Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: which staging systems best predict prognosis?

The optimal cut-off value of the preoperative prognostic nutritional index for the survival differs according to the TNM stage in hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

To establish the optimal cut-off value of the preoperative prognostic nutritional index (PNI) for prognosis according to the Tumor Node Metastasis (TNM) stage of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative resection.

METHODS

This retrospective study reviewed the records of 375 patients. The optimal cut-off value of the PNI was established according to the TNM stage, and overall survival was compared between the low and high PNI groups.

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off value of the PNI decreased with increasing TNM stage, with 52, 47, and 43 patients having stage I, II, and III HCC, respectively. A low preoperative PNI predicted a poorer overall survival than did a high PNI for stage I (P < 0.001) and II (P = 0.002), but not stage III disease (P = 0.052). Multivariate analysis revealed that the preoperative PNI was an independent predictor of overall survival for stage I and II HCC (hazard ratios: 6.96 and 3.57, P = 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study show that the optimal cut-off value for the PNI for prognosis differs among the TNM stages and that the preoperative PNI is a favorable prognostic factor for stage I HCC.

Nomogram prediction of individual prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

The purpose of this study was to develop an effective nomogram capable of estimating the individual survival outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and compare the predictive accuracy and discriminative ability with other staging systems.

Methods

The nomogram was established based on a retrospective study of 661 patients newly diagnosed with HCC at the Beijing Ditan Hospital (Beijing, China), Capital Medical University, between October 2008 and July 2012. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the previously developed nomogram were assessed by C-index and calibration curves, and were compared to seven current commonly used staging systems. The results were validated, using a bootstrap approach to correct for bias, in a prospective study of 220 patients consecutively enrolled between August 2012 and March 2013.

Results

Multivariate analysis of the primary cohort for survival analysis identified the independent factors to be aspartate aminotransferase, ɣ-glutamyl transpeptidase, white blood cell count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, prothrombin activity, α-fetoprotein, tumor number and size, lymph node metastasis, and portal vein involvement, which were all included to build the nomogram. The calibration curve for predicting the probability of survival showed consistency between the nomogram and the actual observation. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.81 (95% confidence interval, 0.79–0.82), which was statistically better than that of the Tumor, Node, Metastasis staging (0.71), Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging (0.77), Okuda (0.62), Japan Integrated Staging (0.73), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score (0.76), Chinese University Prognostic Index (0.68), and the Groupe d’ Etude et de Traitement du Carcinome Hepatocellulaire Prognostic classification (0.65) (p < 0.001 for all). The results were validated in the prospective validation cohort.

Conclusions

The prognostic nomogram resulted in more accurate individualized risk estimates for overall survival in HCC patients.

Incorporating albumin-bilirubin grade into the cancer of the liver Italian program system for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade is a recently emerging alternative of the Child-Pugh (CP) grade. The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) was demonstrated to be a useful prognostic model for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in large prospective cohorts. We aimed to investigate the feasibility of substituting the CP grade by the ALBI grade in the CLIP system and compare the prognostic performance with other existing staging systems.

METHODS

A large cohort of 1973 Chinese patients with HCC was recruited to evaluate the prognostic performance of CP-based CLIP (CP-CLIP) and ALBI-based CLIP (ALBI-CLIP) systems and nine other staging systems by homogeneity likelihood chi-square, c-index, and corrected Akaike information criterion.

RESULTS

The ALBI-CLIP system provided comparable prognostic performance than the CP-CLIP system, which was indicated by homogeneity likelihood chi-squares (ALBI-CLIP 1186.35 vs CP-CLIP 1145.54), c-indices (ALBI-CLIP 0.789 vs CP-CLIP 0.785) and AICs (ALBI-CLIP 15 493.47 vs CP-CLIP 15 534.28). Among 11 staging systems, ALBI-CLIP and CP-CLIP systems were associated with the highest homogeneity chi-squares and c-indices, and the lowest corrected Akaike information criterion. Patients in ALBI-CLIP score 0-4 had better median survival than those in corresponding CP-CLIP score.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALBI grade performs as well as the CP grade when integrating into the CLIP system. ALBI-CLIP and CP-CLIP systems are the most accurate prognostic models among 11 existing staging systems.

Metastatic lymph node ratio demonstrates better prognostic stratification than pN staging in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after esophagectomy

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic significance of lymph node ratio (LNR) by establishing a hypothetical tumor-ratio-metastasis (TRM) staging system in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). The records of 387 ESCC patients receiving curative esophagectomy were retrospectively investigated. The optimal cut-point for LNR was assessed via the best cut-off approach. Potential prognostic parameters were identified through univariate and multivariate analyses. A novel LNR-based TRM stage was proposed. The prognostic discriminatory ability and prediction accuracy of each system were determined using hazard ratio (HR), Akaike information criterion (AIC), concordance index (C-index), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The optimal cut-points of LNR were set at 0, 0~0.2, 0.2~0.4, and 0.4~1.0. Multivariate Cox analysis indicated that the LNR category was an independent risk factor of overall survival (P < 0.001). The calibration curves for the probability of 3- and 5-year survival showed good consistency between nomogram prediction and actual observation. The LNR category and TRM stage yielded a larger HR, a smaller AIC, a larger C-index, and a larger AUC than the N category and TNM stage did. In summary, the proposed LNR category was superior to the conventional N category in predicting the prognosis of ESCC patients.

Decreased Expression of TMEM173 Predicts Poor Prognosis in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most lethal cancer types, and chronic infection with Hepatitis B Virus (HBV) is identified as the strongest risk factor for HCC. Transmembrane Protein 173 (TMEM173) is a pattern recognition receptor which functions as a major regulator of the innate immune response to viral and bacterial infections. However, the prognostic value of TMEM173 in HCC remains elusive. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the potential prognostic significance of TMEM173 expression in HCC patients following curative resection. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect TMEM173 expression in 96 HCC patients. We found that TMEM173 protein expression was remarkably decreased in tumor tissues compared to non-tumor tissues, and that TMEM173 staining intensity was inversely correlated with tumor size, tumor invasion TNM stage and overall survival (OS) in HCC patients. Multivariate analysis supported TMEM173 as an independent prognostic factor, and identified that combining TMEM173 expression with TNM stage showed better prognostic efficiency for OS in HCC patients. In summary, TMEM173 was discovered having an independent prognostic value and may serve as a potential immunotherapeutic target for HCC.

A new predictive model combined of tumor size, lymph nodes count and lymphovascular invasion for survival prognosis in patients with lymph node-negative gastric cancer

BACKGROUND

Various factors may affect the clinical prognosis of lymph node-negative gastric cancer (GC) patients. This study aimed to provide evaluable prognostic information of combination of tumor size (Ts), lymph nodes count (LNs) and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in lymph node-negative GC patients.

METHODS

A total of 1,019 node-negative GC patients were enrolled in this retrospective study from 2000 to 2010. The cutoff points of Ts and LNs were determined using X-tile and patients were randomly categorized into training and validation sets by the sample size ratio 1:1. The clinicopathologic characteristics were analyzed and survival prognostic factors were identified, whereas the survival prediction accuracy was also compared by C-index during the different independent prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The cutoff points for Ts were 3cm and 5cm, while 14 was the cutoff point for LNs. Age, T stage, Ts, LNs and LVI were identified as independent prognostic factors in node-negative GC patients, and a new prognostic predictive model, TsNL staging system which was composed of Ts, LNs and LVI, was proposed in this study. Compared with T staging system, significant improvement of predictive accuracy for TsNL system was found. Furthermore, nomogram based on TsNL was more accurate in prognostic prediction than that based on Ts, LNs and LVI, separately.

