Prognostic models and nomograms for predicting survival of patients with maxillary sinus carcinomas

Factors Contributing to Diagnosis and Prognosis in Sinonasal Malignancies

Objectives. This study was intended to explore and analyze the factors which affect the survival and prognosis of patients with malignant tumors of nasal cavity and sinus. Methods. Retrospective analysis was performed on the clinical data of 39 cases of malignant tumors of nasal cavity and sinus that met the requirements of the study. A follow-up study was performed on the patients for more than 36 months. Survival analysis was conducted via the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. Cox regression model was used for multivariate analysis. Results. Gender, pathological type, treatment plan, clinical stage, and survival time of patients were different. Clinical stage was substantially related to the survival of patients ( $P<0.05$ ), which was an independent factor affecting prognosis. Conclusions. Early detection and comprehensive treatment of sinonasal malignancies can improve the prognosis and prolong the survival time of patients.

Multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics signature for preoperative prediction of Ki-67 proliferation status in sinonasal malignancies: a two-centre study

OBJECTIVE

To assess the predictive ability of a multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics signature (RS) for the preoperative evaluation of Ki-67 proliferation status in sinonasal malignancies.

METHODS

A total of 128 patients with sinonasal malignancies that underwent multi-parametric MRIs at two medical centres were retrospectively analysed. Data from one medical centre (n = 77) were used to develop the predictive models and data from the other medical centre (n = 51) constitute the test dataset. Clinical data and conventional MRI findings were reviewed to identify significant predictors. Radiomics features were determined using maximum relevance minimum redundancy and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithms. Subsequently, RSs were established using a logistic regression (LR) algorithm. The predictive performance of RSs was assessed using calibration, decision curve analysis (DCA), accuracy, and AUC.

RESULTS

No independent predictors of high Ki-67 proliferation were observed based on clinical data and conventional MRI findings. RS-T1, RS-T2, and RS-T1c (contrast enhancement T1WI) were established based on a single-parametric MRI. RS-Combined (combining T1WI, FS-T2WI, and T1c features) was developed based on multi-parametric MRI and achieved an AUC and accuracy of 0.852 (0.733-0.971) and 86.3%, respectively, on the test dataset. The calibration curve and DCA demonstrated an improved fitness and benefits in clinical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

A multi-parametric MRI-based RS may be used as a non-invasive, dependable, and accurate tool for preoperative evaluation of the Ki-67 proliferation status to overcome the sampling bias in sinonasal malignancies.

KEY POINTS

• Multi-parametric MRI-based radiomics signatures (RSs) are used to preoperatively evaluate the proliferation status of Ki-67 in sinonasal malignancies. • Radiomics features are determined using maximum relevance minimum redundancy (mRMR) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithms. • RSs are established using a logistic regression (LR) algorithm.

Treatment Outcomes of Maxillary Sinus Squamous Cell Carcinoma at a Dedicated Cancer Institute: A Retrospective Study

Introduction

Squamous cell carcinoma arising at the maxillary sinus is a rare neoplasm, characterized by an aggressive growth pattern and glooming prognosis. The proximity of the maxillary sinus with complex anatomical structures such as the eye, skull base, infratemporal fossa, pterygomaxillary fossa, nasal cavities, and ethmoid sinuses makes the surgical treatment of tumors infiltrating into these structures very challenging. The study's objective was to investigate the prognostic factors of survival and maxillary sinus SCC treatment outcomes.

Methods

We did a retrospective analysis of patients treated for maxillary sinus SCC at our institution between 2004 -2018. The study included all the patients with histologically proven maxillary sinus SCC treated with curative intent. The medical record of 43 patients was reviewed and utilized for the analysis. The Kaplan-Meier curve calculated five-year overall survival.

Results

A total of 43 patients were analyzed. At the presentation time, the mean age was 54.56 years (SD ± 11.65). Smoking (n=13, 30.2%) was the common risk factor. 36 (83.7%) patients presented with stage IV disease. Surgery was performed in 16 (37.2%) patients, whereas 27 (62.8%) patients received radiation and chemotherapy. Treatment failure was seen in 35 (81.4%) patients with locoregional recurrence in 30 (85.7%) patients and distant metastases in 5 (14.3%) patients. The five years overall survival in our study was 22%. Loco-regional recurrence and distant metastasis were the significant factors impacting survival (p=0.01).

