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Jung KS, Park JY, Chon YE, Kim HS, Kang W, Kim BK, Kim SU, Kim DY, Han KH, Ahn SH. Clinical outcomes and predictors for relapse after cessation of oral antiviral treatment in chronic hepatitis B patients. J Gastroenterol 2016; 51:830-9. [PMID: 26687058 DOI: 10.1007/s00535-015-1153-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 75] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2015] [Accepted: 11/27/2015] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Little is known about stopping rules of nucelos(t)ide analog (NA) treatment for chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS A total of 113 consecutive patients with CHB (45 HBeAg-positive and 68 HBeAg-negative CHB patients), who met the cessation criteria of NA treatment as per the Asian-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) guideline, were enrolled in this prospective cohort study. The primary endpoint was to evaluate virological relapse (VR) rate within 1 year, which was defined as reappearance of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-DNA > 2000 IU/mL after cessation of NA treatment. In this cohort, entecavir was used in 81 (71.7 %) and lamivudine in 32 (28.3 %) patients. RESULTS Within 1 year after NA treatment, VR occurred in 26 (57.8 %) HBeAg-positive patients and in 37 (54.4 %) HBeAg-negative patients. In univariate and subsequent multivariate analysis, age > 40 years [odds ratio (OR) 10.959; 95 % confidence interval (CI) 2.211-54.320; P = 0.003) and a pre-treatment HBV DNA level >2000,000 IU/mL (OR 9.285; 95 % CI 1.545-55.795; P = 0.036) were identified as independent risk factors for VR in HBeAg-positive patients, and age > 40 years (OR 6.690; 95 % CI 1.314-34.057; P = 0.022) and an end-of-treatment HBcrAg level >3.7 log IU/mL (OR 3.751; 95 % CI 1.187-11.856; P = 0.024) were identified in HBeAg-negative patients. During follow up, neither hepatic decompensation nor hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurred, and HBV DNA suppression was achieved in all patients who received antiviral re-treatment. CONCLUSION Our data suggested that the APASL stopping rule could be applied if a candidate was properly selected using individual risk factors. However, regular monitoring should be performed after cessation of NA treatment and long-term outcomes need to be evaluated further.
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Lee HW, Chon YE, Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Jung KS, Park YN, Han KH. Erratum: Predicting Liver-Related Events Using Transient Elastography in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients with Sustained Virological Response. Gut Liver 2016; 10:653-655. [PMID: 27377743 PMCID: PMC4933429 DOI: 10.5009/gnl150211] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022] Open
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Kim MN, Park JY, Ahn SH, Kim BK, Kim SU, Kim DY, Han KH. Durability of the virological response after lamivudine discontinuation in lamivudine-resistant patients with a complete virological response after lamivudine and adefovir combination therapy. J Med Virol 2016; 89:85-90. [PMID: 27357598 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.24616] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/09/2016] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
We investigated the durability of virological response after lamivudine (LAM) discontinuation in LAM-resistant chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with complete virological response after LAM-adefovir (ADV) combination therapy. We enrolled 58 patients switched to ADV monotherapy with undetectable viral loads (<12 IU/ml) and normal alanine aminotransferase levels after ADV add-on combination treatment for at least 6 months in LAM-resistant CHB patients. Virologic relapse was defined as HBV DNA detection at more than 20 IU/ml by quantitative polymerase chain reaction determined on two consecutive measurements. During median 40.9 months of follow-up (range 11.5-79.0 months), seven (12.1%) patients experienced virological relapse. The cumulative rate of virological relapse at 3 and 5 years was 5.5% and 22.4%, respectively. Two patients had elevated alanine aminotransferase during virological relapse. These seven patients with virological relapse had undetectable HBV DNA after switching to tenofovir therapy. In our study, switching to ADV monotherapy resulted in sustained HBV DNA suppression in 87.9% of the patients during median 40.9 months follow-up. This adapting step-down strategy, switching from combination therapy to monotherapy in virologically suppressed CHB patients with stable liver disease, may reduce the cost burden and the risk of potentially harmful effects of combination therapy. J. Med. Virol. 89:85-90, 2017. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
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Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Song K, Han KH. Transient Elastography is Superior to FIB-4 in Assessing the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B. Medicine (Baltimore) 2016; 95:e3434. [PMID: 27196449 PMCID: PMC4902391 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000003434] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Liver stiffness (LS), assessed using transient elastography (TE), and (FIB-4) can both estimate the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We compared prognostic performances of LS and FIB-4 to predict HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).Data from 1308 patients with CHB, who underwent TE, were retrospectively analyzed. FIB-4 was calculated for all patients. The cumulative rate of HCC development was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves. The predictive performances of LS and FIB-4 were evaluated using time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves.The mean age (883 men) was 50 years. During follow-up (median 6.1 years), 119 patients developed HCC. The areas under the ROC curves (AUROCs) predicting HCC risk at 3, 5, and 7 years were consistently greater for LS than for FIB-4 (0.791-0.807 vs 0.691-0.725; all P < 0.05). Similarly, when the respective AUROCs for LS and FIB-4 at every time point during the 7-year follow-up were plotted, LS also showed consistently better performance than FIB-4 after 1 year of enrollment. The combined use of LS and FIB-4 significantly enhanced the prognostic performance compared with the use of FIB-4 alone (P < 0.05), but the performance of the combined scores was statistically similar to that of LS alone (P > 0.05).LS showed significantly better performance than FIB-4 in assessing the risk of HCC development, and the combined use of LS and FIB-4 did not provide additional benefit compared with the use of LS alone. Hence, LS assessed using TE might be helpful for optimizing HCC surveillance strategies.
