151 patients aged 75 years and older (median age (IQR)77.00 (76.00, 79.00); 97 (64.2%) male, 51 (72.9%) received AC). Age (P=0.001), postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA)(P=0.02) level were associated with prognosis. But AC was not associated with 3-year RFS (HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 0.80-2.0; log-rank P=0.37). After a predisposition 1: 1 match (with or without AC, n = 42), AC remains uncorrelated with 3-year RFS (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 0.52-3.70; log-rank P=0.66).

Conclusion

Patients over the age of 75 with stage II-III CRC who receive AC or do not face the same risk of postoperative recurrence. As a result, patients with stage II-III postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy can make an informed decision regarding whether they want to undergo chemotherapy based on their age and reduce the unnecessary side effects of chemotherapy.

Positive Circumferential Resection Margin in Rectal Cancer Is a Robust Predictor of Poor Long-term Prognosis With Clinicopathological Bias Between Groups Compensated by Propensity-score Matching Analysis

BACKGROUND/AIM

Circumferential resection margin (CRM) is the most reliable predictor of local and distant recurrence in locally-advanced rectal cancer (LARC). The present study was conducted to compare the long-term outcomes between CRM (+) and (-) groups using propensity-score (PS) matching analysis to compensate for bias between groups.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Of 563 consecutive patients with Stage II/III rectal cancer who were treated surgically with curative-intent at Juntendo University Hospital between Jan 1989 and Mar 2018, 412 patients were enrolled retrospectively in the study. The patients were divided into a CRM (+) group (n=21; 5.1%) and a CRM (-) group (n=391; 94.9%).

RESULTS

In the entire cohort, recurrence-free survival (RFS), local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), non-local recurrence-free survival (NLRFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were significantly worse among patients in the CRM (+) group compared with those in the CRM (-) group. Univariate analysis demonstrated patients in the CRM (+) group had significantly larger primary tumors (p=0.02), more frequently had open surgery (p=0.009), had an abdominoperineal resection (APR) procedure (p=0.01) and a T4 primary tumor (p<0.0001). After PS matching analysis, in the propensity-matched cohort, RFS, LRFS, NLRFS and CSS were significantly worse among patients in the CRM (+) group compared with those in the CRM (-) group.

CONCLUSION

PS matching analysis demonstrated that RFS, LRFS, NLRFS, and CSS were significantly worse among patients in the CRM (+) group compared with those in the CRM (-) group. The present results indicate that CRM (+) is a robust predictor of long-term outcome of LARC, independent of tumor size.

Posthepatectomy but not prehepatectomy chemotherapy was associated with a longer time to recurrence in patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases: Inverse probability of treatment weighting analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases (CLM) are treated with surgery alone, surgery and posthepatectomy chemotherapy, or prehepatectomy chemotherapy and surgery. The optimal approach in terms of survival is unclear. We compared survival in the three treatment groups using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analysis.

METHODS

Data from patients undergoing initial CLM resection in 2005-2018 were obtained from a prospectively maintained database. Our group treated resectable CLM with surgery alone but gradually adopted post- and prehepatectomy chemotherapy for patients with CLM number ≥5 after 2015. IPTW analysis was employed to adjust the characteristics of the three groups.

RESULTS

Of the 439 patients meeting the inclusion criteria, 175 underwent surgery alone, 135 underwent surgery and posthepatectomy chemotherapy, and 129 underwent prehepatectomy chemotherapy and surgery. After the IPTW adjustment, the demographic and clinicopathological characteristics were well balanced. The IPTW analysis revealed that the recurrence-free survival was better in patients undergoing surgery and posthepatectomy chemotherapy than in patients undergoing surgery alone (median recurrence-free survival, 1.3 years vs 0.7 years; P = .018). Overall survival was not significantly different between the three treatment approaches.

CONCLUSION

Posthepatectomy but not prehepatectomy chemotherapy prolongs the time to recurrence after curative-intent resection of CLM.

