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Choi J, Kim JY, Cho MS, Kim M, Kim J, Oh IY, Cho Y, Lee JH. Artificial intelligence predicts undiagnosed atrial fibrillation in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source using sinus rhythm electrocardiograms. Heart Rhythm 2024:S1547-5271(24)00274-1. [PMID: 38493991 DOI: 10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.03.029] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2023] [Revised: 03/06/2024] [Accepted: 03/12/2024] [Indexed: 03/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled sinus rhythm (SR) electrocardiogram (ECG) interpretation can aid in identifying undiagnosed paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to assess the efficacy of an AI model in identifying AF based on SR ECGs in patients with ESUS. METHODS A transformer-based vision AI model was developed using 737,815 SR ECGs from patients with and without AF to detect current paroxysmal AF or predict the future development of AF within a 2-year period. Probability of AF was calculated from baseline SR ECGs using this algorithm. Its diagnostic performance was further tested in a cohort of 352 ESUS patients from 4 tertiary hospitals, all of whom were monitored using an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) for AF surveillance. RESULTS Over 25.1-month follow-up, AF episodes lasting ≥1 hour were identified in 58 patients (14.4%) using ICMs. In the receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis, the area under the curve for the AI algorithm to identify AF ≥1 hour was 0.806, which improved to 0.880 after integrating the clinical parameters into the model. The AI algorithm exhibited greater accuracy in identifying longer AF episodes (ROC for AF ≥12 hours: 0.837, for AF ≥24 hours: 0.879) and a temporal trend indicating that the AI-based AF risk score increased as the ECG recording approached the AF onset (P for trend <.0001). CONCLUSIONS Our AI model demonstrated excellent diagnostic performance in predicting AF in patients with ESUS, potentially enhancing patient prognosis through timely intervention and secondary prevention of ischemic stroke in ESUS cohorts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jina Choi
- Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Ju Youn Kim
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Heart Vascular Stroke Institute, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Min Soo Cho
- Department of Internal Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Minsu Kim
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, Daejeon, Republic of Korea
| | - Joonghee Kim
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Il-Young Oh
- Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea
| | - Youngjin Cho
- Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.
| | - Ji Hyun Lee
- Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seongnam, Korea.
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Wu N, Wang X, Jia S, Cui X, Wang Y, Li J, Zhang X, Wang Y. Clinical features of ischemic stroke in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation combined with intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis. Brain Behav 2023; 13:e3036. [PMID: 37128146 PMCID: PMC10275557 DOI: 10.1002/brb3.3036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2023] [Revised: 04/14/2023] [Accepted: 04/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/03/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis (ICAS) are major causes of ischemic stroke. Relatively few studies have focused on the risk factors and clinical features of ischemic stroke caused by NVAF combined with ICAS. METHOD We retrospectively evaluated NVAF and/or ICAS in patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted within 72 h after stroke. All patients with acute ischemic stroke underwent diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DWI), magnetic resonance angiography (MRA), computed tomography angiography (CTA), and/or digital subtraction angiography (DSA). NVAF was detected by routine electrocardiogram or 24-h Holter examination, Doppler echocardiography, and contrast echocardiography of the right heart. RESULTS Among the 635 enrolled patients, NVAF, ICAS, and NVAF+ICAS were diagnosed in 170 (26.77%), 255 (40.16%), and 210 (33.07%) patients, respectively. Patients in the NVAF+ICAS group were older (p < .001), specifically aged ≥75 years (p < .001). The admission time of the NVAF+ICAS group was shorter (p < .001) than that of the ICAS group. The admission NIHSS score of the NVAF group was higher than that of the NVAF+ICAS group (p < .001). HsCRP, NTpro-BNP, and LEVF levels were significantly different among the three groups (p < .001). NVAF+ICAS ischemic stroke occurred mainly in the right hemisphere (52.4%). CONCLUSION NVAF with ICAS ischemic stroke is more likely to occur in older patients. Infarctions occurred mainly in the right cerebral hemisphere. Neurological deficits in NVAF are more severe than those in NVAF combined with ICAS and in simple ICAS ischemic strokes. HsCRP, LEVF, andNTpro-BNP seem to be closely associated with NVAF+ICAS ischemic stroke.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ning Wu
- Department of Neurology IIAffiliated Hospital of Weifang Medical UniversityWeifangShandongChina
| | - Xinli Wang
- Department of NeurorehabilitationYidu Central Hospital of WeifangWeifangShandongChina
| | - Shuai Jia
- Department of Neurology IIAffiliated Hospital of Weifang Medical UniversityWeifangShandongChina
| | - Xiaomei Cui
- Department of Neurology IIAffiliated Hospital of Weifang Medical UniversityWeifangShandongChina
| | - Yaozhen Wang
- Department of Neurology IIAffiliated Hospital of Weifang Medical UniversityWeifangShandongChina
| | - Jian Li
- Department of Neurology IIAffiliated Hospital of Weifang Medical UniversityWeifangShandongChina
| | - Xiaojun Zhang
- Department of Neurology IIAffiliated Hospital of Weifang Medical UniversityWeifangShandongChina
| | - Yanqiang Wang
- Department of Neurology IIAffiliated Hospital of Weifang Medical UniversityWeifangShandongChina
