Incidence trends of lentigo maligna and lentigo maligna melanoma in the United States from 2000 to 2019

BACKGROUND

Information on lentigo maligna (LM) and lentigo maligna melanoma (LMM) in the 21st century is scarce. We aimed to elucidate the incidence of LM and LMM using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 17 Registries.

METHODS

The data of patients diagnosed between 2000 and 2019 were extracted from the SEER database. The percentage of LM/LMM cases among all melanoma patients, age-standardized incidence rates, estimated annual percentage changes, and the cumulative incidence of LMM after LM were calculated.

RESULTS

The SEER data yielded 95,175 patients with LM/LMM between 2000 and 2019. Cases of LM/LMM accounted for 15.7% of all melanomas. The age-standardized incidence per 100,000 person-years for LM increased from 4.16 to 5.61 and for LMM from 1.33 to 2.35 between 2000 and 2019. The annual increase in incidence of LM was 2.42%, and that of LMM was 3.32%. The cumulative incidence of LMM after a primary LM after 10-year follow-up was 0.94%.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides the first comprehensive analysis of the epidemiological status of LM/LMM in the United States in the 21st century using the population-based SEER data.

National Trends in the Incidence of Sporadic Malignant Colorectal Polyps in Young Patients (20-49 Years): An 18-Year SEER Database Analysis

Background and Objectives: Conflicting guidelines exist for initiating average-risk colorectal cancer screening at the age of 45 years. The United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) changed its guidelines in 2021 to recommend initiating screening at 45 years due to an increasing incidence of young-onset colorectal cancer. However, the American College of Physicians (ACP) recently recommended not screening average-risk individuals between 45 and 49 years old. We aim to study the national trends in the incidence of sporadic malignant polyps (SMP) in patients from 20 to 49 years old. Materials and Methods: We analyzed the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2000-2017) on patients aged 20-49 years who underwent diagnostic colonoscopy with at least a single malignant sporadic colorectal polyp. Results: Of the 10,742 patients diagnosed with SMP, 42.9% were female. The mean age of incidence was 43.07 years (42.91-43.23, 95% CI). Approximately 50% of malignant polyps were diagnosed between 45 and 49 years of age, followed by 25-30% between 40 and 45. There was an upward trend in malignant polyps, with a decreased incidence of malignant villous adenomas and a rise in malignant adenomas and tubulovillous adenomas. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that almost half of the SMPs under 50 years occurred in individuals under age 45, younger than the current screening threshold recommended by the ACP. There has been an upward trend in malignant polyps in the last two decades. This reflects changes in tumor biology, and necessitates further research and support in the USPSTF guidelines to start screening at the age of 45 years.

Evaluating the Impact of Race and Ethnicity on Health-Related Quality of Life Disparities in Patients with Esophageal Cancer: A SEER-MHOS National Database Study

BACKGROUND

It is unclear whether health-related quality of life (HRQOL) disparities exist between racial/ethnic groups in older patients with esophageal cancer, pre- and post-diagnosis.

METHODS

Using the SEER-MHOS (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results and Medicare Health Outcomes Survey) national database, we included patients ages 65-years-old or greater with esophageal cancer diagnosed from 1996 to 2017. HRQOL data within 36 months before and after diagnosis were measured by the Physical Component Summary (PCS) and Mental Component Summary (MCS) scores from the SF-36 and VR-12 instruments. Total combined score (TCS) was reflected by both PCS and MCS.

RESULTS

We identified 1,312 patients, with evaluable data on 873 patients pre-diagnosis and 439 post-diagnosis. On pre-diagnosis cohort MVA, the MCS was better for White over Hispanic patients (54.1 vs. 48.6, P = 0.012). On post-diagnosis cohort MVA, PCS was better for Hispanic compared with White (39.8 vs. 34.5, P = 0.036) patients, MCS was better for Asian compared with White (48.9 vs. 40.9, P = 0.034) patients, and TCS better for Asian compared with White (92.6 vs. 76.7, P = 0.003) patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In older patients with esophageal cancer, White patients had better mental HRQOL as compared with Hispanic patients pre-diagnosis. However, post-diagnosis, White patients had worse mental and physical HRQOL compared with Asian and Hispanic patients, respectively, suggesting a greater negative impact on self-reported HRQOL in White patients with esophageal cancer.

IMPACT

To our knowledge, this study is the first to explore HRQOL differences in patients with esophageal cancer of various racial and ethnic groups and warrants further validation in future studies.

Functional Outcomes After Localized Prostate Cancer Treatment

Importance

Adverse outcomes associated with treatments for localized prostate cancer remain unclear.

Objective

To compare rates of adverse functional outcomes between specific treatments for localized prostate cancer.

Design, Setting, and Participants

An observational cohort study using data from 5 US Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program registries. Participants were treated for localized prostate cancer between 2011 and 2012. At baseline, 1877 had favorable-prognosis prostate cancer (defined as cT1-cT2bN0M0, prostate-specific antigen level <20 ng/mL, and grade group 1-2) and 568 had unfavorable-prognosis prostate cancer (defined as cT2cN0M0, prostate-specific antigen level of 20-50 ng/mL, or grade group 3-5). Follow-up data were collected by questionnaire through February 1, 2022.

Exposures

Radical prostatectomy (n = 1043), external beam radiotherapy (n = 359), brachytherapy (n = 96), or active surveillance (n = 379) for favorable-prognosis disease and radical prostatectomy (n = 362) or external beam radiotherapy with androgen deprivation therapy (n = 206) for unfavorable-prognosis disease.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Outcomes were patient-reported sexual, urinary, bowel, and hormone function measured using the 26-item Expanded Prostate Cancer Index Composite (range, 0-100; 100 = best). Associations of specific therapies with each outcome were estimated and compared at 10 years after treatment, adjusting for corresponding baseline scores, and patient and tumor characteristics. Minimum clinically important differences were 10 to 12 for sexual function, 6 to 9 for urinary incontinence, 5 to 7 for urinary irritation, and 4 to 6 for bowel and hormone function.

Results

A total of 2445 patients with localized prostate cancer (median age, 64 years; 14% Black, 8% Hispanic) were included and followed up for a median of 9.5 years. Among 1877 patients with favorable prognosis, radical prostatectomy was associated with worse urinary incontinence (adjusted mean difference, -12.1 [95% CI, -16.2 to -8.0]), but not worse sexual function (adjusted mean difference, -7.2 [95% CI, -12.3 to -2.0]), compared with active surveillance. Among 568 patients with unfavorable prognosis, radical prostatectomy was associated with worse urinary incontinence (adjusted mean difference, -26.6 [95% CI, -35.0 to -18.2]), but not worse sexual function (adjusted mean difference, -1.4 [95% CI, -11.1 to 8.3), compared with external beam radiotherapy with androgen deprivation therapy. Among patients with unfavorable prognosis, external beam radiotherapy with androgen deprivation therapy was associated with worse bowel (adjusted mean difference, -4.9 [95% CI, -9.2 to -0.7]) and hormone (adjusted mean difference, -4.9 [95% CI, -9.5 to -0.3]) function compared with radical prostatectomy.

Conclusions and Relevance

Among patients treated for localized prostate cancer, radical prostatectomy was associated with worse urinary incontinence but not worse sexual function at 10-year follow-up compared with radiotherapy or surveillance among people with more favorable prognosis and compared with radiotherapy for those with unfavorable prognosis. Among men with unfavorable-prognosis disease, external beam radiotherapy with androgen deprivation therapy was associated with worse bowel and hormone function at 10-year follow-up compared with radical prostatectomy.

Racial and ethnic disparities in surgery for kidney cancer: a SEER analysis, 2007-2014

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Compared with White patients, Black and American Indian/Alaskan Native (AI/AN) patients experience higher rates of kidney cancer incidence, and Black, AI/AN, and Hispanic patients face later stages of disease at diagnosis, poorer survival rates, and greater risk of mortality. Despite the importance that appropriate treatment has in ensuring positive outcomes, little is known about the association between race and ethnicity and receipt of treatment for kidney cancer. Accordingly, the aim of this study was to explore differences in receipt of treatment and patterns of refusal of recommended treatment by race and ethnicity.

DESIGN

96,745 patients ages 45-84 with kidney cancer were identified in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program between 2007 and 2014. Logistic regression models were used to examine the association of race and ethnicity with treatment and with patient refusal of recommended treatment. Outcomes of interest were (1) receiving any surgical procedure, and (2) refusing recommended surgery.

RESULTS

Relative to White patients, Black and AI/AN patients had lower odds of undergoing any surgical procedure (OR = 0.76; 95% CI: 0.72-0.81; p < 0.001, and OR = 0.92; 95% CI: 0.76-1.10; p = 0.36, respectively) after adjusting for gender, age, insurance status, stage at diagnosis, unemployment status, education status, and income as additive effects. Black and AI/AN patients also had higher odds of refusing recommended surgery (OR = 1.93; 95% CI: 1.56-2.39; p < 0.001, and OR = 1.99; 95% CI: 1.05-3.76; p = 0.035, respectively). Hispanic patients had slightly higher odds of undergoing any surgical procedure (OR = 1.10; 95% CI: 1.04-1.17; p = 0.001) and lower odds of refusal (OR = 0.67; 95% CI: 0.50-0.90; p = 0.007, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with White patients, Black patients were less likely to receive potentially life-saving surgery, and both Black and AI/AN patients were more likely to refuse recommended surgery.

