Genetic and pharmacological relationship between P-glycoprotein and increased cardiovascular risk associated with clarithromycin prescription: An epidemiological and genomic population-based cohort study in Scotland, UK

BACKGROUND

There are conflicting reports regarding the association of the macrolide antibiotic clarithromycin with cardiovascular (CV) events. A possible explanation may be that this risk is partly mediated through drug-drug interactions and only evident in at-risk populations. To the best of our knowledge, no studies have examined whether this association might be mediated via P-glycoprotein (P-gp), a major pathway for clarithromycin metabolism. The aim of this study was to examine CV risk following prescription of clarithromycin versus amoxicillin and in particular, the association with P-gp, a major pathway for clarithromycin metabolism.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We conducted an observational cohort study of patients prescribed clarithromycin or amoxicillin in the community in Tayside, Scotland (population approximately 400,000) between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2014 and a genomic observational cohort study evaluating genotyped patients from the Genetics of Diabetes Audit and Research Tayside Scotland (GoDARTS) study, a longitudinal cohort study of 18,306 individuals with and without type 2 diabetes recruited between 1 December 1988 and 31 December 2015. Two single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with P-gp activity were evaluated (rs1045642 and rs1128503 -AA genotype associated with lowest P-gp activity). The primary outcome for both analyses was CV hospitalization following prescription of clarithromycin versus amoxicillin at 0-14 days, 15-30 days, and 30 days to 1 year. In the observational cohort study, we calculated hazard ratios (HRs) adjusted for likelihood of receiving clarithromycin using inverse proportion of treatment weighting as a covariate, whereas in the pharmacogenomic study, HRs were adjusted for age, sex, history of myocardial infarction, and history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. The observational cohort study included 48,026 individuals with 205,227 discrete antibiotic prescribing episodes (34,074 clarithromycin, mean age 73 years, 42% male; 171,153 amoxicillin, mean age 74 years, 45% male). Clarithromycin use was significantly associated with increased risk of CV hospitalization compared with amoxicillin at both 0-14 days (HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.17-1.46, p < 0.001) and 30 days to 1 year (HR 1.13; 95% CI 1.06-1.19, p < 0.001), with the association at 0-14 days modified by use of P-gp inhibitors or substrates (interaction p-value: 0.029). In the pharmacogenomic study (13,544 individuals with 44,618 discrete prescribing episodes [37,497 amoxicillin, mean age 63 years, 56% male; 7,121 clarithromycin, mean age 66 years, 47% male]), when prescribed clarithromycin, individuals with genetically determined lower P-gp activity had a significantly increased risk of CV hospitalization at 30 days to 1 year compared with heterozygotes or those homozygous for the non-P-gp-lowering allele (rs1045642 AA: HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.20-1.60, p < 0.001, GG/GA: HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.89-1.10, p = 0.85, interaction p-value < 0.001 and rs1128503 AA 1.41, 95% CI 1.18-1.70, p < 0.001, GG/GA: HR 1.04, 95% CI 0.95-1.14, p = 0.43, interaction p-value < 0.001). The main limitation of our study is its observational nature, meaning that we are unable to definitively determine causality.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we observed that the increased risk of CV events with clarithromycin compared with amoxicillin was associated with an interaction with P-glycoprotein.

European Respiratory Society International Congress, Madrid, 2019: nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease highlights

Once overlooked, awareness of nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease (NTM-PD) is rapidly rising, in line with increasing prevalence worldwide. The European Respiratory Society (ERS) International Congress 2019, held in Madrid, Spain, provided a platform for invigorating discussions and exciting new research in the field. This article explores approaches being taken to combat NTM-PD with a focus not only on novel prevalence and risk factor data, but also on emerging antimicrobials and their routes of delivery, and other potential treatment options in early clinical development.