CONCLUSIONS

Age, T stage, Ts, LNs and LVI were independent prognostic factors in lymph node-negative GC patients. The TsNL staging system, composed of Ts, LNs and LVI, which was closely associated with clinicopathologic features, may improve the prognostic prediction accuracy in node-negative GC patients.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Therapeutic Guidelines and Medical Treatment

Western and Eastern perspectives on therapeutic guidelines for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have many commonalities but may also differ in certain aspects, as described in this article. In view of the limited therapeutic options for advanced HCC, evidence-based therapies are few, and thus there is a dependence on consensus-based guidelines. This article focuses on the Italian Association for the Study of the Liver guidelines and the Japanese approaches to therapy, while drawing attention to certain controversies from other academic bodies where applicable and appropriate.

18F-FDG PET/CT Can Predict Survival of Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) consists of a heterogeneous group of patients with a wide range of survival times, requiring further prognostic stratification to facilitate treatment allocation. We evaluated the prognostic value of ¹⁸F-FDG uptake on PET/CT at the time of presentation in patients with BCLC stage C HCC. Methods: A total of 291 patients with BCLC stage C HCC who underwent ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT between 2009 and 2010 for staging were retrospectively enrolled from 7 university hospitals. The patients were further divided into 2 groups according to the extent of disease, as intrahepatic or extrahepatic. Tumor-to-liver SUV ratio (TLR) of the primary tumor was measured on ¹⁸F-FDG PET/CT. Prognostic values of TLR and other clinical variables were analyzed to predict overall survival (OS) in univariate and multivariate analyses. Differences in the OS stratified by TLR were examined by the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: Higher TLR was associated with extrahepatic disease (P = 0.018). On multivariate analysis, Child-Pugh classification and TLR were independent prognostic factors in the intrahepatic disease group (all P < 0.05), whereas TLR was the only independent prognostic factor in the extrahepatic disease group (P < 0.05). Patients with high TLR showed a significantly worse OS than those with low TLR (P < 0.05) in both groups. Conclusion: In patients with BCLC stage C HCC, ¹⁸F-FDG uptake in the primary tumor was significantly higher in patients with extrahepatic disease than in those with intrahepatic disease. In addition, ¹⁸F-FDG uptake on pretreatment PET/CT had an incremental prognostic value for OS in both intrahepatic and extrahepatic disease groups.

Comparison of hepatocellular carcinoma in Eastern versus Western populations

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a heterogeneous disease that remains highly prevalent in many Asian countries and is the second most common cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. Significant differences exist between Eastern and Western populations on many key aspects of HCC, contributing to the potential different treatment outcomes and challenges of clinical trial design and data interpretation. In this review, the authors compare HCC in Asia versus the West and highlight 1) differences in terms of epidemiology and trends and their correlation with etiology, 2) differences in genetics and how they relate to underlying etiology, 3) differences in treatment approaches based on existing guidelines and consensus statements, and 4) differences in clinical outcomes for Asian versus non-Asian patients with HCC in clinical trials and the implications for future clinical trial design. Cancer 2016;122:3430-3446. © 2016 American Cancer Society.

Upregulation of FAM83D affects the proliferation and invasion of hepatocellular carcinoma

The identification of potential oncogenes plays an important role in finding novel therapeutic targets for many cancers, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which is one of the most common cancers worldwide. In our previous research, using microarray technology, we found that FAM83D was overexpressed in HCCs. However, whether the overexpression of FAM83D contributes to hepatocarcinogenesis remains unclear. In this study, we found that FAM83D was significantly upregulated in 76.6% (167 of 218) of the HCC specimens at the mRNA level and in 69.44% (50 of 72) of the HCC specimens at the protein level compared with adjacent non-cancerous liver specimens, as indicated by RT-PCR and immunohistochemical staining, respectively. The FAM83DmRNA expression level was positively correlated with the level of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) (≥100 ng/ml), the clinical TNM stage, the presence of a portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT), disease-free survival (DFS) and the overall survival (OS) time of the HCC patients (P < 0.05). Knocking down FAM83D significantly promoted the growth of Huh7 and HepG2 cells, as demonstrated in an RNA interference assay. Moreover, the DNA methylation status of the FAM83D promoter was significantly reduced in the HCC specimens with overexpression of FAM83D gene. Our data suggest that the upregulation of FAM83D, a potential oncotarget gene, may be triggered by epigenetic events and can contribute to hepatocarcinogenesis.

Prediction and prophylaxis of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence and postoperative recurrence in chronic hepatitis B virus-infected subjects

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common and highly fatal malignancies worldwide. Chronic infection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a major cause of HCC. High HBV replication rate and related non-resolving inflammation are the major risk factors of HCC occurrence and postoperative recurrence. Early prophylactic options are effective in reducing HCC occurrence and improving survival. Therefore, it is important to identify HBV-infected patients who are at a higher risk of developing HCC and HBV-HCC patients who are more likely to relapse after surgery, thus providing them with more precise prophylactic strategies. Several prediction models of HCC occurrence have been constructed, with satisfactory predictive accuracy and discriminatory ability. However, there is a lack of consensus for their clinical implementation. Several staging systems have been proposed for HCC prognosis. However, the accuracy of these staging systems based on demographic characteristics and clinical measurements needs to be further improved, possibly by systematically incorporating viral and inflammatory factors. Since antiviral treatments are effective in promoting liver function reserve, reducing HCC occurrence and prolonging postoperative survival in some HBV-infected subjects, it is very important to identify subgroups of HBV-infected patients who would most benefit from antiviral treatment.

Induction of apoptosis by Armillaria mellea constituent armillarikin in human hepatocellular carcinoma

Armillaria mellea is a honey mushroom often used in the traditional Chinese medicine “Tianma”. Currently, this medicinal mushroom is also used as a dietary supplement in numerous Western and Eastern countries. Armillarikin was isolated from A. mellea, and we previously discovered that it induced cytotoxicity in human leukemia cells. In this study, we further investigated the cytotoxicity of armillarikin against liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancer cells. Armillarikin was cytotoxic against human hepatocellular carcinoma Huh7, HA22T, and HepG2 cells based on the 3-(4,5-dimethylthiazol-2-yl)-5-(3-carboxymethoxyphenyl)-2-(4-sulfophenyl)-2H-tetrazolium and alamarBlue^® assays. Armillarikin treatment also induced the collapse of the mitochondrial transmembrane potential of these cells. Furthermore, armillarikin-induced apoptotic cell death was demonstrated by sub-G1 chromosomal DNA formation by using flow cytometry. In addition, the apoptosis was inhibited by the pan-caspase inhibitor, Z-VAD-fmk. Immunoblotting also revealed the armillarikin-induced activation of procaspase-3, -8, and -9 and upregulation of the apoptosis- and cell cycle arrest-related phospho-histones 2 and 3, respectively. Moreover, reactive oxygen species scavengers also inhibited the armillarikin-induced apoptosis in human hepatocellular carcinoma, suggesting that reactive oxygen species formation played an important role in the armillarikin-induced apoptosis of human hepatocellular carcinoma. In conclusion, our study indicates the potential of armillarikin as an effective agent for hepatoma or leukemia therapies.

Optimal staging system for predicting the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in China: a retrospective study

Background

Several staging systems have been developed to evaluate patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), including the China Staging System (CS), the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system, and seventh edition; the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system, and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) staging system. The optimal staging system for to evaluate patients in China with HCC has not been determined. This study was designed to determine the optimal staging system for predicting patient prognosis by comparing the performances of these four staging systems in a cohort of Chinese patients with HCC.

