Global, Race-Neutral Reference Equations and Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation

Rheumatoid arthritis and changes on spirometry by smoking status in two prospective longitudinal cohorts

OBJECTIVE

To compare longitudinal changes in spirometric measures between patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and non-RA comparators.

METHODS

We analysed longitudinal data from two prospective cohorts: the UK Biobank and COPDGene. Spirometry was conducted at baseline and a second visit after 5-7 years. RA was identified based on self-report and disease-modifying antirheumatic drug use; non-RA comparators reported neither. The primary outcomes were annual changes in the per cent-predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1%) and per cent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%). Statistical comparisons were performed using multivariable linear regression. The analysis was stratified based on baseline smoking status and the presence of obstructive pattern (FEV1/FVC <0.7).

RESULTS

Among participants who underwent baseline and follow-up spirometry, we identified 233 patients with RA and 37 735 non-RA comparators. Among never-smoking participants without an obstructive pattern, RA was significantly associated with more FEV1% decline (β=-0.49, p=0.04). However, in ever smokers with ≥10 pack-years, those with RA exhibited significantly less FEV1% decline than non-RA comparators (β=0.50, p=0.02). This difference was more pronounced among those with an obstructive pattern at baseline (β=1.12, p=0.01). Results were similar for FEV1/FVC decline. No difference was observed in the annual FVC% change in RA versus non-RA.

CONCLUSIONS

Smokers with RA, especially those with baseline obstructive spirometric patterns, experienced lower FEV1% and FEV1/FVC decline than non-RA comparators. Conversely, never smokers with RA had more FEV1% decline than non-RA comparators. Future studies should investigate potential treatments and the pathogenesis of obstructive lung diseases in smokers with RA.

Implications of Race Adjustment in Lung-Function Equations

BACKGROUND

Adjustment for race is discouraged in lung-function testing, but the implications of adopting race-neutral equations have not been comprehensively quantified.

METHODS

We obtained longitudinal data from 369,077 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, U.K. Biobank, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, and the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network. Using these data, we compared the race-based 2012 Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI-2012) equations with race-neutral equations introduced in 2022 (GLI-Global). Evaluated outcomes included national projections of clinical, occupational, and financial reclassifications; individual lung-allocation scores for transplantation priority; and concordance statistics (C statistics) for clinical prediction tasks.

RESULTS

Among the 249 million persons in the United States between 6 and 79 years of age who are able to produce high-quality spirometric results, the use of GLI-Global equations may reclassify ventilatory impairment for 12.5 million persons, medical impairment ratings for 8.16 million, occupational eligibility for 2.28 million, grading of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease for 2.05 million, and military disability compensation for 413,000. These potential changes differed according to race; for example, classifications of nonobstructive ventilatory impairment may change dramatically, increasing 141% (95% confidence interval [CI], 113 to 169) among Black persons and decreasing 69% (95% CI, 63 to 74) among White persons. Annual disability payments may increase by more than $1 billion among Black veterans and decrease by $0.5 billion among White veterans. GLI-2012 and GLI-Global equations had similar discriminative accuracy with regard to respiratory symptoms, health care utilization, new-onset disease, death from any cause, death related to respiratory disease, and death among persons on a transplant waiting list, with differences in C statistics ranging from -0.008 to 0.011.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of race-based and race-neutral equations generated similarly accurate predictions of respiratory outcomes but assigned different disease classifications, occupational eligibility, and disability compensation for millions of persons, with effects diverging according to race. (Funded by the National Heart Lung and Blood Institute and the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences.).

Race-Neutral Equations and Pulmonary Function Test Interpretation in Two Pediatric Cohorts

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the changes in predicted lung function measurements when using race-neutral equations in children, based upon the new Global Lung Initiative (GLI) reference equations, utilizing a race-neutral approach in interpreting spirometry results compared with the 2012 race-specific GLI equations.

STUDY DESIGN

We analyzed data from 2 multicenter prospective cohorts comprised of healthy children and children with history of severe (requiring hospitalization) bronchiolitis. Spirometry testing was done at the 6-year physical exam, and 677 tests were analyzed using new GLI Global and 2012 GLI equations. We used multivariable logistic regression, adjusted for age, height, and sex, to examine the association of race with the development of new impairment or increased severity (forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV1) z-score ≤ -1.645) as per 2022 American Thoracic Society (ATS) guidelines.

