Is Hyperselection of Patients the Right Strategy?

Association Between Hematoma Expansion Severity and Outcome and Its Interaction With Baseline Intracerebral Hemorrhage Volume

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Hematoma expansion (HE) is a major determinant of neurologic deterioration and poor outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) and represents an appealing therapeutic target. We analyzed the prognostic effect of different degrees of HE.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of patients with ICH admitted at 8 academic institutions in Italy, Germany, Canada, China, and the United States. All patients underwent baseline and follow-up imaging for HE assessment. Relative HE (rHE) was classified as follows: none (<0%), mild (0%-33%), moderate (33.1%-66%), and severe (>66%). Absolute HE (aHE) was classified as none (<0 mL), mild (0-6.0 mL), moderate (6.1-12.5 mL), and severe (>12.5 mL). Predictors of poor functional outcome (90 days modified Rankin Scale 4-6) were explored with logistic regression.

RESULTS

We included 2,163 patients, of whom 1,211 (56.0%) had poor outcome. The occurrence of severe aHE or rHE was more common in patients with unfavorable outcome (13.9% vs 6.5%, p < 0.001 and 18.3% vs 7.2%, p < 0.001 respectively). This association was confirmed in logistic regression (rHE odds ratio [OR] 1.98, 95% CI 1.38-2.82, p < 0.001; aHE OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.23-2.45, p = 0.002) while there was no association between mild or moderate HE and poor outcome. The association between severe HE and poor outcome was significant only in patients with baseline ICH volume below 30 mL.

DISCUSSION

The strongest association between HE and outcome was observed in patients with smaller initial volume experiencing severe HE. These findings may inform clinical trial design and guide clinicians in selecting patients for antiexpansion therapies.

Added value of non-contrast CT and CT perfusion markers for prediction of intracerebral hemorrhage expansion and outcome

OBJECTIVES

To test the hypothesis that the combined analysis of non-contrast CT (NCCT) and CT perfusion (CTP) imaging markers improves prediction of hematoma expansion (HE) and outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

Retrospective, single-center analysis of patients with primary ICH undergoing NCCT and CTP within 6 h from onset. NCCT images were assessed for the presence of intrahematomal hypodensity and shape irregularity. Perihematomal cerebral blood volume and spot sign were assessed on CTP. The main outcomes of the analysis were HE (growth > 6 mL and/or > 33%) and poor functional prognosis (90 days modified Rankin Scale 3-6). Predictors of HE and outcome were explored with logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 150 subjects were included (median age 68, 47.1% males) of whom 54 (36%) had HE and 52 (34.7%) had poor outcome. The number of imaging markers on baseline imaging was independently associated with HE (odds ratio 2.66, 95% confidence interval 1.70-4.17, p < 0.001) and outcome (odds ratio 1.64, 95% CI 1.06-2.56, p = 0.027). Patients with the simultaneous presence of all the four markers had the highest risk of HE and unfavorable prognosis (mean predicted probability of 91% and 79% respectively). The combined-markers analysis outperformed the sensitivity of the single markers analyzed separately. In particular, the presence of at least one marker identified patients with HE and poor outcome with 91% and 87% sensitivity respectively.

CONCLUSION

NCCT and CTP markers provide additional yield in the prediction of HE and ICH outcome.

KEY POINTS

• Perihematomal hypoperfusion is associated with hematoma expansion and poor outcome in acute intracerebral hemorrhage. • Non-contrast CT and CT perfusion markers improve prediction of hematoma expansion and unfavorable prognosis. • A multimodal CT protocol including CT perfusion will help the identification of patients at high risk of clinical deterioration and poor outcome.

Association of Intraventricular Fibrinolysis With Clinical Outcomes in Intracerebral Hemorrhage: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

In patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), the presence of intraventricular hemorrhage constitutes a promising therapeutic target. Intraventricular fibrinolysis (IVF) reduces mortality, yet impact on functional disability remains unclear. Thus, we aimed to determine the influence of IVF on functional outcomes.

METHODS

This individual participant data meta-analysis pooled 1501 patients from 2 randomized trials and 7 observational studies enrolled during 2004 to 2015. We compared IVF versus standard of care (including placebo) in patients treated with external ventricular drainage due to acute hydrocephalus caused by ICH with intraventricular hemorrhage. The primary outcome was functional disability evaluated by the modified Rankin Scale (mRS; range: 0-6, lower scores indicating less disability) at 6 months, dichotomized into mRS score: 0 to 3 versus mRS: 4 to 6. Secondary outcomes included ordinal-shift analysis, all-cause mortality, and intracranial adverse events. Confounding and bias were adjusted by random effects and doubly robust models to calculate odds ratios and absolute treatment effects (ATE).

