Exposure to statins is associated to fracture risk reduction in elderly people with cardiovascular disease: evidence from the AIFA-I-GrADE observational project

PURPOSE

Conflicting findings were observed from clinical trials and observational studies evaluating the association between the use of statins and the risk of fracture. A case-control study nested into a cohort of elderly patients on treatment with statins for cardiovascular secondary prevention was performed on this issue.

METHODS

The cohort was formed by 13 875 individuals aged ≥65 years from several Italian health units receiving statins after hospital discharge for cardiovascular outcomes. From this cohort, 964 patients who experienced fracture were identified (i.e., cases). Up to five controls were randomly selected for each case from the underlying cohort. Conditional logistic regression was used to model the risk of fracture associated with adherence to statins, which was measured from the proportion of days covered (PDC) by treatment. A set of sensitivity analyses was performed in order to account for sources of systematic uncertainty.

RESULTS

Compared with patients with low adherence (PDC ≤ 40%), those on intermediate (PDC 41-80%) and high (PDC > 80%) adherence exhibited a risk reduction of 21% (95% confidence interval 6% to 23%) and 25% (7% to 40%). Similar effects were observed among patients younger and older than 80 years, as well as among men, while there was no evidence that adherence to statins affected the risk of fracture among women. Sensitivity analyses revealed that the associations were consistent and robust.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of statins for secondary cardiovascular prevention is associated with fracture risk reduction in elderly people. Further studies are required to better clarify the statin-fracture association in postmenopausal women. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Can healthcare utilization data reliably capture cases of chronic respiratory diseases? a cross-sectional investigation in Italy

BACKGROUND

Healthcare utilization data are increasingly used for chronic disease surveillance. Nevertheless, no standard criteria for estimating prevalence of high-impact diseases, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and asthma, are available. In this study an algorithm for recognizing COPD/asthma cases from HCU data is developed and implemented in the HCU databases of the Italian Lombardy Region (about 10 million residents). The impact of diagnostic misclassification for reliably estimating prevalence was also assessed.

METHODS

Disease-specificdrug codes, hospital discharges together with co-payment exemptions when available, and a combination of them according with patient's age, were used to create the proposed algorithm. Identified cases were considered for prevalence estimation. An external validation study was also performed in order to evaluate systematic uncertainty of prevalence estimates.

RESULTS

Raw prevalence of COPD and asthma in 2010 was 3.6 and 3.3% respectively. According to external validation, sensitivity values were 53% for COPD and 39% for asthma. Adjusted prevalence estimates were respectively 6.8 and 8.5% for COPD (among person aged 40 years or older) and asthma (among person aged 40 years or younger).

CONCLUSIONS

COPD and asthma prevalence may be estimated from HCU data, albeit with high systematic uncertainty. Validation is recommended in this setting.

Management, prognosis and predictors of unfavourable outcomes in patients newly hospitalized for transient ischemic attack: a real-world investigation from Italy

BACKGROUND

Understanding the gap between evidence-based recommendations and real-world management is important to inform priority setting and health service planning.

METHODS

The 7,776 residents in the Italian Lombardy Region who were newly hospitalized for transient ischemic attack (TIA) during 2008-2009 entered into the cohort and were followed until 2012. Exposure to medical care including selected drugs, diagnostic procedures and laboratory tests was recorded. A composite outcome was employed taking into account all-cause death and hospitalization for stroke and acute myocardial infarction. A multivariable proportional hazards model was fitted to estimate hazard ratio, and 95% confidence intervals (CI), for the exposure-outcome association.

RESULTS

During the first year after discharge, 8.6, 49.7 and 48.5% of patients did not use any drugs, diagnostic procedures and laboratory tests respectively. Patients exposed to medical care had 59% reduced risk (95% CI, 50 to 66%) with respect to those who did not use any of these services.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the Italian National Health System supplies universal coverage for healthcare, several TIA patients receive suboptimal care. Systematic improvements are necessary in order to improve patient outcomes.

