Comparison and validation of simple noninvasive tests for prediction of fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C

Effectiveness and safety of sofosbuvir plus ribavirin for HCV genotype 2 patients 65 and over with or without cirrhosis

Older patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection have historically been designated difficult-to-treat. We evaluated the efficacy and safety of sofosbuvir (nucleotide NS5B polymerase inhibitor) plus ribavirin for patients with HCV genotype 2 infection in a real-world clinical setting, with the focus on elderly patients aged ≥ 65. This large, multicenter study consisted of 446 Japanese HCV genotype 2 patients (303 treatment-naïve and 143 treatment-experienced), including 190 (42.6%) aged ≥ 65 and 90 (20.2%) with compensated cirrhosis. Efficacy was assessed by the sustained virological response 12 weeks post-treatment (SVR12). The overall SVR12 rate was 95.7% (427/446), and the SVR12 rate of patients aged ≥ 65 was 95.3% (181/190). For treatment-naïve patients, almost all with compensated cirrhosis (95.6%, 43/45) achieved SVR12, irrespective of age. For treatment-experienced patients, cirrhosis undermined the treatment outcome, both for the aged ≥65 (SVR12: 80.0%, 20/25) and <65 (85.0%, 17/20) patient groups when compared to non-cirrhosis patients (≥65: 95.7%, 45/47 and < 65: 96.2%, 50/52). The most common adverse effect was anemia (hemoglobin <10 g/dL), especially for patients aged ≥ 65 with the inosine triphosphate pyrophosphatase CC genotype at rs1127354 (26.2%, 33/126). Notably, ribavirin reduction was not related to treatment failure. Only three (0.7%) patients, all aged ≥ 65, discontinued treatment, but all achieved SVR12. Sofosbuvir plus ribavirin for HCV genotype 2 was effective for patients aged ≥65, especially those who were treatment-naïve or treatment-experienced/non-cirrhosis.

Diagnostic accuracy of APRI and FIB-4 for predicting hepatitis B virus-related liver fibrosis accompanied with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI) and the fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) are the two most focused non-invasive models to assess liver fibrosis.

AIMS

We aimed to examine the validity of these two models for predicting hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver fibrosis accompanied with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We enrolled HBV-infected patients with liver cancer who had received hepatectomy. The accuracy of APRI and FIB-4 for diagnosing liver fibrosis was assessed based on their sensitivity, specificity, diagnostic efficiency, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), kappa (κ) value and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Finally 2176 patients were included, with 1682 retrospective subjects and 494 prospective subjects. APRI (rs=0.310) and FIB-4 (rs=0.278) were positively correlated with liver fibrosis. And χ(2) analysis demonstrated that APRI and FIB-4 values correlated with different levels of liver fibrosis with all P values less than 0.01. The AUC values for APRI and FIB-4 were 0.685 and 0.626 (P=0.73) for predicting significant fibrosis, 0.681 and 0.648 (P=0.81) for differentiation of advanced fibrosis and 0.676 and 0.652 (P=0.77) for diagnosing cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

APRI and FIB-4 correlate with liver fibrosis. However these two models have low accuracy for predicting HBV-related liver fibrosis in HCC patients.

A Liver Index and its Relationship to Indices of HCC Aggressiveness

A Hepatocellular (HCC) Aggressiveness Index was recently constructed, consisting of the sum of the scores for the 4 clinical parameters of maximum tumor size, multifocality, presence of portal vein thrombus and blood alphafetoprotein levels. It was observed that there was an association with several liver function tests. We have now formed a Liver Index from the 4 liver parameters with the highest hazard ratios with respect to HCC aggressiveness, namely: blood total bilirubin, gamma glutamyl transpeptidase (GGTP), albumin and platelet levels (cirrhosis surrogate). We found that the scores for the Liver Index related significantly to survival, but also to the Aggressiveness Index and to its individual HCC components as well as showing significant trends with the components. These results support the hypothesis that liver function is not only an important prognostic factor in HCC patients, but may also be involved in HCC biology and aggressiveness. Blood albumin, GGTP, albumin and platelet levels were used to create a Liver Index that related significantly to parameters of HCC aggressiveness.

Multiple approaches to assess fourteen non-invasive serum indexes for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to compare fourteen non-invasive indexes/scores: AAR, APRI, Fibroindex, MODEL3, Forns index, FIB4, GUCI, FI, FCI, Pohl score, AP index, CDS, HGM-1 and HGM-2, in order to diagnose the hepatic fibrosis stage in a survey of patients with chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

84 patients with chronic hepatitis C were studied. Liver fibrosis was staged according to the Scheuer scoring system. The diagnostic accuracy of these indexes/scores was evaluated by AUROC, contingency tables and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

The best AUROCs (>0.9) to discriminate cirrhosis (F=4), were observed for CDS, FI, AAR, MODEL3, FIB4, HGM-2 and FCI. To discriminate at least advance fibrosis (F≥3), the best AUROCs (>0.89) were for CDS, FI, FIB4, HGM2-2, MODEL3 and FCI. To discriminate at least significant fibrosis (F≥2), the best AUROCs (>0.8) were for FIB4, GUCI, APRI, FI, Forns index, HGM-2 and FCI. Contingency tables and logistic regression analysis supported the results obtained by AUROC.

CONCLUSIONS

This study compares the diagnostic performance of fourteen indexes for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis stage in the same group of CHC patients. These results allow the selection of the best indexes for further studies in larger populations, in order to build diagnostic algorithms as an alternative to liver biopsy for fibrosis staging in patients with chronic HCV infection. These algorithms would allow to take therapeutical decisions and the continuous follow-up of hepatic fibrosis in these patients.

Relationship of hepatic fibrosis, cirrhosis, and mortality with cholecystectomy in patients with hepatitis C virus infection

OBJECTIVES

Studies have suggested that cholecystectomy is a risk factor for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, but it is not known whether cholecystectomy is a risk factor for the progression of other chronic liver diseases such as hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. The aim of this study was to assess whether cholecystectomy is associated with an increase in fibrosis, cirrhosis, and cirrhosis-related complications in patients with chronic HCV infection.

METHODS

Among a total of 3989 HCV-positive patients at the VA North Texas Health Care System, we retrospectively reviewed the records of 88 patients who had undergone cholecystectomy between 1998 and 2013, followed up for a median of 4.9 years. We compared the outcomes of these patients with those of two age-matched, race-matched, and sex-matched cohorts: a cohort consisting of 129 HCV-positive patients without gallbladder disease (GBD) and a second cohort consisting of 178 HCV-positive patients with GBD who had not undergone cholecystectomy. Demographics, presence of metabolic syndrome, alcohol use, laboratory data, and clinical progression of liver disease were compared at study entry and 5 years later.

RESULTS

Controlling for multiple factors associated with increase in liver fibrosis, analyses confirmed that a there was an increase in the proportion of patients who developed cirrhosis [odds ratio (OR)=3.24, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.57-6.68, P=0.001] and ascites (OR=3.01, 95% CI 1.14-7.97, P=0.026) as well as in the incidence of death (OR=6.29, 95% CI 2.13-18.59, P=0.001) 5 years after cohort entry among HCV-positive patients with cholecystectomy compared with HCV-positive controls. The HCV-positive patient group with previous cholecystectomy showed an increased incidence of cirrhosis (OR=2.43, 95% CI 1.34-4.41, P=0.004), hepatocellular carcinoma (OR=2.85, 95% CI 1.11-7.36, P=0.030), and death (OR=3.31, 95% CI 1.50-7.28, P=0.003) 5 years after cohort entry compared with HCV-positive controls with GBD who had not undergone cholecystectomy.

CONCLUSION

Cholecystectomy among HCV-positive patients is associated an increased incidence of fibrosis, cirrhosis, and its complications (ascites, hepatocellular carcinoma, and death) compared with HCV-positive controls and HCV-positive patients with GBD who have not undergone cholecystectomy.

