Predicting disability in stroke--a critical review of the literature

Determinants of change in quality of life from 1 to 6 months following acute stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Little information is available about change in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) during the first few months following acute stroke, and whether baseline variables can predict who will have the largest improvement in HRQoL. This study assessed the change in HRQoL from 1 to 6 months following acute stroke and the determinants of these changes.

METHODS

Patients >60 years of age, who had experienced an acute stroke and were admitted to hospital within 24 h of onset, were followed longitudinally. HRQoL was assessed with the Short Form 36 (SF-36) health status questionnaire.

RESULTS

Of 550 eligible stroke patients, 315 fulfilled the inclusion criteria and were alive after 30 days. At 1 month, 179 patients responded to the questionnaire, of whom also 140 responded at 6 months following acute stroke. From 1 to 6 months following stroke, all dimensions of the SF-36 improved. The magnitude of change was largest on the role-physical and role-emotional scales and lowest on the bodily pain and mental health scales. Higher physical component summary (PCS) score at 1 month was associated with lower odds of being above the 75th percentile of change in PCS score between the assessments, and higher baseline mental component summary (MCS) score was associated with lower odds of being above the 75th percentile of change in MCS. Treatment in a stroke unit was associated with an increase in the MCS score and higher neurological score with an increase in PCS score of the SF-36.

CONCLUSION

This prospective study showed a considerable improvement in HRQoL from 1 to 6 months after stroke; however, no baseline variables except baseline scores were associated with changes in HRQoL during the 5-month period.

Predictive factors for ambulation in stroke patients in the rehabilitation setting: a multivariate analysis

OBJECT

The purpose of this study was to investigate predictive factors for ambulatory recovery in stroke patients undergoing rehabilitation.

METHODS

One hundred and eight-five first-stroke hemiplegics, admitted to an inpatient stroke rehabilitation program, were consecutively recruited to the study. Functional status at admission and discharge was evaluated by the Functional Independence Measure (FIM) and its motor component (motFIM), the upper and lower Motricity Index (upMI and lowMI), and the Trunk Control Test (TCT). The outcome variable was the Functional Ambulation Classification (FAC) score, assessed at discharge from rehabilitation. Multivariate analysis was used to assess the relationships between functional outcome (FAC), and the predictive variables.

RESULTS

Up- and lowMI, FIM and motFIM, TCT and age at admission were significantly related to ambulatory recovery at discharge. Logistic regression analysis showed that the independent variables related to FAC were age, TCT and FIM: the model correctly allocated 86 out of 100 cases in the construction set and 76% of cases in the validation set. The ROC curve with logistic function output as the risk factor afforded very good accuracy (ROC area=0.94), sensitivity=86.5% and specificity=85.4%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results show that age and level of motor and functional impairment measured at baseline are significant predictors of ambulatory outcome. These findings promise to be of interest in goal optimization in the rehabilitation setting.

Sensory loss in hospital-admitted people with stroke: characteristics, associated factors, and relationship with function

OBJECTIVE

To characterize the nature of sensory impairments after stroke, identify associated factors, and assess the relationships between sensory impairment, disability, and recovery.

METHODS

Prospective cross-sectional survey of 102 people with hemiparesis following their first stroke. Tactile and proprioceptive sensation in the affected arm and leg were measured using the Rivermead Assessment of Somatosensory Perception 2-4 weeks post-stroke. Demographics, stroke pathology, weakness, neglect, disability, and recovery were documented.

RESULTS

Tactile impairment was more common than proprioceptive (P < .000), impairment of discrimination was more common than detection (P < .000), and tactile sensation was more severely impaired in the leg than the arm ( P < .000). No difference in proprioception between the arm and leg (P = .703) or between proximal and distal joints (P = .589, P = .705) was found. The degree of weakness and the degree of stroke severity were significantly associated with sensory impairment; demographics, stroke side and type, and neglect were not associated. All the sensory modalities were significantly related to independence, mobility, and recovery (r = 0.287 [P < .011] to r = 0.533 [P < .000]).

CONCLUSION

Sensory impairments of all modalities are common after stroke, although tactile impairment is more frequent than proprioceptive loss, especially in the leg. They are associated with the degree of weakness and the degree of stroke severity but not demographics, stroke pathology, or neglect, and they are related to mobility, independence in activities of daily living, and recovery.

Motor and Functional Recovery After Stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Outcome after first stroke varies significantly across Europe. This study was designed to compare motor and functional recovery after stroke between four European rehabilitation centers.

METHODS

Consecutive stroke patients (532 patients) were recruited. They were assessed on admission and at 2, 4, and 6 months after stroke with the Barthel Index, Rivermead Motor Assessment of Gross Function, Rivermead Motor Assessment of Leg/Trunk, Rivermead Motor Assessment of Arm, and Nottingham Extended Activities of Daily Living (except on admission). Data were analyzed using random effects ordinal logistic models adjusting for case-mix and multiple testing.

RESULTS

Patients in the UK center were more likely to stay in lower Rivermead Motor Assessment of Gross Function classes compared with patients in the German center (DeltaOR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.3 to 4.3). In the Swiss center, patients were less likely to stay in lower Nottingham Extended Activities of Daily Living classes compared with patients in the UK center (DeltaOR, 0.7; 95% CI, 0.5 to 0.9). The latter were less likely to stay in lower Barthel Index classes compared with the patients in the German center (DeltaOR, 0.6; 95%CI, 0.4 to 0.8). Recovery patterns of Rivermead Motor Assessment of Leg/Trunk and Rivermead Motor Assessment of Arm were not significantly different between centers.

CONCLUSIONS

Gross motor and functional recovery were better in the German and Swiss centers compared with the UK center, respectively. Personal self-care recovery was better in the UK compared with the German center. Previous studies in the same centers indicated that German and Swiss patients received more therapy per day. This was not the result of more staff but of a more efficient use of human resources. This study indicates potential for improving rehabilitation outcomes in the UK and Belgian centers.

Trunk performance after stroke: an eye catching predictor of functional outcome

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Trunk performance is an important predictor of functional outcome after stroke. However, the percentage of explained variance varies considerably between studies. This may be explained by the stroke population examined, the different scales used to assess trunk performance and the time points used to measure outcome. The aim of this multicentre study was to examine the predictive validity of the Trunk Impairment Scale (TIS) and its subscales when predicting the Barthel Index score at 6 months after stroke.

METHODS

A total of 102 subjects were recruited in three European rehabilitation centres. Participants were assessed on admission (median time since stroke onset 20 days) and 6 months after stroke. Correlation analysis and forward stepwise multiple regression analysis were used to model outcome.

RESULTS

The best predictors of the Barthel Index scores at 6 months after stroke were total TIS score (partial R2 = 0.52, p<.0001) and static sitting balance subscale score (partial R2 = 0.50, p<.0001) on admission. The TIS score on admission and its static sitting balance subscale were stronger predictors of the Barthel Index score at 6 months than the Barthel Index score itself on admission.

CONCLUSIONS

This study emphasises the importance of trunk performance, especially static sitting balance, when predicting functional outcome after stroke. The TIS is recommended as a prediction instrument in the rehabilitation setting when considering the prognosis of stroke patients. Future studies should address the evolution of trunk performance over time and the evaluation of treatment interventions to improve trunk performance.

Use of movement system diagnoses in the management of patients with neuromuscular conditions: a multiple-patient case report

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Medical diagnoses are not sufficient to guide physical therapy intervention. To provide a rational basis for treatment selection by physical therapists, we developed a set of diagnoses at the level of impairment that are relevant to the human movement system. The diagnoses describe the primary human movement system problem and provide a basis for matching a specific problem with appropriate treatment. The purposes of this 3-patient case report are to illustrate an updated version of the diagnostic system and to show how treatment decisions can be made relative to both the movement system diagnosis and the patient's prognosis.

CASE DESCRIPTION AND OUTCOMES

We diagnosed 3 patients with hemiplegia due to stroke as having 3 different movement system problems: force production deficit, fractionated movement deficit, and perceptual deficit. Specific intervention and actual patient outcomes for each case are outlined.

