Excess mortality in the myelodysplastic syndromes

McLornan D, Yakoub‐Agha I. Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in older myelofibrosis patients: A study of the chronic malignancies working party of EBMT and the Spanish Myelofibrosis Registry

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) is increasingly used in older myelofibrosis (MF) patients, but its risk/benefit ratio compared to non-transplant approaches has not been evaluated in this population. We analyzed the outcomes of allo-HCT in 556 MF patients aged ≥65 years from the EBMT registry, and determined the excess mortality over the matched general population of MF patients ≥65 years managed with allo-HCT (n = 556) or conventional drug treatment (n = 176). The non-transplant cohort included patients with intermediate-2 or high risk DIPSS from the Spanish Myelofibrosis Registry. After a median follow-up of 3.4 years, the estimated 5-year survival rate, non-relapse mortality (NRM), and relapse incidence after transplantation was 40%, 37%, and 25%, respectively. Busulfan-based conditioning was associated with decreased mortality (HR: 0.7, 95% CI: 0.5-0.9) whereas the recipient CMV+/donor CMV- combination (HR: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.2-2.4) and the JAK2 mutated genotype (HR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.1-3.5) predicted higher mortality. Busulfan-based conditioning correlated with improved survival due to less NRM, despite its higher relapse rate when compared with melphalan-based regimens. Excess mortality was higher in transplanted patients than in the non-HCT cohort in the first year of follow-up (ratio: 1.93, 95% CI: 1.13-2.80), whereas the opposite occurred between the fourth and eighth follow-up years (ratio: 0.31, 95% CI: 0.18-0.53). Comparing the excess mortality of the two treatments, male patients seemed to benefit more than females from allo-HCT, mainly due to their worse prognosis with non-transplant approaches. These findings could potentially enhance counseling and treatment decision-making in elderly transplant-eligible MF patients.

Integration Analysis of JAK2 or RUNX1 Mutation With Bone Marrow Blast Can Improve Risk Stratification in the Patients With Lower Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome

Despite the improvements in prognostication of the revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R) in myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), there remain a portion of patients with lower risk (low/intermediate risk, LR) but poor prognostics. This study aimed to evaluate the relative contribution of mutational status when added to the IPSS-R, for estimating overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with LR-MDS. We retrospectively analyzed clinical and laboratory variables of 328 patients diagnosed with MDS according to the FAB criteria. Twenty-nine-gene NGS assay was applied to bone marrow samples obtained at diagnosis. 233 (71.04%) patients were classified as LR-MDS. Univariate analysis showed association between inferior outcome (OS and PFS) and presence of JAK2 (p = 0.0177, p = 0.0002), RUNX1 (p = 0.0250, p = 0.0387), and U2AF1 (p = 0.0227, p = 0.7995) mutations. Multivariable survival analysis revealed JAK2 (p < 0.0001) and RUNX1 (p = 0.0215) mutations were independently prognostic for PFS in LR-MDS. Interestingly, bone marrow blast >1.5% could further predict disease progression of patients with LR-MDS (HR 8.06, 95%CI 2.95–22.04, p < 0.0001). Incorporation of JAK2, RUNX1 mutation and bone marrow blast in the IPSS-R can improve risk stratification in patients with LR-MDS. In summary, our result provided new risk factors for LR-MDS prognostics to identify candidates for early therapeutic intervention.

Prognostic effect of RUNX1 mutations in myelodysplastic syndromes: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

RUNX1 mutations have been widely found in patients with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS). Majority of reports revealed that RUNX1 mutations are associated with a poor prognosis. However, discrepancies still remain. The results of univariate analysis were not confirmed in multivariate analysis in some cases. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to assess the prognostic effect of RUNX1 mutations in MDS.

METHODS

We extracted data from qualified studies that were searched from PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Library. Hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the overall survival (OS) and leukemia free survival (LFS) were pooled from the multivariate Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Sixteen studies containing 5422 patients were included in this meta-analysis. There were 617 patients with mutated RUNX1 and 4805 patients with wide type RUNX1. The total HR for OS was 1.43 (95% CI = 1.21-1.70, P < 0.0001) and the counterpart of LFS was 1.88 (95% CI = 1.42-2.51, P < 0.0001).

DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION

These results suggest that the RUNX1 mutations are associated with unfavorable outcomes and shorter survival in patients with MDS. Furthermore, poor prognosis of patients might be alleviated by stem cell transplantation. Patients bearing these mutations should be prioritized for aggressive therapy.

