A comparison of different staging systems predictability of patient outcome

A 16-Year Single-Center Series of Trachea Resections for Locally Advanced Thyroid Carcinoma

(1) Background: Infiltration of the aerodigestive tract in advanced thyroid carcinoma determines the prognosis and quality of life. Different stages of tracheal tumor invasion require customization of the surgical concept. (2) Methods: In the period from January 2007 to January 2023, patients who underwent surgery for advanced thyroid carcinomas with trachea resections were included in a retrospective observational study. The surgical resection concepts and operation-associated complications were documented. The overall survival and post-resection survival were analyzed. (3) Results: From 2007 to 2023, at the single-center UMC Mainz, 33 patients (15 female and 18 male) underwent neck surgery with trachea resections for locally advanced thyroid carcinomas. Of these, 14 were treated with non-transmural (trachea shaving) and 19 transmural trachea resections (9 "window" resections, 6 near-circular resections, 3 sleeve resections and 1 total laryngectomy with extramucosal esophageal resection). The two-year postoperative survival rate was 82.0 percent. The two-year recurrence-free survival rate was 75.0 percent (mean follow-up period: 29.2 months). (4) Conclusions: Tracheal resections for locally advanced tumor infiltration are feasible as an element of highly individualized treatment concepts.

Dynamic Risk Stratification Integrated with ATA Risk System for Predicting Long-Term Outcome in Papillary Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

In recent years, there has been a renewed interest in thyroid cancer management paradigms that use individualized risk assessments as the basis for treatment and follow-up recommendations. In this study, we assumed that the long-term follow-up of differentiated thyroid cancer patients might be better tailored by integrating the response to initial therapy with the America Thyroid Association (ATA) risk classes.

METHODS

This retrospective study included low- and intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients followed up for a median time of 8 years and classified according to the response to initial therapy assessed 6-12 months after initial treatment.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 8 years, in the initial excellent response subgroup of PTC patients (n = 522), the rate of recurrent disease was significantly higher in intermediate-risk patients than in low-risk PTC patients (6.9% versus 1.2%, p = 0.0005). Similarly, in the initial biochemical incomplete response subgroup (n = 82), the rate of excellent response was significantly higher in low-risk PTC patients (58.0%) than in intermediate-risk PTC patients (33.3%) (p = 0.007). Finally, in the initial structural incomplete response subgroup (n = 66), the rate of excellent response was higher in low-risk patients (80.0%) than in intermediate-risk patients (46.4%) (p = 0.08). Moreover, all patients with initial indeterminate response had an excellent response at the last follow-up visit. ATA risk classes were independently associated with long-term outcome in each subgroup of patients classified dynamically after initial therapy and the overall prognostic performance, defined via ROC curve analysis, of response to initial therapy integrated with the ATA risk system (AUC: 0.89; 95% CI: 0.86-0.92) was significantly higher compared to the ATA risk stratification (AUC 0.69; 95% CI: 0.65-0.74, p < 0.001) or the dynamic risk stratification (DRS) systems alone (AUC: 0.86 95% CI: 0.82-0.90, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

This study of a large cohort of PTC patients showed that the initial ATA risk criteria may be useful for improving the risk-adapted management of PTC patients based on the response to initial therapy.

Long-Term Survival Analysis and Prognostic Factors of Arabic Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A 20-Year Observational Study at the King Hussein Cancer Center (KHCC) Involving 528 Patients

DTC accounts for the majority of endocrine tumors. While the incidence of thyroid cancer has been increasing globally over the past few decades, papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) generally shows an excellent prognosis, except in cases with aggressive clinicopathological features. This study aimed to assess the 5- and 10-year overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) of 528 Arabic patients diagnosed with primary DTC from 1998 to 2021. Additionally, the study aimed to analyze the impact of various factors on both OS and PFS. An univariable survival analysis was conducted using Kaplan-Meier curves. The 5- and 10-year OS for patients with DTC have exceeded 95%. Additionally, PFS showed very good rates (ranging between 96.5 and 85% at 5 and 10 years, respectively). Age, male gender, risk of recurrence, and distant metastasis were identified as the main negative prognostic factors for both OS and PFS, while RAI treatment was found to be a significant factor in improving OS. Moreover, adherence to the King Hussein Cancer Center's (KHCC) CPG demonstrated significant improvement in PFS. These findings highlight common prognostic factors and favorable outcomes in Arabic patients with DTC treated at a tertiary cancer center using standard of care approaches.

Treatment strategies for low-risk papillary thyroid carcinoma: a position statement from the Thyroid Department of the Brazilian Society of Endocrinology and Metabolism (SBEM)

Increasingly sensitive diagnostic methods, better understanding of molecular pathophysiology, and well-conducted prospective studies have changed the current approach to patients with thyroid cancer, requiring the implementation of individualized management. Most patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) are currently considered to have a low risk of mortality and disease persistence/recurrence. Consequently, current treatment recommendations for these patients include less invasive or intensive therapies. We used the most recent evidence to prepare a position statement providing guidance for decisions regarding the management of patients with low-risk PTC (LRPTC). This document summarizes the criteria defining LRPTC (including considerations regarding changes in the TNM staging system), indications and contraindications for active surveillance, and recommendations for follow-up and surgery. Active surveillance may be an appropriate initial choice in selected patients, and the criteria to recommend this approach are detailed. A section is dedicated to the current evidence regarding lobectomy versus total thyroidectomy and the potential pitfalls of each approach, considering the challenges during long-term follow-up. Indications for radioiodine (RAI) therapy are also addressed, along with the benefits and risks associated with this treatment, patient preparation, and dosage. Finally, this statement presents the best follow-up strategies for LRPTC after lobectomy and total thyroidectomy with or without RAI.

Analysis of risk factors and prognosis in differentiated thyroid cancer with focus on minimal extrathyroidal extension

AIMS

In contrast to all prior AJCC/TNM classifications for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) the 8th edition does not take minimal extrathyroidal extension (M-ETE) into consideration for local tumor staging. We therefore aimed to retrospectively assess the specific impact of M-ETE on the outcome of M-ETE patients treated in our clinic.

METHODS

DTC patients with M-ETE and a follow-up time of ≥ 5 years were included and matched with an identical number of patients without M-ETE, but with equal histopathological tumor subtype and size. The frequency of initially metastatic disease among groups was compared using Fisher's exact test, the recurrence rate by virtue of log-rank test. Fisher's exact test and multivariate analysis were used to account for the presence of confounding risk factors.

RESULTS

One hundred sixty patients (80 matching pairs) were eligible. With other confounding risk factors being equal, the prevalence of N1-/M1-disease at initial diagnosis was comparable among groups (M-ETE: 42.5 %; no M-ETE: 32.5 %; p = 0.25). No differences with regard to the recurrence rate were shown. However, M-ETE patients were treated with external beam radiation therapy more often (16.3 % vs. 1.3 %; p = 0.004) and received higher median cumulative activities of ¹³¹I (10.0 vs. 8.0 GBq; p < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

Although having played a pivotal role for local tumor staging of DTC for decades M-ETE did not increase the risk for metastases at initial diagnosis and the recurrence rate in our cohort. Patients with M-ETE had undergone intensified treatment, which entails a possible confounding factor that warrants further investigation in randomized controlled trials.

A relook at the 8th edition of the AJCC TNM staging system of anaplastic thyroid carcinoma: A SEER-based study

OBJECTIVE

In the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system (TNM-8), changes have been made regarding anaplastic thyroid carcinoma (ATC) compared with the 7th edition (TNM-7). The major changes are that anaplastic ATC now has the same T stage definitions as differentiated thyroid cancer, and new staging of IVA and IVB is implemented. However, the clinical impact of the new edition for ATC remains unclear due to scarce and conflicting data. In this study, we compared the AJCC TNM-7 and TNM-8 in the same group of patients.

