Fast uncertainty quantification of activation sequences in patient-specific cardiac electrophysiology meeting clinical time constraints

Probabilistic learning of the Purkinje network from the electrocardiogram

The identification of the Purkinje conduction system in the heart is a challenging task, yet essential for a correct definition of cardiac digital twins for precision cardiology. Here, we propose a probabilistic approach for identifying the Purkinje network from non-invasive clinical data such as the standard electrocardiogram (ECG). We use cardiac imaging to build an anatomically accurate model of the ventricles; we algorithmically generate a rule-based Purkinje network tailored to the anatomy; we simulate physiological electrocardiograms with a fast model; we identify the geometrical and electrical parameters of the Purkinje-ECG model with Bayesian optimization and approximate Bayesian computation. The proposed approach is inherently probabilistic and generates a population of plausible Purkinje networks, all fitting the ECG within a given tolerance. In this way, we can estimate the uncertainty of the parameters, thus providing reliable predictions. We test our methodology in physiological and pathological scenarios, showing that we are able to accurately recover the ECG with our model. We propagate the uncertainty in the Purkinje network parameters in a simulation of conduction system pacing therapy. Our methodology is a step forward in creation of digital twins from non-invasive data in precision medicine. An open source implementation can be found at http://github.com/fsahli/purkinje-learning.

Global sensitivity analysis with multifidelity Monte Carlo and polynomial chaos expansion for vascular haemodynamics

Computational models of the cardiovascular system are increasingly used for the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Before being used for translational applications, the predictive abilities of these models need to be thoroughly demonstrated through verification, validation, and uncertainty quantification. When results depend on multiple uncertain inputs, sensitivity analysis is typically the first step required to separate relevant from unimportant inputs, and is key to determine an initial reduction on the problem dimensionality that will significantly affect the cost of all downstream analysis tasks. For computationally expensive models with numerous uncertain inputs, sample-based sensitivity analysis may become impractical due to the substantial number of model evaluations it typically necessitates. To overcome this limitation, we consider recently proposed Multifidelity Monte Carlo estimators for Sobol' sensitivity indices, and demonstrate their applicability to an idealized model of the common carotid artery. Variance reduction is achieved combining a small number of three-dimensional fluid-structure interaction simulations with affordable one- and zero-dimensional reduced-order models. These multifidelity Monte Carlo estimators are compared with traditional Monte Carlo and polynomial chaos expansion estimates. Specifically, we show consistent sensitivity ranks for both bi- (1D/0D) and tri-fidelity (3D/1D/0D) estimators, and superior variance reduction compared to traditional single-fidelity Monte Carlo estimators for the same computational budget. As the computational burden of Monte Carlo estimators for Sobol' indices is significantly affected by the problem dimensionality, polynomial chaos expansion is found to have lower computational cost for idealized models with smooth stochastic response.

Efficient approximation of cardiac mechanics through reduced-order modeling with deep learning-based operator approximation

Reducing the computational time required by high-fidelity, full-order models (FOMs) for the solution of problems in cardiac mechanics is crucial to allow the translation of patient-specific simulations into clinical practice. Indeed, while FOMs, such as those based on the finite element method, provide valuable information on the cardiac mechanical function, accurate numerical results can be obtained at the price of very fine spatio-temporal discretizations. As a matter of fact, simulating even just a few heartbeats can require up to hours of wall time on high-performance computing architectures. In addition, cardiac models usually depend on a set of input parameters that are calibrated in order to explore multiple virtual scenarios. To compute reliable solutions at a greatly reduced computational cost, we rely on a reduced basis method empowered with a new deep learning-based operator approximation, which we refer to as Deep-HyROMnet technique. Our strategy combines a projection-based POD-Galerkin method with deep neural networks for the approximation of (reduced) nonlinear operators, overcoming the typical computational bottleneck associated with standard hyper-reduction techniques employed in reduced-order models (ROMs) for nonlinear parametrized systems. This method can provide extremely accurate approximations to parametrized cardiac mechanics problems, such as in the case of the complete cardiac cycle in a patient-specific left ventricle geometry. In this respect, a 3D model for tissue mechanics is coupled with a 0D model for external blood circulation; active force generation is provided through an adjustable parameter-dependent surrogate model as input to the tissue 3D model. The proposed strategy is shown to outperform classical projection-based ROMs, in terms of orders of magnitude of computational speed-up, and to return accurate pressure-volume loops in both physiological and pathological cases. Finally, an application to a forward uncertainty quantification analysis, unaffordable if relying on a FOM, is considered, involving output quantities of interest such as, for example, the ejection fraction or the maximal rate of change in pressure in the left ventricle.