Methods

This study enrolled 307 consecutive Chinese patients with HCC in Shandong Province. The performances of the CS, TNM, BCLC, and CLIP staging systems were compared and ranked using a concordance index. Predictors of survival were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox model analyses.

Results

The mean overall survival of the patient cohort was 12.08 ± 11.87 months. Independent predictors of survival included tumor size, number of lesions, tumor thromboses, cirrhosis, serum albumin level and serum total bilirubin level. Compared with the other three staging systems, the CS staging system showed optimal performance as an independent predictor of patient survival. The BCLC staging system showed the poorest performance; its treatment algorithm was not suitable for patients in this study.

Conclusions

CS was the most suitable staging system for predicting survival of patients with HCC in China.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12885-016-2420-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Modified CLIP with objective liver reserve assessment retains prognosis prediction for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score is a commonly used staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) helpful with predicting prognosis of advanced HCC. CLIP uses the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score to evaluate liver reserve. A new scoring system, the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, has been proposed as they objectively evaluate liver reserve. We examined whether the modification of CLIP with ALBI retained its prognosis prediction for patients with advanced HCC.

METHODS

We included patients who received first-line antiangiogenic therapy for advanced HCC. Liver reserve was assessed using CTP and ALBI scores, which were then incorporated into CLIP and ALBI-CLIP, respectively. To assess their efficacies of prognostic prediction, the Cox's proportional hazard model and concordance indexes were used.

RESULTS

A total of 142 patients were included; 137 of them were classified CTP A and 5 patients CTP B. Patients could be divided into four or five groups with different prognosis according to CLIP and ALBI-CLIP, respectively. Higher R(2) (0.249 vs 0.216) and lower Akaike information criterion (995.0 vs 1001.1) were observed for ALBI-CLIP than for CLIP in the Cox's model predicting overall survival. ALBI-CLIP remained an independent predictor for overall survival when CLIP and ALBI-CLIP were simultaneously incorporated in Cox's models allowing variable selection with adjustment for hepatitis etiology, treatment, and performance status. The concordance index was also higher for ALBI-CLIP than for CLIP (0.724 vs 0.703).

CONCLUSIONS

Modification of CLIP scoring with ALBI, which objectively assesses liver reserve, retains and might have improved prognosis prediction for advanced HCC.

Usefulness of staging systems and prognostic scores for hepatocellular carcinoma treatments

Therapeutic management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is quite complex owing to the underlying cirrhosis and portal vein hypertension. Different scores or classification systems based on liver function and tumoral stages have been published in the recent years. If none of them is currently “universally” recognized, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system has become the reference classification system in Western countries. Based on a robust treatment algorithm associated with stage stratification, it relies on a high level of evidence. However, BCLC stage B and C HCC include a broad spectrum of tumors but are only matched with a single therapeutic option. Some experts have thus suggested to extend the indications for surgery or for transarterial chemoembolization. In clinical practice, many patients are already treated beyond the scope of recommendations. Additional alternative prognostic scores that could be applied to any therapeutic modality have been recently proposed. They could represent complementary tools to the BCLC staging system and improve the stratification of HCC patients enrolled in clinical trials, as illustrated by the NIACE score. Prospective studies are needed to compare these scores and refine their role in the decision making process.

Applying of pretreatment extent of disease system in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative partial hepatectomy

The Pretreatment Extent of Disease System (PRETEXT) was designed for childhood liver tumors. The aim of this study was to confirm the prognostic value of the PRETEXT staging system compared with the currently and commonly used staging systems of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after applying PRETEXT system in patients with HCC who underwent curative partial hepatectomy.Clinical data of consecutive patients who underwent curative partial hepatectomy were collected between February 1st, 2005 to December 30th, 2012 as the primary and internal validation cohort. Similar patients from a western hospital formed an external validation cohort. The predictive accuracy of the PRETEXT system compared with the currently used staging systems was measured by the area under the curve (AUC) on receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Of the 507 patients in the primary cohort, the overall median survival was 52.3 months, and the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival rates were 83.0%, 56.8%, and 40.2%, respectively. The multivariate analysis of Cox proportional hazard regression identified INR (p=0.001), microvascular invasion (p=0.042), maximum tumor size (p=0.002) and PRETEXT staging system were independently predictors of overall survival. In the primary cohort, the AUC of the PRETEXT system was 0.702 (95% CI, 0.656 to 0.747), which was higher than the other conventional staging systems for predicting OS of HCC (P<0.01). These findings were confirmed with the internal and external validation cohorts.This study showed that the PRETEXT was a good prognostic staging system for HCC. It performed better than the conventional and commonly used staging systems in predicting survival of patients with HCC after curative partial hepatectomy.

Liver resection for intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant tumors in China. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system is regarded as the gold standard staging system for HCC, classifying HCC as early, intermediate, or advanced. For intermediate HCC, trans-catheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) is recommended as the optimal strategy by the BCLC guideline. This review investigates whether liver resection is better than TACE for intermediate HCC. Based on published studies, we compare the survival benefits and complications of liver resection and TACE for intermediate HCC. We also compare the survival benefits of liver resection in early and intermediate HCC. We find that liver resection can achieve better or at least comparable survival outcomes compared with TACE for intermediate HCC; however, we do not observe a significant difference between liver resection and TACE in terms of safety and morbidity. We conclude that liver resection may improve the short- and long-term survival of carefully selected intermediate HCC patients, and the procedure may be safely performed in the management of intermediate HCC.

Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score helps identify potential candidates for transarterial chemoembolization in patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C

BACKGROUND

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recommends transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) as the first line therapy for stage B patients and sorafenib treatment for stage C patients. However, stage C patients exhibit variations in terms of tumor burden, liver function, and extrahepatic metastasis, which could potentially affect disease outcome. Here, we assessed whether the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) scores can help identify stage C patients likely to benefit from TACE.

METHODS

Out of 295 BCLC stage C HCC patients enrolled between January 2009 and December 2011, those with platelet counts >30 X 10(9) cells/L, total bilirubin <51 μmoL/L, and an unobstructed main portal vein were scheduled for TACE (n=195). The remaining patients received best supportive care (BSC, n=100). All the patients were followed up for symptoms, performance status, and Child-Pugh classification scores every 4 weeks until death or December 2013. The prognosis of each group was evaluated by using the log-rank test and Cox-Mantel test.

RESULTS

The median overall survival (OS) was 6 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 4.64-7.36]. The OS was 9 months for the TACE group and 4 months for the BSC group. The TACE group had a longer OS than the BSC subgroup for CLIP scores 0-2 [13 months (95% CI: 8.55-17.45) vs 4 months (95% CI: 0.00-10.96), P=0.001]. No significant differences were found between the TACE and BSC groups for CLIP scores 3-5. The CLIP score and treatment methods were found to be independent prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

BCLC stage C HCC patients exhibit definite disease heterogeneity and can be reclassified by using the CLIP scoring system. Moreover, patients with CLIP scores 0-2 are likely to benefit from TACE. However, additional studies with long-term follow-up will be required to validate these findings.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio as an indicator of the malignant behaviour of hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

The preoperative serum neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been associated with survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, it is still unclear what the NLR reflects precisely. This study aimed to elucidate the relationship between the NLR and TNM stage, and the role of NLR as a prognostic factor after liver resection for HCC.

Methods

This retrospective study enrolled patients who underwent liver resection as initial treatment for HCC. The best cut-off value of serum NLR was determined, and overall survival was compared among patients grouped according to TNM stage (I, II and III).