Integrating patient-centered factors in the risk assessment of MDS

Myelodysplastic syndromes are clonal myeloid neoplasms that primarily present in older adults. Although leukemia develops in approximately 25% to 30% of individuals, the significantly shortened survival in this population is attributed more commonly to nonleukemic causes. The current prognostic scoring systems for leukemia and overall survival based on disease characteristics are becoming increasingly sophisticated and accurate with the incorporation of molecular data. The addition of patient-related factors such as comorbidity, disability, frailty, and fatigue to these new models may improve their predictive power for overall survival, treatment toxicity, and health care costs. To improve the generalizability of clinical trial results to the real world, geriatric assessment testing should become a standard of care in MDS clinical trials.

The incidence, risk factors, and survival of acute myeloid leukemia secondary to myelodysplastic syndrome: A population-based study

To determine the incidence, risk factors, and relative survival of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) secondary to myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Retrospective analysis of all patients with new MDS onset in the SEER‐18 database from 2001 to 2013. We identified 36 558 patients with primary MDS. The rate of secondary AML (sAML) was 3.7% among patients 40 years or younger and 2.5% among those older than 40 (P = .039). The median transformation interval was significantly shorter for the younger group (4.04 vs 13.1 mo; P < .001). For both age groups, median overall and cancer‐specific survival were significantly longer for patients who did not develop sAML. Although the younger patients survived longer than the older patients, sAML development had a more negative effect on the survival of younger patients. Female sex, age, and World Health Organization (WHO) type MDS with single lineage dysplasia (MDS‐SLD) were associated with a decreased risk of sAML for older but not younger patients. Among older patients with MDS, a married status, Black race, female sex, shorter time to sAML, and WHO type MDS‐SLD or MDS with ringed sideroblasts were favorable prognostic factors for survival. In the SEER database, the rate of sAML among patients with MDS is lower than that in previous reports, but these patients still have worse survival. Risk assessment should include clinical and demographic factors.

Infection control in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes who are candidates for active treatment: Expert panel consensus-based recommendations

The improvement in supportive care and the introduction of new therapeutic agents, including lenalidomide and hypomethylating agents, in myelodysplastic syndromes have improved patients' outcomes; however, at the same time, the frequency and epidemiology of infections have changed. Therefore, the great strides in the indications and use of new treatment strategies for myelodysplastic syndromes need a parallel progress in the best approach to prophylaxis and supportive therapy for infections. Based on the recognition that the above issues represent an unmet clinical need in myelodysplastic syndromes, an Italian expert panel performed a review of the literature and composed a framework of the best recommendations for optimal infection control in patient candidates to receive active treatment for myelodysplastic syndromes. In this consensus document we report the outcomes of that review and of the consensus meetings held during 2017. The issues tackled in the project dealt with: information to be collected from candidates for active treatment for myelodysplastic syndromes; how to monitor the risk of infection; antimicrobial prophylaxis; the role of iron chelation and antiviral/antibacterial vaccinations. For each of these issues, practice recommendations are provided.

Evaluation of Parameters Related to the Probability of Leukemic Progression in Patients With Lower-Risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndrome (LR-MDS) is very heterogeneous. In addition to survival estimates, identification of factors related to the probability of leukemic progression might help prognosis assessment.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The present study is a retrospective analysis of 409 patients with primary LR-MDS. The probability of leukemic progression was estimated in the competing risk framework by the cumulative incidence method considering death without acute myeloid leukemia (AML) as a competing event.

RESULTS

Sixty-six patients (16.1%) progressed to AML. The following covariates influenced the probability of leukemic progression in a multivariate competing risk regression model: intermediate karyotype versus diploid or chromosome 5 deletion, 5% to 9% bone marrow blast percentage, platelet count <50 × 10e⁹/L and age younger than 75 years.

CONCLUSION

According to these, a predictive model is proposed, which categorizes patients with different probability of leukemic progression (P < .001). Validation of these results might help prognostic refinement of patients with LR-MDS.

