Clinical and Pathologic Predictors of Lymph Node Metastasis and Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Papillary thyroid microcarcinomas that metastasize to lymph nodes

PURPOSE

We aimed to determine clinicopathological features that can predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMC).

METHODS

Medical records of 872 patients with papillary thyroid cancer >1 cm (PTC > 1 cm) and 1184 patients with papillary thyroid microcancer (PTMC) (≤1 cm) were reviewed retrospectively. Demographical, clinical and histopathological features of (PTC > 1 cm) and PTMC were compared. Association between clinicopathological features and LNM in PTMC was investigated.

RESULTS

The median age of patients with PTMC was significantly higher than patients with PTC > 1 cm (49 vs 46 years old, p < 0.001). Multifocality, capsular invasion, vascular invasion, extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and LNM were more frequent in patients with PTC > 1 cm compared to patients with PMTC (p < 0.001 for each). In PTMC group, those with LNM had significantly higher proportion of multifocality, capsular invasion, vascular invasion and ETE compared to those without LNM (p = 0.007, <0.001, p = 0.011 and p < 0.001, respectively). Multifocality and ETE were significant factors for LNM with logistic regression analysis. Multifocality increased the risk of LNM by 1.737 times (95% CI: 1.079-2.979) and ETE increased the risk by 3.528 times (95%: 1.914-6.503). Primary tumor diameter ≥ 5.75 mm was predictive for LNM with a sensitivity of 0.782 and a specificity of 0.517 in PTMC.

CONCLUSIONS

LNM should be investigated more carefully in patients with PTMC in the presence of tumor diameter ≥ 5.75 mm, multifocality or ETE.

Investigation and management of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma - a Scottish regional case series and literature review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma is defined as papillary thyroid cancer with a diameter of ≤1 cm. Despite its prevalence, there is wide variation in practice in the investigation and management of patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma throughout the UK and internationally. The primary aim of this paper is to describe the experience of investigation and management in a Scottish health board over the past 10 years.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Retrospective analysis of thyroidectomy and hemithyroidectomy resection samples from March 2009 to March 2020. 532 specimens were reviewed and 20 patients with PTMC were identified. 12 patients had an incidental finding of PTMC. Median U score- 3, Median Thy score- 2.5 for dominant or radiologically suspicious nodules. 8 specimens demonstrated aggressive histopathological features. 1 patient with positive nodal disease in the neck and 0 patients with positive nodal disease in the thorax on CT Neck and Chest.

CONCLUSION

Here we report the first UK Cohort describing the radiological investigation and management of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. The results of our study are in accordance with a recent meta-analysis which found 4% nodal disease and 0.025% distant metastasis at time of presentation in patients with PTMC.

Extent of Surgery and the Prognosis of Unilateral Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

It remains controversial whether patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) benefit from total thyroidectomy (TT) or thyroid lobectomy (TL). We aimed to investigate the impact of extent of surgery on the prognosis of patients with unilateral PTMC. Patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2004 to 2015. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated by Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier curves with propensity score matching. Of 31167 PTMC patients enrolled, 22.2% and 77.8% of which underwent TL and TT, respectively. Patients with TT were more likely to be younger, females, present tumors of multifocality, extrathyroidal extension, cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM), distant metastasis, and receive radioactive iodine (RAI) compared with those receiving TL. The multivariate Cox regression model showed that TT was not associated with an improved CSS and OS compared with TL with hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.53 (0.25-1.12) and 0.86 (0.72-1.04), respectively. In addition, the Kaplan-Meier curves further confirmed the similar survival between TL and TT after propensity score matching. The subgroup analysis showed that TT was associated with better CSS for patients < 55 years, those with tumors of gross extrathyroidal extension, CLNM (N1b), and cases not receiving RAI with HR 95% CI of 0.13 (0.02-0.81), 0.12 (0.02-0.66), 0.11 (0.02-0.64) and 0.36 (0.13-0.90), respectively. TT predicted a trend of better OS for patients with N1b and distant metastasis after adjustment. In addition, TT was associated with better CSS than TL for patients with risk factors like N1b combined with gross extrathyroidal extension, and/or multifocality after matching. In conclusion, TL may be enough for low-risk PTMC patients. TT may improve the prognosis of unilateral PTMC patients with 2 or more risk clinicopathologic factors like CLNM, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension and a younger age compared with TL.

Dynamic Nomogram for Predicting Lateral Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To establish a dynamic nomogram based on preoperative clinical data for prediction of lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective study.

SETTING

The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University.

METHODS

The data of 477 patients from 2 centers formed the training group and validation group and were retrospectively reviewed. Preoperative clinical factors influencing LLNM were identified by univariable and multivariable analysis and were to construct a predictive dynamic nomogram for LLNM. Receiver operating characteristic analysis and calibration curves were used to evaluate the predictive power of the nomogram.

RESULTS

The following were identified as independent risk factors for LLNM: male sex (odds ratio [OR] = 4.6, P = .04), tumor size ≥10.5 mm (OR = 7.9, P = .008), thyroid nodules (OR = 6.1, P = .013), irregular tumor shape (OR = 24.6, P = .001), rich lymph node vascularity (OR = 9.7, P = .004), and lymph node location. The dynamic nomogram constructed with these factors is available at https://zxh1119.shinyapps.io/DynNomapp/. The nomogram showed good performance, with an area under the curve of 0.956 (95% CI, 0.925-0.986), a sensitivity of 0.87, and a specificity of 0.91, if high-risk patients were defined as those with a predicted probability ≥0.3 or total score ≥200. The nomogram performed well in the external validation cohort (area under the curve, 0.915; 95% CI, 0.862-0.967).

CONCLUSIONS

The dynamic nomogram for preoperative prediction of LLNM in papillary thyroid carcinoma can help surgeons identify high-risk patients and develop individualized treatment plans.

Added Value of Postoperative Radioiodine Scan for Staging and Risk Stratification in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Objective

The complete staging and risk stratification of Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is usually not done due to its theoretically low recurrence rates. This study aimed to determine the value of postoperative radioiodine diagnostic scan and SPECT/CT for the accurate staging and risk stratification in PTMC patients.

Methodology

This study was a retrospective review of PTMC patients from January 2014 to May 2017 who underwent I-131 scans. All PTMC patients were initially staged by the 8^th edition AJCC/TNM staging system and risk-stratified, based on clinical information, histopathology and stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg). After I-131 scan, staging and risk stratification were re-assessed. The proportion of patients who ended up with a higher stage and risk stratification were reported.

Results and Conclusion

Fifty-two patients were included. The overall upgrading of cancer stage was 7.7 %. The overall higher risk stratification was 19.2% with radioiodine-avid lymph node, lung, and bone metastases. Neck and paratracheal node metastases were found in 37.3% of the initial low-risk patients with sTg less than 5 ng/mL. Lung metastasis was found in the initial intermediate-risk patient. The I-131 scan helps to localize metastatic lesions and results in a higher stage in 50% of the initial high-risk patients. This study provides some evidence showing the value of postoperative radioiodine WBS for accurate staging and risk stratification in PTMC patients. Larger studies with analytical design should be further performed to prove its significant utility.

Minimal extrathyroid extension in papillary micro carcinoma of the thyroid is an independent risk factor for relapse through lymph node and distant metastases

Aims: Minimal extrathyroid extension (mETE) is no longer considered in the new 8th edition of the AJCC/UICC staging system. Therefore, papillary thyroid microcarcinoma with mETE previously staged as pT3 will now be staged as pT1a and most likely not receive adjuvant radioiodine therapy. However, it remains unclear if mETE is associated with higher aggressiveness in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate if mETE is associated with higher risk of lymph node or distant metastases. Methods: 721 patients with thyroid papillary microcarcinoma presenting at our department for postoperative counseling from 05/1983 to 8/2012 were included in this retrospective analysis (median follow-up time 9.30 years). The impact of mETE on the presence of lymph node metastases at thyroidectomy and relapse through lymph node and distant metastases was assessed by logistic regression and Fine-Gray model analyses. Results: 10.7% (n = 77) of patients had mETE. mETE was an independent risk factor for lymph node metastases at thyroidectomy with an adjusted odds ratio of 4.33 (95%CI: 2.02-9.60, p<0.001) in multivariable analysis. Patients with mETE had significantly more relapses through lymph node (over 5 years: 13.1% vs. 1.25%; P < 0.001) and distant metastases (over 5 years: 7.8% vs. 1.1%; P < 0.001) compared to patients without mETE. mETE was an independent risk factor for relapse through lymph node and distant metastases in multivariable analysis (hazard ratio: 7.78, 95%CI: 2.87-21.16, p< 0.001 and 4.09, 95%CI: 1.25-13.36, P = 0.020). Conclusion: mETE is a statistically significant and independent risk factor for relapse through lymph node and distant metastases in papillary microcarcinoma. Therefore, future studies should evaluate, if patients with mETE and microcarcinoma might benefit from intensified surveillance and therapy.