RESULTS

Compared with the race-specific GLI, the race-neutral equation yielded increases in the median forced expiratory volume in the first second and forced vital capacity (FVC) percent predicted in White children but decreases in these two measures in Black children. The prevalence of obstruction increased in White children by 21%, and the prevalence of possible restriction increased in Black children by 222%. Compared with White race, Black race was associated with increased prevalence of new impairments (aOR 7.59; 95%CI, 3.00-19.67; P < .001) and increased severity (aOR 35.40; 95%CI, 4.70-266.40; P = .001). Results were similar across both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

As there are no biological justifications for the inclusion of race in spirometry interpretation, use of race-neutral spirometry reference equations led to an increase in both the prevalence and severity of respiratory impairments among Black children.

Spirometry Interpretation After Implementation of Race-Neutral Reference Equations in Children

Importance

The implications of adopting race-neutral reference equations on spirometry interpretation in children remain unknown.

Objective

To examine how spirometry results and patterns change when transitioning from Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI) race-specific reference equations (GLIR, 2012) to GLI race-neutral reference equations (GLIN, 2023).

Design, Setting, and Participants

Cross-sectional study of spirometry tests conducted in children aged 6 to 21 years between 2012 and 2022 at 2 large academic pediatric institutions in the US. Data were analyzed from September 2023 to March 2024.

Exposures

Data on participant characteristics and raw test measurements were collected. Forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1), forced vital capacity (FVC), and FEV1/FVC z scores and percent predicted were calculated using both GLIR and GLIN. In addition, test results were categorized into normal, obstructive, suspected restrictive, mixed, suspected dysanapsis, and uncategorized patterns based on z scores calculated using GLIR or GLIN.

Main Outcomes

For each spirometry result, the difference between z scores and percent predicted when transitioning from GLIR to GLIN was calculated. The proportion of tests with a normal pattern and individual spirometry patterns changed by GLI reference equation applied were also examined.

Results

Data from 24 630 children were analyzed (mean [SD] age, 12.1 [3.8] years). There were 3848 Black children (15.6%), 19 503 White children (79.2%), and 1279 children of other races (5.2%). Following implementation of GLIN, FEV1 and FVC z scores decreased in Black children (mean difference, -0.814; 95% CI, -0.823 to -0.806; P < .001; and -0.911; 95% CI, -0.921 to -0.902; P < .001, respectively), while FEV1 and FVC z scores slightly increased (0.073; 95% CI, 0.069 to 0.076; P < .001). Similar changes were found when using percent predicted. In Black children, the number of tests with a normal pattern decreased from 2642 (68.7%) to 2383 (61.9%) (χ21 = 204.81; P < .001), mostly due to tests with a normal pattern transitioning to a suspected restrictive or uncategorized pattern. Opposite, albeit smaller, changes in spirometry results and patterns were seen in White children. In adjusted models, Black children had approximately 3-fold higher odds than White children of changing spirometry pattern following the implementation of GLIN (adjusted odds ratio, 3.15; 95% CI, 2.86 to 3.48; P < .001).

Conclusions

Pronounced differences in spirometry results and patterns were found when switching between GLI reference equations, which markedly differed by race. These findings suggest that the implementation of GLIN is likely to change the treatment of children with chronic lung diseases that are more prevalent in underrepresented minorities, such as asthma.

The prevalence and mortality risks of PRISm and COPD in the United States from NHANES 2007-2012

BACKGROUND

We estimated the prevalence and mortality risks of preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the US adult population.

METHODS

We linked three waves of pre-bronchodilator spirometry data from the US National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (2007-2012) with the National Death Index. The analytic sample included adults ages 20 to 79 without missing data on age, sex, height, BMI, race/ethnicity, and smoking status. We defined COPD (GOLD 1, 2, and 3-4) and PRISm using FEV1/FVC cut points by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD). We compared the prevalence of GOLD stages and PRISm by covariates across the three waves. We estimated adjusted all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks by COPD stage and PRISm using all three waves combined.

RESULTS

Prevalence of COPD and PRISm from 2007-2012 ranged from 13.1%-14.3% and 9.6%-10.2%, respectively. We found significant differences in prevalence by sex, age, smoking status, and race/ethnicity. Males had higher rates of COPD regardless of stage, while females had higher rates of PRISm. COPD prevalence increased with age, but not PRISm, which was highest among middle-aged individuals. Compared to current and never smokers, former smokers showed lower rates of PRISm but higher rates of GOLD 1. COPD prevalence was highest among non-Hispanic White individuals, and PRISm was notably higher among non-Hispanic Black individuals (range 31.4%-37.4%). We found associations between PRISm and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.3 95% CI: 1.9-2.9) and various cause-specific deaths (HR ranges: 2.0-5.3). We also found associations between GOLD 2 (HR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.7-2.6) or higher (HR: 4.2, 95% CI: 2.7-6.5) and all-cause mortality. Cause-specific mortality risk varied within COPD stages but typically increased with higher GOLD stage.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of COPD and PRISm remained stable from 2007-2012. Greater attention should be paid to the potential impacts of PRISm due to its higher prevalence in minority groups and its associations with mortality across various causes including cancer.

