The preterm prediction study: quantitative fetal fibronectin values and the prediction of spontaneous preterm birth. The National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network

What we have learned from an antibiotic trial in fetal fibronectin positive women

Clinically silent upper genital tract microbial infections have been strongly associated with spontaneous preterm delivery, especially prior to 32 weeks gestational age. This condition represents a potentially preventable or reversible cause of preterm birth using safe, readily available, and inexpensive antibiotics. Fetal fibronectin detected in cervical and vaginal secretions between 22 to 24 weeks' gestation is a powerful predictor of subsequent risk for spontaneous preterm delivery. Evidence indicates that the detection of fetal fibronectin in cervical/vaginal secretions could represent a marker for clinically silent upper genital tract microbial infection. Thus, the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units (NICHD MFMU) Network performed a randomized clinical trial to determine if antibiotic treatment (metronidazole plus erythromycin) of asymptomatic women with a positive cervical or vaginal fetal fibronectin test in early pregnancy will reduce the risk of spontaneous preterm delivery. No significant difference was observed between the antibiotic- and placebo-treated groups for spontaneous preterm delivery before 37 week's gestation (relative risk 1.17, 95% confidence interval 0.80-1.70). Therefore, use of the fetal fibronectin test to identify women for antibiotic treatment in an effort to prevent preterm birth should be discouraged, and current clinical use of the fetal fibronectin test should be limited to its negative predictive value.

What we have learned about the predictors of preterm birth

The Preterm Prediction Study conducted by the Maternal Fetal Medicine Network between 1993 and 1996 studied a large number of risk factors for preterm birth in more than 3,000 women at 10 centers. The goals of the study were to better understand the strength of one risk factor versus another and to explore interactions among the predictors looking for combinations of factors that were more predictive of preterm birth than any single factor used alone. The most potent factors that were associated with spontaneous preterm birth at < 32 weeks were a positive cervical-vaginal fetal fibronectin test (odds ratio, 32.7) and < l0th percentile cervical length (odds ratio, 5.8), and in serum, > 90th percentiles of alpha-fetoprotein (odds ratio, 8.3) and alkaline phosphatase (odds ratio, 6.8), and > 75th percentile of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (odds ratio, 5.5). Results for spontaneous preterm birth at < 35 weeks were generally similar but not as strong. The overlap among the strongest biologic markers for predicting spontaneous preterm birth was small. This suggests that the use of tests such as maternal alpha-fetoprotein, alkaline phosphatase, and granulocyte colony-stimulating factor as a group or adding their results to fetal fibronectin and cervical length test results may enhance our ability to predict spontaneous preterm birth and that the development of a multiple-marker test for spontaneous preterm birth is feasible.

Randomized clinical trial of metronidazole plus erythromycin to prevent spontaneous preterm delivery in fetal fibronectin-positive women

OBJECTIVE

To estimate whether antibiotic treatment of asymptomatic women with a positive cervical or vaginal fetal fibronectin test in the second trimester would reduce the risk of spontaneous preterm delivery.

METHODS

Women were screened between 21 weeks 0 days and 25 weeks 6 days of gestation with cervical or vaginal swabs for fetal fibronectin. Women with a positive test (50 ng/mL or more) were randomized to receive metronidazole (250 mg orally three times per day) and erythromycin (250 mg orally four times per day) or identical placebo pills for 10 days. The primary outcome was spontaneous delivery before 37 weeks' gestation after preterm labor or premature membrane rupture.

RESULTS

A total of 16,317 women were screened for fetal fibronectin, and 6.6% had a positive test; 715 fetal fibronectin test-positive women consented to randomization. Outcome data were available for 703 women: 347 in the antibiotic group and 356 in the placebo group. The antibiotic and placebo groups were not significantly different for maternal age (P =.051), ethnicity (P =.849), marital status (P =.127), education (P =.244), and bacterial vaginosis (P =.236). No difference was observed in spontaneous preterm birth before 37 weeks' (odds ratio [OR] 1.17, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80, 1.70), less than 35 weeks' (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.54, 1.56), or less than 32 weeks' (OR 1.94, 95% CI 0.83, 4.52) gestation in antibiotic- compared with placebo-treated women. Among women with a prior spontaneous preterm delivery, the rate of repeat spontaneous preterm delivery at less than 37 weeks' gestation was significantly higher in the active drug compared with the placebo group (46.7% versus 23.9%, P =.039).

CONCLUSION

Treatment with metronidazole plus erythromycin of asymptomatic women with a positive cervical or vaginal fetal fibronectin test in the late second trimester does not decrease the incidence of spontaneous preterm delivery.

Cervical screening for preterm delivery

The ability of sonographic cervical length screening to detect those at risk of spontaneous preterm delivery has been extensively explored over the past few years. This applies both to high-risk and low-risk groups. Cervical length measurement appears to be superior to biochemical, microbiological or hormonal methods of screening. The screening technique has been standardized, but the cervical length for intervention and the timing and nature of intervention have not been defined. Cervical cerclage appears to be of use to prevent or arrest the progress of cervical dilation in high-risk cases, but the management of the screen-positive low-risk case has yet to be determined. Future management may be stratified according to actual cervical length, and prospective randomized trials of treatment for the short cervix are needed.