Prediction of ipsilateral lateral cervical lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma: a combined dual-energy CT and thyroid function indicators study

BACKGROUND

Predicting the possibility of ipsilateral lateral cervical lymph node metastasis (ipsi-LLNM) was crucial to the operation plan for patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). This study aimed to investigate the independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM in PTC patients by combining dual-energy computed tomography (DECT) with thyroid function indicators.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 406 patients with a pathological diagnosis of PTC from Jan 2016 to Dec 2019. Ensure the DECT images were clear and the thyroid function indicators were complete. Univariate and multivariate logistic analyses explored the independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM. To evaluate the cutoff value of each risk factor by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

A total of 406 patients with PTC were analyzed, including 128 with ipsi-LLNM and 278 without ipsi-LLNM. There were statistical differences of parameters between the two groups (P < .0001), including serum Tg, Anti-Tg, Anti-TPO, the volume of the primary lesion, calcification, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and iodine concentration (IC) in the arterial and the venous phases. Independent risk factors for ipsi-LLNM included serum Tg, Anti-Tg, ETE, and IC in the arterial and the venous phases (P < .05). The combined application of the above independent risk factors can predict the possibility of ipsi-LLNM, with an AUC of 0.834. Ipsi-LLNM was more likely to occur when the following conditions were met: with ETE, Tg >  100.01 ng/mL, Anti-Tg >  89.43 IU/mL, IC in arterial phase > 3.4 mg/mL and IC in venous phase > 3.1 mg/mL.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined application of DECT quantitative parameters and thyroid function indicators can help clinicians accurately predict ipsi-LLNM before surgery, thereby assisting the individualized formulation of surgical procedures.

A Comparison of the Seventh and Eighth Editions of the AJCC Staging Systems to Predict Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma has been constantly rising in recent decades. The tumor, node, metastasis staging system is designed to predict prognosis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma. Recent studies have shown that the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition is superior to the 7th edition for predicting tumor recurrence in PTC patients. To date, whether the 8th edition is also better able to predict recurrence in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) remains unclear.

METHOD

We enrolled 1007 cases from our thyroid cancer database in the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, from 1997 to 2011. Univariable and multivariate Cox hazard regression analyses were used to identify the association between variables and recurrence. Disease-free survival was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

A total of 1007 PTMC patients were enrolled, with a median follow-up of 67 months. Of 93 (9.2%) patients downstaged by the changes in versions, 49 (52.7%) were downstaged because the age-at-diagnosis cut-off used for staging increased from 45 to 55 years, while 35 (37.6%) were downstaged due to the weakening of the effects of lymph node metastasis. The recurrence rate of PTMC was 4.17%. Univariate Cox hazards regression analyses showed that TNM stage according to the AJCC 8th edition was significantly associated with recurrence, while the recurrence survival curves showed that TNM stage (stage I vs. stage II-IV) according to the AJCC 8th edition, but not the 7th edition, was significantly associated with disease-free survival (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The AJCC 8th edition has better ability to predict recurrence in PTMC patients than the 7th edition.

Long-term scintigraphic and clinical follow up in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer and iodine avid bone metastases

AIM

The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term overall therapy outcomes and clinicopathological risk factors in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) and iodine avid bone metastases.

METHODS

Our study included 93 patients [female to male ratio (2:1)]. All patients were subjected to clinical examination, laboratory assessment, I-131 whole body scan, and neck ultrasound. Iodine avid metastases were treated with successive radioactive iodine-131 (RAI-131) doses. The overall response was defined as complete response (CR), incomplete response (IR) [partial response (PR) and stable disease (SD)], and progressive disease (PD).

RESULTS

Fifty-four patients had follicular carcinoma and 39 with papillary type. Isolated bone metastases, bone and lung metastases, and multi-organ metastases were found in 45, 34, and 14 patients, respectively. The overall CR, PR, SD, and PD were found in 8.6%, 28%, 46.2%, and 17.2% patients, respectively. Adjunctive radiotherapy resulted in more CR, IR, and low PD rates compared to RAI-131 therapy (9.0%, 78.3%, 12.7% vs. 7.9%, 56.8%, and 23.7%, respectively) (P = 0.03). The overall survival rate was 88.2% and median follow-up period was 123 months. Female patients, papillary carcinoma, and single focal lesion had better overall response rate. Males, extrathyroidal extension, vascular invasion, and lymph nodes metastases had increased PD and decreased global response rates.

CONCLUSION

Despite of low CR rate (8.6%), most patients with DTC and iodine avid bone metastases had SD (46.2%) and long lived (88.2%). Adjunctive radiotherapy reduced PD and improved outcome. Males, extra thyroid extension and vascular invasion were bad prognostic factors.

The Impact of Coexistent Hashimoto's Thyroiditis on Central Compartment Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) is the most prevalent inflammatory disorder of the thyroid gland. Current studies have reported the coexistence rate between HT and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is quite high. The objective of this study was to evaluate the impact of HT on the predictive factors of central compartment lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTC.

METHODS

A retrospective investigation was performed on PTC patients. They were subclassified into HT and non-HT groups. The results of preoperative neck ultrasound (US) examinations were reviewed. The clinical characteristics and the predictive value for CLNM were explored and compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

A total of 756 patients were included in this study. There were more female patients (86.1%) in the PTC coexistent with the HT group than non-HT group. The patients with HT group had higher preoperative serum level of TSH. There was statistically significant difference between the HT patients and non-HT patients in nodular vascularization. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that male, age ≤45 years old, tumor diameter >1 cm, and presence of suspicious central compartment lymph node on US, irregular nodular shape, multifocal carcinoma were independent predictive factors of CLNM in PTC patients. It was showed that male, age ≤45 years old, tumor diameter >1 cm, multifocality, and presence of suspicious central lymph node on US were risk factors for CLNM in non-HT patients. Only tumor diameter >1 cm and presence of suspicious central lymph node on US were independently correlated with CLNM in HT patients. The sensitivity of the multivariate model was 63.5%, and specificity was 88.9% for prediction CLNM in HT patients. For non-HT patients, the AUC was 80.6%, the sensitivity of the multivariate model was 64.5%, and specificity was 85.2.

CONCLUSION

PTC combined with HT is more common in women, and TSH level in HT group is higher than that in patients with PTC alone. Regardless of that HT is not a related risk factor of CLNM in PTC, our result suggested that different predictive systems should be used for HT and non-HT patients respectively to have a more accurate evaluation of CLNM in clinic.

Web-Based Ultrasonic Nomogram Predicts Preoperative Central Lymph Node Metastasis of cN0 Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Many clinicians are facing the dilemma about whether they should apply the active surveillance (AS) strategy for managing Clinically Node-negative (cN0) PTMC patients in daily clinical practice. This research plans to construct a dynamic nomogram based on network, connected with ultrasound characteristics and clinical data, to predict the risk of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in cN0 PTMC patients before surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 659 patients with cN0 PTMC who had underwent thyroid surgery and central compartment neck dissection. Patients were randomly (2:1) divided into the development cohort (439 patients) and validation cohort (220 patients). The group least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Group Lasso) regression method was used to select the ultrasonic features for CLNM prediction in the development cohort. These features and clinical data were screened by the multivariable regression analysis, and the CLNM prediction model and web-based calculator were established. Receiver operating characteristic, calibration curve, Clinical impact curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to weigh the performance of the prediction model in the validation set.

RESULTS

Multivariable regression analysis showed that age, tumor size, multifocality, the number of contact surface, and real-time elastography were risk factors that could predict CLNM. The area under the curve of the prediction model in the development and validation sets were 0.78 and 0.77, respectively, with good discrimination and calibration. A web-based dynamic calculator was built. DCA proved that the prediction model had excellent net benefits and clinical practicability.

CONCLUSIONS

The web-based dynamic nomogram incorporating US and clinical features was able to forecast the risk of preoperative CLNM in cN0 PTMC patients, and has good predictive performance. As a new observational indicator, NCS can provide additional predictive information.

A retrospective study of the risk factors and the prognosis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma depending on the number of lymph node metastasis

To retrospectively analyze the risk factors and the prognosis according to the number of lymph node metastases (LNMs) in different neck compartments in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. In total, 962 patients with PTC were enrolled in this study. According to the methods of the 2015 American Thyroid Association, the treatment response of the patients was divided into a good prognosis and a poor prognosis. First, their clinical characteristics were summarized. Then, according to whether they had LNMs and the number of LNMs in different neck compartments, their risk factors and their prognosis were analyzed. Male sex, younger (< 45 years), extrathyroid extension (ETE), T₁ staging and higher stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) levels were the risk factors for LNM. The cutoff for a poor prognosis of the number of LNMs was > 4. Male sex, younger age, higher sTg levels and ETE were correlated with LNM > 4. Furthermore, the cutoffs for a poor prognosis of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM), lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) and CLNM + LLNM were > 6, > 1 and > 5, respectively. Younger age and ETE were strongly correlated with CLNM > 6. Male sex, younger age, higher sTg levels and ETE were correlated with LLNM > 1. Younger age, ETE and higher sTg levels were correlated with CLNM + LLNM > 5. Further analysis revealed a positive correlation between CLNM and LLNM. We should pay more attention to LNMs in PTC patients who are male, are of a younger age, have ETE, T₁ staging and have higher sTg levels. The neck regional LNMs should be correctly evaluated to guide the surgical options for the neck LNMs in PTC. When the number of LNMs in different neck compartments has exceeded the cutoff value, they can be considered as predictors of the outcome of ¹³¹I treatment.