Multiparametric Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound in Early Prediction of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Recurrence-Free Survival in Breast Cancer

We aimed to explore the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) in early prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) in locally advanced breast cancer (LABC) patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). LABC patients who underwent CEUS before and during NAC from March 2014 to October 2018 were included and assessed. Logistic regression analysis and the Cox proportional hazards model were used to identify independent variables associated with pCR and RFS. Among 122 women, 44 underwent pCR. Molecular subtype, peak intensity (PEAK) and change in diameter were independent predictors of pCR after one cycle of NAC (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.81; 95% CI: 0.73, 0.88); Molecular subtype, PEAK and change in time to peak (TTP) were independently associated with pCR after two cycles of NAC (AUC, 0.85; 95% CI: 0.77, 0.91). A higher clinical T (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.75; 95% CI: 1.75, 12.87; p = 0.002) and N stages (HR = 3.39; 95% CI: 1.25, 9.19; p = 0.02) and a longer TTP (HR = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.01, 1.11; p = 0.02) at pre-NAC CEUS were independently associated with poorer RFS. CEUS can be used as a technique to predict pCR and RFS early in LABC patients treated with NAC.

Short-term outcomes of robot-assisted versus video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery for non-small cell lung cancer patients with neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy: a single-center retrospective study

Background

Neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy has been increasingly applied to treat non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). However, the comparison between robotic-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (RATS) and video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery (VATS) in the feasibility and oncological efficacy following neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy is scarce. This study aims to assess the superiorities of RATS over (VATS) concerning short-term outcomes in treating NSCLC patients with neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy.

Methods

NSCLC patients receiving RATS or VATS lobectomy following neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy at Shanghai Chest Hospital from 2019 to 2022 were retrospectively identified. Baseline clinical characteristics, perioperative outcomes, and survival profiles were analyzed.

Results

Forty-six NSCLC patients with neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy were included and divided into the RATS (n=15) and VATS (n=31) groups. The baseline clinical characteristics and induction-related adverse events were comparable between the two groups (all p>0.050). The 30-day mortality in the RATS and VATS groups were 0% and 3.23%, respectively (p=1.000). Patients undergoing RATS were associated with reduced surgical-related intensive unit care (ICU) stay than those receiving VATS (0.0 [0.0-0.0] vs. 0.0 [0.0-1.0] days, p=0.026). Moreover, RATS assessed more N1 LNs (6.27 ± 1.94 vs 4.90 ± 1.92, p=0.042) and LN stations (3.07 ± 1.03 vs 2.52 ± 0.57, p=0.038) compared with VATS. By comparison, no difference was found in surgical outcomes, pathological results, and postoperative complications between the RATS and VATS groups (all p>0.050). Finally, RATS and VATS achieved comparable one-year recurrence-free survival (82.96% vs. 85.23%, p=0.821) and the timing of central nervous system, LN, and bone recurrences (all p>0.050).

Conclusion

RATS is safe and feasible for NSCLC patients with neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy, reducing surgical-related ICU stay, assessing increased N1 LNs and stations, and achieving similar survival profiles to VATS.

Predictive factors and clinicopathological characteristics of outcome in poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma: a single-institution study

Objective

To elucidate the clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic factors of poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

Method

A total of 24912 thyroid carcinoma patients admitted to the First Medical Center of Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital from 2005 to 2020 were retrospectively reviewed. A total of 94 patients (39 males and 55 females, a male-female ratio of 1:1.4) fulfilled the selection criteria. Of these, 73 patients had undergone surgery. The clinical and pathological data were collected from each enrolled patient. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to determine independent prognostic factors. All analyses were performed with the SPSS version 26.0 and R version 1.2.5033 in the R Studio environment.

Results

The specimens included 20 cases of poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma complicated with papillary thyroid carcinoma, 17 cases complicated with follicular thyroid carcinoma, 34 cases complicated with other pathological types and 23 with a separate entity. The patient demonstrated a large age span, median age was 57 years (range 8-85 years, average 55.20 ± 15.74 years). The survival time of the 94 cases was calculated, and the mean Overall survival time was 33 (range, 1-170) months, and the mean Recurrence-free survival time was 14 (range, 1-90) months. Recurrence-free mortality is related to the age at diagnosis, extrathyroidal extension and Associated thyroid cancer (p<0.05). In contrast, overall mortality is related to the age at diagnosis, sex, extrathyroidal extension, T stage (AJCC 8th), surgery and radiation (p<0.05).

