ALT to qHBsAg ratio predicts long-term HBsAg seroclearance after entecavir cessation in Chinese patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Factors predicting HBsAg seroclearance after treatment cessation, irrespective of nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) resumption, have important clinical implications. We evaluated predictors of long-term HBsAg seroclearance after entecavir cessation.

METHODS

This study followed-up Chinese patients with chronic hepatitis B from two previous studies of entecavir cessation. All patients were non-cirrhotic, HBeAg-negative, with undetectable HBV DNA (<20 IU/ml) at end-of-treatment (EOT). They were monitored closely for 48 weeks with regular HBV DNA, quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) measurements. Entecavir was resumed at HBV DNA >2,000 IU/ml, irrespective of ALT levels. After the initial 48 weeks, patients were assessed every 6 months, regardless of entecavir resumption, to monitor for HBsAg seroclearance.

RESULTS

A total of 194 patients (63.4% male, mean age 49.9 years, on entecavir for a median of 47.2 months) were recruited; 94 (48.5%) and 158 (81.4%) patients had EOT qHBsAg <100 IU/ml and <1,000 IU/ml, respectively; 151 (77.8%) patients were eventually resumed on entecavir. After follow-up for a median of 70.7 (51.0-118.2) months, 28 (14.4%) patients had HBsAg seroclearance. qHBsAg levels at weeks 36 and 48 after EOT independently predicted HBsAg seroclearance (both p <0.01), whereas qHBsAg from EOT to week 24 only trended towards statistical significance. The ratio of ALT/qHBsAg at all time points from EOT to week 48 independently predicted HBsAg seroclearance (hazard ratios ranging from 1.003-1.028, all p <0.01) with excellent diagnostic performance (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve 0.799-0.933, negative predictive value >90% at different time points), regardless of whether entecavir was resumed.

CONCLUSIONS

The ALT/qHBsAg ratio after entecavir cessation predicts HBsAg seroclearance, even in patients who were resumed on treatment. Its use may mitigate the risk of severe hepatitis flares in patients managed by observation without treatment resumption.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Current predictors of HBsAg seroclearance after finite nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy have suboptimal predictive value. We demonstrated that the ALT/qHBsAg ratio may be able to reflect the balance between host control and virological activity. The ALT/qHBsAg ratio at different time points from end-of-treatment till week 48 independently and accurately predicted HBsAg seroclearance in patients who have stopped entecavir. The ALT/qHBsAg ratio may be utilized by clinicians for patient selection and retreatment decisions in finite NA therapy.

Longitudinal evaluation of cervical length and shear wave elastography in women with spontaneous preterm birth

OBJECTIVES

To compare longitudinal changes in cervical length (CL) and mean cervical shear wave elastography (CSWE) scores between women with singleton and twin pregnancies who experience spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB) and those who have term births (TB).

METHODS

This was a prospective longitudinal study of 1264 unselected women with singleton (n=1143) and twin (n=121) pregnancy attending a dedicated research clinic for screening of sPTB at 4 timepoints during pregnancy including 11-15+6 (visit 1), 16-20+6 (visit 2), 21-24+6 (visit 3) and 28-32+6 (visit 4) weeks of gestation. At each visit, a transvaginal ultrasound scan was conducted to measure the CL and the CSWE scores from six regions of interest (ROI) (inner, middle, and external parts of anterior and posterior lips) in the cervix. The mean of CSWE scores from the six ROIs were calculated for data analysis. Log10 transformation was applied to make the data Gaussian prior to statistical analysis. A multilevel mixed-effects analysis was performed to compare CL and CSWE longitudinally between sPTB and TB groups.

RESULTS

A total of 57 (4.99%) singleton pregnancies and 33 (27.27%) twin pregnancies were complicated with sPTB. Women with sPTB had shorter CL across gestation when controlling for history of cervical surgery, number of fetuses, gestational age at cervical assessment (GA), and the interaction between GA and sPTB. CL in the sPTB group was significantly lower than that of the TB group at 21-24+6 weeks (p=0.039) and 28-32+6 weeks (p<0.001). Twin pregnancies had significantly longer CL throughout pregnancy, compared to singleton pregnancies (coefficient=0.01864, p<0.001). Furthermore, after adjusting for maternal age, weight, height, body mass index (BMI), and GA, CSWE scores in sPTB group were significantly lower in the sPTB group across gestation, compared to the TB group (1.28265 vs 1.32832; p=0.013). However, in the individual visit analysis, CSWE scores in the sPTB group were significantly lower than that of the TB group only at 11-15+6 weeks (p=0.013). There was no difference in CSWE scores between singleton and twin pregnancies throughout pregnancy (coefficient=-0.00128, p=0.937).

CONCLUSION

Women with sPTB have shorter CL and softer cervix across gestation when compared to those with TB. In the individual visit analysis, the reduction in CL in the sPTB group occurs from late second trimester onwards, while the reduction in cervical stiffness in the sPTB group is observed primarily in the first trimester. Additionally, our study has found that CL is significantly shorter in singleton pregnancies compared to twin pregnancies, while cervical stiffness does not differ between the two types of pregnancy. Our findings indicate that the cervix tends to undergo a softening process prior to shortening in the sPTB cases This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Donor Diabetes and Steatosis Affects Recipient Survival Following Liver Transplantation Based on Etiology of Liver Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) offers patients with decompensated cirrhosis the best chance at long-term survival. With the rising prevalence of diabetes, further clarity is needed on the impact of receiving a liver allograft from a donor with diabetes on post-LT outcomes. This study aims to evaluate the impact of donor diabetes on clinical outcomes after LT.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing registry data of LT recipients from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2021. Outcomes analysis was performed using Cox proportional model for all-cause mortality and graft failure. Confounding was reduced by coarsened exact matching causal inference analysis.

RESULTS

Of 66 960 donors identified, 7178 (10.7%) had diabetes. Trend analysis revealed a longitudinal increase in the prevalence of donor diabetes ( P  < 0.001). Importantly, donor diabetes was associated with increased all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07-1.19; P  < 0.001) and graft failure (HR: 1.16; 95% CI, 1.11-1.22; P  < 0.001). Receiving donor organ with diabetes reduced graft survival in patients who received LT for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis cirrhosis (HR: 1.26; 95% CI, 1.13-1.41; P  < 0.001) but not other etiologies of cirrhosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Donor diabetes was associated with worse outcomes post-LT, particularly in patients receiving LT for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis cirrhosis. Future studies are needed to better understand the mechanism underlying this association to develop better risk stratification and clinical practice to improve the outcomes of the transplanted patients.

Adjusted estimate of the prevalence of hepatitis delta virus in 25 countries and territories

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Hepatitis delta virus (HDV) is a satellite RNA virus that requires the hepatitis B virus (HBV) for assembly and propagation. Individuals infected with HDV progress to advanced liver disease faster than HBV-monoinfected individuals. Recent studies have estimated the global prevalence of anti-HDV antibodies among the HBV-infected population to be 5-15%. This study aimed to better understand HDV prevalence at the population level in 25 countries/territories.

METHODS

We conducted a literature review to determine the prevalence of anti-HDV and HDV RNA in hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-positive individuals in 25 countries/territories. Virtual meetings were held with experts from each setting to discuss the findings and collect unpublished data. Data were weighted for patient segments and regional heterogeneity to estimate the prevalence in the HBV-infected population. The findings were then combined with The Polaris Observatory HBV data to estimate the anti-HDV and HDV RNA prevalence in each country/territory at the population level.

RESULTS

After adjusting for geographical distribution, disease stage and special populations, the anti-HDV prevalence among the HBsAg+ population changed from the literature estimate in 19 countries. The highest anti-HDV prevalence was 60.1% in Mongolia. Once adjusted for the size of the HBsAg+ population and HDV RNA positivity rate, China had the highest absolute number of HDV RNA+ cases.