Subsite-specific metastatic organotropism and risk in gastric cancer: A population-based cohort study of the US SEER database and a Chinese single-institutional registry

BACKGROUND

Studies exploring whether metastatic organotropism and risk in gastric cancer (GC) differ by primary anatomical site are scarce.

METHODS

This study included 15,260 and 1623 patients diagnosed with GC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry database and the Nanfang Hospital in China, respectively. Patients were stratified according to primary site of GC, and the incidence of metastasis to different organs was used to determine the metastatic organotropism for each GC subsite. Finally, the metastatic organotropism and risk were compared among the different subsite groups.

RESULTS

Liver metastasis was the most common metastasis site in cardia GC, whereas other-site metastases were more common in the body, antrum, overlapping lesions, and unspecified GCs. Liver and other-site metastases were also frequently observed in the fundus, pylorus, lesser curvature, and greater curvature GCs. Patients with GC with definite primary tumor sites in the SEER and validation Nanfang hospital cohorts were compared by grouping as proximal and distal GCs for further analysis. In the SEER cohort, the top three metastatic sites of proximal GC were liver (21.4%), distant lymph node (LN) (14.6%), and other-site (mainly peritoneum, 11.9%), whereas those of distal GC were other-site (mainly peritoneum, 19.5%), liver (11.8%), and distant LN (9.5%). The incidence of metastasis to the liver, distant LN, lung, and brain was significantly higher in patients with proximal GC than in those with distal GC in both the SEER and Nanfang cohorts (p < 0.05). However, metastasis to other-site/peritoneum was significantly lower in patients with proximal GC compared to those with distal GC in the Nanfang Hospital and SEER cohorts, respectively (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Liver and distant LN are the preferred metastatic sites for proximal GC, whereas peritoneal metastasis is more common in distal GC. Proximal GC has a higher risk of lymphatic and hematogenous metastases, and a lower risk of transcoelomic metastasis than distal GC. Our findings highlight the need to stratify GC by its primary subsite to aid in planning and decision-making related to metastatic management in clinical practice.

Risk and prognostic factors in patients with colon cancer with liver metastasis

OBJECTIVE

The most common site of metastasis in patients with colon cancer is the liver. This study aimed to identify patients with colon cancer at high risk of developing liver metastasis and to explore their prognosis.

METHODS

The clinical characteristics, treatment methods and survival outcomes of patients diagnosed with colon cancer from 2010 to 2015 were identified from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were divided into two groups according to the presence of liver metastasis, and multivariate logistic and Cox regression models were used to identify risk and prognostic factors.

RESULTS

A total of 60,018 patients with colon cancer were selected from the SEER database. The incidence of liver metastasis was 9.2%. African American ethnicity, poor differentiation, higher tumor stage, higher lymph node ratio, and lung metastases were common factors associated with both liver metastasis risk and prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Metastasectomy might improve survival among patients with colon cancer with resectable liver metastasis lesions and no other organ involvement.

Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Outcomes Among Subgroups of Asians and Pacific Islanders: A SEER Database Study

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is highly prevalent in Asians and Pacific Islanders (API) but this heterogenous group is often aggregated into a single category, despite vast differences in culture, socioeconomic status, education, and access to care among subgroups. There remains a significant knowledge gap in HCC outcomes among different subgroups of API. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was accessed, and site/ICD codes were used to identify HCC patients during 2010-2019 who were API ethnicity. Data collected: demographics, socioeconomic status, tumor characteristics, treatment, and survival. Subgroup analyses were performed among different Asian ethnicities in a secondary analysis. 8,249 patients were identified/subdivided into subgroups of Asian ethnicities and Other Pacific Islanders (NHOPI) groups. The median age was 65 years for Asians and 62 years for NHOPI (p < 0.01), and significant differences were found in income (p < 0.01). A higher proportion of NHOPI lived in rural areas compared to Asians (8.1 vs. 1.1%, p < 0.01). There were no statistically significant differences in tumor size, stage, pre-treatment AFP level, or surgical treatments between the two groups. However, Asians had higher overall median survival than NHOPI (20 months v 12 months, p < 0.01). Secondary analyses among different subgroups of Asian ethnicities revealed significant differences in tumor size and staging, surgical resection, transplant rates, and median survival. While API had similar tumor characteristics and treatment, Asians had much higher survival than NHOPI. Socioeconomic differences and access to care may contribute to these differences. This study also found significant survival disparities within API ethnicities.

Disparities in Socioeconomic Factors Mediate the Impact of Racial Segregation Among Patients With Hepatopancreaticobiliary Cancer

BACKGROUND

Structural racism within the U.S. health care system contributes to disparities in oncologic care. This study sought to examine the socioeconomic factors that underlie the impact of racial segregation on hepatopancreaticobiliary (HPB) cancer inequities.

METHODS

Both Black and White patients who presented with HPB cancer were identified from the linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database (2005-2015) and 2010 Census data. The Index of Dissimilarity (IoD), a validated measure of segregation, was examined relative to cancer stage at diagnosis, surgical resection, and overall mortality. Principal component analysis and structural equation modeling were used to determine the mediating effect of socioeconomic factors.

RESULTS

Among 39,063 patients, 86.4 % (n = 33,749) were White and 13.6 % (n = 5314) were Black. Black patients were more likely to reside in segregated areas than White patients (IoD, 0.62 vs. 0.52; p < 0.05). Black patients in highly segregated areas were less likely to present with early-stage disease (relative risk [RR], 0.89; 95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.82-0.95) or undergo surgery for localized disease (RR, 0.81; 95% CI 0.70-0.91), and had greater mortality hazards (hazard ratio 1.12, 95% CI 1.06-1.17) than White patients in low segregation areas (all p < 0.05). Mediation analysis identified poverty, lack of insurance, education level, crowded living conditions, commute time, and supportive income as contributing to 25 % of the disparities in early-stage presentation. Average income, house price, and income mobility explained 17 % of the disparities in surgical resection. Notably, average income, house price, and income mobility mediated 59 % of the effect that racial segregation had on long-term survival.

CONCLUSION

Racial segregation, mediated through underlying socioeconomic factors, accounted for marked disparities in access to surgical care and outcomes for patients with HPB cancer.

Association of Social Determinants and Tumor Biology With Racial Disparity in Survival From Early-Stage, Hormone-Dependent Breast Cancer

Importance

Black women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer experience the greatest racial disparity in survival of all breast cancer subtypes. The relative contributions of social determinants of health and tumor biology to this disparity are uncertain.

Objective

To determine the proportion of the Black-White disparity in breast cancer survival from estrogen receptor (ER)-positive, axillary node-negative breast cancer that is associated with adverse social determinants and high-risk tumor biology.

Design, Setting, and Participants

A retrospective mediation analysis of factors associated with the racial disparity in breast cancer death for cases diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 with follow-up through 2016 was carried out using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Oncotype registry. The study included women in the SEER-18 registry who were aged 18 years or older at diagnosis of a first primary invasive breast cancer tumor that was axillary node-negative and ER-positive, who were Black (Black), non-Hispanic White (White), and for whom the 21-gene breast recurrence score was available. Data analysis took place between March 4, 2021, and November 15, 2022.

Exposures

Census tract socioeconomic disadvantage, insurance status, tumor characteristics including the recurrence score, and treatment variables.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Death due to breast cancer.

Results

The analysis with 60 137 women (mean [IQR] age 58.1 [50-66] years) included 5648 (9.4%) Black women and 54 489 (90.6%) White women. With a median (IQR) follow-up time of 56 (32-86) months, the age-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for breast cancer death among Black compared with White women was 1.82 (95% CI, 1.51-2.20). Neighborhood disadvantage and insurance status together mediated 19% of the disparity (mediated HR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.31-2.00; P < .001) and tumor biological characteristics mediated 20% (mediated HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.28-1.90; P < .001). A fully adjusted model that included all covariates accounted for 44% of the racial disparity (mediated HR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.11-1.71; P < .001). Neighborhood disadvantage mediated 8% of the racial difference in the probability of a high-risk recurrence score (P = .02).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this study, racial differences in social determinants of health and indicators of aggressive tumor biology including a genomic biomarker were equally associated with the survival disparity in early-stage, ER-positive breast cancer among US women. Future research should examine more comprehensive measures of socioecological disadvantage, molecular mechanisms underlying aggressive tumor biology among Black women, and the role of ancestry-related genetic variants.

Prognostic evaluation models for primary thyroid lymphoma, based on the SEER database and an external validation cohort

PURPOSE

Primary thyroid lymphoma (PTL) is a rare malignancy, and the literature is limited to small case series and case reports. This study aimed to assess the epidemiologic characteristics, survival, and prognostic factors of patients with PTL.

METHODS

We analyzed 2215 PTL patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database medical records, between 1983 and 2015, as the training cohort. We enrolled 105 patients from the Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, for the external validation cohort. The nomograms for predicting the 1-, 5-, and 10-year overall survival (OS) and lymphoma-specific survival (LSS) were constructed.

