Plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA level strongly predicts survival in metastatic/recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with palliative chemotherapy

Radiomic signatures associated with tumor immune heterogeneity predict survival in locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of traditional clinical indicators for locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma is limited because of their inability to reflect intratumor heterogeneity. We aimed to develop a radiomic signature to reveal tumor immune heterogeneity and predict survival in locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

METHODS

This multicenter, retrospective study included 921 patients with locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma. A machine learning signature and nomogram based on pretreatment magnetic resonance imaging features were developed for predicting overall survival in a training cohort and validated in 2 independent cohorts. A clinical nomogram and an integrated nomogram were constructed for comparison. Nomogram performance was evaluated by concordance index and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Accordingly, patients were classified into risk groups. The biological characteristics and immune infiltration of the signature were explored by RNA-sequencing analysis.

RESULTS

The machine learning signature and nomogram demonstrated comparable prognostic ability to a clinical nomogram, achieving concordance indexes of 0.729, 0.718, and 0.731 in the training, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Integration of the signature and clinical variables statistically improved the predictive performance. The proposed signature effectively distinguished patients between risk groups with statistically distinct overall survival rates. Subgroup analysis indicated the recommendation of local salvage treatments for low-risk patients. Exploratory RNA-sequencing analysis revealed differences in interferon response and lymphocyte infiltration between risk groups.

CONCLUSIONS

A magnetic resonance imaging-based radiomic signature predicted overall survival more accurately. The proposed signature associated with tumor immune heterogeneity may serve as a valuable tool to facilitate prognostic stratification and guide individualized management for locally recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.

Small extracellular vesicle CA1 as a promising diagnostic biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), a malignant cancer originating from the epithelial cells of the nasopharynx, presents diagnostic challenges with current methods such as plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA testing showing limited efficacy. This study focused on identifying small extracellular vesicle (sEV) proteins as potential noninvasive biomarkers to enhance NPC diagnostic accuracy. We isolated sEVs from plasma and utilized 4D label-free proteomics to identify differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) among healthy controls (NC = 10), early-stage NPC (E-NPC = 10), and late-stage NPC (L-NPC = 10). Eighteen sEV proteins were identified as potential biomarkers. Subsequently, parallel reaction monitoring (PRM) proteomic analysis preliminarily confirmed sEV carbonic anhydrase 1 (CA1) as a highly promising biomarker for NPC, particularly in early-stage diagnosis (NC = 15; E-NPC = 10; L-NPC = 15). To facilitate this, we developed an automated, high-throughput and highly sensitive CA1 immune-chemiluminescence chip technology characterized by a broad linear detection range and robust controls. Further validation in an independent retrospective cohort (NC = 89; E-NPC = 39; L-NPC = 172) using this technology confirmed sEV CA1 as a reliable diagnostic biomarker for NPC (AUC = 0.9809) and E-NPC (AUC = 0.9893), independent of EBV-DNA testing. Notably, sEV CA1 exhibited superior diagnostic performance compared to EBV-DNA, with a significant incremental net reclassification improvement of 27.61 % for NPC and 72.11 % for E-NPC detection. Thus, this study identifies sEV CA1 as an innovative diagnostic biomarker for NPC and E-NPC independent of EBV-DNA. Additionally, it establishes an immune-chemiluminescence chip technology for the detection of sEV CA1 protein, paving the way for further validation and clinical application.

Salvage endoscopic nasopharyngectomy for recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma in a non-endemic area

PURPOSE

To analyze oncological outcomes of endoscopic surgical treatment of locally recurrent EBV-related undifferentiated non-keratinizing nasopharyngeal carcinoma (uNK-NPC) in a non-endemic area.

METHODS

Retrospective review of patients affected by recurrent uNK-NPC treated with nasopharyngeal endoscopic resection (NER) in a tertiary-care referral center from 2003 to 2022, by evaluating survival rates, prognostic factors, and follow-up strategies.

RESULTS

The oncological outcomes of 41 patients were analyzed, over a mean follow-up period of 57 months. The 5-year overall, disease-specific, and disease-free survival of the cohort were 60.7% ± 8.9%, 69% ± 9%, and 39.7% ± 9.2%, respectively. The local (rT) and regional (rN) extension of recurrent disease, stage of disease, and status of resection margins appeared to significantly influence survivals. After a mean follow-up period of 21 months, a further recurrence after NER was observed in 36.6% of cases. Skull base osteonecrosis induced by previous irradiation and post-surgical bone remodeling represent the major challenges for early detection of further local relapses during postoperative follow-up.

CONCLUSION

NER appeared as a safe and effective treatment for recurrent uNK-NPC. The adequate selection of patients eligible for NER is essential, to maximize the chances to cure and minimize the risk of local complications.

AI-Based Risk Score from Tumour-Infiltrating Lymphocyte Predicts Locoregional-Free Survival in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Locoregional recurrence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) occurs in 10% to 50% of cases following primary treatment. However, the current main prognostic markers for NPC, both stage and plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA, are not sensitive to locoregional recurrence.

METHODS

We gathered 385 whole-slide images (WSIs) from haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained NPC sections (n = 367 cases), which were collected from Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Centre. We developed a deep learning algorithm to detect tumour nuclei and lymphocyte nuclei in WSIs, followed by density-based clustering to quantify the tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) into 12 scores. The Random Survival Forest model was then trained on the TILs to generate risk score.

RESULTS

Based on Kaplan-Meier analysis, the proposed methods were able to stratify low- and high-risk NPC cases in a validation set of locoregional recurrence with a statically significant result (p < 0.001). This finding was also found in distant metastasis-free survival (p < 0.001), progression-free survival (p < 0.001), and regional recurrence-free survival (p < 0.05). Furthermore, in both univariate analysis (HR: 1.58, CI: 1.13-2.19, p < 0.05) and multivariate analysis (HR:1.59, CI: 1.11-2.28, p < 0.05), we also found that our methods demonstrated a strong prognostic value for locoregional recurrence.

CONCLUSION

The proposed novel digital markers could potentially be utilised to assist treatment decisions in cases of NPC.

Diagnosis and monitoring of virus-associated cancer using cell-free DNA

Viral-associated cancers are a distinct group of malignancies with a unique pathogenesis and epidemiology. Liquid biopsy is a minimally invasive way to identify tumor-associated abnormalities in blood derivatives, such as plasma, to guide the diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment of patients with cancer. Liquid biopsy encompasses a multitude of circulating analytes with the most extensively studied being cell-free DNA (cfDNA). In recent decades, substantial advances have been made toward the study of circulating tumor DNA in nonviral-associated cancers. Many of these observations have been translated to the clinic to improve the outcomes of patients with cancer. The study of cfDNA in viral-associated cancers is rapidly evolving and reveals tremendous potential for clinical applications. This review provides an overview of the pathogenesis of viral-associated malignancies, the current state of cfDNA analysis in oncology, the current state of cfDNA analysis in viral-associated cancers, and perspectives for the future of liquid biopsies in viral-associated cancers.

Impact of Radiotherapy Combined With Chemotherapy on Long-Term Outcomes of Patients With Recurrent Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background: It remains controversial whether the application of chemotherapy has an impact on recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (rNPC) patients with salvage radiotherapy. Here, we aimed to evaluate treatment outcomes of rNPC patients and derive a prognostic model to assess the benefit of chemotherapy in patients with re-radiotherapy. Methods: This study was conducted as a retrospective study. In total, 340 rNPC patients treated with salvage intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) or radiochemotherapy (RCT) from October 2006 to September 2019 were included in this study. Overall survival (OS) was the primary outcome. Kaplan-Meier method was employed to detect the prognostic difference with Log-rank tests. The Cox regression analysis was performed to explore the potential prognostic factors while the multivariate Cox analysis was used to identify candidate variables for the prognostic model of OS. Results: The 5-year actuarial rates of OS, progression-free survival, loco-regional progression-free survival, and distant metastases-free survival did not show significant difference between the IMRT and RCT groups (P > .05). Age at recurrence and rT category were found to be the independent prognostic factors for OS. We found that rNPC patients suffered poor OS in the high-risk group (patients with higher age at recurrence and advanced rT category) (high-risk vs low-risk, HR = 1.87, 95% CI: 1.36-2.57, P < .001). Salvage RT alone may be superior to RCT for patients in the low-risk group (RCT group vs RT group, HR = 1.89, 95% CI: 1.11-3.20, P = .038). Conclusion: Salvage RT combined with chemotherapy cannot improve survival outcomes for rNPC. More novel clinical trials should be explored to develop individualized strategies to improve survival and minimize toxicities.