Sensitivity analysis of a multi-physics model for the vascular microenvironment

The vascular microenvironment is the scale at which microvascular transport, interstitial tissue properties and cell metabolism interact. The vascular microenvironment has been widely studied by means of quantitative approaches, including multi-physics mathematical models as it is a central system for the pathophysiology of many diseases, such as cancer. The microvascular architecture is a key factor for fluid balance and mass transfer in the vascular microenvironment, together with the physical parameters characterizing the vascular wall and the interstitial tissue. The scientific literature of this field has witnessed a long debate about which factor of this multifaceted system is the most relevant. The purpose of this work is to combine the interpretative power of an advanced multi-physics model of the vascular microenvironment with state of the art and robust sensitivity analysis methods, in order to determine the factors that most significantly impact quantities of interest, related in particular to cancer treatment. We are particularly interested in comparing the factors related to the microvascular architecture with the ones affecting the physics of microvascular transport. Ultimately, this work will provide further insight into how the vascular microenvironment affects cancer therapies, such as chemotherapy, radiotherapy or immunotherapy.

Balancing conduction velocity error in cardiac electrophysiology using a modified quadrature approach

Conduction velocity error is often the main culprit behind the need for very fine spatial discretizations and high computational effort in cardiac electrophysiology problems. In light of this, a novel approach for simulating an accurate conduction velocity in coarse meshes with linear elements is suggested based on a modified quadrature approach. In this approach, the quadrature points are placed at arbitrary offsets of the isoparametric coordinates. A numerical study illustrates the dependence of the conduction velocity on the spatial discretization and the conductivity when using different quadrature rules and calculation approaches. Additionally, examples using the modified quadrature in coarse meshes for wave propagation demonstrate the improved accuracy of the conduction velocity with this method. This novel approach possesses great potential in reducing the computational effort required but remains limited to specific linear elements and experiences a reduction in accuracy for irregular meshes and heterogeneous conductivities. Further research can focus on developing an adaptive quadrature and extending the approach to other element formulations in order to make the approach more generally applicable.

An Automata-Based Cardiac Electrophysiology Simulator to Assess Arrhythmia Inducibility

Personalized cardiac electrophysiology simulations have demonstrated great potential to study cardiac arrhythmias and help in therapy planning of radio-frequency ablation. Its application to analyze vulnerability to ventricular tachycardia and sudden cardiac death in infarcted patients has been recently explored. However, the detailed multi-scale biophysical simulations used in these studies are very demanding in terms of memory and computational resources, which prevents their clinical translation. In this work, we present a fast phenomenological system based on cellular automata (CA) to simulate personalized cardiac electrophysiology. The system is trained on biophysical simulations to reproduce cellular and tissue dynamics in healthy and pathological conditions, including action potential restitution, conduction velocity restitution and cell safety factor. We show that a full ventricular simulation can be performed in the order of seconds, emulate the results of a biophysical simulation and reproduce a patient’s ventricular tachycardia in a model that includes a heterogeneous scar region. The system could be used to study the risk of arrhythmia in infarcted patients for a large number of scenarios.

Fast Characterization of Inducible Regions of Atrial Fibrillation Models With Multi-Fidelity Gaussian Process Classification

Computational models of atrial fibrillation have successfully been used to predict optimal ablation sites. A critical step to assess the effect of an ablation pattern is to pace the model from different, potentially random, locations to determine whether arrhythmias can be induced in the atria. In this work, we propose to use multi-fidelity Gaussian process classification on Riemannian manifolds to efficiently determine the regions in the atria where arrhythmias are inducible. We build a probabilistic classifier that operates directly on the atrial surface. We take advantage of lower resolution models to explore the atrial surface and combine seamlessly with high-resolution models to identify regions of inducibility. We test our methodology in 9 different cases, with different levels of fibrosis and ablation treatments, totalling 1,800 high resolution and 900 low resolution simulations of atrial fibrillation. When trained with 40 samples, our multi-fidelity classifier that combines low and high resolution models, shows a balanced accuracy that is, on average, 5.7% higher than a nearest neighbor classifier. We hope that this new technique will allow faster and more precise clinical applications of computational models for atrial fibrillation. All data and code accompanying this manuscript will be made publicly available at: https://github.com/fsahli/AtrialMFclass.