RESULTS

PTL incidence steadily increased from 1977 to 1994, with an annual percentage change of 3.2% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2-5.2, P < 0.05). The 1-, 5-, and 10-year OS and LSS rates were 84.66%, 71.61%, and 55.95%; and 90.5%, 85.7%, and 82.2%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that shorter OS association with age ≥ 60 years (hazard ratio [HR], 3.94; 95% CI 3.31-4.69; P < 0.001), unmarried status (HR, 1.55; 95% CI 1.37-1.75; P < 0.001), Ann Arbor stage III-IV (HR, 1.55; 95% CI 1.37-1.75; P = 0.020), diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (HR, 2.60; 95% CI 1.15-5.87; P = 0.022), and T cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma (HR, 3.53; 95% CI 1.12-11.10; P = 0.031). In the multivariate competing-risk analyzes, age, stages III-IV, year of diagnosis, surgery, radiation, chemotherapy, and histology were strongly predictive of PTL-specific risk of death. To estimate the 1-, 5-, and 10-year LSS and OS rates, respectively, nomograms were built. In the validation cohort, the results also confirmed the utility.

CONCLUSIONS

This study presents the first prognostic model with an external validation that could help clinicians identify patients with high-risk PTL to improve their prognosis.

"The past is a different country, they do things differently there": using the SEER data-base to assess prognosis in neuroendocrine tumours

Neuroendocrine neoplasms (NENs) are still considered to be rare neoplasms, and their epidemiology has been classically studied in large population-based cancer registries. Besides the benefits and the limitations that a cancer registry may have for all the registered cancers, the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Programme, has a number of drawbacks for the study of NENs. The change in management of NENs, either from diagnostic or from therapeutic points of view, the role of the Ki-67 labelling index and introduction of sensitive functional imaging, along with the misclassification of the more benign types of NENs, are the main limitations of the prognostic ability of the SEER data-base, particularly when including older data.

Development and validation of an individualized nomogram for predicting the high-volume (> 5) central lymph node metastasis in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

PURPOSE

Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) frequently presents a favorable clinical outcome, while aggressive invasiveness can also be found in some of this population. Identifying the risk clinical factors of high-volume (> 5) central lymph node metastasis (CLNM) in PTMC patients could help oncologists make a better-individualized clinical decision.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the clinical characteristics of adult patients with PTC in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between Jan 2010 and Dec 2015 and in one medical center affiliated to Chongqing Medical University between Jan 2018 and Oct 2020. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to determine the risk factors for high volume of CLNM in PTMC patients.

RESULTS

The male gender (OR = 2.02, 95% CI 1.46-2.81), larger tumor size (> 5 mm, OR = 1.64, 95% CI 1.13-2.38), multifocality (OR = 1.87, 95% CI 1.40-2.51), and extrathyroidal invasion (OR = 3.67; 95% CI 2.64-5.10) were independent risk factors in promoting high-volume of CLNM in PTMC patients. By contrast, elderly age (≥ 55 years) at diagnosis (OR = 0.57, 95% CI 0.40-0.81) and PTMC-follicular variate (OR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.42-0.87) were determined as the protective factors. Based on these indicators, a nomogram was further constructed with a good concordance index (C-index) of 0.702, supported by an external validating cohort with a promising C-index of 0.811.

CONCLUSION

A nomogram was successfully established and validated with six clinical indicators. This model could help surgeons to make a better-individualized clinical decision on the management of PTMC patients, especially in terms of whether prophylactic central lymph node dissection and postoperative radiotherapy should be warranted.

Physician Specialties Involved in Thyroid Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment: Implications for Improving Health Care Disparities

CONTEXT

Little is known about provider specialties involved in thyroid cancer diagnosis and management.

OBJECTIVE

Characterize providers involved in diagnosing and treating thyroid cancer.

DESIGN/SETTING/PARTICIPANTS

We surveyed patients with differentiated thyroid cancer from the Georgia and Los Angeles County Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results registries (N = 2632, 63% response rate). Patients identified their primary care physicians (PCPs), who were also surveyed (N = 162, 56% response rate).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

(1) Patient-reported provider involvement (endocrinologist, surgeon, PCP) at diagnosis and treatment; (2) PCP-reported involvement (more vs less) and comfort (more vs less) with discussing diagnosis and treatment.

RESULTS

Among thyroid cancer patients, 40.6% reported being informed of their diagnosis by their surgeon, 37.9% by their endocrinologist, and 13.5% by their PCP. Patients reported discussing their treatment with their surgeon (71.7%), endocrinologist (69.6%), and PCP (33.3%). Physician specialty involvement in diagnosis and treatment varied by patient race/ethnicity and age. For example, Hispanic patients (vs non-Hispanic White) were more likely to report their PCP informed them of their diagnosis (odds ratio [OR]: 1.68; 95% CI, 1.24-2.27). Patients ≥65 years (vs <45 years) were more likely to discuss treatment with their PCP (OR: 1.59; 95% CI, 1.22-2.08). Although 74% of PCPs reported discussing their patients' diagnosis and 62% their treatment, only 66% and 48%, respectively, were comfortable doing so.

CONCLUSIONS

PCPs were involved in thyroid cancer diagnosis and treatment, and their involvement was greater among older patients and patients of minority race/ethnicity. This suggests an opportunity to leverage PCP involvement in thyroid cancer management to improve health and quality of care outcomes for vulnerable patients.

Survival rates with external beam radiation therapy in newly diagnosed elderly metastatic prostate cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The survival benefit of primary external beam radiation therapy (EBRT) has never been formally tested in elderly men who were newly diagnosed with metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa). We hypothesized that elderly patients may not benefit of EBRT to the extent as younger newly diagnosed mPCa patients, due to shorter life expectancy.

METHODS

We relied on Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (2004-2016) to identify elderly newly diagnosed mPCa patients, aged >75 years. Kaplan-Meier, univariable and multivariable Cox regression models, as well as Competing Risks Regression models tested the effect of EBRT versus no EBRT on overall mortality (OM) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM).

RESULTS

Of 6556 patients, 1105 received EBRT (16.9%). M1b stage was predominant in both EBRT (n = 823; 74.5%) and no EBRT (n = 3908; 71.7%, p = 0.06) groups, followed by M1c (n = 211; 19.1% vs. n = 1042; 19.1%, p = 1) and M1a (n = 29; 2.6% vs. n = 268; 4.9%, p < 0.01). Median overall survival (OS) was 23 months for EBRT and 23 months for no EBRT (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.97, p = 0.6). Similarly, median cancer-specific survival (CSS) was 29 months for EBRT versus 30 months for no EBRT (HR: 1.04, p = 0.4). After additional multivariable adjustment, EBRT was not associated with lower OM or lower CSM in the entire cohort, as well as after stratification for M1b and M1c substages.

CONCLUSIONS

In elderly men who were newly diagnosed with mPCa, EBRT does not affect OS or CSS. In consequence, our findings question the added value of local EBRT in elderly newly diagnosed mPCa patients.

Cancer statistics, 2022

Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence and outcomes. Incidence data (through 2018) were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data (through 2019) were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2022, 1,918,030 new cancer cases and 609,360 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States, including approximately 350 deaths per day from lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer death. Incidence during 2014 through 2018 continued a slow increase for female breast cancer (by 0.5% annually) and remained stable for prostate cancer, despite a 4% to 6% annual increase for advanced disease since 2011. Consequently, the proportion of prostate cancer diagnosed at a distant stage increased from 3.9% to 8.2% over the past decade. In contrast, lung cancer incidence continued to decline steeply for advanced disease while rates for localized-stage increased suddenly by 4.5% annually, contributing to gains both in the proportion of localized-stage diagnoses (from 17% in 2004 to 28% in 2018) and 3-year relative survival (from 21% to 31%). Mortality patterns reflect incidence trends, with declines accelerating for lung cancer, slowing for breast cancer, and stabilizing for prostate cancer. In summary, progress has stagnated for breast and prostate cancers but strengthened for lung cancer, coinciding with changes in medical practice related to cancer screening and/or treatment. More targeted cancer control interventions and investment in improved early detection and treatment would facilitate reductions in cancer mortality.

Cancer statistics, 2022

Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence and outcomes. Incidence data (through 2018) were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data (through 2019) were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2022, 1,918,030 new cancer cases and 609,360 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States, including approximately 350 deaths per day from lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer death. Incidence during 2014 through 2018 continued a slow increase for female breast cancer (by 0.5% annually) and remained stable for prostate cancer, despite a 4% to 6% annual increase for advanced disease since 2011. Consequently, the proportion of prostate cancer diagnosed at a distant stage increased from 3.9% to 8.2% over the past decade. In contrast, lung cancer incidence continued to decline steeply for advanced disease while rates for localized-stage increased suddenly by 4.5% annually, contributing to gains both in the proportion of localized-stage diagnoses (from 17% in 2004 to 28% in 2018) and 3-year relative survival (from 21% to 31%). Mortality patterns reflect incidence trends, with declines accelerating for lung cancer, slowing for breast cancer, and stabilizing for prostate cancer. In summary, progress has stagnated for breast and prostate cancers but strengthened for lung cancer, coinciding with changes in medical practice related to cancer screening and/or treatment. More targeted cancer control interventions and investment in improved early detection and treatment would facilitate reductions in cancer mortality.

Revisiting the AJCC staging system of adrenocortical carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the performance characteristics of AJCC 7th and 8th staging systems among patients with adrenal cortical carcinoma.