Transcriptomic profiling revealed FZD10 as a novel biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma recurrence

Background

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a type of cancers that develops in the nasopharynx, the very upper part of the throat behind the nose. NPC is typically diagnosed in later stages of the disease and has a high rate of recurrence due to the location of the tumor growth site. In this study, we compared the gene expression profiles of NPC tissues from patients with and without recurrence to identify potential molecular biomarkers of NPC recurrence.

Methods

Microarrays were used to analyze the expression of genes in 15 NPC tissues taken at the time of diagnosis and at the site of recurrence following therapeutic treatment. Pathway enrichment analysis was used to examine the biological interactions between the major differentially expressed genes. The target identified was then validated using immunohistochemistry on 86 NPC tissue samples.

Results

Our data showed that the Wnt signaling pathway was enhanced in NPC tissues with recurrence. FZD10, a component of the Wnt signaling pathway, was significantly expressed in NPC tissues, and was significantly associated with NPC recurrence.

Conclusion

Our study provides new insights into the pathogenesis of NPC and identifies FZD10 as a potential molecular biomarker for NPC recurrence. FZD10 may be a promising candidate for NPC recurrence and a potential therapeutic target.

Association of Epstein-Barr virus DNA and SAA with S1 maintenance therapy outcomes in patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Objectives: The relevant biomarkers in predicting maintenance therapy (MT) outcomes in metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) are yet unclear. Patients & methods: Metastatic NPC patients were randomly divided into MT (S1-MT) and non-MT groups. The association of Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) and SAA with survival was assessed. Results: A total of 183 patients were included. S1-MT significantly increased the progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of the metastatic NPC patients (both p < 0.001). For patients who were EBV-DNA positive or had decreased SAA, the PFS and OS increased significantly after S1-MT (both p < 0.001), while patients with stable SAA did not benefit from S1-MT. Conclusion: S1-MT improved the PFS and OS of metastatic NPC patients. EBV-DNA and SAA status were closely associated with the outcomes of S1-MT. Clinical trial registration number: ChiCTR-IOR-16007939.

Plasma Circulating Tumor Epstein-Barr Virus for the Surveillance of Cancer Progression in Bone-Only Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background

Plasma Epstein–Barr virus DNA (EBV-DNA) is a sensitive and specific biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). We investigated whether longitudinal monitoring of EBV-DNA could accurately detect clinical disease progression in NPC patients with bone-only metastases.

Methods

In this retrospective study, a total of 105 patients with bone-only metastatic NPC who were treated with platinum-based first-line chemotherapy were enrolled. Undetectable EBV-DNA after first-line chemotherapy was defined as a biochemical complete response (BCR). The correlation of the EBV-DNA dynamic status with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) was determined by Cox regression. The correlation between non-normalized EBV-DNA period and PFS period was determined.

Results

After a median follow-up time of 53.4 months [Interquartile range (IQR): 42.8–80.6], 64 patients had disease progression. Thirty-nine of 105 patients (37.1%) had a BCR at all follow-up time points, and none of these 39 patients had disease progression, corresponding to a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100%. Sixty-six patients had a detectable EBV-DNA during surveillance, with 64 diagnosed as disease progression at the last follow-up, for a positive predictive value (PPV) of 97.0%. Actuarial 3-year OS rates were 45.0% for patients with detectable EBV-DNA during posttreatment surveillance and 100% for patients with undetectable EBV-DNA. Lastly, median lead time between non-normalized EBV-DNA and clinically proven progression was 5.87 ± 0.67 months.

Conclusions

Taken together, EBV-DNA provided predictive value for the bone-only metastatic NPC patients. The results should be validated in prospective randomized studies.

Circulating Plasma Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Load During the Follow-up Periods Predicts Recurrence and Metastasis in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Epstein-Barr virus DNA (EBV DNA) load has been identified as a prognostic factor in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), whereas the dynamic changes in the long period have not been explored. In this study, we evaluated EBV DNA kinetics and its role in the survival.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of 900 NPC patients. Plasma EBV DNA levels were measured at various time points after treatment. The correlations of EBV kinetics with recurrence and metastasis were analyzed. After stratifying patients according to the EBV results, survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier estimates. Twelve- and 24-month landmark analyses for overall survival (OS) data were performed according to the EBV groups.

RESULTS

Patients with post-EBV of less than 2500 copies/mL achieved better survival than did those with higher ones. Furthermore, patients with continuously elevated EBV DNA expressed significantly poorer OS (hazard ratio [HR], 2.542, 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.077-3.111; P < 0.001), distant metastasis-free survival (HR, 2.970; 95% CI, 2.392-3.687; P < 0.001), locoregional-free survival (HR, 1.699; 95% CI, 1.072-2.692; P = 0.013), and progression-free survival (HR, 2.535; 95% CI, 1.987-3.233; P < 0.001) than did patients with continuously normal EBV or those with elevated levels at any time point. The 5-year OS with elevated EBV was lower than that of the remission group by using the 12- and 24-month landmark analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated EBV DNA after treatment was a better predictive indicator of survival than the baseline concentrations. Furthermore, continuously elevated EBV DNA after treatment indicated recurrence, metastasis, and unfavorable prognosis for NPC. In addition, there were consistent patterns of EBV DNA kinetics during long-term follow-up, which warrant further study.

Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Based Radiomics for the Prediction of Progression-Free Survival in Patients with Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Simple Summary

More than 70% of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) present with a locoregionally advanced state. Although the initial staging of NPC is primarily based on TNM staging, there is currently no well-established prognostic marker for NPC. Recently, radiomics has received considerable research attention as a potential prognostic biomarker for NPC. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to comprehensively evaluate the prognostic value of pretreatment magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics for NPC. The analyzed radiomic models demonstrated modest prognostic values, with a pooled mean estimated Harrell’s concordance index (C index) of 0.762. The prognostic models developed using more than eight radiomic features had significantly higher C-indices than those developed using fewer features. Our findings provide evidence that MRI-based radiomics may have a modest prognostic role in the treatment of NPC. However, more consistent study protocols are needed to verify the generalizability of radiomics.

Abstract

Advanced non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) has variable treatment outcomes. However, there are no prognostic biomarkers for identifying high-risk patients with NPC. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to comprehensively assess the prognostic value of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics for untreated NPC. The PubMed-Medline and EMBASE databases were searched for relevant articles published up to 12 August 2021. The Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) checklist was used to determine the qualities of the selected studies. Random-effects modeling was used to calculate the pooled estimates of Harrell’s concordance index (C-index) for progression-free survival (PFS). Between-study heterogeneity was evaluated using Higgins’ inconsistency index (I²). Among the studies reported in the 57 articles screened, 10 with 3458 patients were eligible for qualitative and quantitative data syntheses. The mean adherence rate to the TRIPOD checklist was 68.6 ± 7.1%. The pooled estimate of the C-index was 0.762 (95% confidence interval, 0.687–0.837). Substantial between-study heterogeneity was observed (I² = 89.2%). Overall, MRI-based radiomics shows good prognostic performance in predicting the PFS of patients with untreated NPC. However, more consistent and robust study protocols are necessary to validate the prognostic role of radiomics for NPC.

Impact of prior cancer on the overall survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

Prior cancer history is an important exclusion criterion from clinical trials and may decrease their generalizability. This study aimed to investigate the impact of prior cancer on the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma and to describe their characteristics.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Data of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma diagnosed between 2010 and 2015 were collected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. The discrepancy in baseline characteristics was adjusted by propensity score matching. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were performed to assess the impact of prior cancer on overall survival.

RESULTS

A total of 3412 individuals were identified, of which 418 (12.25%) had prior cancer. Prostate cancer was the most frequently detected type of prior cancer (18.42%). Nearly 45% of the prior cancers were diagnosed within 5 years before the nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Patients with prior cancer had an inferior survival compared to those without prior cancer (p < 0.001). Notably, patients with prior prostate, breast, hematological, and nasopharyngeal cancers had a non-inferior overall survival. Prior cancer history was an independent factor of poor overall survival (hazard ratio = 1.329, p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to provide the comprehensive insight that patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma and prior cancer have lower overall survival. Different prior cancer types had a different impact on the clinical outcome, suggesting that the exclusion criteria should be individually defined by unique cancer types.

Percent change in apparent diffusion coefficient and plasma EBV DNA after induction chemotherapy identifies distinct prognostic response phenotypes in advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the prognostic value of the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) derived from diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and monitor the early treatment response to induction chemotherapy (IC) with plasma EBV DNA in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC).