Sputum neutrophil elastase associates with microbiota and Pseudomonas aeruginosa in bronchiectasis

INTRODUCTION

Neutrophilic inflammation is a major driver of bronchiectasis pathophysiology, and neutrophil elastase activity is the most promising biomarker evaluated in sputum to date. How active neutrophil elastase correlates with the lung microbiome in bronchiectasis is still unexplored. We aimed to understand whether active neutrophil elastase is associated with low microbial diversity and distinct microbiome characteristics.

METHODS

An observational, cross-sectional study was conducted at the bronchiectasis programme of the Policlinico Hospital in Milan, Italy, where adults with bronchiectasis were enrolled between March 2017 and March 2019. Active neutrophil elastase was measured on sputum collected during stable state, microbiota analysed through 16S rRNA gene sequencing, molecular assessment of respiratory pathogens carried out through real-time PCR and clinical data collected.

RESULTS

Among 185 patients enrolled, decreasing α-diversity, evaluated through the Shannon entropy (ρ -0.37, p<0.00001) and Pielou's evenness (ρ -0.36, p<0.00001) and richness (ρ -0.33, p<0.00001), was significantly correlated with increasing elastase. A significant difference in median levels of Shannon entropy as detected between patients with neutrophil elastase ≥20 µg·mL^-1 (median 3.82, interquartile range 2.20-4.96) versus neutrophil elastase <20 µg·mL^-1 (4.88, 3.68-5.80; p<0.0001). A distinct microbiome was found in these two groups, mainly characterised by enrichment with Pseudomonas in the high-elastase group and with Streptococcus in the low-elastase group. Further confirmation of the association of Pseudomonas aeruginosa with elevated active neutrophil elastase was found based on standard culture and targeted real-time PCR.

CONCLUSIONS

High levels of active neutrophil elastase are associated to low microbiome diversity and specifically to P. aeruginosa infection.

Multiple breath washout in bronchiectasis clinical trials: is it feasible?

Background

Evaluation of multiple breath washout (MBW) set-up including staff training, certification and central "over-reading" for data quality control is essential to determine the feasibility of MBW in future bronchiectasis studies.

Aims

To assess the outcomes of a MBW training, certification and central over-reading programme.

Methods

MBW training and certification was conducted in European sites collecting lung clearance index (LCI) data in the BronchUK Clinimetrics and/or i-BEST-1 studies. The blended training programme included the use of an eLearning tool and a 1-day face-to-face session. Sites submitted MBW data to trained central over-readers who determined validity and quality.

Results

Thirteen training days were delivered to 56 participants from 22 sites. Of 22 sites, 18 (82%) were MBW naïve. Participant knowledge and confidence increased significantly (p<0.001). By the end of the study recruitment, 15 of 22 sites (68%) had completed certification with a mean (range) time since training of 6.2 (3-14) months. In the BronchUK Clinimetrics study, 468 of 589 (79%) tests met the quality criteria following central over-reading, compared with 137 of 236 (58%) tests in the i-BEST-1 study.

Conclusions

LCI is feasible in a bronchiectasis multicentre clinical trial setting; however, consideration of site experience in terms of training as well as assessment of skill drift and the need for re-training may be important to reduce time to certification and optimise data quality. Longer times to certification, a higher percentage of naïve sites and patients with worse lung function may have contributed to the lower success rate in the i-BEST-1 study.

Changes in respiratory symptoms during 48-week treatment with ARD-3150 (inhaled liposomal ciprofloxacin) in bronchiectasis: results from the ORBIT-3 and -4 studies