Is the Risk of Preterm Birth and Low Birth Weight Affected by the Use of Antidepressant Agents during Pregnancy? A Population-Based Investigation

Background

Untreated depression during pregnancy increases the risk of morbidity and mortality in the mother and child. Therefore, specific treatments are required for this population.

Objective

The study aimed to investigating the effect of antidepressant medication used during pregnancy with reference to the risk of preterm birth (PTB) and low birth weight (LBW).

Methods

A population-based study was carried out with data provided by the healthcare utilization database of Lombardy, an Italian region with about ten million inhabitants. The study included 384,673 births from 2005 to 2010. Maternal use of antidepressants before and during pregnancy was investigated. Log-binomial regression was used to estimate the association between the use of antidepressants during pregnancy, compared to the non-use or use just before pregnancy, and the prevalence ratio of PTB and LBW.

Results

Women who used antidepressants during pregnancy had a 20% (95% CI: 10–40%) increased prevalence of both PTB and LBW compared to those who never used antidepressants. There was no evidence that women who used antidepressants during pregnancy had a higher prevalence of the considered outcomes compared to women who used antidepressants before pregnancy, but stopped during pregnancy. Such findings were confirmed by considering separately the effects of SSRIs and other antidepressants together.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that depression in itself, rather than antidepressant medication, might be implicated in the causal pathway of PTB and LBW.

Drug treatment and adherence of subjects <40 years with diagnosis of heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed at describing the therapeutic approach in young adult patients diagnosed with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HeFH) and their adherence and persistence to treatment.

METHODS

From regional administrative databases, individuals aged ≤40 years, who received exemption for HeFH between January 1, 2003 and December 31, 2011, and concomitantly started statin treatment, were identified. Within the first year of treatment, we evaluated therapeutic changes, adherence as MPR (medication possession ratio), persistence as continuous drug coverage without gaps ≥60 days, and influencing factors using log binomial models.

RESULTS

Of 1404 patients, 42.4% were initially treated with a high-efficacy statin. 23.4% of patients showed at least one treatment change. Mean MPR was 68.7% (29.9), and patients showing continued statin use were 47.0%. Therapy modification was significantly associated with a past cardiovascular event (relative risk, RR [95% confidential interval] 2.28 [1.69-3.09]) and at least one lipid test (RR 1.82 [1.31-2.53]). MPR ≥80% was significantly associated with the first statin prescribed (atorvastatin RR 1.28 [1.09-1.51] and rosuvastatin RR 1.21 [1.01-1.44], vs. simvastatin), a past cardiovascular event (RR 1.33 [1.12-1.59]), at least one therapy change (RR 1.28 [1.15-1.43]), at least a lipid test (RR 1.26 [1.07-1.49]). A similar pattern was observed for persistence.

CONCLUSIONS

This analysis of young adult HeFH patients showed that therapy change was quite frequent, and probably reflected adjustments according to individual response. Adherence and persistence were inadequate, even in this population at high cardiovascular risk, and they need to be improved through proper patient education and shared treatment decision-making approach.

Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and risk of heart failure in four European countries: nested case-control study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the cardiovascular safety of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) and estimate the risk of hospital admission for heart failure with use of individual NSAIDs.

DESIGN

Nested case-control study.

SETTING

Five population based healthcare databases from four European countries (the Netherlands, Italy, Germany, and the United Kingdom).

PARTICIPANTS

Adult individuals (age ≥18 years) who started NSAID treatment in 2000-10. Overall, 92 163 hospital admissions for heart failure were identified and matched with 8 246 403 controls (matched via risk set sampling according to age, sex, year of cohort entry).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Association between risk of hospital admission for heart failure and use of 27 individual NSAIDs, including 23 traditional NSAIDs and four selective COX 2 inhibitors. Associations were assessed by multivariable conditional logistic regression models. The dose-response relation between NSAID use and heart failure risk was also assessed.

