Psychostimulant prescribing trends in a paediatric population in Ireland: a national cohort study

Background

Psychotropic paediatric prescribing trends are increasing internationally. The aim of this study is to examine the prevalence and secular trends in psychotropic prescribing in Irish children and adolescents between 2002 and 2011.

Methods

Data was obtained from the Irish General Medical Services (GMS) scheme pharmacy claims database from the Health Service Executive Primary Care Reimbursement Services (HSE-PCRS). Prescribing rates per 1000 eligible population and associated 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated across years (2002–2011), age groups (0–4, 5–11, 12–15 years) and gender. Rates of concomitant prescriptions for psycholeptics and antidepressants were also examined. The total expenditure costs were calculated and expressed as a percentage of the cost of all prescriptions for this age group (≤15 years).

Results

In 2002, 3.77/1000 GMS population (95 % CI: 3.53–4.01) received at least one psychostimulant prescription and this rate increased to 8.63/1000 GMS population (95 % CI: 8.34–8.92) in 2011. Methylphenidate was the most frequently prescribed psychostimulant. For both males and females the prevalence of medication use was highest among the 12–15 year old group. On average, a psycholeptic medication was prescribed to 8 % of all psychostimulant users and an antidepressant was concomitantly prescribed on average to 2 %. Total expenditure rose from €89,254 in 2002 to €1,532,016 in 2011.

Conclusions

The rate and cost of psychostimulant prescribing among GMS children and adolescents in Ireland increased significantly between 2002 and 2011. Further research is necessary to assess the safety, efficacy and economic impact of concomitant psychotropic prescribing in this population.

Statin use in adults at high risk of cardiovascular disease mortality: cross-sectional analysis of baseline data from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA)

OBJECTIVES

This study aims to examine the extent to which statins are used by adults at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) compared to European clinical guidelines. The high-risk groups examined are those with (1) known CVD, (2) known diabetes and (3) a high or very high risk (≥5%) of CVD mortality based on Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE).

DESIGN

This study is cross-sectional in design using data from the first wave (2009-2011) of The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA).

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

The sample (n=3372) is representative of community living adults aged 50-64 years in Ireland.

RESULTS

Statins were used by 68.6% (95% CI 61.5% to 75.8%) of those with known CVD, 57.4% (95% CI 49.1% to 65.7%) of those with known diabetes and by 19.7% (95% CI 13.0% to 26.3%) of adults with a SCORE risk ≥5%. Over a third (38.5%, 95% CI 31.0% to 46.0%) of those with known CVD, 46.8% (95% CI 38.4% to 55.1%) of those with known diabetes and 85.2% (95% CI 79.3% to 91.1%) of those with a SCORE risk ≥5% were at or above the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) target of 2.5 mmol/L specified in the 2007 European guidelines.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite strong evidence and clinical guidelines recommending the use of statins for secondary prevention, a gap exists between guidelines and practice in this cohort. It is also of concern that a low proportion of adults with a SCORE risk ≥5% were taking statins. A policy response that strengthens secondary prevention, and improves risk assessment and shared decision-making in the primary prevention of CVD is required.

Effects of vitamin D supplementation on intestinal permeability, cathelicidin and disease markers in Crohn's disease: Results from a randomised double-blind placebo-controlled study

BACKGROUND

Vitamin D (vitD) supplementation may prolong remission in Crohn's disease (CD); however, the clinical efficacy and mechanisms are unclear.

AIM

To determine changes in intestinal permeability (IP), antimicrobial peptide (AMP) concentrations and disease markers in CD, in response to vitD supplementation.

METHODS

In a double-blind randomised placebo-controlled study, we assigned 27 CD patients in remission to 2000 IU/day vitD or placebo for 3 mos. We determined IP, plasma cathelicidin (LL-37 in ng/mL), human-beta-defensin-2 (hBD2 in pg/mL), disease activity (Crohn's Disease Activity Index (CDAI)), C-reactive protein (CRP in mg/L), fecal calprotectin (µg/g), Quality of Life (QoL) and serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D in nmol/L) at 0 and 3 mos.