METHODS

Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 18-registry was accessed and patients with adrenocortical carcinoma who were diagnosed 2010-2015 with complete information about AJCC 7th staging system were included. AJCC 8th staging system information was then reconstructed for each patient using available TNM staging variables. Kaplan-Meier overall survival estimates, multivariable Cox regression analysis, and concordance index (C-statistic) were used to examine the performance characteristics of both staging systems.

RESULTS

A total of 574 patients with a diagnosis of adrenocortical carcinoma were included in the current analysis. Using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, overall survival was compared among different AJCC stages for both versions; and the P value was significant (< 0.001) for both comparisons. C-statistic was then calculated for both staging systems and the results were as follows: for AJCC 7th version: 0.726 (95% CI 0.683-0.769); and for AJCC 8th version: 0.745 (95% CI 0.704-0.786). Patients with M1 disease (stage IV according to AJCC 8th edition) were then divided according to the extent of distant metastases into single versus multiple sites of metastases. Using Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, patients with a single site of metastases have better overall survival (P = 0.006). A C-statistic for a hypothetical modification of AJCC 8th staging system subdividing stage IV patients into IVA and IVB based on the number of metastatic sites was: 0.753 (95% CI 0.713-0.794).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a minimal difference in the prognostic performance between both versions of the AJCC staging system. Subdivision of stage IV cancer into stage IVA and IVB (according to the number of organs with metastatic deposits) should be considered in subsequent versions of adrenocortical carcinoma staging.

Cancer-specific survival after radical prostatectomy versus external beam radiotherapy in high-risk and very high-risk African American prostate cancer patients

BACKGROUND

To test for differences in cancer-specific mortality (CSM) rates between radical prostatectomy (RP) vs external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) in National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) high-risk African American patients, as well as Johns Hopkins University (JHU) high-risk and very high-risk patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2010-2016), we identified 4165 NCCN high-risk patients, of whom 1944 (46.7%) and 2221 (53.3%) patients qualified for JHU high-risk or very high-risk definitions. Of all 4165 patients, 1390 (33.5%) were treated with RP versus 2775 (66.6%) with EBRT. Cumulative incidence plots and competing risks regression models addressed CSM before and after 1:1 propensity score matching between RP and EBRT NCCN high-risk patients. Subsequently, analyses were repeated separately in JHU high-risk and very high-risk subgroups. Finally, all analyses were repeated after landmark analyses were applied.

RESULTS

In the NCCN high-risk cohort, 5-year CSM rates for RP versus EBRT were 2.4 versus 5.2%, yielding a multivariable hazard ratio of 0.50 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.30-0.84, p = 0.009) favoring RP. In JHU very high-risk patients 5-year CSM rates for RP versus EBRT were 3.7 versus 8.4%, respectively, yielding a multivariable hazard ratio of 0.51 (95% CI: 0.28-0.95, p = 0.03) favoring RP. Conversely, in JHU high-risk patients, no significant CSM difference was recorded between RP vs EBRT (5-year CSM rates: 1.3 vs 1.3%; multivariable hazard ratio: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.16-1.90, p = 0.3). Observations were confirmed in propensity score-matched and landmark analyses adjusted cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

In JHU very high-risk African American patients, RP may hold a CSM advantage over EBRT, but not in JHU high-risk African American patients.

Period Analysis of Intraracial Differences in Incidence and Survival Rates in Epithelial Ovarian Cancer

BACKGROUND

To explain the difference in the incidence and relative survival in a population-based cohort of women with epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) postdiagnosis in the last forty years. EOC is the most common type of all ovarian cancers, but there is inadequate information about the variations related to long-term EOC survival.

METHODS

We acquired the incidence and relative survival rate data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registries to analyze the epidemiological variations from 1974 to 2013 in EOC-affected individuals. The survival disparities in EOC-specific individuals due to age, race, and socioeconomic status (SES) were performed by Kaplan-Meier analysis. The Results. The overall incidence of EOC progressively declined to 9.0 per 100,000 from 11.4 in the last forty years. The median survival rate improved to 48 months in the first decade from a previous of 27 months in the fourth decade. The 5-year relative survival rate (RSR) increased to 44.3% that was previously 32.3% at the same time. However, between whites and blacks, an increase from 11 to 18 months was observed in the median survival differences. Between the low and high poverty groups, it was increased from 7 months to 12 months, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence rate of RSR and EOC-specific individuals in the last forty years was improved. However, the survival rates among different races and SES differed over time.

Continuity of care in acute survivorship phase, and short and long-term outcomes in prostate cancer patients

Continuity of care is important for prostate cancer care due to multiple treatment options, and prolonged disease history. We examined the association between continuity of care and outcomes in Medicare beneficiaries with localized prostate cancer, and the moderating effect of race using Surveillance, Epidemiological, and End Results (SEER) - Medicare data between 2000 and 2016. Continuity of care was measured as visits dispersion (continuity of care index or COCI), and density (usual provider care index or UPCI) in acute survivorship phase. Outcomes were emergency room visits, hospitalizations, and cost during acute survivorship phase and mortality (all-cause and prostate cancer-specific) over follow-up phase. Higher continuity of care was associated with improved outcomes, and interaction between race and continuity of care was significant. Continuity of care during acute survivorship phase may lower the racial disparity in prostate cancer care. Future research can analyze the mechanism of the process.

Improvement in overall and cancer-specific survival in contemporary, metastatic prostate cancer chemotherapy exposed patients

INTRODUCTION

Over the last decade, multiple clinical trials demonstrated improved survival after chemotherapy for metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa). However, real-world data validating this effect within large-scale epidemiological data sets are scarce. We addressed this void.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Men with de novo mPCa were identified and systemic chemotherapy status was ascertained within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (2004-2016). Patients were divided between historical (2004-2013) versus contemporary (2014-2016). Chemotherapy rates were plotted over time. Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox regression models with additional multivariable adjustments addressed overall and cancer-specific mortality. All tests were repeated in propensity-matched analyses.

RESULTS

Overall, 19,913 patients had de novo mPCa between 2004 and 2016. Of those, 1838 patients received chemotherapy. Of 1838 chemotherapy-exposed patients, 903 were historical, whereas 905 were contemporary. Chemotherapy rates increased from 5% to 25% over time. Median overall survival was not reached in contemporary patients versus was 24 months in historical patients (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.55, p < 0.001). After propensity score matching and additional multivariable adjustment (age, prostate-specific antigen, GGG, cT-stage, cN-stage, cM-stage, and local treatment) a HR of 0.55 (p < 0.001) was recorded. Analyses were repeated for cancer-specific mortality after adjustment for other cause mortality in competing risks regression models and recorded virtually the same findings before and after propensity score matching (HR: 0.55, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In mPCa patients, chemotherapy rates increased over time. A concomitant increase in survival was also recorded.

Hemochromatosis, Iron Overload-Related Diseases, and Pancreatic Cancer Risk in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare

BACKGROUND

Experimental studies suggest that iron overload might increase pancreatic cancer risk. We evaluated whether prediagnostic hemochromatosis and iron-overload diseases, including sideroblastic and congenital dyserythropoietic anemias, and non-alcoholic-related chronic liver disease (NACLD) were associated with pancreatic cancer risk in older adults.

METHODS

We conducted a population-based, case-control study within the U.S. Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (SEER)-Medicare linked data. Incident primary pancreatic cancer cases were adults > 66 years. Controls were alive at the time cases were diagnosed and matched to cases (4:1 ratio) by age, sex, and calendar year. Hemochromatosis, iron-overload anemias, and NACLD were reported 12 or more months before pancreatic cancer diagnosis or control selection using Medicare claims data. Adjusted unconditional logistic regression models were used to calculate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI) between hemochromatosis, sideroblastic and congenital dyserythropoietic anemias, NACLD, and pancreatic cancer.

RESULTS

Between 1992 and 2015, 80,074 pancreatic cancer cases and 320,296 controls were identified. Overall, we did not observe statistically significant associations between hemochromatosis, sideroblastic anemia, or congenital dyserythropoietic anemia and pancreatic cancer; however, sideroblastic anemia was associated with later primary pancreatic cancer (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.03-1.64). NACLD was associated with first (OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.01-1.19), later (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.02-1.35), and all (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.20) pancreatic cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall hemochromatosis and iron-overload anemias were not associated with pancreatic cancer, whereas NACLD was associated with increased risk in this large study of older adults.

IMPACT

These results partly support the hypothesis that iron-overload diseases increase pancreatic cancer risk.

Survival of Patients With Gastroenteropancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors and Diabetes Mellitus

OBJECTIVES

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with an increased risk of gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (GEP-NETs), but the association between DM and GEP-NET survival is unknown. We evaluated disease characteristics and survival in individuals with DM and GEP-NETs.

METHODS

Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry linked to Medicare (SEER-Medicare) claims database, we examined sociodemographics, GEP-NET characteristics, and treatment in patients with and without DM before GEP-NET diagnosis. We compared survival using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

We identified 1858 individuals with GEP-NETs: 478 (25.7%) with DM and 1380 (74.3%) without. Significant differences in race (P = 0.002) were found between the DM and non-DM groups. Compared with individuals without DM, those with DM had more gastric (9.7% vs 14.9%), duodenal (6.5% vs 10.0%), and pancreatic (17.0% vs 21.8%), and less jejunal/ileal (18.1% vs 12.8%) NETs (P < 0.0001). Patients with DM had earlier stages (stage I, 37.0%; stage IV, 30.8%) than those without (stage I, 30.6%; stage IV, 36.4%; P = 0.0012). We found no difference in survival (multivariate hazard ratio, 0.97; 95% confidence interval, 0.76-1.23) between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with and without DM before GEP-NET diagnosis, we found differences in tumor location and stage, but not survival.

