Early Predictors of 9-Year Disability in Pediatric Multiple Sclerosis

Disease-modifying therapies in managing disability worsening in paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis: a longitudinal analysis of global and national registries

BACKGROUND

High-efficacy disease-modifying therapies have been proven to slow disability accrual in adults with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. However, their impact on disability worsening in paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis, particularly during the early phases, is not well understood. We evaluated how high-efficacy therapies influence transitions across five disability states, ranging from minimal disability to gait impairment and secondary progressive multiple sclerosis, in people with paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis.

METHODS

Longitudinal data were obtained from the international MSBase registry, containing data from people with multiple sclerosis from 151 centres across 41 countries, and the Italian Multiple Sclerosis and Related Disorders Register, containing data from people with multiple sclerosis from 178 Italian multiple sclerosis centres. People younger than 18 years at the onset of multiple sclerosis symptoms were included, provided they had a confirmed diagnosis of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis and at least four Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores recorded within 12-month intervals. The primary outcome was the time to change in disability state: minimal disability (EDSS scores 0, 1·0, and 1·5), mild disability (EDSS scores 2·0 and 2·5), moderate disability (EDSS scores 3·0 and 3·5), gait impairment (EDSS scores ≥4·0), and clinician diagnosed secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. A multi-state model was constructed to simulate the natural course of multiple sclerosis, modelling the probabilities of both disability worsening and improvement simultaneously. The impact of high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (alemtuzumab, cladribine, daclizumab, fingolimod, mitoxantrone, natalizumab, ocrelizumab, rituximab, or autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation) and low-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (dimethyl fumarate, glatiramer acetate, interferon beta, or teriflunomide), compared with no treatment, on the course of disability was assessed. Apart from recruitment, individuals with lived experience of multiple sclerosis were not involved in the design and conduct of this study.

FINDINGS

A total of 5224 people (3686 [70·6%] female and 1538 [29·4%] male) with mean age at onset of multiple sclerosis 15·24 years (SD 2·52) were included. High-efficacy therapies reduced the hazard of disability worsening across the disability states. The largest reduction (hazard ratio 0·41 [95% CI 0·31-0·53]) was observed in participants who were treated with high-efficacy therapies while in the minimal disability state, compared with those remained untreated. The benefit of high-efficacy therapies declined with increasing disability. Young people with minimal disability who received low-efficacy therapy also experienced a reduced hazard (hazard ratio 0·65 [95% CI 0·54-0·77]) of transitioning to mild disability, in contrast to those who remained untreated.

INTERPRETATION

Treatment of paediatric-onset relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis with high-efficacy therapy substantially reduces the risk of reaching key disability milestones. This reduction in risk is most pronounced among young people with minimal or mild disability when treatment began. Children with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis should be treated early with high-efficacy therapy, before developing significant neurological impairments, to better preserve their neurological capacity.

FUNDING

National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia; MSBase Foundation Fellowship; MS Australia Postdoctoral Fellowship.

What an adult multiple sclerosis registry can tell us about pediatric onset multiple sclerosis?

BACKGROUND

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is an immune-mediated, chronic disease of the central nervous system that affects mainly adults. However, it is increasingly recognized that MS may start in childhood resulting in a relentlessly progressive disability and cognitive impairment. Registries across the globe are reporting inconstant data about their Pediatric-Onset Multiple Sclerosis (POMS) patients. Moreover, newer lines of treatments are emerging and showing efficacy in controlling the MS disease regardless of the onset. Therefore, there is a requirement for more research into the clinical profile of POMS in different populations and ethnicities.

METHODS

This study was a cross-sectional study that included MS patients who visited the MS unit at Alexandria University from January 2019 to January 2021. We analyzed their epidemiological, clinical, radiological data, and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) results from their updated records as well as follow-up interviews.