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Grifoni E, Baldini G, Baldini M, Pinto G, Micheletti I, Madonia EM, Cosentino E, Bartolozzi ML, Bertini E, Dei A, Signorini I, Giannoni S, Del Rosso A, Prisco D, Guidi L, Masotti L. Post-Stroke Detection of Subclinical Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source in the Real World Practice: The Empoli ESUS Atrial Fibrillation (E 2 AF) Study. Neurologist 2023; 28:25-31. [PMID: 35486903 DOI: 10.1097/nrl.0000000000000440] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Subclinical paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) is one of the main occult causative mechanisms of embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). Aim of this study was to identify AF predictors, and to develop a score to predict the probability of AF detection in ESUS. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed ESUS patients undergoing 2-week external electrocardiographic monitoring. Patients with and without AF detection were compared. On the basis of multivariate analysis, predictors of AF were identified and used to develop a predictive score, which was then compared with other existing literature scores. RESULTS Eighty-two patients, 48 females, mean age±SD 72±10 years, were included. In 36 patients (43.9%) AF was detected. The frequency of age 75 years or above and arterial hypertension, and the median CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score were significantly higher in patients with AF compared with those without. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score ≥8 was the only independent variable associated with AF detection. We derived the Empoli ESUS-AF (E 2 AF) score (NIHSS ≥8 5 points, arterial hypertension 3 points, age 75 years or above 2 points, age 65 to 74 years 1 point, history of coronary/peripheral artery disease 1 point, left atrial enlargement 1 point, posterior lesion 1 point, cortical or cortical-subcortical lesion 1 point), whose predictive power in detecting AF was good (area under the curve: 0.746, 95% confidence interval: 0.638-0.836) and higher than that of CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc and other scores. CONCLUSIONS In our study NIHSS score ≥8 was the only independent predictor of post-ESUS-AF detection. The E 2 AF score appears to have a good predictive power for detecting AF. External validations are required.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Domenico Prisco
- Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, University of Florence, Florence, Italy
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Del Buono MG, Sanna T. Atrial fibrillation: focus on monitoring strategies after cryptogenic stroke. Minerva Cardiol Angiol 2022; 70:606-615. [PMID: 35080356 DOI: 10.23736/s2724-5683.21.05851-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is responsible for up to one-third of ischemic strokes, with stroke potentially being the first manifestation of a previously undetected AF. Given the efficacy of oral anticoagulants in preventing AF-related ischemic events, searching for unknown AF after stroke requires a comprehensive diagnostic workup. Prospective data have demonstrated the benefits of long-term cardiac monitoring to identify AF in association with cryptogenic stroke, as most strokes are presumed to result from AF. However, strategies of empirical anticoagulation using oral anticoagulants following cryptogenic stroke failed to improve outcomes. We herein summarize contemporary evidence and knowledge gaps on searching for AF after a stroke and the potential secondary prevention strategies to prevent further recurrences.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Tommaso Sanna
- Sacred Heart Catholic University, Rome, Italy -
- IRCCS A. Gemelli University Polyclinic Foundation, Rome, Italy
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5
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Yaghi S, Ryan MP, Gunnarsson CL, Irish W, Rosemas SC, Neisen K, Ziegler PD, Reynolds M. Longitudinal Outcomes in Cryptogenic Stroke Patients With and Without Long-term Cardiac Monitoring for Atrial Fibrillation. Heart Rhythm O2 2022; 3:223-230. [PMID: 35734289 PMCID: PMC9207734 DOI: 10.1016/j.hroo.2022.02.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Guidelines recommend a confirmed diagnosis of atrial fibrillation (AF) to initiate oral anticoagulation in cryptogenic stroke (CS) patients. However, the intermittent nature of AF can make detection challenging with intermittent short-term cardiac monitoring. Objective The purpose of this retrospective cohort study was to examine post-CS utilization of cardiac monitoring and associated clinical outcomes. Methods Adults with incident hospitalization for CS were identified in the Optum® claims database and assessed for cardiac monitoring received poststroke. Patient were stratified into those with a long-term insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) vs external cardiac monitor (ECM) only. The timing of ICM placement poststroke was treated as a time-dependent covariate. The clinical outcomes of interest were time to AF diagnosis, oral anticoagulation usage, and all-cause mortality. Results A total of 12,994 patients met selection criteria for the analysis, of whom 1949 (15%) received an ICM and 11,045 (85%) received ECM only. In those who had received an ECM as their first monitoring modality, only 4.4% moved on to receive an ICM for longer-term monitoring. Use of ECM before ICM was associated with a longer time to AF diagnosis (median 336 vs 194 days). Compared to those with ECM only, ICM patients had a significantly lower rate of death (hazard ratio [HR] 0.70; P = .004), and faster time to AF diagnosis (HR 1.50; P <.0001) and anticoagulation initiation (HR 1.57; P <.0001) during follow-up of up to 5 years after CS. Conclusion In a real-world study of CS patients, prolonged cardiac monitoring was associated with higher rates of AF detection and treatment, and higher odds of survival.
