Prospective validation of the CLIP score: a new prognostic system for patients with cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) Investigators

Tumor burden score is superior to primary liver cancer stages in predicting prognosis for patients with combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma after surgery: A multi-center study

BACKGROUND

Combined hepatocellular-cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CCA) is poorly understood, while the predictive value of the staging in which it is included is controversial.

METHODS

Patients with cHCC-CCA underwent radical hepatectomy in two medical centers in China were enrolled and staged based on optimal cut-off values of tumor burden score (TBS), determined using the X-Tile. The association between TBS and prognosis was evaluated by Cox proportional hazard models and Kaplan-Meier curves with Log-rank test. TBS model and primary liver cancer (PLC) stages were compared by discrimination, consistency, and clinical utility, which were further validated by a 5-folds cross-validation.

RESULTS

A total of 192 patients were stratified into low, medium, and high TBS, comprising 92, 51 and 49 patients, respectively. Prognoses worsened with elevated TBS in both the training and validation cohorts. TBS was not only an independent prognostic indicator in univariate and multivariate cox regression, but also a stable risk factor in subgroup analysis according to baseline variables. TBS exhibited best discrimination within these predictive models, as evidenced by the highest c-index and area under curve values of time-dependent receiver operating curves within 5 years post-surgery. TBS calibration plots revealed favorable consistency between prediction and observation. Decision curve analysis suggested higher net benefits for TBS. A 5-folds cross-validation revealed consistent results.

CONCLUSIONS

TBS could be applied to stratify cHCC-CCA patients after surgery into groups with statistically different prognoses. Moreover, TBS exhibited optimal prognostic value over all available PLC stages and may inform clinical decisions.

A Simple Prognostic Scoring System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with DEB-TACE

Objective

To develop a simple and effective prognostic scoring system to predict the efficacy of drug-eluting bead-transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (DEB-TACE) in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Data were retrospectively collected from 230 patients with HCC who received DEB-TACE treatment at six medical centers between January 2019 and December 2022. We developed a predictive score based on independent risk factors for overall survival (OS), validated the model using a validation cohort, and compared its prognostic accuracy with commonly used HCC staging systems.

Results

The number of tumors, albumin-bilirubin levels, alpha-fetoprotein levels, and portal vein thrombus grade were identified as independent factors influencing OS. Based on these factors, we established the DEB-TACE treatment of HCC (DTH) scoring system. The DTH score correlated well with OS, which decreased as the DTH score increased. According to the DTH score, patients were categorized into three risk groups: low-risk (DTH-A, 0-4 points), medium-risk (DTH-B, 5-6 points), and high-risk (DTH-A, 7 points). The OS of each risk group was 18.73±0.62 months, 12.73±0.10 months, and 6.93±0.19 months, respectively (p<0.001). The external cohort validation confirmed the accuracy of the DTH score, demonstrating superior predictive performance compared to other commonly used HCC scoring systems.

Conclusion

The DTH-HCC scoring system effectively predicts the outcomes of HCC patients undergoing DEB-TACE as initial treatment. This model can aid in the initial planning and decision-making process for DEB-TACE treatment in HCC patients.

Identification and validation of methylation-CpG prognostic signature for prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

Epigenetic biomarkers help predict the prognosis of cancer patients and evaluating the clinical outcome of immunization therapy. In this study, we present a personalized gene methylation-CpG signature to enhance the accuracy of survival prediction for individuals with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Utilizing RNA sequencing and methylation datasets from GEO as well as TCGA, we conducted single sample GSEA (ssGSEA), WGCNA, as well as Cox regression. Through these analyses, we identified 175 oxidative stress and immune-related genes along with 4 CpG loci that are associated with the prognosis of HCC. Subsequently, we constructed a prognostic signature for HCC utilizing these 4 CpG sites, referred to as the HCC Prognostic Signature of Methylation-CpG sites (HPSM). Further investigation revealed an enrichment of immune-related signal pathways in the HPSM-low group, which demonstrated a positive correlation with better survival among HCC patients. Moreover, the methylation of the CpG sites in HPSM was found to be closely linked to drug sensitivity. In vitro experiments tentatively confirmed that promoter methylation regulated the expression of BMPER, one of the CpG sites within HPSM. The expression of BMPER was significantly correlated with cell death in the oxidative stress pathway, and overexpression of BMPER effectively inhibited HCC cell proliferation. Consequently, our findings suggest that HPSM is an independent predictive factor and holds promise for accurately predicting the prognosis of HCC patients.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Surgical Management and Evolving Therapies

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer in men and the eighth most common cancer in women worldwide. It is also the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide, with 780,000 deaths in 2018. Seventy-two percent of HCC cases occur in Asia, 10% in Europe, 8% in Africa, 5% in North America, and 5% in Latin America (Singal et al. in J Hepatol 72(2):250-261, 2020 [1]).

Clinical Characteristics and Survival of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Insights from Single-Centre Experience in Saudi Arabia

Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents the most common primary liver malignancy, with a high fatality rate. Relatively, Saudi Arabia has a high incidence of HCC, which is detected in later stages with a poor prognosis. This study aims to investigate the patterns, outcomes, and mortality predictors of HCC in Saudi Arabia. Method A retrospective study from April 2018 to June 2022 included patients with HCC who were diagnosed and managed at the Najran Oncology Center, Saudi Arabia. Through our cancer registry, the patients' clinical, laboratory, radiological, and survival profiles were extracted and analyzed to assess factors associated with mortality using a univariate analysis. The overall survival was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Results The study involved 52 patients with an average age of 74.6 years, predominantly male (the male-to-female ratio is 2.25:1). Viral infections were the primary cause of liver disease in 40.3% (n=21) of patients. At diagnosis, the Child-Pugh class distribution included 23.1% (n=12) patients in class A, 36.5% (n=19) patients in class B, and 40.4% (n=21) patients in class C. Uninodular tumors with ≤50% liver extension were observed in 65.4% (n=34) of cases, and 30.8% (n=16) had portal vein thrombosis. Elevated alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels were noted in 48.1% (n=25) of patients, with 23.1% (n=12) exceeding 400 ng/mL. Curative resection was performed in 32.7% (n=17) of patients. The mean survival time was 23±11.8 months (median of 22.5 months, minimum of six, and maximum of 49 months). Relapse occurred in seven (13.5%) cases, while new metastasis occurred in 20 (38.5%) cases. During the study period, 26 (50.0%) patients died. The main cause of death was disease progression in 15 (28.8%) patients. Univariate analysis showed that AFP>400 ng/mL (OR: 4.68; 95% CI: 1.87-11.66, p=0.001), presence of relapse (OR: 0.16; 95% CI: 0.03-0.78, p=0.023), abdominal ascites (OR: 3.38; 95% CI: 1.25-9.14, p=0.016), advanced the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score (OR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.41-0.88, p=0.009) were associated with higher mortality rate and were statistically significant. Conclusion Most cases of HCC in our patients were attributed to viral hepatitis, with the majority having liver cirrhosis. Higher AFP (>400 ng/mL), relapse, abdominal ascites, and a higher cancer CLIP score were associated with poorer outcomes. Targeted screening and health education should be advocated; in addition, social determinants should be proactively addressed.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Surveillance, Diagnosis, Evaluation and Management

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) ranks fourth in cancer-related deaths worldwide. Semiannual surveillance of the disease for patients with cirrhosis or hepatitis B virus allows for early detection with more favorable outcomes. The current underuse of surveillance programs demonstrates the need for intervention at both the patient and provider level. Mail outreach along with navigation provision has proven to increase surveillance follow-up in patients, while provider-targeted electronic medical record reminders and compliance reports have increased provider awareness of HCC surveillance. Imaging is the primary mode of diagnosis in HCC with The Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) being a widely accepted comprehensive system that standardizes the reporting and data collection for HCC. The management of HCC is complex and requires multidisciplinary team evaluation of each patient based on their preference, the state of the disease, and the available medical and surgical interventions. Staging systems are useful in determining the appropriate intervention for HCC. Early-stage HCC is best managed by curative treatment modalities, such as liver resection, transplant, or ablation. For intermediate stages of the disease, transarterial local regional therapies can be applied. Advanced stages of the disease are treated with systemic therapies, for which there have been recent advances with new drug combinations. Previously sorafenib was the mainstay systemic treatment, but the recent introduction of atezolizumab plus bevacizumab proves to have a greater impact on overall survival. Although there is a current lack of improved outcomes in Phase III trials, neoadjuvant therapies are a potential avenue for HCC management in the future.

Towards refining the utility of dual (18F-FDG / 18F-Choline) PET/CT for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma: a tertiary center study

BACKGROUND

The role of positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) management is not clearly defined. Our objective was to analyze the utility of dual-PET/CT (18F-FDG + 18F-Choline) imaging findings on the BCLC staging and treatment decision for HCC patients.

METHODS

Between January 2011 and April 2019, 168 consecutive HCC patients with available baseline dual-PET/CT imaging data were retrospectively analyzed. To identify potential refinement criteria for surgically-treated patients, survival Kaplan-Meier curves of various standard-of-care and dual-PET/CT baseline parameters were estimated. Finally, multivariate cox proportional hazard ratios of the most relevant clinico-biological and/or PET parameters were estimated.