Risk Factors for Central and Lateral Lymph Node Metastases in Patients With Papillary Thyroid Micro-Carcinoma: Retrospective Analysis on 484 Cases

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid micro-carcinoma (PTMC) is defined as a tumor with a larger diameter ≤1 cm which has an indolent course and satisfying prognosis. However, the incidence of lymph node metastasis of PTMC cannot be ignored. The aim of this study was to assess the incidence of lymph node metastasis in PTMC patients, as well as to evaluate the risk factors for both central lymph node metastases (CLNM) and lateral lymph node metastases (LLNM).

METHODS

Patients who underwent thyroidectomy from January 2017 to October 2020, and pathologically diagnosed with PTMC were enrolled in our study and their medical records were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 484 PTMC patients were included. The incidence of central and lateral lymph node metastasis was 49.6% and 9.1%, respectively. Multivariate analysis demonstrated as independent risk factors for CLNM male sex, age <40 years, largest tumor size ≥5 mm and bilaterality. Extrathyroidal extension, presence of CLNM, number of CLNM ≥5 were strong indicators for LLNM.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of lymph node metastases in PTMC is non-negligible. The identification of potential risk factors for CLNM and LLNM would help tailor individual surgical interventions for patients with PTMC.

Large-Volume Lateral Lymph Node Metastasis Predicts Worse Prognosis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients With N1b

We aimed to evaluate the relevance of large-volume lateral lymph node metastases (LLNMs) at risk of recurrence/persistence in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) with LLNMs (N1b). This retrospective study included 448 PTC patients, who had positive LLNMs confirmed by histology and suspected of LLNMs by preoperative ultrasound. According to the number of pathological LLNMs, patients were divided into large-volume LLNM (number of LLNMs >5) and low-volume LLNM (number of LLNMs ≤5). Risk factors of recurrence/persistence in PTC patients with N1b were analyzed. Preoperative ultrasound features of PTC with large-volume LLNM were analyzed. For the patients with a mean follow-up of 44.0 months, the risk of recurrence/persistence was 25.1% in PTC patients with N1b. The recurrence/persistence rate was significantly higher in patients with large-volume LLNM than in patients with low-volume LLNM by multivariate analysis (37.3% vs. 17.1%; HR = 2.451, 95% CI 1.41-4.261, p = 0.001). The 3-year and 5-year recurrence/persistence-free survival for those with large-volume LLNM were 93.2% and 47.2%, respectively. Moreover, we found that multilevel suspected LLNMs and loss of fatty hilum were independent preoperative indicative factors of large-volume LLNM (OR = 6.239, 95% CI 3.547-10.977, p < 0.001; OR = 5.149, 95% CI 1.859-14.261, p = 0.002). In conclusion, multilevel suspected LLNM and loss of fatty hilum on ultrasound tended to be more common in patients with large-volume LLNM. PTC patients with large-volume LLNM are at a higher recurrent/persistent risk than those with low-volume LLNM. Large-volume LLNM may be used to stratify the risk of recurrence/persistence in PTC.

Management of cN0 papillary thyroid microcarcinoma patients according to risk-scoring model for central lymph node metastasis and predictors of recurrence

BACKGROUND

The role of routine prophylactic central neck dissection (pCND) in clinically lymph node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients remains controversial. This retrospective study aimed to identify the clinical and pathologic factors of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) and recurrence in PTMC patients.

METHODS

A total of 371 cN0 PTMC patients from two hospitals were retrospectively analyzed. All patients underwent thyroidectomy plus pCND between January 2010 and January 2018. Clinicopathological features were collected, univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the risk factors of CLNM. A scoring model was constructed on the basis of the results of independent risk factors of CLNM. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to analyze the risk factors of recurrence.

RESULTS

CLNM occurred in 123 (33.2%) patients. Multivariate analysis showed male, tumor size > 0.75 cm, multifocality, extrathyroidal extension (ETE) and tumor in the middle/lower pole were independent risk predictors of CLNM (P < 0.05). A seven-point risk-scoring model was established to predict the stratified CLNM in cN0 PTMC patients. Multivariate Cox regression model showed ETE, vascular invasion and CLNM were independent risk predictors of recurrence (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Our study suggested that routine pCND should be performed for cN0 PTMC patients with score ≥ 3 according to the risk-scoring model. Moreover, patients with risk factors of recurrence should consider more complete treatment and more frequent follow-up.

Expression of Class III Beta-Tubulin Is Associated with Invasive Potential and Poor Prognosis in Thyroid Carcinoma

Although American Thyroid Association guidelines offer a risk stratification scheme for thyroid cancer patients, there is a continuous need for more sophisticated biomarkers that can predict disease progression. In this study, we aim to evaluate the prognostic value of class III beta-tubulin (TUBB3) and uncover the relationship between TUBB3 and invasive potential in thyroid carcinoma. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) for TUBB3 and E-cadherin was performed on a total of 254 cases of thyroid cancer specimens. Tumor budding at the invasive margin was evaluated. In vitro functional studies were also performed; the protein and mRNA levels of TUBB3 were compared among the five cell types at baseline, with transwell invasion and after blocking of TUBB3 by shRNA. IHC revealed that the levels of TUBB3 were higher in conventional papillary carcinomas (cPTCs) and anaplastic thyroid carcinomas (ATCs). In univariate analysis, high tumor budding and TUBB3 expression were associated with inferior progression-free survival in cPTC. The results of a Western blot and RT-PCR agreed with the IHC finding. The results were further validated through data from The Cancer Genome Atlas database. Our results suggest that high expression of TUBB3 in thyroid carcinoma could predict invasive potential and possibly be linked with epithelial–mesenchymal transition.

Does the ATA Risk Stratification Apply to Patients with Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma?

BACKGROUND

The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has increased over the past decade. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) suggests that these patients may undergo either thyroid lobectomy or active surveillance. It remains unclear whether there exists a subgroup of PTMC patients who may benefit from more aggressive treatment due to increased risk of recurrence.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 357 patients with PTMC who underwent surgery at a single institution from 2004 to 2016. Patients were classified according to 2015 ATA risk stratification for structural disease recurrence. Demographic, oncologic, and clinicopathologic data were compared between groups.

RESULTS

Out of 357 patients, 246 were classified as low-risk PTMC, 93 were intermediate-risk, and 18 were high-risk. There were more male patients in the high-risk group (38.9%) than the intermediate- (31.2%) or low-risk groups (15.4%) (p < 0.001). Patients with low-risk microcarcinomas were more likely to have an incidental PTMC when compared to intermediate- or high-risk groups (98[39.8%], 15[16.1%], 1[5.6%], respectively, p < 0.001). Patients with high-risk PTMCs, compared to those with intermediate- and low-risk PTMCs, were more likely to have rising postoperative thyroglobulin levels after total thyroidectomy (6[40.0%], 4[5.1%], 9[5.7%], respectively, p = 0.001) and structural recurrence after lobectomy or total thyroidectomy (3[16.7%], 0[0%], 0[0%], respectively, p < 0.001). The median follow-up time was 17.5 (IQR 3-55) months.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with high-risk PTMC have an increased risk of recurrence when compared to low- and intermediate-risk microcarcinomas, whereas intermediate-risk PTMC may behave similarly to low-risk tumors. ATA risk stratification may inform clinical decision making for patients with PTMC.

Completion Total Thyroidectomy Is Not Necessary for Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma with Occult Central Lymph Node Metastasis: A Long-Term Serial Follow-Up

Simple Summary

The necessity of completion total thyroidectomy is unclear in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) with only pathological central lymph node metastasis (pCLNM). The aim of our study was to determine the necessity of completion total thyroidectomy after an initial surgery by comparing the prognosis according to the presence of pCLNM during a long-term follow-up. We retrospectively compared the pathological central lymph node (pCLN)-positive group of 165 patients who underwent thyroid lobectomy with the pCLN-negative group of 711 patients and found no difference between the two groups in the recurrence rate and disease-free survival rates. Therefore, PTMC patients who underwent thyroid lobectomy with prophylactic central compartment neck dissection and were diagnosed with pCLNM after surgery do not require completion total thyroidectomy.

