Prospective validation of the CLIP score: a new prognostic system for patients with cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. The Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) Investigators

Surveillance for early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma: is it effective in intermediate/advanced cirrhosis?

OBJECTIVES

Surveillance of cirrhotic patients for early diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), based on ultrasonography and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) measurement, is widely used. Its effectiveness depends on liver function, which affects the feasibility of treatments and cirrhosis-related mortality. We assessed whether patients with intermediate/advanced cirrhosis benefit from surveillance.

METHODS

We selected 468 Child-Pugh class B and 140 class C patients from the ITA.LI.CA database, including 1,834 HCC patients diagnosed from January 1987 to December 2004. HCC was detected in 252 patients during surveillance (semiannual 172, annual 80 patients; group 1) and in 356 patients outside surveillance (group 2). Survival of surveyed patients was corrected for the estimated lead time.

RESULTS

Child-Pugh class B: cancer stage (P < 0.001) and treatment distribution (P < 0.001) were better in group 1 than in group 2. The median (95% CI) survivals were 17.1 (13.5-20.6) versus 12.0 (9.4-14.6) months and the survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 yr were 60.4%versus 49.2%, 26.1%versus 16.1%, and 10.7%versus 4.3%, respectively (P= 0.022). AFP, gross pathology, and treatment of HCC were independent prognostic factors. Child-Pugh class C: cancer stage (P= 0.001) and treatment distribution (P= 0.021) were better in group 1 than in group 2. Nonetheless, median survival did not differ: 7.1 (2.1-12.1) versus 6.0 (4.1-7.9) months (P= 0.740).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest surveillance be offered to class B patients and maintained for class A patients who migrate to the subsequent class. Surveillance becomes pointless in class C patients probably because the poor liver function adversely affects the overall mortality and HCC treatments.

A novel prognostic nomogram is more accurate than conventional staging systems for predicting survival after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Prediction of survival after resection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains difficult. Numerous staging systems have been devised for purposes of risk classification; we sought to identify the optimal staging system to predict postoperative survival.

STUDY DESIGN

One hundred eighty-four patients who underwent primary complete resection of HCC at our institution between 1989 and 2002 were classified according to 8 contemporary staging systems. The ability of these systems to predict relative survival for randomly selected pairs of patients was quantified using the Harrel's concordance index. A novel prognostic nomogram was constructed using prognostically relevant variables.

RESULTS

After a median followup of 46 months for surviving patients, the median overall survival was 38 months. The concordance indices for the existing staging systems ranged from 0.54 to 0.59. Only the 2002 American Joint Commission on Cancer system demonstrated a concordance index with a 95% confidence interval exceeding 0.5, indicating that the ability of conventional systems to predict relative survival of randomly selected pairs of patients was generally no better than chance. We developed a novel nomogram based on patient age, serum alpha-fetoprotein level, operative blood loss, resection margin status, tumor size, satellite lesions, and vascular invasion. The nomogram demonstrated a markedly superior concordance index of 0.74 (95% CI, 0.68 to 0.80). A separate nomogram for prediction of recurrence-free survival was also generated.

CONCLUSIONS

Contemporary staging systems for HCC do not accurately predict postoperative outcomes. Our prognostic nomogram provides a mechanism for accurate prediction of survival and risk stratification and will require validation at other hepatobiliary centers.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: epidemiology and clinical aspects

Liver cancer is one of the most frequent solid cancers that kills more than 650,000 people around the world each year. Though great improvements have been done in last 10 years on the understanding the molecular mechanisms involved in liver oncogenesis, the prognosis of patients affected by liver cancer is still poor for most of them. Even in those where a relatively early diagnosis is done, the course of the disease is often fatal due to the underlying liver cirrhosis. In this review authors report the most recent findings on the pathogenesis of liver cancer and on therapeutic approaches, included those emerging from the most recent literature.

Retrospective evaluation of tumor-mass-reduction therapy for the prognosis of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma

Although hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the liver cancer that requires repeated treatments because of a high tendency for recurrence, few data have been available about whether repeated treatments, including those to reduce tumor mass, are effective in prolonging survival. We retrospectively analyzed the effectiveness of tumor-mass-reduction therapy for the prognosis of patients with recurrent HCC. To analyze the effectiveness of various modalities of therapies with a single criterion, we defined a tumor-mass-reduction grade (TMRG), which was retrospectively evaluated by dynamic CT or MRI. Grade A: no evident HCC remains untreated; Grade B1: more than 50% of lesions are treated; and Grade B2: less than 50% of lesions are treated. Subjects were stratified by Child-Pugh classification and the number of admissions for HCC treatment. In those classified as Child-Pugh A, a better survival rate was obtained, depending on the degree of TMRG from the first to the fifth admission (P < .01), suggesting that these patients are endurable for repeated therapies and benefit from the many sessions of treatment. In those classified as Child-Pugh B, on the second to the fifth admissions, survival rates showed statistical difference depending on the TMRG (P < .01), which may suggest that only a few sessions of treatment are meaningful. In those classified as Child-Pugh C, any number of mass-reduction treatment sessions did not improve the survival rate. In conclusion, repeated tumor-mass-reduction therapies for recurrent HCC are most beneficial in Child-Pugh A patients. Patients with Child-Pugh B who experience several recurrence episodes and any patients with Child-Pugh C may benefit more from modalities other than tumor-mass-reduction therapies.

Presentation and outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma in HIV-infected patients: a U.S.-Canadian multicenter study

BACKGROUND/AIMS

HIV-infected patients now live longer and often have complications of liver disease, especially with hepatitis B or C virus coinfection. Limited data are available on those with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis from 1992 to 2005 in 6 centers identified 63 HIV-infected HCC patients. Controls were 226 consecutive HIV-negative HCC patients from four sites.

RESULTS

HIV-positive patients were younger than controls (52 vs. 64 years, p<0.001), more commonly had chronic hepatitis B or C (97% vs. 73%, p<0.001), were more frequently symptomatic (51% vs. 38%, p=0.048), had a higher median alfa-fetoprotein level (227 vs. 51 ng/ml, p=0.005), but a similar mean Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (7.0 vs. 7.5, p=0.05) and HCC staging score (Barcelona-Clínic-Liver-Cancer stages C+D in 50% vs. 58%, p=0.24). HCC developed faster in HIV/HCV-coinfected than in HCV-monoinfected patients (mean, 26 vs. 34 years after HCV infection, p=0.002). HIV-positive patients received proven therapy more often (48% vs. 31%, p=0.017), but median survival was similar (6.9 vs. 7.5 months, p=0.44). Independent factors predicting survival were symptomatic presentation (hazard ratio [HR], 0.437; p<0.001), any proven therapy (HR, 2.19; p<0.001), diagnosis after 01-Jan-2002 (HR, 1.52; p=0.010), Barcelona-Clínic-Liver-Cancer stages C+D (HR, 0.491; p<0.001), AST/ALT >or= 2.00 (HR, 0.597; p=0.001), AFP >or= 400 ng/mL (HR, 0.55, p=0.003), and platelets >or= 100,000/mm3 (HR, 0.651; p=0.012), but not HIV-serostatus (p=0.19). In HIV-infected patients without HCC therapy (n=33), median survival was longer with undetectable HIV RNA (<400 copies/mL) than with HIV viremia (6.5 vs. 2.6 months, p=0.013).

CONCLUSIONS

HIV-positive HCC patients are younger and more frequently symptomatic and infected with HCV or HBV than HIV-negative patients. Tumor staging and survival are similar. In untreated patients, undetectable HIV RNA independently predicts better survival.

Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score for staging hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

To assess the prognostic ability of the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after a longer follow up.