DESIGN

In this retrospective study, we included patients who were diagnosed with ATC between 2004 and 2015; data were gathered from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database.

METHODS

Overall survival (OS) was evaluated according to T stage and TNM stage according to the 7th and 8th editions. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank testing was used to analyse OS. The effect of potential predictors was estimated using the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

We included 669 patients in the study. The median age of the cohort was 70 years. During the follow-up, 600 (89.7%) patients died, 528 of whom died of thyroid cancer. The TNM-8 T staging more effectively predicted survival than the 7th edition (proportion of variation explained: 3.53% vs. 1.72%). However, the clinical stage was almost unchanged according to the TNM-8 (proportion of variation explained: 10.69% vs. 10.73%).

CONCLUSIONS

The new T classification is an effective predictor of survival for patients with ATC. The results support the use of T definitions as per those of differentiated thyroid cancer. However, whether lymph node metastasis should be taken into account for defining ATC TNM staging should be reconsidered.

The revised clinical practice guidelines on the management of thyroid tumors by the Japan Associations of Endocrine Surgeons: Core questions and recommendations for treatments of thyroid cancer

The Japan Associations of Endocrine Surgeons has developed the revised version of the Clinical Practice Guidelines for Thyroid Tumors. This article describes the guidelines translated into English for the 35 clinical questions relevant to the therapeutic management of thyroid cancers. The objective of the guidelines is to improve health-related outcomes in patients with thyroid tumors by enabling users to make their practice evidence-based and by minimizing any variations in clinical practice due to gaps in evidential knowledge among physicians. The guidelines give representative flow-charts on the management of papillary, follicular, medullary, and anaplastic thyroid carcinoma, along with recommendations for clinical questions by presenting evidence on the relevant outcomes including benefits, risks, and health conditions from patients' perspective. Therapeutic actions were recommended or not recommended either strongly (◎◎◎ or XXX) based on good evidence (😊)/good expert consensus (+++), or weakly (◎, ◎◎ or X, XX) based on poor evidence (😣)/poor expert consensus (+ or ++). Only 10 of the 51 recommendations given in the guidelines were supported by good evidence, whereas 35 were supported by good expert consensus. While implementing the current guidelines would be of help to achieve the objective, we need further clinical research to make our shared decision making to be more evidence-based.

New paradigms in the treatment of low-risk thyroid cancer

INTRODUCTION

Thyroid cancer is the most common endocrine malignancy. Multiple different staging systems have been introduced and used for differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC).

AREAS COVERED

In this literature review we provide an overview of the standard options for management of patients with low risk differentiated thyroid cancer.

EXPERT OPINION

Surgery is considered the first and most important step in managing DTC with goal to remove all the malignant foci in order to achieve cure and increase the survival with least chance of recurrence. Many studies have been conducted to determine the best surgical approaches and how aggressive surgeries should be in order to achieve the best outcomes regarding efficacy as well as safety. Radioactive iodine (RAI) therapy has also been a part of the treatment regimen and is used for different purposes with three main goals: post-surgical ablation, adjuvant therapy and persisted/recurrent disease treatment. Radiation therapy, on the other hand, is still not recommended to be used routinely in DTC because of the conflicting data of its benefit.

Development and Validation of a Risk Scoring System Derived from Meta-Analyses of Papillary Thyroid Cancer

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to develop a scoring system to stratify the risk of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and to select the proper management.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of MEDLINE and Embase. Data regarding patients' prognoses were obtained from the included studies. Odds ratios (ORs) with statistical significance were extracted from the publications. To generate a risk scoring system (RSS), ORs were summed (RSS1), and summed after natural-logarithmic transformation (RSS2). RSS1 and RSS2 were compared to the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system and the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines for thyroid nodules and differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

RESULTS

Five meta-analyses were eligible for inclusion in the study. Eight variables (sex, tumour size, extrathyroidal extension, BRAF mutation, TERT mutation, histologic subtype, lymph node metastasis, and distant metastasis) were included. RSS1 was the best of the analysed models.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a new RSS derived from previous meta-analyses for patients with PTC. This RSS seems to be superior to previously published systems.

Estimating the Growth Rate of Lung Metastases in Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors or Doubling Time?

Background: Estimating the growth rate of lung metastases for the treatment of patients with metastases of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is important. This study aimed to evaluate survival outcomes according to different criteria for estimating the growth rate of lung metastases. Methods: Patients with macronodular (≥1 cm) lung metastases of DTC who underwent total thyroidectomy and high-dose radioactive iodine therapy between 1995 and 2013 were enrolled. The time to progressive disease (PD) by the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST), average tumor volume doubling time of the two dominant target lung lesions (midDT), and thyroglobulin doubling time (TgDT) were measured in each patient, and their association with disease-specific survival (DSS) was evaluated. Results: Forty-four patients with target lung metastatic nodules with an initial maximal diameter of 1.3 cm (median) were followed-up for a median of 6.8 years after the diagnosis of lung metastases. Based on RECIST, 12 patients (27.3%) showed fast tumor progression, with time to PD <1 year. When assessed by midDT, nine patients (20.5%) had midDT ≤1 year, showing rapid tumor progression. Seven of 33 patients (21.2%) who were negative for thyroglobulin antibody had midDT <1 year. Growth rates assessed by all three criteria were significantly associated with DSS. However, midDT had the highest predictive value for DSS, with a proportion of variation explained of 33.6%. Five-year DSS was 29.6% in patients with midDT ≤1 year, 50.0% in patients with time to PD <1 year, and 42.9% in patients with TgDT <1 year. Conclusions: Among the different criteria for estimating the growth rate of metastases in patients with lung metastases of DTC, midDT was the most powerful for predicting DSS, in comparison with RECIST and TgDT. Performing at least three serial chest computed tomography scans during the first year from the diagnosis of lung metastases can facilitate early detection of patients with rapid tumor progression and provide objective guidance for initiation of systemic therapy.

Prognostic significance of the sum of the diameters of single foci in multifocal papillary thyroid cancer: the concept of new-old tumor burden

AIM

The prognostic value of multifocality (Mu) in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) remains controversial. The present study aimed to investigate this issue and test the possible prognostic significance of the sum of the diameters of single foci (SDSF), the total number of foci (TNF), and primary tumor size (PTS) in multifocal PTC.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed a single-center consecutive series of 370 PTCs. For multifocal cases we analyzed bilaterality occurrence, SDSF, TNF, and PTS.

RESULTS

Mu was observed in 41.1% PTCs, and bilaterality in 30%. Mu was associated with an advanced T-category. In bilateral multifocal PTC, the PTS was larger, and microPTC was less frequent, while T-categories were higher. Mu and bilaterality per se had no impact on prognosis. At univariate analysis, PTS, SDSF, vascular invasion, lymph node metastases, distant metastases, T-categories, Initial Risk Stratification System score, second treatment and TERT promoter mutation correlated with persistence/recurrence or death in the multifocal PTC group. On multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, SDSF again independently predicted persistence/recurrence or death in multifocal PTCs. We found that a cut-off for SDSF less than 40 mm was able to identify multifocal PTC patients with a very low risk of persistence/recurrence (negative predictive value 96.9%). Disease-free survival was significantly shorter in patients with multifocal PTCs and SDSF ⩾40 mm.

CONCLUSIONS

Mu and bilaterality per se were not prognostically significant. SDSF emerged as a new independent prognostic factor for persistence/recurrence of multifocal PTC. SDSF might better represent the tumor burden in multifocal PTC, with SDSF < 40 mm identifying multifocal PTC patients with a good prognosis.

Rapid Growth and Early Metastasis of Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma in an Adolescent Girl with Graves' Disease

BACKGROUND

The risk factors for rapid growth and early metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) and the role of coexisting Graves' disease in the clinical course of PTC remain uncertain in children.