RESULTS

Dual-PET/CT findings increased the score of BCLC staging in 21 (12.5%) cases. In 24.4% (N.=41) of patients, the treatment strategy was modified by the PET findings. Combining AFP levels at a threshold of 10 ng/mL with 18F-FDG or 18F-Choline N status significantly impacted DFS (P<0.05). In particular, the combined criteria of the N+ status assessed by 18F-Choline with AFP threshold of 10 ng/mL provided a highly predictive composite parameter for estimation of DFS according to multivariate analysis (HR=10.6, P<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The 18F-Choline / AFP composite parameter appears promising, and further prospective studies are mandatory to validate its oncological impact.

Prognosis of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Transarterial Chemoembolization(MC-hccAI 001): Development and Validation of the ALFP Score

Background

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is the recommended first-line treatment for intermediate-stage Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. However, predicting the survival of HCC patients receiving TACE remains challenging.

Methods

In this retrospective study, we analyzed a total of 1805 HCC patients who received TACE. The patients were randomly divided into a training set (n = 1264) and a validation set (n = 541). We examined various prognostic factors within the training set and developed a simple ALFP (ALBI grade, AFP, and Prothrombin time) score, which was subsequently validated using the independent validation set.

Results

Our multivariate analysis revealed that baseline ALBI grade 2 or 3, AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL, and PT > 13.1 s were independent unfavorable prognostic factors for HCC patients receiving TACE (p < 0.05). Based on these findings, we constructed the ALFP score, which assigns 1 point each for ALBI grade 2 or 3, AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL, and PT > 13.1 s. The score has a range of 0 to 3, and higher scores are associated with poorer outcomes. The median overall survival (OS) varied significantly among different ALFP score groups, both in the training set and the validation set (p < 0.001). We further examined the ALFP score in subgroups based on tumor diameter and the number of intrahepatic lesions. In each subgroup, higher ALFP scores were consistently associated with lower OS (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Our study confirms the prognostic value of the ALFP score in predicting the survival of HCC patients undergoing TACE. The score incorporates easily obtainable baseline parameters and provides a simple and practical tool for risk stratification and treatment decision-making in HCC patients.

Efficacy of fusion imaging for immediate post-ablation assessment of malignant liver neoplasms: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Percutaneous thermal ablation has become the preferred therapeutic treatment option for liver cancers that cannot be resected. Since ablative zone tissue changes over time, it becomes challenging to determine therapy effectiveness over an extended period. Thus, an immediate post-procedural evaluation of the ablation zone is crucial, as it could influence the need for a second-look treatment or follow-up plan. Assessing treatment response immediately after ablation is essential to attain favorable outcomes. This study examines the efficacy of image fusion strategies immediately post-ablation in liver neoplasms to determine therapeutic response.

METHODOLOGY

A comprehensive systematic search using PRISMA methodology was conducted using EMBASE, MEDLINE (via PUBMED), and Cochrane Library Central Registry electronic databases to identify articles that assessed the immediate post-ablation response in malignant hepatic tumors with fusion imaging (FI) systems. The data were retrieved on relevant clinical characteristics, including population demographics, pre-intervention clinical history, lesion characteristics, and intervention type. For the outcome metrics, variables such as average fusion time, intervention metrics, technical success rate, ablative safety margin, supplementary ablation rate, technical efficacy rate, LTP rates, and reported complications were extracted.

RESULTS

Twenty-two studies were included for review after fulfilling the study eligibility criteria. FI's immediate technical success rate ranged from 81.3% to 100% in 17/22 studies. In 16/22 studies, the ablative safety margin was assessed immediately after ablation. Supplementary ablation was performed in 9 studies following immediate evaluation by FI. In 15/22 studies, the technical effectiveness rates during the first follow-up varied from 89.3% to 100%.

CONCLUSION

Based on the studies included, we found that FI can accurately determine the immediate therapeutic response in liver cancer ablation image fusion and could be a feasible intraprocedural tool for determining short-term post-ablation outcomes in unresectable liver neoplasms. There are some technical challenges that limit the widespread adoption of FI techniques. Large-scale randomized trials are warranted to improve on existing protocols. Future research should emphasize improving FI's technological capabilities and clinical applicability to a broader range of tumor types and ablation procedures.

Does size matter for resection of giant versus non-giant hepatocellular carcinoma? A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Research on long-term survival after resection of giant (≥ 10 cm) and non-giant hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (< 10 cm) has produced conflicting results.

AIM

This study aimed to investigate whether oncological outcomes and safety profiles of resection differ between giant and non-giant HCC.

METHODS

PubMed, MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases were searched. Studies designed to investigate the outcomes of giant vs non-giant HCC were included. The primary endpoints were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). The secondary endpoints were postoperative complications and mortality rates. All studies were assessed for bias using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale.

RESULTS

24 retrospective cohort studies involving 23747 patients (giant = 3326; non-giant = 20421) who underwent HCC resection were included. OS was reported in 24 studies, DFS in 17 studies, 30-d mortality rate in 18 studies, postoperative complications in 15 studies, and post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in six studies. The HR was significantly lower for non-giant HCC in both OS (HR 0.53, 95%CI: 0.50-0.55, P < 0.001) and DFS (HR 0.62, 95%CI: 0.58-0.84, P < 0.001). No significant difference was found for 30-d mortality rate (OR 0.73, 95%CI: 0.50-1.08, P = 0.116), postoperative complications (OR 0.81, 95%CI: 0.62-1.06, P = 0.140), and PHLF (OR 0.81, 95%CI: 0.62-1.06, P = 0.140).

CONCLUSION

Resection of giant HCC is associated with poorer long-term outcomes. The safety profile of resection was similar in both groups; however, this may have been confounded by reporting bias. HCC staging systems should account for the size differences.

Development of preoperative prognostic models including radiological features for survival of singular nodular HCC patients

BACKGROUND

Early singular nodular hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an ideal surgical indication in clinical practice. However, almost half of the patients have tumor recurrence, and there is no reliable prognostic prediction tool. Besides, it is unclear whether preoperative neoadjuvant therapy is necessary for patients with early singular nodular HCC and which patient needs it. It is critical to identify the patients with high risk of recurrence and to treat these patients preoperatively with neoadjuvant therapy and thus, to improve the outcomes of these patients. The present study aimed to develop two prognostic models to preoperatively predict the recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with singular nodular HCC by integrating the clinical data and radiological features.

METHODS

We retrospective recruited 211 patients with singular nodular HCC from December 2009 to January 2019 at Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital (EHBH). They all met the surgical indications and underwent radical resection. We randomly divided the patients into the training cohort (n =132) and the validation cohort (n = 79). We established and validated multivariate Cox proportional hazard models by the preoperative clinicopathologic factors and radiological features for association with RFS and OS. By analyzing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the discrimination accuracy of the models was compared with that of the traditional predictive models.

RESULTS

Our RFS model was based on HBV-DNA score, cirrhosis, tumor diameter and tumor capsule in imaging. RFS nomogram had fine calibration and discrimination capabilities, with a C-index of 0.74 (95% CI: 0.68-0.80). The OS nomogram, based on cirrhosis, tumor diameter and tumor capsule in imaging, had fine calibration and discrimination capabilities, with a C-index of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.74-0.87). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of our model was larger than that of traditional liver cancer staging system, Korea model and Nomograms in Hepatectomy Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma, indicating better discrimination capability. According to the models, we fitted the linear prediction equations. These results were validated in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with previous radiography model, the new-developed predictive model was concise and applicable to predict the postoperative survival of patients with singular nodular HCC. Our models may preoperatively identify patients with high risk of recurrence. These patients may benefit from neoadjuvant therapy which may improve the patients' outcomes.

FAIL-T (AFP, AST, tumor sIze, ALT, and Tumor number): a model to predict intermediate-stage HCC patients who are not good candidates for TACE

Background

Patients with un-resectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) are a diverse group with varying overall survival (OS). Despite the availability of several scoring systems for predicting OS, one of the unsolved problems is identifying patients who might not benefit from TACE. We aim to develop and validate a model for identifying HCC patients who would survive <6 months after their first TACE.

Methods

Patients with un-resectable HCC, BCLC stage 0-B, who received TACE as their first and only treatment between 2007 and 2020 were included in this study. Before the first TACE, demographic data, laboratory data, and tumor characteristics were obtained. Eligible patients were randomly allocated in a 2:1 ratio to training and validation sets. The former was used for model development using stepwise multivariate logistic regression, and the model was validated in the latter set.

Results

A total of 317 patients were included in the study (210 for the training set and 107 for the validation set). The baseline characteristics of the two sets were comparable. The final model (FAIL-T) included AFP, AST, tumor sIze, ALT, and Tumor number. The FAIL-T model yielded AUROCs of 0.855 and 0.806 for predicting 6-month mortality after TACE in the training and validation sets, respectively, while the "six-and-twelve" score showed AUROCs of 0.751 (P < 0.001) in the training set and 0.729 (P = 0.099) in the validation sets for the same purpose.

Conclusion

The final model is useful for predicting 6-month mortality in naive HCC patients undergoing TACE. HCC patients with high FAIL-T scores may not benefit from TACE, and other treatment options, if available, should be considered.