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Kishore AK, Hossain MJ, Cameron A, Dawson J, Vail A, Smith CJ. Use of risk scores for predicting new atrial fibrillation after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack-A systematic review. Int J Stroke 2021; 17:608-617. [PMID: 34551649 DOI: 10.1177/17474930211045880] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Newly detected atrial fibrillation (NDAF) following an ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack is often paroxysmal in nature. While challenging to detect, extended electrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring is often used to identify NDAF which has resource implications. Prognostic risk scores have been derived which may stratify the risk of NDAF and inform patient selection for ECG monitoring approaches after ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack. AIM The overall aim was to identify risk scores that were derived and/or validated to predict NDAF after ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack and evaluate their performance. SUMMARY OF REVIEW A systematic literature review was undertaken in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses statement, with application of the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy-2 tool. Published studies, which derived and validated clinical risk scores in patients with ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, or externally validated an existing score to predict NDAF after ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack, were considered and independently screened by two reviewers. Twenty-one studies involving 23 separate cohorts were analyzed from which 17 integer-based risk scores were identified. The overall frequency of NDAF was 9.7% (95% confidence intervals 8%-11.5%; I2 = 98%). The performance of the scores varied widely among derivation and validation cohorts (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.54-0.94); scores derived from stroke cohorts (12 scores) appeared to perform better (AUC 0.7-0.94) than those derived from non-stroke cohorts (five scores; AUC 0.53-0.79). The scores also varied considerably in their complexity, ascertainment, component variables, participant characteristics, outcome definition, and ease of application limiting their generalizability and utility. CONCLUSION Overall, the risk scores identified performed variably in their discriminative ability and the utility of these scores to predict NDAF in clinical practice remains uncertain. Further studies are required using larger prospective cohorts and randomized control trials to evaluate the usefulness of such scores for clinical decision making and preventative intervention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amit K Kishore
- Greater Manchester Comprehensive Stroke Centre, Geoffrey Jefferson Brain Research Centre, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Northern Care Alliance, Salford Royal Foundation Trust, Salford, UK.,Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Mohammad J Hossain
- School of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Alan Cameron
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Jesse Dawson
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Andy Vail
- Centre for Biostatistics, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Manchester, UK
| | - Craig J Smith
- Greater Manchester Comprehensive Stroke Centre, Geoffrey Jefferson Brain Research Centre, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Northern Care Alliance, Salford Royal Foundation Trust, Salford, UK.,Division of Cardiovascular Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
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7
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Wang T, Qin Y. A novel multi-scale convolutional network with attention-based bidirectional gated recurrent unit for atrial fibrillation discrimination. Biocybern Biomed Eng 2021. [DOI: 10.1016/j.bbe.2021.02.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/19/2022]
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8
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Bayés' Syndrome-A Comprehensive Short Review. ACTA ACUST UNITED AC 2020; 56:medicina56080410. [PMID: 32823777 PMCID: PMC7466178 DOI: 10.3390/medicina56080410] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2020] [Revised: 08/11/2020] [Accepted: 08/12/2020] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
Prediction and early detection of atrial fibrillation (AF) remain a permanent challenge in everyday practice. Timely identification of an increased risk for AF episodes (which are frequently asymptomatic) is essential in the primary and secondary prevention of cardioembolic events. One of the noninvasive modalities of AF prediction is represented by the electrocardiographic P-wave analysis. This includes the study and diagnosis of interatrial conduction block (Bachmann’s bundle block). Bayés’ Syndrome (named after its first descriptor) denotes the association between interatrial conduction defect and supraventricular arrhythmias (mainly AF) predisposing to cardioembolic events. Our short review presents an update of the most important data concerning this syndrome: brief history, main ECG features, pathophysiological background and clinical implications.