RESULTS

At 3 mos., 25(OH)D concentrations were significantly higher in those whom were treated (p < 0.001). Intra-group analysis showed increased LL-37 concentrations (p = 0.050) and maintenance of IP measures in the treated group. In contrast, in the placebo group, the small bowel (p = 0.018) and gastro-duodenal permeability (p = 0.030) increased from baseline. At 3 mos., patients with 25(OH)D ≥ 75 nmol/L had significantly lower CRP (p = 0.019), higher QoL (p = 0.037), higher LL-37 concentrations (p < 0.001) and non-significantly lower CDAI scores (p = 0.082), compared to those with levels <75 nmol/L.

CONCLUSION

Short-term treatment with 2000 IU/day vitD significantly increased 25(OH)D levels in CD patients in remission and it was associated with increased LL-37 concentrations and maintenance of IP. Achieving 25(OH)D ≥ 75 nmol/l was accompanied by higher circulating LL-37, higher QoL scores and reduced CRP. Registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01792388).

Improving antimicrobial prescribing in Irish primary care through electronic data collection and surveillance: a feasibility study

BACKGROUND

The increase in the spread of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) in bacterial pathogens and limited availability of new antimicrobials places immense pressure on general practitioners (GPs) to prescribe appropriately. Currently, electronic antimicrobial prescribing data is not routinely collected from GPs in Ireland for surveillance purposes to assess regional specific fluctuations or trends in antimicrobial prescribing. The current study aimed to address this issue by assessing the feasibility of remotely extracting antimicrobial prescribing data from primary care practices in Ireland, for the purpose of assessing prescribing quality using the European Surveillance of Antimicrobial Consumption (ESAC) drug specific quality indicators.

METHODS

Participating practices (n = 30) uploaded data to the Irish Primary Care Research Network (IPCRN). The IPCRN data extraction facility is integrated within the practice patient management software system and permitted the extraction of anonymised patient prescriptions for a one year period, from October 2012 to October 2013. The quality of antimicrobial prescribing was evaluated using the twelve ESAC drug specific quality indicators using the defined daily dose (DDD) per 1,000 inhabitants per day (DID) methodology. National and European prescribing surveillance data (based on total pharmacy sales) was obtained for a comparative analysis.

RESULTS

Antimicrobial prescriptions (n = 57,079) for 27,043 patients were obtained from the thirty study practices for a one year period. On average, study practices prescribed a greater proportion of quinolones (37 % increase), in summer compared with winter months, a variation which was not observed in national and European data. In comparison with national data, study practices prescribed higher proportions of β-lactamase-sensitive penicillins (4.98 % vs. 4.3 %) and a greater use of broad spectrum compared to narrow-spectrum antimicrobials (ratio = 9.98 vs. 6.26) was observed. Study practices exceeded the European mean for prescribing combinations of penicillins, including β-lactamase inhibitors.

CONCLUSIONS

This research demonstrates the feasibility and potential use of direct data extraction of anonymised practice data directly through the patient management software system. The data extraction methods described can facilitate the provision of routinely collected data for sustained and inclusive surveillance of antimicrobial prescribing. These comparisons may initiate further improvements in antimicrobial prescribing practices by identifying potential areas for improvement.

A Survey of GPs Awareness and Use of Risk Assessment Tools and Cardiovascular Disease Prevention Guidelines

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death worldwide. This study aimed to benchmark awareness and use of CVD risk assessment (RA) tools and prevention guidelines in Irish general practice. 493 (18%) Irish general practitioners (GPs) were invited to participate in a cross-sectional study in 2011. 213 (43%) GPs responded with most being male (n = 128, 58.2%) and aged ≥ 45 years (n = 124, 56.8%). While 197 (92.5%) GPs were aware of at least one RA tool, only 69 (32.4%) GPs reported frequent use. 187 (87.8%) GPs were aware of one or more CVD prevention guidelines with 115 (54.0%) GPs reporting frequent use of at least one guideline. No age or gender difference observed. Barriers to implementation of CVD prevention guidelines were lack of remuneration, too many CVD guidelines and time constraints. Most Irish GPs were aware of RA tools and CVD prevention guidelines with half reporting frequent use of guidelines.

Benzodiazepine prescribing in children under 15 years of age receiving free medical care on the General Medical Services scheme in Ireland

OBJECTIVE

To examine the prevalence and secular trends in benzodiazepine (BZD) prescribing in the Irish paediatric population. In addition, we examine coprescribing of antiepileptic, antipsychotic, antidepressant and psychostimulants in children receiving BZD drugs and compare BZD prescribing in Ireland to that in other European countries.

