Meta-analysis: Treatment of hepatitis B infection reduces risk of hepatocellular carcinoma

Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving nucleos(t)ide therapy: a systematic review

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic hepatitis B patients are at increased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The effect of medium-term nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy on HCC incidence is unclear; therefore, we systematically reviewed all the data on HCC incidence from studies in chronic hepatitis B patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues.

METHODS

We performed a literature search to identify studies with chronic hepatitis B patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues for> or = 24 months.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies including 3881 treated and 534 untreated patients met our inclusion criteria. HCC was diagnosed in 2.8% and 6.4% of treated and untreated patients, respectively, during a 46 (32-108) month period (p=0.003), in 10.8% and 0.5% of nucleos(t)ide naive patients with and without cirrhosis (p<0.001) and in 17.6% and 0% of lamivudine resistance patients with and without cirrhosis (p<0.001). HCC developed less frequently in nucleos(t)ide naive patients compared to those without virological remission (2.3% vs 7.5%, p<0.001), but there was no difference between lamivudine resistance patients with or without virological response to rescue therapy (5.9% vs 8.8%, p=0.466).

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic hepatitis B patients receiving medium-term nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy had a significantly lower incidence of HCC compared to untreated patients but treatment does not completely eliminate the risk of HCC. Among the treated patients, cirrhosis, HBeAg negative at baseline and failure to remain in virological remission were associated with an increased risk of HCC.

Does chemotherapy prevent HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma? Cons

The retrospective scrutiny of studies that were originally designed to assess the antiviral activity of interferon (IFN) and nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUC) suggested reduced incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in responders. The interpretation of these studies, however, is questioned by the heterogeneity of patient referral, adoption of surrogate end-points, lack of control arms and, overall, by the lack of power to capture enough hard end-points of the natural history of hepatitis B, including HCC. Another point of criticism is that above all, IFN studies could have been affected by study enrolment skewed towards patients with less advanced liver disease, who had a better predicted compliance to therapy but a lower risk of developing HCC in the short-term. In my opinion, these constraints coupled with the lack of patient stratification by HCC predictors, make the evaluation of the prophylactic activity of IFN and NUC even more difficult. Overall, while single studies provide some evidence for a reduced HCC incidence in virological responders, particularly in those with moderate liver fibrosis, we still lack confirmation that anti-HBV therapy prevents HCC in patients with an established cirrhosis, too. Finally, tertiary prevention with anti-HBV treatments is controversial, due to the existence of a few, methodologically flawed studies.

Does chemotherapy prevent HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma? Pros

Studies have shown that hepatitis B virus (HBV) replication is the key driver of disease progression, including development of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), in patients with chronic HBV infection. Among the currently available anti-HBV drugs, the most extensive and longest experience has been gained with conventional interferon alpha (IFN) and lamivudine. Both controlled studies and meta-analyses have shown that a finite course of IFN therapy has long-term benefit in achieving cumulative response and corresponding reduction of cirrhosis and/or HCC. Maintained virological response to lamivudine therapy has similar long-term benefits in reducing disease progression. Although emergence of lamivudine drug resistance may negate therapeutic effect, rescue drugs are now available to overcome the adverse effect of drug resistance. Pegylated IFN and newer nucleos(t)ide analogs may have even better long-term outcomes because of better therapeutic efficacy and/or much lower risk of drug resistances. However, the treatment outcomes are still far from satisfactory. The development of safe and affordable anti-HBV agents/strategies is needed to further improve outcomes.