Results

The best cut-off value for NLR was 2·8. A high preoperative NLR was more frequently associated with poor overall survival than a low preoperative NLR after resection for TNM stage I tumours (5-year survival 45·0 versus 76·4 per cent, P &lt; 0·001), but not stage II (P = 0·283) or stage III (P = 0·155) tumours. Among patients with TNM stage I disease, the proportion of patients with extrahepatic recurrence was greater in the group with a high preoperative NLR than in the low-NLR group (P = 0·006). In multivariable analysis, preoperative NLR was the strongest independent prognostic risk factor for overall survival in TNM stage I (hazard ratio 2·69, 95 per cent c.i. 1·57 to 4·59; P &lt; 0·001).

Conclusion

Preoperative NLR was an important prognostic factor for TNM stage I HCC after liver resection with curative intent. These results suggest that the NLR may reflect the malignant potential of HCC.

Overexpression of interleukin-35 associates with hepatocellular carcinoma aggressiveness and recurrence after curative resection

Background:

Aberrant expression of interleukin-35 (IL-35) has been implicated in dampening antitumour immunity. The aim of this study was to explore the prognostic significance of IL-35 expression in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following curative resection. Furthermore, we aimed to formulate an effective prognostic nomogram for HCC after hepatectomy.

Methods:

Immunohistochemistry was applied to explore IL-35 expression as well as CD39⁺Foxp3⁺ and Foxp3⁺ regulatory T cell (Treg) infiltration in tissue microarrays in primary cohort comprising 210 randomly selected HCC patients who underwent curative resection. The results were further verified in an independent validation cohort of 138 HCC patients.

Results:

Patients with higher expression of IL-35 are more likely to suffer postoperative recurrence. Interleukin-35 was also identified as an independent prognostic factor for recurrence free survival in multivariate analysis. No correlation was detected between IL-35 expression and Foxp3⁺ Treg infiltration, whereas significant positive correlation was found between IL-35 expression and CD39⁺Foxp3⁺ Treg infiltration. In addition, CD39⁺Foxp3⁺ Treg infiltration was also an independent predictor for postoperative recurrence. The nomogram comprising tumour size, tumour vascular invasion, IL-35 and CD39⁺Foxp3⁺ Tregs had better predictive accuracy when compared with BCLC stage for RFS. These results were further validated in the validation cohort.

Conclusions:

Our data suggest for the first time that IL-35 expression correlates with HCC aggressiveness and emerged as a novel independent prognostic factor for recurrence, thus conferring the rationale to develop a novel therapy of targeting IL-35. Furthermore, IL-35 should be incorporated into nomogram to generate a more accurate predictive model.

Early radiation-induced liver toxicities are associated with poor survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

Little is known about the impact of radiotherapy associated early hepatic toxicities. This study is to investigate the risk factors and outcome of early radiation-induced liver disease (early-RILD) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

One hundred patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma receiving hepatic radiotherapy were included in this retrospective analysis. All had no evidence of intrahepatic tumor progression within 3 months after initiating radiotherapy. The toxicities were graded according to the Common Terminology Criteria for adverse events version 4.0. Early-RILD was defined as any detectable events of RILD occurring during or within 2 weeks after the ending of radiotherapy. Patient- and radiotherapy-related data, and several staging/scoring parameters were retrieved for analysis. Logistic regression analysis was used to find risk factors for early-RILD. Cox regression model was performed to explore prognosticators for survival.

RESULTS

Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score >5 was the predictor for early-RILD (odds ratio 5.38, P = 0.004). The incidence of early-RILD in patients with CTP scores 6/7 and 5 was 34% and 13.2%, respectively. Early-RILD and a Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score > 2 were the two prognostic factors associated with inferior overall survival (hazard ratio 2.79, P = 0.04; hazard ratio = 3.79, P = 0.04, respectively). The median overall survival for patients with early-RILD was 3.5 months compared with 12.7 months in those without this event.

CONCLUSION

The occurrence of early-RILD is associated with high mortality. A CTP score >5 is the most informative factor predicting early-RILD.

dbPHCC: a database of prognostic biomarkers for hepatocellular carcinoma that provides online prognostic modeling

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common malignant cancers with a poor prognosis. For decades, more and more biomarkers were found to effect on HCC prognosis, but these studies were scattered and there were no unified identifiers. Therefore, we built the database of prognostic biomarkers and models for hepatocellular carcinoma (dbPHCC).

METHODS

dbPHCC focuses on biomarkers which were related to HCC prognosis by traditional experiments rather than high-throughput technology. All of the prognostic biomarkers came from literatures issued during 2002 to 2014 in PubMed and were manually selected. dbPHCC collects comprehensive information of candidate biomarkers and HCC prognosis.

RESULTS

dbPHCC mainly contains 567 biomarkers: 323 proteins, 154 genes, and 90 microRNAs. For each biomarker, the reference information, experimental conditions, and prognostic information are shown. Based on two available patient cohort data sets, an exemplified prognostic model was constructed using 15 phosphotransferases in dbPHCC. The web interface does not only provide a full range of browsing and searching, but also provides online analysis tools. dbPHCC is available at http://lifecenter.sgst.cn/dbphcc/

CONCLUSIONS

dbPHCC provides a comprehensive and convenient search and analysis platform for HCC prognosis research.

GENERAL SIGNIFICANCE

dbPHCC is the first database to focus on experimentally verified individual biomarkers, which are related to HCC prognosis. Prognostic markers in dbPHCC have the potential to be therapeutic drug targets and may help in designing new treatments to improve survival of HCC patients. This article is part of a Special Issue entitled "System Genetics" Guest Editor: Dr. Yudong Cai and Dr. Tao Huang.

Prognostic value of polarized macrophages in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after curative resection

As the most predominant tumour‐infiltrating immune cells, tumour‐associated macrophages (TAMs) are significant for fostering tumour growth, progression and metastasis. CD68‐positive TAMs display dissimilarly polarized programmes comprising CD11c‐positive pro‐inflammatory macrophages (M1) and CD206‐positive immunosuppressive macrophages (M2). The aim of this study is to determine the prognostic significance of diametrically polarized TAMs in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and their application to risk stratification of patients according to their specific prognostic values. This study included 80 consecutive patients with HCC, and we evaluated diametrically polarized functional status of macrophages by immunohistochemical staining of CD68, CD11c and CD206. Prognostic values and clinicopathologic features were assessed in these patients. High versus low CD11c‐positive TAM density (P = 0.005) and low versus high CD206‐positive TAM density (P = 0.002) were associated with better overall survival, whereas CD68‐positive TAM density had no prognostic significance (low versus high, P = 0.065). Furthermore, the presence of these positive staining macrophages did not show any prognostic significance for recurrence‐free survival (all P > 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified CD11c‐positive and CD206‐positive TAMs as an independent prognostic factor (P < 0.001, P = 0.031, respectively). Intratumoural infiltration of diametrically polarized TAMs, a novel identified independent prognostic factor for survival in patients with HCC, could be combined with the TNM stage and the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage to improve a risk stratification system.