Mutations and prognosis in myelodysplastic syndromes: karyotype-adjusted analysis of targeted sequencing in 300 consecutive cases and development of a genetic risk model

To develop a genetic risk model for primary myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), we queried the prognostic significance of next-generation sequencing (NGS)-derived mutations, in the context of the Mayo cytogenetic risk stratification, which includes high-risk (monosomal karyotype; MK), intermediate-risk (non-MK, classified as intermediate/poor/very poor, per the revised international prognostic scoring system; IPSS-R), and low-risk (classified as good/very good, per IPSS-R). Univariate analysis in 300 consecutive patients with primary MDS identified TP53, RUNX1, U2AF1, ASXL1, EZH2, and SRSF2 mutations as "unfavorable" and SF3B1 as "favorable" risk factors for survival; for the purposes of the current study, the absence of SF3B1 mutation was accordingly dubbed as an "adverse" mutation. Analysis adjusted for age and MK, based on our previous observation of significant clustering between MK and TP53 mutations, confirmed independent prognostic contribution from RUNX1, ASXL1, and SF3B1 mutations. Multivariable analysis that included age, the Mayo cytogenetics risk model and the number of adverse mutations resulted in HRs (95% CI) of 5.3 (2.5-10.3) for presence of three adverse mutations, 2.4 (1.6-3.7) for presence of two adverse mutations, 1.5 (1.02-2.2) for presence of one adverse mutation, 5.6 (3.4-9.1) for high-risk karyotype, 1.5 (1.1-2.2) for intermediate-risk karyotype and 2.4 (1.8-3.3) for age >70 years; HR-weighted risk point assignment generated a three-tiered genetic risk model: high (N = 65; 5-year survival 2%), intermediate (N = 100; 5-year survival 18%), and low (N = 135; 5-year survival 56%). The current study provides a practically simple risk model in MDS that is based on age, karyotype, and mutations only.

Clinical and biological significance of isolated Y chromosome loss in myelodysplastic syndromes and chronic myelomonocytic leukemia. A report from the Spanish MDS Group

Isolate loss of chromosome Y (-Y) in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) is associated to a better outcome but it is also well described as an age-related phenomenon. In this study we aimed to analyze the prognostic impact of -Y in the context of the IPSS-R cytogenetic classification, evaluate the clinical significance of the percentage of metaphases with isolated -Y, and test whether finding -Y may predispose to over-diagnose MDS in patients with borderline morphological features. We evaluated 3581 male patients from the Spanish MDS Registry with a diagnosis of MDS or chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). -Y was identified in 177 patients (4.9%). Compared with the 2246 male patients with normal karyotype, -Y group showed a reduced risk of leukemic transformation that did not translate into a survival advantage. The overall survival and the risk of leukemic transformation were not influenced by the percentage of metaphases with -Y. The -Y group was not enriched in patients with minor morphologic traits of dysplasia, suggesting that the better outcome in the -Y group cannot be explained by enrichment in cases misdiagnosed as MDS. In conclusion, our results support the current recommendation of classifying patients with -Y within the very good risk category of the IPSS-R for MDS and rule out a selection bias as a possible explanation of this better outcome. An analysis of the molecular basis of MDS with isolated -Y would be of interest as it may provide a biological basis of protection against progression to acute leukemia.

Multidimensional assessment of patient condition and mutational analysis in peripheral blood, as tools to improve outcome prediction in myelodysplastic syndromes: A prospective study of the Spanish MDS group

The International Prognostic Scoring System and its revised form (IPSS-R) are the most widely used indices for prognostic assessment of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS), but can only partially account for the observed variation in patient outcomes. This study aimed to evaluate the relative contribution of patient condition and mutational status in peripheral blood when added to the IPSS-R, for estimating overall survival and the risk of leukemic transformation in patients with MDS. A prospective cohort (2006-2015) of 200 consecutive patients with MDS were included in the study series and categorized according to the IPSS-R. Patients were further stratified according to patient condition (assessed using the multidimensional Lee index for older adults) and genetic mutations (peripheral blood samples screened using next-generation sequencing). The change in likelihood-ratio was tested in Cox models after adding individual covariates. The addition of the Lee index to the IPSS-R significantly improved prediction of overall survival [hazard ratio (HR) 3.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.96-4.66, P < 0.001), and mutational analysis significantly improved prediction of leukemic evolution (HR 2.64, 1.56-4.46, P < 0.001). Non-leukemic death was strongly linked to patient condition (HR 2.71, 1.72-4.25, P < 0.001), but not to IPSS-R score (P = 0.35) or mutational status (P = 0.75). Adjustment for exposure to disease-modifying therapy, evaluated as a time-dependent covariate, had no effect on the proposed model's predictive ability. In conclusion, patient condition, assessed by the multidimensional Lee index and patient mutational status can improve the prediction of clinical outcomes of patients with MDS already stratified by IPSS-R.

