Systematic review: The model for end-stage liver disease--should it replace Child-Pugh's classification for assessing prognosis in cirrhosis?

Comparative evaluation of ALBI, MELD, and Child-Pugh scores in prognosis of cirrhosis: is ALBI the new alternative?

Background:

The existence of reliable prognostic indices is of paramount importance in the management of cirrhosis. Both the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and the older Child-Pugh (CP) scores are widely used. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score, initially used in hepatocellular carcinoma, has not been thoroughly investigated in cirrhosis. The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic accuracy of ALBI, MELD, MELD with sodium (MELD-Na), CP, and the corrected for creatinine CP scores in a genetically homogeneous Cretan cirrhotic population.

Methods:

One hundred ninety-five outpatients or hospitalized cirrhotics (127 male, median age 66 years) were studied over a period of 2 years and ALBI, platelet-albumin-bilirubin, MELD, MELD-Na, CP score, and 2 types of modified CP score (CP-I and CP-II) with serum creatinine were calculated and correlated with survival.

Results:

ALBI had an optimum balance between sensitivity and specificity (area under the curve 0.704, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.630-0.778) compared to the other scores. In the multivariate analysis, the only factors independently associated with death were the ALBI score (hazard ratio [HR] 2.51, 95%CI 1.69-3.73; P<0.001), the MELD-Na score (HR 1.04, 95%CI 1.00-1.09; P=0.045), and age (HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.03-1.07; P<0.001). When only decompensated cirrhosis was evaluated, the multivariate analysis showed that the ALBI score (HR 3.03; 95%CI 1.92-4.78; P<0.001), and age (HR 1.05, 95%CI 1.03-1.07; P<0.001) were independently associated with death.

Conclusion:

ALBI score might be a better prognostic indicator of mortality in cirrhosis and given its simplicity could substitute for the CP, MELD, and MELD-Na scores.

Profiling of plasma metabolomics in patients with hepatitis C-related liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma

Aim of the study

The diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is usually late, due to the lack of early detection of biomarkers for HCC. Metabolomics analysis has emerged as a useful tool for studying human diseases. The objective of the study was to investigate the differences in plasma metabolites between hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced cirrhosis and HCC.

Material and methods

22 subjects with HCV-related liver cirrhosis and 22 subjects with HCC were enrolled. Clinical, routine laboratory and imaging studies were done. Gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (GC/MS) was used for metabolomics analysis of patients' plasma samples.

Results

34 known metabolites were detected, of which five metabolites were identified to have the strongest discriminatory power for separation between HCC and cirrhosis groups: octanoic acid (caprylic acid), decanoic (capric acid), oleic acid, oxalic acid and glycine. These are 3 fatty acids (FA), a dicarboxylic acid and a glucogenic amino acid, respectively. No significant correlation was found between the relative intensities of the five metabolites and any of the patient or tumor characteristics (Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage, number of focal lesions and size of largest focal lesion). ROC curve analysis was performed and area under the curve (AUC) was calculated, revealing that oleic acid, octanoic (caprylic) acid and glycine had higher positive predictive value than α-fetoprotein.

Conclusions

The study of metabolomics (particularly involving FA) may help define distinct metabolic patterns to distinguish HCV-induced liver cirrhosis from HCC patients. Future research in this field is still needed, particularly concerning HCC treatment strategies which target fatty acid-related metabolic pathways.

Toward Understanding the Relationship Between Prioritized Values and Preferences for Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Among Seriously Ill Adults

CONTEXT

Prioritizing among potentially conflicting end-of-life values may help patients discriminate among treatments and allow clinicians to align treatments with values.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate end-of-life values that patients prioritize when facing explicit trade-offs and identify predictors of patients whose values and treatment preferences seem inconsistent.

METHODS

Analysis of surveys from a multi-center cluster-randomized trial of patients with serious illness. Respondents prioritized end-of-life values and identified cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) preferences in two health states.

RESULTS

Of 535 patients, 60% prioritized relief of discomfort over extending life, 17% prioritized extending life over relief of discomfort, and 23% were unsure. Patients prioritizing extending life were most likely to prefer CPR, with 93% preferring CPR in current health and 67% preferring CPR if dependent on others, compared with 69% and 21%, respectively, for patients prioritizing relief of discomfort, and 78% and 33%, respectively, for patients unsure of their prioritized value (P < 0.001 for all comparisons). Among patients prioritizing relief of discomfort, preference for CPR in current health was less likely among older patients (odds ratio 0.958 per year; 95% CI 0.935, 0.981) and more likely with better self-perceived health (odds ratio 1.402 per level of health; 95% CI 1.090, 1.804).

CONCLUSION

Clinicians face challenges as they clarify patient values and align treatments with values. Patients' values predicted CPR preferences, but a substantial proportion of patients expressed CPR preferences that appeared potentially inconsistent with their primary value. Clinicians should question assumptions about relationships between values and CPR preferences. Further research is needed to identify ways to use values to guide treatment decisions.

Validation of a Model for Identification of Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis at High Risk of Decompensation

BACKGROUND & AIMS

It is important to rapidly identify patients with advanced liver disease. Routine tests to assess liver function and fibrosis provide data that can be used to determine patients' prognoses. We tested the validated the ability of combined data from the ALBI and FIB-4 scoring systems to identify patients with compensated cirrhosis at highest risk for decompensation.

METHODS

We collected data from 145 patients with compensated cirrhosis (91% Child A cirrhosis and median MELD scores below 8) from a cohort in Nottingham, United Kingdom, followed for a median 4.59 years (development cohort). We collected baseline clinical features and recorded decompensation events. We used these data to develop a model based on liver function (assessed by the ALBI score) and extent of fibrosis (assessed by the FIB-4 index) to determine risk of decompensation. We validated the model in 2 independent external cohorts (1 in Dublin, Ireland and 1 in Menoufia, Egypt) comprising 234 patients.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, 19.3% of the patients developed decompensated cirrhosis. Using a combination of ALBI and FIB-4 scores, we developed a model that identified patients at low vs high risk of decompensation (hazard ratio [HR] for decompensation in patients with high risk score was 7.10). When we tested the scoring system in the validation cohorts, the HR for decompensation in patients with a high-risk score was 12.54 in the Ireland cohort and 5.10 in the Egypt cohort.

CONCLUSION

We developed scoring system, based on a combination of ALBI and FIB-4 scores, that identifies patients at risk for liver decompensation. We validated the scoring system in 2 independent international cohorts (Europe and the Middle East), so it appears to apply to diverse populations.

Scoring Systems that Predict Mortality at Admission in End-stage Liver Disease

Background

Various scoring systems have been developed to assess the severity and survival in end-stage liver disease.

Aim of the study

Prospective study to compare and analyze the efficacy of scoring systems in predicting mortality in ESLD patients who present with cirrhosis specific complications to the emergency room.

Materials and methods

This prospective, single point study was conducted over a two year period from September 2014 to August 2016 among 162 ESLD patients seeking admission to the emergency unit of Gleneagles Global Health City, Chennai. Baseline investigations incorporated hemogram, liver biochemical parameters, coagulation parameters (PT/INR), serum creatinine, serum electrolytes and blood gas analysis, to calculate the CTP score, MELD, MELD-Na, MESO, iMELD, Updated MELD, UKELD, SOFA and APACHE II. Comparison of MELD snd non MELD scores were done between survivors and nonsurvivors. The mortality rate for the same admission was calculated.

Results

Of the 162 patients requiring emergency admision, 148 were men (91.4%). The median age of patients was 56 years (range 25–75 years). The cause for liver cirrhosis was alcohol followed by nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and hepatitis B. The indications for emergency admissions were fever, tense ascites, reduced urine output and altered sensorium. Thirty patients (18.5%) expired during the same admission. The predictive accuracy of all scores for predicting mortality by ROC curves was between 0.7 and 0.8 (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Although, all scores appear to be equally good, simple scores like CTP and MELD is all that is required to ascertain the prognosis of patients seeking emergency admission.

How to cite this article

Mangla N, Bokarvadia R, Jain M, Varghese J, Venkataraman J. Scoring Systems that Predict Mortality at Admission in End-stage Liver Disease. Indian J Crit Care Med 2019;23(10):445–448.

Prolonged Catheter Use and Infection in Regional Anesthesia: A Retrospective Registry Analysis

BACKGROUND

Prolonged catheter use is controversial because of the risk of catheter-related infection, but the extent to which the risk increases over time remains unknown. We thus assessed the time-dependence of catheter-related infection risk up to 15 days.

METHODS

Our analysis was based on the German Network for Regional Anesthesia, which includes 25 centers. We considered 44,555 patients who had surgery between 2007 and 2014 and had continuous regional anesthesia as well as complete covariable details. Cox regression analysis was performed and adjusted for confounding covariables to examine the relationship between catheter duration and probability of infection-free catheter use.