CONCLUSIONS

We found substantially lower HDV prevalence than previously reported, as prior meta-analyses primarily focused on studies conducted in groups/regions that have a higher probability of HBV infection: tertiary care centers, specific risk groups or geographical regions. There is large uncertainty in HDV prevalence estimates. The implementation of reflex testing would improve estimates, while also allowing earlier linkage to care for HDV RNA+ individuals. The logistical and economic burden of reflex testing on the health system would be limited, as only HBsAg+ cases would be screened.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

There is a great deal of uncertainty surrounding the prevalence of hepatitis delta virus among people living with hepatitis B virus at the population level. In this study, we aimed to better understand the burden in 25 countries and territories, to refine techniques that can be used in future analyses. We found a lower prevalence in the majority of places studied than had been previously reported. These data can help inform policy makers on the need to screen people living with hepatitis B virus to find those coinfected with hepatitis delta virus and at high risk of progression, while also highlighting the pitfalls that other researchers have often fallen into.

Impact of opioid-free analgesia on pain severity and patient satisfaction after discharge from surgery: multispecialty, prospective cohort study in 25 countries

BACKGROUND

Balancing opioid stewardship and the need for adequate analgesia following discharge after surgery is challenging. This study aimed to compare the outcomes for patients discharged with opioid versus opioid-free analgesia after common surgical procedures.

METHODS

This international, multicentre, prospective cohort study collected data from patients undergoing common acute and elective general surgical, urological, gynaecological, and orthopaedic procedures. The primary outcomes were patient-reported time in severe pain measured on a numerical analogue scale from 0 to 100% and patient-reported satisfaction with pain relief during the first week following discharge. Data were collected by in-hospital chart review and patient telephone interview 1 week after discharge.

RESULTS

The study recruited 4273 patients from 144 centres in 25 countries; 1311 patients (30.7%) were prescribed opioid analgesia at discharge. Patients reported being in severe pain for 10 (i.q.r. 1-30)% of the first week after discharge and rated satisfaction with analgesia as 90 (i.q.r. 80-100) of 100. After adjustment for confounders, opioid analgesia on discharge was independently associated with increased pain severity (risk ratio 1.52, 95% c.i. 1.31 to 1.76; P < 0.001) and re-presentation to healthcare providers owing to side-effects of medication (OR 2.38, 95% c.i. 1.36 to 4.17; P = 0.004), but not with satisfaction with analgesia (β coefficient 0.92, 95% c.i. -1.52 to 3.36; P = 0.468) compared with opioid-free analgesia. Although opioid prescribing varied greatly between high-income and low- and middle-income countries, patient-reported outcomes did not.

CONCLUSION

Opioid analgesia prescription on surgical discharge is associated with a higher risk of re-presentation owing to side-effects of medication and increased patient-reported pain, but not with changes in patient-reported satisfaction. Opioid-free discharge analgesia should be adopted routinely.

Global prevalence, cascade of care, and prophylaxis coverage of hepatitis B in 2022: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

The 2016 World Health Assembly endorsed the elimination of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection as a public health threat by 2030; existing therapies and prophylaxis measures make such elimination feasible, even in the absence of a virological cure. We aimed to estimate the national, regional, and global prevalence of HBV in the general population and among children aged 5 years and younger, as well as the rates of diagnosis, treatment, prophylaxis, and the future burden globally.

METHODS

In this modelling study, we used a Delphi process with data from literature reviews and interviews with country experts to quantify the prevalence, diagnosis, treatment, and prevention measures for HBV infection. The PRoGReSs Model, a dynamic Markov model, was used to estimate the country, regional, and global prevalence of HBV infection in 2022, and the effects of treatment and prevention on disease burden. The future incidence of morbidity and mortality in the absence of additional interventions was also estimated at the global level.

FINDINGS

We developed models for 170 countries which resulted in an estimated global prevalence of HBV infection in 2022 of 3·2% (95% uncertainty interval 2·7-4·0), corresponding to 257·5 million (216·6-316·4) individuals positive for HBsAg. Of these individuals, 36·0 million were diagnosed, and only 6·8 million of the estimated 83·3 million eligible for treatment were on treatment. The prevalence among children aged 5 years or younger was estimated to be 0·7% (0·6-1·0), corresponding to 5·6 million (4·5-7·8) children with HBV infection. Based on the most recent data, 85% of infants received three-dose HBV vaccination before 1 year of age, 46% had received a timely birth dose of vaccine, and 14% received hepatitis B immunoglobulin along with the full vaccination regimen. 3% of mothers with a high HBV viral load received antiviral treatment to reduce mother-to-child transmission.

INTERPRETATION

As 2030 approaches, the elimination targets remain out of reach for many countries under the current frameworks. Although prevention measures have had the most success, there is a need to increase these efforts and to increase diagnosis and treatment to work towards the elimination goals.

FUNDING

John C Martin Foundation, Gilead Sciences, and EndHep2030.

High prevalence of de novo metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease after liver transplantation and the role of controlled attenuation parameter

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Although non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains an uncommon indication for liver transplantation (LT) in the Chinese, the prevalence of NAFLD is increasing. We aimed to determine the prevalence of de novo steatosis and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) after LT.

METHODS

Transient elastography assessment for liver stiffness and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) were performed after LT in 549 patients at median time of 77 months from LT. CAP was compared with implant liver biopsy, and also validated in 42 patients with post-LT liver biopsy. Longitudinal history including diabetes mellitus (DM), dyslipidemia, hypertension, and immunosuppressive regimen were recorded.

RESULTS

The optimal cut-off level of CAP for diagnosing at least mild (≥ S1) and moderate-to-severe steatosis (≥ S2/3) was 266 and 293 dB/m respectively, with AUROC of 0.740 and 0.954 respectively. Using this newly derived cut-off, 28.9% patients have de novo NAFLD, of which 95.6% fulfilled the criteria for MAFLD. After multivariate analysis, BMI (HR 1.34), DM (HR 2.01), hypertension (HR 2.03), HDL-cholesterol (HR 0.25), LDL-cholesterol (HR 1.5) and cryptogenic cirrhosis (HR 4.85) were associated with the development of S2/3 graft steatosis. de novo NAFLD was associated with higher incidence of new-onset hypertension (p < 0.001), graft dysfunction (defined as ALT > 40 U/L; p = 0.008), but not associated with graft fibrosis (defined as liver stiffness > 12 kPa; p = 0.761).

CONCLUSION

Although NAFLD remains an uncommon primary liver disease indication for LT in Chinese patients, post-transplant de novo graft steatosis is common and the majority is classified as MAFLD. Development of graft steatosis is not associated with an increase in graft fibrosis but was associated with worse metabolic control and graft dysfunction. Routine CAP measurement to detect de novo graft steatosis should be considered after LT regardless of the primary indication of LT.

Editorial: Mitigating the risk of severe hepatitis flare following nucleoside analogue discontinuation-Insights from a real-world study

This article is linked to Hsu et al papers. To view these articles, visit https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17614 and https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.17644

Bepirovirsen (GSK3228836) in chronic hepatitis B infection: an evaluation of phase II progress

INTRODUCTION

Chronic hepatitis B infection is a major global health issue associated with significant liver-related morbidity and mortality. While existing treatments can suppress the virus effectively, they are incapable of inducing functional cure, as defined by hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance. Currently, numerous novel compounds are being developed, including bepirovirsen, an antisense oligonucleotide (ASO).

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes the mechanism of action, pharmacokinetics, clinical efficacy and safety data collected from phase I and II studies of bepirovirsen. The data were extracted from publications relevant to the pivotal trials of bepirovirsen, in either full manuscript or conference abstracts.

EXPERTOPINION

Bepirovirsen, a 20-mer ASO, has already entered phase III clinical evaluation using the optimal dosing regimen of 300 mg subcutaneous injection weekly for 24 weeks in nucleoside analogue-treated HBeAg-negative non-cirrhotic patients with low (<3000 IU/mL) baseline HBsAg. The durability and long-term clinical outcomes among Bepirovirsen responders will need to be evaluated. The stop-to-cure approach in those reaching HBsAg < 100 IU/mL should also be explored. In the long run, Bepirovirsen has the potential to facilitate viral hepatitis elimination.

