Vascular interventions in the elderly

Safety of Men With Small and Medium Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms Under Surveillance in the NAAASP

BACKGROUND

Population screening for abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) has commenced in several countries, and has been shown to reduce AAA-related mortality by up to 50%. Most men who screen positive have an AAA <5.5 cm in diameter, the referral threshold for treatment, and are entered into an ultrasound surveillance program. This study aimed to determine the risk of ruptured AAA (rAAA) in men under surveillance.

METHODS

Men in the National Health Service AAA Screening Programme who initially had a small (3-4.4 cm) or medium (4.5-5.4 cm) AAA were followed up. The screening program's database collected data on ultrasound AAA diameter measurements, dates of referral, and loss to follow-up. Local screening programs recorded adverse outcomes, including rAAA and death. Rupture and mortality rates were calculated by initial and final known AAA diameter.

RESULTS

A total of 18 652 men were included (50 103 person-years of surveillance). Thirty-one men had rAAA during surveillance, of whom 29 died. Some 952 men died of other causes during surveillance, mainly cardiovascular complications (26.3%) and cancer (31.2%). The overall mortality rate was 1.96% per annum, similar for men with small and medium AAAs. The rAAA risk was 0.03% per annum (95% CI, 0.02%-0.05%) for men with small AAAs and 0.28% (0.17%-0.44%) for medium AAAs. The rAAA risk for men with AAAs just below the referral threshold (5.0-5.4 cm) was 0.40% (0.22%-0.73%).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of rAAA under surveillance is <0.5% per annum, even just below the present referral threshold of 5.5 cm, and only 0.4% of men under surveillance are estimated to rupture before referral. It can be concluded that men with small and medium screen-detected AAAs are safe provided they are enrolled in an intensive surveillance program, and that there is no evidence that the current referral threshold of 5.5 cm should be changed.

Lessons learned about prevalence and growth rates of abdominal aortic aneurysms from a 25-year ultrasound population screening programme

Background

This study aimed to assess how the prevalence and growth rates of small and medium abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs) (3·0–5·4 cm) have changed over time in men aged 65 years, and to evaluate long-term outcomes in men whose aortic diameter is 2·6–2·9 cm (subaneurysmal), and below the standard threshold for most surveillance programmes.

Methods

The Gloucestershire Aneurysm Screening Programme (GASP) started in 1990. Men aged 65 years with an aortic diameter of 2·6–5·4 cm, measured by ultrasonography using the inner to inner wall method, were included in surveillance. Aortic diameter growth rates were estimated separately for men who initially had a subaneurysmal aorta, and those who had a small or medium AAA, using mixed-effects models.

Results

Since 1990, 81 150 men had ultrasound screening for AAA (uptake 80·7 per cent), of whom 2795 had an aortic diameter of 2·6–5·4 cm. The prevalence of screen-detected AAA of 3·0 cm or larger decreased from 5·0 per cent in 1991 to 1·3 per cent in 2015. There was no evidence of a change in AAA growth rates during this time. Of men who initially had a subaneurysmal aorta, 57·6 (95 per cent c.i. 54·4 to 60·7) per cent were estimated to develop an AAA of 3·0 cm or larger within 5 years of the initial scan, and 28·0 (24·2 to 31·8) per cent to develop a large AAA (at least 5·5 cm) within 15 years.

Conclusion

The prevalence of screen-detected small and medium AAAs has decreased over the past 25 years, but growth rates have remained similar. Men with a subaneurysmal aorta at age 65 years have a substantial risk of developing a large AAA by the age of 80 years.

Not All Patients with Critical Limb Ischaemia Require Revascularisation

OBJECTIVES

International guidelines recommend revascularisation as the preferred treatment for patients with critical limb ischaemia (CLI). Most contemporary research focuses on the outcome of invasive procedures for CLI, but little is known about the outcome of conservative management. Amputation free survival (AFS) and overall survival (OS) was investigated in patients with CLI who did or did not receive revascularisation, and characteristics associated with clinical outcomes were explored.

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients with chronic CLI between 2010 and 2014 in a Dutch university hospital. CLI was defined as the presence of ischaemic rest pain or tissue loss in conjunction with an absolute systolic ankle pressure < 50 mmHg or a toe pressure < 30 mmHg. Patients were divided into invasive (revascularisation within 6 weeks), deferred invasive (revascularisation after 6 weeks), or permanently conservative treatment groups. Univariable and multivariable survival analyses were used to identify factors associated with AFS and OS.

RESULTS

The majority (66.7%; N = 96) of the identified 144 patients with CLI (mean age 71.2 years; median follow-up 99 weeks) underwent revascularisation within 6 weeks of diagnosis. Deferred invasive treatment was provided in 18.1% (N = 26) patients and 22 patients (15.3%) were treated permanently conservatively. AFS and OS did not differ significantly between the three groups (Breslow-Wilcoxon p = .16 for AFS and p = .09 for OS). Age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and heart disease were significant independent predictors of AFS. Age, COPD, and hypertension were significant independent predictors of OS. Treatment was not a significant predictor of either AFS or OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Not all patients with CLI require revascularisation to achieve an AFS that is similar to patients undergoing revascularisation, although the efficacy of conservative versus invasive treatment in CLI patients is still unclear. Further prospective studies should determine subgroups of patients in whom revascularisation may be omitted.

Surgery for an ageing population

The greatest surgical challenge