Renal flares are common in patients with severe proliferative lupus nephritis treated with pulse immunosuppressive therapy: long-term followup of a cohort of 145 patients participating in randomized controlled studies

Evaluation and prediction of relapse risk in stable systemic lupus erythematosus patients after glucocorticoid withdrawal (PRESS): an open-label, multicentre, non-inferiority, randomised controlled study in China

OBJECTIVES

To explore the relapse rate after glucocorticoid (GC) withdrawal with or without hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) maintenance in sustained clinically inactive systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

The PRESS trial is a multicentre, 33-week, open-label, three-arm, non-inferiority designed, randomised controlled trial. SLE patients with sustained clinically inactive disease who maintained on low-dose GC plus HCQ therapy were screened and qualified patients were randomly assigned to three groups: drug-free group (both GC and HCQ withdrew); HCQ group (discontinued GC but maintained HCQ); dual maintenance group (both GC and HCQ continued). The primary endpoint was to compare the proportion of patients experiencing a relapse as defined by the Safety of Estrogens in Lupus Erythematosus National Assessment-Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index flare index by 33 weeks. Two parallel non-inferiority analyses were performed (drug-free group vs dual maintenance group and HCQ group vs dual maintenance group).

RESULTS

From 3 November 2016 to 13 August 2021, 333 participants complied with the protocol after randomisation were analysed. The relapse rates in the three groups were 26.1%, 11.2% and 4.7%, respectively. Compared with dual maintenance group, drug-free group failed to achieve non-inferiority significance (relapse rate difference 21.4%; 95% CI 12.3% to 30.5%; Pnon-inferiority=0.238), whereas HCQ group achieved non-inferiority (relapse rate difference 6.5%; 95% CI -0.5% to 13.5%; Pnon-inferiority=0.034). HCQ group also exhibited fewer relapses than drug-free group (p=0.006). Adverse events were similar among all three groups.

CONCLUSIONS

GC withdrawal may be feasible in sustained clinically inactive SLE patients. HCQ maintenance can exert a protective role in preventing disease relapse after GC withdrawal. Trial registration number NCT02842814.

Predictive value of residual active histologic lesions on renal flare in lupus nephritis patients with clinical remission

Background

Renal flare in lupus nephritis (LN) is a crucial contributing factor to poor kidney outcomes. This study aimed at evaluating the predictive value of residual active histologic lesions on renal flare in proliferative LN patients with clinical remission.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled LN patients with class III/IV ± V (biopsy 1) who had undergone a protocol repeat biopsy (biopsy 2) at 7.3 (IQR: 6.5, 8.4) months after induction therapy with clinical remission and experienced renal flare within 3 years or had been followed up for at least 3 years without renal flare after biopsy 2 with maintenance therapy from two kidney units in China.

Results

A total of 114 eligible patients were included, 28 (24.6%) of whom developed a renal flare. Activity index (AI) at biopsy 2 was significantly associated with LN flare (P < .0001). If AI > 1, the OR for LN flare was 23.1 (95%CI, 5.1-103.8, P < .001). For patients with partial clinical remission compared with those with complete clinical remission, the OR for LN flare was 3.0 (95%CI: 1.1-8.3, P = .029). Multivariate analysis showed that anti-dsDNA positivity, presence of cellular/fibrocellular crescent, and endocapillary hypercellularity at biopsy 2 were independent risk factors for LN flare. When residual active histologic lesions were added to clinical variables, the area under the curve of the prediction model for LN flare significantly increased and the misclassification rate significantly decreased.

Conclusions

Renal flare in LN patients with clinical remission is strongly associated with the residual active histologic lesions.

Evidence based treatment for lupus nephritis: present perspectives and challenges

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a complex autoimmune disease known for its high heterogeneity among individuals, which affects various organs including the kidneys. Lupus nephritis (LN) is a frequent and life-threatening manifestation of the disease, with up to 50% of patients developing kidney involvement. Classification of renal involvement in lupus is based on specific histopathological findings, guiding therapeutical decisions. Immunosuppressive therapy, particularly glucocorticoids combined with cyclophosphamide or mycophenolate mofetil, has been the mainstay of treatment for many years, while rates of complete remission have not changed dramatically. Despite advancements in therapy, in an important proportion of patients LN leads to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Emerging therapies including belimumab, voclosporin, and obinutuzumab offer promising results in improving renal outcomes, especially in refractory or relapsing disease. Maintenance therapy is crucial to prevent disease flares and preserve renal function. Supportive measures including lifestyle modifications and non-immunosuppressive pharmacological interventions are nowadays also essential in managing LN. This review emphasizes recent advances of therapy and challenges regarding treatment optimization with strategies to improve long-term outcomes.

Sustained depression of B cell counts in lupus nephritis after treatment with rituximab and/or belimumab is associated with fewer disease flares

OBJECTIVE

To study the risk of lupus nephritis flare (LNF) or severe lupus flare (SLF) as a function of B cell count kinetics in lupus nephritis (LN) patients after they achieve at least a partial renal response (PRR) with induction treatment that includes rituximab (RTX) and/or belimumab (BLM).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of a cohort of 19 patients with severe LN that received a B cell agent (BCA), RTX and/or BLM, as part of an initial treatment regimen for an LN flare and had subsequent CD19+ B cell measurements in peripheral blood. We then characterized the follow-up periods, after B cell depressions occurred and PRR were achieved, by the corresponding trajectories of B cell counts (BCC). Time periods with sustained low BCC were type 1 (T1) episodes, while those with repletion of BCC>100 cells/μL were called type 2 (T2) episodes. Time periods with rapid BCC repletion, defined as >50 cells/μL in ≤6 months, were called T2b episodes. Corresponding C3, C4, and anti-dsDNA levels were recorded for each episode. The time from PRR until an event, either a LNF or SLF, or to censoring, either at the end of the study period or the end of available patient follow-up, was assessed for each episode type. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare time to flare between T1 and T2 episodes.

RESULTS

There were 26 episodes of B cell depression. Seventeen (65%) were T1 and 9 (35%) were T2. Compared to T1 episodes, T2 episodes were 9.0 times more likely to result in flare over the follow-up period (hazard ratio (HR) = 9.0, 95% CI for HR = 2.2-36.7); this risk was even larger for T2b vs T1 episodes. Median BCC was 14 cells/μL in T1 and 160 cells/μL in T2 episodes. Both C3 and C4 levels significantly increased over the duration of the episode in T1 episodes only.

CONCLUSION

Sustained low BCC was associated with prolonged serologic and clinical response, whereas repletion, and particularly rapid repletion, of B cells after treatment with BCA was associated with subsequent disease flare.

Lupus Nephritis Outcomes after Stopping Immunosuppression

Background/Objectives: Immunosuppression (IS) is a standard therapy for lupus nephritis (LN). Data on the outcomes of patients with LN after the discontinuation of immunosuppression remain uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the outcomes and results of patients with lupus nephritis (LN) who ceased immunosuppressive (IS) therapy. Methods: Records were obtained on the clinical and laboratory features of LN patients who were treated at our Lupus Unit. They included median values and ranges for various numerical variables such as patient age, disease duration, and treatment duration. Categorical variables such as gender, LN class, IS treatment type, and patient outcomes, which were categorized as either "stable" or "flare experienced", were presented as percentages and frequencies. A flare in LN was characterized by a two-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and a rise in proteinuria following the cessation of IS medication. Results: Outcomes were assessed for 45 patients with LN who ceased IS therapy after achieving remission. The patients' median age was 55 years (29-78). The median duration of treatment was 4 years (0.5-14). The LN histology distribution was class V = 24.4%, class IV = 17.8 %, class III = 17.8%, class III + IV = 15.6%, class III + V = 6.7%, class IV + V = 2.2%, and class II + IV and II = 2.2%. At the discontinuation of IS treatment, creatinine levels were elevated in 9/45 (20%) patients. Furthermore, 28.9% of patients relapsed after IS treatment discontinuation. Patients with anti-Smith antibodies (anti-Sm) were observed to have a higher occurrence of relapses, with six patients experiencing flare compared to four patients who remained stable (p = 0.03). Five (38.5%) of the patients with flares had high creatinine levels after IS discontinuation. Conclusions: Most of our patients maintained clinical remission and stable levels of LN parameters after IS treatment discontinuation. Those with a high serum creatinine level, ongoing proteinuria, depleted complement levels, and the presence of anti-Sm antibodies were more likely to experience flares after the discontinuation of IS therapy.

Effect of Sustained Clinical Remission on the Risk of Lupus Flares and Impaired Kidney Function in Patients With Lupus Nephritis

Introduction

This retrospective study on patients with biopsy-proven lupus nephritis (LN) aimed to assess the probability of sustained clinical remission (sCR) and to investigate sCR effects on disease flares and impaired kidney function (IKF).

Methods

sCR was defined as clinical-Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index 2000 (SLEDAI-2K) = 0 and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) >60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 lasting ≥1 year; IKF: eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 for >3 months. We analyzed the probability of achieving and maintaining sCR, and the yearly risk of flare. Cox models were used to identify predictors of sCR and IKF with variables analyzed as time-dependent covariates when appropriate.