De novo metabolic syndrome after liver transplantation: a meta-analysis on cumulative incidence, risk factors, and outcomes

Post-transplant metabolic syndrome (PTMS) has been associated with increased cardiovascular risk which significantly impacts the morbidity and mortality rates of liver transplant (LT) recipients. This study sought to conduct a meta-analysis and systematic review on the cumulative incidence, risk factors, and cardiovascular outcomes associated with de novo PTMS.Medline and Embase were searched for articles describing the incidence, risk factors, and cardiovascular outcomes of de novo PTMS. Meta-analysis of proportions was conducted to calculate incidence. Conventional pairwise analysis using random effects model was used to tabulate OR and hazard ratio for risk factors and cardiovascular outcomes, respectively. Fifteen studies involving 2683 LT recipients were included. Overall rate of de novo PTMS was 24.7% (CI: 18.0%-32.9%) over a mean follow-up period of 15.3 months and was highest in patients with NAFLD (60.0%, CI: 52.0%-67.5%) compared with other liver diseases. Older age (OR: 1.05, CI: 1.01-1.09, p = 0.02) and pre-LT type II diabetes mellitus (OR: 5.00, CI: 4.17-5.99, p < 0.01) were predictive factors of de novo PTMS. Patients with de novo PTMS had significantly higher likelihood of cardiovascular disease events compared with those who did not (hazard ratio: 2.42, CI: 1.54-3.81, p < 0.01). De novo PTMS is a common complication and is significantly associated with increased cardiovascular disease morbidity. High-risk patients such as elderly recipients, those with pre-LT type II diabetes mellitus, or NASH-related cirrhosis should undergo routine screening to allow timely intervention.

Chronic hepatitis B - A scoping review on the guidelines for stopping nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy

INTRODUCTION

Nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) are effective in suppressing the replication of the hepatitis B virus. However, NAs cannot effectively induce hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance, which represents the optimal treatment endpoint in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Hence, most CHB patients are advised for indefinite NA therapy, but recent data has supported the concept of finite NA therapy before HBsAg seroclearance.

AREAS COVERED

This article covered the latest evidence on stopping NAs in CHB, with focused analysis on international guidelines. Articles were retrieved by a literature search on PubMed with the keywords "chronic hepatitis B", "antiviral therapy", "nucleos(t)ide analogue", "cessation", "stopping" and "finite". Studies up till 1 December 2022 were included.

EXPERT OPINION

Finite NA therapy in CHB has potential in enhancing HBsAg seroclearance, however it also carries rare but potentially severe risks. NA cessation before HBsAg seroclearance is only suitable for a highly-selected group of patients, whereas the majority of CHB patients should be treated indefinitely or until HBsAg seroclearance. Current guidelines have provided recommendations on stopping NAs, but further research is required to optimize the monitoring and retreatment protocol after stopping NAs.

Advances in determining new treatments for hepatitis B infection by utilizing existing and novel biomarkers

INTRODUCTION

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection is a major global health threat and accounts for significant liver-related morbidity and mortality. An improved understanding of how hepatitis B virus (HBV) interacts with the host immune system allows the discovery of novel biomarkers and new treatment options. Viral biomarkers including hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and newer ones like HBV RNA and hepatitis B core-related antigen appear to be useful to select patients who are likely to benefit from cessation of long-term antiviral therapy. These markers can also help to confirm target engagement for novel compounds, and efficacy in HBsAg reduction and seroclearance is deemed essential as this is how the current treatment endpoint of functional cure is defined.

AREAS COVERED

In this review, the authors discuss the current standard of care and the gaps between such standard and the ideal goals for treatment in CHB. The authors highlight novel viral and immunological biomarkers that are potentially useful to evaluate treatment response. Novel treatment approaches in relation to these novel biomarkers are also evaluated.

EXPERT OPINION

Novel serum viral biomarkers and immunological markers are indispensable in the HBV functional cure program. These will likely become part of standard monitoring soon.

Long-term Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Profile and Seroclearance after Severe Acute Flares of Chronic Hepatitis B

Background/Aims

Hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance remains uncommon in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection. During acute flares of CHB (AFOCHB), alanine aminotransferase elevation reflects a mounting immune response toward viral clearance. We hypothesized that severe AFOCHB is associated with a greater quantitative HBsAg (qHBsAg) decline and HBsAg seroclearance rate.

Methods

A total of 75 patients with severe AFOCHB with alanine aminotransferase 10× the upper limit of normal were matched to a control group by age and sex in a 1:2 ratio. qHBsAg levels were measured at the time of flare and annually (for both cases and controls) until the last follow-up.

Results

The median follow-up times for patients with severe AFOCHB and controls were 8.8 and 10.5 years, respectively. The cumulative rate of HBsAg seroclearance was higher in the severe AFOCHB group than in the control group (11.8% vs 5.0%, p=0.04) despite the former group having a trend of a higher baseline median qHBsAg (3,127 IU/mL vs 1,178 IU/mL, p=0.076). Compared with the control group, the severe AFOCHB group had a greater annual qHBsAg reduction (-242.4 IU/mL/yr vs -47.3 IU/mL/yr, p=0.002). Increasing age (p=0.049), lower baseline qHBsAg (p=0.002), and severe AFOCHB (p=0.014) were independently associated with HBsAg seroclearance. However, the cumulative rate of hepatocellular carcinoma was significantly higher in the severe AFOCHB group than in the control group (15.8% vs 1.9%, p<0.001).

Conclusions

Severe AFOCHB was associated with a greater incidence of HBsAg seroclearance and qHBsAg decline. However, it was associated with a higher incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma.

A longitudinal study to detect hepatitis B surface and core-related antigens in chronic hepatitis B patients with hepatitis B surface antigen seroclearance using highly sensitive assays

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of two novel assays, namely the iTACT-hepatitis B surface antigen (iTACT-HBsAg) and iTACT-hepatitis B core-related antigen (iTACT-HBcrAg) assays, in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with HBsAg seroclearance (SC) documented by standard assays.

METHODS

HBsAg and HBcrAg were measured by the two iTACT-assays in 556 serial sera collected from 96 CHB patients at 7 different time points spanning from 5 years before to 10 years after SC and 120 HBsAg-negative, anti-HBc-positive individuals. As controls, 60 seronegative individuals, who were negative for HBsAg, anti-HBc and anti-HBs, were tested.

RESULTS

Using the iTACT-assays, HBsAg was detectable in 154/418 (36.8%) samples collected after SC. HBcrAg was detectable in 78.3% and 65.9% of samples collected before and after SC, respectively. The detectability rates of both HBsAg and HBcrAg progressively decreased over time after SC. At 10 years after SC, 20.4% and 64.5% of the patients still had detectable HBsAg and HBcrAg, respectively. 66 (71%) patients had detectable HBsAg and/or HBcrAg. Among the 120 HBsAg-negative, anti-HBc-positive individuals, 11 (9.2%) and 4 (3.3%) had detectable HBsAg and HBcrAg respectively. Both HBsAg and HBcrAg were undetectable in the controls.

CONCLUSION

The iTACT assays detected a low level of HBsAg and/or HBcrAg in >70% of patients even at 10 years after SC, suggesting that CHB patients with SC still harbour a low level of HBV protein expression. The clinical significance of detectable viral proteins after SC with regard to disease progression and HBV reactivation deserves further investigations.

Effect of Antiviral Treatment on Hepatitis B Virus Integration and Hepatocyte Clonal Expansion

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the effect of nucleos(t)ide analogue (NUC) treatment on hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA integration and hepatocyte clonal expansion, both of which are implicated in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B.

METHODS

Twenty-eight patients receiving NUCs (11 lamivudine, 7 telbivudine, 10 entecavir) were included. All had liver biopsies at baseline and year 1, and 7 had a third biopsy at year 10. HBV DNA integration and hepatocyte clone size were assessed by inverse polymerase chain reaction.

RESULTS

All patients had detectable HBV integration at baseline, with a median integration frequency of 1.01 × 109 per liver and hepatocyte clone size of 2.41 × 105. Neither integration frequency nor hepatocyte clone size correlated with age and HBV virologic parameters. After 1 year of treatment, HBV integration was still detectable in all patients, with a median of 5.74 × 108 integration per liver (0.22 log reduction; P = .008) and hepatocyte clone size of 1.22 × 105 (0.40 log reduction; P = .002). HBV integration remained detectable at year 10 of treatment, with a median integration frequency of 4.84 × 107 integration per liver (0.93 log reduction from baseline) and hepatocyte clone size of 2.55 × 104 (1.02 log reduction from baseline). From baseline through year 1 to year 10, there was a decreasing trend in both integration frequency and hepatocyte clone size (P = .066 and.018, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

NUCs reduced both HBV DNA integration and hepatocyte clonal expansion, suggesting another alternative pathway besides direct viral suppression to reduce HCC risk. Our findings supported the notion for a long-term NUC treatment to prevent HCC.