RESULTS

After adjustment for confounding factors, the probability of infection-free catheter use decreases with each day of peripheral and epidural catheter use. In peripheral catheters, it was 99% at day 4 of catheter duration, 96% at day 7, and 73% at day 15. In epidural catheters, it was 99% at day 4 of catheter duration, 95% at day 7, and 73% at day 15. Only 31 patients (0.07%) had severe infections that prompted surgical intervention. Among these were five catheters that initially had only mild or moderate signs of infection and were left in situ; all progressed to severe infections.

CONCLUSIONS

Infection risk in catheter use increases over time, especially after four days. Infected catheters should be removed as soon as practical.

VISUAL ABSTRACT

An online visual overview is available for this article at http://links.lww.com/ALN/B683.

Development and Validation of a Novel Model for Outcomes in Patients with Cirrhosis and Acute Variceal Bleeding

BACKGROUND

Acute variceal bleeding (AVB) in patients with cirrhosis is associated with high mortality, ranging from 12 to 20% at 6 weeks. The existing prognostic models for AVB lack precision and require further validation.

AIM

In this prospective study, we aimed to develop and validate a new prognostic model for AVB, and compared it with the existing models.

METHODS

We included 285 patients from March 2017 to November 2017 in the derivation cohort and 238 patients from December 2017 to June 2018 in the validation cohort. Two prognostic models were developed from derivation cohort by logistic regression analysis. Discrimination was assessed using area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC).

RESULTS

The 6-week mortality was 22.1% in derivation cohort and 22.3% in validation cohort, P = 0.866. Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) [odds ratio (OR) 1.106] and encephalopathy (E) (OR 4.658) in one analysis and Child-Pugh score (OR 1.379) and serum creatinine (OR 1.474) in another analysis were significantly associated with 6-week mortality. MELD-E model (AUROC 0.792) was superior to Child-creatinine model (AUROC) in terms of discrimination. The MELD-E model had highest AUROC; as compared to other models-MELD score (AUROC 0.751, P = 0.036), Child-Pugh score (AUROC 0.737, P = 0.037), D'Amico model (AUROC 0.716, P = 0.014) and Augustin model (AUROC 0.739, P = 0.018) in derivation cohort. In validation cohort, the discriminatory performance of MELD-E model (AUROC 0.805) was higher as compared to other models including MELD score (AUROC 0.771, P = 0.048), Child-Pugh score (AUROC 0.746, P = 0.011), Augustin model (AUROC 0.753, P = 0.039) and D'Amico model (AUROC 0.736, P = 0.021).

CONCLUSION

In cirrhotic patients with AVB, the novel MELD-Encephalopathy model predicts 6 weeks mortality with higher accuracy than the existing prognostic models.

Outcome of postoperative radiation therapy for cholangiocarcinoma and analysis of dose-volume histogram of remnant liver

The aim of this study was to analyze dose-volume histogram (DVH) of the remnant liver for postoperative cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) patients, to find toxicity rates, and to confirm efficacy of postoperative radiation therapy (RT).Thirty-two postoperative CCA patients received partial liver resection and postoperative RT with curative intent. The "liver reduction rate" was calculated by contouring liver volume at computed tomography (CT) just before the surgery and at CT for planning the RT. To evaluate late toxicity, the radiation-induced hepatic toxicity (RIHT) was determined by the common terminology criteria for adverse events toxicity grade of bilirubin, aspartate transaminase, alanine transaminase, alkaline phosphatase, and albumin, and was defined from 3 months after RT until liver metastasis was revealed. The radiation-induced liver disease (RILD) was also evaluated.Tumor stages were distributed as follows: I: 1, II: 8, IIIA: 1, IIIB: 6, IIIC: 14, IVA: 2. Median prescribed total dose was 50 Gy. Median follow-up time was 27 months. Two-year overall survival (OS): 72.4%, disease-free survival: 47.7%, local control: 65.3%, and the median survival time was 40 months. The median "liver reduction rate" was 21%. The OS had statistically significant difference in nodal status (P = .032) and "liver reduction rate" >30% (P = .016). In the association between the ≥grade 2 RIHT and DVH, there were significantly differences in V30 and V40 (P = .041, P = .034), respectively. The grade ≥2 RIHT rates differ also significantly by sex (P = .008). Two patients (6.2%) were suspected of RILD.We suggest that RT for remnant liver should be considered the liver V30, V40 to prevent radiation-induced liver dysfunction.

Associations between the single nucleotide polymorphisms of APOBEC3A, APOBEC3B and APOBEC3H, and chronic hepatitis B progression and hepatocellular carcinoma in a Chinese population

The present study examined the relationships between the single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of three members of the apolipoprotein B mRNA‑editing catalytic polypeptide‑like 3 (A3) gene family, A3A, A3B and A3H, and hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a Han Chinese population. A total of 654 patients were enrolled in the study between January 2012 and July 2016, including 104 patients with chronic HBV infection (CHB), 265 patients with HBV‑related liver cirrhosis and 285 patients with HBV‑related HCC. A total of two A3A SNPs (rs7286317 and rs7290153), three A3B SNPs (rs2267398, rs2267401 and rs2076109), and five A3H SNPs (rs56695217, rs139302, rs139297, rs139316 and rs139292) were genotyped using a MassArray system. Statistical analysis and haplotype estimation were conducted using Haploview and Unphased software. No significant associations were observed between the A3A, A3B and A3H SNPs and the development of CHB and HCC. Haplotype analysis revealed that the mutant haplotypes C‑T‑A, C‑T‑G, T‑G‑G and T‑T‑G from the A3B SNPs rs2267398‑rs2267401‑rs2076109 carried a lower risk of HCC than the reference haplotype. These findings suggested that there was no relationship between A3A, A3B and A3H SNPs and CHB progression or HCC development in the Han Chinese population.

Survival and clinical events related to end-stage liver disease associated with HCV prior to the era of all oral direct-acting antiviral treatments

Background: The aim of this study was to describe the natural long-term course of end-stage liver disease associated with chronic hepatitis C (HCV) infection by measuring survival and complication rates in the era prior to the arrival of new direct-acting antiviral (DAA) drugs. Methods: A retrospective population-based cohort study was designed to establish the follow-up of patients hospitalized for a decompensated cirrhotic event or hepatocellular carcinoma using electronic records from hospital discharge databases from 2009 to 2015. Their survival was compared with a sex, age and non-liver mortality excess matched simulation of the general Spanish population. Results: A total of 253 patients were included in the study. Among those with decompensated cirrhosis (n = 151) the hospital admission rate was 1.88 per patient-year with a mortality rate of 0.16 per patient-year. Mean survival was 4.10 years for patients with decompensated cirrhosis, and 1.75 for non-transplanted hepatocellular carcinoma, compared to 18.39 years for the general population. Conclusion: Our results show the complexity and rapid progression of end-stage liver disease associated with HCV infection. The considerable loss of life expectancy associated with the development of decompensated cirrhosis in patients with chronic HCV infection in the absence of viral clearance through treatment is acutely evident.

Clinical and prognostic implications of pretreatment albumin to C-reactive protein ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Despite recent advances in the treatments of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the prognosis of HCC patients remains controversial. The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic performance of pretreatment albumin to C-reactive protein ratio (ACR) in patients with HCC.

METHODS

This study included 409 initially diagnosed HCC patients retrospectively. The optimal cut-off points for distinguishing high and low ACR value was determined by the X-tile software. The chi-squared test was used for comparing the baseline clinicopathologic parameters in different groups and subgroups. The Cox regression with log-rank tests was used to analyze OS and DFS, and Kaplan-Meier curves was used to estimate the prognosis of HCC patients.

RESULTS

Patients with lower ACR were significantly correlated with advanced clinical parameters, using a cut-off points of 5.4 (high ACR, n = 236 vs. low ACR, n = 173). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that ACR was associated with OS (HR = 0.544, 95% CI: 0.385-0.769, p = 0.001), with DFS (HR = 0.550, 95% CI: 0.392-0.772, p = 0.001). Treatment exposure (HR = 2.191; 95% CI: 1.533-3.132; p <  0.001), tumor size (HR = 1.973; 95% CI: 1.230-3.164; p = 0.005), serum AFP level (HR = 1.752; 95% CI: 1.277-2.403; p = 0.001), and TNM stage (HR = 0.470; 95% CI: 0.319-2.504; p <  0.001), were independent factors for OS in HCC patients. Treatment exposure (HR = 2.244; 95% CI: 1.590-3.166; p <  0.001), TNM stage (HR = 2.075; 95% CI: 1.436-3.000; p <  0.001), serum AFP level (HR = 1.819; 95% CI: 1.340-2.469; p = 0.001), tumor size (HR = 1.730; 95% CI: 1.113-2.689; p = 0.015), and ACR (HR = 0.550; 95% CI: 0.392-0.772; p = 0.001) were independent factors for DFS in HCC patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Pretreatment ACR is a convenient and useful parameter for HCC patients predicting OS and DFS. Lower ACR was associated with advanced TNM stage, larger tumor size, and a high concentration of AFP. These results may help to design strategies to personalize management approaches among HCC patients.