Results

Of 303 patients followed-up with for 14.8 (interquartile range: 9.8-22) years, 257 (84.8%) achieved sCR. The probability of achieving sCR progressively increased over time reaching 90% at 15 years. Baseline age (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.017; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.005-1.029; P = 0.004), hydroxychloroquine intake (HR: 1.385; 95% CI: 1.051-1.825; P = 0.021), and absence of arterial hypertension (HR: 0.699; 95% CI: 0.532-0.921; P = 0.011) were independent predictors of sCR. Among patients who achieved sCR, 142 (55.3%) developed a lupus flare after a median time of 3.6 (2.3-5.9) years. In the remaining 115 patients, sCR persisted for 9.5 (5.8-14.5) years. The probability of sCR to persist at 15 years was 38%. SLE flare risk decreased to 10%, 5%, and 2% in patients with sCR lasting <5, 5 to 10, and >10 years, respectively. At the last observation, 57 patients (18.81%) had IKF. sCR achievement (HR: 0.18, P < 0.001) and its duration (HR: 0.83, P < 0.001) were protective against IKF.

Conclusion

sCR is an achievable target in LN management and protects against IKF. The longer the sCR, the higher the chance of its persistence and the lower the risk of SLE flares.

Deep learning model to predict lupus nephritis renal flare based on dynamic multivariable time-series data

OBJECTIVES

To develop an interpretable deep learning model of lupus nephritis (LN) relapse prediction based on dynamic multivariable time-series data.

DESIGN

A single-centre, retrospective cohort study in China.

SETTING

A Chinese central tertiary hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

The cohort study consisted of 1694 LN patients who had been registered in the Nanjing Glomerulonephritis Registry at the National Clinical Research Center of Kidney Diseases, Jinling Hospital from January 1985 to December 2010.

METHODS

We developed a deep learning algorithm to predict LN relapse that consists of 59 features, including demographic, clinical, immunological, pathological and therapeutic characteristics that were collected for baseline analysis. A total of 32 227 data points were collected by the sliding window method and randomly divided into training (80%), validation (10%) and testing sets (10%). We developed a deep learning algorithm-based interpretable multivariable long short-term memory model for LN relapse risk prediction considering censored time-series data based on a cohort of 1694 LN patients. A mixture attention mechanism was deployed to capture variable interactions at different time points for estimating the temporal importance of the variables. Model performance was assessed according to C-index (concordance index).

RESULTS

The median follow-up time since remission was 4.1 (IQR, 1.7-6.7) years. The interpretable deep learning model based on dynamic multivariable time-series data achieved the best performance, with a C-index of 0.897, among models using only variables at the point of remission or time-variant variables. The importance of urinary protein, serum albumin and serum C3 showed time dependency in the model, that is, their contributions to the risk prediction increased over time.

CONCLUSIONS

Deep learning algorithms can effectively learn through time-series data to develop a predictive model for LN relapse. The model provides accurate predictions of LN relapse for different renal disease stages, which could be used in clinical practice to guide physicians on the management of LN patients.

Predictors of renal relapse in Koreans with lupus nephritis after achieving complete response: a 35-years of experience at a single center

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Renal relapse has known to be a poor prognostic factor in patients with lupus nephritis (LN), but there were few studies that identified the risk factors of renal relapse in real world. We conducted this study based on 35-years of experience at a single center to find out predictors of renal relapse in Korean patients with LN after achieving complete response (CR).

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the clinical, laboratory, pathologic and therapeutic parameters in 296 patients of LN who reached CR. The cumulative risk and the independent risk factors for renal relapse were examined by Kaplan-Meier methods and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, respectively.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period from CR was 123 months. Renal relapse had occurred in 157 patients. Renal relapse occurred in 38.2%, 57.6% and 67.9% of patients within 5-, 10-, and 20-year, respectively. The age at diagnosis of SLE and LN were significantly younger, and the proportions of severe proteinuria and serum hypoalbuminemia were higher in patients with renal relapse. Interestingly, the proportion of receiving cytotoxic maintenance treatment was higher in patients with renal relapse. In Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, only young-age onset of LN (by 10 years, HR = 0.779, p = 0.007) was identified to independent predictor of renal relapse.

CONCLUSION

Young-age onset of LN was only independent predictor and the patients with severe proteinuria and serum hypoalbuminemia also tended to relapse more, despite of sufficient maintenance treatment. Studies on more effective maintenance treatment regimens and duration are needed to reduce renal relapse.

Bibliometric analysis of global literature productivity in systemic lupus erythematosus from 2013 to 2022

BACKGROUND

Bibliometric analysis is a mature method for quantitative evaluation of academic productivity. In view of the rapid development of research in the field of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in the past decade, we used bibliometric methods to comprehensively analyze the literature in the field of SLE from 2013 to 2022.

METHODS

The relevant literature in the field of SLE from 2013 to 2022 was screened in the Web of Science Core Collection database. After obtaining and sorting out the data, CiteSpace and VOSviewer software were used to visualize the relevant data, and SPSS software was used for scientific statistics.

RESULTS

A total of 18,450 publications were included in this study. The number of articles published over the past 10 years has generally shown an upward trend, while Altmetric attention scores have also shown a clear upward trend in general and in most countries. Citation analysis and Altmetric analysis can mutually prove and supplement the influence of papers. The USA, China, Japan, Italy, and the UK are the most productive countries, but China and Japan are significantly inferior to other countries in terms of research influence. Four of the top ten authors are at the center of the collaboration network. LUPUS is the most contributing journal. The theme of systemic lupus erythematosus research mainly focuses on the pathogenesis, treatment, and management of SLE, and the emerging trend is related research on machine learning and immune cells.

CONCLUSION

This study shows the research status of SLE, clarifies the main contributors in this field, discusses and analyzes the research hotspots and trends in this field, and provides reference for further research in this field to promote the development of SLE research. Key Points • Through bibliometric analysis, Altmetric analysis, and visual analysis, we reveal the global productivity characteristics of SLE-related papers in the past 10 years. • The number of global SLE-related studies has shown a significant increase, indicating that SLE is still a hot topic and deserves further study. • Citation analysis and Altmetric analysis can mutually prove and supplement the influence of papers, and the attention of related literature among non-professional researchers is increasing. • The theme of SLE research mainly focuses on the pathogenesis, treatment, and management of SLE. The emerging trend is machine learning and immune cells, which may provide new strategies for the diagnosis and treatment of SLE in the future.

Weaning Maintenance Therapy in Lupus Nephritis: For Whom, When, and How?

Lupus nephritis (LN) is one of the main determinants of the severity of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). LN flares can lead to organ damage with chronic kidney disease (CKD) or even end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and impair patients' survival. The "treat-to-target" strategy, which aims at obtaining and maintaining remission or low disease activity of SLE to alleviate symptoms and prevent organ damage, also refers to the control of residual activity in the kidney. But damage in SLE can also come from treatments, and toxicities related to long-term use of treatments should be prevented. This may contribute to the frequent nonadherence in patients with SLE. The de-escalation or even weaning of treatments whenever possible, or "think-to-untreat" (T2U) strategy, is to be considered in patients with LN. This possibility of treatment weaning in LN was explored in retrospective cohorts, on the basis of long-term clinical remission. It was also proposed prospectively with a kidney-biopsy-based approach, combining clinical and pathologic remission to secure treatment weaning. The WIN-Lupus trial was the first randomized controlled trial comparing the continuation to the discontinuation of maintenance immunosuppressive therapy (IST) after 2 to 3 years in patients with LN in remission. It showed a higher risk of severe SLE flares in patients who discontinued treatment, but also a possibility of weaning without flare in some patients, who need to be better identified. We propose here a narrative review of the available literature on the weaning of treatment in LN and discuss how to secure a T2U strategy.

Clinical and Economic Burden of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in the Years Preceding End-Stage Kidney Disease Diagnosis: A Retrospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to describe the clinical burden, healthcare resource utilisation (HCRU) and healthcare costs for patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in the 12-60 months preceding an end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) diagnosis in the USA.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study identified adult patients with SLE with newly diagnosed ESKD between 1 March 2012 and 31 December 2018 using administrative claims data. Clinical characteristics, mean all-cause HCRU (i.e. any HCRU visit and pharmacy fill) and total all-cause healthcare costs (comprising medical and pharmacy costs in 2019 US dollars) were assessed during the 12 months pre-ESKD diagnosis and yearly during the 5 years pre-ESKD diagnosis among patients with ≥ 5 years of continuous health plan enrolment.

RESULTS

Of the 1356 patients included, 51.2% had severe SLE, 71.2% had lupus nephritis (LN) and 20.6% underwent kidney biopsy during the 12 months pre-ESKD. The mean (standard deviation [SD]) number of HCRU visits during the 12 months pre-ESKD was 78.0 (64.1) per patient. The mean (SD) total healthcare costs per patient in the 12 months pre-ESKD diagnosis was $64,887 (106,822), driven by medical costs $51,764 (96,458). The proportions of patients with severe SLE, LN and those undergoing biopsy increased from year 5 to year 1 pre-ESKD diagnosis. The mean (SD) number of HCRU visits increased from year 5 (61.6 [54.0]) to year 1 (83.2 [62.1]) pre-ESKD. Mean (SD) total healthcare costs rose year on year from year 5 ($34,890 [74,346]) to year 1 ($73,236 [114,584]) pre-ESKD.

CONCLUSION

There were substantial clinical burden and healthcare costs among patients with SLE in the 12 months pre-ESKD diagnosis. The clinical burden and healthcare costs generally increased with each year approaching ESKD diagnosis. Early interventions for patients with SLE could prevent the development of ESKD, mitigating the burden of the disease.

