Long term clinical outcome of chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response to interferon monotherapy

Antiviral therapy for recurrent hepatitis C after liver transplantation: sustained virologic response is related to genotype 2/3 and response at week 12

OBJECTIVES

Recurrent hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection after liver transplantation (LT) is a major cause of transplant failure in HCV-positive patients. We retrospectively assessed the efficacy and safety of antiviral therapy and determined the factors influencing sustained virologic response (SVR) in LT recipients.

METHODS

Between 1998 and 2007, we treated 36 LT recipients for hepatitis C cirrhosis and subsequent HCV recurrence (27 genotype 1 and 9 genotypes 2/3) with pegylated interferon alpha-2a (180 microg/week), pegylated interferon alpha-2b (1.5 microg/kg per week), or standard interferon alpha-2b (3 MIU 3X/week) plus ribavirin (600-1200 mg/day) for 48 weeks.

RESULTS

SVR was achieved in seven of 27 (26%) of genotype 1 patients versus nine of nine (100%) genotype 2/3 patients (P=0.0001). Early virologic response at week 12 was associated with permanent viral clearance. Side effects included cytopenia and acute hearing loss, but rate of therapy withdrawal and dose reduction was low.

CONCLUSION

Combination therapy in patients with HCV reinfection after LT yields an excellent SVR rate in genotype 2/3 patients, but remains unsatisfactory in genotype 1 patients. Virologic response at week 12 (early virologic response) can determine whether therapy should be continued or not.

Nonresponse to treatment for hepatitis C: current management strategies

Chronic hepatitis C affects >170 million people worldwide, causing cirrhosis and liver cancer in a sizeable proportion of patients. Substantial progress has been made in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C. More than 50% of patients can achieve sustained virological response after 24-48 weeks of interferon and ribavirin combination therapy, making chronic hepatitis C a potentially curable disease. However, a large proportion of patients with chronic hepatitis C do not clear the virus after current standard therapy. Hepatitis C virus develops two pathways to counteract the antiviral effect of interferon. Some chronic hepatitis C patients may have a virus that is more resistant to interferon therapy, while other patients appear to have defective immune responses or poor tolerance or compliance to interferon-based antiviral therapy. The possible strategies to improve antiviral efficiency in these nonresponders are to increase the dosage, prolong the duration of treatment and improve the compliance of patients. A total of 6-15% of prior nonresponders to standard interferon plus ribavirin therapy will respond to re-treatment with peginterferon plus ribavirin, while 32-50% of patients who have relapsed will respond to re-treatment. New small molecules are under development to treat chronic hepatitis C and may be important particularly in the treatment of prior nonresponders to current standard therapy.

Efficacy and safety of peginterferon-alpha2b and ribavirin combination therapy in children with chronic hepatitis C infection

BACKGROUND

Interferon (IFN)-alpha2b plus ribavirin is approved for treatment of hepatitis C in children; however, little is known about efficacy and tolerability of pegylated IFN (PEG-IFN)-alpha2b in this population. The objective of this study was to test the efficacy and safety of PEG-IFN-alpha2b plus ribavirin in children with chronic hepatitis C.

METHODS

Thirty children 3-16 years of age who had detectable hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA for >or=3 years after exposure and elevated alanine aminotransferase values received PEG-IFN-alpha2b 1.0 microg/kg/wk plus ribavirin 15 mg/kg/d for 24 weeks (genotype 2/3) or 48 weeks (genotype 1/4). The primary endpoint was sustained virologic response (SVR), defined as undetectable HCV RNA (<50 IU/mL) at week 24 of follow-up.