Space-time shape uncertainties in the forward and inverse problem of electrocardiography

In electrocardiography, the "classic" inverse problem is the reconstruction of electric potentials at a surface enclosing the heart from remote recordings at the body surface and an accurate description of the anatomy. The latter being affected by noise and obtained with limited resolution due to clinical constraints, a possibly large uncertainty may be perpetuated in the inverse reconstruction. The purpose of this work is to study the effect of shape uncertainty on the forward and the inverse problem of electrocardiography. To this aim, the problem is first recast into a boundary integral formulation and then discretised with a collocation method to achieve high convergence rates and a fast time to solution. The shape uncertainty of the domain is represented by a random deformation field defined on a reference configuration. We propose a periodic-in-time covariance kernel for the random field and approximate the Karhunen-Loève expansion using low-rank techniques for fast sampling. The space-time uncertainty in the expected potential and its variance is evaluated with an anisotropic sparse quadrature approach and validated by a quasi-Monte Carlo method. We present several numerical experiments on a simplified but physiologically grounded two-dimensional geometry to illustrate the validity of the approach. The tested parametric dimension ranged from 100 up to 600. For the forward problem, the sparse quadrature is very effective. In the inverse problem, the sparse quadrature and the quasi-Monte Carlo method perform as expected, except for the total variation regularisation, where convergence is limited by lack of regularity. We finally investigate an H1/2 regularisation, which naturally stems from the boundary integral formulation, and compare it to more classical approaches.

Atlas-based methods for efficient characterization of patient-specific ventricular activation patterns

AIMS

Ventricular activation patterns can aid clinical decision-making directly by providing spatial information on cardiac electrical activation or indirectly through derived clinical indices. The aim of this work was to derive an atlas of the major modes of variation of ventricular activation from model-predicted 3D bi-ventricular activation time distributions and to relate these modes to corresponding vectorcardiograms (VCGs). We investigated how the resulting dimensionality reduction can improve and accelerate the estimation of activation patterns from surface electrogram measurements.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Atlases of activation time (AT) and VCGs were derived using principal component analysis on a dataset of simulated electrophysiology simulations computed on eight patient-specific bi-ventricular geometries. The atlases provided significant dimensionality reduction, and the modes of variation in the two atlases described similar features. Utility of the atlases was assessed by resolving clinical waveforms against them and the VCG atlas was able to accurately reconstruct the patient VCGs with fewer than 10 modes. A sensitivity analysis between the two atlases was performed by calculating a compact Jacobian. Finally, VCGs generated by varying AT atlas modes were compared with clinical VCGs to estimate patient-specific activation maps, and the resulting errors between the clinical and atlas-based VCGs were less than those from more computationally expensive method.

CONCLUSION

Atlases of activation and VCGs represent a new method of identifying and relating the features of these high-dimensional signals that capture the major sources of variation between patients and may aid in identifying novel clinical indices of arrhythmia risk or therapeutic outcome.

A space-fractional bidomain framework for cardiac electrophysiology: 1D alternans dynamics

Cardiac electrophysiology modeling deals with a complex network of excitable cells forming an intricate syncytium: the heart. The electrical activity of the heart shows recurrent spatial patterns of activation, known as cardiac alternans, featuring multiscale emerging behavior. On these grounds, we propose a novel mathematical formulation for cardiac electrophysiology modeling and simulation incorporating spatially non-local couplings within a physiological reaction-diffusion scenario. In particular, we formulate, a space-fractional electrophysiological framework, extending and generalizing similar works conducted for the monodomain model. We characterize one-dimensional excitation patterns by performing an extended numerical analysis encompassing a broad spectrum of space-fractional derivative powers and various intra- and extracellular conductivity combinations. Our numerical study demonstrates that (i) symmetric properties occur in the conductivity parameters' space following the proposed theoretical framework, (ii) the degree of non-local coupling affects the onset and evolution of discordant alternans dynamics, and (iii) the theoretical framework fully recovers classical formulations and is amenable for parametric tuning relying on experimental conduction velocity and action potential morphology.