RESULTS

Current use of any NSAID (use in preceding 14 days) was found to be associated with a 19% increase of risk of hospital admission for heart failure (adjusted odds ratio 1.19; 95% confidence interval 1.17 to 1.22), compared with past use of any NSAIDs (use >183 days in the past). Risk of admission for heart failure increased for seven traditional NSAIDs (diclofenac, ibuprofen, indomethacin, ketorolac, naproxen, nimesulide, and piroxicam) and two COX 2 inhibitors (etoricoxib and rofecoxib). Odds ratios ranged from 1.16 (95% confidence interval 1.07 to 1.27) for naproxen to 1.83 (1.66 to 2.02) for ketorolac. Risk of heart failure doubled for diclofenac, etoricoxib, indomethacin, piroxicam, and rofecoxib used at very high doses (≥2 defined daily dose equivalents), although some confidence intervals were wide. Even medium doses (0.9-1.2 defined daily dose equivalents) of indomethacin and etoricoxib were associated with increased risk. There was no evidence that celecoxib increased the risk of admission for heart failure at commonly used doses.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of hospital admission for heart failure associated with current use of NSAIDs appears to vary between individual NSAIDs, and this effect is dose dependent. This risk is associated with the use of a large number of individual NSAIDs reported by this study, which could help to inform both clinicians and health regulators.

A probabilistic bias analysis for misclassified categorical exposures, with application to oral anti-hyperglycaemic drugs

PURPOSE

The effect of drug exposure misclassification generally receives little attention in pharmacoepidemiological research. In this paper, we illustrate a probabilistic bias analysis approach for misclassified categorical exposures and apply it in a database study of oral anti-hyperglycaemic drugs (OADs).

METHODS

A cohort study based on the Health Search Database general-practice database was carried out by including 12 640 adult (≥40 years) patients newly treated with OADs during 2003-2010. The proportion of days covered by OADs prescriptions during the first year of follow-up was evaluated for each individual, either by means of the prescribed daily dose or the defined daily dose. The effect of misclassification on hypothetical OAD-outcome association profiles was assessed through the proposed probabilistic bias analysis approach, taking advantage of available exposure validation data.

RESULTS

During the first year of follow-up, the average (SD) number of months with OADs available was 7 (4) months and 5 (3) months according to the prescribed daily dose and defined daily dose metrics, respectively. Probabilistic bias analysis results based on validation data suggest that the effect of misclassification is complex, as conventional exposure-outcome association estimates may be of greater or lower magnitude than their misclassification-adjusted values.

CONCLUSIONS

Misclassification should be taken into account in database studies on the safety of prescribed medications. To this aim, investigators should take advantage of external exposure validation data in sensitivity analysis approaches such as ours. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Statin use and risk of cataract: A nested case-control study within a healthcare database

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

We aimed to assess the association between exposure to statins and hospitalization for cataract.

METHODS

A population-based, nested case-control study was performed on a cohort of 134,441 patients from Lombardy (Italy), newly treated with statins between 2005 and 2007. Cases were patients hospitalized for cataract or lens extraction surgery after initial statin prescription until December 31, 2012. For each case patient, up to 5 controls were randomly selected from the cohort and matched by gender, age at cohort entry, and date of index prescription. Logistic regression was used to model the outcome risk associated with low (proportion of days covered, PDC 25-49%), intermediate (PDC 50-74%), and high (PDC ≥ 75%) adherence compared with very-low adherence (PDC < 25%).

RESULTS

1334 case patients were matched to 6601 controls. Mean age (SD) of cases and controls was about 70 years (9 years) and 51% of them were men. There was a slight but continuous trend toward an increased risk of cataract as adherence to statin therapy increased in the adjusted risk models, with a significant odds ratio of 1.19 (95% CI 1.01-1.40%) for PDC 50-74% and 1.20 (95% CI 1.02-1.40) for PDC ≥ 75% vs. PDC < 25%, respectively. There was no statistical evidence that the effect of statins on cataract risk differed according to statin potency at starting therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Statin therapy was associated with a modestly increased risk of cataract surgery. Nevertheless, in view of the overwhelming benefit of statins for reduction of CV events, clinical practice for statins therapy does not need to change.