Frankincense essential oil suppresses melanoma cancer through down regulation of Bcl-2/Bax cascade signaling and ameliorates heptotoxicity via phase I and II drug metabolizing enzymes

Melanoma is a deadly form of malignancy and according to the World Health Organization 132,000 new cases of melanoma are diagnosed worldwide each year. Surgical resection and chemo/drug treatments opted for early and late stage of melanoma respectively, however detrimental post surgical and chemotherapy consequences are inevitable. Noticeably melanoma drug treatments are associated with liver injuries such as hepatitis and cholestasis which are very common. Alleviation of these clinical manifestations with better treatment options would enhance prognosis status and patients survival. Natural products which induce cytotoxicity with minimum side effects are of interest to achieve high therapeutic efficiency. In this study we investigated anti-melanoma and hepatoprotective activities of frankincense essential oil (FEO) in both in vitro and in vivo models. Pretreatment with FEO induce a significant (p < 0.05) dose-dependent reduction in the cell viability of mouse (B16-F10) and human melanoma (FM94) but not in the normal human epithelial melanocytes (HNEM). Immunoblot analysis showed that FEO induces down regulation of Bcl-2 and up regulation of BAX in B16-F10 cells whereas in FM94 cells FEO induced dose-dependent cleavage of caspase 3, caspase 9 and PARP. Furthermore, FEO (10 μg/ml) treatment down regulated MCL1 in a time-dependent manner in FM94 cells. In vivo toxicity analysis reveals that weekly single dose of FEO (1200 mg/kg body weight) did not elicit detrimental effect on body weight during four weeks of experimental period. Histology of tissue sections also indicated that there were no observable histopathologic differences in the brain, heart, liver, and kidney compare to control groups. FEO (300 and 600 mg/kg body weight) treatments significantly reduced the tumor burden in C57BL/6 mice melanoma model. Acetaminophen (750 mg/kg body weight) was used to induce hepatic injury in Swiss albino mice. Pre treatment with FEO (250 and 500 mg/kg body weight) for seven days retained hematology (complete blood count), biochemical parameters (AST, ALT, ALK, total bilirubin, total protein, glucose, albumin/globulin ratio, cholesterol and triglyceride), and the level of phase I and II drug metabolizing enzymes (cytochrome P450, cytochromeb5, glutathione-S-transferase) which were obstructed by the administration of acetaminophen. Further liver histology showed that FEO treatments reversed the damages (central vein dilation, hemorrhage, and nuclei condensation) caused by acetaminophen. In conclusion, FEO elicited marked anti-melanoma in both in vitro and in vivo with a significant heptoprotection.

Massive transfusion in upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a new scoring system

Background: Massive transfusion in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) was not investigated. We developed a new scoring system to predict massive transfusion and to enhance care and early resource mobilization. Methods: Massive transfusion was defined as transfusion with ≥10 units of red blood cells within the first 24 h. Data were extracted from a 10-year, six-hospital database. Logistic regression was applied to derive a risk score for massive transfusion using data from 2006 to 2010, in 24,736 patients (developmental cohort). The score was then validated using data from 2011 to 2015 in 27,449 patients (validation cohort). Area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was performed to assess prediction accuracy. Results: Five characteristics were independently associated (p < .001) with massive transfusion: presence of band-form cells among white blood cells (band form >0), international normalized ratio (INR) >1.5, pulse >100 beats per minute or systolic blood pressure <100 mmHg (shock), haemoglobin <8.0 g/dL and endoscopic therapy. The new scoring system successfully discriminated well between UGIB patients requiring massive transfusion and those who did not in both cohorts (AUROC: 0.831, 95%CI: 0.827-0.836; AUROC: 0.822, 95% CI: 0.817-0.826, respectively). Conclusions: The new scoring system predicts massive transfusion requirement in patients with UGIB well. Key messages Massive transfusion is a life-saving management in massive upper gastrointestinal bleeding. How to identify patients requiring massive transfusion in upper gastrointestinal bleeding is poorly documented. Approximately 3.9% of upper gastrointestinal bleeding patients require massive transfusion. A new scoring system is developed to identify patients requiring massive transfusion with high accuracy.

The prognostic value of serum albumin-globulin ratio in early-stage non-small cell lung cancer: a retrospective study

Background: Previous studies demonstrated a significant association between the albumin-globulin ratio (AGR) and various types of cancers. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative AGR in patients with early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods: Patients diagnosed as NSCLC in a single center between January 1, 2014 and February 29, 2016 were retrospectively reviewed. AGR was defined as the ratio between the serum albumin level and the serum globulin level. Receiver operating characteristics analysis was performed to determine optimal cutoff values. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were clinical outcomes of our study. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify independent prognostic factors, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate survival curves. Results: A total of 279 early stage NSCLC patients were enrolled in our study with the median follow-up of 39 months (range 1-56 months). The statistical analyses manifested that the age (hazard ratio (HR)=1.045, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.010-1.081, P=0.011) and AGR <1.51 (HR=3.424, 95% CI: 1.600-7.331, P=0.002) were independent prognostic factors for OS; larger tumor (HR=1.211, 95% CI: 1.011-1.450, P=0.038) and AGR <1.51 (HR=2.177, 95% CI: 1.052-4.508, P=0.036) were significantly associated with decreased DFS. Conclusion: The current research reported that the preoperative AGR was an independent prognostic factor for both OS and DFS in early NSCLC, and patients with AGR <1.51 were more likely to have a poor prognosis.

Importance of Studying the Levels of Hepcidin and Vitamin D in Egyptian Children with Chronic Hepatitis C

Background and Objective

Hepcidin is the key regulator of iron metabolism and is a significant biomarker for systemic inflammatory states. Vitamin D is a powerful immunomodulator and plays a significant role in the inflammatory responses and fibrosis occurring due to hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. This study assessed the level of vitamin D and serum hepcidin and its expression in peripheral blood of children with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and correlated them with other serum markers to reflect iron metabolism and liver disease severity.

Methods

A total of 100 children were included in this study: 50 with HCV infection and 50 healthy controls. Biochemical parameters together with vitamin D, hepcidin, and its expression were all measured.

Results

The level of hepcidin and its expression together with vitamin D and hepcidin-to-ferritin (H/F) ratios were significantly reduced in patients, but the iron and ferritin levels were higher (P<0.001). Serum hepcidin level showed significant positive correlation with hepcidin expression, HCV titer, iron, ferritin, and H/F ratio (r = 0.43, 0.31, 0.34, 0.28, and 0.91, respectively) but significant negative correlation with vitamin D (r = -0.37). Both hepcidin and ferritin were higher in patients with Child Pugh scores B and C than those with score A (P<0.001).

Conclusion

Measuring serum hepcidin and its expression together with vitamin D levels in patients may have a prognostic value and is promising in the follow-up of the severity of liver disease.

Shear wave elastography prior to transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt may predict the decrease in hepatic vein pressure gradient

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a procedure used to treat portal hypertension complications. Our aim was to evaluate liver and spleen stiffness measurement (LSM and SSM, respectively) changes using acoustic radiation force impulse imaging (ARFI) in comparison to Child-Pugh scores for predicting hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) decreases after TIPS implantation.

METHODS

This prospective study included 31 consecutive clinically significant portal hypertension patients with TIPS indication. All patients received LSM and SSM before TIPS, at baseline, 2 days (follow-up 1) and 6 weeks (follow-up 2) post-implantation. HVPG was performed during the TIPS procedure.

RESULTS

The mean decrease in HVPG after TIPS was 63%. LSM and SSM decreased significantly between baseline and follow-up 2 (p < 0.001 and p < 0.001, respectively). At baseline, follow-up 1 and follow-up 2, significant correlations were detected between mean SSM and mean HVPG (p = 0.026; p = 0.018; p = 0.002, respectively). HVPG decreased to ≤ 10 mmHg in 61% of patients for which LSM, SSM, and Child-Pugh score were predictors (p = 0.033, p = 0.002 and p = 0.030, respectively). The area under the curve (AUC) for LSM, SSM, and Child-Pugh was 0.88, 0.90, and 0.84, respectively, with close sensitivity and specificity. SSM had the highest diagnostic accuracy for predicting an HVPG decrease to ≤ 10 mmHg in comparison to LSM and Child-Pugh score.

CONCLUSION

Spleen stiffness is superior to liver stiffness and Child-Pugh score as a non-invasive surveillance tool for evaluating patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (HVPG ≥ 10 mmHg) prior to TIPS.

Did a Goals-of-Care Discussion Happen? Differences in the Occurrence of Goals-of-Care Discussions as Reported by Patients, Clinicians, and in the Electronic Health Record

CONTEXT

Goals-of-care discussions are associated with improved end-of-life care for patients and therefore may be used as a process measure in quality improvement, research, and reimbursement programs.