The impact of switching to race-neutral reference equations on FEV1 percent predicted among people with cystic fibrosis. J Cyst Fibros 2024;23:443-449. [PMID: 38556415 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcf.2024.03.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0]

RATIONALE

The American Thoracic Society recommended switching to race-neutral spirometry reference equations, as race is a social construct and to avoid normalizing disparities in lung function due to structural racism. Understanding the impact of the race-neutral equations on percent predicted forced expiratory volume in one second (ppFEV1) in people with cystic fibrosis (PwCF) will help prepare patients and providers to interpret pulmonary function test results.

OBJECTIVE(S)

To quantify the impact of switching from Global Lung Initiative (GLI) 2012 race-specific to GLI 2022 Global race-neutral reference equations on the distribution of ppFEV1 among PwCF of different races.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of FEV1 among PwCF ages ≥6 years in the 2021 U.S. Cystic Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry. We describe the absolute difference in ppFEV1 between the two reference equations by reported race and the effect of age and height on this difference.

RESULTS

With the switch to GLI Global, ppFEV1 will increase for White (median increase 4.7, (IQR: 3.1; 6.4)) and Asian (2.6 (IQR: 1.6; 3.7)) individuals and decrease for Black individuals (-7.7, (IQR: -10.9; -5.2)). Other race categories will see minimal changes in median ppFEV1. Individuals with higher baseline ppFEV1 and younger age will see a greater change in ppFEV1 (i.e., a greater improvement among White and Asian individuals and a greater decline among Black individuals).

CONCLUSIONS

Switching from GLI 2012 race-specific reference equations to GLI 2022 Global race-neutral equations will result in larger reductions in ppFEV1 among Black individuals with CF than increases among White and Asian people with CF.

Race Adjustment of Pulmonary Function Tests in the Diagnosis and Management of COPD: A Scoping Review

Aim

Increasing evidence suggests that the inclusion of self-identified race in clinical decision algorithms may perpetuate longstanding inequities. Until recently, most pulmonary function tests utilized separate reference equations that are race/ethnicity based.

Purpose

We assess the magnitude and scope of the available literature on the negative impact of race-based pulmonary function prediction equations on relevant outcomes in African Americans with COPD.

Methods

We performed a scoping review utilizing an English language search on PubMed/Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science in September 2022 and updated it in December 2023. We searched for publications regarding the effect of race-specific vs race-neutral, race-free, or race-reversed lung function testing algorithms on the diagnosis of COPD and COPD-related physiologic and functional measures. Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) guidelines were utilized for this scoping review. Eligibility criteria: The search was restricted to adults with COPD. We excluded publications on other lung disorders, non-English language publications, or studies that did not include African Americans. The search identified publications. Ultimately, six peer-reviewed publications and four conference abstracts were selected for this review.

Results

Removal of race from lung function prediction equations often had opposite effects in African Americans and Whites, specifically regarding the severity of lung function impairment. Symptoms and objective findings were better aligned when race-specific reference values were not used. Race-neutral prediction algorithms uniformly resulted in reclassifying severity in the African Americans studied.

Conclusion

The limited literature does not support the use of race-based lung function prediction equations. However, this assertion does not provide guidance for every specific clinical situation. For African Americans with COPD, the use of race-based prediction equations appears to fall short in enhancing diagnostic accuracy, classifying severity of impairment, or predicting subsequent clinical events. We do not have information comparing race-neutral vs race-based algorithms on prediction of progression of COPD. We conclude that the elimination of race-based reference values potentially reduces underestimation of disease severity in African Americans with COPD.

The Impact of Health Care Algorithms on Racial and Ethnic Disparities : A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

There is increasing concern for the potential impact of health care algorithms on racial and ethnic disparities.

PURPOSE

To examine the evidence on how health care algorithms and associated mitigation strategies affect racial and ethnic disparities.

DATA SOURCES

Several databases were searched for relevant studies published from 1 January 2011 to 30 September 2023.

STUDY SELECTION

Using predefined criteria and dual review, studies were screened and selected to determine: 1) the effect of algorithms on racial and ethnic disparities in health and health care outcomes and 2) the effect of strategies or approaches to mitigate racial and ethnic bias in the development, validation, dissemination, and implementation of algorithms.