Respiratory drugs and macrolides prevent asthma exacerbations: A real-world investigation

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the real-world effectiveness of several drugs (including short- and long-acting beta-agonists [SABAs and LABAs], inhaled corticosteroids [ICS], and antibiotics) in preventing severe asthma exacerbations by carrying-out a large observational study based on the healthcare utilization databases of the Italian Lombardy Region.

METHODS

We identified all patients aged 6-40 years who performed an Emergency Department visit for asthma during 2010-2012 as cases. To address bias due to unmeasured confounders, we implemented a case-crossover (CC) design. Addressing other specific sources of systematic errors (e.g. protopathic bias) was of particular concern in this study.

RESULTS

A total of 7300 cases were included in the study. The CC odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for current vs. past use were 0.81 (0.71, 0.92) for SABAs, 0.83 (0.72, 0.96) for ICS, 0.78 (0.66, 0.91) for LABA/ICS fixed combinations, 0.79 (0.65, 0.97) for other respiratory drugs, and 0.79 (0.69, 0.92) for macrolides antibiotics. Sensitivity analyses showed that our results were robust with respect to several sources of bias.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study provides evidence from the real-world clinical practice on the effectiveness of several respiratory drugs and macrolides in reducing the risk of severe asthma exacerbations.

Persistence with inhaled corticosteroids reduces the risk of exacerbation among adults with asthma: A real-world investigation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Real-world evidence suggests that persistence with inhaled corticosteroids (ICS), the mainstay of asthma drug therapy, is generally poor. The effect of persistence with ICS on the risk of asthma exacerbation was addressed in a population-based study.

METHODS

The cohort of 2335 beneficiaries of the National Health Service provided by the Italian Region of Lombardy, aged 18-40 years and newly treated with ICS during 2005-2008, was followed from their first ICS dispensation until 2010. Discontinuation of treatment with ICS and starting oral corticosteroid therapy during follow-up were respectively regarded as proxies of poor persistence with asthma medication and asthma exacerbation (outcomes). A proportional hazards model was fitted to identify predictors of ICS discontinuation. Case-crossover and case-case-time-control designs and conditional logistic regressions were used to estimate the association between persistence with ICS and asthma exacerbation.

RESULTS

Cumulative incidences of discontinuation were 36%, 57% and 78% at 6 months, 1 year and 5 years, respectively. Predictors of poor persistence were female gender, use of antibiotics during follow-up, absence of use of short-acting beta-agonists prior to and after starting treatment with ICS and starting and maintaining ICS monotherapy during follow-up. The odds ratios of asthma exacerbation (and 95% confidence intervals) associated with ICS exposure during the current period, contrasted with exposure during the reference period, were 0.4 (0.2, 0.9) and 0.3 (0.1, 1.0) from case-crossover and case-case-time-control estimates, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Persistence with ICS treatment in adults with asthma reduces the risk of exacerbation in the real-life setting.

The lag-time approach improved drug-outcome association estimates in presence of protopathic bias

OBJECTIVES

Protopathic bias is a systematic error which occurs when measured exposure status may be affected by the latent onset of the target outcome. In this article, we aimed to discuss the benefits and drawbacks of the lag-time approach to address this type of bias.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

The lag-time approach consists in excluding from exposure assessment the period immediately preceding the outcome detection date. With the help of simple causal diagrams, we illustrate the rationale and limitations of such strategy. The lag-time approach was illustrated in a case-crossover study, based on the health care utilization databases of the Italian Lombardy Region, on the real-world effectiveness of some respiratory drugs (exposure) in preventing asthma exacerbations (outcome).