Glycemic burden and the risk of adverse hepatic outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis B with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is common among patients with chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) and has been associated with increased risk of carcinogenesis, including HCC. We investigated factors associated with HCC and fibrosis progression among patients with CHB with T2D (CHB+T2D).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Chinese patients with CHB were prospectively recruited for the incidence of HCC and fibrosis progression defined by transient elastography. Among patients with CHB+T2D, glycemic control was assessed by mean glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and HbA1c variability determined using HbA1c measurements in the 5 years preceding recruitment. A total of 2330 patients with CHB were recruited (mean age 54.6 ±11.8 years old, 55.5% male, 57.9% antiviral-treated), with 671 (28.8%) having CHB+T2D (mean T2D duration 7.2 ± 4.6 years, mean HbA1c 7.2 ± 0.9%). T2D was independently associated with HCC (HR 2.080, 95% CI 1.343-3.222) and fibrosis progression (OR 4.305, 95% CI 3.416-5.424) in the overall cohort. In patients with CHB+T2D, factors reflecting glycemic burden (T2D duration [HR 1.107, 95% CI 1.023-1.198]), mean HbA1c (HR 1.851, 95% CI 1.026-3.339), time reaching target HbA1c (HbA1c-TRT; HR 0.978, 95% CI 0.957-0.999), liver stiffness (HR 1.041-1.043), and smoking (HR 2.726-3.344) were independently associated with HCC (all p < 0.05), but not HbA1c variability or controlled attenuation parameter. The same glycemic burden-related factors (T2D duration, mean HbA1c, and HbA1c-TRT), in addition to baseline fasting glucose, baseline HbA1c, AST and antiviral therapy, were independently associated with fibrosis progression at 3 years.

CONCLUSIONS

High glycemic burden was associated with HCC development and fibrosis progression among patients with CHB+T2D, highlighting the importance of glycemic control in reducing liver-related complications.

Economic Impact of European Liver and Intestine Transplantation Association (ELITA) Recommendations for Hepatitis B Prophylaxis After Liver Transplantation

The European Liver and Intestine Transplant Association, ELITA, promoted a Consensus Conference involving 20 experts across the world which generated updated guidelines on HBV prophylaxis in liver transplant candidates and recipients. This study explores the economic impact associated with the implementation of the new ELITA guidelines. To this aim, a condition-specific cohort simulation model has been developed to compare new and historical prophylaxis, including only pharmaceutical cost and using the European perspective. The target population simulated in the model included both prevalent and incident cases, and consisted of 6,133 patients after the first year, that increased to 7,442 and 8,743 patents after 5 and 10 years from its implementation. The ELITA protocols allowed a cost saving of around € 235.65 million after 5 years and € 540.73 million after 10 years; which was mainly due to early HIBG withdrawal either after the first 4 weeks or after the first year post Liver Transplantation (LT) depending on the virological risk at transplantation. Results were confirmed by sensitivity analyses. The money saved by the implementation of the ELITA guidelines would allow healthcare decision makers and budget holders to understand where costs could be reduced and resources re-allocated to different needs.

Is it possible to predict the severity of acute appendicitis? Reliability of predictive models based on easily available blood variables

INTRODUCTION

Recent evidence confirms that the treatment of acute appendicitis is not necessarily surgical, and selected patients with uncomplicated appendicitis can benefit from a non-operative management. Unfortunately, no cost-effective test has been proven to be able to effectively predict the degree of appendicular inflammation as yet, therefore, patient selection is too often left to the personal choice of the emergency surgeon. Our paper aims to clarify if basic and readily available blood tests can give reliable prognostic information to build up predictive models to help the decision-making process.

METHODS

Clinical notes of 2275 patients who underwent an appendicectomy with a presumptive diagnosis of acute appendicitis were reviewed, taking into consideration basic preoperative blood tests and histology reports on the surgical specimens. Variables were compared with univariate and multivariate analysis, and predictive models were created.

RESULTS

18.2% of patients had a negative appendicectomy, 9.6% had mucosal only inflammation, 53% had transmural inflammation and 19.2% had gangrenous appendicitis. A strong correlation was found between degree of inflammation and lymphocytes count and CRP/Albumin ratio, both at univariate and multivariate analysis. A predictive model to identify cases of gangrenous appendicitis was developed.

CONCLUSION

Low lymphocyte count and high CRP/Albumin ratio combined into a predictive model may have a role in the selection of patients who deserve appendicectomy instead of non-operative management of acute appendicitis.

The role of different viral biomarkers on the management of chronic hepatitis B For special issue 'Challenging issues in the treatment of viral hepatitis'

Chronic hepatitis B infection is a major public health challenge. With the advancement in technology, various components of the viral cycle can now be measured in the blood to assess viral activity. In this review article, we summarize the relevant data of how antiviral therapies impact viral biomarkers, and discuss their potential implications. Viral nucleic acids including HBV DNA and to a lesser extent, pre-genomic RNA (pgRNA), are readily suppressed by nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs). The primary role of these markers include risk prediction for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and risk stratification for partial cure, defined as off-therapy virological control, or functional cure, defined as hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance plus undetectable serum HBV DNA for ≥6 months. Viral translational products including hepatitis e antigen, quantitative HBsAg and hepatitis B core-related antigen can be reduced by NUCs and pegylated interferon α. They are important in defining disease phase, delineating treatment endpoints, and predicting clinical outcomes including HCC risk and partial/ functional cure. As the primary outcome of phase III trials in CHB is set as HBsAg seroclearance, appropriate viral biomarkers can potentially inform the efficacy of novel compounds. Early viral biomarker response can help with prioritization of subjects into clinical trials. However, standardization and validation studies would be crucial before viral biomarkers can be broadly implemented in clinical use.

A qualitative systematic review of anonymous/unspecified living kidney and liver donors' perspectives

OBJECTIVES & BACKGROUND

Anonymous live organ donors or unspecified donors are individuals willing to be organ donors for any transplant recipient with whom they have no biological or antecedent emotional relationship. Despite excellent recipient outcomes and the potential to help address organ scarcity, controversy surrounds the unconditional act of gifting one's organs to an unrelated recipient. This qualitative systematic review provides insights into the first-hand experiences, motivations, and challenges that unspecified donors face.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted on Medline, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and Web of Science database for qualitative literature regarding unspecified living donors' motivations and experiences in liver and kidney transplantation. An inductive thematic analysis was conducted to generate themes and supportive subthemes.

RESULTS

12 studies were included. The four major themes were (i) motivations, (ii) perception of risks, (iii) donor support, and (iv) benefits of donation. Unspecified donors demonstrated a deep sense of social responsibility but tended to underestimate health risks in favour of benefits for recipients. Despite the lack of emotional support from family and friends, the decision to donate was a resolute personal decision for donors. Majority benefitted emotionally and did not express regret.

CONCLUSION

This qualitative review bridges the gap in literature on unspecified living donor psychology and provides a comprehensive understanding of the decision-making matrix and experiences of donors.

Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Score Stratifies Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Patients With Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroclearance

In this prospective study involving 337 chronic hepatitis B patients who achieved spontaneous hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance (SC), serum enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) before SC was associated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) (hazard ratio 2.588), and ELF <10.8 was associated with >97% reduction in risk of HCC development in patients with age SC ≥ 50 (n = 190).

Clinical Profiles of Asians with NAFLD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

NAFLD is increasingly prevalent in Asia, where people suffer more metabolic comorbidities at a lower body mass index (BMI), suggesting potential differences in their clinical profile. Therefore, we attempted to characterize the clinical profile of Asians with NAFLD via a meta-analytic approach.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases from January 1, 2000, to January 17, 2019. Two authors independently reviewed and selected 104 articles (2,247,754 persons) that identified NAFLD in Asians and reported relevant data, especially BMI and ALT, and excluded individuals with other liver disease and excessive alcohol consumption. Individual patient-level data were obtained from seven cohorts in Asia to complement meta-analyzed data.