Conclusion

Maxillary sinus SCC is rare cancer that is more common in males and usually presents at an advanced stage with a poor outcome. These tumors have a higher rate of treatment failure with a poor prognosis. Locoregional recurrence and distant metastasis adversely impact the overall survival.

A Competing Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Death of Patients With Maxillary Sinus Carcinoma

Objectives

Herein, we purposed to establish and verify a competing risk nomogram for estimating the risk of cancer-specific death (CSD) in Maxillary Sinus Carcinoma (MSC) patients.

Methods

The data of individuals with MSC used in this study was abstracted from the (SEER) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data resource as well as from the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University (China). The risk predictors linked to CSD were identified using the CIF (cumulative incidence function) along with the Fine-Gray proportional hazards model on the basis of univariate analysis coupled with multivariate analysis implemented in the R-software. After that, a nomogram was created and verified to estimate the three- and five-year CSD probability.

Results

Overall, 478 individuals with MSC were enrolled from the SEER data resource, with a 3- and 5-year cumulative incidence of CSD after diagnosis of 42.1% and 44.3%, respectively. The Fine-Gray analysis illustrated that age, histological type, N stage, grade, surgery, and T stage were independent predictors linked to CSD in the SEER-training data set (n = 343). These variables were incorporated in the prediction nomogram. The nomogram was well calibrated and it demonstrated a remarkable estimation accuracy in the internal validation data set (n = 135) abstracted from the SEER data resource and the external validation data set (n = 200). The nomograms were well-calibrated and had a good discriminative ability with concordance indexes (c-indexes) of 0.810, 0.761, and 0.755 for the 3- and 5-year prognosis prediction of MSC-specific mortality in the training cohort, internal validation, and external validation cohort, respectively.

Conclusions

The competing risk nomogram constructed herein proved to be an optimal assistant tool for estimating CSD in individuals with MSC.

Maxillary Sinus Floor Infiltration: Results From a Series of 118 Maxillary Sinus Cancers

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

Maxillary cancers are rare and aggressive tumors, which can spread beyond the sinus bony walls. Preoperative assessment of infiltration of maxillary sinus floor (MSF) is paramount for surgical planning, as palatomaxillary demolition significantly impacts patients' quality of life. This study investigates the challenges involved in the preoperative and intraoperative evaluation of MSF infiltration and analyzes its prognostic relevance.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective case series.

METHODS

A retrospective review of patients treated for sinonasal malignancies at a single Institution was performed. Patients receiving surgical-based treatment with curative intent for primary maxillary sinus cancers, between January 2000 and November 2019, were included.

RESULTS

A cohort of 118 patients was analyzed. By comparing intraoperative findings (endoscopic assessment and frozen sections) with preoperative radiological assessment, diagnostic changes with regard to MSF infiltration were found in 27.1% (32/118 cases). MSF infiltration negatively affected the prognosis in both univariate and multivariate analyses in the overall population. In the subgroup of pT1-T3 tumors, MSF infiltration was significantly associated with reduced overall (P = .012), disease-free (P = .011), and distant recurrence-free (P = .002) survival rates. Conversely, pT classification was not able to stratify patients according to prognosis, mainly because early-staged cancers (pT1-T2) with MSF infiltration showed reduced survival rates, similar to those observed in pT3 cancers.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative imaging should be integrated with intraoperative findings based on endoscopic inspection and frozen sections. Future studies are required to investigate the opportunity to incorporate MSF infiltration in the TNM staging system, considering its crucial role in defining the extent of surgery and its potential as prognosticator.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 2021.

Clinical management of localized undifferentiated sinonasal carcinoma: our experience and review of the literature

Undifferentiated sinonasal carcinoma (SNUC) is defined as a small round blue cell tumor that is immunohistochemically distinct from other sinonasal malignancies, such as lymphoma, mucosal melanoma, nasopharyngeal carcinoma, neuroendocrine carcinoma, and olfactory neuroblastoma. SNUCs are very aggressive malignancies, provoking quick destruction of the splanchnocranium structures. Being a very rare neoplasm, there are no prospective clinical trials assessing their treatment strategies, so lots of data are derived by small retrospective trials. Tri-modality treatments (namely those treatments which use together surgery, radiation therapy and chemotherapy) are now considered the best of care for this category of poor prognosis tumors, and whenever possible they should be employed. Despite the tri-modality treatments and the multidisciplinary management, SNUCs are characterized by poor prognosis with a median overall survival reaching 14 months. Ameliorating radiotherapy techniques and performing therapies adapted to the genetics of the disease could represent a promising strategy of therapy in the near future. In this report, we have presented our experience, describing the treatment and the prognosis of four patients seen at our Institution. Moreover, we have performed a review of the literature analyzing the now available therapy options and the possible future strategies.