RESULTS

SVR was achieved in 50% of patients (3/3 genotype 3; 12/27 genotype 1/4). At week 12, 52% of patients were HCV RNA negative and 72% had a >2 log10 decrease in viral load, compared with baseline; 87% and 71% of these patients, respectively, attained an SVR. Therapy was discontinued in 3 patients as a result of adverse events. No patient required ribavirin dose reduction; PEG-IFN-alpha2b dose was reduced in 23% of patients to manage neutropenia.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination therapy with PEG-IFN-alpha2b and ribavirin treatment was effective in children with chronic hepatitis C. Virologic status at week 12 identified future responders and nonresponders. PEG-IFN-alpha2b and ribavirin were reasonably well tolerated, with no unexpected or permanent adverse effects. Further studies are needed to identify the optimum treatment regimen for this patient population.

Effect of sustained virological response on long-term clinical outcome in 113 patients with compensated hepatitis C-related cirrhosis treated by interferon alpha and ribavirin

AIM: To assess the long-term clinical benefit of sustained virological response (SVR) in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) cirrhosis treated by antiviral therapy using mostly ribavirin plus interferon either standard or pegylated.

METHODS: One hundred and thirteen patients with uncomplicated HCV biopsy-proven cirrhosis, treated by at least one course of antiviral treatment ≥ 3 mo and followed ≥ 30 mo were included. The occurrence of clinical events [hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), decompensation and death] was compared in SVR and non SVR patients.

RESULTS: Seventy eight patients received bitherapy and 63 had repeat treatments. SVR was achieved in 37 patients (33%). During a mean follow-up of 7.7 years, clinical events occurred more frequently in non SVR than in SVR patients, with a significant difference for HCC (24/76 vs 1/37, P = 0.01). No SVR patient died while 20/76 non-SVR did (P = 0.002), mainly in relation to HCC (45%).

CONCLUSION: In patients with HCV-related cirrhosis, SVR is associated with a significant decrease in the incidence of HCC and mortality during a follow-up period of 7.7 years. This result is a strong argument to perform and repeat antiviral treatments in patients with compensated cirrhosis.

Antiviral therapy: chronic hepatitis C

The combination of pegylated interferon (IFN) with ribavirin is the standard of care for chronic hepatitis C. Response rates range from 50 to 90% for genotype 1 and 2/3 which also differ in the duration of treatment (48 vs 24 weeks, respectively). Therapy if given with weight-based dosing may be shortened from 24 to 12, 14 or 16 weeks (genotypes 2 and 3), and from 48 to 24 weeks (genotype 1) in case of hepatitis C virus (HCV) clearance at week 4, without reducing sustained virologic response (SVR). Conversely, prolonging treatment for 72 weeks in those with only a decrease of viral load at week 4, i.e. "slow responders" increases SVR rates by preventing relapse. In spite of such progress, over half of patients are relapsers or nonresponders. If the previous treatment was suboptimal, retreatment with higher doses or longer duration may be beneficial unless an individual was a 'null responder' previously. New promising anti-HCV molecules (antiproteases and antipolymerases), some with potent antiviral activity, are in phase II trials but appear to require the addition of IFN and ribavirin to maintain viral suppression. Other immunomodulatory agents such as new IFN or therapeutic vaccines and alternatives to ribavirin are also under development. Future regimens should improve efficacy and provide shorter and better-tolerated combination therapy.

Hepatic steatosis as a possible risk factor for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma after eradication of hepatitis C virus with antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C

AIM: To elucidate risk factors contributing to the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with sustained viral response (SVR) after interferon (IFN) treatment and to examine whether HCV-RNA still remained in the liver of SVR patients who developed HCC.

METHODS: Two-hundred and sixty-six patients, who achieved SVR, were enrolled in this study. We retrospectively reviewed clinical, viral and histological features of the patients, and examined whether the development of HCC depends on several clinical variables using Kaplan-Meier Method. RT-PCR was used to seek HCV-RNA in 3 out of 7 patients in whom liver tissue was available for molecular analysis.

