A Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Based Prediction Model for Prostate Biopsy Risk Stratification

Risk Calculator Strategy Before Magnetic Resonance Imaging Stratification for Biopsy-naïve Men with Suspicion for Prostate Cancer: A Cost-effectiveness Analysis

Background and objective

Current guidelines on prostate cancer (PCa) diagnosis recommend risk stratification before prostate biopsy, using either a risk calculator (RC) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). The aim of our study was to assess the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of an RC strategy and a direct MRI (dMRI) strategy.

Methods

Data for biopsy-naïve men suspected of having PCa on the basis of elevated prostate specific antigen (PSA) and/or abnormal digital rectal examination (DRE) were retrospectively collected from two large teaching hospitals. The RC and dMRI strategies were evaluated for PCa detection, effectiveness, and costs. The RC strategy used the Rotterdam prostate cancer risk calculator 3/4 and MRI for stratification, while the dMRI strategy directly used MRI findings. Clinically significant (cs)PCa was defined as a Gleason score ≥3 + 4.

Key findings and limitations

In total, 1458 men were included for analysis, of whom 944 were in the RC group and 514 were in the dMRI group. The RC strategy significantly reduced MRI use by 47.8% (52.2% vs 99.8%; p < 0.001) and reduced costs by 14.3% (€422.45 vs €492.77; p < 0.001) in comparison to the dMRI strategy. The number of patients who underwent prostate biopsy (36.5% vs. 40.9%; p = 0.11) and the csPCa detection rate (43.5% vs 45.2%; p = 0.69) were similar between the groups. The study is limited by its retrospective nature, so the findings should be interpreted with caution.

Conclusions and clinical implications

Both the RC strategy and the dMRI strategy are viable options for PCa diagnosis, with the former significantly reducing MRI use and overall diagnostic costs per person. Therefore, the RC strategy might be preferred over dMRI, particularly in contexts aiming for sustainable health care practices that optimize resource allocation and cost effectiveness.

Patient summary

We compared two different approaches for men with a suspicion of prostate cancer. One uses a risk calculator to decide on whether to perform an MRI (magnetic resonance imaging) scan, and the other proceeds directly to MRI. In both cases, prostate biopsy is performed in cases with positive MRI findings. The number of patients who needed a biopsy and the cancer detection rate were similar for the two approaches.

Understanding Spatial Correlation Between Multiparametric MRI Performance and Prostate Cancer

BACKGROUND

Multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) has shown a substantial impact on prostate cancer (PCa) diagnosis. However, the understanding of the spatial correlation between mpMRI performance and PCa location is still limited.

PURPOSE

To investigate the association between mpMRI performance and tumor spatial location within the prostate using a prostate sector map, described by Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) v2.1.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

SUBJECTS

One thousand one hundred forty-three men who underwent mpMRI before radical prostatectomy between 2010 and 2022.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3.0 T. T2-weighted turbo spin-echo, a single-shot spin-echo EPI sequence for diffusion-weighted imaging, and a gradient echo sequence for dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI sequences.

ASSESSMENT

Integrated relative cancer prevalence (rCP), detection rate (DR), and positive predictive value (PPV) maps corresponding to the prostate sector map for PCa lesions were created. The relationship between tumor location and its detection/missing by radiologists on mpMRI compared to WMHP as a reference standard was investigated.

STATISTICAL TESTS

A weighted chi-square test was performed to examine the statistical differences for rCP, DR, and PPV of the aggregated sectors within the zone, anterior/posterior, left/right prostate, and different levels of the prostate with a statistically significant level of 0.05.

RESULTS

A total of 1665 PCa lesions were identified in 1143 patients, and from those 1060 lesions were clinically significant (cs)PCa tumors (any Gleason score [GS] ≥7). Our sector-based analysis utilizing weighted chi-square tests suggested that the left posterior part of PZ had a high likelihood of missing csPCa lesions at a DR of 67.0%. Aggregated sector analysis indicated that the anterior or apex locations in PZ had the significantly lowest csPCa detection at 67.3% and 71.5%, respectively.

DATA CONCLUSION

Spatial characteristics of the per-lesion-based mpMRI performance for diagnosis of PCa were studied. Our results demonstrated that there is a spatial correlation between mpMRI performance and locations of PCa on the prostate.

EVIDENCE LEVEL

4 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Diagnostic utility of prostate health index density prior to MRI-ultrasound fusion targeted biopsy

Aim

Prostate biopsy can be prone to complications and thus should be avoided when unnecessary. Although the combination of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), the prostate health index (PHI), and PHI density (PHID) has been shown to improve detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa), there is limited information available assessing its clinical utility. We sought to determine whether using PHID could enhance the detection of PCa on MRI ultrasound fusion-targeted biopsy (MRF-TB) compared to other biomarker cutoffs.

Methods

Between June 2015 and December 2020, 302 men obtained PHI testing before MRF-TB at a single institution. We used descriptive statistics, multivariable logistic regression, and receiver operating characteristic curves to determine the predictive accuracy of PHID and PHI to detect ≥ Gleason grade group (GGG) 2 PCa and identify cutoff values.

Results

Any cancer grade was identified in 75.5% of patients and ≥ GGG2 PCa was identified in 45% of patients. The median PHID was 1.05 [interquartile range (IQR) 0.59-1.64]. A PHID cutoff of 0.91 had a higher discriminatory ability to predict ≥ GGG2 PCa compared to PHI > 27, PHI > 36, and prostate specific-antigen (PSA) density > 0.15 (AUC: 0.707 vs. 0.549 vs. 0.620 vs. 0.601), particularly in men with Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) 1-2 lesions on MRI (AUC: 0.817 vs. 0.563 vs. 0.621 vs. 0.678). At this cutoff, 35.0% of all the original biopsies could be safely avoided (PHID < 0.91 and no ≥ GGG2 PCa) and csPCa would be missed in 9.67% of patients who would have been biopsied. In patients with PI-RADS 1-2 lesions using a PHID cutoff of 0.91, 56.8% of biopsies could be safely avoided while missing 0 csPCa.

Conclusions

These findings suggest that a PHID cutoff of 0.91 improves the selection of patients with elevated prostate-specific antigen who are referred for prostate biopsy, and potentially in patients with PI-RADS 1-2 lesions.

Analysis of the Performance and Accuracy of a PSA and PSA Ratio-Based Nomogram to Predict the Probability of Prostate Cancer in a Cohort of Patients with PIRADS 3 Findings at Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging

BACKGROUND

PIRADS score 3 represents a challenge in prostate cancer (PCa) detection with MRI. Our study aimed to evaluate the application of a nomogram on a cohort of patients with PIRADS 3.

METHODS

We analyzed 286 patients undergoing fusion prostate biopsy from January 2020 to February 2024. Only PIRADS 3 patients were included. Two nomograms, previously developed and based on clinical variables such as age, total PSA (specifically 2-10 ng/mL) and PSA ratio were applied to estimate the probability (Nomograms A and B) for PCa Grade Group (GG) > 3 and GG < 3.

RESULTS

Out of the 70 patients available for analysis, 14/70 patients (20%) had PCa, 4/14 were GG 1 (28.6%), 1/14 were GG 2 (7.1%), 5/14 were GG 3 (35.8%), 2/14 were GG 4 (14.3%) and 2/14 were GG 5 (14.3%). The median probability of PCa GG > 3 and GG < 3 was 5% and 33%, respectively. A significant difference (p = 0.033) was found between patients with negative versus positive biopsy for Nomogram B. There was a significant difference (p = 0.029) for Nomogram B comparing patients with GG < 3 and GG > 3. Using a cut-off of 40% for Nomogram B, sensitivity and specificity were 70% and 80%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This cohort has a low probability of harboring PCa especially ISUP > 3. Nomogram B has good accuracy for discriminating patients with PCa from those with negative biopsy.

Prostate Age Gap: An MRI Surrogate Marker of Aging for Prostate Cancer Detection

BACKGROUND

Aging is the most important risk factor for prostate cancer (PC). Imaging techniques can be useful to measure age-related changes associated with the transition to diverse pathological states. However, biomarkers of aging from prostate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) remain to be explored.

PURPOSE

To develop an aging biomarker from prostate MRI and to examine its relationship with clinically significant PC (csPC, Gleason score ≥7) risk occurrence.

STUDY TYPE

Retrospective.

POPULATION

Four hundred and sixty-eight (65.97 ± 6.91 years) biopsied males, contributing 7243 prostate MRI slices. A deep learning (DL) model was trained on 3223 MRI slices from 81 low-grade PC (Gleason score ≤6) and 131 negative patients, defined as non-csPC. The model was tested on 90 negative, 52 low-grade (142 non-csPC), and 114 csPC patients.

FIELD STRENGTH/SEQUENCE

3-T, axial T2-weighted spin sequence.

ASSESSMENT

Chronological age was defined as the age of the participant at the time of the visit. Prostate-specific antigen (PSA), prostate volume, Gleason, and Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) scores were also obtained. Manually annotated prostate masks were used to crop the MRI slices, and a DL model was trained with those from non-csPC patients to estimate the age of the patients. Following, we obtained the prostate age gap (PAG) on previously unseen csPC and non-csPC cropped MRI exams. PAG was defined as the estimated model age minus the patient's age. Finally, the relationship between PAG and csPC risk occurrence was assessed through an adjusted multivariate logistic regression by PSA levels, age, prostate volume, and PI-RADS ≥ 3 score.

STATISTICAL TESTS

T-test, Mann-Whitney U test, permutation test, receiver operating characteristics (ROC), area under the curve (AUC), and odds ratio (OR). A P value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

After adjusting, there was a significant difference in the odds of csPC (OR = 3.78, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.32-6.16). Further, PAG showed a significantly larger bootstrapped AUC to discriminate between csPC and non-csPC than that of adjusted PI-RADS ≥ 3 (AUC = 0.981, 95% CI: 0.975-0.987).

DATA CONCLUSION

PAG may be associated with the risk of csPC and could outperform other PC risk factors.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 3.