METHODS

The updated survival data were derived from an analysis that was performed on two joined sets of data. The first set was collected retrospectively in 1995 and was used to perform an exploratory prognostic factor analysis (the CLIP-03 study), that produced the CLIP score. The second set of data was collected prospectively for the CLIP-01 randomized clinical trial.

RESULTS

Out of 912 overall patients, analysis was performed on 650 patients whose records contained all informationregarding prognostic factors. The median survival of the whole group of patients was 17.7 months and the 5-year survival rate was 10.7%. The median survival of the patients was inversely proportional to the CLIP score: the higher the CLIP score the worse the survival.

CONCLUSIONS

The CLIP score keeps good prognostic and discriminative abilities after a longer follow up and remains one the most useful prognostic system for hepatocellular carcinoma.

Review of current staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma

Several staging systems have been developed to classify patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), however, there is no consensus on which of these is the most useful and reliable. In this review article, currently available integrated staging systems taking into account both liver function and tumor progression are presented, and their characteristics and applicability for current HCC patients, many of whom are diagnosed in the early stage of the disease and treated by curative therapy, are discussed. Based on the original andsubsequent validation studies of these staging systems, we recommend that further validation studies of staging systems for HCC should focus on the revised Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging classification, Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) score and Tokyo score.

The model for end-stage liver disease based cancer staging systems are better prognostic models for hepatocellular carcinoma: a prospective sequential survey

OBJECTIVE

Liver cirrhosis is a major component in staging for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) is a better prognostic predictor for cirrhotic patients compared to the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) system, which is a parameter in Cancer of Liver Italian Program (CLIP), Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC), and Japan Integrated Scoring (JIS) system.

AIM

To investigate if the MELD-based models have a better prognostic ability.

METHODS

In the MELD-based model, the CTP class was replaced with MELD score at cutoffs of <10, 10-14, and >14. The modified systems were prospectively compared with the original counterpart in 430 consecutive HCC patients. Using 6-month mortality as the end point, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) between the original and modified system was compared sequentially on a 3-monthly basis.

RESULTS

At the final inspection, the modified CLIP and JIS system had a significantly higher AUC compared to the original system (0.92 vs 0.893 for CLIP, P < 0.018; 0.88 vs 0.842 for JIS, P= 0.002), but there was no significant difference for the BCLC system (0.848 vs 0.841, P= 0.561). Survival analysis showed modified CLIP and JIS, and to a lesser extent, modified BCLC system, had a higher homogeneity likelihood ratio and discriminatory ability linear trend, and a lower Akaike information criterion in the Cox multivariate model, indicating a better discriminatory ability for different stage categories.

CONCLUSIONS

The MELD-based CLIP and JIS staging systems have an improved predictive ability compared to the original system and are feasible models for HCC staging in the MELD era.

Intra-arterial rhenium-188 lipiodol in the treatment of inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma: results of an IAEA-sponsored multination study

PURPOSE

Intra-arterial injections (IAI) of 131I-lipiodol is effective in treating hepatocellular carcinoma patients, but is expensive and requires a 7-day hospitalization in a radioprotection room. 188Re is inexpensive, requires no patient isolation, and can be used with lipiodol.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This International Atomic Energy Agency-sponsored phase II trial aimed to assess the safety and the efficacy of a radioconjugate 188Re + lipiodol (188Re-Lip) in a large cohort of hepatocellular carcinoma patients from developing countries. A scout dose is used to determine the maximal tolerated dose (lungs <12 Gy, normal liver <30 Gy, bone marrow <1.5 Gy) and then the delivery of the calculated activity. Efficacy was assessed using response evaluation criteria in solid tumor (RECIST) and alpha-feto-protein (alpha FP) levels and severe adverse events were graded using the Common Toxicity Criteria of the National Cancer Institute scale v2.0.

RESULTS

The trial included 185 patients from eight countries. The procedure was feasible in all participating centers. One treatment was given to 134 patients; 42, 8, and 1 received two, three, and four injections, respectively. The injected activity during the first treatment was 100 mCi. Tolerance was excellent. We observed three complete responses and 19 partial responses (22% of evaluable patients, 95% confidence interval 16-35%); 1- and 2-year survivals were 46% and 23%. Some factors affected survival: country of origin, existence of a cirrhosis, Cancer of the Liver Italian Program score, tumor dose, absence of progression, and posttreatment decrease in alpha FP level.

CONCLUSIONS

IAI of 188Re-Lip in developing countries is feasible, safe, cost-effective, and deserves a phase III trial.

Predictors of outcome in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma receiving transcatheter arterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) has been shown to improve survival in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

AIM

To identify pretreatment factors that predicts increased mortality in HCC patients receiving TACE.

METHODS

Retrospective review of all patients who underwent TACE for HCC from January 1999 to November 2004. Patient demographics, aetiology of liver disease, laboratory and imaging data regarding tumour characteristics were obtained.

RESULTS

Eighty-eight patients (57 +/- 1 years age) received 1-4 sessions of TACE (1.4 +/- 0.1). Tumour size was 3.3 +/- 0.2 cm (range 1-13 cm, median 3 cm) with mean number of lesions 1.9 +/- 0.1 (range 1-7). Mean model for the end stage liver disease score: 11 +/- 0.4; cancer of the liver Italian program score: 1.3 +/- 0.1. Survival post-TACE (excluding those underwent orthotopic liver transplantation) was 12 +/- 0.3 months. By multivariate analysis, tumour size (HR = 1.37, 95% CI: 1.11-1.68, P = 0.003), hypovascularity (HR = 12.62, 95% CI: 1.79-88.92, P = 0.01) and elevated international normalized ratio (HR = 1.46, 95% CI: 1.10-1.92 P = 0.008) are shown to be significant risk factors for increased mortality.

CONCLUSION

TACE therapy leads to a mean survival of 12 months in patients not receiving orthotopic liver transplantation. Tumour size, hypovascularity on imaging, and elevated international normalized ratio are predictors of increased mortality after TACE therapy for HCC.

Staging of hepatocellular carcinoma: assessment of the Japanese TNM and AJCC/UICC TNM systems in a cohort of 13,772 patients in Japan

OBJECTIVE

The aims of this study were to present evidence to develop and validate the Japanese Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) staging system for primary liver cancer and to compare its discriminatory ability and predictive power with those of Vauthey's simplified staging, which was adopted as the TNM staging system of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/International Union Against Cancer (UICC).

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Among many staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma, the Japanese TNM staging system and the AJCC/UICC staging system were developed based on a survival analysis of surgical patients. These 2 staging systems have not been compared in large series.

METHODS

The Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ) prospectively collected clinicopathologic data of 63,736 patients with primary liver cancer from 1995 to 2001. Among them, 13,772 patients received curative hepatic resection. Based on univariate and multivariate survival analyses, the Japanese TNM staging system was developed. The accuracy of the Japanese TNM staging system for predicting patient survival was compared with that of the AJCC/UICC staging system using the cross-validation method.