Brain and other central nervous system tumor statistics, 2021

Brain and other central nervous system (CNS) tumors are among the most fatal cancers and account for substantial morbidity and mortality in the United States. Population-based data from the Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States (a combined data set of the National Program of Cancer Registries [NPCR] and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results [SEER] registries), NPCR, National Vital Statistics System and SEER program were analyzed to assess the contemporary burden of malignant and nonmalignant brain and other CNS tumors (hereafter brain) by histology, anatomic site, age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Malignant brain tumor incidence rates declined by 0.8% annually from 2008 to 2017 for all ages combined but increased 0.5% to 0.7% per year among children and adolescents. Malignant brain tumor incidence is highest in males and non-Hispanic White individuals, whereas the rates for nonmalignant tumors are highest in females and non-Hispanic Black individuals. Five-year relative survival for all malignant brain tumors combined increased between 1975 to 1977 and 2009 to 2015 from 23% to 36%, with larger gains among younger age groups. Less improvement among older age groups largely reflects a higher burden of glioblastoma, for which there have been few major advances in prevention, early detection, and treatment the past 4 decades. Specifically, 5-year glioblastoma survival only increased from 4% to 7% during the same time period. In addition, important survival disparities by race/ethnicity remain for childhood tumors, with the largest Black-White disparities for diffuse astrocytomas (75% vs 86% for patients diagnosed during 2009-2015) and embryonal tumors (59% vs 67%). Increased resources for the collection and reporting of timely consistent data are critical for advancing research to elucidate the causes of sex, age, and racial/ethnic differences in brain tumor occurrence, especially for rarer subtypes and among understudied populations.

Risk of Immune-related Adverse Events in Melanoma Patients With Preexisting Autoimmune Disease Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors: A Population-based Study Using SEER-Medicare Data

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to examine the risk of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) in patients with a preexisting autoimmune disease (pAID) presenting with a cutaneous melanoma receiving an immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy.

METHODS

Data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registries and linked Medicare claims between January 2010 and December 2015 was used to identify patients diagnosed with cutaneous melanoma who had pAID or received ICI or both. Patients were then stratified into 3 groups: ICI+pAID, non-ICI+pAID, and ICI+non-pAID. Inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted to assess the risk of cardiac, pulmonary, endocrine, and neurological irAE.

RESULTS

In total, 3704 individuals were included in the analysis. The majority of patients consisted of non-ICI+pAID patients (N=2706/73.1%), while 106 (2.9%) patients and 892 (24.1%) were classified as ICI+pAID and ICI+non-pAID, respectively. The risk of irAE was higher in the ICI+pAID group compared with the non-ICI+pAID and ICI+non-pAID, respectively (non-ICI: cardiac: hazard ratio [HR]=3.59, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.83-4.55; pulmonary: HR=3.94, 95% CI: 3.23-4.81; endocrine: HR=1.72, 95% CI: 1.53-1.93; neurological: HR=3.88, 95% CI: 2.30-6.57/non-pAID: cardiac: HR=3.83, 95% CI: 3.39-4.32; pulmonary: HR=2.08, 95% CI: 1.87-2.32; endocrine: HR=1.23, 95% CI: 1.14-1.32; neurological: HR=3.77, 95% CI: 2.75-5.18).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a pAID face a significantly higher risk of irAEs. Further research examining the clinical impact of these events on the patients' oncological outcome and quality of life is urgently needed given our findings of significantly worse rates of adverse events.

Prognostic factors of patients after liver cancer surgery: Based on Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database

This study aimed to investigate the prognostic factors of patients after liver cancer surgery and evaluate the predictive power of nomogram. Liver cancer patients with the history of surgery in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database between 2000 and 2016 were preliminary retrieved. Patients were divided into the survival group (n = 2120, survival ≥5 years) and the death group (n = 2615, survival < 5 years). Single-factor and multi-factor Cox regression were used for analyzing the risk factors of death in patients with liver cancer after surgery. Compared with single patients, married status was the protective factor for death in patients undergoing liver cancer surgery (HR = 0.757, 95%CI: 0.685-0.837, P < .001); the risk of death in Afro-Americans (HR = 1.300, 95%CI: 1.166-1.449, P < .001) was higher than that in Caucasians, while the occurrence of death in Asians (HR = 0.821, 95%CI: 0.1754-0.895, P < .0012) was lower; female patients had a lower incidence of death (HR = 0.875, 95%CI: 0.809-0.947, P < .001); grade II (HR = 1.167, 95%CI: 1.080-1.262, P < .001), III (HR = 1.580, 95%CI: 1.433-1.744, P < .001), and IV (HR = 1.419, 95%CI: 1.145-1.758, P = 0.001) were the risk factors for death in patients with liver cancer. The prognostic factors of liver cancer patients after surgery include the marital status, race, gender, age, grade of cancer and tumor size. The nomogram with good predictive ability can provide the prediction of 5-year survival for clinical development.

Impact of Oncotype DX testing on ER+ breast cancer treatment and survival in the first decade of use

BACKGROUND

The Oncotype DX breast recurrence score has been introduced more than a decade ago to aid physicians in determining the need for systemic adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with early-stage, estrogen receptor (ER)+, lymph node-negative breast cancer.

METHODS

In this study, we utilized data from The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program to investigate temporal trends in Oncotype DX usage among US breast cancer patients in the first decade after the introduction of the Oncotype DX assay.

RESULTS

We found that the use of Oncotype DX has steadily increased in the first decade of use and that this increase is associated with a decreased usage of chemotherapy. Patients who utilized the Oncotype DX test tended to have improved survival compared to patients who did not use the assay even after adjusting for clinical variables associated with prognosis. In addition, chemotherapy usage in patients with high-risk scores is associated with significantly longer overall and breast cancer-specific survival compared to high-risk patients who did not receive chemotherapy. On the contrary, patients with low-risk scores who were treated with chemotherapy tended to have shorter overall survival compared to low-risk patients who forwent chemotherapy.

CONCLUSION

We have provided a comprehensive temporal overview of the use of Oncotype DX in breast cancer patients in the first decade after Oncotype DX was introduced. Our results suggest that the use of Oncotype DX is increasing in ER+ breast cancer and that the Oncotype DX test results provide valuable information for patient treatment and prognosis.

Maximal lymph nodal diameter on N stage of nasopharyngeal carcinoma

To assess the maximal lymph nodal diameter on the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).This study extracted NPC patients between 2004 and 2016 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Included patients were divided into 3 groups: ≤3 cm, >3-6 cm, and >6 cm based on the maximal lymph nodal diameter. Cumulative survival curves of 5-year overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method between the 3 groups.The 5-year OS (64.0% vs 59.3%, P = .240) and CSS (71.8% vs 67.0%, P = .242) of ≤3 cm and >3-6 cm groups were not different. In contrast, the 5-year OS and CSS were different between >6 cm and ≤3 cm groups, and between >6 cm and >3-6 cm groups. The stratified hazard ratio of OS and CSS was 1.75 (95% confidence interval: 1.25-2.45; P = .001) and 1.77 (95% confidence interval: 1.20-2.60; P = .004) for the >6 cm group in the multivariate regression analysis.It is reasonable that the maximal lymph nodal diameter with >6 cm is classified as stage N3 of the 8th edition American Joint Committee on Cancer staging system for NPC.

Prognosis of solitary bone plasmacytoma of the extremities: A SEER-based study

Due to the rarity of solitary bone plasmacytoma (SBP), few studies reported the prognosis and survival predictors of SBP, especially for patients with extremity SBP.A total of 552 patients with extremity SBP were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology and Ends Results (SEER) database between 1973 and 2016. In order to obtain independent predictors of survival, we performed both univariate and multivariate analysis via Cox proportional hazards model. Additionally, we used the Kaplan-Meier method to construct survival curves.The mean and median age at diagnosis of all patients were 64 and 65 years, respectively. The ratio of male versus women was 1.3:1. Overall survival for this special population was 51.2% and 34.9% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) for this special population was 63.5% and 47.5% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. Age at diagnosis and radiotherapy treatment were found to be significant independent predictors of both overall survival and CSS. Additionally, multivariate analysis showed that year of diagnosis and marital status were significantly correlated with CSS.This is the first study to identify prognostic factors of extremity SBP by using the SEER database. Our findings highlight that radiotherapy is the mainstream treatment for extremity SBP. Additionally, age, year of diagnosis, and marital status were significant independent predictors of survival. Knowledge of these survival predictors may help clinicians provide appropriate management for extremity SBP patients.

Comparison of Survival among Colon Cancer Patients in the U.S. Military Health System and Patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program

BACKGROUND

Access to health care is associated with cancer survival. The U.S. military health system (MHS) provides universal health care to beneficiaries, reducing barriers to medical care access. However, it is unknown whether the universal care has translated into improved survival among patients with colon cancer. We compared survival of patients with colon cancer in the MHS to that in the U.S. general population and assessed whether stage at diagnosis differed between the two populations and thus could contribute to survival difference.