It is not known if inhaled antibiotics improve respiratory symptoms in patients with bronchiectasis. In the recent phase-3 ORBIT trials, 48 weeks' treatment with ARD-3150 (inhaled liposomal ciprofloxacin) did not significantly improve symptoms using the prespecified method of analysis comparing baseline symptoms to those after 48 weeks, when patients had been off treatment for 28 days. This method of analysis does not take account of possible improvements in symptoms while on active treatment.A post hoc analysis of two identical randomised trials of ARD-3150 (ORBIT-3 and -4) administered 28 days on and 28 days off in patients with bronchiectasis and chronic Pseudomonas aeruginosa infection. The quality-of-life bronchiectasis respiratory symptom scale (QOL-B-RSS), which has a one-week recall period, was administered every 28 days. We examined whether respiratory symptoms improved during on-treatment periods and the relationship of changes in QOL-B-RSS to changes in bacterial load using a mixed-model repeated measures approach.ARD-3150 treatment resulted in a significant improvement in respiratory symptoms during the on-treatment periods with concordant results between ORBIT-3 (estimate 1.4 points, se 0.49; p=0.004) and ORBIT-4 (estimate 1.1 point, se 0.41; p=0.006). The proportion of patients achieving a symptom improvement above the minimum clinically important difference was higher with ARD-3150 compared with placebo during on-treatment cycles (p=0.024). Changes in respiratory symptoms were correlated with changes in bacterial load in the treatment group (r=-0.89, p<0.0001). Individual estimates for decrements in the QOL-B RSS during exacerbation were -9.4 points (se 0.91) in ORBIT-3 and -10.8 points (0.74) in ORBIT-4 (both p<0.0001).Inhaled ARD-3150 resulted in significant improvements in respiratory symptoms during the on-treatment periods which were lost during off-treatment periods. These results supports the concept that reducing bacterial load can improve respiratory symptoms in patients with bronchiectasis.

Updated guidance on the management of COVID-19: from an American Thoracic Society/European Respiratory Society coordinated International Task Force (29 July 2020)

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2. Consensus suggestions can standardise care, thereby improving outcomes and facilitating future research.

METHODS

An International Task Force was composed and agreement regarding courses of action was measured using the Convergence of Opinion on Recommendations and Evidence (CORE) process. 70% agreement was necessary to make a consensus suggestion.

RESULTS

The Task Force made consensus suggestions to treat patients with acute COVID-19 pneumonia with remdesivir and dexamethasone but suggested against hydroxychloroquine except in the context of a clinical trial; these are revisions of prior suggestions resulting from the interim publication of several randomised trials. It also suggested that COVID-19 patients with a venous thromboembolic event be treated with therapeutic anticoagulant therapy for 3 months. The Task Force was unable to reach sufficient agreement to yield consensus suggestions for the post-hospital care of COVID-19 survivors. The Task Force fell one vote shy of suggesting routine screening for depression, anxiety and post-traumatic stress disorder.

CONCLUSIONS

The Task Force addressed questions related to pharmacotherapy in patients with COVID-19 and the post-hospital care of survivors, yielding several consensus suggestions. Management options for which there is insufficient agreement to formulate a suggestion represent research priorities.

Blood eosinophils as a biomarker of future COPD exacerbation risk: pooled data from 11 clinical trials

Background

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterised by progressive airflow limitation and chronic inflammation. Predicting exacerbations of COPD, which contribute to disease progression, is important to guide preventative treatment and improve outcomes. Blood eosinophils are a biomarker for patient responsiveness to inhaled corticosteroids (ICS); however, their effectiveness as a predictive biomarker for COPD exacerbations is unclear.

Methods

This post hoc analysis pooled data from 11 Boehringer Ingelheim-sponsored Phase III and IV randomised COPD studies with similar methodologies. Exacerbation data were collected from these studies, excluding patients from the ICS withdrawal arm of the WISDOM® study. Patients were grouped according to their baseline blood eosinophil count, baseline ICS use and number of exacerbations in the year prior to each study.

Results

Exacerbation rate data and baseline eosinophil count were available for 22,125 patients; 45.6% presented with a baseline blood eosinophil count of ≤ 150 cells/μL, 34.3% with 150–300 cells/μL and 20.1% with > 300 cells/μL. The lowest exacerbation rates were observed in patients with ≤ 150 cells/μL, with small increases in exacerbation rate observed with increasing eosinophil count. When stratified by exacerbation history, the annual rate of exacerbations for patients with 0 exacerbations in the previous year increased in line with increasing eosinophil counts (0.38 for ≤ 150 cells/μL, 0.39 for 150–300 cells/μL and 0.44 for > 300 cells/μL respectively). A similar trend was identified for patients with one exacerbation in the previous year, 0.62, 0.66 and 0.67 respectively. For patients with ≥ 2 exacerbations, exacerbation rates fluctuated between 1.02 (≤ 150 cells/μL) to 1.10 (150–300 cells/μL) and 1.07 (> 300 cells/μL). Higher exacerbation rates were noted in patients treated with ICS at baseline (range 0.75 to 0.82 with increasing eosinophil count) compared with patients not on ICS (range 0.45 to 0.49).