DISCUSSION

Use of movement system diagnoses may have multiple benefits for patient care. The possible benefits include decreasing the variability in management of patients with neuromuscular conditions, minimizing the trial-and-error approach to treatment selection, improving communication among health care professionals, and advancing research by enabling creation of homogenous patient groupings.

Hemiplegia recovers after cranioplasty in stroke patients in the chronic stage

We evaluated quantitatively the recovery from impairment and disability in hemiplegic stroke survivors who received cranioplasty in the chronic stage. Seven first-ever stroke survivors with hemiplegia (mean age 56+/-3 years) who required delayed (3-9 months after the onset) cranioplasty during continuous rehabilitation therapy were studied. Recovery grade (1-12) of hemiplegia and Barthel index were assessed monthly before (the first rehabilitation) and after the cranioplasty (the second rehabilitation). The recovery grade of upper and lower extremity movements significantly increased both in the first and in the second rehabilitation. Changes in the upper and lower extremity grades were significantly larger in the second rehabilitation (1.0+/-0.3 in the first vs. 2.4+/-0.7 in the second rehabilitation for upper extremity, P=0.007; 1.4+/-0.4 in the first vs. 3.4+/-0.7 in the second rehabilitation for lower extremity, P=0.002). Increase in the Barthel index was larger in the second rehabilitation (23+/-8 in the first vs. 33+/-5 in the second rehabilitation); all patients regained the ability to walk. Significant recovery of functional grade and recovery from disability occurred after the cranioplasty in the chronic stage (>or=3 months) of stroke.

Palliative care in stroke: a critical review of the literature

The aim of this literature review was to identify the palliative care needs of stroke patients. Stroke results in high levels of mortality and morbidity, yet very little is known about the nature and extent of palliative care services that are available to this patient group, and the ways in which such services could be delivered. A critical review of the international literature found only seven papers that attempted to identify the palliative care needs of patients diagnosed with stroke. The results of the review showed that the preferences of stroke patients and their families in relation to palliative care services are largely unknown. The review also indicated the paucity of data in regard to the distinction between provision of palliative care services for patients who die in the acute phase of stroke and for those patients who die later. Establishing reliable assessments of need are central to designing and implementing effective interventions and further research is required in this area. Further data on how the input of palliative care experts and expertise could be of benefit to patients, and the most effective ways these inputs could be targeted and delivered is required.

The Relationship Between Balance, Disability, and Recovery After Stroke: Predictive Validity of the Brunel Balance Assessment

Objective. To examine the influence of balance disability on function and the recovery of function after stroke and consequently to assess the predictive validity of the Brunel Balance Assessment (BBA). Methods. Cross-sectional study of 102 patients admitted consecutively to 6 National Health Service hospitals with weakness 2 to 4 weeks after their first anterior circulation stroke; 75 of whom completed follow-up assessment at 3 months. The BBA was assessed during admission and compared to the Barthel Index and Rivermead Mobility Index at 3 months. Results. Balance disability was the strongest predictor of function (in terms of activities of daily living [ADLs] and mobility disability) in the acute stages. Weakness was also an independent predictor. Recovery of ADLs was independently predicted by balance disability, weakness, age, and premorbid disability, whereas recovery of mobility disability was predicted by balance and age alone. At 3 months, a minority of people with limited sitting balance (0%-22%) and standing balance (25%-50%) recovered independent functional mobility. Most people who could walk initially recovered independent functional mobility (66%-84%), but 16% suffered a decline in their mobility and 44% had enduring limitations in everyday mobility activities. Conclusion. Initial balance disability is a strong predictor of function and recovery after stroke. These results demonstrate the predictive validity of the BBA.

Ability for Basic Movement as an Early Predictor of Functioning Related to Activities of Daily Living in Stroke Patients

Background. Early functional outcomes for activities of daily living at an early stage after a stroke may enable clinicians to establish treatment-optimal training and goals. The objective of this study was to assess the relationship between the ability to perform basic movements at the bedside, which were measured using a new scale, the Ability for Basic Movement Scale, in the early stage after stroke and functional ability at discharge from the hospital. Methods . A total of 142 stroke patients participated in this prospective study. In addition to the Ability for Basic Movement Scale score, age, limb paresis as measured by the Brunnstrom stage, and functional ability as measured by the Barthel Index were also selected as predictor variables. Results . Pearson correlation coefficient analysis showed that the state of functional ability at discharge had significant positive correlations with total scores of the Ability for Basic Movement Scale and Brunnstrom stage at all stages of data collection. The results of linear stepwise regression analysis indicated that “turn over from supine position,” “remain sitting,” and “sit up” of the Ability for Basic Movement Scale at 10 days after onset, in addition to age at onset of stroke, the baseline Barthel Index, and the baseline Brunnstrom stage, were significant predictors (75.6%) of functional ability at discharge. Conclusions. This study provides evidence for the predictive value of the Ability for Basic Movement Scale with regard to functional ability in stroke patients.

A Comparison of Psychometric Properties of the Smart Balance Master System and the Postural Assessment Scale for Stroke in People Who Have Had Mild Stroke

OBJECTIVE

To compare the psychometric properties (including the test-retest reliability, responsiveness, and predictive validity) of the Smart Balance Master (SBM) system and the Postural Assessment Scale for Stroke patients (PASS) in patients with mild stroke.

DESIGN

One repeated-measures design (at a 2-wk interval) was used to examine the test-retest reliability of the SBM and PASS, and another similar design was applied to investigate their responsiveness. Patients who participated in the responsiveness study were followed up approximately 1 year later, and the predictive validity of the SBM system and PASS were examined by assessing the patients' comprehensive activities of daily living (ADL) function.

SETTING

Three rehabilitation units in Taiwan.

PARTICIPANTS

Twenty patients with chronic stroke in the reliability study; 40 and 32 patients who had recently had a stroke in the responsiveness and predictive validity studies, respectively.

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Three computerized tests of the SBM (the equilibrium score of the Sensory Organization Test, scores in rhythmic weight-shifting tests, and scores in the limits of stability test) and the PASS were used. The combination of the Barthel Index and Frenchay Activities Index was used to represent the comprehensive ADL function.

RESULTS

For the SBM, all but the weight-shifting tests of the SBM had moderate to high reliability (intraclass correlation coefficient [ICC] range, .78-.91). The responsiveness of the equilibrium score and the limits of stability test were moderate (effect size [d], .63) and small (d range, .27-.33), respectively, whereas the responsiveness of the weight-shifting tests was limited (d range, .04-.29). All but the weight-shifting tests of the SBM in the second evaluation had acceptable predictive validity for comprehensive ADL function (r2 range, .15-.17). The PASS showed high reliability (ICC=.84) and small responsiveness (d=.41), and the PASS in the second evaluation had acceptable predictive validity (r2=.24).

CONCLUSIONS

The PASS and the equilibrium score and limits of stability scores of the SBM had acceptable test-retest reliability, responsiveness, and predictive validity in patients with mild stroke, but the psychometric properties of the weight-shifting tests of the SBM should be further examined before consideration of their usage in patients with stroke.

Construct and Predictive Validity of the Repeatable Battery for the Assessment of Neuropsychological Status in the Evaluation of Stroke Patients

To evaluate the construct and predictive validity of a brief neuropsychological assessment battery, consecutive admissions to a hospital receiving inpatient treatment for stroke were tested with the Repeatable Battery for Assessment of Neuropsychological Status (RBANS) and other neuropsychological measures. Discriminant and convergent validity were adequate for the Language, Visuospatial/Constructional, Immediate Memory and Delayed Memory indices in the RBANS, but weaker for the Attention Index. Twelve months later, 36 discharged patients were contacted by telephone and interviews using a battery of functional outcome measures. RBANS Total Score predicted indices from the RBANS also predicted cognitive disability as measured by the Functional Independence Measure. Individual indices from the RBANS also predicted instrumental activities of daily living (IADLS) as measured by the Craig Handicap Assessment and Reporting Technique. The present findings suggest that the RBANS can be a useful tool in the neuropsychological evaluation of inpatients with stroke.

