Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with cirrhosis in Japan. Analysis of infectious hepatitis viruses

Clinical characteristics of NonBNonC- HCC: Comparison with HBV and HCV related HCC

OBJECTIVE

To clarify the frequency and trends of both HBsAg and HCVAb negative hepatocellular carcinoma (NonBNonC-HCC) in all HCC, to clarify the etiology of NonBNonC-HCC, and to elucidate the clinical characteristics of NonBNonC-HCC compared with those of HBsAg-positive HCC (B-HCC) and HCVAb-positive HCC (C-HCC).

METHODS

A total of 2,542 patients with HCC examined at three institutions between 1991 and 2004 were categorized based on their serum viral antigen/antibody positivities, and compared between groups for the etiology, annual trend of the incidence, and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

For the etiology, C-HCC was most prevalent, followed by B-HCC, NonBNonC-HCC, and both HBsAg and HCVAb-positive HCC (BC-HCC) in order. For survival, C-HCC had the most favorable prognosis, followed by NonBNonC-HCC, and B-HCC patients had the poorest prognosis in the three groups (C-HCC, B-HCC, and NonBNonC-HCC). In tumor-node metastasis (TNM) stages I+II, however, NonBNonC-HCC patients took the most favorable clinical course. The incidence of NonBNonC-HCC in all HCC was 5-8% from 1991 to 1998, and has increased to 10-12% since 1999. Additionally, the incidence of HBcAb-positive HCC in NonBNonC-HCC declined each year. Among NonBNonC-HCC patients, the morbidity of diabetic complications was significantly higher in HBcAb-negative patients than in HBcAb-positive patients.

CONCLUSION

Although the incidence of NonBNonC-HCC among all HCC has an increasing trend recently, the incidence of HBcAb-positive HCC in NonBNonC-HCC has a tendency of decreasing. This fact suggest its etiology might be changing from occult HBV related HCC to unknown etiology such as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) related HCC. The prognosis of NonBNonC-HCC was fairly good if the HCC was found in its early stage.

Efficacy of ultrasonography and alpha-fetoprotein on early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM: To evaluate the effectiveness of ultrasonographic screening for early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS: The data of 14 968 patients who had ultrasonography (US) for chronic liver diseases were collected into a database program from June 1995 to June 2005. The risk factors for HCC were also studied. A total of 6089 patients who had repeated US were enrolled, 264 patients were diagnosed with HCC during follow-up (mean, 39 mo).

RESULTS: The detection rate of small HCC (≤ 3 cm in diameter) was 67.7%. The tumor size detected by screening at the intervals of 6 mo was significantly smaller than that at longer intervals. Only 29.3% of HCC patients had an elevated serum alpha fetoprotein (AFP) level above 400 ng/mL. The risk of HCC development during follow-up was higher in patients with liver cirrhosis (10.9%) and hepatitis C (9.0%) than in patients with chronic hepatitis (4.2%), hepatitis B (4.9%) and non-B, non-C hepatitis (NBNC, 3.9%).

CONCLUSION: US screening at a interval of 6 mo is beneficial to high-risk patients over 40 years old and the early detection of HCC prolongs survival.

Density histogram analysis of unenhanced hepatic computed tomography in patients with diffuse liver diseases

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to assess the potential of density histogram analysis of unenhanced hepatic computed tomography (CT) in the diagnosis and differentiation of diffuse liver diseases.

METHODS

Twenty-six patients with normal liver parenchyma, 35 patients with diffuse steatosis, 14 patients with acute steatohepatitis, 15 patients with active alcoholic cirrhosis, 23 patients with inactive alcoholic cirrhosis, 15 patients with virus-induced cirrhosis, and 8 patients with hemochromatosis underwent unenhanced hepatic CT. All diffuse liver diseases and the absence of diffuse liver disease were histologically proven. Quantitative analysis of unenhanced liver parenchyma was performed in each patient.

RESULTS

The hepatic density histogram showed no significant differences in kurtosis and skewness between the groups (P > 0.05). Except for steatosis, active alcoholic cirrhosis, and hemochromatosis, diffuse liver diseases led to similar densities of liver parenchyma in unenhanced hepatic CT.

CONCLUSION

A reliable diagnosis and differentiation of diffuse liver diseases on the basis of density histogram analysis is not possible.

Natural history of chronic hepatitis B virus infection: what we knew in 1981 and what we know in 2005

Remarkable progress has been made in our understanding of the natural history of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in the past 25 years. Availability of sensitive HBV DNA assays and application of sophisticated immunological techniques led to the recognition that HBV replication persists throughout the course of chronic HBV infection, and host immune response plays a pivotal role in HBV-related liver disease. Knowledge of the HBV genome organization and replication cycle led to the unraveling of HBV genotypes and molecular variants, which contribute to the heterogeneity in outcome of chronic HBV infection. The natural course of chronic HBV infection is now perceived as consisting of 4 phases: immune tolerance, immune clearance [hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis], inactive carrier state, and reactivation (HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B). Understanding the dynamic nature of chronic HBV infection is crucial in the management of HBV carriers and underscores the need for long-term monitoring. Accumulating evidence indicates that antiviral therapy can prevent progression of HBV-related liver disease, particularly among patients with sustained response. Newer antiviral therapies with improved efficacy and decreased risk of resistance may lead to a complete revision of the chapter on the natural history of chronic HBV infection on the occasion of the golden jubilee of Hepatology.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in extremely elderly patients: An analysis of clinical characteristics, prognosis and patient survival

AIM: To identify the clinical and prognostic features of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) aged 80 years or more.

METHODS: A total of 1310 patients with HCC were included in this study. Ninety-one patients aged 80 years or more at the time of diagnosis of HCC were defined as the extremely elderly group. Two hundred and thirty-four patients aged ≥ 50 years but less than 60 years were regarded as the non-elderly group.

RESULTS: The sex ratio (male to female) was significantly lower in the extremely elderly group (0.90:1) than in the non-elderly group (3.9:1, P < 0.001). The positive rate for HBsAg was significantly lower in the extremely elderly group and the proportion of patients negative for HBsAg and HCVAb obviously increased in the extremely elderly group (P < 0.001). There were no significant differences in the following parameters: diameter and number of tumors, Child-Pugh grading, tumor staging, presence of portal thrombosis or ascites, and positive rate for HCVAb. Extremely elderly patients did not often receive surgical treatment (P < 0.001) and they were more likely to receive conservative treatment (P < 0.01). There were no significant differences in survival curves based on the Kaplan-Meier methods in comparison with the overall patients between the two groups. However, the survival curves were significantly worse in the extremely elderly patients with stage I/II, stage I/II and Child-Pugh grade A cirrhosis in comparison with the non-elderly group. The causes of death did not differ among the patients, and most cases died of liver-related diseases even in the extremely elderly patients.

CONCLUSION: In the patients with good liver functions and good performance status, aggressive treatment for HCC might improve the survival rate, even in extremely elderly patients.