Enabling forward uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis in cardiac electrophysiology by reduced order modeling and machine learning

We present a new, computationally efficient framework to perform forward uncertainty quantification (UQ) in cardiac electrophysiology. We consider the monodomain model to describe the electrical activity in the cardiac tissue, coupled with the Aliev-Panfilov model to characterize the ionic activity through the cell membrane. We address a complete forward UQ pipeline, including both: (i) a variance-based global sensitivity analysis for the selection of the most relevant input parameters, and (ii) a way to perform uncertainty propagation to investigate the impact of intra-subject variability on outputs of interest depending on the cardiac potential. Both tasks exploit stochastic sampling techniques, thus implying overwhelming computational costs because of the huge amount of queries to the high-fidelity, full-order computational model obtained by approximating the coupled monodomain/Aliev-Panfilov system through the finite element method. To mitigate this computational burden, we replace the full-order model with computationally inexpensive projection-based reduced-order models (ROMs) aimed at reducing the state-space dimensionality. Resulting approximation errors on the outputs of interest are finally taken into account through artificial neural network (ANN)-based models, enhancing the accuracy of the whole UQ pipeline. Numerical results show that the proposed physics-based ROMs outperform regression-based emulators relying on ANNs built with the same amount of training data, in terms of both numerical accuracy and overall computational efficiency.

Data integration for the numerical simulation of cardiac electrophysiology

The increasing availability of extensive and accurate clinical data is rapidly shaping cardiovascular care by improving the understanding of physiological and pathological mechanisms of the cardiovascular system and opening new frontiers in designing therapies and interventions. In this direction, mathematical and numerical models provide a complementary relevant tool, able not only to reproduce patient-specific clinical indicators but also to predict and explore unseen scenarios. With this goal, clinical data are processed and provided as inputs to the mathematical model, which quantitatively describes the physical processes that occur in the cardiac tissue. In this paper, the process of integration of clinical data and mathematical models is discussed. Some challenges and contributions in the field of cardiac electrophysiology are reported.

Uncertainty propagation and sensitivity analysis: results from the Ocular Mathematical Virtual Simulator

We propose an uncertainty propagation study and a sensitivity analysis with the Ocular Mathematical Virtual Simulator, a computational and mathematical model that predicts the hemodynamics and biomechanics within the human eye. In this contribution, we focus on the effect of intraocular pressure, retrolaminar tissue pressure and systemic blood pressure on the ocular posterior tissue vasculature. The combination of a physically-based model with experiments-based stochastic input allows us to gain a better understanding of the physiological system, accounting both for the driving mechanisms and the data variability.

Markov chain Monte Carlo with Gaussian processes for fast parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in a 1D fluid-dynamics model of the pulmonary circulation

The past few decades have witnessed an explosive synergy between physics and the life sciences. In particular, physical modelling in medicine and physiology is a topical research area. The present work focuses on parameter inference and uncertainty quantification in a 1D fluid-dynamics model for quantitative physiology: the pulmonary blood circulation. The practical challenge is the estimation of the patient-specific biophysical model parameters, which cannot be measured directly. In principle this can be achieved based on a comparison between measured and predicted data. However, predicting data requires solving a system of partial differential equations (PDEs), which usually have no closed-form solution, and repeated numerical integrations as part of an adaptive estimation procedure are computationally expensive. In the present article, we demonstrate how fast parameter estimation combined with sound uncertainty quantification can be achieved by a combination of statistical emulation and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. We compare a range of state-of-the-art MCMC algorithms and emulation strategies, and assess their performance in terms of their accuracy and computational efficiency. The long-term goal is to develop a method for reliable disease prognostication in real time, and our work is an important step towards an automatic clinical decision support system.

Fast uncertainty quantification of tracer distribution in the brain interstitial fluid with multilevel and quasi Monte Carlo

Efficient uncertainty quantification algorithms are key to understand the propagation of uncertainty-from uncertain input parameters to uncertain output quantities-in high resolution mathematical models of brain physiology. Advanced Monte Carlo methods such as quasi Monte Carlo (QMC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) have the potential to dramatically improve upon standard Monte Carlo (MC) methods, but their applicability and performance in biomedical applications is underexplored. In this paper, we design and apply QMC and MLMC methods to quantify uncertainty in a convection-diffusion model of tracer transport within the brain. We show that QMC outperforms standard MC simulations when the number of random inputs is small. MLMC considerably outperforms both QMC and standard MC methods and should therefore be preferred for brain transport models.