Comparison of five staging systems in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib: A single-center experience

To the best of our knowledge, none of the prognostic staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who underwent sorafenib therapy is universally adopted or preferred. In the present study, we aimed to compare prognostic ability among five prognostic systems, including the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) system, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer classification system, the tumor-node-metastasis classification system, the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program scoring system and the Chinese University Prognostic Index (CUPI) scoring system for HCC patients who received sorafenib therapy. A total of 143 HCC patients treated with sorafenib were analysed. We compared prognostic ability among the five prognostic systems using the likelihood ratio (LR) χ² test, linear trend χ² test and concordance index (c-index). Our cohort included 114 men and 29 women. The median patient age was 71 years (range, 45-89 years). A total of 102 patients were classified as Child-Pugh A and 41 as Child-Pugh B, whereas 31 patients (21.7%) had portal vein invasion and 63 (44.1%) extrahepatic metastases. The median survival time was 6.9 months. In the LR χ² test, the CUPI scoring system had the highest value (35.804), followed by the JIS system (17.469). In the linear trend χ² test, the CUPI scoring system had the highest value (17.523), followed by the JIS system (15.819). In addition, the JIS system had the highest value in the 6-month c-index (0.659) as well as in the 1-year c-index (0.674). However, the CUPI classification system had the lowest value in the 1-year c-index (0.590). In conclusion, the JIS system may be an appropriate staging system for HCC patients undergoing sorafenib therapy.

Prognostic nomogram integrated systemic inflammation score for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing radical esophagectomy

Growing evidence indicates that nomogram combined with the biomarkers of systemic inflammation response could provide more accurate prediction than conventional staging systems in tumors. This study aimed to establish an effective prognostic nomogram for resectable thoracic esophageal squamouscell carcinoma (ESCC) based on the clinicopathological parameters and inflammation-based prognostic scores. We retrospectively investigated 916 ESCC patients who underwent radical esophagectomy. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were determined by concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve, and compared with the 6^th and 7^th AJCC TNM classifications. The neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein albumin (CRP/Alb) ratio, histological grade, T stage and modified N stage were integrated in the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram for predicting the survival was 0.72, which showed better predictive ability of OS than the 6^th or 7^th TNM stages in the primary cohort (P < 0.001). The calibration curve showed high consistency between the nomogram and actual observation. The decision curve analysis showed more potential of clinical application of the prediction models compared with TNM staging system. Moreover, our findings were supported by the validation cohort. The proposed nomogram showed more accurate prognostic prediction for patients with ESCC after radical esophagectomy.

MicroRNA-148b targets Rho-associated protein kinase 1 to inhibit cell proliferation, migration and invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma

microRNA(miR)-148b has been found to be downregulated in various human malignancies, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) as well as gastric, pancreatic, colon and oral cancer. However, the function of miR‑148b in HCC has remained elusive. The present study examined the effects of miR‑148b on the proliferation, migration and invasion of HCC cells in vitro. After transfection of the HepG2 and SMMC‑7721 HCC cell lines with miR‑148b, an MTT assay, a Transwell migration and invasion assay as well as western blot analysis were performed. miR-148b was shown to inhibit cell proliferation, migration and invasion in the two cell lines. Using a luciferase reporter assay, the present study also provided the first evidence that miR‑148b directly targets Rho‑associated protein kinase 1 in HCC. These results suggested that miR-148 may represent a novel molecular marker and a potential molecular therapeutic for inhibiting metastasis of HCC.

Prognostic Value of the Modified Glasgow Prognostic Score in Patients Undergoing Radical Surgery for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

There is increasing and consistent evidence concerning the association of systemic inflammation and poor outcome in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of this study was to identify a superior inflammation-based prognostic scoring system for patients with HCC undergoing hepatectomy.We analyzed two independent cohorts of a total of 723 patients with HCC who underwent radical surgery between 2010 and 2012. The prognostic value of the inflammation scores, including the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modified GPS (mGPS), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet lymphocyte ratio, prognostic index, and prognostic nutritional index, as well as the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program staging systems was analyzed in a test cohort of 367 patients and validated in a validation cohort of 356 patients.A high score with the mGPS was associated with large tumor size, vascular invasion, and advanced clinical stage. Multivariate analysis showed that the mGPS was independently associated with overall survival and disease-free survival, and had a higher area under the curve value in comparison with other inflammation-based scores.The results of this study demonstrated that the mGPS is an independent marker of poor prognosis in patients with resectable HCC and is superior to other inflammation-based scores.

Expression of protein TARBP1 in human hepatocellular carcinoma and its prognostic significance

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to analyze the expression of TARBP1 and its clinical significance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

90 patients with primary hepatocellular carcinoma were included in this study. The tumor and paired adjacent non-tumor tissues were collected. TARBP1 expression was assessed by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction and immunohistochemistry. Associations of TARBP1 expression with the clinicopathological features were analyzed, and prognosis of HCC patients was evaluated.

RESULTS

The result show the expression of TARBP1 mRNA in liver cancer tissues were higher than in the adjacent normal liver tissues in 10 paired samples (P=0.0015). Compared with adjacent normal liver tissues, overexpression of TARBP1 was detected in 61.1% (55/90) HCC patients. TARBP1 expression was associated with the AJCC tumor stage (P=0.004) and clinical stage (P=0.005), and decreased overall survival (P=0.002). In multivariate analysis, TARBP1 expression was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival (Hazard ratio [HR]=2.773, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.542-4.985; P=0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

TARBP1 is up-regulated in HCC, and the expression of TARBP1 was associated with the pathological grading and clinical stage. TARBP1 maybe is an independent prognostic marker of HCC patients.

Treatment of Liver Cancer

Primary liver cancer, mostly hepatocellular carcinoma, remains a difficult-to-treat cancer. Incidence of liver cancer varies geographically and parallels with the geographic prevalence of viral hepatitis. A number of staging systems have been developed, reflecting the heterogeneity of primary liver cancer, regional preferences, and regional variations in resectability or transplant eligibility. Multimodality treatments are available for this heterogeneous malignancy, and there are variations in the management recommendations for liver cancers across specialties and geographic regions. Novel treatment strategies have merged with the advance of new treatment modalities. This work focuses on reviewing the incidence, staging, and treatment of liver cancer.

Prognostic nomogram for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma after transcatheter arterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND & AIMS

To establish an effective prognostic nomogram for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS

The nomogram was constructed based on data obtained from a retrospective study on 2938 patients who received TACE as an initial therapy from 2000 to 2008. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were compared with seven current commonly used staging systems on HCC by using data obtained from a prospective study on a cohort of 647 patients treated from January 2011 to December 2011 at the same institution. Additional external validation was performed using a data set (n=221) from another institution.

RESULTS

Portal vein invasion, tumor number, tumor capsule, alpha fetoprotein, aspartate aminotransferase, and indocyanine green retention at 15 min formed the basis of the nomogram. The concordance index (C-index) of the nomogram was 0.755, which was significantly better than the American Joint Committee on Cancer seventh edition (0.612), the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer system (0.692), the Okuda system (0.579), the Japan Integrated Staging system (0.637), Cancer of the Liver Italian Program system (0.683), the Chinese University Prognostic Index (0.637) and the Groupe d'Etude et de Traitement du Carcinome Hepatocellulaire (0.577) (p<0.001 for all). The calibration curve for predicting probability of survival showed a good agreement between the nomogram and actual observation. The findings were supported by the external validation cohort. The nomogram gave better discrimination than the seven staging systems.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed nomogram gave accurate prognostic prediction in patients with unresectable HCC after treatment with TACE.