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9
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Tsai LK, Lee IH, Chen YL, Chao TF, Chen YW, Po HL, Lien LM, Chu PH, Huang WC, Lin TH, Lin MT, Jeng JS, Hwang JJ. Diagnosis and Treatment for embolic stroke of undetermined source: Consensus statement from the Taiwan stroke society and Taiwan society of cardiology. J Formos Med Assoc 2020; 120:93-106. [PMID: 32534996 DOI: 10.1016/j.jfma.2020.05.026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2019] [Revised: 04/22/2020] [Accepted: 05/18/2020] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Cryptogenic stroke comprises about one-quarter of ischemic strokes with high recurrence rate; however, studies specifically investigating the features and treatment of this stroke subtype are rare. The concept of 'embolic stroke of undetermined source' (ESUS) may facilitate the development of a standardized approach to diagnose cryptogenic stroke and improve clinical trials. Since recent large randomized control trials failed to demonstrate a reduction in stroke recurrence with anticoagulants, anti-platelet agents remain the first-line treatment for ESUS patients. Nevertheless, patients with high risk of stroke recurrence (e.g., those with repeated embolic infarcts despite aspirin treatment) require a more extensive survey of stroke etiology, including cardiac imaging and prolonged cardiac rhythm monitoring. Anticoagulant treatments may still benefit some subgroups of high-risk ESUS patients, such as those with multiple infarcts at different arterial territories without aortic atheroma, the elderly, or patients with high CHA2D2-VASc or HOVAC scores, atrial cardiopathy or patent foramen ovale. Several important ESUS clinical trials are ongoing, and the results are anticipated. With rapid progress in our understanding of ESUS pathophysiology, new subcategorizations of ESUS and assignment of optimal treatments for each ESUS subgroup are expected in the near future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Li-Kai Tsai
- Stroke Center and Department of Neurology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - I-Hui Lee
- Department of Neurology, Neurological Institute, Taipei Veteran General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yung-Lung Chen
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Tze-Fan Chao
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yu-Wei Chen
- Stroke Center and Department of Neurology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Neurology, Landseed International Hospital, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Helen L Po
- Stroke Center and Department of Neurology, MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Li-Ming Lien
- Department of Neurology, Shin Kong Wu Ho-Su Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Neurology, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Pao-Hsien Chu
- Department of Cardiology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, Taoyuan, Taiwan
| | - Wei-Chun Huang
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Kaohsiung Veterans General Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Tsung-Hsien Lin
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Ming-Tai Lin
- Division of Pediatric Cardiology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Jiann-Shing Jeng
- Stroke Center and Department of Neurology, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
| | - Juey-Jen Hwang
- Cardiovascular Center and Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.
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Jung M, Kim JS, Song JH, Kim JM, Park KY, Lee WS, Kim SW, Lip GYH, Shin SY. Usefulness of P Wave Duration in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source. J Clin Med 2020; 9:jcm9041134. [PMID: 32326500 PMCID: PMC7230630 DOI: 10.3390/jcm9041134] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2020] [Revised: 04/11/2020] [Accepted: 04/13/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
The investigation of the potential association between ischemic stroke and subclinical atrial fibrillation (SCAF) is important for secondary prevention. We aimed to determine whether SCAF can be predicted by atrial substrate measurement with P wave signal-averaged electrocardiography (SAECG). We recruited 125 consecutive patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) and 125 patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation as controls. All participants underwent P wave SAECG at baseline, and patients with ESUS were followed up with Holter monitoring and electrocardiography at baseline, 3, 6, and 12 months after discharge and every 6 months thereafter. In the ESUS group, 32 (25.6%) patients were diagnosed with SCAF during follow-up. There were no significant differences between the groups regarding atrial substrate. P wave duration (PWD) was a significant predictor of SCAF. Stroke recurrence occurred in 22 patients (17.6%), and prolonged PWD (≥ 135 ms) predicted stroke recurrence more robustly than SCAF detection. In ESUS patients, PWD can be a useful biomarker to predict SCAF and to identify patients who are more likely to have a recurrent embolic stroke associated with an atrial cardiopathy. Further research is needed for supporting the utility and applicability of PWD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Moonki Jung
- Cardiovascular & Arrhythmia Center, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University, Seoul 06973, Korea; (M.J.); (J.H.S.); (W.-S.L.); (S.W.K.)
| | - Jin-Seok Kim
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Korea University Ansan Hospital, Ansan-si, Gyeonggi-do 15355, Korea;
| | - Ju Hyeon Song
- Cardiovascular & Arrhythmia Center, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University, Seoul 06973, Korea; (M.J.); (J.H.S.); (W.-S.L.); (S.W.K.)