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Jung S, Kim EH, Kim HY, Roh YH, Park CH, Park SJ, Chung H, Kim BK, Lee H, Park JJ, Hong SP, Park JY, Shin SK, Lee SK, Lee YC, Park JC. Factors that affect visibility during endoscopic hemostasis for upper GI bleeding: a prospective study. Gastrointest Endosc 2016; 81:1392-400. [PMID: 25771067 DOI: 10.1016/j.gie.2014.12.024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2014] [Accepted: 12/01/2014] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Adequate visibility is an important factor for achieving successful endoscopic hemostasis for the treatment of upper GI bleeding (UGIB). The independent factors that affect visibility during endoscopic procedures have yet to be determined. OBJECTIVE To determine the factors that affect endoscopic visibility and to create a model that can predict in which patients unacceptable visibility is suspected before emergent endoscopic procedures for UGIB. DESIGN Prospective, observational study. SETTING University-affiliated tertiary care hospital in South Korea. PATIENTS A total of 121 patients admitted because of UGIB. INTERVENTION Analysis of the visibility score of the emergency endoscopies for UGIB. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS Factors affecting the visibility score of endoscopy and a classification and regression tree (CART) model for predicting of visibility. RESULTS The EGD time and the appearance of the nasogastric (NG) tube aspirate were independent factors that were significantly associated with visibility (EGD time, P<.001; red blood appearance in NG tube aspirate, P<.001; coffee grounds appearance of NG tube aspirate, P=.006). Based on these results, a CART model was developed by using 70 patients who had been allocated to the training set. The CART generated algorithms that proposed the use of the appearance of the NG tube aspirate and the EGD time (8.5 hours) to predict visibility. The sensitivity and specificity for predicting poor visibility were 71.4% and 86.4%, respectively. CONCLUSION The use of the CART model enables the prediction of which patients will have poor visibility during emergent endoscopy.
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Lee S, Kim BK, Song K, Park JY, Ahn SH, Kim SU, Han KH, Kim DY. Subclassification of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer B and C hepatocellular carcinoma: A cohort study of the multicenter registry database. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016; 31:842-7. [PMID: 26513311 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.13218] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2015] [Revised: 10/14/2015] [Accepted: 10/14/2015] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM We aimed to subclassify hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer intermediate and advanced stages, which include a highly heterogeneous population. METHODS From two registries ("random" and "voluntary" cohorts in the Korean Liver Cancer Study Group), patients who were newly diagnosed as HCC with intermediate or advanced stage between 2003 and 2005 were considered eligible. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method with comparison by log-rank test. RESULTS Patients with intermediate-stage HCC (n = 994) were subclassified according to tumor size and Child-Pugh class. Patients with tumor size < 5 cm (B1), those with tumor size ≥ 5 cm and Child-Pugh A (B2), and those with tumor size ≥ 5 cm and Child-Pugh B (B3) had median OS of 30.73, 20.60, and 9.23 months, respectively (P < 0.001 by log-rank test). Among patients with advanced stage HCC (n = 1746), patients were subclassified according to presence of significant portal vein invasion (sPVI; defined as portal vein invasion in lobar, main, or contralateral branch) and extrahepatic spread (EHS). Patients with neither sPVI nor EHS (C1), those with either sPVI or EHS (C2), and those with both sPVI and EHS (C3) had median OS of 8.43, 4.63, and 3.63 months, respectively (P < 0.001 by log-rank test). CONCLUSION Subclassification of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer intermediate and advanced stages might be useful for determining patient prognosis and guiding treatment strategies for HCC.
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Heo JY, Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Park YN, Ahn SS, Han KH, Kim HS. Use of Wisteria Floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Human Mac-2 Binding Protein in Assessing Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Due to Hepatitis B Virus. Medicine (Baltimore) 2016; 95:e3328. [PMID: 27057911 PMCID: PMC4998827 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000003328] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2015] [Revised: 03/15/2016] [Accepted: 03/18/2016] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein (WFA-M2BP) is a serologic marker corresponding with degree of hepatic fibrosis. We evaluated its accuracy in assessing hepatic fibrosis and in predicting the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).In a 5-year period (2009-2013), a total of 95 CHB patients with available serum WFA-M2BP assay and transient elastography assessment [to assess liver stiffness (LS)] who had undergone liver biopsy were recruited for retrospective analysis.Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve for predicting fibrosis stages via serum WFA-M2BP level were as follows: ≥F2, 0.688; ≥F3, 0.694; and F4, 0.704 (all P < 0.05). During the follow-up period (median, 45 months), HCC developed in 7 patients (7.4%). In patients with HCC, age, use of antiviral therapy, test parameters (HBV DNA, WFA-M2BP, and LS determinations), and histologic stage of fibrosis were all significantly greater than in those free of HCC, whereas platelet count was significantly lower (all P < 0.05). On multivariate analysis, WFA-M2BP was found independently predictive of emergent HCC [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.375; P = 0.036], although LS and histologic stage of fibrosis were not (P > 0.05). Risk of developing HCC was significantly greater in patients with high WFA-M2BP levels (≥1.8) (adjusted HR = 11.5; P = 0.025). Cumulative incidence rates of HCC were also significantly higher in patients with high (vs. low) levels of WFA-M2BP (log-rank test, P = 0.016).WFA-M2BP determination significantly reflected degree/extent of hepatic fibrosis and independently predicted the risk of developing HCC in patients with CHB.