Durability of peginterferon alfa-2b treatment at 5 years in patients with hepatitis B e antigen-positive chronic hepatitis B

Approximately 30%-40% of patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B treated with peginterferon and/or lamivudine achieve HBeAg seroconversion 6 months after the end of treatment. The durability and long-term effect of treatment are unknown. In this study, 85 HBeAg-positive patients who received peginterferon alfa-2b 1.5 microg/kg/week for 32 weeks and lamivudine 100 mg/day for 52 or 104 weeks were prospectively followed for 6.1 +/- 1.7 years posttreatment. Twenty-five (29%) patients had virologic response (HBeAg seroconversion and HBV DNA <10,000 copies/mL) at 5 years. The rate of HBeAg seroconversion rose progressively from 37% at the end of treatment to 60% at 5 years. Twenty-seven (32%) and 11 (13%) patients had undetectable HBV DNA (<100 copies/mL) at the end of peginterferon treatment and at 5 years, respectively. Two (2.4%) patients achieved hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance at 2.6 and 84 months posttreatment. Among virologic responders at the end of treatment, 82% and 57% and sustained HBeAg seroconversion and virologic response at 5 years. End-of-treatment serum quantitative HBsAg was significantly lower in patients with sustained virologic response at 5 years (median 1,431 IU/mL versus 2,689 IU/mL [P = 0.041]). At the last follow-up, the liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography was 5.8 +/- 2.7 kPa. Only two patients had liver stiffness suggestive of advanced fibrosis. Week 16 HBV DNA, end-of-treatment HBeAg seroconversion, and undetectable HBV DNA were independent factors associated with virologic response at 5 years. The duration of concomitant lamivudine treatment had no impact on any long-term response.

CONCLUSION

Peginterferon has high durability in HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients with end-of-treatment virologic response.

Clinical Scoring System to Predict Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Hepatitis B Carriers

Purpose

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is an important etiology for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aim to develop a simple clinical score in predicting the risk of HCC among HBV carriers.

Patients and Methods

We first evaluated 1,005 patients and found that the following five factors independently predicted HCC development: age, albumin, bilirubin, HBV DNA, and cirrhosis. These variables were used to construct a prediction score ranging from 0 to 44.5. The score was validated in another prospective cohort of 424 patients.

Results

During a median follow-up of 10 years, 105 patients (10.%) in the training cohort and 45 patients (10.6%) in the validation cohort developed HCC. Cutoff values of 5 and 20 best discriminated HCC risk. By applying the cutoff value of 5, the score excluded future HCC development with high accuracy (negative predictive value = 97.8% and 97.3% in the training and validation cohorts, respectively). In the validation cohort, the 5-year HCC-free survival rates were 98.3%, 90.5%, and 78.9% in the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups, respectively. The hazard ratios for HCC in the medium- and high-risk groups were 12.8 and 14.6, respectively.

Conclusion

A simple prediction score constructed from routine clinical and laboratory parameters is accurate in predicting HCC development in HBV carriers. Future prospective validation is warranted.

Comparison between quantitative hepatitis B surface antigen, hepatitis B e-antigen and hepatitis B virus DNA levels for predicting virological response to pegylated interferon-alpha-2b therapy in hepatitis B e-antigen-positive chronic hepatitis B

AIM

The aim of this study was to compare the clinical applicability of quantitative serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA for predicting virological response (VR) to pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) therapy.

METHODS

Thirty HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B patients who received PEG-IFN-alpha-2b for 48 weeks were enrolled. Quantitative HBsAg, HBeAg and HBV DNA were measured before, during and after the therapy. Paired liver biopsies were performed before and after treatment for covalently closed circular (ccc)DNA and intrahepatic HBV DNA analysis.

RESULTS

VR at 48 weeks post-treatment, defined as HBeAg seroconversion and HBV DNA less than 10 000 copies/mL was achieved in 10 (33.3%) patients. Responders had significantly lower baseline HBsAg, HBeAg, cccDNA and intrahepatic HBV DNA levels than non-responders. Baseline and reduced levels of log(10) HBsAg and log(10) HBeAg correlated well with those of log(10) cccDNA and log(10) total intrahepatic HBV DNA. Responders showed consistent decrease in serum HBsAg, HBeAg and HBV DNA levels during therapy. HBeAg level of 2.0 log(10) sample to cut-off ratio at week 24 on therapy provided the best prediction of sustained virological response, with sensitivity and negative predictive values of 85% and 92%, respectively. One patient (3.3%) who cleared HBsAg at follow up exhibited a more rapid decline in serum HBsAg during therapy than those who developed VR without HBsAg clearance.