RESULTS

A total of 7,300 of patients who were admitted to an emergency department (ED) for asthma during 2010-2012 (cases) were included. Use (vs. nonuse) of short-acting beta-agonists (SABAs, an asthma reliever medication) during the 90 days before the ED admission date was associated with an increased risk of the outcome [odds ratio (OR): 1.95; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.72, 2.22]. This paradoxical finding may be explained by protopathic bias, as SABA use prior the ED admission may be affected by preceding respiratory distress. Indeed, when a 120-day period preceding the ED admission was ignored from drug exposure assessment (lag time), SABAs were found to be associated with a reduced risk of the outcome (OR: 0.81; 95% CI: 0.84, 0.92), as expected.

CONCLUSIONS

The lag-time approach can be a useful strategy to circumvent protopathic bias in observational studies.

Trastuzumab for HER2+ metastatic breast cancer in clinical practice: Cardiotoxicity and overall survival

The evidence on efficacy and safety of trastuzumab in metastatic breast cancers (MBC) mainly derives from randomized clinical trials. We assessed short- and long-term overall survival (OS) and cardiotoxicity in a large cohort of women with MBC treated with trastuzumab in clinical settings. Using healthcare administrative data of Lombardy (10 millions inhabitants), we identified a cohort of women receiving trastuzumab for MBC between 2006 and 2009. The cumulative risk of severe cardiac events and the OS from the first trastuzumab administration were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Their predictors were assessed using Cox regression models. We found 681 trastuzumab MBC users. Thirty two (4.7%) women experienced severe cardiac adverse events. The cumulative risk increased sharply, reaching a value of 2.4% and 4.3% during the first and second year; thereafter it increased of about 1% per year. Age was a strong predictor of cardiotoxicity. The OS was 81.8%, 64.0%, 50.2%, 41.1% and 37.2% at 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 years, respectively. Independent predictors of worse OS were: age, brain liver or lung metastasis compared to other metastasis, use of taxanes and other chemotherapies, a cardiac adverse event after trastuzumab use, and a higher time between metastasis and BC diagnoses. The incidence of cardiotoxicity among women treated with trastuzumab for HER2-positive MBC appeared higher than that reported in RCTs, particularly in elder patients. In spite of this, median survival, was, if anything, better.

A simple informative intervention in primary care increases statin adherence

PURPOSE

To assess the effectiveness of an informative intervention on general practitioners aimed at improving patients' adherence to statin therapy.

METHODS

In the local health unit (LHU) of Bergamo, Lombardy (Italy), each general practitioner received a synthetic scientific document on dyslipidaemia and statins and aggregated data on adherence in 2006 for his/her patients compared to the means in the LHU and in his/her working district. Furthermore, a sample of seven districts received also a table of adherence levels for single patients. Patient's level data were retrieved from the health care utilisation databases of the LHU. Adherence parameters (proportion of patients with only one prescription, medication possession ratio [MPR] and proportion of non-persistent patients) were assessed after 1 year of follow-up.

RESULTS

Overall, 5833 and 4788 new statin users were enrolled before and after the intervention, respectively. The percentage of patients with only one prescription decreased from 28.0 to 23.9 % (p < 0.001). MPR increased from 70.3 to 76.0 % (p < 0.001), and proportion of patients with MPR ≥ 80 % increased from 45.4 to 56.4 % (p < 0.001). The persistence also showed an improvement, both in terms of decreasing proportion of non-persistent (from 51.9 to 41.4 %, p < 0.001) and of increasing duration of continued therapy (from 235 to 264 mean days of persistent therapy, p < 0.001). There were not significant differences between the two types of intervention.

CONCLUSIONS

This intervention resulted in an overall improvement of the short-term adherence to therapy. This tool can be replicated in other local contexts and with other chronic therapies.