Natural history of compensated cirrhosis in the Child-Pugh class a compared between 490 patients with hepatitis C and 167 with B virus infections

Natural histories of compensated cirrhosis in the Child-Pugh class A were compared between the 490 patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and 167 patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV) who were followed for more than 1 year up to 20 years without antiviral treatment. Patients with HCV were older (median age: 59 vs. 45 years), less predominantly male (59.0% vs. 76.0%), transfused more frequently (49.2% vs. 9.0%), and had higher aminotransferase as well as lower albumin levels and fewer platelets (P < 0.001 for all). Death was commoner (55.1% vs. 35.9%, P < 0.001) and hepatocellular carcinoma developed more often (53.9% vs. 28.7%, P < 0.001) in patients with HCV than HBV. In multivariate analysis, low albumin levels (hazard ratio: 1.65), alpha-fetoprotein (1.55), alcohol consumption (1.49), age >55 years (1.47), and retention of indocyanine green (1.39) were independent risk factors for the survival in patients with HCV, while male gender (4.43), age >45 years (2.24), retention of indocyanine green (2.14), hepatitis B e antigen (2.11), and low platelet counts (1.91) were in those with HBV. Chances for survival was significantly different (P < 0.001) among patients with HCV having low (number of factors: 0-1), medium (2-3), and high risks (4-5), as well as in those with HBV having low (0-1), medium (2-4), and high risks (5-6). In conclusion, survival and development of hepatocellular carcinoma, and factors for survival, are considerably different between patients with compensated cirrhosis infected with HCV and HBV, which would need to be taken into consideration in their management and planning treatment strategies.

Clinical presentation and natural course of hepatocellular carcinoma

The natural history of hepatocellular carcinoma has evolved considerably over past decades. Patient presentation is highly dependent on the severity of underlying hepatic function, although many patients are now diagnosed by screening programmes prior to the development of symptoms. Growth and maturation of hepatocellular carcinoma is variable and involves a complex network of hepatic vasculature. Staging systems have been developed to predict disease progression and survival and continue to undergo investigation.

Diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is responsible for a large proportion of cancer deaths worldwide. HCC is frequently diagnosed after the development of clinical deterioration at which time survival is measured in months. Long-term survival requires detection of small tumors, often present in asymptomatic individuals, which may be more amenable to invasive therapeutic options. Surveillance of high-risk individuals for HCC is commonly performed using the serum marker alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) often in combination with ultrasonography. Various other serologic markers are currently being tested to help improve surveillance accuracy. Diagnosis of HCC often requires more sophisticated imaging modalities such as CT scan and MRI, which have multiphasic contrast enhancement capabilities. Serum AFP used alone can be helpful if levels are markedly elevated, which occurs in fewer than half of cases at time of diagnosis. Confirmation by liver biopsy can be performed under circumstances when the diagnosis of HCC remains unclear.

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in Hepatitis C patients with sustained virologic response to interferon therapy

BACKGROUND

Although a variety of papers demonstrated inhibited hepatocarcinogenesis with interferon (IFN) therapy for chronic hepatitis C, a small number of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) were still observed even in sustained virologic responders.

AIMS

To clarify factors affecting the development of HCC, we analyzed the frequency of HCC in sustained virologic responders over a long-term observation period.

METHODS

Seven hundred and ninety-two out of the 2623 IFN-treated hepatitis C patients who had undergone liver biopsy showed sustained virologic response. Screening for development of HCC was performed periodically during an average follow-up of 5.1 years. Fibrosis of the pretreatment liver biopsy sample was graded. Risk factors for HCC were analyzed by using Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Of 792 patients, 23 developed HCC. Univariate analysis showed that stage of hepatic fibrosis, age, and alcohol consumption were significantly associated with a risk of HCC (P<0.001). There was a significant difference in the cumulative incidence between patients stratified according to these variables (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Pretreatment hepatic fibrosis score, age, and alcohol consumption may affect development of HCC even in sustained virologic responders. Thus, patients with these factors should be carefully followed even after eradication of the virus.

Hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis: incidence and risk factors

Emerging data indicate that the mortality rate of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) associated with cirrhosis is rising in some developed countries, whereas mortality from non-HCC complications of cirrhosis is decreasing or is stable. Cohort studies indicate that HCC is currently the major cause of liver-related death in patients with compensated cirrhosis. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is associated with the highest HCC incidence in persons with cirrhosis, occurring twice as commonly in Japan than in the West (5-year cumulative incidence, 30% and 17%, respectively), followed by hereditary hemochromatosis (5-year cumulative incidence, 21%). In hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related cirrhosis, the 5-year cumulative HCC risk is 15% in high endemic areas and 10% in the West. In the absence of HCV and HBV infection, the HCC incidence is lower in alcoholic cirrhotics (5-year cumulative risk, 8%) and subjects with advanced biliary cirrhosis (5-year cumulative risk, 4%). There are limited data on HCC risk in cirrhosis of other causes. Older age, male sex, severity of compensated cirrhosis at presentation, and sustained activity of liver disease are important predictors of HCC, independent of etiology of cirrhosis. In viral-related cirrhosis, HBV/HCV and HBV/HDV coinfections increase the HCC risk (2- to 6-fold relative to each infection alone) as does alcohol abuse (2- to 4-fold relative to alcohol abstinence). Sustained reduction of HBV replication lowers the risk of HCC in HBV-related cirrhosis. Further studies are needed to investigate other viral factors (eg, HBV genotype/mutant, occult HBV, HIV coinfection) and preventable or treatable comorbidities (eg, obesity, diabetes) in the HCC risk in cirrhosis.

Optimal treatment strategy for elderly patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The age distribution of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) now peaks at nearly 70 years in Japan and this is continually increasing. Whether such elderly patients with HCC aged 80 years or older should be treated, and if so, how they should be selected for treatment remains uncertain. The present study was undertaken to determine any differences in the clinical characteristics and prognostic features between patients with HCC aged 80 years or older and those younger than 80 years of age. We also aimed to identify any significant variables in the prognosis of elderly patients with HCC aged 80 years or older.

METHODS

Seven hundred and four patients with HCC, diagnosed during a 12-year period from January 1989 to December 2000, were categorized into two groups as follows: (i) 36 patients aged 80 years or older at the detection of HCC were defined as the elderly group and; (ii) 668 patients younger than 80 years of age were placed in the non-elderly group. Clinical variables were analyzed and compared between the two groups, and any significant variables in the prognosis were simultaneously determined.

RESULTS

Regarding sex, viral markers, concentration of serum alpha-fetoprotein, diameter and number of tumors, Child's grade, presence of portal thrombosis, histology grade of HCC and any types of treatment, no significant difference was found between the two groups. The 1-year and 3-year survival rates in the elderly group (54.1 and 28.1%, respectively) were not significantly different from those in the non-elderly group (69.9 and 43.2%, respectively; P = 0.1053). The only significant factor in the prognosis in the elderly group was the presence of portal thrombosis, although a Child's grade of B or C was almost a significant factor with a P-value of 0.063. Tumor size measuring more than 3 cm in the greatest dimension, non-solitary tumor, Child's grade of B or C, and the presence of portal thrombosis were all found to be prognostic factors in the non-elderly group using a multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

An advanced stage of HCC, not advanced age, influenced the survival rate in these elderly patients. Therefore, an optimal treatment strategy should be applied for elderly patients with HCC who demonstrate less prognostic factors in the same manner as that for non-elderly patients.