CONCLUSION

Quantitative measurement of serum HBeAg during therapy may be superior to serum HBsAg and HBV DNA as a prediction of HBeAg seroconversion. Kinetics of HBsAg levels on therapy may help predict HBsAg clearance after treatment.

Prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma in the Asia-Pacific region: consensus statements

Among approximately 650,000 people who die from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) each year, at least two-thirds live in Asia. Efforts to improve early diagnosis and treatment have not yet impacted mortality. An Asia-Pacific Working Party convened in Hong Kong in June 2008 to consider ways to prevent HCC in this region. Separate reviews have summarized epidemiology of HCC, preventive approaches related to hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) and non-viral liver diseases, and the role of surveillance to detect HCC at a curative stage. We now present Consensus Statements from these deliberations and reviews. As chronic hepatitis B is the most common cause of HCC in Asia, effective hepatitis B vaccination programs are the most important strategy to reduce HCC incidence. Prevention of HCV by screening blood donors, universal precautions against blood contamination in health-care settings and reducing HCV transmission from injection drug use are also vital. There is strong evidence that effective antiviral therapy to control HBV infection or eradicate HCV substantially reduces (but does not abolish) HCC risk. With hemochromatosis, family screening, early diagnosis and correcting iron overload to prevent liver fibrosis prevents HCC. There is currently insufficient evidence to give firm recommendations on alcohol, obesity/metabolic risk factors and other liver diseases. HCC surveillance for high-risk groups is recommended in individual cases but cost-effectiveness is not as high as infant hepatitis B vaccination and screening blood for HCV. Widespread application of HCC surveillance in Asia-Pacific countries depends on economic factors and health-care priorities.

Effect of antiviral treatment on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is a major risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The prevention of HCC is of paramount importance in patients with CHB, particularly in those with cirrhosis. Antiviral treatment can potentially reduce the risk for HCC since it suppresses viral replication, induces HBeAg seroconversion and improves liver histology. However, most evidence supporting a protective effect of antiviral treatment originates from non-randomized or retrospective studies and is limited to conventional interferon and lamivudine. There is a paucity of data on the effects of pegylated interferon and "newer" oral agents (telbivudine, tenofovir, entecavir) on HCC risk. However, it should be emphasized that the existing randomized control studies in patients with CHB were relatively short-term and not designed to assess the effects of antiviral treatment on HCC risk. Since viral load directly correlates with HCC risk, it is reasonable to hypothesize that the reduction in viral load with antiviral treatment will also lower the risk of HCC. This benefit might become more readily apparent with the newer agents used in the management of CHB which are more effective and have a more favorable resistance profile.

Hepatitis B virus genotype B has an earlier emergence of lamivudine resistance than genotype C

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) genotype B and C seem not to affect the therapeutic response to lamivudine (3TC). Whether a given genotype has an earlier emergence of 3TC resistance remains unclear. We thus conducted this study to elucidate the association of HBV genotype with the emergence of 3TC-resistant strains in Taiwanese patients.

METHODS

Forty chronic hepatitis B patients who developed resistance after 3TC therapy were retrospectively enrolled. HBV genotype, serum alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and HBV DNA levels were determined at baseline. The presence of 3TC-resistant mutations was confirmed by direct sequencing whenever biochemical breakthrough developed.

RESULTS

The distribution of HBV genotype B and C in 40 patients receiving 3TC therapy were 60% and 40%, respectively. The mean interval to detect 3TC-resistant strain was 19.6 +/-1.7 months. By using multivariate analysis, HBV genotype B and higher pre-treatment HBV DNA level were independently associated with earlier detection of 3TC-resistant strains. In addition, genotype B was significantly associated with development of 3TC resistance within the first 12 months of 3TC therapy compared with genotype C (odds ratio 8.27; P=0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with HBV genotype C, genotype B appears to have an earlier biochemical resistance to 3TC than genotype C. Therefore, more frequent monitoring of viral load or genotypical resistance might be needed for patients with HBV genotype B infection receiving 3TC therapy, especially during the first year.