CASE DESCRIPTION

We report on a Japanese girl, whose PTC rapidly grew and metastasized within 4 years. Graves' disease was diagnosed by the presence of serum TSH receptor antibodies at 8 years of age when thyroid ultrasonography detected no nodules. After 4 years of effective treatment with thiamazole, multifocal nodules - up to 47 mm in diameter - were detected on thyroid ultrasonography. Chest CT scan revealed multiple metastatic lesions in the lung. After total thyroidectomy, PTC was pathologically diagnosed. The patient underwent two courses of radioactive iodine (RAI) treatment, but the pulmonary metastatic lesions did not take up the RAI. Molecular analyses of the PTC tissue identified a TFG/NTRK1 chimeric gene and disclosed the preserved expression of TSHR and the reduced expression of SLC5A5 compared with non-tumor thyroid tissue.

CONCLUSIONS

Rapid growth and early metastasis of PTC with coexisting Graves' disease in this patient can be related to a combination of multiple factors including preserved TSHR expression, reduced SLC5A5 expression, and TFG/NTRK1 rearrangement.

The binary presence or absence of lymph node metastasis or extrathyroidal extension is not associated with survival in papillary thyroid cancers: Implications for staging systems

BACKGROUND

The characteristics of diagnosed papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) have changed over time with the increasing trend of early diagnosis, and the survival impact of conventional prognostic factors such as lymph node metastasis (LNM) and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) is controversial. We investigated PTC prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and disease specific survival (DSS), focusing on LNM, ETE, and their implications for PTC staging systems.

METHODS

We assessed prognostic factors for OS and DSS in a nationwide sample of Korean PTC patients (N = 5192, median follow-up 121 months) using Cox regression. The binary presence or absence of LNM and ETE, as well as other measures of LNM and ETE, were examined for their survival impact. We also evaluated the relative performance of PTC staging systems before and after revising the staging criteria for LNM and ETE.

RESULTS

The binary presence of LNM or ETE was not a prognostic factor for OS or DSS, nor were other various measures of LNM. However, the extent of ETE as none, microscopic, or gross independently influenced survival (OS hazard ratio for gross vs. none: 3.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.97-5.46; DSS hazard ratio for gross vs. none: 3.75, 95% CI 1.59-8.81). The performance of PTC staging systems improved when the extent of ETE and/or location of LNM were used as staging components.

CONCLUSION

The extent of ETE and/or location of LNM may be better survival indicators than their binary presence or absence, and we propose staging criteria revisions to pertinent staging systems to better reflect the contemporary PTC population.

Risk Stratification in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: From Detection to Final Follow-Up

CONTEXT

Modern management of differentiated thyroid cancer requires individualized care plans that tailor the intensity of therapy and follow-up to the estimated risks of recurrence and disease-specific mortality.

DESIGN

This summary is based on the authors' knowledge and extensive clinical experience, supplemented by review of published review articles, thyroid cancer management guidelines, published staging systems, and original articles identified through a PubMed search, which included terms such as risk stratification, staging, clinical outcomes, and differentiated thyroid cancer.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

In the past, risk stratification in differentiated thyroid cancer usually referred to a static estimate of disease-specific mortality that was based on a small set of clinicopathological features available within a few weeks of completing initial therapy (thyroidectomy, with or without radioactive iodine). Today, risk stratification is a dynamic, active process used to predict the appropriateness for minimalistic initial therapy, disease-specific mortality, risk of recurrence, and the most likely response to initial therapy. Rather than being a static prediction available only after initial therapy, modern risk stratification is a dynamic, iterative process that begins as soon as a suspicious nodule is detected and continues through final follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Dynamic risk assessment should be used to guide all aspects of thyroid cancer management, beginning before a definitive diagnosis is made and continuing through the final follow-up visit.

Risk-oriented concept of treatment for intrathyroid papillary thyroid cancer

Adapting treatment and follow-up according to the risk of recurrence and/or death from thyroid cancer is a relatively recent concept of "personnalized" medicine, developed particularly to avoid overtreatment of low-risk thyroid cancer which represents the majority of thyroid cancers diagnosed in the world today. For low-risk thyroid cancer, this decrease in extent of treatment involves the extent of surgery-total thyroidectomy, lobectomy or no surgery with active surveillance-but also the indications, doses and methods of stimulation when or if administering radioactive iodine (RAI), the indication for suppressive thyroxin therapy and the extent and modalities for follow-up that should be adapted to the risk of recurrence. The aim is to optimize medical resources and quality of life, particularly for low-risk patients whose life expectancy is that of the general population.

Impact of the change from the seventh to eighth edition of the AJCC TNM classification of malignant tumours and comparison with the MACIS prognostic scoring system in non-medullary thyroid cancer

Background

In 2018, AJCC TNM staging changed for differentiated (DTC) and anaplastic (ATC) thyroid carcinoma. The impact of this change on mortality rates was investigated and compared with the MACIS prognostic score.

Methods

Analysis of a prospective database of DTC/ATC was undertaken. Patients were staged according to TNM7 and TNM8 criteria, and MACIS scores calculated. Five‐year disease‐specific mortality rates were determined. Proportions were compared with Fisher's exact and χ² goodness‐of‐fit tests.

Results

Between August 2002 and December 2016, 310 patients had primary surgery for thyroid cancer. After exclusions, 159 patients (154 DTC, 5 ATC) remained to be studied. The MACIS score was less than 6 in 105 patients (66·0 per cent), 6–6·99 in 19 (11·9 per cent), 7–7·99 in 14 (8·8 per cent) and 8 or more in 21 (13·2 per cent), with corresponding disease‐specific 5‐year mortality rates of 0, 5, 14 and 86 per cent. For TNM7 the distribution was stage I in 53·5 per cent (85 patients), stage II in 10·1 per cent (16), stage III in 14·5 per cent (23) and stage IV in 22·0 per cent (35), and differed from that for TNM8: 76·7 per cent (122), 10·7 per cent (17), 4·4 per cent (7) and 8·2 per cent (13) respectively (P < 0·001). Overall disease‐specific 5‐year mortality rates by stage for TNM7 versus TNM8 were: stage I, 0 of 85 versus 3 of 100 (P = 0·251); stage II, 0 of 16 versus 6 of 16 (P = 0·018); stage III, 3 of 23 versus 2 of 7 (P = 0·565); stage IV, 20 of 32 versus 11 of 11 (P = 0·020).

Conclusion

Compared with TNM7, TNM8 downstaged more patients to stage I and accurately reflected worse prognosis for stage IV disease. TNM8 is an inferior predictor of mortality compared with MACIS.

Current trends in the features of male thyroid cancer: Retrospective evaluation of their prognostic value

This study aimed to compare the clinicopathologic characteristics and oncologic outcomes of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) patients according to sex. Then, we validated prognostic variables to determine whether sex is a significant prognostic factor for PTC.Between January 2007 and December 2010, 1232 men and 7276 women PTC patients underwent surgery. The patient characteristics and 5-year oncologic outcomes were compared. The stepwise Cox proportional hazards model determined the significance of survival variables.Men PTC patients had more lymph node (LN) metastases than women, both in the total (P < .0001) and hemithyroidectomy (P < .0001) patients. Men and women showed similar 5-year recurrence-free survivals, both in total (P = .815) and hemithyroidectomy (P = .148) patients. The tumor size and the number of positive central nodes were associated with tumor recurrence, but not sex.Sex was not an independent prognostic factor for tumor recurrence. Multicenter clinical studies with long-term follow-ups are needed to validate these results.

Clinical Assessment and Risk Stratification in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Thyroid cancer management is rapidly evolving to a personalized management approach. Risk stratification systems are designed to assist in personalized management. Differentiating patients who may benefit from aggressive therapy and intense follow-up as opposed to those who can be successfully treated with minimalized initial management options and follow-up is crucial to the development of the right treatment plan for the right patient in order to optimize initial therapy and follow-up testing. This article aims to describe and discuss the risk stratification systems currently recommended for differentiated thyroid cancer.