SETTING

Data were obtained from the Irish General Medical Services (GMS) scheme pharmacy claims database from the Health Service Executive (HSE)--Primary Care Reimbursement Services (PCRS).

PARTICIPANTS

Children aged 0-15 years, on the HSE-PCRS database between January 2002 and December 2011, were included.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Prescribing rates were reported over time (2002-2011) and duration (≤ or >90 days). Age (0-4, 5-11, 12-15) and gender trends were established. Rates of concomitant prescriptions for antiepileptic, antipsychotics, antidepressants and psychostimulants were reported. European prescribing data were retrieved from the literature.

RESULTS

Rates decreased from 2002 (8.56/1000 GMS population: 95% CI 8.20 to 8.92) to 2011 (5.33/1000 GMS population: 95% CI 5.10 to 5.55). Of those children currently receiving a BZD prescription, 6% were prescribed BZD for >90 days. Rates were higher for boys in the 0-4 and 5-11 age ranges, whereas for girls they were higher in the 12-15 age groups. A substantial proportion of children receiving BZD drugs are also prescribed antiepileptic (27%), antidepressant (11%), antipsychotic (5%) and psychostimulant (2%) medicines. Prescribing rates follow a similar pattern to that in other European countries.

CONCLUSIONS

While BZD prescribing trends have decreased in recent years, this study shows that a significant proportion of the GMS children population are being prescribed BZD in the long term. This study highlights the need for guidelines for BZD prescribing in children in terms of clinical indication and responsibility, coprescribing, dosage and duration of treatment.

The Budget Impact of Hepatitis C Treatment in Ireland 2001-2012

Chronic Hepatitis C (HCV) is estimated to infect 20,000 to 50,000 people in Ireland. National estimates of the number of patients who have been treated for HCV, their demographics and the cost associated with that treatment have not been published. Prescriptions for the treatment of HCV from 2000-2012 were established by interrogating the records of the High-Tech Drug Scheme and the pharmacy records of the Genitourinary Medicine and Infectious Diseases department of St. James Hospital. 2320 patients were initiated on treatment for HCV. Over €27 million was spent on HCV treatment. €25.5 million was spent on anti-viral therapy and €2 million was spent on haematological growth factor support for the management of adverse effects. The budget impact of HCV treatment has been significant in Ireland. New agents for HCV will have a greater budget impact but should require less spend on adverse event management.

Identifying the determinants of adjuvant hormonal therapy medication taking behaviour in women with stages I-III breast cancer: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to identify the modifiable determinants of adjuvant hormonal therapy medication taking behaviour (MTB) in women with stage I-III breast cancer in clinical practice settings.

METHODS

We searched PubMed EMBASE, PsycINFO and CINAHL for articles investigating determinants of adjuvant hormonal therapy. Potentially modifiable determinants were identified and mapped to the 14 domains of the Theoretical Domains Framework (TDF), an integrative framework of theories of behavioural change. Meta-analysis was used to calculate pooled odds ratios for selected determinants.

RESULTS

Potentially modifiable determinants were identified in 42 studies and mapped to 9 TDF domains. In meta-analysis treatment side-effects (Domain: Beliefs about Capabilities) and follow-up care with a general practitioner (vs. oncologist) (Social Influences) were significantly negatively associated with persistence (p<0.001) and number of medications (Behaviour Regulation) was significantly positively associated with persistence (p<0.003). Studies did not examine several domains (including Beliefs about Consequences, Intentions, Goals, Social Identity, Emotion and Knowledge) which have been reported to influence MTB in other disease groups.

CONCLUSIONS

There is some evidence that the domains Beliefs about Capabilities, Behaviour Regulation and Social Influences influence hormonal therapy MTB.

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

Further research is needed to develop effective interventions to improve hormonal therapy MTB.

Decline in Coronary Mortality in Sweden between 1986 and 2002: Comparing Contributions from Primary and Secondary Prevention

Background

The relative importance of risk factor reduction in healthy people (primary prevention) versus that in patients with coronary heart disease (secondary prevention) has been debated. We aimed to quantify the contribution of the two.

Methodology

We used the previously validated IMPACT model to estimate contributions from primary prevention (reducing risk factors in the population, particularly smoking, cholesterol and systolic blood pressure) and from secondary prevention (reducing risk factors in coronary heart disease patients) in the Swedish population.