Aging in Italy: The Need for New Welfare Strategies in an Old Country

Italy, a Southern European country with 60.8 million inhabitants, has the largest proportion of elderly citizens (aged ≥65) in Europe of 21.4%. The aging of the population is due to a number of reasons, such as baby boomers growing old, an increase in longevity, and low birth rate. Although international migration has increased in recent years, the addition of a foreign segment of the population has neither compensated for nor significantly curtailed the aging phenomenon. The impact of aging on the economic sustainability concerns the progressive reduction of the workforce, high incidence of pension spending in the overall resources allocated to welfare, recent reform of the pension system, and the growing issue of "non-self-sufficiency" in the elderly. Despite limited financial measures dedicated to research, Italy is conducting important studies on aging, both at the national and international level. Physicians and researchers in the field of geriatrics and gerontology are not only promoting quality of life in the elderly, and healthy-active aging, but also contributing to economic stability and social organization. Finally, nutritional and lifestyle habits-and their role in preventing chronic diseases-are the focus of the current international event EXPO 2015, with many sections dedicated to the elderly.

Adherence with antihypertensive drug therapy and the risk of heart failure in clinical practice

Randomized clinical trials have shown that antihypertensive treatment reduces the risk of heart failure (HF). Limited evidence exists, however, on whether and to what extent this benefit is translated into real-life practice. A nested case-control study was carried out by including the cohort of 76 017 patients from Lombardy (Italy), aged 40 to 80 years, who were newly treated with antihypertensive drugs during 2005. Cases were the 622 patients who experienced hospitalization for HF from initial prescription until 2012. Up to 5 controls were randomly selected for each case. Logistic regression was used to model the HF risk associated with adherence to antihypertensive drugs, which was measured by the proportion of days covered by treatment (PDC). Data were adjusted for several covariates. Sensitivity analyses were performed to account for possible sources of systematic uncertainty. Compared with patients with very low adherence (PDC, ≤25%), low, intermediate, and high adherences were associated with progressively lower risk of HF, reduction in the high-adherence group (>75%) being 34% (95% confidence interval, 17%-48%). Similar effects were observed in younger (40-70 years) and older (71-80 years) patients and between patients treated with angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, and diuretics. There was no evidence that adherence with calcium-channel blockers reduced the HF risk. Antihypertensive treatment lowers the HF risk in real-life practice, but adherence to treatment is necessary for a substantial benefit to take place. This is the case with a variety of antihypertensive drugs.

Do patterns of mental healthcare predict treatment failure in young people with schizophrenia? Evidence from an Italian population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Little is known about the practice of predicting community-based care effectiveness of patients affected by schizophrenic disorders. We assessed predictors of treatment failure in a large sample of young people affected by schizophrenia.

METHODS

A cohort of 556 patients aged 18-35 years who were originally diagnosed with schizophrenia during 2005-2009 in a Mental Health Service (MHS) of the Italian Lombardy Region was identified. Intensity of mental healthcare received during the first year after index visit (exposure) was measured by patients' regularity in MHS attendance and the length of time covered with antipsychotic drug therapy. Patients were followed from index visit until 2012 for identifying hospital admission for mental disorder (outcome). A proportional hazards model was fitted to estimate the HR and 95% CIs for the exposure-outcome association, after adjusting for several covariates. A set of sensitivity analyses were performed in order to account for sources of systematic uncertainty.

RESULTS

During follow-up, 144 cohort members experienced the outcome. Compared with patients on low coverage with antipsychotic drugs (≤ 4 months), those on intermediate (5-8 months) and high (≥ 9 months) coverage, had HRs (95% CI) of 0.94 (0.64 to 1.40) and 0.69 (0.48 to 0.98), respectively. There was no evidence that regular attendance at the MHS affected the outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients in the early phase of schizophrenia and their families should be cautioned about the possible consequences of poor antipsychotic adherence. Physicians and decision makers should increase their contribution towards improving mental healthcare.