RESULTS

A total of 307 stage III-IVb NPC patients were prospectively enrolled. All patients underwent MRI examinations to calculate ADC and plasma EBV DNA measurements pretreatment and post-IC. The participants' ADC value of 92.5% (284/307) increased post-IC. A higher percent change in ADC value (ΔADC%_high group) post-IC was associated with a higher 5-year OS rate (90.7% vs 74.9%, p < 0.001) than those in the ΔADC%_low group. Interestingly, ΔADC% was closely related to the response measured by RECIST 1.1 (p < 0.001) and plasma EBV DNA level (p = 0.037). The AUC significantly increased when post-IC plasma EBV DNA was added to ΔADC% to predict treatment failure. Thus, based on ΔADC% and plasma EBV DNA, we further divided the participants into three new prognostic response phenotypes (early response, intermediate response, and no response) that correlated with disparate risks of death (p = 0.001), disease progression (p < 0.001), distant metastasis (p < 0.001), and locoregional relapse (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The percentage change in ADC post-IC is indicative of treatment response and clinical outcome. ΔADC% and plasma EBV DNA-based response phenotypes may provide potential utility for early termination of treatment and allow guiding risk-adapted therapeutic strategies for LA-NPC.

Survival Effects of Radiotherapy on Patients Newly Diagnosed with Distant Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma in Non-High-Incidence Areas

Purpose

To analyze the effects of radiotherapy and its timing on the survival and safety of patients with newly diagnosed distant metastatic NPC in non-high-incidence areas.

Patients and Methods

We retrospectively analyzed 94 newly diagnosed NPC patients with distant metastatic admitted to our hospital from January 2011 to June 2018. They were divided into three groups: no radiotherapy group received chemotherapy alone, early radiotherapy group was combined with radiotherapy during 1 to 3 cycles of chemotherapy, and late radiotherapy group was combined with radiotherapy after 4–6 cycles of chemotherapy were effective. The efficacy and side effects of the three groups were compared, and the prognostic factors were analyzed.

Results

The 6-month, 1-year and 2-year PFS were 53.6%, 14.3% and 3.6% in no radiotherapy group, 71.0%, 38.7% and 19.4% in early radiotherapy group, 88.6%, 48.6% and 22.9% in late radiotherapy group; the radiotherapy groups were better than the no radiotherapy group, and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.017). The 1-year, 2-year and 3-year OS were 75.0%, 32.1% and 0 in no radiotherapy group, 77.4%, 54.8% and 12.9% in early radiotherapy group, 85.7%, 71.4% and 31.4% in late radiotherapy group; the radiotherapy groups were better than the no radiotherapy group, and the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.017). There was no significant difference in OS and PFS between the two radiotherapy groups. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that HBV (P = 0.031), number of metastases (P = 0.002), liver metastases (P = 0.038), radiotherapy (P < 0.001) and treatment response (P = 0.011) were related to OS. There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse events (P > 0.017).

Conclusion

Early and late combined radiotherapy had similar clinical efficacy and both prolonged PFS and OS for patients with newly diagnosed distant metastatic NPC in non-high-risk areas. If chemotherapy response is expected to be poor, radiotherapy can be received early.

Identifying distinct risks of treatment failure in nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A study based on the dynamic changes in peripheral blood lymphocytes, monocytes, N classification, and plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the prognostic value of the dynamic change in absolute lymphocyte counts (ALCs) and absolute monocyte counts (AMCs) and identify patients with N stage and plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) who are at risk of treatment failure.

METHODS

A total of 1124 eligible patients with Stage II-IVb NPC treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) were enrolled. Percentage changes in the ALC (ΔALC%) and AMC (ΔAMC%) were calculated.

RESULTS

Patients with high ΔALC% were correlated with poorer 5-year overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) rates than those with low ΔALC%. Likewise, high ΔAMC% was significantly associated with worse outcome than low ΔAMC% (OS, p = 0.001; PFS, p = 0.001; DMFS, p = 0.034). Multivariate analyses revealed that ΔALC% (p = 0.046), ΔAMC% (p = 0.019), and EBV DNA level (p < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors for OS. With respect to PFS, ΔALC% (p = 0.036), ΔAMC% (p = 0.011), N classification (p = 0.016), and EBV DNA level (p < 0.001) were also independent prognosticators. Based on the aforementioned independent risk factors (ΔALC% ≥ 83.33%, ΔAMC% ≥ 40.00%, Stage N2-3, EBV DNA ≥ 4000 copies/ml), patients were divided into three different risk groups (low-risk group [with <1 risk factor], intermediate risk group [with 1-3 risk factors], and high-risk group [with 4 risk factors]) that correlated with disparate risks of death (p < 0.001), disease progression (p < 0.001), and distant metastasis (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

High ΔALC% and ΔAMC% were correlated with poor prognosis in patients with NPC. Risk stratification based on ΔALC%, ΔAMC%, N classification, and plasma EBV DNA levels could provide potential utility for risk-adapted therapeutic strategies for NPC.

Gemcitabine Plus Cisplatin Versus Fluorouracil Plus Cisplatin as First-Line Therapy for Recurrent or Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: Final Overall Survival Analysis of GEM20110714 Phase III Study

PURPOSE

GEM20110714 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01528618), the first randomized, phase III study of systemic chemotherapy in recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), reported significant progression-free survival improvement with gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GP) versus fluorouracil plus cisplatin (FP; hazard ratio, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.44 to 0.68; P < .001). Data from the final analysis of overall survival (OS) are presented here.

METHODS

From February 2012 to October 2015, 362 patients were randomly assigned to receive either GP (gemcitabine 1 g/m2 once daily on days 1 and 8 and cisplatin 80 mg/m2 once daily on day 1; n = 181) or FP (fluorouracil 4 g/m2 in continuous intravenous infusion over 96 hours and cisplatin 80 mg/m2 once daily on day 1; n = 181) once every 21 days. The primary end point was progression-free survival, which has been previously reported; OS was a secondary end point.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up time of 69.5 months with GP and 69.7 months with FP, 148 (81.8%) and 166 (91.7%) deaths occurred in the GP and FP arms, respectively. The estimated hazard ratio for OS was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.58 to 0.90; two-sided P = .004). The median OS was 22.1 months (95% CI, 19.2 to 25.0 months) with GP versus 18.6 months (95% CI, 15.4 to 21.7 months) with FP. The OS probabilities at 1, 3, and 5 years were 79.9% versus 71.8%, 31.0% versus 20.4%, and 19.2% versus 7.8%, respectively. Poststudy therapy was administered in 51.9% and 55.2% of patients in the GP and FP arms, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Among patients with previously untreated advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma, those who receive GP have longer OS than those receive FP. Gemcitabine plus cisplatin should be considered a preferred front-line option for these patients.

Design of InnoPrimers-Duplex Real-Time PCR for Detection and Treatment Response Prediction of EBV-Associated Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Circulating Genetic Biomarker

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is an epithelial tumor with high prevalence in southern China and Southeast Asia. NPC is well associated with the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) latent membrane protein 1 (LMP1) 30 bp deletion by having its vital role in increased tumorigenicity and decreased immune recognition of EBV-related tumors. This study developed an InnoPrimers-duplex qPCR for detection of NPC blood circulating LMP1 30 bp deletion genetic biomarker for early diagnosis and treatment response prediction of NPC patients. The analytical and diagnostic evaluation and treatment response prediction were conducted using NPC patients’ whole blood (WB) and tissue samples and non-NPC cancer patients and healthy individuals’ WB samples. The assay was able to detect as low as 20 ag DNA per reaction (equivalent to 173 copies) with high specificity against broad reference microorganisms and archive NPC biopsy tissue and FNA samples. The diagnostic sensitivity and specificity were 83.3% and 100%, respectively. The 30 bp deletion genetic biomarker was found to be a good prognostic biomarker associated with overall clinical outcome of NPC WHO type III patients. This sensitive and specific assay can help clinicians in early diagnosis and treatment response prediction of NPC patients, which will enhance treatment outcome and lead to better life-saving.

Early risk-assessment of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: the added prognostic value of MR-based radiomics

•

The current study extracted radiomics—a large quantitative data of imaging features—from magnetic resonance images of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

•

The survival model fitted with radiomic features showed good prognostic performance in predicting the progression-free survival of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (integrated area under the curve, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.71–0.72).

•

Addition of radiomics to clinical survival model improved the prognostication of progression-free survival in patients diagnosed with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (integrated area under the curve from 0.76 to 0.81, p<0.001).