Retrospective analysis of 98 cases of maxillary sinus squamous cell carcinoma and therapeutic exploration

BACKGROUND

Maxillary sinus squamous cell carcinoma (MSSCC) is a relatively rare head and neck cancer with poorly defined prognosis, and the present study aimed to investigate the outcomes for MSSCC according to different treatments.

METHODS

Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital pathology database was reviewed from 2007 to 2017, and 98 patients with pathologically confirmed MSSCC were enrolled. Retrospective analysis and follow-up were performed for each patient. Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors was performed using Cox's regression model.

RESULTS

For all the 98 cases of MSSCC, the 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) rates were 31.0% and 29.3%, respectively. Among 98 patient, 33 patients were treated with systemic treatment (NON-SUR), 19 patients underwent neoadjuvant chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy followed by surgery (CT/RT+SUR), 38 patients received surgery followed by chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy (SUR+RT/CT), and 8 patients were performed surgery alone (SUR).The OS rate for each group was 27.3%, 57.9%, 30.6% and 37.5%, respectively, while the DFS was 21.2%, 36.8%, 31.6% and 25.0%, respectively. The OS rate of CT/RT+SUR was significantly higher than that of NON-SUR and SUR+CT/RT groups (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that smoking, low differentiation, and advanced T stage were independent risk factors for OS, while low differentiation and advanced N stage for DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Surgery-based treatment is still the first-line therapeutic strategy for MSSCC. And neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery is highly recommended for MSSCC patients, especially those with advanced tumors or requesting high quality of life.

Malignant tumors of the maxillary sinus: Prognostic impact of neurovascular invasion in a series of 138 patients

BACKGROUND

Maxillary sinus cancer is a rare disease with heterogeneous biologic behavior. The pattern of neurovascular invasion is known to be an important prognosticator in head and neck cancers, but has not been studied in maxillary malignancies.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients undergoing surgery-based treatment with curative intent for a malignancy of the maxillary sinus at the Unit of Otorhinolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery of the University of Brescia between November 2000 and October 2018 were included. A description of the characteristics of the patients, tumors, and treatments has been performed along with uni- and multi-variate analysis of prognostic factors. Tumors were classified based on the presence of perineural (P₀/P₁) and lymphovascular invasion (V₀/V₁) in 4 categories: P₀V₀, P₁V₀, P₀V₁, and P₁V₁.

RESULTS

One hundred-thirty-eight patients were included. Mean age at surgery was 61.0 years. Most patients (60.1%) were affected by non-salivary carcinomas, and most tumors (73.9%) were high-grade cancers. One hundred-seven (77.5%) tumors were classified as pT4. The large majority of patients received bi- or tri-modality treatment. Sixty-three (45.7%) cases were classified as P₀V₀, 32 (23.2%) as P₁V₀, 7 (5.1%) as P₀V₁, and 36 (26.1%) as P₁V₁. T category, nodal status, and neurovascular invasion were significantly associated with prognosis. Perineural and lymphovascular invasion were associated with the topographical growth of the tumor.

CONCLUSIONS

Maxillary cancer is often diagnosed at an advanced stage and in most cases requires a multimodal approach. Perineural and lymphovascular invasion are frequent and have a different impact on prognosis and topographical extension of the tumor.

Nomograms predicting long-term survival in patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

There are few effective tools to predict survival in patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas.

AIM

To develop comprehensive nomograms to individually estimate the survival outcome of patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas.

METHODS

Data of 1219 patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms after resection were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, and randomly divided into the training (n = 853) and the validation (n = 366) cohorts. Based on the Cox regression model, nomograms were constructed to predict overall survival and cancer-specific survival for an individual patient. The performance of the nomograms was measured according to discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Moreover, we compared the predictive accuracy of the nomograms with that of the traditional staging system.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, age, marital status, histological type, T stage, N stage, M stage, and chemotherapy were selected to construct nomograms. Compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer 7^th staging system, the nomograms were generally more discriminative. The nomograms passed the calibration steps by showing high consistency between actual probability and nomogram prediction. Categorial net classification improvements and integrated discrimination improvements suggested that the predictive accuracy of the nomograms exceeded that of the American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system. With respect to decision curve analyses, the nomograms exhibited more preferable net benefit gains than the staging system across a wide range of threshold probabilities.