Preoperative detection of TERT promoter and BRAFV600E mutations in papillary thyroid carcinoma in high-risk thyroid nodules

OBJECTIVES

This observational study analyzed telomerase reverse transcriptase (pTERT) mutations in 45 fine-needle aspiration (FNA) specimens obtained from thyroid nodules followed by postoperatively confirmation of papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) diagnosis, examining their relationship with clinicopathologic aspects and the BRAFV600E mutation.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS

Clinical information was collected from patients who presented to Ribeirao Preto University Hospital for surgical consultation regarding a thyroid nodule and who underwent molecular testing between January 2010 to October 2012. Tests included a DNA-based somatic detection of BRAFV600E and pTERT mutations.

RESULTS

We found coexistence of pTERTC228T and BRAFV600E mutations in 8.9% (4/45) of thyroid nodules. All nodules positive for pTERT mutations were BRAFV600E positives. There was a significant association between pTERTC228T/BRAFV600E with older age and advanced stage compared with the group negative for either mutation.

CONCLUSIONS

This series provides evidence that FNA is a reliable method for preoperative diagnosis of high-risk thyroid nodules. pTERTC228T/BRAFV600E mutations could be a marker of poor prognosis. Its use as a personalized molecular medicine tool to individualize treatment decisions and follow-up design needs to be further studied.

A Relook at the T Stage of Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma with a Focus on Gross Extrathyroidal Extension

BACKGROUND

The recently published eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system has emphasized the importance of gross extrathyroidal extension (gETE) while classifying the tumor (T) stage in differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). However, the clinical impact of gETE invading only the strap muscles or the recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) remains unclear due to scarce and conflicting data.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was carried out in patients with DTC who underwent thyroid surgery from 1996 to 2005. In total, 3104 patients were included, and disease-specific survival (DSS) was compared according to the degree of gETE, with a median follow-up duration of 10 years.

RESULTS

Patients with gETE invading only the strap muscles and with a tumor size ≤4 cm (T3b [≤4 cm]) showed no difference in DSS compared to patients with T2 stage disease (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.81 [confidence interval (CI) 0.24-2.77]; p = 0.737) but rather showed a better DSS than patients with T3a disease (HR = 0.19 [CI 0.05-0.72]; p = 0.014). Conversely, patients with gETE invading to the posterior direction showed significantly poorer DSS than patients with T3 stage disease, even when only the RLN was invaded (HR = 7.78 [CI 3.41-17.75]; p < 0.001). However, there was no difference in DSS between gETE invading only the RLN and that invading other posterior organs beyond the RLN (p = 0.563). A modified T classification was suggested to downgrade patients with T3b (≤4 cm) disease to the T2 stage, which revealed higher predictability of survival than the T classification according to the eighth edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer tumor-node-metastasis staging system (proportion of variation explained: 3.6% vs. 2.65%).

CONCLUSIONS

gETE invading only the strap muscles did not significantly affect DSS, while that invading the posterior organs significantly affected DSS, even when only the RLN was invaded. The data support the applicability of downgrading patients with T3b (≤4 cm) disease to the T2 stage for a better predictability of survival.

Creating Prognostic Systems for Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Using Machine Learning

Updates to staging models are needed to reflect a greater understanding of tumor behavior and clinical outcomes for well-differentiated thyroid carcinomas. We used a machine learning algorithm and disease-specific survival data of differentiated thyroid carcinoma from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program of the National Cancer Institute to integrate clinical factors to improve prognostic accuracy. The concordance statistic (C-index) was used to cut dendrograms resulting from the learning process to generate prognostic groups. We created one computational prognostic model (7 prognostic groups with C-index = 0.8583) based on tumor size (T), regional lymph nodes (N), status of distant metastasis (M), and age to mirror the contemporary American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system (C-index = 0.8387). We showed that adding histologic type (papillary and follicular) improved the survival prediction of the model. We also showed that 55 is the best cutoff of age in the model, consistent with the changes from the most recent 8th edition staging manual from AJCC. The demonstrated approach has the potential to create prognostic systems permitting data driven and real time analysis that can aid decision-making in patient management and prognostication.

HOPX homeobox methylation in differentiated thyroid cancer and its clinical relevance

BACKGROUND

The inactivation of the tumor-suppressor homeodomain-only protein X (HOPX) usually involves promoter methylation in several cancer types. This study aimed to investigate the HOPX-β mRNA expression and promoter methylation and their clinical relevance in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Clinicopathological data and paraffin-embedded thyroid tumor tissues from 21 patients with DTC and 6 with benign tumors (T) and their non-tumor parenchyma (NT) were investigated. Tumor cell lines (FTC238, FTC236 and WRO) were treated with demethylating agent. HOPX-β mRNA expression was assessed by qRT-PCR and methylation status by Q-MSP. Thyroid cancer data from Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) was also collected.

RESULTS

HOPX-β mRNA re-expression in two cell lines treated with demethylating agent was observed concomitantly with reduced promoter methylation. Reduced mRNA expression in T group compared to their NT was observed, and reduced protein expression in T compared to NT was observed in three cases. Low mRNA expression with high methylation status was detected in 6/14 DTC samples. High methylation status was associated with older age at diagnosis, recurrent or progressive disease and with the presence of new neoplasm event post initial therapy while hyper-methylation correlated with worse overall survival, worse disease-free status and older age.

CONCLUSION

A moderate coupling of downregulation of HOPX-β mRNA expression in DTC followed by high HOPX-β promoter methylation was observed however; high HOPX promoter methylation status was associated with the worse prognosis of DTC patients.

Prognostic Value of FDG-PET/CT Metabolic Parameters in Metastatic Radioiodine-Refractory Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

PURPOSE

There are no standardized prognostication algorithms for metastatic radioiodine-refractory (RAI-R) differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). We hypothesize that [F]-FDG PET/CT may predict progression versus stability of disease based on quantitative analysis of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG).

METHODS

Retrospective study of 62 patients with metastatic RAI-R DTC to determine clinical outcomes with median follow-up from initial diagnosis of 11.1 years (8.38, 14.1) (range, 1.2-20 years). Baseline [F]-FDG PET/CT scans were evaluated qualitatively for regional and distant metastases and quantitatively for tumor burden based on MTV and TLG obtained using gradient segmentation method.

RESULTS

After diagnosis of metastatic RAI-R disease was established, the 5-year overall survival (OS) probability was 34%, and median OS was 3.56 years (2.87, infinity). The 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) probability was 19%, and median PFS was 1.31 years (1.03, 2.38). TSH-suppressed thyroglobulin (Tg) levels greater than 100 ng/mL and Tg doubling time (Tg-DT) less than 6 months were significantly associated with worse OS and PFS. Higher than median values of MTV and TLG were associated with worse OS (P = 0.06) and PFS (P = 0.007). Higher hazard of death was noted for higher values of log-MTV and log-TLG (HR, 1.17 [95% confidence interval, 0.99-1.39], P = 0.05, and HR, 1.14 [95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.31], P = 0.05, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

[F]-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters can help define the volume and biologic variations of metastatic tumor burden. Metabolic tumor volume and TLG can be used for dynamic risk stratification of patients with metastatic RAI-R DTC regarding PFS and complement Tg-DT for prognosis of clinical disease course.