OBJECTIVES

To examine three methods to assess occurrence of a goals-of-care discussion-patient report, clinician report, and documentation in the electronic health record (EHR)-at a clinic visit for seriously ill patients and determine whether each method is associated with patient-reported receipt of goal-concordant care.

METHODS

We conducted a secondary analysis of a multicenter cluster-randomized trial, with 494 patients and 124 clinicians caring for them. Self-reported surveys collected from patients and clinicians two weeks after a clinic visit assessed occurrence of a goals-of-care discussion. Documentation of a goals-of-care discussion was abstracted from the EHR. Patient-reported receipt of goal-concordant care was assessed by survey two weeks after the visit.

RESULTS

Fifty-two percent of patients reported occurrence of a goals-of-care discussion at the clinic visit; clinicians reported occurrence of a discussion at 66% of visits. EHR documentation occurred in 42% of visits (P < 0.001 for each compared with other two). Patients who reported occurrence of a goals-of-care discussion at the visit were more likely to report receipt of goal-concordant care than patients who reported no discussion (β 0.441, 95% CI 0.190-0.692; P = 0.001). Neither occurrence of a discussion by clinician report nor by EHR documentation was associated with goal-concordant care.

CONCLUSION

Different approaches to assess goals-of-care discussions give differing results, yet each may have advantages. Patient report is most likely to correlate with patient-reported receipt of goal-concordant care.

Serum miR-21 and miR-26a Levels Negatively Correlate with Severity of Cirrhosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Accurately evaluating the severity of liver cirrhosis is essential for clinical decision making and disease management. This study aimed to evaluate the value of circulating levels of microRNA (miR)-26a and miR-21 as novel noninvasive biomarkers in detecting severity of cirrhosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

METHODS

Thirty patients with clinically diagnosed chronic hepatitis B-related cirrhosis and 30 healthy individuals were selected. The serum levels of miR-26a and miR-21 were quantified by qRT-PCR. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of the miRNAs for detecting the severity of cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Serum miR-26a and miR-21 levels were found to be significantly downregulated in patients with severe cirrhosis scored at Child-Pugh class C in comparison to healthy controls (miR-26a p<0.01, and miR-21 p<0.001, respectively). The circulating miR-26a and miR-21 levels in patients were positively correlated with serum albumin concentration but negatively correlated with serum total bilirubin concentration and prothrombin time. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that both serum miR-26a and miR-21 levels were associated with a high diagnostic accuracy for patients with cirrhosis scored at Child-Pugh class C (miR-26a Cut-off fold change at ≤0.4, Sensitivity: 84.62%, Specificity: 89.36%, P<0.0001; miR-21 Cut-off fold change at ≤0.6, Sensitivity: 84.62%, Specificity: 78.72%, P<0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Our results indicate that the circulating levels of miR-26a and miR-21 are closely related to the extent of liver decompensation, and the decreased levels are capable of discriminating patients with cirrhosis at Child-Pugh class C from the whole cirrhosis cases.

NTCP S267F variant associates with decreased susceptibility to HBV and HDV infection and decelerated progression of related liver diseases

OBJECTIVES

To determine potential associations of the rs2296651 variant (c.800C>T, S267F) of NTCP with HBV and HBV plus concomitant HDV infection as well as with the progression of related liver diseases.

METHODS

The S267F variant was genotyped by DNA sequencing in 620 HBV-infected patients and 214 healthy controls (HCs). Among the patients, 450 individuals were tested for HDV by a nested PCR assay. Logistic regression was applied to examine the association.

RESULTS

The S267F variant was found more frequently among HCs (16%) compared to HBV-infected (6%) and HBV-HDV co-infected patients (3%) (HBV patients vs HC: OR=0.32, P=0.00002 and HDV patients vs. HC: OR=0.17, P=0.018). The frequency of S267F variant was inversely correlated with CHB, LC or HCC patients compared with HCs (OR=0.31, P=0.001; OR=0.32, P=0.013; OR=0.34, P=0.002, respectively). S267F variant was also associated with decreased risk of the development of advanced liver cirrhosis (LC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (Child B and C vs. Child A, OR=0.26, adjusted P=0.016; BCLC B,C,D vs. BCLC A, OR=0.038, P=0.045, respectively). In addition, patients with the genotype CT had lower levels of AST, ALT, total and direct bilirubin as well as higher platelet counts, indicating an association with a more favorable clinical outcome.

CONCLUSION

The NTCP S267F variant of the SLC10A1 gene exhibits protective effects against HBV and HDV infection and is associated with a reduced risk of developing to advanced stages of LC and HCC.

Routine monitoring of liver function tests in lung cancer resections - a necessary burden?

BACKGROUND

Increased availability of routine investigations results in significant over-investigation, burdening patients with unnecessary tests as well as increasing cost. We aimed to identify the extent of monitoring of liver function tests in lung resections, and to ascertain whether any impact on clinical decision-making occurred.

METHODS

Cases were identified using theatre records coded as "lobectomy/bilobectomy" in the three-month period 20 June 2017 to 20 September 2017. Electronic records were used to collect patient data.

RESULTS

A total of 91 cases were included; 77 (85%) patients had 1 set of pre-operative LFTs, 12 (13%) patients had 2 sets, and 2 (2%) patients had 0 sets; 69 (76%) had normal LFTs pre-operatively; 298 sets of LFTs were measured post-operatively, with a median of 3 sets per patient; 61 (67%) patients had either normal or static LFTs post-operatively, 13 (14%) had isolated rise in GGT, 16 (17%) had derangement of ALT and AST, and 1 patient (1%) had deranged ALP. Altered clinical decision-making due to LFTs derangement was recorded in two cases (2%).

CONCLUSION

Clinicians have an obligation to justify expense, and practise in a cost-effective manner. Our data suggest that the routine perioperative monitoring of LFTs in thoracic surgery does not give any clear benefit to patient care.

Dynamic Differences Of Red Cell Distribution Width Levels Contribute To The Differential Diagnosis Of Hepatitis B Virus-related Chronic Liver Diseases: A Case-control Study

Objective: This study aims to clarify the changes and clinical significance of red cell distribution width (RDW) during HBV-related chronic diseases, including inactive hepatitis B virus (HBV) carriers, HBV immune tolerant individuals, chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients and HBV-related hepatocirrhosis patients. Methods: RDW was measured 288 CHB patients, 100 patients with hepatitis B e antigen(HBeAg)-negative chronic HBV infection (inactive carriers), 92 patients with HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection (immune tolerant), and 272 patients with HBV-related hepatocirrhosis. Their RDW changes were compared with 160 healthy controls. Correlations between RDW and clinical indicators were conducted. For HBeAg+ CHB patients, RDW was measured before and after antiviral therapy. The efficiency of RDW to distinguish hepatocirrhosis from CHB and/or inactive carriers was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: RDW was higher in hepatocirrhosis patients than other groups of patients and healthy controls. Besides, HBeAg+ CHB patients possessed higher RDW than HBeAg- CHB patients. For HBeAg+ patients that underwent HBeAg seroconversion after antiviral therapy, RDW was decreased. RDW was positively correlated with total bilirubin and Child-Pugh scores and negatively correlated with albumin among hepatocirrhosis patients. The areas under the curve (AUC) of ROC curves to distinguish hepatocirrhosis from CHB patients was 0.7040 for RDW-standard deviation (RDW-SD) and 0.6650 for RDW-coefficient of variation (RDW-CV), and AUC to distinguish hepatocirrhosis from inactive carriers was 0.7805 for RDW-SD and 0.7991 for RDW-CV. Conclusions: RDW is significantly increased in HBeAg+ CHB patients and patients with HBV-related hepatocirrhosis and could reflect their severity. RDW could help to distinguish hepatocirrhosis from CHB patients and inactive HBV carriers.

Integration of Prealbumin into Child-Pugh Classification Improves Prognosis Predicting Accuracy in HCC Patients Considering Curative Surgery

Background and Aims: The poor outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients may be due to not only malignant tumors but also limited liver function. Therefore, as stated in major guidelines, only patients with relatively normal liver function (Child-Pugh A) would be referred for curative hepatectomy. Even so, the postsurgery survival rate of patients is still extremely poor. Direct curative resection may benefit most patients. This study aimed to improve the prognosis predicting accuracy of the Child-Pugh scoring system. Methods: This study included two cohorts: cohort A being composed of 613 HCC patients, with a 23-month median postsurgery follow-up time; and cohort B being composed of 554 tumor-free chronic liver disease patients. Kaplan-Meier test and Cox model were used for survival analysis. Independent-samples t test or one-way ANOVA was used to test the differences between different groups. Results: Serum prealbumin levels were found inversely correlated with worsening of fibrotic scores (r = -0.482, p < 0.001). Lower levels of presurgery prealbumin was an independent factor of poor postsurgery prognosis in Child-Pugh A patients, with a hazard ratio of 0.731 (p = 0.001). By integrating prealbumin together with total bilirubin level, serum albumin concentration and prothrombin time, a modified liver disease prognosis scoring system was developed to define traditional Child-Pugh A HCC patients as Modified Child-Pugh MCP-1, MCP-2 and MCP-3, with median postsurgery overall survival times of 44.00, 28.00 and 11.00 months respectively. Conclusions: Preoperative serum prealbumin is a valuable prognosis predicting biomarker for Child-Pugh A HCC patients who may be under consideration for curative resection. With serum prealbumin included as one of the parameters, the MCP scoring system might improve the postsurgery survival predicting accuracy for HCC patients.