Promoter hypermethylation of Y-chromosome gene PRKY as a potential biomarker for the early diagnosis of prostate cancer

Aim: To develop a methylation marker of Y-chromosome gene in the early diagnosis of prostate cancer (PCa).Materials & methods: We utilized bioinformatics analysis to identify the expression and promoter methylation of Y-chromosome gene PRKY in PCa and other common malignancies. Single-center experiments were conducted to validate the diagnostic value of PRKY promoter methylation in PCa.Results:  PRKY expression was significantly down-regulated in PCa and its mechanism may be related to promoter methylation. PRKY promoter methylation is highly specific for the diagnosis of early PCa, which may be superior to prostate-specific antigen, mpMRI and other excellent molecular biomarkers.Conclusion:  PRKY promoter methylation may be a potential marker for the early and accurate diagnosis of PCa.

Repeat Prostate-specific Antigen Testing Improves Risk-based Selection of Men for Prostate Biopsy After Magnetic Resonance Imaging

Background and objective

The aim of our study was to investigate whether repeat prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing as currently recommended improves risk stratification for men undergoing magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and targeted biopsy for suspected prostate cancer (PCa).

Methods

Consecutive men undergoing MRI and prostate biopsy who had at least two PSA tests before prostate biopsy were retrospectively registered and assigned to a development cohort (n = 427) or a validation (n = 174) cohort. Change in PSA level was assessed as a predictor of clinically significant PCa (csPCa; Gleason score ≥3 + 4, grade group ≥2) by multivariable logistic regression analysis. We developed a multivariable prediction model (MRI-RC) and a dichotomous biopsy decision strategy incorporating the PSA change. The performance of the MRI-RC model and dichotomous decision strategy was assessed in the validation cohort and compared to prediction models and decision strategies not including PSA change in terms of discriminative ability and decision curve analysis.

Results

Men who had a decrease on repeat PSA testing had significantly lower risk of csPCa than men without a decrease (odds ratio [OR] 0.3, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.16-0.54; p < 0.001). Men with an increased repeat PSA had a significantly higher risk of csPCa than men without an increase (OR 2.97, 95% CI 1.62-5.45; p < 0.001). Risk stratification using both the MRI-RC model and the dichotomous decision strategy was improved by incorporating change in PSA as a parameter.

Conclusions and clinical implications

Repeat PSA testing gives predictive information regarding men undergoing MRI and targeted prostate biopsy. Inclusion of PSA change as a parameter in an MRI-RC model and a dichotomous biopsy decision strategy improves their predictive performance and clinical utility without requiring additional investigations.

Patient summary

For men with a suspicion of prostate cancer, repeat PSA (prostate-specific antigen) testing after an MRI (magnetic resonance imaging) scan can help in identifying patients who can safely avoid prostate biopsy.

Natural language processing pipeline to extract prostate cancer-related information from clinical notes

OBJECTIVES

To develop an automated pipeline for extracting prostate cancer-related information from clinical notes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective study included 23,225 patients who underwent prostate MRI between 2017 and 2022. Cancer risk factors (family history of cancer and digital rectal exam findings), pre-MRI prostate pathology, and treatment history of prostate cancer were extracted from free-text clinical notes in English as binary or multi-class classification tasks. Any sentence containing pre-defined keywords was extracted from clinical notes within one year before the MRI. After manually creating sentence-level datasets with ground truth, Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT)-based sentence-level models were fine-tuned using the extracted sentence as input and the category as output. The patient-level output was determined by compilation of multiple sentence-level outputs using tree-based models. Sentence-level classification performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) on 15% of the sentence-level dataset (sentence-level test set). The patient-level classification performance was evaluated on the patient-level test set created by radiologists by reviewing the clinical notes of 603 patients. Accuracy and sensitivity were compared between the pipeline and radiologists.

RESULTS

Sentence-level AUCs were ≥ 0.94. The pipeline showed higher patient-level sensitivity for extracting cancer risk factors (e.g., family history of prostate cancer, 96.5% vs. 77.9%, p < 0.001), but lower accuracy in classifying pre-MRI prostate pathology (92.5% vs. 95.9%, p = 0.002) and treatment history of prostate cancer (95.5% vs. 97.7%, p = 0.03) than radiologists, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The proposed pipeline showed promising performance, especially for extracting cancer risk factors from patient's clinical notes.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

The natural language processing pipeline showed a higher sensitivity for extracting prostate cancer risk factors than radiologists and may help efficiently gather relevant text information when interpreting prostate MRI.

KEY POINTS

When interpreting prostate MRI, it is necessary to extract prostate cancer-related information from clinical notes. This pipeline extracted the presence of prostate cancer risk factors with higher sensitivity than radiologists. Natural language processing may help radiologists efficiently gather relevant prostate cancer-related text information.

Risk calculators for the detection of prostate cancer: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer (PCa) (early) detection poses significant challenges, including unnecessary testing and the risk of potential overdiagnosis. The European Association of Urology therefore suggests an individual risk-adapted approach, incorporating risk calculators (RCs) into the PCa detection pathway. In the context of 'The PRostate Cancer Awareness and Initiative for Screening in the European Union' (PRAISE-U) project ( https://uroweb.org/praise-u ), we aim to provide an overview of the currently available clinical RCs applicable in an early PCa detection algorithm.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review to identify RCs predicting detection of clinically significant PCa at biopsy. A search was performed in the databases Medline ALL, Embase, Web of Science Core Collection, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Google Scholar for publications between January 2010 and July 2023. We retrieved relevant literature by using the terms "prostate cancer", "screening/diagnosis" and "predictive model". Inclusion criteria included systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and clinical trials. Exclusion criteria applied to studies involving pre-targeted high-risk populations, diagnosed PCa patients, or a sample sizes under 50 men.

RESULTS

We identified 6474 articles, of which 140 were included after screening abstracts and full texts. In total, we identified 96 unique RCs. Among these, 45 underwent external validation, with 28 validated in multiple cohorts. Of the externally validated RCs, 17 are based on clinical factors, 19 incorporate clinical factors along with MRI details, 4 were based on blood biomarkers alone or in combination with clinical factors, and 5 included urinary biomarkers. The median AUC of externally validated RCs ranged from 0.63 to 0.93.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review offers an extensive analysis of currently available RCs, their variable utilization, and performance within validation cohorts. RCs have consistently demonstrated their capacity to mitigate the limitations associated with early detection and have been integrated into modern practice and screening trials. Nevertheless, the lack of external validation data raises concerns about numerous RCs, and it is crucial to factor in this omission when evaluating whether a specific RC is applicable to one's target population.

Variability of mpMRI diagnostic performance according to the upfront individual patient risk of having clinically significant prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

To assess the variation of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) positive predictive value (PPV) according to each patient's risk of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) based exclusively on clinical factors.

METHODS

We evaluated 999 patients with positive mpMRI (PI-RADS ≥ 3) receiving targeted (TBx) plus systematic prostate biopsy. We built a multivariable logistic regression analysis (MVA) using clinical risk factors to calculate the individual patients' risk of harboring csPCa at TBx. A second MVA tested the association between individual patients' clinical risk and mpMRI PPV accounting for the PI-RADS score. Finally, we plotted the PPV of each PI-RADS score by the individual patient pretest probability of csPCa using a LOWESS approach.

RESULTS

Overall, TBx found csPCa in 21%, 51%, and 80% of patients with PI-RADS 3, 4, and 5 lesions, respectively. At MVA, age, PSA, digital rectal examination (DRE), and prostate volume were significantly associated with the risk of csPCa at biopsy. DRE yielded the highest odds ratio (OR: 2.88; p < 0.001). The individual patient's clinical risk was significantly associated with mpMRI PPV (OR: 2.49; p < 0.001) using MVA. Plotting the mpMRI PPV according to the predicted clinical risks, we observed that for patients with clinical risk close to 0 versus patients with risk higher than 90%, the mpMRI PPV of PI-RADS 3, 4, and 5 ranged from 0% to 75%, from 0% to 96%, and from 45% to 100%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

mpMRI PPV varies according to the individual pretest patient's risk based on clinical factors. These findings should be considered in the decision-making process for patients with suspect MRI findings referred for a prostate biopsy. Moreover, our data support the need for further studies to create an individualized risk prediction tool.

Elucidating the need for prostate cancer risk calculators in conjunction with mpMRI in initial risk assessment before prostate biopsy at a tertiary prostate cancer center

OBJECTIVE

Utilizing personalized risk assessment for clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) incorporating multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) reduces biopsies and overdiagnosis. We validated both multi- and univariate risk models in biopsy-naïve men, with and without the inclusion of mpMRI data for csPCa detection.

METHODS

N = 565 men underwent mpMRI-targeted prostate biopsy, and the diagnostic performance of risk calculators (RCs), mpMRI alone, and clinical measures were compared using receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA). Subgroups were stratified based on mpMRI findings and quality.

RESULTS

csPCa was detected in 56.3%. PI-RADS score achieved the highest area under the curve (AUC) when comparing univariate risk models (AUC 0.82, p < 0.001). Multivariate RCs showed only marginal improvement in csPCa detection compared to PI-RADS score alone, with just one of four RCs showing significant superiority. In mpMRI-negative cases, the non-MRI-based RC performed best (AUC 0.80, p = 0.016), with the potential to spare biopsies for 23%. PSA-density and multivariate RCs demonstrated comparable performance for PI-RADS 3 constellation (AUC 0.65 vs. 0.60-0.65, p > 0.5; saved biopsies 16%). In men with suspicious mpMRI, both mpMRI-based RCs and the PI-RADS score predicted csPCa excellently (AUC 0.82-0.79 vs. 0.80, p > 0.05), highlighting superior performance compared to non-MRI-based models (all p < 0.002). Quality-assured imaging consistently improved csPCa risk stratification across all subgroups.

CONCLUSION

In tertiary centers serving a high-risk population, high-quality mpMRI provides a simple yet effective way to assess the risk of csPCa. Using multivariate RCs reduces multiple biopsies, especially in mpMRI-negative and PI-RADS 3 constellation.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging, Clinical, and Biopsy Findings in Suspected Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Importance

Multiple strategies integrating magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical data have been proposed to determine the need for a prostate biopsy in men with suspected clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) (Gleason score ≥3 + 4). However, inconsistencies across different strategies create challenges for drawing a definitive conclusion.

Objective

To determine the optimal prostate biopsy decision-making strategy for avoiding unnecessary biopsies and minimizing the risk of missing csPCa by combining MRI Prostate Imaging Reporting & Data System (PI-RADS) and clinical data.