Objectives

To assess the additive prognostic value of MR-based radiomics in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC)

Methods

Patients newly diagnosed with non-metastatic NPC between June 2006 and October 2019 were retrospectively included and randomly grouped into training and test cohorts (7:3 ratio). Radiomic features (n=213) were extracted from T2-weighted and contrast-enhanced T1-weighted MRI. The patients were staged according to the 8^th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging Manual. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator was used to select the relevant radiomic features. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were conducted for PFS, yielding three different survival models (clinical, stage, and radiomic). The integrated time-dependent area under the curve (iAUC) for PFS was calculated and compared among different combinations of survival models, and the analysis of variance was used to compare the survival models. The prognostic performance of all models was validated using a test set with integrated Brier scores.

Results

This study included 81 patients (training cohort=57; test cohort=24), and the mean PFS was 57.5 ± 43.6 months. In the training cohort, the prognostic performances of survival models improved significantly with the addition of radiomics to the clinical (iAUC, 0.72–0.80; p=0.04), stage (iAUC, 0.70–0.79; p=0.001), and combined models (iAUC, 0.76–0.81; p<0.001). In the test cohort, the radiomics and combined survival models were robustly validated for their ability to predict PFS.

Conclusion

Integration of MR-based radiomic features with clinical and stage variables improved the prediction PFS in patients diagnosed with NPC.

Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma and Its Association with Epstein-Barr Virus

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is caused by Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection, yet incorporating measurement of EBV DNA levels into clinical practice remains a challenge. Here, we summarize the relationship between NPC and EBV infection before describing the use of cell-free DNA as a plasma biomarker in cancer. We then compare conventional polymerase chain reaction methods and emerging next-generation sequencing approaches for EBV viral load detection emphasizing their prognostic and predictive utility. We conclude by considering how assay standardization, novel molecular approaches, and alternative clinical specimens may be leveraged to bring EBV testing into the routine care of patients with NPC.

A systematic review and recommendations on the use of plasma EBV DNA for nasopharyngeal carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is an endemic malignancy in Southeast Asia, particularly Southern China. The classical non-keratinising cell type is almost unanimously associated with latent Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection. Circulating plasma EBV DNA can be a useful biomarker in various clinical aspects, but comprehensive recommendations and international guidelines are still lacking. We conducted a systematic review of all original articles on the clinical application of plasma EBV DNA for NPC; we further evaluated its strengths and limitations for consideration as standard recommendations.

METHODS

The search terms 'nasopharyngeal OR nasopharynx', and 'plasma EBV DNA OR cell-free EBV OR cfEBV' were used to identify full-length articles published up to December 2020 in the English literature. Three authors independently reviewed the article titles, removed duplicates and reviewed the remaining articles for eligibility.

RESULTS

A total of 81 articles met the eligibility criteria. Based on the levels of evidence and grades of recommendation assessed, it is worth considering the inclusion of plasma EBV DNA in screening, pre-treatment work-up for enhancing prognostication and tailoring of treatment strategy, monitoring during radical treatment, post-treatment surveillance for early detection of relapse, and monitoring during salvage treatment for recurrent or metastatic NPC. One major limitation is the methodology of measurement requiring harmonisation for consistent comparability.

CONCLUSIONS

The current comprehensive review supports the inclusion of plasma EBV DNA in international guidelines in the clinical aspects listed, but methodological issues must be resolved before global application.

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma in children and adolescents: The EXPeRT/PARTNER diagnostic and therapeutic recommendations

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is a rare pediatric tumor. Collaborative studies performed over the last decades showed improved results compared to historical data, but standardized guidelines for diagnosis and management of pediatric NPC are still unavailable. This study presents a European consensus guideline for the diagnosis and treatment of pediatric NPC developed by the European Cooperative Study Group for Pediatric Rare Tumors (EXPeRT). Main recommendations include induction chemotherapy with cisplatin and 5-flurouracil, concomitant chemoradiotherapy in advanced disease, and to consider maintenance treatment with interferon beta (IFN-β) for selected high-risk patients. Dose adjustments of radiotherapy based on response to induction chemotherapy may decrease the rates of long-term treatment-related complications that affect most of the survivors.

Induction Chemotherapy Combined With Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy for 129 Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients With Synchronous Metastases: A Retrospective Study

Objective

To analyze the therapeutic effect and prognostic factors of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients with distant metastases at initial diagnosis receiving induction chemotherapy with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).

Methods

A total of 129 patients who underwent platinum-based induction chemotherapy followed by definitive IMRT with or without concurrent or adjuvant chemotherapy for newly diagnosed distant metastatic NPC in our center between March 2008 and November 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. 41 patients underwent local therapy for metastatic sites. Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate survival rates, Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model were used to figure out independent prognostic factors of overall survival (OS).

Results

A total of 66 patients had been dead (median follow-up time, 51.5 months). The median overall survival (OS) time was 54.2 months (range, 7-136 months), and the 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, 5-year overall survival rates were 88.0%,71.0%,58.0%, and 47.0%. Multivariate analysis found that the factors correlated with poor overall survival were pre-treatment serum lactate dehydrogenase (SLDH) >180U/L, chemotherapy cycles<4, and M1 stage subdivision (M1b, single hepatic metastasis and/or multiple metastases excluding the liver; and M1c, multiple hepatic metastases). The 5-year OS rates for M1a, M1b and M1c were 62.6%,40.4% and 0%, respectively.

Conclusion

Platinum-containing induction chemotherapy combined with IMRT seemed to be advantageous to prolong survival for some NPC patients with synchronous metastases at initial diagnosis. The independent factors to prognosticate OS were pre-treatment SLDH, number of chemotherapy cycles, and M1 subcategories. Prospective clinical trials are needed to confirm the result.

Efficacy of Transnasal Endoscopic Fine-Needle Aspiration Biopsy in Diagnosing Submucosal Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS

The routine practices of examining submucosal lesions are not suitable for deep lesions. Therefore, we evaluated the efficacy of non-real-time image-guided transnasal endoscopic fine-needle aspiration biopsy (FNAB) in diagnosing nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with submucosal lesions.

STUDY DESIGN

The effectiveness evaluation of diagnostic methods.

METHODS

Fifty suspected NPC patients who failed in conventional biopsies were enrolled in this study. The efficacy, maneuverability, and safety of FNAB in diagnosing these intractable cases were evaluated.

RESULTS

The definitive diagnostic results of these 50 patients were NPC (34/50, 68.0%), nasopharyngeal necrosis (1/50, 2.0%), nasopharyngeal mucositis (12/50, 24.0%), and other cancers (3/50, 6.0%), respectively. The results of the diagnostic efficacy of FNAB were sensitivity, 89.2%; specificity, 100.0%; positive predictive value, 100.0%; negative predictive value, 76.5%; and accuracy, 92.0%, respectively. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves was 0.946 (95% confidence interval = 0.884-1.00, P < .001). No severe complications occurred after FNAB.

CONCLUSIONS

FNAB can improve the diagnostic efficiency of NPC occurring in the submucosal space. It can be an additional option for routine nasopharyngeal biopsy and is worthy of clinical application.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

4 Laryngoscope, 131:1798-1804, 2021.

Prognostic model for risk stratification of de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

There is no clinically applicable prognostic model designed for patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) treated with chemotherapy followed by locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT). We sought to develop a predictive tool of overall survival for individualized prediction and risk stratification in this heterogeneous patient population.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 244 eligible patients with de novo mNPC, who were treated with platinum-based first-line chemotherapy followed by LRRT, were included in this retrospective study. We divided patients into the training and validation sets based on the date of initial treatment, with 152 patients treated between 2008 and 2013 comprising the training set for model development and 92 patients treated at a later time (2014 to 2015) forming the validation set. We applied Cox proportional hazards model to examine factors associated with overall survival (OS). We developed and subsequently validated a prognostic model to predict OS. We assessed the performance of this prognostic model and stratified patients based on prognostic scores obtained from this proposed model.

RESULTS

The median OS of the entire cohort was 60.9 months. C-creative protein, number of metastatic sites, liver metastasis, post-treatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA, and response of metastasis were significantly associated with OS. A prognostic model for individual survival prediction was developed and graphically represented as a nomogram. The model showed favorable discrimination (C-index: 0.759), predictive accuracy [time dependent area under the curve (tAUC) at 5 years: 0.800], and calibration, and was further validated in an independent dataset. A risk stratification derived from the model can stratify these patients into three prognostic subgroups with significantly different survival.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated a prognostic model that exhibited adequate performance in individualized prediction and risk stratification for patients with de novo mNPC treated with chemotherapy followed by LRRT.