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Lim TS, Kim DY, Han KH, Kim HS, Shin SH, Jung KS, Kim BK, Kim SU, Park JY, Ahn SH. Combined use of AFP, PIVKA-II, and AFP-L3 as tumor markers enhances diagnostic accuracy for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic patients. Scand J Gastroenterol 2016; 51:344-53. [PMID: 26340708 DOI: 10.3109/00365521.2015.1082190] [Citation(s) in RCA: 59] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE As data on the effectiveness of tumor markers in detecting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhotic patients are limited, we investigated the diagnostic accuracy of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), and Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3). MATERIAL AND METHODS This retrospective study enrolled 361 cirrhotic patients with HCC, and 276 cirrhotic patients without HCC occurrence. RESULTS Most patients were men (n = 431, 67.7%); the median age was 57.0 years. The main etiology of chronic liver disease was chronic hepatitis B (n = 467, 73.3%). The sensitivity and specificity of combined three biomarkers was 87.0 and 60.1% in overall HCC, and 75.7 and 60.1% in early HCC, respectively (cutoff: 20 ng/mL for AFP, 40 mAU/mL for PIVKA-II, and 5% for AFP-L3). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for HCC diagnosis was 0.765 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.728-0.801) for AFP; 0.823 (95% CI, 0.791-0.854) for PIVKA-II; and 0.755 (95% CI, 0.718-0.792) for AFP-L3. The AUROC for early HCC diagnosis was 0.754 (95% CI, 0.691-0.816) for AFP, 0.701 (95% CI, 0.630-0.771) for PIVKA-II, and 0.670 (95% CI, 0.596-0.744) for AFP-L3. Combining the three tumor markers increased the AUROC to 0.877 (95% CI, 0.851-0.903) for HCC diagnosis, and 0.773 (95% CI, 0.704-0.841) for early HCC diagnosis. CONCLUSION Diagnostic accuracy improved upon combining the AFP, PIVKA-II, and AFP-L3 tumor markers compared to each marker alone in detecting HCC and early HCC in cirrhotic patients.
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Kim SB, Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Han KH. Outcome of adefovir add-on lamivudine rescue therapy of up to 5 years in patients with lamivudine-resistant chronic hepatitis B. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2016. [PMID: 26204913 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.13046] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM We investigated the long-term efficacy of adefovir add-on lamivudine rescue therapy in lamivudine-resistant chronic hepatitis B and the optimal cutoff hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA level that predicts complete virological response (CVR) among patients without CVR after 1 year of treatment. METHODS We reviewed 167 lamivudine-resistant chronic hepatitis B patients who received adefovir add-on rescue therapy for up to 5 years. Multivariate analysis, area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, and Youden index were used. RESULTS Median age was 47.0 years; 112 patients were male. Median baseline HBV DNA level was 6.6 log10 IU/mL; hepatitis B e antigen was positive in 130 (77.4%) patients. Five-year CVR, alanine aminotransferase normalization, hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion, and adefovir resistance rates were 86.9%, 92.5%, 16.7%, and 6.0%, respectively. One-year HBV DNA level independently associated with CVR. Optimal cutoff HBV DNA level to predict CVR among patients who failed to achieve CVR at 1 year was 800 IU/mL (area under receiver operating characteristic curve 0.752; sensitivity 49.3%, specificity 93.5%). During the 5-year treatment, 92.1% of patients with favorable response (HBV DNA < 800 IU/mL at 1 year) achieved CVR; 45.6% achieved CVR among suboptimal responders (HBV DNA ≥ 800 IU/mL at 1 year) (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION Complete virological response or HBV DNA level < 800 IU/mL after 1 year adefovir add-on lamivudine rescue therapy can favorably predict CVR.