RESULTS

The independent prognostic factors (relative risk; 95% confidence interval) were vascular or bile duct invasion (1.36;1.29-1.43), liver cirrhosis (1.26;1.20-1.32), diameter (< or =2 cm or >2 cm) (1.21;1.14-1.28), alpha-fetoprotein (1.20;1.15-1.25), single/multiple (1.18;1.12-1.23), liver damage (1.15;1.10-1.20), hepatic involvement (1.14;1.09-1.19), histologic differentiation (1.14;1.08-1.20), gross classification (1.13;1.08-1.18), and esophageal varices (1.07;1.02-1.13). Based on these results, 3 criteria (vascular or bile duct invasion, diameter, and single/multiple) were selected. Patients with none of these 3 factors were considered T1, and those with 1, 2, and 3 factors were T2, T3, and T4, respectively. The number of patients and 5-year survival rates for T1, T2, T3, and T4 were 2078, 70%; 6853, 58%; 3021, 41%; and 582, 24% (P < 0.0001), respectively, while those for the AJCC-T were 8457, 61% in T1, 2888, 46% in T2, and 1189, 30% in T3 (P < 0.0001). While both the LCSGJ-T and the AJCC-T had good discriminating ability, the former was significantly superior (P = 0.0007).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the development of LCSG stage. While both staging systems allow for the clear stratification of patients into prognostic groups, the LCSGJ staging may be more appropriate for stratifying patients with early-stage HCC.

Liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma in a hepatitis B endemic area

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary malignancy of the liver. Treatment options include liver resection, tumor ablation, and liver transplantation.

METHODS

We report the results of all patients undergoing partial hepatectomy for HCC with curative intent from a center where all major treatment modalities were available.

RESULTS

A series of 53 patients were identified, of whom 72% had underlying liver disease, mostly chronic hepatitis B infection. Altogether, 57% of patients underwent major resections, of whom 43% had histologically proven cirrhosis. Postoperative morbidity and mortality occurred in 41.5% and 7.5%, respectively. After a median follow-up of 34 months, the survival probabilities at 1, 3, and 5 years were 74.1%, 54.1%, and 42.6%, respectively. A total of 47% developed recurrent disease over the study period with a median disease-free survival of 13.8 months. The probabilities of recurrence at 1, 3, and 5 years were 35.2%, 49.4%, and 55.9%, respectively. Among those who developed recurrence, 76% died, with a median time to death from the time the recurrence was diagnosed of 7.8 months. There was a good association between the CLIP score and survival following liver resection. Multivariate analysis showed that only tumor recurrence and the presence of cirrhosis was a significant determinant of the risk of tumor-related death.

CONCLUSION

These findings confirm that with careful patient selection liver resection for HCC can achieve good long-term patient survival and acceptable risks.

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC): an update

In the absence of large randomized trials, the current treatment strategy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a matter of choice depending mostly on retrospective studies, experience of centers, and the technical therapeutic possibilities. In fact, treatment decisions must be based on HCC extension and liver function, which is dependent on underlying liver disease. Cirrhosis limits therapeutic choices, life expectancy, and tolerance to therapy. Surgical resection and/or local destruction are the most common curative treatments. Orthotopic liver transplantation is probably the best treatment for small HCC developed in cirrhosis because it treats tumor, cirrhosis, and preneoplastic lesions at the same time. However, this treatment method is feasible in fewer than 5% of cases. Adjuvant treatments include transarterial chemoembolization, chemotherapy, polyprenoic acid, interferon, adoptive immunotherapy, and intra-arterial radioactive lipiodol. Results from trials warrant confirmation in larger randomized trials to show a clear survival benefit on recurrence rate, secondary prevention, and overall survival. Chemoembolization is the only palliative treatment that has been proven to be active, unlike systemic chemotherapy, immunotherapy, and hormone therapy, whose activity is largely questionable and must all be restricted to clinical trials. Possible future therapeutic strategies include epidermal growth factor receptor inhibitors, antivascular endothelial growth factor therapies, cyclin D inhibitors, and HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors.

Diagnosis of benign and malignant portal vein thrombosis in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: color Doppler US, contrast-enhanced US, and fine-needle biopsy

BACKGROUND

We assessed the role of contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) in the differential diagnosis between benign and malignant portal vein thrombosis in patients who had cirrhosis with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Fifty-four consecutive patients who had cirrhosis, biopsy-proved HCC, and thrombosis of the main portal vein and/or left/right portal vein on US were prospectively studied with color Doppler US (CDUS) and CEUS. CEUS was performed at low mechanical index after intravenous administration of a second-generation contrast agent (SonoVue, Bracco, Milan, Italy). Presence or absence of CDUS signals or thrombus enhancement on CEUS were considered diagnostic for malignant or benign portal vein thrombosis. Twenty-eight patients also underwent percutaneous portal vein fine-needle biopsy (FNB) under US guidance. All patients were followed-up bimonthly by CDUS. Shrinkage of the thrombus and/or recanalization of the vessels on CDUS during follow-up were considered definitive evidence of the benign nature of the thrombosis, whereas enlargement of the thrombus, disruption of the vessel wall, and parenchymal infiltration over follow-up were considered consistent with malignancy. CDUS, CEUS, and FNB results were compared with those at follow-up.

RESULTS

Follow-up (4 to 21 months) showed signs of malignant thrombosis in 34 of 54 patients. FNB produced a true-positive result for malignancy in 19 of 25 patients, a false-negative result in six of 25 patients, and a true-negative result in three of three patients. CDUS was positive in seven of 54 patients. CEUS showed enhancement of the thrombus in 30 of 54 patients. No false-positive result was observed at CDUS, CEUS, and FNB. Sensitivities of CDUS, CEUS, and FNB in detecting malignant thrombi were 20%, 88%, and 76% respectively. Three patients showed negative CDUS and CEUS and positive FNB results; follow-up confirmed malignant thrombosis in these patients. One patient showed negative CDUS, CEUS, and FNB findings. However, follow-up of the thrombus showed US signs of malignancy. Another FNB confirmed HCC infiltration of the portal vein.

CONCLUSION

CEUS seems to be the most sensitive and specific test for diagnosing malignant portal vein thrombosis in patients with cirrhosis.

Impact of etiology of cirrhosis on the survival of patients diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma during surveillance

OBJECTIVES

Although the etiology of liver disease affects the features of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosed during surveillance, it is not known whether it influences patients' survival. We analyzed the impact of etiology on the characteristics and outcome of HCC detected during surveillance.

METHODS

In this cohort study, 742 patients with HCC detected during semiannual or annual surveillance were selected from the ITA.LI.CA database, including 1,834 consecutive patients observed in three primary and seven tertiary care settings for HCC. Patients were grouped according to etiology: hepatitis B virus (HBV, 87), hepatitis C virus (HCV, 461), alcohol (59), and multietiology (135).

RESULTS

In all etiologic groups, most HCCs were unifocal (51-68%) and most of them were <or=3 cm (60-69%). Unifocal HCCs were less common in the multietiology group (P=0.050) and slightly more frequent in the HCV group (P=0.087). Besides etiology, only age was associated with gross pathology (P=0.023). About two-thirds of HCCs in all groups were discovered at Cancer of the Liver Italyn Program (CLIP) stage 0 or 1. The 1-, 3-, and 5-yr survival rates were comparable among groups (HBV 81%, 47%, and 22%; HCV 86%, 49%, and 24%; alcohol 76%, 41%, and 25%; multietiology 75%, 37%, and 24%; P=0.446). The surveillance interval did not influence survival, which was independently predicted by serum alpha-fetoprotein, Child-Pugh class, gross pathology, cancer size, vascular invasion, and treatment.

CONCLUSION

In patients with HCC diagnosed during surveillance: (a) single nodules are less common in multietiology cases and (b) prognosis is independent of etiology, being dictated by liver function, oncologic features, and treatment.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: molecular biology and therapy

Advanced and metastatic hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) are challenging to treat, and no cytotoxic agents have impacted survival. The underlying liver cirrhosis that commonly accompanies HCC provides an additional challenge; indeed, functional scoring of cirrhosis and HCC is a critical component of patient evaluation. Currently, the molecular biology and pathogenesis of HCC are being increasingly investigated, which may lead to better understanding of the evolution of the disease, especially differing etiologies and identification of survival genes that may affect outcome. Early studies of targeted therapies in HCC have shown disease stabilization, and an increased understanding of the mechanism(s) of these novel agents combined with correlative studies may lead to the identification of an active agent or combination of agents that impacts the natural history of HCC.