RESULTS: Among the enrolled 266 patients with SVR, HCC developed in 7 patients (7/266; 2.6%). We failed to detect HCV-RNA both in cancer and non-cancerous liver tissue in all three patients. The cumulative incidence for HCC was significantly different depending on hepatic fibrosis (F3-4) (P = 0.0028), hepatic steatosis (Grade 2-3) (P = 0.0002) and age (≥ 55) (P = 0.021) at the pre-interferon treatment.

CONCLUSION: The current study demonstrated that age, hepatic fibrosis, and hepatic steatosis at pre-interferon treatment might be risk factors for developing HCC after SVR.

Peg-interferon alone or combined with ribavirin in HCV cirrhosis with portal hypertension: a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Risks and benefits of antiviral therapy in HCV cirrhosis with portal hypertension are poorly known.

METHODS

We performed a randomized controlled trial in 102 HCV patients with compensated cirrhosis and portal hypertension: 51 received 1 microg/kg/week of Pegylated-interferon alpha-2b and 51 Pegylated-interferon plus 800 mg/day of ribavirin up to 52 weeks.

RESULTS

By intention-to-treat analysis, five patients on monotherapy and eleven on combination therapy achieved a sustained virological response (9.8% vs. 21.6%, p=0.06). The response was more frequent for genotypes 2 or 3 than genotype 1 (66.6% vs. 11.3%, p=0.001). Genotype 1, who had low viral load at start of therapy, were HCV-RNA negative at 4 weeks, and were adherent to the scheduled therapy had a higher probability of sustained virological response. Patients with sustained virological response had less disease events compared to nonresponders (6.2% vs. 38.3%, p=0.03 by log rank test) during follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

In HCV cirrhosis with portal hypertension Peg-interferon plus ribavirin is a feasible treatment. Although the rate of viral eradication is modest, tailoring by genotype and early viral response allows to keep patients on treatment who are more likely to have viral eradication. Patients with viral eradication have fewer disease complications during follow-up.

Long-term follow-up of the hepatitis C HENCORE cohort: response to therapy and occurrence of liver-related complications

The aims of the study were to verify the long-term effect of time on viral clearance in hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients and to find out factors possibly associated with disease progression. A total of 1641 patients recruited from eight European centres in 1996-1997 were re-analysed 5-7 years after inclusion. The occurrence of decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver transplantation was analysed in relation to different host and viral factors. Ninety-three per cent of the HCV patients who had cleared the virus (spontaneously or after antiviral therapy) remained HCV-RNA-negative during follow up and may be considered as 'cured'. Among patients who were sustained responders at inclusion, 2.3% developed liver complications during follow up, and 31% of non-responders did. Advanced age at infection and presence of the human leucocyte antigen (HLA) DRB1*1201-3 allele were possibly associated with a higher rate of progression to decompensated cirrhosis or HCC. Decompensated cirrhosis might be further associated with male gender, non-response to previous therapy, and lack of HLA DRB1*1301 allele, whereas HCC seems to be associated with the presence of the HLA DQ02 allele. Long-term follow up of HCV patients indicates that virological response persists over time and is associated with a very low incidence of liver complications. Advanced age at inclusion, advanced age at infection, viral genotype 1, non-response to previous therapy and possibly some specific HLA alleles are factors independently associated with a faster rate of progression towards liver complications. The large proportion of patients lost to follow up stresses the need for a strengthened and optimized management of HCV patients.