Principal Findings

Between 1986 and 2002, about 8,690 fewer deaths were related to changes in the three major risk factors. Population cholesterol fell by 0.64 mmol/L, with approximately 5,210 fewer deaths attributable to diet changes (4,470 in healthy people740 in patients.) plus 810 to statin treatment (200 in healthy people, 610 in patients). Overall smoking prevalence decreased by 10.3%, resulting in 1,195 fewer deaths, attributable to smoking cessation (595 in healthy people, 600 in patients). Mean population systolic blood pressure fell by 2.6 mmHg, resulting in 900 fewer deaths (865 in healthy people, 35 in patients), plus 575 fewer deaths attributable to antihypertensive medication in healthy people. The majority of falls in deaths attributable to risk factors occurred in people without known heart disease: 6,705 fewer deaths compared with 1,985 fewer deaths in patients (secondary prevention), emphasizing the importance of promoting health interventions in the general population.

Conclusions

The largest effects on mortality came from primary prevention, giving markedly larger mortality reductions than secondary prevention.

Engineering anti-HIV-1 antibodies to enhance activity and increase half-life (VAC11P.1104)

HIV/AIDS remains one of the most serious threats to global public health. Although anti-HIV drugs have been effective among the wealthiest populations, new methods to prevent infections are needed to control HIV-1 infections globally. Strategies to combat HIV-1 benefit from structural knowledge of how antibodies recognize HIV envelope proteins and how the immune system eliminates viruses. Until recently, only a small number of broadly neutralizing antibodies against HIV-1 had been characterized, and the immunological basis for their breadth and potency remains poorly understood. However, it was recently demonstrated that antibodies could be engineered to greatly enhance their breadth and potency. Unfortunately, these and other engineering efforts can result in a decrease in antibody half-life in various animal models. This decrease in half-life correlates with polyreactivity, an increase in reactivity to a variety of antigens. In order to make better targets for passive delivery therapies, we are using a variety of computational and structure-based techniques. We have constructed several mutations in regions that have been predicted to have high aggregation propensities, and have shown that these novel reagents have reduced polyreactivity and longer in vivo half-lives, yet maintain potency in neutralization assays. Further characterization will help further our understanding of the relationship between antibody potency, polyreactivity, and half-life.

De Novo Post-Diagnosis Aspirin Use and Mortality in Women with Stage I-III Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Aspirin use has been associated with significant reductions in breast cancer-related mortality in some observational studies. However, these studies included women who initiated aspirin use before breast cancer diagnosis. It is unclear whether initiating aspirin use after diagnosis is associated with similar reductions in mortality. This study investigates associations between de novo post-diagnostic aspirin use and all cause, breast cancer-specific mortality.

METHODS

Women, ages 50 to 80, with a diagnosis of stage I-III breast cancer were identified from Ireland's National Cancer Registry (N = 4,540). Initiation of de novo post-diagnostic aspirin use was identified from linked national prescription refill data (N = 764). Adjusted HRs were estimated for associations between de novo aspirin use and all-cause, breast cancer-specific mortality.

RESULTS

The median time from diagnosis to aspirin initiation was 1.8 years. The mean number of days' supply of aspirin received was 631, and 95% of users were taking less than 150 mg/d. We found no association between de novo aspirin use and breast cancer-specific mortality [HR, 0.98; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.74-1.30]. Similar null associations were found in women taking aspirin at high-intensity (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 0.72-1.47) and women initiating use in the 1.5 years after diagnosis (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.77-1.40). There was no effect modification by estrogen (Pinteraction = 0.81) or progesterone (Pinteraction = 0.41) receptor status.

CONCLUSION

Initiating aspirin use after a breast cancer diagnosis was not associated with a reduction in breast cancer-specific mortality.

IMPACT

On the basis of our findings, we suggest that a clearer understanding of aspirin's mechanism of action is needed to help inform the design of future studies in breast cancer.