The cost of flares among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus with and without lupus nephritis in the United States

OBJECTIVE

Assess healthcare costs associated with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) flares among patients with and without lupus nephritis (LN).

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study used medical and pharmacy claims data from the United States-based Optum Clinformatics database to identify adults with SLE between 1 January 2016, and 31 December 2018. Index was the date of a patient's earliest SLE diagnosis claim during the identification period. Patients were categorized based on ICD-9/-10 diagnosis codes into one of two cohorts: SLE with LN (LN) and SLE without LN (non-LN). Baseline characteristics were assessed in the 12 months preceding index (baseline period). The presence, severity, and healthcare costs (in 2019 US dollars) of flares were determined in the 12 months following index (follow-up period).

RESULTS

Overall, 11,663 patients with SLE were included (LN, n = 2916; non-LN, n = 8747). During the baseline period, a greater proportion of patients in the LN cohort versus non-LN cohort had a Charlson Comorbidity Index score ≥4 (72.5% vs 13.7%) and inpatient stays (41.0% vs 17.0%). A total of 12,190 flares were identified during the follow-up period (LN, 3494; non-LN, 8696). A greater proportion of flares experienced by patients with LN versus those without LN were moderate (61.2% vs 53.6%) and severe (10.6% vs 5.4%). The mean (standard deviation [SD]) number of moderate and severe flares per patient was greater among the LN cohort than the non-LN cohort (moderate: LN, 1.8 [1.2] and non-LN, 1.4 [1.2]; severe: LN, 0.2 [0.6] and non-LN, 0.1 [0.3]). The mean (SD) total healthcare costs associated with SLE flares of any severity were greater for patients with LN (LN, $5842 [9604]; non-LN, $2600 [4249]). The mean (SD) cost per flare increased with severity (mild: LN, $2753 [4640] and non-LN, $1606 [2710]; moderate: LN, $4561 [7156] and non-LN, $2587 [3720]; severe: LN, $29,148 [27,273] and non-LN, $14,829 [19,533]).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with SLE with LN have greater healthcare costs than those without LN. Flares among patients with LN were more frequent, severe, and costly than among patients without LN. This highlights the need for treatments that prevent or reduce flares among patients with SLE, both with and without LN.

The influence of repeated flares in response to therapy and prognosis in lupus nephritis

Background

Repeated renal flares in lupus nephritis (LN) have been associated with worse long-term kidney function. This study aimed to assess the impact of repeated LN flares in response to therapy, kidney and patient prognosis.

Methods

All patients from a biopsy-proven LN cohort between 2008 and 2018 were segregated into three groups according to the number of LN flares when they entered our cohort: first LN flare, second LN flare or third LN flare. The following outcomes were evaluated by unadjusted and adjusted time-to-event analyses: complete and partial response, disease relapses, progression to decline of 30% of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), doubling of serum creatinine, end-stage kidney disease and patient survival.

Results

A total of 441 patients were included: 257 (58%) in their first LN flare, 102 (23%) in their second LN flare and 82 (19%) in their third LN flare. There were significant differences in LN flare presentation in age, eGFR, serum albumin, pyuria and hematuria among groups. The National Institutes of Health chronicity indices and the percentage of patients with vascular lesions were higher in groups at progressive LN flares. In the adjusted analyses, complete and partial response rates decreased, as well as kidney and patient survival, at a progressive number of LN flares. No differences in the dynamic course of all surveillance laboratory parameters were observed in the first year after initial therapy among LN flare groups.

Conclusions

A progressive number of LN flares is associated with a lower response to therapy and an adverse prognosis for kidney function and patient survival.

Predictors of Early Response, Flares, and Long-Term Adverse Renal Outcomes in Proliferative Lupus Nephritis: A 100-Month Median Follow-Up of an Inception Cohort

Objective: To define predictors of response, time to response, flares, and long-term renal outcome in an inception cohort of proliferative lupus nephritis (PLN). Methods: We included 100 patients (80% female; mean age 31 ± 13 years) with biopsy-proven PLN (III, IV, III/IV + V). Clinical, laboratory, histological and therapeutical parameters were recorded at baseline, 6, 9, 12, 18, 24, 36, 72 months, time of flare, and last follow-up visit. Logistic and Cox-regression models were applied. Results: After induction treatment (69% received cyclophosphamide (CYC) and 27% mycophenolic acid (MPA)), partial (PR) or complete (CR) response was achieved in 59% (26% CR, 33% PR) and 67% (43% CR, 24% PR) of patients at 3 and 6 months, respectively; median time to PR was 3 months (IQR 5) and median time to CR was 6 months (IQR 9). Baseline proteinuria <1.5 g/day correlated with a shorter time to CR (HR 1.77) and with CR at 3, 6, and 9 months (OR 9.4, OR 5.3 and OR 3.7, respectively). During 100-month median follow-up, 33% of patients had ≥1 renal flares (median time: 38 months). Proteinuria >0.8 g/day at 12 months was associated with a higher risk of flares (OR 4.12), while MPA and mixed classes with lower risk (OR 0.14 and OR 0.13, respectively). Baseline proteinuria >2 g/day and 12-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day correlated with a shorter time to flare (HR 2.56 and HR 2.57, respectively). At the end of follow-up, 10% developed stage 3–4 chronic kidney disease (CKD), and 12% end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Twelve-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day (OR 10.8) and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >25% (OR 7.7) predicted CKD or ESRD at last visit. Conclusions: Baseline proteinuria <1.5 g/day predicted time to CR. Twelve-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day correlated with flares (ever) and time to flare and, along with baseline interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >25%, predicted CKD or ESRD at the last visit.

Lupus nephritis in the XXI century

Lupus nephritis (LN) is the most common organ lesion in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), developing in 4050% of patients. Due to immunosuppressive therapy, the survival of patients with SLE has increased significantly over the past 50 years, and the proportion of severe kidney damage in the death structure has decreased. However, LN relapses and complications of immunosuppression, accelerated atherogenesis, concomitant diseases lead to the accumulation of organ damage and an increased risk of death. The article consideres the place of kidney damage in the SLE, the risk factors for LN development, the main renal histopathological changes, it identifies a number of issues that need to be addressed to optimize treatment and improve LN long-term outcomes, including, the revision of pathogenetic therapy regimens with restriction of glucocorticosteroids and prescribing drugs with steroid-sparing activity, the integration of new drugs for LN treatment, wider use of modern nephroprotection capabilities.

Urinary HER2, TWEAK and VCAM-1 levels are associated with new-onset proteinuria in paediatric lupus nephritis

Objective

Lupus nephritis is a key driver of morbidity and mortality in SLE. Detecting active nephritis on a background of pre-existing renal damage is difficult, leading to potential undertreatment and accumulating injury. An unmet need is a biomarker that distinguishes active lupus nephritis, particularly important in paediatrics where minimising invasive procedures is desirable.

Methods

This was a multicentre, prospective study of 113 paediatric patients with biopsy-proven lupus nephritis. Clinical data and urine were obtained every 3–4 months and patients averaged 2 years on study with seven time points. Urine was analysed for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), tumour necrosis factor-like weak inducer of apoptosis and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1) by ELISA. We defined active disease as either a rise in serum creatinine ≥0.3 mg/dL from baseline or a rise in renal Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index score from the previous visit. These markers were also studied in patients with acute kidney injury, juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), amplified pain syndrome and healthy controls.

Results

The rate of active disease was 56% over an average of 2 years of follow-up. HER2 and VCAM-1 were significantly elevated at time points with active disease defined by increased serum creatinine compared with time points with inactive disease or patients who never flared. All three biomarkers were associated with new-onset proteinuria and VCAM-1 was elevated at time points preceding new-onset proteinuria. These biomarkers were not increased in acute kidney injury or JIA.

Conclusion

All three biomarkers were associated with new onset proteinuria and increased VCAM-1 may predict impending proteinuria. These biomarkers provide potential non-invasive measures for monitoring that may be more sensitive to impending flare than conventional measures.

Long-term outcome and predictors of long-term outcome in patients with lupus nephritis managed at a tertiary hospital in Mumbai

AIM

Study the long-term outcome of the patients with LN and identify the baseline factors that can predict the long-term outcome of these patients.

METHODS

All biopsy-proven LN patients who attended our regular 'lupus nephritis' clinic from 2013 to 2021 were studied. Data of these patients were collected from the hospital patient records. Standard therapy was given as per the KDIGO guidelines, and the renal response was evaluated according to KDIGO outcome criteria. Cox' regression analysis was used to determine predictors of chronic kidney disease (persistent doubling of serum creatinine with creatinine ≥1.5 mg%). Kaplan-Meier analysis was used for renal survival.