End points of therapy in chronic hepatitis B

This review assesses the relevance of the clinical, histological, biochemical and virological end points in the course and outcome of chronic hepatitis B. The pathway and the impact of the variation in these end points are presented, as well as their definitions. The treatment goals are discussed in terms of quality of life and survival. Prevention of the progression of the disease to cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma seems to be the best approach to improve survival. As these criteria are long-term end points, easier to use end points assessed in clinical trials as efficacy objectives were also analyzed to determine whether they can be used as accurate surrogate criteria. Results of therapy were then analyzed according to the approved end points and in terms of management of chronic hepatitis B. Finally, an attempt to define new clinical end points is discussed in view of the development of more potent antiviral strategies.

Predictors of treatment response in chronic hepatitis B

The ultimate goal of treatment for chronic hepatitis B is to reduce liver-related complications and mortality. Sustained hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) clearance 6-12 months after stopping treatment are the short-term surrogate outcomes for interferon or peginterferon therapy. As most patients require long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment, which also has the risk of drug resistance in the case of incomplete viral suppression, maintained hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA suppression to an undetectable level is the appropriate surrogate outcome. Because no antiviral treatment is perfect, it is desirable for treatment response to be predicted and the treatment regimen modified accordingly. At baseline, high ALT and low HBV DNA levels can predict response to both (peg)interferon and nucleos(t)ide analogues. Genotype A HBV responds best to peginterferon but HBV genotype has no predictive value for nucleos(t)ide analogue treatment. HBV DNA is a good on-treatment predictor of response for nucleos(t)ide analogues but not for (peg)interferon. The data supporting the use of quantitative HBsAg and HBeAg to predict response to peginterferon is stronger than that for nucleos(t)ide analogues. In conclusion, predictors of response are useful to provide the most appropriate antiviral therapy to the most suitable patients, in order to achieve the best response and improve the clinical outcome of chronic hepatitis B patients.

Current challenges in viral hepatitis, antimicrobial resistance and the influenza pandemic

The 3rd Ditan International Conference on Infectious Diseases was held from 29 July to 2 August 2009 at the Beijing International Conference Center, Beijing, China. Over 1000 participants from 27 countries attended the 4-day conference, titled 'World Dialogue on Infectious Diseases'. A broad range of topics were covered this year, including TB, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, HIV, influenza and gastrointestinal infections. In addition, there was a particularly strong focus on two contrasting topics of viral hepatitis and antibiotic resistance, which is the focus of this meeting report.

Surrogate end points and long-term outcome in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND & AIMS

It is unclear whether surrogate end points reported in clinical trials correlate with long-term outcome of patients with chronic hepatitis B.

METHODS

Patients with chronic hepatitis B who participated in any of 4 randomized controlled trials were followed prospectively for liver-related events (hepatocellular carcinoma, ascites, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, variceal bleeding, liver transplantation, and death). Biochemical (normal ALT levels), virologic (levels of hepatitis B virus DNA below 10,000 copies/mL), and histologic (reduction of necroinflammation grading by 2 points or more with no increase in fibrosis staging) responses were evaluated at the end of each trial.

RESULTS

One hundred ninety-five patients with adequate pretreatment and post-treatment liver biopsies (15 mm long and 6 portal tracts) were followed for 86 months (interquartile range, 77-98). Liver-related events occurred in 12 patients (6%). The risk of liver-related events was lower in patients with biochemical (hazard ratio, 0.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.068-0.68) and histologic (hazard ratio, 0.095; 95% confidence interval, 0.012-0.74) responses. Only 1 patient with a histologic response and 1 patient with an ALT level below Prati's cutoffs (30 IU/L in men and 19 IU/L in women) developed liver-related events. Fifteen of 25 patients (60%) with cirrhosis at baseline had regression of cirrhosis, and none of these patients died or developed liver-related events. In contrast, 3 of these patients still developed liver-related events, despite an initial virologic response, and 2 had virologic breakthrough.