RESULTS

Annual Relapse Rate (ARR) was marginally less in POMS than AOMS (0.72 ± 0.57 vs 1.04 ± 0.78 relapse/year, P =.008). POMS patients had a bigger gap to their first relapse (40.0 ± 47.35 vs 22.71 ± 34.33 months, p= .066). The difference in relapse rate between the two groups was abolished after the exclusion of patients who had a gap of more than 5 years to their first relapse. AOMS patients were significantly more likely to start with a second-line disease-modifying treatment (DMT) than POMS patients (11.5% vs 31%, p= .04), whereas POMS patients were more likely to be escalated to the second line (34.6% vs 19.3%, p= .07). ARR had a positive and significant correlation with expanded disability status scale (EDSS) progression per year (rs(24)= .57 p=.003). A Mann-Whitney test indicated that POMS patients who had infratentorial involvement in the initial MRI brain had higher EDSS (3.08 ± 1.99) than POMS who did not (1.07 ± 0.79) U=24 P =.013. IgG index had a significant and positive correlation with annual EDSS progression rate rs (8) = 0.8 p=.001.

CONCLUSION

Early disease onset does not mean a higher relapse rate when including the full spectrum of POMS and longer follow-up duration. POMS patients relapsed more on the first-line DMT and escalation should be considered early. Infratentorial involvement in the initial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) brain and high IgG index are potential predictors for aggressive disease course in POMS.

Early use of high efficacy therapies in pediatric forms of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: A real-life observational study

BACKGROUND

Pediatric forms of multiple sclerosis are more active than those in adults. Yet, the effectiveness of different therapeutic approaches is not well studied in this population. Our objective was to compare the effectiveness of the early use of high efficacy therapies (HETs) with the effectiveness of moderate efficacy therapies (METs) in children with MS.

METHODS

This observational study included patients diagnosed with pediatric MS, at 4 hospital centers in France, during a 10-year period. METs included: interferon β-1a, glatiramer acetate, dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide; HETs included: fingolimod, natalizumab, ocrelizumab, alemtuzumab. The primary endpoint was the occurrence of a new relapse, the secondary endpoint was EDSS worsening.

RESULTS

Sixty-four patients were included in the analysis (80% women; mean age 15.5 years, 81% treated with MET) with a median follow-up of 22.5 months. At baseline, 52 patients were on MET (interferon β-1a, glatiramer acetate, dimethyl fumarate, teriflunomide) and 12 patients were on HET (natalizumab, ocrelizumab). The cumulative probability of being relapse-free at 6.5 years was 23.3% on MET, vs 90.9% on HET (p = 0.013). The cumulative probability of no EDSS worsening did not differ between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSION

Patients starting with METs had much higher clinical disease activity than those starting early with HETs. Rapid initiation of more aggressive treatment may allow better disease control; however, the data on EDSS worsening are not conclusive.

Clinical predictors of NEDA-3 one year after diagnosis of pediatric multiple sclerosis: an exploratory single-center study

Introduction

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory and demyelinating disorder of central nervous system that can be diagnosed in pediatric age (<18 years) in 3-5% of the cases. This early onset is associated with higher relapse rates and earlier progression to neurological disability. By using NEDA-3 (No Evidence of Disease Activity-3) criteria, we aimed to identify clinical predictors associated with absence of disease activity and control of disease progression 12 months after the diagnosis, in a cohort of pediatric-onset MS (POMS) patients regularly followed-up in our center.

Methods

We analyzed demographic, clinical, laboratorial and imaging variables of patients with POMS identified in our center, between 2010 and 2021, in two moments: at the diagnosis and 12 months after it. Statistical tests were applied to compare the distribution of those variables between groups defined by NEDA-3 status and by each one of its three variable components.

Results

We included 27 patients in the study (18 female), with a mean age of 14.8 years (± 2.8), being all diagnosed with relapsing-remitting MS and with a median score of 1.5 at the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). The use of natalizumab (p = 0.017) and the negativity for anti-EBV IgG antibodies (p = 0.018) at diagnosis were associated with a higher achievement of NEDA-3 status 12 months after, in our cohort. Prescribed treatment was also associated with statistically significant differences in the "absence of MRI activity" component of NEDA-3 (p = 0.006): patients under treatment with natalizumab had a higher probability of achieving this status, and the opposite was observed in glatiramer acetate-treated children.