RESULTS

Eighty patients with at least 1 year of follow-up were included. Median age of onset was 24 years (IQR18-35). Median follow up was 6.5 years (IQR 3-10). World Health Organisation renal biopsy profile was Class I 1(1.2 %), Class II 6(7.5 %), Class III 9(11.2 %), Class IV 36(45 %), Class V 18(22.5 %) and Mixed Class IV + V 10 (12%). Complete remission was achieved in 63.75%, 70 % and 66.6% patients at 1, 2 and 5 years, respectively. Survival with normal renal function was 88.5 %, 85.8% and 60 % at 5, 10 and 15 years, respectively. Risk factors for poor outcome on univariate analysis were presence of Raynaud's phenomena-hazard ratio(HR) 7.78 (CI 1.944-31.207; p < .004), baseline hypertension-HR 5.356 (CI 1.479-19.403; p < .011), tubulointerstitial involvement-HR 1.076 (CI 1.032-1.222; p < .001), time to complete response-HR 1.036 (CI 1.036-1.067; p < .02 ), serum creatinine at 6 months HR 10.51 (CI 2.19-50.39; p < .003), failure to achieve complete response at 2 years HR 6.271 (CI 1.567-25.092; p < .009) and the number of nephritic flares HR 1.868(CI 1.103-3.164 ; p < .02). Renal relapses were quite common, with 1.8 flares per 10 patient-years of follow up. Infection was the most common cause of death, with bacterial lower respiratory infections and pulmonary tuberculosis being the most common.

CONCLUSIONS

Apart from conventional risk factors, other predictive factors like the presence of Raynaud's phenomenon, tubulointerstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy on kidney biopsy, and initial response to induction therapy by 6 months have a significant impact on the long-term outcome in patients with LN.

The association between lupus serology and disease outcomes: A systematic literature review to inform the treat-to-target approach in systemic lupus erythematosus

INTRODUCTION

Serological markers such as anti-double stranded (ds)DNA antibodies and complement fractions C3/C4, are integral components of disease activity assessment in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). However, it remains uncertain whether treatment should aim at restoration of serological abnormalities.

OBJECTIVES

To analyze and critically appraise the literature on the prognostic impact of active lupus serology despite clinical disease quiescence.

METHODS

A systematic literature review was performed in PubMed and EMBASE using the PICOT(S) (population, index, comparator, outcome(s), timing, setting) system to identify studies evaluating the association of serum anti-dsDNA, C3 and C4 levels assessed at the time of clinical remission or during the disease course, against the risk for impending flares and organ damage. Risk of bias was determined by the Quality in Prognosis Studies and ROB2 tools for observational and randomized controlled studies, respectively.

RESULTS

Fifty-three studies were eligible, the majority having moderate (70.6%) or high (11.8%) risk of bias and not adequately controlling for possible confounders. C3 hypocomplementemia during stable/inactive disease was associated with increased risk (2.0 to 3.8-fold) for subsequent flare in three out of seven relevant studies. Three out of four studies reported a significant effect of C4 hypocomplementemia on flare risk, including one study in lupus nephritis (likelihood ratio-positive 12.0). An increased incidence of flares (2.0 to 2.8-fold) was reported in 11 out of 16 studies assessing the prognostic effect of high anti-dsDNA, and similarly, the majority of studies yielded significant relationships with renal flares. Six studies examined the effect of combined (rather than individual) serological activity, confirming the increased risk (2.0 to 2.7-fold) for relapses. No consistent association was found with organ damage.

CONCLUSION

Notwithstanding the heterogeneity and risk of bias, existing evidence indicates a modest association between abnormal serology and risk for flare in patients with stable/inactive SLE. These findings provide limited support for inclusion of serology in the treat-to-target approach but rationalize to further investigate their prognostic implications especially in lupus nephritis.

Indications and considerations for kidney biopsy: an overview of clinical considerations for the non-specialist

Around 3 million people in the UK have chronic kidney disease and 20% of hospital admissions are complicated by acute kidney injury. Decline in kidney function is not a diagnosis; it is essential to identify and treat underlying causes of acute and chronic kidney disease to either achieve recovery or slow the decline of kidney function. Thorough clinical assessment and simple investigations help determine the category of kidney injury (pre-renal, intrinsic or post-renal) and inform the need for kidney biopsy, which can provide significant information in the evaluation of suspected intrinsic kidney disease, supporting diagnosis, guiding prognosis and management, and identifying disease relapse. The procedure is invasive and not without risk, which although small has the potential to be both organ- and life-threatening. This review outlines roles of kidney biopsy for the non-specialist, with focus of its role in patients with diabetes, lupus, myeloma and in the older patient.

Differences in rituximab use between pediatric rheumatologists and nephrologists for the treatment of refractory lupus nephritis and renal flare in childhood-onset SLE

BACKGROUND

Consensus treatment plans have been developed for induction therapy of newly diagnosed proliferative lupus nephritis (LN) in childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus. However, patients who do not respond to initial therapy, or who develop renal flare after remission, warrant escalation of treatment. Our objective was to assess current practices of pediatric nephrologists and rheumatologists in North America in treatment of refractory proliferative LN and flare.

METHODS

Members of Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) and the American Society for Pediatric Nephrology (ASPN) were surveyed in November 2015 to assess therapy choices (other than modifying steroid dosing) and level of agreement between rheumatologists and nephrologists for proliferative LN patients. Two cases were presented: (1) refractory disease after induction treatment with corticosteroid and cyclophosphamide (CYC) and (2) nephritis flare after initial response to treatment. Survey respondents chose treatments for three follow up scenarios for each case that varied by severity of presentation. Treatment options included CYC, mycophenolate mofetil (MMF), rituximab (RTX), and others, alone or in combination.

RESULTS

Seventy-six respondents from ASPN and foty-one respondents from CARRA represented approximately 15 % of the eligible members from each organization. Treatment choices between nephrologists and rheumatologists were highly variable and received greater than 50 % agreement for an individual treatment choice in only the following 2 of 6 follow up scenarios: 59 % of nephrologists, but only 38 % of rheumatologists, chose increasing dose of MMF in the case of LN refractory to induction therapy with proteinuria, hematuria, and improved serum creatinine. In a follow up scenario showing severe renal flare after achieving remission with induction therapy, 58 % of rheumatologists chose CYC and RTX combination therapy, whereas the top choice for nephrologists (43 %) was CYC alone. Rheumatologists in comparison to nephrologists chose more therapy options that contained RTX in all follow up scenarios except one (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Therapy choices for pediatric rheumatologists and nephrologists in the treatment of refractory LN or LN flare were highly variable with rheumatologists more often choosing rituximab. Further investigation is necessary to delineate the reasons behind this finding. This study highlights the importance of collaborative efforts in developing consensus treatment plans for pediatric LN.

The Asia-Pacific League of Associations for Rheumatology consensus statements on the management of systemic lupus erythematosus

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is prevalent in Asia and carries a variable prognosis among patients across the Asia-Pacific region, which could relate to access to health care, tolerability of medications, and adherence to therapies. Because many aspects of SLE are unique among patients from this region, the Asia-Pacific League of Associations for Rheumatology developed the first set of consensus recommendations on the management of SLE. A core panel of 13 rheumatologists drafted a set of statements through face-to-face meeting and teleconferences. A literature review was done for each statement to grade the quality of evidence and strength of recommendation. 29 independent specialists and three patients with SLE were then recruited for a modified Delphi process to establish consensus on the statements through an online voting platform. A total of 34 consensus recommendations were developed. Panellists agreed that patients with SLE should be referred to a specialist for the formulation of a treatment plan through shared decision making between patients and physicians. Remission was agreed to be the goal of therapy, but when it cannot be achieved, a low disease activity state should be aimed for. Patients should be screened for renal disease, and hydroxychloroquine is recommended for all Asian people with SLE. Major organ manifestations of SLE should be treated with induction immunosuppression and subsequently maintenance; options include cyclophosphamide, mycophenolate mofetil, azathioprine, and calcineurin inhibitors, in combination with glucocorticoids. Biologics, combination regimens, plasma exchange, and intravenous immunoglobulins should be reserved for cases of refractory or life-threatening disease. Anticoagulation therapy with warfarin is preferred to the direct oral anticoagulants for thromboembolic SLE manifestations associated with a high-risk antiphospholipid antibody profile.

Immunosuppressive therapy withdrawal after remission achievement in patients with lupus nephritis

AIM

Whether immunosuppressive therapy (IS) may be safely withdrawn in lupus nephritis (LN) is still unclear. We assessed rate and predictors of flare after IS withdrawal in patients with LN in remission.

METHODS

Patients with biopsy-proven LN treated with IS between 1980 and 2020 were considered. Remission was defined as normal serum creatinine, proteinuria <0.5 g/24h, inactive urine sediment, and no extra-renal SLE activity on stable immunosuppressive and/or antimalarial therapy and/or prednisone ≤5mg/day. IS discontinuation was defined as the complete withdrawal of immunosuppressants, flares according to SLEDAI Flare Index. Predictors of flare were analyzed by multivariate logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Among 513 SLE patients included in our database, 270 had LN. Of them, 238 underwent renal biopsy and were treated with ISs. Eighty-three patients (34.8%) discontinued IS, 46 ± 30 months after remission achievement. During a mean±SD follow-up of 116.5 ± 78 months, 19 patients (22.8%) developed a flare (8/19 renal) and were re-treated; 14/19 (73.7%) re-achieved remission after restarting therapy. Patients treated with IS therapy for at least three years after remission achievement had the lowest risk of relapse (OR 0.284, 95% CI 0.093-0.867, p= 0.023). At multivariate analysis, antimalarial maintenance therapy (OR 0.194, 95%CI 0.038-0.978, p= 0.047), age at IS discontinuation (OR 0.93, 95%CI 0.868-0.997, p= 0.040), remission duration >3 years before IS discontinuation (OR 0.231, 95%CI 0.058-0.920, p= 0.038) were protective against disease flares.