Conclusion

Middle-aged and elderly patients are still at high risk for poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma. The pathologic results of poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma are varied, and reasonable treatment has an important impact on the prognosis of poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

A Graph-Based Approach to Identify Factors Contributing to Postoperative Lung Cancer Recurrence among Patients with Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer

The accurate identification of the preoperative factors impacting postoperative cancer recurrence is crucial for optimizing neoadjuvant and adjuvant therapies and guiding follow-up treatment plans. We modeled the causal relationship between radiographical features derived from CT scans and the clinicopathologic factors associated with postoperative lung cancer recurrence and recurrence-free survival. A retrospective cohort of 363 non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients who underwent lung resections with a minimum 5-year follow-up was analyzed. Body composition tissues and tumor features were quantified based on preoperative whole-body CT scans (acquired as a component of PET-CT scans) and chest CT scans, respectively. A novel causal graphical model was used to visualize the causal relationship between these factors. Variables were assessed using the intervention do-calculus adjustment (IDA) score. Direct predictors for recurrence-free survival included smoking history, T-stage, height, and intramuscular fat mass. Subcutaneous fat mass, visceral fat volume, and bone mass exerted the greatest influence on the model. For recurrence, the most significant variables were visceral fat volume, subcutaneous fat volume, and bone mass. Pathologic variables contributed to the recurrence model, with bone mass, TNM stage, and weight being the most important. Body composition, particularly adipose tissue distribution, significantly and causally impacted both recurrence and recurrence-free survival through interconnected relationships with other variables.

Prognostic impact of tumor spread through air spaces for T2aN0 stage IB non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Spread through air spaces (STAS) is a pattern of invasion recently identified in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), with a poor prognosis. However, the predictive impact of STAS in stage IB NSCLC is not well understood. This investigation aims to assess the prognostic influence of STAS in stage IB NSCLC.

METHODS

We reviewed 130 resected stage IB NSCLC between 2010 and 2015. Beyond the central tumor edge, lung parenchymal air gaps containing cancer cells were identified as STAS. In order to estimate recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS), Cox models and Kaplan-Meier techniques were utilized. Logistic regression analysis was employed to define the factors influencing STAS.

RESULTS

Of 130 patients, 72 (55.4%) had STAS. STAS was a significant prognosticator. Kaplan-Meier method showed that STAS-positive patients had a significantly lower OS and RFS than STAS-negative patients (5-year OS, 66.5% vs. 90.4%, p = 0.02; 5-year RFS, 59.5% vs. 89.7%, p = 0.004) In a semiquantitative assessment, the RFS and OS were shorter in survival analysis when STAS increased (5-year RFS, 89.7%, no STAS, 61.8%, low STAS, 57.2%, high STAS, p = 0.013; 5-year OS, 90.4%, no STAS, 78.3%, low STAS, 57.2%, high STAS, p = 0.002). The association between STAS and poor differentiation, adenocarcinoma, and vascular invasion (p value was <0.001, 0.047, and 0.041, respectively) was statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The STAS is an aggressive pathological feature. RFS and OS could be significantly reduced by STAS, while it also serves as an independent predictor.

Tumor-derived proliferative CTCs and CTC clusters predict aggressiveness and early recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

Circulating tumor cells (CTCs), an indispensable liquid biopsy classifier, can provide extra information for the diagnosis and prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We systematically analyzed the peripheral blood of preoperative HCC patients (n = 270) for CTC number, Ki67 index reflecting the proliferative CTC percentage (PCP), and CTC clusters correlated with the characteristics of malignant HCC tumors.

RESULTS

Driver gene mutations were found with high levels of consistency between CTCs and primary tumors (n = 73). CTC number and PCP were associated with tumor size, microvascular invasion (MVI), presence or absence of multiple tumors, and thrombosis significantly. CTC number and PCP robustly separated patients with and without relapse, with a sensitivity of 88.89%/81.48% and a specificity of 72.73%/94.81% in the training set (n = 104) and corresponding values of 80.00%/86.67% and 78.38%/89.19% in the validation set (n = 52), showing a better performance than that associated with the alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level. CTC number, PCP, CTC clusters, and MVI were independent significant risk factors for HCC recurrence (P = 0.0375, P < 0.0001, P = 0.0017, and P = 0.0157). A nomogram model based on these risk factors showed a considerable prediction ability for HCC recurrence (area under the curve = 0.947). PCP (training: log-rank P < 0.0001; hazard ratio [HR] 30.13, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 11.12-81.62; validation: log-rank P < 0.0001; HR 25.73, 95% CI = 5.28-106.60) and CTC clusters (training: log-rank P < 0.0001; HR 17.34, 95% CI = 7.46-40.30; validation: log-rank P < 0.0001; HR 9.92, 95% CI = 2.55-38.58) were more significantly correlated with worse recurrence-free survival than CTC number (training: log-rank P < 0.0001; HR 14.93, 95% CI = 4.48-49.78; validation: log-rank P = 0.0007; HR 9.03, 95% CI = 2.53-32.24).