TNM/Okuda/Barcelona/UNOS/CLIP International Multidisciplinary Classification of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: concepts, perspectives, and radiologic implications

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major health problem worldwide. Moreover, the liver cancer field is evolving rapidly, with early diagnosis, new therapies, and a better understanding of HCC's biology and development. Accurate staging is important for determining prognosis and selecting the most appropriate treatment for each patient. Surgical intervention remains the most effective treatment for HCC and is the only potentially curative modality. However, in HCC patients, overall survival is also independently affected by underlying liver disease and cirrhosis, which in turn affect the applicability and efficacy of treatment. Although several staging classification and prognostic scoring systems have been proposed for determining the stage and prognosis of HCC, no consensus exists on the best classification method. The most common staging classification systems include tumor-node-metastasis stage, Okuda staging, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging classification, the French, the Chinese University Prognostic Index, Japanese Integrated Scoring, and the Tokyo score. Radiologists should be aware of the different staging classification systems for HCC and familiar with the system relevant to their respective referring clinicians, as it will provide pertinent radiological evaluation for multidisciplinary management.

A new therapeutic assessment score for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma patients receiving hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy

Background & Aims

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) is an option for treating advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Because of the poor prognosis in HAIC non-responders, it is important to identify patients who may benefit from continuous HAIC treatment; however, there are currently no therapeutic assessment scores for this identification. Therefore, we aimed to establish a new therapeutic assessment score for such patients.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 90 advanced HCC patients with elevated baseline alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and/or des-gamma-carboxy prothrombin (DCP) levels and analyzed various parameters for their possible use as predictors of response and survival. AFP and DCP responses were assessed after half a course of HAIC (2 weeks); a positive-response was defined as a reduction of ≥ 20% from baseline.

Results

Multivariate analysis identified DCP response (odds ratio 16.03, p < 0.001) as an independent predictor of treatment response. In multivariate analysis, Child-Pugh class A (hazard ratio [HR] 1.99, p = 0.018), AFP response (HR 2.17, p = 0.007), and DCP response (HR 1.90, p = 0.030) were independent prognostic predictors. We developed an Assessment for Continuous Treatment with HAIC (ACTH) score, including the above 3 factors, which ranged from 0 to 3. Patients stratified into two groups according to this score showed significantly different prognoses (≤1 vs. ≥2 points: median survival time, 15.1 vs. 8.7 months; p = 0.003).

Conclusions

The ACTH score may be useful in the therapeutic assessment of HCC patients receiving HAIC.

Inflammation scores predict survival for hepatitis B virus-related hepatocellular carcinoma patients after transarterial chemoembolization

AIM: To compare the prognostic ability of inflammation scores for patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE).

METHODS: Data of 224 consecutive patients who underwent TACE for unresectable HBV-related HCC from September 2009 to November 2011 were retrieved from a prospective database. The association of inflammation scores with clinicopathologic variables and overall survival (OS) were analyzed, and receiver operating characteristic curves were generated, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the discriminatory ability of each inflammation score and staging system, including tumor-node-metastasis, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, and Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) scores.

RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 390 d, the one-, two-, and three-year OS were 38.4%, 18.3%, and 11.1%, respectively, and the median OS was 390 d. The Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), modifed GPS, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and Prognostic Index were associated with OS. The GPS consistently had a higher AUC value at 6 mo (0.702), 12 mo (0.676), and 24 mo (0.687) in comparison with other inflammation scores. CLIP consistently had a higher AUC value at 6 mo (0.656), 12 mo (0.711), and 24 mo (0.721) in comparison with tumor-node-metastasis and Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging systems. Multivariate analysis revealed that alanine aminotransferase, GPS, and CLIP were independent prognostic factors for OS. The combination of GPS and CLIP (AUC = 0.777) was superior to CLIP or GPS alone in prognostic ability for OS.

CONCLUSION: The prognostic ability of GPS is superior to other inflammation scores for HCC patients undergoing TACE. Combining GPS and CLIP improved the prognostic power for OS.

Proposal of the performance status combined Japan Integrated Staging system in hepatocellular carcinoma complicated with cirrhosis

The present study examined the prognostic ability of our proposed performance status combined Japan Integrated Staging (PS-JIS) system in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) comparing with other four prognostic systems including original JIS system, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer classification system, TNM classification system and the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) scoring system. A total of 1,170 HCC patients complicated with LC were analysed. The disease was staged for all analysed patients by means of the five staging systems. The cumulative overall survival (OS) rate was calculated by Kaplan-Meier method and tested by log-rank test. We also examined prognostic factors associated with OS using univariate and multivariate analyses and compared the prognostic ability in each prognostic system using concordance index (c-index) at 1-, 3- and 5-year time-points. Overall significance in each prognostic system was P<0.001. In the multivariate analyses, tumor number, Child-Pugh classification, PS, initial treatment modality and several laboratory parameters were significant independent predictors linked to OS. For all cases, in each time-point, the c-index of PS-JIS system was the highest among five staging systems (0.847, 0.816 and 0.808, respectively), indicating that PS-JIS system has the best predictability among these staging systems. According to subgroup analyses stratified by initial treatment modality, in patients treated with surgical resection (n=205), CLIP scoring system had the highest c-index at every time-point, whereas in patients treated with percutaneous ablative therapies (n=632) at 3- and 5-year time-point and in those with transcatheter arterial therapies (n=281) at every time-point, the c-index of PS-JIS system was the highest. In conclusion, the proposed PS-JIS score can be a useful prognostic system for HCC patients complicated with liver cirrhosis.

The Singapore Liver Cancer Recurrence (SLICER) Score for relapse prediction in patients with surgically resected hepatocellular carcinoma

Background and Aims

Surgery is the primary curative option in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Current prognostic models for HCC are developed on datasets of primarily patients with advanced cancer, and may be less relevant to resectable HCC. We developed a postoperative nomogram, the Singapore Liver Cancer Recurrence (SLICER) Score, to predict outcomes of HCC patients who have undergone surgical resection.

Methods

Records for 544 consecutive patients undergoing first-line curative surgery for HCC in one institution from 1992–2007 were reviewed, with 405 local patients selected for analysis. Freedom from relapse (FFR) was the primary outcome measure. An outcome-blinded modeling strategy including clustering, data reduction and transformation was used. We compared the performance of SLICER in estimating FFR with other HCC prognostic models using concordance-indices and likelihood analysis.

Results

A nomogram predicting FFR was developed, incorporating non-neoplastic liver cirrhosis, multifocality, preoperative alpha-fetoprotein level, Child-Pugh score, vascular invasion, tumor size, surgical margin and symptoms at presentation. Our nomogram outperformed other HCC prognostic models in predicting FFR by means of log-likelihood ratio statistics with good calibration demonstrated at 3 and 5 years post-resection and a concordance index of 0.69. Using decision curve analysis, SLICER also demonstrated superior net benefit at higher threshold probabilities.

Conclusion

The SLICER score enables well-calibrated individualized predictions of relapse following curative HCC resection, and may represent a novel tool for biomarker research and individual counseling.

Determinants of survival after sorafenib failure in patients with BCLC-C hepatocellular carcinoma in real-world practice

Sorafenib may improve progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, the survival benefit is short lived and survivals after progressive disease (PD) have not been well characterized. This study aimed to evaluate the survival predictors of OS and postprogression survival (PPS) in advanced HCC patients receiving sorafenib treatment. Consecutive 149 HCC patients receiving sorafenib under National Health Insurance were retrospectively enrolled. All patients fulfilled the reimbursement criteria: Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C HCC with macroscopic vascular invasion or extrahepatic metastasis (Mets), and Child-Pugh class A. Radiologic assessment was performed at a 2-month interval using modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. Patients who maintained Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group ≤2 and Child-Pugh class A at PD were assumed to be candidates for second-line treatment. During the median follow-up period of 7.5 months (range, 1.1-18.5), PD developed in 120 (80.5%) patients and 96 (64.4%) deaths occurred. The median PFS, OS, and PPS were 2.5, 8.0, and 4.6 months, respectively. In general, patients with Mets only had better OS and PPS than those with portal vein invasion. Independent predictors of OS include baseline performance status (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.956), tumor size (HR = 1.597), alpha-fetoprotein (HR = 1.869), discontinuation of sorafenib due to liver function deterioration (LD) (HR = 6.142), or concurrent PD and LD (HR = 2.661) and PD within 4 months (HR = 5.164). Independent predictors of PPS include deteriorated performance status (HR = 7.680), deteriorated liver functions (HR = 5.603), bilirubin (HR = 2.114), early PD (HR = 6.109), and new extrahepatic lesion (HR = 1.804). In 46 candidates for second-line trials, development of new extrahepatic lesion independently predicts poorer PPS (HR = 3.669). In conclusion performance status, liver functions, early disease progression, and progression pattern are important determinants of survival after sorafenib failure. These factors should be considered in clinical practice and second-line trial designs for patients with sorafenib failure.

Staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma: Current status and future perspectives

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major health concern worldwide and the third cause of cancer-related death. Despite advances in treatment as well as careful surveillance programs, the mortality rates in most countries are very high. In contrast to other cancers, the prognosis and treatment of HCC depend on the tumor burden in addition to patient’s underlying liver disease and liver functional reserve. Moreover, there is considerable geographic and institutional variation in both risk factors attributable to the underlying liver diseases and the management of HCC. Therefore, although many staging and/or scoring systems have been proposed, there is currently no globally accepted system for HCC due to the extreme heterogeneity of the disease. The aim of this review is to focus on currently available staging systems as well as those newly reported in the literatures since 2012. Moreover, we describe problems with currently available staging systems and attempts to modify and/or add variables to existing staging systems.

Albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio: a novel prognostic index for hepatocellular carcinoma

Prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) depends on both tumour extent and hepatic function reserve. Liver function test (LFT) is a basic routine blood test to evaluate hepatic function. We first analysed LFT components and their associated scores in a training cohort of 217 patients who underwent curative surgery to identify LFT parameters with high performance (discriminatory capacity, homogeneity, and monotonicity of gradient). We derived a novel index, albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR), which had the highest c-index (0.646) and χ² (24.774) among other liver biochemical parameters. The AAPR was an independent prognostic factor for overall and disease-free survival. The adjusted hazard ratio of death and tumour relapse was 2.36 (P = 0.002) and 1.85 (P = 0.010), respectively. The independent prognostic significance of AAPR on top of 5 commonly used and well established staging systems was further confirmed in 2 independent cohorts of patients receiving surgical resection (n = 256) and palliative therapy (n = 425). In summary, the AAPR is a novel index readily derived from a simple low-cost routine blood test and is an independent prognostic indicator for patients with HCC regardless of treatment options.

Serum miR-128-2 serves as a prognostic marker for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Circulating miRNAs are promising biomarkers for predicting the aggressiveness of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to identify differentially expressed miRNAs in the serum of HCC patients with different Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage, and to investigate the potential of serum miRNAs as biomarkers for patient outcomes. In the discovery stage, TaqMan Low-Density Array was used to test the difference in levels of serum miRNAs between 20 patients with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) and 20 patients without PVTT. The detected serum miRNAs then were validated in 182 patients. Fifteen serum miRNAs showed more than two-fold higher expression in patients with PVTT, and miR-128-2 was found to be significantly up-regulated and was selected for further validation. In the validation stage, patients were divided into two groups with low or high serum miR-128-2 using the median expression level of all 182 cases as the cut-off point. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with low level of serum miR-128-2 had favorable trends of survival (log rank = 13.031, p < 0.001). The median survivals for patients with a low and high level of serum miR-128-2 were 625 (95% CI, 527–722) days and 426 (95% CI, 362–491) days, respectively. MiR-128-2 was also an independent factor of overall survival (p = 0.001, HR 2.793, 95%CI 1.550, 5.033). Serum levels of the ubiquitously expressed miR-128-2 showed no significant correlation with parameters of liver damage or liver function. In addition, expressions of miR-128-2 in HCC tissues were up-regulated in comparison with adjacent non-tumor tissues. In conclusion, serum level of miR-128-2 serves as a noninvasive biomarker for the overall survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Expression of Kindlin-1 in human hepatocellular carcinoma and its prognostic significance

Kindlin-1 is a member of the Kindlin family of focal adhesion proteins and is implicated in cell adhesion, proliferation, polarity, and motility. Although expression of Kindlin-1 has recently been reported in a variety of human cancers, studies on its expression in human hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are currently lacking. This study aimed to determine the clinicopathological parameters and prognostic value of Kindlin-1 in HCC patients after surgical resection. The messenger RNA (mRNA) and protein levels of Kindlin-1 in 22 matched HCC specimens were assessed by quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR) and Western blotting assays. The clinical and prognostic significance of Kindlin-1 in 68 cases of HCC was determined by immunohistochemistry. Kindlin-1 expression was higher in HCC tumor tissues relative to that in adjacent normal tissue at the both mRNA and protein levels (p < 0.05). Immunohistochemical results revealed that overexpression of Kindlin-1 was detected in 37 of 68 (54.4 %) tumor tissues and in seven of 68 (10.3 %) adjacent non-tumor tissues (p < 0.05). Positive Kindlin-1 expression was significantly correlated with tumor size, tumor capsula, status of metastasis, and tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage. Additionally, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that positive Kindlin-1 expression was associated with unfavorable overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Multivariate analysis identified Kindlin-1 as an independent prognostic predictor for OS and DFS in HCC patients (p = 0.041 and 0.027, respectively). Taken together, our data suggest that Kindlin-1 could play an important role in HCC and might serve as a promising prognostic marker and potential target for HCC therapy.

Hepatocellular carcinoma tumor board: making sense of the technologies

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related death, with a rising global incidence. The vast majority of HCC cases occur in the setting of liver cirrhosis, mainly due to chronic hepatitis C (HCV) or hepatitis B (HBV) viral infections, alcohol consumption, and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. The new approval of curative therapy with two NS5A inhibitors, ledipasvir and sofosbuvir, for the treatment of HCV will no doubt affect HCC incidence and outcome. No studies have evaluated the use of the new antivirals in patients with HCC. Staging and scoring remain an integral part of the management of patients with advanced HCC. Curative therapies for the treatment of HCC are evolving. Improvements in surgical techniques and risk stratification for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) have expanded access and improved the outlook for patients suffering from HCC. Interventional locoregional treatments continue to play a key role in the management of HCC. Transarterial chemoembolization is considered the standard of care for patients with noninvasive multinodular tumors at the intermediate stage. Bland embolization appears to have similar virtues in some studies. Y90 radioembolization represents a promising treatment option for patients unfit or refractory to transarterial chemoembolization. The advent of sorafenib as a standard of care with an improvement in survival sadly remain the only major breakthrough in the treatment of advanced HCC, with mounting negative data from multiple clinical trials. Advances in immunotherapy and customized therapy may hopefully help reverse this tide.