CONCLUSION

The nomograms show improved predictive accuracy, discrimination capability, and clinical utility, which can be used as reliable tools for risk classification and treatment recommendations.

Dental considerations in diagnosis of maxillary sinus carcinoma: A patient series of 24 cases

BACKGROUND

Maxillary sinus carcinoma is a rare entity with an incidence of 0.2% and a low patient survival rate due to the frequency of late diagnosis.

METHODS

In this multicenter, transversal, retrospective, observational study, the authors analyzed patients who had received a diagnosis of maxillary sinus carcinoma, registering their oral symptoms, histologic type, treatment efficacy, and survival rate.

RESULTS

Maxillary sinus carcinoma was diagnosed in 24 patients (15 men and 9 women), of which 75% were squamous cell carcinomas. All patients had dental mobility, and some had swelling, orosinus fistula, or some dental loss. Mean patient survival rate was 38.83 months.

CONCLUSIONS

A history of pain or swelling of unknown origin, an unexplained widening of periodontal ligament space, or mobility of the teeth should be considered warning signs of maxillary sinus carcinoma.

PRACTICAL IMPLICATIONS

Recognition of oral symptoms by the dentist would help in making an early diagnosis of maxillary sinus carcinoma, improving the patient's chances of survival and quality of life.

Personalized prognostication in head and neck cancer: A systematic review of nomograms according to the AJCC precision medicine core (PMC) criteria

BACKGROUND

The American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Precision Medicine Core (PMC) has recognized the need for more personalized probabilistic predictions above the "TNM" staging system and has recently released a checklist of inclusion and exclusion criteria for evaluating prognostic models.

METHODS

A systematic review of articles in which nomograms were created for head and neck cancer (HNC) was carried out according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The AJCC PMC criteria were used to score the individual studies.

RESULTS

Forty-four studies were included in the final qualitative analysis. The mean number of inclusion criteria met was 9.3 out of 13, and the mean number of exclusion criteria met was 2.1 out of 3. Studies were generally of high quality, but no single study fulfilled all of the AJCC PMC criteria.

CONCLUSION

This is the first study to utilize the AJCC checklist to comprehensively evaluate the published prognostic nomograms in HNC. Future studies should attempt to adhere to the AJCC PMC criteria. Recommendations for future research are given.

SUMMARY

The AJCC recently released a set of criteria to grade the quality of prognostic cancer models. In this study, we grade all published nomograms for head and neck cancer according to the new guidelines.

Clinical T staging is superior to fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography for predicting local outcomes after intra-arterial infusion chemoradiotherapy for maxillary sinus squamous cell carcinoma

Concomitant intra-arterial infusion chemoradiotherapy (IA-CRT) has been used to treat locally advanced maxillary sinus squamous cell carcinoma (MSSCC) with positive outcomes. However, an optimal predictive prognostic factor for MSSCC treated with IA-CRT remains elusive. The aim of the present study was to assess the feasibility of 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET), including volumetric parameters, to predict the prognosis of MSSCC treated with IA-CRT. Twenty-four patients with newly diagnosed MSSCC receiving FDG-PET imaging before IA-CRT treatment were analyzed in this retrospective study. All patients underwent radiotherapy with a total tumor dose of 60–66 Gy in a conventional fractionation schedule, using three-dimensional conformal radiation therapy or intensity-modulated radiation therapy. Radiotherapy was performed concurrently with concurrent intra-arterial infusion chemotherapy (cisplatin). The IA-CRT response rate was 83.33%. The 1- and 3-year survival rates were 81.30% and 64.34%, respectively. The 1- and 3-year local failure-free rates were 57.21% and 40.96%, respectively. Local failure was significantly associated with poor survival (P = 0.0152). Further, clinical T staging clearly stratified local control outcomes among patients with clinical T3 or less, T4a, and T4b (P = 0.0312). Moreover, patients with stage T4b showed a significantly poorer local control compared with T3 or less (P = 0.0103). However, FDG-PET parameters provided no significant predictive information regarding treatment outcome. To conclude, pretreatment T stage predicts local control by IA-CRT, which is associated with survival.