RESULTS

Comparing treatment of 596 with IVF to 905 with standard of care resulted in an ATE to achieve the primary outcome of 9.3% (95% CI, 4.4-14.1). IVF treatment showed a significant shift towards improved outcome across the entire range of mRS estimates, common odds ratio, 1.75 (95% CI, 1.39-2.17), reduced mortality, odds ratio, 0.47 (95% CI, 0.35-0.64), without increased adverse events, absolute difference, 1.0% (95% CI, -2.7 to 4.8). Exploratory analyses provided that early IVF treatment (≤48 hours) after symptom onset was associated with an ATE, 15.2% (95% CI, 8.6-21.8) to achieve the primary outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

As compared to standard of care, the administration of IVF in patients with acute hydrocephalus caused by intracerebral and intraventricular hemorrhage was significantly associated with improved functional outcome at 6 months. The treatment effect was linked to an early time window <48 hours, specifying a target population for future trials.

Imaging markers of intracerebral hemorrhage expansion in patients with unclear symptom onset

Background:

Hematoma expansion (HE) is common and associated with poor outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) with unclear symptom onset (USO).

Aims:

We tested the association between non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) markers and HE in this population.

Methods:

Retrospective analysis of patients with primary spontaneous ICH admitted at five centers in the United States and Italy. Baseline NCCT was analyzed for presence of the following markers: intrahematoma hypodensities, heterogeneous density, blend sign, and irregular shape. Variables associated with HE (hematoma growth > 6 mL and/or > 33% from baseline to follow-up imaging) were explored with multivariable logistic regression.

Results:

Of 2074 patients screened, we included 646 subjects (median age = 75, 53.9% males), of whom 178 (27.6%) had HE. Hypodensities (odds ratio (OR) = 2.67, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.79–3.98), heterogeneous density (OR = 2.16, 95% CI = 1.46–3.21), blend sign (OR = 2.28, 95% CI = 1.38–3.75) and irregular shape (OR = 1.82, 95% CI = 1.21–2.75) were independently associated with a higher risk of HE, after adjustment for confounders (ICH volume, anticoagulation, and time from last seen well (LSW) to NCCT). Hypodensities had the highest sensitivity for HE (0.69), whereas blend sign was the most specific marker (0.90). All NCCT markers were more frequent in early presenters (time from LSW to NCCT ⩽ 6 h, n = 189, 29.3%), and more sensitive in this population as well (hypodensities had 0.77 sensitivity).

Conclusion:

NCCT markers are associated with HE in ICH with USO. These findings require prospective replication and suggest that NCCT features may help the stratification of HE in future studies on USO patients.

Noncontrast Computed Tomography Markers of Cerebral Hemorrhage Expansion: Diagnostic Accuracy Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Assess the diagnostic accuracy of noncontrast computed tomography (NCCT) markers of hematoma expansion in patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage.

METHODS

We performed a meta-analysis of observational studies and randomized controlled trials with available data for calculation of sensitivity and specificity of NCCT markers for hematoma expansion (absolute growth >6 or 12.5 mL and/or relative growth >33%). The following NCCT markers were analyzed: irregular shape, island sign (shape-related features); hypodensity, heterogeneous density, blend sign, black hole sign, and swirl sign (density-related features). Pooled accuracy values for each marker were derived from hierarchical logistic regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 10,363 subjects from 23 eligible studies were included. Significant risk of bias of included studies was noted. Hematoma expansion frequency ranged from 7% to 40%, mean intracerebral hemorrhage volume from 9 to 27.8 ml, presence of NCCT markers from 9% (island sign) to 82% (irregular shape). Among shape features, sensitivity ranged from 0.32 (95%CI = 0.20-0.47) for island sign to 0.68 (95%CI = 0.57-0.77) for irregular shape, specificity ranged from 0.47 (95%CI = 0.36-0.59) for irregular shape to 0.92 (95%CI = 0.85-0.96) for island sign; among density features sensitivity ranged from 0.28 (95%CI = 0.21-0.35) for black hole sign to 0.63 (95%CI = 0.44-0.78) for hypodensity, specificity ranged from 0.65 (95%CI = 0.56-0.73) for heterogeneous density to 0.89 (95%CI = 0.85-0.92) for blend sign.

CONCLUSION

Diagnostic accuracy of NCCT markers remains suboptimal for implementation in clinical trials although density features performed better than shape-related features. This analysis may help in better tailoring patients' selection for hematoma expansion targeted trials.

Inhibition of Aryl Hydrocarbon Receptor Attenuates Hyperglycemia-Induced Hematoma Expansion in an Intracerebral Hemorrhage Mouse Model

Background

Hyperglycemia is associated with greater hematoma expansion (HE) and worse clinical prognosis after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). However, the clinical benefits of intensive glucose normalization remain controversial, and there are no approved therapies for reducing HE. The aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AHR) has been shown to participate in hyperglycemia‐induced blood–brain barrier (BBB) dysfunction and brain injury after stroke. Herein, we investigated the role of AHR in hyperglycemia‐induced HE in a male mouse model of ICH.