AST/ALT ratio is not useful in predicting the degree of fibrosis in chronic viral hepatitis patients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Noninvasive tests are primarily used for staging hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic liver disease. In clinical practice, serum aminotransferase levels, coagulation parameters, and platelet count have been used to predict whether or not a patient has cirrhosis. In addition, several studies have evaluated the accuracy of combinations (or ratios) of these measures. The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between five noninvasive models [AST/ALT ratio (AAR), aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), Bonacini cirrhosis discriminant score (CDS), age-platelet index (APind), and King's score] and the degree of hepatic fibrosis as determined by biopsy in patients with chronic hepatitis B and C.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 380 patients with viral hepatitis (237 with chronic hepatitis B and 143 with chronic hepatitis C) who were seen at our clinic between January 2005 and January 2011 were retrospectively analyzed. The degree of fibrosis was determined using the Ishak score. Patients with a fibrosis score of 0-2 were considered to have low fibrosis and those with a score between 3 and 6 were considered to have high fibrosis. Five noninvasive models were compared between the groups with low and high fibrosis.

RESULTS

There were statistically significant differences between the hepatitis B and C patients with high and low fibrosis with respect to APind (4.49±2.35 vs. 2.41±1.84; P<0.001 in hepatitis B and 4.83±2.25 vs. 2.92±1.88; P<0.001 in hepatitis C), APRI (1.00±1.17 vs. 0.47±0.39; P<0.001 in hepatitis B and 1.01±1.01 vs. 0.41±0.29; P<0.001 in hepatitis C), CDS (4.53±1.90 vs. 3.58±1.30; P<0.001 in hepatitis B and 4.71±2.03 vs. 3.42±1.49; P<0.05 in hepatitis C), and King's score (24.31±3.14 vs. 7.65±6.70; P<0.001 in hepatitis B and 24.82±2.55 vs. 8.33±7.29; P<0.001 in hepatitis C). There were no significant differences in the AAR between the hepatitis B and C patients with high and low fibrosis (0.78±0.31 vs. 0.74±0.34; P=0.082 in hepatitis B and 0.91±0.40 vs. 0.85±0.27; P=0.25 in hepatitis C). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of the APind, APRI, CDS, and King's score in the hepatitis B group were 0.767, 0.710, 0.646, and 0.770, respectively; these values were 0.732, 0.763, 0.677, and 0.783, respectively, in the hepatitis C group.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, our data suggest that four of the five noninvasive methods evaluated in this study can be used to predict advanced fibrosis in patients with hepatitis B and C. However, there was no significant relationship between the degree of hepatic fibrosis and the AAR score, indicating that AAR is not useful in estimating the fibrosis stage in hepatitis B and C patients.

Cost-effectiveness of non-invasive methods for assessment and monitoring of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease: systematic review and economic evaluation

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is the reference standard for diagnosing the extent of fibrosis in chronic liver disease; however, it is invasive, with the potential for serious complications. Alternatives to biopsy include non-invasive liver tests (NILTs); however, the cost-effectiveness of these needs to be established.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the diagnostic accuracy and cost-effectiveness of NILTs in patients with chronic liver disease.

DATA SOURCES

We searched various databases from 1998 to April 2012, recent conference proceedings and reference lists.

METHODS

We included studies that assessed the diagnostic accuracy of NILTs using liver biopsy as the reference standard. Diagnostic studies were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using the bivariate random-effects model with correlation between sensitivity and specificity (whenever possible). Decision models were used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the NILTs. Expected costs were estimated using a NHS perspective and health outcomes were measured as quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Markov models were developed to estimate long-term costs and QALYs following testing, and antiviral treatment where indicated, for chronic hepatitis B (HBV) and chronic hepatitis C (HCV). NILTs were compared with each other, sequential testing strategies, biopsy and strategies including no testing. For alcoholic liver disease (ALD), we assessed the cost-effectiveness of NILTs in the context of potentially increasing abstinence from alcohol. Owing to a lack of data and treatments specifically for fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the analysis was limited to an incremental cost per correct diagnosis. An analysis of NILTs to identify patients with cirrhosis for increased monitoring was also conducted.

RESULTS

Given a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20,000 per QALY, treating everyone with HCV without prior testing was cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £9204. This was robust in most sensitivity analyses but sensitive to the extent of treatment benefit for patients with mild fibrosis. For HBV [hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative)] this strategy had an ICER of £28,137, which was cost-effective only if the upper bound of the standard UK cost-effectiveness threshold range (£30,000) is acceptable. For HBeAg-positive disease, two NILTs applied sequentially (hyaluronic acid and magnetic resonance elastography) were cost-effective at a £20,000 threshold (ICER: £19,612); however, the results were highly uncertain, with several test strategies having similar expected outcomes and costs. For patients with ALD, liver biopsy was the cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of £822.

LIMITATIONS

A substantial number of tests had only one study from which diagnostic accuracy was derived; therefore, there is a high risk of bias. Most NILTs did not have validated cut-offs for diagnosis of specific fibrosis stages. The findings of the ALD model were dependent on assuptions about abstinence rates assumptions and the modelling approach for NAFLD was hindered by the lack of evidence on clinically effective treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

Treating everyone without NILTs is cost-effective for patients with HCV, but only for HBeAg-negative if the higher cost-effectiveness threshold is appropriate. For HBeAg-positive, two NILTs applied sequentially were cost-effective but highly uncertain. Further evidence for treatment effectiveness is required for ALD and NAFLD.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42011001561.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

King's score as a novel prognostic model for patients with hepatitis B-associated hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

King's score (KS) has been developed to predict the presence of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic liver diseases. We aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of the KS in hepatitis B-associated HCC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 319 hepatitis B-associated HCC patients. Preoperative data were collected to calculate the KS (age × aspartate aminotransferase × international normalized ratio/platelet count). The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS), which was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Then, we carried out a multivariate Cox analysis to assess the independent significance of the KS. Additional analyses were carried out after patients were stratified on the basis of cirrhosis status and therapy methods to investigate the significance of KS in different subgroups.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 44 months, 199 (62.4%) patients died and 144 (45.1%) experienced recurrence. The cut-off value for the KS was determined to be 33.31 with 56.8% sensitivity and 66.7% specificity. Compared with patients with low KS, the high group showed a higher probability of cirrhosis and worse Child-Pugh class (both P<0.05). Multivariate analysis identified older age, tumor size 5 or more, palliative therapy, high Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, and high KS as significant factors for predicting poor OS and DFS. A combination of the KS and tumor size showed better discrimination ability for survival than Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage.

CONCLUSION

The KS is an effective index for predicting OS and DFS in hepatitis B-associated HCC. Larger cohorts are needed to validate our finding.

Evaluation of Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index as a Non-Invasive Marker for Liver Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Liver biopsy is considered as a gold standard for the diagnosis of cirrhosis. Till date there is no non-invasive marker to replace it.

AIM

To investigate the effectiveness of Aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) as a non-invasive marker for liver cirrhosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Fifty-one patients with cirrhosis, identified on USG abdomen were included in study. Platelet count and Aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were done using haematology automatic analyser and automatic HITACHI-912 Auto Analyser respectively. APRI was calculated for every patient using the formula {(AST / ULN) x 100}/platelet count (10(9)/L). Predictive accuracy was evaluated with a receiver-operating characteristics (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

APRI correctly classified 49 (96.1%) patients of cirrhosis with area under the ROC curve of 0.973 (95% CI) at cut-off 0.65 with negative predictive value (NPV) and Positive predictive value (PPV) of 96% and 96.1% respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of the test was found to be 96% and 96.1% respectively.

CONCLUSION

APRI could identify cirrhosis with high degree of accuracy in the studied patients.

Impact of serum glycosylated Wisteria floribunda agglutinin positive Mac-2 binding protein levels on liver functional reserves and mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis

AIM

Serum glycosylated Wisteria floribunda agglutinin positive Mac-2 binding protein (WFA(+) -M2BP) levels are a non-invasive and reliable marker to assess the degree of liver fibrosis. We investigated the use of WFA(+) -M2BP levels to predict mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC).

METHODS

This retrospective study consisted of 59 consecutive patients. Liver fibrosis was estimated by hyaluronic acid (HA), 7S fragment of type IV collagen (7S collagen), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and FIB-4 index. The severity of liver disease was evaluated by Child-Pugh classification and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to evaluate risk factors for mortality, and the diagnostic accuracy of WFA(+) -M2BP levels to predict mortality was examined using receiver-operator curves.