Hepatology may have problems with putative surrogate outcome measures

A surrogate outcome measure is a laboratory measurement, a physical sign, or another intermediate substitute that is able to predict an intervention's effect on a clinically meaningful outcome. A clinical outcome detects how a patient feels, functions, or survives. Surrogate outcome measures occur faster or more often, are cheaper, and/or are less invasively achieved than the clinical outcome. In practice, validation is surprisingly often overlooked, especially if a biologic plausible rationale is proposed. Surrogate outcomes must be validated before use. The first step in validation is to demonstrate a correlation between the putative surrogate and the clinical outcome, e.g., the higher the surrogate the shorter time to death. However, a correlation is not sufficient to validate the surrogate. The second step is to establish if the intervention's effect on the surrogate outcome accurately predicts the intervention's effect on the clinical outcome. In hepatology a number of putative surrogate outcomes are used both in clinical research and in clinical practice without having been properly validated. Sustained virological response to interferons and ribavirin in patients with chronic hepatitis C, serum bilirubin concentration following ursodeoxycholic acid or immunosuppressants for patients with primary biliary cirrhosis, and nutritional outcomes following artificial nutrition for liver patients may not be valid surrogates for morbidity or mortality. The challenge is to develop reliable surrogates, both to facilitate the development of new interventions and to ensure our patients and us that these interventions are effective clinically.

Current therapy for hepatitis C

INTRODUCTION

Pegylated interferon alfa in combination with ribavirin has been established as standard therapy for chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection with sustained virologic response rates of 54-63%. The duration of therapy depends on the HCV genotype with currently 48 weeks for genotype 1 and 24 weeks for genotypes 2 and 3.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The probability of sustained virologic response is very low (<1-2%) in genotype-1-infected patients without a 2-log decline of HCV RNA concentration after 12 weeks of therapy, and treatment can therefore be discontinued early.

CONCLUSION

Efficient treatment of the multiple side-effects of interferon-based antiviral therapy is essential in order to improve compliance, prevent dose reduction or early discontinuation and therefore enhance the probability of sustained response. Future developments of interferon-based therapy aim at the individualisation of the duration of therapy according to the kinetics of viral reduction. Furthermore, direct antiviral drugs, which are currently under investigation in phase I/II clinical trials, will fundamentally expand the treatment options of HCV infection in the next few years.

Sustained virological response to interferon-alpha is associated with improved outcome in HCV-related cirrhosis: a retrospective study

The effect of achieving a sustained virological response (SVR) following interferon-alpha (IFNalpha) treatment on the clinical outcomes of patients with HCV-related cirrhosis is unknown. In an attempt to assess the risk of liver-related complications, HCC and liver-related mortality in patients with cirrhosis according to the response to IFNalpha treatment, a retrospective database was developed including all consecutive patients with HCV-related, histologically proven cirrhosis treated with IFNalpha monotherapy between January 1992 and December 1997. SVR was an undetectable serum HCV-RNA by PCR 24 weeks after IFNalpha discontinuation. HCC was assessed by ultrasound every 6 months. Independent predictors of all outcomes were assessed by Cox regression analysis. Of 920 patients, 124 (13.5%) were classified as achieving a SVR. During a mean follow-up of 96.1 months (range: 6-167) the incidence rates per 100 person-years of liver-related complications, HCC and liver-related death were 0, 0.66, and 0.19 among SVR and 1.88, 2.10, and 1.44 among non-SVR (P<0.001 by log-rank test). Multivariate analyses found that non-SVR was associated with a higher risk of liver-related complications (hazard ratio, HR, not applicable), HCC (HR 2.59; 95% CI 1.13-5.97) and liver-related mortality (HR 6.97; 95% CI 1.71-28.42) as compared to SVR.

CONCLUSION

Thus, in patients with HCV-related, histologically proven cirrhosis, achievement of a SVR after IFNalpha therapy was associated with a reduction of liver-related mortality lowering both the risk of complications and HCC development. Irrespective of SVR achievement, all patients should continue surveillance because the risk of occurrence of HCC was not entirely avoided.

Peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin in patients with hepatitis C virus and decompensated cirrhosis: a controlled study

BACKGROUND/AIM

To evaluate long-term outcomes in decompensated HCV-related cirrhotic patients treated with antiviral therapy.

METHODS

Of 129 eligible patients, 66 received peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin for 24 weeks, and 63 were controls. Survival and recurrence of liver failure events after therapy were main outcomes.