Discussion and conclusion

Our exploratory results underline the pivotal importance that an early and more effective therapeutical approach may have in the control of disease activity, in POMS. Additionally, they also seem to suggest that the presence of anti-EBV antibodies is not innocent, as it can be related to a less favorable evolution of the disease, even at a very early stage. Further studies are needed to confirm the applicability of these variables as prognostic and personalized tools in this clinical setting.

Silent findings: Examination of asymptomatic demyelination in a pediatric US cohort

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Limited data is available on children with evidence of silent central nervous system demyelination on MRI. We sought to characterize the population in a US cohort and identify predictors of clinical and radiologic outcomes.

METHODS

We identified 56 patients such patients who presented with incidental MRI findings suspect for demyelination, enrolled through our US Network of Pediatric Multiple Sclerosis Centers, and conducted a retrospective review of 38 patients with MR images, and examined risk factors for development of first clinical event or new MRI activity. MRI were rated based on published MS and radiologically isolated syndrome (RIS) imaging diagnostic criteria.

RESULTS

One-third had a clinical attack and ¾ developed new MRI activity over a mean follow-up time of 3.7 years. Individuals in our cohort shared similar demographics to those with clinically definite pediatric-onset MS. We show that sex, presence of infratentorial lesions, T1 hypointense lesions, juxtacortical lesion count, and callosal lesions were predictors of disease progression. Interestingly, the presence of T1 hypointense and infratentorial lesions typically associated with worse outcomes were instead predictive of delayed disease progression on imaging in subgroup analysis. Additionally, currently utilized diagnostic criteria (both McDonald 2017 and RIS criteria) did not provide statistically significant benefit in risk stratification.

CONCLUSION

Our findings underscore the need for further study to determine if criteria currently used for pediatric patients with purely radiographic evidence of demyelination are sufficient.

Spinal cord lesions and brain grey matter atrophy independently predict clinical worsening in definite multiple sclerosis: a 5-year, multicentre study

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the combined contribution of brain and cervical cord damage in predicting 5-year clinical worsening in a multicentre cohort of definite multiple sclerosis (MS) patients.

METHODS

Baseline 3.0T brain and cervical cord T2-weighted and three-dimensional T1-weighted MRI was acquired in 367 patients with MS (326 relapse-onset and 41 progressive-onset) and 179 healthy controls. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score was obtained at baseline and after a median follow-up of 5.1 years (IQR=4.8-5.2). At follow-up, patients were classified as clinically stable/worsened according to EDSS changes. Generalised linear mixed models identified predictors of clinical worsening, evolution to secondary progressive (SP) MS and reaching EDSS=3.0, 4.0 and 6.0 milestones at 5 years.

RESULTS

At follow-up, 120/367 (33%) patients with MS worsened clinically; 36/256 (14%) patients with relapsing-remitting evolved to SPMS. Baseline predictors of EDSS worsening were progressive-onset versus relapse-onset MS (standardised beta (β)=0.97), higher EDSS (β=0.41), higher cord lesion number (β=0.41), lower normalised cortical volume (β=-0.15) and lower cord area (β=-0.28) (C-index=0.81). Older age (β=0.86), higher EDSS (β=1.40) and cord lesion number (β=0.87) independently predicted SPMS conversion (C-index=0.91). Predictors of reaching EDSS=3.0 after 5 years were higher baseline EDSS (β=1.49), cord lesion number (β=1.02) and lower normalised cortical volume (β=-0.56) (C-index=0.88). Baseline age (β=0.30), higher EDSS (β=2.03), higher cord lesion number (β=0.66) and lower cord area (β=-0.41) predicted EDSS=4.0 (C-index=0.92). Finally, higher baseline EDSS (β=1.87) and cord lesion number (β=0.54) predicted EDSS=6.0 (C-index=0.91).