RESULTS

Overall, the mean age was 52.07 (95% CI: 51.28-52.85) years, with those from Southeast Asia (42.66, 95% CI: 32.23-53.11) being significantly younger. The mean BMI was 26.2 kg/m2, higher in moderate-severe versus mild hepatic steatosis (28.3 vs. 25.7) patients and NFS ≥ -1.455 versus <-1.455 (27.09 vs. 26.02), with 34% having nonobese NAFLD. The mean ALT was 31.74 U/L, higher in NFS < -1.455 versus ≥-1.455 (33.74 vs. 27.83), though no differences were found by obesity or steatosis severity. The majority of males (85.7%) and females (60.7%) had normal to minimally elevated ALT (1-1.5 × 95% ULN). Individual patient-level data analysis (N = 7,668) demonstrated similar results.

CONCLUSION

About one-third of Asians with NAFLD were nonobese, and the majority did not have markedly elevated ALT. Therefore, abnormal ALT or BMI is not recommended as a criterion for NAFLD screening in this population. Additionally, there were significant differences in the clinical profiles of NAFLD among the different regions of Asia.

Role of Serum M2BPGi Levels in Predicting Persistence of Advanced Fibrosis in Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection

BACKGROUND

Serum mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) is a novel marker for liver fibrosis assessment in patients with different liver diseases. For chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB), advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis is a risk factor for liver cancer and hepatic decompensation. We aimed to assess the role of serum M2BPGi in prediction of persistence of advanced fibrosis in CHB patients despite potent antiviral therapy.

METHODS

CHB patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis who were put on nucleos(t)ide analogs for ≥ 3 years with normal alanine aminotransferase and undetectable serum HBV DNA were prospectively recruited. Assessment of liver fibrosis with transient elastography (TE) and M2BPGi measurements were performed at baseline and repeated at 3 years. Advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis were defined by liver stiffness (LS) ≥ 9.0 kPa and ≥ 12.0 kPa, respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 143 patients (M:F = 101:42; median age 58.7 years; 53.8% cirrhotic) were recruited and completed paired assessment. The median value of baseline LS and M2BPGi were 12.0 (IQR: 10.5-18.2) kPa and 0.99 cut-off-index (IQR: 0.75-1.74) (COI), respectively, with 96% concordance for diagnosing F3/F4. Ninety-six (67.1%) patients had persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years despite continuation of long-term antiviral treatment. Upon multivariate analysis, baseline M2BPGi (OR 2.128, 95% CI 1.037-4.366) and presence of central obesity (OR 4.648, 95% CI 1.742-12.402) were significantly associated with persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years. Baseline M2BPGi ≥ 1.265 COI has 50.6% sensitivity and 79.4% specificity for predicting persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.695). The presence of central obesity in combination with baseline M2BPGi ≥ 1.265 COI was associated with 95.7% patients having persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis at 3 years. HCC development was observed in five patients during follow-up and was associated with bigger median increase in the level of serum M2BPGi compared to patients without HCC (46% vs 6.2%, P = 0.038).

CONCLUSION

Persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis was observed in two-thirds of CHB patients despite potent antiviral therapy. High serum M2BPGi and central obesity were associated with more than twofold and fourfold increase in risk of persistent advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis, respectively.

Steatosis, HBV-related HCC, cirrhosis, and HBsAg seroclearance: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

NAFLD and chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection are common etiologies of HCC. The impact of hepatic steatosis on HCC in CHB, as well as its relationship with the development of cirrhosis, fibrosis, and HBsAg seroclearance, remains controversial.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Data from observational studies were collected through PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library from inception to February 1, 2022. Outcomes of interest included the association of hepatic steatosis with HCC, cirrhosis, advanced fibrosis, and HBsAg seroclearance, expressed in terms of pooled ORs. Additional subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed to validate the robustness of findings. A total of 34 studies with 68,268 patients with CHB were included. Hepatic steatosis was associated with higher odds of HCC (OR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.12-2.26; I²  = 72.5%), with the association remaining consistent in Asia (OR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.08-2.25), studies with a median follow-up duration of ≥5 years (OR, 2.82; 95% CI, 1.57-5.08), exclusion of alcohol use (OR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.01-2.91), and biopsy-proven steatosis (OR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.61-5.06), although no significant association was noted among nucleos(t)ide analogue-treated patients (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.62-1.77). Steatosis was associated with the development of cirrhosis (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.07-2.16; I²  = 0%) and HBsAg seroclearance (OR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.58-3.10; I²  = 49.0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic steatosis was associated with an increased risk of HCC and cirrhosis among patients with CHB but with a higher chance of achieving a functional cure, highlighting the importance of identifying concomitant steatosis in CHB.

New strategies for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B

Functional cure, as defined by seroclearance of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), is the desired treatment endpoint for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection, yet is rarely achieved with the currently approved therapy. Novel treatments currently in the clinical phase of development act by inhibiting viral replication/antigen reduction and/or by restoring host immune control. Although some agents are effective in reducing the viral antigen load, a greater magnitude of suppression is required to achieve functional cure. Compounds that target the covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) pool, hepatitis B X (HBx) protein inhibition, and mRNA destabilization are also in the preclinical phase of development. Challenges which remain include the clinical implications, immunological perturbations, and safety of these novel compounds to be used in the real-life setting.

Magnetic resonance imaging metrics and the predictability of adverse outcomes in on-treatment Asian chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Liver fibrosis and steatosis are important factors affecting chronic hepatitis B (CHB) disease outcome. Multiparametric magnetic resonance (MR) imaging of the liver measures fibroinflammation, fat, and iron through iron-corrected T1 relaxation time (cT1), proton density fat fraction (PDFF), and T2*-weighted imaging, respectively. We assessed the utility of MR metrics for prognostication in CHB.

METHODS

Chronic hepatitis B patients receiving nucleos(t)ide analogs with advanced fibrosis documented by vibration-controlled transient elastography were recruited. Paired multiparametric MR liver and transient elastography were performed at baseline and after at least 2 years. Adverse outcomes including death, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver decompensation were monitored.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety-two patients (mean age 60.3 ± 8.5 years; 76.0% male) were recruited. Eight patients (4.2%) developed HCC after 11.6 (8.8-22.8) months, and increased baseline liver iron independently predicted HCC (hazard ratio 2.329 [1.030-5.266]; P = 0.042). Liver MR metrics were not predictive of death or hepatic decompensation. Among 150 patients with follow-up liver MR at 30.3 (25.2-35.6) months, longitudinal liver PDFF increase was associated with liver cT1 increase (odds ratio 1.571 [1.217-2.029]; P = 0.001). Ninety patients received simultaneous multiparametric MR pancreas during the follow-up MR. Pancreatic PDFF correlated with liver PDFF (r = 0.501, P < 0.001), while pancreatic T1 had no correlation with liver cT1 (r = -0.092, P = 0.479). Pancreatic T1 and PDFF were not associated with adverse outcomes.

CONCLUSION

Among CHB patients with advanced disease, liver iron level on MR predicts HCC. Multiparametric MR can also simultaneously assess the pancreas and the liver. Multiparametric MR should be further studied as a one-stop option for monitoring and prognosticating CHB.

Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma With Tenofovir vs Entecavir Treatment for Chronic Hepatitis B Virus: A Reconstructed Individual Patient Data Meta-analysis

IMPORTANCE

Conventional meta-analyses with aggregated study-level data have yielded conflicting results for the comparative effectiveness of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate vs entecavir in reducing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk among patients with chronic hepatitis B virus. Within-study heterogeneity, between-study heterogeneity, and the inability of conventional meta-analyses to capture time-to-event data were associated with these results.

OBJECTIVE

To perform a reconstructed individual patient data meta-analysis of high-quality propensity score-matched studies to provide robust estimates for comparative HCC risk between groups receiving tenofovir or entecavir.

DATA SOURCES

Medline and Embase databases were searched from inception to October 6, 2021.

STUDY SELECTION

The initial search yielded 3435 articles. Fourteen studies that used propensity score matching to balance baseline characteristics were included in the final analysis.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses guideline was followed. Individual patient data were reconstructed from Kaplan-Meier curves. Risk of HCC was evaluated using random-effects hazard ratios (HRs) via a shared-frailty model and a Cox proportional hazards model stratified by study group. Restricted mean survival time (RMST) analysis was conducted to account for varying estimated treatment effect across time.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The comparative risk of HCC with tenofovir vs entecavir treatment.