RESULTS

Therapy was tolerated by 27 patients, dose reduced in 26 for toxicity, and discontinued in 13 for intolerance. End-of-therapy and sustained virological response (SVR) rates were 82.6% and 43.5% for HCV 2/3 patients, and 30.2% and 7.0% for HCV 1/4 patients. During therapy, odds ratios for severe infections or deaths due to infection were 2.95 (95% C.I. 0.93-9.3) and 1.97 (95% C.I. 0.40-9.51) in treated patients as compared with controls. During a follow-up of 30 months off-therapy, decompensated events occurred in 52, 33, and 3 of controls, non-responders, and SVR patients. Odds ratios for ascites, encephalopathy, and oesophageal bleeding in treated patients significantly decreased as compared with controls. Annualized incidence of death was 2.34, 1.91, and 0 per 1000 patient-years, respectively, in controls, non-responders, and SVR patients. Survival curves showed early separation of SVR patients from both non-responders and controls at approximately 6 months.

CONCLUSIONS

In decompensated cirrhotics, HCV clearance by therapy is life-saving and reduces disease progression.

Long-term outcomes of chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response at 6 months after the end of treatment

AIM: To assess the clinical, biochemical, and virological outcome during long-term follow-up of chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response following effective antiviral therapy.

METHODS: This study was a retrospective cohort study including 171 sustained responders defined as HCV RNA PCR negative at 6 mo after the end of effective antiviral treatment (SVR-6). Clinical signs and symptoms, biochemical hepatic parameters, ultrasonography and HCV RNA PCR were followed.

RESULTS: Mean follow-up period was 35.38 ± 22.2 mo after the end of treatment. Twenty-seven (15.8%) responders had evidence of cirrhosis before treatment. Forty-eight (28.1%), 107 (62.6%) and 6 (3.5%) patients were genotype 1, 3, and 6 respectively, while 10 patients (5.8%) were unclassified. There were no virological and biochemical relapses during the period of follow-up. None of the patients showed evidence of hepatic decompensation. However, there were 3 patients (1.8%) developing hepatocellular carcinoma at 14, 18, 29 mo after treatment discontinuation, two of whom had evidence of cirrhosis prior to therapy.

CONCLUSION: The study shows that during a follow-up interval for about 3 years in 171 chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained viral response after effective antiviral treatment there were no evident signs of either biochemical or clinical relapse of liver disease in all but three patients who developed hepatocellular carcinoma.

Long-term clinical outcome and effect of glycyrrhizin in 1093 chronic hepatitis C patients with non-response or relapse to interferon

OBJECTIVE

Patients with chronic hepatitis C who do not respond to interferon can be treated with glycyrrhizin to reduce disease activity. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of glycyrrhizin on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during long-term follow-up after non-response to interferon.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We analyzed individual patient data of all consecutive patients treated with interferon in 12 major Japanese hospitals between 1990 and 1995 who showed no sustained response.

RESULTS

The study comprised 1093 patients. During a mean follow-up of 6.1 +/- 1.8 years, 107 patients developed HCC. The Cox regression analysis with time-dependent variables showed that older age, male gender, higher alanine aminotransferase (ALAT) and higher fibrosis stage were significantly associated with a higher risk of developing HCC. Response to glycyrrhizin, defined as ALAT < 1.5 x upper limit of normal, was significantly associated with a decreased incidence of HCC: hazard ratio 0.39 (95% CI 0.21-0.72; p < 0.01). G-estimation, used to correct for ALAT as the confounder, showed no significant benefit of glycyrrhizin in the overall study population.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides some evidence to show that interferon non-responder patients with chronic hepatitis C and fibrosis stage 3 or 4 may have a reduced incidence of HCC if glycyrrhizin therapy leads to normalization of ALAT levels.

Long-term follow-up of previous hepatitis C virus positive nonresponders to interferon monotherapy successfully retreated with combination therapy: are they really cured?