CONCLUSION

PCP and CTC clusters may predict HCC recurrence and improve the performance of the serum biomarker AFP.

Circulating Tumor DNA as a Minimal Residual Disease Assessment and Recurrence Risk in Patients Undergoing Curative-Intent Resection with or without Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Colorectal Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Emerging data have suggested that circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can be a reliable biomarker for minimal residual disease (MRD) in CRC patients. Recent studies have shown that the ability to detect MRD using ctDNA assay after curative-intent surgery will change how to assess the recurrence risk and patient selection for adjuvant chemotherapy. We performed a meta-analysis of post-operative ctDNA in stage I-IV (oligometastatic) CRC patients after curative-intent resection. We included 23 studies representing 3568 patients with evaluable ctDNA in CRC patient post-curative-intent surgery. Data were extracted from each study to perform a meta-analysis using RevMan 5.4. software. Subsequent subgroup analysis was performed for stages I-III and oligometastatic stage IV CRC patients. Results showed that the pooled hazard ratio (HR) for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in post-surgical ctDNA-positive versus -negative patients in all stages was 7.27 (95% CI 5.49-9.62), p < 0.00001. Subgroup analysis revealed pooled HRs of 8.14 (95% CI 5.60-11.82) and 4.83 (95% CI 3.64-6.39) for stages I-III and IV CRC, respectively. The pooled HR for RFS in post-adjuvant chemotherapy ctDNA-positive versus -negative patients in all stages was 10.59 (95% CI 5.59-20.06), p < 0.00001. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis has revolutionized non-invasive cancer diagnostics and monitoring, with two primary forms of analysis emerging: tumor-informed techniques and tumor-agnostic or tumor-naive techniques. Tumor-informed methods involve the initial identification of somatic mutations in tumor tissue, followed by the targeted sequencing of plasma DNA using a personalized assay. In contrast, the tumor-agnostic approach performs ctDNA analysis without prior knowledge of the patient's tumor tissue molecular profile. This review highlights the distinctive features and implications of each approach. Tumor-informed techniques enable the precise monitoring of known tumor-specific mutations, leveraging the sensitivity and specificity of ctDNA detection. Conversely, the tumor-agnostic approach allows for a broader genetic and epigenetic analysis, potentially revealing novel alterations and enhancing our understanding of tumor heterogeneity. Both approaches have significant implications for personalized medicine and improved patient outcomes in the field of oncology. The subgroup analysis based on the ctDNA method showed pooled HRs of 8.66 (95% CI 6.38-11.75) and 3.76 (95% CI 2.58-5.48) for tumor-informed and tumor-agnostic, respectively. Our analysis emphasizes that post-operative ctDNA is a strong prognostic marker of RFS. Based on our results, ctDNA can be a significant and independent predictor of RFS. This real-time assessment of treatment benefits using ctDNA can be used as a surrogate endpoint for the development of novel drugs in the adjuvant setting.

Evaluation of the significance of subcarinal lymph node dissection in stage IB non‑small cell lung cancer

Lymph node dissection is used to treat early-stage lung cancer. The present study aimed to investigate if resecting the subcarinal lymph nodes affects prognosis of patients with stage IB non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). A total of 597 patients with stage IB NSCLC who underwent lung cancer surgery at Sun Yat-Sen University Cancer Center from January 1999 to December 2009 were included in the present study. The potential prognostic factors were evaluated using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. A total of 252 cases were obtained following propensity score matching (PSM). To compare overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS), Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test were used. Among the 597 cases included, 185 did not undergo subcarinal lymph node resection, whereas 412 did. There were statistically significant differences between the two groups in terms of bronchial invasion, number of resected lymph node stations and resected lymph node numbers (P<0.05). Age, family history of cancer and the number of resected lymph nodes were prognostic factors for OS, whereas age and the number of resected lymph nodes were prognostic factors for RFS (P<0.05). Resection of subcarinal lymph nodes was not associated with OS and RFS. After PSM, survival analysis was recalculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test; subcarinal lymph node resection was not statistically associated with OS and RFS. (P>0.05). For stage IB NSCLC, there was no statistically significant association between subcarinal lymph node resection and OS and RFS. Subcarinal lymph node resection in surgery of stage IB NSCLC may be considered optional.