DATA EXTRACTION

Outcomes of interest (that is, access to health care, quality of care, and health outcomes) were extracted with risk-of-bias assessment using the ROBINS-I (Risk Of Bias In Non-randomised Studies - of Interventions) tool and adapted CARE-CPM (Critical Appraisal for Racial and Ethnic Equity in Clinical Prediction Models) equity extension.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Sixty-three studies (51 modeling, 4 retrospective, 2 prospective, 5 prepost studies, and 1 randomized controlled trial) were included. Heterogenous evidence on algorithms was found to: a) reduce disparities (for example, the revised kidney allocation system), b) perpetuate or exacerbate disparities (for example, severity-of-illness scores applied to critical care resource allocation), and/or c) have no statistically significant effect on select outcomes (for example, the HEART Pathway [history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, and troponin]). To mitigate disparities, 7 strategies were identified: removing an input variable, replacing a variable, adding race, adding a non-race-based variable, changing the racial and ethnic composition of the population used in model development, creating separate thresholds for subpopulations, and modifying algorithmic analytic techniques.

LIMITATION

Results are mostly based on modeling studies and may be highly context-specific.

CONCLUSION

Algorithms can mitigate, perpetuate, and exacerbate racial and ethnic disparities, regardless of the explicit use of race and ethnicity, but evidence is heterogeneous. Intentionality and implementation of the algorithm can impact the effect on disparities, and there may be tradeoffs in outcomes.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Agency for Healthcare Quality and Research.

Changes in Spirometry Interpretative Strategies: Implications for Classifying COPD and Predicting Exacerbations

BACKGROUND

Recent guidelines for spirometry interpretation recommend both race-neutral reference equations and use of z score thresholds to define severity of airflow obstruction.

RESEARCH QUESTION

How does the transition from race-specific to race-neutral equations impact severity classifications for patients with COPD when using % predicted vs z score thresholds, and do changes in severity correspond to clinical risk?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included Black and White patients with COPD and available spirometry from the Johns Hopkins Health System. Global Lung Function Initiative (GLI) 2012 (race-specific) equations and GLI Global (race-neutral) equations were used to determine FEV1 % predicted and z score values. Patients were classified as having mild, moderate, or severe disease according to % predicted or z score thresholds. Associations between a change in severity classification from race-specific to race-neutral with COPD exacerbations and all-cause hospitalizations were evaluated using logistic regression.

RESULTS

This cohort included 13,324 patients, of whom 9,232 patients (69.3%) were White (mean age, 65.7 years) and 4,092 patients (30.7%) were Black (mean age, 61.1 years). More Black than White patients showed a change in severity classification between approaches when using % predicted thresholds (20.2% vs 6.1%; P < .001), but not with z score thresholds (12.6% vs 12.3%; P = .68). An increased severity classification with a race-neutral approach was associated with increased risk of exacerbation when using z score thresholds (OR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.51-3.63), but not when using % predicted thresholds (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.61-1.93). A decreased severity classification with a race-neutral approach was associated with lower risk of exacerbation with both % predicted (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.28-0.87) and z score (OR 0.67; 95% CI, 0.50-0.90) thresholds.

INTERPRETATION

The proportions of Black and White individuals reclassified were similar with z score thresholds, and changes in severity corresponded to clinical risk with z scores. These results support recent recommendations for use of race-neutral equations and z score thresholds for spirometry interpretation.

The Tuberculosis Sentinel Research Network (TB-SRN) of the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA): protocol for a prospective cohort study in Africa, Southeast Asia and Latin America

INTRODUCTION

Tuberculosis (TB) is a leading infectious cause of death globally. It is the most common opportunistic infection in people living with HIV, and the most common cause of their morbidity and mortality. Following TB treatment, surviving individuals may be at risk for post-TB lung disease. The TB Sentinel Research Network (TB-SRN) provides a platform for coordinated observational TB research within the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) consortium.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This prospective, observational cohort study will assess treatment and post-treatment outcomes of pulmonary TB (microbiologically confirmed or clinically diagnosed) among 2600 people aged ≥15 years, with and without HIV coinfection, consecutively enrolled at 16 sites in 11 countries, across 6 of IeDEA's global regions. Data regarding clinical and sociodemographic factors, mental health, health-related quality of life, pulmonary function, and laboratory and radiographic findings will be collected using standardised questionnaires and data collection tools, beginning from the initiation of TB treatment and through 12 months after the end of treatment. Data will be aggregated for proposed analyses.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval was obtained at all implementing study sites, including the Vanderbilt University Medical Center Human Research Protections Programme. Participants will provide informed consent; for minors, this includes both adolescent assent and the consent of their parent or primary caregiver. Protections for vulnerable groups are included, in alignment with local standards and considerations at sites. Procedures for requesting use and analysis of TB-SRN data are publicly available. Findings from TB-SRN analyses will be shared with national TB programmes to inform TB programming and policy, and disseminated at regional and global conferences and other venues.