A machine learning-based survival prediction model of high grade glioma by integration of clinical and dose-volume histogram parameters

Uses of artificial intelligence in glioma: A systematic review

Glioma is the most prevalent type of primary brain tumor in adults. The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in glioma is increasing and has exhibited promising results. The present study performed a systematic review of the applications of AI in glioma as regards diagnosis, grading, prediction of genotype, progression and treatment response using different databases. The aim of the present study was to demonstrate the trends (main directions) of the recent applications of AI within the field of glioma, and to highlight emerging challenges in integrating AI within clinical practice. A search in four databases (Scopus, PubMed, Wiley and Google Scholar) yielded a total of 42 articles specifically using AI in glioma and glioblastoma. The articles were retrieved and reviewed, and the data were summarized and analyzed. The majority of the articles were from the USA (n=18) followed by China (n=11). The number of articles increased by year reaching the maximum number in 2022. The majority of the articles studied glioma as opposed to glioblastoma. In terms of grading, the majority of the articles were about both low-grade glioma (LGG) and high-grade glioma (HGG) (n=23), followed by HGG/glioblastoma (n=13). Additionally, three articles were about LGG only; two articles did not specify the grade. It was found that one article had the highest sample size among the other studies, reaching 897 samples. Despite the limitations and challenges that face AI, the use of AI in glioma has increased in recent years with promising results, with a variety of applications ranging from diagnosis, grading, prognosis prediction, and reaching to treatment and post-operative care.

Incorporation of emergent symptoms and genetic covariates improves prediction of aromatase inhibitor therapy discontinuation

Objectives

Early discontinuation is common among breast cancer patients taking aromatase inhibitors (AIs). Although several predictors have been identified, it is unclear how to simultaneously consider multiple risk factors for an individual. We sought to develop a tool for prediction of AI discontinuation and to explore how predictive value of risk factors changes with time.

Materials and Methods

Survival machine learning was used to predict time-to-discontinuation of AIs in 181 women who enrolled in a prospective cohort. Models were evaluated via time-dependent area under the curve (AUC), c-index, and integrated Brier score. Feature importance was analysis was conducted via Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) and time-dependence of their predictive value was analyzed by time-dependent AUC. Personalized survival curves were constructed for risk communication.

Results

The best-performing model incorporated genetic risk factors and changes in patient-reported outcomes, achieving mean time-dependent AUC of 0.66, and AUC of 0.72 and 0.67 at 6- and 12-month cutoffs, respectively. The most significant features included variants in ESR1 and emergent symptoms. Predictive value of genetic risk factors was highest in the first year of treatment. Decrease in physical function was the strongest independent predictor at follow-up.

Discussion and Conclusion

Incorporation of genomic and 3-month follow-up data improved the ability of the models to identify the individuals at risk of AI discontinuation. Genetic risk factors were particularly important for predicting early discontinuers. This study provides insight into the complex nature of AI discontinuation and highlights the importance of incorporating genetic risk factors and emergent symptoms into prediction models.

Bibliometric research on the developments of artificial intelligence in radiomics toward nervous system diseases

Background

The growing interest suggests that the widespread application of radiomics has facilitated the development of neurological disease diagnosis, prognosis, and classification. The application of artificial intelligence methods in radiomics has increasingly achieved outstanding prediction results in recent years. However, there are few studies that have systematically analyzed this field through bibliometrics. Our destination is to study the visual relationships of publications to identify the trends and hotspots in radiomics research and encourage more researchers to participate in radiomics studies.

Methods

Publications in radiomics in the field of neurological disease research can be retrieved from the Web of Science Core Collection. Analysis of relevant countries, institutions, journals, authors, keywords, and references is conducted using Microsoft Excel 2019, VOSviewer, and CiteSpace V. We analyze the research status and hot trends through burst detection.

Results

On October 23, 2022, 746 records of studies on the application of radiomics in the diagnosis of neurological disorders were retrieved and published from 2011 to 2023. Approximately half of them were written by scholars in the United States, and most were published in Frontiers in Oncology, European Radiology, Cancer, and SCIENTIFIC REPORTS. Although China ranks first in the number of publications, the United States is the driving force in the field and enjoys a good academic reputation. NORBERT GALLDIKS and JIE TIAN published the most relevant articles, while GILLIES RJ was cited the most. RADIOLOGY is a representative and influential journal in the field. "Glioma" is a current attractive research hotspot. Keywords such as "machine learning," "brain metastasis," and "gene mutations" have recently appeared at the research frontier.