RESULTS

Serum WFA(+) -M2BP levels of Child-Pugh class A, B and C had cut-off indexes (COI) of 2.90, 6.15 and 9.45, respectively. WFA(+) -M2BP levels were positively correlated with HA, 7S collagen, APRI, FIB-4 index, Child-Pugh class and MELD score. Multivariate analysis identified WFA(+) -M2BP levels as an independent risk factor of mortality (hazard ratio = 1.19, 95% confidence interval = 1.02-1.41, P = 0.03), and the optimal cutoff point to predict mortality was 5.0 COI. The survival rate was significantly lower in patients with WFA(+) -M2BP levels 5.0 or more COI than in patients with WFA(+) -M2BP of less than 5.0 COI (P = 0.002).

CONCLUSION

Serum WFA(+) -M2BP levels were significantly correlated with both liver function reserves and liver fibrosis, and were independently associated with mortality in patients with LC.

Advanced glycation end product (AGE)-induced hepatic stellate cell activation via autophagy contributes to hepatitis C-related fibrosis

AIMS

Advanced glycation end products (AGEs) have been implicated in pulmonary and renal fibrosis. Herein, we investigated whether AGEs are associated with liver fibrosis and examined the underlying mechanism by focusing on hepatic stellate cell (HSC) activation and autophagy induction.

METHODS

Liver fibrosis was assessed by transient elastography (FibroScan). Serum AGE levels were determined by ELISA. Rat primary HSCs and HSC-T6 were treated with BSA-AGEs, cell proliferation was examined by WST-1 assay, and cell activation was evaluated by qPCR for transcripts of α-SMA and collagen type Iα1 and by Western blotting. Autophagy was measured by detection of LC3-II lipidation, p62 degradation, and puncta GFP-LC3 formation. Receptor of AGE (RAGE)-blocking antibodies and soluble RAGE were employed to inhibit AGE-RAGE signaling.

RESULTS

First, elevated AGE levels were observed in CHC patients than patients with chronic hepatitis B, especially in those with insulin resistance. Second, compared to controls, AGE-treated rat primary HSCs displayed an enhanced cell proliferation (1.39-fold), increased transcripts of α-SMA (2.40-fold) and proCOL1A1 (1.76-fold), and a higher level of α-SMA protein (1.85-fold). Moreover, AGE-induced HSC activation improved autophagy flux, as evidenced by significantly more LC3-II lipidation, p62 degradation, as well as GFP-LC3 puncta formations. In addition, our results showed that AGE-induced HSC autophagy and HSC activation could be reduced by RAGEs.

CONCLUSION

AGEs were found to induce autophagy and activation of HSCs, which subsequently contributes to the fibrosis in CHC patients. Blocking AGE-RAGE signaling may be a promising way to alleviate fibrosis.

Markers of Collagen Remodeling Detect Clinically Significant Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients

Background and Aim

Detection of advanced fibrosis (Metavir F≥3) is important to identify patients with a high urgency of antiviral treatments vs. those whose treatment could be deferred (F≤2). The aim was to assess the diagnostic value of novel serological extracellular matrix protein fragments as potential biomarkers for clinically significant and advanced fibrosis.

Methods

Specific protein fragments of matrix metalloprotease degraded type I, III, IV and VI collagen (C1M, C3M, C4M, C6M) and type III and IV collagen formation (Pro-C3 and P4NP7S) were assessed in plasma from 403 chronic hepatitis C patients by specific ELISAs. Patients were stratified according to Metavir Fibrosis stage; F0 (n = 46), F1 (n = 161), F2 (n = 95), F3 (n = 44) and F4 (n = 33) based on liver biopsy.

Results

Pro-C3 was significantly elevated in patients with significant fibrosis (≥F2) compared to F0-F1 (p<0.05), while the markers C3M, C4M, C6M and P4NP7S were significantly elevated in patients with advanced fibrosis (≥F3) compared to F0-F2 (p<0.05). C1M showed no difference between fibrosis stages. Using Receiver Operating Characteristics analysis, the best marker for detecting ≥F2 and ≥F3 was Pro-C3 with AUC = 0.75 and AUC = 0.86. Combination of Pro-C3 and C4M with age, BMI and gender in a multiple ordered logistic regression model improved the diagnostic value for detecting ≥F2 and ≥F3 with AUC = 0.80 and AUC = 0.88.

Conclusion

The Pro-C3 protein fragment provided clinically relevant diagnostic accuracy as a single marker of liver fibrosis. A model combining Pro-C3 and C4M along with patient’s age, body mass index and gender increased the diagnostic power for identifying clinically significant fibrosis.

Development and validation of a predictive score for perioperative transfusion in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing liver resection

BACKGROUND

Liver resection is a major surgery requiring perioperative blood transfusion. Predicting the need for blood transfusion for patients undergoing liver resection is of great importance. The present study aimed to develop and validate a model for predicting transfusion requirement in HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing liver resection.

METHODS

A total of 1543 consecutive liver resections were included in the study. Randomly selected sample set of 1080 cases (70% of the study cohort) were used to develop a predictive score for transfusion requirement and the remaining 30% (n=463) was used to validate the score. Based on the preoperative and predictable intraoperative parameters, logistic regression was used to identify risk factors and to create an integer score for the prediction of transfusion requirement.

RESULTS

Extrahepatic procedure, major liver resection, hemoglobin level and platelets count were identified as independent predictors for transfusion requirement by logistic regression analysis. A score system integrating these 4 factors was stratified into three groups which could predict the risk of transfusion, with a rate of 11.4%, 24.7% and 57.4% for low, moderate and high risk, respectively. The prediction model appeared accurate with good discriminatory abilities, generating an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.736 in the development set and 0.709 in the validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

We have developed and validated an integer-based risk score to predict perioperative transfusion for patients undergoing liver resection in a high-volume surgical center. This score allows identifying patients at a high risk and may alter transfusion practices.

The PAPAS index: a novel index for the prediction of hepatitis C-related fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Several noninvasive tests have been developed to determine the degree of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) without performing liver biopsy.

AIM

This study aimed to determine the performance of the PAPAS (Platelet/Age/Phosphatase/AFP/AST) index in patients with CHC for the prediction of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis and to compare it with other noninvasive tests. To date, no study has evaluated the application of the PAPAS index in CHC-associated liver fibrosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 137 consecutive patients with CHC who had undergone a percutaneous liver biopsy before treatment. The aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase/alanine transaminase ratio (AAR), age-platelet index (API), FIB4, cirrhosis discriminate score (CDS), the Göteborg University cirrhosis index (GUCI), and PAPAS were calculated and compared with the diagnostic accuracies of all fibrosis indices between the groups F0-F2 (no-mild fibrosis) versus F3-F6 (significant fibrosis) and F0-F4 (no cirrhosis) versus F5-F6 (cirrhosis).

RESULTS

To predict significant fibrosis, the area under curve (95% confidence interval) for FIB4 was 0.727 followed by GUCI (0.721), PAPAS≈APRI≈CDS (0.716), and API (0.68). To predict cirrhosis, the area under curve (95% confidence interval) for FIB4 was calculated to be 0.735, followed by GUCI (0.723), PAPAS≈APRI≈CDS≈(0.71), and API (0.66). No statistically significant difference was observed among these predictors to exclude both significant fibrosis and cirrhosis (P>0.05).

CONCLUSION

The diagnostic capability of the PAPAS index has moderate efficiency and was not superior to other fibrosis markers for the identification of fibrosis in CHC patients. There is a need for more comprehensive prospective studies to help determine the diagnostic value of PAPAS for liver fibrosis.

Validity and Reliability of Magnetic Resonance Elastography for Staging Hepatic Fibrosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B

PURPOSE

We evaluated the validity and reliability of magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) for staging hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

METHODS

The study included 73 patients with chronic hepatitis B and confirmed stages of pathological fibrosis. Two radiologists measured liver stiffness using MRE in all cases. We compared the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (Az) for distinguishing stages of fibrosis compared with MRE liver stiffness measurements and serum fibrosis markers. We used intraclass correlation coefficients to analyze interobserver agreement for measurements of liver stiffness and 2 one-sided t-tests to test the equivalence of the measurements by the 2 observers.