METHODS

The data were from Department of Defense's (DoD) Automated Central Tumor Registry (ACTUR) and the NCI's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program, respectively. The ACTUR (N = 11,907) and SEER patients (N = 23,814) were matched to demographics and diagnosis year with a matching ratio of 1:2. Multivariable Cox regression model was used to estimate all-cause mortality for ACTUR compared with SEER.

RESULTS

ACTUR patients exhibited better survival than their SEER counterparts (HR, 0.82; 95% confidence interval, 0.79-0.87) overall and in most subgroups by age, in both men and women, and in whites and blacks. The better survival remained when the comparison was stratified by tumor stage.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with colon cancer in a universal health care system had better survival than patients in the general population.

IMPACT

Universal care access is important to improve survival of patients with colon cancer.

Late-Stage Melanoma in New York State: Associations with Socioeconomic Factors and Healthcare Access at the County Level

A diagnosis of late-stage melanoma is associated with significant mortality. From a public health perspective, the knowledge of geographic disparities in late-stage diagnoses can inform efforts to facilitate the diagnosis of the earlier stage, highly curable melanomas. We conducted a county-level analysis of melanoma in New York state to identify communities that may benefit from pilot health interventions to reduce the burden of late-stage melanoma. From 1995 to 2016, late-stage melanoma incidence increased from 1.5 to 2.8 cases per 100,000 in New York state. We found statistically significant associations between decreased county-level health system access (including physician density and resident educational status) and increased county incidence and proportion of late-stage disease among diagnosed cases (P < 0.001 for both). Increased county-level socioeconomic status, including measures of resident wealth and medical insurance status, was positively associated with greater late-stage incidence (P < 0.001). However, decreased county-level socioeconomic status was positively associated with a greater proportion of late-stage disease among cases at diagnosis (P = 0.009). Counties with reduced access to physician services and lower socioeconomic status may be suitable for pilot interventions promoting the recognition and diagnosis of early-stage melanomas to reduce late-stage diagnoses and associated mortality.

Cancer Mortality Disparities among Asian American and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Populations in California

BACKGROUND

Asian American and Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islanders (AANHPI) are the fastest growing minority in the United States. Cancer is the leading cause of death for AANHPIs, despite relatively lower cancer morbidity and mortality. Their recent demographic growth facilitates a detailed identification of AANHPI populations with higher cancer risk.

METHODS

Age-adjusted, sex-stratified, site-specific cancer mortality rates from California for 2012 to 2017 were computed for AANHPI groups: Chinese, Filipino, South Asian, Vietnamese, Korean, Japanese, Southeast Asian (i.e., Cambodian, Hmong, Laotian, Thai), and Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander (NHOPI). Regression-derived mortality rate ratios (MRR) were used to compare each AANHPI group to non-Hispanic whites (NHW).

RESULTS

AANHPI men and women (total 40,740 deaths) had lower all-sites-combined cancer mortality rates (128.3 and 92.4 per 100,000, respectively) than NHWs (185.3 and 140.6) but higher mortality for nasopharynx, stomach, and liver cancers. Among AANHPIs, both NHOPIs and Southeast Asians had the highest overall rates including for colorectal, lung (men only), and cervical cancers; South Asians had the lowest. NHOPI women had 41% higher overall mortality than NHWs (MRR = 1.41; 95% CI, 1.25-1.58), including for breast (MRR = 1.33; 95% CI, 1.08-1.65) and markedly higher for endometrial cancer (MRR = 3.34; 95% CI, 2.53-4.42).

CONCLUSIONS

AANHPI populations present with considerable heterogeneous cancer mortality patterns. Heightened mortality for infection, obesity, and tobacco-related cancers in Southeast Asians and NHOPI populations highlight the need for differentiated priorities and public health interventions among specific AANHPI populations.

IMPACT

Not all AANHPIs have favorable cancer profiles. It is imperative to expand the focus on the currently understudied populations that bear a disproportionate cancer burden.

Metastasis pattern and prognosis in men with esophageal cancer patients: A SEER-based study

Esophageal cancer (EC) is relatively common; at the time of diagnosis, 50% of cases present with distant metastases, and most patients are men. This study aimed to examine and compare the clinicopathological characteristics and metastatic patterns of male EC (MEC) and female EC (FEC). In addition, risk factors associated with MEC prognosis were evaluated.The present study population was extracted from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database. MEC characteristics and factors associated with prognosis were evaluated using descriptive analysis, the Kaplan-Meier method, and the Cox regression model.A total of 12,558 MEC cases were included; among them, 3454 cases had distant organ metastases. Overall, 27.5% of the entire cohort were patients with distant organ metastases. Compared with patients with non-metastatic MEC, patients with metastatic MEC were more likely to be aged ≤60 years, of Black and White race, have a primary lesion in the overlapping esophagus segments, and have a diagnosis of adenocarcinoma of poorly differentiated and undifferentiated grade that was treated with radiotherapy and chemotherapy rather than surgery; moreover, they were also more likely to be married and insured. In addition, patients with MEC were more likely to be aged ≤60 years, White race, and diagnosed with a primary lesion in the lower third of the esophagus and overlapping esophagus segments, and treated without chemotherapy, compared with those with FEC. Patients in the former group were also more likely than those in the latter group to be unmarried and have bone metastasis only and lung metastasis only. Liver, lung, and bone metastases separately, and simultaneous liver and lung metastases were associated with poor survival in MEC patients.Metastatic MEC is associated with clinicopathological characteristics and metastatic patterns different from those associated with non-metastatic MEC and metastatic FEC. Metastatic MEC and FEC patients may have similar prognoses. Distant organ metastasis may be associated with poor prognosis in patients with MEC and FEC.

Prognostic factors of chondroblastic osteosarcoma and nomogram development for prediction: A population-based, STROBE-compliant study

The present study aimed to develop nomograms to predict survival in patients with chondroblastic osteosarcoma (COS).An analysis was conducted of 320 cases of COS collected from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database between 2004 and 2015. Independent prognostic factors were screened using univariate and multivariate Cox analyses. Subsequently, nomograms were established to predict the patients' cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) rates. The prediction accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomograms were examined using calibration curves and the concordance index (C-index).As revealed in the univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, tumor size, the primary site, the presence of metastasis, a history of having undergone surgery, and a history of having received radiotherapy were found to be independent prognostic factors associated with survival in patients with COS (all P < .05). Furthermore, age >39 years, the presence of distant metastasis, no history of having undergone any surgery, and tumor size >103 mm were found to be associated with poor prognosis in patients, while the primary site of the mandible and no history of having undergone radiotherapy showed associations with a more favorable prognosis in patients. Next, nomograms were constructed to predict the OS and CSS in patients with COS.We constructed nomograms that can provide accurate survival predictions in patients with chondroblastic osteosarcoma. These nomograms can help surgeons customize the treatment strategies for patients with chondroblastic osteosarcoma.

Analysis of radiotherapy impact on survival in resected stage I/II pancreatic cancer patients: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

The application of radiotherapy (RT) in pancreatic cancer remains controversial.

AIM

The aim of the study was to evaluate the efficacy of radiotherapy (neoadjuvant and adjuvant radiotherapy) for resectable I/II pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

Fourteen thousand nine hundred seventy-seven patients with pancreatic cancer were identified from SEER database from 2004 to 2015. Multivariate analyses were performed to determine factors including RT on overall survival. Overall survival and overall mortality among the different groups were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Gray's test.

RESULTS

Patients were divided into groups according to whether they received radiotherapy or not. The median survival time of all 14,977 patients without RT was 20 months, neoadjuvant RT was 24 months and adjuvant RT was 23 months (p < 0.0001). Median survival time of 2089 stage I patients without RT was 56 months, significantly longer than those with RT regardless of neoadjuvant or adjuvant RT (no RT: 56 months vs adjuvant RT: 37 months vs neoadjuvant RT: 27 months, P = 0.0039). Median survival time of 12,888 stage II patients with neoadjuvant RT was 24 months, adjuvant RT 22 months, significantly prolonged than those without radiotherapy (neoadjuvant RT: 24 months vs adjuvant RT: 22 months vs no RT: 17 months, P<0.0001). Neoadjuvant RT (HR = 1.434, P = 0.023, 95% CI: 1.051-1.957) was independent risk factors for prognosis of stage I patients, and adjuvant RT (HR = 0.904, P < 0.001, 95% CI: 0.861-0.950) predicted better outcomes for prognosis of stage II patients by multivariate analysis. The risk of cancer-related death caused by neoadjuvant RT in stage I and no-RT in stage II patients were significantly higher.

CONCLUSIONS

The study identified a significant survival advantage for the use of adjuvant RT over surgery alone or neoadjuvant RT in treating stage II pancreatic cancer. RT was not associated with survival benifit in stage I patients.

Breast surgery for young women with early-stage breast cancer: Mastectomy or breast-conserving therapy?