Targeting the signaling in Epstein-Barr virus-associated diseases: mechanism, regulation, and clinical study

Epstein–Barr virus-associated diseases are important global health concerns. As a group I carcinogen, EBV accounts for 1.5% of human malignances, including both epithelial- and lymphatic-originated tumors. Moreover, EBV plays an etiological and pathogenic role in a number of non-neoplastic diseases, and is even involved in multiple autoimmune diseases (SADs). In this review, we summarize and discuss some recent exciting discoveries in EBV research area, which including DNA methylation alterations, metabolic reprogramming, the changes of mitochondria and ubiquitin-proteasome system (UPS), oxidative stress and EBV lytic reactivation, variations in non-coding RNA (ncRNA), radiochemotherapy and immunotherapy. Understanding and learning from this advancement will further confirm the far-reaching and future value of therapeutic strategies in EBV-associated diseases.

Exploring the Optimal Chemotherapy Strategy for Locoregionally Advanced Children and Adolescent Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Based on Pretreatment Epstein-Barr Virus DNA Level in the Era of Intensity Modulated Radiotherapy

Background

The present study aimed to explore the optimal chemotherapy strategy for locoregionally advanced children and adolescent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LcaNPC), based on the level of pretreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA (pEBV-DNA) in the era of intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT).

Methods

This real-world, retrospective study consecutively reviewed locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients younger than 22 years old from 2006 to 2016 in the Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center. The Kaplan–Meier method with the log-rank test and the Cox regression model were used to investigate the survival outcomes of different chemotherapy intensities and pEBV-DNA. Treatment-related toxicity was also evaluated using the chi-squared test or Fisher’s exact test.

Results

A total of 179 patients were enrolled, including 86 patients in the high-risk group (pEBV-DNA ≥7,500 copies/ml) and 93 patients in the low-risk group (pEBV-DNA <7,500 copies/ml). Among all patients, those receiving low intensity induction chemotherapy (IC courses = 2) had a better 5-year overall survival (OS) than those receiving no IC (P = 0.025) and high intensity IC (IC courses >2) (P = 0.044). In the high-risk group, receipt of low intensity IC showed significant 5-year OS (P = 0.032), progression-free survival (PFS) (P = 0.027), and 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (P = 0.008) benefits compared with not receiving IC. Multivariate analyses identified that not receiving IC was a risk factor compared with low intensity IC for OS (hazard ratio (HR) = 10.933, P = 0.038) among all patients. Moreover, in the high-risk group, not receiving IC was a risk factor for 5-year OS (HR = 10.878, P = 0.038), 5-year PFS (HR = 5.705, P = 0.041), and 5-year DMFS (HR = 10.290, P = 0.040) compared to low intensity IC. There were no differences in survival for patients treated with or without concurrent chemotherapy.

Conclusion

Two courses of platinum-based IC might be the optimal induction chemotherapy intensity to reduce risk of death, progression, and distant metastasis in patients with high pEBV-DNA levels.

The effect of adding concurrent chemotherapy to radiotherapy for stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma with undetectable pretreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA: Retrospective analysis with a large institutional-based cohort

•

We conducted a head-to-head comparison between patients given RT with or without concurrent chemotherapy through PSM.

•

The study population we selected had stage II NPC with undetectable pre-EBV DNA, potentially reducing heterogeneity of tumors.

•

Our results showed that IMRT alone appeared to achieve comparable survival to CCRT for stage II NPC and undetectable pretreatment EBV DNA.

•

Our findings may provide references for optimizing individualized treatment among patients with stage II NPC.

Little is known about the value of adding concurrent chemotherapy (CC) to radiotherapy for stage II nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with undetectable (0 copies/mL) pretreatment Epstein-Barr Virus (EBV) DNA in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era. To address this question, the present study retrospectively reviewed 514 patients with newly diagnosed stage II NPC and undetectable pretreatment EBV DNA from Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center between March 2008 and October 2016. Clinical characteristics and survival outcomes between concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) and IMRT alone groups were compared. Propensity score matching analysis was conducted to control for confounding factors. Although CCRT group had significantly higher proportions of stage N1 disease than IMRT alone group before matching (85% vs. 61%, p < 0.001), no statistically significant differences were noted for OS (97.8% vs. 98.1%, p = 0.700), DFS (93.4% vs. 94.5%, p = 0.846), DMFS (96.0% vs. 96.9%, p = 0.762), and LRFS (97.3% vs. 98.1%, p = 0.701). After 1:1 propensity-score matching, 177 pairs were identified. Patients in each group were found to be well balanced in baseline characteristics and risk factors (all P > 0.05). The five-year OS (96.9% vs. 98.2%, p = 0.302), DFS (92.0% vs. 95.2%, p = 0.777), DMFS (95.2% vs. 97.6%, p = 0.896), and LRFS (97.3% vs. 97.6%, p = 0.328) rates remain comparable for both CCRT and RT alone groups. Additionally, subgroup analysis still failed to observe any significant survival benefit for the addition of CC to IMRT for N1 disease (P>0.05 for all). Our results indicated that IMRT alone appeared to achieve comparable survival to CCRT for stage II NPC with undetectable pretreatment EBV DNA.

A novel prognostic model predicting the long-term cancer-specific survival for patients with hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma

Background

Hypopharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HSCC) is a rare type of head and neck cancer with poor prognosis. However, till now, there is still no model predicting the survival outcomes for HSCC patients. We aim to develop a novel nomogram predicting the long-term cancer-specific survival (CSS) for patients with HSCC and establish a prognostic classification system.

Methods

Data of 2021 eligible HSCC patients were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database between 2010 and 2015. We randomly split the whole cases (ratio: 7:3) into the training and the validation cohort. Cox regression as well as the Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) COX were used to select significant predictors of CSS. Based on the beta-value of these predictors, a novel nomogram was built. The concordance index (C-index), the calibration curve and the decision curve analysis (DCA) were utilized for the model validation and evaluation using the validation cohort.

Results

In total, cancer-specific death occurred in 974/2021 (48.2%) patients. LASSO COX indicated that age, race, T stage, N stage, M stage, surgery, radiotherapy and chemotherapy are significant prognosticators of CSS. A prognostic model based on these factors was constructed and visually presented as nomogram. The C-index of the model was 0.764, indicating great predictive accuracy. Additionally, DCA and calibration curves also demonstrated that the nomogram had good clinical effect and satisfactory consistency between the predictive CSS and actual observation. Furthermore, we developed a prognostic classification system that divides HSCC patients into three groups with different prognosis. The median CSS for HSCC patients in the favorable, intermediate and poor prognosis group was not reached, 39.0-Mo and 10.0-Mo, respectively (p < 0.001).

Conclusions

In this study, we constructed the first nomogram as well as a relevant prognostic classification system that predicts CSS for HSCC patients. We believe these tools would be helpful for clinical practice in patients’ consultation and risk group stratification.

Clinicopathological and prognostic features of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in children and adolescents: A retrospective study of 196 cases in South China

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) occurring in children and adolescence is extremely rare and till present there is a lack of understanding on their clinicopathological and prognostic features of this rare entity. For our study, data of 196 cases children and adolescents with NPC from the past 18 years at a high-volume cancer center from South China were retrospectively analyzed. Half of the evaluated NPC patients (83/166, 50.0%) were staged as Stage IVa disease, whereas 1.2% (2/166), 27.7% (46/166), 16.9% (28/166) and 4.2% (7/166) had Stage II, III, IVb and IVc disease, respectively. Serum EBV EA-IgA ≥1:10 and VCA-IgA ≥1:40 were found in 67.7% (113/167) and 76.6% (128/167) of the evaluated patients, respectively, whereas 56.8% (84/148) of the patients had plasma EBV DNA ≥1000 copies/mL. Histologically, all tumors were classified as nonkeratinizing squamous cell carcinoma (NK-SCC). Immunohistochemistrically, the expression of CK (AE1/AE3), P63, CK5/6 and P40 were observed in 100% (88/88), 93.2% (68/73), 84.1% (58/69) and 63.2% (12/19) of the detected cases, respectively. All cases show similar immunophenotype compared to that occurring in adult patients. All evaluated cases (71/71 100%) harbored EBER. Patients with plasma EBV DNA ≥1000 copies/mL and positive serum EBV antibodies had significantly inferior 3-year OS (88% vs 100%, P = .007) compared to other corresponding groups. The combination of EBV serology and plasma EBV DNA are useful to predict the outcome of patients with NPC in children and adolescents.

Development of a Prognostic Model to Identify the Suitable Definitive Radiation Therapy Candidates in de Novo Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Real-World Study

PURPOSE

We aimed to develop an accurate prognostic model to identify suitable candidates for definitive radiation therapy (DRT) in addition to palliative chemotherapy (PCT) among patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Patients with de novo mNPC who received first-line PCT with or without DRT were included. Overall survival for patients who received PCT alone versus PCT plus DRT was estimated using inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted survival analyses. We developed and validated a prognostic model to predict survival and stratify risks in de novo mNPC. A model-based trees approach was applied to estimate stratified treatment effects using prognostic scores obtained from the prognostic model and to identify suitable DRT candidates. Dominance analysis was used to determine the relative importance of each predictor of receiving DRT.