Data Sources

PubMed, Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library from inception to July 1, 2022.

Study Selection

English-language studies that evaluated men with suspected but not confirmed csPCa who underwent MRI PI-RADS followed by prostate biopsy were included. Each study had proposed a biopsy plan by combining PI-RADS and clinical data.

Data Extraction and Synthesis

Studies were independently assessed for eligibility for inclusion. Quality of studies was appraised using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool and the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Mixed-effects meta-analyses and meta-regression models with multimodel inference were performed. Reporting of this study followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guideline.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Independent risk factors of csPCa were determined by performing meta-regression between the rate of csPCa and PI-RADS and clinical parameters. Yields of different biopsy strategies were assessed by performing diagnostic meta-analysis.

Results

The analyses included 72 studies comprising 36 366 patients. Univariable meta-regression showed that PI-RADS 4 (β-coefficient [SE], 7.82 [3.85]; P = .045) and PI-RADS 5 (β-coefficient [SE], 23.18 [4.46]; P < .001) lesions, but not PI-RADS 3 lesions (β-coefficient [SE], -4.08 [3.06]; P = .19), were significantly associated with a higher risk of csPCa. When considered jointly in a multivariable model, prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) was the only clinical variable significantly associated with csPCa (β-coefficient [SE], 15.50 [5.14]; P < .001) besides PI-RADS 5 (β-coefficient [SE], 9.19 [3.33]; P < .001). Avoiding biopsy in patients with lesions with PI-RADS category of 3 or less and PSAD less than 0.10 (vs <0.15) ng/mL2 resulted in reducing 30% (vs 48%) of unnecessary biopsies (compared with performing biopsy in all suspected patients), with an estimated sensitivity of 97% (vs 95%) and number needed to harm of 17 (vs 15).

Conclusions and Relevance

These findings suggest that in patients with suspected csPCa, patient-tailored prostate biopsy decisions based on PI-RADS and PSAD could prevent unnecessary procedures while maintaining high sensitivity.

Performance of magnetic resonance imaging-based prostate cancer risk calculators and decision strategies in two large European medical centres

OBJECTIVES

To compare the performance of currently available biopsy decision support tools incorporating magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings in predicting clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively included men who underwent prostate MRI and subsequent targeted and/or systematic prostate biopsies in two large European centres. Available decision support tools were identified by a PubMed search. Performance was assessed by calibration, discrimination, decision curve analysis (DCA) and numbers of biopsies avoided vs csPCa cases missed, before and after recalibration, at risk thresholds of 5%-20%.

RESULTS

A total of 940 men were included, 507 (54%) had csPCa. The median (interquartile range) age, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, and PSA density (PSAD) were 68 (63-72) years, 9 (7-15) ng/mL, and 0.20 (0.13-0.32) ng/mL2 , respectively. In all, 18 multivariable risk calculators (MRI-RCs) and dichotomous biopsy decision strategies based on MRI findings and PSAD thresholds were assessed. The Van Leeuwen model and the Rotterdam Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator (RPCRC) had the best discriminative ability (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.86) of the MRI-RCs that could be assessed in the whole cohort. DCA showed the highest clinical utility for the Van Leeuwen model, followed by the RPCRC. At the 10% threshold the Van Leeuwen model would avoid 22% of biopsies, missing 1.8% of csPCa, whilst the RPCRC would avoid 20% of biopsies, missing 2.6% of csPCas. These multivariable models outperformed all dichotomous decision strategies based only on MRI-findings and PSAD.

CONCLUSIONS

Even in this high-risk cohort, biopsy decision support tools would avoid many prostate biopsies, whilst missing very few csPCa cases. The Van Leeuwen model had the highest clinical utility, followed by the RPCRC. These multivariable MRI-RCs outperformed and should be favoured over decision strategies based only on MRI and PSAD.

Radiomics from multisite MRI and clinical data to predict clinically significant prostate cancer

BACKGROUND

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is useful in the diagnosis of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). MRI-derived radiomics may support the diagnosis of csPCa.

PURPOSE

To investigate whether adding radiomics from biparametric MRI to predictive models based on clinical and MRI parameters improves the prediction of csPCa in a multisite-multivendor setting.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Clinical information (PSA, PSA density, prostate volume, and age), MRI reviews (PI-RADS 2.1), and radiomics (histogram and texture features) were retrieved from prospectively included patients examined at different radiology departments and with different MRI systems, followed by MRI-ultrasound fusion guided biopsies of lesions PI-RADS 3-5. Predictive logistic regression models of csPCa (Gleason score ≥7) for the peripheral (PZ) and transition zone (TZ), including clinical data and PI-RADS only, and combined with radiomics, were built and compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

In total, 456 lesions in 350 patients were analyzed. In PZ and TZ, PI-RADS 4-5 and PSA density, and age in PZ, were independent predictors of csPCa in models without radiomics. In models including radiomics, PI-RADS 4-5, PSA density, age, and ADC energy were independent predictors in PZ, and PI-RADS 5, PSA density and ADC mean in TZ. Comparison of areas under the ROC curve (AUC) for the models without radiomics (PZ: AUC = 0.82, TZ: AUC = 0.80) versus with radiomics (PZ: AUC = 0.82, TZ: AUC = 0.82) showed no significant differences (PZ: P = 0.366; TZ: P = 0.171).

CONCLUSION

PSA density and PI-RADS are potent predictors of csPCa. Radiomics do not add significant information to our multisite-multivendor dataset.

High-grade prostate cancer demonstrates preferential growth in the cranio-caudal axis and provides discrimination of disease grade in an MRI parametric model

OBJECTIVES

To determine if multiparametric MRI prostate cancer (PC) lesion dimensions in different axes could distinguish between PC, grade group (GG) >2, and GG >3 on targeted transperineal biopsy and create and validate a predictive model on a separate cohort.

METHODS

The maximum transverse, anterio-posterior, and cranio-caudal lesion dimensions were assessed against the presence of any cancer, GG >2, and GG >3 on biopsy by binary logistic regression. The optimum multivariate models were evaluated on a separate cohort.

RESULTS

One hundred and ninety-three lesions from 148 patients were evaluated. Increased lesion volume, Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA), Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System score, and decreased Apparent Diffusion Coefficient (ADC) were associated with increased GG (P < .001). The ratio of cranio-caudal to anterior-posterior lesion dimension increased from 1.20 (95% CI, 1.14-1.25) for GG ≤ 3 to 1.43 (95% CI, 1.28-1.57) for GG > 3 (P = .0022). The cranio-caudal dimension of the lesion was the strongest predictor of GG >3 (P = .000, area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [AUC] = 0.81). The best multivariate models had an AUC of 0.84 for cancer, 0.88 for GG > 2, and 0.89 for GG > 3. These models were evaluated on a separate cohort of 40 patients with 61 lesions. They demonstrated an AUC, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.82, 82.3%, and 55.5%, respectively, for the detection of cancer. For GG > 2, the models achieved an AUC of 0.84, sensitivity of 91.7%, and specificity of 69.4%. Additionally, for GG > 3, the models showed an AUC of 0.92, sensitivity of 88.9%, and specificity of 98.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Cranio-caudal lesion dimension when used in conjunction with other parameters can create a model superior to the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data Systems score in predicting cancer.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

Higher-grade PC has a propensity to grow in the cranio-caudal direction, and this could be factored into MRI-based predictive models of prostate biopsy grade.

Creating a novel multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-based biopsy strategy for reducing unnecessary prostate biopsies: a retrospective cohort study

Background

The overdiagnosis of prostate cancer (PCa) caused by unnecessary prostate biopsy has become a worldwide problem that urgently requires a solution. We aimed to reduce the unnecessary prostate biopsies and increase the detection rate of clinically significant PCa (csPCa) by creating a novel multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI)-based strategy.

Methods

A total of 1,194 eligible patients who underwent transperineal prostate biopsies from January 2018 to December 2022 were included in this retrospective study. Of these patients, 1,080 who received prostate biopsies from January 2018 to July 2022 were regarded as cohort 1 for primary analysis, and 114 patients who received prostate biopsies from August 2022 to December 2022 were collected in cohort 2 for validation. All the mpMRI images were quantitatively evaluated by the Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.1 (PI-RADS v. 2.1). The diagnostic performances were assessed through the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and area under the curve (AUC) and were compared with the DeLong test. Cancer diagnosis-free survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. The primary endpoint of this study was clinically significant PCa with an International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grade ≥2.

Results

In cohort 1, the results of ROC curves demonstrated that the PI-RADS score had a higher diagnostic accuracy (AUC =0.898 for any-grade PCa; AUC =0.917 for csPCa) than did the other clinical variables (P<0.001). Under the novel mpMRI-based biopsy strategy, all patients with PI-RADS 1 can safely avoid prostate biopsy. For patients with PI-RADS 2, prostate biopsy should be considered for patients with prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD) ≥0.3 ng/mL2 and prostate volume <65 mL. As for patients with PI-RADS 3, structured surveillance programs can be a viable option if PSAD <0.3 ng/mL2 and prostate volume ≥65 mL. Finally, patients with a PI-RADS score of 4 and 5 should undergo prostate biopsy due to the high probability of clinically significant PCa. In the validation analysis of cohort 2, 48 patients were placed into a biopsy-spared group with no csPCa cases, while 66 patients were placed in a biopsy-needed group, with an csPCa detection rate of 50.0%. Overall, the novel strategy demonstrated a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of 98.9%, 57.5%, 50.5%, and 99.2%, respectively, for diagnosing csPCa.

Conclusions

An mpMRI-based biopsy strategy can effectively avoid about 40% of prostate biopsies and maintain a high detection rate for clinically significant PCa. It can further provide valuable guidance for patients and physicians in considering the necessity of prostate biopsy.

Co-designing an online treatment decision aid for men with low-risk prostate cancer: Navigate

Objectives

To develop an online treatment decision aid (OTDA) to assist patients with low-risk prostate cancer (LRPC) and their partners in making treatment decisions.