RESULTS

ROC analyses revealed the significantly superior discrimination abilities of MRE for liver fibrosis staging (Az = 0.945 to 0.978 [Observer 1] and 0.936 to 0.967 [Observer 2]) to those of serum fibrosis markers (0.491 to 0.742) for both observers (P < 0.0004). The intraclass correlation coefficient between the 2 observers was excellent (ρ = 0.971), and the measurements of liver stiffness by the 2 observers were statistically equivalent within a 0.1-kPa difference (P = 0.0157)CONCLUSION: MRE is a valid and reliable technique for discriminating the stage of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Significance of platelet count and platelet-based models for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence

AIM: To explore the effects of platelet count (PLT) and 11 platelet-based indices on postoperative recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 172 HCC patients who were treated by partial hepatectomy. Preoperative data, including laboratory biochemical results, were used to calculate the 11 indices included in the analysis. We performed receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to determine the optimal cut-off values for predicting recurrence. Cumulative rates of HCC recurrence were calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and differences were analyzed by log-rank tests. Multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of recurrence, early recurrence (within one year after surgery), and late recurrence in HCC. To obtain better prognostic models, PLT-based indices were analyzed separately after being expressed as binary and continuous variables. Two platelet-unrelated, validated HCC prognostic models were included in the analyses as reference indices. Additional analyses were performed after patients were stratified based on hepatitis B virus infection status, cirrhosis, and tumor size to investigate the significance of platelets in different subgroups.

RESULTS: In the study cohort, 44.2% (76/172) of patients experienced HCC recurrence, and 50.6% (87/172) died during a median follow-up time of 46 mo. PLT and five of the 11 platelet-related models were significant predisposing factors for recurrence (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis indicated that, among the clinical parameters, presence of ascites, PLT ≥ 148 × 10⁹/L, alkaline phosphatase ≥ 116 U/L, and tumor size ≥ 5 cm were independently associated with a higher risk of HCC recurrence (P < 0.05). Independent and significant models included the aspartate aminotransferase/PLT index, fibrosis index based on the four factors, fibro-quotient, aspartate aminotransferase/PLT/γ-glutamyl transpeptidase/alpha-fetoprotein index, and the PLT/age/alkaline phosphatase/alpha-fetoprotein/aspartate aminotransferase index. There were different risk factors between early and late recurrences, and PLT and these indices were more inclined to influence late recurrence. PLT was only predictive of recurrence in non-cirrhotic HCC patients, and was not influenced by tumor size, which was a critical confounder in our study.

CONCLUSION: PLT and PLT-based noninvasive models are effective tools for predicting postoperative recurrence, especially late recurrence. Larger cohorts are needed to validate our findings.

Diagnostic performance of collagen IV and laminin for the prediction of fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis C patients: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND/AIM

To date, liver biopsy has been the gold standard used for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Our aim was to evaluate the diagnostic performance of a panel of simple blood markers of liver fibrosis and the development a novel score to replace liver biopsy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Liver biochemical profile including transaminases, bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, and albumin, in addition to platelet count, was evaluated using standard methods in 305 chronic hepatitis C patients. Serum type IV collagen and laminin were assayed using the ELISA technique. Liver biopsies were performed. Statistical analyses were carried out by logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curves to assess and compare the diagnostic accuracy of blood markers. A stepwise combination algorithm was developed and validated in 317 additional patients.

RESULTS

The Fibrosis Discriminant Score (FDS) was developed combining collagen, laminin, aspartate aminotransferase/platelet ratio index, and albumin. FDS produced an area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.831 for significant fibrosis, 0.791 for advanced fibrosis, and 0.881 for cirrhosis. The FDS was correctly classified in 82% of patients with significant fibrosis with 79% sensitivity and 88% specificity at cut-off 0.66 or more. Similar results were obtained in a validation study in which, of 317 patients, liver biopsy could have been avoided in 81%.

CONCLUSION

A simple fibrosis index can be useful to select hepatitis C virus-infected patients with a very low risk of significant fibrosis in whom the protocol of liver biopsies may be avoided.

Non-invasive serum fibrosis markers: A study in chronic hepatitis

INTRODUCTION

Chronic hepatitis is specified as inflammatory disease of the liver lasting for more than six months. Role of noninvasive fibrosis markers as prognostication factors of the presence or absence of significant fibrosis on liver biopsy of patients with chronic hepatitis is the aim of this study.

METHODS

Two hundred twenty-one patients with chronic hepatitis involved in the study between 2011 and 2013. Routine biochemical indices and serum fibrosis markers such as aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), AST to platelet ratio index (APRI) and Fibrosis 4 score (FIB-4) were evaluated, and the histological grade and stage of the liver biopsy specimens were scored according to the Ishak scoring system. Diagnostic accuracies of these markers for prediction of significant fibrosis were assessed by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

Contemporaneous laboratory indices for imputing AAR, APRI, and FIB-4 were identified with liver biopsies. From all, 135 males (61.1%) and 86 females (38.9%), with mean age of 39.6±14.4 were studied. Significant correlation between stages of fibrosis and FIB-4, APRI and AAR were detected, with a correlation coefficient higher than that of other markers in the patients with Hepatitis B (r = 0.46), C (r = 0.58) and autoimmune hepatitis (r = 0.28). FIB-4 (AUROC = 0.84) and APRI (AUROC = 0.78) were superior to AAR at distinguishing severe fibrosis from mild-to-moderate fibrosis and gave the highest diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSION

Application of these markers was good at distinguishing significant fibrosis and decreased the need for staging liver biopsy specimens among patients with chronic hepatitis.

Serum NX-DCP as a New Noninvasive Model to Predict Significant Liver Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Finding a noninvasive method to predict liver fibrosis using inexpensive and easy-to-use markers is important.

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to clarify whether NX-des-γ-carboxyprothrombin (NX-DCP) could become a new noninvasive model to predict liver fibrosis in hepatitis C virus (HCV) related liver disease.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We performed a prospective cohort study on a consecutive group of 101 patients who underwent liver biopsy for HCV-related liver disease at Kobe University Hospital. Laboratory measurements were performed on the same day as the biopsy. Factors associated with significant fibrosis (F3-4) were assessed by multivariate analyses. A comparison of predictive ability between multivariate factors and abovementioned noninvasive models was also performed.

RESULTS

Increase in serum NX-DCP was significantly related to increase in fibrosis stage (P = 0.006). Moreover, NX-DCP was a multivariate factor associated with the presence of significant fibrosis F 3-4 (median 21 of F0-2 group vs. median 22 of F3-4 group with P = 0.002). The AUC of NX-DCP showed no significant differences compared with those of the AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), modified-APRI, the Göteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI), the Lok index, the Hui score, cirrhosis discriminating score (CDS) and the Pohl score (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

NX-DCP correlated positively with fibrosis stage and could discriminate well between HCV-related patients with or without significant fibrosis. Moreover, NX-DCP had a similar predictive ability to the abovementioned models, and thereby could be a new noninvasive prediction tool for fibrosis.

Transient elastography improves detection of liver cirrhosis compared to routine screening tests

AIM: To investigate the diagnostic significance of transient elastography (TE) in a daily routine clinical setting in comparison to clinical signs, laboratory parameters and ultrasound.

METHODS: TE, ultrasound, laboratory parameters and cutaneous liver signs were assessed in 291 consecutive patients with chronic liver disease of various aetiologies who underwent liver biopsy in daily routine.

RESULTS: Sensitivity of TE for the detection of liver cirrhosis was 90.4%, compared to 80.1% for ultrasound, 58.0% for platelet count and 45.1% for cutaneous liver signs (P < 0.0001 for comparisons with histology). AUROC for TE was 0.760 (95%CI: 0.694-0.825). Combination of TE with ultrasound increased sensitivity to 96.1% and AUROC to 0.825 (95%CI: 0.768-0.882). TE correlated with laboratory parameters of cirrhosis progression like albumin (r = -0.43), prothrombin time (r = -0.44), and bilirubin (r = 0.34; P < 0.001 for each). Particularly, in patients with Child Pugh score A or normal platelet count TE improved sensitivity for the detection of liver cirrhosis compared to ultrasound by 14.1% (P < 0.04) and 16.3% (P < 0.02), respectively.