RESULTS

A total of 460 patients were enrolled; 244 received PCT plus DRT and 216 received PCT alone. The 6-month conditional landmark, inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted Cox regression analysis showed that PCT plus DRT was associated with a significant survival benefit (hazard ratio: 0.516; 95% confidence interval, 0.403-0.660; P < .001). A prognostic model based on 5 independent prognostic factors, including serum lactate dehydrogenase, number of metastatic sites, presence of liver metastasis, posttreatment Epstein-Barr virus DNA level, and response of metastases to chemotherapy was developed and subsequently validated. Prognostic scores obtained from the prognostic model were used for risk stratification and efficacy estimation. High-risk patients identified using the proposed model would not benefit from additional DRT, whereas low-risk patients experienced significant survival benefits. Socioeconomic factors, including insurance status and education level, played an important role in receipt of DRT.

CONCLUSIONS

Additional DRT after PCT was associated with increased overall survival in patients with de novo mNPC, especially low-risk patients identified with a newly developed prognostic model.

Prognostication of Half-Life Clearance of Plasma EBV DNA in Previously Untreated Non-metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Treated With Radical Intensity-Modulated Radiation Therapy

Introduction: The prognostic role of plasma Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA clearance when intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and the 8th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) TNM Staging Classification are fully implemented remains undeciphered. We investigated if its half-life clearance during radical treatment for non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) was an early prognosticator.

Patients and methods: Patients with previously untreated non-metastatic NPC were prospectively treated with radical IMRT and concurrent chemotherapy +/– induction/adjuvant chemotherapy from 2014 to 2018. Their plasma EBV DNA was measured immediately before treatment followed by weekly schedules until 0 copy/ml in two consecutive measurements. Cox regression models were employed to identify prognostic factors.

Results: Forty-five patients were prospectively recruited and analyzed. After a median follow-up of 30.3 months, 2 (4.5%), 1 (2.3%), and 6 (13.6%) patients experienced local, regional, and distant relapses, respectively. The median half-life clearance of plasma EBV DNA was 7.92 days. Those with half-life clearance of >15 days had a worse 3-years progression-free survival (PFS) (79.5 vs. 25.0%, p = 0.005), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (85.0 vs. 31.3%, p = 0.009), and overall survival (OS) (91.3 vs. 75.0%, p = 0.024) when compared to those with a shorter half-life. Multivariable analyses demonstrated that only half-life (>15 days) was prognostic of DMFS [HR (95% CI): 4.91 (1.31; 18.39), p = 0.01] and OS [HR (95% CI): 5.24 (1.06; 26.05)] while half-life (>15 days) [HR (95% CI): 5.14 (1.28; 22.73), p = 0.02] and sum of pretreatment gross tumor volumes of the primary nasopharyngeal tumor and the radiologically positive neck nodes (GTV_P+N) [HR (95% CI): 1.01 (1.00; 1.03), p = 0.02] were prognostic of PFS.

Conclusion: The half-life clearance of plasma EBV DNA was prognostic in non-metastatic NPC staged and treated in the contemporary era. Earlier biomarker surveillance during treatment should be considered.

Clinical Trial Registration: This study has been registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (Identifier: NCT03830996).

CD47 Overexpression Is Associated with Epstein-Barr Virus Infection and Poor Prognosis in Patients with Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Purpose

Little is known about the clinical significance of CD47 expression and its association with Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) infection in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). The aim of this study was to clarify the prognostic value and role of CD47 in EBV-associated NPC.

Materials and Methods

Sixty-six cases of non-metastatic NPC were retrospectively reviewed. Tissues were collected for immunohistochemical staining of CD47 and the EBV-encoded oncoprotein latent membrane protein 1 (LMP1). Western blotting and quantitative real-time PCR were performed to determine the CD47 and LMP1 levels in common human NPC cell lines. Additionally, CD47 and LMP1 expression in a constructed EBV-positive human NPC cell (CNE-2-EBV+) and a stable cell line transfected with LMP1 plasmid (CNE-2-LMP1) was assessed. Next, we used Western blotting to assess the decrease in CD47 expression on CNE-2-LMP1 cells after transfecting them with small interfering RNA (siRNA)-targeting LMP1.

Results

In NPC patients, CD47 overexpression was significantly associated with disease recurrence (P=0.010), leading to poorer disease-free survival (DFS; P=0.002) and overall survival (P=0.021). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models demonstrated that CD47 (HR=5.452, P=0.016) was an independent prognostic factor of DFS. Moreover, CD47 expression was associated with plasma EBV-DNA copy number and LMP1 tissue expression. Among the human NPC cell lines, CD47 and LMP1 expression was notably higher in the EBV-positive C666-1 cell line than in the EBV-negative cell lines. Furthermore, EBV infection upregulated CD47 expression via LMP1-mediated pathways in human NPC cells.

Conclusion

This study indicated that CD47 is related to EBV infection in NPC patients, and it is a feasible biomarker.

Establishment of a prognostic nomogram to identify optimal candidates for local treatment among patients with local recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

Thus far, there is no final conclusion on the treatment of local recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (lrNPC) patients. Herein, we developed a nomogram which combined prognostic biomarkers to predict clinical outcome and guide individual treatment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From 2006 to 2016, 303 patients with lrNPC were retrospectively reviewed. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. The nomogram was established with the significant prognostic factors (P < 0.05) selected by multivariate analysis using Cox regression model. Harrell Concordance Index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were applied to evaluate this model.

RESULTS

Four independent prognostic factors (age, hypertension, relapsed T (rT) stage, and Epstein-Barr virus DNA) identified from multivariable analysis were included into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.687. The calibration curves for 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rate showed satisfactory agreements between the predicted and actual values. The decision curve analysis also exhibited a preferable net benefit of this model. All patients were subdivided into three risk groups based on the nomogram. Local treatment was associated with higher OS than palliative chemotherapy alone in the low (P < 0.001) and intermediate-risk groups (P = 0.001). However, no significant difference was observed between different treatment methods in the high-risk group (P = 0.176).

CONCLUSION

We established the nomogram for patients with lrNPC to predict OS and guide individual treatment, which showed satisfactory performance in accuracy, discrimination capability, and clinical utility.

Optimal cumulative cisplatin dose in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients based on plasma Epstein-Barr virus DNA level after induction chemotherapy

PURPOSE

This study aimed to elucidate the optimal cumulative cisplatin dose (CCD) for concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) according to the post-induction chemotherapy (IC) plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA level.

RESULTS

EBV DNA was detected and undetected in 179 and 370 patients, respectively. Of the entire cohort, 73/549 (13.3%) patients received a total CCD ≥ 160 mg/m² and 476/549 (86.7%) patients, <160 mg/m². CCD enhancement was not associated with a survival benefit in patients with undetected EBV DNA after IC. However, among patients with post-IC detectable EBV DNA, higher 3-year PFS and locoregional relapse-free survival (LRFS) rates were observed in those who received a CCD ≥ 160 mg/m². Multivariate analysis also showed CCD was an independent prognostic factor for PFS and LRFS in patients with post-IC detectable EBV DNA.

CONCLUSIONS

CCD enhancement was not associated with a survival benefit in patients with undetected EBV DNA after IC. However, among patients with post-IC detectable EBV DNA, those receiving ≥160 mg/m² CCD showed significantly improved 3-year PFS and LRFS.

METHODS

NPC patients (549) treated with IC and CCRT were included. Prognosis was assessed using a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. Furthermore, grade 1-4 toxicities were compared between different CCD groups.

The role of capecitabine as maintenance therapy in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A propensity score matching study

Background

Capecitabine was previously used as a second‐line or salvage therapy for metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and has shown satisfactory curative effect as maintenance therapy in other metastatic cancers. This study aimed to explore the role of capecitabine as maintenance therapy in de novo metastatic NPC patients with different plasma Epstein‐Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels before treatment.