Potentially inappropriate prescribing and adverse health outcomes in community dwelling older patients

AIMS

This study aimed to determine the association between potentially inappropriate prescribing (PIP) and health related outcomes [adverse drug events (ADEs), health related quality of life (HRQOL) and hospital accident and emergency (A&E) visits] in older community dwelling patients.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of 931 community dwelling patients aged ≥70 years in 15 general practices in Ireland in 2010. PIP was defined by the Screening Tool of Older Person's Prescriptions (STOPP). ADEs were measured by patient self-report and medical record for the previous 6 months and reviewed by two independent clinicians. HRQOL was measured by the EQ-5D. A&E visits were measured by patients' medical records and self-report. Multilevel logistic, linear and Poisson regression examined how ADEs, HRQOL and A&E visits varied by PIP after adjusting for patient and practice level covariates: socioeconomic status, co-morbidity, number of drug classes and adherence.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of PIP was 42% (n = 377). Patients with ≥2 PIP indicators were twice as likely to have an ADE (adjusted OR 2.21; 95% CI 1.02, 4.83, P < 0.05), have a significantly lower mean HRQOL utility (adjusted coefficient -0.09, SE 0.02, P < 0.001) and nearly a two-fold increased risk in the expected rate of A&E visits (adjusted IRR 1.85; 95% CI 1.32, 2.58, P < 0.001). The number of drug classes and adherence were also significantly associated with these same adverse health outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Reducing PIP in primary care may help lower the burden of ADEs, its associated health care use and costs and enhance quality of life in older patients.

Recent prediagnostic aspirin use, lymph node involvement, and 5-year mortality in women with stage I-III breast cancer: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Lymph node-positive breast tumors are more likely to express COX2 than node-negative tumors. In preclinical studies, COX2 inhibition prevents breast tumor spread to lymph nodes. Therefore, we examined the association between recent (1 year) prediagnostic use of aspirin (COX1/COX2 inhibitor), lymph node involvement at breast cancer diagnosis, and breast cancer-specific mortality. Women with stage I-III breast cancer diagnosed from 2001 to 2006 (N = 2,796) were identified from Ireland's National Cancer Registry. These data were linked to prescription refill and mammographic screening databases. Relative risks (RR) were estimated for associations between prediagnostic aspirin use and lymph node-positive status at diagnosis. HRs were estimated for associations between pre- and postdiagnostic aspirin use and 5-year mortality, stratified by lymph node status. Women with prediagnostic aspirin use were statistically significantly less likely to present with a lymph node-positive tumor than nonusers [RR = 0.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.81-0.97], particularly those with larger (Pinteraction = 0.036), progesterone receptor (PR)-negative (Pinteraction < 0.001) or estrogen receptor (ER)-negative (Pinteraction = 0.056) tumors. The magnitude of this association increased with dose (Ptrend < 0.01) and dosing intensity (Ptrend < 0.001) and was similar in women with or without screen-detected tumors (Pinteraction = 0.70). Prediagnostic aspirin use was associated with lower 5-year breast cancer-specific mortality among women with lymph node-negative tumors (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.33-0.92) but not node-positive tumors (HR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.37-1.22). Tests for effect-modification were, however, not statistically significant (Pinteraction = 0.087). Postdiagnostic aspirin use was not associated with breast cancer-specific mortality (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.68-1.45). Our findings indicate that recent prediagnostic aspirin use is protective against lymph node-positive breast cancer. This is a plausible explanation for reductions in breast cancer mortality reported in observational studies of aspirin use.

Longitudinal prevalence of potentially inappropriate medicines and potential prescribing omissions in a cohort of community-dwelling older people

Purpose

This study aims to compare the prevalence of potentially inappropriate medicines (PIMs) and potential prescribing omissions (PPOs) using several screening tools in an Irish community-dwelling older cohort, to assess if the prevalence changes over time and to determine factors associated with any change.

Methods

This is a prospective cohort study of participants aged ≥65 years in The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA) with linked pharmacy claims data (n = 2051). PIM and PPO prevalence was measured in the year preceding participants’ TILDA baseline interviews and in the year preceding their follow-up interviews using the Screening Tool for Older Persons’ Prescriptions (STOPP), Beers criteria (2012), Assessing Care of Vulnerable Elders (ACOVE) indicators and the Screening Tool to Alert doctors to Right Treatment (START). Generalised estimating equations were used to determine factors associated with change in prevalence over time.