Comprehensive analysis to identify the neurotransmitter receptor-related genes as prognostic and therapeutic biomarkers in hepatocellular carcinoma

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly heterogeneous disease with high morbidity and mortality, which accounts for the fourth most common cause of cancer-related deaths. Reports suggest that the neurotransmitter receptor-related genes (NRGs) may influence the tumor microenvironment and the prognosis of patients with HCC.

Methods: The clinical information and RNA-seq data of patients with HCC were acquired from the ICGC-LIRI-JP dataset and the TCGA-LIHC dataset. Effects of 115 NRGs on the prognosis of HCC patients were analyzed in the ICGC-LIRI-JP dataset. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was utilized to generate a risk score formula based on the critical NRGs. Next, the risk score effectiveness was validated both in the TCGA-LIHC dataset and in our clinical HCC samples. Based on the risk scores, patients with HCC were divided into two groups. Moreover, differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened. The gene ontology (GO) was used to analyze the functional enrichments of DEGs and to identify potential signaling pathways. To test the diagnostic effectiveness of our model, the receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) analysis and nomogram were used. Finally, potential targeted drug prediction was performed based on DEGs of nine clinical HCC samples.

Results: Nine NRGs were correlated significantly with the prognosis of patients with HCC, and eight NRGs were successfully included in the LASSO regression model. The Kaplan-Meier analysis of overall survival (OS) suggested that patients in the high-risk score group had worse prognosis; on the other hand, ROC analysis revealed a high prognostic value of the risk score in HCC. Several critical signaling pathways, such as lipid metabolism, organic acid metabolism, cell migration, cell adhesion, and immune response, were enriched both in public datasets and clinical samples. Nomogram results also suggested that the risk scores correlated well with the patients’ prognosis. Potential targeted drugs prediction revealed that tubulin inhibitors might be the promising drugs for patients with HCC who have high risk scores based on the NRGs.

Conclusion: We established a prognostic model based on critical NRGs. NRGs show a promising prognostic prediction value in HCC and are potential therapeutic targets for the disease treatment.

Establishment of Nomogram Model for Minimally Invasive Treatment of Small Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on CD8+T Cell Counts

Purpose

Minimally invasive treatment of small hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the main way of treatment, which can cause the change of HCC immune microenvironment. T lymphocytes are an important part of the immune microenvironment and may be powerful predictors of prognosis. The purpose of this study was to explore the effect of T lymphocytes on the prognosis of HCC and establish a prognostic model.

Patients and Methods

We conducted a retrospective study of 300 patients with small HCC and developed a clinical prediction model. The selection of modeling variables was performed by combining backward stepwise Cox regression using Akaike’s Information Criteria (AIC) and the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression. Establish a dynamic nomogram model to predict 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival (OS). Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to verify the model discriminative ability, calibration curve was used to examine the model calibration ability, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical value.

Results

The nomogram to predict the OS of small HCC includes the following four variables: aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alpha fetoprotein (AFP), C-reactive protein (CRP) and CD8⁺T cell counts, represented liver function index, tumor-related index, Inflammatory index and immune-related index, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) of predicting 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival were 0.846, 0.824 and 0.812, and the model was excellent in discrimination, calibration and clinical applicability.

Conclusion

Our study provides a nomogram based on CD8⁺T cell counts that can help predict the prognosis of small HCC after minimally invasive treatment, which suggests that T lymphocytes can be used as a prognostic factor for HCC. Larger trials are needed to verify our results.

Immune-Related Biomarkers Improve Performance of Risk Prediction Models for Survival in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Object

The prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis faced great challenge due to tumor heterogeneity. The purpose of this study was to explore the correlation between the immune infiltrate and prognosis. Moreover, we aimed to establish a risk prediction model for survival in HCC patients based on clinicopathological and immune indicators.

Methods

In this study, 316 patients with HCC who underwent radical resection in West China Hospital from 2009 to 2014 were included. Clinicopathological data and pathological specimens were collected. H&amp;E staining and immunohistochemical staining were performed on the pathological tissue sections. The evaluation of tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) density was based on H&amp;E slices, and the assessment of the expressions of CD8, CD68, Lymphocyte activation gene-3 (LAG-3), T cell immunoglobulin domain and mucin domain-3 (TIM-3), Programmed Cell Death Protein 1 (PD-1), Programmed Cell Death Ligand 1 (PD-L1), OX40, CD66b, and Tryptase. was performed on the immunohistochemical slices. A risk prediction model for survival in HCC patients was established by integrating immune-related biomarkers and clinicopathological indicators.

Results

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage; the microvascular invasion status; the density of TILs; the expressing levels of CD66b, OX40, and PD-L1 in the immune cell; CD68; and CD8 were the predictors of patients’ overall survival (OS). The BCLC stage; the density of TILs; and the expressions of OX40, CD68, and CD8 were associated with disease-free survival (DFS). The expressions of CD66b, CD68, OX40, and CD8 had a cumulative effect on prognosis. The area under the curve of the prediction model for OS based on clinicopathological features was improved from 0.62 to 0.74 by adding to CD8, OX40, CD68, CD66b, and TILs, whereas it was improved from 0.59 to 0.73 for the DFS prediction model.

Conclusion

Our results, if confirmed, indicated that immune-related biomarkers should be taken into account or stratified in survival analysis for HCC.

Practical utility of liver segmentation methods in clinical surgeries and interventions

Clinical imaging (e.g., magnetic resonance imaging and computed tomography) is a crucial adjunct for clinicians, aiding in the diagnosis of diseases and planning of appropriate interventions. This is especially true in malignant conditions such as hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), where image segmentation (such as accurate delineation of liver and tumor) is the preliminary step taken by the clinicians to optimize diagnosis, staging, and treatment planning and intervention (e.g., transplantation, surgical resection, radiotherapy, PVE, embolization, etc). Thus, segmentation methods could potentially impact the diagnosis and treatment outcomes. This paper comprehensively reviews the literature (during the year 2012-2021) for relevant segmentation methods and proposes a broad categorization based on their clinical utility (i.e., surgical and radiological interventions) in HCC. The categorization is based on the parameters such as precision, accuracy, and automation.

Hepatic Resection Combined with Intraoperative Radiofrequency Ablation Versus Hepatic Resection Alone for Selected Patients with Moderately Advanced Multifocal Hepatocellular Carcinomas

BACKGROUND

The role of hepatic resection (HR) combined with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) versus HR alone remains unclear for patients with multifocal hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs). The aim of this study was to assess the outcomes of selected patients with moderately advanced multifocal HCCs after HR combined with intraoperative RFA versus HR alone.

METHODS

A total of 304 selected patients with multifocal HCCs (three or fewer lesions, with the largest lesion > 4.5 cm and the residual lesion[s] ≤ 3 cm) who underwent HR plus RFA (HR+RFA group) or HR alone (HR group) were included. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to adjust for baseline differences. Multivariable and subgroup analyses estimated the effects of clinical factors on survival.

RESULTS

Both overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were comparable between both groups before and after PSM. Subgroup analysis showed that HR was associated with better RFS than HR+RFA for those patients with two tumors, or with all lesions located in the same lobe or without microvascular invasion (MVI) [all p < 0.05]. Moreover, en bloc resection provided a higher RFS than separate resection for those with all lesions in the same lobe (p = 0.039).

CONCLUSION

For selected patients with moderately advanced multifocal HCCs, HR+RFA may offer similar OS and RFS as HR alone. However, HR may be more suitable for those with two tumors, or with all lesions in the same lobe or without MVI. Moreover, en bloc resection may be recommended for those with all lesions in the same lobe.

Development and External Validation of the Munich Sorafenib Evaluation Score for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

In recent years, increasing options for systemic HCC treatment have become available. The development of therapy-specific prognostic scores has been encouraged. Tailoring therapy to individual patients requires prognostic scores for treatment success in addition to the Barcelona-Clinic-Liver-Cancer (BCLC) classification. We have developed and validated a prognostic score for patients treated with sorafenib.

METHODS

Prognostic factors identified in a multivariate analysis of 108 sorafenib patients were used to construct the Munich Sorafenib Evaluation (M-SE) score. M-SE and 9 established HCC prognostic systems were ranked according to concordance-index and AIC. External M-SE validation was performed in an independent HCC sorafenib cohort (n = 101) derived from the prospective multicenter randomized controlled SORAMIC trial.

RESULTS

Ascites (p < 0.0001; HR 2.923), tumor burden ≥50% of the liver (p = 0.0033; HR 1.946), and GOT (p < 0.0001; HR 1.716) were identified as independent prognostic parameters. All three M-SE stages were characterized by significantly different survival times (p < 0.0001). M-SE stage-A patients had a median OS of 18.7 months (95% CI: 15.6-21.8); patients in stage B and C showed a significantly shorter survival of 5.7 (2.7-8.7) and 2.0 months (1.6-2.4), respectively. M-SE (c-index 0.70; AIC 621) outperformed all other prognostic systems. External validation in a prospective cohort confirmed its superior prognostic performance.

CONCLUSION

The M-SE score allows classification of sorafenib patients in three distinct prognostic stages. Provided that M-SE successfully passes prospective validation, it can help to predict the outcome of patients evaluated for sorafenib treatment.