Conclusion

We found no clinically important relationship between baseline blood eosinophil count and exacerbation rate. Hence, the current analysis does not support the use of blood eosinophils to predict exacerbation risk; however, previous exacerbation history was found to be a more reliable predictor of future exacerbations.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifiers: NCT00168844, NCT00168831, NCT00387088, NCT00782210, NCT00782509, NCT00793624, NCT00796653, NCT01431274, NCT01431287, NCT02296138 and NCT00975195.

Graphical abstract

A cuckoo COVID coincidence?

We are grateful to A.H. Morice for his reminder of the limits of observational data, and the need for caution in its interpretation. And we accept that it is unlikely to ever be proved conclusively that the dramatic restrictions imposed as countries locked down caused the dramatic changes in epidemic trajectories, even though the epidemiological changes seemed to follow the behavioural changes. However, there is also a large logical leap from observing the Swedish data to inferring that social distancing “measures can only have had a minor effect”.

There are limitations to inferring causality from observational data, but lockdowns have almost certainly saved lives worldwidehttps://bit.ly/2YWAhhl

Characteristics and outcomes of health and social care workers testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 in the Tayside region of Scotland

The spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and reported outcomes among health and social care workers (HSCWs) is concerning [1–3]. Early in the outbreak it was recommended in the UK that HSCWs experiencing symptoms of a cough or fever remain absent from work for 7 days. In order to address this problem, National Health Service (NHS) Tayside, a health board in Scotland covering a population of 400,000, was the first in Scotland to set up a drive-through testing programme for HSCWs, other key workers and their symptomatic household contacts (including children), with results available within 24 h, allowing staff to return to work following a negative test [4]. As testing for SARS-CoV-2 was limited to hospitalised patients across much of Europe there is limited data on the self-reported clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients in the community with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Here, we report characteristics and outcomes of HSCWs presenting to the drive-through testing centre who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 on a combined nasal and pharyngeal swab. Anonymised record linkage was conducted between routinely collected healthcare datasets in order to ascertain clinical characteristics and outcomes of those who tested positive. All hospitalisations until 25 April and deaths until 20 May, 2020 were recorded. Approval was obtained from the local data protection officer (Caldicott Guardian).

Tayside, Scotland was one of the first health boards to institute testing for all symptomatic workers. As expected, there was a high prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 among health and social care workers; however, in most cases disease was mild. https://bit.ly/38JaUmB

Providing answers to respiratory patients' questions during COVID-19

The European Lung Foundation (ELF) brings patients and the public together with respiratory professionals to positively influence lung health, and regularly provides reliable information that has been co-produced by patients and professionals (from the European Respiratory Society (ERS)) and is available in multiple languages.

Quickly publishing questions from people with lung conditions, answered by experts in multiple languages, provided a well-accessed source of evidence-based support for individuals across the globe during the first wave of the #COVID19 pandemichttps://bit.ly/2F5ZP4k

Relationship between Symptoms, Exacerbations, and Treatment Response in Bronchiectasis