CONCLUSIONS

Withdrawal of IS is feasible in LN patients in remission for at least 3 years and on antimalarial therapy. Patients who experience flares can re-achieve remission with an appropriate treatment.

Risikostratifizierung ausgewählter schwerer Organbeteiligungen bei Systemischer Sklerose und bei Lupus-Nephritis

Interstitielle Lungenerkrankung (ILD), pulmonal-arterielle Hypertonie (PAH), kardiale Beteiligung und renale Krise sind schwere Prognose-bestimmende Manifestationen der Systemischen Sklerose (SSc). Digitale Ulcerationen führen zu erheblicher Beeinträchtigung von Erwerbsfähigkeit und Lebensqualität. Im Rahmen der Betreuung von SSc-Patienten ist daher eine Risikostratifizierung in Hinblick auf Entwicklung und Progression dieser schweren Manifestationen von wesentlicher Bedeutung. Risikofaktoren für die Entwicklung einer SSc-ILD sind diffuse cutane Sklerodermie (dcSSc), männliches Geschlecht und der Nachweis von Topoisomerase-I-Antikörpern. Ausmaß und Verlauf der SSc-ILD sind variabel. Klinik, Ausgangsbefund und Dynamik der Lungenfunktion und hochauflösendes CT (HR-CT) des Thorax werden genutzt, um frühzeitig Patienten zu identifizieren, welche einer Immunsuppression bedürfen und von jenen zu unterscheiden, bei denen zunächst engmaschige Verlaufskontrollen vertretbar sind. Zu den Risikofaktoren einer SSc-PAH zählen langer Krankheitsverlauf, hohes Lebensalter bei Beginn der SSc, schwere Raynaud-Symptomatik, schwere digitale Ischämien sowie Teleangiektasien, der Nachweis von Centromer-Antikörpern sowie Antikörpern gegen Endothelin-A-Rezeptor und Angiotensin-1-Rezeptor und Hyperurikämie. Bei etablierter PAH erfolgt die Risikostratifizierung auf Basis der kalkulierten 1-Jahres-Mortaliät. Zur Kalkulation der 1-Jahresmortalität werden anamnestische und klinische Parameter wie Symptomprogression, Auftreten von Synkopen, Vorhandensein klinischer Zeichen einer Rechtsherzinsuffizienz, funktionelle WHO-Klasse, funktionsdiagnostische, laborchemische, echokardiografische sowie hämodynamische Parameter herangezogen. Nach den aktuellen Empfehlungen zur Therapie der PAH ist eine primäre Kombinationstherapie zumindest ab WHO-Funktionsklasse III und einem intermediären Risiko (1-Jahres-Mortalität≥5%) indiziert. Wesentliche Risikofaktoren einer kardialen Beteiligung bei SSc sind höheres Lebensalter, dcSSc und der Nachweis von Topoisomerase I-Antikörpern. Zu den Risikofaktoren der renalen Krise bei SSc zählen dcSSc, männliches Geschlecht, der Nachweis von RNA-Polymerase III-Antikörpern, vorbestehende Proteinurie, aber auch eine Vortherapie mit Glukokortikoiden, ACE-Hemmern und Cyclosporin. Digitale Ulcera (DU) treten bei ca. 50% der Patienten auf. Risikofaktoren von DU sind dcSSc, Nachweis von Topoisomerase I-Antikörpern, früher Beginn der Raynaud-Symptomatik, hoher Rodnan Skin Score und männliches Geschlecht. Entscheidendes Therapieziel bei der Lupus-Nephritis (LN) ist der Erhalt einer normalen Nierenfunktion und die Vermeidung einer terminalen Niereninsuffizienz, welche mit einer erhöhten Letalität assoziiert ist. Zu den Risikofaktoren eines ungünstigen Langzeitverlaufs der LN zählen v. a. eine initiale irreversible Nierenfunktionseinschränkung im Zusammenhang mit irreversiblen chronischen Läsionen in der Nierenbiopsie, unzureichend kontrollierte arterielle Hypertonie, ausgeprägte initiale Proteinurie und männliches Geschlecht. Eine effektive Reduktion der Proteinurie auf<0,5–0,8 g/d innerhalb von 12 Monaten nach Beginn der Remissionsinduktion signalisiert dagegen eine günstige Prognose. Frühestmögliche Diagnose der LN und umgehende auf dem Befund der Nierenbiopsie basierende Therapie sowie Reinduktion bei ausbleibender Remission sind entscheidend für eine Minimierung der Risikos.

Machine Learning for Prediction and Risk Stratification of Lupus Nephritis Renal Flare

BACKGROUND

Renal flare of lupus nephritis (LN) is strongly associated with poor kidney outcomes, and predicting renal flare and stratifying its risk are important for clinical decision-making and individualized management to reduce LN flare.

METHODS

We randomly divided 1,694 patients with biopsy-proven LN, who had achieved remission after treatment, into a derivation cohort (n = 1,186) and an internal validation cohort (n = 508), at a ratio of 7:3. The risk of renal flare 5 years after remission was predicted using an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) method model, developed from 59 variables, including demographic, clinical, immunological, pathological, and therapeutic characteristics. A simplified risk score prediction model (SRSPM) was developed from important variables selected by XGBoost model using stepwise Cox regression for practical convenience.

RESULTS

The 5-year relapse rates were 39.5% and 38.2% in the derivation and internal validation cohorts, respectively. Both the XGBoost model and the SRSPM had good predictive performance, with a C-index of 0.819 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.774-0.857) and 0.746 (95% CI: 0.697-0.795), respectively, in the validation cohort. The SRSPM comprised 6 variables, including partial remission and endocapillary hypercellularity at baseline, age, serum Alb, anti-dsDNA, and serum complement C3 at the point of remission. Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, the SRSPM identified significant risk stratification for renal flares (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Renal flare of LN can be readily predicted using the XGBoost model and the SRSPM, and the SRSPM can also stratify flare risk. Both models are useful for clinical decision-making and individualized management in LN.

Predicting lupus flares: epidemiological and disease related risk factors

Introduction: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disorder, characterized by a relapsing and remitting pattern of disease activity in majority of the patients. Areas covered: This narrative review provides an overview of flare definition, major flare mimics, and the burden of flares in SLE. The authors highlight epidemiology and disease-related risk factor for flares and discuss strategies to reduce flares in SLE. Articles were selected from Pubmed searches conducted between June 2020 and September 2020. Expert opinion: Prolonged clinical remission is observed in approximately 20% of SLE patients flare over the course of the disease. Studies have shown that low disease activity is a good target in SLE, with similar risk of flares, mortality, and quality of life when compared to patients in remission. Clinical and immunological features have shown inconsistent results to identify patients at risk of flares in different cohorts. Cytokine, in serum and urine, has shown promising results to predict flares. However to be useful in clinical practice, they have to be simple, easy, and cost-effective. Future efforts in this direction will allow a more personalized treatment plan for SLE patients, reducing the burden associated with flares.

Urinary exosomal miR-146a as a marker of albuminuria, activity changes and disease flares in lupus nephritis

BACKGROUND

Urinary exosomes, especially microRNAs (miRNAs) packaged within, are ideal sources of renal damage markers. We investigated the association between exosomal miR-146a, (anti-inflammatory regulator) and disease activity, proteinuria and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) flares over a 36-month follow-up period.

METHODS

We isolated urinary exosomes from 41 SLE patients, 27 with lupus nephritis (LN) and 20 healthy controls, and exosomal miR-146a, quantified by the real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR), was correlated with histological features in 13 renal biopsies. We also analysed the association between the exosomal miR-146a and TRAF6 axis.

RESULTS

Exosomal miR-146a showed an inverse association with circulating C3 and C4 complement components, proteinuria, and with histological features such as chronicity index. This marker was able to identify LN with an AUC of 0.82 (p = 0.001). Basal exosomal miR-146a was associated with disease activity and proteinuria changes and was an independent marker of 36-month follow-up flares (OR 7.08, p = 0.02). Pathway analysis identified IRAK1 and TRAF6 as miR-146a target genes. Finally, in vitro experiments suggested that miR-146a exerts a protective effect through negative regulation of inflammation by suppressing IRAK1 and TRAF6.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary exosomal miR-146a levels are correlated with lupus activity, proteinuria and histological features, discriminating patients with LN and being a good baseline marker of SLE flares. We have identified a relevant biological miR-146a-TRAF6 axis association in LN renal fibrosis progression.

Lupus nephritis

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a form of glomerulonephritis that constitutes one of the most severe organ manifestations of the autoimmune disease systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Most patients with SLE who develop LN do so within 5 years of an SLE diagnosis and, in many cases, LN is the presenting manifestation resulting in the diagnosis of SLE. Understanding of the genetic and pathogenetic basis of LN has improved substantially over the past few decades. Treatment of LN usually involves immunosuppressive therapy, typically with mycophenolate mofetil or cyclophosphamide and with glucocorticoids, although these treatments are not uniformly effective. Despite increased knowledge of disease pathogenesis and improved treatment options, LN remains a substantial cause of morbidity and death among patients with SLE. Within 10 years of an initial SLE diagnosis, 5-20% of patients with LN develop end-stage kidney disease, and the multiple comorbidities associated with immunosuppressive treatment, including infections, osteoporosis and cardiovascular and reproductive effects, remain a concern. Clearly, early and accurate diagnosis of LN and prompt initiation of therapy are of vital importance to improve outcomes in patients with SLE.