Clinical Importance of Tumor Rupture in Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumor

Risk factors of gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) include tumor size, location, mitosis, and tumor rupture. Although the first three are commonly recognized as independent prognostic factors, tumor rupture is not a consistent finding. Indeed, tumor rupture may be subjectively diagnosed and is rarely observed. Moreover, the criteria used for diagnosis differ among oncologists, which may result in inconsistent outcomes. Based on these conditions, a universal definition of tumor rupture was proposed in 2019 and was consists of six scenarios: tumor fracture, blood-staining ascites, gastrointestinal perforation at the tumor site, histologically proven invasion, piecemeal resection, and open incisional biopsy. Although the definition is considered appropriate for selection of GISTs with worse prognostic outcomes, each scenario lacks a high level of evidence and there is yet no consensus for some, including histological invasion and incisional biopsy. It may be, however, important to have common criteria for clinical decision-making, which may facilitate reliability, external validity and comparability of clinical studies in rare GISTs. After the definition, several retrospective reports indicated that even with adjuvant therapy, tumor rupture was associated with high recurrence rates and poor prognostic outcomes. The prognosis of patients with ruptured GISTs is improved by 5-year adjuvant therapy compared with 3-year therapy. Nevertheless, the universal definition requires further evidence, and prospective clinical studies based on the definition are warranted. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Significance of anatomical resection and resection margin status in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma and microvascular invasion: a multicenter propensity score-matched study

BACKGROUND

Microvascular invasion (MVI) is a risk factor for postoperative survival outcomes for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after hepatectomy. This study aimed to evaluate the impact of anatomical resection (AR) versus nonanatomical resection (NAR) combined with resection margin (RM) (narrow RM <1 cm vs. wide RM ≥1 cm) on long-term prognosis in hepatitis B virus-related HCC patients with MVI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data from multicenters on HCC patients with MVI who underwent hepatectomy was analyzed retrospectively. Propensity score matching analysis was performed in these patients.

RESULTS

The 1965 enrolled patients were divided into four groups: AR with wide RM ( n =715), AR with narrow RM ( n =387), NAR with wide RM ( n =568), and NAR with narrow RM ( n =295). Narrow RM ( P <0.001) and NAR ( P <0.001) were independent risk factors for both overall survival and recurrence-free survival in these patients based on multivariate analyses. For patients in both the AR and NAR groups, wide RM resulted in significantly lower operative margin recurrence rates than those patients in the narrow RM groups after propensity score matching ( P =0.002 and 0.001). Patients in the AR with wide RM group had significantly the best median overall survival (78.9 vs. 51.5 vs. 48.0 vs. 36.7 months, P <0.001) and recurrence-free survival (23.6 vs. 14.8 vs. 17.8 vs. 9.0 months, P <0.001) than those in the AR with narrow RM, NAR with wide RM or with narrow RM groups, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

If technically feasible and safe, AR combined with wide RM should be the recommended therapeutic strategy for HCC patients who are estimated preoperatively with a high risk of MVI.

The Risk of Recurrence in Endometrial Cancer Patients with Low-Volume Metastasis in the Sentinel Lymph Nodes: A Retrospective Multi-Institutional Study

The aim of this study was to assess the impact of low-volume metastasis (LVM) on disease-free survival (DFS) in women with apparent early-stage endometrial cancer (EC) who underwent sentinel lymph node (SLN) mapping. Patients with pre-operative early-stage EC were retrospectively collected from an international collaboration including 13 referring institutions. A total of 1428 patients were included in this analysis. One hundred and eighty-six patients (13%) had lymph node involvement. Fifty-nine percent of positive SLN exhibited micrometastases, 26.9% micrometastases, and 14% isolated tumor cells. Seventeen patients with positive lymph nodes did not receive any adjuvant therapy. At a median follow-up of 33.3 months, the disease had recurred in 114 women (8%). Patients with micrometastases in the lymph nodes had a worse prognosis of disease-free survival compared to patients with negative nodes or LVM. The rate of recurrence was significantly higher for women with micrometastases than those with low-volume metastases (HR = 2.61; p = 0.01). The administration of adjuvant treatment in patients with LVM, without uterine risk factors, remains a matter of debate and requires further evaluation.