Different presentation of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma in a cohort of 1863 young and old patients - implications for screening

AIM

To compare the clinico-pathological features of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma in young and old patients.

METHODS

The clinico-pathological characteristics of hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma were compared in 1863 consecutive patients (121 patients, </=40 years; 1742 patients, > 40 years) seen at a single institution over the last 13 years.

RESULTS

Young patients presented more often with pain (P < 0.0001), hepatomegaly (P = 0.01) and ruptured hepatocellular carcinoma (P = 0.02), whereas old patients presented with ankle oedema (P = 0.001), ascites (P = 0.002) and by routine screening (P = 0.035). Liver function, Child-Pugh grading and indocyanine green test were better preserved in young patients. They also had a higher alpha-foetoprotein concentration (P = 0.001), larger tumour size (P = 0.001) and more frequent metastasis (P = 0.008), but a similar surgical resection rate (33.6% vs. 28%), to old patients. There was no difference between the two groups in the overall post-resection survival rate, but there was a shorter survival in young patients with unresectable disease (3.6 months vs. 4.6 months, P = 0.004). Young patients with hepatocellular carcinoma often show a later presentation, but a higher resectability rate and similar survival rates, than old patients. The screening programme should include young hepatitis B virus carriers, even in the absence of cirrhosis.

Macrophage migration inhibitory factor: roles in regulating tumor cell migration and expression of angiogenic factors in hepatocellular carcinoma

Macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) may contribute to multiple aspects of tumor progression, including control of cell proliferation, differentiation, cell survival and angiogenesis. However, the potential roles of MIF in regulating hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tumor cell migration and the expression of angiogenic factors by HCC tumor cells have not been studied yet. In our study, we reported that intracellular MIF mRNA and protein were overexpressed in HCC tissues compared to nontumor tissues by using in situ hybridization and immunohistochemic staining. HCC tumor cell lines also secreted large amounts of MIF into the supernatants of tumor cell culture. To assess the role of MIF in HCC, we employed the transwell invasion chamber to study the effect of MIF on tumor cell migration. Our results showed that recombinant MIF and the supernatants of tumor cell line culture could enhance the invasion and migration of HCC cells. This effect can be inhibited by the addition of a neutralizing anti-MIF antibody. We observed that increased MIF serum levels correlated with higher levels of interleukin-8 (IL-8) in the sera of patients with HCC than in normal volunteers. We therefore hypothesized that MIF may regulate the production of angiogenic factors by HCC cells. To test this hypothesis, we examined the effect of MIF treatment on vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) and IL-8 expression by HCC cell lines. MIF induced a significant dose-dependent increase in IL-8 and VEGF production. Taken together, our results indicated that MIF may act as an autocrine-acting factor that stimulates angiogenesis and metastasis in HCC by promoting expression of angiogenic factors and migration of tumor cells. A more detailed understanding of the MIF regulatory mechanisms involved may provide insight into new direction in the treatment of HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma screening in patients waiting for liver transplantation: a decision analytic model

De novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may have a large impact on patients waiting for liver transplantation. The presence of HCC can lead to a status upgrade or removal from the waitlist. Our aim is to compare costs and outcomes of different liver cancer surveillance strategies. A Markov-based decision analytic model is created to simulate costs and health outcomes for a hypothetical cohort awaiting liver transplantation undergoing HCC screening. Three strategies of HCC screening are compared with the referent strategy of using alphafetaprotein (AFP) level alone: (1) ultrasound (U/S), (2) AFP plus U/S, and (3) computed tomography (CT). Screening is performed for all strategies at 6-month intervals. Selected tumors are treated locally. Costs and clinical outcomes are discounted. Using baseline assumptions, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for U/S, U/S plus AFP, and CT are $60,300/life-year saved (LY), $74,000/LY, and $101,100/LY, respectively. The most cost-effective strategy was dependent on the relative costs of each screening modality. U/S screening becomes the dominant strategy when the cost of an AFP test is decreased. Our results show that screening with CT is associated the greatest gain in life expectancy and greatest costs. U/S screening strategy is the preferred screening strategy based on the lowest ICER. Ultimately, costs of the screening modalities determine the most cost-effective strategy.

Effect of vitamin E on serum aminotransferase and thioredoxin levels in patients with viral hepatitis C

OBJECTIVES

Oxidative stress induces cellular responses such as cell death, gene activation and cell proliferation, in the liver. Vitamin E (Vit. E) has been found to protect the liver against oxidative stress in animal experiments. Thioredoxin (TRX) is a stress inducible, multifunctional protein, secreted during oxidative stress. This study evaluated effects of Vit. E on serum TRX and aminotransferase levels in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients, partly non-responsive to initial interferon (IFN), with higher than average level of serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) after receiving anti-inflammatory drug treatment.

METHODS

Seventeen HCV patients (male = 3; female = 14) of age 62 +/- 7.65 years receiving anti-inflammatory drug therapy, at least 6 months prior to Vit. E administration, were given d-alpha-tocopherol 500 mg/day, orally, for a period of 3 months. ALT, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), TRX and Vit. E were measured at 0, 1, 2 and 3 months and 1 month after end of treatment. As controls, the same patients biochemical data, 3 months from the start of therapy were used. Patients were divided into three categories: total patients "T", low ALT group "L" (ALT < 70 IU/l) and high ALT group "H" (ALT > 70 IU/l), respectively.

RESULTS

The ALT level was lowered, significantly in group H, in the 1st, 2nd, 3rd and 1-month post therapy, compared to the initial value. But group L showed little or no change in ALT. Post Vit. E therapy, in groups T and H, the TRX level was elevated but remained below initial levels, whereas in group L, TRX level remained significantly lower than the pretreatment value. Groups T and L, showed significant reduction (p < 0.05) in serum TRX levels in the 2nd and 3rd month. Group H showed a tendency towards TRX reduction, but not significantly. Serum Vit. E levels increased significantly (p < 0.0001) from the 1st to 3rd month in all three T, H and L groups.

CONCLUSION

Oxidative stress induced liver damage is reduced by Vit. E in patients with viral hepatitis C, particularly those with initial ALT levels > 70 IU/l. Vit. E treatment causes reduction of oxidative stress markers as TRX and ALT in sera. Therefore, Vit. E can act as a supportive therapy to combat liver damage caused by oxidative stress, in such patients with continuously high levels of ALT even after anti-viral and anti-inflammatory drug therapy.