CONCLUSION: Transient elastography is superior to routine diagnostic tests allowing detection of liver cirrhosis in additional 10%-16% of patients with chronic liver disease that would have been missed by clinical examinations.

The prognostic values of 12 cirrhosis-relative noninvasive models in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinogenesis is associated with the progression of cirrhosis, and the latter further aggravates tumor development and prognosis. The aim of the study was to investigate the prognostic values of 12 cirrhosis-relative noninvasive models in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 363 HCC patients who either underwent partial hepatectomy (PH) or received transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TCAE). Preoperative data were collected to calculate these indices using the original formulas. Diagnostic accuracy of these models in detection of cirrhosis was evaluated by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. Multivariate analyses were performed to assess the independent prognostic significance of the 12 indicators.

RESULTS

Aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI) and Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI) were found to be significant in discriminating cirrhotic patients from non-cirrhotic individuals. When the indices were expressed as continuous variables, multivariate analyses indicated that APRI and GUCI were independent indices to predict overall survival in patients underwent PH, with a hazard ratio (HR) value 1.04 (p = 0.005) and 1.07 (p = 0.001), respectively. In the cohort of TACE, APRI and GUCI were independently associated with survival as well.

CONCLUSION

Of the 12 indices, APRI and GUCI were relatively accurate predictors of cirrhosis status as well as outcome of HCC. As only a limited study population was enrolled in the current study, larger cohorts are needed to validate our results.

A new model for predicting liver cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B virus carriers with low serum alanine transaminase activity

OBJECTIVES

To develop a cirrhosis-predicted model in chronic hepatitis B virus carriers with alanine transarninase (ALT) less than two times the upper limit of normal (ULN).

METHODS

Treatment-naive patients (n=278), who had undergone liver biopsies, were randomly divided into two groups - a training group and a validation group. Thirteen bio-clinical parameters were analyzed. A liver cirrhosis-predicting model (PPT model) was constructed using multivariate analysis. The diagnostic value of the model was analyzed by the receiving operating characteristics (ROC) method and compared with other available models.

RESULTS

A PPT model to predict liver cirrhosis was derived from three independent predictors of liver fibrosis [platelet count (PLT), prothrombin time (PT) and total bile acid (TBA)]. PPT model predicted cirrhosis with an area under the ROC (AUROC) curve of 0.83, a positive predictive value of 86.7% and a negative predictive value of 95.2%. Compared with APRI, FIB-4, age-AST model, AP index and APGA model, PPT model had the highest correlation coefficient (r=0.49) and greater predictive performance (AUROC of 0.83).

CONCLUSIONS

The PPT model was accurate in predicting cirrhosis and may reduce the need for liver biopsy in chronic hepatitis B virus carriers with ALT less than two times ULN.

Clinicobiochemical prediction of biopsy-proven cases of severe hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C infection

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate clinicobiochemical factors predicting severe hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection.

SETTING

Tertiary institution.

PARTICIPANTS

859 treatment-naïve Korean patients with HCV who underwent liver biopsy. Severe fibrosis was defined as fibrosis stage ≥3 based on the METAVIR system.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Clinicobiochemical factors predicting severe hepatic fibrosis.

RESULTS

The median serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level was 68 IU/L and body mass index (BMI) was 24.2 kg/m(2). Severe fibrosis was observed in 326 (39.7%) of the 859 patients. The frequencies of severe fibrosis were 0%, 37.8%, 41.9% and 42% in patients with serum ALT concentrations (IU/L) of ≤20, 20-30, 30-40 and >40 (p<0.01), respectively, and 10.7%, 19.8%, 30.5%, 39.2% and 55.6% in patients <30, 30-40, 40-50, 50-60 and ≥60 years old, respectively (p<0.01). Categorised age in years (50-60 (OR 4.26, p=0.03) and ≥60 (OR 7.53, p<0.01) compared with <30), categorised ALT level in IU/L (20-30 (OR 16.76, p<0.01), 30-40 (OR 20.02, p<0.01) and >40 (OR 21.49, p<0.01) compared with ≤20) and BMI >27.5 kg/m(2) (OR 1.65, p=0.03) were independently related to severe fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV. The severe fibrosis rate was 60.6% in patients aged ≥50 years with ALT >20 IU/L and BMI >27.5 kg/m(2).

CONCLUSIONS

More advanced age (≥50 years), obesity and serum ALT>20 IU/L are associated with severe fibrosis in patients with chronic HCV. Anti-HCV therapy may be considered for these patients without histological confirmation, regardless of HCV genotype. A wait-and-see policy may be justified for patients with serum ALT ≤20 IU/L.

Noninvasive scoring algorithm to identify significant liver fibrosis among treatment-naive chronic hepatitis C patients

AIMS

Staging for liver fibrosis is recommended in the management of hepatitis C as an argument for treatment priority. Our aim was to construct a noninvasive algorithm to predict the significant liver fibrosis (SLF) using common biochemical markers and compare it with some existing models.

METHODS

The study group included 104 consecutive cases; SLF was defined as Ishak fibrosis stage greater than 2. The patient population was assigned randomly to the training and the validation groups of 52 cases each. The training group was used to construct the algorithm from parameters with the best predictive value. Each parameter was assigned a score that was added to the noninvasive fibrosis score (NFS). The accuracy of NFS in predicting SLF was tested in the validation group and compared with APRI, FIB4, and Forns models.

RESULTS

Our algorithm used age, alkaline phosphatase, ferritin, APRI, α2 macroglobulin, and insulin and the NFS ranged from -4 to 5. The probability of SLF was 2.6 versus 77.1% in NFS<0 and NFS>0, leaving NFS=0 in a gray zone (29.8% of cases). The area under the receiver operating curve was 0.895 and 0.886, with a specificity, sensitivity, and diagnostic accuracy of 85.1, 92.3, and 87.5% versus 77.8, 100, and 87.9% for the training and the validation group. In comparison, the area under the receiver operating curve for APRI=0.810, FIB4=0.781, and Forns=0.703 with a diagnostic accuracy of 83.9, 72.3, and 62% and gray zone cases in 46.15, 37.5, and 44.2%.

CONCLUSION

We devised an algorithm to calculate the NFS to predict SLF with good accuracy, fewer cases in the gray zone, and a straightforward clinical interpretation. NFS could be used for the initial evaluation of the treatment priority.

Impact of contacting study authors to obtain additional data for systematic reviews: diagnostic accuracy studies for hepatic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Seventeen of 172 included studies in a recent systematic review of blood tests for hepatic fibrosis or cirrhosis reported diagnostic accuracy results discordant from 2 × 2 tables, and 60 studies reported inadequate data to construct 2 × 2 tables. This study explores the yield of contacting authors of diagnostic accuracy studies and impact on the systematic review findings.

METHODS

Sixty-six corresponding authors were sent letters requesting additional information or clarification of data from 77 studies. Data received from the authors were synthesized with data included in the previous review, and diagnostic accuracy sensitivities, specificities, and positive and likelihood ratios were recalculated.

RESULTS

Of the 66 authors, 68% were successfully contacted and 42% provided additional data for 29 out of 77 studies (38%). All authors who provided data at all did so by the third emailed request (ten authors provided data after one request). Authors of more recent studies were more likely to be located and provide data compared to authors of older studies. The effects of requests for additional data on the conclusions regarding the utility of blood tests to identify patients with clinically significant fibrosis or cirrhosis were generally small for ten out of 12 tests. Additional data resulted in reclassification (using median likelihood ratio estimates) from less useful to moderately useful or vice versa for the remaining two blood tests and enabled the calculation of an estimate for a third blood test for which previously the data had been insufficient to do so. We did not identify a clear pattern for the directional impact of additional data on estimates of diagnostic accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

We successfully contacted and received results from 42% of authors who provided data for 38% of included studies. Contacting authors of studies evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of serum biomarkers for hepatic fibrosis and cirrhosis in hepatitis C patients impacted conclusions regarding diagnostic utility for two blood tests and enabled the calculation of an estimate for a third blood test. Despite relatively extensive efforts, we were unable to obtain data to resolve discrepancies or complete 2 × 2 tables for 62% of studies.