Temporal increase in the incidence of anal squamous cell carcinoma in Kentucky and factors associated with adverse outcomes

BACKGROUND

Anal squamous cell cancer (ASCC) incidence in Kentucky is increasing at an alarming rate. In 2009, the incidence surpassed the US national average (2.66 vs. 1.77/100,000 people), and currently, Kentucky ranks second by state per capita. The reasons for this rise are unclear. We hypothesize individuals with ASCC in Kentucky have some unique risk factors associated with worse outcomes.

METHODS

Individuals with ASCC in a population-level state database (1995-2016), as well as those treated at two urban university-affiliated tertiary care centers (2011-2018), were included and analyzed separately. We evaluated patient-level factors including demographics, tobacco use, stage of disease, HIV-status, and HPV-type. We evaluated factors associated with treatment and survival using univariable and multivariable survival analyses.

RESULTS

There were 1698 individuals in state data and 101 in urban center data. In the urban cohort, 77% of patients were ever-smokers. Eighty-four percent of patients had positive HPV testing, and 58% were positive for HPV 16. Seventy-two percent of patients were positive for p16. Neither smoking, HPV, nor p16 status were associated with disease persistence, recurrence-free survival, or overall survival (all p > 0.05). Poorly controlled HIV (CD4 count <500) at time of ASCC diagnosis was associated disease persistence (p = 0.032). Stage III disease (adjusted HR = 5.25, p = 0.025) and local excision (relative to chemoradiation; aHR = 0.19, p = 0.017) were significantly associated with reduced recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of ASCC in Kentucky has doubled over the last 10 years, which is outpacing anal SCC rates in the US with the most dramatic rates seen in Kentucky women. The underlying reasons for this are unclear and require further study. There may be other risk factors unique to Kentucky.

The Association between Early-Onset Diagnosis and Clinical Outcomes in Triple-Negative Breast Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Early-onset diagnosis, defined by age <40 years, has historically been associated with inferior outcomes in breast cancer. Recent evidence suggests that this association is modified by molecular subtype. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature to synthesize evidence on the association between early-onset diagnosis and clinical outcomes in triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Studies comparing the risk of clinical outcomes in non-metastatic TNBC between early-onset patients and later-onset patients (≥40 years) were queried in Medline and EMBASE from inception to February 2023. Separate meta-analyses were performed for breast cancer specific survival (BCSS), overall survival (OS), and disease-free survival (DFS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS), and pathological complete response (pCR). In total, 7581 unique records were identified, and 36 studies satisfied inclusion criteria. The pooled risk of any recurrence was significantly greater in early-onset patients compared to later-onset patients. Better BCSS and OS were observed in early-onset patients relative to later-onset patients aged >60 years. The pooled odds of achieving pCR were significantly higher in early-onset patients. Future studies should evaluate the role of locoregional management of TNBC and the implementation of novel therapies such as PARP inhibitors in real-world settings, and whether they improve outcomes.

Impact of Neck PET/CT Positivity on Survival Outcomes-Visual and Quantitative Assessment: Results From ACRIN 6685

INTRODUCTION

FDG PET/CT was prospectively studied in 287 cN0 head and neck cancer patients in ACRIN 6685, and additional analysis of neck FDG uptake upon recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was performed.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Two hundred eight had analyzable data. Survival analysis was performed to compare RFS and OS based on neck FDG visual assessment (VA) and SUV max . For SUV max , the optimal thresholds were calculated using conditional inference trees on a randomly selected 70% training data set and validated using the remaining 30% of data. Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank tests were generated for the patient groups based on VA and optimal SUV max thresholds, and the hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were also calculated. Hypothesis testing was set at a significance level of 0.05.