Sensitivity analysis of an electrophysiology model for the left ventricle

Modelling the cardiac electrophysiology entails dealing with the uncertainties related to the input parameters such as the heart geometry and the electrical conductivities of the tissues, thus calling for an uncertainty quantification (UQ) of the results. Since the chambers of the heart have different shapes and tissues, in order to make the problem affordable, here we focus on the left ventricle with the aim of identifying which of the uncertain inputs mostly affect its electrophysiology. In a first phase, the uncertainty of the input parameters is evaluated using data available from the literature and the output quantities of interest (QoIs) of the problem are defined. According to the polynomial chaos expansion, a training dataset is then created by sampling the parameter space using a quasi-Monte Carlo method whereas a smaller independent dataset is used for the validation of the resulting metamodel. The latter is exploited to run a global sensitivity analysis with nonlinear variance-based indices and thus reduce the input parameter space accordingly. Thereafter, the uncertainty probability distribution of the QoIs are evaluated using a direct UQ strategy on a larger dataset and the results discussed in the light of the medical knowledge.

Deep learning-based reduced order models in cardiac electrophysiology

Predicting the electrical behavior of the heart, from the cellular scale to the tissue level, relies on the numerical approximation of coupled nonlinear dynamical systems. These systems describe the cardiac action potential, that is the polarization/depolarization cycle occurring at every heart beat that models the time evolution of the electrical potential across the cell membrane, as well as a set of ionic variables. Multiple solutions of these systems, corresponding to different model inputs, are required to evaluate outputs of clinical interest, such as activation maps and action potential duration. More importantly, these models feature coherent structures that propagate over time, such as wavefronts. These systems can hardly be reduced to lower dimensional problems by conventional reduced order models (ROMs) such as, e.g., the reduced basis method. This is primarily due to the low regularity of the solution manifold (with respect to the problem parameters), as well as to the nonlinear nature of the input-output maps that we intend to reconstruct numerically. To overcome this difficulty, in this paper we propose a new, nonlinear approach relying on deep learning (DL) algorithms—such as deep feedforward neural networks and convolutional autoencoders—to obtain accurate and efficient ROMs, whose dimensionality matches the number of system parameters. We show that the proposed DL-ROM framework can efficiently provide solutions to parametrized electrophysiology problems, thus enabling multi-scenario analysis in pathological cases. We investigate four challenging test cases in cardiac electrophysiology, thus demonstrating that DL-ROM outperforms classical projection-based ROMs.

Uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis of left ventricular function during the full cardiac cycle

Patient-specific computer simulations can be a powerful tool in clinical applications, helping in diagnostics and the development of new treatments. However, its practical use depends on the reliability of the models. The construction of cardiac simulations involves several steps with inherent uncertainties, including model parameters, the generation of personalized geometry and fibre orientation assignment, which are semi-manual processes subject to errors. Thus, it is important to quantify how these uncertainties impact model predictions. The present work performs uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analyses to assess the variability in important quantities of interest (QoI). Clinical quantities are analysed in terms of overall variability and to identify which parameters are the major contributors. The analyses are performed for simulations of the left ventricle function during the entire cardiac cycle. Uncertainties are incorporated in several model parameters, including regional wall thickness, fibre orientation, passive material parameters, active stress and the circulatory model. The results show that the QoI are very sensitive to active stress, wall thickness and fibre direction, where ejection fraction and ventricular torsion are the most impacted outputs. Thus, to improve the precision of models of cardiac mechanics, new methods should be considered to decrease uncertainties associated with geometrical reconstruction, estimation of active stress and of fibre orientation. This article is part of the theme issue 'Uncertainty quantification in cardiac and cardiovascular modelling and simulation'.

Creation and application of virtual patient cohorts of heart models

Patient-specific cardiac models are now being used to guide therapies. The increased use of patient-specific cardiac simulations in clinical care will give rise to the development of virtual cohorts of cardiac models. These cohorts will allow cardiac simulations to capture and quantify inter-patient variability. However, the development of virtual cohorts of cardiac models will require the transformation of cardiac modelling from small numbers of bespoke models to robust and rapid workflows that can create large numbers of models. In this review, we describe the state of the art in virtual cohorts of cardiac models, the process of creating virtual cohorts of cardiac models, and how to generate the individual cohort member models, followed by a discussion of the potential and future applications of virtual cohorts of cardiac models. This article is part of the theme issue 'Uncertainty quantification in cardiac and cardiovascular modelling and simulation'.