Comparison of lupus patients with early and late onset nephritis: a study in 71 patients from a single referral center

BACKGROUND

Nephritis occurs frequently in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and may worsen disease morbidity and mortality. Knowing all characteristics of this manifestation helps to a prompt recognition and treatment.

AIM

To compare the differences in clinical data, serological profile and treatment response of nephritis of early and late onset.

METHODS

Retrospective study of 71 SLE patients with biopsy proven nephritis divided in early nephritis group (diagnosis of nephritis in the first 5 years of the disease) and late nephritis (diagnosis of nephritis after 5 years). Epidemiological, serological, clinical and treatment data were collected from charts and compared.

RESULTS

In this sample, 70. 4% had early onset nephritis and 29.6% had late onset. No differences were noted in epidemiological, clinical, serological profile, SLICC and SLEDAI, except that late onset nephritis patients were older at nephritis diagnosis (p = 0.01). Regarding renal biopsy classification, C3 and C4 levels, serum creatinine, 24 h proteinuria and response rate to treatment the two groups were similar (p = NS). Patients with early onset had lower levels of hemoglobin at nephritis onset than those of late onset (p = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

Most of SLE patients had nephritis in the first 5 years of disease. No major differences were noted when disease profile or treatment outcome of early and late onset nephritis were compared.

Impact of stringent response in proteinuria on long-term renal outcomes in proliferative lupus nephritis

Objectives

Favourable long-term prognosis in proliferative lupus nephritis (LN) is associated with the achievement of complete renal response (CR), which is defined as a urine protein/creatinine ratio (UPCR) of < 0.5. However, it is unclear whether a more stringent cut-off for proteinuria (normal value of proteinuria; UPCR < 0.15) is better than CR. We aimed to evaluate the effect of stringent CR, defined as a UPCR of <0.15, on long-term renal outcomes in proliferative LN.

Methods

We included 87 patients with class III or IV LN who achieved CR at one year after induction therapy. Clinical and laboratory data were compared between the stringent and non-stringent CR groups. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with achievement of stringent CR. Cox analysis was performed to analyse the risk factors for renal flare and development of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Results

The stringent and non-stringent CR groups included 58 and 29 patients, respectively. The two groups showed no significant baseline differences in terms of the clinical, laboratory and pathological classification. The sustained CR rates during five years were 91.3% and 50.0% ( p = 0.014) in the stringent and non-stringent CR groups, respectively. In Cox analyses, the achievement of stringent CR was associated with a lower risk of five-year renal flare rate (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.161, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.063–0.411, p < 0.01) and development of CKD (HR = 0.189, 95% CI 0.047–0.752, p = 0.018). Mycophenolate mofetil induction therapy was associated with achievement of stringent CR at a borderline level of significance (HR = 7.268, 95% CI 0.894–59.089, p = 0.064).

Conclusion

Achievement of stringent CR predicted lower risk of renal flare and development of CKD in proliferative LN. These findings suggest that stringent CR is a valuable treatment target in proliferative LN.

Hydroxycloroquine blood concentration in lupus nephritis: a determinant of disease outcome?

Background

Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) is a recommended drug in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). It has a long terminal half-life, making it an attractive target for therapeutic drug monitoring. The aim of this study was to establish a relationship between blood HCQ concentration and lupus nephritis activity.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective observational study with data collected from clinical and laboratory records. Inclusion criteria were patients followed in the lupus clinic with biopsy-proven International Society of Nephrology/Renal Pathology Society Classes III, IV or V lupus nephritis on HCQ for at least 3 months (200-400 mg daily) and with HCQ levels measured during treatment. Exclusion criteria were patients on renal replacement therapy at baseline or patients lost to follow-up.

Results

In 171 patients, the HCQ level was measured in 1282 samples. The mean HCQ blood level was 0.75±0.54mg/L and it was bimodally distributed. An HCQ level <0.20 mg/L [232 samples (18.1%)] appeared to define a distinct group of abnormally low HCQ levels. For patients in complete or partial remission at baseline compared with those remaining in remission, patients with renal flare during follow-up had a significantly lower average HCQ level (0.59 versus 0.81 mg/L; P= 0.005). Our data suggest an HCQ target level to reduce the likelihood of renal flares >0.6 mg/L (600 ng/mL) in those patients with lupus nephritis.

Conclusion

HCQ level monitoring may offer a new approach to identify non-adherent patients and support them appropriately. We propose an HCQ minimum target level of at least 0.6 mg/L to reduce the renal flare rate, but this will require a prospective study for validation.

Remission and long-term outcomes of proliferative lupus nephritis: retrospective study of 96 patients from Saudi Arabia

Background

Few data are available about the rate of short-term remission and its impact on the long-term outcomes of proliferative lupus nephritis in the Middle East.

Methods

An observational study was carried out involving 96 adult patients with biopsy-proven focal or diffuse proliferative lupus nephritis (PLN) from four different hospitals. Data on induction, remission and long-term outcomes were collected and analyzed.

Results

Among the 96 patients with biopsy-proven PLN (median age 27 (IQR: 21,34) years, 85% women and median duration of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) prior to diagnosis 27 (IQR: 11, 55) months), 67% developed remission at 6 months (proportion 0.67; 95% CI 0.57, 0.76). Mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) was used in 45/96 (47%), CYC in 41/95 (43%) and other agents in 10/96 (10%). The choice of MMF as induction agent has increased in recent years. Among baseline characteristics, only histologic activity was found to have a significant association with remission, with active lesions more likely to remit than active/chronic and chronic lesions (AOR 6.5, 95% CI 1.44–29.39, p = 0.015). Based on Kaplan–Meier analysis, the 5-year renal survival rate without doubling serum creatinine was 73.8%. Compared to patients with complete remission, lower long-term renal survival rates were observed in patients with no remission (89.7 versus 43%, p = 0.001) and partial remission (89.7 versus 77.6%, p = 0.256). The cumulative rate of doubling serum creatinine, dialysis, relapse and death was 23%, 11%, 10% and 5%, respectively, at 48-month median follow up.

Conclusion

Approximately two-thirds of patients with PLN develop remission in response to standard induction therapy. Remission was negatively associated with the presence of chronic changes in renal biopsy. Overall, MMF is the most commonly used agent to induce remission; however, with more severe disease CYC, is used more frequently. PLN is associated with significant long-term renal outcomes including a 26% cumulative rate of doubling of serum creatinine at 5 years. Initial remission predicts this long-term renal survival.

Delayed lupus nephritis in the course of systemic lupus erythematosus is associated with a poorer treatment response: a multicentre, retrospective cohort study in Japan

Objective

The objective of this study was to investigate possible differences in treatment responses between two categories for the onset of lupus nephritis.

Methods

We performed a multicentre, retrospective cohort study of class III–V lupus nephritis patients diagnosed between 1997 and 2014. The renal responses to initial induction therapy were compared between patients who developed lupus nephritis within one year from diagnosis of systemic lupus erythematosus (early (E-) LN) and the remainder (delayed (D-) LN) using the Kaplan–Meier method. We determined the predictors of renal response as well as renal flares and long-term renal outcomes using multivariate Cox regression analyses.

Results

A total of 107 E-LN and 70 D-LN patients were followed up for a median of 10.2 years. Log-rank tests showed a lower cumulative incidence of complete response in D-LN compared with E-LN patients. Multivariate analysis identified D-LN (hazard ratio (HR) 0.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.33–0.70), nephrotic syndrome at baseline, and a chronicity index greater than 2 as negative predictors of complete response. D-LN patients were more likely to experience renal flares. D-LN (HR 2.54, 95% CI 1.10–5.83) and decreased renal function were significant predictors of chronic kidney disease at baseline.

Conclusion

D-LN was a predictor of poorer treatment outcomes, in addition to renal histology and severity of nephritis at lupus nephritis onset.

The Prevalence and Causes of Non-adherence to Immunosuppressive Medications in Patients with Lupus Nephritis Flares

BACKGROUND

Lupus nephritis is one of the major manifestations of SLE. Poor adherence to medications is an important cause of not achieving treatment targets.

METHODS

We assessed patients' adherence to immune-suppressive medications in patients with Lupus nephritis using the Morisky, Green, and Levine (MGL) Adherence Scale. The aim was to study the effect of non-adherence on the occurrence of renal flares.

RESULTS

We recruited 104 patients with lupus nephritis. Sixty-six patients had flares of LN. There was a high prevalence of non-adherence to medications (n=68). Patients who were non-adherent to treatment had more renal flares (p= 0.02). Duration of lupus since diagnosis was significantly higher in patients who had renal flares. Using regression analysis, non-adherence to medications was associated with 3.7 higher risk of developing a single renal flare and 4.9 higher risk of developing more than one renal flare. Causes of non-adherence were medications side effects in 43% of patients, financial issues in 31% or forgetfulness in 26%.

CONCLUSION

Non-adherence to immunosuppressive medications has a high prevalence in patients with lupus nephritis and is correlated with the number of renal flares.

Clinical Outcomes and Clinico-pathological Correlations in Lupus Nephritis with Kidney Biopsy Showing Thrombotic Microangiopathy

Objective.

Renal thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) is an uncommon pathological finding in lupus nephritis (LN), and its clinical significance remains to be defined.

Methods.