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Park Y, Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Park YE, Park JH, Lee YI, Yun HR, Han KH. Addition of tumor multiplicity improves the prognostic performance of the hepatoma arterial-embolization prognostic score. Liver Int 2016; 36:100-7. [PMID: 26013186 DOI: 10.1111/liv.12878] [Citation(s) in RCA: 62] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2015] [Accepted: 05/18/2015] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The hepatoma arterial-embolization prognostic (HAP) score predicts survival outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE). We validated the HAP score in Korean subjects with HCC and investigated whether its prognostic performance is improved with additional parameters. METHODS A total of 280 patients with HCC treated with TACE between 2003 and 2009 were included. Validation and modification of HAP score were performed based on multivariate Cox regression models. RESULTS The median age of the study population (211 men, 69 women) was 60 years. Viral etiology of HCC accounted for 80.4% (n = 181 for hepatitis B, 44 for hepatitis C). The median overall survival (OS) was 40.5 months. On multivariate analysis, together with the original components of the HAP score (serum albumin <3.6 g/dl, total bilirubin >0.9 mg/dl, alpha-foetoprotein >400 ng/ml, and tumor size >7 cm), tumor number ≥2 was selected as an independent unfavorable prognostic factor for OS (hazard ratio 2.3; P < 0.001). Accordingly, a modified HAP-II (mHAP-II) score was established by adding tumor number ≥2. Although both HAP and mHAP-II scores discriminated the four different risk groups (log-rank test, all P < 0.001), the mHAP-II score performed significantly better than the HAP score, as per the areas under receiver-operating curves predicting OS at 3 years (0.717 vs. 0.658) and 5 years (0.728 vs. 0.645), respectively (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Although the HAP score predicted OS for Korean subjects with HCC undergoing TACE, the addition of tumor number significantly improved the prognostic performance. The mHAP-II score can be used for accurate prognostication and selection of optimal candidates for TACE.
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Lee HW, Kang W, Kim BK, Kim SU, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Park YN, Han KH. Red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio in assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B. Liver Int 2016; 36:24-30. [PMID: 25966326 DOI: 10.1111/liv.12868] [Citation(s) in RCA: 26] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2015] [Accepted: 04/09/2015] [Indexed: 12/26/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Precise assessment of liver fibrosis is necessary in patients with chronic liver disease. We investigated the performance of red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS A total of 482 consecutive patients with chronic hepatitis B who underwent liver biopsy between October 2005 and May 2014 were recruited. Liver stiffness was measured using transient elastography. FIB-4 score, red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio and the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index were also assessed. RESULTS A total of 271 (56.2%) patients were males. The median age was 44 years. F1, F2, F3 and F4 fibrosis stages were identified in 68 (14.1%), 137 (28.4%), 64 (13.3%) and 213 (44.2%) of the patients respectively. The mean red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio increased with liver fibrosis severity: F1, 0.065; F2, 0.077; F3, 0.097 and F4, 0.121 (P < 0.01). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio for predicting significant fibrosis (≥F2) was 0.747. This result was inferior to transient elastography (0.866, P = 0.004), but comparable to FIB-4 (0.782, P = 0.427) and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (0.716, P = 0.507). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio for predicting cirrhosis (F4) was 0.811, which was inferior to liver stiffness (0.915, P < 0.001), but comparable to FIB-4 (0.804, P = 0.805) and superior to aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (0.680, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS The accuracy of red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio was acceptable for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B. When transient elastography is not available, red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio assessment is a simple method that can be used to reduce the need for liver biopsy.
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Kim BK, Shim JH, Kim SU, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Kim KM, Lim YS, Han KH, Lee HC. Risk prediction for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing chemoembolization: development of a prediction model. Liver Int 2016; 36:92-9. [PMID: 25950442 DOI: 10.1111/liv.12865] [Citation(s) in RCA: 56] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2014] [Accepted: 05/01/2015] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUNDS & AIMS We aimed to generate and validate a novel risk prediction model for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE). METHODS Patients receiving TACE as the first-line therapy between 2006 and 2009 were selected from the databases of two major tertiary hospitals in Korea. This study population was randomly assigned into training (n = 340) and validation (n = 145) sets. From a multivariate Cox-regression model for overall survival (OS), tumour Size, tumour Number, baseline Alpha-foetoprotein level, Child-Pugh class and Objective radiological Response after the first TACE session were selected and then scored to generate a 10-point risk prediction model (named as "SNACOR" model) in the training set. Thereafter, the prognostic performance was assessed in the validation set. RESULTS In the training set, the time-dependent areas under receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for OS at 1-, 3- and 6-years were 0.756, 0.754 and 0.742 respectively. According to the score of the SNACOR model, patients were stratified into three groups; low- (score 0-2), intermediate- (score 3-6) and high-risk group (score 7-10) respectively. The low-risk group had the longest median OS (49.8 months), followed by intermediate- (30.7 months) and high-risk group (12.4 months) (log-rank test, P < 0.001). Compared with the low-risk group, the intermediate-risk (hazard ratio [HR] 2.13, P < 0.001) and high-risk group (HR 6.17, P < 0.001) retained significant risks of death. Similar results were obtained in the validation set. CONCLUSION A simple-to-use SNACOR model for patients with HCC treated with TACE might be helpful in appropriate prognostification and guidance for decision of further treatment strategies.