RESULTS

From analysis of 14 studes with 24 269 patients (10 534 receiving tenofovir and 13 735 receiving entecavir; mean age, 49.86 [95% CI, 48.35-51.36] years; 65.05% [95% CI, 58.60%-71.00%] men), tenofovir was associated with decreased HCC incidence compared with entecavir (stratified Cox HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.76-0.94] at 5 years; P = .002). However, there was no significant difference in subanalysis of clinical cohort studies (stratified Cox HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.80-1.06] at 5 years; P = .24). Among administrative database studies, proportionality was violated, and HRs could not be obtained via Cox proporational hazards-based models. The mean time to HCC development in RMST analysis was 2.8 (95% CI, 1.8-3.7) weeks longer (P < .001) for tenofovir vs entecavir at 5 years. The RMST analyses for other subgroups revealed either insignificant or minimal differences (<3 weeks) in the mean time to HCC at 5 years.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this meta-analysis, there was no clinically meaningful difference in the risk of HCC between patients who received entecavir and patients who received tenofovir. There was no difference between tenofovir and entecavir among clinical cohort studies, whereas the mean time to HCC development was less than 3 weeks longer for patients who received tenofovir vs those who received entecavir at year 5 among administrative database studies. The choice between tenofovir or entecavir should be decided based on patient convenience and tolerability.

Impact of COVID-19 on Liver Transplantation in Hong Kong and Singapore: A Modelling Study

BACKGROUND

Liver transplantation (LT) activities during the COVID-19 pandemic have been curtailed in many countries. The impact of various policies restricting LT on outcomes of potential LT candidates is unclear.

METHODS

We studied all patients on the nationwide LT waitlists in Hong Kong and Singapore between January 2016 and May 2020. We used continuous time Markov chains to model the effects of different scenarios and varying durations of disruption on LT candidates.

FINDINGS

With complete cessation of LT, the projected 1-year overall survival (OS) decreased by 3•6%, 10•51% and 19•21% for a 1-, 3- and 6-month disruption respectively versus no limitation to LT, while 2-year OS decreased by 4•1%, 12•55%, and 23•43% respectively. When only urgent (acute-on-chronic liver failure [ACLF] or acute liver failure) LT was allowed, the projected 1-year OS decreased by a similar proportion: 3•1%, 8•41% and 15•20% respectively. When deceased donor LT (DDLT) and urgent living donor LT (LDLT) were allowed, 1-year projected OS decreased by 1•2%, 5•1% and 8•85% for a 1-, 3- and 6-month disruption respectively. OS was similar when only DDLT was allowed. Complete cessation of LT activities for 3-months resulted in an increased projected incidence of ACLF and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) dropout at 1-year by 49•1% and 107•96% respectively. When only urgent LT was allowed, HCC dropout and ACLF incidence were comparable to the rates seen in the scenario of complete LT cessation.

INTERPRETATION

A short and wide-ranging disruption to LT results in better outcomes compared with a longer duration of partial restrictions.

FUNDING

None to disclose.

A meta-analysis of the cumulative incidence, risk factors, and clinical outcomes associated with chronic kidney disease after liver transplantation

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains a relatively common complication after liver transplantation (LT), and significantly impacts overall survival. We sought to assess the cumulative incidence, risk factors and mortality associated with post-LT CKD. CKD was defined as eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m² as estimated by the Modified Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) formula. Single-arm meta-analysis was done to evaluate the cumulative incidence of CKD at 1-, 3-, and 5-year timepoints post-LT. Risk factors for CKD were evaluated using hazard ratios (HR). Twenty-one studies involving 44 383 patients were included. Cumulative incidence of stage 3-5 CKD was 31.44% (CI 0.182-0.447), 36.71% (CI 0.188-0.546), and 43.52% (CI 0.296-0.574) at 1, 3, and 5 years after LT, respectively. Stage 5 CKD cumulative incidence increased from 0.274% (CI 0.001-0.005) at 1 year to 2.06% (CI 0.009-0.045) at 5 years post-LT. Age, female sex, diabetes, and peri-operative acute kidney injury (AKI) were significant risk factors for CKD. Stage 4-5 CKD was associated with a decrease in overall survival (HR 3.23, 95% CI 1.74-5.98, P < 0.01). CKD after LT is relatively common, and is associated with significantly reduced overall survival. Identification of patients at high risk of developing CKD allows physicians to prophylactically use renal-sparing immunosuppression which may be crucial in achieving desirable clinical outcomes.

Entecavir Reduced Serum Hepatitis B Core-Related Antigen in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Serum hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) was shown to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients undergoing treatment. We investigated the longitudinal profile of HBcrAg in entecavir (ETV)-treated CHB patients with subsequent HCC development. We identified HCC cases diagnosed at ≥1 year after ETV initiation. CHB patients without HCC (matched for age, sex, cirrhosis status, baseline hepatitis B virus [HBV] DNA level, and ETV treatment duration) were identified as controls at an HCC:non-HCC ratio of 1:2. Serum samples were retrieved at baseline (ETV initiation) and at 3 and 5 years of ETV therapy for HBcrAg measurement (log IU/mL). In total, 180 patients (60 HCC patients matched with 120 CHB patients without HCC; median age, 56.5 years; 80.6% male; baseline HBV DNA, 5.9 log IU/mL; median follow-up, 6.8 years) were recruited. The median time from ETV initiation to HCC development was 3.2 years. HBcrAg levels were higher in HCC cases than in controls at all three time points: 5.69 log IU/mL versus 5.02 log IU/mL (p=0.025), 4.23 log IU/mL versus 3.36 log IU/mL (p=0.007), and 3.86 log IU/mL versus 3.36 log IU/mL (p=0.009), respectively. ETV led to similar rates of decline in HBcrAg from baseline to 3 years in both groups (0.34 log IU/mL/year vs 0.39 log IU/mL/year, p=0.774), although the decline from 3 to 5 years was slower in the non-HCC group (0.05 log IU/mL/year) than in the HCC group (0.09 log IU/mL/year, p=0.055). ETV time-dependently reduced HBcrAg in HCC and non-HCC patients. HBcrAg interpretation should consider the antiviral treatment duration.

2020 position statement and recommendations of the European Liver and Intestine Transplantation Association (ELITA): management of hepatitis B virus-related infection before and after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Prophylaxis of HBV recurrence is critical after liver transplantation in HBV patients. Despite new prophylactic schemes, most European LT centres persist on a conservative approach combining hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) and nucleos(t)ides analogues (NA).

AIM

This setting prompted the European Liver Intestine Transplantation Association (ELITA) to look for a consensus on the prevention of HBV recurrence.

METHODS

Based on a 4-round Delphi process, ELITA investigated 16 research questions and established 50 recommendations.

RESULTS

Prophylaxis should be driven according to 3 simplified risk groups: Low and high virological risk patients, with undetectable and detectable HBV DNA pre-LT, respectively, and special populations (HDV, HCC, poorly adherent patients). In low-risk patients, short-term (4 weeks) combination of third-generation NA+ HBIG, or third generation NA monotherapy can be considered as prophylactic options. In high-risk patients, HBIG can be discontinued once HBV DNA undetectable. Combined therapy for 1 year is advised. HBV-HCC patients should be treated according to their virological risk. In HDV/HBV patients, indefinite dual prophylaxis remains the gold standard. Full withdrawal of HBV prophylaxis following or not HBV vaccination should only be attempted in the setting of clinical trials. Organs from HBsAg+ve donors may be considered after assessment of risks, benefits, and patient consent. They should not be used if HDV is present. In poorly adherent patients, dual long-term prophylaxis is recommended. Budget impact analysis should be taken into account to drive prophylactic regimen.

CONCLUSIONS

These ELITA recommendations should stimulate a more rational and homogeneous approach to HBV prophylaxis across LT programs.

A Meta-Analysis on the Incidence of Donor Related Depression after Liver Transplant

AIM

Living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) is increasing, yet gaps exist in the understanding of psychological wellbeing of donors after liver transplant. This meta-analysis seeks to evaluate the incidence and risk factors for donor-related depression after liver transplantation.