Cardiac Profile of Filipino Patients With Liver Cirrhosis: A 10-Year Study

BACKGROUND

Cardiac complications among patients with liver cirrhosis have not yet been described among Filipinos. Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy is a rarely described complication that has not been extensively described in literature. This is the first study to describe the electrocardiographic and echocardiographic findings of Filipino patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

A retrospective analytical study of 148 patients with liver cirrhosis from 2007 to 2016 at the Philippine Heart Center was done. The clinical characteristics, median QTc interval, systolic and diastolic functions on echocardiography of these patients were described. Spearman rho correlation was employed to determine the rank order correlation between QTc prolongation and the severity of liver cirrhosis. Fisher's Exact test was used to test the association of the echocardiographic parameters with the severity of liver cirrhosis.

RESULTS

The 10-year prevalence rate of liver cirrhosis at the Philippine Heart Center was 0.001% (148/137,584). The mean age was 72.4 ± 14 years with a female/male ratio of 1.1:1. The most common etiology of cirrhosis was hepatitis B or C infection (20%, 29). The Child-Pugh Classification (CPC) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were used to determine the severity of liver cirrhosis and to assess their prognosis. There were 31 patients (24%) with CPC-A, 84 patients (64%) with CPC-B and 15 patients (11%) with CPC-C. Fifty-five percent (n = 69) had a MELD score of 16 and below. Prolongation of the QTc interval was only seen among those with CPC A (median QTc of 470 ms) and a MELD score of 9 and below (median QTc of 485 ms). The mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 54.40±28.63%. There were five patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction of < 55%. The mean cardiac output (6.04 ± 5.24 L/min/m2) and cardiac index (2.92 ± 1.47 L/min/m2) were normal. There were 44 patients who had evidence of diastolic dysfunction based on an E/A ratio < 1, prolongation of isovolumic relaxation time (IVRT) of > 80 ms and prolongation of deceleration time (DT) of > 200 ms. There were only five patients who fulfilled the criteria for cirrhotic cardiomyopathy. A majority of the patients were discharged improved (82%). There were 26 cases who expired (18%).

CONCLUSION

A higher mean age of Filipinos with liver cirrhosis was reported in our study. Prolongation of the QTc interval was seen among those with early and late stage of cirrhosis (CPC A or MELD score ≤ 9 and CPC C). Most of these patients had normal left ventricular systolic function precluding the presence of cirrhotic cardiomyopathy.

Health literacy levels in outpatients with liver cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

Health literacy (HL) is a concept covering a range of cognitive and social skills that comprises aspects necessary for patients to navigate in the healthcare system. Our study aimed to investigate HL in patients with liver cirrhosis and determine factors associated with low HL.

METHODS

Data were collected among outpatients with cirrhosis (n = 108), using three dimensions from the Health Literacy Questionnaire. The selected dimensions were: 'Social support for health' (Social support scale), 'Ability to actively engage with healthcare providers' (Engagement scale), and 'Understand health information well enough to know what to do' (Information scale). Unpaired t-test was used to investigate differences on the HLQ scale scores. The effect sizes (ES) were calculated between groups using Cohen's d.

RESULTS

A total of 105 patients completed the questionnaire. Mean age of respondents was 60.6 years (45.5% females). A majority had alcoholic liver cirrhosis (64.8%) and 36.2% were living alone. Males had a low level of Social support HL (p < .05). Having an education level <12 years was also associated with low level of Social support HL (p < .05). All ESs were characterized as small.

CONCLUSIONS

Male outpatients with liver cirrhosis were found to have low levels of HL, so were patients with low education. In order to effectively communicate and support patients to self-manage their disease, healthcare providers can benefit from including a focus on HL in planning and delivering health care to patients with liver cirrhosis.

Post-operative albumin-bilirubin grade predicts long-term outcomes among Child-Pugh grade A patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

BACKGROUND

Although Child-Pugh grade A patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are candidates for curative resection, some may have a poor prognosis. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, a measure of liver function based on albumin and bilirubin, has the potential to detect Child-Pugh grade A HCC patients with poor prognosis. Because components of the ALBI grade can be measured easily even after surgery, we explored the predictive values of ALBI in patient prognosis after HCC resection.

METHODS

In this retrospective case-control study, we included 136 HCC patients who underwent curative resection between January 2004 and December 2013 at our hospital. ALBI grade was calculated from laboratory data recorded the day before surgery and at post-operative day 5.

RESULTS

Pre- and post-operative ALBI grade predicted patients' long-term outcomes (P = 0.020 and P < 0.001, respectively, for overall survival, and P = 0.012 and P = 0.015, respectively, for recurrence-free survival). Post-operative ALBI grade was associated with patients' surgical factors of repeated hepatic resection (P = 0.012), intra-operative bleeding (P = 0.006), and surgery duration (P = 0.033). Furthermore, post-operative ALBI grade, rather than pre-operative ALBI grade, was an independent predictive factor of long-term outcome of Child-Pugh grade A patients with HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Post-operative ALBI grade is useful to predict the prognosis in patients after HCC resection.

Soluble fibrinogen-like protein 2 levels in patients with hepatitis B virus-related liver diseases

BACKGROUND

Clinical progression of HBV-related liver diseases is largely associated with the activity of HBV-specific T cells. Soluble fibrinogen-like protein 2 (sFGL2), mainly secreted by T cells, is an important effector molecule of the immune system.

METHODS

sFGL2 levels were determined by ELISA assays in sera of 296 HBV patients clinically classified into the subgroups of acute hepatitis B (AHB), chronic hepatitis B (CHB), liver cirrhosis (LC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and patients with LC plus HCC. As control group, 158 healthy individuals were included. FGL2 mRNA was quantified by qRT-PCR in 32 pairs of tumor and adjacent non-tumor liver tissues.

RESULTS

sFGL2 levels were elevated in HBV patients compared to healthy controls (P <  0.0001). In the patient group, sFGL2 levels were increased in AHB compared to CHB patients (P = 0.017). sFGL2 levels were higher in LC patients compared to those without LC (P = 0.006) and were increased according to the development of cirrhosis as staged by Child-Pugh scores (P = 0.024). Similarly, HCC patients had increased sFGL2 levels compared to CHB patients (P = 0.033) and FGL2 mRNA was up-regulated in tumor tissues compared to adjacent non-tumor tissues (P = 0.043). In addition, sFGL2 levels were positively correlated with HBV-DNA loads and AST (Spearman's rho = 0.21, 0.25 and P = 0.006, 0.023, respectively), but reversely correlated with platelet counts and albumin levels (Spearman's rho = - 0.27, - 0.24 and P = 0.014, 0.033, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

sFGL2 levels are induced by HBV infection and correlated with the progression and clinical outcome of HBV-related liver diseases. Thus, sFGL2 may serve as a potential indicator for HBV-related liver diseases.

Surgical management of children and adolescents with upfront completely resected hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an aggressive malignant neoplasm that is often chemoresistant. Complete surgical resection remains the mainstay of therapy. The role of liver transplantation (LT) in pediatric HCC is in evolution, as is the role of adjuvant chemotherapy for stage I disease.

METHODS

A retrospective review of patients < 18 years of age with completely resected HCC treated with surgical intervention alone at our institution from 2004 to 2015 was conducted.

RESULTS

Twelve patients with a median age of 12 years (range = 1-17; number of females = 7) with upfront resected HCC (Evans stage I) were identified. Four patients had HCC without identifiable risk factors (fibrolamellar-HCC = 2; early HCC arising in focal nodular hyperplasia = 1, well-differentiated [wd] HCC = 1). Four patients had early or wd-HCC in the context of portosystemic shunts (Abernethy = 2; mesocaval shunt and portal vein thrombosis = 2). Four patients had moderate to wd-HCC in the context of pre-existing liver disease with cirrhosis (progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis type-2 = 2, alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency = 1, Alagille syndrome = 1). Seven patients underwent LT (multifocal = 5; solitary = 2); five exceeded Milan criteria (MC) by imaging. Five patients underwent complete resection (segmentectomy = 2; hemihepatectomy = 3). Ten patients received no adjuvant chemotherapy. All patients are alive without evidence of disease with a median follow-up of 54.1 months (range = 28.1-157.7 months).

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric and adolescent patients with upfront, completely resected HCC can be effectively treated without chemotherapy. LT should be considered for nonmetastatic HCC, especially in the context of pre-existing chronic liver disease, even when the tumor exceeds MC. Distinct pediatric selection criteria are needed to identify patients most suitable for LT.