Impact of Gender and Age on the Prognosis of Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: a Retrospective Analysis Based on SEER

The incidence of thyroid cancer in females is significantly higher than that in males; however, females are more likely to have more favorable outcomes. We aimed to determine the characteristics of differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) subtypes in males and females, and to compare their clinical behavior and survival. A total of 68,337 cases were recruited from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. The disease-specific survival (DSS) of follicular variant papillary thyroid carcinoma (FVPTC) and follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) were similar to that of classical variant papillary thyroid carcinoma (CPTC) in male patients (FVPTC vs. CPTC, adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 0.947, P = 0.776; FTC vs. CPTC, aHR = 1.512, P = 0.104). In premenopausal female (< 55 years old), FVPTC had better DSS than CPTC (aHR = 0.321, P = 0.038) while FTC had worse DSS than CPTC (aHR = 3.272, P = 0.013); in postmenopausal female, FTC had poorer prognosis than CPTC (aHR = 2.145, P = 0.002), no statistical difference was found between CPTC and FVPTC (aHR = 0.724, P = 0.087). For patients younger than 55 years, women had significantly better DSS compared with men with CPTC (aHR = 0.376, P < 0.001) and FVPTC (aHR = 0.102, P < 0.001). However, no difference was observed in patients older than 55 years. Interestingly, outcomes of FTC were not affected by gender in patients of all ages. These results suggested that different clinical behaviors and outcomes of DTC subtypes should be considered in patients with different genders.

The effects of the Union for International Cancer Control/American Joint Committee on Cancer Tumour, Node, Metastasis system version 8 on staging of differentiated thyroid cancer: a comparison to version 7

OBJECTIVE

To assess the changes resulting from the changes from UICC/AJCC TNM version 7 to version 8 and to subsequently determine whether TNM version 8 is an improvement compared to previous iterations of the TNM system and other staging systems for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) with regard to prognostic power.

DESIGN

Database study of DTC patients treated in our centre between 1978 up to and including 1 July 2014. Results were compared to our previous comparison of prognostic systems using the same data set.

PATIENTS

2257 DTC patients.

MEASUREMENTS

Staging in accordance with TNM 7 and TNM 8. Thyroid cancer-specific mortality; comparison was based on p-values of univariate Cox regression analyses as well as analysis of the proportion of variance explained (PVE).

RESULTS

There is a redistribution from stage 3 to lower stages affecting 206 (9.1%) patients. DTC-related mortality according to Kaplan-Meier for younger and older patients in TNM 7 had a slightly lower prognostic power than that in accordance with TNM 8 (P = 8.0 10^-16 and P = 1.5 10^-21 , respectively). Overall staging is lower in 627/2257 (27.8%) patients. PVE (TNM 7: 0.29; TNM 8: 0.28) and the P-value of Cox regressions (TNM 7: P = 7.1*10^-52 ; TNM 8: P = 3.9*10^-49 ) for TNM version 8 are marginally lower than that for TNM version 7, but still better than for any other DTC staging system.

CONCLUSION

TNM 8 results in a marked downstaging of patients compared to TNM 7. Although some changes, like the change in age boundary, appear to be associated with an improvement in prognostic power, the overall effect of the changes does not improve the predictive power compared to TNM 7.

MiR-221 Exacerbate Cell Proliferation and Invasion by Targeting TIMP3 in Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma

MiR-221 is frequently upregulated in papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) tissues and cell lines, and this study was designed to validate the association of miR-221 with PTC proliferation, apoptosis, and migration. We observed that miR-221 suppressed TIMP3 expression by binding to 3' untranslated region of TIMP3 mRNA, and TIMP3 expression was increased with the presence of miR-221 inhibitors; TIMP3 siRNA could reverse the effects of miR-221 inhibitors on PTC cells. The results indicated that miR-221 exacerbated PTC by downregulating the expression of TIMP3. The effects of miR-221 and TIMP3 in vivo were also confirmed by human PTC-bearing mice models which suggest consistent results with those in vitro studies. In summary, miR-221 could aggravate cell proliferation and invasion of PTC by targeting TIMP3.

Dynamic risk stratification in medullary thyroid carcinoma: Single institution experiences

Recently, dynamic risk stratification has been found to be more valuable than static anatomic staging system in nonmedullary thyroid cancer and this strategy has also been accepted in medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). The present study was designed to compare the clinical usefulness of response to initial therapy stratification with a traditional anatomic staging system.From August 1982 to December 2012, a total of 144 MTC patients underwent thyroidectomy in Yonsei University Hospital. Among them, 117 (82.2%) patients with complete clinical data and sustained follow-up were enrolled in this study. Clinicopathological features and surgical outcomes were analyzed by retrospective medical chart review. Mean follow-up duration was 85.78 ± 62.51 months.In this study, mean tumor size was 1.94 ± 1.40 cm and 22 (18.9%) patients had hereditary MTC; 95 (81.1%) patients had sporadic MTC. Stage I patients had highest probability of excellent response to initial therapy (92.1%). Stage IV patients had highest probability of biochemical and structural incomplete response to initial therapy (57.5% and 30.3%) and lowest probability of excellent response to initial therapy (12.1%). Both response to initial therapy stratification and TNM staging system offered useful prognostic information in this study. The TNM staging system provided risk stratification pertaining to disease-free survival (DFS), disease-specific survival (DSS), and the probability of having no evidence of disease at final outcome, but did not provide risk stratification pertaining to the probability of having biochemical persistent/recurrence disease at final outcome. However, response to initial therapy stratification provided risk stratification pertaining to not only DFS, DSS, and the probability of having no evidence of disease at final outcome but also the probability of having biochemical persistent/recurrence disease at final outcome.In this study, we demonstrated that dynamic risk stratification with adjusted response to initial therapy system can offer more useful prognostic information than anatomic staging system in MTC.

Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma: Analysis of the Central Compartment's Lymph Nodes Metastases

BACKGROUND

Papillary thyroid carcinoma is typical by regional lymph nodes metastases. Therefore we decided to analyse associated risk factors.

OBJECTIVE

In this retrospective study we focused on the incidence of metastatic involvement of the central compartment's lymph nodes correlated with age, size of the primary tumour, infiltration of thyroid gland capsule, positive lymphangioinvasion in order to assess risk factors.

METHOD

We analysed group of 156 patients with papillary carcinoma, who have undergone total thyroidectomy and bilateral elective central compartment neck dissection. We evaluated the occurrence of metastases, size, infiltration and lymphangioinvasion based on definitive histology of the whole group and separately for subgroups of patients under and over 45 years.

RESULT

We found metastatic involvement in 88 (56.4%) patients. When comparing the subgroups of patients under (73 patients) and over 45 years (83 patients), we found metastases in 56 vs. 32 (76.7% vs. 38.6%) patients. In the subgroup of younger patients we found significant higher incidence of metastases compared with the group of over 45 years, P < 0.001 (P = 0.000027). We found significant higher incidence of metastases in patients with positive capsule infiltration in the whole group, P < 0.001 (P = 0.00049); in the subgroup of under 45 years, P < 0.001 (P = 0.00091) and in patients with positive lymphangioinvasion in the whole group, P < 0.01 (P = 0.00177); in the subgroup of over 45 years, P < 0.001 (P = 0.0002). In patients with metastases we found tumour size ≥1cm more frequently in all groups.

CONCLUSION

We recorded higher incidence of regional metastases in patients under 45 years, positive capsule infiltration, lymphangioinvasion. Age under 45 years itself does not correlate with less aggressive disease, to the contrary some of other analysed risk factors correlate with more aggressive disease.

Prognostic markers in well differentiated papillary and follicular thyroid cancer (WDTC)

OBJECTIVES

WDTC (papillary and follicular thyroid cancer) make up around 90% of all thyroid tumours. Overall, the prognosis in patients with WDTC is excellent. However, there are small cohorts of patients who experience a more aggressive form of disease which is often associated with certain poor prognostic factors. Identifying these patients at an early stage is imperative for guiding treatment decisions. With recent developments in this area we plan to discuss the current evidence surrounding prognostic markers.

METHODS

The literature regarding prognostic factors in WDTC was reviewed using an electronic database Medline - Pubmed. Using the MeSH search engine specific prognostic factors including age, size, grade, lymph node involvement, distant metastasis, extension/invasion, ethnic background, radioactive iodine avidity, and thyroglobulin level and their association with WDTC were evaluated. A broader search of prognostic markers in thyroid cancer was also carried out to avoid missing other pertinent markers.