Enhancing and expansile portal vein thrombosis: value in the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with multiple hepatic lesions

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to determine whether the presence of enhancing and expansile portal vein thrombus is suggestive of the diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma.

CONCLUSION

In the presence of hepatic tumors, enhancing expansile portal vein thrombus is highly suggestive of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Hepatocellular carcinoma: molecular biology and therapy

Advanced and metastatic hepatocellular carcinomas (HCC) are challenging to treat, and no cytotoxic agents have impacted survival. The underlying liver cirrhosis that commonly accompanies HCC provides an additional challenge; indeed, functional scoring of cirrhosis and HCC is a critical component of patient evaluation. Currently, the molecular biology and pathogenesis of HCC are being increasingly investigated, which may lead to better understanding of the evolution of the disease, especially differing etiologies and identification of survival genes that may affect outcome. Early studies of targeted therapies in HCC have shown disease stabilization, and an increased understanding of the mechanism(s) of these novel agents combined with correlative studies may lead to the identification of an active agent or combination of agents that impacts the natural history of HCC.

Survival impact of delayed treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing locoregional therapy: is there a lead-time bias?

OBJECTIVE

Many reports indicate the importance of active treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but there are few studies available that address the impact of delayed therapy on survival or take the lead-time bias into account. The objective of this study was to investigate whether patients with delayed locoregional therapy for HCC truly have a shortened survival from the time of diagnosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Survival rates were compared between 48 HCC patients with treatment delay and 96 age- and gender-matched controls without delay. All patients underwent transarterial chemoembolization or percutaneous ethanol or acetic acid injection for HCC. Treatment delay was defined as a >2 months' time interval between diagnosis and treatment.

RESULTS

Baseline comparison showed that patients with treatment delay had higher scores in the model for endstage liver disease compared with those of patients without delay (12.3+/-1.8 versus 11.1+/-2.5, p=0.01). In the Cox multivariate model, advanced cancer stage (relative risk (RR): 2.66, p=0.001), Child-Turcotte-Pugh class B (RR: 3.81, p<0.001), tumor size >5 cm (RR: 2.02, p=0.011) and treatment delay (RR: 2.91, p=0.001) were independent poor prognostic predictors. Among patients with treatment delay, disease progression was registered in 30 (63%) patients. Patients with prolonged treatment delay (>3 months) were more likely to have tumor progression (p=0.013). In the Cox model, a treatment delay of >3 months independently predicted a poor rate of survival (RR: 3.67, p=0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Delayed HCC treatment is linked with shortened overall survival unrelated to the lead-time bias in patients undergoing locoregional therapy. Prolonged treatment delay of more than 3 months in these patients may worsen the long-term outcome.

Hormonal treatment of human hepatocellular carcinoma

Animal models of experimental liver carcinogenesis and epidemiological studies in humans suggest a relationship between sex hormones and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In 1997, a systematic review of the existing, small randomized trials evaluating the antiestrogen tamoxifen yielded a positive result, but the large randomized CLIP-1 trial showed no survival advantage from the addition of tamoxifen to best supportive care. A possible explanation for the negative results is the lack of patient selection, but the expression of estrogen (ER) and progesterone (PgR) receptors in HCC does not clearly affect the survival outcome of the patients treated with tamoxifen. In the last years, it has been proposed that negative results might be due to the fact that tamoxifen in HCC could act via an ER-independent pathway, which requires much higher doses than those usually administered, but a double-blind Asian randomized trial conducted to assess possible dose-response effect showed no efficacy for tamoxifen, with an inversely negative impact with increasing dose. According to the results of large trials and of the Cochrane systematic review, neither further trials are warranted with tamoxifen in HCC, nor should any use in clinical practice be considered. Interesting results have been obtained when the type of hormonal treatment (tamoxifen or megestrol) has been chosen according to the presence of wild-type or variant ER, but these results should be confirmed in large randomized trials. Negative results have been obtained with antiandrogen therapy. In conclusion, hormonal treatment should not be a part of the current management of HCC patients.

Radio frequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhotic patients: prognostic factors for survival

BACKGROUND

Radio frequency ablation (RFA) of hepatocellular carcinoma has proved to be useful in local control of tumor. A few data on survival after treatment are available in literature. The aim of the study was to evaluate factors related to survival and to identify different classes of risk after radio frequency ablation.

METHODS

Ninety-eight cirrhotic patients with 145 hepatocellular carcinomas were treated with radio frequency ablation from January 1998 to May 2004. In 55 patients, cirrhosis was in Child-Pugh class A, and in 43, in class B. Tumor was single in 60 and multiple in 38; mean tumor number was 1.5 (range 1-3). Tumor size ranged from 1.5 to 6.0 cm, mean 3.8 cm. Mean follow up period was 24.9 months. Radio frequency ablation was performed with expandable type needle with percutaneous approach under real-time ultrasound guidance. For statistical analysis, univariate and multivariate analysis were performed.

RESULTS

Complete ablation of the tumor was achieved in 85.5% of lesions. Survival, 1 and 3 years, was 76.7 and 36.6%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score, tumor growth pattern, alpha-fetoprotein level, and complete tumor necrosis, were factors significantly related to poor survival. Multivariate analysis identified that factors related to poor survival were alpha-fetoprotein level >100 ng/ml, Child-Pugh class B, and incomplete tumor necrosis with a hazard ratio of 4.0, 2.7, and 3.8, respectively. After complete ablation, median survival was 38 months in patients with Child-Pugh class A cirrhosis and alpha-fetoprotein level < or =100 ng/ml, 22 months for patient with Child-Pugh class B cirrhosis and alpha-fetoprotein < or =100 ng/ml, and 9 months for patient with Child-Pugh class A cirrhosis and alpha-fetoprotein >100 ng/ml (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Complete necrosis and absence of residual tumor positively affect survival after RFA. In patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis and alpha-fetoprotein level < or =100 radio frequency, ablation have results, 55% after 3 years, that are comparable to those of surgical resection. Patients with Child-Pugh B cirrhosis and/or alpha-fetoprotein >100 ng/ml showed less satisfactory results, and in these patients, multimodality treatment or other treatments should be considered.

Staging classifications for hepatocellular carcinoma

Evaluation and treatment of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma is dependent on accurate staging. Tumor-specific factors and the degree of underlying liver disease must be considered when evaluating patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Clinical staging classification systems based on preinterventional data are predictive of survival and influence patient selection for various therapeutic modalities. Pathologic staging systems accurately assess prognosis and influence additional treatment post resection. The various staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma are reviewed in detail. The benefits and limitations of these classification systems are discussed in this review. Considerable controversy remains over which classification system provides the optimum staging of hepatocellular carcinoma. The revised American Joint Committee on Cancer/International Union Against Cancer emphasizes the importance of major vascular and microvascular invasion as independent predictors of death and the negative impact of severe fibrosis/cirrhosis on survival following resection of hepatocellular carcinoma. As such, it is currently the most accurate staging system in this group of patients. Its applicability in those patients who are not candidates for resection is uncertain.

Serum LINE-1 hypomethylation as a potential prognostic marker for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

We investigated the clinical implications of global hypomethylation, one of the most consistent epigenetic changes in cancer, in the sera of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

Combined bisulfite restriction analysis PCR was used to assess the methylation status of LINE-1 repetitive sequences in genomic DNA derived from sera of 85 patients with HCC, 73 patients with cirrhosis, 20 healthy carriers of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and 30 healthy controls.