Patients and methods

Navigate, an OTDA for LRPC, was rigorously co-designed by patients with a confirmed diagnosis or at risk of LRPC and their partners, clinicians, researchers and website designers/developers. A theoretical model guided the development process. A mixed methods approach was used incorporating (1) evidence for essential design elements for OTDAs; (2) evidence for treatment options for LRPC; (3) an iterative co-design process involving stakeholder workshops and prototype review; and (4) expert rating using the International Patient Decision Aid Standards (IPDAS). Three co-design workshops with potential users (n = 12) and research and web-design team members (n = 10) were conducted. Results from each workshop informed OTDA modifications to the OTDA for testing in the subsequent workshop. Clinician (n = 6) and consumer (n = 9) feedback on usability and content on the penultimate version was collected.

Results

The initial workshops identified key content and design features that were incorporated into the draft OTDA, re-workshopped and incorporated into the penultimate OTDA. Expert feedback on usability and content was also incorporated into the final OTDA. The final OTDA was deemed comprehensive, clear and appropriate and met all IPDAS criteria.

Conclusion

Navigate is an interactive and acceptable OTDA for Australian men with LRPC designed by men for men using a co-design methodology. The effectiveness of Navigate in assisting patient decision-making is currently being assessed in a randomised controlled trial with patients with LRPC and their partners.

Developing a diagnostic model for predicting prostate cancer: a retrospective study based on Chinese multicenter clinical data

The overdiagnosis of prostate cancer (PCa) caused by nonspecific elevation serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and the overtreatment of indolent PCa have become a global problem that needs to be solved urgently. We aimed to construct a prediction model and provide a risk stratification system to reduce unnecessary biopsies. In this retrospective study, clinical data of 1807 patients from three Chinese hospitals were used. The final model was built using stepwise logistic regression analysis. The apparent performance of the model was assessed by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis. Finally, a risk stratification system of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) was created, and diagnosis-free survival analyses were performed. Following multivariable screening and evaluation of the diagnostic performances, a final diagnostic model comprised of the PSA density and Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score was established. Model validation in the development cohort and two external cohorts showed excellent discrimination and calibration. Finally, we created a risk stratification system using risk thresholds of 0.05 and 0.60 as the cut-off values. The follow-up results indicated that the diagnosis-free survival rate for csPCa at 12 months and 24 months postoperatively was 99.7% and 99.4%, respectively, for patients with a risk threshold below 0.05 after the initial negative prostate biopsy, which was significantly better than patients with higher risk. Our diagnostic model and risk stratification system can achieve a personalized risk calculation of csPCa. It provides a standardized tool for Chinese patients and physicians when considering the necessity of prostate biopsy.

A transfer learning nomogram for predicting prostate cancer and benign conditions on MRI

BACKGROUND

Deep learning has been used to detect or characterize prostate cancer (PCa) on medical images. The present study was designed to develop an integrated transfer learning nomogram (TLN) for the prediction of PCa and benign conditions (BCs) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHODS

In this retrospective study, a total of 709 patients with pathologically confirmed PCa and BCs from two institutions were included and divided into training (n = 309), internal validation (n = 200), and external validation (n = 200) cohorts. A transfer learning signature (TLS) that was pretrained with the whole slide images of PCa and fine-tuned on prebiopsy MRI images was constructed. A TLN that integrated the TLS, the Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) score, and the clinical factor was developed by multivariate logistic regression. The performance of the TLS, clinical model (CM), and TLN were evaluated in the validation cohorts using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the Delong test, the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

TLS, PI-RADS score, and age were selected for TLN construction. The TLN yielded areas under the curve of 0.9757 (95% CI, 0.9613-0.9902), 0.9255 (95% CI, 0.8873-0.9638), and 0.8766 (95% CI, 0.8267-0.9264) in the training, internal validation, and external validation cohorts, respectively, for the discrimination of PCa and BCs. The TLN outperformed the TLS and the CM in both the internal and external validation cohorts. The decision curve showed that the TLN added more net benefit than the CM.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed TLN has the potential to be used as a noninvasive tool for PCa and BCs differentiation.

Development and validation of a nomogram based on biparametric MRI PI-RADS v2.1 and clinical parameters to avoid unnecessary prostate biopsies

BACKGROUND

Biparametric MRI (bpMRI) is a faster, contrast-free, and less expensive MRI protocol that facilitates the detection of prostate cancer. The aim of this study is to determine whether a biparametric MRI PI-RADS v2.1 score-based model could reduce unnecessary biopsies in patients with suspected prostate cancer (PCa).

METHODS

The patients who underwent MRI-guided biopsies and systematic biopsies between January 2020 and January 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. The development cohort used to derive the prediction model consisted of 275 patients. Two validation cohorts included 201 patients and 181 patients from 2 independent institutions. Predictive models based on the bpMRI PI-RADS v2.1 score (bpMRI score) and clinical parameters were used to detect clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) and compared by analyzing the area under the curve (AUC) and decision curves. Spearman correlation analysis was utilized to determine the relationship between International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grade and clinical parameters/bpMRI score.

RESULTS

Logistic regression models were constructed using data from the development cohort to generate nomograms. By applying the models to the all cohorts, the AUC for csPCa was significantly higher for the bpMRI PI-RADS v2.1 score-based model than for the clinical model in both cohorts (p < 0.001). Considering the test trade-offs, urologists would agree to perform 10 fewer bpMRIs to avoid one unnecessary biopsy, with a risk threshold of 10-20% in practice. Correlation analysis showed a strong correlation between the bpMRI score and ISUP grade.

CONCLUSION

A predictive model based on the bpMRI score and clinical parameters significantly improved csPCa risk stratification, and the bpMRI score can be used to determine the aggressiveness of PCa prior to biopsy.

Prediction of clinically significant prostate cancer using a novel 68Ga-PSMA PET-CT and multiparametric MRI-based model

Background

There are some limitations in the commonly used methods for the detection of prostate cancer. There is a lack of nomograms based on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) and 68Ga-prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) for the prediction of prostate cancer. The study seeks to compare the performance of mpMRI and 68Ga-PSMA PET-CT, and design a novel predictive model capable of predicting clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) before biopsy based on a combination of 68Ga-PSMA PET-CT, mpMRI, and patient clinical parameters.

Methods

From September 2020 to June 2021, we prospectively enrolled 112 consecutive patients with no prior history of prostate cancer who underwent both 68Ga-PSMA PET-CT and mpMRI prior to biopsy at our clinical center. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to identify predictors of csPCa, with a predictive model and its nomogram incorporating 68Ga-PSMA PET-CT, mpMRI, and the clinical predictors then being generated. The constructed model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis, and further validated with the internal and external cohorts.

Results

The model incorporated prostate-specific antigen density (PSAd), Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) category, and maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), and it exhibited excellent predictive efficacy when applying to evaluate both training and validation cohorts [area under the curve (AUC): 0.936 and 0.940, respectively]. Compared with SUVmax alone, the model demonstrated excellent diagnostic performance with improved specificity (0.910, 95% CI: 0.824-0.963) and positive predictive values (0.811, 95% CI: 0.648-0.920). Calibration curve and decision curve analysis further confirmed that the model exhibited a high degree of clinical net benefit and low error rate.

Conclusions

The constructed model in this study was capable of accurately predicting csPCa prior to biopsy with excellent discriminative ability. As such, this model has the potential to be an effective non-invasive approach for the diagnosis of csPCa.

PI-RADS: Where Next?

Prostate MRI plays an important role in the clinical management of localized prostate cancer, mainly assisting in biopsy decisions and guiding biopsy procedures. The Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) has been available to radiologists since 2012, with the most up-to-date and actively used version being PI-RADS version 2.1. This review article discusses the current use of PI-RADS, including its limitations and controversies, and summarizes research that aims to improve future iterations of this system.

Comparison of prostate volume measured by transabdominal ultrasound and MRI with the radical prostatectomy specimen volume: a retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND

Few studies have compared the use of transabdominal ultrasound (TAUS) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to measure prostate volume (PV). In this study, we evaluate the accuracy and reliability of PV measured by TAUS and MRI.

METHODS

A total of 106 patients who underwent TAUS and MRI prior to radical prostatectomy were retrospectively analyzed. The TAUS-based and MRI-based PV were calculated using the ellipsoid formula. The specimen volume measured by the water-displacement method was used as a reference standard. Correlation analysis and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC) were performed to compare different measurement methods and Bland Altman plots were drawn to assess the agreement.

RESULTS

There was a high degree of correlation and agreement between the specimen volume and PV measured with TAUS (r = 0.838, p < 0.01; ICC = 0.83) and MRI (r = 0.914, p < 0.01; ICC = 0.90). TAUS overestimated specimen volume by 2.4ml, but the difference was independent of specimen volume (p = 0.19). MRI underestimated specimen volume by 1.7ml, the direction and magnitude of the difference varied with specimen volume (p < 0.01). The percentage error of PV measured by TAUS and MRI was within ± 20% in 65/106(61%) and 87/106(82%), respectively. In patients with PV greater than 50 ml, MRI volume still correlated strongly with specimen volume (r = 0.837, p < 0.01), while TAUS volume showed only moderate correlation with specimen (r = 0.665, p < 0.01) or MRI volume (r = 0.678, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that PV measured by MRI and TAUS is highly correlated and reliable with the specimen volume. MRI might be a more appropriate choice for measuring the large prostate.

Systematic review of methods used to improve the efficacy of magnetic resonance in early detection of clinically significant prostate cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Prostate cancer (PC) is the malignant neoplasm with the highest incidence after lung cancer worldwide. The objective of this study is to review the literature on the methods that improve the efficacy of the current strategy for the early diagnosis of clinically significant PC (csPC), based on the performance of magnetic resonance imaging (RM) and targeted biopsies when suspicious lesions are detected, in addition to systematic biopsy.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A systematic literature review was performed in PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane according to the PRISMA criteria (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses), using the search terms: multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging, biparametric magnetic resonance imaging, biomarkers in prostate cancer, prostate cancer y early diagnosis. A total of 297 references were identified and, using the PICO selection criteria, 21 publications were finally selected to synthesize the evidence.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

With the consolidation of MRI as the test of choice for the diagnosis of prostate cancer, the role of PSA density (PSAD) becomes relevant as a predictive tool included in prediction nomograms, without added cost. PSAD and diagnostic markers, combined with MRI, offer a high diagnostic power with an area under curve (AUC) above 0.7. Only the SHTLM3 model integrates markers in the creation of a nomogram. Prediction models also offer consistent efficacy with an AUC greater than 0.8 when associating MRI.