Rationale: Bronchiectasis guidelines regard treatment to prevent exacerbation and treatment of daily symptoms as separate objectives.Objectives: We hypothesized that patients with greater symptoms would be at higher risk of exacerbations and therefore that a treatment aimed at reducing daily symptoms would also reduce exacerbations in highly symptomatic patients.Methods: Our study comprised an observational cohort of 333 patients from the East of Scotland (2012-2016). Either symptoms were modeled as a continuous variable or patients were classified as having high, moderate, or low symptom burden (>70, 40-70, and <40 using the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire symptom score). The hypothesis that exacerbation reductions would only be evident in highly symptomatic patients was tested in a post hoc analysis of a randomized trial of inhaled dry powder mannitol (N = 461 patients).Measurements and Main Results: In the observational cohort, daily symptoms were a significant predictor of future exacerbations (rate ratio [RR], 1.10; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.17; P = 0.005). Patients with higher symptom scores had higher exacerbation rates (RR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.12-2.72; P = 0.01) over 12-month follow-up than those with lower symptoms. Inhaled mannitol treatment improved the time to first exacerbation (hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.40-0.77; P < 0.001), and the proportion of patients remaining exacerbation free for 12 months of treatment was higher in the mannitol group (32.7% vs. 14.6%; RR, 2.84; 95% CI, 1.40-5.76; P = 0.003), but only in highly symptomatic patients. In contrast, no benefit was evident in patients with lower symptom burden.Conclusions: Highly symptomatic patients have increased risk of exacerbations, and exacerbation benefit with inhaled mannitol was only evident in patients with high symptom burden.

Drive-through testing for SARS-CoV-2 in symptomatic health and social care workers and household members: an observational cohort study

The requirement for health and social care workers to self-isolate when they or their household contacts develop symptoms consistent with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection can lead to critical staff shortages in the context of a pandemic. In this report, we describe the implementation of a drive-through testing service in a single National Health Service region in Scotland. From 17 March 2020 to 11 April 2020, 1890 SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription PCR assay (RT-PCR) tests were performed. 22% of tests were positive. Allowing the remaining 78% of staff to return to work within 24 hours was estimated to save over 8000 working days during the peak pandemic period.

Efficacy and safety of TOBI Podhaler in Pseudomonas aeruginosa-infected bronchiectasis patients: iBEST study

The study aimed to determine the efficacy of a safe and well-tolerated dose and regimen of tobramycin inhalation powder (TIP) on Pseudomonas aeruginosa sputum density in patients with bronchiectasis.

This is a phase II, double-blind, randomised study in bronchiectasis patients aged ≥18 years with chronic P. aeruginosa infection. Patients were randomised 1:1:1 to either cohort A: three capsules of TIP once daily (84 mg); cohort B: five capsules once daily (140 mg) or cohort C: four capsules twice daily (224 mg). Within each cohort, patients were further randomised 2:2:1 either to TIP continuously, TIP cyclically (alternating 28 days of TIP and placebo) or placebo for 16 weeks, respectively and were followed up for 8 weeks.

Overall, 107 patients were randomised to cohorts A (n=34), B (n=36) and C (n=37). All three TIP doses significantly reduced the P. aeruginosa sputum density from baseline to day 29 versus placebo in a dose-dependent manner (p≤0.0001, each). A smaller proportion of patients in the continuous-TIP (34.1%) and cyclical-TIP (35.7%) groups experienced pulmonary exacerbations versus placebo (47.6%) and also required fewer anti-pseudomonal antibiotics (38.6% on continuous TIP and 42.9% on cyclical TIP) versus placebo (57.1%) although not statistically significant. Pulmonary exacerbation of bronchiectasis was the most frequent (37.4%) adverse event. Overall, TIP was well tolerated, however, 23.4% of the patients discontinued the study drug due to adverse events.

Continuous- and cyclical-TIP regimens with all three doses were safe and effective in reducing the P. aeruginosa sputum density in patients with bronchiectasis and chronic P. aeruginosa infection.