Predictive value of ischemic lesion volume assessed with magnetic resonance imaging for neurological deficits and functional outcome poststroke: A critical review of the literature

OBJECTIVE

Ischemic lesion volume is assumed to be an important predictor of poststroke neurological deficits and functional outcome. This critical review examines the methodological quality of MRI studies and the predictive value of hemispheric infarct volume for neurological deficits (at body function level) and functional outcome (at activities level).

METHODS

Using Medline, PiCarta, and Embase to identify studies, 13 of the 747 identified studies met the authors' inclusion criteria. Subsequently, studies were tested for adherence to the key methodological criteria for internal, statistical, and external validity. Each criterion was weighted binary, and studies with 6 points or more were judged to be valid for assessing the predictive value of MRI for outcome.

RESULTS

The 13 included studies had several methodological weaknesses with respect to internal validity, and none of them took lesion location into account. Only a few used outcome measures according to the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health and followed patients beyond 6 months. Correlation coefficients between MRI lesion volume and outcomes were higher for outcomes defined at body function level (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; median 0.67; range: 0.57-0.91) than for those defined at the level of activities (Barthel Index; median -0.49; range: -0.33 to -0.74).

CONCLUSIONS

Methodological shortcomings of most studies confound the prognostic value of MRI in predicting stroke outcome, and few studies have focused on functional outcome. Future studies should investigate the added value of MRI volume over clinical neurological variables in predicting functional outcome beyond 6 months poststroke.

Prognostic factors of activity limitation and discharge destination after stroke rehabilitation

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to identify predictive variables related to activity limitation and home destination of a large sample of first-time stroke patients at discharge from a rehabilitation hospital.

DESIGN

A multicenter observational study was conducted among 1023 first-time stroke patients who were admitted to 18 different Italian inpatient rehabilitation centers between February 1999 and November 2000. Only 997 patients were considered eligible. At admission, sociodemographic and clinical data were considered as independent variables. The outcome measures evaluated the ability to become functionally independent (independence gain [Barthel Index score > or =18]) at discharge and home return.

RESULTS

The study data suggest that independence gain is associated with an earlier rehabilitation intervention, being male, and low or absent cognitive deficit. Home return is associated with no indwelling bladder catheterization, no dysphagia, and living with a companion (roommate or family member) before the stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

In postacute stroke rehabilitation, level of cognitive impairment, bladder dysfunction and dysphagia, early diagnosis and treatment, early rehabilitation intervention, and living status (whether the person was residing with a companion before the stroke) are important criteria for outcome measurement at the time of admission. These previous characteristics will most certainly provide clinicians with useful information during the acute phase.

Developing empirical models to enhance stroke rehabilitation

PURPOSE

Models identifying functional indicators most strongly associated with favourable and unfavourable outcomes may bolster evidence to improve stroke rehabilitation assessment and intervention. This study examined the feasibility of decision analysis methods for developing data-driven models that examined associations between specific functional indicators and global disability.

METHOD

Data were derived from functional assessment of 67 participants 3 months following stroke. Decision analysis methods were used to examine specific activity and body function indicators associated with global disability, and the degree of limitation or impairment that contributed to favourable and unfavourable outcomes, in 2 models. The feasibility of decision analysis methods was evaluated.

RESULTS

Of the 26 activity indicators, dressing was most strongly associated with global disability, followed by bill mailing, shopping and sweeping. Of 15 body function indicators, facial weakness and mental functions were most strongly associated with global disability. The misclassification risk estimates were fair for the two models.

CONCLUSIONS

Findings suggest that decision analysis methods show promise for developing models examining associations between specific functional indicators and disability. Further study with these methods may identify specific priorities for functional assessment and intervention in stroke rehabilitation.

Course of functional status and pain in osteoarthritis of the hip or knee: a systematic review of the literature

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review studies describing the course of functioning in patients with osteoarthritis (OA) of the hip or knee and identifying potential prognostic factors.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed. Studies involving patients with hip or knee OA, >6 months of followup, and outcome measures on functional status or pain were included. Methodologic quality was assessed using a standardized set of 11 criteria; a qualitative data analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Approximately 6,500 titles and abstracts were screened and 48 publications were considered for inclusion. Eighteen studies, 4 of which met the high methodologic quality criteria, were included. For hip OA, there was limited evidence that functional status and pain do not change during the first 3 years of followup. After 3 years, however, a worsening of functional status and pain was seen. For knee OA, there was conflicting evidence for the first 3 years and limited evidence for worsening of pain and functional status after 3 years. Furthermore, limited evidence was established for negative associations between future functional status and laxity, proprioceptive inaccuracy, age, body mass index, and knee pain intensity. In contrast, greater muscle strength, better mental health, better self-efficacy, social support, and more aerobic exercise were protective factors in the first 3 years.

CONCLUSION

Pain and functional status in hip or knee OA seem to deteriorate slowly, with limited evidence for worsening after 3 years of followup. In specific subgroups, prognosis in the first 3 years of followup was either worse or better, as both risk factors and protective factors were identified. Prognostic factors included biomechanical factors, psychological factors, clinical factors, and treatment modalities. To strengthen the evidence, further high-quality longitudinal research on hip or knee OA functioning is needed.

Assessing the potential for functional improvement of stroke patients attending a geriatric day hospital

In the present study the potential for functional improvement in 103 stroke patients attending a geriatric day hospital was evaluated using the Orpington Prognostic Scale (OPS). This information may assist in coordinating the patients' and caregivers' expectations, allocating resources efficiently, and advance care planning. The Spearman correlation was used to calculate the association between OPS score and Functional Independent Measure (FIM), the Nottingham Extended ADL Index (NEAI), and the timed Get Up and Go test (TUG). The studied population was divided into two groups: patients with mild neurological impairment (OPS score<3.2) and those with moderate to severe neurological impairment (OPS score> or =3.2) and their performance on the above outcome measure were compared. The OPS score significantly correlated (p<0.001) with discharge scores of FIM (r=-0.730), NEAI (r=-0.675), and TUG (r=0.448). Patients with OPS score <3.2 achieved significantly higher discharge scores (p<0.001) in all three measures (FIM, TUG, and NEAI) compared to patients with OPS score > or =3.2. Nevertheless, patients with moderate to severe neurological impairment achieved greater score changes in FIM and TUG than patients with mild neurological impairment, although their discharge scores were less favorable. These results indicate that stroke patients even the more impaired, may continually recover and should be exposed to a prolonged rehabilitation program.

The impact of neuropsychological deficits on functional stroke outcomes

This review examines the available literature on neuropsychological outcomes of stroke and the literature on the ability of specific areas of neuropsychological deficit to predict functional stroke outcome. The literature reviewed indicates that post-stroke deficits in executive function, memory, language, and speed of processing are common, with those identified as having progressive 'post-stroke dementia' presenting with a similar, though more impaired profile, with increased impairments particularly noted in the area of memory. It is clear that some aspects of neuropsychological functioning (e.g., presence of neglect, aphasia, anosognosia; and verbal memory and attention deficits) show promise as a means of predicting post-stroke functional outcomes. Examining the available literature, it becomes evident that there is a need for long-term, large scale (i.e., population based) follow-up studies, evaluating likely long-term neuropsychological outcomes of stroke and their prognostic utility.

Predicting Long-Term Independency in Activities of Daily Living After Middle Cerebral Artery Stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

To investigate whether neuroimaging information has added predictive value compared with clinical information for independency in activities of daily living (ADL) 1 year after stroke.

METHODS

Seventy-five first-ever middle cerebral artery stroke survivors were evaluated in logistic regression analyses. Model 1 was derived on the basis of clinical variables; for model 2, neuroimaging variables were added to model 1. Independent variables were stroke severity (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale), consciousness (Glasgow Coma Scale), urinary continence, demographic variables (age, gender, relationship, educational level), hospital of admission, and clinical instruments: sitting balance (trunk control test), motor functioning (Motricity Index), and ADL (Barthel Index). Neuroimaging variables, determined on conventional MRI scans, included: number of days to scanning, lesion volume, lesion localization (cortex/subcortex), hemisphere, and the presence of white matter lesions. ADL independency was defined as 19 and 20 points on Barthel Index. Differences in accuracy of prediction of ADL independence between models 1 and 2 were analyzed by comparing areas under the curve (AUC) in a receiver operating characteristic analysis.