Abstract

The necessity of completion total thyroidectomy in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and pathological central lymph node metastasis (pCLNM) who underwent thyroid lobectomy with central compartment neck dissection (CCND) is unclear. We determined the necessity of completion total thyroidectomy by retrospectively comparing the prognosis according to the presence of pCLNM during a long-term follow-up. We enrolled 876 patients with PTMC who underwent thyroid lobectomy with prophylactic CCND from January 1986 to December 2009. Patients were divided according to central lymph node (CLN) metastasis: 165 (18.8%) and 711 (81.2%) in the CLN-positive and CLN-negative groups, respectively. Medical records were reviewed retrospectively, and clinicopathologic characteristics and recurrence rates were analyzed. The CLN-positive group was associated with male sex (p = 0.001), larger tumor size (p < 0.001), and more microscopic capsular invasion (p < 0.001) compared with the CLN-negative group. There was no significant difference between the two groups’ recurrence (p = 0.133) or disease-free (p = 0.065) survival rates. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed no factors associated with tumor recurrence except male sex (hazard ratio = 3.043, confidence interval 1.117–8.288, p = 0.030). Patients who were diagnosed with pCLNM after undergoing thyroid lobectomy with prophylactic CCND do not require completion total thyroidectomy; however, frequent follow-up is necessary for patients with PTMC and pCLNM.

The Value of Microvascular Imaging for Triaging Indeterminate Cervical Lymph Nodes in Patients with Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

Simple Summary

Papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTC) are indolent tumors associated with excellent long-term survival, albeit frequently accompanied by cervical lymph node (LN) metastasis. The imaging criteria using conventional ultrasound (US) techniques showed high diagnostic performance for the suspicious and probably benign LN categories, but showed low diagnostic performance for the indeterminate category. In this retrospective study, we aimed to assess the added value of Superb Microvascular Imaging (SMI) for detecting metastatic PTC in the indeterminate LN category. We confirmed that SMI could effectively stratify indeterminate LNs by visualizing additional vascular signals. The reclassified categories of SMI provided a high diagnostic performance to distinguish metastasis from benign LNs. Therefore, adding SMI to conventional US scans can be useful when evaluating indeterminate LNs in patients with PTC.

Abstract

Assessment of lymph node (LN) status in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is often troublesome because of cervical LNs with indeterminate US (ultrasound) features. We aimed to explore whether Superb Microvascular Imaging (SMI) could be helpful for distinguishing metastasis from indeterminate LNs when combined with power Doppler US (PDUS). From 353 consecutive patients with PTC, LNs characterized as indeterminate by PDUS were evaluated by SMI to distinguish them from metastasis. Indeterminate LNs were reclassified according to the SMI, the malignancy risk of each category was assessed, and the diagnostic performance of suspicious findings on SMI was calculated. The incidence of US-indeterminate LNs was 26.9%. Eighty PDUS-indeterminate LNs (39 proven as benign, 41 proven as malignant) were reclassified into probably benign (n = 26), indeterminate (n = 20), and suspicious (n = 34) categories according to SMI, with malignancy risks of 19.2%, 20.0%, and 94.1%, respectively. After combining SMI with PDUS, 80.8% (21/26) of probably benign LNs and 94.1% (32/34) of suspicious LNs could be correctly diagnosed as benign and metastatic, respectively. The diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of categorizing LNs as suspicious based on SMI were 78.1%, 94.9%, and 86.3%, respectively. In conclusion, the combination of SMI with PDUS was helpful for the accurate stratification of indeterminate LNs based on US in patients with PTC.

Management of Lateral Multiple-Level Metastasis in N1b Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

Background: The optimal extent of therapeutic lateral neck dissection (LND) in the management of N1b papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is still under debate in clinical practice. In this light, our study aims to explore the incidence, patterns, and predictive factors of the lateral multiple-level metastasis in N1b PTMC patients. Methods: The clinical records of 142 patients diagnosed with N1b PTMC who underwent therapeutic LND from July 2015 to November 2018 at our institution were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to examine the predictive factors associated with lateral multiple-level metastasis. The recurrence-free survival was analyzed and confirmed by Kaplan-Meier plots and log-rank test. Results: The overall frequency of lateral multiple-level metastasis was 50.7% in N1b PTMC patients, and two-level to four-level simultaneous metastasis were present in 26.8, 17.6, and 6.3% patients, respectively. Extrathyroidal extension (ETE) (OR = 5.79, 95% CI, 1.36-24.59; P = 0.017) and the central metastatic lymph node ratio (CLNR) with values equal or higher than 0.61 (OR = 6.18, 95% CI, 2.53-15.09; P < 0.001) served as independent predictors of multiple-level metastasis in N1b PTMC patients. Moreover, locoregional recurrence was significantly higher in the selective neck dissection (SND) group compared to the modified radical neck dissection (MRND) one (HR = 3.65, 95% CI, 1.11-12.00; P = 0.03). Conclusion: Our results show that the lateral multiple-level metastasis was relatively common, and we suggest MRND to be considered for N1b PTMC patients with ETE or CLNR equal or higher than 0.61.

A miRNA-clinicopathological nomogram for the prediction of central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma-analysis from TCGA database

It is of significance to evaluate central lymph node status in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), because it can decrease postoperative complications resulting from unnecessary prophylactic central lymph node dissection (CLND). Due to the low sensitivity and specificity of neck ultrasonography in the evaluation of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM), it is urgently required to find alternative biomarkers to predict CLNM in PTC patients, which is the main purpose of this study.RNA-sequencing datasets and clinical data of 506 patients with thyroid carcinoma from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database were downloaded and analyzed to identify differentially expressed miRNAs (DEMs), which can independently predict CLNM in PTC. A nomogram predictive of CLNM was developed based on clinical characteristics and the identified miRNAs. Receiver operating characteristics curves were drawn to evaluate the predictive performance of the nomogram. Bioinformatics analyses, including target genes identification, functional enrichment analysis, and protein-protein interaction network, were performed to explore the potential roles of the identified DEMs related to CLNM in PTC.A total of 316 PTC patients were included to identify DEMs. Two hundred thirty-seven (75%) PTC patients were randomly selected from the 316 patients as a training set, while the remaining 79 (25%) patients were regarded as a testing set for validation. Two DEMs, miRNA-146b-3p (HR: 1.327, 95% CI = 1.135-1.551, P = .000) and miRNA-363-3p (HR: 0.714, 95% CI = 0.528-0.966, P = .029), were significantly associated with CLNM. A risk score based on these 2 DEMs and calculating from multivariate logistic regression analysis, was significantly lower in N0 group over N1a group in both training (N0 vs N1a: 2.04 ± 1.01 vs 2.73 ± 0.61, P = .000) and testing (N0 vs N1a: 2.20 ± 0.93 vs 2.79 ± 0.68, P = .003) sets. The nomogram including risk score, age, and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) was constructed in the training set and was then validated in the testing set, which showed better prediction value than the other three predictors (risk score, age, and ETE) in terms of CLNM identification. Bioinformatics analyses revealed that 5 hub genes, SLC6A1, SYT1, COL19A1, RIMS2, and COL1A2, might involve in pathways including extracellular matrix organization, ion transmembrane transporter activity, axon guidance, and ABC transporters.On the basis of this study, the nomogram including risk score, age, and ETE showed good prediction of CLNM in PTC, which has a potential to facilitate individualized decision for surgical plans.

Prediction of level V metastases in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a single center analysis

Background

The rate of level V metastases is significantly low and the necessity of routine level V dissection for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) with clinically lateral lymph node metastasis (LNM) is still controversial.

Methods

This study enrolled 114 consecutive PTMC patients with clinically suspected lateral LNM (N1b) who underwent modified radical neck dissection (levels II to V) at Xiangya Hospital of Central South University from September 2016 to July 2019. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate the predictive factors of level V metastasis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), accuracy, specificity and sensitivity were used to determine the predictive value.

Results

The overall and occult rate of level V metastasis were 29.82% (34/114) and 7.02% (8/114), respectively. Univariate analysis showed that level V metastasis was significantly associated with gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE), level IV metastasis and 2-level simultaneous metastasis (all P<0.05). Gross ETE (OR =11.916, 95% CI, 1.404-102.19; P=0.023) and level IV metastasis (OR =8.497, 95% CI, 2.119-34.065; P =0.03) served as independent predictors of level V metastasis in N1b PTMC patients. The sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) of gross ETE and level IV metastasis in predicting the level V metastasis were 25.3% vs. 82.4%, 97.5% vs. 73.8%, 82.69% vs. 76.32%, 80% vs. 57.04% and 75% vs. 90.77%, respectively. The AUC of gross ETE was lower than level IV metastasis (0.605 vs. 0.781, P=0.041).

Conclusions

Routine level V dissection is necessary in N1b PTMC patients with level IV metastasis or gross ETE. Compared with gross ETE, level IV metastasis is superior in predicting level V metastasis.

Papillary thyroid carcinoma: an ultrasound-based nomogram improves the prediction of lymph node metastases in the central compartment

OBJECTIVES

To develop a nomogram based on postoperative clinical and ultrasound findings to quantify the probability of central compartment lymph node metastases (CLNM).

METHODS

A total of 952 patients with histologically confirmed papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) were included in this retrospective study and assigned to three groups based on sex and age. The strongest predictors for CLNM were selected according to ultrasound imaging features, and an ultrasound (US) signature was constructed. By incorporating clinical characteristics, a predictive model presented as a nomogram was developed, and its performance was assessed with respect to calibration, discrimination and clinical usefulness.