Hepatitis C virus infection in the general population: a community-based study in West Bengal, India

Limited information is available about the prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in the general population of India. A community-based epidemiologic study was carried out in a district in West Bengal, India. By a 1:3 sampling method, 3,579 individuals were preselected from 10,737 inhabitants of 9 villages of the district, of whom 2,973 (83.1%) agreed to participate. Twenty-six subjects (0.87%) were HCV antibody positive. The prevalence increased from 0.31% in subjects <10 years of age to 1.85% in those >or=60 years. No difference in prevalence between men and women was observed. Serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels were elevated in 30.8% (8 of 26) of anti-HCV-positive subjects compared with 3.2% (94 of 2,947) anti-HCV-negative subjects (P <.001). HCV RNA was detectable in 80.8% (95% CI, 65.6%-95.91%) of the anti-HCV-positive subjects by reverse transcription-primed polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The participants were HCV types 1b in 2 (9.5%), 3a in 8 (38.1%), 3b in 6 (28.6%), and unclassified in 5 (23.8%). Nucleotide sequencing and phylogenetic analysis assigned the unclassified type to genotype 3e. In conclusion, this study provides general population-based estimates of HCV prevalence, including genotypes, from a South Asian country. Although the prevalence of HCV infection in this population was lower than that reported from industrialized countries of the west, the total reservoir of infection is significant and calls for public health measures, including health education to limit the magnitude of the problem.

Coarse nodular US pattern in hepatic cirrhosis: risk for hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

To determine the prevalence of the coarse nodular ultrasonographic (US) pattern and its prognostic importance in terms of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk in hepatic cirrhosis caused by hepatitis B virus (HBV); HBV with hepatitis D virus (HDV), formerly known as hepatitis delta virus; hepatitis C virus (HCV); and alcoholic cirrhosis (ALC) or primary biliary disease (primary biliary cirrhosis [PBC]).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Four hundred two cases of hepatic cirrhosis caused by HBV (94 patients), HDV (100 patients), HCV (100 patients), ALC (63 patients), or PBC (45 patients) were retrospectively reviewed to identify the US pattern present at diagnosis and its possible association with the cause of the disease and subsequent development of HCC during a mean follow-up of 43.9 months +/- 29.9 (SD). Data were analyzed with the chi2, Fisher exact, and log-rank tests and with the Kaplan-Meier method (all two-tailed).

RESULTS

The coarse nodular pattern was found in a significantly higher percentage of patients with HDV-related cirrhosis (51%) compared with those with HBV (9%), HCV (9%), ALC (11%), or PBC (9%) (P <.001). This pattern was associated with a significantly increased risk for HCC in patients with cirrhosis and HBV-, HCV-, and ALC-related disease but not in those with HDV-related disease and PBC.

CONCLUSION

The coarse nodular pattern is more often seen in patients with HDV-related cirrhosis, and, in this setting (in contrast to HBV-, HCV-, and ALC-related cirrhosis, as well as in PBC), it does not represent an added risk factor for HCC.

Prospective analysis of risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with liver cirrhosis

Better knowledge of the risk factors associated with the appearance of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) could improve the efficacy of surveillance programs. A total of 463 patients aged 40 to 65 years with liver cirrhosis in Child-Pugh class A or B were included in a program of early diagnosis. The predictive value of different risk factors was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression model. Thirty-eight patients developed HCC. In the multivariate analysis, 4 variables showed an independent predictive value for the development of HCC: age 55 years or older, antibody to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) positivity, prothrombin activity 75% or less, and platelet count less than 75 x 10(3)/mm(3). According to the contribution of each of these factors to the final model, a score ranging between 0 and 4.71 points was constructed to allow the division of patients into 2 different risk groups. The low-risk group included those with a score of 2.33 points or less (n = 270; 4 with HCC; cumulative incidence of HCC at 4 years, 2.3%), and the high-risk group included those with a score greater than 2.33 (n = 193; 34 with HCC; cumulative incidence of HCC at 4 years, 30.1%) (P =.0001). In conclusion, a simple score made up of 4 clinical and biological variables allowed us to distinguish 2 groups of cirrhotic patients at high and low risk for the development of HCC. We believe this score can be useful in establishing a subset of cirrhotic patients in whom a surveillance program for early detection of HCC could be unjustified.

Alpha-fetoprotein and/or liver ultrasonography for liver cancer screening in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B infection may cause liver cancer (hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)). Alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and liver ultrasonography (US) are used to screen these patients for HCC. It is uncertain whether screening is worthwhile.

OBJECTIVES

To review randomized trials on screening for HCC with alpha-fetoprotein and/or liver ultrasonography among people with hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) whether asymptomatic or with clinical liver disease.

SEARCH STRATEGY

Relevant reports were searched from electronic databases until August 2002 (The Cochrane Hepato-Biliary Group Controlled Trials Register, The Cochrane Controlled Trials Register, MEDLINE, EMBASE, HealthStar, and the Chinese Medical Literature Electronic Databases, MedCyber) supplemented with manual searches on the bibliographies of papers found and communication to people familiar with chronic hepatitis B.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomized trials on screening for liver cancer were included irrespective of language. Studies were excluded if the hepatitis B status was uncertain, if patients were not adequately followed, if the screening tests were not sensitive, widely-used ones, or if the test was used for diagnosis rather than screening for HCC.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We analyzed independently all the studies considered for inclusion. We wrote to the relevant authors for further information. Data were analyzed with Peto's odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI).

MAIN RESULTS

Two trials met the selection criteria. One trial (n = 18,816) compared bi-annual AFP plus US screening with no screening for five years. No data on all-cause mortality were available. The two groups did not differ significantly regarding HCC mortality (OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.54 to 1.22). Number of patients with HCC was significantly increased in the screeened group (OR 1.37; 95% CI 1.00 to 1.88). Most HCCs in the screened group, but none in the control group, were at an early stage. The survival rate of patients with resected HCC in the screened group reached 52.7% after three and five years, but was 0% for those in the control group. The authors' estimated lead-time for HCC was 5.4 months, suggesting that screening prolonged the survival of HCC. Another trial (n = 1069) compared AFP plus US versus AFP screening, but could not decide which approach was superior due to the small sample size (number of detected HCC: OR 0.74; 95% CI 0.26 to 2.12).

REVIEWER'S CONCLUSIONS

There are not enough quality trials to support or refute screening of HBsAg-positive patients for HCC. It is possible that screening may be effective, but also that harm caused by screening/treatment may outweigh any gain. More and better-designed large randomized trials are required.

Normalization of markedly elevated alpha-fetoprotein in a virologic nonresponder with HCV-related cirrhosis

Measurement of serum AFP can be useful in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). AFP is a fetal protein that is not normally present in the serum of adults but is elevated in most patients with HCC. The diagnosis of HCC is generally made in patients with a mass lesion in a cirrhotic liver if the AFP is over 400 ng/ml. Unfortunately, AFP is elevated in other conditions such as nonseminomatous germ cell tumor, chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, pregnancy, and hepatic metastasis. A high AFP cutoff value for HCC would increase the specificity of the test, but would decrease the sensitivity considerably. We report the case of a patient with HCV and cirrhosis with a markedly elevated AFP of 1257 ng/ml in whom no evidence of HCC could be found after a thorough radiologic and histologic evaluation. Despite a virologic nonresponse to IFN-alpha2b and ribavirin therapy, there was a complete normalization of AFP.