RESULTS

Serum genome hypomethylation, the percentage of unmethylated LINE-1, was significantly increased in patients with HCC (P<0.001). The levels of serum LINE-1 hypomethylation at initial presentation correlated significantly with the presence of HBsAg, large tumor sizes, and advanced tumor stages classified by the CLIP score. Multivariate analyses showed that serum LINE-1 hypomethylation was a significant and independent prognostic factor of overall survival.

CONCLUSION

Serum LINE-1 hypomethylation may serve as a prognostic marker for patients with HCC.

CD117 (c-kit) expression in human hepatocellular carcinoma

AIMS

Although various methods of treatment have been tried, treatment options for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remain limited. Expression of the platelet-derived growth factor has been shown in HCC, which may derive from hepatic stem cells that express the c-kit proto-oncogene. Because of the promising results of imatinib and the key role played by c-kit in gastrointestinal stromal tumours and other solid tumours, the aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of c-kit (CD117) overexpression in patients with HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study of 258 archival specimens of subjects with histologically confirmed HCC was carried out. Expression of the c-kit proto-oncogene was evaluated by immunohistochemistry using rabbit anti-CD117 antibody A4502.

RESULTS

The overall percentage of positive immunohistochemical staining of HCCs was 2.3% (6/258).

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that CD117 is not significantly overexpressed in HCC and there seems to be no role for the use of imatinib.

The predictive ability of serum α-fetoprotein for hepatocellular carcinoma is linked with the characteristics of the target population at surveillance

BACKGROUND

Serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) is the most important tumor marker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The reported predictive accuracy of AFP for HCC widely varied. This study investigated the factors contributory to the heterogeneity of the ability of AFP to detect HCC.

METHODS

A total of 1,135 patients were categorized into four groups: HCC undergoing surgical resection (n = 248), chronic hepatitis B (CHB, n = 413), chronic hepatitis C (CHC, n = 207), and liver cirrhosis (LC, n = 267). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was estimated in different combinations.

RESULTS

The AUC was the highest when HCC patients were co-analyzed with patients with LC (0.805), followed by co-analyzing patients with CHB (0.797) and CHC (0.740). The optimal cutoffs for AFP were between 26 and 32 ng/ml. Patients with tumor size </=3 cm had a lower positive predictive value (PPV, 30%) compared to patients with tumor size >3 cm (46%), and HBsAg-negative and anti-HCV-positive patients had the lowest PPV (38%) compared to other groups (60%, 100%, and 82%) at a cutoff at 20 ng/ml. The AUC was lower for hepatitis B-negative subjects (0.684 and 0.509), compared to hepatitis B-positive subjects (0.826 and 0.806) stratified by the status of HCV. Elevated ALT >80 U/L and HCC independently predicted increased (>20 ng/ml) AFP levels.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum AFP had a fairly stable predictive accuracy for HCC, with an optimal cutoff around 30 ng/ml. ALT level, viral status, and tumor size may significantly confound its ability to detect HCC.

A simple prognostic scoring system for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated by chemo-embolization

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) comprises heterogeneous groups of patients with differing outcomes.

METHODS

In order to attempt to identify patient sub-sets, we retrospectively examined the records of 750 patients with biopsy-proven unresectable HCC, who were treated with hepatic artery chemo-embolization and were followed till death. We used the Cox proportional hazard model, as it was neutral with respect to prejudged cut-off between short and long survival.

RESULTS

On univariate analysis, we found a shorter survival to be associated with male gender, presence of cirrhosis, portal hypertension, portal vein thrombosis and elevations of bilirubin, GGTP, ALKP, AFP, DCP, PT and albumin. Five factors were found to be statistically significant (p<0.05) on multivariate analysis, namely presence of cirrhosis or ascites and elevations of AFP, ALKP or GGTP. We developed a simplified scoring system based upon the sum of the hazard ratios of each of these five factors. By combining the two factors with the heaviest hazard ratios from our multivariable analysis, namely AFP (+ = >100 ng/mL) and ALKP (+ = >100 IU/mL), we found a simple parsimonious prognostic tool, which segregated the patients into survival groups, namely AFP- ALKP-; either AFP+ or ALKP+; and AFP+ ALKP+; these three groups corresponded to a 24-month survival of 70%, 32% and 12%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

we found that only two lab functions, AFP and ALKP levels, in our large HCC patient cohort undergoing hepatic artery chemo-embolization, had prognostic significance.

Transarterial therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma: which technique is more effective? A systematic review of cohort and randomized studies

BACKGROUND

Chemoembolization (TACE) improves survival in cirrhotic patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The optimal schedule, or whether embolization (TAE) alone gives the same survival advantage, is not known.

PURPOSE

To evaluate whether specific patient characteristics and/or radiological transarterial techniques result in better outcomes.

METHOD

A PubMed search was carried out for cohort and randomized trials (n = 175) testing transarterial therapies; meta-analysis was performed where appropriate.

RESULTS

Anticancer drugs were used as sole agent in 75% of cases (double 15% and triple 6%): doxorubicin (36%), cisplatin (31%), epirubicin (12%), mitoxantrone (8%), mitomycin (8%), and SMANCS (5%). Embolizing agents used were: gelatin sponge particles (71%), polyvinyl alcohol (PVA) particles (8%), degradable starch microspheres (DSM) (4%), and embospheres (4%). Sessions per patient were 2.5 +/- 1.5 (interval: 2 months). Objective response was 40 +/- 20%; survival rates at 1, 2, 3, and 5 years were: 62 +/- 20%, 42 +/- 17%, 30 +/- 15%, and 19 +/- 16%, respectively, and survival time was 18 +/- 9.5 months. The post-TACE complications were: acute liver failure, 7.5% (range 0-49%); acute renal failure, 1.8% (0-13%); encephalopathy, 1.8% (0-16%); ascites, 8.3% (0-52%); upper gastrointestinal bleeding; 3% (0-22%); and hepatic or splenic abscess, 1.3% (0-2.5%). Treatment-related mortality was 2.4% (0-9.5%), mainly due to acute liver failure. Our meta-analysis of nine randomized controlled trials (RCTs) confirmed that TACE improves survival; but a meta-analysis of TACE versus TAE alone (3 RCTs, 412 patients) demonstrated no survival difference.

CONCLUSIONS

No chemotherapeutic agent appears better than any other. There is no evidence for benefit with lipiodol. Gelatin sponge is the most used embolic agent, but PVA particles may be better. TAE appears as effective as TACE. New strategies to reduce the risk of post-TACE complications are required.

Intra-arterial injection of iodine-131-labeled lipiodol for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND/AIM

The therapeutic effect of intra-arterial injection of 131-iodine-labeled lipiodol for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma in palliative or adjuvant settings has been promising. We report, the results of an open study of this therapy in cirrhotic patients with small hepatocellular carcinoma.

PATIENTS AND METHOD

Forty patients with hepatocellular carcinoma were given intra-arterial injections of 131-iodine-labeled lipiodol. These injections were repeated if necessary every 3 months. Tumor response (WHO criteria) was determined on CT scans performed after each treatment and every 3 months during the follow-up. Side effects and the cause of death were recorded. Therapeutic response and survival were analyzed.

RESULTS

The median number of treatment was 2 (1-4). There was one complete response, 18 partial responses (47.5% response rate); 19 had stable disease and 2 progressions. Overall survival rates (+/-CI 95%) at 1, 2 and 3 years were: 90+/-4.7%, 60.3+/-8%, and 39+/-8.3%, respectively. Median survival was 27 months; 25 patients have died (4-56 months), 8 of tumor progression with a multifocal spread in the liver. Tolerance was good except for 2 patients who develop a fatal drug-related pulmonary insufficiency.