Characteristics of bone marrow cell dysplasia and its effectiveness in diagnosing myelodysplastic syndrome

BACKGROUND

Although dysplasia plays an important role in the diagnosis of myelodysplasia syndrome (MDS), its morphologic variety and irregularity result in difficulties in its clinical application.

METHODS

Bone marrow smears from cases with MDS and non-clonal disease were collected and performed microscopy analysis. We respectively recorded the percentage of specific dysplastic cells (PSDC) and incidence of specific dysplasia (ISD) of each dysplastic type in three hematopoietic cell lineages for the comprehensive analysis of diagnostic efficacy to MDS.

RESULTS

Compared with non-clonal anemia, the PSDCs and ISDs of the four specific dysplastic types as petal nucleus and internuclear bridging in erythroid lineage, pseudo-Pelger-Huet in granulocytic lineage and lymphoid small megakaryocyte in megakaryocytic lineage were significantly higher in MDS; and their area under the curves were all greater than 0.600. If the dysplastic rate in each lineage was higher than 10%, their corresponding false positive rates (FPRs) were below 0.033, 1 × 10^-4 and 1 × 10^-4, respectively. If the dysplastic rates in three cell lineages reached 0.065, 0.045 and 0.040, respectively, their corresponding FPRs were all below 0.050.

CONCLUSION

Four specific dysplastic types possess higher diagnostic efficacy for the diagnosis of MDS. Though the dysplastic rate over 10% in any hematopoietic cell lineage presents a lower FPR, it is possibly considered to lower the diagnostic threshold of MDS if a specific dysplastic type with higher diagnostic efficacy presents.

Enumerating bone marrow blasts from nonerythroid cellularity improves outcome prediction in myelodysplastic syndromes and permits a better definition of the intermediate risk category of the Revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R)

The Revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R) has been recognized as the score with the best outcome prediction capability in MDS, but this brought new concerns about the accurate prognostication of patients classified into the intermediate risk category. The correct enumeration of blasts is essential in prognostication of MDS. Recent data evidenced that considering blasts from nonerythroid cellularity (NECs) improves outcome prediction in the context of IPSS and WHO classification. We assessed the percentage of blasts from total nucleated cells (TNCs) and NECs in 3924 MDS patients from the GESMD, 498 of whom were MDS with erythroid predominance (MDS-E). We assessed if calculating IPSS-R by enumerating blasts from NECs improves prognostication of MDS. Twenty-four percent of patients classified into the intermediate category were reclassified into higher-risk categories and showed shorter overall survival (OS) and time to AML evolution than those who remained into the intermediate one. Likewise, a better distribution of patients was observed, since lower-risk patients showed longer survivals than previously whereas higher-risk ones maintained the outcome expected in this poor prognostic group (median OS < 20 months). Furthermore, our approach was particularly useful for detecting patients at risk of dying with AML. Regarding MDS-E, 51% patients classified into the intermediate category were reclassified into higher-risk ones and showed shorter OS and time to AML. In this subgroup of MDS, IPSS-R was capable of splitting our series in five groups with significant differences in OS only when blasts were assessed from NECs. In conclusion, our easy-applicable approach improves prognostic assessment of MDS patients.

Optimizing the use of hypomethylating agents in myelodysplastic syndromes: Selecting the candidate, predicting the response, and enhancing the activity

Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are a heterogeneous group of clonal hematopoietic stem cell disorders that have a substantial impact on patients' quality of life, in addition to causing significant morbidity and mortality. The hypomethylating agents (HMAs) azacitidine and decitabine are approved for use in the United States and in Europe for the treatment of MDS or acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and, in the case of azacitidine, prolong survival in higher-risk patients. Neither is curative, though, and given the lack of clear treatment guidelines after HMA treatment failure, it is imperative to optimize patient selection and identify the right timing of HMA treatment initiation and response evaluation to maximize patient benefit. Initiatives to improve outcomes have focused on HMA-based drug combinations to enhance HMA activity or treat MDS using complementary drug mechanisms of action. In this review, we will summarize the available data to aid decision-making while treating MDS patients with HMAs.