RESULTS

Multiple clinical and pathologic variables have been shown to be poor prognostic factors in WDTC with statistical significance. Extensive extrathyroidal extension and age may be the most important factors when predicting clinical outcomes in WDTC, although the age threshold may be increased from 45 to 55 years in due course.

CONCLUSIONS

Management of WDTC has changed considerably over the last two years as reflected in evolving British and American Thyroid Guidelines. In all cases a combined multi-disciplinary approach, with consideration of the available guidelines and stratification systems should be utilised when planning an individualised treatment program to offer the best contemporary care to WDTC patients.

Optimal cut-off age in the TNM Staging system of differentiated thyroid cancer: is 55 years better than 45 years?

OBJECTIVE

Age >45 years is included as a variable in the tumor, node, metastases (TNM) staging of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), but a higher cut-off value has been suggested to be more clinically relevant and prevent over-staging. We evaluated the optimal age cut-off to predict disease-specific survival (DSS) in patients with DTC.

DESIGN AND PATIENTS

This cohort study included 6333 patients with DTC who underwent thyroid surgery at two tertiary referral centres between 1996 and 2005. The optimal age cut-off value between 45 and 65 years for prediction of DSS was assessed. The proportion of variation explained (PVE) and Harrell's c-index was calculated to compare the predictability of each model.

RESULTS

The median age of patients was 46·0 years (IQR 37·8-54·6), and 5498 (87%) were female. Median follow-up period was 10·0 years, and 10-year DSS rate was 98%. Using TNM staging with 45 years as the cut-off (TNM45), 10-year DSS rates of stage I-IV were 99·4%, 96·1%, 97·7% and 85·9%, respectively (PVE = 3·0%, Harrell's c-index = 0·693); and using 55 years as the cut-off (TNM55), 99·4%, 92·2%, 95·3% and 79·7%, respectively (PVE = 4·3%, Harrell's c-index = 0·776). On receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the optimal age cut-off for prediction of DSS was 55·4 years (area under the curve = 0·837, P < 0·001). About 20% of patients were down-staged to stage I using TNM55 compared to that using TNM45.

CONCLUSIONS

The cut-off age of 55 years was more appropriate for TNM staging to achieve better predictability for DSS in patients with DTC. This change would prevent over-staging in low-risk patients and prevent over-aggressive treatment.

NT-proBNP is increased in differentiated thyroid carcinoma patients and may predict cardiovascular risk

INTRODUCTION

Chronic suppression of TSH in patients treated for differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) may induce cardiac damage and increase risk for cardiovascular events and premature mortality. We aimed to compare circulating concentrations of N-terminal pro Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NT-proBNP) of DTC patients with controls, and to investigate whether higher NT-proBNP is associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in DTC patients.

METHODS

Serum NT-proBNP levels were determined in 266 DTC patients, median 10.4 [IQR 4.1-18.5] years after DTC diagnosis, and compared to 798 age- and sex-matched controls. Using multivariable Cox regression analyses, the association of NT-proBNP with cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality was determined. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were expressed per SD increase of log-transformed NT-proBNP.

RESULTS

Mean age±SD of DTC patients and controls was 54.8±14.5 and 54.8±12.8years, respectively; 74% were women. Median NT-proBNP level was 70 [40-119] ng/L for DTC patients vs. 49 [25-89] ng/L for controls (p<0.001). During median follow-up of 8.6 [6.6-9.0] years, 30 DTC patients (11.4%) had a cardiovascular event and 38 (14.4%) died. Higher NT-proBNP was associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality, age- and sex-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) 3.22 (2.17-4.79) and 1.61 (1.17-2.23), respectively. In further models with adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, NT-proBNP remained independently associated with outcome.

CONCLUSION

NT-proBNP levels are elevated in patients with DTC, and are associated with an increased risk for cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. Determination of NT-proBNP may identify DTC patients at increased cardiovascular risk, who could benefit from more stringent cardiovascular risk surveillance.

Thyroid cancer

Thyroid cancer is the fifth most common cancer in women in the USA, and an estimated over 62 000 new cases occurred in men and women in 2015. The incidence continues to rise worldwide. Differentiated thyroid cancer is the most frequent subtype of thyroid cancer and in most patients the standard treatment (surgery followed by either radioactive iodine or observation) is effective. Patients with other, more rare subtypes of thyroid cancer-medullary and anaplastic-are ideally treated by physicians with experience managing these malignancies. Targeted treatments that are approved for differentiated and medullary thyroid cancers have prolonged progression-free survival, but these drugs are not curative and therefore are reserved for patients with progressive or symptomatic disease.

Current Guidelines for Postoperative Treatment and Follow-Up of Well-Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Well-differentiated thyroid cancer is increasing in incidence but the disease-specific mortality remains very low. The only effective adjuvant treatment is radioactive iodine ablation. Guidelines regarding the use and dosage of radioactive iodine depend on pathologic features of the primary and metastatic tumor that define risk. Long-term treatment includes thyroid-stimulating hormone suppression and surveillance with serum thyroglobulin and radiologic assessment for nodal recurrence.

Elevated serum thyroglobulin levels at the time of ablative radioactive iodine therapy indicate a worse prognosis in thyroid cancer: an Australian retrospective cohort study

Background:

Serum thyroglobulin is used as a surrogate marker for well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma recurrence. This study investigates whether thyroglobulin measured at the time of ablative radioactive iodine therapy predicts disease-free survival.

Methods:

A retrospective review was conducted of patients with well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma presenting from 1989 to 2010 at the Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, New South Wales, Australia. Disease-free survival of patients with a significantly elevated stimulated thyroglobulin level (27.5 µg/l or higher) at the time of ablative radioactive iodine therapy was compared to that of patients without a significantly elevated thyroglobulin level using univariate analysis.

Results:

Patients with a thyroglobulin level of 27.5 µg/l or higher had an increased relative risk of disease recurrence of 4.50 (95 per cent confidence interval = 1.35–15.04). If lateral neck dissection was required at the time of surgery, patients also had an increased relative risk of macroscopic disease recurrence of 4.94 (95 per cent confidence interval = 1.47–16.55).

Conclusion:

An elevated thyroglobulin level of 27.5 µg/l or higher at the time of ablative radioactive iodine therapy is a prognostic indicator for macroscopic disease recurrence in well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

Dynamic risk stratification for medullary thyroid cancer according to the response to initial therapy

Detecting persistent/recurrent disease of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) is important. The tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system is useful for predicting disease-specific mortality, but is a static system and does not include postoperative serum calcitonin levels. We have focused on the clinical usefulness of dynamic risk stratification (DRS) using the best response to the initial therapy in MTC patients. A total of 120 MTC patients were classified into three DRS groups based on their responses to initial therapy. Clinical outcomes were assessed according to TNM staging and DRS. In the DRS, 70, 23 and 7 % of the MTC patients were classified into excellent, biochemical incomplete, or structural incomplete response groups, respectively. On TNM staging, 37, 16, 13 and 35 % of patients were stages I-IV, respectively. There were significant differences in survivals according to TNM staging (p = 0.03) and DRS (p = 0.005). During the median follow-up of 6.2 years, 75 patients (63 %) demonstrated no evidence of disease (NED). About 60 and 17 % of patients in stages III and IV were NED, respectively. DRS predicted NED better than TNM staging according to the proportion of variance explained (PVE) (49.1 vs. 28.7 %, respectively). At the final follow-up, 88, 4 and 0 % of patients in excellent, biochemical incomplete, and structural incomplete response groups attained NED, respectively. DRS based on the best response to the initial therapy can provide useful prognostic information in addition to initial TNM staging for predicting of mortality, as well as the likelihood of NED in MTC patients.