RESULTS

Predictors contained in the nomogram included US signature, US-reported LN status and age. The US signature was constructed with tumour size and microcalcification. The nomogram showed excellent calibration in the training dataset, with an AUC of 0.826 (95% CI, 0.765-0.887) for male patients, 0.818 (95% CI, 0.746-0.890) for young females and 0.808 (95% CI, 0.757-0.859) for elder females. For male and young female patients, application of the nomogram to the validation cohort revealed good discrimination, with AUCs of 0.813 (95% CI, 0.722-0.904) and 0.814 (95% CI, 0.712-0.915), respectively. Conversely, for elderly female patients, the nomogram failed to show good performance with an AUC of 0.742 (95% CI, 0.661-0.823).

CONCLUSION

This ultrasound-based nomogram may serve as a useful clinical tool to provide valuable information for treatment decisions, especially for male and younger female patients.

KEY POINTS

• Age, gender, US-reported LN status and US signature were the strongest predictors of CLNM in PTC patients and informed the development of a predictive nomogram. • Microcalcification was the strongest predictor in the US signature, as CLMN was identified in approximately 92% of patients characterised by diffuse microcalcification. • Stratified by sex and age, this nomogram achieved good performance in predicting CLNM, especially in male and young female patients. This prediction tool may be useful as an imaging marker for identifying CLNM preoperatively in PTC patients and as a guide for personalised treatment.

Is Less More? A Microsimulation Model Comparing Cost-effectiveness of the Revised American Thyroid Association's 2015 to 2009 Guidelines for the Management of Patients With Thyroid Nodules and Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To assess relative clinical and economic performance of the revised American Thyroid Association (ATA) thyroid cancer guidelines compared to current standard of care.

BACKGROUND

Diagnosis of thyroid cancer in the United States has tripled whereas mortality has only marginally increased. Most patients present with small papillary carcinomas and have historically received at least a total thyroidectomy as a treatment. In 2015, the ATA released the revised guidelines recommending an option for active surveillance (AS) of small papillary thyroid carcinoma and thyroid lobectomy for larger unifocal tumors.

METHODS

We created a Markov microsimulation model to evaluate the performance of the ATA's 2015 guidelines compared to the ATA's 2009 guidelines. We modeled a cohort of simulated patients with demographic and thyroid nodule characteristics representative of those presenting clinically in the United States. Outcome measures include life expectancy, quality-adjusted life years, costs, and frequency of surgical adverse events.

RESULTS

In our base case analysis, the ATA 2015 strategy dominates the ATA 2009 strategy. The ATA 2015 strategy delivers greater discounted average quality-adjusted life years (13.09 vs 12.43) at a lower discounted average cost ($14,752 vs $20,126). Deaths due to thyroid cancer under the 2015 strategy are higher than the 2009 strategy but this is offset by a reduction in surgical deaths, leading to greater average life expectancy under the ATA 2015 strategy. The optimal strategy is sensitive to patients who experience a greater decrement in quality of life while undergoing AS.

CONCLUSIONS

The ATA 2015 Guidelines represent a cost-effective strategy regarding AS and extent of surgery.

The relationship between central lymph node metastasis and the distance from tumor to thyroid capsule in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma without capsule invasion

Background

This study aims to explore the predictive factors of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without capsule invasion.

Methods

From January 2016 to October 2018, 1,622 patients with PTMC, who underwent surgical treatment at Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, were enrolled in the present study. A model of multivariate logistic regression was developed to find the variables that were independently associated with CLNM. The results were presented in the odds ratio (OR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI). The nomogram for predicting CLNM was developed based on the results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis. The distance (distance >0) from tumor to capsule is defined as the shortest distance from the tumor boundary to the capsule or trachea.

Results

The multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that age, gender, tumor maximum diameter, tumor mean diameter, and tumor volume were independently associated with CLNM. In the 692 cases without capsular invasion, the distance from the capsule was not correlated to the CLNM. The joint model, which included age, gender, tumor volume, and capsular invasion, were analyzed using the ROC curve. The cut-off point for the prediction of CLNM was defined as a value of 0.208. The area under the ROC curve was 0.687, the sensitivity was 65.4%, and the specificity was 63.3%.

Conclusions

Gender, age, maximum diameter, mean diameter, tumor volume, and capsular invasion were independently associated with the CLNM. When there was no capsular invasion, the distance between the tumor and capsule was not correlated to the CLNM, suggesting that considering whether the tumor is close to the capsule may not be necessary for low-risk PTMC.

Preoperative and Postoperative Risk Stratification of Thyroid Papillary Microcarcinoma: A Comparative Study Between Kuma Criteria and 2015 American Thyroid Association Guidelines Risk Stratification

Background: The incidence of micropapillary thyroid carcinoma (mPTC) has increased in the last decade. Active surveillance (AS) has been proposed as an alternative management for low-risk mPTC based on preoperative Kuma criteria. Controversy still exists on how to appropriately manage this group of patients, as some low-risk mPTC may harbor some postoperative features associated with disease recurrence as described in the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 108 patients with histopathologic diagnosis of mPTC after surgery at a third level hospital in Mexico City from 2000 to 2018. Demographic and clinicopathologic data were analyzed as predictors for disease recurrence and/or metastatic disease (lymph node or distant). Comparison between group stratification based on preoperative Kuma criteria and postoperative 2015 ATA guidelines risk criteria for disease recurrence was performed. Measures of diagnostic accuracy were obtained for preoperative risk features according to the Kuma criteria. Results: Of 108 patients, 79 (73%) were classified as preoperative high-risk mPTC and 29 (27%) as low risk based on the Kuma criteria. Of these 79 high-risk patients, 38 (48%) were reclassified as low risk for disease recurrence, 12 (15%) as intermediate risk, and 29 (37%) remained as high risk based on the 2015 ATA risk criteria. Of the 29 preoperative low-risk patients, 19 (65.5%) remained as postoperative low risk for disease recurrence, 2 (7%) as intermediate risk, and 8 (27.5%) as high risk. Higher accuracy of preoperative risk features was obtained for lymph node and distant metastases, 84.2% and 97.2%, respectively. After multivariate analysis, age <40 years and microscopic extrathyroidal extension (ETE) were associated with higher risk for metastatic disease (lymph node or distant) in our cohort. Conclusions: Patients with mPTC under 40 years old and microscopic ETE are more prone to develop metastatic disease (lymph node or distant). One-third of our patients stratified as low-risk mPTC according to the Kuma criteria for AS had histopathologic features associated with a more aggressive clinical behavior or structural recurrence. In addition, lymph node and distant metastases are the preoperative risk features with the highest diagnostic accuracy for preoperative risk stratification.

Predicting large-volume lymph node metastasis in the clinically node-negative papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

Large-volume lymph node metastasis (LNM) has been believed to be an important predictor for recurrence in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). However, the clinical predictors for large-volume LNM have yet to be established. This study aimed to determine clinical predictors for large-volume LNM in clinically node-negative PTMC.

METHODS

A total of 947 clinically N0 PTMC patients who received total thyroidectomy with lymph node dissection and radioiodine therapy were included. Based on the LNM status, they were divided into two groups: large-volume LNM and small-volume LNM including those patients without LNM. The association between age, gender and other clinical factors and large-volume LNM were investigated. The recurrence-free survival was also compared among these groups.

RESULTS

We found that male gender [odds ratio (OR) = 1.865, P = 0.015], young age (OR = 2.743, P < 0.001) and extrathyroid extension (OR = 5.352, P < 0.001) were independent predictors for high prevalence of large-volume LNM. Young (<40 years) and male patients tended to have large-volume LNM with the highest prevalence of 17.20%, whereas old (≥55 years) and female patients had the lowest prevalence of 2.02%. After median follow-up of 71 months, the recurrence rate was significantly higher for large-volume LNM compared with small-volume LNM (15.48 vs 0.72%, P < 0.05). Large-volume LNM status was significantly associated with decreased recurrence-free probability, while small-volume LNM had little effect on the recurrence-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that in clinically node-negative PTMC, young male patients had a greater incidence of large-volume LNM.