CONCLUSION

These data suggest that intra-arterial therapeutic injection of 131-iodine-labeled lipiodol for treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma can provide high rate response and long survival for individuals not eligible for surgery or local treatment.

A modified Japan Integrated Stage score for prognostic assessment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

For patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the selection of effective therapeutic options depends on a reliable prognostic assessment of both the tumor characteristics and liver impairment. This study sought to provide a modified Japan Integrated Stage (m-JIS) score to predict more accurately the survival of patients with HCC.

METHODS

We analyzed the records of 42,269 patients diagnosed with HCC that were registered between 1992 and 1999 in a nationwide Japanese database. The m-JIS score was calculated from the tumor-node-metastasis stage and the grade of liver damage as defined by the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan. The predictive accuracy for patient survival based on the m-JIS score was compared with that determined by the modified Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (m-CLIP) score using the cross-validation method.

RESULTS

Patients were divided randomly into two groups, a training sample for construction of prediction models (n = 21,127 patients with 8,458 deaths) and a validation sample for assessment of those prediction models (n = 21,142 patients with 8,434 deaths). Both the m-JIS score and the m-CLIP score showed good discriminatory ability in the training sample. In the validation sample, the residuals of prediction based on the m-JIS score were smaller than those of the m-CLIP score (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The m-JIS scoring system had better predictive accuracy than the m-CLIP score system for survival of Japanese patients with HCC.

Characteristics at presentation and outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in the elderly. A study of the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP)

PURPOSE

To describe the characteristics at presentation and the outcome of elderly patients (> or =70 years old) with HCC, a retrospective analysis using a CLIP database was performed.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The database included 650 patients. Chi2-test, logistic and Cox model were applied.

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics and stage were similarly among elderly (n=158) and non-elderly (n=492) patients. More elderly patients did not receive any local treatment (56% versus 38%, p<0.0001). Age and CLIP score were independently predictive of the odds of locoregional treatment. Prognosis was worse for elderly patients with a hazard ratio of death of 1.49 (95% CI 1.20-1.86) at multivariable analysis. The survival difference disappeared when patients were compared within each treatment group, suggesting a close link between undertreatment and shorter survival.

CONCLUSION

Elderly patients with HCC have a worse prognosis compared to non-elderly ones. Such difference seems the consequence of undertreatment.

Prospective cohort study of transarterial chemoembolization for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma in 8510 patients

BACKGROUND & AIMS

To elucidate the survival of the patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent transcatheter arterial lipiodol chemoembolization (TACE) and to analyze the factors affecting the survivals.

METHODS

During the last 8 years, a nationwide prospective cohort study was performed in 8510 patients with unresectable HCC who underwent TACE using emulsion of lipiodol and anticancer agents followed by gelatin sponge particles as an initial treatment. Exclusion criteria were extrahepatic metastases and/or any previous treatment prior to the present TACE. The primary end point was survival. The survival rates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The multivariate analyses for the factors affecting survival were evaluated by the Cox proportional hazard model. The mean follow-up period was 1.77 years.

RESULTS

For overall survival rates by TACE, median and 1-, 3-, 5-, and 7-year survivals were 34 months, 82%, 47%, 26%, and 16%, respectively. Both the degree of liver damage and the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) system proposed by the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan demonstrated good stratification of survivals (P = .0001). The multivariate analyses showed significant difference in degree of liver damage (P = .0001), alpha-fetoprotein value (P = .0001), maximum tumor size (P = .0001), number of lesions (P = .0001), and portal vein invasion (P = .0001). The last 3 factors could be replaced by TNM stage. The TACE-related mortality rate after the initial therapy was .5%.

CONCLUSIONS

TACE showed safe therapeutic modality with a 5-year survival of 26% for unresectable HCC patients. The degrees of liver damage, TNM stage, and alpha-fetoprotein values were independent risk factors for patient survival.

Comparison of staging systems to predict survival in hepatocellular carcinoma

PURPOSE

Some new staging systems in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have been described in the last years. The aim of this study was to compare the survival-predicting capacity of some variables and the prognostic classifications.

METHODS

Demographic, clinical, analytical variables and tumour characteristics were collected in a study including 115 patients with HCC. Predictors of survival were identified using the Kaplan-Meier test and the Cox model. Comparison between different staging systems was carried out.

RESULTS

The 1-, 2- and 3-year estimated survival was 65%, 45% and 30%, respectively. Child-Pugh score and alpha-fetoprotein level greater than 400 UI/l were independent predictors of survival in the Cox model. Although all systems correctly differentiated between patients regarding survival (Kaplan-Meier, log rank < 0.05 for all), the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) showed a better discriminatory ability than the other evaluated scores. In addition, the independent homogenizing ability and stratification value of BCLC was better than that of other systems. On the contrary, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) showed the worst results.

CONCLUSIONS

Child-Pugh score and alpha-fetoprotein levels were the only independent predictors of survival in patients with HCC. Child-Pugh score showed a better prediction value for survival when compared with MELD. BCLC is more accurate than the other prognostic models evaluated in this investigation.

Treatment and prognostic factors in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a leading cause of death from cancer worldwide. Survival of patients depends on tumor extension and liver function, but yet there is no consensual prognostic model.

AIMS

To evaluate the influence on survival of pretreatment parameters (clinico-laboratorial, liver function, tumor extension, Okuda and Cancer of the Liver Italian program (CLIP) staging) and treatment modalities.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 207 patients, diagnosed between 1993 and 2003. The initial treatment was: surgery--six patients; radiofrequency ablation--21; percutaneous ethanol injection--29; transarterial chemoembolization--49; tamoxifen--49; supportive care alone--53. Factors determining survival were assessed by Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression models.

RESULTS

Median survival was 24 months. In univariate analysis, Child-Pugh classification and Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, portal vein thrombosis (PVT), tumor size, number of lesions, Okuda and CLIP scores were all associated with prognosis (P < 0.001). Alpha-fetoprotein levels were not predictive of survival. Independent predictors of survival were ascites, bilirubin, PVT and therapeutic modalities (P < 0.001). In early stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), survival was similar for both percutaneous ablation modalities, either radiofrequency or ethanol injection (P = NS). In advanced HCC, survival was better in patients receiving tamoxifen than supportive care alone (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This study reinforces the importance of baseline liver function (Child-Pugh classification and MELD score) in the survival of patients with HCC, although staging systems allowed the stratification of patients in different prognostic groups. Ascites, bilirubin and PVT were independent pretreatment predictors of survival. All treatments influenced the patient's outcome, whether in early or advanced stages.

Liver resection in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma is a leading cause of cancer death worldwide. Liver resection and liver transplantation remain the only options for cure. Since the indications for orthotopic liver transplantation are limited, partial liver resection is the more common treatment. Recently, indications for liver resection have been expanded and there have been advances in the associated surgical techniques. This review describes the state-of-the-art of liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma. Topics covered include: new indications, such as treatment of large tumors, bilobar tumors and those associated with vascular invasion; preoperative assessment of liver function; and surgical strategies. An overview of the most common staging systems, which are useful in predicting prognosis after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma, is given.

Tamoxifen is not effective in good prognosis patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Large randomised clinical trials and systematic reviews substantiate that tamoxifen is ineffective in improving survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, a recent report suggested that the drug might prolong survival among patients with well preserved liver function. The aim of this paper is to validate this hypothesis.

