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Vazquez-Benitez G, Haapala JL, Lipkind HS, DeSilva MB, Zhu J, Daley MF, Getahun D, Klein NP, Vesco KK, Irving SA, Nelson JC, Williams JTB, Hambidge SJ, Donahue J, Fuller CC, Weintraub ES, Olson C, Kharbanda EO. COVID-19 Vaccine Safety Surveillance in Early Pregnancy in the United States: Design Factors Affecting the Association Between Vaccine and Spontaneous Abortion. Am J Epidemiol 2023; 192:1386-1395. [PMID: 36928091 PMCID: PMC10466212 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwad059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2022] [Revised: 12/21/2022] [Accepted: 03/14/2023] [Indexed: 03/18/2023] Open
Abstract
In the Vaccine Safety Datalink (VSD), we previously reported no association between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination in early pregnancy and spontaneous abortion (SAB). The present study aims to understand how time since vaccine rollout or other methodological factors could affect results. Using a case-control design and generalized estimating equations, we estimated the odds ratios (ORs) of COVID-19 vaccination in the 28 days before a SAB or last date of the surveillance period (index date) in ongoing pregnancies and occurrence of SAB, across cumulative 4-week periods from December 2020 through June 2021. Using data from a single site, we evaluated alternative methodological approaches: increasing the exposure window to 42 days, modifying the index date from the last day to the midpoint of the surveillance period, and constructing a cohort design with a time-dependent exposure model. A protective effect (OR = 0.78, 95% confidence interval: 0.69, 0.89), observed with 3-cumulative periods ending March 8, 2021, was attenuated when surveillance extended to June 28, 2021 (OR = 1.02, 95% confidence interval: 0.96, 1.08). We observed a lower OR for a 42-day window compared with a 28-day window. The time-dependent model showed no association. Timing of the surveillance appears to be an important factor affecting the observed vaccine-SAB association.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Jacob L. Haapala
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Heather S. Lipkind
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Malini B. DeSilva
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Jingyi Zhu
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Matthew F. Daley
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Darios Getahun
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Nicola P. Klein
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Kimberly K. Vesco
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Stephanie A. Irving
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Jennifer C. Nelson
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Joshua T. B. Williams
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Simon J. Hambidge
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - James Donahue
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Candace C. Fuller
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Eric S. Weintraub
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Christine Olson
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
| | - Elyse O. Kharbanda
- HealthPartners Institute, Bloomington, Minnesota, United States (Gabriela Vazquez-Benitez, Jacob L. Haapala, Malini B. DeSilva, Jingyi Zhu, Elyse O. Kharbanda); Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, United States (Heather S. Lipkind); Kaiser Permanente Denver, Colorado, United States (Matthew F. Daly); Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, United States (Darios Getahun); Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, United States (Nicola P. Klein); Kaiser Permanente Northwest, Portland, Oregon, United States (Kimberly K. Vesco, Stephanie A. Irving); Kaiser Permanente Washington, Seattle, Washington, United States (Jennifer C. Nelson); Denver Health, Denver, Colorado, United States (Joshua T. B. Williams, Simon J. Hambidge); Marshfield Clinic, Marshfield, Wisconsin, United States (James Donahue); Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States (Candace C. Fuller); and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States (Eric S. Weintraub, Christine Olson)
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