CONCLUSIONS

The efficacy of MRI in clinically significant prostate cancer detection can be improved with different parameters in order to generate predictive models that support decision making.

The use of 68 Ga-PSMA PET/CT to stratify patients with PI-RADS 3 lesions according to clinically significant prostate cancer risk

BACKGROUND

Prostate imaging reporting and data system (PI-RADS) category 3 lesions represent a "gray zone," having an equivocal risk of presenting as clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). ⁶⁸ Ga-labelled prostate-specific membrane antigen (⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) has been identified as a diagnostic tool that can help to predict cases of primary PCa. We aimed to explore diagnostic value of ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT for csPCa in PI-RADS 3 lesions to aid in decision-making and avoid unnecessary biopsies.

METHODS

A total of 78 men with PI-RADS 3 lesions who underwent both ⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT and transrectal ultrasound/magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) fusion-guided biopsy were enrolled. Images were analyzed by respective physicians who were blinded to the pathological results. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 26/78 men had pathologically confirmed csPCa. A lower ADCT/ADCCLP (0.65 vs. 0.71, p = 0.018), smaller prostate volume (25.27 vs. 42.79 ml, p < 0.001), lower free prostate-specific antigen/total prostate-specific antigen (0.11 vs. 0.16, p < 0.001), higher PSA level (13.45 vs. 7.90 ng/ml, p = 0.001), higher PSA density (0.40 vs. 0.16 ng/ml² , p < 0.001), higher SUVmax (9.80 vs. 4.40, p < 0.001) and SUVT/BGp (2.41 vs. 1.00, p < 0.001) were associated with csPCa. ROC analysis illustrated the improvement in SUVmax and SUVT/BGp compared with all independent and combined clinical features as well as multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) features for csPCa detection. The net benefits of SUVmax and SUVT/BGp were superior to those of other features, respectively. With cutoff values of 5.0 for SUVmax and 1.4 for SUVT/BGp, the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity for csPCa were 96.2%, 100% and 80.8%, 84.6%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

⁶⁸ Ga-PSMA PET/CT is potentially capable of stratifying men with PI-RADS 3 lesions according to the presence of csPCa and has better performance than the model established based on clinical and mpMRI features.

Radiogenomics Reveals Correlation between Quantitative Texture Radiomic Features of Biparametric MRI and Hypoxia-Related Gene Expression in Men with Localised Prostate Cancer

OBJECTIVES

To perform multiscale correlation analysis between quantitative texture feature phenotypes of pre-biopsy biparametric MRI (bpMRI) and targeted sequence-based RNA expression for hypoxia-related genes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Images from pre-biopsy 3T bpMRI scans in clinically localised PCa patients of various risk categories (n = 15) were used to extract textural features. The genomic landscape of hypoxia-related gene expression was obtained using post-radical prostatectomy tissue for targeted RNA expression profiling using the TempO-sequence method. The nonparametric Games Howell test was used to correlate the differential expression of the important hypoxia-related genes with 28 radiomic texture features. Then, cBioportal was accessed, and a gene-specific query was executed to extract the Oncoprint genomic output graph of the selected hypoxia-related genes from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Based on each selected gene profile, correlation analysis using Pearson's coefficients and survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier estimators were performed.

RESULTS

The quantitative bpMR imaging textural features, including the histogram and grey level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM), correlated with three hypoxia-related genes (ANGPTL4, VEGFA, and P4HA1) based on RNA sequencing using the TempO-Seq method. Further radiogenomic analysis, including data accessed from the cBioportal genomic database, confirmed that overexpressed hypoxia-related genes significantly correlated with a poor survival outcomes, with a median survival ratio of 81.11:133.00 months in those with and without alterations in genes, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This study found that there is a correlation between the radiomic texture features extracted from bpMRI in localised prostate cancer and the hypoxia-related genes that are differentially expressed. The analysis of expression data based on cBioportal revealed that these hypoxia-related genes, which were the focus of the study, are linked to an unfavourable survival outcomes in prostate cancer patients.

[Systematic or targeted fusion-guided biopsy]

BACKGROUND

Early detection of prostate cancer (PCa) is associated with a high risk for detecting low-risk disease. In the primary biopsy indication, systematic biopsy leads to an increased detection of clinically insignificant PCa, and significant prostate cancers are not detected with sufficient sensitivity, especially without prior magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Similar data have recently become available for PCa screening.

OBJECTIVES

In light of the current literature, this article aims to discuss the data on systematic and combined targeted and systematic multiparametric MRI (mpMRI)-guided fusion biopsy to improve PCa diagnosis in clinically suspected cancer even in screening using multivariable risk stratification.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Literature review on mpMRI and MRI/TRUS fusion biopsy (TRUS: transrectal ultrasonography) for tumor detection in suspected prostate cancer and PCa screening was performed.

RESULTS

Multiparametric MRI as a reflex test after prostate-specific antigen (PSA) determination (PSA cut-off 4 ng/ml) in combination with targeted biopsy alone reduces the detection of clinically nonsignificant tumors in early detection by half. On the other hand, in the form of a target saturation or in combination with a systematic biopsy, the sensitivity for the detection of cancers of International Society of Urogenital Pathology (ISUP) grade groups 2 or higher can be improved. Similar results are also shown in PCa screening with a PSA cut-off of 3 ng/ml.

CONCLUSIONS

The evidence for performing a targeted fusion biopsy alone is currently insufficient. Therefore, the combination of mpMRI-guided targeted and systematic biopsy continues to be the recommended standard for prostate cancer diagnosis.

Developing a predictive model for clinically significant prostate cancer by combining age, PSA density, and mpMRI

PURPOSE

The study aimed to construct a predictive model for clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) and investigate its clinical efficacy to reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies.

METHODS

A total of 847 patients from institute 1 were included in cohort 1 for model development. Cohort 2 included a total of 208 patients from institute 2 for external validation of the model. The data obtained were used for retrospective analysis. The results of magnetic resonance imaging were obtained using Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System version 2.1 (PI-RADS v2.1). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine significant predictors of csPCa. The diagnostic performances were compared using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analyses.

RESULTS

Age, prostate-specific antigen density (PSAD), and PI-RADS v2.1 scores were used as predictors of the model. In the development cohort, the areas under the ROC curve (AUC) for csPCa about age, PSAD, PI-RADS v2.1 scores, and the model were 0.675, 0.823, 0.875, and 0.938, respectively. In the external validation cohort, the AUC values predicted by the four were 0.619, 0.811, 0.863, and 0.914, respectively. Decision curve analysis revealed that the clear net benefit of the model was higher than PI-RADS v2.1 scores and PSAD. The model significantly reduced unnecessary prostate biopsies within the risk threshold of > 10%.

CONCLUSIONS

In both internal and external validation, the model constructed by combining age, PSAD, and PI-RADS v2.1 scores exhibited excellent clinical efficacy and can be utilized to reduce unnecessary prostate biopsies.

A prostate biopsy risk calculator based on MRI: development and comparison of the Prospective Loyola University multiparametric MRI (PLUM) and Prostate Biopsy Collaborative Group (PBCG) risk calculators

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate a prostate cancer (PCa) risk calculator (RC) incorporating multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) and to compare its performance with that of the Prostate Biopsy Collaborative Group (PBCG) RC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Men without a PCa diagnosis receiving mpMRI before biopsy in the Prospective Loyola University mpMRI (PLUM) Prostate Biopsy Cohort (2015-2020) were included. Data from a separate institution were used for external validation. The primary outcome was diagnosis of no cancer, grade group (GG)1 PCa, and clinically significant (cs)PCa (≥GG2). Binary logistic regression was used to explore standard clinical and mpMRI variables (prostate volume, Prostate Imaging-Reporting Data System [PI-RADS] version 2.0 lesions) with the final PLUM RC, based on a multinomial logistic regression model. Receiver-operating characteristic curve, calibration curves, and decision-curve analysis were evaluated in the training and validation cohorts.

RESULTS

A total of 1010 patients were included for development (N = 674 training [47.8% PCa, 30.9% csPCa], N = 336 internal validation) and 371 for external validation. The PLUM RC outperformed the PBCG RC in the training (area under the curve [AUC] 85.9% vs 66.0%; P < 0.001), internal validation (AUC 88.2% vs 67.8%; P < 0.001) and external validation (AUC 83.9% vs 69.4%; P < 0.001) cohorts for csPCa detection. The PBCG RC was prone to overprediction while the PLUM RC was well calibrated. At a threshold probability of 15%, the PLUM RC vs the PBCG RC could avoid 13.8 vs 2.7 biopsies per 100 patients without missing any csPCa. At a cost level of missing 7.5% of csPCa, the PLUM RC could have avoided 41.0% (566/1381) of biopsies compared to 19.1% (264/1381) for the PBCG RC. The PLUM RC compared favourably with the Stanford Prostate Cancer Calculator (SPCC; AUC 84.1% vs 81.1%; P = 0.002) and the MRI-European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) RC (AUC 84.5% vs 82.6%; P = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The mpMRI-based PLUM RC significantly outperformed the PBCG RC and compared favourably with other mpMRI-based RCs. A large proportion of biopsies could be avoided using the PLUM RC in shared decision making while maintaining optimal detection of csPCa.

Natural History of Patients with Prostate MRI Likert 1-3 and Development of RosCaP: a Multivariate Risk Score for Clinically Significant Cancer

INTRODUCTION

Clinically significant prostate cancer (csCaP) with Gleason ≥3 + 4 is found in 10% negative prebiopsy multiparametric (mp) MRI cases and varies widely for equivocal mpMRI cases. The objective of this study was to investigate long-term outcomes of patients with negative and equivocal mpMRIs and to develop a predictive score for csCaP risk stratification in this group.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent an upfront mpMRI between May 2015 and March 2018 with an MRI score Likert 1 to 3 were included in the study. Patients had either a CaP diagnosis at MRI-targeted biopsy or were not diagnosed and attended follow-up in the community. Outcomes were analysed through the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox Model. Regression coefficients of significant variables were used to develop a Risk of significant Cancer of the Prostate score (RosCaP).