Conclusion

Most of the studies focus on clinical trial outcomes, such as the diagnosis, prediction, and prognosis of neurological disorders. The radiomics biomarkers and multi-omics studies of neurological disorders may soon become a hot topic and should be closely monitored, particularly the relationship between tumor-related non-invasive imaging biomarkers and the intrinsic micro-environment of tumors.

Emerging role of artificial intelligence in diagnosis, classification and clinical management of glioma

Glioma represents a dominant primary intracranial malignancy in the central nervous system. Artificial intelligence that mainly includes machine learning, and deep learning computational approaches, presents a unique opportunity to enhance clinical management of glioma through improving tumor segmentation, diagnosis, differentiation, grading, treatment, prediction of clinical outcomes (prognosis, and recurrence), molecular features, clinical classification, characterization of the tumor microenvironment, and drug discovery. A growing body of recent studies apply artificial intelligence-based models to disparate data sources of glioma, covering imaging modalities, digital pathology, high-throughput multi-omics data (especially emerging single-cell RNA sequencing and spatial transcriptome), etc. While these early findings are promising, future studies are required to normalize artificial intelligence-based models to improve the generalizability and interpretability of the results. Despite prominent issues, targeted clinical application of artificial intelligence approaches in glioma will facilitate the development of precision medicine of this field. If these challenges can be overcome, artificial intelligence has the potential to profoundly change the way patients with or at risk of glioma are provided with more rational care.

Survival prediction for patients with glioblastoma multiforme using a Cox proportional hazards denoising autoencoder network

Objectives

This study aimed to establish and validate a prognostic model based on magnetic resonance imaging and clinical features to predict the survival time of patients with glioblastoma multiforme (GBM).

Methods

In this study, a convolutional denoising autoencoder (DAE) network combined with the loss function of the Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to extract features for survival prediction. In addition, the Kaplan-Meier curve, the Schoenfeld residual analysis, the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, the nomogram, and the calibration curve were performed to assess the survival prediction ability.

Results

The concordance index (C-index) of the survival prediction model, which combines the DAE and the Cox proportional hazard regression model, reached 0.78 in the training set, 0.75 in the validation set, and 0.74 in the test set. Patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups based on the median prognostic index (PI). Kaplan-Meier curve was used for survival analysis (p = < 2e-16 in the training set, p = 3e-04 in the validation set, and p = 0.007 in the test set), which showed that the survival probability of different groups was significantly different, and the PI of the network played an influential role in the prediction of survival probability. In the residual verification of the PI, the fitting curve of the scatter plot was roughly parallel to the x-axis, and the p-value of the test was 0.11, proving that the PI and survival time were independent of each other and the survival prediction ability of the PI was less affected than survival time. The areas under the curve of the training set were 0.843, 0.871, 0.903, and 0.941; those of the validation set were 0.687, 0.895, 1.000, and 0.967; and those of the test set were 0.757, 0.852, 0.683, and 0.898.

Conclusion

The survival prediction model, which combines the DAE and the Cox proportional hazard regression model, can effectively predict the prognosis of patients with GBM.

Predicting Survival in Patients with Brain Tumors: Current State-of-the-Art of AI Methods Applied to MRI