Methods

We selected de novo metastatic NPC patients treated with locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT) for this retrospective study. The propensity score matching (PSM) was applied to balance potential confounders between patients who underwent capecitabine maintenance therapy and those who did not with a ratio of 1:3. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint. The association between capecitabine maintenance therapy and survival was assessed using the log‐rank test and a Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

Among all patients eligible for this study, 64 received capecitabine maintenance therapy after LRRT. After PSM, 192 patients were identified in the non‐maintenance group. In the matched cohort, patients treated with capecitabine achieved a higher 3‐year OS rate compared with patients in the non‐maintenance group (68.5% vs. 61.8%, P = 0.037). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that capecitabine maintenance therapy was an independent prognostic factor. In subgroup analysis, 3‐year OS rate was comparable between the maintenance and non‐maintenance groups in patients with high pretreatment EBV DNA levels (˃30,000 copies/mL) (54.8% vs. 45.8%, P = 0.835), whereas patients with low pretreatment EBV DNA levels (≤30,000 copies/mL) could benefit from capecitabine maintenance therapy in OS (90.0% vs. 68.1%, P = 0.003).

Conclusion

Capecitabine maintenance therapy may be superior to non‐maintenance therapy in prolonging OS for de novo metastatic NPC patients with pretreatment EBV DNA ≤ 30,000 copies/mL.

Oral Maintenance Chemotherapy Using S-1/Capecitabine in Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients After Systemic Chemotherapy: A Single-Institution Experience

Background

In this study, we retrospectively evaluated a series of metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) patients who received oral maintenance chemotherapy using S-1/capecitabine after systemic chemotherapy and local radiation therapy, and aimed to explore potential efficient treatment strategies for this subset of patients.

Patients and Methods

Thirty-seven patients with mNPC (19 newly diagnosed metastatic patients and 18 metastatic cases after definitive chemoradiotherapy) who received the treatment strategies mentioned above were analyzed.

Results

After a median follow-up time of 37 months, the 3-year progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) rates were 47.6% and 87.7%, respectively. The median time to progression was 27.6 months, while the median OS was not reached at time of last follow-up. The most common acute adverse events were hematological and gastrointestinal toxicity, and all were tolerable and curable.

Conclusion

Oral maintenance chemotherapy using S-1/capecitabine in mNPC patients after systemic chemotherapy could yield a superb outcome. Further multicenter prospective clinical trials are warranted.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram for the pre-treatment prediction of early metachronous metastasis in endemic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a big-data intelligence platform-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Early failure of cancer treatment generally indicates a poor prognosis. Here, we aim to develop and validate a pre-treatment nomogram to predict early metachronous metastasis (EMM) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

METHODS

From 2009 to 2015, a total of 9461 patients with NPC (training cohort: n = 7096; validation cohort: n = 2365) were identified from an institutional big-data research platform. EMM was defined as time to metastasis within 2 years after treatment. Early metachronous distant metastasis-free survival (EM-DMFS) was the primary endpoint. A nomogram was established with the significant prognostic factors for EM-DMFS determined by multivariate Cox regression analyses in the training cohort. The Harrell Concordance Index (C-index), area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), and calibration curves were applied to evaluate this model.

RESULTS

EMM account for 73.5% of the total metachronous metastasis rate and is associated with poor long-term survival in NPC. The final nomogram, which included six clinical variables, achieved satisfactory discriminative performance and significantly outperformed the traditional tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) classification for predicting EM-DMFS: C-index: 0.721 versus 0.638, p < 0.001; AUC: 0.730 versus 0.644, p < 0.001. The calibration curves showed excellent agreement between the predicted and actual EM-DMFS. The nomogram can stratify patients into three risk groups with distinct EM-DMFS (2-year DMFS: 96.8% versus 90.1% versus 80.3%, p < 0.001). A validation cohort supported the results. The three identified risk groups are correlated with the efficacy of different treatment regimens.

CONCLUSION

Our established nomogram can reliably predict EMM in patients with NPC and might aid in formulating risk-adapted treatment decisions and personalized patient follow-up strategies.

Prognostic model and optimal treatment for patients with stage IVc nasopharyngeal carcinoma at diagnosis

The treatment for patients with stage IVc nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) at diagnosis was still controversial. In this study, we tried to build a prognostic score model and optimize the treatment for the patients. The prognostic model was based on the primary cohort involving 289 patients from 2002 to 2011 and the validation involving another 156 patients from 2012 to 2015.The prognostic model was built based on the hazard ratios of significant prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). By multivariate analysis, factors associated with poor OS were Karnofsky performance score ≤70, liver metastases, multiple-organ metastases, ≥2 metastatic lesions, lactate dehydrogenase >245 IU/I and poor response to chemotherapy (all P < 0.01). Based on these prognostic factors, patients were divided into the low-risk (0-2 points), intermediate-risk (3-6 points) and high-risk (≥7 points) groups. Five-year OS rates for the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups were 49.3%, 9.7% and 0.0%, respectively (P < 0.01). Furthermore, loco-regional radiotherapy was associated with significantly better OS in low- and intermediate-risk patients, but not in high-risk patients. These results demonstrated that the prognostic score model based on six negative factors can effectively predict OS in patients with stage IVc NPC at diagnosis. Loco-regional radiotherapy may be beneficial for low- and intermediate-risk patients, but not for high-risk patients.

Prognostic value of Epstein-Barr virus DNA level for nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a meta-analysis of 8128 cases

BACKGROUND

Plasma levels of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA have been employed to predict survival outcomes of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, the prognostic value of subsequent EBV DNA levels (mid or post treatment) for NPC is needed to identify by a large cohort of patients. We performed a meta-analysis of studies including data from 8128 patients to evaluate the prognostic value of EBV DNA in NPC patients.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and the Cochrane library for prospective and retrospective studies. Hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) were extracted from the studies or calculated and pooled to assess the association between EBV DNA levels pre-treatment (pre-DNA), mid-treatment (mid-DNA), and post-treatment (post-DNA) on clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 22 studies with 8128 patients was included for analysis. Pre-DNA levels predicted overall survival, progression-free survival, distant metastasis-free survival, and local-regional failure survival with HRs (95% CIs) of 2.70 (2.06, 3.54), 2.70 (2.12, 3.44), 3.49 (2.35, 5.17), and 2.00 (1.45, 2.76), respectively, and the corresponding HRs for post-DNA levels were 4.86 (3.30, 7.17), 6.29 (3.41, 11.60), 5.68 (2.71,11.93), respectively. Mid-DNA levels predicted overall survival and progression-free survival with an HR (95% CI) of 3.02 (1.54, 5.29) and 3.15 (2.05, 4.83). Subgroup analysis showed that the HR of post-DNA wasn't influenced by different detection time of post-DNA (P = 0.22, I² = 33.2%).

CONCLUSION

The EBV DNA levels have a significant prognostic impact in patients with NPC. The effect of post-treatment EBV DNA level dominated that of pre-DNA and mid-DNA levels.

Maximal standard uptake values of 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography compared with Epstein-Barr virus DNA as prognostic indicators in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients

Background

This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of maximal standard uptake values (SUVmax) of ¹⁸F-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography (PET) comparing with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA levels in de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients.

Methods

From December 2006 to December 2016, 253 de novo metastatic NPC patients assessed by PET/ computed tomography were involved in current study. SUVmax-T, SUVmax-N, and SUVmax-M referred to the SUVmax at the primary tumor, cervical lymph nodes, and metastatic lesions respectively. Overall survival (OS) was the primary endpoint.

Result

Patients who died during the follow-up had significantly higher SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA level than those in the patients who were alive. SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M were positively correlated with EBV DNA level. The cut-off values of SUVmax-T, SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA were 17.0, 12.7, and 6.9, and 13,800 copies/mL respectively, which were determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Patients with elevated SUVmax-N, SUVmax-M, and EBV DNA levels had a lower 3-year OS rate. In multivariate analysis, the independent prognostic factors of OS included EBV DNA, metastatic site, and locoregional radiotherapy application, while SUVmax was not an independent prognostic factor.

Conclusion

In de novo metastatic NPC patients, higher SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M were associated with worse prognosis. However, the predictive ability of SUVmax-N and SUVmax-M was poorer than that of EBV DNA.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-6106-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Clinical characteristics and prognostic value of pre-retreatment plasma epstein-barr virus DNA in locoregional recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma

PURPOSE

To define the clinical characteristics and prognostic value of pre-retreatment plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA, we investigated EBV status in locoregional recurrent nasopharyngeal carcinoma (lrNPC) patients.

METHODS

Between April 2008 and August 2016, the data of patients with nonmetastatic lrNPC were retrospectively reviewed. The survival indexes of patients between different pre-retreatment EBV status groups were compared.