Methods and Results

CD1 mice (n=387) were used in this study. Mice were subjected to ICH by collagenase injection. Fifty percent dextrose was injected intraperitoneally 3 hours after ICH. AHR knockout clustered regularly interspaced short palindromic repeat was administered intracerebroventricularly to evaluate the role of AHR after ICH. A selective AHR inhibitor, 6,2′,4′‐trimethoxyflavone, was administered intraperitoneally 2 hours or 6 hours after ICH for outcome study. To evaluate the effect of AHR on HE, 3‐methylcholanthrene, an AHR agonist, was injected intraperitoneally 2 hours after ICH. The results showed hyperglycemic ICH upregulated AHR accompanied by greater HE. AHR inhibition provided neurological benefits by restricting HE and preserving BBB function after hyperglycemic ICH. In vivo knockdown of AHR further limited HE and enhanced the BBB integrity. Hyperglycemia directly activated AHR as a physiological stimulus in vivo. The thrombospondin‐1/transforming growth factor‐β/vascular endothelial growth factor axis partly participated in AHR signaling after ICH, which inhibited the expressions of BBB‐related proteins, ZO‐1 and Claudin‐5.

Conclusions

AHR may serve as a potential therapeutic target to attenuate hyperglycemia‐induced hematoma expansion and to preserve the BBB in patients with ICH.

Hematoma Expansion in Intracerebral Hemorrhage With Unclear Onset

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the prevalence, predictors, and prognostic effect of hematoma expansion (HE) in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) with unclear symptom onset (USO).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with primary spontaneous ICH admitted at 5 academic medical centers in the United States and Italy. HE (volume increase >6 mL or >33% from baseline to follow-up noncontrast CT [NCCT]) and mortality at 30 days were the outcomes of interest. Baseline NCCT was also analyzed for presence of hypodensities (any hypodense region within the hematoma margins). Predictors of HE and mortality were explored with multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

We enrolled 2,165 participants, 1,022 in the development cohort and 1,143 in the replication cohort, of whom 352 (34.4%) and 407 (35.6%) had ICH with USO, respectively. When compared with participants having a clear symptom onset, patients with USO had a similar frequency of HE (25.0% vs 21.9%, p = 0.269 and 29.9% vs 31.5%, p = 0.423). Among patients with USO, HE was independently associated with mortality after adjustment for confounders (odds ratio [OR] 2.64, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43-4.89, p = 0.002). This finding was similar in the replication cohort (OR 3.46, 95% CI 1.86-6.44, p < 0.001). The presence of NCCT hypodensities in patients with USO was an independent predictor of HE in the development (OR 2.59, 95% CI 1.27-5.28, p = 0.009) and replication (OR 2.43, 95% CI 1.42-4.17, p = 0.001) population.

CONCLUSION

HE is common in patients with USO and independently associated with worse outcome. These findings suggest that patients with USO may be enrolled in clinical trials of medical treatments targeting HE.

Noncontrast CT markers of intracerebral hemorrhage expansion and poor outcome: A meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To provide precise estimates of the association between noncontrast CT (NCCT) markers, hematoma expansion (HE), and functional outcome in patients presenting with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) through a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

We searched PubMed for English-written observational studies or randomized controlled trials reporting data on NCCT markers of HE and outcome in spontaneous ICH including at least 50 subjects. The outcomes of interest were HE (hematoma growth >33%, >33% and/or >6 mL, >33% and/or >12.5 mL), poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 3-6 or 4-6) at discharge or at 90 days, and mortality. We pooled data in random-effects models and extracted cumulative odds ratio (OR) for each NCCT marker.

RESULTS

We included 25 eligible studies (n = 10,650). The following markers were associated with increased risk of HE and poor outcome, respectively: black hole sign (OR = 3.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.42-9.64 and OR = 5.26, 95% CI = 1.75-15.76), swirl sign (OR = 3.33, 95% CI = 2.42-4.60 and OR = 3.70; 95% CI = 2.47-5.55), heterogeneous density (OR = 2.74; 95% CI = 1.71-4.39 and OR = 2.80; 95% CI = 1.78-4.39), blend sign (OR = 3.49; 95% CI = 2.20-5.55 and OR = 2.21; 95% CI 1.16-4.18), hypodensities (OR = 3.47; 95% CI = 2.18-5.50 and OR = 2.94; 95% CI = 2.28-3.78), irregular shape (OR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.27-3.19 and OR = 3.43; 95% CI = 2.33-5.03), and island sign (OR = 7.87, 95% CI = 2.17-28.47 and OR = 6.05, 95% CI = 4.44-8.24).

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that multiple NCCT ICH shape and density features, with different effect size, are important markers for HE and clinical outcome and may provide useful information for future randomized controlled trials.