International Perspective on the New 2019 American Thoracic Society/Infectious Diseases Society of America Community-Acquired Pneumonia Guideline: A Critical Appraisal by a Global Expert Panel

In 2019, the American Thoracic Society (ATS) and Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) issued a substantial revision of the 2007 guideline on community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). Despite the fact that generalization of infectious disease guidelines is limited because of substantial geographic differences in microbiologic etiology and antimicrobial resistance, the ATS/IDSA guideline is frequently applied outside the United States. Therefore, this project aimed to give a perspective on the ATS/IDSA CAP recommendations related to the management of CAP outside the United States. For this, an expert panel composed of 14 international key opinion leaders in the field of CAP from 10 countries across five continents, who were not involved in producing the 2019 guideline, was asked to subjectively name the five most useful changes, the recommendation viewed most critically, and the recommendation that cannot be applied to their respective region. There was no formal consensus process, and the article reflects different opinions. Recommendations welcomed by most of the international pneumonia experts included the abandonment of the concept of “health-care-associated pneumonia,” the more restrictive indication for empiric macrolide treatment in outpatients, the increased emphasis on microbiologic diagnostics, and addressing the use of corticosteroids. Main criticisms included the somewhat arbitrary choice of a 25% resistance threshold for outpatient macrolide monotherapy. Experts from areas with elevated mycobacterial prevalence particularly opposed the recommendation of fluoroquinolones, even as an alternative.

Development of Drugs for Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Disease: Clinicians' Interpretation of a US Food and Drug Administration Workshop

The US Food and Drug Administration convened a workshop to discuss clinical trial design challenges and considerations related to the treatment of nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease, to include topics such as clinical trial end points, duration, and populations. The clinicians participating in the meeting provide here their interpretation of the discussion, which included US Food and Drug Administration and industry representatives. The treatment of nontuberculous mycobacterial pulmonary disease typically includes multiple antibiotics for a prolonged period and can be difficult to tolerate; there is a great need for new treatment options. Most individuals have a microbiologic response to therapy, but data correlating decreasing bacillary load with patient-reported outcomes or measured functional improvement are lacking. Accordingly, trial designs for new therapeutic agents should incorporate both microbiologic and clinical outcome measures and select appropriate study candidates with capacity for measurable change of such outcome measures. The need for shorter study designs, early primary end points, and placebo control arms was highlighted during the workshop.

ACCORD: A Multicentre, Seamless, Phase 2 Adaptive Randomisation Platform Study to Assess the Efficacy and Safety of Multiple Candidate Agents for the Treatment of COVID-19 in Hospitalised Patients: A structured summary of a study protocol for a randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

Stage 1: To evaluate the safety and efficacy of candidate agents as add-on therapies to standard of care (SoC) in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in a screening stage. Stage 2: To confirm the efficacy of candidate agents selected on the basis of evidence from Stage 1 in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 in an expansion stage.

TRIAL DESIGN

ACCORD is a seamless, Phase 2, adaptive, randomised controlled platform study, designed to rapidly test candidate agents in the treatment of COVID-19. Designed as a master protocol with each candidate agent being included via its own sub-protocol, initially randomising equally between each candidate and a single contemporaneous SoC arm (which can adapt into 2:1). Candidate agents currently include bemcentinib, MEDI3506, acalabrutinib, zilucoplan and nebulised heparin. For each candidate a total of 60 patients will be recruited in Stage 1. If Stage 1 provides evidence of efficacy and acceptable safety the candidate will enter Stage 2 where a total of approximately 126 patients will be recruited into each study arm sub-protocol. Enrollees and outcomes will not be shared across the Stages; the endpoint, analysis and sample size for Stage 2 may be adjusted based on evidence from Stage 1. Additional arms may be added as new potential candidate agents are identified via candidate agent specific sub-protocols.

PARTICIPANTS

The study will include hospitalised adult patients (≥18 years) with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, the virus that causes COVID-19, that clinically meet Grades 3 (hospitalised - mild disease, no oxygen therapy), Grades 4 (hospitalised, oxygen by mask or nasal prongs) and 5 (hospitalised, non-invasive ventilation or high flow oxygen) of the WHO Working Group on the Clinical Characteristics of COVID-19 9-point category ordinal scale. Participants will be recruited from England, Northern Ireland, Wales and Scotland.