Chronic hepatitis C and liver fibrosis

Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide and predisposes to liver fibrosis and end-stage liver complications. Liver fibrosis is the excessive accumulation of extracellular matrix proteins, including collagen, and is considered as a wound healing response to chronic liver injury. Its staging is critical for the management and prognosis of chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients, whose number is expected to rise over the next decades, posing a major health care challenge. This review provides a brief update on HCV epidemiology, summarizes basic mechanistic concepts of HCV-dependent liver fibrogenesis, and discusses methods for assessment of liver fibrosis that are routinely used in clinical practice. Liver biopsy was until recently considered as the gold standard to diagnose and stage liver fibrosis. However, its invasiveness and drawbacks led to the development of non-invasive methods, which include serum biomarkers, transient elastography and combination algorithms. Clinical studies with CHC patients demonstrated that non-invasive methods are in most cases accurate for diagnosis and for monitoring liver disease complications. Moreover, they have a high prognostic value and are cost-effective. Non-invasive methods for assessment of liver fibrosis are gradually being incorporated into new guidelines and are becoming standard of care, which significantly reduces the need for liver biopsy.

Limited reliability of five non-invasive biomarkers in predicting hepatic fibrosis in chronic HCV mono-infected patients opposed to METAVIR scoring

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy is gold standard for fibrosis assessment in hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection but its limitations led to the identification of non-invasive biomarkers. This study assesses the reliability of five biomarkers in estimating the stage of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis in chronic HCV patients versus METAVIR scoring.

METHODS

One hundred HCV monoinfected patients who underwent liver biopsy and blood sampling were included. Liver fibrosis was staged (F0-4) and required laboratory tests were performed. AAR, API, APRI, FIB-4 and Pohl score were calculated and their receiver operating curves (ROCs), sensitivities, specificities, predictive values and accuracies were evaluated.

RESULTS

There were 27, 44, and 29 patients at F0-F1, F2-F3, and F4 groups. Significant statistical differences were found regarding AST, vireamia, platelet count, prothrombin time and all biomarkers. From ROCs only Pohl score predicted significant fibrosis and cirrhosis but with low accuracy. AAR, API and APRI showed moderate performance at low cut-offs, but had limited predictive values or accuracies at higher cut-offs. FIB-4 was the least accurate test. The diagnostic reliability of these biomarkers was limited to patients with suspected insignificant fibrosis.

CONCLUSIONS

This study verified the limited reliability for AAR, API, APRI, FIB-4 and Pohl score in estimating the stage of hepatic fibrosis in HCV infected patients opposed to METAVIR scoring.

Noninvasive Biomarkers of Liver Fibrosis: An Overview

Chronic liver diseases of differing etiologies are among the leading causes of mortality and morbidity worldwide. Establishing accurate staging of liver disease is very important for enabling both therapeutic decisions and prognostic evaluations. A liver biopsy is considered the gold standard for assessing the stage of hepatic fibrosis, but it has many limitations. During the last decade, several noninvasive markers for assessing the stage of hepatic fibrosis have been developed. Some have been well validated and are comparable to liver biopsy. This paper will focus on the various noninvasive biochemical markers used to stage liver fibrosis.

Comparison of acoustic radiation force impulse/serum noninvasive markers for fibrosis prediction in liver transplant

OBJECTIVES

Fibrosis, related to several causes, can be diagnosed in children and adolescents' liver grafts that are >1 year old. At present, liver biopsy is the gold standard for assessing liver damage in the posttransplant setting. We aimed to evaluate the accuracy of noninvasive biomarkers of fibrosis, namely, acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI), aspartate-to-platelet ratio index, and aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio index, either alone or in combination, for predicting fibrosis in pediatric patients submitted to liver transplantation.

METHODS

We prospectively assessed liver fibrosis in 30 children/adolescents with liver transplant through biopsy (liver transplant follow-up during 12 months). ARFI with Virtual Touch Software (Acuson 2000) was performed, and blood samples were taken to determine liver function and platelet count. Two groups were analyzed according to the histopathologic stage of fibrosis, namely, none/mild (F0-F1) versus significant fibrosis (F2-4).

RESULTS

The mean age of the 30 patients was 11 years (3-18 years), with a mean posttransplant period of assessment of 6.5 years. Twenty-four patients (80%) presented stage F0-F1 fibrosis and 6 patients (20%) presented stage F2-4. The area under the curve using receiver operating characteristic analysis for ARFI, aspartate-to-platelet ratio index, and AST/ALT ratio index for significant fibrosis was 0.76 (P = 0.052), 0.74 (P = 0.066), and 0.69 (P = 0.162), respectively. Through multivariate logistic regression analysis, the only independent predictor of significant fibrosis was ARFI (odds ratio 10.7, 95% confidence interval 1.2-95.7; P = 0.045). The combination of ARFI and AST/ALT ratio index presented a good diagnostic accuracy of fibrosis (area under the curve of 0.83; P = 0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

ARFI may serve as a potential method for assessing significant fibrosis in pediatric patients with liver transplant, particularly in combination with AST/ALT ratio index.

Relationship between alcohol use categories and noninvasive markers of advanced hepatic fibrosis in HIV-infected, chronic hepatitis C virus-infected, and uninfected patients

BACKGROUND

It is unclear if the risk of liver disease associated with different levels of alcohol consumption is higher for patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV). We evaluated associations between alcohol use categories and advanced hepatic fibrosis, by HIV and chronic HCV status.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study among participants in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study who reported alcohol consumption at enrollment (701 HIV/HCV-coinfected; 1410 HIV-monoinfected; 296 HCV-monoinfected; 1158 HIV/HCV-uninfected). Alcohol use category was determined by the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption (AUDIT-C) questionnaire and alcohol-related diagnoses and was classified as nonhazardous drinking, hazardous/binge drinking, or alcohol-related diagnosis. Advanced hepatic fibrosis was defined by FIB-4 index >3.25.

RESULTS

Within each HIV/HCV group, the prevalence of advanced hepatic fibrosis increased as alcohol use category increased. For each alcohol use category, advanced hepatic fibrosis was more common among HIV-infected than uninfected (nonhazardous: 6.7% vs 1.4%; hazardous/binge: 9.5% vs 3.0%; alcohol-related diagnosis: 19.0% vs 8.6%; P < .01) and chronic HCV-infected than uninfected (nonhazardous: 13.6% vs 2.5%; hazardous/binge: 18.2% vs 3.1%; alcohol-related diagnosis: 22.1% vs 6.5%; P < .01) participants. Strong associations with advanced hepatic fibrosis (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval]) were observed among HIV/HCV-coinfected patients with nonhazardous drinking (14.2 [5.91-34.0]), hazardous/binge drinking (18.9 [7.98-44.8]), and alcohol-related diagnoses (25.2 [10.6-59.7]) compared with uninfected nonhazardous drinkers.

CONCLUSIONS

Advanced hepatic fibrosis was present at low levels of alcohol consumption, increased with higher alcohol use categories, and was more prevalent among HIV-infected and chronic HCV-infected patients than uninfected individuals. All alcohol use categories were strongly associated with advanced hepatic fibrosis in HIV/HCV-coinfected patients.