| | - Jeong-Min Kim
- Department of Neurology, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University, Seoul 06973, Korea; (J.-M.K.); (K.-Y.P.)
| | - Kwang-Yeol Park
- Department of Neurology, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University, Seoul 06973, Korea; (J.-M.K.); (K.-Y.P.)
| | - Wang-Soo Lee
- Cardiovascular & Arrhythmia Center, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University, Seoul 06973, Korea; (M.J.); (J.H.S.); (W.-S.L.); (S.W.K.)
| | - Sang Wook Kim
- Cardiovascular & Arrhythmia Center, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University, Seoul 06973, Korea; (M.J.); (J.H.S.); (W.-S.L.); (S.W.K.)
| | - Gregory YH Lip
- Liverpool Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3BX, UK
- Correspondence: (G.Y.H.L.); or (S.Y.S.); Tel.: +82-2-6299-2871 (S.Y.S.); Fax: +82-2-823-0160 (S.Y.S.)
| | - Seung Yong Shin
- Cardiovascular & Arrhythmia Center, Chung-Ang University Hospital, Chung-Ang University, Seoul 06973, Korea; (M.J.); (J.H.S.); (W.-S.L.); (S.W.K.)
- Correspondence: (G.Y.H.L.); or (S.Y.S.); Tel.: +82-2-6299-2871 (S.Y.S.); Fax: +82-2-823-0160 (S.Y.S.)
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11
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Reiffel JA, Verma A, Kowey PR, Halperin JL, Gersh BJ, Elkind MSV, Ziegler PD, Kaplon RE, Sherfesee L, Wachter R. Rhythm monitoring strategies in patients at high risk for atrial fibrillation and stroke: A comparative analysis from the REVEAL AF study. Am Heart J 2020; 219:128-136. [PMID: 31862084 DOI: 10.1016/j.ahj.2019.07.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2019] [Accepted: 07/16/2019] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Reducing atrial fibrillation (AF)-related stroke requires timely AF diagnosis, but the optimal monitoring strategy is unknown. OBJECTIVE We used insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) data from the REVEAL AF study to compare AF detection rates by various short-term continuous monitoring (STM) strategies. METHODS AND RESULTS Patients without known AF, but with CHADS2 scores ≥3 (or = 2 with ≥1 additional AF risk factor) received an ICM for AF detection. One-time STM strategies were assessed by computing AF incidence at 1, 2, 7, 14, and 30 days post-ICM insertion. Repeated STM strategies (quarterly 24-hour, 48-hour, 7-day, or monthly 24-hour monitoring) were modeled by randomly selecting day(s) within a 30-day window around each nominal evaluation date over a 1-year period (simulated 10,000 times). Endpoints included AF ≥6 minutes, AF ≥1 hour, and daily AF burden ≥1 and ≥ 5.5 hours. The impact of compliance on AF detection was evaluated using daily compliance rates of 85%, 75%, 65% and 55% during follow-up months 1-3, 4-6, 7-9, and 9-12, respectively. Based on data from 385 patients (71.5 ± 9.9 years; CHADS2 score 3.0 ± 1.0) the incidence of AF ≥6 minutes via ICM at 12 months was 27.1% (95% CI, 22.5-31.5%). This exceeded the range of estimated rates from all modeled one-time and repeated STM strategies (0.8% for 24-hour Holter monitoring to 10.6% for quarterly 7-day monitoring). Findings were similar for all AF endpoints. Modeled non-compliance reduced AF detection by 4.5% to 22.9%. CONCLUSIONS Most AF episodes detected via ICMs would go undetected via conventional STM strategies, thus preventing optimal prophylaxis for adverse consequences.
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Affiliation(s)
- James A Reiffel
- Department of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, Columbia University, 630 West 168th Street, New York, NY.
| | - Atul Verma
- Department of Cardiology, Southlake Regional Health Centre, 596 Davis Dr, Newmarket, ON, Canada.
| | - Peter R Kowey
- Department of Internal Medicine-Cardiology, Lankenau Institute for Medical Research, 100 Lancaster Ave, Wynnewood, PA.
| | - Jonathan L Halperin
- The Cardiovascular Institute, Mount Sinai Medical Center, 1190 5th Ave, New York, NY.
| | - Bernard J Gersh
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, 200 First St. SW, Rochester, MN.
| | - Mitchell S V Elkind
- Department of Neurology, Vagelos College of Physicians and Surgeons, and Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, 710 West 168(th) Street, #182, New York, NY.
| | - Paul D Ziegler
- Diagnostics, Cardiac Rhythm and Heart Failure, Medtronic, Inc., 8200 Coral Sea St NE, Mounds View, MN.
| | - Rachelle E Kaplon
- Diagnostics, Cardiac Rhythm and Heart Failure, Medtronic, Inc., 8200 Coral Sea St NE, Mounds View, MN.
| | - Lou Sherfesee
- Diagnostics, Cardiac Rhythm and Heart Failure, Medtronic, Inc., 8200 Coral Sea St NE, Mounds View, MN.
| | - Rolf Wachter
- Clinic and Policlinic for Cardiology, University Hospital Leipzig, Liebigstraße 20, Leipzig, Germany.