Whether breast-conserving therapy (BCT) should be chosen as a local treatment for young women with early-stage breast cancer is controversial. This study compared the survival benefits of BCT or mastectomy in young women under 40 with early-stage breast cancer and further explored age-stratified outcomes. This study investigated whether there is a survival benefit when young women undergo BCT compared with mastectomy.The characteristics and prognosis of white women under 40 with stage I-II breast cancer from 1988 to 2016 were analyzed using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. These women were either treated with BCT or mastectomy. The log-rank test of the Kaplan-Meier survival curve and Cox proportional risk regression model were used to analyze the data and survival. The analysis was stratified by age (18-35 and 36-40 years).A total of 23,810 breast cancer patients were included, of whom 44.9% received BCT and 55.1% underwent mastectomy, with a median follow-up of 116 months. Patients undergoing mastectomy had a higher tumor burden and younger age. By the end of the 20th century, the proportion of BCT had grown from nearly 35% to approximately 60%, and then gradually fell to 35% into the 21st century. Compared with the mastectomy group, the BCT group had improved breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) (hazard ratio [HR] 0.917; 95% CI, 0.846-0.995, P = .037) and overall survival (OS) (HR 0.925; 95% CI, 0.859-0.997, P = .041). In stratified analysis according to the different ages, the survival benefit of BCT was more pronounced in the slightly older (36-40 years) group while there was no significant survival difference in the younger group (18-35 years).In young women with early-stage breast cancer, BCT showed survival benefits that were at least no worse than mastectomy, and these benefits were even better in the 36 to 40 years age group. Young age may not be a contraindication for BCT.

Treatment strategies and predicting lymph node metastasis in elderly patients with papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

This study aims to explore the prognostic variables for elderly papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) patients as well as create a nomogram that could predict the occurrence of cervical lymph node metastasis (CLNM) on the basis of a large population database with high quality.A total of 5165 PTMC patients from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database database were enrolled in the study. In the meantime, we retrospectively collected 205 PTMC patients who underwent thyroidectomy in our medical center as an external control to test the accuracy of the model. The independent predictors of survival were identified by multivariate Cox regression analysis. Risk factors were selected as nomogram parameters to develop a model to predict CLNM. The C-index and calibration plots were used to evaluate CLNM model discrimination. The predictive nomogram was further validated in the external validation set.76.8% of the enrolled patients underwent thyroidectomy. Overall survival and cancer-specific survival were significantly better in patients who underwent surgery than in those who did not (P < .001). Sex, tumor size, and extent of tumor were included in a multivariable logistic regression model to predict lymph node metastasis. The nomogram had good discrimination with a C-index of 0.71. The calibration curves showed perfect agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations.Elderly PTMC patients who received a surgical approach without radiotherapy showed survival advantage than those with other treatment strategies. Moreover, a nomogram model was established to predict the risk of CLNM, which will help clinicians in making treatment decisions.

Early Palliative Care Is Associated With Reduced Emergency Department Utilization in Pancreatic Cancer

OBJECTIVES

Most patients with pancreatic cancer have high symptom burden and poor outcomes. Palliative care (PC) can improve the quality of care through expert symptom management, although the optimal timing of PC referral is still poorly understood. We aimed to assess the association of early PC on health care utilization and charges of care for pancreatic cancer patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We selected patients with pancreatic cancer diagnosed between 2000 and 2009 who received at least 1 PC encounter using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare. Patients who had unknown follow-up were excluded. We defined "early PC" if the patients received PC within 30 days of diagnosis.

RESULTS

A total of 3166 patients had a PC encounter; 28% had an early PC. Patients receiving early PC were more likely to be female and have older age compared with patients receiving late PC (P<0.001). Patients receiving early PC had fewer emergency department (ED) visits (2.6 vs. 3.0 visits, P=0.004) and lower total charges of ED care ($3158 vs. $3981, P<0.001) compared with patients receiving late PC. Patients receiving early PC also had lower intensive care unit admissions (0.82 vs. 0.98 visits, P=0.006) and total charges of intensive care unit care ($14,466 vs. $18,687, P=0.01). On multivariable analysis, patients receiving early PC were significantly associated with fewer ED visits (P=0.007) and lower charges of ED care (P=0.018) for all patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Early PC referrals were associated with lower ED visits and ED-related charges. Our findings support oncology society guideline recommendations for early PC in patients with advanced malignancies such as pancreatic cancer.

Negative Lymph Node Count is an Independent Impact Factor for Predicting the Specific Survival of Primary Duodenal Neoplasms under Surgical Procedures

BACKGROUND

The work aimed to assess the influence of negative lymph node numbers on specific survival of primary duodenal neoplasms under surgical procedures.

METHODS

This study focused on the primary duodenal neoplasm patients that have been registered in the "surveillance, epidemiology, and end results" (SEER). First, the important factors were screened by the Kaplan-Meier (Log-rank) in R and the Cox's proportional hazards regression model. Subsequently, a nomogram was established based on key proportional hazards including the negative lymph node count. Finally, the analysis of the specific survival by Kaplan-Meier (Log-rank) and X-Tile was performed to identify the cutoff values of negative lymph node numbers.

RESULTS

There were 463 selected patients. Five impact factors were screened including the negative lymph node count (between 10 and 32), age (< 73), differentiation of cancers (well or moderate), primary tumors' invasion to tissues' superficial parts, no distant metastasis. The C-index of the nomogram in this paper was 0.74.

CONCLUSIONS

The negative lymph node count and the other four factors were used for predicting the specific survival of primary duodenal neoplasms under surgical treatment, and the highest 2-year cancer's specific survival occurred when the negative lymph node numbers were 10 - 32. Besides, the nomogram in this paper proved to be more useful in predicting the survival effects than the traditional American Joint Committee on Cancer classifica-tion methods.

Estimated Projection of US Cancer Incidence and Death to 2040

IMPORTANCE

Coping with the current and future burden of cancer requires an in-depth understanding of trends in cancer incidences and deaths. Estimated projections of cancer incidences and deaths will be important to guide future research funding allocations, health care planning, and health policy efforts.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate cancer incidences and deaths in the United States to the year 2040.

DESIGN AND SETTING

This cross-sectional study's estimated projection analysis used population growth projections and current population-based cancer incidence and death rates to calculate the changes in incidences and deaths to the year 2040. Cancer-specific incidences and deaths in the US were estimated for the most common cancer types. Demographic cancer-specific delay-adjusted incidence rates from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program were combined with US Census Bureau population growth projections (2016) and average annual percentage changes in incidence and death rates. Statistical analyses were performed from July 2020 to February 2021.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Total cancer incidences and deaths to the year 2040.

RESULTS

This study estimated that the most common cancers in 2040 will be breast (364 000 cases) with melanoma (219 000 cases) becoming the second most common cancer; lung, third (208 000 cases); colorectal remaining fourth (147 000 cases); and prostate cancer dropping to the fourteenth most common cancer (66 000 cases). Lung cancer (63 000 deaths) was estimated to continue as the leading cause of cancer-related death in 2040, with pancreatic cancer (46 000 deaths) and liver and intrahepatic bile duct cancer (41 000 deaths) surpassing colorectal cancer (34 000 deaths) to become the second and third most common causes of cancer-related death, respectively. Breast cancer (30 000 deaths) was estimated to decrease to the fifth most common cause of cancer death.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

These findings suggest that there will be marked changes in the landscape of cancer incidence and deaths by 2040.

Gastrectomy for stage IV gastric cancer: a comparison of different treatment strategies from the SEER database

In the West, more than one third of newly diagnosed subjects show metastatic disease in gastric cancer (mGC) with few care options available. Gastrectomy has recently become a subject of debate, with some evidence showing advantages in survival beyond the sole purpose of treatment tumor-related complications. We investigated the survival benefit of different strategies in mGC patients, focusing on the role and timing of gastrectomy. Data were extracted from the SEER database. Groups were determined according to whether patients received gastrectomy, chemotherapy, supportive care. Patients receiving a multimodality treatment were further divided according to timing of surgery, whether performed before (primary gastrectomy, PG) or after chemotherapy (secondary gastrectomy, SG). 16,596 patients were included. Median OS was significantly higher (p < 0.001) in the SG (15 months) than in the PG (13 months), gastrectomy alone (6 months), and chemotherapy (7 months) groups. In the multivariate analysis, SG showed better OS (HR = 0.22, 95%CI = 0.18-0.26, p < 0.001) than PG (HR = 0.25, 95%CI = 0.23-0.28, p < 0.001), gastrectomy (HR = 0.40, 95%CI = 0.36-0.44, p < 0.001), and chemotherapy (HR = 0.42, 95%CI = 0.4-0.44, p < 0.001). The survival benefits persisted even after the PSM analysis. This study shows survival advantages of gastrectomy as multimodality strategy after chemotherapy. In selected patients, SG can be proposed to improve the management of stage IV disease.

Assessment of Prognostic Factors of Racial Disparities in Testicular Germ Cell Tumor Survival in the United States (1992-2015)

OBJECTIVE

Testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT) are the most common cancer among men aged 15 to 39 years. Previous studies have considered factors related to TGCT survival rate and race/ethnicity, but histological type of the diagnosed cancer has not yet been thoroughly assessed.

METHODS

The data came from 42,854 eligible patients from 1992 to 2015 in the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results 18. Frequencies and column percent by seminoma and nonseminoma subtypes were determined for each covariates. We used Cox proportional hazard regression to assess the impact of multiple factors on post-diagnostic mortality of TGCT.

RESULTS

Black males were diagnosed at a later stage, more commonly with local or distant metastases. The incidence of TGCT in black non-seminoma tumors increased most significantly. The difference in survival rates between different ethnic and histological subtypes, overall survival (OS) in patients with non-seminoma was significantly worse than in patients with seminoma. The most important quantitative predictor of death was the stage at the time of diagnosis, and older diagnostic age is also important factor affecting mortality.