Impact of chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C on adverse hepatic fibrosis in hepatocellular carcinoma related to betel quid chewing

The pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) related to habitual betel quid (BQ) chewing is unclear. Risk of HCCis increased with adverse hepatic fibrosis. This study aimed to assess the impact of chronic viral hepatitis on adverse hepatic fibrosis in HCC related to BQ chewing. This hospital-based case-control study enrolled 200 pairs of age- and gender-matched patients with HCC and unrelated healthy controls. Serologic hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), antibodies to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV), α-fetoprotein (AFP), and surrogate markers for significant hepatic fibrosis were measured. Information on substance-use habits was obtained with a questionnaire. By analysis of surrogate markers for hepatic fibrosis, the prevalence of significant hepatic fibrosis in patients chewing BQ was between 45.8% and 91.7%, whereas that for patients without BQ chewing was between 18.4% and 57.9%. The difference was significant (P <0.05 for each surrogate marker). Multivariate analysis indicated that cirrhosis with Child-Pugh C (odds ratio (OR) = 3.28; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.29- 8.37), thrombocytopenia (OR = 3.92, 95% CI, 1.77-8.68), AFP >400 mg/L (OR = 2.21, 95% CI, 1.05-4.66) and male gender (OR = 4.06, 95% CI, 1.29-12.77) were independent factors associated with habitual BQ chewing. In conclusion, adverse hepatic fibrosis and severe liver damage play important roles in the pathogenesis of BQ- related HCC, which could be aggravated by chronic hepatitis B and hepatitis C. BQ-cessation programs and prevention of chronic HBV/HCV infection are needed to prevent HCC related to BQ chewing.

Biopsychosocial factors associated with pain in veterans with the hepatitis C virus

Little research has examined etiological factors associated with pain in patients with the hepatitis C virus (HCV). The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relationship between biopsychosocial factors and pain among patients with HCV. Patients with HCV and pain (n = 119) completed self-report measures of pain, mental health functioning, pain-specific psychosocial variables (pain catastrophizing, self-efficacy for managing pain, social support), prescription opioid use, and demographic characteristics. In multivariate models, biopsychosocial factors accounted for 37% of the variance in pain severity and 56% of the variance in pain interference. In adjusted models, factors associated with pain severity include pain catastrophizing and social support, whereas variables associated with pain interference were age, pain intensity, prescription opioid use, and chronic pain self-efficacy (all p values <0.05). The results provide empirical support for incorporating the biopsychosocial model in evaluating and treating chronic pain in patients with HCV.

Modified spleen stiffness measurement by transient elastography is associated with presence of large oesophageal varices in patients with compensated hepatitis C virus cirrhosis

To evaluate the accuracy of liver transient elastography (TE), spleen TE and other noninvasive tests (AAR, APRI score, platelet count, platelet/spleen ratio) in predicting the presence and the size of oesophageal varices in compensated hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis, we studied 112 consecutive patients with compensated HCV cirrhosis who underwent biochemical tests, gastrointestinal endoscopy, liver TE and spleen TE by Fibroscan(®) (Echosens, Paris, France) using a modified software version with a range between 1.5 and 150 kPa. Spleen TE was not reliable in 16 patients (14.3%). Among the 96 patients with a valid measurement (69.8% men, mean age: 63.2 ± 9.5 years), 43.7% had no oesophageal varices, 29.2% had grade 1% and 27.1% had grade 2 or grade 3 oesophageal varices. Patients with values of 75 kPa by standard spleen TE had mean values of modified spleen TE of 117 kPa (range: 81.7-149.5). Linear regression revealed a significant correlation between modified spleen TE and oesophageal varix size (r = 0.501; beta: 0.763, SE: 0.144; P < 0.001). On univariate analysis, the variables associated with grade 2/grade 3 oesophageal varices were AAR score, APRI score, platelet/spleen ratio, liver TE and modified spleen TE. On multivariate analysis, only modified spleen TE (OR: 1.026; 95% CI: 1.007-1.046; P = 0.006) and AAR (OR: 14.725; 95% CI: 1.928-112.459; P = 0.010) remained independently associated with grade 2/grade 3 oesophageal varices. Platelet/spleen ratio was the best predictor of oesophageal varices area under the ROC curve (AUROC: 0.763, cut-off: 800, sensitivity: 74%, specificity: 70%), while modified spleen TE was more accurate in predicting grade 2/grade 3 oesophageal varices (AUROC: 0.82, cut-off: 54.0 kPa, sensitivity: 80%, specificity: 70%). Portal hypertension increases spleen stiffness, and the measurement of modified spleen TE is an accurate, noninvasive tool for predicting the presence of large oesophageal varices in patients with compensated HCV cirrhosis.

Prediction of fibrosis in hepatitis C patients: assessment using hydroxyproline and oxidative stress biomarkers

This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), hydroxyproline (Hyp), malondialdhyde (MDA), superoxide dismutase (SOD), and total antioxidant status (TAS) biomarkers in comparison with Metavir scoring for assessing the severity of hepatic fibrosis in the HCV patients. The histological activity index (HAI) was evaluated in liver biopsy by Metavir scoring system in 150 patients with HCV. HCV initial screening, further genotyping and biochemical data analysis were performed in serum using ELISA and biochemical assays. Out of the 150 HCV patients in this study, the most prevalent HCV genotype was genotype 4 (97 %). The significant fibrosis was estimated in 83.3 % of patients using the Metavir scoring system. They classified into 40 % of patients with mild fibrosis (F0-F1); 60 % with significant fibrosis (F2-4) and 20 % had cirrhosis (F4). Patients with cirrhosis (F4) showed significant correlation (P < 0.001) with increase in ALT, AST, AST/ALT, Hyp, Hyp/platelet count ratio, APRI, MDA, older age, and decrease (P < 0.001) in SOD, TAS, and platelet count compared to other stages of liver fibrosis. In our population, using optimized cut-off values of AST/ALT, APRI, Hyp, MDA, SOD, and TAS, significant fibrosis could be predicted accurately with a range of (80-90 %), and cirrhosis with a range of (67-97 %) of HCV patients. Our study showed that, oxidative stress and Hyp markers could be useful as noninvasive diagnostic markers in the assessment of hepatic fibrosis.

Liver elastography, comments on EFSUMB elastography guidelines 2013

Recently the European Federation of Societies for Ultrasound in Medicine and Biology Guidelines and Recommendations have been published assessing the clinical use of ultrasound elastography. The document is intended to form a reference and to guide clinical users in a practical way. They give practical advice for the use and interpretation. Liver disease forms the largest section, reflecting published experience to date including evidence from meta-analyses with shear wave and strain elastography. In this review comments and illustrations on the guidelines are given.

Serum Serotonin Levels are Associated with Antiviral Therapy Outcomes in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C

The role of serotonin in contributing to viral clearance has not been investigated in patients with chronic hepatitis C (HCV). In this prospective study we collected blood samples from 39 patients prior to and during antiviral therapy. Participants completed mood rating scales to monitor psychiatric symptoms, and serum serotonin and tryptophan levels were measured. Significant differences in serotonin levels were found between patients who achieved sustained viral responses (SVRs) and those who did not. Regression analysis revealed that serotonin was the only variable with a statistically significant relationship with antiviral therapy outcomes, even after controlling for other variables known to be associated with outcomes. Baseline serum serotonin levels, in combination with other variables such as degree of liver fibrosis, may be clinically useful for identifying patients in whom HCV can be cleared by antiviral therapy. Additional clinical predictors that could forecast treatment success are needed so that interventions to improve SVR rates, and reduce side effects, can be developed.

Magnetic resonance elastography for staging liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis C

PURPOSE

We evaluated the use of magnetic resonance (MR) elastography (MRE) for staging liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C and compared the ability of MRE and serum fibrosis markers for discriminating each stage of fibrosis.

METHODS

We evaluated 114 patients with chronic hepatitis C in whom the pathological fibrosis stage was determined (fibrosis stage 0 [F0], 3; F1, 15; F2, 28; F3, 25; and F4, 43). All patients underwent MRE using a 1.5-tesla MR system and pneumatic driver system. We measured stiffness values (kPa) of the liver in a circular region of interest placed on elastograms. We determined the optimal cutoff value and diagnostic ability for discriminating each stage of fibrosis using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and compared the discriminative ability of MRE with that of serum fibrosis markers.

RESULTS

The mean stiffness values of the liver increased with stage of fibrosis: F0, 2.10±0.10 kPa; F1, 2.42±0.29 kPa; F2, 3.16±0.32 kPa; F3, 4.21±0.78 kPa; and F4, 6.20±1.08 kPa. The mean area under the ROC curve (Az) values for discriminating liver fibrosis stages were: ≥F1, 0.984 (95% confidence interval, 0.933-0.996); ≥F2, 0.986 (0.956-0.996); ≥F3, 0.973 (0.935-0.989); and ≥F4, 0.976 (0.945-0.990). The Az values for discriminating fibrosis stages were significantly higher for MRE than serum fibrosis markers.