RESULTS

At first assessment 281/469 patients had mpMRI only and 188/469 mpMRI and biopsy, 26 csCaP were found at biopsy, including 10/26 in Likert 3 patients. 12/371 patients discharged without CaP after first assessment were diagnosed with csCaP during a median of 34.2 months' follow-up, 11/12 diagnosis occurred in patients omitting initial biopsy. csCaP diagnosis-free survival was 95.7% in the MRI group and 99.1% in the biopsy group. From these outcomes, a continuous RosCaP score was developed: RosCaP = 0.083 x Age - 0.202 x (1/PSA Density) + 0.786 (if Likert 3), and 4 risk classes were proposed. Limitations include retrospective design and absence of external validation.

CONCLUSION

Age, PSA Density and MRI Likert score were significantly associated to the risk of csCaP and utilised to devise the novel RosCap predictive score focused to support risk assessment in patients with negative or equivocal mpMRI results.

Dual-Tracer PET-MRI-Derived Imaging Biomarkers for Prediction of Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer

PURPOSE

To investigate if imaging biomarkers derived from 3-Tesla dual-tracer [(18)F]fluoromethylcholine (FMC) and [⁶⁸Ga]Ga-PSMA^HBED-CC conjugate 11 (PSMA)-positron emission tomography can adequately predict clinically significant prostate cancer (csPC).

METHODS

We assessed 77 biopsy-proven PC patients who underwent 3T dual-tracer PET/mpMRI followed by radical prostatectomy (RP) between 2014 and 2017. We performed a retrospective lesion-based analysis of all cancer foci and compared it to whole-mount histopathology of the RP specimen. The primary aim was to investigate the pretherapeutic role of the imaging biomarkers FMC- and PSMA-maximum standardized uptake values (SUVmax) for the prediction of csPC and to compare it to the mpMRI-methods and PI-RADS score.

RESULTS

Overall, we identified 104 cancer foci, 69 were clinically significant (66.3%) and 35 were clinically insignificant (33.7%). We found that the combined FMC+PSMA SUVmax were the only significant parameters (p < 0.001 and p = 0.049) for the prediction of csPC. ROC analysis showed an AUC for the prediction of csPC of 0.695 for PI-RADS scoring (95% CI 0.591 to 0.786), 0.792 for FMC SUVmax (95% CI 0.696 to 0.869), 0.852 for FMC+PSMA SUVmax (95% CI 0.764 to 0.917), and 0.852 for the multivariable CHAID model (95% CI 0.763 to 0.916). Comparing the AUCs, we found that FMC+PSMA SUVmax and the multivariable model were significantly more accurate for the prediction of csPC compared to PI-RADS scoring (p = 0.0123, p = 0.0253, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Combined FMC+PSMA SUVmax seems to be a reliable parameter for the prediction of csPC and might overcome the limitations of PI-RADS scoring. Further prospective studies are necessary to confirm these promising preliminary results.

Foggia Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator 2.0: A Novel Risk Calculator including MRI and Bladder Outlet Obstruction Parameters to Reduce Unnecessary Biopsies

Risk calculator (RC) combining PSA with other clinical information can help to better select patients at risk of prostate cancer (PCa) for prostate biopsy. The present study aimed to develop a new Pca RC, including MRI and bladder outlet obstruction parameters (BOOP). The ability of these parameters in predicting PCa and clinically significant PCa (csPCa: ISUP GG ≥ 2) was assessed by binary logistic regression. A total of 728 patients were included from two institutions. Of these, 395 (54.3%) had negative biopsies and 161 (22.11%) and 172 (23.6%) had a diagnosis of ISUP GG1 PCa and csPCa. The two RC ultimately included age, PSA, DRE, prostate volume (pVol), post-voided residual urinary volume (PVR), and PIRADS score. Regarding BOOP, higher prostate volumes (csPCa: OR 0.98, CI 0.97,0.99) and PVR ≥ 50 mL (csPCa: OR 0.27, CI 0.15, 0.47) were protective factors for the diagnosis of any PCa and csPCa. AUCs after internal validation were 0.78 (0.75, 0.82) and 0.82 (0.79, 0.86), respectively. Finally, decision curves analysis demonstrated higher benefit compared to the first-generation calculator and MRI alone. These novel RC based on MRI and BOOP may help to better select patient for prostate biopsy after prostate MRI.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Based Predictive Models for Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review

Simple Summary

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has allowed the early detection of PCa to evolve towards clinically significant PCa (csPCa), decreasing unnecessary prostate biopsies and overdetection of insignificant tumours. MRI identifies suspicious lesions of csPCa, predicting the semi-quantitative risk through the prostate imaging report and data system (PI-RADS), and enables guided biopsies, increasing the sensitivity of csPCa. Predictive models that individualise the risk of csPCa have also evolved adding PI-RADS score (MRI-PMs), improving the selection of candidates for prostate biopsy beyond the PI-RADS category. During the last five years, many MRI-PMs have been developed. Our objective is to analyse the current developed MRI-PMs and define their clinical usefulness through a systematic review. We have found high heterogeneity between MRI technique, PI-RADS versions, biopsy schemes and approaches, and csPCa definitions. MRI-PMs outperform the selection of candidates for prostate biopsy beyond MRI alone and PMs based on clinical predictors. However, few developed MRI-PMs are externally validated or have available risk calculators (RCs), which constitute the appropriate requirements used in routine clinical practice.

Abstract

MRI can identify suspicious lesions, providing the semi-quantitative risk of csPCa through the Prostate Imaging-Report and Data System (PI-RADS). Predictive models of clinical variables that individualise the risk of csPCa have been developed by adding PI-RADS score (MRI-PMs). Our objective is to analyse the current developed MRI-PMs and define their clinical usefulness. A systematic review was performed after a literature search performed by two independent investigators in PubMed, Cochrane, and Web of Science databases, with the Medical Subjects Headings (MESH): predictive model, nomogram, risk model, magnetic resonance imaging, PI-RADS, prostate cancer, and prostate biopsy. This review was made following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) criteria and studied eligibility based on the Participants, Intervention, Comparator, and Outcomes (PICO) strategy. Among 723 initial identified registers, 18 studies were finally selected. Warp analysis of selected studies was performed with the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Clinical predictors in addition to the PI-RADS score in developed MRI-PMs were age, PCa family history, digital rectal examination, biopsy status (initial vs. repeat), ethnicity, serum PSA, prostate volume measured by MRI, or calculated PSA density. All MRI-PMs improved the prediction of csPCa made by clinical predictors or imaging alone and achieved most areas under the curve between 0.78 and 0.92. Among 18 developed MRI-PMs, 7 had any external validation, and two RCs were available. The updated PI-RADS version 2 was exclusively used in 11 MRI-PMs. The performance of MRI-PMs according to PI-RADS was only analysed in a single study. We conclude that MRI-PMs improve the selection of candidates for prostate biopsy beyond the PI-RADS category. However, few developed MRI-PMs meet the appropriate requirements in routine clinical practice.

Multi-institutional analysis of clinical and imaging risk factors for detecting clinically significant prostate cancer in men with PI-RADS 3 lesions

BACKGROUND

Most Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) 3 lesions do not contain clinically significant prostate cancer (CSPCa; grade group ≥2). This study was aimed at identifying clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-derived risk fac- tors that predict CSPCa in men with PI-RADS 3 lesions.

METHODS

This study analyzed the detection of CSPCa in men who underwent MRI-targeted biopsy for PI-RADS 3 lesions. Multivariable logistic regression models with goodness-of-fit testing were used to identify variables associated with CSPCa. Receiver operating curves and decision curve analyses were used to estimate the clinical utility of a predictive model.

RESULTS

Of the 1784 men reviewed, 1537 were included in the training cohort, and 247 were included in the validation cohort. The 309 men with CSPCa (17.3%) were older, had a higher prostate-specific antigen (PSA) density, and had a greater likelihood of an anteriorly located lesion than men without CSPCa (p < .01). Multivariable analysis revealed that PSA density (odds ratio [OR], 1.36; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.85; p < .01), age (OR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07; p < .01), and a biopsy-naive status (OR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.38-2.44) were independently associated with CSPCa. A prior negative biopsy was negatively associated (OR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.24-0.50; p < .01). The application of the model to the validation cohort resulted in an area under the curve of 0.78. A predicted risk threshold of 12% could have prevented 25% of biopsies while detecting almost 95% of CSPCas with a sensitivity of 94% and a specificity of 34%.

CONCLUSIONS

For PI-RADS 3 lesions, an elevated PSA density, older age, and a biopsy-naive status were associated with CSPCa, whereas a prior negative biopsy was negatively associated. A predictive model could prevent PI-RADS 3 biopsies while missing few CSPCas.

LAY SUMMARY

Among men with an equivocal lesion (Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System 3) on multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI), those who are older, those who have a higher prostate-specific antigen density, and those who have never had a biopsy before are at higher risk for having clinically significant prostate cancer (CSPCa) on subsequent biopsy. However, men with at least one negative biopsy have a lower risk of CSPCa. A new predictive model can greatly reduce the need to biopsy equivocal lesions noted on mpMRI while missing only a few cases of CSPCa.

Reducing prostate biopsies and magnetic resonance imaging with prostate cancer risk stratification

Objectives

To recalibrate and validate the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer risk calculators (ERSPC RCs) 3/4 and the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-ERSPC-RCs to a contemporary Norwegian setting to reduce upfront prostate multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and prostate biopsies.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively identified and entered all men who underwent prostate mpMRI and subsequent prostate biopsy between January 2016 and March 2017 in a Norwegian centre into a database. mpMRI was reported using PI-RADS v2.0 and clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) defined as Gleason ≥ 3 + 4. Probabilities of csPCa and any prostate cancer (PCa) on biopsy were calculated by the ERSPC RCs 3/4 and the MRI-ERSPC-RC and compared with biopsy results. RCs were then recalibrated to account for differences in prevalence between the development and current cohorts (if indicated), and calibration, discrimination and clinical usefulness assessed.