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12
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Advanced interatrial block: A predictor of covert atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source. J Electrocardiol 2019; 58:113-118. [PMID: 31816563 DOI: 10.1016/j.jelectrocard.2019.11.050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2019] [Revised: 11/12/2019] [Accepted: 11/23/2019] [Indexed: 12/28/2022]
Abstract
AIMS One third of ischemic strokes are of unknown etiology. Interatrial block (IAB) is a marker of atrial electromechanical dysfunction that may predispose to the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). We hypothesized that IAB, especially in its advanced form, could be a marker of covert AF in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS). METHODS We reviewed a single center cohort of ESUS patients with no prior history of AF. According to P-wave analysis of baseline ECG we distinguished 3 groups: normal P-wave duration (P-wave < 120 ms), partial IAB (P-IAB, P-wave ≥ 120 ms) and A-IAB (A-IAB, P-wave ≥ 120 ms with biphasic morphology in inferior leads). Follow-up was done 1, 6 and 12 months after discharge; then every 6 months. AF episodes, frequent premature atrial contractions (PACs) (>1%) and atrial tachyarrhythmias (runs of >3 consecutive PACs) were detected on 24 h Holter. The primary endpoint was new-onset AF detection on follow-up by any means. RESULTS A high prevalence of both P-IAB (n = 30, 40%) and A-IAB (n = 23, 31%) was found in 75 ESUS patients. After a 521 day mean follow-up, 14 patients (19%) were diagnosed of AF. A-IAB independently predicted AF diagnosis (p =0.042) on follow-up. 24 h Holter analysis showed greater frequency of PACs and atrial tachyarrhythmia episodes in patients with IAB (p = 0.0275). CONCLUSIONS In this hypothesis-generating study, A-IAB in the setting of ESUS is an independent risk predictor of covert AF. Although additional randomized clinical trials are warranted, A-IAB identifies ESUS patients with advanced atrial disease that could potentially benefit from early oral anticoagulation in secondary prevention.
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Maervoet J, Bossers N, Borge RP, Hilpert ST, van Engen A, Smala A. Use of insertable cardiac monitors for the detection of atrial fibrillation in patients with cryptogenic stroke in the United States is cost-effective. J Med Econ 2019; 22:1221-1234. [PMID: 31480905 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2019.1663355] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2023]
Abstract
Objectives: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia and a major marker of ischemic stroke risk. Early detection is crucial and, once diagnosed, anticoagulation therapy can be initiated to reduce stroke risk. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of employing an insertable cardiac monitor (ICM), BIOMONITOR, for the detection of AF compared to standard of care (SoC) ECG and Holter monitoring in patients with cryptogenic stroke, that is, stroke of unknown origin and where paroxysmal, silent AF is suspected. Materials and methods: A Markov model was developed which consisted of five main health states reflecting the potential lifetime evolution of the AF disease: post cryptogenic stroke (index event), subsequent mild, moderate and severe stroke, and death. Sub-states were included to track a patient's AF diagnostic status and the use of antiplatelet or anticoagulant therapy. AF detection was assumed to result in a treatment switch from aspirin to anticoagulants, except among those with a history of major bleeding. Detection yield and accuracy, clinical actions and treatment effects were derived from the literature and validated by an expert clinician. All relevant costs from a US Medicare perspective were included. Results and conclusions: An ICM-based strategy was associated with a reduction of 37 secondary ischemic strokes per 1000 patients monitored compared with SoC. Total per-patient costs with an ICM were higher (US$90,052 vs. US$85,157) although stroke-related costs were reduced. The use of an ICM was associated with a base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US$18,487 per life year gained compared with SoC and US$25,098 per quality-adjusted life year gained, below established willingness-to-pay thresholds. The conclusions were found to be robust over a range of input values. From a US Medicare perspective the use of a BIOMONITOR ICM represents a cost-effective diagnostic strategy for patients with cryptogenic stroke and suspected AF.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - N Bossers
- Performation Healthcare , Bilthoven , the Netherlands
| | - R P Borge
- Abington Hospital - Jefferson Health , Abington , PA , USA
| | | | | | - A Smala
- BIOTRONIK SE & Co KG , Berlin , Germany