INTERVENTION AND COMPARATOR

Comparator is current standard of care (SoC) for the treatment of COVID-19. Current candidate experimental arms include bemcentinib, MEDI3506, acalabrutinib, zilucoplan and nebulised heparin with others to be added over time. Bemcentinib could potentially reduce viral infection and blocks SARS-CoV-2 spike protein; MEDI3506 is a clinic-ready anti-IL-33 monoclonal antibody with the potential to treat respiratory failure caused by COVID; acalabrutinib is a BTK inhibitor which is anti-viral and anti-inflammatory; zilucoplan is a complement C5 inhibitor which may block the severe inflammatory response in COVID-19 and; nebulised heparin has been shown to bind with the spike protein. ACCORD is linked with the UK national COVID therapeutics task force to help prioritise candidate agents.

MAIN OUTCOMES

Time to sustained clinical improvement of at least 2 points (from randomisation) on the WHO 9-point category ordinal scale, live discharge from the hospital, or considered fit for discharge (a score of 0, 1, or 2 on the ordinal scale), whichever comes first, by Day 29 (this will also define the "responder" for the response rate analyses).

RANDOMISATION

An electronic randomization will be performed by Cenduit using Interactive Response Technology (IRT). Randomisation will be stratified by baseline severity grade. Randomisation will proceed with an equal allocation to each arm and a contemporaneous SoC arm (e.g. 1:1 if control and 1 experimental arm; 1:1:1 if two experimental candidate arms etc) but will be reviewed as the trial progresses and may be changed to 2:1 in favour of the candidate agents.

BLINDING (MASKING)

The trial is open label and no blinding is currently planned in the study.

NUMBERS TO BE RANDOMISED (SAMPLE SIZE)

This will be in the order of 60 patients per candidate agent for Stage 1, and 126 patients for Stage 2. However, sample size re-estimation may be considered after Stage 1. It is estimated that up to 1800 patients will participate in the overall study.

TRIAL STATUS

Master protocol version ACCORD-2-001 - Master Protocol (Amendment 1) 22nd April 2020, the trial has full regulatory approval and recruitment is ongoing in the bemcentinib (first patient recruited 6/5/2020), MEDI3506 (first patient recruited 19/5/2020), acalabrutinib (first patient recruited 20/5/2020) and zilucoplan (first patient recruited 19/5/2020) candidates (and SoC). The recruitment dates of each arm will vary between candidate agents as they are added or dropped from the trial, but will have recruited and reported within a year.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

EudraCT 2020-001736-95 , registered 28th April 2020.

FULL PROTOCOL

The full protocol (Master Protocol with each of the candidate sub-protocols) is attached as an additional file, accessible from the Trials website (Additional file 1). In the interest in expediting dissemination of this material, the familiar formatting has been eliminated; this Letter serves as a summary of the key elements of the full protocol.

Estimates of the ongoing need for social distancing and control measures post-"lockdown" from trajectories of COVID-19 cases and mortality

By 21 May 2020, severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) had caused more than 5 million cases of coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) across more than 200 countries. Most countries with significant outbreaks have introduced social distancing or “lockdown” measures to reduce viral transmission. So the key question now is when, how and to what extent these measures can be lifted.

Publicly available data on daily numbers of newly confirmed cases and mortality were used to fit regression models estimating trajectories, doubling times and the reproduction number (R₀) of the disease, before and under the control measures. These data ran up to 21 May 2020, and were sufficient for analysis in 89 countries.

The estimates of R₀ before lockdown based on these data were broadly consistent with those previously published: between 2.0 and 3.7 in the countries with the largest number of cases available for analysis (USA, Italy, Spain, France and UK). There was little evidence to suggest that the restrictions had reduced R far below 1 in many places, with France having the most rapid reductions: R₀ 0.76 (95% CI 0.72–0.82) based on cases, and 0.77 (95% CI 0.73–0.80) based on mortality.