Twenty-four patients with lupus nephritis (LN) and renal TMA were selected from a retrospective review of 677 biopsy-proven LN patients, and compared with 48 LN controls without TMA (1:2 ratio) matched according to demographics and treatments.

Results.

Renal TMA was noted in 3.5% of kidney biopsies of LN. TMA was associated with a higher prevalence of anti-Ro (45.8% vs 18.8%; p = 0.016), higher Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index scores (21.4 ± 8.5 vs 10.8 ± 2.3; p < 0.001), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR; 16.8 ± 11.7 ml/min vs 77.8 ± 28.6 ml/min; p < 0.001), and a higher percentage of patients who required dialysis (37.5% vs 2.1%; p < 0.001) at the time of kidney biopsy. Activity and chronicity indices [median (range)] were higher in the TMA group [11 (2–19) and 3 (1–8), respectively, compared with 7 (0–15) and 1 (0–3) in controls; p = 0.004 and p < 0.001; respectively]. Patients with TMA showed inferior 5-year renal survival and higher incidence of chronic kidney disease at last followup (70% and 66.6%, respectively, compared with 95% and 29.2% in controls; p = 0.023 and 0.002, respectively). The TMA group also showed lower median eGFR compared with controls [50.1 (IQR 7–132) ml/min vs 85.0 (IQR 12–147) ml/min; p = 0.003]. Five-year patient survival rate was similar between the 2 groups (87% and 98% in TMA and control group, respectively; p = 0.127).

Conclusion.

TMA in kidney biopsy was associated with more severe clinical and histological activity, and significantly inferior longterm renal outcome in LN.

Remission of proteinuria under therapeutic intervention and the renal outcomes in Japanese patients with lupus nephritis class III and IV

AbstractsBackground: Recent studies have identified the significance of proteinuria levels after initial induction therapies on the renal outcomes in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis, but the issue has not been evaluated in Japanese patients.Methods: Based on the ISN/RPS classification, only patients diagnosed with lupus nephritis class III or IV were included. The remission of proteinuria 12 months after diagnosis, as well as the clinicopathological features at diagnosis, on renal outcomes was examined retrospectively. Renal progression was defined as a 50% decrease in the estimated glomerular filtration rate or the development of end-stage renal disease.Results: This study included 82 Japanese patients with a median follow-up period of seven years. Although all patients received intensive induction therapy, 15 patients (18%) showed progression. Proteinuric remission 12 months after diagnosis predicted a good renal outcome by multivariate analysis. A receiver-operating characteristic analysis of 38 patients whose quantitative urinary protein excretion levels at 12 months were available for analysis showed that a cut-off value of 0.8 g/day predicted renal progression most effectively. Neither the renal function nor proteinuria level at diagnosis were associated with the renal outcomes.Conclusion: In Japanese patients with lupus nephritis class III or IV, proteinuria levels after 12 months under intensive therapy predicted renal outcomes more accurately than did factors identified at diagnosis.

Complete renal response at 12 months after induction therapy is associated with renal relapse-free rate in lupus nephritis: a single-center, retrospective cohort study

Background

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a major risk factor for overall morbidity and mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed cases of proliferative and membranous LN patients who underwent a renal biopsy at our hospital in 1993–2016. We analyzed the association between complete renal response (CR) rates at 12 months after induction therapy and predictive factors for CR and their association with renal flares.

Results

Of the 95 cases analyzed, we were able to track the therapeutic responses of 81 patients at 12 months after their induction therapy. The median follow-up duration after renal biopsy was 51 months (interquartile range: 16.5–154.5 months). The Cox proportional hazards model showed that, compared to not attaining CR at 12 months, the attainment of CR at 12 months was correlated with being free from renal flares. The multivariate logistic analysis revealed that the predictive factors for CR at 12 months were the anti-La/SSB antibodies (U/ml) (odds ratio (OR) 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01–1.63, p = 0.0220), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (OR 0.68, 95% CI 0.44–0.90, p = 0.00048) and serum β2 microglobulin (MG) (OR 0.26, 95% CI 0.06–0.74, p = 0.00098) levels.

Conclusions

Among LN patients, being free from renal flares was associated with attaining CR at 12 months after induction therapy. Anti-La/SSB antibodies were a positive predictive factor, and BUN and serum β2MG levels were negative predictive factors of CR at 12 months.

Combined immunosuppressive treatment (CIST) in lupus nephritis: a multicenter, randomized controlled study

OBJECTIVES

The standard strategy for treating lupus nephritis comprises glucocorticoids together with either intravenous cyclophosphamide or oral mycophenolate mofetil, but the low remission rate is still a challenge in practice. This study was aimed to seek higher remission rate of lupus nephritis using a combined strategy.

METHOD

A 24-week trial was conducted in 17 rheumatology or nephrology centers in China. A total of 191 lupus nephritis patients were randomized to follow a combined immunosuppressive treatment (CIST) with intravenous cyclophosphamide, an oral immunosuppressive agent, namely mycophenolate mofetil, azathioprine or leflunomide, and hydroxychloroquine (n = 95), or receive intravenous cyclophosphamide alone (n = 96) for 24 weeks. Glucocorticoid was given to both groups. The primary end point was a complete remission with a most stringent standard as proteinuria < 150 mg per 24 h, normal urinary sediment, serum albumin, and renal function at 24 weeks. The secondary end point was treatment failure at 24 weeks.

RESULTS

At week 24, both the rate of complete remission (39.5%) and total response (87.2%) was higher in the combined group, compared with CYC group (20.8% and 68.8%, p < 0.05). The cumulative probability of complete remission was also higher in the combined group (p = 0.013). In addition, the combined treatment was superior to routine CYC with less treatment failure (12.8% vs.31.2%, p < 0.001). No difference was found between the incidences of severe adverse events in the two arms: 3.2% (3/95 combined group) vs.4.2% (4/96 CYC group).

CONCLUSION

Treatment with a combined immunosuppressive agent is superior to routine CYC only therapy in lupus nephritis.

Inhibition of microRNA-182-5p contributes to attenuation of lupus nephritis via Foxo1 signaling

MiR-182-5p suppresses expression of Foxo1 that is a protective factor in renal disorders and is up-regulated in systemic lupus erythematosus patients. Thus, we hypothesized that dys-function of miR-182-5p/Foxo1 axis contributed to development of lupus nephritis (LN). Firstly, we investigated the expressions of miR-182-5p and Foxo1 in LN patients and during growth of LN MRL/lpr mice. Then we subjected MRL/lpr mice to the injection of miR-182-5p antagomirs and assessed the effect of miR-182-5p inhibition on renal structure and function. In vitro, we administrated renal cell lines with TGF-β1 to explore the relation between renal fibrosis and miR-182-5p. The level of miR-182-5p was up-regulated in high Chronicity Index patients while the level of Foxo1 was suppressed. The progression of LN in mice was associated with the increased level of miR-182-5p and the decreased level of Foxo1. The inhibition of miR-182-5p ameliorated renal structure and function impairments associated with LN, along with the increased expression of Foxo1. The administration of TGF-β1 in vitro increased the expression of miR-182-5p in renal cells in an overall dose-dependent manner. The current study demonstrated that the expression of miR-182-5p was increased in LN patients, contributing to the suppression of Foxo1 and development of LN.

Podocyte foot process width is a prediction marker for complete renal response at 6 and 12 months after induction therapy in lupus nephritis

Morphological change that includes diffuse effacement of podocyte foot processes is correlated with proteinuria in patients with lupus nephritis (LN). We collected the data of clinico-pathological parameters and assessed foot process width (FPW) as an index of podocyte effacement in 73 patients with LN who had undergone renal biopsy. The multivariate analysis revealed that female gender (OR: 5.288; 95%CI: 1.197-37.29; p = .0267) and FPW (OR = 0.999, 95%CI = 0.997-0.999, p = .0150) were significantly predictive of a complete renal response (CR) at 6 months, while lymphocyte counts (OR = 1.002; 95%CI = 1.001-1.003, p = .0028) and FPW (OR = 0.998, 95%CI = 0.996-0.999, p = .0027) were significantly predictive of CR at 12 months. The cut-off point determined by the Classification and Regression Trees algorithm showed that FPW <908.3 nm provides the best performance for predicting patients who achieve CR at 12 months. A smaller FPW appears to be a predictive factor for CR at 6 and 12 months after induction therapy.

Does cyclophosphamide still play a role in glomerular diseases?

Cyclophosphamide is a prodrug that is converted to inactive carboxy-cyclophosphamide, acrolein and phosphoramide mustard, an agent that adds alkyl groups to oxygen and nitrogen atoms of guanine, one of the four nitrogen bases that form the DNA nucleotides, causing DNA cross-links and introducing DNA breaks. These cytotoxic and mutagenic effects mainly occur in proliferating cells. Repair mechanisms may prevent DNA damage in quiescent cells, but they may be insufficient to contrast the side effects of cyclophosphamide if high doses of the drug are used. Most adverse events are dose- and age-dependent. Phosphoramide mustard can cause bone marrow toxicity, gonadal toxicity, and may favor the development of leukemia, bladder cancer and other types of malignancy. Acrolein can produce hemorrhagic cystitis and even bladder fibrosis when given for prolonged periods. A number of precautional measures should be taken to prevent these untoward events. In particular, long-term administration and high doses of cyclophosphamide should be avoided whenever possible. Today the indications to cyclophosphamide in glomerular diseases are more restricted than in the past, but the drug is still used as a steroid-sparing agent in steroid-sensitive minimal change disease and focal segmental glomerulosclerosis. In membranous nephropathy, cyclophosphamide, alternated or associated with corticosteroids, proved to be beneficial in obtaining remission of nephrotic syndrome and preserving renal function. Cyclophosphamide is considered as a first-line treatment for rapidly progressive glomerulonephritis and the hectic phases of lupus nephritis. In conclusion, cyclophosphamide is a cheap drug that may be useful in a number of glomerular diseases but it may lead to severe side effects. A close monitoring of blood count and clinical conditions, as well as low cumulative doses of cyclophosphamide are strongly recommended when using the drug in patients with renal diseases.