Circulating Cell-Free DNA Captures the Intratumor Heterogeneity in Multinodular Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a highly heterogeneous disease, with more than 40% of patients initially diagnosed with multinodular HCCs. Although circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has been shown to effectively detect somatic mutations, little is known about its utility to capture intratumor heterogeneity in patients with multinodular HCC undergoing systemic treatment.

Levels of Alpha-Fetoprotein and Association with Mortality in Hepatocellular Carcinoma of HIV-1-Infected Patients

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study on patients living with HIV-1 infection (PLWH) followed at the Division of Infectious Diseases of the San Raffaele Hospital, with cirrhosis and HCC diagnosed between 1999 and 2018 and with an available AFP value at HCC diagnosis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to estimate the accuracy of baseline AFP in predicting death. Factors associated with the risk of death were identified using multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression models.

Results

Overall, 53 PLWH were evaluated: 18 patients received a curative treatment (9 liver transplantation, 5 liver resections and 4 radiofrequency ablation) and 35 a noncurative treatment (17 chemo or radio embolization, 10 sorafenib and 8 best supportive care). Baseline AFP was predictive of death [AUC 0.71, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54–0.83], and the optimal cut-off was 28.8 ng/mL. At multivariable analysis, BL AFP ≥28.8 ng/mL was associated with death [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 7.05, 95% CI 1.94–25.71 P = 0.003]. Other factors were HBV infection (aHR 8.57, 95% CI 1.47–50.08, P = 0.017) and treatment allocation (curative vs. noncurative, aHR 0.08, 95% CI 0.02–0.40, P = 0.0004).

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that in PLWH AFP serum levels ≥28.8 ng/mL, HBV coinfection and treatment allocation represent predictive markers for death at the time of HCC diagnosis.

TRANS-TACE: Prognostic Role of the Transient Hypertransaminasemia after Conventional Chemoembolization for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The aim of the present study was to correlate laboratory data and postprocedural parameters after conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with the radiological response. The study consisted of a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from 70 consecutive patients who underwent cTACE. Laboratory parameters were assessed daily after cTACE and compared to pretreatment values. Post-treatment radiological response was assessed using mRECIST at one month from cTACE, and factors associated with treatment response (complete and objective response) were assessed by logistic regression analysis. The optimal cutoff points in predicting the complete response of target lesions were a 52% ALT and a 46% AST increase after cTACE compared to the pre-treatment values. Using multivariate analyses, >46% AST and >52% ALT increases with respect to the pre-treatment value were significantly correlated with the objective response (p = 0.03 and p = 0.04, respectively) and the complete response (p = 0.02 and p = 0.02, respectively). No patients experienced liver function deterioration after cTACE, and no specific treatment was required. This study showed that post-treatment transient transaminase elevation was predictive of objective response to superselective cTACE in clinical practice, representing a simple tool to guide treatment strategy of HCC patients in a tailored approach.

ALBI grade: Evidence for an improved model for liver functional estimation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually arises in the context of a chronically damaged liver. Liver functional estimation is of paramount importance in clinical decision making. The Child-Pugh score (CPS) can be used to categorise patients into 3 classes (A to C) based on the severity of liver functional impairment according to 5 parameters (albumin, bilirubin, prothrombin time, presence of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy). The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has emerged as an alternative, reproducible and objective measure of liver functional reserve in patients with HCC, defining worsening liver impairment across 3 grades (I to III). The ALBI score can identify different subgroups of patients with different prognoses across the diverse Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages and CP classes, making it an appealing clinical predictor. In patients treated with potentially curative approaches (resection, transplantation, radiofrequency ablation, microwave ablation), ALBI grade has been shown to correlate with survival, tumour relapse, and post-hepatectomy liver failure. ALBI grade also predicts survival, toxicity and post-procedural liver failure in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolisation, radioembolisation, external beam radiotherapy as well as multi-kinase inhibitors (sorafenib, lenvatinib, cabozantinib, regorafenib) and immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. In this review, we summarise the body of evidence surrounding the role of ALBI grade as a biomarker capable of optimising patient selection and therapeutic sequencing in HCC.

Radiomics-based model using gadoxetic acid disodium-enhanced MR images: associations with recurrence-free survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated by surgical resection

PURPOSE

To develop a prediction model that combined magnetic resonance images (MRI)-based radiomics features with clinical factors to predict recurrence-free survival (RFS) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with surgical resection.

METHODS

HCC patients treated with surgical resection (n = 153) were randomly divided into training (n = 107) and validation (n = 46) datasets. The volumes of interest were manually outlined around the lesion and additional 2 mm and 5 mm peritumoral areas were created with automated dilatation in MRI to extract tumoral (T) and peritumoral (PT) radiomics features. The radiomics models were constructed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression. The combined model incorporated clinical factors and radiomics features using multivariable Cox regression based on the Akaike information criterion principle. Predictive performance of different models were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, decision curves, and calibration curves.

RESULTS

Among the radiomics models, similar performance was observed in the 2 mm and 5 mm PT models (C-index both 0.657), which were better than the T model or T + PT model (C-index 0.607 and 0.641, respectively) in the validation dataset, whereas the model combined with the three identified clinical risk factors showed the best performance (C-index 0.725). Results of the ROC curves, decision curves, and the calibration curves indicated that the combined model and the derived nomogram had better prediction performance, greater clinical benefits, and fair calibration efficiency.

CONCLUSION

The prediction model that combined MRI radiomics signatures with clinical factors can effectively predict the prognosis of patients with HCC treated with surgical resection.

Comparison of prognostic models in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing Sorafenib: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Sorafenib is the gold standard therapy for the advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). No scoring/staging is universally accepted to predict the survival of these patients.

AIMS

To evaluate the accuracy of the available prognostic models for HCC to predict the survival of advanced HCC patients treated with Sorafenib included in the Italian Liver Cancer (ITA.LI.CA.) multicenter cohort.

METHODS

The performance of several prognostic scores was assessed through a Cox regression-model evaluating the C-index and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

Data of 1129 patients were analyzed. The mean age of patients was 61.6 years, and 80.8% were male. During a median follow-up period of 13 months, 789 patients died. The median period of Sorafenib administration was 4 months. All the prognostic scores were able to predict the overall survival (p<0.001) at univariate analysis, except the Albumin-Bilirubin score. The Italian Liver Cancer score (CLIP) yielded the highest accuracy (C-index 0.604, AIC 9898), followed by the ITA.LI.CA. prognostic score (C-index 0.599, AIC 9915).

CONCLUSIONS

The CLIP score had the highest accuracy in predicting the overall survival of HCC patients treated with Sorafenib, although its performance remained poor. Further studies are needed to refine the current ability to predict the outcome of HCC patients undergoing Sorafenib.

Hepatocellular carcinoma patients with portal vein thrombosis treated with robotic radiosurgery: Interim results of a prospective study

BACKGROUND

This is a prospective study evaluating the role of stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) with CyberKnife (CK) in Indian patients suffering from hepatocellular carcinoma with portal vein thrombosis (HCC-PVT).

METHODS

Patients with inoperable HCC-PVT, good performance score (PS), and liver function are accrued for treatment on CK (version M6) and planned with Multiplan (iDMS V2.0). Triple-phase contrast computed tomography (CT) scan was done for contouring, and the gross tumor volume (GTV) included contrast-enhancing mass within main portal vein and adjacent parenchymal disease. Dose prescription was as per-risk stratification protocol (22-50 Gy in 5 fractions) while achieving the constraints of mean liver dose <15 Gy, 800 cc liver <8 Gy, and the duodenum max of ≤24 Gy).

RESULTS

Seventy-two HCC-PVT accrued till date (mean age 63 years [38-76 years], 96% male; Child-Pugh [CP] A 84%, B 9%; Barcelona-Clinic Liver Cancer [BCLC] C 96%; PS0-1: 80%, Karnofsky performance score [KPS]>70: 88%; co-morbidities 42%; infective 12%, alcohol intake 31%, adjuvant sorafenib 39%). CP scores 5, 6, 7, and 8 were in 35%, 32%, 8%, and 18%, respectively. Focal disease with portal vein thrombus (PVT) in 21%, liver involvement >50% and <50% in 46% and 32%. Liver cancer study group of Japan staging-based portal vein invasion VP2, VP3, and VP4 in 22%, 29%, and 40%. Cancer of the Liver Italian Programm (CLIP) scores 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 were in 8%, 26%, 31%, 26%, and 7%, respectively. Mean follow-up was 7.3 months (median 6 months, standard deviation [SD] 6; range 3-30 months). Mean actuarial overall survival (OS) was 11.4 months (SE 1.587; 95% CI: 8-14.2 months). Six months and 12 months actuarial OS 55% and 38%, respectively. At last follow-up, 25/69 (36%) were alive and 44/69 (64%) were dead. Among 54 patients evaluated for response assessment, 23 (30%) had radiological confirmed PVT response, 1 (3%) had response of IVC thrombus, and 30 (42%) had no or minimal response to SBRT. Actuarial OS in responders and non-responders were 14.4 months (95% CI 9.4-19.2) and 7.4 months (95% CI 4.9-9.7), p-value: 0.022. Six and 12 months survival in responders and non-responders were 65.7% and 37% and 49% and 24.6%, respectively. Post-SBRT, 4 (12%) patients underwent transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) 3 patients (8%) and 1 patient (4%) transarterial radioembolization (TARE). Post-CK, (<4 weeks) 2 patients (4%) had decompensation.