CONCLUSIONS

Spinal cord damage and, to a lesser extent, cortical volume loss helped predicting worse 5-year clinical outcomes in MS.

Oligoclonal M bands and cervical spinal cord lesions predict early secondary progressive multiple sclerosis

Objective

To determine baseline cerebrospinal fluid and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) variables at the onset of a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) suggestive of multiple sclerosis (MS) that predict evolution to secondary progressive MS (SPMS).

Methods

276 CIS patients with a minimum follow-up of 10 years were studied. Baseline presence of oligoclonal IgG and IgM bands (OCGB and OCMB respectively); number of brain T2 lesions (B-T2L), brain gadolinium enhancement lesions (brain-GEL), cervical spinal cord T2 lesions (cSC-T2L); and fulfillment of 2017 McDonald criteria among other variables were collected.

Results

14 patients ended up with a non-MS condition. 138/276 CIS patients fulfilled 2017 McDonald criteria. Mean age was 32.4 years, 185 female. 227 received treatment, 95 as CIS. After a mean follow-up of 12 years, 36 patients developed SPMS. Conversion to SPMS was associated with OCGB (p = 0.02), OCMB (p = 0.0001); ≥ 9 B-T2L (p = 0.03), brain-GEL (p = 0.03), and cSC-T2L (p = 0.03). However, after adjusting for sex, age, BT2L, brain-GEL, SC-T2, and OCMB status, only OCMB (HR 4.4, 1.9–10.6) and cSC-T2L (HR 2.2, 1.0–6.2) suggested an independent association with risk of conversion to SPMS. Patients with both risk factors had a HR of 6.12 (2.8–12.9).

Discussion

OCMB and SC-T2 lesions are potential independent predictors of conversion to SPMS.

Early predictors of disability in paediatric multiple sclerosis: evidence from a multi-national registry

BACKGROUND

Early recognition of markers of faster disability worsening in paediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (MS) is a key requisite of personalised therapy for children with MS at the earliest possible time.

OBJECTIVE

To identify early predictors of rapid disability accrual in patients with paediatric-onset MS.

METHODS

Using the global MSBase registry, we identified patients who were <18 years old at the onset of MS symptoms. The clinico-demographic characteristics examined as predictors of future MS Severity Score (MSSS) included sex, age at symptom onset, absence of disability at the initial assessment, maximum Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score, relapse frequency and presence of brainstem, pyramidal, visual or cerebellar symptoms in the first year. A Bayesian log-normal generalised linear mixed model adjusted for cumulative proportion of time on higher-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) was used to analyse the data.

RESULTS

672 patients (70% female) contributing 9357 visits were included. The median age at symptom onset was 16 (quartiles 15-17) years. Older age at symptom onset (exp(β)=1.10 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.17)), higher EDSS score (1.22 (1.12 to 1.34)) and pyramidal (1.31 (1.11 to 1.55)), visual (1.25 (1.10 to 1.44)) or cerebellar (1.18 (1.01 to 1.38)) symptoms in the first year were associated with higher MSSS. MSSS was reduced by 4% for every 24% increase in the proportion of time on higher-efficacy DMTs (0.96 (0.93 to 0.99)).

CONCLUSIONS

A relatively later onset of MS in childhood, higher disability and pyramidal, visual or cerebellar symptoms during the first year predicted significant worsening in disability in patients with paediatric-onset MS. Persistent treatment with higher-efficacy DMTs was associated with a reduced rate of disability worsening.