Screening tests for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis C: a systematic review

This systematic review addresses the following questions: (1) What is the efficacy of using screening tests for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in improving outcomes in chronic hepatitis C, and (2) what are the sensitivity and specificity of screening tests for HCC in chronic hepatitis C? The search strategy involved searching Medline and other electronic databases between January 1985 and March 2002. Additional articles were identified by reviewing pertinent articles and journals and by querying experts. Articles were eligible for review if they reported original human data from studies of screening tests that used virological, histological, pathologic, or clinical outcome measures. Data collection involved paired reviewers who assessed the quality of each study and abstracted data. One nonrandomized prospective cohort study suggested that HCC was detected earlier and was more often resectable in patients who had twice yearly screening with serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and hepatic ultrasound than in patients who had usual care. Twenty-four studies, which included patients with chronic hepatitis C or B or both, addressed the sensitivities and specificities of screening tests. They were relatively consistent in showing that the sensitivity of serum AFP for detecting HCC usually was moderately high at 45% to 100%, with a specificity of 70% to 95%, for a threshold of between 10 and 19 ng/mL. The few studies that evaluated screening with ultrasound reported high specificity, but variable sensitivity. In conclusion, screening of patients with chronic hepatitis C with AFP and ultrasound may improve detection of HCC, but studies are needed to determine whether screening improves clinical outcomes.

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma

To determine the role of screening and to screen in a cost-effective manner, it is important to define the high-risk patient population that is most likely to benefit from screening and to identify a readily available diagnostic modality that is sensitive, specific, and inexpensive. Moreover, to have a major effect on the outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma, the test should be applicable in the majority of high-risk subjects. Herein, we identify the high-risk patient population, discuss various diagnostic modalities, and recommend a practical and cost-effective strategy for screening.

Molecular pathogenesis of human hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocarcinogenesis is a slow process during which genomic changes progressively alter the hepatocellular phenotype to produce cellular intermediates that evolve into hepatocellular carcinoma. During the long preneoplastic stage, in which the liver is often the site of chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, or both, hepatocyte cycling is accelerated by upregulation of mitogenic pathways, in part through epigenetic mechanisms. This leads to the production of monoclonal populations of aberrant and dysplastic hepatocytes that have telomere erosion and telomerase re-expression, sometimes microsatellite instability, and occasionally structural aberrations in genes and chromosomes. Development of dysplastic hepatocytes in foci and nodules and emergence of hepatocellular carcinoma are associated with the accumulation of irreversible structural alterations in genes and chromosomes, but the genomic basis of the malignant phenotype is heterogeneous. The malignant hepatocyte phenotype may be produced by the disruption of a number of genes that function in different regulatory pathways, producing several molecular variants of hepatocellular carcinoma. New strategies should enable these variants to be characterized.

Digital image analysis of the distribution of proliferating cell nuclear antigen in hepatitis C virus-related chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma

Viral dynamic studies in chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection indicate a significantly shortened survival of virus-infected cells. Since at the steady state of chronic viral infection, the rate of infected cell elimination equals new cell regeneration, this would imply a high rate of hepatocyte turnover in chronic HCV liver disease. We estimated the fraction of regenerating hepatocytes in liver biopsy sections in chronic HCV liver disease, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We used antibodies to proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) to detect proliferating cell nuclei in liver biopsy specimen from controls and patients with chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, and HCC. We also used bis-benzimide to label fluorescently all hepatocyte nuclei simultaneously. Using digital image analysis, we calculated the area occupied by PCNA-stained hepatocyte nuclei, as a fraction of the total area occupied by fluorescently labeled hepatocyte nuclei (labeling index; LI). Antibody staining was negligible in the control specimen. The mean +/- SE PCNA LI increased from 0.21 +/- 0.1 in chronic hepatitis to 0.63 +/- 0.15 in HCC. There was no significant difference between chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis. The fraction of cells undergoing regeneration is increased in chronic HCV liver disease, HCV-related cirrhosis, and HCC. Increased hepatocyte turnover could provide the link between chronic HCV liver disease and HCC.

Ultrasound screening and risk factors for death from hepatocellular carcinoma in a high risk group in Taiwan

Although previous studies have demonstrated the ability of ultrasonography (US) screening to detect small asymptomatic hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the efficacy of US screening in reducing deaths from HCC still remained unresolved. A 2-stage screening program was designed to identify a high risk group in 7 townships in Taiwan by 6 markers (of risk for HCC) and repeated US screening was further applied to those with at least 1 positive result for the 6 markers, with a range of 3- to 6-month inter-screening intervals to those with liver cirrhosis or other chronic liver diseases and an annual screening regime for the remaining subjects with normal findings according to US. The 4,843 subjects in this cohort were followed up for an average of 7 years. We compared 4,385 attenders with 458 non-attenders, in conjunction with baseline assessment for self-selection bias. In addition, we assessed baseline variables with respect to their effects on risk of incidence of and mortality from HCC and on risk of incidence of liver cirrhosis. The difference in mortality between attenders and non-attenders was then re-estimated adjusting for significant predictors of cirrhosis, HCC incidence and HCC death as a further guard against baseline differences between attenders and non-attenders in risk profiles. Results of US screening for this high risk group found the mortality was lower by 24% (95% CI: -52 to 62%) in the attenders compared to the non-attenders. After adjustment for sensitivity, the mean sojourn time (MST) were 1.57 (95% CI: 0.94-4.68) for subjects with liver cirrhosis and 2.66 (95% CI: 1.68-6.37) years for non-cirrhotic patient. Significant increases in risk of HCC incidence were associated with increasing age, male gender, hepatitis B surface antigen positive (HbsAg), hepatitis C antibody positive (Anti-HCV), high levels of alanine transaminase (ALT) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and a family history of HCC. Significantly increased risks of liver cirrhosis were associated with predictors of cirrhosis were increasing age, HbsAg, high levels of ALT and of AFP. Significant or borderline significant increases in risk of HCC death were associated with increasing age, male gender, HbsAg, high levels of AST and AFP. Adjusted for the significant variables, the mortality was lower by 41% (95% CI: -20 to 71%, p = 0.1446) in the attenders compared to the non-attenders. The present study provides suggestive evidence on the efficacy of US screening in a selective high risk group in an endemic area of hepatitis B. A randomized controlled trial would yield definitive evidence. Within the protocol of such a trial, a shorter interscreening interval for patients with liver cirrhosis is suggested.

Gray-scale ultrasound in hepatic cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis: diagnosis, screening, and intervention

Chronic hepatitis and hepatic cirrhosis are pathologies with high prevalence in the world population. Ultrasound (US) allows for a quick and precise examination of the liver parenchyma, the vascular structures, the biliary tract, and the abdominal cavity. Changes can be detected in the pattern of liver echostructure that suggest the presence of chronic liver disease, portal hypertension, and the presence of liver tumors. Moreover, US guidance provides an easy way for performing interventional procedures, such as biopsies for classifying the degree and type of liver disease, biopsies of focal liver lesions, and the application of percutaneous treatments for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In this article we discuss the multiple applications of US in the management of patients with chronic liver disease.