Risk Factors for Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Purpose: To explore the risk factors that may predict the lymph node metastasis potential of these lesions and new prevention strategies in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Materials and Methods: In total, 9,369 papillary thyroid carcinoma patients with 37.17% lymph node metastasis were analyzed (Revman 5.3 software) in this study. The PubMed and Embase databases were used for searching works systematically that were published through to January 22, 2020. Results: Several factors were related to the increased risk of lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma: age <45 years (pooled OR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.14-2.01, p <0.00001); gender = male (pooled OR = 1.68, 95% CI = 1.51-1.87, p <0.00001); multifocality (pooled OR = 2.05, 95% CI = 1.45-2.89, p <0.0001); tumor size ≥1.0 cm (pooled OR = 3.53, 95% CI = 2.62-4.76, p <0.00001); tumor location at the upper pole 1/3 (pooled OR =1.46, 95% CI = 1.04-2.04, p = 0.03); capsular invasion + (pooled OR = 3.48, 95% CI = 1.69-7.54, p = 0.002); and extrathyroidal extension + (pooled OR = 2.03, 95% CI= 1.78-2.31, p <0.00001). However, tumor bilaterality (pooled OR = 0.85, 95% CI = 0.54-1.34, p = 0.49) and Hashimoto's thyroditis (pooled OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 0.79-1.49, p = 0.62) showed no correlation with lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. Conclusion: The systematic review and meta-analysis defined several significant risk factors of lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid cancer patients: age (<45 years), gender (male), multifocality, tumor size (>1 cm), tumor location (1/3 upper), capsular invasion, and extra thyroidal extension. Bilateral tumors and Hashimoto's thyroiditis were unrelated to lymph node metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid cancer.

Ultrasound Elastic Parameters Predict Central Lymph Node Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to explore the new factors that can predict central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) independently from ultrasound characteristics, elastic parameters, and endocrine indicators.

METHODS

A total of 391 patients with PTC undergoing thyroidectomy and prophylactic central lymph node dissection from January 2017 to June 2019 were collected to determine the independent predictors of CLNM by single-factor and multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed 9 independent predictors of CLNM, age, male, tumors in the middle or lower poles (without tumors in the isthmus), tumors in the isthmus, multiple tumors, and maximum tumor diameter measured by ultrasound, microcalcification, visible surrounding blood flow signal, and the maximum value of elastic modulus (Emax).We used the aforementioned factors to establish a scoring prediction model: predictive score Y(P) = 1/[1 + exp (1.444 + 0.084 ∗ age - 0.834 ∗ men - 0.73 ∗ multifocality - 2.718 ∗ tumors in the isthmus - 0.954 ∗ tumors in the middle or lower poles - 0.086 ∗ tumor maximum diameter - 1.070 ∗ microcalcification - 0.892 ∗ visible surrounding blood flow signal - 0.021 ∗ Emax)]. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic was 0.827. It was found that 0.524 was the highest index of Youden, and the best cutoff value for predicting CLNM. When Y(P)≥0.524, the risk of CLNM in patients with PTC is predicted to be high. Predictive accuracy was 78.5% and 72.4% in the internal validation group and 78.6% in the external validation group.

CONCLUSIONS

These data indicate that the scoring prediction model could provide a scientific and quantitative way to predict CLNM in patients with PTC.

Clinical Analysis of Risk Factors for Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Retrospective Study of 3686 Patients

Purpose

To investigate the risk factors for cervical lymph node metastasis (LNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

Patients and Methods

In total, 3686 patients with PTMC who underwent initial surgery in Shanghai Jiao Tong University affiliated Sixth People’s Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to identify risk factors associated with cervical LNM.

Results

Male gender [odds ratio (OR) =1.420, P <0.001], age <55 years (OR =2.128, P <0.001), tumor size >6.5 mm (OR =2.112, P <0.001), lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (OR =2.110, P =0.016), multifocality (OR =1.358, P =0.022), extrathyroidal extension (ETE) (OR =1.598, P <0.001), and lateral LNM (LLNM) (OR =6.383, P <0.001) served as independent risk factors for central LNM (CLNM). Moreover, male gender (OR =1.668, P =0.001), tumor size >6.5 mm (OR =2.223, P <0.001), chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis (OR =1.402, P =0.021), LVI (OR =4.582, P <0.001), ETE (OR =1.393, P=0.023), and CLNM (OR =6.212, P <0.001) served as independent risk factors for LLNM. Furthermore, solitary PTMC with lesions in the upper third of the thyroid gland were more associated with LLNM than lesions in the other regions.

Conclusion

This study suggests that meticulous evaluation of risk factors associated with LNM is required in order to guide the surgical treatment of PTMC patients in clinical practice.

Clinical and Ultrasonic Risk Factors for Lateral Lymph Node Metastasis in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background: Clinical and ultrasonic risk factors for lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) are not well-defined. Herein, a systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted to investigate clinicopathologic and ultrasonic risk features for LLNM in PTMC.

Methods: A systematic search of electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science) for studies published until April 2019 was performed. Case–control studies and randomized controlled trials that studied clinical and ultrasonic risk factors of LLNM in PTMC were included.

Results: Fourteen studies (all retrospective studies) involving 43,750 patients met final inclusion criteria. From the pooled analyses, younger age<45 (OR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.16–2.07; P = 0.003), male patients (OR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.55–2.42; P < 0.00), extrathyroidal extension (OR, 3.63; 95% CI, 2.28–5.77; P <0.00), tumor multifocality (OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.53–3.28; P <0.00), tumor > 0.5 cm (OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.53–3.28; P < 0.00), central lymph node metastasis (OR, 5.61; 95% CI, 4.64–6.79; P < 0.00), >25% tumor contact with thyroid capsule (OR, 6.66; 95% CI, 1.96–22.65; P = 0.002), tumor calcification (OR, 2.90; 95% CI, 1.71–4.93; P < 0.00), upper tumor (OR, 3.18; 95% CI, 2.23–4.55; P < 0.00) were significantly associated with increased risk of LLNM in PTMC, while Hashimoto's thyroiditis and other ultrasonic features (solid tumor, hypoechoic tumor, smooth margin, and taller than wide tumor) were not significantly associated with LLNM in PTMC.

Conclusions: Our analysis identified several clinicopathologic and ultrasonic factors associated with LLNM in PTMC. This finding highlights the need for a cautious and frequent postoperative surveillance of the lateral neck in high-risk PTMC patients. Moreover, high-risk ultrasonic features also need to be considered during selection of PTMC for active surveillance.

Risk model and risk stratification to preoperatively predict central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma

Background

The central lymph node is the most common involvement for papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), which is correlated to recurrence and survival. But it is difficult to accurately evaluate lymph node prior to an operation. This retrospective study was designed to develop a risk model and risk stratification to preoperatively predict central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTC and validate this model.

Methods

A series of 1,714 initial treatment PTC patients were enrolled. Among these patients, 1,001 patients were used to develop a predictive model and establish a stratification scoring system. This was validated through the remaining 713 patients.

Results

The multivariate analysis revealed that CLNM and lateral lymph node metastasis (LLNM) in ultrasound (US), tumor size, gender, capsule invasion in US, microcalcification and age were significant independent predictors for CLNM. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model was 0.778. Furthermore, the cutoff value to predict CLNM was 8 points, and the sensitivity and specificity were 77% and 65%, respectively. In the scoring system for CLNM, a score of ≤8, 8-18 and >18 were defined as low, intermediate and high risk, respectively. The risk of CLNM was approximately 30%, 60% and 80%, corresponding to the stratification. When validated, the model predicted the risk of CLNM with an AUC of 0.811, a sensitivity and specificity of 83% and 63%, respectively.

Conclusions

This study presented a predictive model to preoperatively assess the risk of CLNM in PTC. The predictive model performed well, but needed to be prospectively validated in external center.

Development and validation of a nomogram for preoperative prediction of cervical lymph node involvement in thyroid microcarcinoma

Cervical regional lymph node involvement (CRLNI) is common in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), but the way to deal with cervical lymph node involvement of clinically negative PTMC is controversial. We studied data of patients histologically confirmed PTMC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program and Department of Surgical Oncology in Hangzhou First People's Hospital (China). We screened 6 variables of demographic and clinicopathological characteristics as potential predictors and further constructed a lymph node involvement model based on the independent predictors including age, race, sex, extension, multifocality and tumor size. The model was validated by both the internal and the external testing sets, and the visual expression of the model was displayed by a nomogram. As a result, the C-index of this predictive model in the training set was 0.766, and the internal and external testing sets through cross-validation were 0.753 and 0.668, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.766 for the training set. We also performed a Decision Curve Analysis (DCA), which showed that predicting the cervical lymph node involvement risk applying this nomogram would be better than having all patients or none patients use this nomogram.

The Application of Ultrasound and Fine-Needle Aspiration in Low-Volume Lateral Lymph Nodes of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients

This research investigates the application of high-frequency ultrasound (US) examination and US-guided fine-needle aspiration (US-FNA) in diagnosing low-volume metastatic lateral lymph nodes (LLNs) from papillary thyroid carcinoma patients. This study reviewed the medical records of 996 LLNs from 858 patients with suspicious thyroid nodules or after thyroidectomy from January 2013 to January 2016. All patients took US-FNA. The US characteristics and the malignancy rate of LLNs classified into group A and group B based on size were analyzed and compared (group A, ≥6 mm; group B, <6 mm). Size was not an independent predictor for malignancy (P > 0.005) in multiple regression analysis, whereas the malignancy rate in the large LLNs (286/425; 67.3%) was slightly higher than that in the small LLNs (338/571; 59.2%) (P = 0.01). However, no significant difference was observed between the groups in terms of calcification, absence of hilum, and peripheral vascularization. The prevalence of malignant LLNs was slightly higher in the small LLNs than that in the large ones when there were less than 3 suspicious US features (P < 0.05), and there was no significant difference between the small and large LLNs when there were 3 or more suspicious US features (P > 0.05). The results indicate that metastases may occur in the lymph nodes even when they were small. Ultrasound and US-FNA showed excellent performance in the diagnosis of low-volume metastatic lateral lymph nodes from papillary thyroid carcinoma patients.