Results

Three hundred and three patients were included. The MRI-ERSPC-RCs were perfectly calibrated to our cohort, although the ERSPC RCs 3/4 needed recalibration. Area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) for the ERSPC RCs 3/4 was 0.82 for the discrimination of csPCa and 0.77 for any PCa. The AUC for the MRI-ERSPC-RCs was 0.89 for csPCa and 0.85 for any PCa. Decision curve analysis showed clear net benefit for both the ERSPC RCs 3/4 (>2% risk of csPCa threshold to biopsy) and for the MRI-ERSPC-RCs (>1% risk of csPCa threshold), with a greater net benefit for the MRI-RCs. Using a >10% risk of csPCa or 20% risk of any PCa threshold for the ERSPC RCs 3/4, 15.5% of mpMRIs could be omitted, missing 0.8% of csPCa. Using the MRI-ERSPC-RCs, 23.4% of biopsies could be omitted with the same threshold, missing 0.8% of csPCa.

Conclusion

The ERSPC RCs 3/4 and MRI-ERSPC-RCs can considerably reduce both upfront mpMRI and prostate biopsies with little risk of missing csPCa.

Augmenting prostate magnetic resonance imaging reporting to incorporate diagnostic recommendations based upon clinical risk calculators

Risk calculators have offered a viable tool for clinicians to stratify patients at risk of prostate cancer (PCa) and to mitigate the low sensitivity and specificity of screening prostate specific antigen (PSA). While initially based on clinical and demographic data, incorporation of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and the validated prostate imaging reporting and data system suspicion scoring system has standardized and improved risk stratification beyond the use of PSA and patient parameters alone. Biopsy-naïve patients with lower risk profiles for harboring clinically significant PCa are often subjected to uncomfortable, invasive, and potentially unnecessary prostate biopsy procedures. Incorporating risk calculator data into prostate MRI reports can broaden the role of radiologists, improve communication with clinicians primarily managing these patients, and help guide clinical care in directing the screening, detection, and risk stratification of PCa.

Predicting the Need for Biopsy to Detect Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer in Patients with a Magnetic Resonance Imaging-detected Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System/Likert ≥3 Lesion: Development and Multinational External Validation of the Imperial Rapid Access to Prostate Imaging and Diagnosis Risk Score

BACKGROUND

Although multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has high sensitivity, its lower specificity leads to a high prevalence of false-positive lesions requiring biopsy.

OBJECTIVE

To develop and externally validate a scoring system for MRI-detected Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PIRADS)/Likert ≥3 lesions containing clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

The multicentre Rapid Access to Prostate Imaging and Diagnosis (RAPID) pathway included 1189 patients referred to urology due to elevated age-specific prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and/or abnormal digital rectal examination (DRE); April 27, 2017 to October 25, 2019.

INTERVENTION

Visual-registration or image-fusion targeted and systematic transperineal biopsies for an MRI score of ≥4 or 3 + PSA density ≥0.12 ng/ml/ml.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Fourteen variables were used in multivariable logistic regression for Gleason ≥3 + 4 (primary) and Gleason ≥4 + 3, and PROMIS definition 1 (any ≥4 + 3 or ≥6 mm any grade; secondary). Nomograms were created and a decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed. Models with varying complexity were externally validated in 2374 patients from six international cohorts.

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

The five-item Imperial RAPID risk score used age, PSA density, prior negative biopsy, prostate volume, and highest MRI score (corrected c-index for Gleason ≥3 + 4 of 0.82 and 0.80-0.86 externally). Incorporating family history, DRE, and Black ethnicity within the eight-item Imperial RAPID risk score provided similar outcomes. The DCA showed similar superiority of all models, with net benefit differences increasing in higher threshold probabilities. At 20%, 30%, and 40% of predicted Gleason ≥3 + 4 prostate cancer, the RAPID risk score was able to reduce, respectively, 11%, 21%, and 31% of biopsies against 1.8%, 6.2%, and 14% of missed csPCa (or 9.6%, 17%, and 26% of foregone biopsies, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The Imperial RAPID risk score provides a standardised tool for the prediction of csPCa in patients with an MRI-detected PIRADS/Likert ≥3 lesion and can support the decision for prostate biopsy.

PATIENT SUMMARY

In this multinational study, we developed a scoring system incorporating clinical and magnetic resonance imaging characteristics to predict which patients have prostate cancer requiring treatment and which patients can safely forego an invasive prostate biopsy. This model was validated in several other countries.

Artificial Intelligence for Automated Cancer Detection on Prostate MRI: Opportunities and Ongoing Challenges, From the AJR Special Series on AI Applications

Use of prostate MRI has increased greatly in the past decade, primarily in directing targeted prostate biopsy. However, prostate MRI interpretation remains prone to interreader variation. Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to standardize detection of lesions on MRI that are suspicious for prostate cancer (PCa). The purpose of this review is to explore the current status of AI for the automated detection of PCa on MRI. Recent literature describing promising results regarding AI models for PCa detection on MRI is highlighted. Numerous limitations of the existing literature are also described, including biases in model validation, heterogeneity in reporting of performance metrics, and lack of sufficient evidence of clinical translation. Challenges related to AI ethics and data governance are also discussed. An outlook is provided for AI in lesion detection on prostate MRI in the coming years, emphasizing current research needs. Future investigations, incorporating large-scale diverse multiinstitutional training and testing datasets, are anticipated to enable the development of more robust AI models for PCa detection on MRI, though prospective clinical trials will ultimately be required to establish benefit of AI in patient management.

A Prediction Model Intended for Exploratory Laparoscopy Risk Stratification in Colorectal Cancer Patients With Potential Occult Peritoneal Metastasis

Background

The early diagnosis of occult peritoneal metastasis (PM) remains a challenge due to the low sensitivity on computed tomography (CT) images. Exploratory laparoscopy is the gold standard to confirm PM but should only be proposed in selected patients due to its invasiveness, high cost, and port-site metastasis risk. In this study, we aimed to develop an individualized prediction model to identify occult PM status and determine optimal candidates for exploratory laparoscopy.

Method

A total of 622 colorectal cancer (CRC) patients from 2 centers were divided into training and external validation cohorts. All patients’ PM status was first detected as negative on CT imaging but later confirmed by exploratory laparoscopy. Multivariate analysis was used to identify independent predictors, which were used to build a prediction model for identifying occult PM in CRC. The concordance index (C-index), calibration plot and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate its predictive accuracy and clinical utility.

Results

The C-indices of the model in the development and validation groups were 0.850 (95% CI 0.815-0.885) and 0.794 (95% CI, 0.690-0.899), respectively. The calibration curve showed consistency between the observed and predicted probabilities. The decision curve analysis indicated that the prediction model has a great clinical value between thresholds of 0.10 and 0.72. At a risk threshold of 30%, a total of 40% of exploratory laparoscopies could have been prevented, while still identifying 76.7% of clinically occult PM cases. A dynamic online platform was also developed to facilitate the usage of the proposed model.

Conclusions

Our individualized risk model could reduce the number of unnecessary exploratory laparoscopies while maintaining a high rate of diagnosis of clinically occult PM. These results warrant further validation in prospective studies.

Clinical Trial Registration

https://www.isrctn.com, identifier ISRCTN76852032

The Mount Sinai Prebiopsy Risk Calculator for Predicting any Prostate Cancer and Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer: Development of a Risk Predictive Tool and Validation with Advanced Neural Networking, Prostate Magnetic Resonance Imaging Outcome Database, and European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator

Background

The European Association of Urology guidelines recommend the use of imaging, biomarkers, and risk calculators in men at risk of prostate cancer. Risk predictive calculators that combine multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging with prebiopsy variables aid as an individualized decision-making tool for patients at risk of prostate cancer, and advanced neural networking increases reliability of these tools.

Objective

To develop a comprehensive risk predictive online web-based tool using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical data, to predict the risk of any prostate cancer (PCa) and clinically significant PCa (csPCa) applicable to biopsy-naïve men, men with a prior negative biopsy, men with prior positive low-grade cancer, and men with negative MRI.

Design setting and participants

Institutional review board-approved prospective data of 1902 men undergoing biopsy from October 2013 to September 2021 at Mount Sinai were collected.

Outcome measurements and statistical analysis

Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to evaluate clinical variables such as age, race, digital rectal examination, family history, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), biopsy status, Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System score, and prostate volume, which emerged as predictors for any PCa and csPCa. Binary logistic regression was performed to study the probability. Validation was performed with advanced neural networking (ANN), multi-institutional European cohort (Prostate MRI Outcome Database [PROMOD]), and European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer Risk Calculator (ERSPC RC) 3/4.

Results and limitations

Overall, 2363 biopsies had complete clinical information, with 57.98% any cancer and 31.40% csPCa. The prediction model was significantly associated with both any PCa and csPCa having an area under the curve (AUC) of 81.9% including clinical data. The AUC for external validation was calculated in PROMOD, ERSPC RC, and ANN for any PCa (0.82 vs 0.70 vs 0.90) and csPCa (0.82 vs 0.78 vs 0.92), respectively. This study is limited by its retrospective design and overestimation of csPCa in the PROMOD cohort.

Conclusions

The Mount Sinai Prebiopsy Risk Calculator combines PSA, imaging and clinical data to predict the risk of any PCa and csPCa for all patient settings. With accurate validation results in a large European cohort, ERSPC RC, and ANN, it exhibits its efficiency and applicability in a more generalized population. This calculator is available online in the form of a free web-based tool that can aid clinicians in better patients counseling and treatment decision-making.

Patient summary

We developed the Mount Sinai Prebiopsy Risk Calculator (MSP-RC) to assess the likelihood of any prostate cancer and clinically significant disease based on a combination of clinical and imaging characteristics. MSP-RC is applicable to all patient settings and accessible online.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Predictive Models in Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Aim

Accurate diagnosis of prostate cancer (PCa) has a fundamental role in clinical and patient care. Recent advances in diagnostic testing and marker lead to standardized interpretation and increased prescription by clinicians to improve the detection of clinically significant PCa and select patients who strictly require targeted biopsies.

Methods

In this study, we present a systematic review of the overall diagnostic accuracy of each testing panel regarding the panel details. In this meta-analysis, using a structured search, Web of Science and PubMed databases were searched up to 23 September 2019 with no restrictions and filters. The study's outcome was the AUC and 95% confidence interval of prediction models. This index was reported as an overall and based on the WHO region and models with/without MRI.