Methods

We used the updated database of the phase 3 randomised CLIP-1 trial that compared tamoxifen with supportive therapy. Primary endpoint was overall survival. Treatment arms were compared within strata defined according to the Okuda stage and the CLIP-score. Survival differences were tested by the Log-rank test.

Results

Tamoxifen was not effective in prolonging survival in Okuda I-II subgroup (p = 0.501). Median survival times were equal to 16.8 (95%CI 12.7–18.5) months for tamoxifen and 16.8 (95%CI 13.5–22.4) months for the control arms; 1-year survival probabilities were equal to 58.8% (95%CI 51.7–65.8) and 59.4 (95%CI 52.5–66.2), respectively. Similar results were observed in the better CLIP subgroup (score 0/1), without evidence of difference between the two treatment arms (p = 0.734). Median survival times were equal to 29.2 (95%CI 20.1–36.4) months with tamoxifen and 29.0 (95%CI 23.3–35.2) months without; 1-year survival probabilities were equal to 80.9% (95%CI 72.5–89.3) with tamoxifen and 77.1% (95%CI 68.6–85.7) for the control arm.

Conclusion

The recent suggestion that tamoxifen might be effective in the subgroup of patients with better prognosis is not supported by a reanalysis of the CLIP-1 trial. Tamoxifen should no longer be considered for the treatment of HCC patients and future trials of medical treatment should concentrate on different drugs.

Direct ex vivo analysis of dendritic cells in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

To analyze the phenotype and function of dendritic cells (DC) from patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in order to understand their role in this disease.

METHODS

Myeloid dendritic cells were enumerated in peripheral blood of HCC patients. CD80, CD83, CD86 and HLA-DR expression on naive and stimulated myeloid dendritic cells from peripheral blood were analyzed. Myeloid dendritic cells were isolated from peripheral blood and their function was tested. Phagocytosis was analyzed using FITC-dextran beads, peptide specific stimulation, the capacity to stimulate allogeneic T cells and secretion of cytokines upon poly dI:dC was tested.

RESULTS

Myeloid dendritic cells were reduced in patients with HCC. No differences in CD80, CD83, CD86 and HLA-DR expression were found on naive and stimulated myeloid dendritic cells from HCC patients and healthy controls. Normal phagocytosis or stimulation of peptide specific T cells was observed in contrast to an impaired allo-stimulatory capacity and a reduced IL-12 secretion.

CONCLUSION

Impaired IL-12 production of mDCs in patients could lead to an impaired stimulatory capacity of naive T cells suggesting that IL-12 directed therapies may enhance tumor specific immune responses in HCC patients.

Proposal of a modified Cancer of the Liver Italian Program staging system based on the model for end-stage liver disease for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing loco-regional therapy

BACKGROUND

The Cancer of Liver Italian Program (CLIP) system was suggested as the primary staging system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) is a better prognostic predictor for cirrhotic patients compared to Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) system, which is a parameter used in the CLIP model.

AIM

To investigate the performance of the modified MELD-based CLIP systems.

METHODS

The CTP class in the CLIP model was replaced with MELD score (<10, 10-14, >14; modified CLIP-1), or additional 1 or 2 points were given to patients with MELD score 10-14 or >14, respectively (modified CLIP-2). The modified CLIP systems were compared with the original system in 343 HCC patients undergoing loco-regional therapy.

RESULTS

The original CLIP score in all patients was 1.2 +/- 1.1 (range 0-5), compared with 1.4 +/- 1.2 (range 0-5) for modified CLIP-1 and 1.7 +/- 1.4 (range 0-6) for modified CLIP-2 models (p < 0.001). Using mortality as the endpoint, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve for modified CLIP-2 system was 0.858 compared with 0.812 for modified CLIP-1 (p = 0.013) and 0.782 for original CLIP system (p < 0.001) at 12 months; the area was 0.879, 0.830, and 0.762, respectively (p all < 0.001) at 24 months. Survival analysis showed that the modified CLIP systems had a better long-term discriminatory ability for different score groups.

CONCLUSIONS

The CLIP model is useful to predict the outcome in HCC patients undergoing loco-regional therapy. The MELD-based modified CLIP systems may have a better predictive ability than the original model for cancer staging.

Prospective validation of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging system

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification offers a prognostic stratification of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We recently demonstrated the BCLC's peculiar prognostic ability in a retrospective cohort of HCC patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the BCLC system prospectively in a subsequent separate group of HCC patients enrolled at the same surgically oriented liver unit.

METHODS

One hundred and ninety-five consecutive HCC patients were prospectively enrolled and their liver disease was staged before therapy. Unlike the BCLC treatment protocol, nodule size and number were not used as absolute exclusion criteria for radical treatment. Predictors of survival were identified using the Cox model.

RESULTS

The median survival time was 23 months overall, and 53, 16, 7 and 3 months, respectively, for BCLC categories A, B, C, and D. In our cohort, BCLC had the best independent predictive power for survival when compared with the Okuda, CLIP, UNOS-TNM, and JIS prognostic systems (linear trend chi(2)=43.01, likelihood chi(2)=57.94, AIC 885.98). Moreover, the BCLC classification showed a better prognostic ability than the AJCC-TNM 2002 system in surgical patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The discriminating power of BCLC staging was prospectively assessed in an Italian cohort of HCC patients treated mainly with radical therapies.

The model for end-stage liver disease-based Japan Integrated Scoring system may have a better predictive ability for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing locoregional therapy

BACKGROUND

The Japan Integrated Scoring (JIS) system was revealed as a better model for outcome prediction compared with the Cancer of Liver Italian Program system for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) was better as a prognostic predictor for patients with cirrhosis compared with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) system, which is a parameter used in the JIS system. The objective of the current study was to investigate the performance of the modified MELD-based JIS system.

METHODS

In the modified JIS system, the CTP class in the original JIS was replaced with MELD cut-off scores of <10, 10 to 14, and >14. The modified JIS system was compared with the original system in 276 patients with HCC who underwent locoregional therapy (transarterial chemoembolization or percutaneous injection).

RESULTS

The mean +/- standard error original JIS score was 1.8 +/- 1.0 (range, 0-4), compared with 2.0 +/- 1.1 (range, 0-5) for the modified JIS system (P < .001). Using mortality as the endpoint, the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the modified JIS system was 0.804 compared with 0.741 for the original JIS system (P = .008) at 12 months, and the AUC was 0.853 and 0.765, respectively (P < .001), at 24 months. Survival analysis showed that the modified JIS system had a better discriminatory ability for patients in different score groups and was more accurate for outcome prediction in the Cox multivariate model.

CONCLUSIONS

The current results indicated that the MELD-based, modified JIS system has improved predictive ability compared with the original system and is a more feasible model for clinical staging in patients with HCC who are undergoing locoregional therapy.

Controversies in staging of hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary cancer of the liver. As the natural history of HCC is better delineated, treatment strategies are in constant evolution. Classic staging systems based on histopathology following resection are often inadequate because the majority of patients present with advanced disease. The dissatisfaction with anatomic staging systems has resulted in the emergence of several new clinical staging systems, which attempt to integrate tumor biology and the underlying function of the nondiseased liver. Tragically, the byproduct of multiple staging strategies is confusion for physicians, patients, and clinical researchers; this undermines the principles on which staging systems are created. To address this issue, a consensus conference was organized in 2002 to identify the best staging strategy for HCC. The purpose of this article is to review the current clinical and pathologic staging strategies and to highlight the recommendations from the consensus conference.

Expression of intestinal trefoil factor (TFF-3) in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Trefoil peptides (TFF-1, 2, 3) are a family of protease-resistant regulatory factors that play a role in mucosal restitution, angiogenesis, apoptosis, and tumor progression. Intestinal trefoil peptide (TFF-3) expression has been demonstrated in benign hepatobiliary diseases, but there are limited data regarding its expression in HCC.