Given growing clinical needs, in recent years Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques have increasingly been used to define the best approaches for survival assessment and prediction in patients with brain tumors. Advances in computational resources, and the collection of (mainly) public databases, have promoted this rapid development. This narrative review of the current state-of-the-art aimed to survey current applications of AI in predicting survival in patients with brain tumors, with a focus on Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI). An extensive search was performed on PubMed and Google Scholar using a Boolean research query based on MeSH terms and restricting the search to the period between 2012 and 2022. Fifty studies were selected, mainly based on Machine Learning (ML), Deep Learning (DL), radiomics-based methods, and methods that exploit traditional imaging techniques for survival assessment. In addition, we focused on two distinct tasks related to survival assessment: the first on the classification of subjects into survival classes (short and long-term or eventually short, mid and long-term) to stratify patients in distinct groups. The second focused on quantification, in days or months, of the individual survival interval. Our survey showed excellent state-of-the-art methods for the first, with accuracy up to ∼98%. The latter task appears to be the most challenging, but state-of-the-art techniques showed promising results, albeit with limitations, with C-Index up to ∼0.91. In conclusion, according to the specific task, the available computational methods perform differently, and the choice of the best one to use is non-univocal and dependent on many aspects. Unequivocally, the use of features derived from quantitative imaging has been shown to be advantageous for AI applications, including survival prediction. This evidence from the literature motivates further research in the field of AI-powered methods for survival prediction in patients with brain tumors, in particular, using the wealth of information provided by quantitative MRI techniques.

Machine Learning of Dose-Volume Histogram Parameters Predicting Overall Survival in Patients with Cervical Cancer Treated with Definitive Radiotherapy

Purpose

To analyze the effects of dosimetric parameters and clinical characteristics on overall survival (OS) by machine learning algorithms.

Methods and Materials

128 patients with cervical cancer were treated with definitive pelvic radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy followed by image-guided brachytherapy. The elastic-net models with integrating DVH parameters and baseline clinical factors, only DVH parameters and only baseline clinical factors were constructed in 5-folds cross-validations for 100 iteration bootstrapping, and then were compared using concordance index (C-index) criteria. Finally, the selected important factors were used to build multivariable Cox-pH models for OS and also shown in nomograms for clinical usage.

Results

The median OS occurred was 25.78 months with 25 (19.53%) deaths. The elastic-net models integrating clinical and DVH factors had the best prediction performances (C-index 0.76 in the train set and C-index 0.74 in the test set). Three important factors were selected, including baseline hemoglobin level as the protective factor, primary tumor volume (GTV_P) volume, and body V5 as the risk factors. The final multivariable Cox-pH models were constructed using these important factors and had prediction performance (C-index: 0.78, 95%CI: 0.73–0.81).

Conclusions

This is the first attempt to establish elastic-net models to study the contributions of DVH parameters for predicting OS in patients with cervical cancer. These results can facilitate individualized tailoring of radiation treatment in cervical cancer patients.

Treatment Response and Prognosis Evaluation in High-Grade Glioma: An Imaging Review Based on MRI

In recent years, the development of advanced magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) technology and machine learning (ML) have created new tools for evaluating treatment response and prognosis of patients with high-grade gliomas (HGG); however, patient prognosis has not improved significantly. This is mainly due to the heterogeneity between and within HGG tumors, resulting in standard treatment methods not benefitting all patients. Moreover, the survival of patients with HGG is not only related to tumor cells, but also to noncancer cells in the tumor microenvironment (TME). Therefore, during preoperative diagnosis and follow-up treatment of patients with HGG, noninvasive imaging markers are needed to characterize intratumoral heterogeneity, and then to evaluate treatment response and predict prognosis, timeously adjust treatment strategies, and achieve individualized diagnosis and treatment. In this review, we summarize the research progress of conventional MRI, advanced MRI technology, and ML in evaluation of treatment response and prognosis of patients with HGG. We further discuss the significance of the TME in the prognosis of HGG patients, associate imaging features with the TME, indirectly reflecting the heterogeneity within the tumor, and shifting treatment strategies from tumor cells alone to systemic therapy of the TME, which may be a major development direction in the future. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 5 TECHNICAL EFFICACY STAGE: 4.

Research Progress of Gliomas in Machine Learning

In the field of gliomas research, the broad availability of genetic and image information originated by computer technologies and the booming of biomedical publications has led to the advent of the big-data era. Machine learning methods were applied as possible approaches to speed up the data mining processes. In this article, we reviewed the present situation and future orientations of machine learning application in gliomas within the context of workflows to integrate analysis for precision cancer care. Publicly available tools or algorithms for key machine learning technologies in the literature mining for glioma clinical research were reviewed and compared. Further, the existing solutions of machine learning methods and their limitations in glioma prediction and diagnostics, such as overfitting and class imbalanced, were critically analyzed.