Intermittent lockdown has been proposed as a means of controlling the outbreak while allowing periods of increased freedom and economic activity. These data suggest that few countries could have even 1 week per month unrestricted without seeing resurgence of the epidemic. Similarly, restoring 20% of the activity that has been prevented by the lockdowns looks difficult to reconcile with preventing the resurgence of the disease in most countries.

Data from multiple countries show that current restrictions on behaviour barely contain the spread of COVID-19. Resuming 20% of the currently excluded contact between individuals looks sufficient to restart the epidemic's progression in many countries.https://bit.ly/2B4dIOw

Inhaled aztreonam improves symptoms of cough and sputum production in patients with bronchiectasis: a post hoc analysis of the AIR-BX studies

INTRODUCTION

Inhaled antibiotics may improve symptom scores, but it is not known which specific symptoms improve with therapy. Item-level analysis of questionnaire data may allow us to identify which specific symptoms respond best to treatment.

METHODS

Post hoc analysis of the AIR-BX1 studies and two trials of inhaled aztreonam versus placebo in bronchiectasis. Individual items from the quality of life bronchiectasis (QOL-B) respiratory symptom scale, were extracted as representing severity of nine distinct symptoms. Generalised linear models were used to evaluate changes in symptoms with treatment versus placebo from baseline to end of first on-treatment cycle and mixed models were used to evaluate changes across the full 16-week trial.

RESULTS

Aztreonam improved cough (difference 0.22, 95% CI 0.08-0.37; p=0.002), sputum production (0.30, 95% CI 0.15-0.44; p<0.0001) and sputum colour (0.29, 95% CI 0.15-0.43; p<0.0001) versus placebo equating to a 20% improvement in cough and 25% improvement in sputum production and colour. Similar results were observed for cough, sputum production and sputum purulence across the trial duration (all p<0.05). Patients with higher sputum production and sputum colour scores had a greater response on the overall QOL-B (difference 4.82, 95% CI 1.12-8.53; p=0.011 for sputum production and 5.02, 95% CI 1.19-8.86; p=0.01 for sputum colour). In contrast, treating patients who had lower levels of bronchitic symptoms resulted in shorter time to next exacerbation (hazard ratio 1.83, 95% CI 1.02-3.28; p=0.042).

CONCLUSION

Baseline bronchitic symptoms predict response to inhaled aztreonam in bronchiectasis. More sensitive tools to measure bronchitic symptoms may be useful to better identify inhaled antibiotic responders and to evaluate patient response to treatment.

Blood neutrophil counts are associated with exacerbation frequency and mortality in COPD

BACKGROUND

Identifying patients with COPD at increased risk of poor outcomes is challenging due to disease heterogeneity. Potential biomarkers need to be readily available in real-life clinical practice. Blood eosinophil counts are widely studied but few studies have examined the prognostic value of blood neutrophil counts (BNC).

METHODS

In a large population-based COPD registry in the East of Scotland (TARDIS: Tayside Allergic and Respiratory Disease Information System), BNC were compared to measures of disease severity and mortality for up to 15 years follow-up. Potential mechanisms of disease modification by BNC were explored in a nested microbiome substudy.

RESULTS

178,120 neutrophil counts were obtained from 7220 people (mean follow up 9 years) during stable disease periods. Median BNC was 5200cells/μL (IQR 4000-7000cells/μL). Mortality rates among the 34% of patients with elevated BNCs (defined as 6000-15000cells/μL) at the study start were 80% higher (14.0/100 person years v 7.8/100py, P < 0.001) than those with BNC in the normal range (2000-6000cells/μL). People with elevated BNC were more likely to be classified as GOLD D (46% v 33% P < 0.001), have more exacerbations (mean 2.3 v 1.3/year, P < 0.001), and were more likely to have severe exacerbations (13% vs. 5%, P < 0.001) in the following year. Eosinophil counts were much less predictive of these outcomes. In a sub-cohort (N = 276), patients with elevated BNC had increased relative abundance of Proteobacteria and reduced microbiome diversity.

CONCLUSION

High BNC may provide a useful indicator of risk of exacerbations and mortality in COPD patients.