CONCLUSION

MRE is a reliable technique for staging liver fibrosis and discriminating liver fibrosis stages in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

Noninvasive fibrosis indices predict intrahepatic distant recurrence of hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma following radiofrequency ablation

BACKGROUNDS & AIMS

Intrahepatic recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after radiofrequency ablation (RFA) occurs as a result of direct dissemination or de novo oncogenesis. Hepatocellular carcinogenesis is related to the progression of cirrhosis, and noninvasive fibrosis scoring systems reflect the severity of hepatic fibrosis. Hence, the aim of this study was to elucidate the correlation between noninvasive fibrosis indices and intrahepatic distant recurrence (IDR) of HCC after RFA.

METHODS

Patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related, solitary HCC undergoing RFA were prospectively enrolled. Noninvasive serum fibrosis indices were calculated at the time of RFA. IDR was defined as recurrent HCC beyond >2 cm from the ablation margin of RFA. Predictors of IDR and overall survival were analysed by a Cox regression model.

RESULTS

Two hundred forty-six patients received RFA as initial treatment, and the median follow-up duration was 19.7 months (IQR, 11.9-29.8). Among these cases, 133 (45.9%) showed IDR after RFA. In multivariable analysis, serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (HR, 1.000; 95% CI, 1.000-1.001; P = 0.001) and age-platelet index (API) (1.19; 1.01-1.39; P = 0.033) were independent predictors of IDR. In particular, patients with API ≤7 showed a significantly higher recurrence-free survival rate than patients with API >7 (P = 0.004). With regard to overall survival, male sex (4.69; 1.52-14.52; P = 0.007), serum bilirubin (2.78; 1.31-5.90; P = 0.008) and AFP (1.000; 1.000-1.001; P = 0.006) were significantly correlated with shortened survival.

CONCLUSION

High levels of AFP and API predict IDR of HBV-related HCC after RFA. Therefore, noninvasive fibrosis indices could play an important role in predicting IDR of HCC following percutaneous ablation.

A Simple Noninvasive Score Based on Routine Parameters can Predict Liver Cirrhosis in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Liver biopsy has remained the gold standard for the diagnosis of chronic hepatitis C; even though, it has a low but non-negligible rate of both false negative and complications. Several authors have proposed noninvasive tools to diagnose cirrhosis. But none of them showed complete concordance with liver biopsy.

OBJECTIVES

To devise a score based on noninvasive routine parameters that discriminate between patients with a high risk, and those with a low risk of cirrhosis among patients with chronic hepatitis C without performing liver biopsy, and to compare this score with other ones using routine parameters devoted to this aim.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed the charts of patients with chronic hepatitis C who performed a liver biopsy between 2000 and 2004. Multivariate analysis was used to identify independent predictors of cirrhosis. An independent group of patients with chronic hepatitis C admitted for a liver biopsy between 2007 and 2012 constituted the validation set.

RESULTS

We enrolled 249 patients who had complete laboratoristic data, and sufficient liver tissue for fibrosis staging. Age, AST, prothrombin activity, and platelets were identified as independent predictors of histological cirrhosis. We categorized these variables, and devised a novel score called CISCUN (Cirrhosis Score University of Naples), giving one point to each of the following predictors: age > 40 years; AST > 2 upper normal values; platelet count < 160.000/mmc; prothrombin activity < 100%. Cirrhosis rate was 2.9% for the 103 patients with a CISCUN = 0 or 1, 23.4% for the 124 patients with a CISCUN of 2 or 3, and 86.4% for the 22 patients with a CISCUN = 4. These results were confirmed in the independent validation group of 285 patients with similar characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with chronic hepatitis C and with a CISCUN ≤ 1 had a very low rate of cirrhosis while those with a CISCUN = 4 had a high risk of cirrhosis. Patients with CISCUN = 2 or 3 had an intermediate rate of cirrhosis, and therefore needed to perform a liver biopsy to receive a reliable diagnosis.

Noninvasive diagnosis of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND

We aimed to derive a simple noninvasive test for liver-fibrosis staging and then estimate its performance against four simple noninvasive tests in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients.

METHODS

CHC patients were divided into two cohorts: an estimation set (n = 324) and a validation set (n = 524). Liver fibrosis was staged according to the METAVIR scoring system. Statistical analysis was done using stepwise linear discriminant analysis and area under receiver-operating characteristic curves (AUCs).

RESULTS

Biotechnology Research Center (BRC) score was constructed combining several blood markers that proved useful to stage liver fibrosis. Aspartate aminotransferase /alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), aspartate to platelet ratio index (APRI), Fibro-α, King, and BRC scores correlated with the histological fibrosis stages with correlation coefficient 0.26, 0.36, 0.58, 0.45, and 0.73, respectively. BRC score produced AUCs 0.87, 0.83, and 0.89 for significant (F2-F4), advanced fibrosis (F3-F4), and cirrhosis (F4), respectively. These results were reproduced in the validation study with no significant difference yielding AUCs 0.85 for F2-F4, 0.82 for F3-F4, and 0.88 for F4.

CONCLUSION

BRC score, a novel noninvasive test, is a useful and easy tool to evaluate liver fibrosis in CHC patients and seems more efficient than AAR, APRI, Fibro-α score, and King's score in this group of Egyptian patients.

Diabetes mellitus, metabolic syndrome and obesity are not significant risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma in an HBV- and HCV-endemic area of Southern Taiwan

A prominent factor in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is chronic infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV). Diabetes mellitus (DM), metabolic syndrome (MetS), and obesity have also been implicated in HCC development, but these associations are not observed in all HBV- and HCV-endemic areas. We attempted to clarify the role of these factors in HCC development in an HBV- and HCV-endemic area in southern Taiwan. A community-based health examination was conducted in 2004 in Tainan County. After individuals with incomplete data and those with known HCC were excluded, there were 56,231 participants who were over 40 years of age. A further 262 HCC cases were identified from the National Cancer Registration Database records from 2005 to 2007. The hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seropositivity, anti-HCV seropositivity, platelet count, serum biochemical data, blood pressure, sociodemographic information, and anthropometric measurements were analyzed. Survival analyses were used to identify the associations between these factors and HCC. For the 262 HCC cases, male gender and age greater than 65 years were risk factors. Furthermore, a high alanine aminotransferase level, chronic HBV and/or HCV infection, and liver cirrhosis were also risk factors for HCC. However, DM, MetS and obesity were not associated with HCC development in the non-HBV-/non-HCV-infected, HBV, HCV, or dual B/C groups. In this HBV- and HCV- endemic area, DM, MetS and obesity were not risk factors for developing HCC.

Serum bile acid levels as a predictor for the severity of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C

Serum bile acids (SBAs) are commonly elevated in cholestatic liver diseases, but it is unclear if SBA levels are also elevated in noncholestatic chronic liver diseases and whether those levels correlate with disease severity. We analysed SBA levels of 135 consecutive patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection and correlated these levels with the degree of liver fibrosis as determined by liver biopsy. In addition, we assessed the accuracy of SBA levels as a noninvasive predictor for liver fibrosis by its comparison to the patients' FibroTest scores. Two-thirds (90/135 patients, 67%) of the study patients had nonsevere liver fibrosis (Metavir F0-F2), and the others (45/135, 33%) had severe fibrosis or cirrhosis (Metavir F3-F4). The SBA levels were significantly higher in patients with severe fibrosis as compared to nonsevere fibrosis (11.46 ± 10.01 vs 6.37 ± 4.69, P < 0.0001). Furthermore, a receiver operator characteristics curve based on a model that included serum bile acids, age, body mass index, serum AST, glucose and cholesterol levels suggested that this combination reliably predicts the degree of liver fibrosis and is not inferior to the current noninvasive FibroTest score (areas under the curve of 0.837 vs 0.83, respectively, P = 0.87). We conclude that measurement of SBA levels may have a clinical role as a simple noninvasive tool to assess the severity of HCV-induced liver disease. Combined with widely available laboratory parameters, SBA levels can predict disease severity with a high degree of accuracy.