Cerebellar and/or Brainstem Lesions Indicate Poor Prognosis in Multiple Sclerosis: A Systematic Review

Multiple sclerosis is a serious neurological disease that affects millions of people worldwide. Cerebellar and brainstem symptoms are common in the course of multiple sclerosis, but their prognostic value is unclear. This systematic review aimed to determine the relationship between the location of lesions in the cerebellum and/or brainstem and the prognosis in multiple sclerosis. In this systematic review, we searched and comprehensively read articles related to this research topic in Chinese and English electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, CNKI, and CBM) using search terms “multiple sclerosis,” “cerebellum,” “brainstem,” “prognosis,” and others. Cerebellar and brainstem clinically isolated syndromes and clinically definite multiple sclerosis were important predictors of transformation (hazard ratio, 2.58; 95% confidence interval, 1.58–4.22). Cerebellar and/or brainstem lesions indicate a poor overall prognosis in multiple sclerosis, but because of inconsistency, more clinical data are needed.

Pediatric multiple sclerosis: developments in timely diagnosis and prognostication

INTRODUCTION

Pediatric-onset (PO) multiple sclerosis (MS) accounts for about 2-10% of the total MS cases. Recently, a greater attention has been given to POMS, with substantial improvements in the understanding of its pathophysiology, in the diagnostic work-up and in the identification of reliable prognosticators associated with long-term disability in these patients.

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes the most recent updates regarding the pathophysiology of POMS, the current diagnostic criteria and the clinical, neuroradiological and laboratoristic markers that have been associated with disease progression (i.e. occurrence of a second clinical attack at disease onset and accumulation of disability in definite MS).

EXPERT OPINION

The study of POMS, where the clinical onset is closer to the biological onset of MS, may contribute to better understand how the different pathological processes impact brain maturation and contribute to disease progression, but also how brain plasticity may counterbalance structural damage accumulation. Although rare, POMS is a severe disease, characterized by a prominent clinical and radiological activity at disease onset and by the accumulation of physical and cognitive disability at a younger age compared to the adult counterpart, with significant detrimental consequences at long-term. Early and accurate diagnosis, together with early treatment, is highly warranted.

Multiple Sclerosis in Children: Differential Diagnosis, Prognosis, and Disease-Modifying Treatment

Pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) is a rare neuroinflammatory and neurodegenerative disease that has a significant impact on long-term physical and cognitive patient outcomes. A small percentage of multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnoses occur before the age of 18 years. Before treatment initiation, a careful differential diagnosis and exclusion of other similar acquired demyelinating syndromes such as anti-aquaporin-4-associated neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (AQP4-NMOSD) and myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody spectrum disorder (MOGSD) is warranted. The recent 2017 changes to the McDonald criteria can successfully predict up to 71% of MS diagnoses and have good specificity of 95% and sensitivity of 71%. Additional measures such as the presence of T1-weighted hypointense lesions and/or contrast-enhancing lesions significantly increase the accuracy of diagnosis. In adults, early use of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) is instrumental to a better long-term prognosis, including lower rates of relapse and disability worsening, and numerous FDA-approved therapies for adult-onset MS are available. However, unlike their adult counterparts, the development, testing, and regulatory approval of POMS treatments have been significantly slower and hindered by logistic and/or ethical considerations. Currently, only two MS DMTs (fingolimod and teriflunomide) have been tested in large phase III trials and approved by regulatory agencies for use in POMS. First-line therapies not approved by the FDA for use in children (interferon-β and glatiramer acetate) are also commonly used and result in a significant reduction in inflammatory activity when compared with non-treated POMS patients. An increasing number of POMS patients are now treated with moderate efficacy therapies such as dimethyl fumarate and high-efficacy therapies such as natalizumab, anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies, anti-CD52 monoclonal antibodies, and/or autologous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. These high-efficacy DMTs generally provide additional reduction in inflammatory activity when compared with the first-line medications (up to 62% of relapse-rate reduction). Therefore, a number of phase II and III trials are currently investigating their efficacy and safety in POMS patients. In this review, we discuss potential changes in the regulatory approval process for POMS patients that are recommended for DMTs already approved for the adult MS population, including smaller sample size for pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic studies, MRI-centered primary outcomes, and/or inclusion of teenagers in the adult trials.