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Jung KS, Kim SU, Song K, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Kim BK, Han KH. Validation of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma prediction models in the era of antiviral therapy. Hepatology 2015; 62:1757-66. [PMID: 26249025 DOI: 10.1002/hep.28115] [Citation(s) in RCA: 88] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2014] [Accepted: 08/04/2015] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
UNLABELLED Several risk prediction models have been created to predict hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence, with promising results. However, their prognostic performances need to be validated in the era of antiviral therapy. From 2006 to 2011, patients with chronic HBV infection were recruited and those with a history of HCC or hepatic decompensation were excluded. At enrollment, liver stiffness (LS) was measured using transient elastography. We assessed the performances of conventional HCC prediction models (CU-HCC, GAG-HCC, REACH-B, and LSM-HCC scores) and the modified REACH-B (mREACH-B) score where LS values were incorporated into REACH-B score instead of serum HBV-DNA levels. Of 1,308 subjects analyzed, the median age was 50.0 years (883 men). During the follow-up (median, 75.3 months), HCC developed in 125 (9.6%) patients. mREACH-B score had the highest areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for the prediction of HCC development at 3/5 years (0.828/0.806), compared with LSM-HCC (0.777/0.759), GAG-HCC (0.751/0.757), REACH-B (0.717/0.699), and CU-HCC (0.698/0.700) scores, respectively, with statistical significances (all P values <0.05 vs. mREACH-B). When serum HBV-DNA levels were excluded from the formula for REACH-B score, AUROCs for HCC development at 3/5 years improved paradoxically (from 0.717/0.699 to 0.757/0.732, respectively). In patients with antiviral therapy (n = 848), mREACH-B score had the better prognostic performances for HCC development at 3/5 years, compared to other prediction models. However, in patients without antiviral therapy (n = 460), it had the prognostic performances comparable to those of other prediction models. CONCLUSIONS Prognostic performances of mREACH-B score seemed better compared to conventional models. In the era of antiviral therapy, incorporation of serum HBV-DNA level should be applied cautiously and individual risks should be assessed effectively based on the fibrotic burden.
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Kim BK, Kim SU. Reply to "Response assessment for HCC patients treated with repeated TACE: The optimal time-point is still an open issue". J Hepatol 2015; 63:1532. [PMID: 26375243 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2015.09.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2015] [Accepted: 09/07/2015] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
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Lee SW, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Song J, Park YB, Lee SK, Han KH, Kim SU. Clinical predictors of silent but substantial liver fibrosis in primary Sjogren's syndrome. Mod Rheumatol 2015; 26:576-82. [PMID: 26587876 DOI: 10.3109/14397595.2015.1113629] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To investigate the prevalence and the predictors of silent but substantial liver fibrosis in patients with primary Sjogren's syndrome (pSS). METHODS We enrolled 101 pSS patients with normal liver function and structures, and without significant liver diseases or other conditions affecting liver fibrosis. The European league against rheumatism (EULAR) SS patients reported index (ESSPRI) and the EULAR SS disease activity index (ESSDAI) were analyzed. Liver stiffness (LS) was measured using transient elastography and 7.4 kPa was determined as the cutoff value for significant liver fibrosis. RESULTS The median age of patients (91women) was 53 years and the median LS value was 4.7 kPa. The median ESSPRI and ESSDAI showed no correlation with LS values. Twelve patients (11.9%) had significant liver fibrosis. In multivariate logistic regression, white blood cells count ≤4000.0/mm(3) (Odds ratio [OR] 9.821), serum albumin ≤3.8 mg/dL (OR 16.770) and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) ≥ 27.0 IU/L (OR 20.858) independently predicted silent but substantial liver fibrosis in pSS patients. CONCLUSIONS The prevalence of silent but substantial liver fibrosis was 11.9% in pSS and its predictors were leukopenia, decreased serum albumin and increased AST levels.
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Lee S, Park JY, Kim DY, Kim BK, Kim SU, Song K, Ku HJ, Han KH, Ahn SH. Prediction of virologic response to tenofovir mono-rescue therapy for multidrug resistant chronic hepatitis B. J Med Virol 2015; 88:1027-34. [PMID: 26538234 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.24427] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/02/2015] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
Most guidelines suggest combination therapy including nucleoside and nucleotide analogues for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) with multidrug resistance (MD-R). However, long-term combination treatment can evoke high costs and safety problems. Therefore, we investigated the efficacy of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) mono-rescue therapy for viral suppression in patients with CHB exhibiting MD-R. We reviewed patients with CHB exhibiting antiviral drug resistance treated by TDF mono-rescue therapy from December 2012 to June 2014. The patients were categorized into three groups: lamivudine-resistance (LAM-R) group (n = 290), and LAM-R + adefovir-resistance (ADV-R) group (n = 43), and LAM-R + entecavir-resistance (ETV-R) group (n = 113). We compared the virologic response rate according to the multiplicity of resistance and investigated the predictive factors of a virologic response. For a median of 15 months (range, 6-24 months) of TDF mono-rescue therapy, the cumulative virologic response rates were 82.8, 81.4, and 84.1% in the LAM-R, LAM-R + ADV-R, and LAM-R + ETV-R groups, respectively (P = 0.239). Multivariate analysis revealed that multiplicity of resistance did not influence the achievement of a virologic response (P = 0.218). However, the baseline HBV DNA level significantly influenced the achievement of a virologic response for the treatment of CHB with MD-R (P < 0.001). TDF mono-rescue therapy is an appropriate treatment for CHB with MD-R, and the baseline HBV DNA level is a significant predictive factor for a virologic response. These factors should be considered before treating CHB with MD-R.