CONCLUSION

Histological type of testicular germ cell tumor is an important factor in determining the prognosis of testicular cancer in males of different ethnic groups.

Prognostic nomogram for predicting long-term cancer-specific survival in patients with lung carcinoid tumors

BACKGROUND

Lung carcinoid is a rare malignant tumor with poor survival. The current study established a nomogram model for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with lung carcinoid tumors.

METHODS

A total of 1956 patients diagnosed with primary lung carcinoid tumors were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The specific predictors of CSS for lung carcinoid tumors were identified and integrated to build a nomogram. Validation of the nomogram was conducted using parameters concordance index (C-index), calibration plots, decision curve analyses (DCAs), and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

RESULTS

Age at diagnosis, grade, histological type, N stage, M stage, surgery of the primary site, radiation of the primary site, and tumor size were independent prognostic factors of CSS. High discriminative accuracy of the nomogram model was shown in the training cohort (C-index = 0.873), which was also testified in the internal validation cohort (C-index = 0.861). In both cohorts, the calibration plots showed good concordance between the predicted and observed CSS at 3, 5, and 10 years. The DCA showed great potential for clinical application. The ROC curve showed superior survival predictive ability of the nomogram model (area under the curve = 0.868).

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a practical nomogram that provided independent predictions of CSS for patients with lung carcinoid tumors. This nomogram may have the potential to assist clinicians in prognostic evaluations or developing individualized therapies for patients with this neoplasm.

Clinical benefit of baseline imaging in Merkel cell carcinoma: Analysis of 584 patients

BACKGROUND

Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) guidelines derive from melanoma and do not recommend baseline cross-sectional imaging for most patients. However, MCC is more likely to have metastasized at diagnosis than melanoma.

OBJECTIVE

To determine how often baseline imaging identifies clinically occult MCC in patients with newly diagnosed disease with and without palpable nodal involvement.

METHODS

Analysis of 584 patients with MCC with a cutaneous primary tumor, baseline imaging, no evident distant metastases, and sufficient staging data.

RESULTS

Among 492 patients with clinically uninvolved regional nodes, 13.2% had disease upstaged by imaging (8.9% in regional nodes, 4.3% in distant sites). Among 92 patients with clinically involved regional nodes, 10.8% had disease upstaged to distant metastatic disease. Large (>4 cm) and small (<1 cm) primary tumors were both frequently upstaged (29.4% and 7.8%, respectively). Patients who underwent positron emission tomography-computed tomography more often had disease upstaged (16.8% of 352), than those with computed tomography alone (6.9% of 231; P = .0006).

LIMITATIONS

This was a retrospective study.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with clinically node-negative disease, baseline imaging showed occult metastatic MCC at a higher rate than reported for melanoma (13.2% vs <1%). Although imaging is already recommended for patients with clinically node-positive MCC, these data suggest that baseline imaging is also indicated for patients with clinically node-negative MCC because upstaging is frequent and markedly alters management and prognosis.

Characteristics Associated With Nonreceipt of Surveillance Testing and the Relationship With Survival in Stage II and III Colon Cancer

We investigated characteristics of patients with colon cancer that predicted nonreceipt of posttreatment surveillance testing and the subsequent associations between surveillance status and survival outcomes. This was a retrospective cohort study of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database combined with Medicare claims. Patients diagnosed between 2002 and 2009 with disease stages II and III and who were between 66 and 84 years of age were eligible. A minimum of 3 years' follow-up was required, and patients were categorized as having received any surveillance testing (any testing) versus none (no testing). Poisson regression was used to obtain risk ratios with 95% confidence intervals for the relative likelihood of No Testing. Cox models were used to obtain subdistribution hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for 5- and 10-year cancer-specific and noncancer deaths. There were 16,009 colon cancer cases analyzed. Patient characteristics that predicted No Testing included older age, Black race, stage III disease, and chemotherapy. Patients in the No Testing group had an increased rate of 10-year cancer death that was greater for patients with stage III disease (subdistribution hazard ratio = 1.79, 95% confidence interval: 1.48, 2.17) than those with stage II disease (subdistribution hazard ratio = 1.41, 95% confidence interval: 1.19, 1.66). Greater efforts are needed to ensure all patients receive the highest quality medical care after diagnosis of colon cancer.

Cancer Statistics, 2021

Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths in the United States and compiles the most recent data on population-based cancer occurrence. Incidence data (through 2017) were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data (through 2018) were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2021, 1,898,160 new cancer cases and 608,570 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States. After increasing for most of the 20th century, the cancer death rate has fallen continuously from its peak in 1991 through 2018, for a total decline of 31%, because of reductions in smoking and improvements in early detection and treatment. This translates to 3.2 million fewer cancer deaths than would have occurred if peak rates had persisted. Long-term declines in mortality for the 4 leading cancers have halted for prostate cancer and slowed for breast and colorectal cancers, but accelerated for lung cancer, which accounted for almost one-half of the total mortality decline from 2014 to 2018. The pace of the annual decline in lung cancer mortality doubled from 3.1% during 2009 through 2013 to 5.5% during 2014 through 2018 in men, from 1.8% to 4.4% in women, and from 2.4% to 5% overall. This trend coincides with steady declines in incidence (2.2%-2.3%) but rapid gains in survival specifically for nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). For example, NSCLC 2-year relative survival increased from 34% for persons diagnosed during 2009 through 2010 to 42% during 2015 through 2016, including absolute increases of 5% to 6% for every stage of diagnosis; survival for small cell lung cancer remained at 14% to 15%. Improved treatment accelerated progress against lung cancer and drove a record drop in overall cancer mortality, despite slowing momentum for other common cancers.

Outcomes of local thoracic surgery in patients with stage IV non-small-cell lung cancer: A SEER-based analysis

BACKGROUND

The outcomes of thoracic surgery for patients with stage IV non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) are controversial and uncertain.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results was queried for patients with stage IV NSCLC, including those treated with surgery-participated therapy modalities. Overall survival (OS) was evaluated using a variety of statistical analyses.

RESULTS

The analysis was carried out for 90,982 patients from 1975 to 2016 who had been diagnosed as stage IV NSCLC. Propensity score-matched (PSM) analyses that were well-balanced with all the important confounding covariates revealed improved OS (median survival time [MST]) with patients receiving surgery versus non-surgery (MST: 15 versus 8 months, P < 0.001); undergoing surgery plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy (MST: 19 versus 11 months, P < 0.001); and having surgery plus chemoradiation versus chemoradiation (MST: 18 versus 11 months, P < 0.001). Sequential landmark analyses for long-term survivors of ≥1 and ≥3 years all indicated improved OS (P < 0.001) on univariate and multivariate analyses for the patients receiving the three surgery-related treatment patterns listed earlier, relative to the corresponding surgery-absent treatment modalities. For synchronous presentations of varied treatment paradigms, surgical intervention significantly led to increased OS (MST, months) benefits following treatment paradigms: surgery plus chemotherapy (22), surgery plus chemoradiation (18), chemotherapy (10), surgery only (9), chemoradiation (9), surgery plus radiation (6) and radiation alone (2). The subgroup analysis demonstrated that the elevated OS associated with local thoracic surgery in addition to chemotherapy (versus chemotherapy) or chemoradiation (versus chemoradiation) fell in the subcategories of T0-3, N0-2 and 0-1 (metastatic sites) tumours. The comparison of the aforementioned two types of treatment patterns indicated that the optimal patients for the surgery were those with any combination of T1-4, N0-3, Msite0-1 and adeno- or squamous carcinoma.

CONCLUSIONS

The patients with T1-4, N0-3, Msite0-1 and adeno- or squamous carcinoma of stage IV NSCLC had a longer OS with local thoracic surgery in combination with chemotherapy or chemoradiation.

Childhood cancer incidence among specific Asian and Pacific Islander populations in the United States

Despite the vast genetic and environmental diversity in Asia, individuals of Asian and Pacific Islander (API) descent are often combined into a single group for epidemiologic analyses within the U.S. We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) Detailed Asian/Pacific Islander Database to calculate incidence rates for discrete groups among children aged 0 to 19 years. Due to sample size constraints we pooled incidence among regional groups based on countries of origin: East Asians (Chinese, Japanese, Korean), Southeast (SE) Asians (Vietnamese, Laotian, Cambodian), Asian Indian/Pakistani, Oceanians (Guamanian, Samoan, Tongan) and Filipinos. Incidence rate ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated comparing each API regional group to Non-Hispanic Whites (NHW) and East Asians. Finally, we calculated the correlation between incidence of cancer in specific API ethnicities in SEER and in originating countries in the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents. Incidence rates among API regional groups varied. Acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) was lower in children of SE Asian descent (IRR 0.65, 95% CI 0.44, 0.96) compared to NHW. Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) was more common among children from Oceania compared to NHW (IRR 3.88, 95% CI 1.83, 8.22). East Asians had higher incidence rates than SE Asians but lower rates compared to children from Oceania. Correlation of some incidence rates between US-based API ethnicities and originating countries were similar. The variation observed in childhood cancer incidence patterns among API groups may indicate differences in underlying genetics and/or patterns of exposure.