Dynamic Risk Stratification in Patients with Differentiated Thyroid Cancer Treated Without Radioactive Iodine

CONTEXT

Although response to therapy assessment is a validated tool for dynamic risk stratification in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) treated with total thyroidectomy (TT) and radioactive iodine therapy (RAI), it has not been well studied in patients treated with lobectomy or TT without RAI. Because these responses to therapy definitions are heavily dependent on serum thyroglobulin (Tg) levels, modifications of the original definitions were needed to appropriately classify patients treated without RAI.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to validate the response to therapy assessment in patients with DTC treated with lobectomy or TT without RAI.

DESIGN AND SETTING

This was a retrospective study, which took place at a referral center.

PATIENTS

A total of 507 adults with DTC were treated with lobectomy (n = 187) or TT (n = 320) without RAI. They had a median age of 43.7 y, 88% were female, 85.4% had low risk, and 14.6% intermediate risk.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Main outcome measured was recurrent/persistent structural evidence of disease (SED) during a median followup period of 100.5 months (24-510).

RESULTS

Recurrent/persistent SED was observed in 0% of the patients with excellent response to therapy (nonstimulated Tg for TT < 0.2 ng/mL and for lobectomy < 30 ng/mL, undetectable Tg antibodies [TgAb] and negative imaging; n = 326); 1.3% with indeterminate response (nonstimulated Tg for TT 0.2-5 ng/mL, stable or declining TgAb and/or nonspecific imaging findings; n = 2/152); 31.6% of the patients with biochemical incomplete response (nonstimulated Tg for TT > 5 ng/mL and for lobectomy > 30 ng/mL and/or increasing Tg with similar TSH levels and/or increasing TgAb and negative imaging; n = 6/19) and all (100%) patients with structural incomplete response (n = 10/10) (P < .0001). Initial American Thyroid Association risk estimates were significantly modified based on response to therapy assessment.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data validate the newly proposed response to therapy assessment in patients with DTC treated with lobectomy or TT without RAI as an effective tool to modify initial risk estimates of recurrent/persistent SED and better tailor followup and future therapeutic approaches. This study provides further evidence to support a selective use of RAI in DTC.

Comparing a thyroid prognostic nomogram to the existing staging systems for prediction risk of death from thyroid cancers

OBJECTIVE

Thyroid prognostic nomogram can be applied across different histological types for predicting the individualized risk of death from thyroid cancer. The objective of this study was to compare the strength of our recently published thyroid prognostic nomogram with 12 existing staging systems to predict the risk of death from thyroid cancer.

METHOD

This study included 1900 thyroid cancer patients, from a population based cohort of 2296 patients, on whom adequate staging information was available. Competing risk sub-hazard models were used to compare 12 pre-existing prognostic models with the nomogram model. Their relative strengths for prediction of patients' individualized risks of death from thyroid cancer were compared using Akaike information criterion (AIC), delta AIC, and concordance index. R version 3.2.2 was used to analyze the data.

RESULTS

Our cohort of 450 males and 1450 females included 1796 (93.4%) differentiated thyroid cancers. Amongst the compared models, thyroid prognostic nomogram model appeared to be better than other models for predicting the risk of death from all non-anaplastic thyroid cancer (concordance index = 94.4), differentiated thyroid cancer (concordance index = 94.1) and papillary thyroid cancer (concordance index = 94.7). The difference from next best staging systems was most pronounced in non-anaplastic thyroid cancer (delta AIC = 114.8), followed by differentiated thyroid cancer (delta AIC = 35.6) and papillary thyroid cancer (delta AIC = 8.4).

CONCLUSIONS

Thyroid prognostic nomogram model was found to be better than the other models compared for predicting risk of death from thyroid cancer.

Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma in Children and Adolescents: Long-Term Follow-Up and Clinical Characteristics

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to analyze the clinical features and clinical outcomes of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) in the pediatric and adolescent population treated in our institution.

METHODS

The subjects were 227 PTC patients 20 years of age or under treated initially between 1979 and 2012. Their mean age at diagnosis was 18-year old (range 7-20 years). Patient characteristics and outcomes in the period before 1999 and the period after 2000 were compared. Cause-specific survival (CSS) rates and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Two patients died of their disease and 45 patients had recurrent disease (36 in lymph node, seven in a remnant thyroid, and 11 in the form of distant metastasis). The 10-, 20-, and 30-CSS rates were 99.3, 99.3, and 96.5%, respectively, and the 10-, 20-, and 30-DFS were 83.6, 70.7, and 64.0%, respectively. Gender and preoperative lymph node metastasis were identified as significant factors related to DFS in the multivariate analysis. After the year 2000, there were significantly more patients with a small primary tumor size, significantly more patients without distant metastasis at presentation and significantly more patients without extrathyroidal invasion.

CONCLUSION

The number of patients with advanced cancer has been declining in recent years. Lobectomy with prophylactic unilateral central neck dissection is considered acceptable for patients without the risk factors for recurrence.

The TNM system (version 7) is the most accurate staging system for the prediction of loss of life expectancy in differentiated thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

Many prognostic systems have been developed for differentiated thyroid cancer. It is unclear which one of these performs 'best'. Our aim was to compare staging systems applicable to our patient database to identify which best predicts DTC-related loss of life expectancy and DTC-specific mortality.

DESIGN

Database study of patients with DTC treated in our centre between 1978 (earliest available data) up to and including 1 July 2014. All were staged in accordance with the AMES, Clinical Class, Memorial Sloan Kettering, Ohio State University, TNM versions 5 and 6/7, University of Alabama, University of Münster and qTNM systems.

PATIENTS

A total of 2257 patients with differentiated thyroid cancer.

MEASUREMENTS

Loss of life expectancy expressed as relative survival and thyroid cancer-specific mortality. Comparison was based on P values of univariate Cox regression analyses as well as analysis of the proportion of variance explained (PVE).

RESULTS

Median available follow-up time was 7·2 years (range: 0-35·1 years). Three hundred and twenty-seven patients died, 149 of whom died of DTC. Version 7 of the TNM system was best for predicting DTC-related mortality (P = 7·1 × 10^-52 ; PVE = 0·296), followed by TNM version 5 (P = 6·7 × 10^-44 ; PVE = 0·255). For prediction of loss of life expectancy, version 7 of the TNM system was also best, closely followed by the Clinical Class system (P both < 2 × 10^-16 ).

CONCLUSIONS

The UICC/AJCC TNM system version 7 outperforms other prognostic classification systems based on extent of disease at the start of treatment both for prediction of differentiated thyroid cancer-related death and for prediction of loss life expectancy.

Pediatric thyroid surgery and management of thyroid nodules - an institutional experience over a 10-year period

Background

We reviewed our institutional experience in the diagnosis and management of pediatric thyroid nodules and well-differentiated thyroid carcinoma (WDTC), highlighting the unique challenges in this population.

Methods

IRB approved retrospective chart review was conducted on patients who underwent fine needle aspiration (FNA) or thyroid surgery from 1/1/2001 to 12/31/2010 at Rady Children’s Hospital San Diego, a tertiary referral center in Southern California. Patients thus identified who completed their initial treatment at our institution were included.

Results

Total of 79 subjects qualified; 20 had FNA only, and 59 underwent thyroid surgery. Of the latter, 29 had benign histology and 30 had WDTC. Average age was 14.5 years with a female: male ratio of 4:1 for WDTC versus 1.6:1 for benign nodules. When compared to final pathology, malignancy rate was high in indeterminate FNA cytology at 60 %. Neck metastasis was noted in 40 % and pulmonary spread in 10 % of patients. There was a 2.75 fold increase in malignant cases (n = 22) treated during 2006–2010 compared to 2001–2005 (n = 8) with more advanced disease at initial presentation. Ninety percent of WDTC patients received adjuvant I-131 treatment with an initial average dose of 132.4 mCi. Despite aggressive initial presentation, 26/30 patients had no evidence of disease at last follow-up, with an average length of 40.3 months.