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Arterial Stiffness and Indices of Left Ventricular Diastolic Dysfunction in Patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Etiology. DISEASE MARKERS 2019; 2019:9636197. [PMID: 31612072 PMCID: PMC6757252 DOI: 10.1155/2019/9636197] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2019] [Revised: 07/04/2019] [Accepted: 07/27/2019] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Purpose The study is aimed at identifying echocardiographic and circulating biomarkers as well as hemodynamic indices of embolic stroke of undetermined etiology (ESUS) in patients aged <65. Methods We prospectively investigated 520 patients with confirmed ischemic stroke and selected those 65 patients who were diagnosed with ESUS (age 54 (47-58) years, 42% male). An additional 36 without stroke but with a similar risk profile were included as a control group (age 53 (47-58) years, 61% male). All patients underwent echocardiography, noninvasive assessment of hemodynamic parameters using a SphygmoCor tonometer (AtCor Med., Australia), and measurements of selected biomarkers. Results ESUS patients and controls were well matched for baseline characteristics including blood pressure and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Compared to controls, patients with ESUS had lower mean early diastolic (E') and systolic (S') mitral annular velocities and a higher ratio of the peak velocity of early diastolic transmitral flow to the peak velocity of early diastolic mitral annular motion (all p < 0.01). The peak velocity flow in the late diastole (A wave) value and LV mass indexed to the body surface area (LVMI) (g/m2) were higher in the ESUS group than in the control group (both p < 0.01). The isovolumetric relaxation time (IVRT) was longer and the mean left atrial volume index (LAVI) was higher in ESUS patients compared to the control group. Parameters of arterial stiffness such as augmentation pressure, augmentation index, and augmentation index adjusted to a heart rate of 75 bpm (AIx75) were higher in ESUS patients compared to controls (p < 0.05). Patients in the ESUS group had higher levels of asymmetric dimethylarginine, interleukin 6, and N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP, all p < 0.05) than those in the control group. In multivariate analysis, the following factors were significantly associated with the presence of ESUS: AIx75 (odds ratio (OR) 1.095, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.004-1.194; p = 0.04), IVRT (OR 1.045, 95% CI: 1.009-1.082; p = 0.014), LAVI (OR 1.3, 95% CI: 1.099-1.537; p = 0.002), and NT-proBNP (OR 1.003, 95% CI: 1.001-1.005; p = 0.005). Conclusions Increased arterial stiffness and indices of diastolic dysfunction as well as a higher NT-proBNP level are significantly associated with ESUS. These parameters require further scrutiny over time to understand their impact on the development of symptomatic heart failure. The ClinicalTrials.gov identifier is NCT03377465.
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Mao H, Wu Q, Lin P, Mo J, Jiang H, Lin S, Rainer TH, Chen X. Derivation of a Prediction Rule for Unfavorable Outcome after Ischemic Stroke in the Chinese Population. J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2018; 28:133-141. [PMID: 30337207 DOI: 10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2018.09.025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2018] [Revised: 09/10/2018] [Accepted: 09/14/2018] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Efficient assessment of patients after ischemic stroke has important reference value for doctors to choose appropriate treatment for patients. Our study aimed to develop a new prognostic model for predicting outcomes 3 months after ischemic stroke among Chinese Population. METHODS A prospective observational cohort study among ischemic stroke patients presenting to Emergency Department in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University was conducted from May 2012 to June 2013. Demographic data of ischemic stroke patients, assessment of NIHSS and laboratory results were collected. Based on 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) ischemic stroke patients were divided into either favorable outcome (mRS: 0-2) or unfavorable outcome groups (mRS: 3-6). The variables closely associated with prognosis of ischemic stroke were selected to develop the new prognostic model (NAAP) consisted of 4 parameters: NIHSS, age, atrial fibrillation, and prealbumin. The prognostic value of the modified prognostic model was then compared with NIHSS alone. RESULTS A total of 454 patients with suspected stroke were recruited. One hundred eighty-six patients with ischemic stroke were included in the final analysis. A new prognostic model, NAAP was developed. The area under curve (AUC) of NAAP was .861 (95%confidence interval: .803-.907), whilst the AUC of NIHSS was .783 (95%CI: .717-.840), (P = .0048). Decision curve analysis showed that NAAP had a higher net benefit for threshold probabilities of 65% for predictive risk of poor outcomes. CONCLUSIONS The modified prognostic model, NAAP may be a better prognostic tool for predicting 3-month unfavorable outcomes for ischemic stroke than NIHSS alone.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haifeng Mao
- Emergency Department, The 2nd Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Qianyi Wu
- Institute of Neuroscience and Department of Neurology, The 2nd Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Peiyi Lin
- Emergency Department, The 2nd Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Junrong Mo
- Emergency Department, The 2nd Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Huilin Jiang
- Emergency Department, The 2nd Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Shaopeng Lin
- Emergency Department, The 2nd Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Timothy H Rainer
- Institute of Molecular and Experimental Medicine, Welsh Heart Research Institute, Cardiff University School of Medicine, Cardiff, UK.