RESULTS

Model 1 contained as significant predictors: age and ADL (AUC 0.84), correctly predicting 77%. In model 2, number of days to scanning, hemisphere, and lesion volume were added to model 1, increasing the AUC from 0.84 to 0.87, accurately predicting 83% of the surviving patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical variables in the second week after stroke are good predictors for independency in ADL 1 year after stroke. Neuroimaging variables on conventional MRI scans do not have added value in long-term prediction of ADL.

A new method for predicting functional recovery of stroke patients with hemiplegia: logarithmic modelling

OBJECTIVE

To examine the validity and applicability of logarithmic modelling for predicting functional recovery of stroke patients with hemiplegia.

DESIGN

Longitudinal postal survey.

SUBJECTS

Stroke patients with hemiplegia staying in a long-term rehabilitation facility, who had been referred from acute medical service 30-60 days after onset.

METHODS

Functional Independence Measure (FIM) scores were periodically assessed during hospitalization. For each individual, a logarithmic formula that was scaled by an interval increase in FIM scores during the initial 2-6 weeks was used for predicting functional recovery.

RESULTS

For the study, we recruited 18 patients who showed a wide variety of disability levels on admission (FIM scores 25-107). For each patient, the predicted FIM scores derived from the logarithmic formula matched the actual change in FIM scores. The changes predicted the recovery of motor rather than cognitive functions. Regression analysis showed a close fit between logarithmic modelling and actual FIM scores (across-subject R2 = 0.945).

CONCLUSIONS

Provided with two initial time-point samplings, logarithmic modelling allows accurate prediction of functional recovery for individuals. Because the modelling is mathematically simple, it can be widely applied in daily clinical practice.

Potential Value of Poststroke Extracranial Arterial Blood Flow Volume in the Prediction of Stroke Functional Outcome

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Cerebral vasoreactivity and collateral circulation are important protective mechanisms against cerebral ischemia. Previous studies suggest that the efficiency of these mechanisms can be reflected by extracranial arterial blood flow volume. Brain damage leading to neurological impairments can influence patients' functional recovery after stroke. This study attempted to explore the potential value of post stroke extracranial arterial blood flow volume in the prediction of stroke patients' functional outcome.

METHODS

We prospectively studied 362 consecutive patients who were hospitalized for recent acute strokes. All patients underwent extracranial arterial blood flow volume measurement of the carotid and vertebral arteries by color velocity imaging quantification within 3 days after admission. Their functional recovery was assessed 6 months after stroke. The effect of post stroke extracranial arterial blood flow volume on patients' functional outcome was tested by multivariate ordinal regression after controlling for other independent variables. Significance was at p<0.05.

RESULTS

Post stroke extracranial arterial blood flow volume together with age, pre-stroke modified Rankin scale, the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale and diabetes mellitus had significant effects on the patients' 6-month functional outcome as measured by the modified Rankin scale after controlling for other independent variables (p<0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Post stroke extracranial arterial blood flow volume is an independent outcome predictor. The graded predictive power of this parameter is potentially more superior than other outcome predictors by allowing classification of stroke outcome according to the degree of severity. A large prospective study is thus warranted to investigate its clinical value in the management of stroke patients.

Balance disability after stroke

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Balance disability is common after stroke, but there is little detailed information about it. The aims of this study were to investigate the frequency of balance disability; to characterize different levels of disability; and to identify demographics, stroke pathology factors, and impairments associated with balance disability.

SUBJECTS

The subjects studied were 75 people with a first-time anterior circulation stroke; 37 subjects were men, the mean age was 71.5 years (SD=12.2), and 46 subjects (61%) had left hemiplegia.

METHODS

Prospective hospital-based cross-sectional surveys were carried out in 2 British National Health Service trusts. The subjects' stroke pathology, demographics, balance disability, function, and neurologic impairments were recorded in a single testing session 2 to 4 weeks after stroke.

RESULTS

A total of 83% of the subjects (n=62) had a balance disability; of these, 17 (27%) could sit but not stand, 25 (40%) could stand but not step, and 20 (33%) could step and walk but still had limited balance. Subjects with the most severe balance disability had more severe strokes, impairments, and disabilities. Weakness and sensation were associated with balance disability. Subject demographics, stroke pathology, and visuospatial neglect were not associated with balance disability.

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

Subjects with the most severe balance disability had the most severe strokes, impairments, and disabilities. Subject demographics, stroke pathology, and visuospatial neglect were not associated with balance disability.

L'âge très élevé constitue-t-il un facteur pronostique du devenir après un premier accident vasculaire cérébral ?

AIM

To determine whether very old age, older than 80 years, after a stroke is a significant predictor of mortality, orientation to a specific care pathway after the acute phase and functional status at 6 months after the stroke.

PATIENTS

A sample of 112 consecutive patients admitted to the emergency department because of a first stroke, with hemiplegia and/or aphasia over 6 months, who satisfied strict inclusion/exclusion criteria. Forty-seven patients were older than 80.

METHOD

After initial diagnosis and enrolment in the study, follow-up assessments were conducted at 48 hours, 15 days and 6 months. Demographic, medical, and radiographic data were collected, and patients were evaluated on the NIHSS, MMSE, Barthel Index, FIM(TM) and FAM scales. Descriptive statistics were generated, as were uni- and multivariate between group comparisons.

RESULTS

Our study shows that after a first stroke, old age is significantly associated with a high rate of death, a low rate of orientation to a physical medicine and rehabilitation unit and return to home but not poorer functional outcome.

CONCLUSION

Old age is therefore a determinant of post stroke management. Further studies are needed to evaluate whether in patient rehabilitation would result in significant functional benefit, considering the high cost of care, high risk of recurrent stroke, and high rate of death.

Predicting the Long-Term Outcome after Subacute Stroke within the Middle Cerebral Artery Territory

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score is known to be effective in predicting the likelihood of recovery after stroke. However, the baseline NIHSS score predicts long-term outcomes rather crudely because early changes in stroke scores may influence the stroke outcomes. Therefore, a precise prognostic algorithm or a cutoff point for predicting long-term outcomes based on data from serial NIHSS scores is needed.

METHODS

We serially assessed 437 patients with acute symptomatic ischemic stroke within the middle cerebral artery territory who presented with nonlacunar stroke and were followed-up for at least 6 months after symptom onset. The NIHSS score was serially checked at 0, 1, 3, 7, and 14 days after admission. In all patients, the Barthel index (BI) and the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score were checked, with a poor outcome defined as any of the following endpoints: death, modified mRS score of >3, or BI of <60.

RESULTS

A marked neurological improvement or worsening (i.e., a change in the NIHSS score of at least 4) was seen in 13.5% or 5.5% of the patients, respectively, during the first 7 days after admission. About 25% of the 437 patients had poor long-term outcomes. Analysis of receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the NIHSS score at day 7 after admission was better for predicting poor long-term outcomes than was the baseline score (P=0.003). In addition, we analyzed the cutoff point of the 7th-day NIHSS score for predicting a poor outcome at 6 months after symptom onset. An NIHSS score of at least 6 at day 7 after admission predicted poor long-term outcomes with a sensitivity of 84% [95% confidence interval (CI), 76-90%], a specificity of 92% (95% CI, 88-94%), and positive and negative predictive values of 77% and 95%, respectively. A logistic regression analysis revealed that age, diffusion-weighted imaging lesion volume, stroke history, and 7th-day NIHSS score were independently associated with poor outcome. However, no score used in addition to the 7th-day NIHSS score improved the prediction of a poor outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

An NIHSS score of at least 6 on day 7 after admission accurately forecasts a poor long-term outcome after stroke. Our data may be helpful in predicting the long-term prognosis as well as in making decisions regarding novel therapeutic applications in subacute-stroke trials.