Results

The thirteen final articles included 25,691 people. The overall AUC and 95% CI in thirteen studies were 0.78 and 95% CI: 0.73-0.82. The weighted average AUC in the countries of the Americas region was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70-0.75), and in European countries, it was 0.80 (95% CI: 0.72-0.88). In four studies with MRI, the average weighted AUC was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.86-0.90), while in other articles where MRI was not a parameter in the diagnostic model, the mean AUC was 0.73 (95% CI: 0.70-0.76).

Conclusions

The present study's findings showed that MRI significantly improved the detection accuracy of prostate cancer and had the highest discrimination to distinguish candidates for biopsy.

Fusion versus cognitive MRI-guided prostate biopsies in diagnosing clinically significant prostate cancer

Objective:

This study assesses whether fusion or cognitive magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-guided prostate targeted and systematic transperineal biopsies (TPB) increase detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa).

Materials and Methods:

A retrospective analysis was completed of patients (2018–2020) undergoing 3-Tesla multiparametric prostate MRI informing targeted (either cognitive or MIM software fusion approach) and systematic TPB. ISUP (International Society of Urological Pathology) grade group ⩾ 2 was considered csPCa.

Results:

A total of 355 cases from 4 urologists were included; 131 were fusion and 224 were cognitive MRI-guided biopsies. Of all csPCa found, 86.8% ( n = 171) of cases were confirmed to be at the MRI-indicated location and 11.6% were found as part of active surveillance. In all, 45.0% of the fusion group were found to have csPCa, compared to 62.05% ( n = 139) in the cognitive group ( p = 0.002). csPCa detection rates varied between urologists (41% to 78%, p < 0.001), so a subgroup analysis was performed on Urologist A; 45.0% of fusion and 41.3% of cognitive biopsies had csPCa ( p = 0.644). Multinomial logistic regression analysis showed that biopsy type, being on active surveillance, number of biopsy cores, iPSA (initial Prostate Specific Antigen) value or PIRADS (Prostate Imaging-Reporting and Data System) score made no significant difference in whether csPCa was found.

Conclusion:

Cognitive and fusion targeting had similar csPCa detection rates. Further prospective studies would be beneficial to validate these findings.

Level of evidence:

2b (according to Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine)

Comparative Analysis of PSA Density and an MRI-Based Predictive Model to Improve the Selection of Candidates for Prostate Biopsy

This study is a head-to-head comparison between mPSAD and MRI-PMbdex. The MRI-PMbdex was created from 2432 men with suspected PCa; this cohort comprised the development and external validation cohorts of the Barcelona MRI predictive model. Pre-biopsy 3-Tesla multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and 2 to 4-core transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided biopsies for suspicious lesions and/or 12-core TRUS systematic biopsies were scheduled. Clinically significant PCa (csPCa), defined as Gleason-based Grade Group 2 or higher, was detected in 934 men (38.4%). The area under the curve was 0.893 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.880−0.906) for MRI-PMbdex and 0.764 (95% CI: 0.774−0.783) for mPSAD, with p < 0.001. MRI-PMbdex showed net benefit over biopsy in all men when the probability of csPCa was greater than 2%, while mPSAD did the same when the probability of csPCa was greater than 18%. Thresholds of 13.5% for MRI-PMbdex and 0.628 ng/mL2 for mPSAD had 95% sensitivity for csPCa and presented 51.1% specificity for MRI-PMbdex and 19.6% specificity for mPSAD, with p < 0.001. MRI-PMbdex exhibited net benefit over mPSAD in men with prostate imaging report and data system (PI-RADS) <4, while neither exhibited any benefit in men with PI-RADS 5. Hence, we can conclude that MRI-PMbdex is more accurate than mPSAD for the proper selection of candidates for prostate biopsy among men with suspected PCa, with the exception of men with a PI-RAD S 5 score, for whom neither tool exhibited clinical guidance to determine the need for biopsy.

Concordance between biparametric MRI, transperineal targeted plus systematic MRI-ultrasound fusion prostate biopsy, and radical prostatectomy pathology

We aimed to confirm the reliability of the results of bi-parametric magnetic resolution imaging-ultrasound fusion targeted and systematic biopsies (bpMRI-US transperineal FTSB) compared to prostatectomy specimens. We retrospectively analyzed the records of 80 men who underwent bpMRI-US transperineal FTSB with region of interest (ROI) and subsequent robot-assisted radical prostatectomy. Changes in the grade group determined by MRI and biopsy versus surgical specimens were analyzed. Thirty-five patients with insignificant prostate cancer and 45 with significant cancer were diagnosed using bpMRI-US transperineal FTSB. Among those with insignificant PCa, 25 (71.4%) were upgraded to significant PCa in prostatectomy specimens: 9/12 (75.0%) with Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) 3, 12/16 (75.0%) with PI-RADS 4, and 4/7 (57.1%) with PI-RADS 5. In the PI-RADS 3 group, the upgraded group showed higher prostate specific antigen (PSA) and PSA density (PSAD) than the concordance group; PSA 8.34(2.73) vs. 5.31(2.46) (p = 0.035) and PSAD 0.29(0.11) vs. 0.18(0.09) (p = 0.025). The results of prostate biopsy and prostatectomy specimens were inconsistent and underestimated in patients with MRI-visible lesions. Therefore, for precise and individualized treatment strategies for PCa with MRI-visible lesions, careful interpretation of biopsy result is required.

The Barcelona Predictive Model of Clinically Significant Prostate Cancer

A new and externally validated MRI-PM for csPCa was developed in the metropolitan area of Barcelona, and a web-RC designed with the new option of selecting the csPCa probability threshold. The development cohort comprised 1486 men scheduled to undergo a 3-tesla multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) and guided and/or systematic biopsies in one academic institution of Barcelona. The external validation cohort comprised 946 men in whom the same diagnostic approach was carried out as in the development cohort, in two other academic institutions of the same metropolitan area. CsPCa was detected in 36.9% of men in the development cohort and 40.8% in the external validation cohort (p = 0.054). The area under the curve of mpMRI increased from 0.842 to 0.897 in the developed MRI-PM (p < 0.001), and from 0.743 to 0.858 in the external validation cohort (p < 0.001). A selected 15% threshold avoided 40.1% of prostate biopsies and missed 5.4% of the 36.9% csPCa detected in the development cohort. In men with PI-RADS <3, 4.3% would be biopsied and 32.3% of all existing 4.2% of csPCa would be detected. In men with PI-RADS 3, 62% of prostate biopsies would be avoided and 28% of all existing 12.4% of csPCa would be undetected. In men with PI-RADS 4, 4% of prostate biopsies would be avoided and 0.6% of all existing 43.1% of csPCa would be undetected. In men with PI-RADS 5, 0.6% of prostate biopsies would be avoided and none of the existing 42.0% of csPCa would be undetected. The Barcelona MRI-PM presented good performance on the overall population; however, its clinical usefulness varied regarding the PI-RADS category. The selection of csPCa probability thresholds in the designed RC may facilitate external validation and outperformance of MRI-PMs in specific PI-RADS categories.

A prostate cancer risk calculator: Use of clinical and magnetic resonance imaging data to predict biopsy outcome in North American men

INTRODUCTION

A functional tool to optimize patient selection for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-guided prostate biopsy (MRGB) is an unmet clinical need. We sought to develop a prostate cancer risk calculator (PCRC-MRI) that combines MRI and clinical characteristics to aid decision-making for MRGB in North American men.

METHODS

Two prospective registries containing 2354 consecutive men undergoing MRGB (September 2009 to April 2019) were analyzed. Patients were randomized into five groups, with one group randomly assigned to be the validation cohort against the other four groups as the discovery cohort. The primary outcome was detection of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa) defined as Gleason grade group ≥2. Variables included age, ethnicity, digital rectal exam (DRE), prior biopsy, prostate-specific antigen (PSA), prostate volume, PSA density, and MRI score. Odds ratios (OR) were calculated from multivariate logistic regression comparing two models: one with clinical variables only (clinical) against a second combining clinical variables with MRI data (clinical+MRI).

RESULTS

csPCa was present in 942 (40%) of the 2354 men available for study. The positive and negative predictive values for csPCa in the clinical+MRI model were 57% and 89%, respectively. The area under the curve of the clinical+MRI model was superior to the clinical model in discovery (0.843 vs. 0.707, p<0.0001) and validation (0.888 vs. 0.757, p<0.0001) cohorts. Use of PCRC-MRI would have avoided approximately 16 unnecessary biopsies in every 100 men. Of all variables examined, Asian ethnicity was the most protective factor (OR 0.46, 0.29-0.75) while MRI score 5 indicated greatest risk (OR15.8, 10.5-23.9).

CONCLUSIONS

A risk calculator (PCRC-MRI), based on a large North American cohort, is shown to improve patient selection for MRGB, especially in preventing unnecessary biopsies. This tool is available at https://www.uclahealth.org/urology/prostate-cancer-riskcalculator and may help rationalize biopsy decision-making.

Deep learning for fully automatic detection, segmentation, and Gleason grade estimation of prostate cancer in multiparametric magnetic resonance images

Although the emergence of multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) has had a profound impact on the diagnosis of prostate cancers (PCa), analyzing these images remains still complex even for experts. This paper proposes a fully automatic system based on Deep Learning that performs localization, segmentation and Gleason grade group (GGG) estimation of PCa lesions from prostate mpMRIs. It uses 490 mpMRIs for training/validation and 75 for testing from two different datasets: ProstateX and Valencian Oncology Institute Foundation. In the test set, it achieves an excellent lesion-level AUC/sensitivity/specificity for the GGG[Formula: see text]2 significance criterion of 0.96/1.00/0.79 for the ProstateX dataset, and 0.95/1.00/0.80 for the IVO dataset. At a patient level, the results are 0.87/1.00/0.375 in ProstateX, and 0.91/1.00/0.762 in IVO. Furthermore, on the online ProstateX grand challenge, the model obtained an AUC of 0.85 (0.87 when trained only on the ProstateX data, tying up with the original winner of the challenge). For expert comparison, IVO radiologist's PI-RADS 4 sensitivity/specificity were 0.88/0.56 at a lesion level, and 0.85/0.58 at a patient level. The full code for the ProstateX-trained model is openly available at https://github.com/OscarPellicer/prostate_lesion_detection . We hope that this will represent a landmark for future research to use, compare and improve upon.