Optimal cut points for quality of life questionnaire-core 30 (QLQ-C30) scales: utility for clinical trials and updates of prognostic systems in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Health-related quality of life (QoL) has been validated as a prognostic factor for cancer patients; however, to be used in routine practice, QoL scores must be dichotomized. Cutoff points are usually based on arbitrary percentile values. We aimed to identify optimal cutoff points for six QoL scales and to quantify their added utility in the performance of four prognostic classifications in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We reanalyzed data of 271 patients with advanced HCC recruited between July 2002 and October 2003 from 79 institutions in France in the CHOC trial, designed to assess the efficacy of long-acting octreotide. QoL was assessed with the European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire-Core 30 (QLQ-C30). The scores ranged from 0 to 100. Identification of optimal cutoff points was based on the method of Faraggi and Simon [Stat Med 1996;15:2203-2213]. Improvement in the performance of prognostic classifications was studied with Harrell's C-index, the net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

We found that optimal cutoff points were 50 for global health, 58.33 for physical functioning, 66.67 for role functioning, 66.67 for fatigue, 0 for dyspnea, and 33.33 for diarrhea. The addition of QoL and clinical factors improved the performance of all four prognostic classifications, with improvement in the range of 0.02-0.09 for the C-index, 0.24-0.78 for 3-month NRI, and 0.02-0.10 for IDI.

CONCLUSION

These cutoff values for QoL scales can be useful to identify HCC patients with very poor prognosis and thus improve design of clinical trials and treatment adjustment for these patients.

Multimodality Management for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer Stage C Hepatocellular Carcinoma

This review summarizes the contents of a workshop on multimodality management for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) held on July 6, 2013, under the auspices of the 4th Asia-Pacific Primary Liver Cancer Expert Meeting Scientific Advisory Committee. BCLC stage C HCC represents a varied disease spectrum and, therefore, further stratification of BCLC stage C should be explored. Although sorafenib is currently the standard treatment for BCLC stage C HCC, the survival benefits are modest and new treatment strategies are still needed. Based on the opinions of Asian experts, there are numerous alternative options aside from sorafenib for the treatment of BCLC stage C HCC, including surgical resection, hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy, transarterial chemoembolization, and external radiotherapy. Moreover, there are several studies on the multimodality management of BCLC stage C HCC, mainly in the form of retrospective studies and a few phase I and II trials. Multimodality management with combinations of various locoregional therapies or locoregional therapies with systemic targeted therapy using sorafenib needs to be actively investigated. The Asia-Pacific clinical practice guidelines on multimodality management for BCLC stage C HCC need recommendations based on the level of evidence, the strength of the data, and the strength of recommendations of previously reported systems.

International validation of the Chinese university prognostic index for staging of hepatocellular carcinoma: a joint United Kingdom and Hong Kong study

The outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients significantly differs between western and eastern population centers. Our group previously developed and validated the Chinese University Prognostic Index (CUPI) for the prognostication of HCC among the Asian HCC patient population. In the current study, we aimed to validate the CUPI using an international cohort of patients with HCC and to compare the CUPI to two widely used staging systems, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification and the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP). To accomplish this goal, two cohorts of patients were enrolled in the United Kingdom (UK; n = 567; 2006-2011) and Hong Kong (HK; n = 517; 2007-2012). The baseline clinical data were recorded. The performances of the CUPI, BCLC, and CLIP were compared in terms of a concordance index (C-index) and were evaluated in subgroups of patients according to treatment intent. The results revealed that the median follow-up durations of the UK and HK cohorts were 27.9 and 29.8 months, respectively. The median overall survival of the UK and HK cohorts were 22.9 and 8.6 months, respectively. The CUPI stratified the patients in both cohorts into three risk subgroups corresponding to distinct outcomes. The median overall survival of the CUPI low-, intermediate-, and high-risk subgroups were 3.15, 1.24, and 0.29 years, respectively, in the UK cohort and were 2.07, 0.32, and 0.10 years, respectively, in the HK cohort. For the patients who underwent curative treatment, the prognostic performance did not differ between the three staging systems, and all were suboptimal. For those who underwent palliative treatment, the CUPI displayed the highest C-index, indicating that this staging system was the most informative for both cohorts. In conclusion, the CUPI is applicable to both western and eastern HCC patient populations. The performances of the three staging systems differed according to treatment intent, and the CUPI was demonstrated to be optimal for those undergoing palliative treatment. A more precise staging system for early-stage disease patients is required.

A prognostic scoring system for patients with multiple hepatocellular carcinomas treated by hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

The selection criteria of hepatectomy for patients with multiple hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) remain controversial.

METHODS

A scoring system based on preoperative data and independent predictors of overall survival (OS) was developed in a primary cohort of 510 patients who underwent hepatectomy for multiple HCCs from 1998 to 2006, and validated in 177 patients who were operated from 2006 to 2009 at the Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital.

RESULTS

In the NDR scoring system, tumor number (N) > 3, total tumor diameter (D) > 8 cm, and a ratio of largest/smallest diameter (R) > 6 were independent predictors of OS. Its predictive accuracy as determined by the area under the curve (AUC, 0.718) was larger than the four conventional staging systems (0.524-0.662). It stratified postoperative OS into five levels (0-4 score). The 5-year OS rate of patients with a NDR score 0-2 was 46.5% versus 13.9% in those > 2 (P < 0.001). Patients with a score 0-2 therefore were recommended for hepatectomy. The feasibility of this NDR score 0-2 was compared with the previously reported criteria. If the two more stringent inclusion criteria were adopted, 45.5-75.7% of patients with a NDR score 0-2 would be excluded, but their 5-year OS rates were comparable to those within the criteria (44.7% vs. 52.1%, P = 0.083; 46.6% vs. 46.3%, P = 0.674). If the less stringent criteria were used, an additional 25.9% of patients received hepatectomy, but their 5-year OS rate was 13.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

The NDR scoring system was more accurate in selecting patients with multiple HCCs for hepatectomy.

Treatment of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-closely associated with liver cirrhosis and, in fact, the main cause of death in patients with such disease-is now recognized as one of the most-prevalent and lethal neoplasms worldwide. Prognosis and allocation of the multiple available treatment options for patients with HCC are influenced not only by tumour stage, but also by the degree of liver-function impairment. Therefore, accurate assessment and classification of disease is important for patient management. According to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) algorithm, intermediate-stage HCC is defined as extensive multifocal disease without vascular invasion in patients with preserved liver function and absence of cancer-related symptoms; in this context, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is considered the standard treatment. The use of drug-eluting beads has enabled standardization of this procedure, resulting in higher reproducibility and tolerability of the treatment. Nevertheless, not all patients with intermediate-stage HCC are good candidates for TACE and, for such patients in whom TACE is not appropriate or has failed, other treatments can be considered, including sorafenib. Radioembolization is a promising alternative that deserves further prospective studies. Herein, we review the current approaches used to accurately stratify patients with intermediate-stage HCC and subsequently allocate the most-appropriate treatments. The key developments in therapeutic strategies are also discussed.

Treatment of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-closely associated with liver cirrhosis and, in fact, the main cause of death in patients with such disease-is now recognized as one of the most-prevalent and lethal neoplasms worldwide. Prognosis and allocation of the multiple available treatment options for patients with HCC are influenced not only by tumour stage, but also by the degree of liver-function impairment. Therefore, accurate assessment and classification of disease is important for patient management. According to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) algorithm, intermediate-stage HCC is defined as extensive multifocal disease without vascular invasion in patients with preserved liver function and absence of cancer-related symptoms; in this context, transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is considered the standard treatment. The use of drug-eluting beads has enabled standardization of this procedure, resulting in higher reproducibility and tolerability of the treatment. Nevertheless, not all patients with intermediate-stage HCC are good candidates for TACE and, for such patients in whom TACE is not appropriate or has failed, other treatments can be considered, including sorafenib. Radioembolization is a promising alternative that deserves further prospective studies. Herein, we review the current approaches used to accurately stratify patients with intermediate-stage HCC and subsequently allocate the most-appropriate treatments. The key developments in therapeutic strategies are also discussed.