CONCLUSIONS

Biochemical and histologic responses, particularly regression of cirrhosis, in patients with chronic hepatitis B are associated with decreased liver-related complications.

Prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis B virus infection

Chronic hepatitis B is the main risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Asia. The most important preventive strategy's adoption of the universal hepatitis B vaccination program is now in its third decade. There is a clear reduction in both chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (hepatitis B surface antigen "carriage") but also in childhood HCC in Taiwan. An outstanding concern is variability in vaccine coverage between countries. For patients with chronic hepatitis B, serum HBV DNA levels have emerged as the key risk factor for development of HCC. The initial treatment for chronic hepatitis B was interferon. One randomized control trial, and several case-control or cohort studies have shown benefits for preventing HCC, particularly in cirrhotic patients who responded to therapy. With nucleos(t)ide analogs, the most important study has been the Asian Cirrhosis Lamivudine multicenter randomized controlled trial. This showed that lamivudine can reduce disease progression in HBV-related cirrhosis, including an approximately 50% decrease in HCC incidence. Such efficacy was achieved despite emergence of drug resistance in approximately 50% of cases. Case-control studies have suggested that hepatitis B cases without cirrhosis may also benefit. In conclusion, it is now possible to prevent HBV-related HCC. The most effective method is hepatitis B vaccination, which prevents chronic HBV infection and chronic liver disease resulting therefrom. Interferon therapy appears to confer benefit but the evidence is weaker. First-generation oral antiviral (lamivudine) reduces HCC risk, particularly in cirrhotics. Long-term outcome data with newer, more potent HBV antivirals that have a higher genetic barrier to drug resistance are eagerly awaited.

Efficacy of consensus interferon in treatment of HbeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B: a multicentre, randomized controlled trial

Background

Consensus interferon (CIFN) is a newly developed type I interferon.

Aims

This multicentre, controlled trial was conducted to determine the efficacy of CIFN and to compare it with alpha-1b-interferon (IFN-α1b) in the treatment of patients with hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive chronic hepatitis B.

Methods

144 Patients were randomly assigned to receive 9 μg CIFN (CIFN group) or 50 μg INF-α1b (IFN-alpha group) subcutaneously 3 times weekly for 24 weeks, followed by 24 weeks of observation. Efficacy was assessed by normalization of serum alanine transaminase (ALT) levels and the non-detectability of serum hepatitis B virus DNA or HBeAg at the end of treatment and 24 weeks after stopping treatment.

Results

There was no statistically significant difference in the serological, virological and biochemical parameters between CIFN and IFN-α1b groups at the end of the therapy and follow-up period (p > 0.05). Overall, at the end of treatment, 7.0% (5/71) and 35.2% (25/71) of patients in the CIFN group showed a complete or partial response compared with 7.4% (5/68) and 33.8% (23/68) of the IFN-alpha group (p = 0.10). At 24 weeks after stopping treatment, 6.9% (5/72) and 37.5% (27/72) of patients in the CIFN group showed complete response or partial response compared with 7.1% (5/70) and 34.3% (24/70) of the IFN-alpha group (p = 0.10).

Conclusion

These findings suggest that 9 μg CIFN is effective in the treatment of patients with HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis B. It can gradually induce ALT normalization and HBV DNA clearance and HBeAg loss or HBeAg/HBeAb seroconversion.