CONCLUSIONS

PVT response or recanalization after SBRT is a statistically significant prognostic factor for survival function in HCC-PVT.

Baseline Liver Function and Subsequent Outcomes in the Phase 3 REFLECT Study of Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Baseline liver function among patients starting treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC) impacts survival and could impact efficacy outcomes and safety profiles of treatments. This post hoc analysis of the phase 3 REFLECT study examined the efficacy and safety outcomes for lenvatinib and for sorafenib in patients with uHCC, assessed by Child-Pugh score (CPS) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade.

METHODS

Efficacy and safety were assessed in patient cohorts from REFLECT according to study entry baseline ALBI grade and CPS.

RESULTS

Lenvatinib treatment generally provided survival benefits in all groups. Median overall survival (OS) among patients with an ALBI grade of 1 was consistently higher than among patients with an ALBI grade of 2 for both the lenvatinib and sorafenib arms (lenvatinib: 17.4 vs. 8.6 months; sorafenib: 14.6 vs. 7.7 months, respectively). Median OS among patients with a CPS of 5 was consistently higher than among patients with a CPS of 6 (lenvatinib: 15.3 vs. 9.4 months; sorafenib: 14.2 vs. 7.9 months, respectively). Progression-free survival and objective response rates for these ALBI grades and CPS demonstrated similar patterns. Among patients who received lenvatinib and experienced a treatment-related treatment-emergent adverse event leading to withdrawal, 6.6% had an ALBI grade of 1, while 13.3% had an ALBI grade of 2, and 7.9% had a CPS of 5, while 12.1% had a CPS of 6.

CONCLUSIONS

Better liver function at baseline, as measured by ALBI grade or CPS, may be prognostic for better survival outcomes in patients with uHCC undergoing treatment with lenvatinib or sorafenib.

Targeted Next-Generation Sequencing Combined With Circulating-Free DNA Deciphers Spatial Heterogeneity of Resected Multifocal Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Background

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has a high risk of recurrence after surgical resection, particularly among patients with multifocal HCC. Genomic heterogeneity contributes to the early recurrence. Few studies focus on targeted next-generation sequencing (tNGS) to depict mutational footprints of heterogeneous multifocal HCC.

Methods

We conducted tNGS with an ultra-deep depth on 31 spatially distinct regions from 11 resected multifocal HCC samples. Matched preoperative peripheral circulating-free DNA (cfDNA) were simultaneously collected. Genomic alterations were identified and compared to depict the heterogeneity of multifocal HCC.

Results

Widespread intertumoral heterogeneity of driver mutations was observed in different subfoci of multifocal HCC. The identified somatic mutations were defined as truncal drivers or branchy drivers according to the phylogenetic reconstruction. TP53 and TERT were the most commonly altered truncal drivers in multifocal HCC, while the most frequently mutated branchy driver was TSC2. HCC patients with a higher level of intertumoral heterogeneity, defined by the ratio of truncal drivers less than 50%, had a shorter RFS after surgical resection (HR=0.17, p=0.028). Genome profiling of cfDNA could effectively capture tumor-derived driver mutations, suggesting cfDNA was a non-invasive strategy to gain insights of genomic alterations in patients with resected multifocal HCC.

Conclusions

Truncal mutations and the level of genomic heterogeneity could be identified by tNGS panel in patients with resected multifocal HCC. cfDNA could serve as a non-invasive and real-time auxiliary method to decipher the intertumoral heterogeneity and identify oncodrivers of multifocal HCC.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of miR-16, miR-146a, miR-192 and miR-221 in Exosomes of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Liver Cirrhosis Patients

Simple Summary

Exosomes, carrying small non-coding RNA (miRNA), are known to play a pivotal role in the process of tumor progression. In this prospective study, we identified miR-16, miR-146a, miR-192, and miR- 221 to be significantly deregulated in the plasma of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) compared to patients with liver cirrhosis and healthy individuals. MiR-146a revealed diagnostic potential to differentiate HCC patients from liver cirrhosis patients with a sensitivity of 81% and a specificity of 58% in logistic regression model. Furthermore, miR- 192 independently correlated with overall survival in patients with HCC.

Abstract

We aimed to identify a specific microRNA (miRNA) pattern to determine diagnostic and prognostic value in plasma exosomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. A two-stage study was carried out: exosomal miRNAs were quantified in plasma of HCC patients and healthy individuals by PCR-based microarray cards containing 45 different miRNAs (training cohort). Then, four deregulated miRNAs (miR-16, miR-146a, miR-192, and miR-221) were quantified in the validation analysis using exosomes derived from 85 HCC patients, 50 liver cirrhosis patients, and 20 healthy individuals. Exosomal miR-146a (p = 0.0001), miR-192 (p = 0.002) and miR-221 (p = 0.032) were upregulated only in HCC patients. Repeated 10-fold cross validation showed that miR-146a differentiated HCC from liver cirrhosis patients with AUC of 0.80 ± 0.14 (sensitivity: 81 ± 13%, specificity: 58 ± 22%) in a logistic regression model. High miR-192 presence is associated with poor overall survival (OS) in all HCC patients (p = 0.027) and was predictor of OS in HCC patients in an uni- and multivariate Cox regression model. Moreover, decreased miR-16 levels correlated with OS in liver cirrhosis patients (p = 0.034). Our results emphasized that exosomes secreted into the plasma carry differentially expressed miRNAs of which in particular, miR-192, miR-146, and miR-16 are promising diagnostic and prognostic markers for both HCC and liver cirrhosis patients.

An Inflammation-Index Signature Predicts Prognosis of Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma After Curative Resection

Background

The prognosis of patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after resection is at great variance. We aimed to establish a novel prognostic nomogram in facilitating the risk stratification for these patients.

Methods

A total of 82 high-dimensional radiological and pathological data were analyzed by LASSO-penalized Cox regression analyses and the panels with the best predictive performance were selected. Specific nomograms were established based on the selected panels and were validated in both primary (n=292) and validation cohorts (n=107). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the concordance index (C-index) were used to compare the predictive ability of nomograms and other staging systems.

Results

The modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) was identified as the prognostic factor for both overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). The nomograms built on the prognostic factors showed powerful efficacy in survival prediction, with C-indexes of 0.800 (95% CI 0.767-0.833) and 0.752 (95% CI 0.718-0.786) for OS and PFS in the primary cohort, 0.659 (95% CI 0.586-0.732) and 0.638 (95% CI 0.571-0.705) for OS and PFS in the validation cohort, respectively. Compared with tumor-node-metastasis stage, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging score, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score, and Okuda staging system, the nomograms had significantly higher values of AUC and C-indexes in survival prediction in the primary and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

Compared with currently used staging systems, the nomograms showed significantly higher efficacy in predicting survival of ICC patients after resection. The nomograms provide new versions of personalized management for these patients.

Prediction of Prognosis for cHCC-CC Patients After Surgery: Comparison of Tumor Marker Score Based on AFP, CEA, CA19-9, and Other Clinical Stages

BACKGROUND

The effectiveness of clinical stage as a prognostic factor in combined hepatocellular carcinoma and cholangiocarcinoma (cHCC-CC) patients is controversial.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Medical records of all pathologically confirmed cHCC-CC patients from 2000 to 2017 at West China Hospital were retrieved. Tumor marker score (TMS) was determined from optimal AFP, CEA, and CA19-9 cutoff values. Interaction and subgroup analysis were conducted according to potential confounders. Prognostic value of TMS and other prognostic models were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis, c-index, and time-dependent receiver operating curves (td-ROC).

RESULTS

Optimal cutoff values for preoperative AFP, CEA, and CA19-9 were 10.76 ng/mL, 5.24 ng/mL, and 31.54 U/mL, respectively. Among 128 patients, 24, 58, and 46 were classified into TMS 0, TMS 1, and TMS ≥ 2, respectively. TMS could stratify our series into groups of statistically different prognosis. Subgroup analysis according to potential confounders and test for interactions showed that TMS 1 and TMS ≥ 2 were stable risk factors relative to TMS 0. Univariate (HR: TMS1 = 2.30, p = 0.014; TMS ≥ 2 = 5.1, p < 0.001) and multivariate Cox regression analyses (HR: TMS1 = 1.72, p = 0.124; TMS ≥ 2 = 4.15, p < 0.001) identified TMS as an independent prognostic risk factor. TMS had good discrimination (c-index 0.666, 95% CI 0.619-0.714), and calibration plots revealed favorable consistency. Area under the curve (AUC) value of td-ROC for TMS and integrated AUC was higher than for other clinical stages at any month within 5 years postoperation.

CONCLUSION

TMS exhibited optimal prognostic value over other widely used clinical stages for cHCC-CC after surgery and may guide clinicians in prognostic prediction.