Preterm labour

Studies in the past year have clarified the roles of inflammatory mediators in preterm labour. Exploration of possible genetic predisposition is just beginning. Ultrasound measurement of cervical length has the potential to predict women at risk of preterm delivery several weeks before it occurs. Biochemical testing such as fetal fibronectin can possibly increase its predictive value and differentiate true preterm labour from more innocent preterm contractions. The use of antibiotics for preterm premature rupture of membranes has been clarified with the ORACLE I trial, which shows health benefits for the neonate with the use of erythromycin, whereas antibiotics do not seem to play a beneficial role in spontaneous preterm labour without evidence of clinical infection. There have been further studies suggesting that agents other than beta-agonists are preferable for acute tocolysis and that repeated doses of corticosteroids should be used with caution.

The role of thrombin in preterm parturition

OBJECTIVE

Previous reports from our laboratory have shown that thrombin is a potent uterotonic agonist; those studies have suggested a role for thrombin during parturition, especially with regard to intrauterine bleeding. Thrombin activation can be quantified in peripheral blood by measurement of thrombin-antithrombin III (TAT) complex levels. This study sought to determine whether thrombin activation, as measured by thrombin-antithrombin III levels, is associated with premature labor.

STUDY DESIGN

Thrombin-antithrombin III levels were measured in patients and control subjects with preterm labor. Quantitative TAT levels were determined by use of an enzyme-linked immunoassay with a working range from 0 to 60 ng/mL. All patients were monitored for pregnancy outcome. Receiver operating curve analysis was performed to determine the optimal TAT cutoff values. Further statistical analyses with one-way ANOVA, the chi2 test, or the Fisher exact test were performed to determine statistical significance (P <.05).

RESULTS

Patients admitted with preterm labor who were subsequently delivered within 3 weeks had significantly higher mean TAT levels (7.80 +/- 2.86 ng/mL; P <.05) than control subjects (5.77 +/- 1.43 mL) or patients with preterm labor who were not delivered within 3 weeks of presentation with preterm labor (5.57 +/- 1.69 ng/mL; P <.05). Given a diagnosis of preterm labor, a TAT level of 8.0 ng/mL had a positive predictive value of 80% for delivery within 3 weeks of enrollment.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that TAT levels are elevated in patients with preterm labor who are destined to deliver before term. These results suggest that preterm labor resulting in premature delivery is associated with the activation of thrombin. Future studies will further elucidate the role of thrombin in preterm parturition and confirm whether tests for thrombin activation can accurately identify those patients destined for preterm delivery.

The Preterm Prediction Study: toward a multiple-marker test for spontaneous preterm birth

OBJECTIVE

The Preterm Prediction Study evaluated 28 potential biologic markers for spontaneous preterm birth in asymptomatic women at 23 to 24 weeks gestational age. This analysis compares those markers individually and in combination for an association with spontaneous preterm birth at <32 and <35 weeks gestational age.

STUDY DESIGN

With the use of a nested case-control design from an original cohort study of 2929 women, results of tests from 50 women with a spontaneous preterm birth at <32 weeks and 127 women with a spontaneous preterm birth at <35 weeks were compared with results from matched-term control subjects.

RESULTS

In the univariate analysis, the most potent markers that are associated with spontaneous preterm birth at <32 weeks by odds ratio were a positive cervical-vaginal fetal fibronectin test (odds ratio, 32.7) and <10th percentile cervical length (odds ratio, 5.8), and in serum, >90th percentiles of alpha-fetoprotein (odds ratio, 8.3) and alkaline phosphatase (odds ratio, 6.8), and >75th percentile of granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (odds ratio, 5.5). Results for spontaneous preterm birth at <35 weeks were generally similar but not as strong. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses demonstrated little interaction among the tests in their association with spontaneous preterm birth. Combinations of the 5 markers were evaluated for their association with <32 weeks spontaneous preterm birth. Ninety-three percent of case patients had at least 1 positive test result versus 34% of control subjects (odds ratio, 24.0; 95% CI, 6.4-93.4). Among the case patients, 59% had >or=2 positive test results versus 2.4% of control subjects (odds ratio, 56.5; 95% CI, 7.1-451.7). If a cutoff of 3 positive test results was used, 20% of case patients and none of the control subjects had positive test results (P < .002). With the use of only the 3 serum tests (alkaline phosphatase, alpha-fetoprotein, and granulocyte colony-stimulating factor), any positive test identified 81% of cases versus 22% of control subjects (odds ratio, 14.7; 95% CI, 5.0-42.7). For spontaneous preterm birth at <35 weeks gestation, any 2 positive tests identified 43% of cases and 6% of control subjects (odds ratio, 11.2; 95% CI, 4.8-26.2).

CONCLUSION

Overlap among the strongest biologic markers for spontaneous preterm birth is small. This suggests that the use of tests such as maternal serum alpha-fetoprotein, alkaline phosphatase, and granulocyte colony-stimulating factor as a group or adding their results to fetal fibronectin test and cervical length test results may enhance our ability to predict spontaneous preterm birth and that the development of a multiple-marker test for spontaneous preterm birth is feasible.