Conclusions

In recent years, we are managing significantly more WDTC cases at our institution with advanced disease at the onset. Malignancy rate on indeterminate cytology is higher than reported in adults with an overall high rate of malignancy in thyroid nodules removed in this cohort. Disease control and short-term outcome is still excellent. The recently published pediatric guidelines for WDTC will further standardize management.

Long-Term Outcomes Following Therapy in Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: NTCTCS Registry Analysis 1987-2012

CONTEXT

Initial treatments for patients with differentiated thyroid cancer are supported primarily by single-institution, retrospective studies, with limited follow-up and low event rates. We report updated analyses of long-term outcomes after treatment in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer.

OBJECTIVE

The objective was to examine effects of initial therapies on outcomes.

DESIGN/SETTING

This was a prospective multi-institutional registry.

PATIENTS

A total of 4941 patients, median follow-up, 6 years, participated.

INTERVENTION

Interventions included total/near-total thyroidectomy (T/NTT), postoperative radioiodine (RAI), and thyroid hormone suppression therapy (THST).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Main outcome measures were overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival using product limit and proportional hazards analyses.

RESULTS

Improved OS was noted in NTCTCS stage III patients who received RAI (risk ratio [RR], 0.66; P = .04) and stage IV patients who received both T/NTT and RAI (RR, 0.66 and 0.70; combined P = .049). In all stages, moderate THST (TSH maintained subnormal-normal) was associated with significantly improved OS (RR stages I-IV: 0.13, 0.09, 0.13, 0.33) and disease-free survival (RR stages I-III: 0.52, 0.40, 0.18); no additional survival benefit was achieved with more aggressive THST (TSH maintained undetectable-subnormal). This remained true, even when distant metastatic disease was diagnosed during follow-up. Lower initial stage and moderate THST were independent predictors of improved OS during follow-up years 1-3.

CONCLUSIONS

We confirm previous findings that T/NTT followed by RAI is associated with benefit in high-risk patients, but not in low-risk patients. In contrast with earlier reports, moderate THST is associated with better outcomes across all stages, and aggressive THST may not be warranted even in patients diagnosed with distant metastatic disease during follow-up. Moderate THST continued at least 3 years after diagnosis may be indicated in high-risk patients.

[Comparison of differentiated thyroid carcinoma staging systems in a Spanish population]

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Differentiated thyroid carcinoma staging is increasingly important due to the current trends to a less intensive therapy in low-risk patients. The TNM system is most widely used, but other systems based on follow-up of several patient cohorts have been developed. When these systems have been applied to other populations, results have been discordant. Our study evaluates the suitability of several differentiated thyroid carcinoma staging systems in a Spanish population.

MATERIAL AND METHOD

729 patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma and staging data available were enrolled. Mean follow-up time was 10.8 years. The TNM, EORTC, AMES, Clinical class, MACIS, Ohio, NTCTCS, and Spanish systems were applied to all histological types. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves for each system were analyzed, and compared using the proportion of explained variation (PEV).

RESULTS

The demographic and clinical characteristics of our population were similar to those of other Spanish and international cohorts reported. The best systems were NTCTCS, with 74.7% PEV, and TNM (68.3%), followed by the Ohio, MACIS, EORTC, and AMES systems with minimal differences between them, while the least adequate were the Spanish (55.2%) and Clinical class (47.1%) systems.

CONCLUSION

The NTCTCS staging system was found to be better than TNM in our population but, because of its simplicity and greater dissemination, the TNM appears to be recommended for staging of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma.

Association between TNM staging system and histopathological features in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma

We aimed to assess the validity of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) by evaluating the relationships between clinicopathologic factors and TNM stage using histopathological specimens and electronic medical records. We enrolled 733 consecutive patients who had undergone thyroid surgery for PTC between 2010 and 2013. Clinical data were obtained from electronic medical records. TNM stages, multifocality, and bilaterality were analyzed after review of histopathological specimens by applying the AJCC TNM staging system. Multiple statistical analyses were performed to evaluate the correlation between the AJCC TNM staging system and the clinicopathologic factors. Of the 733 patients, there were T stage including T1a (46.9 %, 344/733), T1b (12.6 %, 92/733), T2 (2.0 %, 15/733), T3 (38.1 %, 279/733), T4a (0.4 %, 3/733), and T4b (0 %, 0/733), N stage including N0 (58.9 %, 432/733), N1a (24.3 %, 178/733), and N1b (16.8 %, 123/733), and multiplicity including multifocality (31.1 %, 228/733) and bilaterality (23.7 %, 174/733). There was a significant association between the PTC primary tumor size and T stage, N stage, multifocality, and bilaterality (p < 0.0001). Multifocality, bilaterality, and the presence of nodal metastasis were most frequently seen in patients with T3 stage (p < 0.0001). In multivariate logistic regression analyses, T and N stages were independent predictors of multiple PTCs. The PTC primary tumor size had a significant association with the T and N stages of the AJCC TNM staging system, and these factors were independent predictors of multifocality and bilaterality.

Identification of Intermediate- to High-Risk Papillary Thyroid Carcinoma Patients Who May Be Safely Managed without the Performance of Delayed Stimulated Thyroglobulin Measurements following Total Thyroidectomy and Radioactive Iodine Therapy

Background. The measurement of stimulated thyroglobulin (sTg) after total thyroidectomy and remnant radioactive iodine (RAI) ablation is the gold standard for monitoring disease status in patients with papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs). The aim of this study was to determine whether sTg measurement during follow-up can be avoided in intermediate- and high-risk PTC patients. Methods. A total of 346 patients with PTCs with an intermediate or high risk of recurrence were analysed. All of the patients underwent total thyroidectomy as well as remnant RAI ablation and sTg measurements. Preoperative and postoperative parameters were included in the analysis. Results. Among the preoperative parameters, age below 45 years and preoperative Tg above 19.4 ng/mL were significant risk factors for predicting detectable sTg during follow-up. Among the postoperative parameters, thyroid capsular invasion, lymph node metastasis, and ablative Tg above 2.9 ng/mL were independently correlated with a detectable sTg range. The combination of ablative Tg less than 2.9 ng/mL with pre- and postoperative independent risk factors for detectable sTg increased the negative predictive value for detectable sTg up to 98.5%. Conclusions. Based on pre- and postoperative parameters, a substantial proportion of patients with PTCs in the intermediate- and high-risk classes could avoid aggressive follow-up measures.

Differentiated thyroid cancer-personalized therapies to prevent overtreatment

The concept of individualized therapy is rapidly gaining recognition in the management of patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). This Review provides an overview of the most important elements of this paradigm shift in DTC management and discusses the implications for clinical practice. In the majority of patients with DTC who have an inherently good prognosis, the extent of surgery, the dosage of (131)I therapy and the use of levothyroxine therapy are all aspects suitable for individualization, on the basis of both the stage of disease and the response to treatment. In individuals with advanced disease, newer imaging techniques, advances in (131)I therapy and the use of targeted molecular therapies (such as multitargeted kinase inhibitors) have provided new options for the personalized care of patients, for whom until recently no effective therapies were available. Individualized therapies could reduce adverse effects, including the sometimes debilitating hypothyroidism that used to be required before initiation of (131)I treatment, and major salivary gland damage, a common and unpleasant side effect of (131)I therapy. Highly individualized interdisciplinary treatment of patients with DTC might lead to improved outcomes with reduced severity and frequency of complications and adverse effects. However, in spite of ongoing research, personalized therapies remain in their infancy.

New insights in risk stratification of differentiated thyroid cancer

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Numerous staging and scoring systems exist for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), but all harbor limitations. This has prompted investigation for new factors with prognostic implications for DTC.

RECENT FINDINGS

Several new factors that may be involved in DTC risk stratification have emerged, such as thyroid stimulating hormone and molecular markers. In addition, others are controversial and being challenged, such as age, sex and lymph node involvement.

SUMMARY

The purpose of this review is to present recent updates in the literature on new potential risk stratification predictors for DTC.