| | - Xiaohui Chen
- Emergency Department, The 2nd Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
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Affiliation(s)
- Benhur Davi Henz
- Instituto Brasília de Arritmias - Hospital do
Coração do Brasil (Rede Dor / São Luiz), Brasília,
DF – Brazil
| | - Luiz Roberto Leite
- Instituto Brasília de Arritmias - Hospital do
Coração do Brasil (Rede Dor / São Luiz), Brasília,
DF – Brazil
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Katsi V, Georgiopoulos G, Skafida A, Oikonomou D, Klettas D, Vemmos K, Tousoulis D. Noncardioembolic Stroke in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation. Angiology 2018; 70:299-304. [DOI: 10.1177/0003319718791711] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
Atrial fibrillation (AF) could be a coincidental finding in certain patients with ischemic stroke and increased burden of underlying cardiovascular disease. Concomitant large-vessel atheromatosis and cerebral small vessel disease may be the actual cause of stroke, and distinguishing between different pathophysiologic mechanisms could impose substantial diagnostic difficulties. Despite routine use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) in patients with AF based on their risk for embolism (ie, CHA2DS2-Vasc score), antithrombotic agents may exert differential effects depending on stroke etiology and stroke subtyping should be evaluated as an additional component of risk stratification that could facilitate optimal management. In the present study, we summarize the evidence on noncardioembolic (non-CE) stroke and treatment approaches based on different stroke subtypes in patients with AF. In particular, approximately one-third of patients with AF seem to suffer a non-CE stroke. Within this category, 11% to 24% of patients present high-grade carotid stenosis and 9% to 16% of ischemic strokes are classified as lacunar. In terms of secondary prevention, the effectiveness of OACs in preventing non-CE stroke has been disputed. Additional large-scale prospective studies are warranted to assess the pathophysiologic stroke mechanisms in patients with AF and compare the differential efficacy of antithrombotic treatment strategies in non-CE ischemic syndromes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vasiliki Katsi
- First Department of Cardiology, “Hippokration” Hospital, University of Athens, Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Georgios Georgiopoulos
- First Department of Cardiology, “Hippokration” Hospital, University of Athens, Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Anastasia Skafida
- Department of Clinical Therapeutics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Alexandra Hospital, Athens, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Oikonomou
- Department of Cardiology, “Evaggelismos” General Hospital of Athens, Athens, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Klettas
- First Department of Cardiology, “Hippokration” Hospital, University of Athens, Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Konstantinos Vemmos
- Department of Clinical Therapeutics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Alexandra Hospital, Athens, Greece
- Hellenic Cardiovascular Research Society, Athens, Greece
| | - Dimitris Tousoulis
- First Department of Cardiology, “Hippokration” Hospital, University of Athens, Medical School, Athens, Greece
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Sanna T, Ziegler PD, Crea F. Detection and management of atrial fibrillation after cryptogenic stroke or embolic stroke of undetermined source. Clin Cardiol 2018; 41:426-432. [PMID: 29569253 DOI: 10.1002/clc.22876] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2017] [Revised: 12/13/2017] [Accepted: 12/19/2017] [Indexed: 12/27/2022] Open
Abstract
Cryptogenic stroke (CS) and embolic stroke of unknown source (ESUS) represent a major challenge to healthcare systems worldwide. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is commonly found after CS or ESUS. Independent of the mechanism of the index CS or ESUS, detection of AF in these patients offers the opportunity to reduce the risk of stroke recurrence by prescribing an anticoagulant instead of aspirin. The detection of AF may be pursued with different monitoring strategies. Comparison of monitoring strategies should take into account that AF detection rates reported in published studies, and then pooled in meta-analyses, are not only a function of the monitoring strategy itself, but also depend on patient-related, device-related, and study design-related factors. Once AF is found, the decision to anticoagulate a patient should be made on the basis of AF burden and the baseline risk of the patient. Empirical anticoagulation in patients with ESUS and no evidence of AF is an intriguing but still-unproven strategy and therefore should not be adopted outside of randomized clinical trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tommaso Sanna
- Institute of Cardiology, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy
| | - Paul D Ziegler
- Diagnostics Research, Medtronic Inc., Mounds View, Minnesota
| | - Filippo Crea
- Institute of Cardiology, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy
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