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You SC, Kim KJ, Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Han KH. Hepatic fibrosis assessed using transient elastography independently associated with coronary artery calcification. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2015; 30:1536-42. [PMID: 25973647 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.12992] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 04/13/2015] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has a close relationship with coronary atherosclerosis. We investigated the association between coronary atherosclerosis and liver fibrosis, represented as coronary artery calcification (CAC) score, and live stiffness (LS) value assessed using transient elastography (TE), respectively, in patients with NAFLD. METHODS Between January 2013 and March 2014, a total of 285 asymptomatic subjects without chronic liver and ischemic heart diseases who underwent comprehensive medical health check-up were recruited. NAFLD was defined as controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) ≥ 250 dB/m on TE. RESULTS The median age of the study population (men 161 and women 124) was 56 (interquartile [IQR], 50-63) years. Of these, 142 (49.8%) subjects had NAFLD. Among subjects with NAFLD, CAC score was independently correlated with the male gender (β = 0.230; P = 0.010), elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (β = 0.220; P = 0.019), reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (β=-0.220; P = 0.004), increased left ventricular mass index (β = 0.226; P = 0.027), and higher LS values (β = 0.274; P < 0.001). In addition, alanine aminotransferase level (β = 0.214, P = 0.012) and CAC score (β = 0.311; P = 0.001) are the only independent factors associated with LS values in subjects with NAFLD. CONCLUSIONS Higher CAC score was independently correlated with LS values in subjects with NAFLD. However, it should be further investigated whether TE can be incorporated into a screening tool to identify the high-risk population for coronary artery disease.
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Kim YD, Song D, Heo JH, Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Kim KJ, Han KH. Relationship between Cerebral Microbleeds and Liver Stiffness Determined by Transient Elastography. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0139227. [PMID: 26421848 PMCID: PMC4589390 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0139227] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2015] [Accepted: 09/10/2015] [Indexed: 01/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Background & Aims Liver fibrosis is a multifactorial disease that can affect the development of cerebral small vessel diseases (SVDs) including cerebral microbleeds (CMBs), leukoaraiosis, and silent infarctions. Transient elastography can accurately assess the degree of liver fibrosis by measuring liver stiffness (LS). In the present study, we investigated the association between SVDs and LS values. Methods We recruited 300 participants (mean age 56 years, 170 men) who underwent a comprehensive medical health check-up between January 2011 and December 2012. Transient elastography was taken on the right lobe of the liver through intercostal space with patients lying in the dorsal decubitus position with the right arm in maximal abduction. Mild and significant fibrosis were defined as LS values >5.6 and >8.0 kPa, respectively. The presence of each SVD was determined using the FLAIR, GRE MR imaging as well as T1-, T2-weighted MR images. We tested whether the presence and burden of each type of SVD were different by LS values. Results Of the different types of SVDs, only the presence (p = 0.001) and number of CMBs (p<0.001) were positively associated with LS values. Multivariate analysis revealed that significant fibrosis (>8.0 kPa) was an independent predictor of CMBs (odds ratio 6.079, 95% confidence interval 1.489–24.819, p = 0.012). However, leukoaraiosis and silent infarctions were not associated with LS values (all p>0.05). Conclusions The degree of liver fibrosis, as assessed using transient elastography, was independently associated with the presence and burden of CMBs in healthy, asymptomatic participants. Understanding the link between the brain and liver may advance future research on the pathomechanisms of CMBs.
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Kim SU, Park JH, Kim HS, Lee JM, Lee HG, Kim H, Choi SH, Baek S, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Lee JD, Han KH. Serum Dickkopf-1 as a Biomarker for the Diagnosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Yonsei Med J 2015; 56:1296-306. [PMID: 26256972 PMCID: PMC4541659 DOI: 10.3349/ymj.2015.56.5.1296] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/05/2014] [Revised: 12/22/2014] [Accepted: 12/23/2014] [Indexed: 01/13/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Dickkopf-1 (DKK-1) is a Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway inhibitor. We investigated whether DKK-1 is related to progression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cells and HCC patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS In vitro reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), wound healing assays, invasion assays, and ELISAs of patient serum samples were employed. The diagnostic accuracy of the serum DKK-1 ELISA was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under ROC (AUC) analyses. RESULTS RT-PCR showed high DKK-1 expression in Hep3B and low in 293 cells. Similarly, the secreted DKK-1 concentration in the culture media was high in Hep3B and low in 293 cells. Wound healing and invasion assays using 293, Huh7, and Hep3B cells showed that DKK-1 overexpression promoted cell migration and invasion, whereas DKK-1 knock-down inhibited them. When serum DKK-1 levels were assessed in 370 participants (217 with HCC and 153 without), it was significantly higher in HCC patients than in control groups (median 1.48 ng/mL vs. 0.90 ng/mL, p<0.001). The optimum DKK-1 cutoff level was 1.01 ng/mL (AUC=0.829; sensitivity 90.7%; specificity 62.0%). Although DKK-1 had a higher AUC than alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) (AUC=0.829 vs. 0.794 and 0.815, respectively), they were statistically similar (all p>0.05). When three biomarkers were combined (DKK-1 plus AFP plus DCP), they showed significantly higher AUC (AUC=0.952) than single marker, DKK-1 plus AFP, or DKK-1 plus DCP (all p<0.001). CONCLUSION DKK-1 might be a key regulator in HCC progression and a potential therapeutic target in HCC. Serum DKK-1 could complement the diagnostic accuracy of AFP and DCP.