RESULTS

A total of 73.9% of bilateral cN0 and 50.0% of unilateral cN0 were alive at the end of the study with the remaining being dead or lost to follow-up. Overall survival median follow-up time was 24.0 months (interquartile range, 15.8-25.3; range, 0-37.0). A total of 63.3% of bilateral cN0 and 42.5% of unilateral cN0 patients remained disease free during the study. Recurrence-free survival median follow-up time was 23.9 months (interquartile range, 12.4-25.2; range, 0-35.6). Visual assessment of necks by our panel of radiologists was significantly associated with RFS (HR [95% CI], 2.30 [1.10-4.79]; P = 0.02), but not with OS (HR [95% CI], 1.64 [0.86-3.14]; P = 0.13). The optimal SUV max thresholds were 2.5 for RFS and 5.0 for OS. For SUV max assessment, applying the optimal thresholds to the 30% test data yielded HRs (95% CIs) of 2.09 (0.61-7.14; P = 0.23) for RFS and 3.42 (1.03-11.41; P = 0.03) for OS. The SUV max threshold of 5.0 was significantly associated with RFS (HR [95% CI], 5.92 [1.79-19.57]; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Neck FDG uptake by VA is significant for RFS. An SUV max threshold of 5.0 is significantly associated with OS and RFS.

Predictive value of highly sensitive basal versus stimulated thyroglobulin measurement in long-term follow-up of thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

Recurrence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is associated with reduced quality of life, and therefore, early identification of patients at risk is urgently needed.Here we investigated the predictive power of various cut-off values of single stimulated thyroglobulin (s-Tg) and single highly sensitive measured, unstimulated thyroglobulin (u-hsTg) measurements close to the end of primary therapy for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in long-term follow-up (>10 years) of patients with DTC.

METHODS

In DTC patients with adjuvant radioiodine therapy, we assessed retrospectively u-hsTg (6 ± 3 months before s-Tg measurement) and s-Tg measurements (≤24 months after last radioiodine therapy). Positive predictive (PPV)/negative predictive values (NPV) of various cut-off values (s-Tg: 0.5/1.0 ng/mL; u-hsTg: 0.09/0.2 ng/mL) for patient outcomes as well as additional factors associated with disease development were analyzed.

RESULTS

In total, 175 patients were retrospectively reviewed (tumor recurrence: n = 14/complete remission: n = 161). Examined cut-off values for s-Tg and u-hsTg showed significant predictive power for RFS (log-rank: all P < 0.001). NPV/PPV for s-Tg were 98.6%/36.4%, respectively (0.5 ng/mL cut-off) and 96.7%/42.9%, respectively (1.0 ng/mL cut-off); those for u-hsTg were 97.3%/35.7%, respectively (0.09 ng/mL cut-off) and 95.2%/85.7%, respectively (0.2 ng/mL cut-off). U-hsTg (P < 0.001) and patient age (P < 0.05) were significantly associated with tumor recurrence. One-third of patients with tumor recurrence in the course initially showed undetectable u-hsTg after completion of primary therapy.

CONCLUSION

With >10 years of follow-up, both s-Tg and u-hsTg have a comparably high predictive power for RFS, while only u-hsTg was significantly associated with a recurrence event.Serial u-hsTg measurements seem warranted since patients with tumor recurrence during follow-up may have an undetectable tumor marker at baseline.

C-Reactive Protein and Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio Predict Recurrence in Stage III Melanoma Patients with Microscopic Sentinel Lymph Node Metastasis

Although adjuvant therapies with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) and BRAF/MEK inhibitors improve recurrence-free survival (RFS) in stage III melanoma patients significantly, prognostic factors are needed to identify patients with a high risk of disease recurrence. Therefore, the aim of our study was to investigate the prognostic potential of routinely collected blood parameters for stage III melanoma patients with microscopic sentinel lymph node (SLN) metastasis. Altogether, we retrospectively analyzed 138 stage III melanoma patients who were diagnosed with microscopic SLN metastasis at the skin cancer center of the University Hospital Cologne between 2011 and 2020 and who did not receive prior adjuvant therapy with ICI or BRAF/MEK-inhibitors. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses, Kaplan-Meier survival analyses and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were performed to assess the impact of preoperatively collected blood parameters and blood ratios on recurrence-free survival (RFS; primary endpoint) and overall survival (OS). A high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), low lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) and high C-reactive protein (CRP) value were significantly associated with shorter RFS in multivariate analysis. For LMR (cut-off 3.5) and for CRP (cut-off 3.0) this effect remained after dichotomization. CRP showed a stronger association with RFS than NLR or LMR, with the highest association being detected for the combination of low LMR and high CRP. Additionally, derived NLR ≥ 2.0 was significantly associated with shorter OS in multivariate analysis. In summary, our data suggest that CRP in combination with LMR should be considered as a marker for melanoma recurrence in stage III melanoma patients with microscopic SLN metastasis.