Active surveillance for patients with very low-risk thyroid cancer

Over the past 30 years in the United States, increasing identification of small thyroid nodules has led to a dramatic rise in the detection of small thyroid cancers, many of which are unlikely to progress to overt clinical disease. Because autopsy studies reveal that up to 30% of people harbor clinically occult thyroid cancers, the growing use of diagnostic technologies has identified an increasing number of small, clinically low risk papillary thyroid cancers (PTCs). In recent years, clinical practice has evolved to de-intensify the treatment for PTCs, with fewer total thyroidectomy and nodal dissection procedures being performed, in favor of more limited operations. In addition, vigilant observation of selected low risk cancers has demonstrated outcomes comparable to those patients who undergo immediate surgical intervention. Active surveillance has emerged as a new option within the treatment algorithm of PTCs. There is now robust data from cancer centers in Japan and Korea which have reported excellent oncologic outcomes among patients undergoing active surveillance for PTC, as well as more recent, similar data from the United States. American Thyroid Association guidelines now include the option of active surveillance for appropriately selected patients with low-risk PTC. With active surveillance now one option within the standard of care for patients with certain thyroid cancers, surgeons have become critical to facilitating shared decision-making for patients facing this diagnosis.

Risk Factors of Metastatic Lymph Nodes in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) usually has an indolent course, but some have worse prognostic factors, such as the presence of central (6.9%-51.5%) and lateral (3%-49.6%) lymph node metastases. The aim of this study is to analyze the factors associated with PTMC with metastatic lymph nodes and its long-term prognosis.

METHODS

Retrospective study whose study population consists of patients with PTMC (size ≤1cm). Patients with previous thyroid surgery, other synchronous malignancies and ectopic location of the PTMC were excluded. Two groups were compared: PTMC without metastatic lymph nodes (group 1) and PTMC with metastatic lymph nodes (group 2). A multivariate analysis using a logistic regression model and a Kaplan-Meier survival analysis with log-rank test were performed.

RESULTS

Out of the 161 selected patients, 9.3% (n=15) had metastatic lymph nodes. Multifocality (OR 5.284, 95%CI 1.056-26.443; P=.043) and extrathyroidal extension (OR 7.687, 95%CI 1.405-42.050; P=.019) were associated with the presence of metastatic lymph nodes. In PTMC with metastatic lymph nodes, more aggressive treatments were performed: lymphadenectomy (4.8% vs. 100%; P<.001) and radioactive iodine (24.7% vs. 100%; P<.001). During a mean follow-up of 119.8±65 months, one recurrence was detected in group 2 (0% vs. 6.7%; P=.093). No patients died due to the disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Multifocality and extrathyroidal extension of PTMC were associated with the presence of metastatic lymph nodes. Metastatic PTMC, with more aggressive treatments, presents an excellent long-term prognosis.

Predictive Risk-scoring Model For Central Lymph Node Metastasis and Predictors of Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

There are about half of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients with the experience of central lymph node metastasis (CLNM), while the model to predict high-risk groups of CLNM from PTC patients is uncertain. The aim of this study was to evaluate candidate risk factors of CLNM and identify risk factors of recurrence to guide the postoperative therapeutic decision and follow-up for physicians and patients.A total of 4107 patients(4884 lesions) who underwent lymph node dissection in two hospitals from 2005 to 2014 were evaluated. CLNM risk was stratified and a risk-scoring model was developed on the basis of the identified independent risk factors for CLNM. Cox's proportional hazards regression model was used to investigate the risk factors for recurrence.CLNM was proved in 37.96% (1559/4107) of patients and 33.96% (1659/4884) of lesions. In the multivariate analysis, Male, Age ≤35 years, Tumor size >0.5 cm,Lobe dissemination (+), Psammoma body (+), Multifocality and Capsule invasion (+) were independent risk predictors of CLNM (P  < 0.01). A 14-point risk-scoring model was built to predict the stratified CLNM in PTC patients and the area under receiver operating characteristic curve of the model for the prediction of CLNM was 0.672 (95% CI: 0.656-0.688) (P < 0.01). COX regression model showed that Tumor size >0.5 cm, Lobe dissemination (+), Multifocality and CLNM were significant risk factors associated with poor outcomes. The research suggested that prophylactic CLN dissection could be performed in patients with total score ≥4 according to the risk-scoring model, and more aggressive treatment and more frequent follow-up should be considered for patients with Tumor size >0.5 cm, Lobe dissemination (+), Multifocality and CLNM.

Predicting the factors associated with central lymph node metastasis in clinical node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

PURPOSE

The aim of the present study was to investigate the risk factors associated with central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC).

METHODS

A total of 553 patients with PTMC confirmed by histological examination, who underwent thyroidectomy and central neck dissection (CND), were enrolled. The clinicopathological and ultrasonographic features from the patients were analyzed retrospectively.

RESULTS

PTMC patient age, Hashimoto thyroiditis (HT), tumor location, extrathyroidal extension (ETE), microcalcification and higher E values were correlated with the incidence of CLNM. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, HT, tumor location, ETE and E_max were related to the extent of CLNM. Chi-squared automatic interaction detection (CHAID) classification tree model showed that patients with tumor in upper/lower third combined ETE had a high risk of CLNM. Furthermore, cN0 PTMC patients with age ≤ 45 years and ETE had more extensive CLNM.

CONCLUSION

Our observations could be helpful for the assessment of prognostic factors of PTMC patients with CLNM.

Predictive Factors of Central-Compartment Lymph Node Metastasis for Clinical N0 Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma With Strap Muscle Invasion

Background: Papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients with anterior extrathyroidal extension (ETE) involving the strap muscle have a relatively better prognosis than those with posterior gross ETE involving the recurrent laryngeal nerve. Whether prophylactic central-compartment lymph node dissection (CLND) should be performed in PTCs with only strap muscle invasion (SMI) is still unclear. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted in clinical N0 (cN0) PTC patients with SMI who underwent thyroid surgery from 2009 to 2017. A total of 152 patients were included, and predictive factors of central-compartment lymph node metastasis (CLNM) were determined. Results: Among the 281 PTCs patients with SMI, 152 (51.1%) did not clinically present with lymph node metastasis. Microscopic CLNM was identified in 77 (50.7%) cN0 PTC patients with SMI. According to the univariate and multivariate analyses, male patients and those aged <40 years were more likely to be diagnosed with CLNM than female patients and those aged >40 years (odds ratio [OR] = 6.22 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.43-27.10], p = 0.02 vs. OR = 9.94 [95% CI, 2.79-35.44], p = 0.00). The CLNM positive rate of male patients aged <40 years was 87.5%, while that for female patients aged ≥55 years was 23.8%. However, risk factors associated with large-volume CLNM were not identified because of the small number of patients. Conclusions: Taken together, nearly half of PTC patients with SMI did not clinically present with lymph node metastasis. Male sex and patients aged <40 years were identified as the predictive factors of CLNM in cN0 PTCs with SMI. Hence, the results of this single-center study raise the possibility that prophylactic CLND may be more often considered for younger male PTC patients with SMI.

Thyroidectomy as Treatment of Choice for Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Background

Despite a large amount of data, the optimal surgical management of differentiated thyroid cancer remains controversial. Current guidelines recommend total thyroidectomy if primary thyroid cancer is >4 cm, while for tumors that are between 1 and 4 cm in size, either a bilateral or a unilateral thyroidectomy may be appropriate as surgical treatment. In general, total thyroidectomy would seem to be preferable because subtotal resection can be correlated with a higher risk of local recurrences and cervical lymph node metastases; on the other hand, total thyroidectomy is associated with more complications.

Methods

This is a retrospective study conducted on 359 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer, subjected to total thyroidectomy. Our aim was to correlate clinical and pathological features (extrathyroid tumor growth, bilaterality, nodal and distant metastasis) with patient (gender and age) and tumor (size and histotype) characteristics. Moreover, we recorded postoperative complications, including hypoparathyroidism and laryngeal nerve damage.

Results

In our study, we found a high occurrence of pathological features indicating cancer aggressiveness (bilaterality, nodal metastases, and extrathyroid invasion). On the other hand, total thyroidectomy was associated with relatively low postsurgical complication rates.

Conclusions

Our data support the view that total thyroidectomy remains the first choice for the routine treatment of differentiated thyroid cancer.