Selecting the first line treatment in non-metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma - comparing clinical practice guidelines

Primary malignancy of the liver or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unique in its presentation, disease process, and management. Unlike breast or colon cancer, the staging of HCC depends on performance status and baseline liver function along with pathological characteristics. Apart from traditional options like surgery and systemic therapy, effective management can be achieved in selected cases with liver transplant and locoregional therapy (LRT) like transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), transarterial radioembolization (TARE), and ablation. Liver study societies and cancer groups across the globe proposed guidelines to aid the treating physicians in choosing first-line treatment for liver cancer. It is tough to compare these guidelines as they differ not only in treatment recommendations but also in risk assessment (and staging). The approach to the same patient may be different in the country he or she is managed. In clinical practice, decisions are usually taken on the consensus of multidisciplinary tumor boards and do not necessarily adhere to any guidelines. In the early (and very early) stage HCC, curative options like surgery, transplant, and ablation are recommended. In intermediate stage HCC, LRT (TACE and TARE) is preferred in the first line and systemic therapy for treatment failure or residual disease. Systemic therapy, including the atezolizumab/bevacizumab combination and tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) like sorafenib and lenvatinib, is used for advanced stages. Supportive care is advised for terminal stage HCC.

The prognostic value of aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index in early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy: A propensity-score matched analysis

BACKGROUND

An elevated preoperative aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) may predict poor survival in various cancers. However, the prognostic value of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains to be determined.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted among 983 patients with HCC in our hospital from February 2007 to March 2016. A propensity-score matching (PSM) was performed to correct the selection bias and confounding factors. The risk of death and recurrence was plotted over aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) using the locally weighted scatterplot smoothing (LOWESS)-smoothed fit curve. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and Kaplan-Meier method analysis was utilized to the role of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) in HCC. Multivariate analysis was conducted to identify independent prognostic factors associated with overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

With the increase of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI), the risk of recurrence and death in HCC patients increases. In time-dependent ROC analysis, the AUC of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year OS were 0.668 (95% CI: 0.596-0.740), 0.605 (95% CI: 0.560-0.649) and 0.613 (95% CI: 0.570-0.656), respective. The AUC of aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) for predicting 1-, 3- and 5-year RFS were 0.598 (95% CI: 0.555-0.641), 0.590 (95% CI: 0.552-0.628) and 0.604 (95% CI: 0.562-0.646), respectively. HCC patients with high aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) had a poor overall survival. Moreover, cox regression analysis revealed that aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) was an independent factor affecting the prognosis of HCC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated preoperative aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) is a noninvasive, simple, and effective predictor in the prognosis of patients with HCC.

Prognostic nomograms and risk classifications of outcomes in very early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma patients after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Numerous clinical models have been proposed to evaluate and predict recurrence and survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients in different stages after resection, but no model for very early-stage HCC.

METHODS

The data of 661 very early-stage HCC patients after curative resection in our hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze recurrence and survival. The risk classifications for recurrence and survival were established by using classification and regression tree analysis. The nomograms were constructed and validated using bootstrap resampling and an independent 186-patient validation cohort from the same institution.

RESULTS

According to the results of multivariate analysis for prognosis after resection, decision trees and 3-stratification classifications that satisfactorily determined the risk of recurrence and survival were established. Based on these two risk classifications, a six-factor nomogram for predicting recurrence and a six-factor nomogram for predicting survival were created. The concordance indexes were 0.64 for recurrence nomogram, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.60-0.67, and 0.76 for survival nomogram, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.70-0.82. The calibration curves showed good agreement between the predictions made by the nomograms and the actual survival outcomes. These predicting results for recurrence and survival were better than three common classical HCC stages and were confirmed in the independent validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The 3-stratification classifications enabled satisfactory risk evaluations of recurrence and survival, and the nomograms showed considerably accurate predictions of the risk of recurrence and survival in very early-stage HCC patients after curative resection.

ULBP1 Is Elevated in Human Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Predicts Outcome

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer death worldwide, and despite recent immunotherapeutic advances there remains a need for improved diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic tools. UL-16 binding protein 1 (ULBP1) is a ligand of the activatory receptor Natural Killer cell Group 2 receptor D (NKG2D) and is found as a cell-surface protein on some malignant cells including on human hepatocellular carcinomas. We aimed to explore the biological and clinical significance of NKG2D ligands in the circulation of patients with HCC. We measured ULBP1 in the serum of two retrospective cohorts of patients with HCC from the PROLIFICA cohort in The Gambia (n = 43) and from a tertiary care setting in the UK (n = 72) by sandwich ELISA. Exosome isolation by size exclusion was used to compare ULBP1 concentration in exosomes and as free protein. Survival analysis was performed and multiple linear regression and Poisson regression were used to assess the independent effect of ULBP1 concentration. ULBP1 was raised in both cohorts with HCC regardless of the underlying liver disease, and was not associated with markers of cirrhosis such as platelet count or serum albumin. ULBP1 was present predominantly as free protein rather than bound to exosomes. Serum ULBP1 > 2000 pg/ml was associated with a significantly reduced survival in both cohorts (hazard ratios in Gambian and UK cohorts 2.37 and 2.1, respectively). The effect remained significant after adjustment for BCLC staging (p = 0.03). These data suggest that ULBP1 merits further investigation as a prognostic marker in HCC in diverse settings and should also be explored as a therapeutic target.

Total tumor volume as a prognostic value for survival following liver resection in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Total tumor volume (TTV) can provide a simplified parameter in describing the tumor burden by incorporating the size and number of tumor nodules into one continuous variable. The aim of the study was to evaluate the prognostic value of TTV in resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Patients who underwent liver resection for HCC between 2012 and 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into a group with TTV ≤65.5 cm³ (which nearly equal to a single tumor with a diameter of 5 cm), and another group with TTV > 65.5 cm³.

RESULTS

Two hundred and four patients were included in this study (108 patients had TTV ≤ 65.5cm3, and 96 patients had TTV > 65.5 cm³). Ninety patients (44.1%) were within Milan and 114 patients (55.9%) were beyond Milan criteria. Eighteen patients (15.8%) of beyond Milan criteria had TTV ≤ 65.5 cm³, with a median survival of 32 months which is comparable to a median survival of patients with TTV< 65.5 cm³ (38 months, P = 0.38). TTV-based Cancer of Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score gained the highest value of likelihood ratio 114.7 and the highest Concordance-index 0.73 among other prognostic scoring and staging systems. In multivariate analysis, independent risk factors for diminished survival were serum AFP level >400 ng/ml, TTV >65.5 cm³, microvascular invasion, postoperative decompensation (all P values < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

TTV is a feasible prognostic measure to describe the tumor burden in patients with HCC. TTV-CLIP score may provide good prognostic value for resection of HCC than other staging systems.

Identifying Clonal Origin of Multifocal Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Its Clinical Implications

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is characterized by high prevalence of multifocality. Multifocal HCC can arise synchronously or metachronously either from intrahepatic metastasis (IM) or multicentric occurrence (MO). To date, there have been no established criteria to accurately distinguish whether multifocal HCC originates from IM or MO. Histopathological features remain the most convenient strategy but with subjectivity and limited accuracy. Various molecular biological techniques involving assessment of TP53 mutation status, hepatitis B virus integration sites, and chromosomal alterations have been applied to determine the clonal origin. The introduction of next-generation sequencing facilitates a more comprehensive annotation of intertumor heterogeneity, resulting in more sensitive and accurate clonal discrimination. Generally, MO-HCC has better overall survival than IM-HCC after curative resection. Adjuvant antiviral treatment has been proved to decrease post-treatment recurrence probably by reducing MO-HCC recurrence, whereas adjuvant sorafenib treatment targeting prior micrometastasis failed to reduce IM-HCC recurrence. Recent studies recommended transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and traditional Chinese medicine Huaier granule as effective adjuvant treatments probably by preventing IM and both types of recurrences respectively. Immunotherapy that inhibits immune checkpoint interaction may be an optimal choice for both MO- and IM-HCC. In the future, effective personalized therapy against multifocal HCC may be achieved.

Effectiveness of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma unsuitable for transarterial chemoembolization

Background:

Stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) can deliver tumoricidal doses and achieve long-term control in early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, limited studies have investigated the safety and effectiveness of SABR in patients with advanced diseases that is unsuitable for transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

Methods:

In this observational study, we reviewed the medical records of patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C disease treated with linear accelerator-based SABR between 2008 and 2016. Their tumors were either refractory to TACE or TACE was contraindicated. Overall survival (OS), in-field progression-free survival (IFPFS), and out-field progression-free survival were calculated using Kaplan–Meier analysis. The Cox regression model was used to examine the effects of variables. Treatment-related toxicities were scored according to the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (version 4.03) and whether patients developed radiation-induced liver disease (RILD) after SABR.