METHODS

Thirty consecutive cases of HCC from 1998 to 2003 were studied. Immunohistochemistry was performed on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded blocks of HCC using polyclonal antibody to TFF-3. TFF-3 expression was classified as strong, moderate, weak, focal, and negative. Clinical data were obtained per an IRB-approved protocol.

RESULTS

Median age was 69 yr (range: 39-83 yr). Twenty- three patients were males and 7 were females. Treatments included hepatic resection (n = 16), chemo-embolization (n = 4), combined modality therapy (n = 5) and no treatment (n = 4). HCC was well differentiated in 12 (40%), moderately differentiated in 13 (43%), and poorly differentiated in 5 (17%) patients. TFF-3 expression was detected in 28/30 (93.3%) patient samples. Sixteen patients (53%) had moderate and 1 (3%) patient had strong TFF-3 expression. Tumor/ normal tissue interface was assessable in 21 cases; 11 cases expressed TFF-3 at the interface. There was a strong correlation between tumor grade and TFF-3 expression, wherein poorly differentiated tumors had moderate/strong TFF-3 expression (p = 0.008). There was no correlation between TFF-3 expression and survival (p = 0.77). Furthermore, there was no correlation among age, disease stage, and survival.

CONCLUSION

TFF-3 is commonly expressed in HCC and its expression correlates with tumor grade.

Successful use of sirolimus in a patient with bulky ovarian metastasis of hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation

This 44-year-old woman developed multifocal hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) within hepatitis B-induced liver cirrhosis. At the time of listing for transplantation the HCC had progressed beyond the Milan criteria. Due to her young age, high grade of histological differentiation according to biopsy, and lack of therapeutic alternatives, she was listed for transplantation. She received an organ from the Eurotransplant marginal liver list. Immunosuppression was reduced to tacrolimus monotherapy within 4 months. Five months after transplantation bilateral bulky ovarian metastases were seen on computed tomography (CT) scan. A bilateral salphingo-oophorectomy was performed and immunosuppression switched to sirolimus monotherapy. Fourteen months after this procedure and 19 months after transplantation, the patient is asymptomatic with stable liver function. She is free of recurrence as judged by CT scan, bone scan, and alpha-fetoprotein. In conclusion, radical surgical treatment and immunosuppression using sirolimus may achieve tumor-free survival in selected patients with advanced or recurrent HCC.

Prognostic effects of causative virus in hepatocellular carcinoma according to the Japan integrated staging (JIS) score

BACKGROUND

The Japan integrated staging (JIS) score is recognized to be useful in managing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We evaluated the effects of the causative virus in patients stratified by this system.

METHODS

We compared clinicopathologic features, cumulative and tumor-free survival rates, and causes of death between 301 hepatitis C virus-positive patients (HCV group) and 60 hepatitis B virus-positive patients (HBV group).

RESULTS

Among patients with low JIS scores (0 or 1), the proportions of patients with high aspartate and alanine aminotranferase activities, moderate-to-severe active hepatitis, and with cirrhosis were significantly higher in the HCV than in the HBV group. Among patients with high JIS scores (2 to 4), the proportion with moderate-to-severe active hepatitis was also significantly higher in the HCV group. In patients with low JIS scores, those in the HCV group had significantly lower tumor-free and cumulative survival rates than those in the HBV group. Although no patient in the HBV group died of causes other than liver disease (HCC or hepatic failure), some patients in the HCV group died of causes other than liver disease. The proportion of patients who died because of HCC recurrence tended to be higher among patients with high JIS scores than among patients with a low JIS score.

CONCLUSIONS

The effects of viral status on survival outcomes are greatest in patients with JIS scores of 0 or 1.

Natural history of untreated nonsurgical hepatocellular carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is common in Asia, and the majority are not suitable for curative surgical treatment. We studied the natural history of untreated nonsurgical HCC to examine whether the prognosis has changed with improved supportive treatment and to identify factors affecting survival.

METHODS

One hundred and six ethnic Chinese patients with HCC not amenable to curative treatment were managed symptomatically as control-arm patients in three randomized studies conducted between January 1996 and April 2001. Seventy-six (71.7%) patients were positive for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). Prognostic variables for survival were identified by univariate analysis and were subjected to a multivariate Cox analysis to identify the independent predictors of survival.

RESULTS

All but four patients were followed until death. Common causes of death were tumor progression (63.2%) and liver failure (31.1%). The overall median survival was 3 months, and the 1-yr survival was 7.8% only. The median survival of patients of Okuda stages I, II, and III were 5.1 months, 2.7 months, and 1.0 month, respectively (p < 0.05 for comparison between any two stages). Multivariate analysis revealed four independent prognostic variables, namely, serum bilirubin, blood urea, serum alpha-fetoprotein, and Okuda stage.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis of untreated HCC not suitable for curative treatment in Asia is grave despite improved supportive treatment. The four prognostic variables identified in this study are important in the decision for palliative treatment, and the Okuda staging remains an important prognostic guide.

131I-Labelled-iodized oil for palliative treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is growing in western countries. Poor liver status and tumour size make curative options scarce. Palliative treatments such as chemo-embolization are improving survival in selected patients, but side-effects are frequent. There is a need for the validation of alternative treatments. Metabolic radiotherapy using lipiodol labelled with 131I-iodine (I-131-lipiodol) is one of these treatments.

OBJECTIVES

To analyse the effect of I-131-lipiodol in a population of advanced HCC patients and to define the potential prognostic factors in this setting.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of the effect of I-131-lipiodol on 29 patients bearing multifocal tumours was performed. An analysis of two subgroups, defined by a Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) score of 2 or less (n=20) or greater than 2 (n=9) was performed to assess the prognostic significance of the score in this setting.

RESULTS

Overall median survival in the entire study population was 203 days (95% confidence interval 83-322 days). Median survival was significantly better in the group with CLIP scores of 2 or less than in the group with CLIP scores greater than 2 (453 versus 60 days, P< or =0.001). Treatment-related mortality was 6.9% (one interstitial pneumonia and one acute liver failure).

CONCLUSION

The survival of patients treated with I-131-lipiodol in this series compared favourably with published data. Stratification according to the CLIP score was useful to predict survival. In particular, patients with portal vein thrombosis should only be considered for I-131-lipiodol if the CLIP score is lower than 2.

Comparison of the usefulness of three staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma (CLIP, BCLC, and JIS) in Japan

OBJECTIVES

We retrospectively compared the usefulness of three different staging systems for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the Cancer of the Liver Italian Program (CLIP) scoring system, the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) classification system, and the Japan Integrated Staging (JIS) system, in terms of patient distribution and survival rates.

METHODS

Subjects were 1,508 patients diagnosed as having initial HCC during the period of 1976-2003. The disease was staged in all patients by means of the three staging systems, and the distribution of patients across stages and associated survival rates were compared between systems. In addition, comparisons were made on the basis of the time of diagnosis: 1976-1990 (n = 497) and 1991-2003 (n = 1,011).

RESULTS

Patients were evenly distributed across stages within each staging system, and survival rates differed between stages except for BCLC C and D. During the period 1991-2003, when HCCs were smaller at diagnosis, JIS system is in particular yielded even distribution of patient across stages and marked differences in survival rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the CLIP and the JIS scoring systems proved to be suitable for patients in Japan with HCC. The CLIP staging systems proved to be more suitable before 1991. In contrast, the JIS system was the most suitable after 1990, when early detection and early treatment of HCC became common. The JIS system is, therefore, the appropriate system in this era of early detection and treatment of HCC.