Immunosuppressive treatment for proliferative lupus nephritis

BACKGROUND

Cyclophosphamide, in combination with corticosteroids, has been first-line treatment for inducing disease remission for proliferative lupus nephritis, reducing death at five years from over 50% in the 1950s and 1960s to less than 10% in recent years. Several treatment strategies designed to improve remission rates and minimise toxicity have become available. Treatments, including mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) and calcineurin inhibitors, alone and in combination, may have equivalent or improved rates of remission, lower toxicity (less alopecia and ovarian failure) and uncertain effects on death, end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and infection. This is an update of a Cochrane review first published in 2004 and updated in 2012.

OBJECTIVES

Our objective was to assess the evidence and evaluate the benefits and harms of different immunosuppressive treatments in people with biopsy-proven lupus nephritis. The following questions relating to management of proliferative lupus nephritis were addressed: 1) Are new immunosuppressive agents superior to or as effective as cyclophosphamide plus corticosteroids? 2) Which agents, dosages, routes of administration and duration of therapy should be used? 3) Which toxicities occur with the different treatment regimens?

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Specialised Register up to 2 March 2018 with support from the Cochrane Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Specialised Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal and ClinicalTrials.gov.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-RCTs comparing any immunosuppressive treatment for biopsy-proven class III, IV, V+III and V+VI lupus nephritis in adult or paediatric patients were included.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Data were abstracted and the risks of bias were assessed independently by two authors. Dichotomous outcomes were calculated as risk ratio (RR) and measures on continuous scales calculated as mean differences (MD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The primary outcomes were death (all causes) and complete disease remission for induction therapy and disease relapse for maintenance therapy. Evidence certainty was determined using GRADE.

MAIN RESULTS

In this review update, 26 new studies were identified, to include 74 studies involving 5175 participants overall. Twenty-nine studies included children under the age of 18 years with lupus nephritis, however only two studies exclusively examined the treatment of lupus nephritis in patients less than 18 years of age.Induction therapy Sixty-seven studies (4791 participants; median 12 months duration (range 2.5 to 48 months)) reported induction therapy. The effects of all treatment strategies on death (all causes) and ESKD were uncertain (very low certainty evidence) as this outcome occurred very infrequently. Compared with intravenous (IV) cyclophosphamide, MMF may have increased complete disease remission (RR 1.17, 95% CI 0.97 to 1.42; low certainty evidence), although the range of effects includes the possibility of little or no difference.Compared to IV cyclophosphamide, MMF is probably associated with decreased alopecia (RR 0.29, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.46; 170 less (129 less to 194 less) per 1000 people) (moderate certainty evidence), increased diarrhoea (RR 2.42, 95% CI 1.64 to 3.58; 142 more (64 more to 257 more) per 1000 people) (moderate certainty evidence) and may have made little or no difference to major infection (RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.67 to 1.54; 2 less (38 less to 62 more) per 1000 people) (low certainty evidence). It is uncertain if MMF decreased ovarian failure compared to IV cyclophosphamide because the certainty of the evidence was very low (RR 0.36, 95% CI 0.06 to 2.18; 26 less (39 less to 49 more) per 1000 people). Studies were not generally designed to measure ESKD.MMF combined with tacrolimus may have increased complete disease remission (RR 2.38, 95% CI 1.07 to 5.30; 336 more (17 to 1048 more) per 1000 people (low certainty evidence) compared with IV cyclophosphamide, however the effects on alopecia, diarrhoea, ovarian failure, and major infection remain uncertain. Compared to standard of care, the effects of biologics on most outcomes were uncertain because of low to very low certainty of evidence.Maintenance therapyNine studies (767 participants; median 30 months duration (range 6 to 63 months)) reported maintenance therapy. In maintenance therapy, disease relapse is probably increased with azathioprine compared with MMF (RR 1.75, 95% CI 1.20 to 2.55; 114 more (30 to 236 more) per 1000 people (moderate certainty evidence). Multiple other interventions were compared as maintenance therapy, but patient-outcome data were sparse leading to imprecise estimates.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

In this review update, studies assessing treatment for proliferative lupus nephritis were not designed to assess death (all causes) or ESKD. MMF may lead to increased complete disease remission compared with IV cyclophosphamide, with an acceptable adverse event profile, although evidence certainty was low and included the possibility of no difference. Calcineurin combined with lower dose MMF may improve induction of disease remission compared with IV cyclophosphamide, but the comparative safety profile of these therapies is uncertain. Azathioprine may increase disease relapse as maintenance therapy compared with MMF.

Analysis of clinical risk factors in relapsed patients with class IV lupus nephritis

The present study aimed to investigate risk factors for renal recurrence in patients with type IV lupus nephritis (LN). Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to using the Cox proportional hazard model and the Kaplan-Meier method. A total 244 patients were diagnosed with type IV LN; 100 (28.49%) relapsed and 144 (41.03%) recovered successfully. Kaplan-Meier method analysis indicated that patients with type IV LN affecting the digestive tract had high renal recurrence rates. Patients with hyperglobulinemia, positive anti-ribonucleoprotein and anti-Sjögren's syndrome type B (anti-SSB) antibodies, thrombus in the loop or non-inflammatory necrotizing vasculopathy also had a high recurrence rate. Furthermore, patients achieving partial remission had an increased recurrence rate compared with patients achieving complete remission. Patients undergoing maintenance treatment with glucocorticoids alone had a higher recurrence rate compared with patients who used alternative treatment schemes. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses by the Cox proportional hazard model determined that the effect of systemic lupus erythematosus in the gastrointestinal tract, increased serum globulin levels and positive anti-SSB antibody at onset were risk factors for the recurrence of LN type IV. The present study demonstrated that clinical risk factors of renal recurrence in patients with LN type IV include LN in the gastrointestinal tract, increased serum globulin levels, positive anti-SSB antibodies at onset and the use of glucocorticoid-only maintenance treatment.

Predictive biological markers of systemic lupus erythematosus flares: a systematic literature review

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to identify the most reliable biomarkers in the literature that could be used as flare predictors in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

A systematic review of the literature was performed using two databases (MEDLINE and EMBASE) through April 2015 and congress abstracts from the American College of Rheumatology and the European League Against Rheumatism were reviewed from 2010 to 2014. Two independent reviewers screened titles and abstracts and analysed selected papers in detail, using a specific questionnaire. Reports addressing the relationships between one or more defined biological test(s) and the occurrence of disease exacerbation were included in the systematic review.

RESULTS

From all of the databases, 4668 records were retrieved, of which 69 studies or congress abstracts were selected for the systematic review. The performance of seven types of biomarkers performed routinely in clinical practice and nine types of novel biological markers was evaluated. Despite some encouraging results for anti-double-stranded DNA antibodies, anti-C1q antibodies, B-lymphocyte stimulator and tumour necrosis factor-like weak inducer of apoptosis, none of the biomarkers stood out from the others as a potential gold standard for flare prediction. The results were heterogeneous, and a lack of standardized data prevented us from identifying a powerful biomarker.

CONCLUSIONS

No powerful conclusions could be drawn from this systematic review due to a lack of standardized data. Efforts should be undertaken to optimize future research on potential SLE biomarkers to develop validated candidates. Thus, we propose a standardized pattern for future studies.

Sustained complete renal remission is a predictor of reduced mortality, chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease in lupus nephritis

Objective

The objective of this paper is to identify the relationship between patients with lupus nephritis (LN) who achieve sustained complete renal remission (CR) and renal outcome and survival.

Methods

From a longitudinal cohort study we identified patients with LN with CR. We compared the outcomes of patients who achieved sustained CR for at least five years (Group A) with those less than five years (Group B). The outcomes were death, SLICC/ACR damage index (SDI), renal flare, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 50 ml/min, and doubling of serum creatinine. Regression analyses were used to identify predictors of the outcomes.

Results

A total of 345 patients were identified, 132 patients in Group A and 213 patients in Group B. The duration of CR in Group A was 11.76 ± 7.34 years but only 1.24 ± 1.24 years in Group B ( p < 0.001). Death, increasing renal SDI, renal flare, renal transplantation, ESRD or eGFR < 50 ml/min, and doubling of serum creatinine in Group A were significantly lower than Group B. Multivariable analysis revealed that Group A patients were at a lower risk of death (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.20; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.07–0.61; p = 0.004), increasing renal SDI (HR = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.21–0.76; p = 0.01), developing ESRD or eGFR < 50 ml/min (HR = 0.27; 95% CI, 0.12–0.61; p = 0.001), and doubling of serum creatinine (HR = 0.29; 95% CI, 0.14–0.61; p = 0.001) compared with Group B.

Conclusion

Sustained CR for at least five years is a predictor of better prognosis in patients with LN.