Results

Depending on the screening tool used, between 19.8 % (ACOVE indicators) and 52.7 % (STOPP) of participants received a PIM at baseline, and PPO prevalence ranged from 38.2 % (START) to 44.8 % (ACOVE indicators), while 36.7 % of participants had both a PIM and PPO. Common criteria were aspirin for primary prevention (19.6 %) and omission of calcium/vitamin D in osteoporosis (14.7 %). Prevalence of PIMs and PPOs increased at follow-up (PIMs range 22–56.1 %, PPOs range 40.5–49.3 %), and this was associated with patient age, female sex, and numbers of medicines and chronic conditions.

Conclusions

Sub-optimal prescribing is common in older patients. Ongoing prescribing review to optimise care is important, particularly as patients get older, receive more medicines or develop more illnesses.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s00228-015-1815-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Polypharmacy including falls risk-increasing medications and subsequent falls in community-dwelling middle-aged and older adults

BACKGROUND

polypharmacy is an important risk factor for falls, but recent studies suggest only when including medications associated with increasing the risk of falls.

DESIGN

a prospective, population-based cohort study.

SUBJECTS

6,666 adults aged ≥50 years from The Irish Longitudinal study on Ageing.

METHODS

participants reported regular medication use at baseline. Any subsequent falls, any injurious falls and the number of falls were reported 2 years later. The association between polypharmacy (>4 medications) or fall risk-increasing medications and subsequent falls or injurious falls was assessed using modified Poisson regression. The association with the number of falls was assessed using negative binomial regression.

RESULTS

during follow-up, 231 falls per 1,000 person-years were reported. Polypharmacy including antidepressants was associated with a greater risk of any fall (adjusted relative risk (aRR) 1.28, 95% CI 1.06-1.54), of injurious falls (aRR 1.51, 95% CI 1.10-2.07) and a greater number of falls (adjusted incident rate ratio (aIRR) 1.60, 95% CI 1.19-2.15), but antidepressant use without polypharmacy and polypharmacy without antidepressants were not. The use of benzodiazepines was associated with injurious falls when coupled with polypharmacy (aRR 1.40, 95% CI 1.04-1.87), but was associated with a greater number of falls (aIRR 1.32, 95% CI 1.05-1.65), independent of polypharmacy. Other medications assessed, including antihypertensives, diuretics and antipsychotics, were not associated with outcomes.

CONCLUSION

in middle-aged and older adults, polypharmacy, including antidepressant or benzodiazepine use, was associated with injurious falls and a greater number of falls.

The importance of proximity to death in modelling community medication expenditures for older people: evidence from New Zealand

BACKGROUND

Concerns about the long-term sustainability of health care expenditures (HCEs), particularly prescribing expenditures, has become an important policy issue in most developed countries. Previous studies suggest that proximity to death (PTD) has a significant effect on total HCEs, with its exclusion leading to an overestimation of likely growth. There are limited studies of pharmaceutical expenditures in which PTD is taken into account.

OBJECTIVE

This study presents an empirical analysis of public medication expenditure on older individuals in New Zealand (NZ). The aim of the study was to examine the individual effects of age and PTD using individual-level data.

METHODS

This study uses individual-level dispensing data from 2008/2009 covering the whole population of medication users aged 70 years or older and resident in NZ. A case-control methodology was used to examine individual cost and medication use for a 12-month period for decedents (cases) and survivors (controls). A random effects two-part model, with a Probit and generalized linear model (GLM) was used to explore the effect of age and PTD on expenditures.

RESULTS

The impact of PTD on prescription expenditure is not as dramatic as studies reporting on acute and/or long-term care. The 12-month decedent-to-survivor mean expenditure ratio was 1.95; 2.09 for males and 1.82 for females. The additional cost of dying in terms of prescription drugs decreases with age, with those who die at 90 years of age or older consuming fewer drugs on average and having a lower mean expenditure than those who died in their 70s and 80s. The following variables were found to have a decreasing effect on the mean monthly prescription expenditures: a reduction of 2.2 % for each additional year of age, 4.2 % being in the Maori ethnic group, and 7.8 % for Pacific Islanders. Increases in monthly expenditure were associated with being a decedent 32.1-62.6 % (depending on month), being of Asian origin 16.2 %, or being a male 12.6 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Given the variance reported between survivors and decedents, future projections should include PTD in their models to improve accuracy. Policies targeted at reducing expenditures should not focus on age but on ensuring appropriate and cost-effective prescribing, particularly towards the end of life.