Stroke Impairment Predictors of Discharge Function, Length of Stay, and Discharge Destination in Stroke Rehabilitation

OBJECTIVES

This article presents analytic results from a prospective study of 313 stroke rehabilitation patients, looking at the relative contributions of different stroke impairments toward prediction of discharge function, rehabilitation length of stay, and discharge destination after inpatient rehabilitation. The relationship between number of stroke risk factors and recurrence of strokes during rehabilitation was also evaluated.

METHODS

A total of 313 subjects were enrolled consecutively. Information on type of stroke and individual stroke-related impairment was collected prospectively. Recurrent stroke, rehabilitation length of stay, discharge destination, discharge function, and available family support at discharge were documented.

RESULTS

Rates of impairment occurrence and coexistence are presented. Analysis using linear (length of stay, discharge function) and logistic (discharge destination) regression revealed significant contributory predictive effects of admission balance, aphasia, number of impairments, and family support on length of stay; admission balance and number of impairments on discharge function; and admission balance, body neglect, and presence of family support on discharge destination.

CONCLUSION

In addition to admission function and balance, other factors to consider in predicting length of stay for patients should include the number of stroke-related impairments and family support. For discharge destination prediction, the presence of body neglect should be considered in addition to balance and family support. Evaluation of patients for right-sided neglect and left-sided neglect is important.

Prediction of Social Activity 1 Year Poststroke

OBJECTIVE

To develop an easy-to-use prediction rule for social activity 1 year poststroke that can identify patients at risk for social inactivity.

DESIGN

Inception cohort.

SETTING

Rehabilitation center.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with a first-ever supratentorial stroke were selected in 4 Dutch rehabilitation centers. Data of 250 patients were available for analysis. Potential prognostic factors measured at admission were sex, age, marital status, prestroke employment status, educational level, type of stroke, hemisphere, motor impairment, trunk control, communication, and activities of daily living (ADL) dependency.

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Social activity measured by the Frenchay Activities Index (FAI) at 1 year poststroke.

RESULTS

Multivariate backward linear regression analysis identified sex, age, marital status, motor impairment, communication, and ADL dependency as important predictors of the FAI score 1 year poststroke. An easy-to-use score chart was constructed that could identify patients at risk for social inactivity. The score chart proved to be well able to discriminate poor social functioning from moderate to good social functioning (area under the curve = .85).

CONCLUSIONS

Identifying patients at risk enables health care professionals to focus on the social activity of this patient subgroup at an early stage in the care process.

Predictors of good outcome in medium to large spontaneous supratentorial intracerebral haemorrhages

OBJECTIVE

To determine potential predictors of good outcome in primary medium to large intracerebral haemorrhages (ICH) which could be useful for selecting patients for surgical procedures.

METHODS

Subjects were 138 patients with spontaneous hemispheric ICH >20 ml. They were non-surgically treated and were admitted consecutively to 15 hospitals within the first 12 hours of symptom onset (mean (SD), 5.8 (3.1) hours). Haematoma volume was measured on computed tomography (CT) at admission. Stroke severity was assessed by the Canadian stroke scale (CSS). Good outcome was defined as modified Rankin score < or =2 at three months.

RESULTS

At the end of the follow up period, 45 patients (32.6%) had good outcome. Baseline stroke severity, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, body temperature, and acute phase reaction biochemical markers (ESR, C-reactive protein, fibrinogen, neutrophil count) were significantly associated with good outcome in bivariate analyses. Of the initial CT scan variables, intraventricular contamination, deep location, mass effect, and greater ICH volume were related to poor outcome. On multiple logistic regression analysis, cortical location of bleeding (odds ratio 3.79 (95% confidence interval 1.2 to 12.01); p = 0.023), high CSS score (OR 2.3 (1.6 to 3.1); p<0.0001), and low fibrinogen concentrations (OR 0.92 (0.87 to 0.97); p = 0.001) were independent predictors of good outcome. These three factors correctly classified 85% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Good outcome in medium to large ICH can be predicted on admission by three readily assessable factors (CSS score, ICH location, and fibrinogen levels). These predictors may be helpful in selecting patients for surgical treatment.

Predicting the Grade of Disability 1 Year After Stroke Following Rehabilitation

The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of grades of disability at least 1 year after stroke rehabilitation therapy. We recruited stroke patients from the inpatient rehabilitation department of a university hospital. The degree of disability was graded using the disability evaluation at least 1 year after stroke onset. Functional ability was evaluated using the Functional Independence Measure instrument on admission, on discharge from the inpatient rehabilitation program, and at the 6-month follow-up visit after discharge. Major sociodemographic, medical, and rehabilitative factors were also collected during the hospitalization period. Of the 109 patients surveyed, 64 (58.7%) had severe or very severe grades of disability. The correlates of severe or very severe disability in logistic regression analyses were bilaterally affected (odds ratio, OR, 10.8), impaired orientation (OR, 3.6), and poorer functional ability at discharge (OR, 7.6). Based on the significant predictors identified, the logistic regression model correctly classified severe or very severe disability in 68.0% of subjects. The higher frequency of severe or very severe disability in this study may have been due to the relatively more severely affected stroke patient population in the inpatient rehabilitation service and the use of unique disability evaluation criteria. These results may provide information useful in planning continuous rehabilitation care and setting relevant socio-welfare policies for stroke victims.

A systematic review of sociodemographic, physical, and psychological predictors of multidisciplinary rehabilitation-or, back school treatment outcome in patients with chronic low back pain

STUDY DESIGN

A systematic review.

OBJECTIVE

To determine predictors of outcome of multidisciplinary rehabilitation-or back school treatment for patients with chronic low back pain.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Numerous reviews have been performed to gain insight into which patients benefit from which treatment. However, no review has systematically focused on predictors from multiple domains (i.e., sociodemographic, physical, and psychological), or on treatment outcome measured as activity limitation or participation restriction.

METHODS

Studies were found by searching medical and psychological databases, and screening references. Two reviewers independently assessed the methodological quality using standard criteria. Studies were only included if they met a predefined level of internal validity. A qualitative analysis was performed.

RESULTS

Heterogeneity among studies in patient characteristics, predictors, treatment, and outcomes limited evidence. All reviewed studies were descriptive or exploratory in nature. Consistent evidence was found for the predictive value of pain intensity (more pain--> worse outcome), several work-related parameters (e.g., high satisfaction--> better outcome), and coping style (less active coping--> better outcome). Other sociodemographic and physical variables consistently lacked predictive value. No consistent evidence was found for other psychological variables.

CONCLUSIONS

It is impossible to define a generic set of predictors of outcome of multidisciplinary rehabilitation and back schools for patients with chronic low back pain because the reviewed studies were descriptive or exploratory in nature, and most predictors were only studied once. Nevertheless, for several predictors, consistent evidence was found. Large confirmatory studies are needed to test the value of these predictors.

Broad-Perspective Perceptual Disorder of the Right Hemisphere

Traditional accounts of right-posterior brain injury describe a syndrome of low-level perceptual sequelae producing marked acute dependency and transient safety concerns. The syndrome is also held to spare cognition and to carry a generally favorable long-term prognosis. The present paper reviews publications and anecdotal data that challenge this picture. Recent theoretical expositions and empirical studies stipulate three major cognitive functions of the right posterior association cortex: processing novel input, guiding reactions to emergencies, and anticipating consequences. Appearing benign after acute recovery, the impairment of these processes produces vocational, social and marital dysfunctions that increase as a function of chronicity, ultimately becoming more broadly disabling than focal injuries in other cortical loci. The unique symptom picture and serious implications suggest that the long-term syndrome should be labeled (Broad-Perspective Perceptual Disorder) and incorporated in future clinical taxonomies, underscoring the need for extraordinary long-term assistance and specialized therapeutics. Procedures for assessment and differential diagnosis are outlined.