Results:

This study included 32 patients. The mean maximal tumor diameter and tumor volumes were 4.7 cm and 135.9 ml, respectively. Patients received linear accelerator-based SABR with a median prescribed dose of 48 Gy (30–60 Gy) in three to six fractions. Based on the assessment of treatment response by using the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1), 19% of patients achieved a complete response and 53% achieved a partial response. After a median follow-up of 18.1 months (4.0–65.9 months), 10, 19, and 9 patients experienced in-field failure, out-field hepatic recurrence, and extrahepatic metastases, respectively. The estimated 2-year OS and IFPFS rates were 54.4% and 62.7%, respectively. In a multivariate analysis, a pretreatment Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score of ⩾2 (p = 0.01) was a prognostic factor for shorter OS, and a biologically effective dose (BED) of < 85 Gy₁₀ (p = 0.011) and a Child–Pugh score of ⩾6 (p = 0.014) were prognostic factors for inferior IFPFS. In this study five and eight patients developed classic and nonclassic RILD, respectively.

Conclusions:

SABR can serve as a salvage treatment for patients with HCC with BCLC stage C disease unsuitable for TACE, in particular, in those with a baseline CLIP score of ⩽1. A BED₁₀ of ⩾85 Gy is an appropriate prescribed dose for tumor control. Because out-field relapse is the major cause of treatment failure, SABR in combination with novel systemic modalities should be investigated in future studies.

Genetic Biomarkers For Hepatocellular Carcinoma In The Era Of Precision Medicine

Being one of the most lethal cancers that exhibit high levels of heterogeneity, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is associated with diverse oncogenic pathways underpinned by varied driver genes. HCC can be induced by different etiological factors including virus infection, toxin exposure or metabolic disorders. Consequently, patients may display varied genetic profiles, and may respond differently to the treatments involving inhibition of target pathways. These DNA/RNA mutations, copy number variations, chromatin structural changes, aberrant expression of non-coding RNAs and epigenetic modifications were considered as biomarkers in the application of precision medication. To explore how genetic testing could contribute to early diagnosis, prognosis, treatment and postoperative monitoring of HCC, we conducted a systematic review of genetic markers associated with different pathologies. Moreover, we summarized on-going clinical trials for HCC treatment, including the trials for multiple kinase inhibitors and immune checkpoint blockade (ICB). The efficacy of ICB treatment in HCC is not as good as what was observed in lung cancer and melanoma, which might be due to the heterogeneity of the microenvironment of the liver.

Pravastatin combination with sorafenib does not improve survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Sorafenib is the standard of care for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Combining sorafenib with another treatment, to improve overall survival (OS) within an acceptable safety profile, might be the next step forward in the management of patients with advanced HCC. We aimed to assess whether a combination of sorafenib and a statin improved survival in patients with HCC.

METHODS

The objective of the PRODIGE-11 trial was to compare the respective clinical outcomes of the sorafenib-pravastatin combination (arm A) versus sorafenib alone (arm B) in patients with advanced HCC. Child-Pugh A patients with advanced HCC who were naive to systemic treatment (n = 323) were randomly assigned to sorafenib-pravastatin combination (n = 162) or sorafenib alone (n = 161). The primary endpoint was OS; secondary endpoints were progression-free survival, time to tumor progression, time to treatment failure, safety, and quality of life.

RESULTS

After randomization, 312 patients received at least 1 dose of study treatment. After a median follow-up of 35 months, 269 patients died (arm A: 135; arm B: 134) with no difference in median OS between treatments arms (10.7 months vs. 10.5 months; hazard ratio = 1.00; p = 0.975); no difference was observed in secondary survival endpoints either. In the univariate analysis, the significant prognostic factors for OS were CLIP score, performance status, and quality of life scores. The multivariate analysis showed that the only prognostic factor for OS was the CLIP score. The main toxicity was diarrhea (which was severe in 11% of patients in arm A, and 8.9% in arm B), while severe nausea-vomiting was rare, and no toxicity-related deaths were reported.

CONCLUSION

Adding pravastatin to sorafenib did not improve survival in patients with advanced HCC.

LAY SUMMARY

Sorafenib has proven efficacy for the treatment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma. However, overall survival remains poor in these patients, so we were interested to see if the addition of a statin, pravastatin, improved outcomes in patients with advanced HCC. This randomized-controlled trial demonstrated that the sorafenib-pravastatin combination did not improve overall survival in this study population compared to sorafenib alone. Clinical trial number: NCT01075555.

Radiomics in hepatocellular carcinoma: a quantitative review

Radiomics is an emerging field which extracts quantitative radiology data from medical images and explores their correlation with clinical outcomes in a non-invasive manner. This review aims to assess whether radiomics is a useful and reproducible method for clinical management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by reviewing the strengths and weaknesses of current radiomics literature pertaining specifically to HCC. From an initial set of 48 articles recovered through database searches, 23 articles were retained to be included in this review after full screening. Among these 23 studies, 7 used a radiomics approach in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Only two studies applied radiomics to positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT). In the remaining 14 articles, a radiomics analysis was performed on computed tomography (CT). Eight studies dealt with the relationship between biological signatures and imaging findings, and can be classified as radiogenomic studies. For each study included in our review, we computed a Radiomics Quality Score (RQS) as proposed by Lambin et al. We found that the RQS (mean ± standard deviation) was 8.35 ± 5.38 (out of a possible maximum value of 36). Although these scores are fairly low, and radiomics has not yet reached clinical utility in HCC, it is important to underscore the fact that these early studies pave the way for the radiomics field with a focus on HCC. Radiomics is still a very young field, and is far from being mature, but it remains a very promising technology for the future for developing adequate personalized treatment as a non-invasive approach, for complementing or replacing tumor biopsies, as well as for developing novel prognostic biomarkers in HCC patients.

Utility of scoring systems combining the product of tumor number and size with liver function for predicting the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

Our previous study reported the effectiveness of the product of tumor number and size (NxS factor) as a predictor of the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatectomy. The aim of the present study was to validate the prognostic value of scoring systems based on the NxS factor for HCC. The records of 940 patients who underwent hepatectomy for HCC at Osaka University Graduate School of Medicine and Osaka International Cancer Institute were analyzed. The discriminatory abilities of the mathematical integrated model for tumor staging (MITS) score, which combines the NxS factor with liver function, and known prognostic systems, including the Japan Integrated Staging system, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program and the Tokyo system, were compared. Firstly, the present study demonstrated that a higher NxS factor was associated with decreased disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with HCC (P<0.05). Subsequently, univariate analysis of DFS and OS curves revealed significant differences among all NxS factor and liver damage combinations (MITS-LD score; score 0 vs. score 1; score 1 vs. score 2; score 2 vs. score 3; all P<0.05) and all NxS factor and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score combinations (MITS-ALBI score; score 0 vs. score 1; score 1 vs. score 2; score 2 vs. score 3; all P<0.05). Furthermore, multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis demonstrated that there were significant differences in DFS [Hazard Ratio (HR); score 0 vs. score 1 (1.48); score 1 vs. score 2 (1.27); score 2 vs. score 3 (1.64); all P<0.05] and OS [HR; score 0 vs. score 1 (1.34); score 1 vs. score 2 (1.29); score 2 vs. score 3 (1.64); all P<0.05] among patients with different MITS-LD scores, and there were significant differences in DFS [HR; score 0 vs. score 1 (1.38); score 1 vs. score 2 (1.43); score 2 vs. score 3 (1.60); all P<0.05] among patients with different MITS-ALBI scores. The NxS factor may be a comprehensive measure of tumor burden for predicting the prognosis of patients with HCC following liver resection, and MITS scores could be an improved scoring system for predicting the prognosis of patients with HCC after hepatectomy.

Efficacy of bevacizumab combined with erlotinib for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a single-arm meta-analysis based on prospective studies

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of bevacizumab combined with erlotinib (B + E) for the treatment of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma, especially for sorafenib-refractory patients, has been observed and evaluated in several trials. We conducted this single arm meta-analysis to generally assess the benefit and risk with B + E for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

The PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, ScienceDirect, Web of Science and Scopus databases were searched for related studies. The main outcomes were objective response rate (ORR), disease control rate (DCR), overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS) and adverse effects (AEs).

RESULTS

Eight phase II clinical trials including 342 hepatocellular carcinoma patients were analyzed. The pooled ORR was 12.6% (95% CI: 6.3-19.0%), and the pooled DCR was 54.5% (95% CI: 48.9-66.8%). The 16-week PFS rate was 50.2% (95% CI: 38.2-62.2%). The 6- and 12-month OS rates were 77.8% (95% CI: 71.3-84.2%) and 44.9% (95% CI: 36.8-53.0%). The main grade 3-4 AEs were fatigue (11.9%), diarrhea (9.0%), hypertension (6.7%), acne (5.8%) and hemorrhage (5.3%). The only RCT showed that the B + E regimen had a consistent response and equable median OS but fewer toxicities (grade 3-4 AEs: 19% vs. 27%) than sorafenib. Subgroup analysis showed that as a second-line treatment, the B + E regimen had substantial value with a favorable PFS-16w (P = 0.012), OS-12 m (P = 0.048) and a favorable tendency of ORR (P = 0.089), but obvious toxicities in the second-line setting could not be neglected.

CONCLUSION

Bevacizumab combined with erlotinib is effective for treating hepatocellular carcinoma patients, especially sorafenib-refractory patients. More well-designed and large-scale RCTs are warranted to prove our findings.

SBRT for Hepatocellular Carcinoma: 8-Year Experience from a Regional Transplant Center

PURPOSE

The study aimed to evaluate stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients not eligible for liver transplant (LT).