Preoperative albumin-to-globulin ratio as a significant prognostic indicator in urologic cancers: a meta-analysis

Background

Emerging studies reported that preoperative albumin-to-globulin ratio (AGR) correlated with tumor progression and prognosis in several types of cancer. The aim of this study was to systematically explore the association between preoperative AGR and clinical outcomes in cancers of the urinary system.

Methods

Relevant articles were searched in PubMed, Embase and Web of Science by two independent investigators from inception to June 1, 2018. Eligible studies were selected based on predetermined selection criteria. Summarized HRs or ORs and 95% CIs were calculated for prognosis and clinicopathologic features with the fixed-effects or random-effects models.

Results

Eight cohort studies comprising 2,668 patients were included for analysis. The pooled results showed that a low AGR significantly correlated with poor OS (HR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.27-0.48, P<0.001), worse cancer-specific survival (CSS) (HR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.22-0.50, P<0.001) and inferior event-free survival (EFS) (HR: 0.36, 95% CI: 0.25-0.48, P<0.001) in urologic cancers. In addition, patients in low and high AGR groups showed significant differences in lymphovascular invasion (P<0.001), pT status (P<0.001) and pN status (P<0.001).

Conclusion

Preoperative AGR might be a valuable, cheap and reproducible prognostic bio-marker in urologic cancers following surgical resection.

HINT: a novel prognostic model for patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) deteriorates rapidly in the short term, which necessitates accurate initial clinical decision making.

AIMS

To develop a novel prognostic score for patients with HBV-ACLF and clarify the role of thyroid hormones in HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort of 635 HBV-ACLF patients was enrolled to develop and validate a novel prognostic score for HBV-ACLF. Additionally, a cross-sectional cohort (n = 199) and a prospective longitudinal HBV-ACLF cohort (n = 56) were recruited to clarify the association between thyroid hormone status and the 30-day mortality of HBV-ACLF.

RESULTS

HINT, a novel prognostic score based on hepatic encephalopathy, INR, neutrophil count, and thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) using the deriving cohort (n = 426), was significantly higher in non-survivors than survivors (1.17 ± 2.38 vs -1.87 ± 1.26, P < 0.0001). The AUROC of HINT for 30-day mortality was 0.889, which was significantly higher than that of the Child-Pugh, MELD, CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and COSSH-ACLF scores (all P < 0.05). These results were confirmed in the validation cohort (n = 209), except that the AUROC of HINT was comparable to that of COSSH-ACLF (P = 0.357). Among thyroid hormones, only the TSH level on admission was significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors (P = 0.01). During the 14-day longitudinal observation, TSH levels increased significantly in the improvement group (P < 0.001) but did not change in the deterioration or fluctuation groups, and gradually increased in survivors (P < 0.001) but not in non-survivors.

CONCLUSIONS

HINT, as a prognostic score for HBV-ACLF, is simpler than and superior to the Child-Pugh, MELD, CLIF-SOFA, and CLIF-C ACLF scores and at least comparable with the COSSH-ACLF score. Sequential TSH measurements may facilitate prediction of the clinical course of ACLF.

Copeptin as a novel marker predicting prognosis of liver cirrhosis and its major complications

OBJECTIVES

The aim of the work was to assess the level of copeptin as a surrogate marker predicting the severity of liver diseases and its major complications.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a cross-sectional study that included 40 patients and 10 controls and was performed in Tanta University Hospital between June 2016 and November 2016. The studied cases were divided into five groups: group I (10 patients): compensated cirrhosis; group II (10 patients): cirrhosis with gastrointestinal hemorrhage due to portal hypertension; group III (10 patients): cirrhosis with hepatorenal syndrome; group IV (10 patients): cirrhosis with liver cell failure; and group V (10 controls): normal healthy individuals.

RESULTS

Regarding serum copeptin in the studied groups, copeptin showed a significant decrease in group I vs group II' group I vs group III, and group I vs group IV; and there was a significant increase in group II vs group III' group II vs group IV' group II vs control' group III vs control, and group IV vs control. No significance was detected between group I vs control and group III vs group IV.

CONCLUSIONS

Copeptin is a novel marker for the determination of prognosis of liver cirrhosis. There is significant association between serum level of copeptin and complications of liver cirrhosis.

Irreversible electroporation of malignant liver tumors: Effect on laboratory values

Liver cancer is often associated with chronic liver diseases. Treatment with percutaneous irreversible electroporation (IRE) may preserve liver function. In the present study, the clinical data of 29 patients with liver tumors between July 2015 and December 2016, all of whom underwent liver IRE at Fuda Cancer Hospital, Guangzhou, China was retrospectively reviewed. All the patients survived the treatment. Of the 29 patients, 7 were positive for hepatitis B, 15 had hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and 7 had pancreatic cancer with liver metastases. All patients survived IRE. Despite liver-protective treatment prior to IRE, the mean alanine transaminase (ALT) and aspartate transaminase (AST) levels were significantly elevated 1-2 days after IRE, to 540 and 712 U/l, respectively; however they had returned to the preoperative values by 2 weeks following IRE. Prior to IRE, the mean total bilirubin and direct bilirubin measurement levels were normal; however, 8-10 days after IRE, they had increased to 24 U/l and 12 µmol/l, respectively, and had returned back to the preoperative levels by 2 weeks after IRE. This first group included all patients. The result of the 4 subgroups of cancer patients demonstrated a variation between different measurement days and recovery with patients positive for the hepatitis B virus taking the longest duration to recover (17±3 days) meanwhile patients with pancreatic cancer with liver metastases took the shortest time to achieve recovery (10.78±2 days). The findings of the present study indicate that hepatic injury caused by IRE is transient and self-limiting in patients with liver tumors.

TACE with degradable starch microspheres (DSM-TACE) as second-line treatment in HCC patients dismissing or ineligible for sorafenib

OBJECTIVES

To date, there is no approved second-line treatment for patients dismissing sorafenib or ineligible for this treatment, so it would be useful to find an effective alternative treatment option. The aim of our study was to evaluate safety, feasibility and effectiveness of transarterial chemoembolisation with degradable starch microspheres (DSM-TACE) in the treatment of patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) dismissing or ineligible for multikinase-inhibitor chemotherapy administration (sorafenib) due to unbearable side effects or clinical contraindications.

METHODS

Forty consecutive BCLC stage B or C patients (31 male; age, 70.6 ± 13.6 years), with intermediate or locally advanced HCC dismissing or ineligible for sorafenib administration, who underwent DSM-TACE treatment cycle via lobar approach were prospectively enrolled. Tumour response was evaluated on multidetector computed tomography based on mRECIST criteria. Primary endpoints were safety, tolerance and overall disease control (ODC); secondary endpoints were progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

Technical success was achieved in all patients. No intra/peri-procedural death/major complications occurred. No signs of liver failure or systemic toxicity were detected. At 1-year follow-up, ODC of 52.5% was registered. PFS was 6.4 months with a median OS of 11.3 months.

CONCLUSIONS

DSM-TACE is safe and effective as a second-line treatment in HCC patients dismissing or ineligible for sorafenib.

KEY POINTS

• DSM-TACE is safe and effective as second-line treatment in HCC patients dismissing or ineligible for sorafenib • DSM-TACE allows the temporary occlusion of the smaller arterial vessels, improving overall therapeutic effectiveness by reducing the immediate wash-out of the cytostatic agent • DSM-TACE also decreases the risk of systemic toxicity and post-embolic syndrome.

Effect of a Patient and Clinician Communication-Priming Intervention on Patient-Reported Goals-of-Care Discussions Between Patients With Serious Illness and Clinicians: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Clinician communication about goals of care is associated with improved patient outcomes and reduced intensity of end-of-life care, but it is unclear whether interventions can improve this communication.

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy of a patient-specific preconversation communication-priming intervention (Jumpstart-Tips) targeting both patients and clinicians and designed to increase goals-of-care conversations compared with usual care.

Design, Setting, and Participants

Multicenter cluster-randomized trial in outpatient clinics with physicians or nurse practitioners and patients with serious illness. The study was conducted between 2012 and 2016.

Interventions

Clinicians were randomized to the bilateral, preconversation, communication-priming intervention (n = 65) or usual care (n = 67), with 249 patients assigned to the intervention and 288 to usual care.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was patient-reported occurrence of a goals-of-care conversation during a target outpatient visit. Secondary outcomes included clinician documentation of a goals-of-care conversation in the medical record and patient-reported quality of communication (Quality of Communication questionnaire [QOC]; 4-indicator latent construct) at 2 weeks, as well as patient assessments of goal-concordant care at 3 months and patient-reported symptoms of depression (8-item Patient Health Questionnaire; PHQ-8) and anxiety (7-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder survey; GAD-7) at 3 and 6 months. Analyses were clustered by clinician and adjusted for confounders.