Why is depression bad for the failing heart? A review of the mechanistic relationship between depression and heart failure

BACKGROUND

Depression is 4 to 5 times as common in heart failure (HF) patients as in the general population, might confer a higher risk of developing HF, and negatively affects prognosis in established HF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A review was undertaken via Medline (1966-2003) and PsycINFO (1872-2003) searches using the subject headings "depressive disorder" and "heart failure, congestive." Our findings suggest that the link between depression and HF may be due to shared pathophysiology. Depression may augment catecholamine release, arrhythmias, elaboration of proinflammatory cytokines, and platelet activation--processes that may influence prognosis in HF. Depression is also associated with a higher risk of noncompliance and lower levels of social support, which have been shown to worsen prognosis in HF. The impact of pharmacologic or behavioral treatment for depression on physiologic parameters or clinical outcomes in HF remains unclear. Inherent difficulties in recognition of depression in the setting of HF may decrease the likelihood that depressed patients receive the treatment they need.

CONCLUSIONS

Depression is common in HF, may contribute to the development of HF in susceptible populations, and is independently predictive of poor clinical outcomes. Pathophysiologic pathways and psychosocial issues that are shared between the 2 conditions might explain these observations and represent potential therapeutic targets. Vigilant attention to the recognition and treatment of depression in HF patients is warranted.

The Families In Recovery From Stroke Trial (FIRST): primary study results

OBJECTIVE

Social support and family ties are strong predictors of functional recovery after stroke; however, development of successful psychosocial intervention programs has been difficult. This study examined whether a family-systems intervention designed to influence social support and self-efficacy affects functional outcome in older stroke patients.

METHODS

Two hundred ninety-one community-residing survivors of ischemic stroke or nontraumatic cerebral hemorrhage from eight acute-care hospitals and rehabilitation centers were randomized to either psychosocial intervention (PSI) or usual care (UC). PSI involved up to 16 sessions conducted in the home by a mental health worker. Functional recovery (measured by the Barthel Index [BI] at 6 months postrandomization, inability to assess functioning because of illness or death) was the primary end point.

RESULTS

Functional recovery did not differ between UC and PSI in intention-to-treat analyses. In adjusted logistic regression, the odds of being functionally independent at 6 months was 60% higher in the intervention group, but this difference was not statistically significant (p = .31). Subgroup analyses revealed that PSI may be more effective in subjects with better psychologic and cognitive functioning and who required less inpatient rehabilitation.

CONCLUSION

This study does not provide evidence for the efficacy of psychosocial intervention to improve functional recovery in stroke. Although PSI showed greater improvement than UC, the differences were not statistically significant.

Low and high circulating cortisol levels predict mortality and cognitive dysfunction early after stroke

OBJECTIVE

Elevated cortisol levels are associated with confusion and poor outcome after stroke. Dehydroepiandrosterone sulphate (DS), the most abundant adrenal androgen may act as an anti-glucocorticoid. An altered regulation of these steroids may affect numerous brain functions, including neuronal survival. The purpose of this study was to investigate serum cortisol and DS levels and the cortisol/DS ratio early after stroke and relate our findings to the presence of disorientation and mortality.

DESIGN

Patients with acute ischaemic stroke (n = 88, 56 men and 32 women) admitted to a stroke unit were investigated with repeated clinical assessments and scores for degree of confusion, extent of paresis and level of functioning. Serum cortisol (C) and DS were measured on day 1 and/or day 4. Data for 28-day and 1-year mortality are presented. A control group of 65 age-matched healthy individuals was used. Multivariate analyses of mortality rates in the different tertiles or sixtiles of serum cortisol were performed with logistic regression, adjusting for age, sex, diabetes and level of consciousness.

RESULTS

There was no difference in serum cortisol levels on day 1 for stroke patients when compared with control group values. Initial cortisol levels were significantly higher in the patients with acute disorientation versus orientated patients (P < 0.05). Cortisol levels on day 1 were an independent predictor of 28-day mortality, and patients with low cortisol levels (<270 nmol L(-1)) and increased levels (>550 nmol L(-1)) both had an increased 1-year mortality. DS levels on day 1 were significantly elevated in stroke patients.

CONCLUSION

Hypercortisolism is associated with cognitive dysfunction early after ischaemic stroke. High and low circulating cortisol levels are associated with increased mortality after stroke. DS levels were not associated with clinical outcome.

Stroke and neurodegenerative disorders. 1. acute stroke evaluation, management, risks, prevention, and prognosis11No commercial party having a direct financial interest in the results of the research supporting this article has or will confer a benefit upon the authors(s) or upon any organization with which the author(s) is/are associated

This self-directed learning module highlights recent developments in the acute care of stroke patients, prediction of outcome after stroke, evaluation of risk factors, secondary prevention of stroke, and the evaluation of the young adult with stroke. It is part of the study guide on stroke and neurodegenerative disorders in the Self-Directed Physiatric Education Program for practitioners and trainees in physical medicine and rehabilitation. This article contains sections on the acute evaluation and management of the stroke patient, prediction of functional outcome after stroke, and secondary prevention of stroke. Special emphasis is given to the evaluation of the young adult with stroke.

OVERALL ARTICLE OBJECTIVES

(a) To summarize the acute evaluation and management of stroke, particularly in the young stroke patient; and (b) to review the risk factors for stroke and secondary prevention measures.

Cognitive recovery after stroke: a 2-year follow-up

OBJECTIVES

To determine (1) whether long-term improvement of cognitive function takes place after stroke and (2) which clinical factors influence cognitive recovery.

DESIGN

Cohort study with patients who were assessed at 2.3 and 27.7 months after stroke.

SETTING

Home-based stroke patients.

PARTICIPANTS

From a group of 229 stroke patients, 92 were approached to participate. Sixty-five (43 men, 22 women; mean age, 56.4y) agreed, and they were neuropsychologically assessed at 72.2 days after stroke. A group of 33 controls (12 men, 21 women; mean age, 52.4y) was used as a reference sample.

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Orientation, memory, attention, visuospatial, visuoconstructive, language, and arithmetic abilities were assessed with an extensive neuropsychologic test battery.

RESULTS

Significant improvements across time were noted for all cognitive domains. The biggest improvement was found in the attentional domain; the least, in the memory domain. In addition, a small subset of patients accounted for the significant improvement in all cognitive domains; most patients showed no improvement or declined. Factors influencing recovery were side of the stroke and incidence of lowered consciousness on admission. Patients with right-side brain damage performed better than those with left-side brain damage and showed more improvement over time. Patients with lowered consciousness on admission performed worse than patients without lowered consciousness. No significant effect was found for gender, type of stroke, cortical versus subcortical lesions, having 1 stroke or multiple strokes, or the interval between the stroke and the neuropsychologic assessment.

CONCLUSION

There was room for improvement in all cognitive domains, although this improvement was gained by only a small number of patients. Hence, most patients must cope with serious permanent cognitive decline after stroke.

The relationship between sitting stability and functional performance in patients with paraplegia11No commercial party having a direct financial interest in the results of the research supporting this article has or will confer a benefit upon the author(s) or upon any organization with which the author(s) is/are associated

OBJECTIVES

To compare sitting stability between patients with high and low thoracic spinal cord injury (SCI), to determine the factors that can predict sitting stability, and to examine the relationship between sitting stability and functional performance.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional assessment was performed on subjects with paraplegia.

SETTING

Rehabilitation hospital affiliated with a medical university.

PARTICIPANTS

Convenience sample of 30 adults with complete chronic thoracic SCI.

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

(1) Postural sway during quiet sitting over 30 seconds was recorded as static sitting stability, and composite maximal weight-shift during leaning tasks over 30 seconds was measured as dynamic sitting stability; (2) age, body weight, trunk length, trunk strength, postonset duration, injury level, and presence of spasticity were examined as predictive variables for sitting stability; and (3) the time for completion of upper- and lower-body dressing and undressing and transfer was measured as functional performance.

RESULTS

A significant difference in composite maximal weight-shift was found between high and low thoracic SCI subjects (t=2.90, P<.01). Injury level and trunk length were 2 important predictive factors for dynamic sitting stability, and they explained 43.5% of the variance. Only the completion time of upper-body dressing and undressing correlated significantly with static (r=.465, P=.01) and dynamic (r=-.377, P<.05) sitting stability.