RESULTS

A total of 401 patients with nonmetastatic lrNPC were enrolled, and 197 (49.1%) patients had detectable pre-retreatment plasma EBV DNA. Treatment included radiotherapy alone (n = 37 patients), surgery alone (n = 105), radiotherapy (n = 208), surgery combined with radiotherapy (n = 20), chemotherapy and targeted therapy (n = 31). Median follow-up was 32 months. The 3-year locoregional relapse-free survival (LRRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), and overall survival (OS) rates for the entire cohort were 64.8%, 89.4%, and 58.8%, respectively. The estimated 3-year LRRFS, DMFS, and OS rates for the pre EBV-positive group vs the pre EBV-negative group were 54.2% vs 75.0% (P < 0.001), 86.6% vs 91.9% (P = 0.05), 51.6% vs 65.9% (P = 0.01), respectively. Among patients in the clinical stage rI/II, there were 17 patients in the radiotherapy alone group and 49 patients in the surgery alone group. And there was no significant difference in overall survival between radiotherapy and surgery, even among the different pre-EBV statuses (P > 0.05). In terms of long-term toxic and side effects, the incidence of radioactive temporal lobe injury in the radiotherapy group was higher than that in the surgery group (35.3% vs 8.2%, P < 0.001), and no statistically significant difference was found in other long-term toxic and side effects.

CONCLUSIONS

The positive rate of pre-retreatment plasma EBV DNA in lrNPC is lower than primary NPC. The prognosis of EBV DNA negative group is better than positive group. For locally early-stage lrNPC, regardless of EBV DNA status, radiotherapy and surgery are available options and both can achieve better long-term survival.

Neoadjuvant or Adjuvant Chemotherapy Plus Concurrent CRT Versus Concurrent CRT Alone in the Treatment of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma: A Study Based on EBV DNA

Background: The goal of this study was to explore the value of adding neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) or adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) to concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) with different risks of treatment failure. Patients and Methods: A total of 2,263 eligible patients with stage III–IVb NPC treated with CCRT ± NACT or ACT were included in this retrospective study. Distant metastasis–free survival (DMFS), overall survival, and progression-free survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and differences were compared using the log-rank test. Results: Patients in the low-risk group (stage N0–1 disease and Epstein-Barr virus [EBV] DNA <4,000 copies/mL) who received NACT followed by CCRT achieved significantly better 5-year DMFS than those treated with CCRT alone (96.2% vs 91.3%; P= .008). Multivariate analyses also demonstrated that additional NACT was the only independent prognostic factor for DMFS (hazard ratio, 0.42; 95% CI, 0.22–0.80; P=.009). In both the intermediate-risk group (stage N0–1 disease and EBV DNA ≥4,000 copies/mL and stage N2–3 disease and EBV DNA <4,000 copies/mL) and the high-risk group (stage N2–3 disease and EBV DNA ≥4,000 copies/mL), comparison of NACT or ACT + CCRT versus CCRT alone indicated no significantly better survival for all end points. Conclusions: The addition of NACT to CCRT could reduce distant failure in patients with low risk of treatment failure.

Establishment and validation of a nomogram for predicting survival in patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

No nomogram has been established for de novo metastatic NPC patients previously. Thus, we retrospectively involved 502 de novo NPC patients to develop a practical clinical tool by combining prognostic biomarkers to estimate individual risk.

METHODS

The nomogram was based on a primary cohort involving 353 patients from 2007 to 2013; all independent prognostic factors were integrated for inclusion in the model. The predictive accuracy of the model was evaluated by concordance index (C-index). A calibration curve was used to compare predicted and observed survival. We confirmed the results using a validation cohort study on 149 patients enrolled from 2014 to 2016.

RESULTS

Five independent prognostic factors derived from multivariable analysis were entered into the nomogram. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.724. The calibration curves for probability of 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) showed satisfactory agreement between predicted survival and actual observed survival. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed a significant difference in survival among different risk groups according to the total score. All results were confirmed in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

We established a convenient nomogram that provides individual prediction of OS for patients with de novo metastatic NPC.

Clinical features and survival outcomes between ascending and descending types of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy era: A big-data intelligence platform-based analysis

PURPOSE

To compare clinical features and survival outcomes in patients with ascending type (type A) and descending type (type D) nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) in the intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) era.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 5194 patients with type A and type D NPC treated at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center were randomly selected. Tumors that were mainly advanced local disease (T3-4 stage) with early stage cervical lymph node involvement (N0-1 stage) were determined as type A, while tumors with advanced lymph node disease (N2-3 stage) but early stage local invasion (T1-2 stage) were classified as type D NPC. Kaplan-Meier's analysis was used to evaluate survival rates, and log-rank test survival curves were used for comparison. In the multivariate analysis Cox proportional hazard models were developed.

RESULTS

There was a larger proportion of type A tumors (82%) than type D tumors (18%). Compared to patients with type A tumors, those with type D tumors had increased likelihood of distant metastasis, regional recurrence, disease recurrence, and death (P < 0.001 for all), however, not for local recurrence (P < 0.001). The HR (hazard ratio) for death following recurrence of disease for type D tumors were 1.6 compared to type A tumors. Multivariate analysis revealed that elevated EBV DNA, elevated lactate dehydrogenase, alcohol consumption, and no family history of cancer attributed to the development of type D tumors. Annual hazard rate in type A patients increased, peaking at 12-18 months after initial treatment and downward thereafter. Similar trend also occurred in type D during the first 5 years following treatment. Notably, a minor peak was also observed 7-8 years post treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

In the IMRT era, recurrence patterns differed across tumor types. Type D NPC had a more aggressive clinical course and worse outcomes compared with type A NPC.

Identifying optimal candidates for local treatment of the primary tumor among patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study based on Epstein-Barr virus DNA level and tumor response to palliative chemotherapy

Background

To evaluate the clinical outcome in patients with de novo metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated or not treated with locoregional radiotherapy (LRRT) based on plasma Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA level and tumor response after palliative chemotherapy (PCT).

Methods

From 2007 to 2016, 502 patients with de novo metastatic NPC were included in this study. All patients were treated with PCT and 315 patients received LRRT. Our primary study endpoint was overall survival (OS).

Results

EBV DNA was detected in 461 patients (91.8%) before treatment but was undetectable in 249 patients (49.6%) after PCT. Three hundred and seventeen patients (63.1%) achieved satisfactory response (complete response or partial response) to PCT. Both the post-PCT EBV DNA level and tumor response were independent prognostic factors. Among low-risk patients (patients with undetectable EBV DNA and satisfactory tumor response after PCT), the 3-year OS rate was 80.4% in LRRT-treated patients and 45.3% in patients not treated with LRRT (P < 0.001). Multivariate analyses demonstrated that LRRT was an independent prognostic factor of OS in the low-risk patients (P < 0.001). However, among the high-risk patients (patients with detectable EBV DNA and/or unsatisfactory response after PCT), no statistically significant survival differences were observed between the LRRT and non-LRRT groups.

Conclusions

EBV DNA level and tumor response after PCT both correlate with the prognosis of de novo metastatic NPC. In such cases, LRRT may benefit the patients with undetectable EBV DNA levels and satisfactory tumor response after PCT.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-5281-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Development and validation of a magnetic resonance imaging-based model for the prediction of distant metastasis before initial treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A retrospective cohort study

Background

We aimed to identify a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based model for assessment of the risk of individual distant metastasis (DM) before initial treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods

This retrospective cohort analysis included 176 patients with NPC. Using the PyRadiomics platform, we extracted the imaging features of primary tumors in all patients who did not exhibit DM before treatment. Subsequently, we used minimum redundancy-maximum relevance and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithms to select the strongest features and build a logistic model for DM prediction. The independent statistical significance of multiple clinical variables was tested using multivariate logistic regression analysis.

Findings

In total, 2780 radiomic features were extracted. A DM MRI-based model (DMMM) comprising seven features was constructed for the classification of patients into high- and low-risk groups in a training cohort and validated in an independent cohort. Overall survival was significantly shorter in the high-risk group than in the low-risk group (P < 0·001). A radiomics nomogram based on radiomic features and clinical variables was developed for DM risk assessment in each patient, and it showed a significant predictive ability in the training [area under the curve (AUC), 0·827; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.754–0.900] and validation (AUC, 0.792; 95% CI, 0.633–0.952) cohorts.

Interpretation

DMMM can serve as a visual prognostic tool for DM prediction in NPC, and it can improve treatment decisions by aiding in the differentiation of patients with high and low risks of DM.

Fund

This research received financial support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81571664, 81871323, 81801665, 81771924, 81501616, 81671851, and 81527805); the National Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (2018B030311024); the Science and Technology Planning Project of Guangdong Province (2016A020216020); the Scientific Research General Project of Guangzhou Science Technology and Innovation Commission (201707010328); the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (2016M600145); and the National Key R&D Program of China (2017YFA0205200, 2017YFC1308700, and 2017YFC1309100).