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Ahn SH, Kim DH, Lee AR, Kim BK, Park YK, Park ES, Ahn SH, Shin GC, Park S, Kang HS, Rhee JK, Yang SI, Chong Y, Kim KH. Substitution at rt269 in Hepatitis B Virus Polymerase Is a Compensatory Mutation Associated with Multi-Drug Resistance. PLoS One 2015; 10:e0136728. [PMID: 26322642 PMCID: PMC4556173 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0136728] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2015] [Accepted: 08/08/2015] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
The emergence of compensatory mutations in the polymerase gene of drug resistant hepatitis B virus (HBV) is associated with treatment failure. We previously identified a multi-drug resistant HBV mutant, which displayed resistance towards lamivudine (LMV), clevudine (CLV), and entecavir (ETV), along with a strong replication capacity. The aim of this study was to identify the previously unknown compensatory mutations, and to determine the clinical relevance of this mutation during antiviral therapy. In vitro mutagenesis, drug susceptibility assay, and molecular modeling studies were performed. The rtL269I substitution conferred 2- to 7-fold higher replication capacity in the wild-type (WT) or YMDD mutation backbone, regardless of drug treatment. The rtL269I substitution alone did not confer resistance to LMV, ETV, adefovir (ADV), or tenofovir (TDF). However, upon combination with YMDD mutation, the replication capacity under LMV or ETV treatment was enhanced by several folds. Molecular modeling studies suggested that the rtL269I substitution affects template binding, which may eventually lead to the enhanced activity of rtI269-HBV polymerase in both WT virus and YMDD mutant. The clinical relevance of the rtL269I substitution was validated by its emergence in association with YMDD mutation in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with sub-optimal response or treatment failure to LMV or CLV. Our study suggests that substitution at rt269 in HBV polymerase is associated with multi-drug resistance, which may serve as a novel compensatory mutation for replication-defective multi-drug resistant HBV.
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Kim BK, Kim KA, Kim MJ, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Han KH, Kim SU, Park MS. Inter-observer variability of response evaluation criteria for hepatocellular carcinoma treated with chemoembolization. Dig Liver Dis 2015; 47:682-8. [PMID: 25977216 DOI: 10.1016/j.dld.2015.04.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2014] [Revised: 03/26/2015] [Accepted: 04/07/2015] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Data comparing EASL and mRECIST criteria for response evaluation in treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma are rare. We evaluated inter-observer variability by these two response evaluation criteria in treatment-naïve patients undergoing chemoembolization. METHODS For 133 patients undergoing chemoembolization, two radiologists independently measured sum of bi-dimensional and uni-dimensional diameters at baseline using both EASL criteria and mRECIST, and their changes on first follow-up for up to 5 target lesions. RESULTS Concordance correlation coefficients for sum of bi-dimensional and uni-dimensional diameters at baseline between two observers were 0.992 and 0.988, respectively. However, those for their changes on follow-up were 0.865 and 0.877, respectively. Similarly, mean differences in sum of bi-dimensional and uni-dimensional diameters at baseline between two observers were small; -0.455 and 0.079 cm, respectively. However, mean differences in changes (%) in sum of bi-dimensional and uni-dimensional diameters on first follow-up between observers increased by -9.715% and -9.320%, respectively. Regarding tumour numbers, kappa-value between observers was 0.942. For treatment response (complete or partial response, stable disease and progression), kappa-value was 0.941 by both criteria. When only up to two target lesions were assessed, kappa-value was 1.000 by both criteria. CONCLUSIONS Inter-observer agreements using both response evaluation criteria were excellent, especially when up to two targets were assessed.