METHODS

A search was conducted on Medline and Embase database. Articles assessing incidence of depression in LDLT donors were included. Incidence was pooled after Freeman-Tukey double-arcsine transformation. For risk factors, dichotomous variables were analyzed with generalized linear model while a conventional meta regression with logit transformation was conducted for continuous variables.

RESULTS

Of 1,069 abstracts, 40 articles underwent full-text review. 17 articles were included. The pooled incidence of depression among 1,888 LT donors was 7.66% (CI: 4.47% - 12.80%). Depression rates were significantly higher in Asian compared to Western studies (RR: 1.73, CI: 1.19 - 2.52, p=0.0039). Female gender (p<0.001), Caucasian ethnicity (p=0.047), employment status (p<0.001) and lower education levels (p=0.044) were significantly associated with depression. Donor relationship with recipients was not a significant risk factor.

CONCLUSIONS

LDLT remains a core aspect of the treatment of end-stage liver disease. However, the high depression rates after LT suggest that there remains room for improvement in the care of donors' mental health post-transplant.

Reduced hepatic steatosis is associated with higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B infection

BACKGROUND

Concomitant chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is common, but the implications of NAFLD on clinical outcomes of CHB, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), are not well-investigated.

METHODS

CHB patients were recruited for transient elastography assessment for liver stiffness (LS), and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), a non-invasive quantification of hepatic steatosis, and were prospectively followed up for development of HCC. Steatosis and severe steatosis were diagnosed by CAP ≥ 248 dB/m and ≥ 280 dB/m respectively, and advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis was diagnosed by LS ≥ 9 kPa. The independent effect of hepatic steatosis on HCC was examined via propensity score matching (PSM) of LS and other significant clinical variables.

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients developed HCC among 2403 CHB patients (55.6% male, median age 55.6 years, 57.1% antiviral-treated, median ALT 26 U/L) during a median follow-up of 46.4 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed age (HR 1.063), male (HR 2.032), Albumin-Bilirubin score (HR 2.393) and CAP (HR 0.993) were associated with HCC development. The cumulative probability of HCC was 2.88%, 1.56% and 0.71%, respectively for patients with no steatosis, mild-to-moderate steatosis, and severe steatosis, respectively (p = 0.01). The risk of HCC increased from 1.56 to 8.89% in patients without severe steatosis if advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis was present (p < 0.001). PSM yielded 957 pairs of CHB patients and hepatic steatosis was independently associated with HCC (HR 0.41).

CONCLUSION

Reduced hepatic steatosis was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident HCC in CHB infection. Routine CAP and LS measurements are important for risk stratification.

HBV RNA Profiles in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Under Different Disease Phases and Antiviral Therapy

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Large-scale comprehensive studies on HBV RNA in chronic hepatitis B are lacking. We aimed to study the HBV RNA profile and its correlation with other viral markers in patients with chronic hepatitis B who are treatment-naïve and patients receiving nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA).

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Biomarkers, including HBV RNA and hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg), were measured in 388 patients. Of these, 246 were treatment-naïve and were categorized into HBeAg-positive chronic infection (n = 41), HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis (n = 81), HBeAg-negative chronic infection (n = 39), HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis (n = 66), and HBsAg seroclearance (n = 19). These biomarkers were also measured in 142 patients who were NA-treated receiving tenofovir or entecavir at baseline, week 48, and week 96. The pattern of serum HBV RNA levels mirrored HBV DNA (1-2 logs higher than HBV RNA) and HBcrAg in patients who were treatment-naïve. HBV RNA correlated best with HBcrAg (r = 0.84) and to a lesser extent with HBV DNA (r = 0.737) (both P < 0.001). In patients with HBsAg seroclearance, 15.8% and 15.8% had detectable serum HBV RNA and HBcrAg, respectively. NA treatment reduced serum HBV RNA by 1.46 logs and 1.77 logs at weeks 48 and 96, respectively. At week 96 of NA therapy, only 19.1% patients who were tenofovir-treated and 25.7% patients who were entecavir-treated had unquantifiable HBV RNA (P > 0.05). In patients who were treated and had undetectable HBV DNA, 77.5% and 30% had quantifiable HBV RNA and HBcrAg, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

HBV RNA showed distinct and corresponding profiles in patients with HBV in different disease phases. HBV RNA and HBcrAg could be used to monitor residual transcriptional activities in patients with HBsAg seroclearance. NA led to reduction of serum HBV RNA. Monitoring of viral activities can still be achieved in patients with undetectable HBV DNA by serum HBV RNA.

Statins associate with better clinical outcomes in chronic hepatitis B patients with HBsAg seroclearance

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to describe long-term clinical outcomes in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients after HBsAg seroclearance, and identify factors that modify disease outcomes.

METHODS

CHB patients with HBsAg seroclearance occurring between 1986 and 2017 were recruited. Primary outcome was cirrhosis/hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and secondary outcomes were hepatic decompensation, liver-related death/transplantation, and all-cause mortality. Multivariable Cox model included demographics, prior antivirals, comorbidities, drugs (statins, metformin, proton-pump inhibitors, non-selective beta-blockers), and laboratory parameters (platelet, liver function test, prothrombin time, alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], anti-HBs). Statin users were propensity score matched (PSM) with non-users (1:2 ratio) for survival analysis of all outcomes.

RESULTS

Of 913 patients with HBsAg seroclearance (male: 613 [67.1%]; median age: 53.4 years [18.5-87.0]), 129 (14.1%) were statin users. During median follow-up of 7.7 years (up to 29.1 years), 64/833 (7.7%) developed cirrhosis, 25/905 (2.8%) developed HCC, 3/913 (0.3%) underwent transplantation, and 76/913 (8.3%) died. Statins were associated with lower cirrhosis/HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.44; 95% CI 0.20-0.96; aHR for every 1-year increase in use: 0.85; 95% CI 0.75-0.97). Statin users had no hepatic decompensation or liver-related death/transplantation (vs 18/778 [2.3%] and 18/784 [2.3%] cases in statin non-users, respectively). Statins were also associated with lower all-cause mortality risk (aHR: 0.21; 95% CI 0.08-0.53). PSM yields consistent results for beneficial effects of statins (log-rank p < 0.05 for all outcomes). Other factors for cirrhosis/HCC included increasing age (aHR: 1.06), diabetes (aHR: 2.03), higher creatinine (aHR: 1.008), GGT > 50U/L (aHR: 3.25), and AFP > 9 ng/mL (aHR: 10.14).

CONCLUSION

Patients with HBsAg seroclearance have favorable long-term survival. However, liver-related adverse outcomes still develop, necessitating further investigations on beneficial effects of statins.

Role of serum HBV RNA and hepatitis B surface antigen levels in identifying Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B suitable for entecavir cessation

BACKGROUND

Treatment cessation in chronic HBV infection may be durable in certain patient subgroups before hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance. The role of serum HBV RNA in determining treatment cessation suitability has not been well-investigated.

METHODS

Nucleos(t)ide analogue (NUC) treatment was discontinued in non-cirrhotic patients with chronic HBV with serum HBsAg <200 IU/mL and fulfilling internationally recommended criteria for treatment cessation. Patients were monitored till 48 weeks with baseline and serial measurements of serum HBsAg, HBV RNA and hepatitis B core-related antigen. NUCs were resumed when HBV DNA reaches >2000 IU/mL regardless of alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels.

RESULTS

114 entecavir-treated patients (median age 58.4 years, median serum HBsAg 54.4 IU/mL) with median treatment duration of 6.7 years were recruited. The 48-week cumulative rate of HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL was 58.1%. End-of-treatment serum HBV RNA and off-treatment serial HBV RNA were both independently associated with HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL (HR 2.959, 95% CI 1.776 to 4.926, p<0.001; HR 2.278, 95% CI 1.151 to 4.525, p=0.018, respectively). Patients with HBV RNA ≥44.6 U/mL had a cumulative 48-week rate of 93.2%, while combining HBV RNA undetectability and HBsAg <10 IU/mL had a cumulative 48-week rate of 9.1%. 24 patients (38.7%) developed off-treatment ALT elevation, highest peak ALT was 1515 U/L. 8 patients (median serum HBsAg 2.6 IU/mL) developed HBsAg seroclearance.