Quantifying atrial anatomy uncertainty from clinical data and its impact on electro-physiology simulation predictions

Patient-specific computational models of structure and function are increasingly being used to diagnose disease and predict how a patient will respond to therapy. Models of anatomy are often derived after segmentation of clinical images or from mapping systems which are affected by image artefacts, resolution and contrast. Quantifying the impact of uncertain anatomy on model predictions is important, as models are increasingly used in clinical practice where decisions need to be made regardless of image quality. We use a Bayesian probabilistic approach to estimate the anatomy and to quantify the uncertainty about the shape of the left atrium derived from Cardiac Magnetic Resonance images. We show that we can quantify uncertain shape, encode uncertainty about the left atrial shape due to imaging artefacts, and quantify the effect of uncertain shape on simulations of left atrial activation times.

Credibility of In Silico Trial Technologies-A Theoretical Framing

Different research communities have developed various approaches to assess the credibility of predictive models. Each approach usually works well for a specific type of model, and under some epistemic conditions that are normally satisfied within that specific research domain. Some regulatory agencies recently started to consider evidences of safety and efficacy on new medical products obtained using computer modelling and simulation (which is referred to as In Silico Trials); this has raised the attention in the computational medicine research community on the regulatory science aspects of this emerging discipline. But this poses a foundational problem: in the domain of biomedical research the use of computer modelling is relatively recent, without a widely accepted epistemic framing for model credibility. Also, because of the inherent complexity of living organisms, biomedical modellers tend to use a variety of modelling methods, sometimes mixing them in the solution of a single problem. In such context merely adopting credibility approaches developed within other research communities might not be appropriate. In this paper we propose a theoretical framing for assessing the credibility of a predictive models for In Silico Trials, which accounts for the epistemic specificity of this research field and is general enough to be used for different type of models.

Machine learning in drug development: Characterizing the effect of 30 drugs on the QT interval using Gaussian process regression, sensitivity analysis, and uncertainty quantification

Prolonged QT intervals are a major risk factor for ventricular arrhythmias and a leading cause of sudden cardiac death. Various drugs are known to trigger QT interval prolongation and increase the proarrhythmic potential. Yet, how precisely the action of drugs on the cellular level translates into QT interval prolongation on the whole organ level remains insufficiently understood. Here we use machine learning techniques to systematically characterize the effect of 30 common drugs on the QT interval. We combine information from high fidelity three-dimensional human heart simulations with low fidelity one-dimensional cable simulations to build a surrogate model for the QT interval using multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression. Once trained and cross-validated, we apply our surrogate model to perform sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification. Our sensitivity analysis suggests that compounds that block the rapid delayed rectifier potassium current I Kr have the greatest prolonging effect of the QT interval, and that blocking the L-type calcium current I CaL and late sodium current I NaL shortens the QT interval. Our uncertainty quantification allows us to propagate the experimental variability from individual block-concentration measurements into the QT interval and reveals that QT interval uncertainty is mainly driven by the variability in I Kr block. In a final validation study, we demonstrate an excellent agreement between our predicted QT interval changes and the changes observed in a randomized clinical trial for the drugs dofetilide, quinidine, ranolazine, and verapamil. We anticipate that both the machine learning methods and the results of this study will have great potential in the efficient development of safer drugs.

Effects of left ventricle wall thickness uncertainties on cardiac mechanics

Computational models of the heart have reached a level of maturity that enables sophisticated patient-specific simulations and hold potential for important applications in diagnosis and therapy planning. However, such clinical use puts strict demands on the reliability and accuracy of the models and requires the sensitivity of the model predictions due to errors and uncertainty in the model inputs to be quantified. The models typically contain a large number of parameters, which are difficult to measure and therefore associated with considerable uncertainty. Additionally, patient-specific geometries are usually constructed by semi-manual processing of medical images and must be assumed to be a potential source of model uncertainty. In this paper, we assess the model accuracy by considering the impact of geometrical uncertainties, which typically occur in image-based computational geometries. An approach based on 17 AHA segments diagram is used to consider uncertainties in wall thickness and also in the material properties and fiber orientation, and we perform a comprehensive uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis based on polynomial chaos expansions. The quantities considered include stress, strain and global deformation parameters of the left ventricle. The results indicate that important quantities of interest may be more affected by wall thickness, and highlight the need for accurate geometry reconstructions in patient-specific cardiac mechanics models.