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Kim BK, Kim SU. Reply to "The problem of the most appropriate curative treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma. When to embolize? When to operate?". J Hepatol 2015; 63:281-2. [PMID: 25881539 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2015.04.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2015] [Accepted: 04/07/2015] [Indexed: 12/04/2022]
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Lee SW, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Song JJ, Park YB, Lee SK, Han KH, Kim SU. Disease duration and Medsger's severity score are associated with significant liver fibrosis in patients with systemic sclerosis. Clin Exp Rheumatol 2015; 33:S68-S74. [PMID: 26243041] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/11/2015] [Accepted: 06/15/2015] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We investigated the prevalence and predictors of significant liver fibrosis in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) who had no evidences of liver diseases due to viral infection, drug, and heavy alcohol consumption. METHODS A total of 44 SSc patients were recruited. In addition to the clinical and laboratory data, the 2013 College of Rheumatology (ACR)/European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) classification criteria score, modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS), and Medsger's severity score (MSS) were analysed. Liver stiffness (LS) was measured using transient elastography to assess the degree of liver fibrosis and 7.4 kPa was adopted as the cut-off value for significant liver fibrosis. RESULTS The median age of patients (38 women) was 54 years and the median disease duration was 41.0 months. The median LS value was 4.6 kPa. The median mRSS and MSS were 7.0 and 5.0, respectively. Six (13.6%) patients had significant liver fibrosis. Disease duration (standardised β=0.375, p=0.018) and MSS (standardised β=0.398, p=0.047) significantly correlated with LS values. In multivariate analysis, disease duration≥63 months (odds ratio (OR) 19.166, 95% confidence interval 1.090, 336.962, p=0.043) and MSS≥7 (OR 19.796, 95% confidence interval 1.439, 272.252, p=0.026) independently predicted the presence of significant liver fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS The prevalence of significant liver fibrosis was relatively high (13.6%) and its independent predictors were disease duration and MSS.
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Kim MN, Kim SU, Kim BK, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Song KJ, Park YN, Han KH. Increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients with transient elastography-defined subclinical cirrhosis. Hepatology 2015; 61:1851-9. [PMID: 25643638 DOI: 10.1002/hep.27735] [Citation(s) in RCA: 111] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2014] [Accepted: 01/28/2015] [Indexed: 12/26/2022]
Abstract
UNLABELLED Early detection of liver cirrhosis in its subclinical stage is of paramount importance to identify high-risk individuals for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study investigated whether transient elastography (TE) can identify patients with subclinical cirrhosis (SCC) who are at increased risk of developing HCC among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients without clinical evidence of cirrhosis. A total of 2,876 CHB patients without clinical cirrhosis who received TE examinations between April 2006 and December 2012 were enrolled in this prospective study. SCC was defined as a nonclinical cirrhosis, but with a liver stiffness (LS) value ≥13 kilopascals (kPa). Mean age of the study population was 46.1 years, and male gender was predominant (n = 1,775; 61.7%). Mean LS value was 7.9 kPa, and SCC was identified in 285 (9.9%) patients. During the median follow-up period of 48.9 months (range, 6.6-96.2), HCC developed in 16 patients (13.3 per 1,000 person-years) in the SCC group and 36 (3.4 per 1,000 person-years) in the non-SCC group. Cumulative incidence rate of HCC in the SCC group was significantly higher than that in the non-SCC group (P < 0.001, log-rank test). On multivariate analysis, SCC was independently associated with a risk of developing HCC, regardless of antiviral therapy (without antiviral therapy: hazard ratio [HR]: 4.680; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.187-18.441; P = 0.027; with antiviral therapy: HR, 3.344; 95% CI: 1.526-7.328; P = 0.003). CONCLUSION TE can identify CHB patients with SCC who are at increased risk of developing HCC, even when cirrhosis is not clinically apparent.
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Kim BK, Kim KA, An C, Yoo EJ, Park JY, Kim DY, Ahn SH, Han KH, Kim SU, Kim MJ. Prognostic role of magnetic resonance imaging vs. computed tomography for hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing chemoembolization. Liver Int 2015; 35:1722-30. [PMID: 25444138 DOI: 10.1111/liv.12751] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2014] [Accepted: 11/18/2014] [Indexed: 12/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) play important roles in diagnosis and staging of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, prognostic roles of radiological characteristics are not yet determined. METHODS Eighty-eight patients treated with chemoembolization were analysed. Radiological parameters at baseline were assessed in all patients using both dynamic CT and MRI. Treatment responses were assessed using modified RECIST 4 weeks after the first chemoembolization. RESULTS Gross vascular invasion (GVI), bile duct invasion, irregular tumour margin (ITM), peripheral ragged enhancement (PRE) and satellite nodules on CT or MRI were associated with non-response (stable disease or progression) after chemoembolization respectively (all P ≤ 0.05). GVI, ITM and PRE on CT or MRI were also independently associated with poor overall survival (OS) respectively (all P ≤ 0.05). Using these results, a prognostic scoring system for CT and MRI were developed; 0, absence of all three features (GVI, ITM and PRE); 1, presence of one feature; 2, presence of two features; and 3, presence of three features. After adjusting tumour size, tumour number and alpha-foetoprotein level, both CT and MRI scores were independently associated with OS (both P < 0.001). Patients with CT or MRI score ≥2 had a worse OS than those with score <2 (adjusted hazard ratios, 3.837 and 2.938 respectively). MRI-specific parameters such as signal intensity on T2- or T1-weighted images, fat signal or hyperintensity on diffusion-weighted images did not have prognostic value (all P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Radiological parameters by CT and MRI may be useful in biological characterization of tumours and prognostification for HCC treated with chemoembolization.
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