Results

We enrolled 132 of 485 potentially eligible clinicians (27% participation; 71 women [53.8%]; mean [SD] age, 47.1 [9.6] years) and 537 of 917 eligible patients (59% participation; 256 women [47.7%]; mean [SD] age, 73.4 [12.7] years). The intervention was associated with a significant increase in a goals-of-care discussion at the target visit (74% vs 31%; P < .001) and increased medical record documentation (62% vs 17%; P < .001), as well as increased patient-rated quality of communication (4.6 vs 2.1; P = .01). Patient-assessed goal-concordant care did not increase significantly overall (70% vs 57%; P = .08) but did increase for patients with stable goals between 3-month follow-up and last prior assessment (73% vs 57%; P = .03). Symptoms of depression or anxiety were not different between groups at 3 or 6 months.

Conclusions and Relevance

This intervention increased the occurrence, documentation, and quality of goals-of-care communication during routine outpatient visits and increased goal-concordant care at 3 months among patients with stable goals, with no change in symptoms of anxiety or depression. Understanding the effect on subsequent health care delivery will require additional study.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01933789.

Flow Mediated Dilation in Cirrhosis: A Pilot Study in Different Stages of the Disease

INTRODUCTION

Cirrhosis is associated with changes in the cardiovascular system, where the circulatory dysfunction is compensated by the development of a hyperdynamic circulation. Endothelial function can be understood as the endothelium capability to release Nitric Oxide (NO) where an impairment in the normal development of this process constitutes a main step in the genesis and progression of atherosclerosis, a major cause of cardiovascular events. In recent years, non-invasive measurements have gained attention, due to the potential complications associated to invasive procedures.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate endothelial function (EF) in patients with cirrhosis, in different stages of the disease, complemented with hemodynamic measurements.

METHODS

Individuals were divided in three age groups, according to the severity of their disease. EF was assessed by using the flow mediated dilation technique (FMD), jointly with noninvasive determination of cardiac output (CO), total peripheral resistance (TPR) and arterial compliance (AC).

RESULTS

TPR showed a decrease in advanced severity while AC had an increase. Particularly, EF was found to be higher in CHC group, decreasing in CHB and more pronounceably in CHA. Concomitantly, an inverse behavior was observed regarding CO evolution.

CONCLUSION

EF was noninvasively evaluated in cirrhosis, in terms of the progression of the disease. Hyperdynamic states in the more advanced condition were accompanied by a higher vascular reactivity, probably associated with higher peripheral NO release and increased AC.

Interferon-stimulated gene 20 kDa protein serum levels and clinical outcome of hepatitis B virus-related liver diseases

Interferon-stimulated gene 20 kDa protein (ISG20) with 3' to 5' exonuclease activity mainly targeting single-stranded RNA plays an important role in immune responses against various infectious pathogens, including hepatitis viruses. ISG20 levels were measured by ELISA assays in sera of 339 hepatitis B-virus (HBV) infected patients and 71 healthy individuals and were correlated with clinical and laboratory parameters. ISG20 mRNA was quantified by qRT-PCR in 30 pairs of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tumour and adjacent non-tumour liver tissues. ISG20 levels were significantly elevated in HBV patients compared to healthy controls (P<0.0001). In the patient group, varying ISG20 levels were associated with different forms of HBV-related liver diseases. ISG20 levels were higher in patients with HCC compared to those without HCC (P<0.0001), and increased according to the stages of HCC (P<0.0001). ISG20 mRNA expression was up-regulated in tumour tissues compared to the expression in adjacent non-tumour tissues (P=0.017). Importantly, ISG20 levels were strongly correlated with the levels of AST, ALT, total and direct bilirubin among HCC patients (Pearson's r = 0.43, 0.35, 0.34, 0.3; P<0.0001, respectively). Although differences between liver cirrhosis (LC) and non-LC patients were not observed, ISG20 levels were elevated according to the progression of cirrhosis in patients with LC plus HCC (P=0.005). In conclusions, ISG20 levels are induced by HBV infection and significantly associated with progression and clinical outcome of HBV-related liver diseases, especially in patients with HCC. ISG20 might be a potential indicator for liver injury and the clinical outcome in HBV-related HCC.

Assessment of prognostic performance of Albumin-Bilirubin, Child-Pugh, and Model for End-stage Liver Disease scores in patients with liver cirrhosis complicated with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding

OBJECTIVE

The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) score was developed recently to assess the severity of liver dysfunction. We aimed to assess its prognostic performance in patients with liver cirrhosis complicated with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) while comparing it with Child-Pugh (CP) and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This was a retrospective unicentric study, including consecutive adult patients with cirrhosis admitted for UGIB between January 2011 and November 2015. Clinical, analytical, and endoscopic variables were assessed and ALBI, CP, and MELD scores at admission were calculated.

RESULTS

This study included 111 patients. During the first 30 days of follow-up, 12 (10.8%) patients died, and during the first year of follow-up, another 10 patients died (first-year mortality of 19.8%).On comparing the three scores, for in-stay and 30-day mortality, only the ALBI score showed statistically significant results, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.80 (P<0.01) for both outcomes. For first-year mortality, AUC for ALBI, CP, and MELD scores were 0.71 (P<0.01), 0.64 (P<0.05), and 0.66 (P=0.02), respectively, whereas for global mortality, AUC were 0.75 (P<0.01), 0.72 (P<0.01), and 0.72 (P<0.01), respectively. On comparing the AUC of the three scores, no significant differences were found in first-year mortality and global mortality.

CONCLUSION

In our series, the ALBI score accurately predicted both in-stay and 30-day mortality, whereas CP and MELD scores could not predict these outcomes. All scores showed a fair prognostic prediction performance for first-year and global mortality. These results suggest that the ALBI score is particularly useful in the assessment of short-term outcomes, with a better performance than the most commonly used scores.

HDV infection rates in northern Vietnam

Hepatitis D caused by the hepatitis delta virus (HDV) is a serious health problem in many regions of the world. A total of 546 HBV-infected patients were enrolled from 2013 to 2015 and classified clinically into the subgroups of chronic hepatitis B (CHB, n = 191), liver cirrhosis (LC, n = 147) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC, n = 208). The patients were screened for HDV-RNA by nested PCR assays. HDV genotypes were assessed by direct sequencing, followed by phylogenetic analysis. HDV-RNA was identified in 13% (71/546) of HBV-infected patients. The highest HDV prevalence was found in the LC group (19.7%), followed by the HCC (12%) and CHB (8.9%) groups (P = 0.017). HDV/HBV coinfections were significantly associated with a rather unfavourable clinical outcome, in particular with LC development compared to HBV monoinfection. Phylogenetic analyses indicated that the genotype HDV1 was, with a prevalence of 91%, by far the most common genotype in Vietnam, followed by HDV2 with 9%. Other HDV genotypes were not observed. In accordance with previous data obtained a decade ago, our results confirm a continuing high prevalence of HDV infection in hepatitis B patients in northern Vietnam with the HDV1 genotype still being the predominant genotype. HDV nucleic acid testing to minimize the associated risk should be considered.

Prognostic Models in Acute Liver Failure

There is a strong imperative to develop valid and accurate prognostic modeling for acute liver failure (ALF). Despite the numerous clinical models that have been proposed thus far and the use of some such models, that is, King's College Criteria and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, in clinical practice to aid decision-making, there is a significant need for improvement for determining patients' clinical course, survival, and requirement for liver transplantation. Future prognostic models shall need a stronger statistical foundation and accountability for time and variability in the clinical course of ALF and be applied for pretransplant and posttransplant outcomes.

Changing Etiology in Liver Cirrhosis in Sapporo, Japan

In Japan, preventive measures and antiviral therapy against acute or chronic viral infection had achieved remarkable progress in the 1980s or later. On the contrary, metabolic syndrome complicated with fatty liver has emerged as a public health concern to date. In the current study, we attempted to clarify etiological changes in liver cirrhosis treated in a single tertiary institute in Sapporo, Japan, from 1998 to 2016. Medical records of 1,166 patients (787 males, with mean of 64.9 ± 11.7 years), diagnosed as having liver cirrhosis for 19 years, were retrospectively reviewed to analyze etiology and clinical features. During the past 10 years, annual numbers of cirrhotic patients with chronic infection of hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) decreased from 50 or more to 20 or less, and alcoholic liver disease or cryptogenic liver injury emerged as major cause of liver cirrhosis. Among 100 cirrhotic patients of unknown cause, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) occupied almost 50% in 19 observational years. In order to control the rising trend in NAFLD related with metabolic syndrome, preventive measures including education in society would be required in Japan. How to cite this article: Kang J-H, Matsui T. Changing Etiology in Liver Cirrhosis in Sapporo, Japan. Euroasian J Hepato-Gastroenterol 2018;8(1):77-80.

A multicenter study on clinical characteristics of Acinetobacter bacteremia in patients with liver cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Clinical characteristics and risk factors for mortality of Acinetobacter bacteremia in cirrhotic patients have not been investigated.