CONCLUSIONS

The subjects with low thoracic SCI showed better dynamic sitting stability than those with high thoracic SCI. Injury level and trunk length, not trunk flexion or extension strength, predicted the outcome of dynamic sitting stability. Measures were not precise enough to predict functional performance from the viewpoint of injury level and sitting stability. The underlying premise that a reduction or increase in trunk strength is indicative of poorer or better sitting stability in SCI individuals is questioned, and implications for problem identification and treatment planning are discussed.

Prognostic factors in the subacute phase after stroke for the future residence after six months to one year. A systematic review of the literature

OBJECTIVE

To identify evidence-based prognostic factors in the subacute phase after a stroke for future residence at six months to one year post stroke.

DESIGN

Systematic literature search designed in accordance with the Cochrane Collaboration criteria with the following data sources: (1) MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Current Contents, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, PsycLIT and Sociological Abstracts. (2) Reference lists, personal archives and consultation of experts in the field. (3) Guidelines.

METHODS

Inclusion criteria were: (1) cohort studies of patients with an ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke; (2) inception cohort with assessment of prognostic factors within the first two weeks after stroke; (3) outcome measures for future residence; and (4) a follow-up of six months to one year. Internal, statistical and external validity of the studies were assessed using a checklist with 11 methodological criteria in accordance with the recommendations of the Cochrane Collaboration.

RESULTS

From 1027 potentially relevant studies 10 studies involving a total of 3564 patients met the inclusion criteria. No prognostic factor was identified in at least two level A (i.e., a good level of scientific evidence according to the methodological score) studies, our standard for scientific proof. The following factors were found in at least one level A study: low initial ADL functioning, high age, cognitive disturbance, paresis of arm and leg, not alert as initial level of consciousness, old hemiplegia, homonymous hemianopia, visual extinction, constructional apraxia, no transfer to the stroke unit, nonlacunar stroke type, visuospatial construction problems, urinary incontinence and female gender.

CONCLUSIONS

At present there is insufficient evidence concerning possible predictors in the subacute stage of stroke to make an evidence-based prediction of the future residence. In the scientific research until now social factors and their contribution to the possibility of living independently have not been investigated, or at least less well. None of the studies in this review described a conceptual framework as basis for the choice of the examined prognostic factors.

Sex differences in management and outcome after stroke: a Swedish national perspective

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

It is disputed whether there are sex differences in management and outcome after stroke; early studies have shown inconsistent results. The objective of this study was to verify and explain differences between men and women in management and outcome after stroke in a national perspective.

METHODS

In 2001, 20 761 stroke patients were registered in Riks-Stroke, the national quality register for stroke care in Sweden in which all 84 hospitals participate. Data from 9 hospitals that had reported <70% of the estimated stroke events were excluded from analyses, leaving 19 547 patients (9666 women, 9881 men) at 75 hospitals for the present analyses.

RESULTS

Women were older than men (77.8 versus 73.2 years). After age adjustment, female patients were more often disabled, living at home with community support, or in institutions before the stroke. They also had a different cardiovascular risk factor profile. Case fatality ratios during the first 3 months were similar in men and women. After 3 months, more women were physically and mentally impaired and dependent on other persons. Female patients with atrial fibrillation received oral anticoagulants less often than men. Even after multiple adjustments for differences between sexes, female sex was independently associated with institutional living 3 months after the stroke (odds ratio, 1.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.0 to 1.4).

CONCLUSIONS

Women have a worse prestroke condition. Except for case fatality ratios, they also have a worse outcome after stroke after adjustment for other prognostic factors. There are also sex differences in the medical management of stroke that need to be rectified.

Sex differences in the clinical presentation, resource use, and 3-month outcome of acute stroke in Europe: data from a multicenter multinational hospital-based registry

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The information on the existence of sex differences in management of stroke patients is scarce. We evaluated whether sex differences may influence clinical presentation, resource use, and outcome of stroke in a European multicenter study.

METHODS

In a European Concerted Action involving 7 countries, 4499 patients hospitalized for first-in-a-lifetime stroke were evaluated for demographics, risk factors, clinical presentation, resource use, and 3-month survival, disability (Barthel Index), and handicap (Rankin Scale).

RESULTS

Overall, 2239 patients were males and 2260 females. Compared with males, female patients were significantly older (mean age 74.5+/-12.5 versus 69.2+/-12.1 years), more frequently institutionalized before stroke, and with a worse prestroke Rankin score (all values P<0.001). History of hypertension (P=0.007) and atrial fibrillation (P<0.001) were significantly more frequent in female stroke patients, as were coma (P<0.001), paralysis (P<0.001), aphasia (P=0.001), swallowing problems (P=0.005), and urinary incontinence (P<0.001) in the acute phase. Brain imaging, Doppler examination, echocardiogram, and angiography were significantly less frequently performed in female than male patients (all values P<0.001). The frequency of carotid surgery was also significantly lower in female patients (P<0.001). At the 3-month follow-up, after controlling for all baseline and clinical variables, female sex was a significant predictor of disability (odds ratio [OR], 1.41; 95% CI 1.10 to 1.81) and handicap (OR, 1.46; 95% CI 1.14 to 1.86). No significant gender effect was observed on 3-month survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Sex-specific differences existed in a large European study of hospital admissions for acute stroke. Both medical and sociodemographic factors may significantly influence stroke outcome. Knowledge of these determinants may positively impact quality of care.

Validation of the Berg Balance Scale as a predictor of length of stay and discharge destination in stroke rehabilitation

OBJECTIVE

To validate the utility of the Berg Balance Scale (BBS) in predicting length of stay (LOS) and discharge destination for patients admitted to a stroke rehabilitation unit.

DESIGN

Prospective study.

SETTING

Provincial tertiary inpatient stroke unit for a primarily geriatric population.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 313 of the 325 patients admitted consecutively between April 1998 and August 2000.

INTERVENTIONS

Not applicable.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

LOS and discharge destination.

RESULTS

Admission BBS scores correlated negatively with LOS (r=-.53, controlling for age). Logistic regression confirmed that the following were independent predictors of being discharged home rather than to an institution (adjusted odds ratio, 95% confidence interval): admission BBS (1.09, 1.06-1.12) and the presence of family supports (15.0, 7.2-31.3). These results generally concur with previously published results, obtained at a different stroke rehabilitation setting.

CONCLUSIONS

This study validates the use of the BBS scores in assisting to estimate approximate LOS and eventual discharge destination. Age did not correlate significantly with the outcomes measured in this study, which was conducted in a geriatric population.

Reliability of the variables in a new set of models that predict outcome after stroke

OBJECTIVES

To provide valid predictions of outcome, the variables included in a prognostic model must be capable of reliable collection. The authors have recently reported a set of simple but rigorously developed models that predict outcome after stroke. The aim of this study was to establish the inter-rater reliability of the variables included in the models.

METHODS

Inter-rater agreement was measured prospectively (between two clinicians; 92 patients) and retrospectively (between two auditors; 200 patients) and the validity of the data collected retrospectively was estimated by comparing them with data collected prospectively (195 patients). In the prospective study inter-rater agreement for urinary incontinence and for the variables of three other previously published models was also measured. The median difference (md) between ages and kappa statistics for other variables was calculated.

RESULTS

For the model variables, prospective agreement ranged from good to excellent (age: md 0 years; living alone before the stroke kappa 0.84; pre-stroke functional independence kappa 0.67; normal verbal Glasgow Coma Scale score kappa 0.79; ability to lift both arms against gravity kappa 0.97; ability to walk unaided kappa 0.91) while retrospective agreement (age: md 0 years; kappa 0.55-0.92) and agreement between prospective and retrospective observers (age: md 0 years; kappa 0.49-0.78) was acceptable but less good. Prospective agreement was excellent for urinary incontinence (kappa 0.87) and variable for the other models (kappa 0.23-0.81)

CONCLUSION

The variables included in these new simple models of outcome after stroke are capable of reliable collection, comparable to or better than that of the other predictive variables considered. When collected retrospectively, the model variables are likely to remain reliable and reasonably valid.