Prognostic Parameters in Differentiated Thyroid Carcinomas

Differentiated thyroid carcinomas make up most thyroid malignancies. The AJCC staging system and the ATA risk prediction system are the best predictors of mortality and recurrence, respectively. Key factors to be identified and reported by pathologists are reviewed in this article and include: (1) aggressive histologic variants of papillary thyroid carcinoma (including tall cell, columnar cell, and hobnail variants); (2) presence of gross extrathyroidal extension (into skeletal muscle or adjacent organs); (3) angioinvasion (including number of foci); (4) number, anatomic level, and size of lymph node metastases; (4) extranodal extension; (5) genetics (especially BRAF V600E or TERT promoter mutation).

Clinical characteristics and ultrasonographic features for predicting central lymph node metastasis in clinically node-negative papillary thyroid carcinoma without capsule invasion

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the association of preoperative clinical and sonographic features with central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in patients with clinically node-negative (cN0) papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) without capsule invasion.

METHODS

Clinical and sonographic features of 635 cN0 PTC nodules without capsule invasion were retrospectively reviewed. CLNM was confirmed by pathology. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to analyze the predicting factors associated with CLNM in cN0 PTC without capsule invasion.

RESULTS

In the 635 cN0 PTC nodules without capsule invasion, age ≤36 years, male, tumor size >8 mm, the distance between the tumor and the capsule ≤1.1 mm and calcification were independently associated with CLNM (P < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

CLNM was associated with age, sex, tumor size, the distance between the tumor and the capsule, and calcification in cN0 PTC without capsule invasion. Preoperative assessment of risk factors could help to select PTC patients who benefit from surgery.

The Efficacy and The Safety of Ultrasound-guided Ablation Therapy for Treating Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma

The prevalence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) increases rapidly all around the world, but the management of PTMC hasn't reached a consensus. Recently, ultrasound-guided (US-guided) ablation therapy was introduced as a feasible treatment for low-risk PTMC. The clinical application of US-guided ablation therapy needs doctors' effort to investigate the efficacy and the safety of US-guided ablation in treating PTMC carefully. Although the present evidence showed some limitations, such as short-term study time spans and no randomized control design, in our perspective, US-guided thermal ablation therapy has good short-term efficacy and safety and is a promising PTMC's treatment in future clinical practice.

Correlation between TERT C228T and clinic-pathological features in pediatric papillary thyroid carcinoma

The aims of the present study were to reveal the prevalence of the TERT C228T mutation in pediatric papillary thyroid carcinoma (PPTC) and to further investigate the role of the TERT C228T mutation in PPTC. We also tested another TERT mutation, TERT C250T, although this was not detected in PPTC patients. In this study, 48 patients with PPTC (41 with classic PPTC) were enrolled. DNA was extracted from PPTC tissues and TERT C228T mutation analysis was performed. Chi-squared analysis, Fisher's exact test, and a t-test were applied to test the significance of differences. The TERT C228T mutation presented in 13 (27.1%) of the 48 PPTC patients and 10 (24.4%) of the 41 classical PPTC patients. There were significant differences between PPTC patients with the TERT C228T mutation and those without in terms of modified radical neck dissection, multifocality, capsular invasion, extrathyroidal invasion, and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor stage (P<0.05). In classical PPTC, there were additional significant differences in other clinic-pathological features, such as AJCC nodal stage (P=0.009) and American Thyroid Association (ATA) PPTC stage (P=0.021) between patients with and without the TERT C228T mutation. These findings indicate that the TERT C228T mutation is significantly correlated with certain aggressive clinic-pathological features of PPTC.

Clinical features and therapeutic outcomes of patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinomas and larger tumors

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to identify clinical features and therapeutic outcomes of patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) according to tumor diameter and evaluate the correlation of neck lymph node (LN) involvement of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) according to patients' age.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We divided 467 patients into two groups according to tumor diameter: PTMC group (≤1 cm) and non-PTMC group (>1 cm). The clinical data were analyzed retrospectively. Thereafter, we divided the PTMC patients into three subgroups according to age: young subgroup (<45 years), middle subgroup (45-54 years), and old subgroup (≥55 years). A further study about clinical features, especially the neck LN involvement in three subgroups, was analyzed.

RESULTS

All patients received radioiodine ablation at least once. There were more patients with a single cancer lesion and cancer in the unilateral lobe, less number of neck LN involvement, fewer patients with neck lymph node metastasis (LNM), and more patients with Hashimoto's thyroiditis in PTMC group than in non-PTMC group. At the further evaluation, 58.03% patients maintained clinical remission, which was more in the PTMC group than in non-PTMC group. There was no significant difference in recurrence, but the disease-free survival rate of patients in the PTMC group was higher than in the non-PTMC group. In the PTMC group, the radioactive iodine curative ratio in younger patients is lower than that in the other two subgroups. Both the LNM and central LNM (CLNM) rates were significantly higher in young patients compared with older patients. In addition, the LNM-positive group had more male patients, larger tumor size, and higher thyroglobulin antibody level. Both LNM and the CLNM rates were significantly higher in the young subgroup than in the older subgroup. Young and middle age and extrathyroid extension were independent risk factors for neck LNM. Unlike LNM, young age, extrathyroid extension, and male sex were independent risk factors for CLNM.

CONCLUSION

Some PTMCs were less aggressive and the therapeutic outcomes of them were better than non-PTMC. Moreover, PTMCs in young patients were more aggressive, especially in LNM. Hence, clinicians should consider an individualized treatment according to tumor characteristics and age to achieve better therapeutic efficacy.

Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Patients With Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: A Radiomics Method Based on Preoperative Ultrasound Images

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid carcinoma is a type of indolent tumor with a dramatically increasing incidence rate and stably high survival rate. Reducing the overdiagnosis and overtreatment of papillary thyroid carcinoma is clinically emergent and important. A radiomics model is proposed in this article to predict lymph node metastasis, the most important risk factor of papillary thyroid carcinoma, based on noninvasive routine preoperative ultrasound images.

METHODS

Four hundred fifty ultrasound manually segmented images of patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma with lymph node status obtained from pathology report were enrolled in our retrospective study. A radiomics evaluation of 614 high-throughput features were calculated, including size, shape, margin, boundary, orientation, position, echo pattern, posterior acoustic pattern, and calcification features. Then, combined feature selection strategy was used to select features with the greatest ability to discriminate lymph node status. A support vector machine classifier was employed to build and validate the prediction model. Another independent testing cohort was used to further evaluate the performance of the radiomics model.

RESULTS

Among 614 radiomics features, 50 selected features most reflecting echo pattern, posterior acoustic pattern, and calcification showed the superior lymph node status distinguishable performance with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.753, 0.740, and 0.743 separately when using each type of features predicting the lymph node status. The results of model based on all 50 final features predicting the lymph node status shown an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.782, and accuracy of 0.712. In the independent testing cohort, the proposed approach showed similar results, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.727 and accuracy of 0.710.

CONCLUSION

Papillary thyroid carcinoma with lymph node metastasis usually shows a complex echo pattern, posterior region homogeneity, and macrocalcification or multiple calcification. The radiomics model proposed in this article is a promising method for assessing the risk of papillary thyroid carcinoma metastasis noninvasively.

Recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma from the residual pyramidal lobe: a case report and literature review

RATIONALE

Recurrence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) usually requires a second operation, which carries a high complication rate, especially if central neck dissection (CND) is necessary. Recurrent PTC from pyramidal lobe is a rare entity, which is mainly due to non-standardized operation. However, literature on this topic is limited.

PATIENTS CONCERNS

Here, we present a case of a 46-year-old woman with the recurrence of PTC from the thyroid pyramidal lobe (PL) following two thyroid operations.

DIAGNOSES

The final pathological result revealed recurrent PTC from the residual pyramidal lobe tissue.

INTERVENTIONS

The resection of the residual PL, the pretracheal nodes and the Delphian nodes plus intraoperative neuromonitoring (IONM) were performed, followed by TSH suppression therapy.

OUTCOMES

After two previous operations, the recurrent PTC from the residual pyramidal lobe tissue was completed resected. Until the latest follow-up, the patient had an excellent response to the third intervention.

LESSONS

Complete excision of the PL is mandatory in patients with PTC if thyroid surgery was indicated, considering the potential risk of recurrence from the PL and the high incidence of multifocality of PTC.

Preoperative serum VEGF-C but not VEGF-A level is correlated with lateral neck metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the relationships between serum vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-A or VEGF-C levels and lymph node metastasis (LNM) status in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

METHODS

The study enrolled 150 patients with pathologically proven PTC who underwent surgery: PTC without LNM, PTC with central neck metastasis, and PTC with lateral neck metastasis.

RESULTS

Preoperative serum VEGF-A levels were 300.12 ± 80.80 pg/mL overall and were not correlated with the presence of LNM. Preoperative serum VEGF-C levels were 132.41 ± 48.48 pg/mL overall and were significantly correlated with the presence of LNM. Serum VEGF-C levels were further increased in patients with lateral neck metastasis and positively correlated with the number of metastatic LNs (rho = 0.252, P = 0.002). Serum VEGF-C, but not VEGF-A, was identified as a significant predictor of lateral neck metastasis.

CONCLUSION

Serum VEGF-C might be a clinically relevant biomarker of lateral neck metastasis in patients with PTC.