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate whether in chronic hepatitis C-positive patients who failed to respond to interferon (IFN) monotherapy a sustained response obtained with retreatment using the combination therapy of IFN + ribavirin can be safely considered to reflect eradication of the infection.

METHODS

Prospective follow-up of a cohort of 97 patients who responded to retreatment with different regimens of IFN + ribavirin after failing to respond to a first IFN monotherapy course. The patients were followed throughout 7 yr of follow-up with determinations of HCV viremia every 6 months.

RESULTS

At the end of the follow-up, 11 patients (11.3%) showed a viremic reappearance. HCV late relapse rates were 0%, 13%, 20%, and 12% in patients retreated, respectively, with 3 MU IFN + ribavirin for 12 months (Group 1), 5 MU IFN + ribavirin for 12 months (Group 2), 3 MU IFN + ribavirin for 6 months (Group 3), and 5 MU IFN + ribavirin for 6 months (Group 4) (Group 2 vs Group 3, p= 0.005). The virologic relapses occurred within 2 yr from therapy withdrawal. Among patients with genotype 1 and 4, the long-term response was significantly higher in Group 2 than in Group 3 (15%vs 3%, p= 0.03). In patients with genotype 2 and 3, the long-term virological response was not affected by the different regimens.

CONCLUSIONS

Nonresponders to IFN monotherapy who achieve a sustained virologic response after retreatment with IFN + ribavirin stand a discrete risk of HCV reactivation within 2 yr after therapy.

Long-term follow-up of chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response to various forms of interferon-based anti-viral therapy

BACKGROUND

Combination anti-viral therapy achieves a sustained virological response (defined as HCV-RNA negativity 6 months after the end of therapy) of 56% of patients with chronic hepatitis C. Little is known about long-term durability of HCV-RNA negativity in patient treated with pegylated interferon.

AIM

To evaluate the durability of virologic response in patients with sustained virological response to anti-viral therapy treated at our centre.

METHODS

A total of 187 sustained virological responses (50% genotype 1, 42% genotype 2 or 3 and 8% genotype 4; 20% with cirrhosis) with a follow-up of >12 months post-therapy were studied. Twelve patients received monotherapy with interferon-alpha2a or -2b. One hundred and seventy-five received combination therapy with ribavirin and standard interferon-alpha (n = 73) or pegylated interferon-alpha2a or 2b (n = 102). Qualitative serum HCV-RNA was tested by COBAS AMPLICOR HCV test, v2.0.

RESULTS

Median follow-up time was 29 months (range 12-172). Recurrence of HCV infection was not observed in any of the 187 sustained virological responders. Alanine aminotransferase values were normal in 90% and two patients showed minimal elevation of alpha-fetoprotein levels.

CONCLUSIONS

No recurrence of HCV infection was seen in any patient. Thus, long-term prognosis in chronic hepatitis C patients with a sustained virological response to therapy with pegylated interferon +/- ribavirin is promising, but long-term studies need to continue.

Hepatitis B virus DNA integration in hepatocellular carcinoma after interferon-induced disappearance of hepatitis C virus

OBJECTIVES

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been reported in patients in whom hepatitis C virus (HCV) was eliminated by interferon (IFN) therapy. We examined the pathogenesis of HCC in patients with sustained viral response.

METHODS

Operable HCC developed in 7 of 342 patients cured of HCV infection by IFN monotherapy. No patient abused alcohol or had diabetes mellitus or obesity. Resected specimens of HCC were histologically evaluated. DNA extracted from HCC was examined by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) to locate hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA. HBV integration sites in human genome were identified by cassette-ligation-mediated PCR.