Patterns of hepatocellular carcinoma development in hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus related cirrhosis

To compare incidence, risk factors and morphologic pattern of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) related cirrhosis, 401 patients were followed prospectively by periodic ultrasound examination for 14-189 months (mean: 84.8+/-36.7). During follow-up, 77 (19.2%) patients developed HCC, with 5 and 10 year cumulative incidence of 10 and 27.5%, respectively. The risk of HCC was significantly higher in HBV and HCV co-infected patients (P=0.014) compared to those with single HBsAg or anti-HCV (antibodies to hepatitis C virus) positivity. In anti-HCV positive cases the annual risk of HCC increased from 2% in the first 5 year period to 4% in the third 5 year period, while it decreased from 2 to 0% in the same time periods in the HBsAg positive group. By Cox's regression, age above 59 years (P=0.001), male sex (P=0.09), longer duration (P=0.04) and more advanced stage (P=0.01) of cirrhosis, lower platelets count (P=0.001) and higher ALT levels were significant risk factors for HCC in anti-HCV positive patients, while only high alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels during follow-up (P=0.04) was a significant risk factor for HCC in HBsAg positive cases. The pattern of HCC was nodular in 63 (81.8%) patients and infiltrating in 14 (18.2%), and the former type was associated with older age (P=0.0001), longer duration (P=0.002) and more advanced stage (P=0.0001) of cirrhosis but not with the viral etiology of disease. In contrast, development of infiltrating HCC was unrelated to age and disease duration and stage, and was associated with male sex (P=0.01), HBV infection (P=0.06) and HBV and HCV co-infection (P=0.0001). Our results indicate different incidence profile, risk factors and patterns of morphogenesis of HCC development in HBV and HCV associated cirrhosis, suggesting different mechanisms of carcinogenesis.

Macrophage migration inhibitory factor in hepatocellular carcinoma and liver cirrhosis; relevance to pathogenesis

The levels of macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF), a proinflammatory and carcinogenic cytokine, were significantly higher in the sera from patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC; 25.6+/-15.3 ng/ml, n=55) and liver cirrhosis (LC; 18.9+/-10.7 ng/ml, n=26) compared with sera from patients with gastrointestinal cancer (6.8+/-7.5 ng/ml, n=29) and normal controls (5.6+/-1.2 ng/ml, n=45; P<0.01). Hepatocytes from patients with LC and HCC, but not from chronic hepatitis, expressed very high levels of MIF. A possible association between overexpression of MIF and hepatocarcinogenesis is suggested.

Noninvasive diagnosis of the degree of hepatic fibrosis using ultrasonography in patients with chronic liver disease due to hepatitis C virus

BACKGROUND

Chronic liver disease is characterized by progressive hepatic fibrosis and changes in hepatic haemodynamics. This study has addressed the possibility of a noninvasive diagnosis of the degree of hepatic fibrosis by evaluating the velocity of blood in the hepatic vasculature. Materials and methods The maximum velocity of blood at the portal vein and hepatic artery was measured in 80 patients with chronic liver diseases (19 with liver cirrhosis; 61 with chronic hepatitis) and in 20 normal volunteers by Doppler ultrasonography. The arterio-portal ratio (A/P ratio) was calculated by dividing the maximum velocity of blood (Vmax) in the hepatic artery with the Vmax in the portal vein. Multivariate analysis was used to disclose the independent predictors of the degree of hepatic fibrosis.

RESULTS

The levels of A/P ratio were significantly higher in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) compared to those with chronic hepatitis (CH) and normal controls. Probit analysis revealed that the value of A/P ratio at which CH becomes LC was A/P >or= 3.5. The levels of A/P ratio were also significantly higher in patients with severe fibrosis compared with mild (P < 0.0001) and moderate (P < 0.0001) fibrosis. Multivariate analysis disclosed right A/P ratio (P = 0.0001), left A/P ratio (P = 0.013), and platelet counts (P = 0.0172), as the only independent predictors of the degree of hepatic fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

A/P ratio may be used for the noninvasive diagnosis of the degree of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic liver diseases.

Screening for cancer in viral hepatitis

Early diagnosis of HCC is possible because certain risk factors for this tumor are known and because sensitive and relatively inexpensive diagnostic tools are available. Early diagnosis of HCC is also possible because of the long phase of asymptomatic tumor growth and the tumor's tendency to grow as a solitary mass in many patients. In two consensus development conferences held in Anchorage, Alaska and in Milan, Italy, chronic carriers of HBsAg, patients with cirrhosis, patients with rare metabolic liver diseases, and individuals with family histories of HCC were identified as patients at high risk for HCC and therefore as candidates for periodic screening. At the Anchorage conference, it was recommended that healthy carriers have at least yearly determinations of serum AFP and that carriers with additional risk factors (e.g., cirrhosis) be screened every 6 months by abdominal US scans and determination of serum AFP levels. No specific recommendations were released for HBsAg-negative patients with chronic liver disease. At the Milan conference, it was recommend that patients with cirrhosis or with certain congenital metabolic conditions known to be at risk for HCC should be screened by AFP determination and US scan twice a year. It was also recommended that HBsAg carriers older than 35 years or with family histories of HCC should be screened for HCC by determinations of serum AFP levels and aminotransferase levels once a year.

Discrimination of alcoholic from virus-induced cirrhosis on MR imaging

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine whether MR features help to differentiate virus-induced cirrhosis from alcoholic cirrhosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The MR examinations of 53 patients with cirrhosis (38 men and 15 women; age range, 28-73 years) caused by hepatitis B (n = 16), hepatitis C (n = 18), or alcohol abuse (n = 19) were retrospectively reviewed independently by two radiologists. The following MR features were assessed by each radiologist independently: volume indexes of the spleen and of each liver segment (based on 3-axis measurements), the nodularity of the surface, and the presence of regenerative nodules, ascites, iron or fat deposition, varices or collateral veins, the right posterior hepatic notch, and an expanded gallbladder fossa.

RESULTS

The mean values of the volume index of the caudate lobe were significantly greater (p < 0.0001) in the group with alcoholic cirrhosis than those in the group with viral cirrhosis. The frequency of visualization of the right posterior hepatic notch in the patients with alcoholic cirrhosis was significantly greater (p < 0.05) than that in the patients with viral cirrhosis. The size of regenerative nodules of the liver in the patients with cirrhosis caused by hepatitis B was significantly greater (p < 0.02) than that in the patients with alcoholic cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

Enlargement of the caudate lobe and the presence of the right posterior hepatic notch on MR imaging are more frequent findings of alcoholic cirrhosis than of virus-induced cirrhosis.