CONCLUSION

Serum HBV RNA measurement is essential for deciding on entecavir cessation in patients with chronic HBV, especially with low HBsAg levels. Patients can be stratified on their risk of off-treatment relapse based on both viral determinants.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02738554.

First-line oral antiviral therapies showed similar efficacies in suppression of serum HBcrAg in chronic hepatitis B patients

Background

Serum hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) is a potential surrogate marker for intra-hepatic covalently-closed circular DNA in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to study the profiles of serum HBcrAg in CHB patients treated with first-line nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA): entecavir (ETV), tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) or tenofovir alafenamide (TAF).

Method

Serum HBcrAg was measured in 120 treatment-naïve CHB patients receiving one of the 3 NAs (ETV: TDF: TAF = 60: 26: 34) using the Lumipulse G HBcrAg assay in a Lumipulse G1200 analyzer (Fujirebio Inc, Toyko, Japan). Serum HBcrAg levels were measured at week 0, week 48 and week 96 of NA therapy.

Results

Among the 120 patients, 67 (55.8%) were hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) positive. Both tenofovir and ETV led to significantly lower serum HBcrAg at week 48 and week 96 compared to week 0. There were no significant differences for the magnitude of median HBcrAg decline at week 96 between tenofovir and ETV in HBeAg-positive (2.28 vs. 1.65 log U/mL, p > 0.05) and HBeAg-negative (0.83 vs. 0.54 log U/mL, p > 0.05) patients. TDF and TAF produced no significant differences in the magnitude of median HBcrAg decline at week 96 (HBeAg-positive: 2.63 vs. 1.83, respectively; HBeAg-negative: 1.04 vs. 0.40, respectively; both p > 0.05).

Conclusion

Magnitude of reduction of HBcrAg levels after 2-year first-line treatment did not differ statistically among the current first-line NAs, although HBcrAg reduction was numerically greater in tenofovir-treated group. More long-term studies are essential to determine whether tenofovir exerts a more pronounced effect on HBcrAg.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-021-01711-x.

Genetic risk factors for endometriosis near estrogen receptor 1 and coexpression of genes in this region in endometrium

The etiology and pathogenesis of endometriosis are complex with both genetic and environmental factors contributing to disease risk. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified multiple signals in the estrogen receptor 1 (ESR1) region associated with endometriosis and other reproductive traits and diseases. In addition, candidate gene association studies identified signals in the ESR1 region associated with endometriosis risk suggesting genetic regulation of genes in this region may be important for reproductive health. This study aimed to investigate hormonal and genetic regulation of genes in the ESR1 region in human endometrium. Changes in serum oestradiol and progesterone concentrations and expression of hormone receptors ESR1 and progesterone receptor (PGR) were assessed in endometrial samples from 135 women collected at various stages of the menstrual cycle. Correlation between hormone concentrations, receptor expression and expression of genes in the ESR1 locus was investigated. The effect of endometriosis risk variants on expression of genes in the region was analyzed to identify gene targets. Hormone concentrations and receptor expression varied significantly across the menstrual cycle. Expression of genes in the ESR1 region correlated with progesterone concentration; however, they were more strongly correlated with expression of ESR1 and PGR suggesting coregulation of genes. There was no evidence that endometriosis risk variants directly regulated expression of genes in the region. Limited sample size and cellular heterogeneity in endometrial tissue may impact the ability to detect significant genetic effects on gene expression. Effects of these variants should be validated in a larger dataset and in relevant individual cell types.

ALT Levels for Asians With Metabolic Diseases: A Meta-analysis of 86 Studies With Individual Patient Data Validation

The current alanine aminotransferase (ALT) upper limit of normal was defined using selected healthy Caucasian blood donors. Given the global rise in obesity and different body habitus in Asians, we aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis combined with bootstrap modeling and individual patient data validation to estimate the ALT upper threshold for Asians, including the overweight and diabetics. We included studies from PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane database searches that identified individuals without known liver diseases (i.e., viral hepatitis, alcohol, and ultrasound-detected nonalcoholic fatty liver disease). The mean ALT (U/L) was estimated using a random-effects mixed model and upper threshold (95th-percentile value, U/L) via a bootstrap model with 10,000 resamples. We screened 4,995 studies and identified 86 studies that reported ALT values for 526,641 individuals without excessive alcohol intake or known liver diseases, yielding a mean ALT of 19 and ALT upper threshold of 32. The ALT upper threshold was 37 in males versus 31 in females, 39 in overweight versus 28 in normal-weight individuals, and 36 for diabetics versus 33 for nondiabetics. We validated our study level data with individual patient level data in 6,058 individuals from five study centers in Japan. Consistent with our study-level data, we found that the ALT upper threshold in our individual patient data analysis was indeed higher in overweight versus normal-weight individuals (39 vs. 32) and in diabetics versus nondiabetics (42 vs. 33). Conclusion: We provide validated reference ranges for ALT upper threshold derived from Asians without known liver disease, including individuals with ultrasound-detected nonalcoholic fatty liver disease who are normal weight, overweight, nondiabetic, and diabetic, to inform practice.

Model for End-Stage Liver Disease With Additional Criteria to Predict Short-Term Mortality in Severe Flares of Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The prognosis in severe acute flares of chronic hepatitis B (AFOCHB) is often unclear. The current study aimed to establish the predictive value using the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score for short-term mortality for severe AFOCHB.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients with severe AFOCHB with bilirubin > 50 µmol/L, alanine aminotransferase > 10× upper limit of normal, and international normalized ratio > 1.5 were included. All patients were commenced on entecavir and/or tenofovir. Laboratory results and MELD scores were pooled to calculate mortality at four time points (days 7, 14, 21, and 28). A total of 240 patients were included. Median hepatitis B virus DNA was 7.77 log IU/mL (range, 4.11-10.06), and 49 (20.4%) were hepatitis B e antigen-positive. The 7, 14, 21, and 28-day survival was 96.7%, 88.5%, 79.5%, and 72.8%, respectively. Using pooled results derived from 4,201 blood samples, the area under the receiver operating curve for the MELD score to predict day 7, 14, 21, and 28 mortality was 0.909, 0.892, 0.883, and 0.871, respectively. For MELD ≤ 28, mortality at day 28 was low (<25%) compared with > 50% mortality for MELD ≥ 32. For MELD = 28-32, higher day-28 mortality was observed for four criteria: age ≥52 years, alanine aminotransferase > 217 U/L, platelets < 127, and abnormal baseline imaging (all P < 0.001). In this MELD bracket, the 28-day mortality was 0%, 12.1%, 23.8%, 59.4%, and 78.8% for the presence of zero, one, two, three, and four criteria, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

MELD score at any time points can accurately predict the short-term mortality. Patients with MELD ≥ 28 should be worked up for liver transplantation, and those with MELD = 28-32 with three to four at-risk criteria, or MELD ≥ 32 should be listed.

Modelling the economic and clinical burden of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in East Asia: Data from Hong Kong

AIM

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is the progressive form of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and prevalence is rising in Asia due to increasing rates of urbanization, sedentary lifestyles, and poor nutrition.

METHODS

We built a Markov model with 20-year horizon to estimate the burden of NASH in Hong Kong. Cohort size was determined by population size, prevalence of NAFLD, and incidence of NASH in 2017. Health states include hepatic steatosis, fibrosis stages 0-3, compensated and decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, post-liver transplant, and liver-related, cardiovascular, and background mortality. Transition probabilities were estimated from published reports and we converted 2017 Gazette price from the Hospital Authority of Hong Kong to US dollars. We discounted costs by 3% annually. Health utilities were assumed to be the same as in the USA.

RESULTS

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis will cost $1.32 billion and 124 liver transplants over 20 years, with average cost per person-year of $257. Sensitivity analyses show our model is robust in predicting costs for the prevalent population but likely overestimates costs for the incident population.

CONCLUSIONS

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis will contribute to a significant clinical and economic burden in Hong Kong over the next two decades. Due to the limited number of donors and small number of liver transplants undertaken annually, patients with advanced liver disease due to NASH in Hong Kong are more likely to die from NASH than their counterparts in North America and Europe. Thus, rising prevalence of metabolic syndrome in elderly adults in Hong Kong make NASH an important consideration for clinicians and policy makers.