METHODS

Acinetobacter bacteremia cases from four medical centers were collected from 2009 to 2014, to compare between patients with and without liver cirrhosis. Risk factors for mortality of Acinetobacter bacteremia among cirrhotic patients were identified using multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTS

Among the patients with Acinetobacter bacteremia, 72 had liver cirrhosis and 816 had not. Patients with cirrhosis were younger (57.5 [50-71] vs. 72 [50.25-71], p < 0.001), had more solid tumor (51.4% vs. 31.4%, p = 0.001), lower Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores (17 [12-24] vs. 20 [13-28], p = 0.012), less sourced from pneumonia (19.4% vs. 35.8%, p = 0.008), and less caused by Acinetobacterbaumannii (33.3% vs. 50.6%, p = 0.007) than those without. After matching for age, sex, and causative pathogens, the 30-day mortality (34.7% vs. 29.2%, p = 0.592) and APACHE II scores (17 vs. 17, p = 0.769) were not significant. APACHE II score (odds ratio [OR], 1.146; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.035-1.268; p = 0.009), bacteremia caused by A. baumannii (OR, 20.501; 95% CI, 2.301-182.649; p = 0.007), and solid tumor (OR, 18.073; 95% CI, 1.938-168.504; p = 0.011) were independent risk factors for 30-day mortality of cirrhotic patients with Acinetobacter bacteremia.

CONCLUSION

Even though cirrhotic patients with Acinetobacter bacteremia were younger and had lower APACHE II scores than non-cirrhotic patients, the mortality rates were insignificantly different between the two groups.

Treatment at a high-volume centre is associated with improved survival among patients with non-metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The association between case volume and outcomes is well-documented for several cancer types. However, it is unknown if patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated at high-volume centres have improved overall survival.

METHODS

About 135 442 patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma between 2004-2014 were identified in the Commission on Cancer's National Cancer Database and 53 795 patients were excluded for metastatic or node-positive disease. Average annual case volume was calculated as the total number of cases treated per centre from 2004-2014 and dividing by 10. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed the most significant case number threshold between high-volume centres and remaining centres. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox regression analysis to determine factors associated with improved survival. Kaplan-Meier curves and log-rank tests were used for overall survival estimates.

RESULTS

A total of 81 647 patients with stage I-III hepatocellular carcinoma were treated at a total of 1218 centres. The median [range] case volume per year averaged over the 10-year study period was 48.6 [0.1-205.5]. High-volume centres treated >114 cases of hepatocellular carcinoma annually while remaining centre treated ≤114 cases. Median survival for patients treated in high-volume centres and remaining centres were 31.9 and 16.6 months respectively (Log Rank P < .001). On multivariate analysis, average annual case volume was significantly associated with improved survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Receiving treatment at a high-volume centre is significantly associated with survival for patients with non-metastatic disease. Improved survival at high-volume centres may be related to access to a variety of treatment modalities, multidisciplinary evaluation, and/or subspecialty expertise.

The association between red blood cell transfusion and outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding

Background

The benefits of transfusion for acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) have not been well established; however, previous studies suggest that transfusion is associated with adverse outcomes. We performed an observational study using a 10-year database to analyze the association between red blood cell (RBC) transfusion and outcomes in patients with UGIB in the emergency department (ED).

Method and findings

All adult patients with UGIB were identified through diagnostic codes. Hospital mortality was the primary outcome; further bleeding was the secondary outcome. Logistic regression, propensity analyses, and conditional logistic regression were performed to determine factors associated with outcomes. Of 59,188 enrolled patients, 31.6% (n = 18,705) received RBC transfusions within 24 h following presentation to the ED. Hospital mortality was noted in 3.9 and 10.6% of the patients in the non-RBC transfusion and RBC transfusion groups, respectively (P < 0.001). RBC transfusion was associated with increased mortality risk (unadjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.75–3.16; P < 0.001) among all patients and in the propensity-matched cohort (unadjusted OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.39–1.72; P < 0.001). Further bleeding was noted in 5.6 and 33.8% of the patients in the non-RBC transfusion and RBC transfusion groups, respectively (P < 0.001). RBC transfusion was associated with increased risk of further bleeding (unadjusted OR 8.60, 95% CI 8.16–9.06; P < 0.001) among all patients and in the propensity-matched cohort (unadjusted OR 2.58, 95% CI 2.37–2.79; P < 0.001).

Conclusion

RBC transfusion was significantly associated with increased rates of hospital mortality and further bleeding in patients with UGIB. Although our findings have strengths, these results are not generalizable to all patients presenting with UGIB, especially patients presenting with exsanguinating bleeding. Additional prospective trials to guide optimal transfusion strategies in UGIB patients are needed.

The Role of Urinary Neutrophil Gelatinase-Associated Lipocalin in Predicting Acute Kidney Dysfunction in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis

Background

Early detection of acute kidney dysfunction (AKD) in cirrhotic patients is crucial. Urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) has been identified as an early marker of AKD. The aim of the study was to evaluate serial uNGAL as a marker and predictor of AKD in liver cirrhosis patients.

Methods

Serial uNGAL and serum creatinine (sCr) levels were measured daily during the first 6 days of admission. Furthermore, sCr levels and the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were measured after 3 - 6 weeks. The uNGAL levels in patients with and without abnormal sCr were compared.

Results

Fifty-seven consecutive cirrhotic patients were enrolled in the study. Eight of 14 patients (57%) who developed abnormal uNGAL level also had abnormal sCr level (odds ratio (OR) = 3.4, 95% CI: 0.99 - 12.03, P = 0.05). After 6 weeks, 41% of patients exhibited an abnormal uNGAL level and abnormal sCr (OR = 6.7, 95% CI: 1.55 - 28.85, P = 0.01). Area under the curve (AUROC) and the best cut-off point for highest NGAL in 6 days were 0.64 and 72.55 ng/mL, respectively.

Conclusions

There is a modest association between highest uNGAL in the first 6 days of admission and sCr at week 6 in all participants. This may indicate that in cirrhotic patients, uNGAL level during the first 6 days of admission has a potential predictability for the development of high sCr and low eGFR 6 weeks later. The AUROC of 0.64 quantifies the overall ability of uNGAL to discriminate between those individuals who will have a raised sCr levels and those who will not.

ADJunctive Ulinastatin in Sepsis Treatment in China (ADJUST study): study protocol for a randomized controlled trial

Background

Sepsis is a major challenge in critical care and is associated with high mortality. Current management of sepsis and septic shock remains mainly supportive. Both basic and clinical research has shown that ulinastatin can improve the prognosis of sepsis. The aim of this trial is to evaluate the efficacy and safety profiles of ulinastatin compared with placebo.

Methods/design

In this multi-center, double-blind, randomized placebo-controlled trial we are recruiting a total of 348 subjects meeting “The Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock” (Sepsis-3). Subjects will be randomized (1:1) to receive ulinastatin 400,000 IU three times a day for 10 days or matching placebo and usual care simultaneously. The primary outcome is 28-day all-cause mortality. Adverse events and serious adverse events will be monitored closely.

Discussion

ADJUST is a large, multi-center, double-blind, randomized, parallel-group, placebo-controlled trial of ulinastatin in mainland China and is well-designed on the basis of previous studies. The results of this trial may help to provide evidence-based recommendations for treatment of sepsis.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials.gov, ID: NCT02647554. First registered on 27 December 2015, and last verified in December of 2016.

Protocol version: 2.1, verified on 19 July 2016.

Non-invasive predictive model for hepatic venous pressure gradient based on a 3-dimensional computed tomography volume rendering technology

Portal hypertension secondary to liver cirrhosis may cause a number of life-threatening complications. The rupture of gastroesophageal varices is associated with a high mortality rate of 15–30%. Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is an accurate reflection of disease severity, however this can only be assessed via an invasive interventional procedure. The aim of the present study was to explore a non-invasive method based on 3D computed tomography (CT) volume rendering technology to accurately predict HVPG. A total of 77 patients diagnosed with liver cirrhosis underwent HVPG examination in the present study and the appropriate clinical and radiological data were retrospectively reviewed. A 3D liver and spleen volume rendering was constructed for volume measurements. All non-invasive parameters were tested using univariate analysis and the resulting variables that were statistically significant (P<0.20) were used in the multivariate linear regression model. The HVPG predictive model was as follows: HVPG = 18.726 - 0.324 (albumin) + 1.57 (aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index) + 0.004 (liver volume) (multivariate regression analysis, P=0.006). The corresponding area under receiver operating characteristic curve to identify clinically significant portal hypertension defined as HVPG ≥10 mmHg was 0.810 (95% confidence interval; 0.705–0.891), with an optimal cut-off value of 12.84, yielding a sensitivity of 80.36% a specificity of 76.19%. The results of the present study indicate that 3D CT volume rendering technology may have the potential to be used for non-invasive prediction of HVPG.