[Social support: scale test-retest reliability in the Pro-Health Study]

This article describes the test-retest reliability of a scale comprising five dimensions of social support: material, emotional, informational, affective, and positive social interaction. In the study, a sample of 192 employees at a university in Rio de Janeiro filled out the same questionnaire on two occasions, 15 days apart. Measures of stability used were the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), weighted kappa statistic, and log-linear models. Internal consistency was evaluated using the Cronbach's alpha coefficient. Social support dimensions showed internal consistency ranging from 0.75 to 0.91 at test, and 0.86 to 0.93 at retest. The ICC ranged from 0.78 to 0.87 in the five dimensions of the scale, with no substantial differences by gender, age, or level of schooling. For most questions, the "agreement plus linear by linear association" and "quasi-association" log-linear models gave the best fit. According to these results, the reliability of the instrument was considered adequate, enabling it to be used in ongoing assessment of associations between social support and health-related outcomes in a cohort study (the Pro-Health Study) recently begun in Rio de Janeiro.

Prognostic factors for ambulation and activities of daily living in the subacute phase after stroke. A systematic review of the literature

OBJECTIVE

To identify evidence-based prognostic factors in the subacute phase after stroke for activities of daily living (ADL) and ambulation at six months to one year after stroke.

DESIGN

Systematic literature search designed in accordance with the Cochrane Collaboration criteria with the following data sources: (1) MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, Current Contents, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Psyclit, and Sociological Abstracts. (2) Reference lists, personal archives, and consultation of experts. (3) Guidelines.

METHODS

Inclusion criteria were: (1) cohort studies of patients with an ischaemic or haemorrhagic stroke; (2) inception cohort with assessment of prognostic factors within the first two weeks after stroke; (3) outcome measures for ADL and ambulation; and (4) a follow-up of six months to one year. Internal, statistical and external validity of the studies were assessed using a checklist with 11 methodological criteria in accordance with the recommendations of the Cochrane Collaboration.

RESULTS

From 1,027 potentially relevant studies 26 studies involving a total of 7,850 patients met the inclusion criteria. Incontinence for urine is the only prognostic factor identified in three studies with a level A (i.e., a good level of scientific evidence according to the methodological score). The following factors were found in one level A study: initial ADL disability and ambulation, high age, severe paresis or paralysis, impaired swallowing, ideomotor apraxia, ideational apraxia, and visuospatial construction problems; as well as factors relating to complications of an ischaemic stroke, such as extraparenchymal bleeding, cerebral oedema and size of intraparenchymal haemorrhage.

CONCLUSIONS

The present evidence concerning possible predictors in the subacute stage of stroke has insufficient quality to make an evidence-based prediction of ADL and ambulation after stroke because only one prognostic factor was demonstrated in at least two level A studies, our cut-off for sufficient scientific evidence.

Treating sensory impairments in the post-stroke upper limb with intermittent pneumatic compression. Results of a preliminary trial

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the efficacy of intermittent pneumatic compression (IPC) in treating sensory impairments in the hemiplegic upper limb in stroke patients.

DESIGN

Twenty-three stroke patients were enrolled in a randomized, controlled preliminary trial that compared the application of intermittent pneumatic compression with a passive treatment strategy.

SETTING

Four Belgian day centres for treatment of neurological disabilities. Four acute and rehabilitation care wards specialized in neurological treatment.

SUBJECTS

Twenty-three stroke patients.

INTERVENTIONS

The experimental group (n = 11) received standard physiotherapy combined with intermittent pneumatic compression treatment (10 cycles of 3 minutes with a peak of 40 mmHg) for their hemiplegic upper limb. The control group (n = 12) received supplementary to their conventional physiotherapy a placebo treatment, namely sham short-wave therapy on the hemiplegic shoulder for 30 minutes.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Sensory impairments were clinically assessed at three occasions over a period of four weeks using the Nottingham Sensory Assessment scale.

RESULTS

Both groups improved in somatosensation over time, but the experimental group improved more than the control group (p= 0.036) or 81.1% improvement versus 30.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of intermittent pneumatic compression in the rehabilitation of stroke patients may be of clinical importance for the restoration of sensory function.

Trunk control as an early predictor of comprehensive activities of daily living function in stroke patients

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Prediction of activities of daily living (ADL) functions at an early stage after a stroke is critical because it enables clinicians to set treatment programs and goals. The objective of this study was to assess the relationship between trunk control at an early stage and comprehensive ADL function (as assessed by combining basic ADL and instrumental ADL [IADL]) in patients at 6 months after stroke.

METHODS

A total of 169 stroke patients participated in this prospective study. Trunk control was measured with the use of the trunk control items of the Postural Assessment Scale for Stroke Patients (PASS-TC). In addition to the PASS-TC score, age, sex, type of stroke, side of hemiparesis, urinary incontinence, limb paresis (measured by the Fugl-Meyer motor test), balance (measured by the Fugl-Meyer balance test), and basic ADL (measured by the Barthel Index) were also selected as predictor variables. These variables were assessed at 14 days after stroke or earlier. The Barthel Index and Frenchay Activities Index (measuring IADL) were administered at 6 months after stroke. The sum of the standardized Barthel Index and standardized Frenchay Activities Index scores was used to assess comprehensive ADL function.

RESULTS

Multivariable stepwise linear regression analysis showed that PASS-TC score, age, Fugl-Meyer motor test score, and Barthel Index score (listed by the order of forward selection) were the strongest predictors of comprehensive ADL function. These results were internally validated with the use of the bootstrap resampling technique. The PASS-TC score alone accounted for 45% of the variance in predicting comprehensive ADL function. Results also indicated that the PASS-TC score had slightly more power in predicting comprehensive ADL function than either the Fugl-Meyer motor test score or Barthel Index score.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study provide strong evidence of the predictive value of trunk control on comprehensive ADL function in stroke patients. The results imply that early assessment and management of trunk control after stroke should be emphasized.

Motor recovery after stroke: a systematic review of the literature

OBJECTIVE

To collect and integrate existing data concerning the occurrence, extent, time course, and prognostic determinants of motor recovery after stroke using a systematic methodologic approach.

DATA SOURCES

A computer-aided search in bibliographic databases was done of longitudinal cohort studies, original prognostic studies, and randomized controlled trials published in the period 1966 to November 2001, which was expanded by references from retrieved articles and narrative reviews.

STUDY SELECTION

After a preliminary screening, internal, external, and statistical validity was assessed by a priori methodologic criteria, with special emphasis on the internal validity.

DATA EXTRACTION

The studies finally selected were discussed, based on the quantitative analysis of the outcome measures and prognostic determinants. Meta-analysis was pursued, but was not possible because of substantial heterogeneity.

DATA SYNTHESIS

The search resulted in 174 potentially relevant studies, of which 80 passed the preliminary screening and were subjected to further methodologic assessment; 14 studies were finally selected. Approximately 65% of the hospitalized stroke survivors with initial motor deficits of the lower extremity showed some degree of motor recovery. In the case of paralysis, complete motor recovery occurred in less than 15% of the patients, both for the upper and lower extremities. Hospitalized patients with small lacunar strokes showed relatively good motor recovery. The recovery period in patients with severe stroke was twice as long as in patients with mild stroke. The initial grade of paresis was the most important predictor for motor recovery (odds ratios [OR], >4). Objective analysis of the motor pathways by motor-evoked potentials (MEPs) showed even higher ORs (ORs, >20).

CONCLUSIONS

Our knowledge of motor recovery after stroke in more accurate, quantitative, and qualitive terms is still limited. Nevertheless, our data synthesis and quantitative analysis comprises data from many methodologically robust studies, which may support the clinician in the management of stroke patients. With respect to early prognosis of motor recovery, our review confirms clinical experience that the initial grade of paresis (as measured on admission in the hospital) is the most important predictor, although the accuracy of prediction rapidly improves during the first few days after stroke. Initial paralysis implies the worst prognosis for subsequent motor recovery. Remarkably, the prognostic accuracy of MEPs appears much higher than that of clinical examination for different subgroups of patients.