RESULTS

HBV DNA was not amplified in serum samples from any of the seven patients with HCC and was found in liver in four patients. In the latter four patients, HBV DNA was integrated into the human genome of HCC. In two of these patients, covalently closed circular HBV (cccHBV) was also detected. The patients with HBV DNA integration were free of HCV for more than 3 yr. In two of the three patients without HBV DNA integration, the surrounding liver showed cirrhosis. The liver of HCC with HBV DNA integration had not progressed to cirrhosis. Three of the four tumors with HBV integration had one integration site each, located at chromosomes 11q12, 11q22-23, and 22q11, respectively. The other tumor had two integration sites, situated at chromosomes 11q13 and 14q32. At chromosome 11q12, HBV DNA was integrated into protein-coding genome, the function of which remains unclear.

CONCLUSION

Integrated HBV DNA may play a role in hepatocarcinogenesis after the clearance of HCV by IFN treatment.

Peginterferon {alpha}-2b and ribavirin therapy in chronic hepatitis C genotype 4: impact of treatment duration and viral kinetics on sustained virological response

BACKGROUND

The response rates and duration of peginterferon alpha (PEG-IFN-alpha) and ribavirin combination therapy in chronic hepatitis C genotype 4, the prevalent genotype in the Middle East and Africa, are poorly documented.

AIMS

To compare the efficacy and safety of 24, 36, or 48 weeks of PEG-IFN-alpha-2b and ribavirin therapy in chronic hepatitis C genotype 4.

METHODS

In this prospective, randomised, double blind study, 287 patients with chronic hepatitis C genotype 4 were randomly assigned to PEG-IFN-alpha-2b (1.5 mug/kg) once weekly plus daily ribavirin (1000-1200 mg) for 24 weeks (group A, n = 95), 36 weeks (group B, n = 96), or 48 weeks (group C, n = 96) and followed for 48 weeks after completion of treatment. Early viral kinetics and histopathological evaluation of pre- and post treatment liver biopsies were performed. The primary end point was viral clearance 48 weeks after completion of treatment.

RESULTS

Sustained virological response was achieved in 29%, 66%, and 69% of patients treated with PEG-IFN-alpha-2b and ribavirin for 24, 36, and 48 weeks, respectively, by intention to treat analysis. No statistically significant difference in sustained virological response rates was detected between 36 and 48 weeks of therapy (p = 0.3). Subjects with sustained virological response showed greater antiviral efficacy (epsilon) and rapid viral load decline from baseline to treatment week 4 compared with non-responders and improvement in liver histology. The incidence of adverse events was higher in the group treated for 48 weeks.

CONCLUSION

PEG-IFN-alpha-2b and ribavirin for 36 or 48 weeks was more effective in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C genotype 4 than treatment for 24 weeks. Thirty six week therapy was well tolerated and produced sustained virological and histological response rates similar to the 48 week regimen.

Dynamic decision analysis to determine optimal treatment duration in chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines for stopping treatment of chronic hepatitis C are based on hepatitis C ribonucleic acid measurements at 12 and 24 weeks.

AIM

To explore an alternative approach for making individualized recommendations about treatment duration, based on simple alanine aminotransferase tests and on cost-per-cure.

METHODS

We analysed individual patient data from 13 randomized, controlled trials with interferon alone or combined with ribavirin. Using multiple logistic regression, we built a model that estimated the probability of sustained virological response for treatment durations of 24 and 48 weeks. Decisions to prolong treatment were based on an increase in probability of sustained virological response. If the increase was 10%, the cost-per-cure became decisive with a limit of 50,000.

RESULTS

Noncirrhotics with genotype 2 or 3 did not benefit when treatment was continued beyond 24 weeks. Sustained virological response rates in cirrhotic patients increased by 14-47% if treatment was continued up to 48 weeks. In noncirrhotic genotype 1 or 4 patients who had elevated alanine aminotransferase levels at week 4, the probability of sustained virological response increased by <10% if treatment was continued up to 48 weeks; the cost-per-cure for these patients would exceed 50,000.

CONCLUSION

The dynamics of alanine aminotransferase levels and cost-per-cure provides a useful alternative to determine the duration of therapy in chronic hepatitis C.