Severe acute exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B: a unique presentation of a common disease

Severe acute exacerbation is a unique presentation of chronic hepatitis B characterized by very high alanine aminotransferase level accompanied by jaundice and hepatic decompensation. The underlying pathogenesis is likely related to excessive immune clearance, which may be related to the genotype of hepatitis B virus. The mortality is very high once hepatic encephalopathy develops, but some patients can recover to almost normal liver function in contrast to patients with end-stage liver cirrhosis. This condition should be differentiated from acute hepatitis B and other causes of acute hepatitis must be excluded. Conventional prognostic systems may not be applicable to severe acute exacerbation of chronic hepatitis B. In general, patients who have thrombocytopenia, hyperbilirubinemia and coagulopathy have a higher risk of mortality regardless of the serum alanine aminotransferase levels. There is no evidence that lamivudine treatment can reduce the short-term mortality of severe acute exacerbation. However, patients with severe acute exacerbation tend to have a higher rate of maintained virological response, higher rate of hepatitis B e antigen seroconversion and low rate of drug resistance on extended lamivudine treatment as compared to other chronic hepatitis B patients. Virological relapse and severe hepatitis reactivation is common after treatment cessation and therefore long-term antiviral treatment is recommended. Liver transplantation, particularly living donor liver transplantation, should be considered for patients who develop hepatic failure secondary to severe acute exacerbation.

Antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B: are we doing any good to patients?

At the recent National Institutes of Health Consensus Development Conference, the value of antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B in improving clinical outcome was hotly debated. In patients with chronic hepatitis B, antiviral therapy has proved effective in viral load reduction, alanine aminotransferase normalization and histological improvements. However, its efficacy in reducing decompensated liver disease, hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related death remains unclear. To date, animal studies and observational studies, but very few randomized controlled trials, have shown improved clinical outcomes after antiviral therapy. The difficulties of conducting clinical trials using clinical endpoints are highlighted. Before more clinical outcome data are available, it is important to validate the clinical implications of surrogate markers including biochemical, virological and histological responses.

High serum interleukin-6 level predicts future hepatocellular carcinoma development in patients with chronic hepatitis B

Increased interleukin-6 (IL-6) production is implicated in the pathogenesis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in animal models. Although previous studies showed that HCC patients had higher serum IL-6 level at the time of diagnosis, it is unclear if the cytokine contributes to the development of HCC or is just a reaction to cancer. To address this question, we performed a nested case-control study. Consecutive chronic hepatitis B patients were recruited from 1997 to 2000 and followed till 2008. Profiling of 27 cytokines, chemokines and growth factors was performed at baseline, date of peak alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level and the last visit. Thirty-seven patients developed HCC at a median follow-up of 62 months (interquartile range: 41-110). Serum IL-6 was higher in patients with HCC than controls both during peak ALT and at the last visit (both p = 0.02). Patients with IL-6 above 7 pg/ml during peak ALT had increased risk of HCC or death (adjusted hazard ratio 3.0; 95% confidence interval 1.2, 7.8; p = 0.02). The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of this cutoff to predict future HCC development were 70%, 73%, 72% and 71%, respectively. Combination of IL-6 and AFP improved the sensitivity in diagnosing HCC or predicting future HCC development. In conclusion, high serum IL-6 level predates the development of HCC in chronic hepatitis B patients, and has moderate accuracy in predicting future cancer. This may assist clinicians in selecting high-risk patients for HCC surveillance program.

A review of the natural history of chronic hepatitis B in the era of transient elastography

Understanding the natural history of chronic hepatitis B is important in order to predict the prognosis, to stratify the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma and to select appropriate candidates for antiviral treatment. Liver fibrosis is the pathogenic process that leads to liver cirrhosis. The study of liver fibrosis in the past has largely been hampered by the invasive nature of a liver biopsy. Most liver biopsy series represent biased populations with more active disease. Transient elastography is a reliable and non-invasive measurement of liver fibrosis that allows the study of liver fibrosis among patients without clinical indication for liver biopsy. Large studies using transient elastography in patients with predominantly normal alanine aminotransferase levels have been reported recently. The different roles of patient age, hepatitis B virus DNA and alanine aminotransferase levels in the risk stratification for advanced liver fibrosis have been defined in hepatitis B e antigen-positive and hepatitis B e antigen-negative chronic hepatitis B patients. The relationship between metabolic syndrome and chronic hepatitis B is also explored. In this review, new insights from studies using transient elastography on the natural history of chronic hepatitis B with special focus on liver fibrosis will be summarized and discussed.