METHODS

We retrospectively identified transplant-ineligible HCC patients treated with SBRT to the liver between 2004 and 2013. Our primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). We also report treatment toxicities using CTCAE 3.0, radiographic response, and patterns of failure.

RESULTS

We identified 93 patients with median age at SBRT of 65.8 years. Forty-six percent were classified as Child-Pugh B or C and 85% had an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 1-2. After SBRT, 86% of patients experienced no or mild treatment-related adverse events. Only 8% of patients experienced grade 3 and 2% of patients experienced grade 4 adverse events. Overall radiographic response was complete in 1.2%, partial in 35.4%, stable in 43.9%, and progressive disease in 19.5%. Median OS was 8.8 months with 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates of 38.0, 29.8 and 21.2%, respectively. The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score was found to strongly correlate with survival. Median OS for patients with CLIP scores of 0, 1, 2, and 3 was 21.1, 8.5, 5.1, and 7.1 months, respectively (p = 0.003).

CONCLUSION

Our series demonstrates that SBRT is generally safe for HCC patients, even those with advanced liver failure. Although survival is generally poor, we were able to identify a group of patients with good liver function and early tumor stage who can achieve median OS of close to 2 years with SBRT.

Staging systems of hepatocellular carcinoma: A review

Staging of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is necessary for guiding prognostication, management, and research purposes that further aid in the improvement of existing clinical and epidemiological health services. Though there are some new staging systems for HCC developed in different parts of the world, there is no globally accepted staging system that allows for comparison of current management protocols among heterogeneous populations. In this review, we discuss the evolution and applicability in clinical practice of different clinical staging systems of HCC-Okuda, CLIP (Cancer of the Liver Italian Program) score, MESIAH (Model to Estimate Survival In Ambulatory HCC patients) score, ITA.LI.CA (Italian Liver Cancer) score, BCLC (Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer) staging, HKLC (Hong Kong Liver Cancer) staging, and the Alberta algorithm. This review aims to highlight the main criteria for assessing the prognosis of HCC that these different staging systems take into account, their strengths and limitations for use in modern clinical practice. Despite the limitations of the BCLC staging system, it remains the most validated and reliable system for prognostication. However, there is a need to update the BCLC staging system to include recent data on locoregional and systemic therapies for HCC, expanded criteria for transplantation, and systemic therapy for hepatitis C infection.

IL-28B rs12979860 polymorphism affect the course of chronic hepatitis and the development of HCC in Egyptian patients with hepatitis C type 4

BACKGROUND

A single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in the interleukin 28B (IL28B) gene may alter the trajectory of hepatitis C virus (HCV) chronic infection. Several studies have sought to determine a link between IL28B rs12979860 SNP and the development of HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but with variable results, and consensus is awaited. We hypothesised that IL28B rs12979860 SNP is linked to HCC in patients with HCV type 4.

METHODS

IL28B genotyping of 300 patients with HCV-related fibrosis (n = 100), cirrhosis (n = 100) and HCC (n = 100) was carried out and the results were analysed to determine the association between the IL28B genotype and clinical outcome.

RESULTS

In IL28B TT genotype carriers, the proportions of moderate/severe fibrosis, advanced cirrhosis (Child B-C) and HCC (50%, 84% and 60.2%, respectively) were higher (p < 0.05) than in CC/CT (4.3%, 46% and 23%, respectively). IL-28B SNP was linked significantly (p < 0.05) with cirrhosis progression and HCC advanced stages. Moreover, HCC advanced Child, Okuda and CLIP stages were associated with T allele carriage (73.9%, 82.6% and 78.3% vs. 44.2%, 50.6% and 46.8% in CC/CT). The percentage of large tumour size (> 3cm) increased (p = 0.028) in TT genotype carriers (81.8% vs.52.6% in CC/CT).

CONCLUSION

IL-28B rs12979860 TT genotype is more prevalent in patients with advanced fibrosis, cirrhosis and HCC stages. Thus, it seems to be associated with poor outcomes in chronic HCV patients and to augment the risk of developing HCC.

Intention-to-treat analysis of liver transplantation, resection and thermal ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma in a single centre

BACKGROUND

potentially curative treatment options for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) include liver transplantation (LT), liver resection (LR) and thermal ablation (TA). Long term intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis from a single-centre using all three modalities contemporaneously has not been published.

METHODS

An ITT analysis was undertaken of all patients with HCC listed for LT, or have undergone LR or TA.

RESULTS

444 patients were identified; 145 were listed for LT (121 underwent LT), 190 underwent LR and 109 underwent TA. One and 3-year overall survival (OS) was similar among LT, LR and TA (88/77%, 88/64% and 95/72%) whereas 5-year OS was higher following LT than LR or TA (73% vs. 54% vs. 49%). Disease-free survival at 1- and 5-years was higher for LT (97% and 84%) than LR (66% and 35%) or TA (73%, and 19%).

CONCLUSION

LT offered the lowest rate of cancer recurrence and highest chance of long-term survival. Differences in outcome likely reflect a combination of cancer-related factors (AFP, micro- and macrovascular invasion), patient-related factors (performance status, co-morbidities and psychosocial issues) and treatment type. Two thirds of patients treated by LR and three quarters treated by TA had HCC recurrence by 5 years, reinforcing the need for close long-term surveillance.

Is there an optimal staging system or liver reserve model that can predict outcome in hepatocellular carcinoma?

Background

Many staging systems and liver reserve models have been proposed to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis. However, there is no consensus as to which model provides the best prognostic value. We aimed to investigate the prognostic role of 8 noninvasive models including the albumin-bilirubin index (ALBI), AST to platelet ratio index (APRI), Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) system, Child-Pugh (CP) class, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and platelet-albumin-bilirubin index (PALBI) in patients with HCC.

Methods

This is a retrospective study of 900 HCC patients. Patients who underwent transplantation were excluded. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the survival probabilities. Multivariate cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate the survival trend. P<0.05 was considered significant. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to test the discriminatory power over 1- and 3-year mortality and recurrence.

Results

For predicting 1- and 3-year mortality, the CLIP score provided the highest AUC value, followed by the BCLC stage and the PALBI grade. For predicting 3-year recurrence, the CLIP score demonstrated the highest discriminative power followed by the PALBI grade, ALBI grade and BCLC system. However, all included models were found to be poor predictors for recurrence.

Conclusions

The CLIP score is more accurate prognostic model to predict mortality and recurrence than the BCLC stage. Regarding the liver reserve models, the PALBI is the most accurate prognostic models among 6 models to predict mortality and recurrence.

Prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib: a comparison of five models in a large Canadian database

Several systems (tumor-node-metastasis [TNM], Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer [BCLC], Okuda, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program [CLIP], and albumin-bilirubin grade [ALBI]) were developed to estimate the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mostly prior to the prevalent use of sorafenib. We aimed to compare the prognostic and discriminatory power of these models in predicting survival for HCC patients treated with sorafenib and to identify independent prognostic factors for survival in this population. Patients who received sorafenib for the treatment of HCC between 1 January 2008 and 30 June 2015 in the provinces of British Columbia and Alberta, and two large cancer centers in Toronto, Ontario, were included. Survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify predictors of survival. The models were compared with respect to homogeneity, discriminatory ability, monotonicity of gradients, time-dependent area under the curve, and Akaike information criterion. A total of 681 patients were included. 80% were males, 86% had Child-Pugh class A, and 37% of patients were East Asians. The most common etiology for liver disease was hepatitis B (34%) and C (31%). In all model comparisons, CLIP performed better while BCLC and TNM7 performed less favorably but the differences were small. The utility of each system in allocating patients into different prognostic groups varied, for example, TNM poorly differentiated patients in advanced stages (8.7 months (m) (95% CI 6.5-11.5) versus 8.4 m (95% CI 7.0-9.6) for stages III and IV, respectively) while ALBI had excellent discrimination of early grades (15.6 m [95% CI 13.0-18.4] versus 8.3 m [95% CI 7.0-9.2] for grades 1 and 2, respectively). On multivariate analysis, hepatitis C, alcoholism, and prior hepatic resection were independently prognostic of better survival (P < 0.01). In conclusion, none of the prognostic systems was optimal in predicting survival in sorafenib-treated patients with HCC. Etiology of liver disease should be considered in future models and clinical trial designs.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Diagnosis, Treatment Algorithms, and Imaging Appearance after Transarterial Chemoembolization

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common cause of cancer-related death, with incidence increasing worldwide. Unfortunately, the overall prognosis for patients with HCC is poor and many patients present with advanced stages of disease that preclude curative therapies. Diagnostic and interventional radiologists play a key role in the management of patients with HCC. Diagnostic radiologists can use contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging, and ultrasound to diagnose and stage HCC, without the need for pathologic confirmation, by following established criteria. Once staged, the interventional radiologist can treat the appropriate patients with percutaneous ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, or radioembolization. Follow-up imaging after these liver-directed therapies for HCC can be characterized according to various radiologic response criteria; although, enhancement-based criteria, such as European Association for the Study of the Liver and modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, are more reflective of treatment effect in HCC. Newer imaging technologies like volumetric analysis, dual-energy CT, cone beam CT and perfusion CT may provide additional benefits for patients with HCC.