Massive bleeding from a gastric erosion after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma in a patient with mild haemophilia A

We observed massive bleeding from a gastric erosion following transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TAE) in a patient with mild haemophilia A. A 78-year-old haemophiliac (factor VIII level over 60%) received TAE with farmorubicin and spongel. Haematemesis and melena with loss of consciousness occurred 3 days [corrected] after TAE, and endoscopy revealed superficial erosions with oozing. Toxic effects of the anticancer drug in conjunction with the bleeding disorder may have caused the massive bleeding. We should always consider the possibility of unexpected complications in patients with bleeding disorders; gastrointestinal bleeding can develop during treatment for liver tumours.

Enhanced cell kinetics, p53 accumulation and high p21WAF1 expression in chronic cholecystitis: comparison with background mucosa of gallbladder carcinomas

AIMS

Since neoplasia resulting from chronic inflammation has recently attracted increasing attention, we have investigated surgically removed gallbladders to examine the relationship between chronic cholecystitis and carcinogenesis.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The mucosa of 108 cholecystectomy specimens without gallbladder cancer and 54 surgically resected gallbladder carcinomas were classified into three groups according to the degree of lymphocytic infiltration, and assessed immunohistochemically for Ki67, p53, p21WAF1 and apoptosis. In gallbladder mucosa without carcinoma, all four parameters tended to increase with the inflammation score (IS). Significantly positive correlations were revealed between Ki67 and p53, Ki67 and p21WAF1, and p53 and p21WAF1. However, in gallbladder carcinoma cases, values of p53 and p21WAF1 for background mucosa were elevated as compared to the mucosa of cholecystitis with low IS, but there was no correlation between their expression and IS, except for Ki67.

CONCLUSIONS

Severe chronic cholecystitis is associated with acceleration of epithelial cell turnover, damaged cells being eliminated by apoptosis. The background mucosa of gallbladder carcinomas showed similar cell proliferative activity (Ki67) to that in cholecystitis, with no parallel changes of p53 and p21WAF1 expression, suggesting the possibility of unknown cofactors causing genomic damage.

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma

Screening for hepatocellular carcinoma has become widely practised in the management of patients with end-stage liver disease. However, the theoretical basis for this practice is largely lacking. Issues such as the selection of the target population and the correct method of confirming positive screening tests have yet to be resolved. Complicating the assessment of screening strategies is the poor literature on comparing different forms of therapy. Nonrandomized, uncontrolled studies that do not account for lead-time bias make it frequently impossible to know whether an applied treatment has really improved survival. Despite these difficulties, screening is reality, and strategies have to be devised to efficiently screen patients, find small tumours and apply effective treatments. Some practical strategies are discussed.

Interferon therapy lowers the rate of progression to hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C but not significantly in an advanced stage: a retrospective study in 1148 patients. Viral Hepatitis Therapy Study Group

BACKGROUND/AIM

Hepatocellular carcinoma frequently develops during the advanced stages of chronic hepatitis C. We examined whether interferon prevents the development of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis C patients.

METHODS

Japanese patients with chronic hepatitis C (n = 1.148; 117 with portal fibrous expansion (F1), 636 with bridging fibrosis (F2), 355 with bridging fibrosis and architectural distortion (F3)) and 40 cirrhotic (F4) patients were treated with interferon. These patients were followed from 1 to 7 years after interferon therapy. Blood tests and image analysis were serially performed to assess response to interferon and to detect hepatocellular carcinoma. Fifty-five cirrhotic type C patients (control F4) not receiving interferon were enrolled in this study.

RESULTS

Sustained (SR: 27.5%) and transient (TR: 23.0%) responders totaled 50.5%, while 49.5% did not respond to interferon. SR showed an improvement in disease stage reflected by increased platelet counts. Fifty-two patients (9 F2, 36 F3, and 7 F4) developed hepatocellular carcinoma in the follow-up period; 3 SR, 8 TR, and 41 non-responders (NR). The cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in F2 was significantly lower (p = 0.019) in SR compared with NR, but not in SR in F3 and F4 patients. However, the cumulative incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma was significantly decreased in all SR (p = 0.0001) and TR (p = 0.0397) compared with all NR.

CONCLUSION

These results indicate that interferon therapy in chronic hepatitis C patients lowered the rate of progression of hepatocellular carcinoma in sensitive cases but not in patients in an advanced stage.

Endoscopic variceal ligation is a sufficient procedure for the treatment of oesophageal varices in patients with hepatitis C liver cirrhosis: comparison with injection sclerotherapy

AIMS

Endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL) is a recently developed alternative to endoscopic injection sclerotherapy (EIS) for the treatment of oesophageal varices. Endoscopic variceal ligation and EIS were compared in an attempt to clarify the efficacy and safety of EVL for patients with cirrhosis due to hepatitis C.

METHODS

Endoscopic variceal ligation was performed in 60 patients and EIS in 30. Varices were eradicated in all patients by EVL and 87% (26 out of 30) by EIS.

RESULTS

There was no significant difference between EVL and EIS in relation to the incidence of bleeding and the 5 year survival rate after treatment. There were no severe complications except mild substernal pain after EVL, while pulmonary embolism occurred in one patient receiving EIS.

CONCLUSIONS

Endoscopic variceal ligation is a safe and effective technique for eradicating oesophageal varices in patients with hepatitis C cirrhosis.

A long-term follow-up study on risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma among Japanese patients with liver cirrhosis

To identify virological parameters (serostatus of hepatitis B surface antigen [HBsAg] and antibodies to hepatitis C virus [anti-HCV], HCV genotypes and HCV-RNA titer) and other clinico-biological and lifestyle variables that may influence or predict the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in cirrhosis, we followed 100 cirrhotic patients without HCC, who visited Kyushu University Hospital between 1985 and 1987, until the end of 1995 (follow-up rate: 98%; average follow-up period: 5.3 years). After elimination of 4 patients who developed HCC or were censored within the initial 6 months, 37 (39%) out of 96 patients developed HCC during follow-up. As compared with HBsAg(+) patients, anti-HCV(+) HBsAg(-) patients demonstrated significantly elevated HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 5.85, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.65-20.67). Genotype 1 HCV infection was not associated with increased risk compared with genotype 2 (HR = 0.64, 95% CI 0.21-1.99). For genotype 1 HCV infection, patients with HCV-RNA levels < 1 Meq/ml tended to present lower risk than patients with > or = 1 Meq/ml (P = 0.03). Male sex, advanced Child's class, lower serum albumin, and higher serum aminotransferase and alpha-fetoprotein were also found to be strong predictors. Overall, drinking and smoking habits were not associated with significantly elevated risk. Among virological parameters, anti-HCV positivity and, possibly high HCV-RNA titer, were predictive of HCC occurrence in cirrhosis in our clinical setting.

Irregular regeneration of hepatocytes and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis with hepatitis-C-virus infection

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) commonly develops in patients with chronic hepatitis or cirrhosis of the liver caused by hepatitis-C-virus (HCV) infection. We prospectively studied whether irregular regeneration of hepatocytes is a risk factor for HCC in these patients.

METHODS

242 patients were enrolled after liver biopsy and followed up by ultrasonographic scanning every 3 months. We examined age, sex, platelet count, the diagnosis of cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis, liver-cell dysplasia, and irregular regeneration. We classified irregular regeneration as slight or severe, based on histological expression of pleiomorphism, anisocytosis, bulging, and map-like distribution of hepatocytes.

FINDINGS

37 of 63 patients with cirrhosis and 26 of 179 with chronic hepatitis were judged to have severe irregular regeneration. HCC was diagnosed in 33 of 63 patients with cirrhosis (29 had severe irregular regeneration) and 12 of 179 patients with chronic hepatitis (11 had severe irregular regeneration) during mean follow-up of 5.5 years (SD 4.1; range 1-16). Multivariate analysis with a proportional-hazards model showed severe irregular regeneration (relative risk 15.1 [95% CI 5.6-40.7], p<0.0001) and a diagnosis of cirrhosis (3.8 [1.7-8.2], p=0.0008) to be significant risk factors for HCC. Within the diagnostic categories, irregular regeneration was also significant (cirrhosis 6.8 [2.1-21.9], p=0.0014; chronic hepatitis 28.5 [2.9-276.4], p=0.0038).

INTERPRETATION

We recommend that liver biopsy to look for irregular regeneration should be done in patients with HCV-related chronic liver diseases. Those with severe irregular regeneration should be followed up carefully.

A meta-analysis of epidemiological studies on the combined effect of hepatitis B and C virus infections in causing hepatocellular carcinoma

The aim of the study was to assess whether co-infection by hepatitis-B virus (HBV) and hepatitis-C virus (HCV) is associated with a higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) than each infection alone. A meta-analysis of data published up to June 1997 was performed. HBsAg and anti-HCV antibodies or HCV RNA (anti-HCV/HCV RNA) were considered as serological markers of current HBV and HCV infection respectively. A total of 32 case-control studies were suitable for a quantitative overview. The summary odds ratios (OR) were 13.7 for HBsAg positivity and 11.5 for anti-HCV/HCV RNA positivity. The OR for anti-HCV was lower among studies using second- or third-generation anti-HCV or HCV RNA (OR, 8.2) with respect to studies with first-generation anti-HCV test (OR, 19.1). When combining data from the studies with second- or third-generation anti-HCV or HCV RNA, the OR for HBsAg positivity and anti-HCV/HCV RNA negativity was 22.5 (95% confidence interval (CI), 19.5-26.0), the OR for anti-HCV/HCV RNA positivity and HBsAg negativity was 17.3 (95% CI, 13.9-21.6), and the OR for both markers positivity was 165 (95% CI: 81.2-374, based on 191 cases and 8 controls exposed). A synergism was found between HBV and HCV infections, the OR for co-infection being greater than the sum and lower than the product of those for each infection alone. The interaction was therefore negative according to the multiplicative model, providing epidemiological evidence both of an independent effect and of interference between the 2 viruses in the carcinogenic process.

Efficacy of immunization of high-risk infants against hepatitis B virus evaluated by polymerase chain reaction

The polymerase chain reaction (PCR) is a rapid and very sensitive method to detect viral genomes. In the present study, the efficacy of immunization against hepatitis B virus (HBV) of high-risk infants was evaluated by PCR. Twenty-nine infants born to 24 HBeAg-positive carrier mothers were given hepatitis B immune globulin (HBIG) at birth and thereafter received repeated inoculations of plasma-derived vaccine or HBIG, or both, within 1 year. Serum samples at 1 year following immunization were stored at -40 degrees C for later analysis using PCR to detect HBV-DNA. When HBV genomes were detected in infants, the DNA sequences in the S gene of HBV were determined. Of 29 infants, 2 were positive for HBV-DNA at the 1 year following immunization; one had the HBV containing only the wild-type sequence in the S gene and became negative for HBV-DNA during the follow-up period. In contrast, another had the HBV, which contained nucleotide substitutions that altered the expression of the common group-specific determinant "a" of the S gene and resulted in clinical hepatitis with viral persistence. PCR analysis suggests that immunization against HBV prevents effectively high-risk infants from mother-to-child transmission. Even then, however, it is possible that amino acid substitutions in the "a" determinant of the S gene are associated with failure of conventional immunization against HBV.

Past, present and future of gastroenterology in Japan: the 100th anniversary of the Japanese Society of Gastroenterology in 1998

The Japanese Society of Gastroenterology (JSGE) will celebrate the centenary of its foundation in 1998. A variety of plans and projects are being prepared by the JSGE centennial celebration committee. In this article, the history of the JSGE is briefly described, and several projects, including the international symposium currently being planned, are introduced. The future prospects of our Society will also be described.

Case report: multiple cancers: hepatocellular carcinoma and adenocarcinomas of the common bile duct and the gall-bladder in a woman with primary biliary cirrhosis

We present a case of primary biliary cirrhosis associated with simultaneous triple cancers: a hepatocellular carcinoma and adenocarcinomas of the common bile duct and gall-bladder. A 70 year old Japanese woman, who had been diagnosed with primary biliary cirrhosis (stage 2 by Scheuer) 15 years before, was admitted to Koseiren Kamo Hospital in a comatose state. Laboratory data were as follows: the ammonia level was high (164.0 micrograms/dL), the antimitochondrial antibody showed a 320-fold increase, a high level of alpha-fetoprotein was indicated (2677 ng/mL), hepatitis B surface antigen was negative and hepatitis C antibody by enzyme immunoassay was negative, although a test for the RNA of hepatitis C virus by polymerase chain reaction was positive (10(3.5) copies/50 microL). The patient's condition gradually worsened and the patient died of liver failure. Autopsy showed triple cancers in the liver (hepatocellular carcinoma; trabecular type, moderately differentiated), the common bile duct (well-differentiated papillary adenocarcinoma) and the gall-bladder (well-differentiated papillary adenocarcinoma) with primary biliary cirrhosis (stage 4). Primary biliary cirrhosis has been believed to be a low risk for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma, despite the high risk of extrahepatic malignancy. The simultaneous occurrence of triple cancers with primary biliary cirrhosis, to the best of our knowledge, has never been reported. The present case may provide additional evidence for a predisposition to malignancy in primary biliary cirrhosis.

Non-invasive loco-regional therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma

It is important to understand characteristic features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) for its treatment, namely most HCC is associated with liver cirrhosis and is characterized by multicentric development. Percutaneous ethanol injection therapy (PEIT) has preferably been performed in Japan for small HCC, less than 30 mm in diameter, because no difference was found in the survival rate between patients treated by PEIT and surgical resection. One of the most important factors affecting the prognosis of PEIT was regular follow-up after treatment. For advanced nodular HCC, larger than 30 mm in diameter, transcatheter arterial chemo-embolization has usually been carried out. The prognosis of arterial chemotherapy for highly advanced HCC has been improved remarkably by using an implantable injection port. Additionally, the prevention of HCC recurrence after initial successful treatment has become an urgent problem.